475 WWNT30 KNGU 290000 SUBJ/NORTH ATLANTIC WIND AND SEAS WARNING// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 290000Z SEP 08. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS BUT ARE DESCRIBED FOR BREVITY AND MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND MASSES OR AREAS OF LESSER WINDS/SEAS. 3. HIGH WIND WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 290000Z SEP 08. A. GALE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS EAST AT 35 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 39.0N2 052.0W7, 37.0N0 050.0W5, 38.0N1 046.0W0, 38.0N1 040.0W4, 40.0N4 040.0W4, 42.0N6 045.0W9, 39.0N2 052.0W7. B. GALE WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (SOUTH OF ICELAND). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS WEST AT 35 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 61.0N7 030.0W3, 58.0N3 029.0W1, 58.0N3 022.0W4, 60.0N6 019.0W0, 61.0N7 030.0W3. C. GALE WARNING FOR THE ARCTIC OCEAN. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS EAST-NORTHEAST AT 35 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 77.0N4 042.0E6, 77.0N4 037.0E0, 76.0N3 017.0E8, 75.0N2 015.0E6, 74.0N1 042.0E6, 77.0N4 042.0E6. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 290000Z SEP 08. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE ARCTIC OCEAN. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 76.0N3 042.0E6, 71.0N8 042.0E6, 73.0N0 024.0E6, 73.0N0 008.0E8, 75.0N2 007.0E7, 76.0N3 014.0E5, 77.0N4 031.0E4, 76.0N3 042.0E6. MAX SEAS 15 FT AND MAINTAINING. B. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORWEGIAN SEA. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 70.0N7 014.0E5, 70.0N7 009.0E9, 67.0N3 003.0E3, 64.0N0 002.0E2, 59.0N4 004.0E4, 63.0N9 005.0E5, 64.0N0 009.0E9, 66.0N2 012.0E3, TO THE COAST NEAR 68.0N4 013.0E4 THENCE COASTAL TO 68.1N5 013.0E4, 70.0N7 014.0E5. MAX SEAS 16 FT AND ABATING. C. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (SOUTH OF ICELAND). MAX SEAS 17 FT AND INCREASING. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 63.0N9 030.0W3, 60.0N6 040.0W4, 57.0N2 036.0W9, 56.0N1 027.0W9, 58.0N3 019.0W0, 61.0N7 018.0W9, 63.0N9 030.0W3. MAX SEAS 17 FT AND INCREASING. D. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 40.0N4 035.0W8, 44.0N8 038.0W1, 46.0N0 046.0W0, 36.0N9 056.0W1, 29.0N1 052.0W7, 26.0N8 041.0W5, 29.0N1 040.0W4, 35.0N8 043.0W7, 37.0N0 038.0W1, 40.0N4 035.0W8. SEAS 18 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 40.0N4 041.0W5, 41.0N5 047.0W1, 38.0N1 052.0W7, 33.0N6 051.0W6, 32.0N5 046.0W0, 37.0N0 045.0W9, 38.0N1 041.0W5, 40.0N4 041.0W5. SEAS 24 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 39.0N2 048.0W2, 38.0N1 049.0W3, 36.0N9 047.0W1, 39.0N2 045.0W9, 39.0N2 048.0W2. MAX SEAS 26 FT AND ABATING. E. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 45.0N9 061.0W7, 43.0N7 065.0W1, 44.0N8 067.0W3, 44.0N8 068.0W4, 43.0N7 070.0W7, 39.0N2 069.0W5, 36.0N9 067.0W3, 37.0N0 064.0W0, 40.0N4 061.0W7, 42.0N6 060.0W6, 44.0N8 060.0W6, 45.0N9 061.0W7. SEAS 18 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 43.0N7 068.0W4, 41.0N5 066.0W2, 41.0N5 062.0W8, 44.0N8 062.0W8, 43.0N7 064.0W0, 43.0N7 067.0W3, 43.0N7 068.0W4. MAX SEAS 22 FT AND ABATING. 5. WAVE HEIGHTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD (1/3) OF COMBINED SEA AND SWELL. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. 6. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING, WWNT31 KNGU WILL BE VALID AT 291200Z//  323 WWMM31 KNGU 290000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK VA// SUBJ/MEDITERRANEAN, BLACK, AND BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND/SEAS WARNING// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 290000Z SEP 08. 2. SYNOPTIC SITUATION FOR 290000Z SEP 08, TO INCLUDE REGIONAL NEAR-GALE WIND EVENTS AND WEATHER HAZARDS. A. WEST MED: HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL EUROPE RIDGES OVER THE WEST MED INFLUENCING THE ENTIRE AREA WITH EASTERLY WINDS. A CUT OFF LOW WILL MOVE TO THE WEST OF THE GULF OF CADIZ PRODUCING NEAR GALE WINDS OVER NELSON AND ALBORAN EARLY IN THE PERIOD. NO HIGH WINDS OR HIGH SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEST MED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. B. CENT MED: HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL EUROPE RIDGES OVER THE CENT MED INFLUENCING THE ENTIRE AREA WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. NO HIGH WINDS OR HIGH SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED FOR THE CENTRAL MED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. C. EAST MED: A TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN TURKEY INTERACTS WITH RIDGING FROM THE CENT MED BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE AEGEAN AND JASON. THE REST OF THE EAST MED IS INFLUENCED BY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OVER MATRUH AND DELTA. NO HIGH WINDS OR HIGH SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED FOR THE EAST MED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. D. BLACK SEA: HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL EUROPE RIDGES OVER THE CENT MED INFLUENCING THE ENTIRE AREA WITH NORTHERLY WINDS. NO HIGH WINDS OR HIGH SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED FOR THE BLACK SEA THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. E. BALTIC SEA: LOW PRESSURE TRACKS NORTH OF THE SCANDINAVIAN PENINSULA INTERACTING WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL EUROPE PRODUCING STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. NO HIGH WINDS OR HIGH SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED FOR THE BALTIC THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. 3. NO HIGH WIND WARNINGS EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 290000Z SEP 08. 4. NO HIGH SEAS WARNINGS EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 290000Z SEP 08 5. HIGH SEAS WARNING IS FOR OVER WATER AREAS AND MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND MASSES OR AREAS OF LESSER WINDS/SEAS. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD (1/3) OF COMBINED SEA AND SWELL WAVES, INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. 6. THE GRAPHICAL FORM OF THIS WARNING IS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD: UNCLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.NAVY.MIL CLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTP:/WWW.WEATHER.NAVY.SMIL.MIL NITDS/SWAN WEB SITE: HTTP:/WWW.USMETCEN.NATO.INT 7. NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK, VA COMMAND DUTY OFFICER CAN BE CONTACTED VIA: DSN: 312-564-7583/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 COMM: 757-444-7583/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 UNCLASS E-MAIL: MARITIME.CDO(AT)NAVY.MIL CLASSIFIED E-MAIL: CDO.NMFA_N.001.FCT(AT)NAVY.SMIL.MIL 8. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT CMFWC NAPLES TO BE ADDED OR REMOVED FROM THIS MESSAGE. 9. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC TO REQUEST INDIVIDUAL TAILORED SUPPORT. POC: MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC CDR EVANGELIDIS HN 0039 081 721 6337 (IVSN 433 6337) UNCLASSIFIED EMAIL: NOIC01(AT)AFSOUTH.NATO.INT. 10. THE NEXT MEDITERRANEAN/BLACK/BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING WILL BE KNGU WWMM31 VALID AT 291200Z SEP 2008.//  306 WGUS51 KBOX 290002 FFWBOX CTC003-013-290300- /O.NEW.KBOX.FF.W.0016.080929T0002Z-080929T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 802 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... HARTFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WINDSOR LOCKS...WEST HARTFORD... NEWINGTON...NEW BRITAIN...MANCHESTER...HARTFORD...EAST HARTFORD... BRISTOL... WESTERN TOLLAND COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF VERNON... * UNTIL 1100 PM EDT * AT 754 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED FLASH FLOODING FROM TORRENTIAL SHOWERS OVER THE WARNED AREA. TORRENTIAL RAIN WAS TRAINING OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HARTFORD AND TOLLAND COUNTIES. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN JUST ONE HOUR! SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN JUST A FEW HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN THE HARTFORD METROPOLITAN AREA. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WINDSOR... WILLINGTON...TOLLAND...SOUTH WINDSOR...SIMSBURY...GRANBY... ELLINGTON...EAST WINDSOR...EAST GRANBY...CANTON AND BLOOMFIELD EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE RAPID FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS. FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...INCLUDING ROADS AND UNDERPASSES IS ALSO EXPECTED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY...INCLUDING UNDERPASSES. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW VEHICLES TO CROSS SAFELY...OR THE ROADWAY MAY BE UNDERMINED. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON. LAT...LON 4157 7295 4163 7295 4165 7299 4180 7303 4182 7296 4187 7297 4191 7292 4196 7291 4195 7226 4164 7229 4160 7249 4164 7252 4163 7266 4154 7286 $$ FRANK  578 WWUS53 KLBF 290002 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 702 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC149-290030- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0483.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ ROCK NE- 702 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL ROCK COUNTY... AT 654 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BASSETT... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... RURAL CENTRAL ROCK COUNTY AT 720 PM CDT FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4257 9924 4255 9924 4239 9934 4237 9961 4251 9968 4260 9967 4271 9950 TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 326DEG 25KT 4247 9944 $$ CDC  580 WTNT81 KNHC 290002 TCVAT1 KYLE WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 800 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 .HURRICANE KYLE MEZ029-030-290300- /O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 800 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 STONINGTON-ME 44.16N 68.67W EASTPORT-ME 44.92N 67.05W $$ ATTN...WFO...CAR...  712 WOCN31 CWHX 290000 HURRICANE KYLE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT ...HURRICANE KYLE NEAR THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND DIGBY COUNTIES... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.00 PM ADT... HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.7 N AND LONGITUDE 66.3 W... ABOUT 15 NAUTICAL MILES OR 30 KM SOUTHWEST OF YARMOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS... 120 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 986 MB. KYLE IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS... 24 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 28 9.00 PM 43.7N 66.3W 986 65 120 SEP 29 3.00 AM 45.3N 65.6W 992 55 102 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 AM 46.4N 64.9W 1000 45 83 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 3.00 PM 47.5N 64.4W 1001 35 65 SEP 29 9.00 PM 48.5N 63.8W 1001 25 46 SEP 30 3.00 AM 49.2N 63.3W 1002 25 46 SEP 30 9.00 AM 49.9N 62.9W 1003 25 46 SEP 30 3.00 PM 50.6N 62.4W 1003 20 37 SEP 30 9.00 PM 51.2N 62.0W 1003 20 37 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIGBY YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES IN NOVA SCOTIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS MAINTAINED FOR QUEENS COUNTY OF NOVA SCOTIA LUNENBURG COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY AND GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN NEW BRUNSWICK FUNDY NATIONAL PARK MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. WIND GUSTS OF 90 TO 130 KM/H CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT EXCEPT GUSTS 70 TO 100 OVER THE NEW BRUNSWICK SOUTHERN SECTIONS. THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A STORM SURGE WARNING FOR HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND WAVE SETUP ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF MORE THAN 1.0 METRE ABOVE THE HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WHICH WILL BE OCCURRING WITHIN A COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE STORM ARRIVING THIS EVENING. BASED ON HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS THIS COMBINATION COULD CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW BRUNSWICK WILL LIKELY ENCOUNTER TREE DAMAGE DURING THE STRONGEST WINDS OF KYLE EITHER THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. DURING SIMILAR EVENTS IN THE PAST THESE WINDS HAVE RESULTED IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES DUE TO FALLEN TREES. ALL PREPARATIONS TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THIS TIME. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NEW BRUNSWICK WHERE 50 TO 100 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH KYLE. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT FELL PRIOR TO KYLE'S ARRIVAL. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED WEST OF WHERE KYLE EVENTUALLY MAKES LANDFALL. EMO NEW BRUNSWICK REMINDS THE PUBLIC THAT RAINFALL IN THESE AMOUNTS OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME CAN RESULT IN A RAPID WATER LEVEL INCREASE IN STREAMS AND RIVERS AND CAUSED LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE GASPE PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHORE OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY REGIONS OF QUEBEC. THIS AREA WILL SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR EXCEEDING 50 MILLIMETRES AS POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL ZONE OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. ON ITS CURRENT TRACK KYLE WILL BE PASSING JUST WEST OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE IN YARMOUTH. THE RESULTING STORM SURGE ON TOP OF THE DANGEROUS ROUGH SURF FROM KYLE MAY LEAD TO SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO THE COASTAL INFRASTRUCTURE MAINLY IN YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY THE GEORGES BANK BUOY REPORTED STRONG TO HURRICANE FORCE OF 69 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORM CENTRE PASSED WEST OF THE BUOY WHICH REPORTED AN 11.0 M SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR GEORGES AND BROWNS BANK AND FOR THE LURCHER MARINE AREA. STORM WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR FUNDY GRAND MANAN AND THE SOUTHWESTERN SHORE WESTERN LAHAVE AND NORTHWESTERN WEST SCOTIAN SLOPE MARINE AREA. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA WATERS AND GULF OF ST LAWRENCE WATERS. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS A. ANALYSIS REPORTS FROM BUOYS SATELLITES SHIPS AND LAND STATIONS INDICATES THAT STORM TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXISTS IN THE VICINITY OF HURRICANE KYLE. AT 9 PM THIS EVENING THE ESTIMATED POSITION IS JUST WEST OR NORTHWEST OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AND TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 23 KNOTS OR 43 KM/H. THE CLOUD SHIELD IS TAKING A COMA SHAPE WITH FRONTAL LIKE CLOUD AND RAIN BAND TO THE EAST THEN NORTH THEN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THE CENTRE. THIS IMPLIES RAPID TRANSITIONING OF HURRICANE KYLE AT THIS TIME. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS PROGNOSTICS REFERING TO THE EFFECT OF THE MUCH COLDER WATER IN THE GULF OF MAINE. WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. B. PROGNOSTIC KYLE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD PASSING NEAR THE WEST COAST OF YARMOUTH AND DIGBY COUNTIES NOVA SCOTIA LATE THIS SUNDAY EVENING THEN ACROSS THE BAY OF FUNDY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL JUST EAST OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK AFTER MIDNIGHT OR IN THE EARLY HOURS OF MONDAY MORNING. KYLE IS EXISTING BETWEEN AN UPPER TROUGH TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC. WE KEEP KYLE AT 65 KNOTS AT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BECAUSE OF ITS PRESENT INTENSITY AND ITS FAST MOVEMENT. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE CONSISTENT ON MAINTAINING A BAROCLINIC LOW NEAR OUR TRACK BUT WE CONTINUE TO USE SHORT TERM ANALYSIS AND DIAGNOSTIC AS WELL AS THE ENSEMBLE AND MIAMI FOR GUIDANCE. KYLE IS STILL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE COLD WATER OF THE BAY OF FUNDY THEN RAPIDLY FINISH ITS TRANSITION INTO A POST-TROPICAL LOW AS IT MOVES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK. IT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN QUEBEC NORTH SHORE AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. C. PUBLIC WEATHER THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE WEST OF THE STORM PATH AND COULD BE UPWARDS TO 100 MM. THIS HEAVIEST RAIN COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME INCREASING THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING. THIS RAIN IS ON TOP OF ANY AMOUNTS THAT FELL PREVIOUSLY. D. MARINE WEATHER CHC TRAPPED FETCH MODEL INDICATES NOTHING HIGHER THAN 8 METRES MOVING INTO CANADIAN WATERS BUT THIS IS BASED ON THE SHIFTED TRACK AND LACK OF ALIGNMENT WITH PREVIOUSLY DEVELOPED WAVES. HOWEVER A SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF 10 METRES IS NOT FAR FETCHED. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/00Z 210 150 100 120 120 90 30 60 70 50 10 30 29/06Z 210 150 100 120 120 90 30 60 0 0 0 0 29/12Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/12Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/00Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END BOWYER/ROUSSEL/CAMPBELL  124 WOUS64 KWNS 290003 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 909 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 703 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NEC003-009-015-017-027-071-089-103-107-115-139-149-183-290400- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BLAINE BOYD BROWN CEDAR GARFIELD HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX LOUP PIERCE ROCK WHEELER $$ SDC003-005-009-011-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079- 083-087-097-099-101-111-125-135-290400- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AURORA BEADLE BON HOMME BROOKINGS BRULE CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON JERAULD KINGSBURY LAKE LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN TURNER YANKTON $$ ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...  307 WGUS81 KPHI 290003 FLSPHI FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 803 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NJC023-290200- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0032.080929T0003Z-080929T0200Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 803 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 1000 PM EDT * AT 801 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR PLAINFIELD TO NEAR TRENTON. VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. MOST FLOODING DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. LAT...LON 4056 7421 4054 7424 4049 7426 4047 7426 4046 7424 4040 7425 4025 7445 4033 7462 4049 7447 4059 7443 4060 7436 4059 7429 4059 7421 $$ NIERENBERG  867 ACUS11 KWNS 290004 SWOMCD SPC MCD 290004 IAZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-290200- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2297 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0704 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN SD THROUGH NERN NEB CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909... VALID 290004Z - 290200Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 CONTINUES. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH MID-LATE EVENING. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BUILD SOUTH THROUGH CNTRL AND E CNTRL NEB DURING NEXT COUPLE HOURS...AND WW 909 MIGHT NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED FARTHER SOUTH INTO NEB. THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM ERN SD SWWD THROUGH CNTRL AND SW NEB. AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS AHEAD OF FRONT WITH MLCAPE AROUND 2000 J/KG AND 8 C/KM 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES. SWLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN IN WARM SECTOR WITHIN ZONE OF HEIGHT FALLS RESULTING FROM SHORTWAVE TROUGH AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY. FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING SWLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. BULK SHEAR OF 30-35 KT WILL SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION IN SOME STORMS. THIS ALONG WITH A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL THROUGH MID EVENING. ..DIAL.. 09/29/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF... 43179660 42259695 41529742 41179822 41259956 41999975 42859913 43909862 44249790 44489648 43919627  102 WWST02 SABM 290010 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 28, 2008 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PART ONE: GALE WARNING NIL ----------------------------------------------------------------- PART TWO: SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 21:00 UTC, SEPTEMBER/28/2008 HIGH 1023 HPA AT 48 S 59 W MOVING EAST HIGH 1029 HPA AT 36 S 38 W MOVING EAST LOW 1019 HPA AT 43 S 54 W MOVING EAST EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 42 S 55 W 40 S 57 W 38 S 60 W 30 S 63 W 35 S 66 W MOVING EAST ----------------------------------------------------------------- PARTH THREE: FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 29,2008 VALID UNTIL 18:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 29,2008 1- COASTAL AREAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: MODERATE TO GENTLE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ DRIZZLE/ ISOLATED STORMS/ SPEELS OF GOOD WEATHER/ MIST/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 36 17'23'' S A 38 S: MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ DRIZZLE/ FOG AND MIST IN PATCHES DURING THE MORNING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY POOR. 38 S A 42 S: MODERATE BREEZE FROM NORTHEAST/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 42 S A 46 S: MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 46 S A 50 S: FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 50 S A 52 S: MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 52 S A 55 S: MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- OCEANIC AREAS 35 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 35 W 35 S 35 W 35 S 20 W :FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST VEERING TO SOUTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 35 S 55 W 40 S 55 W 40 S 45 W 35 S 45 W 35 S 55 W :VARIABLE GENTLE BREEZE/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 35 S 45 W 40 S 45 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 45 W :FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN TOWARDS THE AFTERNOON/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 35 W 45 S 35 W 45 S 20 W :NEAR GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 40 S 35 W 45 S 35 W 45 S 45 W 40 S 45 W 40 S 35 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ UNSTABLE/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 40 S 45 W 45 S 45 W 45 S 55 W 40 S 55 W 40 S 45 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN AND SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 45 S 35 W 50 S 35 W 50 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 35 W :FRESH BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 45 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 55 W 45 S 55 W 45 S 40 W :MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 55 W :GENTLE BREEZE FROM EAST VEERING TO NORTHEAST/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 20 W :NEAR GALE FROM SOUTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN/ SLEET/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50 S 40 W 55 S 40 W 55 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 40 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 55 S 40 W 60 S 40 W 60 S 60 W 55 S 60 W 55 S 40 W :NEAR GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W :STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ UNSTABLE/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  119 WWST01 SABM 290009 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 21:00 UTC 28 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL PRIMERA PARTE: AVISO DE TEMPORAL NIL ----------------------------------------------------------------- SEGUNDA PARTE: SITUACION SINOPTICA A LAS: 21:00 UTC DEL 28/SEPTIEMBRE/2008 ANTICICLON 1023 HPA EN 48 S 59 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE ANTICICLON 1029 HPA EN 36 S 38 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE DEPRESION 1019 HPA EN 43 S 54 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE EXTIENDE FRENTE FRIO EN 42 S 55 W 40 S 57 W 38 S 60 W 30 S 63 W 35 S 66 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE ----------------------------------------------------------------- TERCERA PARTE: PRONOSTICO DE LAS 00:00 UTC DEL 29/SEPTIEMBRE/2008 VALIDO HASTA LAS 18:00 UTC DEL 29/SEPTIEMBRE/2008 1- ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: VIENTOS MODERADOS A LEVES DEL SECTOR ESTE/ NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ LLOVIZNAS/ TORMENTAS AISLADA/O/S/ MEJORAMIENTOS TEMPORARIOS/ NEBLINAS/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. COSTAS DE ISLAS MALVINAS: VIENTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE/ ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 36 17'23'' S A 38 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SECTOR SUR/ NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ LLOVIZNAS/ BANCOS DE NIEBLA Y NEBLINA DURANTE LA MANIANA/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD MALA. 38 S A 42 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL NORESTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 42 S A 46 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL SECTOR NORTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 46 S A 50 S: VIENTOS REGULARES DEL SECTOR NORTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 50 S A 52 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SECTOR NORTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 52 S A 55 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- AREAS OCEANICAS: 35 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 35 W 35 S 35 W 35 S 20 W : VIENTOS REGULARES DEL SECTOR OESTE ROTANDO AL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 35 S 55 W 40 S 55 W 40 S 45 W 35 S 45 W 35 S 55 W : VIENTOS LEVES Y VARIABLES/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 35 S 45 W 40 S 45 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 45 W : VIENTOS REGULARES DEL SECTOR NORTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS HACIA LA TARDE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 35 W 45 S 35 W 45 S 20 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES A FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 40 S 35 W 45 S 35 W 45 S 45 W 40 S 45 W 40 S 35 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ INESTABLE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 40 S 45 W 45 S 45 W 45 S 55 W 40 S 55 W 40 S 45 W : VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR NORTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO A NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 45 S 35 W 50 S 35 W 50 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 35 W : VIENTOS REGULARES DEL SUDOESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 55 W 45 S 55 W 45 S 40 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL SECTOR ESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 55 W : VIENTOS LEVES DEL ESTE ROTANDO AL NORESTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 20 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO A NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS AISLADA/O/S/ AGUANIEVE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 50 S 40 W 55 S 40 W 55 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 40 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 55 S 40 W 60 S 40 W 60 S 60 W 55 S 60 W 55 S 40 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES A FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE ROTANDO AL NOROESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W : VIENTOS FUERTES DEL NOROESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ INESTABLE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  146 WWUS53 KLBF 290005 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 705 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC015-089-149-290030- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0484.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ ROCK NE-HOLT NE-BOYD NE- 705 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL BOYD...NORTHWESTERN HOLT AND NORTHEASTERN ROCK COUNTIES... AT 658 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF HIGHWAY 11 MILE MARKER 170...OR 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPENCER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... HIGHWAY 11 MILE MARKER 160 BY 710 PM CDT... HIGHWAY 11 MILE MARKER 170 BY 715 PM CDT... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4283 9878 4271 9873 4247 9894 4250 9915 4271 9948 4278 9934 4278 9932 4280 9929 4280 9927 4282 9926 4289 9910 TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 284DEG 26KT 4274 9896 $$ CDC  508 WWUS53 KLBF 290006 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 706 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC017-290016- /O.CAN.KLBF.SV.W.0485.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ BROWN NE- 706 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROWN COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM REMAINS SEVERE BUT HAS EXITED THIS AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4180 9980 4183 9990 4183 9992 4187 10000 4187 10002 4189 10008 4190 10009 4208 9979 4208 9963 4204 9952 4181 9950 TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 321DEG 18KT 4194 9984 $$ NEC009-115-290030- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0485.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ BLAINE NE-LOUP NE- 706 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR WESTERN LOUP AND EASTERN BLAINE COUNTIES... AT 658 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BREWSTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 21 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... HIGHWAY 91 MILE MARKER 20 BY 715 PM CDT... HIGHWAY 91 MILE MARKER 20 BY 720 PM CDT... 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALMERIA MEADOW STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA BY 725 PM CDT... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4180 9980 4183 9990 4183 9992 4187 10000 4187 10002 4189 10008 4190 10009 4208 9979 4208 9963 4204 9952 4181 9950 TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 321DEG 18KT 4194 9984 $$ CDC  935 WWCN15 CWHX 290007 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9:07 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND... WIND WARNING FOR: =NEW= PRINCE COUNTY P.E.I. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KM/H WITH GUSTS UP TO 100 KM/H ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AT 9 PM ADT THIS EVENING HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED JUST WEST OF YARMOUTH AND MOVING NORTHWARD AT 43 KM/H. ON ITS PATH KYLE IS FORECAST TO PASS JUST TO THE WEST OF YARMOUTH LATE THIS EVENING. KYLE WILL PASS TO THE WEST OF THE ISLAND MONDAY MORNING. WINDS GUSTS UP TO 100 KM/H ARE ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND EARLY ON MONDAY ESPECIALLY FOR EXPOSED LOCATIONS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  803 WUUS01 KWNS 290008 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0707 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 VALID TIME 290100Z - 291200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 41780064 43129924 44859701 44519580 42749507 41659416 40489420 40179557 40149826 40410022 40760094 41220104 41780064 0.15 41359665 40749824 40960023 41770038 44389727 44209621 42529617 41359665 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44349734 44209626 42749628 42119650 41449681 40759805 40830033 41110058 41420067 41880032 44349734 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 40719831 40960023 41760041 44379731 44209621 42479617 41369667 40719831 TSTM 45759374 44679292 42309250 40749164 39069208 38149597 38459894 39580083 40930127 42040094 45309727 45939530 45759374 99999999 40150886 40600622 40360525 38830474 37320474 36510528 36200677 36880870 36340939 35431062 34621267 34561424 34991585 36081722 36681852 37851968 38861939 39381889 40121619 39781395 40501196 40941138 40880986 40150886 99999999 36507535 36827705 38477733 39807609 40997488 42377364 42727209 42267098 41697074 40687083 99999999 25618213 25418113 25448045 26418009 28258015 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE HSI 25 ESE LBF 40 ESE MHN 25 W BKX 30 ESE BKX 10 ENE SUX 35 N LNK 10 NE HSI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE STC 20 SE MSP 20 SSW ALO 25 W BRL 20 NNE COU 20 SE EMP 30 SSW RSL 45 SSW MCK 35 NNE IML MHN 25 NNW ATY AXN 20 NE STC ...CONT... 40 ESE VEL 60 SSW LAR 15 WSW FCL COS 25 W TAD 45 WSW RTN 15 NE 4SL 30 WNW FMN 65 NNW GUP 30 N INW 15 W PRC 25 SE EED 55 E DAG 40 NE NID 45 S BIH 60 NE MER 35 E TVL 10 SW NFL 45 NNW P68 60 NE ELY 20 S SLC 30 SW EVW 35 NNW VEL 40 ESE VEL ...CONT... 50 ENE ECG 45 NE RZZ 30 SSW DCA 30 WNW ILG 35 NE ABE 20 WSW PSF 15 SE EEN 10 S BOS 10 E EWB 50 SE BID ...CONT... 45 SSW APF 45 N MTH 25 SSW MIA 20 S PBI 30 ENE MLB.  804 ACUS01 KWNS 290008 SWODY1 SPC AC 290006 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0706 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 VALID 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ... ...NEB/EASTERN SD/SOUTHWEST MN/WESTERN IA... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES BASE OF CANADIAN PRAIRIE UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...WITH PRIMARY SURFACE COLD FRONT ANALYZED FROM WESTERN MN INTO EASTERN SD AND NORTHERN/WESTERN NEB EARLY THIS EVENING. AIDED BY LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS/FORCED ASCENT AND AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME THIS EVENING...TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NEB INTO WESTERN IA. THE STRONGEST TSTMS...IN THE FORM OF WELL-ORGANIZED QUASI-LINEAR MULTICELLS OR SOME SUPERCELLS /MAINLY ACROSS NEB/...WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH EARLY/MID EVENING. ALTHOUGH MARGINAL PREFRONTAL MOISTURE /MAINLY 50S F DEWPOINTS/ SHOULD LEAD TO A QUICK DECOUPLING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER BY MID EVENING...INCREASING WARM ADVECTION/MOISTURE TRANSPORT REGIME AND STRENGTHENING FLOW ALOFT/STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD MAINTAIN AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL RISK LATE THIS EVENING AND PERHAPS OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF NEB/FAR WESTERN IA. FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT TERM INFORMATION...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2297. ..GUYER.. 09/29/2008  887 WWUS53 KFSD 290008 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 708 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC009-023-043-067-290030- /O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ CHARLES MIX SD-DOUGLAS SD-HUTCHINSON SD-BON HOMME SD- 707 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN BON HOMME...SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON...SOUTHEASTERN DOUGLAS AND EAST CENTRAL CHARLES MIX COUNTIES... AT 707 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TRIPP...OR 27 MILES EAST OF LAKE ANDES...MOVING EAST AT 31 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... SCOTLAND AROUND 725 PM CDT... OLIVET AROUND 730 PM CDT... THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE IN DIAMETER HAS BEEN REPORTED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TRIPP WITH THIS STORM AT 700 PM CDT. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4330 9762 4312 9764 4304 9830 4332 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 259DEG 27KT 4321 9796 $$ SCHUMACHER  457 WGUS81 KALY 290013 FLSALY FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 813 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NYC001-057-083-091-093-290315- /O.NEW.KALY.FA.Y.0135.080929T0013Z-080929T0315Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 813 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN... NORTHEASTERN ALBANY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WATERVLIET...LATHAM...COLONIE... COHOES...ALBANY... WEST CENTRAL RENSSELAER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...TROY...RENSSELAER...EAST GREENBUSH... SOUTHERN SARATOGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MECHANICVILLE...CLIFTON PARK... SCHENECTADY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SCOTIA...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM... EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK... * UNTIL 1115 PM EDT * AT 810 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL RATES UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE ADVISORY AREA. PERSISTENT RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL CAUSE MINOR URBAN FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. LAT...LON 4295 7410 4292 7361 4258 7366 4273 7416 $$ OKEEFE  923 WSNZ21 NZKL 290015 NZZC SIGMET 1 VALID 290015/290308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 9 282308/290308  976 WSNZ21 NZKL 290015 NZZC SIGMET 2 VALID 290015/290415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZPM SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  478 WSNZ21 NZKL 290015 NZZC SIGMET 1 VALID 290015/290308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 9 282308/290308  480 WSNZ21 NZKL 290015 NZZC SIGMET 2 VALID 290015/290415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZPM SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  556 WUUS53 KLBF 290020 SVRLBF NEC015-290100- /O.NEW.KLBF.SV.W.0486.080929T0020Z-080929T0100Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 720 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EASTERN BOYD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 800 PM CDT * AT 711 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LYNCH...OR 10 MILES EAST OF SPENCER...AND MOVING EAST AT 7 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... LYNCH BY 730 PM CDT... MONOWI BY 800 PM CDT... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4288 9830 4276 9832 4277 9834 4277 9835 4281 9867 4297 9852 TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 274DEG 6KT 4287 9849 $$ CDC  476 WWUS53 KLBF 290021 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 721 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC149-290031- /O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0483.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ ROCK NE- 721 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL ROCK COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT/630 PM MDT/... THIS STORM HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER POSES A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4257 9924 4255 9924 4239 9934 4237 9961 4251 9968 4260 9967 4271 9950 TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 326DEG 25KT 4236 9934 $$ CDC  913 WUUS53 KFSD 290022 SVRFSD SDC009-067-135-290045- /O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0293.080929T0022Z-080929T0045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 722 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN BON HOMME COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA SOUTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA NORTHWESTERN YANKTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA * UNTIL 745 PM CDT * AT 721 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTH OF MENNO TO 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SCOTLAND...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 23 MILES WEST OF PARKER TO 28 MILES EAST OF PICKSTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... SCOTLAND AROUND 730 PM CDT... THIS REPLACES THE WARNING FOR NORTHERN BON HOMME AND SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTY. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4326 9741 4298 9753 4305 9809 4336 9780 TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 289DEG 22KT 4329 9755 4306 9795 $$ SCHUMACHER !--_@_WWA_SVR.WWAPROD--  241 WWUS86 KEKA 290022 SPSEKA SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 522 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 CAZ001>004-076-291130- REDWOOD COAST-MENDOCINO COAST-NORTH COAST INTERIOR- UPPER TRINITY RIVER-MENDOCINO INTERIOR- 522 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...WETTER WEATHER POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CONTINUED WARM AND DRY WEATHER TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. HOWEVER...A STORM SYSTEM BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA MAY BRING LIGHT RAIN TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MORE POTENT RAIN PRODUCING STORM DURING THE LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY PERIOD. ALTHOUGH THERE REMAINS A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TIMING THIS FAR IN ADVANCE...WEATHER FORECAST MODELS ARE INDICATING A TRANSITION TO A COOLER AND WETTER WEATHER PATTERN LATE NEXT WEEK. KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS. $$  151 WUUS53 KLBF 290024 SVRLBF NEC009-041-290115- /O.NEW.KLBF.SV.W.0487.080929T0024Z-080929T0115Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 724 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTH CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA... SOUTH CENTRAL BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 815 PM CDT * AT 715 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANSELMO...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF BREWSTER...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 21 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... ANSELMO BY 740 PM CDT... 7 MILES WEST OF VICTORIA SPRINGS STATE RECREATION AREA BY 745 PM CDT... MERNA BY 810 PM CDT... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4152 9956 4138 10010 4169 10009 4182 9992 TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 339DEG 19KT 4168 9994 $$ CDC  174 WAUS43 KKCI 290023 AAA WA3T CHIT WA 290023 AMD AIRMET TANGO UPDT 4 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 290300 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE MN FROM 50SSE YWG TO ABR TO ANW TO BFF TO 50NNW ISN TO 50SSE YWG MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...SD NE KS..UPDT FROM 20ENE ABR TO ICT TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 40W RAP TO 20ENE ABR CANCEL AIRMET. CONDS HV ENDED. . ELSW NO SGFNT TURB EXP EXCP INVOF CNVTV ACT. ....  219 WHXX01 KWBC 290024 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0024 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KYLE (AL112008) 20080929 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080929 0000 080929 1200 080930 0000 080930 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 43.8N 66.2W 45.7N 65.2W 46.4N 65.0W 47.1N 64.7W BAMD 43.8N 66.2W 47.4N 63.8W 49.9N 62.3W 51.7N 62.1W BAMM 43.8N 66.2W 46.5N 64.1W 48.1N 63.1W 49.3N 63.0W LBAR 43.8N 66.2W 47.8N 63.5W 51.8N 59.4W 54.8N 53.2W SHIP 65KTS 54KTS 47KTS 43KTS DSHP 65KTS 47KTS 40KTS 33KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081001 0000 081002 0000 081003 0000 081004 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 47.9N 64.4W 50.1N 63.2W 52.7N 58.8W 57.7N 54.9W BAMD 53.5N 61.5W 57.7N 58.5W 61.5N 50.9W 64.2N 41.2W BAMM 50.6N 62.6W 53.7N 60.6W 56.8N 53.7W 61.2N 45.7W LBAR 55.6N 45.1W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 41KTS 48KTS 51KTS 44KTS DSHP 30KTS 30KTS 31KTS 25KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 43.8N LONCUR = 66.2W DIRCUR = 10DEG SPDCUR = 23KT LATM12 = 39.4N LONM12 = 68.2W DIRM12 = 25DEG SPDM12 = 23KT LATM24 = 35.3N LONM24 = 69.7W WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 75KT CENPRS = 985MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 210NM RD34SE = 210NM RD34SW = 110NM RD34NW = 75NM $$ NNNN  315 WWUS53 KFSD 290025 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 725 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC009-023-043-067-290034- /O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ CHARLES MIX SD-DOUGLAS SD-HUTCHINSON SD-BON HOMME SD- 724 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN BON HOMME... SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON...SOUTHEASTERN DOUGLAS AND EAST CENTRAL CHARLES MIX COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT... THE STORM HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON AND NORTHERN BON HOMME COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4330 9762 4312 9764 4304 9830 4332 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 259DEG 27KT 4323 9779 $$ SCHUMACHER  343 WWUS53 KLBF 290025 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 725 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC009-115-290034- /O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0485.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ BLAINE NE-LOUP NE- 724 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN LOUP AND EASTERN BLAINE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT/630 PM MDT/... THIS STORM HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER POSES A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4180 9980 4183 9990 4183 9992 4187 10000 4187 10002 4189 10008 4190 10009 4208 9979 4208 9963 4204 9952 4181 9950 TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 321DEG 18KT 4187 9976 $$ CDC  068 WSJP31 RJTD 290030 RJJJ SIGMET 1 VALID 290030/290430 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2830 E12930 - N2900 E13300 - N3130 E13230 - N3030 E13000 - N2830 E12930 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  359 WSJP31 RJTD 290030 RJJJ SIGMET 1 VALID 290030/290430 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2830 E12930 - N2900 E13300 - N3130 E13230 - N3030 E13000 - N2830 E12930 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  552 WWUS53 KFSD 290027 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 727 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC067-290037- /O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0292.000000T0000Z-080929T0030Z/ HUTCHINSON SD- 727 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT... THE STORM IS NO LONGER SEVERE. HOWEVER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4330 9789 4349 9777 4350 9740 4325 9740 4325 9741 TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 276DEG 29KT 4334 9740 $$ SCHUMACHER  464 WSIY31 LIIB 290030 LIBB SIGMET 01 VALID 290100/290500 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS FCST S PART MOV E NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 S PART STNR NC.=  746 WUUS53 KLBF 290030 SVRLBF NEC089-290100- /O.NEW.KLBF.SV.W.0488.080929T0030Z-080929T0100Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 730 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 800 PM CDT * AT 724 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF ATKINSON...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF ONEILL...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 22 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... RURAL CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY AT 740 PM CDT THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4272 9855 4238 9896 4255 9919 4278 9889 TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 297DEG 20KT 4262 9891 $$ CDC  088 WSIY31 LIIB 290030 LIBB SIGMET 01 VALID 290100/290500 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS FCST S PART MOV E NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 S PART STNR NC.=  239 WSIY31 LIIB 290030 LIBB SIGMET 01 VALID 290100/290500 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS FCST S PART MOV E NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 S PART STNR NC.=  257 WWUS53 KFSD 290031 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 731 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC009-067-135-290045- /O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0293.000000T0000Z-080929T0045Z/ HUTCHINSON SD-YANKTON SD-BON HOMME SD- 731 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN BON HOMME...NORTHWESTERN YANKTON AND SOUTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES... AT 729 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF MENNO TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SCOTLAND...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM WAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TRIPP. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE AS IT MOVES EAST ALONG THE BON HOMME AND HUTCHINSON COUNTY LINE. HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... SCOTLAND AROUND 735 PM CDT... LESTERVILLE AROUND 745 PM CDT... THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL. TAKE COVER INDOORS NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4326 9741 4298 9753 4305 9809 4336 9780 TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 289DEG 22KT 4327 9749 4304 9789 $$ SCHUMACHER  492 ACCA62 TJSJ 290031 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT DOMINGO 28 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE EL HURACAN KYLE...LOCALIZADO CERCA DEL EXTREMO OESTE DE NOVA SCOTIA CANADA. AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SE HAN CONCENTRADO UN POCO MAS CERCA DEL CENTRO DE UN AREA EXTENSA DE BAJA PRESION NO TROPICAL LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ATLANTICO NORTE CENTRAL COMO A 800 MILLAS AL OESTE SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES MAS AL OESTE. ESTE SISTEMA ESTA ADQUIRIENDO LENTAMENTE CARACTERISTICAS TROPICALES Y TIENE EL POTENCIAL PARCA CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE GENERALMENTE HACIA EL OESTE O OESTE NOROESTE DE 10 A 15 MPH. EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BROWN  148 WWUS53 KLBF 290032 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 732 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC015-290100- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0486.000000T0000Z-080929T0100Z/ BOYD NE- 732 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOYD COUNTY... AT 724 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LYNCH...OR 15 MILES EAST OF SPENCER...MOVING EAST AT 27 MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4280 9831 4280 9832 4279 9831 4276 9832 4277 9834 4280 9852 4292 9846 4288 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 0032Z 288DEG 23KT 4283 9835 $$ CDC  440 WWCN16 CWHX 290033 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:03 PM NDT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WRECKHOUSE WIND WARNING FOR: ST. GEORGE'S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 80 GUSTING TO 110 KM/H MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA OF SOUTHWESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 40 GUSTING TO 60 KM/H WELL AHEAD OF HURRICANE KYLE WILL INCREASE TO 80 GUSTING TO 110 KM/H IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE STORM MOVES INTO GULF WATERS. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO EASE MONDAY EVENING AS KYLE WEAKENS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/NLWO  607 WWNZ40 NZKL 290026 STORM WARNING 544 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND SOUTHERN AT 290000UTC FRONT 49S 168E 55S 171E 60S 180 64S 179W MOVING SOUTHEAST 20KT. 1. WITHIN 180 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRONT FROM 55S 171E TO 60S 180: NORTHERLY 50KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. 2. OUTSIDE AREA 1 AND WITHIN 420 MILES EAST OF FRONT: NORTHWEST 40KT. 3. OUTSIDE AREAS 1 AND 2 AND WITHIN 360 MILES WEST OF FRONT FROM 60S 180 TO 64S 179W: WESTERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6 HOURS. STORM AND GALE AREAS MOVING WITH FRONT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 540.  608 WWNZ40 NZKL 290027 GALE WARNING 545 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 290000UTC FRONT 54S 137W 56S 131W 60S 125W MOVING EAST 25KT. 1. WITHIN 420 MILES SOUTH OF FRONT: SOUTHERLY 35KT. 2. WITHIN 480 MILES EAST OF FRONT: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREAS MOVING WITH FRONT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 535.  667 WWNZ40 NZKL 290028 GALE WARNING 546 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 290000UTC IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 40S 143W 38S 145W 37S 145W: SOUTHERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 15KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 536.  668 WWNZ40 NZKL 290030 GALE WARNING 548 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 290000UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 42S 175E 46S 176E 49S 176E: NORTHERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 15KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 539.  722 WWNZ40 NZKL 290031 GALE WARNING 549 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 290000UTC IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 48S 171E 46S 172E 45S 174E: SOUTHWEST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS.  723 WWNZ40 NZKL 290029 GALE WARNING 547 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 290000UTC FRONT 58S 161W 61S 161W 64S 162W MOVING EAST 30KT. WITHIN 120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FRONT: NORTHEAST 35KT EASING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA MOVING WITH FRONT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 537.  724 WWNZ40 NZKL 290032 GALE WARNING 550 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: SUBTROPIC AND FORTIES AT 290000UTC IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 45S 165E 44S 165E 41S 167E: SOUTHWEST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA THEN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 542.  766 WWNZ40 NZKL 290033 GALE WARNING 551 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 290000UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 48S 160E 47S 164E 49S 165E 54S 160E 48S 160E: WESTERLY 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 543.  767 WWNZ40 NZKL 290034 CANCEL WARNING 538  782 WWNZ40 NZKL 290035 CANCEL WARNING 541  441 WTPQ20 BABJ 290000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290000 UTC 00HR 25.5N 121.0E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR N 10KM/H=  442 WTPQ20 BABJ 290000 CCA SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290000 UTC 00HR 25.5N 121.0E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR N 10KM/H P+24HR 28.2N 123.2E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 30.7N 130.1E 998HPA 18M/S P+72HR 32.3N 138.7E 1000HPA 15M/S=  503 WSPO31 LPMG 290039 LPPC SIGMET 1 VALID 290100/290400 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N35 AND E OF W008 TOP FL340 STRN NC=  929 WSPO31 LPMG 290039 LPPC SIGMET 1 VALID 290100/290400 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N35 AND E OF W008 TOP FL340 STRN NC=  150 WSPO31 LPMG 290039 LPPC SIGMET 1 VALID 290100/290400 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N35 AND E OF W008 TOP FL340 STRN NC=  481 WOUS20 KWNS 290040 WWASPC SPC WW-A 290040 NEZ000-SDZ000-290140- STATUS REPORT ON WW 909 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW BBW TO 45 SW MHE TO 35 WSW BKX TO 40 ESE BKX. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2297 ..DIAL..09/29/08 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 909 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC003-015-027-071-089-107-115-139-183-290140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BOYD CEDAR GARFIELD HOLT KNOX LOUP PIERCE WHEELER $$ SDC009-023-027-043-061-067-079-083-087-097-099-101-125-135- 290140- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BON HOMME CHARLES MIX CLAY DOUGLAS HANSON HUTCHINSON LAKE LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA MOODY TURNER YANKTON $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  991 WWUS53 KLBF 290041 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 741 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC009-290051- /O.CAN.KLBF.SV.W.0487.000000T0000Z-080929T0115Z/ BLAINE NE- 741 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BLAINE COUNTY IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4138 10010 4157 10009 4158 10009 4159 10009 4169 10009 4171 9986 4152 9956 TIME...MOT...LOC 0041Z 006DEG 25KT 4154 10000 $$ NEC041-290115- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0487.000000T0000Z-080929T0115Z/ CUSTER NE- 741 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY... AT 737 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF HIGHWAY 92 MILE MARKER 260...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARNOLD...MOVING SOUTH AT 29 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... HIGHWAY 92 MILE MARKER 260 BY 750 PM CDT... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4138 10010 4157 10009 4158 10009 4159 10009 4169 10009 4171 9986 4152 9956 TIME...MOT...LOC 0041Z 006DEG 25KT 4154 10000 $$ CDC  084 WOCN31 CWHX 290000 CAA HURRICANE KYLE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT ... CORRECTED THE WIND SPEEDS OVER NEW BRUNSWICK AND GULF WATERS ... ...HURRICANE KYLE NEAR THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND DIGBY COUNTIES... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.00 PM ADT... HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.7 N AND LONGITUDE 66.3 W... ABOUT 15 NAUTICAL MILES OR 30 KM SOUTHWEST OF YARMOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS... 120 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 986 MB. KYLE IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS... 24 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 28 9.00 PM 43.7N 66.3W 986 65 120 SEP 29 3.00 AM 45.3N 65.6W 992 60 111 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 AM 46.4N 64.9W 1000 50 93 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 3.00 PM 47.5N 64.4W 1001 45 83 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 PM 48.5N 63.8W 1001 40 74 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 AM 49.2N 63.3W 1002 30 56 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 9.00 AM 49.9N 62.9W 1003 25 46 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 PM 50.6N 62.4W 1003 25 46 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 9.00 PM 51.2N 62.0W 1003 25 46 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIGBY YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES IN NOVA SCOTIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS MAINTAINED FOR QUEENS COUNTY OF NOVA SCOTIA LUNENBURG COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY AND GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN NEW BRUNSWICK FUNDY NATIONAL PARK MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. WIND GUSTS OF 90 TO 130 KM/H CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT EXCEPT GUSTS 70 TO 100 OVER THE NEW BRUNSWICK SOUTHERN SECTIONS. THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A STORM SURGE WARNING FOR HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND WAVE SETUP ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF MORE THAN 1.0 METRE ABOVE THE HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WHICH WILL BE OCCURRING WITHIN A COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE STORM ARRIVING THIS EVENING. BASED ON HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS THIS COMBINATION COULD CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW BRUNSWICK WILL LIKELY ENCOUNTER TREE DAMAGE DURING THE STRONGEST WINDS OF KYLE EITHER THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. DURING SIMILAR EVENTS IN THE PAST THESE WINDS HAVE RESULTED IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES DUE TO FALLEN TREES. ALL PREPARATIONS TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THIS TIME. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NEW BRUNSWICK WHERE 50 TO 100 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH KYLE. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT FELL PRIOR TO KYLE'S ARRIVAL. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED WEST OF WHERE KYLE EVENTUALLY MAKES LANDFALL. EMO NEW BRUNSWICK REMINDS THE PUBLIC THAT RAINFALL IN THESE AMOUNTS OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME CAN RESULT IN A RAPID WATER LEVEL INCREASE IN STREAMS AND RIVERS AND CAUSED LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE GASPE PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHORE OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY REGIONS OF QUEBEC. THIS AREA WILL SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR EXCEEDING 50 MILLIMETRES AS POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL ZONE OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. ON ITS CURRENT TRACK KYLE WILL BE PASSING JUST WEST OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE IN YARMOUTH. THE RESULTING STORM SURGE ON TOP OF THE DANGEROUS ROUGH SURF FROM KYLE MAY LEAD TO SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO THE COASTAL INFRASTRUCTURE MAINLY IN YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY THE GEORGES BANK BUOY REPORTED STRONG TO HURRICANE FORCE OF 69 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORM CENTRE PASSED WEST OF THE BUOY WHICH REPORTED AN 11.0 M SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR GEORGES AND BROWNS BANK AND FOR THE LURCHER MARINE AREA. STORM WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR FUNDY GRAND MANAN AND THE SOUTHWESTERN SHORE WESTERN LAHAVE AND NORTHWESTERN WEST SCOTIAN SLOPE MARINE AREA. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA WATERS AND GULF OF ST LAWRENCE WATERS. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS A. ANALYSIS REPORTS FROM BUOYS SATELLITES SHIPS AND LAND STATIONS INDICATES THAT STORM TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXISTS IN THE VICINITY OF HURRICANE KYLE. AT 9 PM THIS EVENING THE ESTIMATED POSITION IS JUST WEST OR NORTHWEST OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AND TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 23 KNOTS OR 43 KM/H. THE CLOUD SHIELD IS TAKING A COMA SHAPE WITH FRONTAL LIKE CLOUD AND RAIN BAND TO THE EAST THEN NORTH THEN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THE CENTRE. THIS IMPLIES RAPID TRANSITIONING OF HURRICANE KYLE AT THIS TIME. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS PROGNOSTICS REFERING TO THE EFFECT OF THE MUCH COLDER WATER IN THE GULF OF MAINE. WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. B. PROGNOSTIC KYLE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD PASSING NEAR THE WEST COAST OF YARMOUTH AND DIGBY COUNTIES NOVA SCOTIA LATE THIS SUNDAY EVENING THEN ACROSS THE BAY OF FUNDY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL JUST EAST OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK AFTER MIDNIGHT OR IN THE EARLY HOURS OF MONDAY MORNING. KYLE IS EXISTING BETWEEN AN UPPER TROUGH TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC. WE KEEP KYLE AT 65 KNOTS AT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BECAUSE OF ITS PRESENT INTENSITY AND ITS FAST MOVEMENT. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE CONSISTENT ON MAINTAINING A BAROCLINIC LOW NEAR OUR TRACK BUT WE CONTINUE TO USE SHORT TERM ANALYSIS AND DIAGNOSTIC AS WELL AS THE ENSEMBLE AND MIAMI FOR GUIDANCE. KYLE IS STILL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE COLD WATER OF THE BAY OF FUNDY THEN RAPIDLY FINISH ITS TRANSITION INTO A POST-TROPICAL LOW AS IT MOVES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK. IT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN QUEBEC NORTH SHORE AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. C. PUBLIC WEATHER THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE WEST OF THE STORM PATH AND COULD BE UPWARDS TO 100 MM. THIS HEAVIEST RAIN COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME INCREASING THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING. THIS RAIN IS ON TOP OF ANY AMOUNTS THAT FELL PREVIOUSLY. D. MARINE WEATHER CHC TRAPPED FETCH MODEL INDICATES NOTHING HIGHER THAN 8 METRES MOVING INTO CANADIAN WATERS BUT THIS IS BASED ON THE SHIFTED TRACK AND LACK OF ALIGNMENT WITH PREVIOUSLY DEVELOPED WAVES. HOWEVER A SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF 10 METRES IS NOT FAR FETCHED. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/00Z 210 150 100 120 120 90 30 60 70 50 10 30 29/06Z 210 150 100 120 120 90 30 60 0 0 0 0 29/12Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/12Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/00Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END BOWYER/ROUSSEL/CAMPBELL  257 WSIN90 VIDP 290100 VIDF SIGMET 01 VALID 290100/290500 VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  314 WTJP21 RJTD 290000 WARNING 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 985 HPA AT 25.4N 121.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 26.9N 121.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.3N 123.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 30.1N 129.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 31.1N 139.1E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  315 WTPQ20 RJTD 290000 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0815 JANGMI (0815) ANALYSIS PSTN 290000UTC 25.4N 121.2E FAIR MOVE N 07KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 300000UTC 28.3N 123.5E 85NM 70% MOVE NE 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 48HF 010000UTC 30.1N 129.9E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 15KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 72HF 020000UTC 31.1N 139.1E 250NM 70% MOVE E 20KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT =  622 WUUS53 KFSD 290044 SVRFSD SDC009-023-135-290130- /O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0294.080929T0044Z-080929T0130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES MIX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA BON HOMME COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA YANKTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA * UNTIL 830 PM CDT * AT 742 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES WEST OF SCOTLAND TO DANTE TO MARTY...MOVING EAST AT 27 MPH. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS ALSO LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF TYNDALL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... AVON AROUND 755 PM CDT... SCOTLAND...LESTERVILLE AROUND 800 PM CDT... TYNDALL...UTICA AROUND 810 PM CDT... TABOR...SPRINGFIELD AROUND 830 PM CDT... THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4283 9815 4284 9820 4297 9850 4304 9830 4317 9811 4317 9716 4286 9738 4284 9745 4286 9763 4283 9769 4286 9785 4277 9797 4276 9802 TIME...MOT...LOC 0042Z 282DEG 24KT 4314 9788 4303 9812 4295 9842 $$ SCHUMACHER  885 WGUS84 KMAF 290044 FLSMAF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS.. RIO GRANDE BELOW PRESIDIO 5SE AFFECTING PRESIDIO COUNTY RIO GRANDE ABOVE PRESIDIO 7NW AFFECTING PRESIDIO COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO INTERNATIONAL BRIDGE AFFECTING PRESIDIO COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT LAJITAS AFFECTING BREWSTER AND PRESIDIO COUNTIES RIO GRANDE AT CASTOLON AFFECTING BREWSTER COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT JOHNSON RANCH AFFECTING BREWSTER COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT BOQUILLAS-RIO GRANDE VLG AFFECTING BREWSTER COUNTY SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RIO GRANDE DUE TO RELEASES FROM LUIS LEON RESERVOIR IN MEXICO. SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. FUTURE FORECASTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF WATER BEING RELEASED FROM THE RESERVOIR. ANY INCREASE IN RELEASES OR LEVEE BREACHES MAY QUICKLY CHANGE THE CURRENTLY FORECAST RIVER LEVELS. IN ADDITION...ANY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE CHANGES TO THE CURRENTLY FORECAST RIVER LEVELS. ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED TOMORROW MORNING. RIVER LEVELS ARE HIGH. RANCHERS AND FARMERS SHOULD MOVE LIVESTOCK AND MACHINERY AWAY FROM FLOOD PRONE AREAS IF TIME PERMITS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AREA. IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED STRETCH OF ROADWAY... DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS IT. YOUR VEHICLE COULD BE SWEPT DOWNSTREAM IN RUSHING FLOODWATERS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO OUR LOCAL WEBPAGE LOCATED AT... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND ...SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR THE LATEST TEXAS ROAD CONDITIONS... PLEASE CALL THE TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AT 1 800 452 9292 TXC377-291644- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PRDT2.3.DR.080904T1610Z.080917T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE BELOW PRESIDIO 5SE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET (4.5 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET (2.7 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 14.6 FEET (4.5 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET (4.9 METERS)...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS AND LEVEES NEAR REDFORD MAY BE DAMAGED. SIGNIFICANT PORTIONS OF FARMLAND WILL BE INDUNDATED. HIGHWAY 170 MAY ALSO FLOOD. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.9 FEET ON JUL 28 2004. $$ TXC377-291644- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PIOT2.1.DR.080908T2327Z.080916T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE ABOVE PRESIDIO 7NW. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET (2.9 METERS). * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET (2.7 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.4 FEET (2.9 METERS) BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET (2.7 METERS)...WATER BEGINS TO FLOW INTO THE FLOOD PLAIN BETWEEN THE LEVEES. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.2 FEET ON OCT 6 1990. $$ TXC377-291644- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PRST2.3.DR.080906T1756Z.080916T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO INTERNATIONAL BRIDGE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET (6.3 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.5 FEET (4.7 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 20.8 FEET (6.3 METERS) BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THEN BEGIN FALLING. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET (6.1 METERS)...RIVER REMAINS BETWEEN LEVEES. THE FLOOD PLAIN BETWEEN THE LEVEES INUNDATES. EROSION OF THE LEVEE IS LIKELY. SEEPAGE OF WATER THROUGH THE LEVEE MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF AREA FARM LAND. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.7 FEET ON OCT 22 1990. $$ TXC043-377-291644- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /TGAT2.2.DR.080908T2003Z.080920T1300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT LAJITAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET (5.5 METERS). * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET (4.0 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 17.8 FEET (5.4 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET (5.6 METERS)...THE PARK JUST UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE COMPLETELY FLOODS. $$ TXC043-291644- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CSTT2.2.DR.080909T0712Z.080922T1215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT CASTOLON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET (5.9 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET (4.6 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 18.6 FEET (5.7 METERS) BY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET (5.8 METERS)...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS. COTTONWOOD CAMPGROUND BEGINS TO FLOOD. RESTROOMS UPSTREAM AT SANTA ELENA CANYON PARKING LOT WILL BE INUNDATED. WATER BEGINS TO CLOSE ALL ROADS IN THE AREA. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.5 FEET ON OCT 11 2003. $$ TXC043-291644- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /TELT2.3.DR.080909T2030Z.080920T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT JOHNSON RANCH. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET (6.1 METERS). * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET (4.6 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 20.5 FEET (6.2 METERS) BY FRIDAY MORNING THEN HOLD STEADY. * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET (5.8 METERS)...MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. FLOODING BEGINS TO OCCUR UPSTREAM IN COTTONWOOD CAMPGROUNDS AT CASTOLON...AS STAGES AT EACH LOCATION ARE PRACTICALLY SYNONYMOUS. MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE...BUT NO DAMAGE OCCURS. THE GAGE IS INACCESSIBLE...AS RIVER ROAD IS IMPASSABLE AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.5 FEET ON OCT 12 2003. $$ TXC043-291643- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BOQT2.3.DR.080911T0533Z.080922T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 744 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT BOQUILLAS-RIO GRANDE VLG. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET (5.2 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET (4.0 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 17.1 FEET (5.2 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET (5.8 METERS)...BOTTOM OF TELEMETRY BOX NEAR PUMP HOUSE WILL BE REACHED. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.5 FEET ON SEP 29 1991. $$  976 WSEW31 LEMM 290030 LECM SIGMET 1 VALID 290030/290330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360-400 MOV NNE NC=  092 WSEW31 LEMM 290030 LECM SIGMET 1 VALID 290030/290330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360-400 MOV NNE NC=  833 WGUS84 KEWX 290047 FLSEWX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 747 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE... NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TXC465-291847- /O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-081003T0000Z/ /LNYT2.3.DR.080915T2307Z.080923T1130Z.081002T1200Z.NR/ 747 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT FOSTER RANCH. * UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET (5.6 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET (4.3 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE SLOW FALL BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. $$ TXC465-291847- /O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /DLRT2.2.DR.080915T1941Z.080923T1130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 747 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT DEL RIO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.1 FEET (1.9 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET (1.2 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 6.1 FEET (1.9 METERS) FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE TO RELEASE FROM AMISTAD. * IMPACT...AT 4.7 FEET...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING REACHES THE SLAB ELEVATION OF THE LOWEST HOMES IN THE VEGA VERDE SUBDIVISION BELOW AMISTAD DAM AND CUTS BEHIND THE LOWEST RESIDENTIAL AREAS CUTTING THEM OFF. $$ && BELOW ARE THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS (FEET): BF FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM (FT) LOCATION STG STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI FOSTER RANCH 14 14 18.2 SUN 07 PM 17.0 14.8 14.3 14.0 13.7 DEL RIO 4 4 6.1 SUN 07 PM 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 BELOW ARE THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS (METERS): BF FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM (M) LOCATION STG STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI FOSTER RANCH 4 4 5.6 SUN 07 PM 5.2 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 DEL RIO 1 1 1.9 SUN 07 PM 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 $$  786 WSPS21 NZKL 290048 NZZO SIGMET 1 VALID 290048/290337 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 16 282337/290337  787 WSPS21 NZKL 290048 NZZO SIGMET 2 VALID 290048/290448 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/370 WI 75NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3548 W16342 - S3724 W15918 - S3800 W15200 - S3200 W13700 MOV SE 10KT NC  813 WWST02 SBBR 290046 1 31 05 02 12 20 WARNING NR 827/2008 NEAR GALE/GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 GMT - SAT - 27/SEP/2008 AREAS BRAVO AT EXTREME NE AND DELTA S OF 24S AT E OF 041W STARTING AT 280000 GMT. WIND E/SE FORCE 7/8 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 291200 GMT. WARNING NR 828/2008 NEAR GALE/GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 GMT - SAT - 27/SEP/2008 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA BETWEEN 22S AND 30S AT W OF 030W STARTING AT 281200 GMT. WIND NE/NW AT N OF 25S AND NE/SE AT S OF 25S FORCE 7/8 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 300000 GMT. WARNING NR 829/2008 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 GMT – SAT- 27/SEP/2008 AREA DELTA S OF 22S AND E OF 041W STARTING AT 281200 GMT. WAVES FM SE 3.0/3.5 METERS. VALID UNTIL 300000 GMT. WARNING NR 830/2008 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 GMT – SAT- 27/SEP/2008 SOUTH OCEANIC BETWEEN 22S AND 30S AT W OF 030W STARTING AT 290000 GMT. WAVES FM NE/SE 3.0/4.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 300000 GMT. NNNN  828 WOCN31 CWHX 290000 CAB HURRICANE KYLE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT ... CORRECTED THE WIND SPEEDS OVER NEW BRUNSWICK AND GULF WATERS ... ...HURRICANE KYLE NEAR THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND DIGBY COUNTIES... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.00 PM ADT... HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.7 N AND LONGITUDE 66.3 W... ABOUT 15 NAUTICAL MILES OR 30 KM SOUTHWEST OF YARMOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS... 120 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 986 MB. KYLE IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS... 24 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 28 9.00 PM 43.7N 66.3W 986 65 120 SEP 29 3.00 AM 45.3N 65.6W 992 60 111 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 AM 46.4N 64.9W 1000 50 93 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 3.00 PM 47.5N 64.4W 1001 45 83 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 PM 48.5N 63.8W 1001 40 74 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 AM 49.2N 63.3W 1002 35 65 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 9.00 AM 49.9N 62.9W 1003 25 46 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 PM 50.6N 62.4W 1003 25 46 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 9.00 PM 51.2N 62.0W 1003 25 46 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIGBY YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES IN NOVA SCOTIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS MAINTAINED FOR QUEENS COUNTY OF NOVA SCOTIA LUNENBURG COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY AND GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN NEW BRUNSWICK FUNDY NATIONAL PARK MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. WIND GUSTS OF 90 TO 130 KM/H CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT EXCEPT GUSTS 70 TO 100 OVER THE NEW BRUNSWICK SOUTHERN SECTIONS. THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A STORM SURGE WARNING FOR HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND WAVE SETUP ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF MORE THAN 1.0 METRE ABOVE THE HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WHICH WILL BE OCCURRING WITHIN A COUPLE OF HOURS OF THE STORM ARRIVING THIS EVENING. BASED ON HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS THIS COMBINATION COULD CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW BRUNSWICK WILL LIKELY ENCOUNTER TREE DAMAGE DURING THE STRONGEST WINDS OF KYLE EITHER THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. DURING SIMILAR EVENTS IN THE PAST THESE WINDS HAVE RESULTED IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES DUE TO FALLEN TREES. ALL PREPARATIONS TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THIS TIME. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NEW BRUNSWICK WHERE 50 TO 100 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH KYLE. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT FELL PRIOR TO KYLE'S ARRIVAL. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED WEST OF WHERE KYLE EVENTUALLY MAKES LANDFALL. EMO NEW BRUNSWICK REMINDS THE PUBLIC THAT RAINFALL IN THESE AMOUNTS OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME CAN RESULT IN A RAPID WATER LEVEL INCREASE IN STREAMS AND RIVERS AND CAUSED LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE GASPE PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHORE OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY REGIONS OF QUEBEC. THIS AREA WILL SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR EXCEEDING 50 MILLIMETRES AS POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL ZONE OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. ON ITS CURRENT TRACK KYLE WILL BE PASSING JUST WEST OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE IN YARMOUTH. THE RESULTING STORM SURGE ON TOP OF THE DANGEROUS ROUGH SURF FROM KYLE MAY LEAD TO SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO THE COASTAL INFRASTRUCTURE MAINLY IN YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY THE GEORGES BANK BUOY REPORTED STRONG TO HURRICANE FORCE OF 69 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORM CENTRE PASSED WEST OF THE BUOY WHICH REPORTED AN 11.0 M SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR GEORGES AND BROWNS BANK AND FOR THE LURCHER MARINE AREA. STORM WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR FUNDY GRAND MANAN AND THE SOUTHWESTERN SHORE WESTERN LAHAVE AND NORTHWESTERN WEST SCOTIAN SLOPE MARINE AREA. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA WATERS AND GULF OF ST LAWRENCE WATERS. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS A. ANALYSIS REPORTS FROM BUOYS SATELLITES SHIPS AND LAND STATIONS INDICATES THAT STORM TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXISTS IN THE VICINITY OF HURRICANE KYLE. AT 9 PM THIS EVENING THE ESTIMATED POSITION IS JUST WEST OR NORTHWEST OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AND TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 23 KNOTS OR 43 KM/H. THE CLOUD SHIELD IS TAKING A COMA SHAPE WITH FRONTAL LIKE CLOUD AND RAIN BAND TO THE EAST THEN NORTH THEN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THE CENTRE. THIS IMPLIES RAPID TRANSITIONING OF HURRICANE KYLE AT THIS TIME. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS PROGNOSTICS REFERING TO THE EFFECT OF THE MUCH COLDER WATER IN THE GULF OF MAINE. WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. B. PROGNOSTIC KYLE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD PASSING NEAR THE WEST COAST OF YARMOUTH AND DIGBY COUNTIES NOVA SCOTIA LATE THIS SUNDAY EVENING THEN ACROSS THE BAY OF FUNDY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL JUST EAST OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK AFTER MIDNIGHT OR IN THE EARLY HOURS OF MONDAY MORNING. KYLE IS EXISTING BETWEEN AN UPPER TROUGH TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC. WE KEEP KYLE AT 65 KNOTS AT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BECAUSE OF ITS PRESENT INTENSITY AND ITS FAST MOVEMENT. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE CONSISTENT ON MAINTAINING A BAROCLINIC LOW NEAR OUR TRACK BUT WE CONTINUE TO USE SHORT TERM ANALYSIS AND DIAGNOSTIC AS WELL AS THE ENSEMBLE AND MIAMI FOR GUIDANCE. KYLE IS STILL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE COLD WATER OF THE BAY OF FUNDY THEN RAPIDLY FINISH ITS TRANSITION INTO A POST-TROPICAL LOW AS IT MOVES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK. IT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN QUEBEC NORTH SHORE AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. C. PUBLIC WEATHER THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE WEST OF THE STORM PATH AND COULD BE UPWARDS TO 100 MM. THIS HEAVIEST RAIN COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME INCREASING THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING. THIS RAIN IS ON TOP OF ANY AMOUNTS THAT FELL PREVIOUSLY. D. MARINE WEATHER CHC TRAPPED FETCH MODEL INDICATES NOTHING HIGHER THAN 8 METRES MOVING INTO CANADIAN WATERS BUT THIS IS BASED ON THE SHIFTED TRACK AND LACK OF ALIGNMENT WITH PREVIOUSLY DEVELOPED WAVES. HOWEVER A SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF 10 METRES IS NOT FAR FETCHED. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/00Z 210 150 100 120 120 90 30 60 70 50 10 30 29/06Z 210 150 100 120 120 90 30 60 0 0 0 0 29/12Z 210 150 100 120 120 90 30 60 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/12Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/00Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END BOWYER/ROUSSEL/CAMPBELL  836 WWUS53 KLBF 290049 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 749 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC089-290100- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0488.000000T0000Z-080929T0100Z/ HOLT NE- 749 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY... AT 741 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ATKINSON...OR 18 MILES WEST OF ONEILL... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... 9 MILES NORTH OF HIGHWAY 11 MILE MARKER 140 BY 800 PM CDT... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4272 9855 4238 9896 4255 9919 4278 9889 TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 295DEG 10KT 4254 9895 $$ CDC  966 WUUS53 KLBF 290050 SVRLBF NEC089-290130- /O.NEW.KLBF.SV.W.0489.080929T0050Z-080929T0130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 750 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ONEILL... * UNTIL 830 PM CDT * AT 745 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ONEILL...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF INMAN BY 805 PM CDT... PAGE BY 815 PM CDT... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4255 9832 4224 9831 4240 9892 4266 9860 TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 296DEG 25KT 4250 9860 $$ CDC  980 WGUS82 KJAX 290051 FLSJAX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 851 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 FLC019-031-035-083-107-109-290845- /O.NEW.KJAX.FA.Y.0202.080929T0051Z-080929T0845Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 851 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A * HYDROLOGIC ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN... NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ORANGE PARK...LAKESIDE... EASTERN DUVAL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MAYPORT...MANDARIN...DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE...ARLINGTON... WESTERN FLAGLER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ANDALUSIA... EASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PALATKA...EAST PALATKA...CRESCENT CITY... WESTERN ST. JOHNS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FRUIT COVE... EASTERN MARION COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA... * UNTIL 445 AM EDT MONDAY THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE ELEVATED WATERS LEVELS TODAY. THE RIVER GAGE AT ASTOR RECENTLY REPORTED MINOR FLOODING. OTHER GAGES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA CONTINUE TO SHOW RIVER LEVELS ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL VALUES...WITH A GRADUAL FALL. RESIDENTS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES FROM DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE SOUTHWARD TO DOCTORS LAKE...PALATKA AND GEORGETOWN WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE UP TO A COUPLE OF FEET OF RIVER FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. RIVER FRONT RESIDENTS MAY WISH TO MOVE UNSECURED OBJECTS NEAR THE RIVER BANKS TO HIGHER GROUND AND MAY OBSERVE SOME SUBMERGED DOCKS. LAT...LON 2939 8141 2937 8145 2940 8152 2952 8160 2936 8157 2928 8172 2955 8175 2984 8163 3010 8180 3044 8177 3047 8143 3035 8139 3034 8157 3005 8159 2986 8150 2961 8154 $$ PETERSON  432 WWUS63 KFSD 290051 WCNFSD WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 909 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 751 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC003-005-015-035-043-053-073-111-290200- /O.CAN.KFSD.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN SOUTH DAKOTA THIS CANCELS 8 COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA BEADLE JERAULD SANBORN IN SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA BRULE GREGORY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AURORA DAVISON DOUGLAS THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...ARMOUR...BURKE... CHAMBERLAIN...CORSICA...DELMONT...GREGORY...HURON...KIMBALL... MITCHELL...PLANKINTON...STICKNEY...WESSINGTON SPRINGS... WHITE LAKE AND WOONSOCKET. $$ SDC009-011-023-027-061-067-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-125-135- 290400- /O.CON.KFSD.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN SOUTH DAKOTA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA BROOKINGS KINGSBURY LAKE MINER MOODY IN SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA CHARLES MIX IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA BON HOMME CLAY HANSON HUTCHINSON LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA TURNER YANKTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...ARLINGTON...AVON... BRIDGEWATER...BROOKINGS...CANISTOTA...CANTON...CENTERVILLE... CHANCELLOR...DE SMET...EMERY...FLANDREAU...FREEMAN...HARRISBURG... HOWARD...HURLEY...LAKE ANDES...LAKE PRESTON...LENNOX...MADISON... MARION...MARTY...MENNO...MONTROSE...PARKER...PARKSTON...PLATTE... SALEM...SCOTLAND...SIOUX FALLS...SPRINGFIELD...TABOR...TEA... TRIPP...TYNDALL...VERMILLION...VIBORG...WAGNER AND YANKTON. $$  344 WWUS53 KLBF 290052 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 752 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC015-290102- /O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0486.000000T0000Z-080929T0100Z/ BOYD NE- 752 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BOYD COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM CDT/700 PM MDT/... THE STORM HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4280 9831 4280 9832 4279 9831 4276 9832 4277 9834 4280 9852 4292 9846 4288 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 288DEG 23KT 4279 9818 $$ CDC  705 WSUS33 KKCI 290055 SIGW MKCW WST 290055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 1W VALID UNTIL 0255Z NV FROM 60W ELY-40SW ILC-30ENE BTY-80N OAL-60W ELY DMSHG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL320. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2W VALID UNTIL 0255Z AZ UT NV FROM 30SSE ILC-30SSE BCE-30ESE TBC-20NNW EED-60N LAS-30SSE ILC DMSHG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL320. OUTLOOK VALID 290255-290655 FROM BAM-DTA-HVE-40ESE TBC-DRK-EED-30WSW BTY-OAL-BAM WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  706 WSUS32 KKCI 290055 SIGC MKCC WST 290055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 1C VALID UNTIL 0255Z MN SD FROM BRD-30S RWF-10SW FSD-50SSE ABR-BRD AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS TO FL420. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2C VALID UNTIL 0255Z NE SD FROM 10WSW FSD-10SSE ONL-30ENE LBF LINE SEV TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 290255-290655 FROM 40ENE BRD-50NNE MCW-50NW IRK-60WSW MCI-50SSE HLC-MCK-LBF-30N ONL-50SSE ABR-40ENE BRD REF WW 909. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  737 WSUS31 KKCI 290055 SIGE MKCE WST 290055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 1E VALID UNTIL 0255Z ME AND ME NH CSTL WTRS FROM 40N PQI-50WSW YSJ-140SE BGR-50ESE ENE-60ENE YQB-40N PQI AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 21020KT. TOPS TO FL350. WIND GUSTS TO 70KT POSS. TS ASSOCD WITH HURCN KYLE. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2E VALID UNTIL 0255Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 80ENE PBI-80SSE MIA-50ESE EYW-30N PBI-80ENE PBI AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 290255-290655 AREA 1...FROM 60NW PQI-PQI-50WSW YSJ-140ENE ACK-60NE ACK-40E YSC-60NW PQI WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT WTNT21 KNHC FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER FOR DETAILS ON HURCN KYLE. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 50E YSC-60NE ACK-180SE ACK-150SE SIE-SBY-40WNW ALB-MPV-50E YSC WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 200ENE VRB-170E PBI-60ENE PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-60WSW SRQ-SRQ-40WNW MIA-VRB-200ENE VRB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  884 WGUS84 KCRP 290053 FLSCRP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 753 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS.. RIO GRANDE AT COLUMBIA BRIDGE AFFECTING WEBB COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT LAREDO AFFECTING WEBB COUNTY .UPSTREAM RESERVOIR RELEASES WILL KEEP THE AFOREMENTIONED RIVERS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD AFFECT CREST FORECASTS. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP. CLICK ON THE RIVER FORECASTS IMAGE AT THE TOP...THEN CLICK ON THE FORECAST POINT. TXC479-291853- /O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CBBT2.1.DR.080925T1400Z.080929T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 753 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT COLUMBIA BRIDGE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET...OR 5.4 METERS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET...OR 5.5 METERS. * FORECAST...CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.1 FEET...OR 5.5 METERS AND HOLD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. * AT 18.0 FEET OR 5.5 METERS...FLOW REACHES THE HEIGHT OF THE RIGHT BANK. LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT FLOOD IN THE CHANNEL AND LOW BANKS BELOW EAGLE PASS TO BELOW LAREDO. AUTOS AND TRUCKS FLOOD IN LOW AREAS OF THE CUSTOMS PARKING LOT DOWNSTREAM IN LAREDO. $$ TXC479-291853- /O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LDOT2.1.DR.080918T0610Z.080926T1745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 753 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT LAREDO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET...OR 3.6 METERS. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET...OR 2.4 METERS. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.8 FEET...OR 3.6 METERS AND HOLD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. * AT 13.0 FEET OR 4.0 METERS...AUTOS AND TRUCKS FLOOD IN THE LOWER SECTIONS OF THE MALL PARKING LOT. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN THE LOWER SECTIONS OF THE CUSTOMS PARKING LOT. $$ && BELOW ARE THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND STAGE FORECASTS: FLD LATEST FORECAST 6 AM LST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI RIO GRANDE COLUMBIA BRIDGE 18 17.8 SUN 07 PM 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 LAREDO 8 11.7 SUN 07 PM 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.6 $$ CB  587 WSIN90 VECC 290100 VECF SIGMET NO 01 VALID 290100/290500 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  099 WUUS53 KOAX 290058 SVROAX NEC107-290145- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0442.080929T0058Z-080929T0145Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 758 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 845 PM CDT. * AT 756 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF NIOBRARA...OR 43 MILES WEST OF YANKTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... VERDEL...NIOBRARA HAIL THE SIZE OF NICKELS OR LARGER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4286 9821 4285 9814 4278 9803 4278 9799 4279 9794 4284 9789 4277 9761 4254 9773 4274 9831 4288 9832 4288 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 291DEG 26KT 4281 9822 $$ DEE  793 WWUS53 KFSD 290059 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 759 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC009-023-135-290130- /O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0294.000000T0000Z-080929T0130Z/ CHARLES MIX SD-YANKTON SD-BON HOMME SD- 758 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR BON HOMME...YANKTON AND SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES MIX COUNTIES... AT 758 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SCOTLAND TO AVON TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MARTY...MOVING EAST AT 28 MPH. A SECOND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WALNUT SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF TYNDALL... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... TYNDALL AROUND 810 PM CDT... LESTERVILLE AROUND 825 PM CDT... TABOR...SPRINGFIELD...UTICA...MAYFIELD AROUND 830 PM CDT... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4283 9815 4284 9820 4297 9849 4304 9830 4317 9811 4317 9716 4286 9738 4284 9746 4286 9763 4283 9769 4285 9772 4286 9785 4277 9797 4276 9802 TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 282DEG 24KT 4311 9774 4301 9798 4293 9828 $$ SCHUMACHER  127 WGUS83 KLOT 290102 FLSLOT FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 802 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN INDIANA.. KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY AFFECTING LAKE AND NEWTON COUNTIES .WATER LEVELS CONTINUE A SLOW FALL ON THE KANKAKEE RIVER. SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. INC089-111-291302- /O.CON.KLOT.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SLBI3.3.ER.080914T0925Z.080925T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 802 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 745 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 10.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING AFFECTS COUNTY AND LOCAL ROADS. WILDWOOD ESTATES AND SUMAVA RESORTS BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING. $$  545 WOUS64 KWNS 290103 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 909 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 803 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NEC003-009-015-017-027-071-089-103-107-115-139-149-183-290400- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BLAINE BOYD BROWN CEDAR GARFIELD HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX LOUP PIERCE ROCK WHEELER $$ SDC009-011-023-027-061-067-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-125-135- 290400- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BON HOMME BROOKINGS CHARLES MIX CLAY HANSON HUTCHINSON KINGSBURY LAKE LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA MOODY TURNER YANKTON $$ ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...  664 WWUS53 KLBF 290103 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 803 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC089-290130- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0489.000000T0000Z-080929T0130Z/ HOLT NE- 803 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY... AT 802 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF INMAN...OR 7 MILES EAST OF ONEILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... PAGE BY 815 PM CDT... 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF EWING BY 830 PM CDT... IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4255 9832 4224 9831 4240 9892 4266 9860 TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 296DEG 25KT 4246 9850 $$ POWER  390 WWUS53 KLBF 290104 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 804 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC041-290115- /O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0487.000000T0000Z-080929T0115Z/ CUSTER NE- 804 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY... AT 802 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 92 MILE MARKER 260...OR 9 MILES EAST OF ARNOLD...MOVING SOUTH AT 29 MPH. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4138 10010 4157 10009 4158 10009 4159 10009 4169 10009 4171 9986 4152 9956 TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 006DEG 25KT 4138 10002 $$ POWER  783 WGUS81 KOKX 290104 FLSOKX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 904 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NYC059-081-290230- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.Y.0116.080929T0104Z-080929T0230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 904 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 1030 PM EDT... * AT 903 PM EDT HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN QUEENS AND NASSAU COUNTY ON LONG ISLAND. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. MOST FLOODING DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF THE FLOODING THREAT INCREASES...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. LAT...LON 4069 7386 4072 7393 4078 7394 4080 7391 4079 7386 4081 7381 4080 7376 4087 7373 4088 7370 4085 7366 4088 7366 4091 7363 4092 7352 4089 7348 4071 7344 4063 7377 4065 7381 4062 7381 4062 7383 $$ BAS  483 WWUS73 KJKL 290105 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 905 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...DENSE FOG EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .MOISTURE CLOSE TO THE GROUND...COMBINED WITH CLEAR SKIES AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. KYZ080-085>088-107-109-110-112>120-290900- /O.NEW.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.080929T0400Z-080929T1400Z/ LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT- KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE... HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE 905 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT MONDAY. WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE VALLEYS TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. RIDGE TOP LOCATIONS WILL SEE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...WITH A PERIOD OF DENSE FOG POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM MONDAY MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND TO LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION WHEN TRAVELING TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. $$ KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-084-104-106-108-111-290900- /O.NEW.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.080929T0400Z-080929T1400Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE 905 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT MONDAY. AREAS OF DENSE VALLEY FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT. THE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. RIDGE TOP LOCATIONS WILL SEE SOME PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF DENSE FOG POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BETWEEN 8 AM AND 10 AM MONDAY MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND TO LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION WHEN TRAVELING TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. $$ WJM  591 WWUS53 KLBF 290105 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 805 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC089-290115- /O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0488.000000T0000Z-080929T0100Z/ HOLT NE- 805 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY HAS EXPIRED... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4272 9855 4238 9896 4255 9919 4278 9889 TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 295DEG 10KT 4254 9895 $$ POWER  682 WHUS41 KGYX 290106 CFWGYX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 906 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING HAS EASED... .KYLE HAS MOVED INTO NEW BRUNSWICK AND WINDS HAVE BACKED TO THE NORTHWEST...THUS MINIMIZING THE THREAT OF SPLASHOVER AND BEACH EROSION FOR THE UPCOMING HIGH TIDE. TIDES IN PORTLAND HARBOR ARE RUNNING ONLY ABOUT A THIRD OF A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. THE OFFSHORE WINDS WILL HELP REDUCING THE THREAT OF SPLASHOVER AS SWOLLEN RIVERS AND STREAMS INTERACT WITH THE TIDES. MEZ023>028-NHZ014-290215- /O.CAN.KGYX.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080929T0500Z/ COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX- COASTAL WALDO-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM- 906 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. $$  998 WTKO20 RKSL 290000 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19 NAME TY 0815 JANGMI ANALYSIS POSITION 290000UTC 25.4N 121.2E MOVEMENT N 7KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 300000UTC 28.8N 123.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT 48HR POSITION 010000UTC 30.3N 130.0E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT 72HR POSITION 020000UTC 31.8N 138.9E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  246 WTPQ20 BABJ 290000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 08 INITIAL TIME 290000 UTC 00HR 16.5N 111.8E 992HPA 17M/S P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 17.7N 109.8E 990HPA 18M/S=  206 WTJP22 RJTD 290000 WARNING 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 992 HPA AT 16.4N 111.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 18.4N 110.1E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 19.4N 107.4E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 19.8N 105.1E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  242 WTPQ21 RJTD 290000 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) UPGRADED FROM TD ANALYSIS PSTN 290000UTC 16.4N 111.6E FAIR MOVE N 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 30KT 50NM FORECAST 24HF 300000UTC 18.4N 110.1E 70NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 48HF 010000UTC 19.4N 107.4E 110NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 72HF 020000UTC 19.8N 105.1E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  664 WHUS42 KJAX 290109 CFWJAX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 909 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 FLZ024-025-033-038-290215- /O.CAN.KJAX.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-080930T0000Z/ NASSAU-DUVAL-ST JOHNS-FLAGLER- 909 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...DECREASING SWELLS AS KYLE LIFTS NORTH... A LOOK AT THE DATA BUOY OBSERVATIONS THIS EVENING INDICATES SWELLS ARE SLOWLY DECREASING AND WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...THERE WILL STILL BE AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS UNTIL THE SWELLS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ANY UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX. $$ PP  897 WWUS53 KFSD 290110 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 810 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC009-023-135-290130- /O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0294.000000T0000Z-080929T0130Z/ CHARLES MIX SD-YANKTON SD-BON HOMME SD- 809 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR BON HOMME...YANKTON AND SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES MIX COUNTIES... AT 809 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WALNUT SIZE SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LESTERVILLE TO TYNDALL TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AVON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... TABOR...SPRINGFIELD AROUND 815 PM CDT... UTICA AROUND 820 PM CDT... MAYFIELD AROUND 825 PM CDT... YANKTON AROUND 830 PM CDT... AT 805 PM CDT...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED THREE-QUARTER INCH HAIL 3 MILES WEST OF LESTERVILLE. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. TAKE COVER IN A STURDY BUILDING NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4283 9815 4284 9820 4297 9849 4304 9830 4317 9811 4317 9716 4286 9738 4284 9746 4286 9763 4283 9769 4285 9772 4286 9785 4277 9797 4276 9802 TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 294DEG 31KT 4303 9758 4293 9779 4284 9812 $$ SCHUMACHER  970 WOPS01 NFFN 290100 GALE WARNING 002 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Sep 29/0112 UTC 2008 UTC. IN THE AREA BOUNDED BY 24S 166W 21S 166W 21S 164W 24S 160W 25S 160W 25S 164W 24S 166W EXPECT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND UPTO 35 KNOTS AT TIMES. AREA OF GALES MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 001.  265 WGUS83 KLOT 290112 FLSLOT FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 812 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA SALLE AFFECTING BUREAU AND LA SALLE COUNTIES .WATER LEVELS ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. ILC011-099-291312- /O.EXT.KLOT.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-080929T2100Z/ /LSLI2.3.ER.080914T0358Z.080917T0000Z.080929T1500Z.NR/ 812 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA SALLE. * UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 730 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS FROM 6 MILES UPSTREAM TO 12 MILES DOWNSTREAM ARE FLOODED. $$  481 WOPS01 NFFN 290100 GALE WARNING 002 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Sep 29/0112 UTC 2008 UTC. IN THE AREA BOUNDED BY 24S 166W 21S 166W 21S 164W 24S 160W 25S 160W 25S 164W 24S 166W EXPECT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND UPTO 35 KNOTS AT TIMES. AREA OF GALES MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 001.  924 WGUS83 KLSX 290113 FLSLSX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 813 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS.. ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA GRANGE LD TW AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA AFFECTING MORGAN AND PIKE COUNTIES ILLINOIS RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING PIKE AND SCOTT COUNTIES ILLINOIS RIVER AT HARDIN AFFECTING CALHOUN AND JERSEY COUNTIES THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE. SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE PASSAGE. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER CASE/ ILC009-300113- /O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0307.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NLGI2.3.ER.080916T1140Z.080925T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 813 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA GRANGE LD TW * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 26.9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ ILC137-149-300112- /O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0281.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MROI2.3.ER.080914T1531Z.080924T2245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 813 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 440.1 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 432.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 439.1 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ ILC149-171-300112- /O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0282.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /VALI2.3.ER.080914T1018Z.080925T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 813 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT VALLEY CITY * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 18.9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ ILC013-083-300112- /O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0308.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HARI2.2.ER.080914T1850Z.080919T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 813 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HARDIN * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 27.4 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ && FLD LATEST 7AM FORECAST LOCATION STG OBS STG 09/29 09/30 10/01 10/02 10/03 ILLINOIS RIVER LA GRANGE LD T 23 27.8 27.5 26.9 26.2 25.5 24.8 MEREDOSIA 432 440.1 439.8 439.1 438.4 437.7 437.0 VALLEY CITY 11 20.1 19.7 18.9 18.2 17.6 17.0 HARDIN 25 28.1 27.9 27.4 26.9 26.4 26.0  229 WWUS53 KLBF 290115 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 815 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC041-290124- /O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0487.000000T0000Z-080929T0115Z/ CUSTER NE- 814 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM CDT/715 PM MDT/... THE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4138 10010 4157 10009 4158 10009 4159 10009 4169 10009 4171 9986 4152 9956 TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 006DEG 25KT 4131 10003 $$ POWER  513 WOAU11 APRM 290116 IDS20210 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, ADELAIDE AT 0116UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR SOUTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION AT 290001UTC Vigorous westerly airstream. AREA AFFECTED Bounded by 45S129E 43S141E 50S141E 50S129E 45S129E. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots, reaching 40/50 knots south of 47S until 291500UTC. Winds moderating below 34 knots west of 132E by 291200UTC and west of 141E by 300001UTC. Very rough seas, reaching high south of 48S until 291500UTC. Seas abating from the west after 291200UTC. Heavy swell. WEATHER ADELAIDE  946 WUUS53 KOAX 290120 SVROAX NEC003-107-290200- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0443.080929T0120Z-080929T0200Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 820 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN ANTELOPE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... SOUTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 900 PM CDT. * AT 817 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 17 MILES WEST OF CREIGHTON...OR 51 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CREIGHTON HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS OR LARGER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4248 9783 4234 9785 4236 9830 4251 9828 TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 280DEG 33KT 4244 9820 $$ DEE  463 WSAM20 FCBB 290100 FCCC SIGMET A1 VALID 290100/290500 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0100Z N0736E01927-N0800E01549-N0444E01454-N0351E01650-N0628E01811-N0557E023 28-N0638E02613 .MOV W 15KT WKN N0020E01038-S0145E00917-S0231E01012-S0102E01139-N0018E01058 MOV W 15KT NC=  731 WTPQ20 BABJ 290100 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290100 UTC 00HR 25.6N 121.0E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR N 10KM/H=  313 WWUS53 KOAX 290123 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 823 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290145- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0442.000000T0000Z-080929T0145Z/ KNOX NE- 823 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN KNOX COUNTY... AT 821 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VERDEL...OR 41 MILES WEST OF YANKTON... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...LINDY...NIOBRARA AND CENTER. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4286 9821 4285 9814 4278 9803 4278 9799 4279 9794 4284 9789 4277 9761 4254 9773 4274 9831 4288 9832 4288 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0123Z 298DEG 13KT 4280 9819 $$ DEE  815 WGUS82 KMLB 290124 FLSMLB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 924 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE ST JOHNS RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. A VERY SLOW DESCENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. FLC117-291424- /O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081001T1800Z/ /GENF1.3.ER.080823T0252Z.080901T1000Z.081001T1200Z.NR/ 924 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR GENEVA ABOVE LAKE HARNEY. * UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. * AT 8.8 FEET, WATER COVERING WHITCOMB ROAD. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI ST. JOHNS RIVER GENEVA ABOV 8.5 8.8 SUN 8 PM 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.3 $$ FLC117-291424- /O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SNFF1.2.ER.080825T0000Z.080907T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 924 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR SANFORD. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * AT 6.5 FEET, WATER ENTERS A FEW LOWER LYING HOMES IN THE STONE ISLAND AND STILLBROOK SUBDIVISIONS. ROAD INTO STONE ISLAND BECOMES IMPASSABLE. WATER RISES ONTO LOW LYING PROPERTY NEAR SANFORD. PARKS AND DOCKS ARE FLOODED NEAR LAKE MONROE. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI ST. JOHNS RIVER SANFORD 6.0 6.5 SUN 8 PM 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 $$ FLC069-127-291424- /O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /DLAF1.3.ER.080823T2110Z.080906T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 924 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR DELAND. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 4.2 FEET. * AT 5.0 FEET, WATER STARTS TO ENTER BUILDINGS AROUND HONTOON ISLAND. MANY SECONDARY ROADS AND HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE FLOODED. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI ST. JOHNS RIVER DELAND 4.2 4.8 SUN 8 PM 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 $$ FLC069-127-291424- /O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /ASTF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.080925T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 924 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 2.8 FEET. * AT 3.5 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS MANY LOW LYING HOMES NEAR THE RIVER. WATER COVERS MANY YARDS AND LOW LYING ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI ST. JOHNS RIVER ASTOR 2.8 3.6 SUN 8 PM 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 $$  967 WWUS81 KPHI 290124 SPSPHI SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 924 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NJZ013-014-290230- EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ- 924 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...AN AREA OF SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT MONMOUTH COUNTY... AT 921 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL 6 MILES SOUTH OF PERTH AMBOY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH. THE SHOWER WILL BE NEAR MORGANVILLE AROUND 935 PM...STRATHMORE...KEYPORT AROUND 940 PM... UNION BEACH...MARLBORO AROUND 950 PM...HOLMDEL...KEANSBURG AROUND 1005 PM...NORTH MIDDLETOWN AROUND 1010 PM...MIDDLETOWN AND PORT MONMOUTH AROUND 1020 PM. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS SHOWER...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS. $$ NIERENBERG  053 WGUS83 KILX 290127 FLSILX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 827 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ... ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD COUNTIES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ... ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING FULTON AND MASON COUNTIES ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND SCHUYLER COUNTIES THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS. ILC123-155-291527- /O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-081001T1200Z/ /HNYI2.3.ER.080915T1447Z.080919T1730Z.081001T0600Z.NR/ 827 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY. * UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 730 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED ILLINOIS RIVER HENRY 23 24.5 SUN 7 PM 24.1 23.4 22.8 $$ ILC143-179-203-291526- /O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-081005T0000Z/ /PIAI2.2.ER.080916T0152Z.080920T0130Z.081004T1800Z.NR/ 827 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA. * UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 730 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 22.7 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS TO LOW LYING AREAS IN PEORIA HEIGHTS AND PEORIA'S RIVERFRONT PARK. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED ILLINOIS RIVER PEORIA 18 21.6 SUN 7 PM 21.3 20.6 20.0 $$ ILC057-125-291526- /O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HAVI2.3.ER.080914T1950Z.080923T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 827 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 730 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 20.4 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 23.2 FEET...GLOBE (CRABTREE) LEVEE IS OVERTOPPED. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED ILLINOIS RIVER HAVANA 14 21.2 SUN 7 PM 21.0 20.4 19.8 $$ ILC009-017-137-169-291526- /O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BEAI2.2.ER.080914T1323Z.080924T2130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 827 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 745 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 22.1 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED ILLINOIS RIVER BEARDSTOWN 14 23.1 SUN 8 PM 22.8 22.1 21.4 $$  104 WGUS71 KBOX 290127 FFSBOX FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 927 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 CTC003-013-290300- /O.CON.KBOX.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080929T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TOLLAND CT-HARTFORD CT- 927 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR HARTFORD AND WESTERN TOLLAND COUNTIES... AT 920 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED THAT THERE IS SIGNIFICANT URBAN FLOODING ACROSS THE HARTFORD METROPOLITAN AREA. SEVERAL CARS ARE STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS WITH NUMEROUS REPORTS OF BASEMENT FLOODING. DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HARTFORD COUNTY AND INTO PORTIONS OF TOLLAND COUNTY. SOME LOCATIONS MAY CONTINUE TO SEE RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR. THIS WILL LEAD TO MORE FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN THE HARTFORD METROPOLITAN AREA. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WINDSOR LOCKS...WINDSOR...WILLINGTON...WEST HARTFORD...VERNON...TOLLAND... SOUTH WINDSOR...SIMSBURY...MANCHESTER...HARTFORD...GRANBY... ELLINGTON...EAST WINDSOR...EAST HARTFORD...EAST GRANBY...COVENTRY... CANTON...BURLINGTON...BOLTON...BLOOMFIELD...AVON AND ANDOVER EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN TAUNTON. LAT...LON 4157 7295 4163 7295 4165 7299 4180 7303 4182 7296 4187 7297 4191 7292 4196 7291 4195 7226 4164 7229 4160 7249 4164 7252 4163 7266 4154 7286 $$ FRANK  974 WWUS83 KGID 290128 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 827 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ039-290200- VALLEY- 827 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... VALLEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ORD. AT 825 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ELYRIA...OR NEAR ORD...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... ORD BY 835 PM CDT NORTH LOUP BY 850 PM CDT PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. $$ WESELY  053 WWUS53 KFSD 290128 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 828 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC009-023-135-290138- /O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0294.000000T0000Z-080929T0130Z/ CHARLES MIX SD-YANKTON SD-BON HOMME SD- 828 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BON HOMME...YANKTON AND SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES MIX COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM CDT... THE STORM HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...OTHER THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4283 9815 4284 9820 4297 9849 4304 9830 4317 9811 4317 9716 4286 9738 4284 9746 4286 9763 4283 9769 4285 9772 4286 9785 4277 9797 4276 9802 TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 294DEG 31KT 4296 9738 4286 9759 4277 9792 $$ SCHUMACHER  526 WWUS73 KUNR 290129 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 729 PM MDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL PRODUCE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS PORTIONS OF HARDING AND PERKINS COUNTIES TONIGHT. SDZ001-002-291400- /O.CON.KUNR.FZ.W.0001.080929T0900Z-080929T1400Z/ HARDING-PERKINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...LEMMON...BISON 729 PM MDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY... A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER NORTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA TONIGHT. THE RESULTING CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF HARDING AND PERKINS COUNTIES BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTH DAKOTA. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. COVER OR HARVEST GARDEN CROPS AND BRING PLANTS INDOORS. $$  993 WTPQ20 BABJ 290000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290000 UTC 00HR 16.5N 111.8E 992HPA 18M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 17.7N 109.8E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 18.9N 107.6E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 19.2N 105.0E 998HPA 17M/S=  077 WHUS71 KLWX 290131 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 931 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ANZ530>534-290945- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0137.080929T0300Z-080929T1400Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- 931 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND MAY PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  470 WAAK47 PAWU 290132 WA7O JNUS WA 290145 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 290800 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. IMPR. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 290145 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 290800 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB OCNL MOD TURB FL300-FL400. WKN. . CNTRL SE AK JC OCNL MOD TURB FL300-FL400. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS POTENTIAL DUE TO STG LOW LVL WINDS. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE PAYA SE OCNL MOD TURB FL280-FL360. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF S PAAP OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF PAAP N OCNL MOD TURB FL300-FL400. NC. . =JNUZ WA 290145 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 290800 . NONE .  977 WWUS53 KLBF 290132 SVSLBF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 832 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC089-290142- /O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0489.000000T0000Z-080929T0130Z/ HOLT NE- 832 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HOLT COUNTY HAS EXPIRED... THE THUNDERSTORM MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4255 9832 4224 9831 4240 9892 4266 9860 TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 296DEG 25KT 4246 9850 $$ POWER  409 WGUS81 KPHI 290134 FLSPHI FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 934 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NJC025-290330- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0033.080929T0134Z-080929T0330Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 934 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... NORTHEASTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 1130 PM EDT * AT 934 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF VERY HEAVY RAIN BETWEEN SOUTH AMBOY AND MORGANVILLE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THIS RAIN. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS... HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS... HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. LAT...LON 4020 7400 4029 7438 4045 7417 4045 7415 4046 7413 4044 7409 4041 7400 4046 7402 4046 7398 4045 7397 4034 7395 $$ NIERENBERG  004 WGUS81 KALY 290136 FLSALY FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 936 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NYC001-057-083-091-093-290145- /O.CAN.KALY.FA.Y.0135.000000T0000Z-080929T0315Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONTGOMERY NY-ALBANY NY-SCHENECTADY NY-RENSSELAER NY-SARATOGA NY- 936 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHERN SARATOGA... NORTHWESTERN RENSSELAER...SCHENECTADY...NORTHEASTERN ALBANY AND EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTIES... STEADY...BUT GENERALLY...LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. GIVEN THE LIGHT NATURE OF THIS PRECIPITATION...NO ADDITIONAL URBAN OR SMALL STREAM FLOOD ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED. LAT...LON 4295 7410 4292 7361 4258 7366 4273 7416 $$ OKEEFE  237 WHUS71 KPHI 290136 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 936 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ANZ450>455-291030- /O.CON.KPHI.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 936 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE IN THE 5 TO 8 FOOT RANGE OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING, AS WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15 KNOTS. AS A RESULT, THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. CONDITIONS MAY BE ROUGH NEAR INLETS. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER, BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ GORSE  835 WWUS53 KOAX 290138 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 838 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290145- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0442.000000T0000Z-080929T0145Z/ KNOX NE- 839 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN KNOX COUNTY... AT 834 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VERDEL...OR 39 MILES WEST OF YANKTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...LINDY...NIOBRARA AND CENTER. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 1 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4286 9821 4285 9814 4278 9803 4278 9799 4279 9794 4284 9789 4277 9761 4254 9773 4274 9831 4288 9832 4288 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0139Z 298DEG 13KT 4277 9812 $$ DEE  224 WOUS20 KWNS 290141 WWASPC SPC WW-A 290145 NEZ000-SDZ000-290240- STATUS REPORT ON WW 909 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E BUB TO 35 N ONL TO 20 ESE FSD. ..DIAL..09/29/08 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 909 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC003-015-027-107-139-290240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BOYD CEDAR KNOX PIERCE $$ SDC009-027-083-125-135-290240- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN TURNER YANKTON $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  573 WAAK48 PAWU 290142 WA8O ANCS WA 290145 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 290800 . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC WRANGELL MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . PRIBILOF ISLANDS AND SOUTHEAST BERING SEA AL OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -SHRA BR. NC. . =ANCT WA 290145 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 290800 . ADAK TO ATTU AK OCNL MOD TURB BLW 040. NC. . =ANCZ WA 290145 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 290800 . NONE .  120 WCCN34 CWUL 290143 SIGMET A4 VALID 290145/290545 CWUL- WTN 45 NM OF LN /4551N06700W/20 W FREDERICTON - /4314N06653W/50 SW YARMOUTH. HURCN KYLE OBSD AT 02Z 4415N06605W AND IS FCST TO MOV NWD 15KTS TO BE NEAR 4520N06535W BY 06Z. MAX CB TOPS 300. HURCN KYLE FCST TO BECM A POST TROPCL STM NR 06Z. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/MWS/JC  254 WUUS53 KOAX 290145 SVROAX NEC107-290230- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0444.080929T0145Z-080929T0230Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 845 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EASTERN KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 930 PM CDT. * AT 842 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NIOBRARA...OR 34 MILES WEST OF YANKTON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BLOOMFIELD AND WAUSA HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS OR LARGER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4246 9748 4268 9812 4277 9809 4278 9803 4278 9799 4279 9796 4283 9750 TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 293DEG 29KT 4274 9801 $$ DEE  274 WWUS53 KOAX 290146 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 846 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC003-107-290200- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0443.000000T0000Z-080929T0200Z/ ANTELOPE NE-KNOX NE- 846 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN KNOX AND NORTHERN ANTELOPE COUNTIES... AT 842 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CREIGHTON...OR 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4248 9783 4234 9785 4236 9830 4251 9828 TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 280DEG 33KT 4241 9784 $$ DEE  846 WWUS53 KOAX 290146 CCA SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 846 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290156- /O.CAN.KOAX.SV.W.0443.000000T0000Z-080929T0200Z/ KNOX NE- 846 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4243 9829 4244 9784 4234 9785 4236 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 280DEG 33KT 4241 9784 $$ NEC003-290200- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0443.000000T0000Z-080929T0200Z/ ANTELOPE NE- 846 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN ANTELOPE COUNTY... AT 842 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES EAST OF ASHFALL FOSSIL BEDS STATE HISTORICAL PARK...OR 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 38 MPH. . THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4243 9829 4244 9784 4234 9785 4236 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 280DEG 33KT 4241 9784 $$ DEE  084 WUUS53 KOAX 290148 SVROAX NEC139-290230- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0445.080929T0148Z-080929T0230Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 848 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... PIERCE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 930 PM CDT. * AT 846 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PLAINVIEW...OR 33 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PLAINVIEW...OSMOND AND PIERCE HAIL OF 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4243 9783 4240 9737 4212 9737 4231 9783 4240 9784 TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 289DEG 29KT 4240 9781 $$ DEE  499 ACPN50 PHFO 290148 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SUN SEP 28 2008 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. $$  367 WAAK49 PAWU 290149 WA9O FAIS WA 290145 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 290800 . UPR YKN VLY FB PFYU E MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. IMPR. . TANANA VLY FC MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. IMPR. . =FAIT WA 290145 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 290800 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 290145 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 290800 . NONE .  915 WSUS33 KKCI 290155 SIGW MKCW WST 290155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 3W VALID UNTIL 0355Z AZ UT NV FROM 60E OAL-50S ILC-60N PGS-30S LAS-60E OAL DMSHG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL320. OUTLOOK VALID 290355-290755 FROM 60SSE BAM-DTA-HVE-TBC-EED-30WSW BTY-OAL-60SSE BAM WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  916 WSUS31 KKCI 290155 SIGE MKCE WST 290155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 3E VALID UNTIL 0355Z ME AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40N PQI-50WSW YSJ-130SE BGR-60ENE ENE-60ENE YQB-40N PQI AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 21020KT. TOPS TO FL350. WIND GUSTS TO 70KT POSS. TS ASSOCD WITH HURCN KYLE. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 4E VALID UNTIL 0355Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40NNE PBI-80ENE PBI-100SE MIA-50ESE EYW-40NNE PBI AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 290355-290755 AREA 1...FROM 60NW PQI-PQI-50WSW YSJ-110SE BGR-50E ENE-70ENE YSC-60NW PQI WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT WTNT21 KNHC FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER FOR DETAILS ON HURCN KYLE. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM ENE-180SE ACK-140SE SIE-190ESE ECG-110ESE ECG-CYN-ALB-ENE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 210ENE VRB-170E PBI-60ENE PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WNW EYW-50ENE EYW-MIA-VRB-210ENE VRB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  917 WSUS32 KKCI 290155 SIGC MKCC WST 290155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 3C VALID UNTIL 0355Z MN IA NE SD FROM 30SSW BRD-20SSW FOD-60WNW FOD-50WSW OBH-70N ONL-30SSW BRD AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 290355-290755 FROM 30NNE RWF-50W ODI-30ENE IRK-60WSW MCI-50SSE HLC-MCK-30E LBF-30N ONL-40NNW FSD-30NNE RWF REF WW 909. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  484 WOAU12 AMRF 290151 IDV21000 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, MELBOURNE AT 0151UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREA Please be aware Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Situation Cold front to west expected 45S138E/50S142E by 291200UTC, 43S144E/50S149E by 291800UTC and 43S150E/50S154E by 300000UTC. Area Affected Within 43S141E/44S160E/50S160E/50S141E/43S141E Forecast West to southwesterly winds at 25/35 knots in the east gradually easing 20/30 knots over the next 6 to 12 hours. Wind veering northwesterly 25/35 knots within 360 nm ahead of front and reaching 40 knots south of 45S. Wind shifting west to southwesterly at similar strength west of front. Very rough to high seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER MELBOURNE  882 WWUS53 KOAX 290153 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 853 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC003-290203- /O.EXP.KOAX.SV.W.0443.000000T0000Z-080929T0200Z/ ANTELOPE NE- 853 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN ANTELOPE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM CDT... THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED. SEVERE STORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4243 9829 4244 9784 4234 9785 4236 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 0153Z 280DEG 33KT 4240 9775 $$ DEE  758 WGUS84 KLIX 290154 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 854 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA... THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY AFFECTING ST. MARY PARISH FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. LAC101-291954- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0094.080930T1200Z-080930T1800Z/ /MCGL1.1.ET.080930T1200Z.080930T1200Z.080930T1200Z.NO/ 854 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY. * FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 4.0 FEET...WATER WILL MOVE UP THE BANK AND ACROSS ACCESS ROADS BELOW THE CITY DOCK. FLOODWALL GATES SHOULD BE CLOSED BY THE 5 FOOT STAGE TO PROTECT AGAINST HIGHER STAGES. VESSEL TRAFFIC WILL BE AFFECTED BY STRONGER RIVER CURRENT AND VESSEL TRAFFIC SAFETY RULES WILL BE STRICTLY ENFORCED BY THE U. S. COAST GUARD. $$ 9/SO  840 WHUS71 KBOX 290154 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 954 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ANZ250-254-255-291000- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080930T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM- 954 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OUTER-WATERS. LEFT OVER SWELL FROM NOW DISTANT HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEAS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY MONDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...THE TREND WILL BE FOR WAVE HEIGHTS TO SLOWLY DROP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ235-237-291000- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080929T1500Z/ RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 954 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. THIS ADVISORY IS FOR RHODE ISLAND AND BLOCK ISLAND SOUNDS. SEAS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AS KYLE PULLS EVEN FURTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION. HOWEVER...SEAS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING BEFORE THEY FINALLY DROP BELOW THRESHOLDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. KYLE CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION...HOWEVER LARGE SWELL FROM KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS THROUGH MONDAY. && $$ FRANK  903 WUUS53 KGID 290154 SVRGID NEC077-175-290230- /O.NEW.KGID.SV.W.0369.080929T0154Z-080929T0230Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 854 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN GREELEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA SOUTHEASTERN VALLEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA * UNTIL 930 PM CDT * AT 851 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH LOUP...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ORD...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 31 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... SCOTIA BY 905 PM CDT GREELEY BY 915 PM CDT IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. LAT...LON 4158 9851 4140 9852 4139 9904 4164 9887 TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 295DEG 27KT 4151 9880 $$ WESELY  822 WGUS61 KCAR 290155 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 955 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...RAINFALL WINDING DOWN ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE... .HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM KYLE WILL BE CONFINED TO THE EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029>032-290600- /O.CON.KCAR.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-080929T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT- SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO... OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND... ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE... PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL... EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO... GUILFORD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 955 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE... NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT...NORTHERN PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN NORTH CENTRAL MAINE... SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL HANCOCK... COASTAL WASHINGTON...INTERIOR HANCOCK AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY * RAINFALL IS BEGINNING TO WIND ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF WASHINGTON COUNTY AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. * TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THIS EVENT WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 4 INCHES WELL INLAND WITH UP TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED ACROSS EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM KYLE. * HIGH TIDES ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST ARE AROUND 11:00 PM TONIGHT. THE HIGH TIDES COMBINED WITH A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET AND RUNOFF MAY ADD TO FLOODING POTENTIAL IN TIDAL RIVERS AND ESTUARIES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ HEWITT  062 WSNZ21 NZKL 290200 NZZC SIGMET 3 VALID 290200/290600 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB OBS 30NM S OF NZPM BLW FL180 FCST SEV TURB FL160/FL200 N OF NZPP S OF NZPM NC  195 WWUS53 KOAX 290200 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 900 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290230- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0444.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ KNOX NE- 900 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR EASTERN KNOX COUNTY... AT 855 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CROFTON TO WAUSA...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YANKTON TO 29 MILES SOUTH OF YANKTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...WAUSA AND CROFTON. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4246 9748 4268 9812 4277 9809 4278 9803 4278 9799 4279 9796 4283 9750 TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 293DEG 15KT 4271 9751 4249 9758 $$ DEE  572 WWUS63 KLBF 290200 WCNLBF WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 909 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 900 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC009-015-017-071-089-103-115-149-183-290300- /O.CAN.KLBF.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN NEBRASKA THIS CANCELS 9 COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA BLAINE BOYD BROWN GARFIELD HOLT KEYA PAHA LOUP ROCK WHEELER THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...AINSWORTH...BARTLETT...BASSETT... BURWELL...DUNNING...ONEILL...SPENCER...SPRINGVIEW AND TAYLOR. $$ POWER  743 WSNZ21 NZKL 290200 NZZC SIGMET 3 VALID 290200/290600 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB OBS 30NM S OF NZPM BLW FL180 FCST SEV TURB FL160/FL200 N OF NZPP S OF NZPM NC  061 WWUS53 KOAX 290202 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 902 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC139-290230- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0445.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ PIERCE NE- 902 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR PIERCE COUNTY... AT 859 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OSMOND...OR 26 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...OSMOND...MCLEAN...PIERCE AND THE HIGHWAY 81 AND 20 JUNCTION. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4243 9783 4240 9737 4212 9737 4231 9783 4240 9784 TIME...MOT...LOC 0202Z 288DEG 34KT 4236 9761 $$ DEE  501 WTSS20 VHHH 290146 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290000 UTC, TYPHOON JANGMI (0815) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (28.9 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC THREE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (31.0 N) ONE THREE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (132.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  736 WTSS20 VHHH 290146 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290000 UTC, TYPHOON JANGMI (0815) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (28.9 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC THREE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (31.0 N) ONE THREE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (132.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  221 WOUS64 KWNS 290203 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 909 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 903 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NEC003-027-107-139-290400- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE CEDAR KNOX PIERCE $$ SDC009-011-023-027-061-067-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-125-135- 290400- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BON HOMME BROOKINGS CHARLES MIX CLAY HANSON HUTCHINSON KINGSBURY LAKE LINCOLN MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA MOODY TURNER YANKTON $$ ATTN...WFO...OAX...FSD...  527 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNING NR 022 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 19W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z --- NEAR 25.6N 121.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N 121.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 27.0N 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 28.4N 123.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 29.5N 126.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 30.4N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 31.9N 137.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 33.9N 147.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z POSITION NEAR 25.9N 121.2E. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  916 WHCA42 TJSJ 290205 CFWSJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1005 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 ...LONG PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES OVERNIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY MONDAY EVENING... PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-002-292200- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SU.Y.0015.080929T0205Z-080929T2200Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST- MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- 1005 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO... CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND FOR ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST MONDAY. LONG PERIOD...NORTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN... BEGAN TO AFFECT THE REGIONAL COASTAL WATERS LATE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THESE 4 TO 5 OR LOCALLY 6 FOOT LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL WATERS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO 14 FEET OR HIGHER ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS OF THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST COASTS OF ALL OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THEREFORE...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS. THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE TO SAFELY SWIM TO SHORE. LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS. THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE: SAN JUAN HARBOR: 8:57 AM AST MONDAY MORNING AT 1.8 FEET MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 8:48 AM AST MONDAY MORNING AT 1.4 FEET CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 5:32 AM AST MONDAY MORNING AT 0.9 FEET PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DANGEROUS MARINE SITUATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. $$ BCS  734 WTCN31 CWHX 290205 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:05 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR: =NEW= SHELBURNE COUNTY =NEW= YARMOUTH COUNTY =NEW= DIGBY COUNTY LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY NOVA SCOTIA ANNAPOLIS COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK FUNDY NATIONAL PARK. TROPICAL STORM KYLE IS MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD NEW BRUNSWICK. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SUSTAINED GALES...WINDS OF 63 KM/H OR MORE. BY NATURE A TROPICAL STORM ALSO IMPLIES THE THREAT OF LOCAL FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AT 9PM ADT KYLE WENT ASHORE JUST NORTH OF YARMOUTH AS A MARGINAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. REPORTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED SO FAR OF SOME TREES DOWNED AND ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM KYLE CAN STILL CAUSE DAMAGE WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 110 KM/H OVER EXPOSED AREAS. KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO MOST OF NEW BRUNSWICK WHERE RAINFALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED. 50 TO 100 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN COULD FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. EMO NEW BRUNSWICK REMINDS THE PUBLIC THAT RAINFALL IN THESE AMOUNTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME CAN RESULT IN RAPID INCREASE IN WATER LEVELS IN STREAMS AND RIVERS AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/CHC  407 WUUS53 KOAX 290207 SVROAX NEC027-290230- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0446.080929T0207Z-080929T0230Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 907 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CEDAR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 930 PM CDT. * AT 903 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF HARTINGTON TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COLERIDGE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTH OF YANKTON TO 28 MILES NORTH OF NORFOLK...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HARTINGTON...COLERIDGE AND WYNOT THE WARNED AREA INCLUDES HIGHWAY 81 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 206 AND 215. WINDS OF 60 MPH OR STRONGER ARE POSSIBLE. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...GO TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 4276 9704 4265 9701 4235 9703 4246 9747 4283 9748 TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 276DEG 27KT 4274 9737 4244 9737 $$ DEE  455 WDPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 19W WARNING NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 19W HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS OVER NORTHERN TAIWAN AND HAS ONLY RECENTLY TRACKED BACK OVER WATER. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED GENERALLY NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AFTER A PERIOD OF ERRATIC MOVEMENT, AND HAS ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE MODELS HAVE REMAINED IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 36 AND CONTINUE TO DIVERGE AFTER THIS TIME WHILE REMAINING IN FAIR AGREEMENT. B. TS 19W IS TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR), WHICH IS ORIENTED NORTH-SOUTH UP TO 30N. THE 28/12Z 500MB ANALYSIS DEPICTED A WEAK FINGER OF THIS RIDGE EXTENDING WESTWARD TO SHANGHAI, CHINA. THIS IS CURRENTLY PROVIDING SOME WESTWARD COMPONENT TO THE TRACK. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STILL DEPICTS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, ESPECIALLY THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW WHICH IS TAPPED INTO STRONG MIDLATITUDE WEST- ERLIES. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON RADAR DATA FROM TAIWAN SO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE 6-HOUR MOTION AND POSITION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED LOWER THAN THE ONLY DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 77 KNOTS FROM RJTD (CI ONLY) BASED ON THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM RCTP ABOUT 45 NM SSE INDICATE 36G53 AND THE RADAR STILL SHOWS AN ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH HEAVY SHOWER BANDING SUPPORTING THE 60 KNOT INTENSITY AND DOWNGRADE TO TS. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. THE OVERALL TRACK PHILOSOPHY IS UNCHANGED BUT TRACK SPEEDS WERE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER TAU 48 AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE STRONG MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. B. TS 19W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD TOWARD THE BREAK IN THE STR AND WILL RE-CURVE SHARPLY EASTWARD UNDER THE MIDLATITUDE WEST- ERLIES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AFTER TAU 48 AND WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) NEAR THIS TIME. THE DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL TRACK WITH SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN TRACK SPEED AND TRACK ORIENTATION. C. TS 19W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE ETT NEAR TAU 90 AND TO ACCELERATE AND WEAKEN UNDER STRONG WESTERLY FLOW. FORECAST TEAM: DELTA//  191 WWUS53 KOAX 290209 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 909 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290218- /O.CAN.KOAX.SV.W.0444.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ KNOX NE- 908 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN KNOX COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA... THUS THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4246 9748 4268 9812 4277 9809 4278 9803 4278 9799 4279 9796 4283 9750 TIME...MOT...LOC 0208Z 293DEG 15KT 4270 9747 4248 9754 $$ DEE  115 WWUS53 KOAX 290211 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 911 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC139-290230- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0445.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ PIERCE NE- 911 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR PIERCE COUNTY... AT 907 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FOSTER...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...PIERCE AND THE HIGHWAY 81 AND 20 JUNCTION. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4243 9783 4240 9737 4212 9737 4231 9783 4240 9784 TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 292DEG 35KT 4227 9754 $$ DEE  603 WWUS83 KGID 290212 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 909 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ046-047-290245- HOWARD-SHERMAN- 909 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... NORTHERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA NORTHEASTERN SHERMAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA AT 904 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GREELEY TO SCOTIA TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHERMAN RESERVOIR DAM...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 32 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... SHERMAN RESERVOIR DAM BY 915 PM CDT COTESFIELD BY 925 PM CDT ELBA BY 940 PM CDT CUSHING BY 945 PM CDT QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS IF THEY MAINTAIN THEIR CURRENT STRENGTH. PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN SHERMAN AND NORTHERN HOWARD COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED IF THE STORMS SUSTAIN THEMSELVES AND MOVE INTO THE AREA. BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER IF SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS. $$ WESELY  428 WTKO20 RKSL 290000 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1 NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA ANALYSIS POSITION 290000UTC 16.4N 111.6E MOVEMENT N 7KT PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 300000UTC 18.1N 110.1E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT 48HR POSITION 010000UTC 19.2N 107.4E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT 72HR POSITION 020000UTC 19.6N 104.7E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  809 WWUS53 KGID 290214 SVSGID SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 914 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC077-175-290230- /O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0369.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ GREELEY NE-VALLEY NE- 914 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN VALLEY AND SOUTHWESTERN GREELEY COUNTIES... AT 912 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GREELEY TO SCOTIA TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORTH LOUP...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES EAST OF ORD TO 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ORD TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF ORD... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 31 MPH. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. LAT...LON 4158 9851 4140 9852 4139 9904 4164 9887 TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 295DEG 27KT 4152 9851 4145 9862 4140 9881 $$ WESELY  810 WWUS53 KOAX 290214 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 914 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC027-290230- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0446.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ CEDAR NE- 914 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR CEDAR COUNTY... AT 911 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FORDYCE TO HARTINGTON TO 7 MILES WEST OF BELDEN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF YANKTON TO 22 MILES SOUTH OF YANKTON TO 28 MILES NORTH OF NORFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...COLERIDGE...BELDEN...WYNOT...OBERT AND LAUREL. THE WARNED AREA INCLUDES HIGHWAY 81 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 206 AND 215. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH. GO TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4276 9704 4265 9701 4235 9703 4246 9747 4283 9748 TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 276DEG 27KT 4273 9730 4258 9725 4243 9730 $$ DEE  299 WTPN32 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z --- NEAR 16.6N 111.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 111.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 17.6N 110.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 18.4N 109.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 19.0N 107.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 19.3N 105.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 20.1N 102.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 290300Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 111.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 20W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 7 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  609 WHUS72 KMHX 290218 MWWMHX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1018 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 AMZ152-154-291030- /O.CON.KMHX.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080929T1500Z/ S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM- S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1018 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ150-290600- /O.CON.KMHX.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080929T0600Z/ S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM- 1018 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ156-290900- /O.CON.KMHX.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080929T0900Z/ S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM- 1018 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  837 WSAZ31 LPMG 290218 LPPO SIGMET 3 VALID 280230/290530 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N37 W037 - N33 W037 - N33 W033 - N37 W033 TOP FL340 MOV N NC=  934 WSAZ31 LPMG 290218 LPPO SIGMET 3 VALID 280230/290530 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N37 W037 - N33 W037 - N33 W033 - N37 W033 TOP FL340 MOV N NC=  026 WSAZ31 LPMG 290218 LPPO SIGMET 3 VALID 280230/290530 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N37 W037 - N33 W037 - N33 W033 - N37 W033 TOP FL340 MOV N NC=  110 WUUS53 KFSD 290220 SVRFSD NEC043-051-290300- /O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0295.080929T0220Z-080929T0300Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 920 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... DAKOTA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA DIXON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA * UNTIL 1000 PM CDT * AT 918 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF DIXON TO 11 MILES WEST OF DIXON TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CONCORD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VERMILLION TO 28 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCA TO 42 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 42 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... DIXON...CONCORD AROUND 930 PM CDT... MARTINSBURG...WAKEFIELD...ALLEN AROUND 940 PM CDT... EMERSON AROUND 950 PM CDT... HUBBARD...JACKSON...HOMER AROUND 1000 PM CDT... LAT...LON 4226 9702 4227 9703 4265 9703 4265 9701 4241 9645 4227 9649 4227 9672 4225 9673 TIME...MOT...LOC 0218Z 300DEG 37KT 4259 9709 4238 9715 4216 9730 $$ WILLIAMS  480 WHCA42 TJSJ 290220 CCB CFWSPN URGENTE - SE REQUIERE DIFUSION INMEDIATA MENSAJE SOBRE RIESGOS COSTEROS SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1005 AM AST DOMINGO 28 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO DEL NORESTE CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS REGIONALES DEL ATLANTICO Y LOS PASAJES DEL CARIBE HASTA AL MENOS TEMPRANO EN EL ANOCHECER DEL LUNES... PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-002-292200- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NOROESTE-MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST THOMAS/ST JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- ST CROIX 1005 AM AST DOMINGO 28 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 6 PM AST DEL LUNES... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES PARA LAS COSTAS NORTE A NORESTE DE PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA Y VIEQUES Y PARA TODAS LAS ISLAS VIRGENES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 6 PM AST DEL LUNES... MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO...DEL NORESTE GENERADAS UN AREA EXTENSA NO TROPICAL DE BAJA PRESION...LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL CENTRO DEL ATLANTICO NORTE...COMENZO A AFECTAR LAS AGUAS COSTERAS REGIONALES TARDE EN LA NOCHE DEL DOMINGO Y HAN CONTINUADO AUMENTANDO LENTAMENTE DESDE TARDE EN LA MANANA DEL DOMINGO Y CONTINUARA DURANTE LA NOCHE Y HASTA EK LUNES. ESTAS MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO DE 4 A 5 Y OCASIONALMENTE HASTA 6 PIES CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS LOCALES ESTA NOCHE A LUNES Y CONTINUANDO HASTA AL MENOS EL ANOCHECER DEL LUNES. ESTAS MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO PRODUCIRAN OLAS ROMPIENTES GRANDES DE 10 A 14 PIES O MAS A LO LARGO DE LOS ARRECIFES...PLAYAS Y LAS DUNAS DE LA COSTA NORTE A ESTE DE TODAS LAS ISLAS LOCALES. POR LO TANTO...UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACA FUERTE HA SIDO EMITIDO PARA ESTAS AREAS. ESTAS OLAS ROMPIENTES GENERARAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES DENTRO DE LA ZONA DONDE LAS OLAS ROMPEN...LLAMADAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. ESTAS CORRIENTES ESTRECHAS QUE FLUYEN MAR AFUERA PUEDEN ARRASTRAR PERSONAS Y ANIMALES ALEJANDOLOS DE LA COSTA A TRAVES DE LA ZONA DONDE LAS OLAS ROMPEN HACIA EL MAR ABIERTO. SI SE VE ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...NO ENTRE EN PANICO. CON CALMA... MANTENGASE A FLOTE...LOCALICE SU POSICION RELATIVA A LA PLAYA...Y NADE DE LADO O PARALELO A LA PLAYA. EVENTUALMENTE SALDRA DEL AGARRE DE ESTA CORRIENTE ESTRECHA...Y PODRA NADAR A SALVO HASTA LA COSTA. SE ADVIERTE A LOS BANISTAS...LOS QUE PRACTICAN DEPORTES ACUATICOS Y NADADORES INEXPERTOS A PERMANECER FUERA DEL AGUA HASTA QUE ESTAS CONDICIONES DE RESACAS PELIGROSAS DISMINUYAN. LAS PERSONAS EN LAS PLAYAS DEBEN ESTAR ALERTAS A LAS GRANDES OLAS ROMPIENTES QUE AZOTAN LA COSTA...LAS CUALES PUEDEN ARRASTRAR PERSONAS DE CUALQUIER TAMANO MAR AFUERA HACIA EL OCEANO. DEBE EVITAR ESTAR CERCA DE LA LINEA COSTERA Y PERMANECER LEJOS DE LAS FORMACIONES ROCOSAS. ESTAS OLAS ROMPIENTES TAMBIEN CREARAN EL POTENCIAL PARA EROSION DE PLAYAS DURANTE LAS HORAS DE MAREA ALTA. LA HORA DE LAS MAREAS ALTAS PARA LOS SIGUIENTES LUGARES SON: BAHIA DE SAN JUAN: 8:57 AM AST LUNES EN LA MANANA A 1.8 PIES. MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 8:57 AM AST LUNES EN LA MANANA A 1.4 PIES CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 5:32 PM AST LUNES EN LA MANANA A 0.9 PIES POR FAVOR MANTENGASE EN SINTONIA CON EL RADIO DEL TIEMPO DE NOAA PARA LA ULTIMA INFORMACION SOBRE LA PELIGROSA SITUACION MARITIMA DESDE LA OFICINA DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN. ESTE PRODUCTO...JUNTO CON OTRA INFORMACION ATMOSFERICA...HIDROLOGICA Y CLIMATOLOGICA...ESTAN DISPONIBLES EN LA PAGINA DE INTERNET HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU O HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN $$ BCS/JAE  648 WSNZ21 NZKL 290221 NZZC SIGMET 4 VALID 290221/290621 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE OBS 50NM N OF NZNV AT 02Z FCST SEV ICE FL100/180 S OF NZQN/NZOU E OF NZMO NC  074 WWUS73 KBIS 290221 NPWBIS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 921 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL SETTLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY MONDAY MORNING. DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE...CLEAR SKIES AND VERY LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RAPIDLY COOL SUNDAY NIGHT...AND FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. MONDAY MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S ARE EXPECTED...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT TO PROTECT ANY REMAINING VULNERABLE VEGETATION. FURTHERMORE...CHILDREN HEADING TO SCHOOL ON MONDAY MORNING SHOULD HAVE PROPER CLOTHING TO PROTECT AGAINST SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTION SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE APPROPRIATE SHELTER AND WATER SOURCES FOR FREEZING OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. NDZ031>033-291030- /O.EXA.KBIS.FZ.W.0002.080929T0900Z-080929T1400Z/ GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON 821 PM MDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY. COLD HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL SETTLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY MONDAY MORNING. DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE...CLEAR SKIES AND VERY LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RAPIDLY COOL SUNDAY NIGHT...AND FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S MONDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. $$ NDZ040-041-043-044-291030- /O.CON.KBIS.FZ.W.0002.080929T0900Z-080929T1400Z/ SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARMARTH...MOTT...BOWMAN...HETTINGER 821 PM MDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY... A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM MDT MONDAY. COLD HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL SETTLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY MONDAY MORNING. DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE...CLEAR SKIES AND VERY LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RAPIDLY COOL SUNDAY NIGHT...AND FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S MONDAY MORNING ACROSS SLOPE... BOWMAN...HETTINGER AND ADAMS COUNTIES....WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. $$  453 WSNZ21 NZKL 290221 NZZC SIGMET 4 VALID 290221/290621 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE OBS 50NM N OF NZNV AT 02Z FCST SEV ICE FL100/180 S OF NZQN/NZOU E OF NZMO NC  228 WTCN31 CWHX 290155 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:55 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- HURRICANE WARNING ENDED FOR: SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== HURRICANE KYLE HAS WEAKENED TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. AS A RESULT.. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ENDED BUT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TO ACCOUNT FOR STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  258 WSAZ31 LPMG 290218 LPPO SIGMET 3 VALID 290230/290530 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N37 W037 - N33 W037 - N33 W033 - N37 W033 TOP FL340 MOV N NC=  319 ACUS11 KWNS 290222 SWOMCD SPC MCD 290222 IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290315- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2298 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0922 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NEB AND E CNTRL NEB THROUGH SE SD AND NW IA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 909... VALID 290222Z - 290315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 909 CONTINUES. THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO. STORMS HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND TRENDS SHOULD BE FOR INTENSITIES TO CONTINUE DECREASING. STORMS ARE APPROACHING ERN EDGE OF WW 909...BUT THREAT FARTHER EAST APPEARS TOO LIMITED IN SPACE AND TIME TO JUSTIFY ANOTHER WW ISSUANCE. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING SEWD THROUGH ERN NEB AND WRN IA OVERNIGHT WITHIN ZONE OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SEWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. HOWEVER...STABILIZING EFFECTS OF NOCTURNAL COOLING SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL WITH TIME. ..DIAL.. 09/29/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF... 42959656 41959668 41359767 41289888 42079834 42989737  366 WSAZ31 LPMG 290218 LPPO SIGMET 3 VALID 290230/290530 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N37 W037 - N33 W037 - N33 W033 - N37 W033 TOP FL340 MOV N NC=  368 WSAZ31 LPMG 290218 LPPO SIGMET 3 VALID 290230/290530 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N37 W037 - N33 W037 - N33 W033 - N37 W033 TOP FL340 MOV N NC=  415 WUUS53 KOAX 290222 SVROAX NEC011-290245- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0447.080929T0222Z-080929T0245Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 922 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN BOONE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 945 PM CDT. * AT 920 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CEDAR RAPIDS...OR 43 MILES NORTH OF GRAND ISLAND...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CEDAR RAPIDS HAIL OF 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4165 9826 4155 9783 4153 9783 4152 9783 4150 9826 TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 291DEG 24KT 4153 9818 $$ DEE  677 WWUS53 KGID 290223 SVSGID SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 923 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC077-175-290233- /O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0369.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ GREELEY NE-VALLEY NE- 923 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN VALLEY AND SOUTHWESTERN GREELEY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 930 PM CDT... THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS IT MOVES THROUGH. LAT...LON 4158 9851 4140 9852 4139 9904 4164 9887 TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 295DEG 27KT 4149 9843 4142 9854 4137 9873 $$ WESELY  617 WTPQ20 BABJ 290200 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290200 UTC 00HR 16.5N 111.4E 992HPA 18M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H=  633 WTPQ20 BABJ 290200 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290200 UTC 00HR 25.8N 121.1E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR N 10KM/H=  720 WSCN34 CWUL 290224 SIGMET B2 VALID 290225/290625 CWUL- WTN AREA BOUNDED BY /4325N06530W/35 SE YARMOUTH - /4515N06123W/25 S PORT HAWKESBURY - /4540N06213W/35 W PORT HAWKESBURY - /4350N06605W/YARMOUTH - /4325N06530W/35 SE YARMOUTH. STG SFC WNDS REPD AT SVRL STNS. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 40 AGL. AREA MOVG NEWD 20 KT. LTL CHG EXPD. END/1/GFA34/CMAC-E/CHAREST  739 WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 58N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 170E 51N 170E 51N 180E 37N 180E 38N 170E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 09N 133E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 144E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 123E TO 30N 133E 31N 141E 32N 148E 33N 155E 38N 167E. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 985 HPA AT 25.4N 121.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 992 HPA AT 16.4N 111.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  724 WWUS53 KOAX 290227 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 927 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC139-290237- /O.EXP.KOAX.SV.W.0445.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ PIERCE NE- 927 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PIERCE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 930 PM CDT... THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED. SEVERE STORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4243 9783 4240 9737 4212 9737 4231 9783 4240 9784 TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 292DEG 35KT 4221 9735 $$ DEE  588 WWCN11 CWHX 290227 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:27 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR: =NEW= SHELBURNE COUNTY =NEW= YARMOUTH COUNTY =NEW= DIGBY COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY LUNENBURG COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY. TROPICAL STORM KYLE IS MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD NEW BRUNSWICK. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SUSTAINED GALES...WINDS OF 63 KM/H OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE SPECIFIED AREAS WITHIN 24 HOURS. BY NATURE A TROPICAL STORM ALSO IMPLIES THE THREAT OF LOCAL FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. BY NATURE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IMPLIES THE THREAT OF LOCAL FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. WIND WARNING FOR: HALIFAX METRO AND HALIFAX COUNTY WEST LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY KINGS COUNTY CUMBERLAND COUNTY - MINAS SHORE CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH AND COBEQUID PASS. WINDS GUSTING FROM 90 TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. LES SUETES WIND WARNING FOR: INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH. WINDS GUSTS TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN SUBSIDE TO STRONG WINDS MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS..LES SUETES..ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS AND OVER ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NOVA SCOTIA... STORM SURGE WARNING ENDED FOR: SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY. ELEVATED COASTAL WATER LEVELS ARE SUBSIDING. HURRICANE WARNING ENDED FOR: SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== HURRICANE KYLE HAS WEAKENED TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. AS A RESULT.. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ENDED BUT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. AT 9PM ADT KYLE WENT ASHORE JUST NORTH OF YARMOUTH AS A MARGINAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. REPORTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED SO FAR OF SOME TREES DOWNED AND ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM KYLE CAN STILL CAUSE DAMAGE WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 110 KM/H OVER EXPOSED AREAS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  223 WGUS71 KBOX 290228 FFSBOX FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1028 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 CTC003-013-290236- /O.CAN.KBOX.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080929T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TOLLAND CT-HARTFORD CT- 1028 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR HARTFORD AND WESTERN TOLLAND COUNTIES... THE TORRENTIAL RAIN THAT RESULTED IN FLASH FLOODING EARLY IN THE EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HARTFORD AND TOLLAND COUNTIES HAS DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED. HOWEVER...NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THIS MAY LEAD TO SOME MINOR POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING IN AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT THIS EVENING. LAT...LON 4157 7295 4163 7295 4165 7299 4180 7303 4182 7296 4187 7297 4191 7292 4196 7291 4195 7226 4164 7229 4160 7249 4164 7252 4163 7266 4154 7286 $$ FRANK  763 WTSS20 VHHH 290145 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEKKHALA (0816) HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS. AT 290000 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (102.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.  103 WTSS20 VHHH 290145 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEKKHALA (0816) HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS. AT 290000 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (102.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.  307 WWUS53 KOAX 290229 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 929 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC027-290239- /O.EXP.KOAX.SV.W.0446.000000T0000Z-080929T0230Z/ CEDAR NE- 929 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CEDAR COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 930 PM CDT... THE WARNED AREA INCLUDES HIGHWAY 81 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 206 AND 215. THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED. SEVERE STORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4276 9704 4265 9701 4235 9703 4246 9747 4283 9748 TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 276DEG 27KT 4272 9715 4257 9710 4242 9715 $$ DEE  333 WWUS83 KGID 290229 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 928 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ040-041-047-290300- GREELEY-HOWARD-NANCE- 928 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... SOUTHEASTERN GREELEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA NANCE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA AT 925 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CEDAR RAPIDS TO COTESFIELD TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ASHTON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 28 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... ELBA BY 935 PM CDT FARWELL BY 940 PM CDT CUSHING BY 945 PM CDT ST. PAUL BY 950 PM CDT GENOA BY 1000 PM CDT SMALL HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES...AND WINDS AROUND 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ WESELY  471 ACUS11 KWNS 290230 SWOMCD SPC MCD 290230 COR IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290315- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2298 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0930 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NEB AND E CNTRL NEB THROUGH SE SD AND NW IA CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909... VALID 290230Z - 290315Z CORRECTED FOR WATCH TYPE THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 CONTINUES. THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO. STORMS HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND TRENDS SHOULD BE FOR INTENSITIES TO CONTINUE DECREASING. STORMS ARE APPROACHING ERN EDGE OF WW 909...BUT THREAT FARTHER EAST APPEARS TOO LIMITED IN SPACE AND TIME TO JUSTIFY ANOTHER WW ISSUANCE. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING SEWD THROUGH ERN NEB AND WRN IA OVERNIGHT WITHIN ZONE OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SEWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. HOWEVER...STABILIZING EFFECTS OF NOCTURNAL COOLING SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL WITH TIME. ..DIAL.. 09/29/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF... 42959656 41959668 41359767 41289888 42079834 42989737  776 WAUS45 KKCI 290245 WA5Z SLCZ WA 290245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 095-145 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 60NNE GEG-20WNW MLP-70S MLP-50NW LKT-30NE DLN-30SSE JAC-50ESE JAC-20SW SHR-30E SHR-50WNW RAP ....  778 WAUS45 KKCI 290245 WA5T SLCT WA 290245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 290900 . AIRMET TURB...MT WY FROM 70SW DIK TO BFF TO SNY TO 50SE OCS TO 40W BPI TO 80E DLN TO 70SW DIK MOD TURB BTN FL280 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  780 WAUS45 KKCI 290245 WA5S SLCS WA 290245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...IFR ID MT BOUNDED BY 40N FCA-60ESE FCA-50W HLN-30NW DBS-60SSE LKT-90S MLP- 30ENE GEG-40N FCA VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG AFT 12Z. CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  028 WAUS46 KKCI 290245 WA6S SFOS WA 290245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 290900 . AIRMET IFR...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NNW FOT TO 30NNE FOT TO 30NW ENI TO 20NNE PYE TO SNS TO 20WNW RZS TO 20NW LAX TO 50ESE LAX TO 20SE MZB TO 220SW MZB TO 140WSW FOT TO 70NNW FOT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  029 WAUS46 KKCI 290245 WA6Z SFOZ WA 290245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 105-150 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20NE HUH-50S YDC-60NNE GEG ....  030 WAUS46 KKCI 290245 WA6T SFOT WA 290245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  199 WTNT21 KNHC 290231 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 0300 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINE IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF DIGBY... YARMOUTH...AND SHELBURNE IN SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.8N 65.9W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 75NE 90SE 60SW 45NW. 34 KT.......210NE 210SE 110SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.8N 65.9W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.8N 66.2W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 47.2N 64.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 70SW 0NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 49.5N 63.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 50.6N 63.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 51.5N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.8N 65.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN  765 WTNT81 KNHC 290232 TCVAT1 KYLE WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 1100 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 .TROPICAL STORM KYLE MEZ029-030-290900- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 STONINGTON-ME 44.16N 68.67W EASTPORT-ME 44.92N 67.05W $$ ATTN...WFO...CAR...  476 WTNT31 KNHC 290233 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 1100 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 ...KYLE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT PASSES NOVA SCOTIA... SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE. AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINE IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF DIGBY... YARMOUTH...AND SHELBURNE IN SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK OVERNIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...60 KM...SOUTH OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK. KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/HR. A MOTION TO THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED...TAKING THE REMNANTS OF KYLE OVER EASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 INCH OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF MAINE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NEW BRUNSWICK AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN THE BAY OF FUNDY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES....WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...44.8 N...65.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN  548 WAEG31 HECA 290230 HECC AIRMET 1 VALID 290230/290630 HECA- CAIRO FIR SFC VIS 2000M BR OBS AND FCST OVER HEAX AND HEBA NC=  643 WAUS41 KKCI 290245 WA1S BOSS WA 290245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 290900 . AIRMET IFR...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 30NNE PQI TO 60WSW YSJ TO 130ESE ACK TO JFK TO PLB TO 40W YSC TO YSC TO 70NW PQI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM MSS TO PLB TO JFK TO ORF TO HMV TO HNN TO FWA TO DXO TO ERI TO MSS CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 04-06Z AND CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT NY PA WV MD VA FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO CON TO ALB TO HAR TO 50N LYH TO 40S PSK TO HMV TO HNN TO 40ESE AIR TO 30SW JHW TO SYR TO MSS TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 15Z WV ELSW CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  645 WWUS53 KFSD 290234 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 934 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC043-051-290300- /O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0295.000000T0000Z-080929T0300Z/ DAKOTA NE-DIXON NE- 933 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR DIXON AND DAKOTA COUNTIES... AT 933 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF MARTINSBURG TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF CONCORD TO 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WAKEFIELD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OF PONCA TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 43 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... MARTINSBURG...WAKEFIELD...ALLEN AROUND 940 PM CDT... WATERBURY AROUND 945 PM CDT... EMERSON AROUND 950 PM CDT... JACKSON AROUND 955 PM CDT... HUBBARD...HOMER AROUND 1000 PM CDT... LAT...LON 4226 9702 4227 9703 4265 9703 4265 9701 4241 9645 4227 9649 4227 9672 4225 9673 TIME...MOT...LOC 0233Z 300DEG 37KT 4251 9691 4230 9697 4208 9712 $$ WILLIAMS  647 WAUS41 KKCI 290245 WA1Z BOSZ WA 290245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 100-145 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 30SE ECK-40W PSB-30NE HAR-20SE BDL-BGR-30E HUL ....  649 WAUS42 KKCI 290245 WA2Z MIAZ WA 290245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 135-160 ACRS AREA ....  651 WAUS41 KKCI 290245 WA1T BOST WA 290245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  653 WAUS42 KKCI 290245 WA2T MIAT WA 290245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  655 WAUS42 KKCI 290245 WA2S MIAS WA 290245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 290900 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC GA VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM ORF TO 70SSE ECG TO 30SW ILM TO 50SSW VXV TO HMV TO ORF CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 04-06Z AND CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NC SC FROM HMV TO 40S PSK TO CLT TO 30SE ODF TO 30E GQO TO HMV MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS DVLPG 04-06Z AND CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  358 WAUS43 KKCI 290245 WA3Z CHIZ WA 290245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 055-145 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 50NNW MOT-30E MOT-50SW BJI-50SE BJI-40ESE YQT 120 ALG 50WNW RAP-20SW DSM-20NE MKG-30ESE MBS-30SE ECK ....  359 WAUS44 KKCI 290245 WA4Z DFWZ WA 290245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 130-155 ACRS AREA ....  360 WAUS43 KKCI 290245 WA3S CHIS WA 290245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 290900 . AIRMET IFR...NE MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN FROM INL TO YQT TO SSM TO YVV TO DXO TO FWA TO 50E UIN TO 30S OVR TO 50NNW OVR TO INL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. MN MI LS WI IA IL CONDS DVLPG 03- 06Z CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ELSW CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...IFR KY BOUNDED BY HNN-HMV-60ESE BWG-HNN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG AFT 09Z ENDG 15Z. ....  361 WAUS44 KKCI 290245 WA4S DFWS WA 290245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...IFR TN BOUNDED BY 60ESE BWG-HMV-50SSW VXV-40NW GQO-60ESE BWG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG AFT 09Z ENDG 15Z. ....  362 WAUS44 KKCI 290245 WA4T DFWT WA 290245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 290900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  363 WAUS43 KKCI 290245 WA3T CHIT WA 290245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 290900 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE FROM 50NNW ISN TO 60S YWG TO FSD TO SNY TO BFF TO 50NNW ISN MOD TURB BTN FL280 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . ELSW NO SGFNT TURB EXP EXCP INVOF CNVTV ACT. ....  545 WHCI28 BCGZ 290200 TS WARNING NR 3 UPGRADED FROM TD AT 290000 Z 0816 (0816 MEKKHALA) 992 HPA NEAR 16.5 NORTH 111.8 EAST POSITION FAIR BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS GUSTS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 25 KT WINDS 300 KMS OVER WATER MOVING WNW AT 6 KNOTS 24 HR FCST POSIT AT 300000 Z NEAR 17.9 NORTH 109.5 EAST MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GUSTS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER 48 HR FCST POSIT AT 010000 Z NEAR 18.5 NORTH 106.6 EAST MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS GUSTS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER  555 WHCI28 BCGZ 290200 TY WARNING NR 13 AT 290000 Z 0815 (0815 JANGMI) 970 HPA NEAR 25.5 NORTH 121.0 EAST POSITION FAIR BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS GUSTS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 40 KT WINDS 230 KMS OVER WATER MOVING NE AT 8 KNOTS 24 HR FCST POSIT AT 300000 Z NEAR 28.2 NORTH 123.3 EAST MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GUSTS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER 48 HR FCST POSIT AT 010000 Z NEAR 30.8 NORTH 130.6 EAST MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS GUSTS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING  584 WHCI28 BCGZ 290200 RRA TS WARNING NR 3 UPGRADED FROM TD AT 290000 Z 0816 (0816 MEKKHALA) 992 HPA NEAR 16.5 NORTH 111.8 EAST POSITION FAIR BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS GUSTS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 25 KT WINDS 300 KMS OVER WATER MOVING WNW AT 6 KNOTS 24 HR FCST POSIT AT 300000 Z NEAR 17.9 NORTH 109.5 EAST MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GUSTS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER 48 HR FCST POSIT AT 010000 Z NEAR 18.5 NORTH 106.6 EAST MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS GUSTS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER  854 WTNT41 KNHC 290235 TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM KYLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 1100 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW LITTLE OR NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH KYLE...AND THE SYSTEM WAS UNCLASSIFIABLE USING THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. CONSEQUENTLY...KYLE IS CONSIDERED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 23Z SHOWED ONE HURRICANE FORCE WIND VECTOR. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ASSUMED TO HAVE DECREASED A BIT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KT. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER NEW BRUNSWICK. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/23...WHICH IS LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST OF KYLE IS BEING ERODED BY THE LARGE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...AND AS A MID-LATITUDE SHORT WAVE BYPASSES KYLE TO THE NORTH ITS FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO SLOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE MODELS SEEM TO HAVE MISSED THE MORE NORTHWARD TURN THIS EVENING...AND AS A RESULT I'VE PLACED THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE 18Z UKMET. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0300Z 44.8N 65.9W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 12HR VT 29/1200Z 47.2N 64.6W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 30/0000Z 49.5N 63.7W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 30/1200Z 50.6N 63.7W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 01/0000Z 51.5N 64.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN  044 WTSS20 VHHH 290145 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEKKHALA (0816) HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS. AT 290000 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (102.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.  909 WHCA72 TJSJ 290241 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1041 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 ...NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH MID WEEK... .LONG PERIOD...NORTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN... WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. AMZ710-291045- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T0600Z-080930T0600Z/ ATLANTIC WATERS NORTHWARD TO 19.5N AND BETWEEN 64N AND 68W FROM NORTHWEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO AT PUNTA CADENA EASTWARD TO MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EXTENDING BEYOND 100 FATHOM LINE TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE- 1041 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM AST MONDAY TO 2 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM AST MONDAY TO 2 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ730-291045- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T1800Z-080930T0600Z/ CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO CABO SAN JUAN EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 17N AND EASTWARD TO 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.- 1041 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM AST MONDAY TO 2 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM AST MONDAY TO 2 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  176 WWUS63 KFSD 290241 WCNFSD WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 909 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 941 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SDC009-011-023-027-061-067-077-079-083-087-097-099-101-125-135- 290345- /O.CAN.KFSD.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN SOUTH DAKOTA THIS CANCELS 15 COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA BROOKINGS KINGSBURY LAKE MINER MOODY IN SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA CHARLES MIX IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA BON HOMME CLAY HANSON HUTCHINSON LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA TURNER YANKTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...ARLINGTON...AVON... BRIDGEWATER...BROOKINGS...CANISTOTA...CANTON...CENTERVILLE... CHANCELLOR...DE SMET...EMERY...FLANDREAU...FREEMAN...HARRISBURG... HOWARD...HURLEY...LAKE ANDES...LAKE PRESTON...LENNOX...MADISON... MARION...MARTY...MENNO...MONTROSE...PARKER...PARKSTON...PLATTE... SALEM...SCOTLAND...SIOUX FALLS...SPRINGFIELD...TABOR...TEA... TRIPP...TYNDALL...VERMILLION...VIBORG...WAGNER AND YANKTON. $$  350 WWUS53 KOAX 290242 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 942 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC011-290245- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0447.000000T0000Z-080929T0245Z/ BOONE NE- 941 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN BOONE COUNTY... AT 937 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 14 AND 56 JUNCTION TO CEDAR RAPIDS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 26 MILES WEST OF COLUMBUS TO 42 MILES NORTH OF GRAND ISLAND...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4165 9825 4155 9783 4153 9783 4151 9825 TIME...MOT...LOC 0241Z 296DEG 28KT 4154 9781 4150 9814 $$ DEE  441 WWAK77 PAJK 290243 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 643 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008 AKZ028-290800- /X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-080929T0800Z/ SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA 643 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$  523 WOUS20 KWNS 290243 WWASPC SPC WW-A 290245 NEZ000-SDZ000-290340- STATUS REPORT ON WW 909 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E OFK TO 10 N OFK TO 15 SSE YKN TO 30 NNW SUX. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2298 ..DIAL..09/29/08 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 909 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC027-290340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CEDAR $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  665 WWUS53 KOAX 290244 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 944 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC011-290254- /O.EXP.KOAX.SV.W.0447.000000T0000Z-080929T0245Z/ BOONE NE- 945 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BOONE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 945 PM CDT... THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT HAS EXPIRED AND WILL NOT BE REISSUED AT THIS TIME. HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. LAT...LON 4165 9825 4155 9783 4153 9783 4151 9825 TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 296DEG 28KT 4153 9778 4149 9811 $$ DEE  150 WDPN32 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 2// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. A. THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) STATUS AT 28/18Z BASED ON IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE WRAPPING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT ALONG WITH A TIGHTER, CONSOLIDATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE SYSTEM HAD MAINTAINED CHARACTERISTICS SIMILAR TO A MONSOON DEP- RESSION WITH A LIGHT WIND CORE AND STRONGER WINDS ON THE OUTER PERIPHERY PLUS DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO DEEPEN AND BECOME BETTER ORAGNIZED. ADDITIONALLY, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS TY 19W TRACKS NORTHWARD. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED ERRATICALLY BUT HAS TRACKED GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS ACCELERATED. THE DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER HAINAN INTO VIETNAM AND HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH THIS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. B. TD 20W IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW- TO MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED NORTH. OUTFLOW IS LIMITED MAINLY TO EQUATORWARD DUE TO THE OVER-POWERING OUTFLOW FROM 19W IMPINGING ON THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LLCC EVIDENT IN MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. THIS IS THE FIRST PROG REASONING FOR THIS SYSTEM. B. TD 20W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER HAINAN ISLAND AND INTO CENTRAL VIETNAM UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE STR NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. TD 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TS STRENGTH AND PERHAPS A LITTLE HIGHER PRIOR TO INTERACTING WITH HAINAN AND WEAKENING. THEN THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER VIETNAM BETWEEN TAU 48 AND TAU 72. FORECAST TEAM: DELTA//  220 WHUS71 KAKQ 290246 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1046 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ANZ656-658-290400- /O.CAN.KAKQ.SW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-080929T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT 20 NM- 1046 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. $$ ANZ650-652-654-291100- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-080929T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- 1046 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT MONDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ BAJ  748 WWUS53 KFSD 290247 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 947 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC043-051-290300- /O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0295.000000T0000Z-080929T0300Z/ DAKOTA NE-DIXON NE- 945 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN DIXON AND SOUTHERN DAKOTA COUNTIES... AT 945 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE GUST FRONT WITH THESE STORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MARTINSBURG TO WAKEFIELD TO 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WAKEFIELD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCA TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 43 MPH. THE POTENTIAL HAIL PRODUCING PART OF THE STORM WAS NEAR THE TOWN OF DIXON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... EMERSON AROUND 950 PM CDT... HUBBARD...HOMER AROUND 1000 PM CDT... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LAT...LON 4226 9702 4227 9703 4246 9701 4259 9701 4235 9646 4234 9647 4232 9647 4231 9648 4227 9649 4227 9672 4225 9673 TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 300DEG 37KT 4245 9676 4224 9683 4202 9698 $$ WILLIAMS  989 WSSR20 WSSS 290247 WSJC SIGMET 1 VALID 290300/290700 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N04 AND W OF E107 NC=  546 WSSR20 WSSS 290247 WSJC SIGMET 1 VALID 290300/290700 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N04 AND W OF E107 NC=  424 WWUS63 KOAX 290249 WCNOAX WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 909 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 949 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC003-027-107-139-290400- /O.CAN.KOAX.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN NEBRASKA THIS CANCELS 4 COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA ANTELOPE CEDAR KNOX PIERCE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BLOOMFIELD...HARTINGTON... NELIGH AND PIERCE. $$  079 WHUS73 KLOT 290249 MWWLOT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 949 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...NORTH WIND WILL DECREASE TONIGHT... .MODERATE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT. LMZ740>745-290400- /O.CON.KLOT.SC.Y.0073.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR- WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND- NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY- GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY- 949 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING. RESIDUAL 3 TO 5 FOOT WAVES WILL DECREASE AFTER 11 PM TONIGHT. THE WAVES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET BY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN 22 AND 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  396 WWUS83 KGID 290249 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 949 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ046-290315- SHERMAN- 949 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... NORTHERN SHERMAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA AT 947 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOUP CITY...OR 19 MILES SOUTH OF ORD...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 26 MPH. * THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... LOUP CITY BY 1000 PM CDT SHERMAN RESERVOIR DAM BY 1005 PM CDT ASHTON BY 1015 PM CDT NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ WESELY  501 WOUS64 KWNS 290252 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 909 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 952 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909 IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NEZ000-SDZ000-290400- /O.CAN.KWNS.SV.A.0909.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ NO COUNTIES OR PARISHES REMAIN IN THE WATCH. $$ ATTN...WFO...OAX...FSD...LBF...  519 WWUS30 KWNS 290252 SAW9 SPC AWW 290252 WW 909 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANCELLED  520 WWUS20 KWNS 290252 SEL9 SPC WW 290252 NEZ000-SDZ000-290400- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 909 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 952 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 909 ISSUED AT 500 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA SOUTH DAKOTA  878 WTTH20 VTBB 290000 TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY NAME TS MEKKHALA (0816) UPGRADE FROM TD PSTN 290000 UTC 16.0 N 111.5 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRES 992 HPA MAXD 35 KT FORECAST 24 HR 300000 UTC 19.0 N 110.0 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRES 994 HPA MAXD 45 KT 48 HR 010000 UTC 20.0 N 105.0 E MOVE WNW 08 KTS PRES 996 HPA MAXD 40 KT 72 HR 020000 UTC 20.0 N 102.0 E MOVE W 06 KTS PRES 1000 HPA MAXD 30 KT FORECAST 24 HR 300000 UTC 19.0 N 110.0 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRESS 994 Hpa MXWD 45 KT 48 HR 010000 UTC 20.0 N 105.0E MOVE WNW 08 KTS PRESS 996 Hpa MXWD 40 KT ------=_20080929094922_96214-- ?  158 WTTH20 VTBB 290000 TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY NAME TS MEKKHALA (0816) UPGRADE FROM TD PSTN 290000 UTC 16.0 N 111.5 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRES 992 HPA MAXD 35 KT FORECAST 24 HR 300000 UTC 19.0 N 110.0 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRES 994 HPA MAXD 45 KT 48 HR 010000 UTC 20.0 N 105.0 E MOVE WNW 08 KTS PRES 996 HPA MAXD 40 KT 72 HR 020000 UTC 20.0 N 102.0 E MOVE W 06 KTS PRES 1000 HPA MAXD 30 KT ------=_20080929095200_68536-- ?  582 WHUS73 KMQT 290253 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1053 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 LSZ248-290400- /O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0090.080929T0253Z-080929T0300Z/ HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- 1053 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 12 KNOTS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT SUNDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 13 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 4 AND A HALF FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ249-290400- /O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0090.080929T0253Z-080929T0400Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 1053 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 10 KNOTS OUT OF THE EAST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT SUNDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 14 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 5 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-290400- /O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0090.080929T0253Z-080929T0400Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 1053 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 10 KNOTS OUT OF THE EAST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT SUNDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 13 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 5 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ KF  238 WSUS31 KKCI 290255 SIGE MKCE WST 290255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 5E VALID UNTIL 0455Z ME AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40N PQI-50WSW YSJ-120SE BGR-40SSW BGR-60ENE YQB-40N PQI AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 19025KT. TOPS TO FL350. WIND GUSTS TO 70KT POSS. TS ASSOCD WITH HURCN KYLE. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 6E VALID UNTIL 0455Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 80NE PBI-80ENE PBI-110ESE MIA-50SE EYW-80NE PBI AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 290455-290855 AREA 1...FROM 60NW PQI-PQI-50WSW YSJ-110SE BGR-40S BGR-70WNW PQI-60NW PQI WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT WTNT21 KNHC FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER FOR DETAILS ON HURCN KYLE. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM ENE-180SE ACK-140SE SIE-190ESE ECG-110ESE ECG-CYN-ALB-ENE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 210ENE VRB-170E PBI-60ENE PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WNW EYW-50ENE EYW-MIA-VRB-210ENE VRB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  239 WSUS32 KKCI 290255 SIGC MKCC WST 290255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 4C VALID UNTIL 0455Z MN IA NE SD FROM 30NNE RWF-40N FOD-40S OBH-50WSW OBH-30NNW ONL-30NNE RWF AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 290455-290855 FROM 30NNE RWF-50W ODI-30ENE IRK-60WSW MCI-50SSE HLC-MCK-30E LBF-30N ONL-40NNW FSD-30NNE RWF REF WW 909. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  394 WSUS33 KKCI 290255 SIGW MKCW WST 290255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 4W VALID UNTIL 0455Z AZ UT NV FROM 50NNE BTY-70SSE ILC-30ENE LAS-20ESE BTY-50NNE BTY DMSHG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL300. OUTLOOK VALID 290455-290855 FROM 60SSE BAM-DTA-HVE-TBC-EED-30WSW BTY-OAL-60SSE BAM WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  033 WVJP31 RJTD 290300 RJJJ SIGMET 1 VALID 290300/290900 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT SUWANOSEJIMA LOC N2938 E12943 VA CLD OBS AT 0231Z VA TOPS TO FL100 STNR INTST UNKNOWN=  034 WWJP72 RJTD 290000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 290000UTC ISSUED AT 290300UTC SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 985HPA AT 25.4N 121.2E MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 26.9N 121.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.3N 123.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 30.1N 129.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 123E TO 30N 133E 31N 141E 32N 148E 33N 155E 38N 167E WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU, SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 290900UTC =  035 WWJP73 RJTD 290000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 290000UTC ISSUED AT 290300UTC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 123E TO 30N 133E 31N 141E 32N 148E 33N 155E 38N 167E WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF TOKAI, NORTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 290900UTC =  036 WWJP74 RJTD 290000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 290000UTC ISSUED AT 290300UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 290900UTC =  230 WWJP81 RJTD 290000 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 290000UTC ISSUED AT 290300UTC SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 985HPA AT 25.4N 121.2E MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 26.9N 121.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.3N 123.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 30.1N 129.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 123E TO 30N 133E 31N 141E 32N 148E 33N 155E 38N 167E STORM WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH 45 KNOTS SEA AROUND AMAMI WITH 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU, SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA, SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 290900UTC =  231 WWJP75 RJTD 290000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 290000UTC ISSUED AT 290300UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 290900UTC =  232 WBCN07 CWVR 290200 PAM ROCKS WIND 3604 LANGARA; OVC 12 SW25 4FT MDT MOD W 0230 CLD EST 10 OVC 15/14 GREEN; OVC 15 S25G35 6FT MDT 0230 CLD EST 10 FEW 25 OVC 13/11 TRIPLE; OVC 15 SE25EG 5FT MDT MOD S SHWRS DSNT SE 0230 CLD EST 10 OVC 13/13 BONILLA; OVC 3F SE35G 7FT RUFF MOD-HVY S 0230 CLD EST 4 OVC 12/12 BOAT BLUFF; OVC 15 CLM RPLD 0230 CLD EST 5 FEW OVC ABV 25 11/11 MCINNES; CLDY 15 NE10E 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW SWT 11.7 0230 CLD EST 20 SCT BKN ABV 25 12/10 IVORY; OVC 15 CLM 1FT CHP LO SW 0230 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 13/12 DRYAD; CLDY 15 CLM RPLD 0230 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 13/11 ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15+ CLM RPLD 0230 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 14/12 EGG ISLAND; CLDY 15+ NE10 1FT CHP LO W 0240 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 13/12 PINE ISLAND; PC 15 CLM 1FT CHP LO W 0240 CLD EST SCT ABV 25 15/09 CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15 S5E 1FT CHP LO SW 0240 CLD EST 18 SCT BKN ABV 25 15/14 QUATSINO; PC 15+ NW5E 1FT CHP LO SW 0240 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 14/10 NOOTKA; CLR 15 N7 1FT CHP LO SW 0245 CLD EST CLR 13/11 ESTEVAN; CLR 15 NW10 1FT CHP LO SW 1019.0F LENNARD; PC 15 NW6 RPLD LO SW AMPHITRITE; CLR 15 NW4 1FT CHP LO SW CAPE BEALE; CLR 15 NW4 1FT CHP LO SW PACHENA; CLR 15 E7 2FT CHP LO SW CARMANAH; CLR 15 E16 3FT MOD LO SW SCARLETT; CLDY 15 S4 RPLD LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; PC 15+ NE2 SMTH 0240 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 14/08 CHROME; CLR 15 NW5 RPLD MERRY; CLR 15 NW4 RPLD 0240 CLR 15/11 ENTRANCE; CLR 15 W10 2FT CHP LO NW FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; CLR 6+ W3 RPLD TSAWWASSEN; PC 15+ N7 1FT CHP TRIAL IS.; CLR 15 N10 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 199/15/13/3004/M/6014 76MM= WLP SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 204/16/06/1509/M/6009 88MM= WEB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 199/13/M/3210/M/6014 0MMM= WQC SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 211/15/13/2010/M/5006 55MM= WRU SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 208/15/M/1710/M/6011 6MMM= WFG SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 202/12/M/1616/M/PK WND 1722 0100Z 6002 1MMM= WVF SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/3011/M/M M 6MMM= WQS SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 138/14/13/1734+45/M/PK WND 1649 0133Z 1011 61MM= WRO SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 106/13/12/1532+39/M/PK WND 1639 0153Z PRESFR 8020 60MM= WEK SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 142/13/M/1434/M/0001 7MMM= WWL SA 0223 AUTO4 M M M 159/12/M/MM21+32/M/3007 7MMM= WME SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 221/11/10/0517/M/PK WND 0323 0127Z 6004 11MM= WAS SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 200/14/12/3604/M/6009 08MM= WSB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/16/M/0000/M/M 6MMM= WGT SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 207/13/11/2503/M/M 6011 67MM= WGB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 209/14/12/2910/M/6011 94MM= WEL SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 201/14/M/2810/M/6013 1MMM= WDR SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/15/M/0111/M/M M 9MMM= WZO SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0410/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3003/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 213/14/09/1206/M/6008 43MM=  363 WUUS53 KGID 290255 SVRGID NEC163-290345- /O.NEW.KGID.SV.W.0370.080929T0255Z-080929T0345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 955 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SHERMAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA * UNTIL 1045 PM CDT * AT 951 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LOUP CITY...OR 20 MILES SOUTH OF ORD...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... LOUP CITY BY 1000 PM CDT SHERMAN RESERVOIR DAM BY 1005 PM CDT ASHTON BY 1015 PM CDT ROCKVILLE BY 1025 PM CDT IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. LAT...LON 4133 9887 4128 9875 4104 9875 4122 9912 4139 9902 TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 307DEG 25KT 4130 9899 $$ WESELY  775 WVJP31 RJTD 290300 RJJJ SIGMET 1 VALID 290300/290900 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT SUWANOSEJIMA LOC N2938 E12943 VA CLD OBS AT 0231Z VA TOPS TO FL100 STNR INTST UNKNOWN=  984 WGUS81 KOKX 290256 FLSOKX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1056 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NYC059-103-290345- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.Y.0117.080929T0256Z-080929T0345Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1056 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SUFFOLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 1145 PM EDT... * AT 1052 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN...ACROSS EASTERN NASSAU COUNTY AND WESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT...CAUSING FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF THE FLOODING THREAT INCREASES...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. LAT...LON 4059 7355 4065 7341 4064 7355 4084 7357 4092 7301 4074 7293 4073 7313 4066 7315 4065 7310 4065 7311 4064 7320 4066 7315 4070 7315 4071 7323 4069 7326 4066 7341 4063 7341 4063 7340 4066 7323 4064 7325 $$ NV  875 WUUS53 KOAX 290257 SVROAX NEC107-290345- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0448.080929T0257Z-080929T0345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 957 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 1045 PM CDT. * AT 953 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES WEST OF VERDIGRE...OR 51 MILES WEST OF YANKTON...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25Z MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... VERDIGRE AND CREIGHTON HAIL OF 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4273 9831 4253 9770 4244 9783 4244 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0257Z 296DEG 28KT 4262 9831 $$ DEE  373 WHCA72 TJSJ 290259 MWWSPN URGENTE - MENSAJE MARITIMO DEL TIEMPO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1041 PM AST DOMINGO 28 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...MAREJADAS DEL NORESTE AFECTARAN LAS AGUAS LOCALES ESTA NOCHE HASTA MEDIADOS DE LA SEMANA... .MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO...GENERADAS POR UN AMPLIO SISTEMA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO SOBRE EN EL NORTE CENTRAL DEL ATLANTICO... CONTINUARA AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS COSTERAS DEL ATLANTICO DURANTE LA NOCHE HASTA AL MENOS EL ANOCHECER DEL LUNES. AMZ710-291045- AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO NORTE DESDE 19.5N Y ENTRE 64N Y 68O DESDE LA COSTA NOROESTE DE PUERTO RICO DESDE PUNTA CADENA ESTE HACIA LA BOCA DEC RIO GUAJATACA EXTENDIENDOSE HASTA MAS ALLA DE 100 BRAZAS HACIA EL PASAJE DE ANEGADA- 1041 PM AST DOMINGO 28 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO DESDE LAS 2 AM DE LUNES HASTA LAS 2 AM AST DEL MARTES... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS ESTARA EN EFECTO DEBIDO AL OLEAJE DE CERCA DE 7 PIES . ACCIONES DE PRECAUCION/PREPARACION... UNA ADVERTENCIA DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA QUE VIENTOS DE 22 A 33 NUDOS Y/O MAREJADAS A 7 PIES O MAS PRODUZCAN CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NADADORES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE LOS QUE OPERAN EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS NO DEBEN NAVIGAR BAJO ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$ AMZ730-291045- AGUAS DEL CARIBE DESDE PUNTA VIENTO HASTA CABO SAN JUAN HACIA EL SUR HASTA 17 NORTE Y HACIA EL ESTE HASTA 64 OESTE INCLUYENDO LAS AGUAS DEL CARIBE DE CULEBRA VIEQUES Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS- ...EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO DESDE LAS 2 AM DE LUNES HASTA LAS 2 AM AST DEL MARTES... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS ESTARA EN EFECTO DEBIDO AL OLEAJE DE CERCA DE 7 PIES . ACCIONES DE PRECAUCION/PREPARACION... UNA ADVERTENCIA DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA QUE VIENTOS DE 22 A 33 NUDOS Y/O MAREJADAS A 7 PIES O MAS PRODUZCAN CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NADADORES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE LOS QUE OPERAN EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS NO DEBEN NAVIGAR BAJO ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$  682 WSIY31 LIIB 290300 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 290330/290730 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  845 WSIY31 LIIB 290300 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 290330/290730 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  074 WSIY31 LIIB 290300 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 290330/290730 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  669 WWCN11 CWHX 290300 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 12:00 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... WIND WARNING FOR: HALIFAX METRO AND HALIFAX COUNTY WEST LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY KINGS COUNTY CUMBERLAND COUNTY - MINAS SHORE CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH AND COBEQUID PASS. WINDS GUSTING FROM 90 TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. LES SUETES WIND WARNING FOR: INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH. WINDS GUSTS TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN SUBSIDE TO STRONG WINDS MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS..LES SUETES..ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS AND OVER ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR: LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY. TROPICAL STORM KYLE IS MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD NEW BRUNSWICK. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SUSTAINED GALES...WINDS OF 63 KM/H OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE SPECIFIED AREAS WITHIN 24 HOURS. BY NATURE A TROPICAL STORM ALSO IMPLIES THE THREAT OF LOCAL FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. BY NATURE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IMPLIES THE THREAT OF LOCAL FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== HURRICANE KYLE HAS WEAKENED TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. AS A RESULT.. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE ENDED BUT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. AT 9PM ADT KYLE WENT ASHORE JUST NORTH OF YARMOUTH AS A MARGINAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. REPORTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED SO FAR OF SOME TREES DOWNED AND ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM KYLE CAN STILL CAUSE DAMAGE WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 110 KM/H OVER EXPOSED AREAS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  760 WWUS83 KGID 290301 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1001 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ041-047-048-290330- HOWARD-MERRICK-NANCE- 1001 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... EASTERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA MERRICK COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA NANCE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA AT 959 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PLATTE CENTER TO 8 MILES WEST OF FULLERTON TO ST. PAUL...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 31 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... PALMER BY 1010 PM CDT ST. LIBORY BY 1020 PM CDT SILVER CREEK BY 1025 PM CDT CLARKS BY 1030 PM CDT SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ WESELY  858 WWUS53 KFSD 290301 SVSFSD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 1001 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC043-051-290311- /O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0295.000000T0000Z-080929T0300Z/ DAKOTA NE-DIXON NE- 1001 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN DIXON AND SOUTHERN DAKOTA COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED... THE STORM IS NO LONGER SEVERE. LAT...LON 4226 9702 4227 9703 4246 9701 4259 9701 4235 9646 4234 9647 4232 9647 4231 9648 4227 9649 4227 9672 4225 9673 TIME...MOT...LOC 0247Z 300DEG 37KT 4244 9674 4223 9681 4201 9696 $$ WILLIAMS  799 WOCN31 CWHX 290300 INTERMEDIATE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 12.00 MIDNIGHT ADT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. AT 9:00 PM ADT.. KYLE CAME ASHORE JUST NORTH OF YARMOUTH AS A MARGINAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 124 KM/H WERE REPORTED AT BACCARO POINT IN SHELBURNE COUNTY. THE WEATHER CENTRE IN HALIFAX HAS ALSO RECEIVED A REPORT OF WINDS GUSTING TO 154 KM/H FROM A COAST GUARD SHIP JUST OFF THE SHELBURNE COAST. NEWS HAS BEEN RECEIVED OF TREES DOWNED IN THE TRICOUNTY AREA OF NOVA SCOTIA AND OF A BOAT SWAMPED IN A HARBOUR IN SHELBURNE COUNTY. POWER OUTAGES ARE NOTED ACROSS VARIOUS LOCATIONS IN SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA. WITH ARRIVAL OF DAWN ON MONDAY.. THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE FROM KYLE WILL BE BETTER KNOWN. KYLE RAPIDLY EVOLVED FROM A HURRICANE TO A TROPICAL STORM AND IS CURRENTLY TRANSFORMING INTO A EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. KYLE HAS YET TO MAKE LANDFALL ONTO THE NEW BRUNSWICK COAST.. LIKELY JUST EAST OF THE CITY OF ST JOHN.. AS OF MIDNIGHT. IT IS OUR BELIEF THAT KYLE WILL NO LONGER BE TROPICAL WHEN IT HITS THE COAST BUT WE WILL ERR ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION AND MAINTAIN TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK.. SPECIFICALLY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY.. SAINT JOHN COUNTY.. FUNDY NATIONAL PARK AND MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. DUE TO THE EXPECTED STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF KYLE OVER NOVA SCOTIA IN ADDITION TO ASSOCIATED STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER MANY PARTS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA.. WE MAINTAIN TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY AND ANNAPOLIS COUNTY OF NOVA SCOTIA. OF COURSE RELEVANT WIND AND RAINFALL WARNINGS WILL BE ENFORCED DUE TO KYLE UNTIL WE HAVE A HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE THAT ALL DANGER HAS PASSED. AS A REMINDER.. WHEN EVOLVING TROPICAL SYSTEMS LIKE KYLE ARE IN OUR LATITUDES.. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE TO THE EAST OR RIGHT OF TRACK AND THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE TO THE WEST OR LEFT OF TRACK. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT END CAMPBELL $$END  809 WSEW31 LEMM 290030 LECM SIGMET 1 VALID 290030/290330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360-400 MOV NNE NC= DUPE  813 WTUS81 KCAR 290304 HLSCAR URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KYLE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1104 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...KYLE IS MOVING EAST AWAY FROM MAINE... .AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINE IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF DIGBY... YARMOUTH...AND SHELBURNE IN SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK OVERNIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 60 KM...SOUTH OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK. KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/HR. A MOTION TO THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED...TAKING THE REMNANTS OF KYLE OVER EASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH... 110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES... 390 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 INCH OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF MAINE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NEW BRUNSWICK AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN THE BAY OF FUNDY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES....WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. ANZ050>052-MEZ029-030-290415- /O.CAN.KCAR.TR.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- 1104 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINE IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF DIGBY... YARMOUTH...AND SHELBURNE IN SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK OVERNIGHT. BASED ON THIS TRACK...IT NOW APPEARS AS THOUGH THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL EAST OF THE AREA. THUS...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST UPDATE FOR THIS STORM. $$ MEZ016-017-032-290415- /O.CAN.KCAR.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080929T0800Z/ INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- 1104 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINE IS DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF DIGBY... YARMOUTH...AND SHELBURNE IN SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK OVERNIGHT. BASED ON THIS TRACK...IT NOW APPEARS AS THOUGH THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL EAST OF THE AREA. THUS...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST UPDATE FOR THIS STORM. $$ VJN  612 WAZA43 FABL 290300 FABL AIRMET 1 VALID 290400/290500 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: NE-FREESTATE SFC VIS 1000M FG, LOC BKN CLD 1000FT=  658 WHUS71 KCAR 290305 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1105 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ANZ050>052-291115- /O.NEW.KCAR.SC.Y.0059.080929T0305Z-080929T2100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- 1105 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WAVE CONDITIONS OF 5 FEET OR HIGHER. THIS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DUDA  934 WWPN20 KNES 290303 A. 19W (JINGMI) B. 29/0230Z C. 25.8N D. 121.2E E. MTSAT F. T3.0/3.0/W2.5/24HRS G. IR/EIR/VIS H. REMARKS... LLC HAS MOVED BACK OUT OVER WATER WITH DEEP CONVECTION REFORMING OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. DT=3.0 BASED ON SHEAR PATTERN. =  259 WWUS53 KOAX 290306 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1006 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290345- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0448.000000T0000Z-080929T0345Z/ KNOX NE- 1006 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY... AT 1003 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF VERDIGRE...OR 48 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YANKTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...VERDIGRE...THE HIGHWAY 14 AND 59 JUNCTION...WINNETOON...BAZILE MILLS AND CREIGHTON. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 1 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4273 9831 4253 9770 4244 9783 4244 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0306Z 296DEG 28KT 4259 9822 $$ DEE  265 WGUS61 KCAR 290306 FFACAR FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1106 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029>032-290415- /O.CAN.KCAR.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-080929T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT- SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON- COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS- NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET... PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS... LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO... OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND... ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE... PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL... EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO... GUILFORD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD 1106 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAIN HAS DIMINISHED GREATLY IN INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY AS RAIN BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM KYLE MOVE WESTWARD. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. $$ HEWITT  389 WWUS53 KGID 290306 SVSGID SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1006 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC163-290345- /O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0370.000000T0000Z-080929T0345Z/ SHERMAN NE- 1006 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR SHERMAN COUNTY... AT 1004 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LOUP CITY...OR 24 MILES SOUTH OF ORD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... ASHTON BY 1015 PM CDT ROCKVILLE BY 1025 PM CDT IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. LAT...LON 4133 9887 4128 9875 4104 9875 4122 9912 4139 9902 TIME...MOT...LOC 0306Z 307DEG 25KT 4125 9891 $$ WESELY  624 WAZA45 FAPE 290300 FAPE AIRMET 1 VALID 290600/290900 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC EC LAN MOD MTW=  769 WTPH20 RPMM 290000 T T T STORM WARNING 18 (FINAL) AT 0000 29 SEPTEMBER TROPICAL STORM (JANGMI) (0815) DOWNDRAGED FROM TYPHOON WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO FIVE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMTER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 291200 TWO SIX POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT EAST WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING FROM WEATHER MANILA PD=  123 WSNT06 KKCI 290315 SIGA0F KZNY SIGMET FOXTROT 7 VALID 290315/290330 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET FOXTROT 6 282330/290330  168 WSNT06 KKCI 290315 SIGA0F KZNY SIGMET FOXTROT 7 VALID 290315/290330 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET FOXTROT 6 282330/290330  326 WSEW31 LEMM 290030 LECM SIGMET 1 VALID 290030/290330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360-400 MOV NNE NC= DUPE DUPE  456 WSNT08 KKCI 290315 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 2 VALID 290315/290715 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS WI AREA BOUNDED BY N3645 W04415 - N3200 W04600 - N3200 W04830 - N3630 W04745 - N3645 W04415. TOPS TO FL450. STNR. NC. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  642 WSPO31 LPMG 290039 LPPC SIGMET 1 VALID 290100/290400 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N35 AND E OF W008 TOP FL340 STRN NC= DUPE  648 WSPO31 LPMG 290039 LPPC SIGMET 1 VALID 290100/290400 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N35 AND E OF W008 TOP FL340 STRN NC= DUPE=  582 WSBW20 VGZR 290330 VGFR SIGMET 02 VALID 290400/290800 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  590 WSBW20 VGZR 290330 VGFR SIGMET 02 VALID 290400/290800 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  591 WSNT08 KKCI 290315 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 2 VALID 290315/290715 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS WI AREA BOUNDED BY N3645 W04415 - N3200 W04600 - N3200 W04830 - N3630 W04745 - N3645 W04415. TOPS TO FL450. STNR. NC. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  850 WUUS53 KOAX 290316 SVROAX NEC141-290400- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0449.080929T0316Z-080929T0400Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1016 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN PLATTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COLUMBUS... * UNTIL 1100 PM CDT. * AT 1011 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF COLUMBUS...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... COLUMBUS HAIL THE SIZE OF NICKELS OR LARGER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4148 9726 4138 9725 4140 9738 4146 9757 4153 9754 TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 291DEG 26KT 4147 9750 $$  769 WWUS53 KOAX 290317 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1017 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290345- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0448.000000T0000Z-080929T0345Z/ KNOX NE- 1017 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY... AT 1015 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VERDIGRE...OR 44 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YANKTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...VERDIGRE...THE HIGHWAY 14 AND 59 JUNCTION...WINNETOON...BAZILE MILLS AND CREIGHTON. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 1 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4273 9831 4253 9770 4244 9783 4244 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0317Z 289DEG 34KT 4254 9809 $$ DEE  183 WSBW20 VGZR 290330 VGFR SIGMET 02 VALID 290400/290800 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  303 WWPN20 KNES 290318 A. 20W (MEKKHALA) B. 29/0230Z C. 16.5N D. 111.0E E. THREE/MTSAT F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR/VIS H. REMARKS... SYSTEM ORGANIZATION IMPROVING WITH D=3.0 BASED ON 7/10 BANDING. MET AND PAT ALSO 3.0. =  004 WWUS53 KOAX 290322 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1022 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC141-290400- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0449.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ PLATTE NE- 1022 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN PLATTE COUNTY... AT 1019 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF COLUMBUS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...COLUMBUS. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4148 9726 4138 9725 4140 9738 4146 9757 4153 9754 TIME...MOT...LOC 0322Z 291DEG 26KT 4145 9745 $$ DEE  041 WWUS53 KGID 290322 SVSGID SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1022 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC163-290332- /O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0370.000000T0000Z-080929T0345Z/ SHERMAN NE- 1022 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHERMAN COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS IT MOVES THROUGH. LAT...LON 4133 9887 4128 9875 4104 9875 4122 9912 4139 9902 TIME...MOT...LOC 0322Z 307DEG 25KT 4118 9879 $$ WESELY  142 WSNZ21 NZKL 290318 NZZC SIGMET 5 VALID 290318/290415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 2 290015/290415  143 WSNZ21 NZKL 290318 NZZC SIGMET 6 VALID 290318/290718 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZWU N OF NZMO SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  197 WSNZ21 NZKL 290322 NZZC SIGMET 7 VALID 290322/290722 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB OBS AT 0300Z 70NM W OF NZCH FL300/335 FCST SEV TURB FL250/350 N OF NZOU S OF NZKI ABT/E OF THE RANGES NC  549 WSNZ21 NZKL 290318 NZZC SIGMET 5 VALID 290318/290415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 2 290015/290415  550 WSNZ21 NZKL 290318 NZZC SIGMET 6 VALID 290318/290718 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZWU N OF NZMO SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  551 WSNZ21 NZKL 290322 NZZC SIGMET 7 VALID 290322/290722 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB OBS AT 0300Z 70NM W OF NZCH FL300/335 FCST SEV TURB FL250/350 N OF NZOU S OF NZKI ABT/E OF THE RANGES NC  766 WTPQ20 BABJ 290300 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290300 UTC 00HR 16.5N 111.4E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H=  237 WWUS83 KGID 290325 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1024 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ047-290400- HOWARD- 1024 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... SOUTHERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA AT 1022 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FARWELL...OR 27 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLAND...AND MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 32 MPH. * THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... FARWELL BY 1030 PM CDT DANNEBROG BY 1040 PM CDT ST. PAUL BY 1045 PM CDT ST. LIBORY BY 1100 PM CDT PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. $$ WESELY  428 WWUS53 KOAX 290325 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1025 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290345- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0448.000000T0000Z-080929T0345Z/ KNOX NE- 1025 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY... AT 1024 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WINNETOON...OR 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YANKTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...BAZILE MILLS AND CREIGHTON. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 1 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4273 9831 4253 9770 4244 9783 4244 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0325Z 292DEG 43KT 4249 9795 $$ DEE  462 WTPQ20 BABJ 290300 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290300 UTC 00HR 25.9N 121.1E 970HPA 33M/S 30KTS 280KM 50KTS 60KM P12HR N 10KM/H=  827 WSJP31 RJTD 290330 RJJJ SIGMET 2 VALID 290330/290430 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR CNL SIGMET 1 290030/290430=  241 WSJP31 RJTD 290330 RJJJ SIGMET 2 VALID 290330/290430 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR CNL SIGMET 1 290030/290430=  287 WGUS81 KPHI 290330 FLSPHI FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1130 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NJC025-290630- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0034.080929T0330Z-080929T0630Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1130 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... NORTHEASTERN MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 230 AM EDT * AT 1127 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED A SLOW MOVING STORM LOCATED FROM MIDDLETOWN TO RED BANK TO EAST FREEHOLD. THE STORM WAS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 MILES PER HOUR. IT WAS CAUSING RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR...AND IT IS PARTICULARLY DIFFICULT TO GAUGE WATER DEPTH AT NIGHT. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. LAT...LON 4034 7396 4023 7399 4020 7399 4019 7400 4024 7425 4035 7426 4043 7410 4040 7396 4037 7396 4036 7395 4035 7396 4034 7395 $$ MPD  989 WGUS81 KCAR 290333 FLSCAR FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1133 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 MEC009-019-029-290338- /O.CAN.KCAR.FA.W.0017.000000T0000Z-080929T0430Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1133 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN SOUTHEASTERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...AND WASHINGTON AND HANCOCK COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MAINE... THE HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM KYLE HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY. LAT...LON 4460 6733 4466 6735 4444 6758 4446 6759 4450 6762 4433 6804 4437 6814 4416 6839 4425 6834 4431 6849 4417 6841 4422 6856 4414 6871 4448 6881 4561 6811 4568 6770 4562 6747 4520 6742 4514 6713 4481 6694 $$ HEWITT  662 WAHW31 PHFO 290335 WA0HI HNLS WA 290400 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 291000 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 29400 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291400 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 290400 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 291000 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...155-160.  887 WWPN20 KNES 290332 A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (99W) B. 29/0230Z C. 8.3N D. 131.6E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR/VIS H. REMARKS... SYSTEM ORGANIZATION IMPROVING WITH DT=2.0 BASED ON 3.5/10 BANDING. MET AND PAT ALSO 2.0. =  557 WWUS53 KOAX 290340 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1040 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC107-290351- /O.EXP.KOAX.SV.W.0448.000000T0000Z-080929T0345Z/ KNOX NE- 1041 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM CDT... THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED. STORMS HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE NO LONGER SEVERE. LAT...LON 4273 9831 4253 9770 4244 9783 4244 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 0341Z 292DEG 43KT 4242 9771 $$ DEE  759 WTJP31 RJTD 290300 WARNING 290300. WARNING VALID 300300. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 985 HPA AT 26.1N 121.1E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 27.2N 121.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 28.7N 123.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  859 WTPQ20 RJTD 290300 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0815 JANGMI (0815) ANALYSIS PSTN 290300UTC 26.1N 121.1E FAIR MOVE N 07KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 300300UTC 28.7N 123.5E 85NM 70% MOVE NE 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 45HF 010000UTC 30.1N 129.9E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 15KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 69HF 020000UTC 31.1N 139.1E 250NM 70% MOVE E 20KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT =  974 WGUS81 KOKX 290341 FLSOKX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1141 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NYC103-290445- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.Y.0118.080929T0341Z-080929T0445Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1141 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SUFFOLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 1245 AM EDT... * AT 1139 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN...MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL SUFFOLK COUNTY AT 10 MPH. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH AROUND 1 AM...CAUSING FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF THE FLOODING THREAT INCREASES...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. LAT...LON 4064 7336 4067 7326 4065 7320 4067 7306 4074 7288 4076 7291 4074 7293 4073 7313 4070 7314 4071 7323 4066 7337 4082 7342 4087 7268 4082 7265 4080 7268 4079 7263 4067 7303 4062 7325 4062 7336 4062 7337 $$ NV  934 WSUS31 KKCI 290355 SIGE MKCE WST 290355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 7E VALID UNTIL 0555Z ME AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40N PQI-50WSW YSJ-110SE BGR-40S BGR-70E YQB-40N PQI AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 19025KT. TOPS TO FL350. WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. TS ASSOCD WITH T.S. KYLE. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 8E VALID UNTIL 0555Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 90ENE PBI-110ESE MIA-60SE MIA-50NE PBI-90ENE PBI AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 290555-290955 AREA 1...FROM 60NW PQI-PQI-50WSW YSJ-110SE BGR-30SE BGR-70WNW PQI-60NW PQI WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT WTNT21 KNHC FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER FOR DETAILS ON T.S. KYLE. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM ENE-180SE ACK-140SE SIE-100SE SIE-40E CYN-40ENE ALB-ENE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 210ENE VRB-170E PBI-60ENE PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-80SW SRQ-RSW-50ENE EYW-MIA-VRB-210ENE VRB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  935 WSUS33 KKCI 290355 SIGW MKCW WST 290355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 5W VALID UNTIL 0555Z NV FROM 50NNE BTY-60NNE LAS-20NE LAS-20ESE BTY-50NNE BTY DMSHG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL290. OUTLOOK VALID 290555-290955 FROM ELY-BCE-PGS-EED-30WSW BTY-OAL-ELY WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  936 WSUS32 KKCI 290355 SIGC MKCC WST 290355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 5C VALID UNTIL 0555Z MN IA NE SD FROM 40NE FSD-20N FOD-20NNE OVR-50SSW OBH-10WSW ONL-40NE FSD AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30025KT. TOPS TO FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 290555-290955 FROM 30WSW EAU-IOW-30SE IRK-60WSW MCI-SLN-HLC-ONL-30SE RWF-30WSW EAU WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  862 WWUS53 KOAX 290345 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1045 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC141-290355- /O.CAN.KOAX.SV.W.0449.000000T0000Z-080929T0400Z/ PLATTE NE- 1045 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PLATTE COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THIS STORM HAS DECREASED IN STRENGTH...AND THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT HAS BEEN CANCELLED. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION OR CABLE TV FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. LAT...LON 4148 9726 4138 9725 4140 9738 4146 9757 4153 9754 TIME...MOT...LOC 0345Z 291DEG 26KT 4139 9724 $$ DEE  360 WAZA46 FACT 290300 FACT AIRMET 1 VALID 290300/290700 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC W COAST AND ADJ INT: MT OBSC LOC COAST N OF SALDANHA: SFC VIS 1000M BCFG, BKN CLD 0200FT LOC SW CAPE: MOD MTW= FACT AIRMET 1 VALID 290300/290700 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: LOC W ESC: MT OBSC LOC COAST: SFC VIS 1000M BCFG, BKN CLD 0200FT=  300 WAZA44 FADN 290300 FADN AIRMET 1 VALID 290300/290600 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: SFC VIS 2000 M/BR N-INT=  343 WHUS76 KLOX 290347 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 847 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 PZZ650-655-290500- /O.CAN.KLOX.SC.Y.0119.000000T0000Z-080929T0700Z/ EAST SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL FROM PT. CONCEPTION TO PT. MUGU INCLUDING SANTA CRUZ AND ANACAPA ISLANDS- INNER WATERS FROM POINT MUGU TO SAN MATEO PT. CA INCLUDING SANTA CATALINA AND SANTA BARBARA ISLANDS- 847 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS WILL REMAIN 20 KT OR LOWER THROUGH TONIGHT. $$ PZZ676-291000- /O.EXT.KLOX.SC.Y.0119.000000T0000Z-080929T1000Z/ OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS ISLAND- 847 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 KT LATE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ673-291000- /O.EXT.KLOX.SC.Y.0119.000000T0000Z-080929T1000Z/ WATERS FROM PT. ARGUELLO TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- 847 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  577 WSMC31 GMMC 290348 GMMM SIGMET 2 VALID 290400/290800 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N3595 W00507 - N3573 W00590 - N3450 W00625 - N3361 W00717 - N3309 W00879 - N3420 W01253 TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  099 WHUS76 KSEW 290350 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 850 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 PZZ130-291200- /O.UPG.KSEW.SI.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-080930T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KSEW.GL.W.0058.080929T0350Z-080930T0100Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 850 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR THE WEST ENTRANCE TO THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. && $$ PZZ150-291200- /O.NEW.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.080929T0350Z-080930T0100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 20 NM- 850 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ WEATHER.GOV  761 WSEW31 LEMM 290400 LECM SIGMET 1 VALID 290400/290600 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360 MOV NNE NC=  727 WSEW31 LEMM 290400 LECM SIGMET 2 VALID 290400/290600 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360 MOV NNE NC=  597 WSIN90 VIDP 290400 VIDF SIGMET 02 VALID 290400/290800 VIDF VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  599 WSMC31 GMMC 290348 GMMM SIGMET 2 VALID 290400/290800 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N3595 W00507 - N3573 W00590 - N3450 W00625 - N3361 W00717 - N3309 W00879 - N3420 W01253 TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  734 WSEW31 LEMM 290400 LECM SIGMET 1 VALID 290400/290600 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360 MOV NNE NC=  735 WSEW31 LEMM 290400 LECM SIGMET 2 VALID 290400/290600 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360 MOV NNE NC=  592 WTCN31 CWHX 290400 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 1:00 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL STORM WARNING ENDED FOR: LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY NOVA SCOTIA SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK FUNDY NATIONAL PARK. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL STORM AND HAS NOW EVOLVED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM JUST TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE CITY OF ST JOHN. AS A RESULT.. TROPICAL TYPE WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER REQUIRED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/CHC  687 WWUS60 KWNS 290400 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 29-SEP-08 AT 04:00:01 UTC NO WATCHES CURRENTLY ACTIVE  342 WWCN12 CWTO 290403 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 12:03 AM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING FOR: KAPUSKASING - HEARST TIMMINS - COCHRANE CHAPLEAU - GOGAMA KIRKLAND LAKE - NEW LISKEARD - TEMAGAMI. SOME FROST EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT AT OR NEAR ZERO GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE FROST IN THE PARTS OF THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO ALLOWING SKIES TO BECOME GENERALLY CLEAR IN MOST REGIONS AND WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT. AS A RESULT..THE MERCURY WILL DROP TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW THE FREEZING MARK IN MANY AREAS. A BAND OF LOW CLOUD OVER KAPUSKASING OR JUST TO THE NORTH MAY PREVENT FROST FROM FORMING HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL STILL APPROACH THE FREEZING MARK. FROST SHOULD BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE DISTRICT ESPECIALLY FROM TIMMINS AND SOUTHWARD TOWARDS DAWN AND LINGER INTO THE MORNING. ANY TENDER PLANTS THAT HAVEN'T BEEN HARMED BY PREVIOUS FROSTS SHOULD EITHER BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INDOORS IF POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASHTON/MEREDITH  594 WTTH20 VTBB 290000 TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY NAME TS MEKKHALA (0816) UPGRADE FROM TD PSTN 290000 UTC 16.0 N 111.5 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRES 992 HPA MAXD 35 KT FORECAST 24 HR 300000 UTC 19.0 N 110.0 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRES 994 HPA MAXD 45 KT 48 HR 010000 UTC 20.0 N 105.0 E MOVE WNW 08 KTS PRES 996 HPA MAXD 40 KT 72 HR 020000 UTC 20.0 N 102.0 E MOVE W 06 KTS PRES 1000 HPA MAXD 30 KT FORECAST 24 HR 300000 UTC 19.0 N 110.0 E MOVE NNW 08 KTS PRESS 994 HPA MXWD 45 KT 48 HR 010000 UTC 20.0 N 105.0E MOVE WNW 08 KTS PRESS 996 HPA MXWD 40 KT  552 WWCN11 CWHX 290405 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 1:05 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... WIND WARNING FOR: HALIFAX METRO AND HALIFAX COUNTY WEST LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY KINGS COUNTY CUMBERLAND COUNTY - MINAS SHORE CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH AND COBEQUID PASS. WINDS GUSTING FROM 90 TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. LES SUETES WIND WARNING FOR: INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH. WINDS GUSTS TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN SUBSIDE TO STRONG WINDS MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS..LES SUETES..ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS AND OVER ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NOVA SCOTIA... TROPICAL STORM WARNING ENDED FOR: LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL STORM AND HAS NOW EVOLVED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM JUST TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE CITY OF ST JOHN. AS A RESULT.. TROPICAL TYPE WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER REQUIRED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  407 WWCN14 CWHX 290407 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 1:07 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION CAMPBELLTON AND EASTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY WESTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY FREDERICTON AND SOUTHERN YORK COUNTY FUNDY NATIONAL PARK GRAND FALLS AND VICTORIA COUNTY GRAND LAKE AND QUEENS COUNTY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY OROMOCTO AND SUNBURY COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY STANLEY - DOAKTOWN - BLACKVILLE AREA SUSSEX/KENNEBECASIS VALLEY AND KINGS COUNTY WOODSTOCK AND CARLETON COUNTY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 50 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED UNTIL TOMORROW. WIND WARNING FOR: FUNDY NATIONAL PARK GRAND LAKE AND QUEENS COUNTY MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY SUSSEX/KENNEBECASIS VALLEY AND KINGS COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS AT 65 KM/H OR MORE AND GUSTING TO 90 TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY. TROPICAL STORM WARNING ENDED FOR: FUNDY NATIONAL PARK GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL STORM AND HAS NOW EVOLVED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM JUST TO THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE CITY OF ST JOHN. AT 12 AM THIS MORNING EXTRATROPICAL STROM KYLE WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTHEAST OF SAINT JOHN HEADING NORTH NORTHEAST. KYLE WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL JUST EAST OF SAINT JOHN JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT AS KYLE MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK TONIGHT IT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAIN AND VERY STRONG WINDS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WEST OF KYLE'S TRACK WHILE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING EAST OF THE TRACK. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 50 TO 100 MILLIMETRES CAN BE EXPECTED BY MONDAY. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE WEEKEND RAINFALL TALLY SHOULD RANGE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 50 AND 150 MILLIMETRES FOR MOST AREAS. EMO NEW BRUNSWICK REMINDS THE PUBLIC THAT RAINFALL IN THESE AMOUNTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME CAN RESULT IN RAPID INCREASE IN WATER LEVELS IN STREAMS AND RIVERS AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH KYLE ARE FORECAST TO REACH SUSTAINED VALUES OF 65 KM/H OR MORE WITH GUSTS OF 90 NEAR THE FUNDY COAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  036 WTPQ21 RJTD 290300 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) ANALYSIS PSTN 290300UTC 16.6N 111.0E FAIR MOVE NW 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 30KT 80NM FORECAST 24HF 300300UTC 18.3N 108.6E 70NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 45HF 010000UTC 19.4N 107.4E 110NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 69HF 020000UTC 19.8N 105.1E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  037 WTJP32 RJTD 290300 WARNING 290300. WARNING VALID 300300. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 992 HPA AT 16.6N 111.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 18.3N 108.6E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  826 WVIY31 LIMM 290410 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 290440/290840 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (210500Z BY LICZ) EXT 10 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  614 WVIY31 LIIB 290410 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 290440/290840 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (210500Z BY LICZ) EXT 10 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  718 WVIY31 LIMM 290410 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 290440/290840 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (210500Z BY LICZ) EXT 10 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  076 WVIY31 LIIB 290410 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 290440/290840 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (210500Z BY LICZ) EXT 10 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  724 WTPQ20 BABJ 290400 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290400 UTC 00HR 16.5N 111.4E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H=  277 WTPQ20 BABJ 290400 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290400 UTC 00HR 26.1N 121.2E 975HPA 33M/S 30KTS 280KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H=  612 WSIN90 VECC 290400 VECF SIGMET NO 02 VALID 290400/290800 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  553 WWUS86 KMFR 290419 RFWMFR RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 919 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ORZ617-623-291230- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.080929T1100Z-080930T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 919 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR POOR RECOVERIES AND GUSTY WINDS AND HAINES 6 REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING FOR POOR RECOVERIES AND GUSTY WINDS AND HAINES 6 REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY. A STRONG INVERSION IN PLACE ALONG WITH EASTERLY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BRING POOR RECOVERIES OF 20 TO 30 PERCENT EARLY MONDAY MORNING. EASTERLY WINDS OF 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL DECREASE IN THE LATE MORNING. HOWEVER...A HAINES INDEX OF 6 IS EXPECTED FOR LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND VERY DRY AIR COINCIDING WITH ONGOING FIRES IN ZONES 617 AND 623. THE RATTLE...LONESOME COMPLEX...AND DOUBLEDAY FIRES ARE INCLUDED IN THE WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$  390 WSPS21 NZKL 290420 NZZO SIGMET 3 VALID 290420/290448 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 2 290048/290448  391 WSPS21 NZKL 290420 NZZO SIGMET 4 VALID 290420/290820 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/370 WI 75NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3314 W16139 - S3800 W15315 - S3843 W14626 - S3228 W13435 MOV E 10KT NC  342 WOAU05 APRF 290423 40:3:1:24:40S112E999:11:00 IDW21100 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0421UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 FINAL Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0000UTC Gale force W/SW flow moderating. AREA AFFECTED Southeast of a line 50S125E 45S129E. FORECAST W/NW winds 30/40 knots, easing below 34 knots by 1000UTC. Very rough seas easing. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  507 WOAU05 APRF 290423 40:3:1:24:40S112E999:11:00 IDW21100 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0421UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 FINAL Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0000UTC Gale force W/SW flow moderating. AREA AFFECTED Southeast of a line 50S125E 45S129E. FORECAST W/NW winds 30/40 knots, easing below 34 knots by 1000UTC. Very rough seas easing. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  022 WUUS53 KOAX 290424 SVROAX NEC003-139-290500- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0450.080929T0424Z-080929T0500Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1124 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL ANTELOPE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... CENTRAL PIERCE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * AT 1118 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OSMOND TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ORCHARD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 24 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK TO 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK...AND MOVING EAST AT 39 MPH. DIME SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED AROUND 1118 PM NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAYS 20 AND 14. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PIERCE AND PLAINVIEW IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA...PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. GET INTO A REINFORCED BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4241 9749 4215 9751 4215 9825 4239 9824 TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 279DEG 34KT 4233 9760 4227 9807 $$ POLLACK  865 WSIN90 VIDP 290400 VIDF SIGMET 02 VALID 290400/290800 VIDF- VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  927 WAZA45 FAPE 290400 FAPE AIRMET 2 VALID 290600/290900 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC EC LAN MOD MTW OBS FAPE TEMP INVERSION 24C @ 1000FT=  272 WWUS83 KGID 290432 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1132 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ063-064-290500- HAMILTON-YORK- 1132 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... YORK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF YORK. SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AT 1130 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HAMPTON...OR 16 MILES WEST OF YORK...AND MOVING EAST AT 32 MPH. * THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... HENDERSON BY 1140 PM CDT LUSHTON BY 1150 PM CDT YORK BY 1155 PM CDT MCCOOL JUNCTION BY MIDNIGHT CDT THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 333 AND 364. PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$  450 WUUS53 KOAX 290439 SVROAX NEC119-139-167-179-290530- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0451.080929T0439Z-080929T0530Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1139 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... SOUTHEASTERN PIERCE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... NORTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 1230 AM CDT. * AT 1135 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HADAR...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF NORFOLK...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 27 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HADAR AND HOSKINS HAIL OF 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4215 9707 4196 9727 4210 9754 4224 9748 TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 305DEG 24KT 4216 9742 $$ POLLACK  066 WSIY31 LIIB 290440 LIBB SIGMET 02 VALID 290500/290900 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  531 WSIY31 LIIB 290440 LIBB SIGMET 02 VALID 290500/290900 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  960 WSIY31 LIIB 290440 LIBB SIGMET 02 VALID 290500/290900 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  291 WGUS81 KOKX 290447 FLSOKX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1247 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 NYC103-290545- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.Y.0119.080929T0447Z-080929T0545Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1247 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SUFFOLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 145 AM EDT... * AT 1245 AM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN...MOVING EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY AT 10 MPH. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH AROUND 1 AM...CAUSING FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF THE FLOODING THREAT INCREASES...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. LAT...LON 4067 7310 4074 7288 4076 7291 4074 7293 4075 7301 4073 7303 4072 7310 4088 7306 4096 7255 4092 7261 4091 7250 4093 7246 4097 7246 4096 7243 4098 7240 4099 7231 4089 7229 4065 7311 $$ NV  124 WOAU06 APRF 290449 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0423UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0000UTC Front 43S080E 45S090E 50S095E moving east northeast at 40 knots and forecast near 37S080E 43S115E 50S120E at 2359UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 120NM of front and remainder between front and 080E south of 40S. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots within 120NM of front. W/SW winds increasing to 30/40 knots southwest of front in area southwest of line 40S080E 40S090E 50S095E from the west after 1200UTC. Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  125 WOAU06 APRF 290449 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0423UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0000UTC Front 43S080E 45S090E 50S095E moving east northeast at 40 knots and forecast near 37S080E 43S115E 50S120E at 2359UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 120NM of front and remainder between front and 080E south of 40S. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots within 120NM of front. W/SW winds increasing to 30/40 knots southwest of front in area southwest of line 40S080E 40S090E 50S095E from the west after 1200UTC. Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  338 WSUS32 KKCI 290455 SIGC MKCC WST 290455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 6C VALID UNTIL 0655Z MN IA NE SD FROM 30SE RWF-40SE FOD-30NW PWE-60S OBH-30SSE ONL-30SE RWF AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30030KT. TOPS TO FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 290655-291055 FROM EAU-50SE IOW-50W COU-40WSW MCI-60E MCK-30SSE ONL-40E RWF-EAU WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  339 WSUS33 KKCI 290455 SIGW MKCW WST 290455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290655-291055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  340 WSUS31 KKCI 290455 SIGE MKCE WST 290455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290655-291055 AREA 1...FROM ENE-180SE ACK-210ESE SIE-140SE SIE-CYN-ALB-ENE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 210ENE VRB-170E PBI-70E PBI-150SE MIA-80WSW EYW-80SW SRQ-30W RSW-50ENE EYW-30ENE MIA-VRB-210ENE VRB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  001 WWUS83 KGID 290452 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1152 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEZ064-077-290515- FILLMORE-YORK- 1152 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR... SOUTHERN YORK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF YORK. NORTHEASTERN FILLMORE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AT 1148 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LUSHTON...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YORK... AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MCCOOL JUNCTION BY MIDNIGHT CDT FAIRMONT BY 1205 AM CDT EXETER BY 1215 AM CDT THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 344 AND 365. PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$  320 WWUS53 KOAX 290454 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1154 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC003-139-290505- /O.CAN.KOAX.SV.W.0450.000000T0000Z-080929T0500Z/ ANTELOPE NE-PIERCE NE- 1155 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL PIERCE AND CENTRAL ANTELOPE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION OR CABLE TV FOR UPDATES. LAT...LON 4241 9749 4215 9751 4215 9825 4239 9824 TIME...MOT...LOC 0455Z 279DEG 34KT 4228 9718 4222 9765 $$ POLLACK  680 WWUS53 KOAX 290456 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1156 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 NEC119-139-167-179-290530- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0451.000000T0000Z-080929T0530Z/ MADISON NE-STANTON NE-WAYNE NE-PIERCE NE- 1156 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN PIERCE...SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE...NORTHWESTERN STANTON AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTIES... AT 1152 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOSKINS...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF NORFOLK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTIES. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4215 9707 4196 9727 4210 9754 4224 9748 TIME...MOT...LOC 0456Z 305DEG 25KT 4209 9728 $$ POLLACK  649 WSZA21 FAJS 290500 FAJO SIGMET A1 VALID 290500/290900 FAJS- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST WI S3730 E01924 - S4106 E02248 - S4430 E02542 - S4748 E02654 - S5024 E02742 - S5130 E02654 - S4930 E02112 - S5112 E02018 - S5436 E02336 - S5554 E02806 - S5448 E03500 - S5318 E03842 - S4800 E03836 - S4318 E03742 - S4048 E03436 - S3730 E02906 - S3718 E02312 - S3730 E01924 TOP FL300=  424 WAZA42 FAJS 290500 FAJS AIRMET 1 VALID 290500/290700 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR GAUTENG, MPUMALANGA HIV AND CENT+NE LIMPOPO PROV SFC VIS 4000M BR BKN CLD 0500FT=  654 WSNZ21 NZKL 290503 NZZC SIGMET 9 VALID 290503/290621 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 4 290221/290621  907 WSNZ21 NZKL 290501 NZZC SIGMET 8 VALID 290501/290600 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 3 290200/290600  908 WSNZ21 NZKL 290501 NZZC SIGMET 8 VALID 290501/290600 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 3 290200/290600  909 WSNZ21 NZKL 290503 NZZC SIGMET 10 VALID 290503/290903 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE OBS 50NM N OF NZNV AT 02Z FCST SEV ICE FL100/180 S OF NZOU E OF NZLX NC  506 WSNZ21 NZKL 290503 NZZC SIGMET 9 VALID 290503/290621 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 4 290221/290621  507 WSNZ21 NZKL 290503 NZZC SIGMET 10 VALID 290503/290903 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE OBS 50NM N OF NZNV AT 02Z FCST SEV ICE FL100/180 S OF NZOU E OF NZLX NC  984 WSRS32 RUAA 290500 UUYY SIGMET 1 VALID 290600/290900 UUYY- SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL265/360 MOV E 20 KMH NC=  093 WHXX04 KWBC 290506 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL STORM INVEST 95L INITIAL TIME 0Z SEP 29 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 36.4 45.6 265./12.0 6 36.7 46.4 288./ 7.0 12 37.2 46.8 324./ 5.7 18 38.3 47.6 323./13.0 24 39.2 48.3 323./10.4 30 39.9 48.7 337./ 8.1 36 40.8 48.6 4./ 8.8 42 41.9 48.5 6./10.7 48 42.8 48.2 16./ 9.2 54 43.9 47.6 30./12.5 60 45.3 46.9 27./14.3 66 46.9 46.2 22./16.9 72 48.8 45.2 29./19.9 78 51.5 44.0 23./27.6 STORM DISSIPATED AT 78 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.  969 WCCN34 CWUL 290508 SIGMET A4 CNCLD AT 290505 CWUL- HURCN KYLE BOUNDED BY HAS BECM POST TROPCL AND HAS WKND TO BLO HURCN STRENTGH. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/CHAREST  811 WTPQ20 VHHH 290446 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TYPHOON JANGMI (0815) HAS WEAKENED INTO A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS. AT 290300 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (26.1 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (121.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC TWO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (29.3 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (125.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC THREE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (31.2 N) ONE THREE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (133.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  869 WWUS53 KOAX 290511 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1211 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 NEC119-139-167-179-290521- /O.CAN.KOAX.SV.W.0451.000000T0000Z-080929T0530Z/ MADISON NE-STANTON NE-WAYNE NE-PIERCE NE- 1211 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PIERCE... SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE...NORTHWESTERN STANTON AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... THIS STORM HAS DECREASED IN STRENGTH...AND THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAT...LON 4215 9707 4196 9727 4210 9754 4224 9748 TIME...MOT...LOC 0511Z 305DEG 25KT 4203 9717 $$ POLLACK  878 WTSS20 VHHH 290445 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (105.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (19.4 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (102.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.  043 WTSS20 VHHH 290445 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (105.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (19.4 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (102.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.  751 WSCN34 CWUL 290512 SIGMET B3 VALID 290510/290910 CWUL- WTN AREA BOUNDED BY /4325N06530W/35 SE YARMOUTH - /4540N06032W/35 E PORT HAWKESBURY - /4815N06145W/50 N ILES DE LA MADELEINE - /4644N06417W/30 NW SUMMERSIDE - /4325N06530W/35 SE YARMOUTH. STG SFC WNDS REPD AT SVRL STNS. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 40 AGL. AREA MOVG NEWD 20 KT. LTL CHG EXPD. END/1/GFA34/CMAC-E/CHAREST  246 WTNT80 EGRR 290512 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.09.2008 TROPICAL STORM KYLE ANALYSED POSITION : 44.4N 66.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.09.2008 44.4N 66.8W MODERATE 12UTC 29.09.2008 46.4N 63.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.09.2008 49.6N 61.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.09.2008 49.3N 63.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2008 EXTRA-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.9N 115.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.10.2008 14.9N 115.8W WEAK 12UTC 01.10.2008 15.6N 116.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2008 17.8N 118.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.10.2008 18.1N 120.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2008 18.2N 120.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.10.2008 19.8N 121.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2008 20.8N 120.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.10.2008 21.1N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2008 19.3N 121.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 290512  565 ACUS01 KWNS 290516 SWODY1 SPC AC 290513 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1213 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... THE LARGE SCALE FLOW PATTERN WILL BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MERIDIONAL/AMPLIFIED OVER THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXTENSIVE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD NORTHWARD OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WHILE A POTENT UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST...WITH THE SLOWER MOVING SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT DEVELOPING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. ...MIDWEST AND MIDDLE/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SOUTHEAST DIGGING UPPER TROUGH...AND ALONG/AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT...SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE ONGOING AT DAYBREAK THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST AND MIDDLE/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WHILE THIS EARLY DAY ACTIVITY IS UNLIKELY TO POSE A CONSEQUENTIAL SEVERE THREAT...AT LEAST SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH POTENTIALLY DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST ADVANCING COLD FRONT MAINLY ACROSS MO/IL. OTHER LOW-TOPPED/POTENTIALLY HAIL PRODUCING TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS FAR NORTH AS WI. IN SPITE OF FAVORABLE KINEMATICS AND INCREASINGLY STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS DURING THE DAY ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION APPEARS SOMEWHAT QUESTIONABLE OWING TO POTENTIAL CLOUD COVER AND EARLY DAY SHOWERS AND TSTMS...AND THESE CONCERNS PRECLUDE A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK AT THIS TIME. EVEN SO...WHERE MODEST AFTERNOON HEATING CAN OCCUR /MORE LIKELY ACROSS MO AND DOWNSTATE PORTIONS OF IL AND INDIANA/...COOL THERMAL PROFILES ALOFT/STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP 54-62 F SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS. PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF MULTICELLS/SMALL LINE SEGMENTS...SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...WITH A STEADILY DIMINISHING SEVERE RISK EXPECTED AFTER SUNSET. ..GUYER/JEWELL.. 09/29/2008  566 WUUS01 KWNS 290516 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1214 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 291200Z - 301200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40099221 42089067 44288980 44178812 42088730 41308476 39438517 37798695 36538982 36209365 36579515 37699559 38599523 40099221 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37999393 39269100 40088971 41138842 41228741 41118620 40208526 39448522 37688703 36518989 36209370 36539511 36999530 37489555 37999393 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 31568064 31398421 32488574 33438588 34188424 34368338 33418141 33158091 32558074 31568064 99999999 28708362 29478036 99999999 42927986 38718247 37478373 36598606 35208923 34699069 34769306 35809739 37229718 39439650 41569328 43719177 45099085 46569001 48698915 99999999 40451048 39591074 39191038 39190972 39600814 39980673 39950583 39080528 38290591 37230766 36691023 36341212 35941402 36001547 36351711 34971726 34641800 34451870 34822010 36382056 39172190 40582256 40862353 41782366 43092351 43742103 43622002 43641876 43031742 41611457 40691399 40871318 41401134 41361073 40451048 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE SAV 10 S ABY 20 WSW AUO 10 S ANB 40 NNE ATL 30 N AHN 30 W OGB 20 S OGB 40 NE SAV 50 SE SAV ...CONT... 70 SSW CTY 45 ENE DAB ...CONT... 55 W BUF 25 N HTS 20 WSW JKL 35 SE BWG 35 SSW MKL 45 WSW MEM 20 N HOT 30 NNE OKC 35 SSE ICT 25 NNE MHK 20 E DSM 30 WSW LSE 35 ENE EAU IWD 85 NE GNA ...CONT... 50 W VEL PUC 15 NW U28 30 ENE U28 40 NNE GJT 25 NNE EGE 50 WNW DEN 35 WNW COS 60 ESE GUC 10 NE DRO 65 SSE U17 25 N GCN 50 N IGM 20 WSW LAS 55 NE NID 30 WNW DAG PMD 35 ENE OXR 20 ESE SMX 50 N PRB 50 NNW SAC 35 NNW RBL 30 ESE ACV 30 E CEC 45 ESE OTH 35 S RDM 55 W BNO 10 ENE BNO 40 NE REO 60 S TWF ENV 45 ENE ENV 20 WNW EVW 15 ENE EVW 50 W VEL.  597 WSSS20 VHHH 290520 VHHK SIGMET 1 VALID 290520/290920 VHHH- VHHK HONG KONG FIR EMBD TS FCST S OF N2000 N OF N1830 W OF E11500 TOP FL350 STNR NC=  693 WHXX01 KMIA 290518 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0518 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP912008) 20080929 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080929 0000 080929 1200 080930 0000 080930 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.5N 94.0W 10.5N 94.9W 10.9N 96.2W 11.3N 97.7W BAMD 10.5N 94.0W 10.6N 95.4W 10.9N 97.1W 11.4N 99.1W BAMM 10.5N 94.0W 10.5N 95.1W 10.9N 96.7W 11.6N 98.5W LBAR 10.5N 94.0W 10.8N 95.6W 11.6N 97.5W 12.7N 99.6W SHIP 25KTS 34KTS 45KTS 54KTS DSHP 25KTS 34KTS 45KTS 54KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081001 0000 081002 0000 081003 0000 081004 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 11.7N 99.5W 13.4N 103.0W 15.6N 105.8W 17.5N 108.8W BAMD 12.3N 101.2W 14.3N 104.7W 16.3N 105.5W 19.1N 105.8W BAMM 12.4N 100.7W 14.9N 104.6W 17.1N 106.3W 19.1N 108.3W LBAR 13.9N 101.6W 16.3N 104.1W 18.4N 103.8W 22.4N 101.2W SHIP 62KTS 75KTS 90KTS 94KTS DSHP 62KTS 75KTS 90KTS 94KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 10.5N LONCUR = 94.0W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 10.5N LONM12 = 92.6W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 10.5N LONM24 = 91.2W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN  217 WHUS71 KAKQ 290522 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 122 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ630>632-291330- /O.NEW.KAKQ.SC.Y.0123.080929T0522Z-080929T1400Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- 122 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ650-652-654-291100- /O.CON.KAKQ.SW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-080929T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- 122 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ HURLEY  259 WVIY31 LIIB 290515 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 290520/290920 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290450Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E-SE OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  707 WVIY31 LIMM 290515 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 290520/290920 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290450Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E-SE OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  911 WVIY31 LIIB 290515 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 290520/290920 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290450Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E-SE OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  599 WSAZ31 LPMG 290525 LPPO SIGMET 4 VALID 290530/290830 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N35 AND W OF W035 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  811 WSAZ31 LPMG 290525 LPPO SIGMET 4 VALID 290530/290830 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N35 AND W OF W035 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  360 WTPQ20 BABJ 290500 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290500 UTC 00HR 26.3N 121.4E 980HPA 30M/S 30KTS 280KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H=  538 WTPQ20 BABJ 290500 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290500 UTC 00HR 16.5N 111.3E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H=  795 WUUS53 KOAX 290532 SVROAX NEC039-290600- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0452.080929T0532Z-080929T0600Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1232 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CUMING COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 100 AM CDT. * AT 1229 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WISNER...OR 23 MILES EAST OF NORFOLK...AND MOVING EAST AT 33 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WISNER...BEEMER AND WEST POINT HAIL OF 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE INSIDE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4191 9659 4178 9679 4190 9702 4204 9702 TIME...MOT...LOC 0533Z 291DEG 29KT 4193 9696 $$ POLLACK  710 ACUS11 KWNS 290539 SWOMCD SPC MCD 290539 IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-290715- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2299 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1239 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 AREAS AFFECTED...SE NEB...SW IA...FAR NW MO CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 290539Z - 290715Z A ISOLATED HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE AS A CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES SEWD ACROSS SE NEB AND SW IA. THE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE REGION. 05Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SSWWD ACROSS NW IA INTO SE NEB. A CONVECTIVE LINE IS LOCATED JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHERE RUC ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE INSTABILITY IS PRESENT WITH MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 1000 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE. THIS WILL FUEL THE LINEAR MCS OVERNIGHT SEWD EVENTUALLY REACHING SCNTRL IA AND NW MO. THE RUC SHOWS AN AIRMASS THAT IS STRONGLY CAPPED SUGGESTING THE ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL NOT CONTAIN A WIND DAMAGE THREAT. HOWEVER...A VERY PRONOUNCED PLUME OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDS NEWD FROM NCNTRL KS INTO SW IA AND THIS ALONG WITH RELATIVELY COLD AIR ALOFT /500 MB TEMPS OF -14 TO -15C/ SHOULD PROMOTE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL. ..BROYLES.. 09/29/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP... 39899586 39749674 39859707 40119709 40439669 41029593 41569540 42349466 42469378 42199329 41719319 40899388 40549436 40169517  825 WSAZ31 LPMG 290525 LPPO SIGMET 4 VALID 290530/290830 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N35 AND W OF W035 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  980 WSAZ31 LPMG 290525 LPPO SIGMET 4 VALID 290530/290830 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N35 AND W OF W035 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  981 WVIY31 LIMM 290515 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 290520/290920 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290450Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E-SE OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV SE 15 KT.=  838 WWUS53 KOAX 290543 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 1243 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 NEC039-290600- /O.CON.KOAX.SV.W.0452.000000T0000Z-080929T0600Z/ CUMING NE- 1243 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL CUMING COUNTY... AT 1242 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BEEMER...OR 30 MILES EAST OF NORFOLK...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...BEEMER AND WEST POINT. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER. SEEK A STURDY SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4191 9659 4178 9679 4190 9702 4204 9702 TIME...MOT...LOC 0543Z 289DEG 30KT 4190 9684 $$ POLLACK  435 WUUS02 KWNS 290544 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1243 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 301200Z - 011200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 45097617 41937505 40007506 38067618 36087765 34837946 33988161 34538297 34438633 35568791 36148566 37028364 38148289 39388310 41218426 42268459 43148381 43818191 0.15 36608121 38087947 39207889 40477800 40797689 40367628 39627634 38667695 37097852 36127983 35768102 36218153 36608121 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36598123 38047949 39227891 40477798 40757693 40337629 39537629 38307726 37087849 36127970 35788098 36168151 36598123 TSTM 31711624 33631715 33751475 32761267 31071149 99999999 37820730 39880666 39660418 37370320 35350273 34590342 34310400 34610503 36100622 37820730 99999999 37371661 36571842 38432092 39802154 41982320 43652315 45932305 46902112 47671877 47961578 47501359 46241158 44711095 42551056 40751033 37631151 36531293 36491513 37371661 99999999 29558663 31618463 33518421 33898639 35598818 36878417 38338333 40358423 41228622 42148767 45068778 46078623 46938300 99999999 45607387 43617299 39857282 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW PSK 35 WSW SHD 50 WSW MRB 20 NE AOO 35 S IPT 30 ENE CXY 30 NE BWI 40 SSW DCA 35 NW AVC 15 E GSO 25 E HKY 30 NNW HKY 50 SW PSK. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE CZZ 30 SE RAL 10 N BLH 10 S GBN 75 WSW FHU ...CONT... 50 NNE DRO 20 NE EGE 40 ESE DEN 35 W SPD 45 SSW DHT 15 NNW CVS 40 W CVS 50 NE 4CR 35 NNW SAF 50 NNE DRO ...CONT... 55 SSE TPH 55 S BIH 30 ESE SAC 45 ESE RBL 30 SSW MFR 35 S EUG 35 NW PDX 35 NW YKM 45 NE EPH 30 NW 3TH 45 NNE MSO 30 SE HLN 10 ENE WEY 25 W BPI 50 WNW VEL 35 E BCE 55 SE SGU 30 N LAS 55 SSE TPH ...CONT... 70 SSE PNS 25 WNW ABY 15 ESE ATL 20 WSW GAD 40 E MKL 15 SSW LOZ 40 W HTS 30 N DAY 35 S SBN 20 N CGX 45 NNE GRB 50 ENE ESC 70 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 65 NE MSS RUT 65 SSE ISP.  436 ACUS02 KWNS 290544 SWODY2 SPC AC 290543 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1243 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TUESDAY AFTN/EVE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.... ...SYNOPSIS... MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE U.S. THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES IS PROGGED TO REMAIN GENERALLY STRONG...WHILE A TROUGH IN THE EAST CONTINUES TO DEEPEN. THERE HAVE BEEN CONSIDERABLE DISCREPANCIES AMONG GUIDANCE CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THE LATTER FEATURE. BUT...THE CLOSED LOW/SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW DIGGING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN THE MOST PROMINENT IMPULSE WITHIN THE SHARPENING CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME...AS IT CONTINUES SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY REGION TUESDAY. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM...A SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DEEPEN OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...WHILE A SIGNIFICANT LOW-LEVEL COLD INTRUSION PROGRESSES THROUGH MOST AREAS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE APPALACHIANS. IN THE WAKE OF A SERIES OF IMPULSES...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF KYLE...EMBEDDED WITHIN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LARGE SCALE TROUGH...AND LIFTING AWAY FROM THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD ...HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR WILL LIKELY BE ADVECTED WELL EAST OF MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC COAST. THE EXCEPTION COULD BE THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...WHERE GUIDANCE INDICATES HIGHEST THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. FARTHER NORTH...THIS LIMITED MOISTURE AVAILABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY FACTOR MINIMIZING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL...AND THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS...WITH STRONG LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION OVERSPREADING THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND APPALACHIANS REGION. ...LEE OF THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS... MODELS...INCLUDING THE SREF...DO INDICATE AT LEAST A MODEST INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TUESDAY...ON SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE VICINITY OF A DEEPENING LEE SURFACE TROUGH. COUPLED WITH STEEPENING LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG HEATING ALONG THE APPALACHIANS...MIXED LAYER CAPE MAY APPROACH OR EXCEED 1000 J/KG IN A CORRIDOR GENERALLY NEAR AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WHILE THE STRONGEST FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH MAY NOT SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION UNTIL AFTER DARK...THE ONSET OF MID-LEVEL COOLING AND SUPPORT FOR LIFT SEEMS LIKELY TO ARRIVE IN TIME TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SCATTERED STORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL OCCUR IN THE PRESENCE OF STRENGTHENING CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW...WHICH MODELS INDICATE WILL BECOME AT LEAST MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR POSSIBLE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. WITH LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RATHER SMALL...LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS PROBABLY WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS BEFORE STORMS WEAKEN/DIMINISH LATER IN THE EVENING. ..KERR.. 09/29/2008  432 WOCN31 CWHX 290600 POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT ... REMNANTS OF KYLE MOVING THROUGH TANTRAMAR MARSH ... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 3.00 AM ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.4 N AND LONGITUDE 65.0 W... ABOUT 35 NAUTICAL MILES OR 65 KM EAST OF SAINT JOHN . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 995 MB. KYLE IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS... 31 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 29 3.00 AM 45.4N 65.0W 995 45 83 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 AM 46.8N 63.6W 1001 40 74 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 3.00 PM 47.8N 62.5W 1002 35 65 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 PM 48.3N 61.6W 1003 35 65 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 AM 48.5N 61.5W 1004 35 65 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY WIND WARNING FOR WESTERN HALF OF MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA AND SOUTHESTERN REGIONS OF NEW BRUNSWICK FOR GUSTS TO 100 KM/H WILL BE WOUND DOWN SHORTLY AS WINDS CONTINUE TO ABATE. RAINFALL WARNINGS FOR STORM AMOUNTS OF 50 TO 100 MM OVER NEW BRUSWICK WILL END LATER THIS MORNING AS RAIN TAPERS OFF. REGIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA ARE CLEARING AWAY DOWNED TREES WITH POWER CREWS RESTORING SERVICE IN THE WAKE OF KYLE. SHELBURNE COUNTY WAS HARDEST HIT BY KLYE. GIVEN THE 20 TO 40 MM RAINFALL YESTERDAY IN ADDITION TO KYLE'S AMOUNTS.. HIGH WATER LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY STREAMS.. DRAINAGE BASINS AND LOW LYING AREAS. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY HURICANE AND STORM WARNINGS ALL DOWNGRADED TO GALES OR ENDED. STORM SURGE WAS STRONGEST IN SHELBURNE COUNTY WHERE A BOAT SHELTERED IN A HARBOUR WAS SWAMPED. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS THE CENTRE OF KYLE HAS BEEN INFERRED FROM RADAR SIGNATURES WHICH PLACES POST TROPICAL KYLE NEAR CAPE CHIGNECTO. THE TRACK HAD DEVIATED AFTER KYLE MADE LANDFALL JUST NORTH OF YARMOUTH THUS IT DID NOT MAKE THE EXPECTED ARRIVAL ALONG THE FUNDY COAST OF NEW BRUNSWICK. B. PROGNOSTIC MOST OF THE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF KYLE ARE RAPIDLY BEING LOST SINCE CONVECTION HAS ERODED AND DRY AIR NOTED ON THE WATER VAPOUR IMAGERY HAS ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM. AFTER DISCUSSIONS WITH THE WEATHER CENTRES IN HALIFAX AND GANDER.. WE AGREE THAT THE DYNAMICAL MODELS CAN NOW BE USED AS THE NAM..GFS AND GEM SHOW VERY SIMILAR SOLUTIONS. C. PUBLIC WEATHER THE 05H00 ADT MARITIME PUBLIC FORECAST WILL STILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH ONGOING RAINFALL WARNINGS TO THE WEST OF KYLE EVEN THOUGH RADAR SIGNATURES ARE WEAKENING. RAINFALL RATES WITHIN THE REFLECTIVITY BAND OVER NEW BRUNSWICK ARE AROUND 8 MM/HR. D. MARINE WEATHER PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/06Z 180 360 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29/12Z 150 210 30 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 150 150 15 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 180 90 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 180 0 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END CAMPBELL  202 WGUS54 KMAF 290553 FFWMAF TXC377-291200- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0096.000000T0000Z-080929T1200Z/ /00000.U.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1253 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE RIO GRANDE BELOW THE RIO CONCHOS IN... PRESIDIO COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS. * UNTIL 700 AM CDT * AT 1252 AM CDT...A DAM FLOODGATE RELEASE FROM THE LUIS LEON RESERVOIR INTO THE RIO CONCHOS IN MEXICO CONTINUED TO RESULT IN ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS THROUGH THE LEVEES DOWNSTREAM ON THE RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO. ALTHOUGH THE RELEASE RATE HAS DECREASED... ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS THROUGH THE LEVEE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE FOR THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE. * THE NEAREST DOWNSTREAM TOWN IS PRESIDIO...LOCATED ALONG THE LEVEES. THE COMMUNITY OF REDFORD IS APPROXIMATELY 16 MILES DOWNSTREAM OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM AND IS ALSO IN IMMINENT DANGER. IF YOU ARE IN THE LOW LYING AREAS NEAR OR BELOW THE LEVEES YOU SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 2940 10418 2943 10419 2944 10421 2950 10425 2952 10436 2957 10442 2967 10431 2948 10405 2938 10415 $$  246 WWJP81 RJTD 290300 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 290300UTC ISSUED AT 290600UTC SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 985HPA AT 26.1N 121.1E MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 27.2N 121.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 28.7N 123.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 124E TO 31N 139E 33N 149E 33N 154E 37N 163E 41N 176E STORM WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH 40 KNOTS SEA AROUND AMAMI WITH 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU, SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA, SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 291200UTC =  432 WBCN07 CWVR 290500 PAM ROCKS WIND 35013 LANGARA; OVC 6L-F SW18 3FT MDT LO-MOD SW GREEN; OVC 15 S20G30 6FT MDT TRIPLE; OVC 15 SE25E 5FT MDT MOD S BONILLA; OVC 3/4L-F SE25G 5FT MOD MOD-HVY S BOAT BLUFF; OVC 15 NW02 RPLD MCINNES; OVC 15 NE10E 2FT CHP LO SW IVORY; OVC 15 E04 1FT CHP LO SW DRYAD; CLDY 15 CLM RPLD ADDENBROKE; OVC 15 N05E 1FT CHP EGG ISLAND; PC 15 NE13 3FT MOD LO W PINE ISLAND; PC 15 SE10E 3FT MOD LO W CAPE SCOTT; PC 15 E5E 1FT CHP LO SW QUATSINO; PC 15 CLM 1FT CHP LO SW NOOTKA; CLR 15 N17G 3FT MOD LO SW ESTEVAN; CLR 15 NE7 1FT CHP LO SW 1018.5S LENNARD; CLR 15 E5 1FT CHP LO SW AMPHITRITE; CLR 15 CLM UNKN CAPE BEALE; CLR 15 NW6 1FT CHP LO SW PACHENA; CLR 15 CLM 1FT CHP LO SW CARMANAH; CLR 15 E14 2FT CHP LO SW SCARLETT; CLDY 15 S3 RPLD LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; CLR 15+ NW5 RPLD CHROME; CLR 15 W8 RPLD MERRY; CLR 15 NW3 RPLD ENTRANCE; CLR 15 NW8 2FT CHP LO NW FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; CLR 6+ CLM SMTH TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; CLR 15 NE10 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 197/16/12/2905/M/6002 57MM= WLP SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 202/11/08/1110/M/8002 38MM= WEB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 188/11/M/0405/M/7011 5MMM= WQC SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 214/09/08/0000/M/1003 58MM= WRU SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 201/13/M/0210/M/8007 1MMM= WFG SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 201/14/M/1409/M/0000 2MMM= WVF SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/3111/M/M M 7MMM= WQS SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 155/14/13/1732+43/M/PK WND 1744 0419Z 3017 50MM= WRO SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 132/13/12/1629/M/PK WND 1633 0456Z 1026 51MM= WEK SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 151/13/M/1434/M/3009 9MMM= WWL SA 0523 AUTO4 M M M 170/12/M/MM21+29/M/1011 8MMM= WME SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 220/12/10/0420/M/0002 PK WND 0324 0401Z 5001 62MM= WAS SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 196/16/08/3513+20/M/PK WND 3621 0443Z 7004 29MM= WSB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/14/M/0801/M/M 2MMM= WGT SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 204/13/11/2906/M/M 6003 95MM= WGB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 207/14/12/2509/M/7002 63MM= WEL SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 200/13/M/2809/M/8001 0MMM= WDR SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/0305/M/M M 0MMM= WZO SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0305/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3303/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 215/11/09/1104/M/1002 99MM=  866 WSUS32 KKCI 290555 SIGC MKCC WST 290555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 7C VALID UNTIL 0755Z IA KS NE FROM 40WNW MCW-50NNE DSM-50WSW PWE-10NNE OBH-40WNW MCW AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30030KT. TOPS TO FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 290755-291155 FROM ODI-BDF-60NW OSW-OBH-ODI WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  867 WSUS31 KKCI 290555 SIGE MKCE WST 290555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290755-291155 AREA 1...FROM BOS-80E ACK-160SE ECG-90SSE ECG-BOS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 210SE CHS-160E PBI-140SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-PIE-50NE EYW-40S MIA-PBI-OMN-210SE CHS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  868 WSUS33 KKCI 290555 SIGW MKCW WST 290555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290755-291155 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  972 WSEW31 LEMM 290600 LECM SIGMET 3 VALID 290600/290830 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360-400 MOV NNW NC=  447 WSEW31 LEMM 290600 LECM SIGMET 3 VALID 290600/290830 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N37 AND W OF W004 VCY ESTRECHO TOP FL 360-400 MOV NNW NC=  146 WUUS53 KOAX 290603 SVROAX NEC141-290630- /O.NEW.KOAX.SV.W.0453.080929T0603Z-080929T0630Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 103 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN PLATTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COLUMBUS... * UNTIL 130 AM CDT. * AT 1259 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 3/4 INCH HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MONROE...OR 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLUMBUS...AND MOVING EAST AT 27 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MONROE...PLATTE CENTER AND COLUMBUS IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA...PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. GET INTO A REINFORCED BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS. LAT...LON 4165 9768 4159 9725 4139 9726 4145 9770 TIME...MOT...LOC 0603Z 285DEG 23KT 4154 9760 $$ FOBERT  638 WWUS53 KOAX 290605 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 105 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 NEC039-290616- /O.EXP.KOAX.SV.W.0452.000000T0000Z-080929T0600Z/ CUMING NE- 106 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CUMING COUNTY HAS EXPIRED... THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT HAS EXPIRED AND WILL NOT BE REISSUED AT THIS TIME. HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. LAT...LON 4191 9659 4178 9679 4190 9702 4204 9702 TIME...MOT...LOC 0543Z 289DEG 30KT 4190 9684 $$  456 WSPS21 NZKL 290609 NZZO SIGMET 5 VALID 290609/291009 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB OBS 280NM DME NSFA ENROUTE NZAA-NSFA FL350 FCST SEV TURB FL330/370 WI 60NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S1642 W17600 - S2000 W17114 MOV E 10KT WKN  179 WAZA45 FAPE 290600 FAPE AIRMET 3 VALID 290900/291200 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC EC LAN MOD MTW OBS FAPE TEMP INVERSION 24C @ 1000FT=  387 WWAK77 PAJK 290620 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1020 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008 AKZ028-290730- /X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-080929T0800Z/ SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA 1020 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$  483 WHUS52 KKEY 290622 SMWKEY GMZ072-290715- /O.NEW.KKEY.MA.W.0279.080929T0622Z-080929T0715Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 222 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM... * UNTIL 315 AM EDT * AT 217 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OVER 35 KNOTS 50 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOLASSES REEF LIGHT...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS...ROUGH SEAS... DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND POOR VISIBILITY IN HEAVY RAIN. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL THREATENING WEATHER HAS PASSED. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. LAT...LON 2426 7985 2438 7999 2460 7999 2445 7965 TIME...MOT...LOC 0622Z 127DEG 12KT 2437 7984 $$ AL  684 WTIN20 DEMS 290620 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 29-09-2008 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUT BAY OF BENGAL (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH LATITUDE 20.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ????/  733 WVIY31 LIIB 290615 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 290620/291020 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  906 WVIY31 LIMM 290615 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 290620/291020 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  013 WVIY31 LIMM 290615 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 290620/291020 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  251 WVIY31 LIIB 290615 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 290620/291020 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  566 WSNZ21 NZKL 290623 NZZC SIGMET 11 VALID 290623/290718 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 6 290318/290718  595 WSNZ21 NZKL 290623 NZZC SIGMET 13 VALID 290623/291023 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZNP/NZNR N OF NZHT/NZOU SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  596 WSNZ21 NZKL 290624 NZZC SIGMET 12 VALID 290624/290722 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 7 290322/290722  022 WSNZ21 NZKL 290623 NZZC SIGMET 11 VALID 290623/290718 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 6 290318/290718  179 WSNZ21 NZKL 290623 NZZC SIGMET 13 VALID 290623/291023 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZNP/NZNR N OF NZHT/NZOU SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  180 WSNZ21 NZKL 290624 NZZC SIGMET 12 VALID 290624/290722 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 7 290322/290722  420 WTPQ20 BABJ 290600 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290600 UTC 00HR 26.5N 121.5E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H=  860 WWUS53 KOAX 290627 SVSOAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA 127 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 NEC141-290637- /O.EXP.KOAX.SV.W.0453.000000T0000Z-080929T0630Z/ PLATTE NE- 127 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PLATTE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 130 AM CDT... THE WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED. STORMS HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE NO LONGER SEVERE. LAT...LON 4165 9768 4159 9725 4139 9726 4145 9770 TIME...MOT...LOC 0627Z 285DEG 23KT 4150 9740 $$ FOBERT  498 WSBW20 VGZR 290700 VGFR SIGMET 03 VALID 290800/291200 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  240 WWNZ40 NZKL 290624 GALE WARNING 557 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND SOUTHERN AT 290600UTC SLOW MOVING FRONT 54S 173E 61S 177W 64S 171W. WITHIN 540 MILES EAST OF FRONT: NORTHWEST 40KT. GALE AREA SLOW MOVING. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 544.  241 WWNZ40 NZKL 290622 GALE WARNING 555 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 290600UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 28S 153W 30S 155W 31S 157W: NORTHEAST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS.  242 WWNZ40 NZKL 290620 GALE WARNING 553 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 290600UTC IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 40S 142W 38S 143W 36S 144W: SOUTHERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 30KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 546.  243 WWNZ40 NZKL 290623 GALE WARNING 556 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND PACIFIC AT 290600UTC IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 45S 164W 48S 167W 49S 170W: NORTHEAST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 20KT.  244 WWNZ40 NZKL 290626 GALE WARNING 559 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 290600UTC FRONT 42S 174E 44S 174E 49S 173E 54S 173E MOVING EAST 15KT. 1. WITHIN 420 MILES EAST OF FRONT FROM 49S 173E TO 54S 173E: NORTHERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. 2. WITHIN 240 MILES EAST OF FRONT FROM 42S 174E TO 49S 173E: NORTHERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. 3. WITHIN 180 MILES WEST OF FRONT FROM 44S 174E TO 49S 173E: SOUTHWEST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREAS MOVING WITH FRONT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 548.  245 WWNZ40 NZKL 290629 CANCEL WARNING 549  246 WWNZ40 NZKL 290619 GALE WARNING 552 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 290600UTC IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 53S 131W 52S 123W 52S 120W 65S 120W 62S 137W 57S 134W 53S 131W: SOUTHWEST 40KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 15KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 545.  247 WWNZ40 NZKL 290621 GALE WARNING 554 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 290600UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 59S 156W 60S 152W 61S 150W: NORTHWEST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 35KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 547.  248 WWNZ40 NZKL 290628 GALE WARNING 561 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 290600UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 45S 160E 47S 164E 49S 165E 54S 160E 45S 160E: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA SLOW MOVING. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 551.  249 WWNZ40 NZKL 290625 GALE WARNING 558 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: SUBTROPIC AND FORTIES AT 290600UTC IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 40S 179E 38S 179W 40S 173W 43S 177W 40S 179E: NORTHWEST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS.  250 WWNZ40 NZKL 290627 GALE WARNING 560 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: SUBTROPIC AND FORTIES AT 290600UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 46S 165E 43S 165E 39S 165E: SOUTHERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. GALE AREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 550.  565 WTPQ20 BABJ 290600 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290600 UTC 00HR 16.5N 110.9E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H=  409 WTIN20 DEMS 290620 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 29-09-2008 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH LATITUDE 20.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ????/  707 WHXX01 KMIA 290642 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0642 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP912008) 20080929 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080929 0600 080929 1800 080930 0600 080930 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.6N 94.7W 10.9N 95.8W 11.3N 97.1W 11.7N 98.5W BAMD 10.6N 94.7W 10.8N 96.2W 11.2N 98.0W 11.9N 99.9W BAMM 10.6N 94.7W 10.9N 96.0W 11.4N 97.6W 12.2N 99.5W LBAR 10.6N 94.7W 11.0N 96.0W 11.9N 97.9W 12.9N 99.8W SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 46KTS DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 46KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081001 0600 081002 0600 081003 0600 081004 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.4N 100.0W 14.6N 103.2W 16.9N 106.0W 18.0N 108.1W BAMD 12.8N 101.8W 14.9N 104.3W 16.9N 104.6W 20.4N 104.9W BAMM 13.2N 101.4W 15.6N 104.4W 17.6N 105.7W 19.7N 107.2W LBAR 14.2N 101.5W 16.4N 103.0W 19.1N 101.6W 23.8N 98.5W SHIP 53KTS 69KTS 83KTS 86KTS DSHP 53KTS 69KTS 83KTS 86KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 10.6N LONCUR = 94.7W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 10.5N LONM12 = 93.3W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 10.5N LONM24 = 91.9W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN  775 WHUS71 KGYX 290644 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 244 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR HIGH SEAS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR HIGH SEAS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. ANZ150>154-291700- /O.EXT.KGYX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY- CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 244 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR HIGH SEAS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  936 WSIN90 VIDP 290700 VIDF SIGMET 03 VALID 290700/291100 VIDF VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  861 WTPQ20 BABJ 290600 CCA SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290600 UTC 00HR 16.5N 110.9E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 18.3N 108.6E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 18.8N 105.9E 990HPA 20M/S P+72HR 18.5N 103.2E 1000HPA 15M/S=  491 WAZA46 FACT 290600 FACT AIRMET 2 VALID 290700/291100 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC W COAST AND ADJ INT: MT OBSC MOD MTW= FACT AIRMET 2 VALID 290700/291100 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: LOC W ESC: MT OBSC AT FIRST=  178 WSSR20 WSSS 290648 WSJC SIGMET 2 VALID 290700/291100 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0730 E109 - N0330 E104 NC=  712 WSSR20 WSSS 290648 WSJC SIGMET 2 VALID 290700/291100 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0730 E109 - N0330 E104 NC=  298 WSUS33 KKCI 290655 SIGW MKCW WST 290655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290855-291255 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  324 WSIN90 VECC 290400 VECF SIGMET NO 03 VALID 290700/291100 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  325 WSUS31 KKCI 290655 SIGE MKCE WST 290655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290855-291255 FROM 210SE CHS-160E PBI-140SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-PIE-50NE EYW-40S MIA-PBI-OMN-210SE CHS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  326 WSUS32 KKCI 290655 SIGC MKCC WST 290655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 8C VALID UNTIL 0855Z MO MN IA KS NE FROM 40WSW ODI-40W IOW-50NE SLN-30E OBH-40WSW ODI AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30035KT. TOPS TO FL450. HAIL TO 3/4 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 290855-291255 FROM ODI-40ESE BDF-40N OSW-50SSE OBH-ODI WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  973 WTJP21 RJTD 290600 WARNING 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 985 HPA AT 26.4N 121.1E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 27.7N 122.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 29.0N 123.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 30.2N 130.3E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 32.0N 142.2E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  974 WTPQ20 RJTD 290600 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0815 JANGMI (0815) ANALYSIS PSTN 290600UTC 26.4N 121.1E FAIR MOVE N 09KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 300600UTC 29.0N 123.8E 85NM 70% MOVE NE 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 48HF 010600UTC 30.2N 130.3E 180NM 70% MOVE E 14KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 72HF 020600UTC 32.0N 142.2E 250NM 70% MOVE E 26KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT =  080 WSIN90 VIDP 290700 VIDF SIGMET 03 VALID 290700/291100 VIDF- VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  148 WSIY31 LIIB 290700 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 290730/291130 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  465 WSIY31 LIIB 290700 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 290730/291130 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  225 WSIY31 LIIB 290700 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 290730/291130 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  697 WSNT08 KKCI 290710 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 3 VALID 290710/291110 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS WI N3745 W04615 - N3645 W04345 - N3245 W04400 - N3100 W04745 - N3545 W04900 - N3745 W04615. TOP FL450. STNR. NC.  228 WSNT08 KKCI 290710 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 3 VALID 290710/291110 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS WI N3745 W04615 - N3645 W04345 - N3245 W04400 - N3100 W04745 - N3545 W04900 - N3745 W04615. TOP FL450. STNR. NC.  264 WSAM20 FCBB 290500 FCCC SIGMET A2 VALID 290500/290900 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0500Z N0749E01506-N0530E01338-N0152E01612-N0353E01607-N0746E01519 MOV W 15KT WKN N0033E00917-S0100E00806-S0236E00906-S0022E00952-N0041E00922 MOV W15KT WKN  715 WWUS83 KDVN 290705 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 159 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ051-063-290800- BENTON-IOWA- 159 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 156 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ELDORA TO MARSHALLTOWN TO NEAR NEWTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... VICTOR AND BELLE PLAINE AROUND 240 AM CDT... LUZERNE...LADORA AND KEYSTONE AROUND 250 AM CDT... VAN HORNE...MARENGO...GARRISON AND BLAIRSTOWN AROUND 255 AM CDT... VINTON AROUND 300 AM CDT... PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ 33  588 WSGR31 LGAT 290700 LGGG SIGMET 2 VALID 290700/291100 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N3830 AND E OF E02300 MOV E NC=  701 WSGR31 LGAT 290700 LGGG SIGMET 2 VALID 290700/291100 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N3830 AND E OF E02300 MOV E NC=  033 WABZ21 SBRE 290705 SBRE AIRMET 1 VALID 290705/290905 SBRF- RECIFE FIR SFC VIS 3000M -RA OBS AT 0700 IN AD SBMO AREA STNR NC=  796 WTJP22 RJTD 290600 WARNING 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 990 HPA AT 16.6N 110.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 17.4N 106.9E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 17.1N 104.0E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  848 WTPQ20 BABJ 290600 CCA SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290600 UTC 00HR 26.5N 121.5E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H P+24HR 29.0N 124.4E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 30.8N 131.4E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 31.8N 139.6E 998HPA 17M/S=  889 WTPQ21 RJTD 290600 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) ANALYSIS PSTN 290600UTC 16.6N 110.1E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 300600UTC 17.4N 106.9E 70NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 48HF 010600UTC 17.1N 104.0E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  249 WTKO20 RKSL 290600 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20 NAME STS 0815 JANGMI ANALYSIS POSITION 290600UTC 26.4N 121.1E MOVEMENT N 9KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 300600UTC 29.2N 124.4E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT 48HR POSITION 010600UTC 30.6N 130.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT 72HR POSITION 020600UTC 32.5N 142.1E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  508 WOAU11 APRM 290714 IDS20210 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, ADELAIDE AT 0713UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR SOUTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION AT 290600UTC Vigorous westerly airstream. AREA AFFECTED Bounded by 45S129E 43S141E 50S141E 50S129E 45S129E. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots, reaching 40/50 knots south of 47S until 291500UTC. Winds moderating below 34 knots west of 132E by 291200UTC and west of 141E by 300001UTC. Very rough seas, reaching high south of 48S until 291500UTC. Seas abating from the west after 291200UTC. Heavy swell. WEATHER ADELAIDE  818 WUUS03 KWNS 290717 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0216 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 011200Z - 021200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... &&  819 ACUS03 KWNS 290717 SWODY3 SPC AC 290715 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0215 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... MODELS INDICATE THAT A STRONG UPPER JET OVER THE MID LATITUDE PACIFIC WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY WEDNESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...A DOWNSTREAM EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH IS PROGGED TO LIFT TOWARD THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE WEAKENING OF THE LARGE SCALE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND U.S. ROCKIES. BUT...DOWNSTREAM OF INCREASED SHORT WAVE RIDGING TO THE LEE OF THE CANADIAN ROCKIES...THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SHARPEN. WITHIN THE CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME IN THE EAST...A MID-LEVEL CLOSED LOW AND ASSOCIATED OCCLUDING SURFACE CYCLONE ARE PROGGED TO BEGIN LIFTING NORTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE PIVOTS AROUND AND LIFTS NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION EARLY IN THE PERIOD. IN THE WAKE OF THIS FEATURE...A SURFACE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS BY MID DAY WEDNESDAY...BEFORE SLOWLY ADVANCING INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND FLORIDA PENINSULA...AS ANOTHER UPPER IMPULSE DIGS ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY 12Z THURSDAY. ...MID ATLANTIC COAST... A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH COULD POTENTIALLY BECOME A FOCUS FOR WEAK TO MODERATE DESTABILIZATION EARLY WEDNESDAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN INTO THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...PERHAPS COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. HOWEVER...PRIOR TO THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT...SUBSIDENT MID/HIGH LEVEL FLOW BETWEEN UPPER IMPULSES APPEARS LIKELY TO SUPPRESS CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. ..KERR.. 09/29/2008  067 WSRS32 RUAA 290700 UUYY SIGMET 2 VALID 290900/291200 UUYY- SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL265/360 MOV E 20 KMH NC=  276 WTPQ20 BABJ 290700 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290700 UTC 00HR 26.7N 121.5E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H=  277 WTPQ20 BABJ 290700 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290700 UTC 00HR 16.5N 110.8E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H=  842 WHUS71 KAKQ 290722 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 322 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ650-652-654-291530- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-080929T1700Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- 322 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ630>632-291400- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0123.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- 322 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ HURLEY  951 WOPS01 NFFN 290600 GALE WARNING 003 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Sep 29/0722 UTC 2008 UTC. LOW [1008HPA] NEAR 23S 163W MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. WITHIN 60 TO 120 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE TO SOUTTHERN SEMICIRCLE, EXPECT NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND UPTO 35 KNOTS AT TIMES. AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH LOW. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 002.  989 WOPS01 NFFN 290600 GALE WARNING 003 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Sep 29/0722 UTC 2008 UTC. LOW [1008HPA] NEAR 23S 163W MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. WITHIN 60 TO 120 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE TO SOUTTHERN SEMICIRCLE, EXPECT NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND UPTO 35 KNOTS AT TIMES. AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH LOW. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 002.  605 WHUS71 KCAR 290726 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 326 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ050>052-291600- /O.CAN.KCAR.SC.Y.0059.000000T0000Z-080929T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KCAR.SW.Y.0041.080929T0726Z-080930T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- 326 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FEET OR HIGHER. THIS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.. && $$  649 WVJP31 RJTD 290735 RJJJ SIGMET 2 VALID 290735/291335 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA ERUPTION MT SUWANOSEJIMA LOC N2938 E12943 VA CLD OBS AT 0706Z VA TOPS TO FL060 EXTENDED E INTST UNKNOWN=  132 WVJP31 RJTD 290735 RJJJ SIGMET 2 VALID 290735/291335 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA ERUPTION MT SUWANOSEJIMA LOC N2938 E12943 VA CLD OBS AT 0706Z VA TOPS TO FL060 EXTENDED E INTST UNKNOWN=  139 WAAK49 PAWU 290732 WA9O FAIS WA 290745 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 291400 . TANANA VLY FC PAEI AK RANGE OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. IMPR. . =FAIT WA 290745 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 291400 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 290745 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 291400 . NONE .  140 WAAK47 PAWU 290732 WA7O JNUS WA 290745 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 291400 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 290745 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 291400 . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . =JNUZ WA 290745 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 291400 . NONE .  188 WTKO20 RKSL 290600 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME STS 0816 MEKKHALA ANALYSIS POSITION 290600UTC 16.6N 110.1E MOVEMENT WNW 13KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 300600UTC 17.3N 107.2E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 58KT 48HR POSITION 010600UTC 17.2N 104.5E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  530 WOPF10 NTAA 290731 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 31 DU 29/09/08 A 07H30 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 26S ET 161W LE 29/09/08 A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 10KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 21S160W 25S152W 30S155W 27S160W ET 21S160W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 30/35KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : ELARGISSEMENT DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  531 WOPF10 NTAA 290731 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 31 DU 29/09/08 A 07H30 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 26S ET 161W LE 29/09/08 A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 10KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 21S160W 25S152W 30S155W 27S160W ET 21S160W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 30/35KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : ELARGISSEMENT DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  312 WAAK48 PAWU 290734 WA8O ANCS WA 290745 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 291400 . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC N SLOPE WRANGELL MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG SE PABE MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . PRIBILOF ISLANDS AND SOUTHEAST BERING SEA AL OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . =ANCT WA 290745 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 291400 . NONE . =ANCZ WA 290745 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 291400 . NONE .  238 WHUS71 KBOX 290737 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 337 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ250-254-255-291545- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080930T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM- 337 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OUTER-WATERS. LEFT OVER SWELL FROM NOW DISTANT HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE TREND WILL BE FOR WAVE HEIGHTS TO SLOWLY DROP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEY SHOULD DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ235-237-291500- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080929T1500Z/ RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 337 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THIS ADVISORY IS FOR RHODE ISLAND AND BLOCK ISLAND SOUNDS. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING. WE EXPECT THEM TO DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. KYLE CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION...HOWEVER LARGE SWELL FROM KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS THROUGH MONDAY. && $$ FRANK  480 WOAU12 AMRF 290737 IDV21000 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, MELBOURNE AT 0737UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREA Please be aware Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Situation Cold front to west expected 45S138E/50S142E by 291200UTC, 43S144E/50S149E by 291800UTC and 43S150E/50S155E by 300000UTC. Area Affected Within 43S141E/44S160E/50S160E/50S141E/43S141E Forecast West to southwesterly winds at 25/35 knots in the far southeast easing to 20/30 knots over the next 6 hours. Wind veering northwesterly 25/35 knots within 360 nm ahead of front and reaching 40 knots south of 45S. Wind shifting west to southwesterly at similar strength west of front but easing 20/30 knots in the west after 291800UTC. Very rough to high seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER MELBOURNE  805 WSEW31 LEMM 290600 LECM SIGMET 4 VALID 290730/290930 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS MELILLA AND VCY FL 360-400 MOV NNW NC=  593 WWUS83 KDVN 290740 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 235 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ051-052-063-064-076-077-087-290830- BENTON-IOWA-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KEOKUK-LINN-WASHINGTON- 235 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 230 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR TAMA...TO BROOKLYN...TO NEAR WILLIAMSON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... VICTOR AND BELLE PLAINE AROUND 250 AM CDT... KEYSTONE AROUND 255 AM CDT... GARRISON...MILLERSBURG...LUZERNE AND LADORA AROUND 300 AM CDT... WHAT CHEER...VAN HORNE AND MARENGO AROUND 305 AM CDT... PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ 33  410 WSEW31 LEMM 290600 LECM SIGMET 4 VALID 290730/290930 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS MELILLA AND VCY FL 360-400 MOV NNW NC=  815 WWCN16 CWHX 290741 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:11 AM NDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WRECKHOUSE WIND WARNING FOR: ST. GEORGE'S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 80 GUSTING TO 110 KM/H THIS MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA OF SOUTHWESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 40 GUSTING TO 60 KM/H WELL AHEAD OF THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KYLE WILL INCREASE TO 80 GUSTING TO 110 KM/H IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA THIS MORNING AS THE STORM MOVES INTO GULF WATERS. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO EASE THIS EVENING AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/NLWO  064 WAAK47 PAWU 290742 WA7O JNUS WA 290745 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 291400 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 290745 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 291400 . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . =JNUZ WA 290745 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 291400 . NONE .  068 WSCI31 RCTP 290746 RCAA SIGMET 4 VALID 290800/291200 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST S OF N2400 AND E OF E11900 TOP ABV FL350 MOV NE 10KT WKN=  224 WSCI31 RCTP 290746 RCAA SIGMET 4 VALID 290800/291200 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST S OF N2400 AND E OF E11900 TOP ABV FL350 MOV NE 10KT WKN=  301 WSCI31 RCTP 290746 RCAA SIGMET 4 VALID 290800/291200 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST S OF N2400 AND E OF E11900 TOP ABV FL350 MOV NE 10KT WKN=  561 WWCN14 CWHX 290752 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:52 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. WIND WARNING FOR: MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. WINDS GUSTING TO 90 KM/H ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING OVER THE TANTRAMAR MARSH AREA THIS MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: WESTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY FREDERICTON AND SOUTHERN YORK COUNTY FUNDY NATIONAL PARK CAMPBELLTON AND EASTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY GRAND FALLS AND VICTORIA COUNTY GRAND LAKE AND QUEENS COUNTY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY OROMOCTO AND SUNBURY COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY STANLEY - DOAKTOWN - BLACKVILLE AREA SUSSEX/KENNEBECASIS VALLEY AND KINGS COUNTY WOODSTOCK AND CARLETON COUNTY. WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: FUNDY NATIONAL PARK GRAND LAKE AND QUEENS COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY SUSSEX/KENNEBECASIS VALLEY AND KINGS COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== EXTRATROPICAL STORM KYLE WILL TRAVEL ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE TODAY. WHILE KYLE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY THE REMNANTS OF KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING RAIN TO EASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK THIS MORNING AS WELL AS GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO THE TANTRAMAR MARSH AREA. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  583 WWPK20 OPKC 290751 MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FOR MET AREA IX VALID FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 0900UTC DATED 2909-2008 BY PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT. PART -I: NO SIGNIFICANT SYNOPATIC SITIATION PART - II: NO ALERT MESSAGE. PART -III: FORECASTS: SUB AREA NO.1 NORTH ARABIAN SEA I. WIND W/SW‘LY 10-15 KTS GUSTING 20KTS. II. WEATHER PARTLY CLOUDY/CLOUDY WITH HAZY MORNING. III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE. IV. STATE OF SEASLIGHT/MODERATE. SUB AREA NO. 2 GULF OF OMAN I. WIND NW/SW’LY 10-15 KTS GUSTING 20 KTS. II. WEATHER FAIR WITH HAZY MORNING. III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE. IV. STATE OF SEASLIGHT/MODERATE SUB AREA NO. 3 CENTRAL NORTH ARABIAN SEA (12ºN/55ºE, 12ºN/63ºE, 20°N/58°E, 20ºN/67ºE) I. WIND SW’LY/NW 17-21 KTS GUSTING 27 KTS. II. WEATHER FAIR / PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY MORNING. III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE. IV. STATE OF SEAMODERATE/ROUGH. SUB AREA NO. 4 GULF OF ADEN I. WIND SW'LY 17-21 KTS GUSTING 27 KTS. II. WEATHER FAIR / PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY MORNING. III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE. IV. STATE OF SEAMODERAT/ ROUGH.  848 WHUS71 KLWX 290753 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 353 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ530>534-291600- /O.CAN.KLWX.SC.Y.0137.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.SC.Y.0138.080929T1500Z-080929T2000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- 353 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND MAY PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  675 WWCN11 CWHX 290754 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:54 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... WIND WARNING FOR: CUMBERLAND COUNTY - MINAS SHORE CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH AND COBEQUID PASS. WINDS GUSTING UP TO 100 KM/H ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. LES SUETES WIND WARNING FOR: INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH. WINDS GUSTS TO 100 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL MID MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS..LES SUETES..ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS AND OVER ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NOVA SCOTIA... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: HALIFAX METRO AND HALIFAX COUNTY WEST LUNENBURG COUNTY QUEENS COUNTY SHELBURNE COUNTY YARMOUTH COUNTY DIGBY COUNTY ANNAPOLIS COUNTY KINGS COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMNANTS OF KYLE OVER THE EASTERN BAY OF FUNDY AT FORECAST TIME WILL TRACK INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE THIS MORNING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE FORECAST CLOSE TO THE LOW CENTRE IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  827 WSUS32 KKCI 290755 SIGC MKCC WST 290755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 9C VALID UNTIL 0955Z MO IA KS NE FROM 50SW ODI-30WSW IOW-50ENE SLN-50W OVR-50SW ODI AREA TS MOV FROM 30035KT. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 290955-291355 FROM 50SSE ODI-50N DEC-OSW-50WSW PWE-50SSE ODI WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  828 WSUS31 KKCI 290755 SIGE MKCE WST 290755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290955-291355 FROM 150SE SIE-190ESE ECG-130SSE ILM-160E PBI-140SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW SRQ-OMN-CHS-150SE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  829 WSUS33 KKCI 290755 SIGW MKCW WST 290755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 290955-291355 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  967 WWCN15 CWHX 290754 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:54 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: PRINCE COUNTY P.E.I. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMNANTS OF KYLE OVER THE EASTERN BAY OF FUNDY AT FORECAST TIME WILL TRACK INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE THIS MORNING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE FORECAST CLOSE TO THE LOW CENTRE IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. ALTHOUGH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL FORECAST OVER WESTERN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND THESE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH WIND WARNING CRITERIA. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  429 ACPN50 PHFO 290755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUN SEP 28 2008 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. $$ KINEL  519 WHUS73 KDTX 290755 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 355 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 LHZ421-441>443-290900- /O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0271.000000T0000Z-080929T1000Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 355 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA...EXPECT WINDS TO DECREASE FURTHER...AND WAVES TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FROM 2 TO 4 FEET THIS MORNING TO 1 TO 2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. $$ DG  807 WWPK19 OPKC 290755 PAKISTAN MORNING INFERENCE DATED 29-09-2008. -------------------------------------------- YESTERDAYS'S TROUGH OVER UPPER NWFP NOW LIES OVER KASHMIR AND ADJOINING AREAS. ANOTHER TROUGH LIES OVER NORTHEAST AFGHANISTAN AND ADJOINING AREAS. SEASONAL LOW LIES OVER BALOCHISTAN AND ADJOINING AREAS WITH ITS TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARDS. FORECAST VALID UNTIL 30TH EVENING (1200 UTC) -------------------------------------------- RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AT ONE OR TWO PLACES HILLS NWFP AND KASHMIR. MAINLY DRY WEATHER ELSEWHERE COUNTRY.  192 WWCN03 CYZX 290757 WEATHER WARNING NUMBER 35 UPDATING NUMBER 34 FOR GAGETOWN ISSUED BY MSC WEATHER SERVICES CENTRE GREENWOOD AT 4:57 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. RAINFALL WARNING ENDED. WIND ADVISORY ENDED. POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE. WARNING AND ADVISORY CRITERIA ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. END/DOIRON  651 WSPS21 NZKL 290757 NZZO SIGMET 6 VALID 290757/290820 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 4 290420/290820  652 WSPS21 NZKL 290757 NZZO SIGMET 7 VALID 290757/291157 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/370 WI 75NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3342 W16000 - S3734 W15309 - S3816 W14337 - S3200 W13100 MOV E 10KT NC  169 WSZA21 FAJS 290800 FAJO SIGMET A3 VALID 290800/291200 FAJS- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST WI S3718 E02036 - S3842 E01930 - S4130 E02112 - S4324 E02606 - S4606 E02800 - S4942 E02800 - S5406 E02924 - S5524 E03354 - S5624 E03818 - S5636 E04400 - S5318 E04430 - S4812 E04006 - S4324 E03818 - S4054 E03418 - S3812 E02918 - S3712 E02442 - S3718 E02036 TOP FL300=  260 WHCI28 BCGZ 290700 TS WARNING NR 4 AT 290600 Z 0816 (0816 MEKKHALA) 990 HPA NEAR 16.5 NORTH 110.9 EAST POSITION FAIR BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS GUSTS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 25 KT WINDS 300 KMS OVER WATER MOVING WNW AT 7 KNOTS 24 HR FCST POSIT AT 300600 Z NEAR 18.1 NORTH 108.3 EAST MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GUSTS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER 48 HR FCST POSIT AT 010600 Z NEAR 18.7 NORTH 104.9 EAST MAX WINDS 33 KNOTS GUSTS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER  272 WONT54 EGRR 290800 SECURITE NO STORMS=  198 ACCN10 CWTO 290803 CONVECTIVE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA ONTARIO REGION AT 3:41 PM EDT SUNDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THIS FORECAST IS ISSUED AT 4 AM AND 4.30 PM DAILY BETWEEN MAY 1 AND SEPTEMBER 30. NOTE: THIS IS NOT A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH WARNING OR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT. DISCUSSION OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. TODAY AND TONIGHT..ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHEASTWARDS. TUESDAY..ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS A LOW MOVES TOWARDS LAKE ERIE FROM MICHIGAN AND MERGES WITH THE LOW FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS LAKE HURON. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS DEFINED AS HAVING ONE OR MORE OF THE FOLLOWING - WIND GUSTS OF 90 KM/H OR GREATER. - HAIL OF 2 CENTIMETRES DIAMETER OR GREATER. - RAINFALL RATE GREATER THAN 50 MILLIMETRES IN 1 HOUR OR LESS OR 75 MILLIMETRES IN 3 HOURS OR LESS. - TORNADOES. END/ASHTON/MEREDITH  002 ACCN10 CWTO 290804 CCA CONVECTIVE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO CORRECTED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA ONTARIO REGION AT 4:04 AM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THIS FORECAST IS ISSUED AT 4 AM AND 4.30 PM DAILY BETWEEN MAY 1 AND SEPTEMBER 30. THIS FORECAST IS ISSUED AT 4 AM AND 4.30 PM DAILY BETWEEN MAY 1 AND SEPTEMBER 30. NOTE: THIS IS NOT A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH WARNING OR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT. DISCUSSION OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. TODAY AND TONIGHT..ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHEASTWARDS. TUESDAY..ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS A LOW MOVES TOWARDS LAKE ERIE FROM MICHIGAN AND MERGES WITH THE LOW FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS LAKE HURON. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS DEFINED AS HAVING ONE OR MORE OF THE FOLLOWING - WIND GUSTS OF 90 KM/H OR GREATER. - HAIL OF 2 CENTIMETRES DIAMETER OR GREATER. - RAINFALL RATE GREATER THAN 50 MILLIMETRES IN 1 HOUR OR LESS OR 75 MILLIMETRES IN 3 HOURS OR LESS. - TORNADOES. END/ASHTON/MEREDITH  355 WTPQ20 VHHH 290746 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (0815) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (26.4 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (121.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC TWO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (29.4 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (125.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC THREE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (31.4 N) ONE THREE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (134.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  418 WTSS20 VHHH 290745 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (106.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (102.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.  630 WHUS72 KMHX 290805 MWWMHX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 405 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 AMZ152-154-290915- /O.CAN.KMHX.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080929T1500Z/ S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM- S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 405 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEAS ACROSS THE WATERS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 6 FEET. $$ AMZ156-290915- /O.CAN.KMHX.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080929T0900Z/ S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM- 405 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEAS ACROSS THE WATERS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 6 FEET. $$ RSB  078 WTSS20 VHHH 290745 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (106.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (102.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.  330 WSCN34 CWUL 290808 SIGMET B4 VALID 290810/291210 CWUL- WTN AREA BOUNDED BY /4540N06018W/45 E PORT HAWKESBURY - /4804N06048W/55 NE ILES DE LA MADELEINE - /4646N06441W/40 N MONCTON - /4508N06208W/45 SW PORT HAWKESBURY - /4540N06018W/45 E PORT HAWKESBURY. STG SFC WNDS REPD AT SVRL STNS. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 40 AGL. AREA MOVG NEWD 20 KT. LTL CHG EXPD. END/1/GFA34/CMAC-E/CHAREST  033 WWUS73 KJKL 290810 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 410 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS... .LINGERING MOISTURE CLOSE TO THE GROUND...COMBINED WITH CLEAR SKIES AND COOL TEMPERATURES...WILL ALLOW DENSE FOG TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY EARLY THIS MORNING. KYZ080-085>088-107-109-110-112>120-291400- /O.CON.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT- KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE... HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE 410 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD DENSE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT RIDGE TOP LOCATIONS AS WELL. THE FOG WILL GRADUALLY LIFT AND DISSIPATE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM THIS MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND TO LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION WHEN TRAVELING TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. $$ KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-084-104-106-108-111-291400- /O.CON.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE 410 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD DENSE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT RIDGE TOP LOCATIONS AS WELL. THE FOG WILL GRADUALLY LIFT AND DISSIPATE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM THIS MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND TO LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION WHEN TRAVELING TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. $$ WJM/RAY  877 WSNZ21 NZKL 290812 NZZC SIGMET 14 VALID 290812/290903 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 10 290503/290903  462 WSNZ21 NZKL 290812 NZZC SIGMET 14 VALID 290812/290903 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 10 290503/290903  546 WSMC31 GMMC 290814 GMMM SIGMET 3 VALID 290810/291100 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3617 W00676 - N3549 W00887 - N3393 W00857 - N3390 W00620 - N3584 W00534 TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  796 WSEW31 LEMM 290815 LECM SIGMET 5 VALID 290815/291015 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS S OF 3715 AND BTN W007/W005 TOP FL400 MOV NW NC=  803 WSMC31 GMMC 290814 GMMM SIGMET 3 VALID 290810/291100 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3617 W00676 - N3549 W00887 - N3393 W00857 - N3390 W00620 - N3584 W00534 TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  804 WSEW31 LEMM 290815 LECM SIGMET 5 VALID 290815/291015 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS S OF 3715 AND BTN W007/W005 TOP FL400 MOV NW NC=  827 WGUS82 KJAX 290817 FLSJAX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 417 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLC019-031-035-083-107-109-292015- /O.NEW.KJAX.FA.Y.0203.080929T0817Z-080929T2015Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 417 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A * HYDROLOGIC ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN... NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ORANGE PARK...LAKESIDE... EASTERN DUVAL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MAYPORT...MANDARIN...DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE...ARLINGTON... WESTERN FLAGLER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ANDALUSIA... EASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PALATKA...EAST PALATKA...CRESCENT CITY... WESTERN ST. JOHNS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FRUIT COVE... EASTERN MARION COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA... * UNTIL 415 PM EDT MONDAY THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE ELEVATED WATERS LEVELS TODAY. THE RIVER GAGE AT ASTOR CONTINUES TO REPORT MINOR FLOODING. OTHER GAGES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA CONTINUE TO SHOW RIVER LEVELS ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL VALUES...BUT WITH A GRADUAL FALL. RESIDENTS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES FROM DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE SOUTHWARD TO DOCTORS LAKE...PALATKA AND GEORGETOWN WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE UP TO A COUPLE OF FEET OF RIVER FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. RIVER FRONT RESIDENTS MAY WISH TO MOVE UNSECURED OBJECTS NEAR THE RIVER BANKS TO HIGHER GROUND AND MAY OBSERVE SOME SUBMERGED DOCKS. LAT...LON 3034 8157 3005 8159 2986 8150 2961 8154 2939 8141 2937 8145 2940 8152 2952 8160 2936 8157 2928 8172 2955 8175 2984 8163 3010 8180 3044 8177 3047 8143 3035 8139 $$ DEESE  901 WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09.1N 130.9E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 168E 45N 168E 50N 180E 38N 180E 35N 173E 39N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 146E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 129E 32N 136E 32N 143E 33N 150E 35N 160E 43N 180E. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 985 HPA AT 26.4N 121.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 990 HPA AT 16.6N 110.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  902 WTPQ20 BABJ 290800 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290800 UTC 00HR 26.8N 121.5E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H=  822 WSAZ31 LPMG 290810 LPPO SIGMET 5 VALID 290830/291230 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST W N40 W035 - N30 W035 - N25 W037 - N25 W37 - N30 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  866 WSAZ31 LPMG 290810 LPPO SIGMET 5 VALID 290830/291230 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST W N40 W035 - N30 W035 - N25 W037 - N25 W37 - N30 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  324 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z --- NEAR 16.6N 110.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 110.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 17.5N 108.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 18.3N 106.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 18.7N 105.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 19.0N 104.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.7N 101.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 290900Z POSITION NEAR 16.8N 109.7E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM EAST OF HUE, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  325 WSAZ31 LPMG 290810 LPPO SIGMET 5 VALID 290830/291230 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST W N40 W035 - N30 W035 - N25 W037 - N25 W37 - N30 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  335 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z --- NEAR 26.8N 121.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 121.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 28.3N 122.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 29.5N 124.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 30.3N 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 31.0N 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 32.6N 138.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 34.3N 147.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290900Z POSITION NEAR 27.2N 121.6E. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM NORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.//  336 WTPN33 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281651Z SEP 08// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z --- NEAR 8.7N 131.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N 131.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 9.7N 129.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 11.0N 126.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 12.2N 125.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 13.7N 124.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 16.2N 123.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 18.7N 123.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 20.9N 123.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 290900Z POSITION NEAR 9.0N 130.9E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 8 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN 281651Z SEP 08 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 281700 ). NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  107 WHUS42 KMHX 290824 CFWMHX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 424 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .LINGERING SWELL FROM TROPICAL SYSTEM KYLE COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL RESULT IN A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. NCZ095-098-103-104-292100- /O.NEW.KMHX.CF.S.0030.080929T1200Z-080930T0000Z/ CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE- 424 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 LINGERING EASTERLY SWELL FROM TROPICAL SYSTEM KYLE COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL RESULT IN A HIGH THREAT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST FACING BEACHES. THE RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL BE GREATEST A COUPLE HOURS EITHER SIDE OF LOW TIDE. LOW TIDE TODAY IS AROUND 140 PM EDT. A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND...WAVE AND TIDE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF POWERFUL OR NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES. RIP CURRENTS THAT FORM MAY BECOME LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU STAY OUT OF THE WATER. RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW AWAY FROM THE BEACH. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...REMAIN CALM. TRY TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY. $$  647 WWUS73 KUNR 290826 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 226 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 .COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAVE LINGERING FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS PORTIONS OF HARDING AND PERKINS COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING. SDZ001-002-291400- /O.CON.KUNR.FZ.W.0001.080929T0900Z-080929T1400Z/ HARDING-PERKINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...LEMMON...BISON 226 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MDT THIS MORNING... A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MDT THIS MORNING. EARLY THIS MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING AROUND 800 AM. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. COVER OR HARVEST GARDEN CROPS AND BRING PLANTS INDOORS. $$  822 WGUS82 KJAX 290828 CCA FLSJAX FLOOD ADVISORY...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 428 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLC019-031-035-083-107-109-292015- /O.COR.KJAX.FA.Y.0203.080929T0817Z-080929T2015Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 428 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A * HYDROLOGIC ADVISORY... NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ORANGE PARK...LAKESIDE... EASTERN DUVAL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MAYPORT...MANDARIN...DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE...ARLINGTON... WESTERN FLAGLER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ANDALUSIA... EASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PALATKA...EAST PALATKA...CRESCENT CITY... WESTERN ST. JOHNS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FRUIT COVE... EASTERN MARION COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA... * UNTIL 415 PM EDT MONDAY THE ST. JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE ELEVATED WATERS LEVELS TODAY. THE RIVER GAGE AT ASTOR CONTINUES TO REPORT MINOR FLOODING. OTHER GAGES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA CONTINUE TO SHOW RIVER LEVELS ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL VALUES...BUT WITH A GRADUAL FALL. RESIDENTS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES FROM DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE SOUTHWARD TO DOCTORS LAKE...PALATKA AND GEORGETOWN WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE UP TO A COUPLE OF FEET OF RIVER FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. RIVER FRONT RESIDENTS MAY WISH TO MOVE UNSECURED OBJECTS NEAR THE RIVER BANKS TO HIGHER GROUND AND MAY OBSERVE SOME SUBMERGED DOCKS. LAT...LON 3034 8157 3005 8159 2986 8150 2961 8154 2939 8141 2937 8145 2940 8152 2952 8160 2936 8157 2928 8172 2955 8175 2984 8163 3010 8180 3044 8177 3047 8143 3035 8139 $$ DEESE  279 WWCN14 CWHX 290830 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:30 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== EXTRATROPICAL STORM KYLE WILL TRAVEL ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE TODAY. WHILE KYLE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY THE REMNANTS OF KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING RAIN TO EASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK THIS MORNING AS WELL AS GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO THE TANTRAMAR MARSH AREA. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  819 WTNT22 KNHC 290831 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 0900 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 47.3W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 100SW 120NW. 34 KT.......240NE 200SE 210SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 400SE 480SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 47.3W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 47.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.0N 48.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 210SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.8N 48.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 235NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 41.7N 48.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.0N 48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 170SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 51.5N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 58.0N 34.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 57.0N 21.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 47.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART  910 WHCA72 TJSJ 290832 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 432 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH MID WEEK... .LONG PERIOD...NORTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. AMZ710-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T0832Z-080930T1200Z/ ATLANTIC WATERS NORTHWARD TO 19.5N AND BETWEEN 64N AND 68W FROM NORTHWEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO AT PUNTA CADENA EASTWARD TO MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EXTENDING BEYOND 100 FATHOM LINE TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE- 432 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ730-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T1800Z-080930T0600Z/ CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO CABO SAN JUAN EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 17N AND EASTWARD TO 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.- 432 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  993 WWCN11 CWHX 290831 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:31 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... LES SUETES WIND WARNING FOR: INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH. WINDS GUSTS TO 100 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL MID MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS..LES SUETES..ARE OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS AND OVER ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NOVA SCOTIA... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: CUMBERLAND COUNTY - MINAS SHORE CUMBERLAND COUNTY NORTH AND COBEQUID PASS. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMNANTS OF KYLE OVER THE EASTERN BAY OF FUNDY AT FORECAST TIME WILL TRACK INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE THIS MORNING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE FORECAST CLOSE TO THE LOW CENTRE IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  352 WTPQ20 BABJ 290800 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290800 UTC 00HR 16.8N 110.7E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H=  500 WAUS41 KKCI 290845 WA1Z BOSZ WA 290845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 100-145 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 60E ECK-20NW SLT-30ESE SAX-HTO-20NW ACK-90ESE ENE-40S HUL-30ESE HUL ....  501 WAUS42 KKCI 290845 WA2Z MIAZ WA 290845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 130-ABV 160 ACRS AREA ....  502 WAUS42 KKCI 290845 WA2T MIAT WA 290845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  503 WAUS42 KKCI 290845 WA2S MIAS WA 290845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NE ECG TO 70SSE ECG TO ILM TO MCN TO GQO TO HMV TO 20NE ECG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG 09-11Z AND ENDG 13- 15Z. ....  504 WAUS41 KKCI 290845 WA1T BOST WA 290845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  505 WAUS41 KKCI 290845 WA1S BOSS WA 290845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET IFR...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 20NNE PQI TO 40W YSJ TO 200SE ACK TO JFK TO PLB TO YSC TO 70NW PQI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 13-15Z OVR LAND. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z OVR CSTL WTRS. . AIRMET IFR...NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM MSS TO PLB TO JFK TO 20NE ECG TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO DXO TO YYZ TO MSS CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 13-15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT MA NY PA WV MD VA FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO CON TO HAR TO 40SSE PSK TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW TO SYR TO MSS TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS ENDG 13-15Z. ....  750 WAUS45 KKCI 290845 WA5S SLCS WA 290845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  751 WAUS46 KKCI 290845 WA6Z SFOZ WA 290845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 085-140 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20WNW HUH-50SE HUH-50NW EPH-40N EPH-20WNW GEG-50NE BKE ....  752 WAUS46 KKCI 290845 WA6S SFOS WA 290845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET IFR...OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 100SSW ONP TO 70SW OED TO 40SSE FOT TO 30SW SAC TO 20NW RZS TO 50W TRM TO 20ESE MZB TO 220SW MZB TO 140WSW FOT TO 160NW FOT TO 100SSW ONP CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 17-19Z LAND AREAS BTN FOT AND 70NW RZS...AND S OF LAX. ELSW...CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET IFR...WA FROM 20ENE HUH TO 30NNE SEA TO 60SSW SEA TO 50SW HUH TO 20ENE HUH VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG 09-11Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 16-17Z. ....  753 WAUS45 KKCI 290845 WA5Z SLCZ WA 290845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 070-145 ACRS AREA 080 BOUNDED BY 50S FCA-70SSE MLP-50NNW LKT-20W DLN-40SSW HLN-40W HLN-50S FCA 120 ALG 50NE BKE-40SSE DNJ-40ESE MLD-50SSW BPI-30ESE BPI-50SW SHR-30SE BIL-50N GTF-40SE YQL 120 ALG 70S YYN-40WNW GGW-30S GGW-20SE MLS-80NW RAP-60WNW RAP 120 BOUNDED BY 20NNE DBL-30SW DBL-60SSW HBU-40SW ALS-20ESE ALS-60SW DEN-50ENE DBL-20NNE DBL ....  754 WAUS45 KKCI 290845 WA5T SLCT WA 290845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET TURB...WY NV UT CO AZ NM FROM SNY TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO TCC TO 20ENE TBC TO ELY TO SLC TO SNY MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL410. CONDS DVLPG 10-13Z S OF 20W BCE-50W LBL LN. CONDS ENDG 15Z N OF 50S BVL-MTU-50S GLD LN. ELSW...CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB AZ NM BOUNDED BY DRK-SJN-DMN-40SSW DMN-50S TUS-70SE BZA-DRK MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS DVLPG 17-19Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  173 WSIY31 LIIB 290838 LIBB SIGMET 03 VALID 290900/291300 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  226 WAUS46 KKCI 290845 WA6T SFOT WA 290845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB CA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 40SSW OED-20NE ENI-30E SNS-40S EHF-60SW HEC-40ESE MZB- 20S MZB-LAX-40W RZS-20SSW FOT-60N FOT-40SSW OED MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS DVLPG 18-20Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  369 WUUS48 KWNS 290834 PTSD48 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0334 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 021200Z - 071200Z SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 4-8 ... ANY SEVERE ... &&  370 ACUS48 KWNS 290834 SWOD48 SPC AC 290834 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0334 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 021200Z - 071200Z ...POTENTIAL TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SVR RISK AREA... MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT A TRANSITION TOWARD A LESS AMPLIFIED SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE U.S. NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE SPREAD BECOMES LARGE CONCERNING SMALLER SCALE FEATURES WITHIN THIS REGIME...PERSISTENT BROADER SCALE TROUGHING IN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE SPLIT FLOW...FROM THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...REGION ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF ANYTHING BEYOND LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES...AT BEST...THROUGH THIS PERIOD. ..KERR.. 09/29/2008  948 WSIY31 LIIB 290838 LIBB SIGMET 03 VALID 290900/291300 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  067 WSIY31 LIIB 290838 LIBB SIGMET 03 VALID 290900/291300 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  068 WWUS83 KDVN 290835 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 334 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ051>053-063>065-067-076>078-087-088-098-ILZ015-290930- BENTON-CEDAR-HENRY-IOWA-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-KEOKUK-LINN-LOUISA- MUSCATINE-ROCK ISLAND-VAN BUREN-WASHINGTON- 334 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 330 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BLAIRSTOWN TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OXFORD TO WELLMAN TO 9 MILES WEST OF BATAVIA... MOVING EAST AT 32 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... NEWHALL...RICHLAND...PACKWOOD AND AMANA AROUND 340 AM CDT... RICHMOND...OXFORD...NORWAY AND KALONA AROUND 345 AM CDT... WALFORD AROUND 350 AM CDT... FAIRFAX AROUND 355 AM CDT... PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$  613 WWCN10 CWUL 290829 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:29 AM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: =NEW= CHEVERY AMQUI - MATAPEDIA VALLEY MATANE SAINTE-ANNE-DES-MONTS - GRANDE-VALLEE GASPESIE NATIONAL PARK - MURDOCHVILLE NEW CARLISLE - CHANDLER FORILLON NATIONAL PARK - GASPE - PERCE MINGANIE ANTICOSTI NATASHQUAN. A TOTAL OF 50 TO 80 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN WILL HAVE FALLEN OVER THESE AREAS BY THIS EVENING FOR THE GASPESIE OR BY TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE BASSE-COTE-NORD. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: RESTIGOUCHE - BONAVENTURE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE OF DUMP RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY OVER THE GASPE PENINSULA TODAY AND OVER THE BASSE-COTE-NORD THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER SEVERAL COASTAL AREAS OF THE EXTREME EASTERN REGIONS OF THE PROVINCE AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES. ===================================================================== PLEASE REFER TO REGIONAL PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR DETAILS PERTAINING TO EACH REGION. ===================================================================== END/ID  297 WGUS83 KLOT 290837 FLSLOT FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 337 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS.. ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA SALLE AFFECTING BUREAU AND LA SALLE COUNTIES .SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD NORTHERN ILLINOIS THIS MORNING AND WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT WATER LEVELS ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT THIS TIME. SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. ILC011-099-292037- /O.CON.KLOT.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-080929T2100Z/ /LSLI2.3.ER.080914T0358Z.080917T0000Z.080929T1500Z.NR/ 337 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA SALLE. * UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 230 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AREAS IN LA SALLE, SPRING VALLEY, AND PERU LOWLANDS ARE FLOODED. $$  343 WTNT32 KNHC 290837 TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 500 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA FORMS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC... AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1015 MILES...1635 KM...WEST OF FAYAL ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. LAURA IS NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS...AND THE SYSTEM IS ONLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING INTERESTS OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND LAURA COULD TRANSITION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY AND POSSIBLY BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...500 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...37.2 N...47.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART  565 WGUS83 KLOT 290839 FLSLOT FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 339 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN INDIANA.. KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY AFFECTING LAKE AND NEWTON COUNTIES .SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD FAR NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT WATER LEVELS ON THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT THIS TIME. SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. INC089-111-292039- /O.CON.KLOT.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SLBI3.3.ER.080914T0925Z.080925T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 339 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 245 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.2 FEET BY THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING AFFECTS COUNTY AND LOCAL ROADS. WILDWOOD ESTATES AND SUMAVA RESORTS BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING. $$  537 WTNT42 KNHC 290840 TCDAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 500 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION WITH CLOUD TOPS TO NEAR -70C HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND HAS STARTED WRAPPING AROUND AND VERY NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 775 NMI WEST OF THE WESTERNMOST AZORES ISLANDS. THERE IS ENOUGH CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER NOW FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM. THE 06Z SATELLITE CLASSIFICATION FROM TAFB WAS ST3.0/45 KT...BUT USING THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE FOR A TROPICAL SYSTEM YIELDS NEARLY EIGHT TENTHS BANDING...OR T3.5/55 KT. SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING SET AT 50 KT...WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH A FEW 50-KT WIND VECTORS NOTED IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT IN A 28/2133Z QUIKSCAT HI-RES OVERPASS. HOWEVER...SINCE THE TIME OF THAT OVERPASS... CONVECTION HAS INCREASED MARKEDLY AND IS NOW THE SOLID BAND OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THEREFORE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY COULD BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/7. ALL OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...AND THEN TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH AND ACCELERATING AS THE INCIPIENT MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WEAKENS AND OPENS UP INTO A TROUGH AND GETS LIFTED NORTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED MID-LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE AZORES ISLANDS. AFTER REACHING THE HIGHER LATITUDES IN ABOUT 72 HOURS...LAURA IS FORECAST TO GET PICKED BY THE FAST WESTERLIES AND MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD AS AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM SYSTEM. LAURA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER 25C-26C SSTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ALSO BE UNDER LIGHT TO MODERATE SHEAR CONDITIONS. THEREFORE... SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. HOWEVER...IF THE CURRENT TREND OF CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER CONTINUES...THEN SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA COULD QUICKLY TRANSITION OVER TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND BECOME A HURRICANE WITH A BANDING EYE FEATURE LATER TODAY. BY 36 HOURS...LAURA IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING OVER MUCH COOLER WATER...WHICH SHOULD INDUCE WEAKENING ALONG WITH A GRADUAL TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL STATUS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE SHIPS...GFDL...HWRF...AND ICON INTENSITY MODELS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 37.2N 47.3W 50 KT 12HR VT 29/1800Z 38.0N 48.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 30/0600Z 39.8N 48.9W 60 KT 36HR VT 30/1800Z 41.7N 48.8W 60 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 01/0600Z 44.0N 48.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 02/0600Z 51.5N 44.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/0600Z 58.0N 34.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 04/0600Z 57.0N 21.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ FORECASTER STEWART  661 WAUS44 KKCI 290845 WA4T DFWT WA 290845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  662 WAUS44 KKCI 290845 WA4Z DFWZ WA 290845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 125-155 ACRS AREA ....  681 WAUS43 KKCI 290845 WA3S CHIS WA 290845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET IFR...IN KY TN FROM CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 30WSW IIU TO CVG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 14-15Z. . AIRMET IFR...MO IL KY FROM 40SSW UIN TO 50S DEC TO 40ENE DYR TO 20NNE ARG TO 40SSW UIN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 14Z. . AIRMET IFR...KS MO OK TX AR FROM 60NW OSW TO 40SSE SGF TO 40W LIT TO 30NNW GGG TO 50WSW TUL TO 60NW OSW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 14Z. . AIRMET IFR...SD NE MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN FROM INL TO YQT TO SSM TO YVV TO DXO TO FWA TO 40SW DEC TO 30S OVR TO 60E OBH TO INL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG IN-LWR MI-LH PTN 15Z AND ENDG WRN MN-WRN IA-NE PTN 15Z. ELSW CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...KY FROM HNN TO HMV TO VXV TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 14-15Z. ....  683 WAUS43 KKCI 290845 WA3Z CHIZ WA 290845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 291500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 045-145 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 40N MOT-80WSW GFK-30SE FAR-20W BRD-70N SAW 120 ALG 60WNW RAP-30N OVR-20NNW COU-STL-40NW TTH-20WNW GIJ- 20NE GRR-MBS-40ENE ECK ....  685 WAUS43 KKCI 290845 WA3T CHIT WA 290845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LS FROM 50NNW ISN TO YQT TO MCI TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO SNY TO BFF TO 50NNW ISN MOD TURB BTN FL280 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. ....  876 WHCA72 TJSJ 290841 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH MID WEEK... .LONG PERIOD...NORTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. AMZ710-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T0841Z-080930T1200Z/ ATLANTIC WATERS NORTHWARD TO 19.5N AND BETWEEN 64N AND 68W FROM NORTHWEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO AT PUNTA CADENA EASTWARD TO MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EXTENDING BEYOND 100 FATHOM LINE TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE- 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ720-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T1200Z-080930T1200Z/ ATLANTIC NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EASTWARD TO CABO SAN JUAN THEN EASTWARD TO CULEBRA ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN AND ADJACENT ISLANDS OUT TO 100 FATHOM LINE.- 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ730-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T1800Z-080930T1200Z/ CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO CABO SAN JUAN EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 17N AND EASTWARD TO 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.- 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  986 WAUS44 KKCI 290845 WA4S DFWS WA 290845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET IFR...TN IN KY FROM CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 30WSW IIU TO CVG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 14-15Z. . AIRMET IFR...OK TX AR KS MO FROM 60NW OSW TO 40SSE SGF TO 40W LIT TO 30NNW GGG TO 50WSW TUL TO 60NW OSW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 14Z. ....  224 WWUS73 KBIS 290843 NPWBIS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 343 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL SETTLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY LATE MONDAY MORNING. DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE COOLING RAPIDLY MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN ACROSS THIS MORNING TO PROTECT ANY REMAINING VULNERABLE VEGETATION. FURTHERMORE...CHILDREN HEADING TO SCHOOL ON MONDAY MORNING SHOULD HAVE PROPER CLOTHING TO PROTECT AGAINST SUB- FREEZING TEMPERATURES. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD ALSO BE TAKEN TO ENSURE THAT OUTDOOR PETS HAVE APPROPRIATE SHELTER AND WATER SOURCES FOR FREEZING OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. NDZ031>033-040-041-043-044-291400- /O.CON.KBIS.FZ.W.0002.080929T0900Z-080929T1400Z/ GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MARMARTH... MOTT...BOWMAN...HETTINGER 243 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MDT THIS MORNING... A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MDT THIS MORNING. COLD HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA WILL SETTLE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY LATE MONDAY MORNING. DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE COOLING INTO THE LOW 30S PRIOR TO SUNRISE. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. $$ SCHECK  348 WSAM20 FCBB 290830 FCCC SIGMET A3 VALID 290900/291300 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0745Z N0149 E01628 - N0346 E01522 - N0255 E01406 - N0121 E01517 AND S0216 E00955 - N0116 E00755 - S0007 E00606 - S0307 E00750 MOV W 10KT INTSF=  985 WHXX01 KWBC 290844 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0844 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE LAURA (AL122008) 20080929 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080929 0600 080929 1800 080930 0600 080930 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 37.0N 47.0W 38.5N 48.5W 40.5N 49.2W 42.3N 49.6W BAMD 37.0N 47.0W 37.4N 48.4W 38.4N 48.4W 39.8N 47.5W BAMM 37.0N 47.0W 38.1N 48.5W 39.8N 49.1W 41.5N 49.1W LBAR 37.0N 47.0W 37.0N 48.6W 37.3N 49.3W 37.6N 48.9W SHIP 50KTS 54KTS 60KTS 64KTS DSHP 50KTS 54KTS 60KTS 64KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081001 0600 081002 0600 081003 0600 081004 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 43.9N 49.5W 47.4N 47.0W 50.3N 37.1W 48.2N 24.3W BAMD 41.2N 46.3W 43.4N 42.1W 44.5N 33.5W 41.0N 27.2W BAMM 43.0N 48.8W 46.6N 45.8W 49.6N 35.0W 48.4N 20.1W LBAR 38.1N 48.0W 39.4N 46.1W 39.5N 43.7W 39.2N 41.0W SHIP 66KTS 63KTS 75KTS 68KTS DSHP 66KTS 63KTS 75KTS 68KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 37.0N LONCUR = 47.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 37.1N LONM12 = 44.0W DIRM12 = 264DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 37.1N LONM24 = 41.4W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 995MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 275NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 240NM RD34SE = 200NM RD34SW = 210NM RD34NW = 270NM $$ NNNN  627 WGUS64 KMAF 290852 FFAMAF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 352 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO AND DOWNSTREAM INTO THE BIG BEND... .MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE RIVER FROM PRESIDIO TO THE BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...THOUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE. WATER RELEASES FROM LUIS LEON RESERVOIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE RIO GRANDE THROUGH THIS WEEK. CONSIDERABLE FLUCTUATIONS IN WATER LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DEPENDING ON ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN THE WATERSHED. TXZ079-292100- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-080930T0000Z/ /00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PRESIDIO VALLEY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PRESIDIO 352 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA... PRESIDIO VALLEY. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * WATER RELEASES AT LUIS LEON RESERVOIR ON THE RIO CONCHOS CONTINUE TO AFFECT RIVER LEVELS ON THE RIO GRANDE. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE SHOULD LEVEES FAIL. * PORTIONS OF FM 170 REMAIN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. FOR ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND AND CLICK ON RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS ON THE LEFT MENU BAR. $$  529 WSUS31 KKCI 290855 SIGE MKCE WST 290855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 9E VALID UNTIL 1055Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 100ENE OMN-150ENE VRB-50NE PBI-20ENE ORL-100ENE OMN AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL300. OUTLOOK VALID 291055-291455 FROM 150SE SIE-190ESE ECG-130SSE ILM-160E PBI-140SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW SRQ-OMN-CHS-150SE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  530 WSUS32 KKCI 290855 SIGC MKCC WST 290855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 10C VALID UNTIL 1055Z MO IA FROM 30W DBQ-30SW IRK LINE TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 11C VALID UNTIL 1055Z MO IA KS NE FROM 10SE OVR-40SSW DSM-10W MCI-20NNW ICT-10SE OVR AREA TS MOV FROM 32030KT. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291055-291455 FROM 50SSE ODI-50N DEC-OSW-50WSW PWE-50SSE ODI WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  671 WSUS33 KKCI 290855 SIGW MKCW WST 290855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291055-291455 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  761 WWJP74 RJTD 290600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 290600UTC ISSUED AT 290900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 291500UTC =  762 WWJP73 RJTD 290600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 290600UTC ISSUED AT 290900UTC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 129E 32N 136E 32N 143E 33N 150E 35N 160E 43N 180E WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF TOKAI NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 291500UTC =  763 WWJP75 RJTD 290600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 290600UTC ISSUED AT 290900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 291500UTC =  063 WWJP81 RJTD 290600 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 290600UTC ISSUED AT 290900UTC SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 985HPA AT 26.4N 121.1E MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 27.7N 122.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 29.0N 123.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 30.2N 130.3E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 129E 32N 136E 32N 143E 33N 150E 35N 160E 43N 180E STORM WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA WITH 40 KNOTS SEA AROUND AMAMI, SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 291500UTC =  064 WWJP82 RJTD 290600 VITAL WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 290600UTC ISSUED AT 290900UTC SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 985HPA AT 26.4N 121.1E MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 27.7N 122.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 29.0N 123.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 30.2N 130.3E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 129E 32N 136E 32N 143E 33N 150E 35N 160E 43N 180E GALE WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI WITH MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 291500UTC =  610 WBCN07 CWVR 290800 PAM ROCKS WIND 34014 LANGARA; N/A GREEN; N/A TRIPLE; N/A BONILLA; N/A BOAT BLUFF; N/A MCINNES; N/A IVORY; N/A DRYAD; N/A ADDENBROKE; N/A EGG ISLAND; N/A PINE ISLAND; N/A CAPE SCOTT; N/A QUATSINO; N/A NOOTKA; N/A ESTEVAN; N/A LENNARD; N/A AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; N/A PACHENA; N/A CARMANAH; N/A SCARLETT; N/A PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; N/A CHROME; N/A MERRY; N/A ENTRANCE; N/A FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; N/A Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 198/15/13/3003/M/2001 95MM= WLP SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 196/11/08/1210/M/7006 51MM= WEB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 182/11/M/1605/M/6006 1MMM= WQC SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 211/07/07/3302/M/8003 38MM= WRU SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 190/13/M/0309/M/6010 0MMM= WFG SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 193/13/M/0510/M/8008 6MMM= WVF SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/3111/M/M M 7MMM= WQS SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 168/13/13/1728+38/M/PK WND 1738 0757Z 1013 49MM= WRO SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 164/12/12/1623/M/PK WND 1630 0721Z 1032 39MM= WEK SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 163/13/M/1530/M/0012 6MMM= WWL SA 0823 AUTO4 M M M 171/12/M/MM25+32/M/0001 3MMM= WME SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 211/11/10/0523/M/PK WND 0429 0710Z 6009 22MM= WAS SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 194/15/07/3414+21/M/PK WND 3625 0708Z 8002 42MM= WSB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/0705/M/M 4MMM= WGT SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 199/12/11/3004/M/M 8005 45MM= WGB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 204/13/13/3006/M/8003 45MM= WEL SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 198/13/M/3007/M/8002 3MMM= WDR SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/14/M/0111/M/M M 8MMM= WZO SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0311/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0701/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 209/10/08/1104/M/8006 83MM=  826 WWUS83 KDVN 290858 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 357 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ051>053-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ015-024-034-MOZ009-010- 291000- BENTON-CEDAR-CLARK-CLINTON-DES MOINES-HANCOCK-HENRY-IOWA-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-KEOKUK-LEE-LINN- LOUISA-MERCER-MUSCATINE-ROCK ISLAND-SCOTLAND-SCOTT-VAN BUREN-WASHINGTON- 357 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 356 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CEDAR RAPIDS TO IOWA CITY TO RIVERSIDE TO BIRMINGHAM TO NEAR MEMPHIS...MOVING EAST AT 43 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... ROME...STOCKPORT...SOLON AND LONE TREE AROUND 405 AM CDT... BERTRAM...WYMAN...OLDS AND NICHOLS AROUND 410 AM CDT... WINFIELD AND WEST LIBERTY AROUND 415 AM CDT... PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ 33  192 WCNT09 KKCI 290910 WSTA0I KZNY SIGMET INDIA 1 VALID 290910/291510 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR TC LAURA OBS AT 0900Z NR N3712 W04718. MOV WNW 5KT. INTSF. FRQ TS TOP FL450 WI N3845 W04745 - N3730 W04230 - N3200 W04600 - N3500 W04930 - N3845 W04745. FORECAST 1500Z TC CENTER N3744 W04758.  275 WOCN31 CWHX 290900 HURRICANE KYLE INTERMEDIATE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 6.00 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. AT 06H00 ADT.. POST TROPICAL KYLE IS LOCATED AT COORDINATES 46.2 NORTH 64.2 WEST.. ABOUT 20 KM WEST OF THE CONFEDERATION BRIDGE. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB AND FILLING. MOVEMENT IS NORTHEASTWARD 20 KNOTS OR 37 KM/H. POST TROPICAL KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE TODAY. MACHINE MODELS INDICATE THAT KYLE WILL BECOME STATIONARY UNDER AN UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH OF GRINDSTONE ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE POST TROPICAL NATURE OF KYLE.. THERE ARE NO TROPICAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SYNOPTIC WIND WARNINGS HAVE JUST CONCLUDED FOR MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK PLUS CUMBERLAND COUNTY NOVA SCOTIA. RAINFALL WARNINGS REMAIN POSTED FOR EASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK BUT THESE WILL END THIS MORNING AS THE REMNANTS OF KYLE MOVE AWAY. ALL HURRICANE AND STORM WARNINGS HAVE ENDED OVER THE MARINE AREAS. GALES WARNINGS ASSOCIATED WITH POST TROPICAL KYLE REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE MARITIME GULF OF ST LAWRENCE WATERS PLUS CABOT STRAIT. THESE GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE NEWFOUNDLAND PORTIONS OF THE GULF. GALE WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN HOISTED FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST. A SUMMARY OF WIND AND RAIN EFFECTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED UNDER TELETYPE HEADERS AWCN11 CWHX.. AWCN14 CWHX AND AWCN15 CWHX. NOTABLE HIGHLIGHTS INCLUDE HURRICANE GUSTS UP TO 124 KM/H AT BACCARO POINT IN SHELBURNE COUNTY. A COAST GUARD SHIP REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 154 KM/H OFF SHELBURNE. THE DOWNING OF TREES.. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES INCREASED IN SEVERITY TOWARD SHELBURNE COUNTY. THIS IS TO BE EXPECTED WITH TRANSITIONING TROPICAL SYSTEMS WHERE THE WIND IS STRONGEST TO THE EAST OR RIGHT OF TRACK. OVER NEW BRUNSWICK.. THE HIGHEST AMOUNT RECORDED WAS 107 MM OVER GRAND MANAN ISLAND. A LARGE EXTENDED AREA OF 40 TO 60 MM OF RAIN FELL OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK WITH AN ADDITONAL 10 MM OR SO EXPECTED THIS MORNING. KYLE CAME ASHORE AS A MARGINAL CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE JUST TO THE NORTH OF YARMOUTH AND WEAKENED RAPIDLY INTO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT PASSED UP THE MAIN HIGHWAY IN DIGBY COUNTY BEFORE MOVING INTO THE BAY OF FUNDY. AS IT CROSSED THE BAY OF FUNDY. KYLE TRANSITIONED INTO A POST TROPICAL SYSTEM AND SUBSEQUENTLY PASSED OVER CAPE CHIGNECTO ON ITS WAY UP THE TANTRAMAR MARSH. END CAMPBELL  308 WTPQ33 PGUM 290858 TCPPQ3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 PM CHST MON SEP 29 2008 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W FORMS NORTHWEST OF KOROR... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM CHST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 130.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KOROR PALAU AND 490 MILES WEST OF YAP. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REPEATING THE 7 PM CHST POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 130.9 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM CHST TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MCELROY  443 WWUS83 KGID 290859 SPSGID SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 359 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 NEZ039-040-046-060-061-072-291700- VALLEY-GREELEY-SHERMAN-DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...GREELEY...LOUP CITY...LEXINGTON... KEARNEY...ELWOOD 359 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FROST IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING IN LOCALIZED AREAS... COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO DIMINISHING WINDS...CLEAR SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO HAVE LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40...BUT SOME LOW SPOTS AND RIVER VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD SEE READINGS DIP TOWARDS THE MID 30S. THE COOLER LOCATIONS WHICH APPROACH THE MID 30S MAY HAVE LOCALIZED FROST DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$  059 WWIN40 DEMS 290300 I W B 29TH SEPT 2008 MNG: ========================= THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON HAS WITHDRAWN FROM ENTIRE JAMMU & KASHMIR, HIMACHAL PRADESH, PUNJAB, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, WEST RAJASTHAN, MOST PARTS OF UTTARAKHAND, WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND EAST RAJASTHAN, SOME PARTS OF NORTH GUJARAT STATE AND NORTH ARABIAN SEA(.) WITHDRAWAL LINE PASSES THROUGH LAT 30.0 DEG N / LONG 80.0 DEG E, BAREILLY, DHOLPUR, SAWAI MADHOPUR, DEESA, NALIYA, LAT 23.0 DEG N / LONG 65.0 DEG E, LAT 23.0 DEG N / LONG 60.0 DEG E, THE LOPAR OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF GWB AND N/H HAS BECOME LESS MARKED(.) HOWEVER THE ASSTD CYCIR LIES OVER GWB AND N/H AND EXTDNS UPTO MTLS TILTING SW-WARDS WITH HEIGHT(.) THE CYCIR OVER EC-AR SEA OFF GOA-KKA COTS PERSISTS AND NOW EXTDNS BETN 2.1 & 3.6 KMS ASL(.) THE TRGH IN MID & UPPER TROPO W-LIES HAS MOVED AWAY NE-WARDS(.) THE WD AS AN U/A SYSTEM EXTDNG UPTO 3.6 KMS ASL OVER J & K AND ADJ N-PAK NOW LIES OVER J & K AND N/H(.) A FRESH WD AS AN U/A SYSTEM LIES OVER N-PAK AND N/H(.) ABOVE TWO SYSTEMS ARE LIKELY TO MOVE ENE-WARDS(.) THE SW-MONSOON HAS BEEN VIG IN BIHAR AND ACTIVE IN ASSAM/MEGHA(.) IT HAS BEEN SUBDUED IN ORISSA JHKHD UP E-RAJ MP GUJ-STATE MAHA & GOA STATES CHTGH AP T-NADU KKA AND KERALA(.) FCST:- RAIN/THRS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR AT MANY PLACES ASSAM/MEGHA NMMT WB/SKM AND BIHAR; AT FEW PLACES A/N IDS AR-PR JHKHD AND AT ISOL PLACES IN ORISSA E-UP KON/GOA C-AP T-NADU COTL-KKA KERALA AND LKDP(.) MAINLY DRY WX WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REST OF THE COUNTRY(.) HRW :- HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY TO OCCUR AT ISOLATED PLACES IN ASSAM/MEGHA WB/SKM AND BIHAR DURING NEXT 48 HRS(.) =  303 WWCN14 CWHX 290859 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:59 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== EXTRATROPICAL STORM KYLE WILL TRAVEL ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE TODAY. WHILE KYLE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY THE REMNANTS OF KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING RAIN TO EASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK THIS MORNING AS WELL AS GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO THE TANTRAMAR MARSH AREA. CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  691 WHUS73 KMQT 290903 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 503 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 LSZ240-241-291715- /O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0091.080930T0000Z-081001T1000Z/ SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI- 503 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 /403 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008/ ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT MONDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 33 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 9 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 12 PM EDT TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ242>244-291715- /O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0091.080930T0300Z-081001T1000Z/ ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI- EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- 503 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO OCCUR AROUND 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 33 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 10 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MRD  399 WSNZ21 NZKL 290903 NZZC SIGMET 15 VALID 290903/291023 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 13 290623/291023  443 WSNZ21 NZKL 290903 NZZC SIGMET 16 VALID 290903/291303 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZNP/NZNR N OF NZHT/NZOU SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  850 WSNZ21 NZKL 290903 NZZC SIGMET 15 VALID 290903/291023 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 13 290623/291023  851 WSNZ21 NZKL 290903 NZZC SIGMET 16 VALID 290903/291303 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL120 ABT AND EAST OF THE RANGES S OF NZNP/NZNR N OF NZHT/NZOU SPREADING NE 15KT WKN IN S  935 WSNT08 KKCI 290905 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 4 VALID 290905/291110 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET HOTEL 3 290710/291110 REPLACED BY SIGMET INDIA 1.  530 WSNT08 KKCI 290905 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 4 VALID 290905/291110 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET HOTEL 3 290710/291110 REPLACED BY SIGMET INDIA 1.  232 WHUS43 KMQT 290908 CFWMQT LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 508 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 MIZ005-006-292100- /O.NEW.KMQT.LS.S.0018.080930T1200Z-081001T1200Z/ MARQUETTE-ALGER- 508 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPING TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY FROM MARQUETTE TO GRAND MARAIS MICHIGAN... LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST ONTARIO WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR AND UPPER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...THEN MOVE TO LAKE HURON ON TUESDAY. BEHIND THE LOW...EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ON THE EAST HALF OF LAKE SUPERIOR. THE WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WHILE INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET ON TUESDAY AND TO 9 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. AS THESE WAVES MOVE ASHORE...PLAN ON A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY ON THE BEACHES BETWEEN MARQUETTE AND GRAND MARAIS MICHIGAN...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WHEN THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT EVEN THE MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS STAY OUT OF THE WATER. RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG...NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW AWAY FROM THE BEACH. IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO THE SHORE UNTIL OUT OF THE CURRENT...THEN SWIM BACK TO THE SHORE. SINCE A NORTH WIND IS EXPECTED...THERE IS ALSO AN ADDITIONAL RISK OF LONG SHORE CURRENTS DEVELOPING NEAR PICNIC ROCKS IN THE CITY OF MARQUETTE. ANY PERSONS CAUGHT IN THIS CURRENT SHOULD IMMEDIATELY SWIM TOWARD THE MAIN SHORELINE. $$ AJ  149 WSPS21 NZKL 290909 NZZO SIGMET 8 VALID 290909/291009 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 5 290609/291009  305 WHUS73 KDLH 290911 MWWDLH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 411 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 LSZ121-146>148-292100- /O.NEW.KDLH.SC.Y.0045.080930T0000Z-081002T0000Z/ BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI- SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI- 411 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ BERDES  514 WSPA02 PHFO 290912 SIGPAO KZOA SIGMET OSCAR 1 VALID 290912/291312 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. EMBD TS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY N1140 E13000 - N1140 E13240 - N0700 E13010 - N1140 E13000. TOPS TO FL520. MOV W 14KT. INTSF. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  845 WAZA46 FACT 290900 FACT AIRMET 3 VALID 290900/291300 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC W COAST AND ADJ INT: MT OBSC, SFC VIS 4000M -RA, BKN CLD 1000FT MOD MTW= FACT AIRMET 2 VALID 290600/291000 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: LOC W ESC: MT OBSC AT FIRST=  089 WWCN12 CWTO 290915 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:15 AM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING FOR: CHAPLEAU - GOGAMA KIRKLAND LAKE - NEW LISKEARD - TEMAGAMI. SOME FROST EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT AT OR NEAR ZERO GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE FROST IN THE PARTS OF THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING ENDED FOR: KAPUSKASING - HEARST TIMMINS - COCHRANE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO ALLOWING SKIES TO BECOME GENERALLY CLEAR IN THE WARNED REGIONS AND WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT. AS A RESULT..THE MERCURY WILL DROP TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW THE FREEZING MARK. A BAND OF LOW CLOUD OVER KAPUSKASING AND TIMMINS WILL PREVENT THE FORMATION OF FROST THIS MORNING. ANY TENDER PLANTS THAT HAVEN'T BEEN HARMED BY PREVIOUS FROSTS SHOULD EITHER BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INDOORS IF POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASHTON/MEREDITH  580 WHUS41 KOKX 290915 CFWOKX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 515 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 NYZ075>077-080-081-291015- /O.CAN.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080929T1000Z/ KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 515 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY. WHILE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS LIKELY STILL REMAIN AT THE OCEAN BEACHES...THE SURF HAS SUBSIDED TO 3 TO 5 FT BREAKERS. THEREFORE...THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  275 WHUS71 KOKX 290916 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 516 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT... .SOUTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY BOTH TROPICAL SYSTEM KYLE...AND SEVERAL DAYS OF LONG FETCH EASTERLY FLOW THAT PRECEDED KYLE WILL WEAKEN WITH SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. ANZ353-291730- /O.EXT.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-080930T1000Z/ FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 516 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. ROUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE INLETS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ355-291730- /O.CON.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-080929T2200Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 516 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. ROUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE INLETS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ350-291730- /O.CON.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-080930T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 516 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. ROUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE INLETS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  813 WAZA45 FAPE 290900 FAPE AIRMET 4 VALID 291200/291500 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC EC LAN MOD MTW=  955 WABZ21 SBRE 290920 SBRE AIRMET 2 VALID 290920/291120 SBRF- RECIFE FIR SFC VIS 2000 BR OBS AT 0916 IN AD SBKG AREA STNR NC=  729 WSEW31 LEMM 290925 LECM SIGMET 6 VALID 290930/291130 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR EMBD TS OBS MAR VCY GEML TOP ABV245 HFT AMSL MOV NW NC=  956 WWPN20 KNES 290924 A. 19W (JANGMI) B. 29/0830Z C. 26.4N D. 121.3E E. THREE/MTSAT F. T2.5/3.0/W0.5/06HRS G. IR/EIR/VIS H. REMARKS... SYSTEM WEAKENING WITH REACTION TO LAND AND ELONGATING. DT=2.5 BASED ON SHEAR PATTERN. =  173 WSEW31 LEMM 290925 LECM SIGMET 6 VALID 290930/291130 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR EMBD TS OBS MAR VCY GEML TOP ABV245 HFT AMSL MOV NW NC=  579 WTPQ20 BABJ 290900 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 290900 UTC 00HR 16.9N 110.5E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 120KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 18.7N 107.7E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 19.1N 105.0E 1000HPA 18M/S=  976 WWPN20 KNES 290932 A. 20W (MEKKHALA) B. 29/0830Z C. 16.9N D. 109.6E E. THREE/MTSAT F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HRS G. IR/EIR/VIS H. REMARKS... SYSTEM HAS WRAPPED 9/10 BANDING YIELDING A DT=3.5 MET=3.0. =  354 WTPQ20 BABJ 290900 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 290900 UTC 00HR 26.9N 121.5E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H P+24HR 29.9N 124.7E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 30.8N 131.5E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 32.3N 140.7E 998HPA 18M/S=  761 WVIY31 LIIB 290944 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 291020/291420 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  843 WSIN90 VIDP 291000 VIDF SIGMET 04 VALID 291000/291400 VIDF VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  844 WVIY31 LIMM 290944 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 291020/291420 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  845 WVIY31 LIMM 290944 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 291020/291420 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  009 WTPH20 RPMM 290600 TTT WARNING 01 AT 0600 29 SEPTEMBER TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 300600 ONE ZERO POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO EAST AT 010600 ONE TWO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT ZERO EAST AND AT 020600 ONE THREE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORT TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA =  503 WVIY31 LIIB 290944 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 291020/291420 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  810 WOAU06 APRF 290941 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0929UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0600UTC Front 41S080E 47S100E 50S102E moving east northeast at 40 knots and forecast near 35S095E 50S125E at 300600UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 120NM of front and remainder between front and 080E south of 40S. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots within 120NM of front. W/SW winds increasing to 30/40 knots southwest of front in area southwest of line 40S080E 40S100E 50S100E from the west by 300600UTC. Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  908 WOAU06 APRF 290941 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0929UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0600UTC Front 41S080E 47S100E 50S102E moving east northeast at 40 knots and forecast near 35S095E 50S125E at 300600UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 120NM of front and remainder between front and 080E south of 40S. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots within 120NM of front. W/SW winds increasing to 30/40 knots southwest of front in area southwest of line 40S080E 40S100E 50S100E from the west by 300600UTC. Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  549 WTPQ20 RJTD 290900 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0815 JANGMI (0815) ANALYSIS PSTN 290900UTC 26.6N 121.2E FAIR MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 300900UTC 28.9N 124.1E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 45HF 010600UTC 30.2N 130.3E 180NM 70% MOVE E 14KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 69HF 020600UTC 32.0N 142.2E 250NM 70% MOVE E 26KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT =  552 WTJP31 RJTD 290900 WARNING 290900. WARNING VALID 300900. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 985 HPA AT 26.6N 121.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 27.9N 122.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 28.9N 124.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  808 WAHW31 PHFO 290945 WA0HI HNLS WA 291000 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 291600 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 291000 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291600 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 291000 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 1 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 291600 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...155-160.  912 WWPN20 KNES 290941 A. 21W (NONAME) B. 29/0830Z C. 8.8N D. 130.7E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T2.5/2.5/D1.5/24HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS... SYSTEM ORGANIZATION IMPROVING WITH DT=2.5 BASED ON 5/10 BANDING. MET=2.0 AND PAT=2.5. =  060 WAZA44 FADN 290900 FADN AIRMET 2 VALID 290900/291200 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: KZN SW-INT: MOD MTW TURB=  346 WSUS33 KKCI 290955 SIGW MKCW WST 290955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291155-291555 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  347 WSUS31 KKCI 290955 SIGE MKCE WST 290955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 10E VALID UNTIL 1155Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 90ENE OMN-140ENE VRB-30N PBI-20ESE OMN-90ENE OMN AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL300. OUTLOOK VALID 291155-291555 FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-160SE MIA-70ESE EYW-PBI-OMN-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  348 WSUS32 KKCI 290955 SIGC MKCC WST 290955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 12C VALID UNTIL 1155Z IL MO IA FROM 30SW DBQ-50S IOW-40SSW IRK LINE TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30035KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 13C VALID UNTIL 1155Z MO KS FROM 60N MCI-50ENE MCI-30SSW ICT-30WSW ICT-60N MCI AREA TS MOV FROM 32025KT. TOPS TO FL400. MOST TOPS BLW FL350. OUTLOOK VALID 291155-291555 FROM DBQ-IND-TUL-ICT-DBQ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  135 WTJP32 RJTD 290900 WARNING 290900. WARNING VALID 300900. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 990 HPA AT 16.8N 109.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 17.7N 106.9E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  182 WTPQ21 RJTD 290900 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) ANALYSIS PSTN 290900UTC 16.8N 109.9E FAIR MOVE W 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 300900UTC 17.7N 106.9E 70NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 45HF 010600UTC 17.1N 104.0E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  491 WHUS76 KSEW 291001 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 301 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ130-291815- /O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080930T0100Z/ /O.EXB.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.080930T0100Z-080930T1300Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 301 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE WEST ENTRANCE TO THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR THE WEST ENTRANCE TO THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. && $$ PZZ150-291815- /O.EXT.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080930T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 20 NM- 301 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT TO 20 NM... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ WEATHER.GOV  369 WWUS83 KDVN 291004 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 504 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ065>068-078-088-089-099-ILZ009-015-016-024>026-034-035-MOZ010- 291115- CEDAR-CLARK-CLINTON-DES MOINES-HANCOCK-HENDERSON-HENRY-LEE-LOUISA-MCDONOUGH-MERCER-MUSCATINE- ROCK ISLAND-SCOTT-WARREN-WHITESIDE- 504 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 500 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WHEATLAND TO WALCOTT TO HAMLET TO DISCO TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF WARSAW...MOVING EAST AT 42 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... DONAHUE...DAVENPORT...CALAMUS AND WEST POINT AROUND 510 AM CDT... LONG GROVE...GRAND MOUND...ELDRIDGE AND VIOLA AROUND 515 AM CDT... RIVERDALE AND BETTENDORF AROUND 520 AM CDT... PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ 33  236 WSRS32 RUAA 291000 UUYY SIGMET 3 VALID 291200/291500 UUYY- SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL265/360 MOV E 20 KMH NC=  252 WHUS76 KMTR 291009 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 309 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ530-291815- /O.EXP.KMTR.SC.Y.0127.000000T0000Z-080929T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.SC.Y.0128.080929T1900Z-080930T0600Z/ SAN FRANCISCO/SAN PABLO/SUISUN BAYS AND THE WEST DELTA- 309 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM PDT TONIGHT. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR ANGEL ISLAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  374 WSIN90 VIDP 291000 VIDF SIGMET 04 VALID 291000/291400 VIDF- VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  238 WSCI36 ZPPP 291016 ZPKM SIGMET 1 VALID 291016/291400 ZPPP- ZPKM KUNMING FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N29 AND W OF 103E TOP FL340 MOV E NC=  561 WSCI36 ZPPP 291019 ZPKM SIGMET 2 VALID 291020/291420 ZPPP- ZPKM KUNMING FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N29 AND W OF E103 TOP FL340 MOV E NC=  011 WSEW31 LEMM 291030 LECM SIGMET 7 VALID 291030/291330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF 3715 AND BTN W007/W005 TOP FL400 MOV NW NC=  190 WSEW31 LEMM 291030 LECM SIGMET 7 VALID 291030/291330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF 3715 AND BTN W007/W005 TOP FL400 MOV NW NC=  952 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z --- NEAR 16.6N 110.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 110.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 17.5N 108.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 18.3N 106.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 18.7N 105.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 19.0N 104.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.7N 101.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 290900Z POSITION NEAR 16.8N 109.7E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  655 WTPQ20 BABJ 291000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291000 UTC 00HR 27.0N 121.5E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H=  656 WTPQ20 BABJ 291000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291000 UTC 00HR 17.0N 110.1E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR NW 15KM/H=  177 WSEW31 LEMM 291030 AAA LECM SIGMET 7 VALID 291030/291330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF 3715 AND BTN W007/W005 AND MAR S OF LEAM TOP FL400 MOV NW NC=  217 WSEW31 LEMM 291030 AAA LECM SIGMET 7 VALID 291030/291330 LEMM- LECM MADRID FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF 3715 AND BTN W007/W005 AND MAR S OF LEAM TOP FL400 MOV NW NC=  452 WSBW20 VGZR 291100 VGFR SIGMET 04 VALID 291200/291600 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST TOP FL390=  494 WSIN90 VECC 291000 VECF SIGMET NO 04 VALID 291000/291400 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  074 WSBW20 VGZR 291100 VGFR SIGMET 04 VALID 291200/291600 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST TOP FL390=  149 WSCN34 CWUL 291029 SIGMET B4 CANCELLED AT 291030 CWUL- TURB HAS DIMINISHED TO BLO SEV LVLS. END/1/GFA34/CMAC-E/CHAREST  150 WWCN02 CYTR 291029 WEATHER WARNING NUMBER 129 ISSUED FOR 17 WING WINNIPEG BY THE MSC WEATHER SERVICES CENTRE TRENTON AT 11:19 PM EDT SUNDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2008. WIND WARNING ISSUED. NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FROM 29/1100Z TO 29/2100Z. THIS WARNING WILL BE UPDATED BY 291630Z END/YAU/HOOGKAMP  702 WSTU31 LTBA 291015 LTBB SIGMET 1 VALID 291000/291300 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS OBS AT 0950Z LTBJ MOV NE WKN=  527 WWUS83 KDVN 291036 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 535 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ078-089-099-ILZ024>026-034-035-MOZ010-291145- CLARK-DES MOINES-HANCOCK-HENDERSON-LEE-LOUISA-MCDONOUGH-MERCER-WARREN- 535 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 534 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NORTH HENDERSON TO PRAIRIE CITY TO NEAR QUINCY...MOVING EAST AT 42 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... PRAIRIE CITY...INDUSTRY AND BUSHNELL AROUND 540 AM CDT... NEW PHILADELPHIA AND ADAIR AROUND 545 AM CDT... WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ 33  255 WWUS83 KDVN 291040 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 538 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ066-068-ILZ007-009-015>018-024-291200- BUREAU-CARROLL-CLINTON-HENRY-MERCER-PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-SCOTT-WHITESIDE- 538 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 534 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CAMANCHE TO MORRISON TO WOODHULL...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... LOW MOOR...GENESEO AND ANDOVER AROUND 545 AM CDT... CAMBRIDGE AROUND 550 AM CDT... ERIE AND ALBANY AROUND 555 AM CDT... FULTON AROUND 600 AM CDT... WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ 33  319 WHUS41 KPHI 291040 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 640 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 NJZ014-024>026-292200- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.S.0033.080929T1040Z-080929T2200Z/ EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- COASTAL OCEAN- 640 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR TODAY... LINGERING SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH, WHAT WAS ONCE, HURRICANE KYLE, WILL REMAIN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY TODAY. SWELLS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH BY TONIGHT. MOST BEACHES ARE UNGUARDED THIS LATE IN THE SEASON, YOU MAY BE ABLE TO FIND SOME BEACH PATROLS THOUGH. THEY CAN GUIDE YOU TO AREAS THAT HAVE LESSER DANGER FROM RIP CURRENTS. IF YOU DECIDE TO GO IN THE WATER, DO NOT SWIM ALONE OR AT NIGHT. KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON INEXPERIENCED SWIMMERS AND SMALL CHILDREN. $$  594 WSRA31 RUKR 291037 UNKL SIGMET 1 VALID 291030/291430 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR EMBD TS FCST AND OBS S OF N5500 TOP FL220 MOV NE 20KMH NC=  879 WSRA31 RUKR 291037 UNKL SIGMET 1 VALID 291030/291430 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR EMBD TS FCST AND OBS S OF N5500 TOP FL220 MOV NE 20KMH NC=  918 WSRA31 RUKR 291037 UNKL SIGMET 1 VALID 291030/291430 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR EMBD TS FCST AND OBS S OF N5500 TOP FL220 MOV NE 20KMH NC=  539 WSSR20 WSSS 291048 WSJC SIGMET 3 VALID 291100/291500 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0730 E109 - N0330 E104 NC=  150 WSSR20 WSSS 291048 WSJC SIGMET 3 VALID 291100/291500 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0730 E109 - N0330 E104 NC=  462 WSZA21 FAJS 291100 FAJO SIGMET A4 VALID 291100/291500 FAJS- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST WI S3842 E02512 - S4036 E02354 - S4342 E02506 - S4506 E02806 - S4436 E03218 - S4618 E03442 - S4854 E03700 - S5036 E03400 - S5112 E03248 - S5424 E03354 - S5500 E03954 - S5106 E04112 - S4630 E04136 - S4336 E03854 - S3842 E03442 - S3748 E02900 - S3842 E02512 TOP FL300=  495 WSUS33 KKCI 291055 SIGW MKCW WST 291055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291255-291655 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  496 WSUS32 KKCI 291055 SIGC MKCC WST 291055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 14C VALID UNTIL 1255Z IL MO IA FROM 10N DBQ-40E DBQ-50ENE UIN-COU-40WNW COU-10N DBQ AREA TS MOV FROM 30035KT. TOPS TO FL450. LINE TS FAR ERN PTN AREA. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 15C VALID UNTIL 1255Z MO KS FROM 60SSW DSM-30WSW IRK-40WSW BUM-70WNW BUM-60SSW DSM DMSHG AREA TS MOV FROM 32025KT. TOPS TO FL300. OUTLOOK VALID 291255-291655 FROM 30NW JOT-FWA-70SSW PXV-30SSW COU-30NW JOT WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  497 WSUS31 KKCI 291055 SIGE MKCE WST 291055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 11E VALID UNTIL 1255Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 110ENE OMN-160ENE VRB-30N PBI-70NE VRB-20SE OMN-110ENE OMN AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL350. OUTLOOK VALID 291255-291655 FROM 180ESE CHS-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-180ESE CHS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  977 WSMC31 GMMC 291059 GMMM SIGMET A1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3495 W00633 - N3590 W00808 - N3452 W00852 - N3371 W00663 - N3503 W00544 TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  278 WSMC31 GMMC 291059 GMMM SIGMET A1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3495 W00633 - N3590 W00808 - N3452 W00852 - N3371 W00663 - N3503 W00544/TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  343 WSMC31 GMMC 291059 GMMM SIGMET A1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3495 W00633 - N3590 W00808 - N3452 W00852 - N3371 W00663 - N3503 W00544 TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  426 WSMC31 GMMC 291059 GMMM SIGMET A1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3495 W00633 - N3590 W00808 - N3452 W00852 - N3371 W00663 - N3503 W00544/TOP FL360 MOV NE SLW NC=  412 WSIY31 LIIB 291106 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 291130/291530 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  832 WSIY31 LIIB 291106 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 291130/291530 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  117 WWAA02 SAWB 291100 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 09:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 29, 2008 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PART ONE: GALE WARNING NIL PART TWO: SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 09:00 UTC, SEPTEMBER 29 2008 LOW 957 HPA AT 67S 85W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 67S 80W 65S 76W 60S 75W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS LOW 975 HPA AT 67S 67W MOVING EAST AT 1 KTS EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 67S 60W 65S 55W 61S 55W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS LOW 981 HPA AT 69S 23W WEAKENING MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS EXTENDS OCCLUDED FRONT AT 68S 20W 68S 28W 70S 28W 70S 20W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS RIDGE AT 60S 44W 64S 44W 67S 46W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS PARTH THREE: FORECAST ISSUED 12:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 29, 2008 VALID UNTIL 06:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 30, 2008 1- COASTAL AREAS: SOUTHERN PORTION OF DRAKE STRAIT: FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST CLOUDY FOG AND MIST IN PATCHES DURING THE MORNING POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION VISIBILITY MODERATE. MAR DE LA FLOTA COASTS: FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST CLOUDY FOG AND MIST IN PATCHES PRECIPITATION VISIBILITY MODERATE. GERLACHE STRAIT: FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST CLOUDY FOG AND MIST IN PATCHES DURING THE MORNING POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION VISIBILITY MODERATE. MARGARITA BAY: MODERATE BREEZE TO NEAR GALE FROM NORTHWEST CLOUDY POSSIBLE SNOWFALL VISIBILITY MODERATE. EREBUS Y TERROR GULF: STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY FOG AND MIST IN PATCHES DURING THE AFTERNOON VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. 2- OCEANIC AREAS 60S 70W 66S 70W 66S 90W 60S 90W 60S 70W :FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION IMPROVING TOWARDS THE AFTERNOON VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 66S 70W 73S 70W 73S 90W 66S 90W 66S 70W :NEAR GALE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST CLOUDY POSSIBLE SNOWFALL IMPROVING TOWARDS THE EVENING VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 60S 20W 68S 20W 68S 50W 60S 50W 60S 20W :FRESH BREEZE TO NEAR GALE FROM NORTHWEST CLOUDY POSSIBLE SNOWFALL BLIZZARD VISIBILITY MODERATE. 68S 20W 78S 20W 78S 60W 68S 60W 68S 20W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM SOUTH CHANGING TO FRESH FROM NORTHWEST FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY VISIBILITY GOOD.  173 WSIY31 LIIB 291106 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 291130/291530 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  188 WTPQ20 VHHH 291046 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (0815) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (121.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC TWO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (29.4 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (125.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC THREE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (31.2 N) ONE THREE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (134.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  007 WSGR31 LGAT 291100 LGGG SIGMET 3 VALID 291100/291500 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N3700 AND E OF E02230 STN NC=  258 WSGR31 LGAT 291100 LGGG SIGMET 3 VALID 291100/291500 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N3700 AND E OF E02230 STN NC=  674 WHUS71 KAKQ 291105 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 705 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ650-652-654-291700- /O.CAN.KAKQ.SW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-080929T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.SC.Y.0124.080929T1105Z-080929T1700Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- 705 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ630>632-291215- /O.CAN.KAKQ.SC.Y.0123.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- 705 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. && $$ HURLEY  114 WTSS20 VHHH 291045 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (105.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ZERO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (101.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.  159 WHXX04 KWBC 291105 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL STORM LAURA 12L INITIAL TIME 6Z SEP 29 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 37.0 47.0 275./11.1 6 37.0 47.6 276./ 4.4 12 37.4 48.0 312./ 4.7 18 37.9 48.1 348./ 5.8 24 38.9 48.2 354./ 9.6 30 39.6 47.9 23./ 7.8 36 41.1 47.7 7./14.8 42 42.5 47.6 3./13.4 48 43.6 47.4 12./11.8 54 44.8 46.8 25./12.5 60 46.3 46.1 27./15.4 66 48.1 45.2 27./19.0 72 50.0 43.5 41./22.2 78 51.9 41.7 43./22.6 STORM DISSIPATED AT 78 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.  588 WTSS20 VHHH 291045 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (105.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ZERO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (101.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.  857 WWUS86 KMFR 291108 RFWMFR RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 408 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ORZ617-623-300000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 408 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ZONES 617 AND 623 IN OREGON FOR HAINES OF 6 AND EXISTING FIRE IN THE AREA... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ZONES 617 AND 623 IN OREGON FOR HAINES OF 6 AND EXISTING FIRE IN THE AREA. A HAINES INDEX OF 6 CONTINUES TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND VERY DRY AIR COINCIDING WITH ONGOING FIRES IN ZONES 617 AND 623. THE RATTLE...LONESOME COMPLEX...AND DOUBLEDAY FIRES ARE INCLUDED IN THE WARNING. IN ADDITION...A STRONG INVERSION IN PLACE ALONG WITH EASTERLY OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BRING POOR RECOVERIES OF 20 TO 30 PERCENT EARLY THIS MORNING WITH EASTERLY WINDS OF 8 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTS TO 15 MPH. WINDS WILL DECREASE IN THE LATE MORNING AFTER 0900. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FB  440 WSMC31 GMMC 291107 GMMM SIGMET B1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3590 W00310 - N3514 W00202 - N3622 W00181 TOP FL380 MOV E NC=  916 WSMC31 GMMC 291107 GMMM SIGMET B1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3590 W00310 - N3514 W00202 - N3622 W00181 TOP FL380 MOV E NC=  615 WWUS73 KJKL 291115 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 715 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS... .DENSE FOG WILL ACROSS THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY LIFT AND DISSIPATE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...UNTIL THE FOG COMPLETELY DISSIPATES...VISIBILITIES WILL STILL DROP BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. KYZ080-085>088-107-109-110-112>120-291400- /O.CON.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT- KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE... HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE 715 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WILL GRADUALLY LIFT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. AS THE FOG LIFTS...VISIBILITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES ALONG RIDGE TOP LOCATIONS. THE FOG WILL DISSIPATE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM THIS MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND TO LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION WHEN TRAVELING THIS MORNING. $$ KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-084-104-106-108-111-291400- /O.CON.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE 715 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WILL GRADUALLY LIFT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. AS THE FOG LIFTS...VISIBILITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES ALONG RIDGE TOP LOCATIONS. THE FOG WILL DISSIPATE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM THIS MORNING. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND TO LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION WHEN TRAVELING THIS MORNING. $$ RAY  481 WWCN11 CWVR 291120 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:20 AM PDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL BRITISH COLUMBIA... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: NORTH COAST - INLAND SECTIONS. AN ADDITIONAL 20 MM OF RAIN EXPECTED NEAR STEWART THIS MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM DRAPED OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PROVINCE IS GIVING HEAVY RAIN NEAR STEWART THIS MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL 20 MM OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD AND WEAKENS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ER/MG  252 WTPQ20 BABJ 291100 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291100 UTC 00HR 17.2N 109.7E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR NW 20KM/H=  834 WHXX04 KWBC 291126 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 91E INITIAL TIME 6Z SEP 29 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 10.7 94.6 275./ 7.0 6 10.9 95.2 287./ 6.3 12 11.5 95.8 315./ 8.5 18 11.5 96.6 273./ 8.4 24 11.5 97.5 266./ 8.4 30 11.4 98.1 264./ 5.7 36 11.6 98.8 283./ 7.5 42 11.9 99.9 288./10.8 48 12.3 100.7 295./ 9.2 54 12.6 101.7 286./10.2 60 12.8 102.4 289./ 7.0 66 13.3 102.8 317./ 6.6 72 13.8 103.2 322./ 6.4 78 14.4 103.7 322./ 7.0 84 14.8 104.1 312./ 6.0 90 15.3 104.2 353./ 4.7 96 15.9 104.2 5./ 6.0 102 16.5 104.0 16./ 6.3 108 17.2 103.6 26./ 8.5 114 18.1 103.2 23./ 9.4 120 19.1 103.0 11./10.3 126 20.2 102.8 16./10.5  686 WTPQ20 BABJ 291100 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291100 UTC 00HR 27.2N 121.5E 985HPA 28M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 10KM/H=  012 WUUS53 KLSX 291128 SVRLSX MOC007-027-113-139-163-219-291215- /O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0455.080929T1128Z-080929T1215Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 628 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EASTERN AUDRAIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CALLAWAY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI WESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI SOUTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI * UNTIL 715 AM CDT * AT 625 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF MARTINSBURG...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF WELLSVILLE...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BUELL... NEW HARTFORD... BELLFLOWER... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF LARGE DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! LAT...LON 3911 9106 3877 9129 3909 9177 3931 9154 TIME...MOT...LOC 1128Z 297DEG 39KT 3916 9153 $$ GKS  330 WSTU31 LTAC 291122 LTAA SIGMET 1 VALID 291100/291400 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1050 LTAU FCST MOV NE NC=  192 WWCN14 CWHX 291137 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:37 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== EXTRATROPICAL STORM KYLE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE EAST OF NEW BRUNSWICK AND MOVING TOWARDS ANTICOSTI ISLAND. WHILE KYLE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY THE REMNANTS OF KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE ACADIAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DURING THE DAY AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  251 WWUS83 KDVN 291139 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 638 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 IAZ066-ILZ009-015>018-291300- BUREAU-CLINTON-HENRY-PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-WHITESIDE- 638 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 634 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM STERLING TO NEAR WALNUT TO NEAR KEWANEE...MOVING EAST AT 33 MPH. * THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... TISKILWA AND PRINCETON AROUND 650 AM CDT... HENNEPIN AROUND 705 AM CDT... LA MOILLE AND DEPUE AROUND 710 AM CDT... SPRING VALLEY...MC NABB...LADD AND GRANVILLE AROUND 715 AM CDT... DALZELL AROUND 720 AM CDT... ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 35 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$ 33  069 WSMC31 GMMC 291107 GMMM SIGMET 1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3590 W00310 - N3514 W00202 - N3622 W00181 TOP FL380 MOV E NC=  563 WSMC31 GMMC 291107 GMMM SIGMET 1 VALID 291100/291400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3590 W00310 - N3514 W00202 - N3622 W00181 TOP FL380 MOV E NC=  904 ACCA62 TJSJ 291148 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT LUNES 29 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES HA COMENZADO EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA NUEVA FORMADA TORMENTA SUBTROPICAL LAURA...LOCALIZADA CERCA DE 1000 MILLAS AL OESTE DEL EXTREMO OESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA DESARROLLO DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR PASCH  660 WWGM80 PGUM 291150 AWWGUM GUZ001-281400- AIRPORT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GUAM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 950 PM CHST MON SEP 29 2008 AN AVIATION THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AIRPORT FROM 950 PM MONDAY TO 1200 AM CHST TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WITHIN 20 NM OF THE AIRPORT. BE ALERT AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AS REQUIRED. $$ CHAN  081 WSPS21 NZKL 291149 NZZO SIGMET 9 VALID 291149/291157 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 7 290757/291157  082 WSPS21 NZKL 291149 NZZO SIGMET 10 VALID 291149/291549 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/340 WI 75NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3600 W15300 - S3734 W15309 - S4000 W14500 - S3500 W13500 MOV E 10KT NC  233 WSUS33 KKCI 291155 SIGW MKCW WST 291155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291355-291755 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  234 WSUS31 KKCI 291155 SIGE MKCE WST 291155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 12E VALID UNTIL 1355Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 120ENE OMN-110NE VRB-20ESE OMN-120ENE OMN DMSHG AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL350. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 13E VALID UNTIL 1355Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 150ENE VRB-160ENE VRB-20NE PBI-20E VRB-150ENE VRB AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291355-291755 FROM 180ESE CHS-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-180ESE CHS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  235 WSUS32 KKCI 291155 SIGC MKCC WST 291155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 16C VALID UNTIL 1355Z IL MO FROM 30NNE BDF-40WNW DEC-20S COU LINE SEV TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30040KT. TOPS TO FL450. HAIL TO 3/4 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 291355-291755 FROM JOT-FWA-70S PXV-40SSE COU-JOT WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  281 WWUS53 KLSX 291152 SVSLSX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 652 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 MOC027-291200- /O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0455.000000T0000Z-080929T1215Z/ CALLAWAY MO- 650 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CALLAWAY COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE SEVERE STORM HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OF THIS AREA. LAT...LON 3923 9144 3911 9106 3877 9129 3901 9165 3905 9164 TIME...MOT...LOC 1150Z 318DEG 42KT 3900 9138 $$ MOC007-113-139-163-219-291215- /O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0455.000000T0000Z-080929T1215Z/ WARREN MO-MONTGOMERY MO-LINCOLN MO-AUDRAIN MO-PIKE MO- 650 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM CDT FOR EASTERN AUDRAIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND WESTERN LINCOLN...MONTGOMERY AND NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND SOUTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI... AT 645 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUELL...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF MONTGOMERY CITY...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE... TRUXTON...JONESBURG AND HIGH HILL. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT 621 AM IN LADDONIA. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! LAT...LON 3923 9144 3911 9106 3877 9129 3901 9165 3905 9164 TIME...MOT...LOC 1150Z 318DEG 42KT 3900 9138 $$ GKS  335 WSPS21 NZKL 291152 NZZO SIGMET 11 VALID 291152/291552 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/320 60NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3300 E17000 - S3000 E17700 MOV SE 05KT WKN  063 WGUS54 KMAF 291154 FFWMAF TXC377-291800- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0096.000000T0000Z-080929T1800Z/ /00000.U.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 654 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE RIO GRANDE BELOW THE RIO CONCHOS IN... PRESIDIO COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS. * UNTIL 100 PM CDT MONDAY * AT 652 AM CDT...A DAM FLOODGATE RELEASE FROM THE LUIS LEON RESERVOIR INTO THE RIO CONCHOS IN MEXICO CONTINUED TO RESULT IN ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS THROUGH THE LEVEES DOWNSTREAM ON THE RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO. ALTHOUGH THE RELEASE RATE HAS DECREASED... ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS THROUGH THE LEVEE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE FOR THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE. * THE NEAREST DOWNSTREAM TOWN IS PRESIDIO...LOCATED ALONG THE LEVEES. THE COMMUNITY OF REDFORD IS APPROXIMATELY 16 MILES DOWNSTREAM OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM AND IS ALSO IN IMMINENT DANGER. IF YOU ARE IN THE LOW LYING AREAS NEAR OR BELOW THE LEVEES YOU SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 2940 10418 2943 10419 2944 10421 2950 10425 2952 10436 2957 10442 2967 10431 2948 10405 2938 10415 $$  081 WWGM80 PGUM 291154 CCA AWWGUM GUZ001-291400- AIRPORT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GUAM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 950 PM CHST MON SEP 29 2008 CORRECTED EXPIRATION DATE AN AVIATION THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AIRPORT FROM 950 PM MONDAY TO 1200 AM CHST TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WITHIN 20 NM OF THE AIRPORT. BE ALERT AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AS REQUIRED. $$ CHAN  935 WWJP81 RJTD 290900 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 290900UTC ISSUED AT 291200UTC SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 985HPA AT 26.6N 121.2E MOVING NORTH SLOWLY POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 27.9N 122.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 28.9N 124.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 130E 32N 138E 33N 144E 33N 152E 36N 161E 43N 177W STORM WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA WITH 40 KNOTS SEA AROUND AMAMI, SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 291800UTC =  068 WBCN07 CWVR 291100 PAM ROCKS WIND 36017 LANGARA; OVC 4L-F SW13 3FT MDT LO W GREEN; OVC 15 SW15 3FT MDT TRIPLE; OVC 15 SW10E 2FT CHP LO S BONILLA; CLDY 15 SE18 4FT MDT MOD S BOAT BLUFF; PC 15 CLM RPLD MCINNES; CLDY 15 E20E 4FT MDT LO MOD SW IVORY; CLR 15 E04 1FT CHP LO SW DRYAD; PC 15 CLM RPLD ADDENBROKE; CLR 15 NW05E 1FT CHP EGG ISLAND; CLR 15 E10 2FT CHP LO W PINE ISLAND; PC 15 CLM 1FT CHP LO W CAPE SCOTT; CLR 15 NE03 1FT CHP LO SW QUATSINO; PC 15 NE10E 2FT CHP LO SW NOOTKA; CLR 15 NE14 3FT MOD LO SW ESTEVAN; CLR 15 E4 1FT CHP LO SW 1017.8S LENNARD; CLR 15 E2 RPLD LO SW AMPHITRITE; CLR 15 CLM UNKN CAPE BEALE; CLR 15 SE4 RPLD LO SW PACHENA; CLR 15 SE5 1FT CHP LO SW CARMANAH; CLR 15 E10 2FT CHP LO SW SCARLETT; CLR 15 CLM SMTH LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; CLR 15 CLM SMTH CHROME; CLR 15 W8 RPLD MERRY; CLR 15 NW4 RPLD ENTRANCE; CLR 15 W7 RPLD FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; CLR 6+ CLM SMTH TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; CLR 15 NE14 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 194/14/12/3104/M/6004 24MM= WLP SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 188/10/08/1509/M/8008 02MM= WEB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 178/10/M/1003/M/8004 3MMM= WQC SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 208/04/04/3602/M/6003 41MM= WRU SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 177/14/M/0210/M/8013 3MMM= WFG SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 184/11/M/0315/M/PK WND 0318 1023Z 8009 5MMM= WVF SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/3207/M/M M 8MMM= WQS SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 168/13/12/1725+34/M/PK WND 1636 1010Z 0000 72MM= WRO SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 164/12/12/1521/M/PK WND 1526 1032Z 5000 18MM= WEK SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 170/13/M/1920/M/0014 0007 0MMM= WWL SA 1123 AUTO4 M M M 170/13/M/MM17+23/M/8001 1MMM= WME SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 201/11/10/0423/M/PK WND 0328 1048Z 8010 29MM= WAS SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 194/15/07/3617/M/PK WND 0127 1026Z 0000 27MM= WSB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/0704/M/M 1MMM= WGT SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 197/12/10/2604/M/M 7002 95MM= WGB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 201/12/10/2507/M/6003 25MM= WEL SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 195/13/M/2607/M/6003 5MMM= WDR SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/3611/M/M M 4MMM= WZO SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0110/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0000/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 203/09/08/1303/M/6006 47MM=  306 WOCN31 CWHX 291200 POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 12.00 NOON ADT ...POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE NOW MOVING NORTH OF P.E.I. ... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.00 AM ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.0 N AND LONGITUDE 63.6 W... ABOUT 45 NAUTICAL MILES OR 85 KM NORTH NORTHWEST OF CHARLOTTETOWN . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS... 74 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 995 MB. KYLE IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS... 20 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 29 9.00 AM 47.0N 63.6W 995 40 74 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 3.00 PM 47.8N 62.5W 998 35 65 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 9.00 PM 48.3N 61.8W 1001 35 65 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 AM 48.5N 61.5W 1003 35 65 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 9.00 AM 48.7N 61.2W 1005 35 65 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY WIND WARNINGS HAVE ENDED OVER NOVA SCOTIA AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND..EXCEPT IN THE LEE OF THE CAPE BRETON HIGHLANDS. RAINFALL WARNINGS FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIFTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. RAINFALL WARNINGS REMAIN POSTED FOR THE GASPE REGION..ANTICOSTI ISLAND..AND THE QUEBEC NORTH SHORE. ELEVATED WATER LEVELS AND MODERATE WAVE ACTION WILL PERSIST TODAY ALONG MOST COASTLINES BORDERING THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE. MODERATE SURF ALSO CONTINUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND SOUTH-WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. THE ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL BE PRIMARILY LOCATED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NEW BRUNSWICK..RUNNING AROUND 30 OR 40 CM OR JUST OVER ONE FOOT. WE WILL TRY TO REPORT ANY NEW STORM SUMMARY INFORMATION IN OUR NEXT BULLETIN SCHEDULED FOR 12 NOON TODAY. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY GALE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF KYLE ARE STILL OCCURRING OVER THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE..CABOT STRAIT..SOUTHWEST COAST OF NEWFOUNDLANDAND AND THE STRAIT OF BELLE ISLE. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS THE CENTRE OF KYLE CONTINUES TO BE INFERRED FROM EARLY MORNING SATELLITE IMAGES WHICH PLACES THE LOW TO THE NORTH OF QUEENS COUNTY P.E.I. THE CENTRE OF THE COLDER CLOUD TOPS ARE LOCATED TO THE NORTH- EAST OF THE SURFACE CENTRE. B. PROGNOSTIC KYLE IS NOW POST TROPICAL AND PRIMARY DYNAMIC MODELS ARE GENERALLY CONSISTENT IN THEIR HANDLING OF KYLE WHICH WILL CRAWL INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BETWEEN THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS AND ANTICOSTI ISLAND AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO FILL. C. PUBLIC WEATHER RADAR REFLECTIVITIES ARE RAPIDLY DYING OFF OVER NORTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK. SOME BANDS OF RAIN CONTINUE OVER WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. D. MARINE WEATHER PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/12Z 150 210 30 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 150 150 15 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 180 90 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 180 0 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/12Z 180 0 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END CAMPBELL/FOGARTY  397 WOCN32 CWHX 291200 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.30 AM NDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.30 PM NDT ... NEWLY FORMED SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA TO BRUSH SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.30 AM NDT... SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 N AND LONGITUDE 47.7 W... ABOUT 595 NAUTICAL MILES OR 1110 KM SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS... 102 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 994 MB. LAURA IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS... 13 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND NDT MB KTS KMH SEP 29 9.30 AM 37.5N 47.7W 994 55 102 SEP 29 9.30 PM 39.1N 48.7W 994 55 102 SEP 30 9.30 AM 40.8N 48.9W 990 60 111 SEP 30 9.30 PM 42.9N 48.5W 990 60 111 TRANSITIONING OCT 01 9.30 AM 45.9N 47.1W 994 55 102 POST-TROPICAL OCT 01 9.30 PM 48.6N 45.6W 997 50 93 POST-TROPICAL OCT 02 9.30 AM 53.6N 41.1W 997 50 93 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY THE BULK OF WEATHER WITH THIS SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE AND NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OVER LAND. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY A GALE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS. THERE IS A LARGE CIRCULATION WITH THIS SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM WITH MARGINAL GALES EXTENDING MORE THAN 250 NAUTICAL MILES BEYOND THE CENTRE. THIS MEANS NORTHEASTERLY GALES MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS BY THIS EVENING. STORM FORCE WINDS COULD POSSIBLY MOVE INTO THE SAME AREA TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS FOLLOWING NHC LEAD ON ANALYSIS. 09Z HI RES QUIKSCAT SHOWS LARGE EXPANSE OF STRONG TO MARGINAL GALES.... MOSTLY 30 KNOTS AT WELL OVER 240 NM BUT WE HAVE ERRED ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION AND ARE CALLING THEM MARGINAL GALES. B. PROGNOSTIC CONSENSUS OF MODELS TAKES LAURA THROUGH OR INTO THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS IN 36-48 HRS. FSU PHASE SPACE PACKAGES FOR THE VARIOUS MODELS SHOW INCONSISTENCIES BETWEEN MODELS REGARDING TRANSITION ... BUT WE LIKE THE NHC TIMING OF TRANSITION AND DECLARATION OF WHEN IT WILL BE POST-TROPICAL ... WHICH SHOULD BE AS IT REACHES THE GRAND BANKS EARLY WEDNESDAY. C. PUBLIC WEATHER NONE. D. MARINE WEATHER PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/12Z 240 200 210 270 80 80 100 120 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 240 210 200 250 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 30/12Z 240 240 190 230 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 01/00Z 240 240 180 210 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 01/12Z 240 240 170 190 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 02/00Z 240 240 160 170 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 02/12Z 240 240 150 150 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 END BOWYER  584 WSCI31 RCTP 291207 RCAA SIGMET 5 VALID 291200/291600 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST E OF E11900 TOP ABV FL380 MOV NE 10KT WKN=  904 WSCI31 RCTP 291207 RCAA SIGMET 5 VALID 291200/291600 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST E OF E11900 TOP ABV FL380 MOV NE 10KT WKN=  395 WWUS86 KEKA 291206 SPSEKA SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 506 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 CAZ001>004-076-300015- REDWOOD COAST-MENDOCINO COAST-NORTH COAST INTERIOR- UPPER TRINITY RIVER-MENDOCINO INTERIOR- 506 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...WETTER WEATHER POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CONTINUED WARM AND DRY WEATHER TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. HOWEVER...A STORM SYSTEM BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA MAY BRING LIGHT RAIN TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MORE POTENT RAIN PRODUCING STORM DURING THE LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY PERIOD. ALTHOUGH A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TIMING THIS FAR IN ADVANCE...WEATHER FORECAST MODELS ARE INDICATING A TRANSITION TO A COOLER AND WETTER WEATHER PATTERN LATE THIS WEEK. KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS. $$  647 WSCI31 RCTP 291207 RCAA SIGMET 5 VALID 291200/291600 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST E OF E11900 TOP ABV FL380 MOV NE 10KT WKN=  610 WWUS53 KLSX 291215 SVSLSX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 715 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 MOC007-113-139-163-219-291224- /O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0455.000000T0000Z-080929T1215Z/ WARREN MO-MONTGOMERY MO-LINCOLN MO-AUDRAIN MO-PIKE MO- 714 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN AUDRAIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND WESTERN LINCOLN...MONTGOMERY AND NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND SOUTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI EXPIRES AT 715 AM CDT... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED SOUTHEAST OF THE WARNED AREA. LAT...LON 3923 9144 3911 9106 3877 9129 3901 9165 3905 9164 TIME...MOT...LOC 1214Z 318DEG 42KT 3879 9114 $$ GKS  528 WHUS76 KLOX 291217 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 517 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ676-291715- /O.NEW.KLOX.SC.Y.0120.080929T1217Z-081001T1000Z/ OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS ISLAND- 517 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 KT LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST NW OF SAN NICOLAS ISLAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ673-291715- /O.NEW.KLOX.SC.Y.0120.080929T1217Z-081001T1000Z/ WATERS FROM PT. ARGUELLO TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- 517 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 KT LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST AROUND POINT CONCEPTION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ BRUNO  227 WSNZ21 NZKL 291216 NZZC SIGMET 17 VALID 291216/291303 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 16 290903/291303  298 WSNZ21 NZKL 291216 NZZC SIGMET 18 VALID 291216/291616 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 S OF NZPM N OF NZWB WKN  302 WSNZ21 NZKL 291218 NZZC SIGMET 19 VALID 291218/291618 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW 7000FT SE NZNV/NZOU NC  084 WSNZ21 NZKL 291216 NZZC SIGMET 18 VALID 291216/291616 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 S OF NZPM N OF NZWB WKN  085 WSNZ21 NZKL 291218 NZZC SIGMET 19 VALID 291218/291618 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW 7000FT SE NZNV/NZOU NC  086 WSNZ21 NZKL 291216 NZZC SIGMET 17 VALID 291216/291303 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 16 290903/291303  706 WHXX01 KWBC 291219 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1219 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE LAURA (AL122008) 20080929 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080929 1200 080930 0000 080930 1200 081001 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 37.1N 47.6W 37.2N 48.7W 38.3N 47.6W 40.7N 46.4W BAMM 37.1N 47.6W 37.9N 49.1W 39.6N 49.2W 41.6N 48.9W SHIP 50KTS 52KTS 56KTS 58KTS DSHP 50KTS 52KTS 56KTS 58KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081001 1200 081002 1200 081003 1200 081004 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMD 43.1N 45.8W 47.5N 41.5W 51.1N 30.1W 53.3N 10.3W BAMM 43.3N 48.5W 46.8N 44.7W 48.5N 34.1W 47.7N 18.8W SHIP 60KTS 66KTS 79KTS 77KTS DSHP 60KTS 66KTS 79KTS 77KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 37.1N LONCUR = 47.6W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 36.7N LONM12 = 45.7W DIRM12 = 269DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 37.0N LONM24 = 42.5W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 995MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 275NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 240NM RD34SE = 200NM RD34SW = 150NM RD34NW = 180NM $$ NNNN  059 WWNZ40 NZKL 291208 GALE WARNING 562 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 291200UTC IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 53S 130W 51S 120W 65S 120W 64S 131W 59S 133W 53S 130W: SOUTHWEST 40KT. GALE AREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 552.  061 WWNZ40 NZKL 291209 GALE WARNING 563 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 291200UTC IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 46S 123W 46S 128W 45S 132W: SOUTHEAST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS.  164 WWNZ40 NZKL 291210 GALE WARNING 564 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 291200UTC IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 42S 134W 39S 140W 37S 143W: SOUTHERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 25KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 553.  446 WWNZ40 NZKL 291211 GALE WARNING 565 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 291200UTC IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 59S 151W 59S 147W 60S 142W: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 40KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 554.  656 WWNZ40 NZKL 291212 GALE WARNING 566 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 291200UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 28S 152W 30S 155W 31S 159W: EASTERLY 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA THEN MOVING EAST 15KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 555.  657 WWNZ40 NZKL 291214 GALE WARNING 568 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 291200UTC FRONT 46S 176E 53S 175E 58S 176E 64S 169W MOVING SOUTHEAST 20KT. 1. WITHIN 540 MILES EAST OF FRONT FROM 53S 175E TO 64S 169W: NORTHWEST 40KT. 2. WITHIN 240 MILES EAST OF FRONT FROM 46S 176E TO 53S 175E: NORTHERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. GALE AREAS MOVING WITH FRONT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 557.  661 WWNZ40 NZKL 291213 GALE WARNING 567 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 291200UTC IN A BELT 300 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 46S 162W 49S 165W 52S 170W: NORTHEAST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING SOUTHEAST 25KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 556.  820 WWNZ40 NZKL 291216 GALE WARNING 570 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 291200UTC IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 50S 169E 47S 172E 44S 175E: SOUTHWEST 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 559.  821 WWNZ40 NZKL 291215 GALE WARNING 569 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: SUBTROPIC FORTIES AND PACIFIC AT 291200UTC IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 39S 178E 40S 180 42S 177W: NORTHWEST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 25KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 558.  108 WWNZ40 NZKL 291217 GALE WARNING 571 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 291200UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 45S 160E 48S 165E 53S 164E 54S 160E 45S 160E: NORTHWEST 40KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS.  109 WWNZ40 NZKL 291218 GALE WARNING 572 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND SOUTHERN AT 291200UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. IN A BELT 600 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 51S 157E 52S 160E 53S 162E: WESTERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 561.  204 WWNZ40 NZKL 291219 CANCEL WARNING 560  841 WAZA45 FAPE 291200 FAPE AIRMET 5 VALID 291500/291800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LAN: LOC EC MOD/SEVR MTW=  266 WSIY31 LIIB 291229 LIBB SIGMET 04 VALID 291300/291700 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  620 WSIY31 LIIB 291229 LIBB SIGMET 04 VALID 291300/291700 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  124 WSIY31 LIIB 291229 LIBB SIGMET 04 VALID 291300/291700 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART STNR NC.=  084 WTPQ20 BABJ 291200 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291200 UTC 00HR 17.4N 109.6E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=  217 WTPQ20 BABJ 291200 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291200 UTC 00HR 27.4N 121.7E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 240KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 15KM/H=  700 WSAZ31 LPMG 291227 LPPO SIGMET 6 VALID 291230/291430 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST W N40 W036 - N30 W035 - N28 W036 - N25 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  831 WSAZ31 LPMG 291227 LPPO SIGMET 6 VALID 291230/291430 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST W N40 W036 - N30 W035 - N28 W036 - N25 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  274 WSAZ31 LPMG 291227 LPPO SIGMET 6 VALID 291230/291430 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST W N40 W036 - N30 W035 - N28 W036 - N25 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  854 WAZA44 FADN 291200 FADN AIRMET 3 VALID 291200/291500 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: KZN SW-INT: MOD MTW TURB=  412 WAZA46 FACT 291200 FACT AIRMET 4 VALID 291200/291600 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC W/SW: MT OBSC, SFC VIS 4000M -RA, BKN CLD 1000FT MOD MTW TURB, MOD ICE NEAR QMW= FACT AIRMET 3 VALID 291200/291600 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: LOC ESC: MOD MTW TURB LOC SW ESC: BKN CLD 1000FT BY END PERIOD=  080 WHXX01 KMIA 291239 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1239 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP912008) 20080929 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080929 1200 080930 0000 080930 1200 081001 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.9N 94.6W 11.3N 95.8W 11.6N 97.0W 12.0N 98.5W BAMD 10.9N 94.6W 11.4N 96.2W 11.9N 98.1W 12.7N 99.9W BAMM 10.9N 94.6W 11.3N 96.1W 11.9N 97.9W 12.6N 99.9W LBAR 10.9N 94.6W 11.5N 95.9W 12.5N 97.6W 13.6N 99.2W SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081001 1200 081002 1200 081003 1200 081004 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.5N 100.1W 14.6N 102.9W 17.0N 105.6W 18.1N 108.1W BAMD 13.5N 101.8W 15.1N 104.0W 17.0N 104.8W 20.0N 105.7W BAMM 13.5N 101.9W 15.5N 104.7W 17.2N 106.1W 18.8N 107.5W LBAR 14.9N 100.3W 17.2N 100.6W 20.7N 98.7W 25.6N 94.9W SHIP 50KTS 54KTS 55KTS 56KTS DSHP 50KTS 54KTS 55KTS 56KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 10.9N LONCUR = 94.6W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 10.7N LONM12 = 93.8W DIRM12 = 289DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 10.5N LONM24 = 92.6W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN  598 WTPQ20 BABJ 291200 CCA SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291200 UTC 00HR 27.4N 121.7E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 240KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 15KM/H P+24HR 29.7N 125.9E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 31.1N 134.1E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 32.4N 144.0E 998HPA 18M/S=  462 WTJP21 RJTD 291200 WARNING 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 26.9N 121.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.4N 123.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 29.4N 125.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 30.9N 132.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 32.0N 142.7E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  492 WTPQ20 RJTD 291200 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0815 JANGMI (0815) DOWNGRADED FROM STS ANALYSIS PSTN 291200UTC 26.9N 121.8E FAIR MOVE NE 08KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 301200UTC 29.4N 125.5E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 12KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 48HF 011200UTC 30.9N 132.8E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 16KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 72HF 021200UTC 32.0N 142.7E 250NM 70% MOVE E 21KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT =  884 WWCN10 CWUL 291228 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:28 AM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: SAINTE-ANNE-DES-MONTS - GRANDE-VALLEE GASPESIE NATIONAL PARK - MURDOCHVILLE NEW CARLISLE - CHANDLER FORILLON NATIONAL PARK - GASPE - PERCE MINGANIE ANTICOSTI NATASHQUAN CHEVERY. THESE AREAS WIL HAVE RECEIVED A TOTAL OF 50 TO 80 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN BY THIS EVENING FOR THE GASPE PENINSULA AND BY TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE LOWER NORTH SHORE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: AMQUI - MATAPEDIA VALLEY MATANE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO DUMP RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY OVER THE GASPE PENINSULA TODAY AND OVER THE LOWER NORTH SHORE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER SEVERAL COASTAL AREAS OF THE EASTERNMOST PART OF THE PROVINCE AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES. ===================================================================== PLEASE REFER TO REGIONAL PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR DETAILS PERTAINING TO EACH REGION. ===================================================================== END/MAX  340 WSUS31 KKCI 291255 SIGE MKCE WST 291255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 14E VALID UNTIL 1455Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 120ENE OMN-110NE VRB-20ESE OMN-120ENE OMN DMSHG AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL350. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 15E VALID UNTIL 1455Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 150ENE VRB-160ENE VRB-20NE PBI-20E VRB-150ENE VRB AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291455-291855 FROM 180ESE CHS-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-180ESE CHS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  341 WSUS33 KKCI 291255 SIGW MKCW WST 291255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291455-291855 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  342 WSUS32 KKCI 291255 SIGC MKCC WST 291255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 17C VALID UNTIL 1455Z IL MO FROM 30NNE BDF-40WNW DEC-20S COU LINE TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30040KT. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 291455-291855 FROM 30SSE BAE-30NE FWA-70S PXV-40SSE COU-30SSE BAE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  549 WSAU21 AMHF 291249 YMMM SIGMET HB01 VALID 291400/291800 YMHF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI AREA 70 BLW A080 STNR INTSF STS:NEW  898 WSPA02 PHFO 291251 SIGPAO KZOA SIGMET OSCAR 2 VALID 291251/291312 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. CNL SIGMET OSCAR 1 VALID 290912/291312. TS HAVE MOVED W.  467 WOAU11 APRM 291252 IDS20210 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, ADELAIDE AT 1252UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. GALE WARNING FOR SOUTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION AT 291130UTC Front expected along 44S124E 50S129E at 301200UTC. AREA AFFECTED Area 1 bounded by 50S131E 46S134E 44S141E 50S141E 50S131E. Area 2 bounded by 42S129E 45S137E 50S137E 50S129E 42S129E. FORECAST Area 1: NW/SW winds 35/45 knots, contracting east of 141E by 292100UTC. Area 2: NW winds 30/40 knots after 300300UTC. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER ADELAIDE  670 ACUS01 KWNS 291253 SWODY1 SPC AC 291249 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0749 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 291300Z - 301200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... PATTERN OVER THE LWR 48 WILL FURTHER AMPLIFY THIS PERIOD AS HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS WRN CANADA AND DOWNSTREAM TROUGH DIGS SE ACROSS THE UPR GRT LKS/OH VLY. LEAD IMPULSE WITH TROUGH...NOW OVER WRN IA...SHOULD REACH ERN MO/WRN IL THIS EVENING BEFORE TURNING MORE E ACROSS IND/OH/KY EARLY TUESDAY. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM WRN WI TO SRN KS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE STEADILY SE ACROSS THE WRN GREAT LAKES/MID MS VLY TODAY...AND THEN MORE ESE ACROSS THE OH VLY TONIGHT. ...OZARKS INTO MID MS/LWR OH VLYS... OVERNIGHT MCS NOW STRADDLING THE MS RVR IN MO/IL SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY ESE AND WEAKEN AS FORWARD PROPAGATION HAS CARRIED SYSTEM WELL AHEAD OF STRONGEST LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND BEYOND LOW LVL MOISTURE AXIS. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE TRAILING SW PART OF THE COMPLEX...AND/OR INTERSECTION OF THAT FEATURE WITH AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT...LIKELY WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR RENEWED STORM DEVELOPMENT LATE TODAY AS SFC HEATING DESTABILIZES REGION. CLOUDS WILL TEMPER HEATING...AND RESIDUAL EML WILL NOT BE AS BROAD/WELL-DEFINED AS IT WAS IN NEB/SD YESTERDAY. BUT AT LEAST MODEST DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR AHEAD OF FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WITH AFTN SBCAPE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 500 TO 1000 J/KG IN IL/MO. MID AND UPR LVL FLOW...WHILE NOT STRONG...WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH 25-30 DEEP WSWLY SHEAR. A FEW LOW-TOPPED STORMS WITH SMALL HAIL COULD OCCUR NWD INTO WI ON LEADING EDGE OF MAIN UPR TROUGH. COOL THERMAL PROFILES ALOFT AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES ATOP 54-62 F SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST A FEW MULTICELLS AND/OR LINE SEGMENTS WITH MARGINALLY SVR HAIL AND PERHAPS LOCALLY DMGG WIND FROM SRN MO INTO SRN IL/WRN AND NRN KY THROUGH EARLY EVE. ALTHOUGH FORCING FOR ASCENT MAY INCREASE LATER THIS EVE EWD ACROSS THE OH VLY AS IA IMPULSE TURNS MORE EWD...THE SVR THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS. ..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 09/29/2008  713 WUUS01 KWNS 291253 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0751 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 291300Z - 301200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40099221 42089067 44288980 44178812 42088730 41308476 38588511 37048671 36058939 35879330 36579515 37699559 38599523 40099221 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37999393 39269100 40088971 41138842 41228741 40968526 40228369 38508365 37038640 36168920 35879318 36539511 36999530 37489555 37999393 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 42927986 38718247 37478373 36598606 35208923 34699069 34769306 35809739 37229718 39439650 41569328 43719177 45099085 46569001 48698915 99999999 40451048 39591074 39191038 39190972 39600814 39980673 39950583 39080528 38290591 37230766 36691023 36341212 35941402 36001547 36351711 34971726 34641800 34451870 34822010 36382056 39172190 40582256 40862353 41782366 43092351 43742103 43622002 43641876 43031742 41611457 40691399 40871318 41401134 41361073 40451048 99999999 30878265 31398508 32258594 33438588 33968475 33098329 32928231 32408129 31048133 30878265 99999999 28708362 29478036 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W BUF 25 N HTS 20 WSW JKL 35 SE BWG 35 SSW MKL 45 WSW MEM 20 N HOT 30 NNE OKC 35 SSE ICT 25 NNE MHK 20 E DSM 30 WSW LSE 35 ENE EAU IWD 85 NE GNA ...CONT... 50 W VEL PUC 15 NW U28 30 ENE U28 40 NNE GJT 25 NNE EGE 50 WNW DEN 35 WNW COS 60 ESE GUC 10 NE DRO 65 SSE U17 25 N GCN 50 N IGM 20 WSW LAS 55 NE NID 30 WNW DAG PMD 35 ENE OXR 20 ESE SMX 50 N PRB 50 NNW SAC 35 NNW RBL 30 ESE ACV 30 E CEC 45 ESE OTH 35 S RDM 55 W BNO 10 ENE BNO 40 NE REO 60 S TWF ENV 45 ENE ENV 20 WNW EVW 15 ENE EVW 50 W VEL ...CONT... 30 SSW AYS 20 ENE DHN 25 N TOI 10 S ANB 30 NW ATL 35 NE MCN 35 SSW AGS 20 NNW SAV 10 SE SSI 30 SSW AYS ...CONT... 70 SSW CTY 45 ENE DAB.  875 WWUS83 KIWX 291253 SPSIWX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 853 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 INZ003-012-013-015-020-022-023-291400- LA PORTE-STARKE-PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER...MONTICELLO... BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU 853 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 /753 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008/ PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY UNDER A QUARTER MILE IN SPOTS OVER NORTHWEST INDIANA THIS MORNING. THE FOG SHOULD LIFT BY LATE MORNING. IN THE MEANTIME... MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATIONS. $$  438 WWCN12 CWTO 291257 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:57 AM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING ENDED FOR: CHAPLEAU - GOGAMA KIRKLAND LAKE - NEW LISKEARD - TEMAGAMI. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FROST IS NO LONGER EXPECTED IN THESE REGIONS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASHTON  608 WWCN16 CWHX 291258 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:28 AM NDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WRECKHOUSE WIND WARNING FOR: ST. GEORGE'S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 80 GUSTING TO 110 KM/H WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA OF SOUTHWESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GUSTING UPWARDS TO 110 KILOMETRES HOUR WILL PERSIST TODAY AHEAD OF POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA TODAY. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO EASE TONIGHT AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/NLWO  690 WTKO20 RKSL 291200 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 21 NAME STS 0815 JANGMI ANALYSIS POSITION 291200UTC 26.9N 121.8E MOVEMENT NE 8KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 301200UTC 29.7N 125.9E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT 48HR POSITION 011200UTC 31.0N 133.4E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 72HR POSITION 021200UTC 33.2N 143.3E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 41KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  708 WOPS01 NFFN 291200 GALE WARNING 004 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Sep 29/1259 UTC 2008 UTC. LOW [1008HPA] NEAR 23S 163W MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND UPTO 35 KNOTS AT TIMES WITHIN 60 TO 120 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE TO SOUTTHERN SEMICIRCLE. AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH LOW. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 003.  328 WOPS01 NFFN 291200 GALE WARNING 004 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Sep 29/1259 UTC 2008 UTC. LOW [1008HPA] NEAR 23S 163W MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND UPTO 35 KNOTS AT TIMES WITHIN 60 TO 120 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE TO SOUTTHERN SEMICIRCLE. AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH LOW. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 003.  718 WSIN90 VECC 291300 VECF SIGMET NO 05 VALID 291300/291700 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  089 WTJP22 RJTD 291200 WARNING 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 985 HPA AT 17.1N 109.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 18.1N 106.4E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 17.8N 103.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  090 WTPQ21 RJTD 291200 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) ANALYSIS PSTN 291200UTC 17.1N 109.4E FAIR MOVE NW 08KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 301200UTC 18.1N 106.4E 70NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 48HF 011200UTC 17.8N 103.3E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  631 WSYE20 OYSN 291308 OYSC SIGMET 01 VALID 291310/291710 OYSN- SANAA FIR ISOL/EMBD TS FCST OVER SOUTH SOUTH-WESTERN MOUNTAINS AND COASTAL AREAS FL380 INTFS=  866 WTPQ20 BABJ 291200 CCA SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291200 UTC 00HR 17.4N 109.6E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 19.0N 105.0E 998HPA 18M/S=  302 WHUS71 KLWX 291310 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 910 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ530-531-291415- /O.CAN.KLWX.SC.Y.0138.080929T1500Z-080929T2000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- 910 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ ANZ537-292000- /O.EXB.KLWX.SC.Y.0138.080929T1310Z-080929T2000Z/ TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- 910 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND MAY PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ532>534-292000- /O.EXT.KLWX.SC.Y.0138.080929T1309Z-080929T2000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- 910 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND MAY PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ROGOWSKI  542 WSIN90 VIDP 291300 VIDF SIGMET 05 VALID 291300/291700 UTC VIDF VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET =  550 WOAU12 AMRF 291314 IDV21000 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, MELBOURNE AT 1314UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREA Please be aware Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Situation Vigorous westerly airstream. Area Affected Within 43S141E/44S160E/50S160E/50S141E/43S141E Forecast West to northwesterly winds 25/35 knots and reaching 40 knots south of 45S. Wind easing 20/30 knots in the west after 291800UTC. Very rough to high seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER MELBOURNE  002 WWST01 SABM 291323 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 09:00 UTC 29 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL PRIMERA PARTE: AVISO DE TEMPORAL FUERTE GRADIENTE BARICO EN 45 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 20 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 30 KTS PROVOCA/N TEMPORAL DEL SUDOESTE EN 45 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 20 W ----------------------------------------------------------------- SEGUNDA PARTE: SITUACION SINOPTICA A LAS: 09:00 UTC DEL 29/SEPTIEMBRE/2008 FUERTE GRADIENTE BARICO EN 45 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 20 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 30 KTS ANTICICLON 1032 HPA EN 37 S 37 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS ANTICICLON 1026 HPA EN 50 S 54 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS ANTICICLON 1023 HPA EN 46 S 60 W DEBILITANDOSE QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 5 KTS DEPRESION 1020 HPA EN 44 S 51 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS EXTIENDE FRENTE FRIO EN 46 S 50 W 44 S 48 W 38 S 55 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS FRENTE CALIENTE EN 46 S 50 W 46 S 44 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 10 KTS DEPRESION 1020 HPA EN 37 S 56 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 15 KTS EXTIENDE FRENTE CALIENTE EN 37 S 57 W 39 S 55 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 15 KTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- TERCERA PARTE: PRONOSTICO DE LAS 12:00 UTC DEL 29/SEPTIEMBRE/2008 VALIDO HASTA LAS 06:00 UTC DEL 30/SEPTIEMBRE/2008 1- ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SECTOR ESTE ROTANDO AL SUDESTE/ NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ LLOVIZNAS/ MEJORAMIENTOS TEMPORARIOS/ BANCOS DE NIEBLA Y NEBLINA/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A MALA. COSTAS DE ISLAS MALVINAS: VIENTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 36 17'23'' S A 38 S: VIENTOS LEVES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR SUR CAMBIANDO AL SECTOR ESTE/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ LLOVIZNAS/ BANCOS DE NIEBLA Y NEBLINA/ MEJORANDO HACIA EL FINAL DEL PERIODO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A MALA. 38 S A 40 S: VIENTOS LEVES DEL SUDESTE CAMBIANDO A MODERADOS DEL NORTE/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLOVIZNAS AISLADA/O/S/ MEJORANDO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 40 S A 48 S: VIENTOS LEVES DEL SECTOR NORTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 48 S A 50 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL NOROESTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 50 S A 55 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO A NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS HACIA LA NOCHE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- AREAS OCEANICAS: 35 S 20 W 40 S 20 W 40 S 30 W 35 S 30 W 35 S 20 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS A LEVES DEL SUDOESTE CAMBIANDO AL SECTOR SUR/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 35 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 40 W 35 S 40 W 35 S 30 W : VIENTOS LEVES DEL SECTOR SUR CAMBIANDO AL SECTOR ESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 35 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 50 W 35 S 50 W 35 S 40 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL NORTE CAMBIANDO AL NORESTE DURANTE LA MADRUGADA/ NUBOSIDAD EN AUMENTO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS HACIA EL FINAL DEL PERIODO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 35 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 50 W : VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR NORTE/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ TORMENTAS/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 40 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 20 W : VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 20 W : TEMPORAL A VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 40 S 30 W 50 S 30 W 50 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 30 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS A LEVES DEL SUDOESTE CAMBIANDO AL SECTOR NORTE DURANTE LA MADRUGADA/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 40 W : VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR NORTE/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 45 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 40 W : VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR ESTE CAMBIANDO AL SECTOR NORTE/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 40 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 50 W : VIENTOS LEVES DEL SECTOR SUR CAMBIANDO AL SECTOR NORTE/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ MEJORANDO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 50 S 30 W 50 S 20 W : TEMPORAL A VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE DISMINUYENDO DURANTE LA MADRUGADA/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y NIEVE MEZCLADA AISLADA/O/S/ MEJORANDO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 50 S 30 W 60 S 30 W 60 S 45 W 50 S 45 W 50 S 30 W : VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE CAMBIANDO A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE DISMINUYENDO DURANTE LA MADRUGADA/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ INESTABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y NIEVE MEZCLADA AISLADA/O/S/ MEJORANDO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 50 S 45 W 60 S 45 W 60 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 45 W : VIENTOS FUERTES A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE/ NUBOSIDAD EN AUMENTO HACIA LA MADRUGADA/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES A FUERTES DEL NOROESTE/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  020 WWST02 SABM 291324 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 09:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 29, 2008 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PART ONE: GALE WARNING STRONG BARIC GRADIENT AT 45 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 45 S 30 AND MOVING TO SOUTHEAST TO 30 KTS PROVOKES GALE FROM SOUTHWEST AT 45 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 20 W ----------------------------------------------------------------- PART TWO: SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 09:00 UTC, SEPTEMBER/29/2008 STRONG BARIC GRADIENT AT 45 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 20 W MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 KTS HIGH 1032 HPA AT 37 S 37 W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS HIGH 1026 HPA AT 50 S 54 W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS HIGH 1023 HPA AT 46 S 60 W WEAKENING MOVING EAST AT 5 KTS LOW 1020 HPA AT 44 S 51 W MOVING EAST AT 15 KTS EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 46 S 50 W 44 S 48 W 38 S 55 W MOVING EAST AT 15 KTS WARM FRONT AT 46 S 50 W 46 S 44 W MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KTS LOW 1020 HPA AT 37 S 56 W MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 KTS EXTENDS WARM FRONT AT 37 S 57 W 39 S 55 W MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 KTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- PARTH THREE: FORECAST ISSUED 12:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 29,2008 VALID UNTIL 06:00 UTC SEPTEMBER 30,2008 1- COASTAL AREAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST VEERING TO SOUTHEAST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ DRIZZLE/ SPEELS OF GOOD WEATHER/ FOG AND MIST IN PATCHES/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO POOR. ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 36 17'23'' S A 38 S: GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH CHANGING TO SECTOR EAST/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ DRIZZLE/ FOG AND MIST IN PATCHES/ IMPROVING BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO POOR. 38 S A 40 S: GENTLE BREEZE FROM SOUTHEAST CHANGING TO MODERATE FROM NORTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED DRIZZLE/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 40 S A 48 S: GENTLE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 48 S A 50 S: MODERATE BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 50 S A 55 S: MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN TOWARDS THE EVENING/ VISIBILITY GOOD. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- OCEANIC AREAS 35 S 20 W 40 S 20 W 40 S 30 W 35 S 30 W 35 S 20 W :MODERATE TO GENTLE BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST CHANGING TO SECTOR SOUTH/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 35 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 40 W 35 S 40 W 35 S 30 W :GENTLE BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH CHANGING TO SECTOR EAST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 35 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 50 W 35 S 50 W 35 S 40 W :MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTH CHANGING TO NORTHEAST DURING DAYBREAK/ CLOUDY INCREASE/ POSSIBLE RAIN BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 35 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 50 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ STORMS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 40 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 20 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 20 W :GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 40 S 30 W 50 S 30 W 50 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 30 W :MODERATE TO GENTLE BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST CHANGING TO SECTOR NORTH DURING DAYBREAK/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 40 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 45 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 40 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST CHANGING TO SECTOR NORTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 40 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 50 W :GENTLE BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH CHANGING TO SECTOR NORTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 50 S 30 W 50 S 20 W :GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST DECREASING DURING DAYBREAK/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW MIXTURE/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 50 S 30 W 60 S 30 W 60 S 45 W 50 S 45 W 50 S 30 W :STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST CHANGING TO FRESH FROM NORTHWEST DECREASING DURING DAYBREAK/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ UNSTABLE/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW MIXTURE/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 50 S 45 W 60 S 45 W 60 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 45 W :STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ CLOUDY INCREASE TOWARDS THE DAYBREAK/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W :NEAR GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  382 WTPQ20 BABJ 291300 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291300 UTC 00HR 17.4N 109.4E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=  551 WTKO20 RKSL 291200 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3 NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA ANALYSIS POSITION 291200UTC 17.1N 109.4E MOVEMENT NW 8KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 301200UTC 17.5N 106.2E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 58KT 48HR POSITION 011200UTC 18.0N 103.5E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  196 WTPQ20 BABJ 291300 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291300 UTC 00HR 27.4N 121.8E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 240KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 15KM/H=  552 WAUS43 KKCI 291330 AAA WA3T CHIT WA 291330 AMD AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 291500 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN KY...UPDT FROM 70NE MOT TO 30N INL TO SSM TO DXO TO FWA TO CVG TO PXV TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO LBF TO 70NE MOT MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. ....  735 WWUS85 KREV 291329 SPSREV SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV 629 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 CAZ070>073-NVZ001>005-291900- SURPRISE VALLEY CALIFORNIA-LASSEN-EASTERN PLUMAS- EASTERN SIERRA COUNTIES-GREATER LAKE TAHOE AREA-MONO- MINERAL AND SOUTHERN LYON COUNTIES-GREATER RENO-CARSON CITY- MINDEN AREA-WESTERN NEVADA BASIN AND RANGE INCLUDING PYRAMID LAKE- NORTHERN WASHOE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDARVILLE...EAGLEVILLE... FORT BIDWELL...PORTOLA...SUSANVILLE...WESTWOOD...SIERRAVILLE... SOUTH LAKE TAHOE...TAHOE CITY...TRUCKEE...MARKLEEVILLE... BRIDGEPORT...COLEVILLE...LEE VINING...MAMMOTH LAKES...HAWTHORNE... YERINGTON...SMITH VALLEY...MINA...SCHURZ...GLENBROOK... INCLINE VILLAGE...SPARKS...VERDI...GARDNERVILLE...FERNLEY... FALLON...LOVELOCK...SILVER SPRINGS...NIXON...IMLAY...EMPIRE... GERLACH 629 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY... SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NEVADA AND LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST HAS PUSHED ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. AS INSTABILITY INCREASES FROM DAY TIME HEATING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS OVER THE SIERRA SOUTH OF SUSANVILLE AND AREAS IN WESTERN NEVADA SOUTH OF PYRAMID LAKE AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 95. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. THERE IS A SMALL POSSIBILITY THAT A FEW STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS. DUE TO THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR TRAINING CELLS...MEANING SEVERAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PASS OVER THE SAME LOCATION. IF THIS OCCURS RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY APPROACH 1 INCH...AND CAUSE RAPID RUN OFF ON STEEP SLOPES...RISES IN SMALL CREEKS AND PONDING OF WATER IN POORLY DRAINED URBAN AREAS. TRAVELERS AND URGED TO USE CAUTION IF THEY ENCOUNTER MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...DUE TO SLICK ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. WEATHER SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER INCLUDING HAIL...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY TO HIGHLIGHT SPECIFIC AREAS AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. CONTINUE TO CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/RENO OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. $$ BRONG HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO  327 WAAK48 PAWU 291330 WA8O ANCS WA 291345 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 292000 . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC N SLOPE WRANGELL MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. IMPR. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG ALG CST/OFSHR PAMY S OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -RA BR. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG PABE SE MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS/ISOL PCPN. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . PRIBILOF ISLANDS AND SOUTHEAST BERING SEA AL OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . =ANCT WA 291345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 292000 . NONE . =ANCZ WA 291345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 292000 . NONE .  900 WAAK47 PAWU 291330 WA7O JNUS WA 291345 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 292000 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. INTSF. . CNTRL SE AK JC OCNL CIGS BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE TIL 18Z OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. IMPR. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. IMPR. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 291345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 292000 . NONE . =JNUZ WA 291345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 292000 . NONE .  881 WWUS85 KREV 291333 CCA SPSREV SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV 632 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 CAZ070>073-NVZ001>005-291930- SURPRISE VALLEY CALIFORNIA-LASSEN-EASTERN PLUMAS- EASTERN SIERRA COUNTIES-GREATER LAKE TAHOE AREA-MONO- MINERAL AND SOUTHERN LYON COUNTIES-GREATER RENO-CARSON CITY- MINDEN AREA-WESTERN NEVADA BASIN AND RANGE INCLUDING PYRAMID LAKE- NORTHERN WASHOE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDARVILLE...EAGLEVILLE... FORT BIDWELL...PORTOLA...SUSANVILLE...WESTWOOD...SIERRAVILLE... SOUTH LAKE TAHOE...TAHOE CITY...TRUCKEE...MARKLEEVILLE... BRIDGEPORT...COLEVILLE...LEE VINING...MAMMOTH LAKES...HAWTHORNE... YERINGTON...SMITH VALLEY...MINA...SCHURZ...GLENBROOK... INCLINE VILLAGE...SPARKS...VERDI...GARDNERVILLE...FERNLEY... FALLON...LOVELOCK...SILVER SPRINGS...NIXON...IMLAY...EMPIRE... GERLACH 632 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY... SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN A HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NEVADA AND LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST HAS PUSHED ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. AS INSTABILITY INCREASES FROM DAY TIME HEATING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS OVER THE SIERRA SOUTH OF SUSANVILLE AND AREAS IN WESTERN NEVADA SOUTH OF PYRAMID LAKE AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 95. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. THERE IS A SMALL POSSIBILITY THAT A FEW STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS. DUE TO THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR TRAINING CELLS...MEANING SEVERAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PASS OVER THE SAME LOCATION. IF THIS OCCURS RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY APPROACH 1 INCH...AND CAUSE RAPID RUN OFF ON STEEP SLOPES...RISES IN SMALL CREEKS AND PONDING OF WATER IN POORLY DRAINED URBAN AREAS. TRAVELERS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION IF THEY ENCOUNTER MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...DUE TO SLICK ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. WEATHER SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER INCLUDING HAIL...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY TO HIGHLIGHT SPECIFIC AREAS AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. CONTINUE TO CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/RENO OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. $$ BRONG HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO  121 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 GMMM SIGMET C1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  802 WWUS73 KUNR 291335 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 735 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 SDZ001-002-291445- /O.CAN.KUNR.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ HARDING-PERKINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...LEMMON...BISON 735 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE WARNING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM THIS MORNING...THEREFORE THE FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  977 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 R GMMM SIGMET C1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  645 WVIY31 LIMM 291342 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 291420/291820 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  228 WAAK49 PAWU 291344 WA9O FAIS WA 291345 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 292000 . UPR YKN VLY FB SE PACR MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. IMPR. . TANANA VLY FC ALG AK RANGE E PAIN MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. IMPR. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH E PAKP MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =FAIT WA 291345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 292000 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 291345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 292000 . NONE . JH SEP 08  510 WGUS84 KSHV 291346 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 846 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ARC139-301346- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /FELA4.1.ER.080905T2330Z.080918T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 846 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT FELSENTHAL. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 73.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 70.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 73.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. $$ 15  205 WWCN14 CWHX 291346 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:46 AM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA. RAIN HAS EASED. SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== EXTRATROPICAL STORM KYLE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE EAST OF NEW BRUNSWICK AND MOVING TOWARDS ANTICOSTI ISLAND. KYLE HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY. THE REMNANTS OF KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE ACADIAN PENINSULA TODAY BUT NO SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED AND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE DURING THE DAY AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  611 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 GMMM SIGMET C1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  612 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 R GMMM SIGMET C1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  613 WVIY31 LIIB 291342 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 291420/291820 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  496 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 GMMM SIGMET C1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  513 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 GMMM SIGMET 1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  561 WSUS33 KKCI 291355 SIGW MKCW WST 291355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291555-291955 FROM 60SE FMG-EED-TRM-LAX-MOD-60SE FMG WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  562 WSUS31 KKCI 291355 SIGE MKCE WST 291355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 16E VALID UNTIL 1555Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 150ENE VRB-160ENE VRB-20NE PBI-20E VRB-150ENE VRB AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291555-291955 FROM 180ESE CHS-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-180ESE CHS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  563 WSUS32 KKCI 291355 SIGC MKCC WST 291355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 18C VALID UNTIL 1555Z IL MO FROM 10W ORD-20E DEC-50WNW FAM LINE TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30040KT. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 291555-291955 FROM 30SSE BAE-30NE FWA-70S PXV-40SSE COU-30SSE BAE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  111 WVIY31 LIMM 291342 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 291420/291820 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  862 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 GMMM SIGMET 1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  863 WSMC31 GMMC 291334 GMMM SIGMET C1 VALID 291400/291530 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST LINE N3312 W00300 - N3340 W0437 - N3218 W00524 - N3200 W 00443 TOP FL350 MOV NE INTSF=  473 WVIY31 LIIB 291342 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 291420/291820 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  311 ACPN50 PHFO 291355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST MON SEP 29 2008 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. $$ KINEL  355 WTPN33 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 8.9N 129.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N 129.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 9.9N 127.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 10.9N 125.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 11.9N 123.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 12.9N 121.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 14.9N 119.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 17.8N 119.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 20.7N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 9.2N 129.0E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  458 WTPN32 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 17.2N 109.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N 109.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 17.8N 107.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 18.3N 106.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 18.8N 104.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 19.1N 103.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 17.3N 108.9E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  459 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNING NR 024 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 27.2N 122.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N 122.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 28.1N 123.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 29.2N 125.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 30.3N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 31.2N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 32.4N 142.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 27.4N 122.5E. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM WEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  065 WTSS20 VHHH 291345 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (109.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  135 WTSS20 VHHH 291345 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (109.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  034 WSMC31 GMMC 291403 GMMM SIGMET A2 VALID 291400/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3568 W00652 - N3412 W0674 - N3323 W00852 - N3600 W00873 TOP FL370 MOV E INTSF=  030 WSMC31 GMMC 291403 GMMM SIGMET A2 VALID 291400/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3568 W00652 - N3412 W0674 - N3323 W00852 - N3600 W00873 TOP FL370 MOV E INTSF=  894 WHCI28 BCGZ 291300 TS WARNING NR 5 AT 291200 Z 0816 (0816 MEKKHALA) 990 HPA NEAR 17.4 NORTH 109.6 EAST POSITION FAIR BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS GUSTS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 25 KT WINDS 300 KMS OVER WATER MOVING WNW AT 12 KNOTS 24 HR FCST POSIT AT 301200 Z NEAR 18.8 NORTH 105.0 EAST MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS GUSTS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER 48 HR DISSIPATED OVER LAND  895 WTPQ20 VHHH 291346 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SEVERE TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (0815) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS. AT 291200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (27.5 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301200 UTC TWO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (29.6 N) ONE TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (126.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC THREE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (31.4 N) ONE THREE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (135.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  941 WWUS73 KJKL 291407 NPWJKL URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1007 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG DISSIPATING RAPIDLY... .NOW THAT THE SUN HAS HAD A CHANCE TO HEAT THE AIR NEAR THE SURFACE FOR OVER AN HOUR...THE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG HAS BEGUN TO DISSIPATE. A FEW LOCATIONS NEAR THE TENNESSEE AND VIRGINIA BORDERS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE VISIBILITY AS LOW AS ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES THROUGH 10:30 AM. KYZ080-085>088-107-109-110-112>120-291515- /O.EXP.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT- KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE... HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE 1007 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE TO BLANKET A LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH 11 AM THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...NOW THAT THE SUN IS BEGINNING TO WARM THINGS UP A BIT...DENSE FOG IS NO LONGER A PROBLEM...AS THE VISIBILITY IN ALL BUT THE MOST SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS HAS IMPROVED TO WELL ABOVE FOG ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-084-104-106-108-111-291515- /O.EXP.KJKL.FG.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-080929T1400Z/ FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE 1007 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE TO BLANKET A LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH 11 AM THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...NOW THAT THE SUN IS BEGINNING TO WARM THINGS UP A BIT...DENSE FOG IS NO LONGER A PROBLEM...AS THE VISIBILITY IN ALL BUT THE MOST SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS HAS IMPROVED TO WELL ABOVE FOG ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ RAY/AR  379 WSMC31 GMMC 291410 GMMM SIGMET 22 VALID 291411/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS NE OF LINE N3525 W00350 - N3423 W00172 TOP FL340 MOV E NC=  009 WSMC31 GMMC 291410 GMMM SIGMET 22 VALID 291411/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS NE OF LINE N3525 W00350 - N3423 W00172 TOP FL340 MOV E NC=  580 WOUS41 KPBZ 291417 ADRPBZ PAC085-291447- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE/FOLLOW UP STATEMENT NWS TEST WFO PBZ SILVER SPRING MD RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1017 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSE ONLY. THIS IS TEST MESSAGE 1 AT WFO PITTSBURGH. THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE NWS TEST WFO PBZ. THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS IS A TEST OF THE CAPABILITY TO RELAY EMERGENCY MESSAGE FROM NON-NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SOURCES USING DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND NWS SYSTEMS. THIS TEST MESSAGE MAY BE RELAYED BY EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM PARTICIPATING STATIONS IN ACCORDANCE WITH LOCAL AND STATE EAS PLANS. THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. DO NOT TAKE ACTIONS BASED ON THIS TEST MESSAGE. $$ DM3951952348234227712/22821  001 WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09.0N 129.1E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 167E 48N 180E 39N 180E 37N 171E 41N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 151E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 128E 32N 135E 32N 140E 33N 148E 34N 155E 37N 164E 42N 178E. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 985 HPA AT 17.1N 109.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 990 HPA AT 26.9N 121.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  677 WDPN31 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 19W WARNING NR 24// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 19W HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATER. ANIMATED MET- SAT IMAGERY AND A 291110Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE REVEAL A LOSS OF ANY MAJOR DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A FORWARD TRACK SPEED OF 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. IN GENERAL, THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH NGPS AND GFDN REMAINING SOUTHERLY OUTLIERS, WHILE GFS IS SKEWED TO THE NORTH. THE TIGHTEST GROUPING OF AIDS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 36, AND THEN DIVERGE AFTER THIS TIME WHILE REMAINING IN FAIR AGREE- MENT. B. TS 19W IS TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR), WHICH IS ORIENTED NORTH-SOUTH UP TO 32N. THE 29/12Z 500MB ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE PREVIOUSLY DEPICTED WESTERN FINGER OF THE STR HAS WEAKENED, AND IS NO LONGER PROVIDING A WESTERN TRACK COMPONENT AS EVIDENCED BY RECENT STORM MOTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY DETERIORATING SYSTEM WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW NOW BEING IMPACTED BY THE STRONG MIDLATITUDE WEST- ERLIES. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON SATELLITE FIXES FROM RJTD AND PGTW ALONG WITH TAIWAN RADAR DATA WHICH HAS PROVIDED FAIR CON- FIDENCE IN THE RECENT STORM MOTION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 35 TO 55 KNOTS AND THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. THE OVERALL TRACK PHILOSOPHY IS UNCHANGED ALTHOUGH THE FORE- CAST HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY EQUATORWARD DUE TO ADJUSTMENTS IN THE INITIAL POSITON WHICH PLACED THE STORM SOUTH OF PREVIOUSLY FORE- CASTED TRACKS. B. TS 19W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE BREAK IN THE STR THROUGH TAU 24, AND THEN TURN EASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW NEAR TAU 48. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) NEAR TAU 36. THE DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL TRACK WITH SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN TRACK SPEED AND PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED TRACK ORIENTATION. C. TS 19W IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AND WEAKEN UNDER STRONG WESTERLY FLOW AND COMPLETE ETT NEAR TAU 72. FORECAST TEAM: CHARLIE//  355 WOUS41 KPBZ 291422 ADRPBZ PAC085-291452- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE/FOLLOW UP STATEMENT PA MERCER COUNTY DEPT. OF PUBLIC SAFETY MERCER PA RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1022 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSE ONLY. THIS IS TEST MESSAGE 1 AT MERCER COUNTY THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE PA MERCER COUNTY DEPT. OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THIS IS TEST MESSAGE. THIS IS A TEST OF THE CAPABILITY TO RELAY EMERGENCY MESSAGE FROM NON-NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SOURCES USING DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND NWS SYSTEM. THIS TEST MESSAGE MAY BE RELAYED BY EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM PARTICIPATING STATIONS IN ACCORDANCE WITH LOCAL AND STATE EAS PLANS THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. DO NOT TAKE ACTIONS BASED ON THIS TEST MESSAGE. $$ DM3951953732816112640/16617  557 WTPQ20 BABJ 291400 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291400 UTC 00HR 17.4N 109.2E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=  563 WTPQ20 BABJ 291400 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291400 UTC 00HR 27.5N 121.9E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 240KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 15KM/H=  061 WHUS71 KCAR 291425 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1025 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ050>052-292100- /O.CON.KCAR.SW.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-080930T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- 1025 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FEET OR HIGHER. THIS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.. && $$ NORCROSS  072 WAUS44 KKCI 291445 WA4Z DFWZ WA 291445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 125-155 ACRS AREA ....  073 WAUS46 KKCI 291445 WA6S SFOS WA 291445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET IFR...OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM ONP TO 20SE FOT TO 30SW SAC TO RZS TO 80SW MZB TO 210SW MZB TO 140WSW FOT TO 130WSW ONP TO ONP CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS OVR LAND ENDG 19-21Z. ELSW CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...IFR WA OR AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 130WSW HQM-70S HQM-ONP-130WSW ONP-110WNW ONP-130WSW HQM CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG 21-23Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  074 WAUS46 KKCI 291445 WA6Z SFOZ WA 291445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 130-150 ACRS AREA ....  085 WAUS44 KKCI 291445 WA4S DFWS WA 291445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  086 WAUS45 KKCI 291445 WA5T SLCT WA 291445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET TURB...NV UT CO AZ NM FROM MTU TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO TXO TO TBC TO ELY TO MTU MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL410. CONDS ENDG 19-21Z. . AIRMET TURB...AZ NM FROM PHX TO 60NNE SSO TO DMN TO 40SSW DMN TO 50S TUS TO PHX MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS DVLPG 17-19Z CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  087 WAUS45 KKCI 291445 WA5Z SLCZ WA 291445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-150 ACRS AREA ....  110 WAUS43 KKCI 291445 WA3S CHIS WA 291445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET IFR...MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN FROM YQT TO SSM TO FWA TO TTH TO 50SSW DEC TO 40SE OVR TO DLH TO YQT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG/SPRDG EWD...ENDG WRN PTNS 15Z-18Z...ENDG ERN PTNS 18Z-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...KY FROM HNN TO HMV TO VXV TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS ENDG 15Z-18Z. ....  111 WAUS44 KKCI 291445 WA4T DFWT WA 291445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET TURB...LA MS AL AND CSTL WTRS FROM GQO TO LGC TO 40W CEW TO HRV TO MCB TO MSL TO GQO MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONDS DVLPG/SPRDG NEWD DURG PD...CONTG OVR NRN PTNS AREA BYD 21Z THRU 03Z...ENDG OVR SRN PTNS BY 21Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...TURB TN MS AL KY BOUNDED BY HNN-HMV-GQO-LGC-IGB-BWG-HNN MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONDS DVLPG/SPRDG NEWD INTO AREA 21Z-00Z...CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  112 WAUS46 KKCI 291445 WA6T SFOT WA 291445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  113 WAUS43 KKCI 291445 WA3Z CHIZ WA 291445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET ICE...MN IA WI LM LS MI LH IL FROM YQT TO SSM TO MBS TO PMM TO DBQ TO EAU TO YQT MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS DVLPG/SPRDG EWD...CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 040-145 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 060-090 BOUNDED BY 80SE YWG-50WNW DLH-BRD-60SE FAR-90SW YWG-80SE YWG 080 ALG 50NNE MOT-30W FAR-40WNW MSP-20W EAU-40NNE GRB-50WNW SSM 120 ALG 30SW ISN-20ESE DPR-70ESE ONL-30ESE COU-30NNE FAM-30NW PXV-40SSE TTH-40ENE FWA-20NNE ECK-50SSW YVV ....  114 WAUS45 KKCI 291445 WA5S SLCS WA 291445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  115 WAUS43 KKCI 291445 WA3T CHIT WA 291445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN KY FROM 40NNE INL TO YQT TO SSM TO DXO TO FWA TO CVG TO PXV TO OSW TO ICT TO PIR TO 50S YWG TO 40NNE INL MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL410. CONDS DVLPG/SPRDG EWD DURG PD...CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...TURB KY TN MS AL BOUNDED BY HNN-HMV-GQO-LGC-IGB-BWG-HNN MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONDS DVLPG/SPRDG NEWD INTO AREA 21Z-00Z...CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  266 WGUS83 KLOT 291432 FLSLOT FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 932 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN INDIANA... KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY AFFECTING LAKE AND NEWTON COUNTIES .SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT WATER LEVELS ON THE KANKAKEE. SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. INC089-111-300232- /O.EXT.KLOT.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-081005T1200Z/ /SLBI3.3.ER.080914T0925Z.080925T2215Z.081005T0600Z.NR/ 932 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 845 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING AFFECTS COUNTY AND LOCAL ROADS. WILDWOOD ESTATES AND SUMAVA RESORTS BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING. $$  217 WSTU31 LTAC 291425 LTAA SIGMET 2 VALID 291400/291700 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1400 LTAJ FCST MOV NE NC=  870 WGUS82 KMLB 291437 FLSMLB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL 1037 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE ST JOHNS RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. A VERY SLOW DESCENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. THE TREND OF THE DESCENT WILL DEPEND ON RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SCATTERED SHOWERS. FLC117-301437- /O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081004T0600Z/ /GENF1.3.ER.080823T0252Z.080901T1000Z.081004T0000Z.NR/ 1037 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR GENEVA ABOVE LAKE HARNEY. * UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. * AT 8.7 FEET, WATER BEGINS TO RECEDE FROM WHITCOMB ROAD BUT REMAINS HIGH IN YARDS AND DITCHES. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT ST. JOHNS RIVER GENEVA 8.5 8.7 MON 9 AM 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.4 $$ FLC117-301436- /O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SNFF1.2.ER.080825T0000Z.080907T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1037 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR SANFORD. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * AT 6.4 FEET, WATER CONTINUES TO SURROUND LOWER LYING HOMES IN THE STONE ISLAND AND STILLBROOK SUBDIVISIONS. WATER REMAINS AROUND LOW LYING PROPERTY NEAR SANFORD. PARKS AND DOCKS ARE FLOODED NEAR LAKE MONROE. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT ST. JOHNS RIVER SANFORD 6.0 6.4 MON 9 AM 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 $$ FLC069-127-301436- /O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /DLAF1.3.ER.080823T2110Z.080906T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1037 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR DELAND. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 4.2 FEET. * AT 4.8 FEET, WATER STARTS TO RETREAT FROM AROUND BUILDINGS ON HONTOON ISLAND. MANY SECONDARY ROADS AND HOMES IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE FLOODED. MOST MARINA DOCKS ALONG THE RIVER REMAIN FLOODED. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT ST. JOHNS RIVER DELAND 4.2 4.8 MON 9 AM 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 $$ FLC069-127-301436- /O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /ASTF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.080925T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1037 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 2.8 FEET. * AT 3.5 FEET, WATER SURROUNDS MANY LOW LYING HOMES NEAR THE RIVER. WATER COVERS MANY YARDS AND LOW LYING ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT ST. JOHNS RIVER ASTOR 2.8 3.5 MON 9 AM 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 $$  074 WTNT22 KNHC 291438 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 47.8W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......240NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 360SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 47.8W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 47.6W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 38.1N 48.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 39.8N 48.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 41.8N 47.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 44.4N 46.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 51.5N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 55.5N 30.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 55.0N 15.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.4N 47.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH  243 WAUS42 KKCI 291445 WA2T MIAT WA 291445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  244 WAUS41 KKCI 291445 WA1Z BOSZ WA 291445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 095-145 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20N CVG-40NNW APE-50ESE ECK-50WSW YYZ-20SW PVD-140E ACK ....  245 WAUS42 KKCI 291445 WA2S MIAS WA 291445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  246 WAUS41 KKCI 291445 WA1S BOSS WA 291445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET IFR...NY LO PA OH LE WV MD VA FROM YOW TO PLB TO SLT TO 40ESE BKW TO HMV TO HNN TO 40NNE ROD TO 40W ERI TO YYZ TO YOW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG NR 16Z. . AIRMET IFR...ME NH MA RI NY NJ MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 100SE BGR TO 140ESE ACK TO 90SE HTO TO 140SE SIE TO 80E ORF TO 60SE JFK TO 40ESE BOS TO 100SE BGR CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 19-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT NY PA WV MD FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO CON TO ALB TO HAR TO EKN TO EWC TO JHW TO SYR TO MSS TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS ENDG 16-18Z PA WV MD. CONDS ENDG 19-21Z RMNDR. ....  247 WAUS42 KKCI 291445 WA2Z MIAZ WA 291445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 130-160 ACRS AREA ....  248 WAUS41 KKCI 291445 WA1T BOST WA 291445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292100 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  293 WTNT32 KNHC 291438 TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 1100 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...LAURA LOOKING A LITTLE MORE TROPICAL... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.8 WEST OR ABOUT 695 MILES...1120 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. LAURA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. A NORTH THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE LAURA MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS. WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...37.4 N...47.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH  567 WTNT42 KNHC 291439 TCDAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 1100 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 AN 0852 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS OVER LAURA CONFIRMED THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE NEAR 50 KT WITHIN A SWATH LOCATED ABOUT 75 NM EAST OF THE CENTER. SUBTROPICAL CLASSIFICATIONS OF ST3.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB ALSO SUPPORT THIS INITIAL INTENSITY. A PRONOUNCED CONVECTIVE BAND NOW CURLS ABOUT THREE QUARTERS OF THE WAY AROUND THE EAST AND NORTH OF THE LARGE CIRCULATION BUT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER REMAINS BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED WITH SEVERAL INTERNAL SMALLER SWIRLS. WITH THE IMPROVED CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE...A CASE COULD BE MADE THAT THE CYCLONE IS BEGINNING TO ACQUIRE MORE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. LAURA IS BEGINNING TO MAKE A MORE PRONOUNCED POLEWARD TURN AS IT MOVES BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AZORES AND THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KYLE OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. A NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO BUT THE LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE NEW FORECAST DOES NOT GO AS FAR TO THE RIGHT AS THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND INSTEAD LIES ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE...CLOSE TO THE GFS AND GFDL. LAURA WILL LIKELY BE PICKED UP BY THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY DAY 3 AND THEN ACCELERATE EASTWARD WITHIN THE MID-LATITUDE FLOW...POSSIBLY APPROACHING THE BRITISH ISLES AS A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL LOW. OCEAN WATERS ARE MARGINALLY WARM NEAR LAURA...BUT APPEAR TO BE JUST WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT INCREASED CONVECTION. IF THE CONVECTION CAN WRAP CLOSER TO THE CENTER...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE CYCLONE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THEREFORE...SOME STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS JUST BEFORE LAURA MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY LOWER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE IS RATHER UNIMPRESSED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION WHEREAS THE SHIPS MODEL SHOWS LAURA STRENGTHENING TO 80 KT BY DAY 4 OR 5...PRIMARILY DUE TO A STRONG CONTRIBUTION FROM COLD UPPER LEVEL TEMPERATURES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 37.4N 47.8W 50 KT 12HR VT 30/0000Z 38.1N 48.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 30/1200Z 39.8N 48.3W 60 KT 36HR VT 01/0000Z 41.8N 47.7W 60 KT 48HR VT 01/1200Z 44.4N 46.6W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 02/1200Z 51.5N 41.5W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/1200Z 55.5N 30.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 04/1200Z 55.0N 15.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH  134 WSMC31 GMMC 291440 GMMM SIGMET B2 VALID 291440/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS NE OF LINE N3525 W00350 - N3423 W00172 TOP FL340 STNR NC=  501 WSMC31 GMMC 291440 GMMM SIGMET B2 VALID 291440/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS NE OF LINE N3525 W00350 - N3423 W00172 TOP FL340 STNR NC=  815 WSMC31 GMMC 291444 GMMM SIGMET D1 VALID 291443/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR CNL SIGMET 22 291411/291700=  123 WSMC31 GMMC 291444 GMMM SIGMET D1 VALID 291443/291700 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR CNL SIGMET 22 291411/291700=  133 WHUS71 KBOX 291447 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1047 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ237-291600- /O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080929T1500Z/ BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 1047 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR BLOCK ISLAND SOUND. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 5 FEET TODAY. $$ ANZ235-292200- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080929T2200Z/ RHODE ISLAND SOUND- 1047 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ADVISORY IS FOR RHODE ISLAND SOUND. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE SUBSIDING LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WE EXPECT THEM TO DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS BY EARLY EVENING. && $$ ANZ250-254-255-292300- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080930T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM- 1047 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OUTER-WATERS. LEFT OVER SWELL FROM NOW DISTANT HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEAS OF 4 TO 7 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE TREND WILL BE FOR WAVE HEIGHTS TO SLOWLY DROP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEY SHOULD DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  385 WSAZ31 LPMG 291444 LPPO SIGMET 7 VALID 291450/291750 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N40 W036 - N30 W035 - N21 W036 - N22 W38 - N28 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  579 WSAZ31 LPMG 291444 LPPO SIGMET 7 VALID 291450/291750 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N40 W036 - N30 W035 - N21 W036 - N22 W38 - N28 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  580 WSAZ31 LPMG 291444 LPPO SIGMET 7 VALID 291450/291750 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N40 W036 - N30 W035 - N21 W036 - N22 W38 - N28 W37 - N40 W039 TOP FL350 STRN NC=  793 WSUS31 KKCI 291455 SIGE MKCE WST 291455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 17E VALID UNTIL 1655Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 150ENE VRB-160ENE VRB-20NE PBI-20E VRB-150ENE VRB AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291655-292055 FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  794 WSUS33 KKCI 291455 SIGW MKCW WST 291455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291655-292055 FROM MTU-SJN-EED-TRM-LAX-MOD-60SE FMG-MTU WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  795 WSUS32 KKCI 291455 SIGC MKCC WST 291455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 19C VALID UNTIL 1655Z IN IL MO FROM 30E JOT-20E DEC-20NNW FAM LINE TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30040KT. TOPS TO FL350. OUTLOOK VALID 291655-292055 FROM 30SSE BAE-30NE FWA-70S PXV-40SSE COU-30SSE BAE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  709 WSIY31 LIIB 291455 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 291530/291930 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  885 WSIY31 LIIB 291455 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 291530/291930 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  069 WSIY31 LIIB 291455 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 291530/291930 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  797 WDPN32 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 20W WARNING NR 4// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. A. THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM (TS) STATUS AT 29/06Z BASED ON ANIMATED METSAT IMAGERY INDICATING A MUCH TIGHTER, WELL-CONSOLIDATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE STORM. THIS IMPROVED BANDING IS BEST  859 WCNT09 KKCI 291510 WSTA0I KZNY SIGMET INDIA 2 VALID 291510/292110 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR TC LAURA OBS AT 1500Z NR N3724 W04748. MOV WNW 7KT. NC. EMBD TS TOP FL460 WI N4000 W05000 - N4000 W04500 - N3630 W04300 - N3300 W04500 - N3400 W04830 - N3630 W04800 - N4000 W05000. FCST 2100Z TC CENTER N3752 W04808.  377 WGUS83 KLOT 291454 FLSLOT FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 954 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA SALLE AFFECTING BUREAU AND LA SALLE COUNTIES .SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INIDANA TODAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT WATER LEVELS ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT THIS TIME. SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. ILC011-099-300000- /O.EXT.KLOT.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-080930T0000Z/ /LSLI2.3.ER.080914T0358Z.080917T0000Z.080929T1800Z.NR/ 954 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA SALLE. * UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 830 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AREAS IN LA SALLE, SPRING VALLEY, AND PERU LOWLANDS ARE FLOODED. $$  832 WWJP73 RJTD 291200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 291200UTC ISSUED AT 291500UTC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 128E 32N 135E 32N 140E 33N 148E 34N 155E 37N 164E 42N 178E WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF TOKAI NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 292100UTC =  833 WWJP74 RJTD 291200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 291200UTC ISSUED AT 291500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 292100UTC =  124 WWJP81 RJTD 291200 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 291200UTC ISSUED AT 291500UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 26.9N 121.8E MOVING NE 08 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.4N 123.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 29.4N 125.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 30.9N 132.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 128E 32N 135E 32N 140E 33N 148E 34N 155E 37N 164E 42N 178E STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH 45 KNOTS SEA AROUND AMAMI, SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 292100UTC =  125 WWJP82 RJTD 291200 VITAL WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 291200UTC ISSUED AT 291500UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 26.9N 121.8E MOVING NE 08 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.4N 123.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 29.4N 125.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 30.9N 132.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 31N 128E 32N 135E 32N 140E 33N 148E 34N 155E 37N 164E 42N 178E STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 292100UTC =  126 WWJP75 RJTD 291200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 291200UTC ISSUED AT 291500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 292100UTC =  998 WBCN07 CWVR 291400 PAM ROCKS WIND 1022 LANGARA; OVC 11/4L-F S6 1FT CHP LO W VIS W3 1430 CLD EST 4 OVC 14/13 GREEN; CLDY 15+ S10 2FT CHP 1430 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 13/11 TRIPLE; CLDY 15+ S10E 2FT CHP LO S 1430 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 14/13 BONILLA; PC 15+ SE15 3FT MOD LO-MDT S 1430 CLD EST SCT ABV 25 14/11 BOAT BLUFF; -X 1/4F SW3 RPLD 1430 CLD EST 11/11 MCINNES; PC 15 NE10E 2FT CHP LO SW 1430 CLD EST 2 FEW FEW ABV 25 10/09 IVORY; PC 15+ E3 1FT CHP LO SW 1430 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 12/11 DRYAD; PC 15 NW2 RPLD 1430 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 12/11 ADDENBROKE; CLR 15+ E2 RPLD 1430 CLR 11/10 EGG ISLAND; CLR 15+ E10 1FT CHP LO W 1440 CLR 10/10 PINE ISLAND; CLR 15 CLM 1FT CHP LO W 1440 CLR 11/08 CAPE SCOTT; CLR 15+ E06E 1FT CHP LO SW 1440 CLR 12/10 QUATSINO; PT CLDY 15 NE15E 3FT MDT LO SW 1440 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 13/11 NOOTKA; N/A ESTEVAN; N/A LENNARD; N/A AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; N/A PACHENA; N/A CARMANAH; N/A SCARLETT; CLR 15 SE07 RPLD LO NW PULTENEY; CLR 15 CLM RPLD CHATHAM; -X 1/8F CLM RPLD 1440 CLD EST 08/08 CHROME; CLR 15 W5 RPLD MERRY; CLR 15 NW5 RPLD 1440 CLR 11/9 ENTRANCE; CLR 15 W7 RPLD FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; CLR 6+ CLM SMTH TSAWWASSEN; CLR 12 CLM RPLD TRIAL IS.; CLR 15 NE10 RPLD Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 186/14/12/3105/M/6008 60MM= WLP SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 177/10/08/1409/M/6011 18MM= WEB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 163/10/M/0000/M/6015 2MMM= WQC SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 202/05/05/0306/M/0002 6006 40MM= WRU SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 166/13/M/1415/M/PK WND 1318 1339Z 8011 4MMM= WFG SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 165/10/M/0621/M/PK WND 0624 1323Z 6019 2MMM= WVF SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/3006/M/M M 6MMM= WQS SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 163/12/11/1720+26/M/PK WND 2030 1302Z 6005 63MM= WRO SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 131/12/12/1521/M/PK WND 1624 1353Z PRESFR 8033 07MM= WEK SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 166/13/M/1809/M/5004 5MMM= WWL SA 1423 AUTO4 M M M 161/14/M/MM15+21/M/6009 2MMM= WME SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 189/11/10/0524+29/M/PK WND 0429 1355Z 6012 98MM= WAS SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 184/15/07/0122+29/M/PK WND 0129 1355Z 7010 65MM= WSB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/0704/M/M 5MMM= WGT SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 191/12/10/3303/M/M 6006 96MM= WGB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 195/11/10/2607/M/6006 47MM= WEL SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 189/12/M/2607/M/6006 7MMM= WDR SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/0113/M/M M 6MMM= WZO SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0211/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0101/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 194/09/07/1504/M/6009 69MM=  260 WHUS73 KMQT 291457 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1057 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 LSZ240-241-292300- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0091.080930T0000Z-081001T1000Z/ SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI- 1057 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 /957 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008/ ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ WEDNESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT MONDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 33 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 9 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 12 PM EDT TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ242>244-292300- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0091.080930T0300Z-081001T1000Z/ ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI- EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- 1057 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO OCCUR AROUND 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 33 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 10 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 11 AM EDT TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SRF  437 WGUS83 KILX 291501 FLSILX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS... ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA AFFECTING PEORIA...TAZEWELL AND WOODFORD COUNTIES ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY AFFECTING MARSHALL AND PUTNAM COUNTIES ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA AFFECTING FULTON AND MASON COUNTIES ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN AFFECTING BROWN...CASS...MORGAN AND SCHUYLER COUNTIES THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS. ILC123-155-300501- /O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-081001T1200Z/ /HNYI2.3.ER.080915T1447Z.080919T1730Z.081001T0600Z.NR/ 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HENRY. * UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 930 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT THE MARINA IN HENRY ALONG WITH MINOR FLOODING OF LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU ILLINOIS RIVER HENRY 23 24.2 MON 9 AM 23.5 22.9 22.3 $$ ILC143-179-203-300500- /O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-081004T1800Z/ /PIAI2.2.ER.080916T0152Z.080920T0130Z.081004T1200Z.NR/ 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR PEORIA. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 930 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 22.7 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS TO LOW LYING AREAS IN PEORIA HEIGHTS AND PEORIA'S RIVERFRONT PARK. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU ILLINOIS RIVER PEORIA 18 21.2 MON 9 AM 20.6 20.0 19.3 $$ ILC057-125-300500- /O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HAVI2.3.ER.080914T1950Z.080923T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HAVANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 930 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 20.4 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU ILLINOIS RIVER HAVANA 14 21.0 MON 9 AM 20.4 19.8 19.2 $$ ILC009-017-137-169-300500- /O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BEAI2.2.ER.080914T1323Z.080924T2130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT BEARDSTOWN. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 945 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 22.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU ILLINOIS RIVER BEARDSTOWN 14 22.8 MON 10 AM 22.1 21.4 20.8 $$  601 WGUS84 KEWX 291501 FLSEWX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE... RIO GRANDE NO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY CHANGE THESE RIVER FORECAST LEVELS. TXC465-300901- /O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080930T1500Z/ /LNYT2.3.DR.080915T2307Z.080923T1130Z.080930T0300Z.NR/ 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT FOSTER RANCH. * UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET (4.9 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET (4.3 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND WILL BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING INTO THE RIGHT FLOOD PLAIN FLOODS CAMPSITES BELOW DRYDEN TO AMISTAD RESERVOIR-TURBULENCE IS VERY DANGEROUS FOR SWIMMERS...TUBERS AND CANOEISTS-LIVESTOCK ARE TRAPPED IN LOW AREAS OF THE CHANNEL AND BANKS AND POTENTIALLY CAN DROWN. $$ TXC465-300901- /O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /DLRT2.2.DR.080915T1941Z.080923T1130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1001 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT DEL RIO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET (1.9 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET (1.2 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 6 FEET (1.8 METERS) FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. * IMPACT...AT 4.7 FEET...MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING REACHES THE SLAB ELEVATION OF THE LOWEST HOMES IN THE VEGA VERDE SUBDIVISION BELOW AMISTAD DAM AND CUTS BEHIND THE LOWEST RESIDENTIAL AREAS CUTTING THEM OFF. $$ && BELOW ARE THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS (FEET): BF FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM (FT) LOCATION STG STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT FOSTER RANCH 14 14 16.1 MON 09 AM 13.4 12.8 12.5 12.3 12.0 DEL RIO 4 4 6.2 MON 09 AM 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 BELOW ARE THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS (METERS): BF FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM (M) LOCATION STG STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT FOSTER RANCH 4 4 4.9 MON 09 AM 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 DEL RIO 1 1 1.9 MON 09 AM 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 $$  812 WHCA42 TJSJ 291502 CFWSJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1102 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...LONG PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE AND AFFECT THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING... PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-002-301200- /O.EXT.TJSJ.SU.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST- MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- 1102 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY DUE TO SLOWLY BUILDING SWELLS. LONG PERIOD...NORTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY NEWLY NAMED SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN...HAVE BEGAN TO ARRIVE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING. LATEST DATA FROM THE NORTHERN BUOY IN THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC(41943) NORTH OF THE AREA INDICATED SWELL ACTION OF 5 TO 6 AND LOCALLY 7 FOOT MOVING ACROSS THAT AREA. THESE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO 14 FEET OR HIGHER ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS OF THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST COASTS OF ALL OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THEREFORE...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN REISSUED FOR THESE AREAS UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE TO SAFELY SWIM TO SHORE. LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS. THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE: SAN JUAN HARBOR: 8:58 PM AST THIS EVENING AT 1.4 FEET MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 7:41 AM AST TUESDAY MORNING AT 1.1 FEET CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 6:46 AM AST TUESDAY MORNING AT 1.0 FEET PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DANGEROUS MARINE SITUATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. $$ RAM/OB  183 WOCN31 CWHX 291500 POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE INTERMEDIATE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 12.00 NOON ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL CHC STATEMENT ISSUED ON KYLE. AT NOON ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.4 N AND LONGITUDE 63.0 W... ABOUT 65 NAUTICAL MILES OR 120 KM NORTH OF CHARLOTTETOWN. KYLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS... 20 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS... 74 KM/H AND CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB. THE STORM IS LIKELY TO DIE IN THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE..A RATHER UNUSUAL DEMISE FOR A POST-TROPICAL STORM. THE LOW WILL CARRY GALES OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS FOR ANOTHER 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE WELL-REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. A SUMMARY OF KEY HIGHLIGHTS... KYLE MADE LANDFALL NEAR YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AT 9 PM ADT SEPTEMBER 29TH. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS AROUND 986 MB AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS - 120 KM/H. BASED ON ANALYSES OF THE STORM STRUCTURE..KYLE WAS AT THE END OF THE EXTRATROPICAL (I.E. POST-TROPICAL) TRANSITION PROCESS WHEN IT ARRIVED AT YARMOUTH. THE CENTRE OF THE STORM TRACKED NORTH OF YARMOUTH TO DIGBY THEN ACROSS THE BAY OF FUNDY TO THE NS/NB BORDER AND ACROSS WESTERN PEI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KNOTS WERE DEDUCED FROM BUOY DATA ON GEORGES BANK AND 60 KNOTS AT BACCARO POINT ON NOVA SCOTIA'S SOUTH- WESTERN TIP. THOSE WINDS PERSISTED FOR 3 TO 4 HOURS CAUSING TREE BLOW-DOWNS..POWER INTERRUPTIONS AND CLADDING/ROOFING DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. STORM SURGE AND HEAVY WAVE ACTION CAUSED SOME LOCAL FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. RAINFALLS OF 50 TO 70 MM OCCURRED OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF NEW BRUNSWICK WHILE 20 TO 40 MM GENERALLY FELL OVER NOVA SCOTIA AND PEI DURING A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WHICH OVERWHELMED SOME DRAINAGE BASINS. PEAK WINDS WERE BACCARO POINT'S 124 KM/H. WIND GUSTS OFFSHORE REACHED 127 KM/H AT THE GEORGES BANK BUOY. GUSTS OF 102 KM/H WERE MEASURED AT MCNAB'S ISLAND..AND GUSTS TO AROUND 80 KM/H OCCURRED IN AND AROUND THE HALIFAX AREA. END FOGARTY  580 WGUS84 KMAF 291504 FLSMAF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS.. RIO GRANDE BELOW PRESIDIO 5SE AFFECTING PRESIDIO COUNTY RIO GRANDE ABOVE PRESIDIO 7NW AFFECTING PRESIDIO COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO INTERNATIONAL BRIDGE AFFECTING PRESIDIO COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT LAJITAS AFFECTING BREWSTER AND PRESIDIO COUNTIES RIO GRANDE AT CASTOLON AFFECTING BREWSTER COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT JOHNSON RANCH AFFECTING BREWSTER COUNTY RIO GRANDE AT BOQUILLAS-RIO GRANDE VILLAGE AFFECTING BREWSTER COUNTY FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RIO GRANDE DUE TO THE WATER RELEASE FROM LUIS LEON RESERVOIR IN MEXICO. MOST RIVER LEVELS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR THEIR CURRENT STAGES...OR SLOWLY DROP...OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FUTURE FORECASTS WILL DEPEND ON THE AMOUNT OF WATER BEING RELEASED FROM THE RESERVOIR. AT THE CURRENT MOMENT...THE AMOUNT OF WATER BEING RELEASED IS SLOWLY DECREASING EACH DAY. HOWEVER...ANY LEVEE BREACHES OCCURRING MAY QUICKLY CHANGE THE CURRENT FORECAST RIVER LEVELS. ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT. RIVER LEVELS ARE HIGH. RANCHERS AND FARMERS SHOULD MOVE LIVESTOCK AND MACHINERY AWAY FROM FLOOD PRONE AREAS IF TIME PERMITS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION THROUGH THIS AREA. IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED STRETCH OF ROADWAY... DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS IT. YOUR VEHICLE COULD BE SWEPT DOWNSTREAM IN RUSHING FLOODWATERS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO OUR LOCAL WEBPAGE LOCATED AT... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND ...SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR THE LATEST TEXAS ROAD CONDITIONS... PLEASE CALL THE TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AT 1 800 452 9292 TXC377-300704- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PRDT2.3.DR.080904T1610Z.080917T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE BELOW PRESIDIO 5SE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET (4.4 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET (2.7 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 14.4 FEET (4.4 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET (4.9 METERS)...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS AND LEVEES NEAR REDFORD MAY BE DAMAGED. SIGNIFICANT PORTIONS OF FARMLAND WILL BE INDUNDATED. HIGHWAY 170 MAY ALSO FLOOD. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.9 FEET ON JUL 28 2004. $$ TXC377-300703- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PIOT2.1.DR.080908T2327Z.080916T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE ABOVE PRESIDIO 7NW. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET (2.9 METERS). * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET (2.7 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 9.4 FEET (2.9 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET (2.7 METERS)...WATER BEGINS TO FLOW INTO THE FLOOD PLAIN BETWEEN THE LEVEES. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.2 FEET ON OCT 6 1990. $$ TXC377-300703- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PRST2.3.DR.080906T1756Z.080916T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO INTERNATIONAL BRIDGE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET (6.3 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.5 FEET (4.7 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 20.6 FEET (6.3 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET (6.1 METERS)...RIVER REMAINS BETWEEN LEVEES. THE FLOOD PLAIN BETWEEN THE LEVEES INUNDATES. EROSION OF THE LEVEE IS LIKELY. SEEPAGE OF WATER THROUGH THE LEVEE MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF AREA FARM LAND. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.7 FEET ON OCT 22 1990. $$ TXC043-377-300703- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /TGAT2.2.DR.080908T2003Z.080920T1300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT LAJITAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET (4.6 METERS). * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET (4.0 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 15.0 FEET (4.6 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET (5.2 METERS)...THE PARK JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE COMPLETELY FLOODS. $$ TXC043-300703- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CSTT2.2.DR.080909T0712Z.080922T1215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT CASTOLON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET (5.9 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET (4.6 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 16.7 FEET (5.1 METERS) BY TOMORROW MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET (5.8 METERS)...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. COTTONWOOD CAMPGROUND BEGINS TO FLOOD. RESTROOMS UPSTREAM AT SANTA ELENA CANYON PARKING LOT WILL BE INUNDATED. WATER BEGINS TO CLOSE ALL ROADS IN THE AREA. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.5 FEET ON OCT 11 2003. $$ TXC043-300703- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /TELT2.3.DR.080909T2030Z.080920T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT JOHNSON RANCH. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET (6.0 METERS). * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET (4.6 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 19.7 FEET (6.0 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET (5.8 METERS)...MAJOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. FLOODING BEGINS TO OCCUR UPSTREAM IN COTTONWOOD CAMPGROUNDS AT CASTOLON...AS STAGES AT EACH LOCATION ARE PRACTICALLY SYNONYMOUS. MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE...BUT NO DAMAGE OCCURS. THE GAGE IS INACCESSIBLE...AS RIVER ROAD IS IMPASSABLE AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.5 FEET ON OCT 12 2003. $$ TXC043-300703- /O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BOQT2.3.DR.080911T0533Z.080922T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1004 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT BOQUILLAS-RIO GRANDE VILLAGE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET (5.2 METERS). * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET (4.0 METERS). * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 17.0 FEET (5.2 METERS). * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET (5.8 METERS)...BOTTOM OF TELEMETRY BOX NEAR PUMP HOUSE WILL BE REACHED. THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.5 FEET ON SEP 29 1991. $$  791 WOXX50 KWNP 291506 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 3703 Issue Time 2008 Sep 29 1455 UTC TEST ALERT: Message Delivery Test - Solar Radiation Alert Comment: This is a message delivery test of the SOLAR RADIATION ALERT system. Test messages are sent each day at 1500 UTC unless a SOLAR RADIATION ALERT is in progress. Information on the Solar Radiation Alert system is at www.faa.gov/library/reports/medical/oamtechreports/2000s/ media/0514.pdf . . . CARI users: heliocentric potential was 305 in August 2008 . . .  715 WGUS83 KLSX 291509 FLSLSX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 1009 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER FROM MEREDOISA TO HARDIN... SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE PASSAGE. THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER CASE/ ILC009-301509- /O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0307.000000T0000Z-081007T0900Z/ /NLGI2.3.ER.080916T1140Z.080925T0100Z.081006T0900Z.NO/ 1009 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY OCTOBER 07...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA GRANGE LD TW * UNTIL TUESDAY OCTOBER 07...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.5 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. $$ ILC137-149-301508- /O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0281.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MROI2.3.ER.080914T1531Z.080924T2245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1009 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 439.8 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 432.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. $$ ILC149-171-301508- /O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0282.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /VALI2.3.ER.080914T1018Z.080925T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1009 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT VALLEY CITY * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. $$ ILC013-083-301508- /O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0308.000000T0000Z-081007T0600Z/ /HARI2.2.ER.080914T1850Z.080919T1600Z.081006T0600Z.NO/ 1009 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY OCTOBER 07...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HARDIN * UNTIL TUESDAY OCTOBER 07...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. $$ && FLD LATEST 7AM FORECAST LOCATION STG OBS STG 09/30 10/01 10/02 10/03 10/04 ILLINOIS RIVER LA GRANGE LD T 23 27.5 26.9 26.3 25.6 24.9 24.3 MEREDOSIA 432 439.8 439.1 438.5 437.8 437.2 436.5 VALLEY CITY 11 19.8 19.2 18.6 17.9 17.2 16.5  818 WWPN20 KNES 291508 A. 19W (JANGMI) B. 29/1430Z C. 27.2N D. 121.8E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T2.0/2.0/W1.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR/ H. REMARKS... ELONGATING LLCC WITH 3/10 BANDING FOR DT=2.0. MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON MET. -SALEMI =  029 WHUS71 KOKX 291511 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1111 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...OCEAN SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT... .LEFTOVER LONG PERIOD SOUTHEAST OCEAN SWELLS GENERATED BY EX HURRICANE KYLE AND SEVERAL DAYS OF PRECEDING LONG FETCH EASTERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. ANZ355-292200- /O.CON.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-080929T2200Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1111 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. SWELLS OF UP TO 5 FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. ROUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE INLETS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ350-353-292315- /O.CON.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-080930T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1111 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. SWELLS OF UP TO 6 FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. ROUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE INLETS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ GOODMAN  574 WWPN20 KNES 291510 CCA A. 19W (JANGMI) B. 29/1430Z C. 27.2N D. 121.8E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T2.0/3.0/W1.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS... *** CORRECTED FOR CI *** ELONGATING LLCC WITH 3/10 BANDING FOR DT=2.0. MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON MET. -SALEMI =  988 WGUS84 KCRP 291512 FLSCRP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 1012 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS... RIO GRANDE AT COLUMBIA BRIDGE AFFECTING WEBB COUNTY ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN TEXAS.. RIO GRANDE AT LAREDO AFFECTING WEBB COUNTY .RECENT RAINFALL OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP THE AFOREMENTIONED RIVERS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD AFFECT CREST FORECASTS. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/CRP. CLICK ON THE RIVER FORECASTS IMAGE AT THE TOP...THEN CLICK ON THE FORECAST POINT. TXC479-291542- /O.CAN.KCRP.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080929T1512Z/ /CBBT2.N.DR.080925T1400Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT COLUMBIA BRIDGE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET...OR 5.4 METERS. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET...OR 5.5 METERS. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN AROUND FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. * AT 18.0 FEET OR 5.5 METERS...FLOW REACHES THE HEIGHT OF THE RIGHT BANK. LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT FLOOD IN THE CHANNEL AND LOW BANKS BELOW EAGLE PASS TO BELOW LAREDO. AUTOS AND TRUCKS FLOOD IN LOW AREAS OF THE CUSTOMS PARKING LOT DOWNSTREAM IN LAREDO. $$ TXC479-300912- /O.CON.KCRP.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LDOT2.1.DR.080918T0610Z.080926T1745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 FOR THE RIO GRANDE AT LAREDO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET...OR 3.6 METERS. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET...OR 2.4 METERS. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN AROUND 12 FEET...OR 3 TO 4 METERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. * AT 13.0 FEET OR 4.0 METERS...AUTOS AND TRUCKS FLOOD IN THE LOWER SECTIONS OF THE MALL PARKING LOT. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN THE LOWER SECTIONS OF THE CUSTOMS PARKING LOT. $$ && BELOW ARE THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND STAGE FORECASTS: FLD LATEST FORECAST 6 AM LST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT RIO GRANDE COLUMBIA BRIDGE 18 17.8 MON 09 AM 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 LAREDO 8 11.8 MON 09 AM 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.8 $$  739 WSPS21 NZKL 291509 NZZO SIGMET 12 VALID 291509/291552 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 11 291152/291552  740 WSPS21 NZKL 291512 NZZO SIGMET 13 VALID 291512/291549 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 10 291149/291549  741 WSPS21 NZKL 291512 NZZO SIGMET 14 VALID 291512/291912 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/340 WI 75NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3300 W15700 - S3700 W15700 - S3900 W14500 - S3500 W13500 MOV SE 05KT NC  887 WHCA42 TJSJ 291514 CCA CFWSJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1114 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...LONG PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO ARRIVE AND AFFECT THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING... PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-002-301200- /O.COR.TJSJ.SU.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST- MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- 1114 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY DUE TO SLOWLY BUILDING SWELLS. LONG PERIOD...NORTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY NEWLY NAMED SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN...HAVE BEGAN TO ARRIVE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING. LATEST DATA FROM THE NORTHERN BUOY IN THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC(41043) NORTH OF THE AREA INDICATED SWELL ACTION OF 5 TO 6 AND LOCALLY 7 FOOT MOVING ACROSS THAT AREA. THESE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THESE LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO 14 FEET OR HIGHER ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS OF THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST COASTS OF ALL OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THEREFORE...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN REISSUED FOR THESE AREAS UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE TO THE BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE TO SAFELY SWIM TO SHORE. LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS. THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE: SAN JUAN HARBOR: 8:58 PM AST THIS EVENING AT 1.4 FEET MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 7:41 AM AST TUESDAY MORNING AT 1.1 FEET CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 6:46 AM AST TUESDAY MORNING AT 1.0 FEET PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DANGEROUS MARINE SITUATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. $$ RAM/OB  787 WHUS73 KGRB 291515 MWWGRB URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 1015 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY MORNING... .PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...INCREASING WAVES AND CAUSING A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT. LMZ521-522-541>543-563-565-567-292315- /O.NEW.KGRB.SC.Y.0054.080930T1200Z-081002T0000Z/ THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI- THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID LAKE- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID LAKE- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID LAKE- 1015 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KTS TUESDAY MORNING...CAUSING WAVES TO BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FT. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FT EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  916 WWST01 SBBR 291513 1 31 05 02 12 20 AVISO NR 827/2008 AVISO DE VENTO FORTE/MUITO FORTE EMITIDO ÀS 1330 HMG-SAB -27/SET/2008 ÁREAS BRAVO NO EXTREMO NORDESTE E DELTA AO SUL DE 24S A LESTE DE 041W A PARTIR DE 280000 HMG. VENTO E/SE FORÇA 7/8 COM RAJADAS. VÁLIDO ATÉ 291200 HMG. AVISO NR 828/2008 AVISO DE VENTO FORTE/MUITO FORTE EMITIDO ÀS 1330 HMG-SAB -27/SET/2008 ÁREA SUL OCEÂNICA ENTRE 22S E 30S A OESTE DE 030W A PARTIR DE 281200 HMG. VENTO NE/NW AO NORTE DE 25S E NE/SE AO SUL DE 25S FORÇA 7/8 COM RAJADAS. VÁLIDO ATÉ 300000 HMG. AVISO NR 829/2008 AVISO DE MAR GROSSO SERVIÇO METEOROLÓGICO MARINHO DA MARINHA DO BRASIL CENTRO DE HIDROGRAFIA DA MARINHA EMITIDO ÀS 1330 HMG – SAB– 27/SET/2008 ÁREA DELTA AO SUL DE 22S E LESTE DE 041W A PARTIR DE 281200 HMG. ONDAS DE SE 3.0/3.5 METROS. VÁLIDO ATÉ 300000 HMG. WARNING NR 831/2008 HIGH SURF WARNING ISSUED AT 1300 GMT – MON - 29/SEP/2008 AREAS CHARLIE AT N OF 24S AND DELTA AT S OF 21S. WAVES FROM SE 2.5/3.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 301200 GMT. WARNING NR 832/2008 NEAR GALE/ GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1400 GMT - MON- 29/SEP/2008 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA BETWEEN 26S AND 30S AT W OF 025W STARTING AT 300000 GMT. WIND E/SE FORCE 7/8 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 010000 GMT. WARNING NR 833/2008 NEAR GALE/ GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1430 GMT - MON- 29/SEP/2008 AREA ALFA STARTING AT 291800 GMT. WIND NE FORCE 6/7 WITH GUSTS FORCE 8. VALID UNTIL 011200 GMT. WARNING NR 834/2008 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1430 GMT – MON- 29/SEP/2008 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA BETWEEN 25S AND 29S AT W OF 030W. WAVES FM E/SE 3.0/3.5 METERS. VALID UNTIL 301200 GMT. THIS MESSAGE CANCELS AND REPLACES THE WARNING NR 830/2008. WARNING NR 835/2008 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1430 GMT – MON - 29/SEP/2008 AREA ALFA S OF 30S BETWEEN 046W AND 051W STARTING AT 300000 GMT. WAVES FROM NE 3.0/3.5 METERS. VALID UNTIL 011200 GMT. NNNN  660 WWPN20 KNES 291518 A. 20W (MEKKHALA) B. 29/1430Z C. 17.8N D. 108.8E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS... 1/3 DEGREE SHEAR INTO DG FOR DT=3.5. CENTRAL COLD COVER ALSO YIELDS 3.5. MET=3.0 PT=3.5. FT BASED ON PT. -SALEMI =  858 WTPH20 RPMM 291200 TTT WARNING 02 AT 1200 29 SEPTEMBER TROPICAL STORM UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT FOUR EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FORECAST POSITIONS AT 301200 ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT FOUR EAST AT 011200 ONE TWO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT ZERO EAST AND AT 021200 ONE SIX POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA=  859 WWCN10 CWUL 291509 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:09 AM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: MINGANIE ANTICOSTI NATASHQUAN CHEVERY. AN ADDITIONAL 10-15 MM OF RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED OVER MINGANIE AND ANTICOSTI UNTIL THIS EVENING WHILE 30-40 MM ARE EXPECTED OVER NATASHQUAN AND CHEVERY BY TUESDAY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: SAINTE-ANNE-DES-MONTS - GRANDE-VALLEE GASPESIE NATIONAL PARK - MURDOCHVILLE NEW CARLISLE - CHANDLER FORILLON NATIONAL PARK - GASPE - PERCE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO DUMP RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY OVER THE LOWER NORTH SHORE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER SEVERAL COASTAL AREAS OF THE EASTERNMOST PART OF THE PROVINCE AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES. ===================================================================== PLEASE REFER TO REGIONAL PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR DETAILS PERTAINING TO EACH REGION. ===================================================================== END/MAX  126 WSTU31 LTBA 291520 LTBB SIGMET 2 VALID 291520/291820 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1450Z LTAY MOV E NC=  779 WTPQ20 BABJ 291500 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291500 UTC 00HR 17.4N 109.0E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=  279 WSBW20 VGZR 291530 VGFR SIGMET 05 VALID 291600/292000 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST TOP FL390=  450 WSBW20 VGZR 291530 VGFR SIGMET 05 VALID 291600/292000 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST TOP FL390=  539 WWPN20 KNES 291523 A. 21W (NONAME) B. 29/1430Z C. 9.4N D. 128.8E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR H. REMARKS... 5/10 BANDING FOR DT=2.5. MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON MET. -SALEMI =  241 WTPQ20 BABJ 291500 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291500 UTC 00HR 27.5N 122.0E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 240KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NE 15KM/H=  112 WOAU06 APRF 291529 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 1529UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 1400UTC Gale force NW/SW flow through Southern Ocean with embedded cold fronts. Deep low 965hPa near 55S095E at 291400UTC, expected near 55S110E by 301200UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line south of a line 42S080E 35S100E 43S129E. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots rough to very rough seas moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  120 WOAU06 APRF 291529 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 1529UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 1400UTC Gale force NW/SW flow through Southern Ocean with embedded cold fronts. Deep low 965hPa near 55S095E at 291400UTC, expected near 55S110E by 301200UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line south of a line 42S080E 35S100E 43S129E. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots rough to very rough seas moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  350 WAZA44 FADN 291500 FADN AIRMET 4 VALID 291500/291800 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: KZN SW-INT: MOD MTW TURB=  246 WTPQ33 PGUM 291530 TCPPQ3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 21W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 AM CHST TUE SEP 30 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM 21W MOVING WEST AWAY FROM PALAU... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM CHST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 21W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 129.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 390 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KOROR PALAU AND 620 MILES WEST OF YAP. TROPICAL STORM 21W IS MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 AM CHST POSITION...9.2 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 129.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON TROPICAL STORM 21W. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE  416 WSMC31 GMMC 291530 GMMM SIGMET C2 VALID 291530/291730 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3326 W00167 - N3444 W00388 - N3400 W00544 - N3191 W00464 TOP FL 370 MOV NE INTSF=  305 WSMC31 GMMC 291530 GMMM SIGMET C2 VALID 291530/291730 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3326 W00167 - N3444 W00388 - N3400 W00544 - N3191 W00464 TOP FL 370 MOV NE INTSF=  843 WEPA43 PAAQ 291532 TIBWCA TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1 NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK 832 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THIS TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT IS FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA ONLY... NO - REPEAT NO - WARNING... WATCH OR ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE STATES AND PROVINCES LISTED ABOVE. EVALUATION BASED ON MAGNITUDE AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI DAMAGING TO CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA OR ALASKA. IN COASTAL AREAS OF INTENSE SHAKING LOCALLY GENERATED TSUNAMIS CAN BE TRIGGERED BY UNDERWATER LANDSLIDES. PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS MAGNITUDE - 6.9 TIME - 0720 AKDT SEP 29 2008 0820 PDT SEP 29 2008 1520 UTC SEP 29 2008 LOCATION - 30.2 SOUTH 176.8 WEST - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION DEPTH - 22 MILES/36 KM THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER IN EWA BEACH HAWAII WILL ISSUE MESSAGES FOR HAWAII AND OTHER AREAS OF THE PACIFIC. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT BY THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR MORE INFORMATION. $$  844 WEAK53 PAAQ 291532 TIBAK1 PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1 NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK 832 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A STRONG EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED BUT A TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA OR ALASKA COASTS... NO - REPEAT NO - WARNING... WATCH OR ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS. BASED ON THE EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS A DAMAGING TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA COASTS. AT COASTAL LOCATIONS WHICH HAVE EXPERIENCED STRONG GROUND SHAKING LOCAL TSUNAMIS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO UNDERWATER LANDSLIDES. AT 820 AM PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME ON SEPTEMBER 29 AN EARTHQUAKE WITH PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE 6.9 OCCURRED IN THE KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND. THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER IN EWA BEACH HAWAII WILL ISSUE MESSAGES FOR HAWAII AND OTHER AREAS OF THE PACIFIC OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT BY THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. SEE THE WEB SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR BASIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION - SAFETY RULES AND TSUNAMI TRAVEL TIMES. $$  713 WHUS73 KGRB 291533 MWWGRB URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 1033 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY MORNING... .PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...INCREASING WAVES AND CAUSING A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT. LMZ563-565-567-291645- /O.CAN.KGRB.SC.Y.0054.080930T1200Z-081002T0000Z/ LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID LAKE- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID LAKE- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5NM OFF SHORE TO MID LAKE- 1033 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS CANCELED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS INADVERTENTLY ISSUED FOR THIS AREA. $$ LMZ521-522-541>543-292345- /O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0054.080930T1200Z-081002T0000Z/ THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI- THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI- 1033 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KTS TUESDAY MORNING... CAUSING WAVES TO BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FT. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FT EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  190 WEPA42 PHEB 291534 TIBPAC TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001 PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS ISSUED AT 1534Z 29 SEP 2008 THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA... WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA. ... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ... THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY. THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 1519Z 29 SEP 2008 COORDINATES - 30.1 SOUTH 176.8 WEST DEPTH - 7 KM LOCATION - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION MAGNITUDE - 6.9 EVALUATION NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA. HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA. ...SP...  190 WEPA42 PHEB 291534 TIBPAC HIZALL-291733- TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001 PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS ISSUED AT 1534Z 29 SEP 2008 THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA... WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA. ... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ... THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY. THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 1519Z 29 SEP 2008 COORDINATES - 30.1 SOUTH 176.8 WEST DEPTH - 7 KM LOCATION - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION MAGNITUDE - 6.9 EVALUATION NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA. HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.  292 WEHW42 PHEB 291534 TIBHWX HIZ001>003-005>009-012>014-016>021-023>026-291734- TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1 NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI 534 AM HST MON SEP 29 2008 TO - CIVIL DEFENSE IN THE STATE OF HAWAII SUBJECT - TSUNAMI INFORMATION THIS STATEMENT IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY. NO ACTION REQUIRED. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 0519 AM HST 29 SEP 2008 COORDINATES - 30.1 SOUTH 176.8 WEST LOCATION - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION MAGNITUDE - 6.9 MOMENT EVALUATION BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED AND THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII. REPEAT. A DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED AND THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED. $$ ...SP...  943 WEHW42 PHEB 291534 TIBHWX HIZ001>003-005>009-012>014-016>021-023>026-291734- TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1 NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI 534 AM HST MON SEP 29 2008 TO - CIVIL DEFENSE IN THE STATE OF HAWAII SUBJECT - TSUNAMI INFORMATION THIS STATEMENT IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY. NO ACTION REQUIRED. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 0519 AM HST 29 SEP 2008 COORDINATES - 30.1 SOUTH 176.8 WEST LOCATION - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION MAGNITUDE - 6.9 MOMENT EVALUATION BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED AND THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII. REPEAT. A DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED AND THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED. $$  432 WEPA43 PAAQ 291532 TIBWCA TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1 NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK 832 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THIS TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT IS FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA ONLY... NO - REPEAT NO - WARNING... WATCH OR ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE STATES AND PROVINCES LISTED ABOVE. EVALUATION BASED ON MAGNITUDE AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI DAMAGING TO CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA OR ALASKA. IN COASTAL AREAS OF INTENSE SHAKING LOCALLY GENERATED TSUNAMIS CAN BE TRIGGERED BY UNDERWATER LANDSLIDES. PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS MAGNITUDE - 6.9 TIME - 0720 AKDT SEP 29 2008 0820 PDT SEP 29 2008 1520 UTC SEP 29 2008 LOCATION - 30.2 SOUTH 176.8 WEST - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION DEPTH - 22 MILES/36 KM THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER IN EWA BEACH HAWAII WILL ISSUE MESSAGES FOR HAWAII AND OTHER AREAS OF THE PACIFIC. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT BY THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR MORE INFORMATION. $$  626 WSNZ21 NZKL 291538 NZZC SIGMET 21 VALID 291538/291618 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 19 291218/291618  627 WSNZ21 NZKL 291538 NZZC SIGMET 23 VALID 291538/291938 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW 7000FT E OF LINE NZDN/NZCH WKN  628 WSNZ21 NZKL 291537 NZZC SIGMET 20 VALID 291537/291616 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 18 291216/291616  629 WSNZ21 NZKL 291537 NZZC SIGMET 22 VALID 291537/291937 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABT/E RANGES E OF NZWB/NZWU/NZWK WKN  503 WWCN11 CWHX 291543 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 12:43 PM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NOVA SCOTIA... LES SUETES WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/ASPC  344 WTJP31 RJTD 291500 WARNING 291500. WARNING VALID 301500. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 990 HPA AT 27.0N 122.0E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 28.7N 123.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 29.5N 125.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  573 WTPQ20 RJTD 291500 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0815 JANGMI (0815) ANALYSIS PSTN 291500UTC 27.0N 122.0E FAIR MOVE ENE 08KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 301500UTC 29.5N 125.9E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 45HF 011200UTC 30.9N 132.8E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 16KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 69HF 021200UTC 32.0N 142.7E 250NM 70% MOVE E 21KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT =  888 WAHW31 PHFO 291545 WA0HI HNLS WA 291600 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 292200 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 291600 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292200 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 291600 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 2 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 292200 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...160-165.  504 WOPF10 NTAA 291546 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 32 DU 29/09/08 A 15H45 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 26S ET 158W LE 29/09/08 A 1500 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 10KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 25S157W 25S154W 28S149W 30S149W 30S157W ET 25S157W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 30/35KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : EXTENSION DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  636 WWIN40 DEMS 291200 I W B 29TH SEPT 2008 EVE: ========================= THE CYCIR EXTDNG UPTO MTLS OVER GWB AND N/H TILTING SW-WARDS WITH HEIGHT PERSISTS(.) THE CYCIR BETN 2.1 & 3.6 KMS ASL OVER EC-AR SEA OFF GOA-KKA COTS PERSISTS(.) THE WD AS AN U/A SYSTEM EXTDNG UPTO 3.6 KMS ASL OVER J & K AND N/H PERSISTS(.) THE OTHER WD AS AN U/A SYSTEM OVER N-PAK AND N/H PERSISTS(.) ABOVE TWO SYSTEMS ARE LIKELY TO MOVE ENE-WARDS(.) FCST:- RAIN/THRS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR AT MANY PLACES ASSAM/MEGHA NMMT WB/SKM AND BIHAR; AT FEW PLACES A/N IDS AR-PR JHKHD AND AT ISOL PLACES IN ORISSA E-UP KON/GOA C-AP T-NADU COTL-KKA KERALA AND LKDP(.) MAINLY DRY WX WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REST OF THE COUNTRY(.) HRW :- HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY TO OCCUR AT ISOLATED PLACES IN ASSAM/MEGHA WB/SKM AND BIHAR DURING NEXT 36 HRS(.) =  802 WAZA46 FACT 291500 FACT AIRMET 5 VALID 291500/291900 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC W/SW: MT OBSC, SFC VIS 5000M -SHRA, MOD MTW TURB MOD ICE NEAR QMW= FACT AIRMET 4 VALID 291500/291900 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: LOC ESC: MOD MTW TURB LOC SW ESC: BKN CLD 1000FT=  797 WEPA40 VHHH 291543 TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY, HKC P 153156 Z.=  810 WEPA40 VHHH 291544 TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY, HKC P 153156 Z.=  354 WEPA43 PAAQ 291532 TIBWCA TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1 NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK 832 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THIS TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT IS FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA ONLY... NO - REPEAT NO - WARNING... WATCH OR ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE STATES AND PROVINCES LISTED ABOVE. EVALUATION BASED ON MAGNITUDE AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI DAMAGING TO CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA OR ALASKA. IN COASTAL AREAS OF INTENSE SHAKING LOCALLY GENERATED TSUNAMIS CAN BE TRIGGERED BY UNDERWATER LANDSLIDES. PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS MAGNITUDE - 6.9 TIME - 0720 AKDT SEP 29 2008 0820 PDT SEP 29 2008 1520 UTC SEP 29 2008 LOCATION - 30.2 SOUTH 176.8 WEST - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION DEPTH - 22 MILES/36 KM THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER IN EWA BEACH HAWAII WILL ISSUE MESSAGES FOR HAWAII AND OTHER AREAS OF THE PACIFIC. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT BY THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR MORE INFORMATION. $$  408 WEAK53 PAAQ 291532 TIBAK1 PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1 NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK 832 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A STRONG EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED BUT A TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA OR ALASKA COASTS... NO - REPEAT NO - WARNING... WATCH OR ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS. BASED ON THE EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS A DAMAGING TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA COASTS. AT COASTAL LOCATIONS WHICH HAVE EXPERIENCED STRONG GROUND SHAKING LOCAL TSUNAMIS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO UNDERWATER LANDSLIDES. AT 820 AM PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME ON SEPTEMBER 29 AN EARTHQUAKE WITH PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE 6.9 OCCURRED IN THE KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND. THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER IN EWA BEACH HAWAII WILL ISSUE MESSAGES FOR HAWAII AND OTHER AREAS OF THE PACIFIC OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA/ OREGON/ WASHINGTON/ BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT BY THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. SEE THE WEB SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR BASIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION - SAFETY RULES AND TSUNAMI TRAVEL TIMES. $$  439 WSUS32 KKCI 291555 SIGC MKCC WST 291555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 20C VALID UNTIL 1755Z IN IL FROM 10N BVT-40WSW TTH-40ENE FAM LINE TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 30040KT. TOPS TO FL300. OUTLOOK VALID 291755-292155 FROM ORD-30NE FWA-30NW BNA-FAM-ORD WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  440 WSUS33 KKCI 291555 SIGW MKCW WST 291555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291755-292155 FROM MTU-SJN-EED-MZB-LAX-MOD-60SE FMG-MTU WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  441 WSUS31 KKCI 291555 SIGE MKCE WST 291555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 18E VALID UNTIL 1755Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 100ENE VRB-150ENE VRB-50ESE PBI-20NNE MIA-100ENE VRB AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291755-292155 FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  173 WTPQ21 RJTD 291500 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) ANALYSIS PSTN 291500UTC 17.3N 108.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 301500UTC 18.3N 105.6E 70NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 45HF 011200UTC 17.8N 103.3E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  174 WTJP32 RJTD 291500 WARNING 291500. WARNING VALID 301500. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 985 HPA AT 17.3N 108.7E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 18.3N 105.6E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  074 WHUS76 KMTR 291556 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 856 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ530-300000- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0128.080929T1900Z-080930T0600Z/ SAN FRANCISCO/SAN PABLO/SUISUN BAYS AND THE WEST DELTA- 856 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR ANGEL ISLAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  177 WUUS01 KWNS 291557 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1055 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 291630Z - 301200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 26578272 27008184 26888079 26718019 25817961 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 38909118 39088840 40038707 40408665 40578621 40738544 38338445 37038662 36048930 35769294 36009422 37339427 37739355 38909118 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37879234 38709020 38708870 39328720 39578605 40148521 40228369 38508365 37038640 36168920 35789217 36409343 37169384 37569352 37879234 0.05 26578267 26678159 26678105 26728023 26917963 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 28868331 29568030 99999999 30738373 30528609 31318666 32218608 33308388 34238013 33877904 33337919 31848086 30738373 99999999 42927986 38718247 37478373 36218550 34868881 34529058 34689293 36009453 37439541 39449489 41569328 43719177 45099085 46569001 48698915 99999999 34522059 34822041 36382056 39172190 40582256 40862353 41782366 43092351 43742103 43622002 43641876 43031742 41611457 40691399 40871318 41401134 41361073 40450972 39830895 39020909 38490938 37270937 36571069 36501237 36681425 35871555 34401638 33861636 33271611 32561589 TSTM 33081158 33081158 TSTM 32361468 32861370 32391173 31161076 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW CTY 50 ENE DAB ...CONT... 25 S MGR 30 SE CEW 25 ESE GZH 20 ESE MGM 40 SE ATL 25 W FLO 15 NNW CRE 30 SSW CRE 30 SE SAV 25 S MGR ...CONT... 55 W BUF 25 N HTS 20 WSW JKL 30 NW CSV 40 N TUP 50 SW MEM 15 NE HOT 20 W FYV 15 SSE CNU FLV 20 E DSM 30 WSW LSE 35 ENE EAU IWD 85 NE GNA ...CONT... 15 S VBG SMX 50 N PRB 50 NNW SAC 35 NNW RBL 30 ESE ACV 30 E CEC 45 ESE OTH 35 S RDM 55 W BNO 10 ENE BNO 40 NE REO 60 S TWF ENV 45 ENE ENV 20 WNW EVW 15 ENE EVW 10 W VEL 50 SE VEL 30 WSW GJT 25 SE CNY 20 SSE 4BL 50 ESE PGA 40 NNW GCN 45 SW SGU 25 WSW LAS 40 SE DAG 20 NW TRM 25 S TRM 25 SW IPL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE PHX 35 SE PHX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW YUM 55 ENE YUM 50 WNW TUS 40 SW FHU.  178 ACUS01 KWNS 291557 SWODY1 SPC AC 291553 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1053 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 291630Z - 301200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...OZARKS INTO MID MS/LWR OH VLYS... BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT MCS HAS PUSHED SEWD WELL AHEAD OF DIGGING UPR TROUGH UPR MS VALLEY. MCS HAS OUTRUN ANY REAL INSTABILITY ACROSS LWR OH VALLEY INTO SRN MO AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. COLD FRONT FROM ERN IA SWWD INTO NWRN OK WILL CONTINUE SEWD AND BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON BE A FOCUS FOR A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM LOWER OH VALLEY WWD INTO MO OZARKS. WITH EXPECTED HEATING AND DEWPOINTS NEAR 60F MLCAPES WILL CLIMB TO AOA 1000 J/KG WITH MINIMAL CINH. SEVERE THREAT WILL BE LIMITED GIVEN THE EXPECTED DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 30KT OR LESS. HOWEVER WITH RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND THE INSTABILITY...HAIL AND BRIEF DOWNBURST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGEST UPDRAFTS LATER THIS AFTERNOON/ EVENING...ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. ...S FL... VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS SPREAD INTO S FL AHEAD OF WEAK SRN TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. ENTRANCE REGION OF 70-80 KT SWLY JET ACROSS NRN FL WILL PROVIDE SOME LARGE SCALE ASCENT ACROSS PENINSULA WITH APPROACH OF CENTRAL GULF TROUGH. APPEARS 12Z NAM SUFFERS FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK TONIGHT WITH THE FORECASTED STRENGTHENING WIND PROFILES S FL. HOWEVER GIVEN THE DEEP TROPICAL AIR MASS IN PLACE A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY NEAR SEA BREEZE FRONTS. A CONTINUED THREAT OVERNIGHT WITH THE GRADUAL INCREASE IN OVERALL WIND PROFILES AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE BRIEF DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADO/WATER SPOUTS. ..HALES/CROSBIE.. 09/29/2008  281 WHUS76 KSEW 291557 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 857 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ130-292230- /O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080930T0100Z/ /O.CON.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.080930T0100Z-080930T1300Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 857 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM PDT TUESDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST ENTRANCE OF THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM PDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. && $$ PZZ150-292230- /O.CON.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080930T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 20 NM- 857 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WINDS UNTIL 6 AM PDT TUESDAY...FOR THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE WASHINGTON COASTAL WATERS...FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 20 NM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  314 WHCA42 TJSJ 291601 CCB CFWSPN URGENTE - SE REQUIERE DIFUSION INMEDIATA MENSAJE SOBRE RIESGOS COSTEROS SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1114 AM AST LUNES 29 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO DEL NORESTE CONTINUARAN LLEGANDO Y AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS LOCALES DEL ATLANTICO Y LOS PASAJES DEL CARIBE HASTA POR LO MENOS EL MARTES EN LA MANANA... PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-013-VIZ001-002-301200- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NOROESTE-MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST THOMAS/ST JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- ST CROIX 1114 AM AST LUNES 29 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO AHORA HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DEL MARTES... LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO AHORA HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DEL MARTES DEBIDO DE UN AUMENTO LENTA DE LAS MAREJADAS... MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO...DEL NORESTE GENERADAS DE UN SISTEMA NUEVA TORMENTA SUBTROPICAL LAURA...LOCALIZADO SOBRE EL CENTRO DEL ATLANTICO NORTE...COMENZO A AFECTAR LAS AGUAS COSTERAS REGIONALES ESTA MANANA Y CONTINUARA AUMENTANDO LENTAMENTE HOY HASTA POR LO MENOS EL MARTES EN LA MANANA. LOS ULTIMOS DATOS DEL BOYA 41043 AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO INDICO MAREJADAS DE 5 A 6 Y LOCALMENTE 7 PIES MOVIENDOSE A TRAVES ESA AREA. ESTAS MAREJADAS CONTINUARA AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS COSTERAS HASTA EL MARTES EN LA MANANA. ESTAS MAREJADAS DE PERIODO LARGO PRODUCIRAN OLAS ROMPIENTES GRANDES DE 10 A 14 PIES O MAS A LO LARGO DE LOS ARRECIFES...PLAYAS Y LAS DUNAS DE LA COSTA NORTE A NORESTE DE TODAS LAS ISLAS LOCALES. POR LO TANTO...UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACA FUERTE HA SIDO REEDITIDO PARA ESTAS AREAS HASTA LAS 8 AM AST EL MARTES. ESTAS OLAS ROMPIENTES GENERARAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES DENTRO DE LA ZONA DONDE LAS OLAS ROMPEN...LLAMADAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. ESTAS CORRIENTES ESTRECHAS QUE FLUYEN MAR AFUERA PUEDEN ARRASTRAR PERSONAS Y ANIMALES ALEJANDOLOS DE LA COSTA A TRAVES DE LA ZONA DONDE LAS OLAS ROMPEN HACIA EL MAR ABIERTO. SI SE VE ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...NO ENTRE EN PANICO. CON CALMA... MANTENGASE A FLOTE...LOCALICE SU POSICION RELATIVA A LA PLAYA...Y NADE DE LADO O PARALELO A LA PLAYA. EVENTUALMENTE SALDRA DEL AGARRE DE ESTA CORRIENTE ESTRECHA...Y PODRA NADAR A SALVO HASTA LA COSTA. SE ADVIERTE A LOS BANISTAS...LOS QUE PRACTICAN DEPORTES ACUATICOS Y NADADORES INEXPERTOS A PERMANECER FUERA DEL AGUA HASTA QUE ESTAS CONDICIONES DE RESACAS PELIGROSAS DISMINUYAN. LAS PERSONAS EN LAS PLAYAS DEBEN ESTAR ALERTAS A LAS GRANDES OLAS ROMPIENTES QUE AZOTAN LA COSTA...LAS CUALES PUEDEN ARRASTRAR PERSONAS DE CUALQUIER TAMANO MAR AFUERA HACIA EL OCEANO. DEBE EVITAR ESTAR CERCA DE LA LINEA COSTERA Y PERMANECER LEJOS DE LAS FORMACIONES ROCOSAS. ESTAS OLAS ROMPIENTES TAMBIEN CREARAN EL POTENCIAL PARA EROSION DE PLAYAS DURANTE LAS HORAS DE MAREA ALTA. LA HORA DE LAS MAREAS ALTAS PARA LOS SIGUIENTES LUGARES SON: BAHIA DE SAN JUAN: 8:58 PM AST AL ANOCHECER A 1.4 PIES MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 7:41 AM AST MARTES EN LA MANANA A 1.1 PIES CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 6:46 AM AST MARTES EN LA MANANA A 1.0 PIES POR FAVOR MANTENGASE EN SINTONIA CON EL RADIO DEL TIEMPO DE NOAA PARA LA ULTIMA INFORMACION SOBRE LA PELIGROSA SITUACION MARITIMA DESDE LA OFICINA DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN. ESTE PRODUCTO...JUNTO CON OTRA INFORMACION ATMOSFERICA...HIDROLOGICA Y CLIMATOLOGICA...ESTAN DISPONIBLES EN LA PAGINA DE INTERNET HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU O HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN $$ RAM/OB  969 WSCI31 RCTP 291606 RCAA SIGMET 7 VALID 291600/292000 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST WI N2900 E12100 - N2900 E12400 - N2330 E12400 - N2100 E12130 - N2100 E11900 TOP ABV FL380 MOV NE 15KT WKN=  796 WSCI31 RCTP 291606 RCAA SIGMET 7 VALID 291600/292000 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST WI N2900 E12100 - N2900 E12400 - N2330 E12400 - N2100 E12130 - N2100 E11900 TOP ABV FL380 MOV NE 15KT WKN=  138 WGUS83 KIWX 291606 FLSIWX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1206 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES .THOUGH WATER CONTINUES TO RECEDE...MINOR FLOODING IS STILL EXPECTED. SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS. DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS. ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY. INC091-141-149-301606- /O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-081001T1200Z/ /DAVI3.3.ER.080914T0430Z.080916T0100Z.080930T1200Z.NR/ 1206 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 * UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 10.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 30. * AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS. $$  512 WSIN90 VECC 291600 VECF SIGMET NO 06 VALID 291600/292000 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  074 WOCN31 CWHX 291605 CAA POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE CORRECTED INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 1.05 PM ADT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. ...CORRECTED DATE OF LANDFALL TO SEPT 28 INSTEAD OF SEPT 29... THIS WILL BE THE FINAL CHC STATEMENT ISSUED ON KYLE. AT NOON ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.4 N AND LONGITUDE 63.0 W... ABOUT 65 NAUTICAL MILES OR 120 KM NORTH OF CHARLOTTETOWN. KYLE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS... 20 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS... 74 KM/H AND CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB. THE STORM IS LIKELY TO DIE IN THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE..A RATHER UNUSUAL DEMISE FOR A POST-TROPICAL STORM. THE LOW WILL CARRY GALES OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS FOR ANOTHER 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE WELL-REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. A SUMMARY OF KEY HIGHLIGHTS... KYLE MADE LANDFALL NEAR YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA AT 9 PM ADT SEPTEMBER 28TH. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS AROUND 986 MB AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS - 120 KM/H. BASED ON ANALYSES OF THE STORM STRUCTURE..KYLE WAS AT THE END OF THE EXTRATROPICAL (I.E. POST-TROPICAL) TRANSITION PROCESS WHEN IT ARRIVED AT YARMOUTH. THE CENTRE OF THE STORM TRACKED NORTH OF YARMOUTH TO DIGBY THEN ACROSS THE BAY OF FUNDY TO THE NS/NB BORDER AND ACROSS WESTERN PEI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KNOTS WERE DEDUCED FROM BUOY DATA ON GEORGES BANK AND 60 KNOTS AT BACCARO POINT ON NOVA SCOTIA'S SOUTH- WESTERN TIP. THOSE WINDS PERSISTED FOR 3 TO 4 HOURS CAUSING TREE BLOW-DOWNS..POWER INTERRUPTIONS AND CLADDING/ROOFING DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. STORM SURGE AND HEAVY WAVE ACTION CAUSED SOME LOCAL FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE COUNTIES. RAINFALLS OF 50 TO 70 MM OCCURRED OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF NEW BRUNSWICK WHILE 20 TO 40 MM GENERALLY FELL OVER NOVA SCOTIA AND PEI DURING A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WHICH OVERWHELMED SOME DRAINAGE BASINS. PEAK WINDS WERE BACCARO POINT'S 124 KM/H. WIND GUSTS OFFSHORE REACHED 127 KM/H AT THE GEORGES BANK BUOY. GUSTS OF 102 KM/H WERE MEASURED AT MCNAB'S ISLAND..AND GUSTS TO AROUND 80 KM/H OCCURRED IN AND AROUND THE HALIFAX AREA. END FOGARTY  589 WHUS71 KAKQ 291612 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1212 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ650-652-654-292000- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0124.000000T0000Z-080929T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- 1212 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ WAMSLEY  964 WWUS86 KPQR 291613 RFWPQR RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 913 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ORZ608-300600- /O.CON.KPQR.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ ZONE 608- 913 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR CRITICALLY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ALONG WITH GUSTY EAST WINDS FOR THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER ZONE INCLUDED IN THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS... ZONE 608...CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES. A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT EXTENDS FROM UTAH INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...RESULTING IN VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF OREGON. THE RIDGE HAS PUSHED A THERMAL TROUGH WEST OF THE CASCADES...LEADING TO OFFSHORE FLOW AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS FOR WESTERN OREGON. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 80S AND LOWER 90S IN MOST LOCATIONS TODAY...WITH EVEN THE HIGHER PASSES REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 70S. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WERE POOR ON THE MIDSLOPES AND RIDGES OVERNIGHT...FAILING TO REACH 30 PERCENT IN SOME AREAS. WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY STARTING OFF SO LOW...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD EASILY REACH THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE IN MOST OF THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES TODAY. THE PROXIMITY OF THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH WIDESPREAD MID-LEVEL HAINES 6 AND LOCALIZED HIGH-LEVEL HAINES 6 EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES. THESE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO PRIME GROWTH POTENTIAL FOR ANY NEW FIRE STARTS AND ALSO EXISTING FIRES. WHILE MUCH OF NORTHWEST OREGON HAS BENEFITED FROM SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST COUPLE WEEKS...FUELS HAVE REMAINED DRY IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES WHERE LESS RAIN HAS FALLEN. THEREFORE FUELS WILL BE QUICKER TO RESPOND TO THE WARM... DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. $$ WEAGLE  357 WSIY31 LIIB 291618 LIBB SIGMET 05 VALID 291700/292100 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV S NC=  684 WSIY31 LIIB 291618 LIBB SIGMET 05 VALID 291700/292100 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV S NC=  885 WSNZ21 NZKL 291537 NZZC SIGMET 20 VALID 291537/291616 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 18 291216/291616  886 WSIN90 VIDP 291600 VIDF SIGMET 06 VALID 291600/292000 VIDF-DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  887 WSNZ21 NZKL 291538 NZZC SIGMET 21 VALID 291538/291618 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 19 291218/291618  888 WSNZ21 NZKL 291537 NZZC SIGMET 22 VALID 291537/291937 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABT/E RANGES E OF NZWB/NZWU/NZWK WKN  889 WSNZ21 NZKL 291538 NZZC SIGMET 23 VALID 291538/291938 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW 7000FT E OF LINE NZDN/NZCH WKN  890 WSDL31 EDZM 291620 EDMM SIGMET 1 VALID 291620/291820 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE OBS AREA NUERNBERG BTN FL230/FL240 STNR WKN =  918 WWCN02 CYTR 291618 WEATHER WARNING NUMBER 129 UPDATED FOR 17 WING WINNIPEG BY THE MSC WEATHER SERVICES CENTRE TRENTON AT 12:18 PM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. WIND WARNING CONTINUED. NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL 29/1900Z. END/WEESE/OBREJA  459 WSCI31 RCTP 291606 RCAA SIGMET 7 VALID 291600/292000 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB FCST WI N2900 E12100 - N2900 E12400 - N2330 E12400 - N2100 E12130 - N2100 E11900 TOP ABV FL380 MOV NE 15KT WKN=  108 WSIY31 LIIB 291618 LIBB SIGMET 05 VALID 291700/292100 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV S NC=  109 WSDL31 EDZM 291620 EDMM SIGMET 1 VALID 291620/291820 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE OBS AREA NUERNBERG BTN FL230/FL240 STNR WKN =  531 WTPQ20 BABJ 291600 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291600 UTC 00HR 27.6N 122.2E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NE 20KM/H=  532 WTPQ20 BABJ 291600 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291600 UTC 00HR 17.4N 108.8E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=  597 WWUS86 KPDT 291629 RFWPDT RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR 929 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A CRITICALLY DRY AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BE OVER CENTRAL OREGON THROUGH THIS EVENING... ORZ610-611-630-300400- /O.NEW.KPDT.FW.W.0010.080929T1700Z-080930T0400Z/ EAST SLOPES OF CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-DESCHUTES NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF OREGON- 929 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE ZONES 610...611 AND 630 FOR A HAINES 6 ENVIRONMENT AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PENDLETON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SIT OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN CRITICALLY DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY...OTHERWISE KNOWN AS HAINES 6 CONDITIONS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE PRIME FOR STRONG PLUME DEVELOPMENT AND THE RAPID GROWTH OF EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. ALSO...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING OVER FIRE ZONE 611 AND NEAR THE CASCADE CREST IN FIRE ZONE 610. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HIGH HAINES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DRIVEN FIRES AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PENDLETON. $$  793 WHUS71 KGYX 291650 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 1250 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 .SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR HIGH SEAS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. ANZ150>154-300100- /O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY- CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 1250 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  047 WSMC31 GMMC 291655 GMMM SIGMET A3 VALID 291700/292100 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3547 W00636 - N3363 W00808 - N3207 W00976 - N3288 W01089 - N3460 W00938 - N3622 W00798 TOP FL 370 STNR NC=  304 WSMC31 GMMC 291655 GMMM SIGMET A3 VALID 291700/292100 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3547 W00636 - N3363 W00808 - N3207 W00976 - N3288 W01089 - N3460 W00938 - N3622 W00798 TOP FL 370 STNR NC=  467 WSMC31 GMMC 291655 GMMM SIGMET A3 VALID 291700/292100 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3547 W00636 - N3363 W00808 - N3207 W00976 - N3+8//WBPZPIOZ - N3460 W00938 /A/ /6/2 /)0798 TOP/FL 3/0/ 5 4/,,=  861 WSMC31 GMMC 291655 GMMM SIGMET A3 VALID 291700/292100 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3547 W00636 - N3363 W00808 - N3207 W00976 - N3+8//WBPZPIOZ - N3460 W00938 /A/ /6/2 /)0798 TOP/FL 3/0/ 5 4/,,=  397 WSYE20 OYSN 291704 OYSC SIGMET 02 VALID 291710/292110 OYSN- SANAA FIR ISOL/EMBD TS OBS/FCST OVER SOUTH SOUTH-WESTERN MOUNTAINS AND WESTERN COASTAL AREAS FL370 WKN=  625 WHUS76 KSEW 291701 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 1001 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ130-292230- /O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080930T0100Z/ /O.CON.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.080930T0100Z-080930T1300Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 1001 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM PDT TUESDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM PDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. && $$ PZZ135-292200- /O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0151.080929T1701Z-080929T2200Z/ PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL- 1001 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PUGET SOUND SOUTH OF SEATTLE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ150-292230- /O.CON.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080930T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 20 NM- 1001 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  539 WSUS32 KKCI 291655 SIGC MKCC WST 291655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291855-292255 FROM ORD-30NE FWA-30NW BNA-FAM-ORD WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  540 WSUS31 KKCI 291655 SIGE MKCE WST 291655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 19E VALID UNTIL 1855Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90ENE VRB-140ENE PBI-40S MIA-50SW MIA-90ENE VRB AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291855-292255 FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  541 WSUS33 KKCI 291655 SIGW MKCW WST 291655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291855-292255 FROM MTU-SJN-EED-MZB-LAX-MOD-60SE FMG-MTU WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  859 WTSS20 VHHH 291645 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (104.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  931 WTSS20 VHHH 291645 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (104.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  408 WHUS52 KKEY 291703 SMWKEY GMZ031-291730- /O.NEW.KKEY.MA.W.0280.080929T1703Z-080929T1730Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 103 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... FLORIDA BAY... * UNTIL 130 PM EDT * AT 100 PM EDT...A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A WATERSPOUT ABOUT 3 MILES NORTH OF LOWER MATECUMBE KEY...MOVING NORTH AT AROUND 10 KNOTS. THE WINDS IN AND NEAR WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN SMALL BOATS. IF A WATERSPOUT IS SIGHTED...MOVE AWAY FROM IT AS QUICKLY AND SAFELY AS POSSIBLE. LAT...LON 2495 8062 2493 8079 2513 8083 2515 8060 TIME...MOT...LOC 1703Z 174DEG 12KT 2503 8071 $$ BS  600 WHXX04 KWBC 291703 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL STORM LAURA 12L INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 29 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 37.1 47.7 285./ 7.0 6 37.5 48.0 329./ 5.4 12 38.2 48.4 330./ 7.4 18 39.1 48.4 357./ 8.5 24 39.9 48.3 9./ 8.3 30 40.8 48.0 17./ 8.9 36 42.3 47.0 33./17.2 42 44.1 46.8 6./17.8 48 45.8 47.0 357./17.0 54 47.6 47.0 0./17.8 60 49.2 46.9 1./16.6 66 50.8 46.5 15./16.0 72 52.4 45.3 37./17.2 STORM DISSIPATED AT 72 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.  356 WWUS73 KGID 291705 NPWGID URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1205 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 KSZ005-017-NEZ039-046-060-061-072-073-082-083-300115- /O.NEW.KGID.FR.Y.0003.080930T1000Z-080930T1400Z/ PHILLIPS-ROOKS-VALLEY-SHERMAN-DAWSON-BUFFALO-GOSPER-PHELPS-FURNAS- HARLAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILLIPSBURG...PLAINVILLE...STOCKTON... ORD...LOUP CITY...LEXINGTON...KEARNEY...ELWOOD...HOLDREGE... BEAVER CITY...ALMA 1205 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BETWEEN 33 AND 36 DEGREES TONIGHT AS A COOL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SETTLES INTO OUR REGION. FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DUE TO THE COLD TEMPERATURES...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. $$  034 WTPQ20 VHHH 291646 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (0815) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC TWO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (29.9 N) ONE TWO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (127.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC THREE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (31.6 N) ONE THREE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (136.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  288 WHCA72 TJSJ 291708 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH MID WEEK... .LONG PERIOD...NORTHEAST SWELLS GENERATED BY A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. AMZ710-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T0841Z-080930T1200Z/ ATLANTIC WATERS NORTHWARD TO 19.5N AND BETWEEN 64N AND 68W FROM NORTHWEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO AT PUNTA CADENA EASTWARD TO MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EXTENDING BEYOND 100 FATHOM LINE TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE- 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ720-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T1200Z-080930T1200Z/ ATLANTIC NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EASTWARD TO CABO SAN JUAN THEN EASTWARD TO CULEBRA ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN AND ADJACENT ISLANDS OUT TO 100 FATHOM LINE.- 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ730-291645- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T1800Z-080930T1200Z/ CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO CABO SAN JUAN EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 17N AND EASTWARD TO 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.- 441 AM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS OF AROUND 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  421 WTPQ20 BABJ 291700 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291700 UTC 00HR 17.4N 108.5E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H=  165 WSPR31 SPIM 291710 SPIM SIGMET 01 VALID 291710/292010 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST SPTU S1238 W06912 TOP FL360 MOV NW NC=  587 WWUS73 KGLD 291714 NPWGLD URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 1114 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FROST EXPECTED TONIGHT... .A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING THE FIRST FROST OF THE SEASON. KSZ003-004-015-016-NEZ081-300200- /O.NEW.KGLD.FR.Y.0002.080930T1000Z-080930T1400Z/ DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-RED WILLOW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...NORTON...HOXIE...HILL CITY... MCCOOK 1214 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 9 AM CDT TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S OVERNIGHT AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION. FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD CONSIDER HARVESTING OR PROTECTING TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. $$  108 ACUS02 KWNS 291715 SWODY2 SPC AC 291713 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1213 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 301200Z - 011200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/MIDDLE ATLANTIC... ERN U.S. TROUGH WILL BECOME FIRMLY ESTABLISHED DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER LOW SETTLES INTO LOWER MI. SEVERAL POCKETS OF FOCUSED ASCENT WILL ROTATE INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH..THEN EJECT NEWD ACROSS THE OUTLOOK REGION WITH PRIMARY SFC FRONT EXPECTED TO BECOME A BIT MORE CONVERGENT DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD...PRIMARILY ACROSS UPSTATE NY...SWD INTO PA AND MD. THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL UNDOUBTEDLY AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE 22Z-04Z TIME FRAME. 12Z FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE WITH SBCAPE ROUGHLY ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG...LESS ACROSS NY AND NRN PA. LATEST THINKING IS THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS PA INTO THE DELMARVA WILL ORGANIZE GIVEN THE TIGHTENING FRONTAL ZONE AND INCREASED ASCENT...HOWEVER SHEAR PROFILES ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE THAT STRONG AND INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE TOO WEAK TO WARRANT AN ORGANIZED SEVERE RISK AT THIS TIME. GUSTY WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS. ..DARROW.. 09/29/2008  430 WUUS02 KWNS 291715 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1214 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 301200Z - 011200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 41457788 40977627 39957528 38827547 36087765 35337890 35168032 35288237 35488357 36198375 37668148 38648095 40148106 41068066 41467945 41457788 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 37811690 36911840 37181966 40562104 42562134 43472326 44512335 45672298 46092196 45572063 45541923 46381682 46251486 45081378 43561295 42551118 40800977 38871033 37641311 38341506 37811690 99999999 37670785 38880713 39200549 37720365 36330384 36120485 36520696 37670785 99999999 32491535 32811481 32771379 32191261 31431188 99999999 29558663 32638375 33518421 34238707 35548781 37248421 39148317 40478342 41048461 41368696 42028789 44538779 46078623 46938300 99999999 45307452 43387463 41557432 39997324 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE TPH 30 S BIH 30 N FAT 70 SSW AAT 35 NE LMT 45 S EUG 25 NNW EUG 20 WNW PDX 45 NE PDX 25 E DLS 20 WSW PDT 10 E LWS 35 E P69 SMN 45 W IDA 55 W BPI 30 NNW VEL 10 SW U28 CDC 60 NNW P38 20 SSE TPH ...CONT... 35 N DRO 25 NNW GUC 50 WNW COS 25 SSW LHX 40 WSW CAO 35 NNE LVS 35 N 4SL 35 N DRO ...CONT... 25 SSE IPL 15 NW YUM 50 E YUM 50 S GBN 70 SW TUS ...CONT... 70 SSE PNS 10 SW MCN 15 ESE ATL 35 SSW HSV 55 N MSL 15 NNW LOZ 50 W UNI 40 SSE FDY 30 E FWA VPZ 20 NW CGX 15 ENE GRB 50 ENE ESC 70 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 30 NNE MSS 40 ENE UCA 25 WSW POU 50 SSE JFK.  278 WSAU21 AMHF 291716 YMMM SIGMET HB02 VALID 291800/292200 YMHF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI AREA 70 BLW A080 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET HB01 291400/291800  874 WTPQ20 BABJ 291700 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291700 UTC 00HR 27.6N 122.4E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NE 20KM/H=  624 WSNZ21 NZKL 291720 NZZC SIGMET 24 VALID 291720/291937 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 22 291537/291937  625 WSNZ21 NZKL 291721 NZZC SIGMET 26 VALID 291721/292121 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW 6000FT E OF LINE SEGMENT NZAS/NZKI WKN  783 WSNZ21 NZKL 291721 NZZC SIGMET 25 VALID 291721/291938 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 23 291538/291938  784 WSNZ21 NZKL 291721 NZZC SIGMET 26 VALID 291721/292121 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW 6000FT E OF LINE SEGMENT NZAS/NZKI WKN  785 WSNZ21 NZKL 291721 NZZC SIGMET 25 VALID 291721/291938 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 23 291538/291938  786 WSNZ21 NZKL 291720 NZZC SIGMET 24 VALID 291720/291937 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 22 291537/291937  490 WSMC31 GMMC 291721 GMMM SIGMET C3 VALID 291730/292130 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3509 W00237 - N3482 W00383 - N3400 W00500 - N3200 W00500 - N3196 W00300 TOP FL 370 MOV NE INTSF=  906 WTNT80 EGRR 291722 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.09.2008 TROPICAL STORM LAURA ANALYSED POSITION : 37.7N 47.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.09.2008 37.7N 47.0W MODERATE 00UTC 30.09.2008 38.8N 48.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.09.2008 41.4N 48.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.10.2008 43.0N 48.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.10.2008 46.6N 45.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.10.2008 EXTRA-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.5N 115.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.10.2008 15.5N 115.8W WEAK 12UTC 01.10.2008 16.3N 116.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2008 18.6N 118.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.10.2008 19.6N 120.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2008 18.9N 121.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2008 19.7N 121.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2008 19.0N 122.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2008 20.5N 123.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2008 18.8N 124.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.10.2008 18.9N 125.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291722  282 WSMC31 GMMC 291721 GMMM SIGMET C3 VALID 291730/292130 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3509 W00237 - N3482 W00383 - N3400 W00500 - N3200 W00500 - N3196 W00300 TOP FL 370 MOV NE INTSF=  255 WWUS86 KMFR 291726 RFWMFR RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1026 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 CAZ284-285-ORZ624-300600- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.W.0015.080929T2100Z-080930T0600Z/ SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 1026 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN ZONES 624 284 AND 285... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN ZONES 624 284 AND 285. UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND INCREASED MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED AND MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY WILL BE LIGHT...GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE INCREASED AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR NEW STARTS. $$ ORZ617-623-300600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 1026 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR DRY AND GUSTY EAST WIND THIS MORNING AND HAINES 6 OVER ZONES 617 AND 623...AND FOR DEVELOPING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE OVER ZONE 623... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR DRY AND GUSTY EAST WIND THIS MORNING AND HAINES 6 OVER ZONES 617 AND 623...AND FOR DEVELOPING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE OVER ZONE 623. A HAINES INDEX OF 6 CONTINUES TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND VERY DRY AIR COINCIDING WITH ONGOING FIRES IN ZONES 617 AND 623. THE RATTLE...LONESOME COMPLEX...AND DOUBLEDAY FIRES ARE INCLUDED IN THE WARNING. IN ADDITION...A STRONG INVERSION IN PLACE ALONG WITH EASTERLY OFFSHORE WINDS RESULTED IN POOR RECOVERIES OF 20 TO 30 PERCENT EARLY THIS MORNING WITH EASTERLY WINDS OF 8 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. WINDS WILL DECREASE IN THE LATE MORNING. LASTLY...UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL RESULT IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR ZONE 623. COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS GREAT FOR ZONE 617. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH AND INCREASED AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LITTLE RAIN WILL ALSO PRODUCE A HIGH THREAT FOR NEW STARTS. $$ STAVISH  240 WWCN11 CWVR 291726 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:26 AM PDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR COASTAL BRITISH COLUMBIA... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: NORTH COAST - INLAND SECTIONS. RAIN HAS EASED OR ENDED. SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM DRAPED OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PROVINCE HAS MOVED NORTH OF STEWART AND RAIN HAS EASED TO A FEW SHOWERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/AMC/TRS  083 WHXX04 KWBC 291727 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 91E INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 29 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 10.8 94.7 285./ 5.0 6 11.5 95.1 333./ 7.9 12 11.7 95.6 293./ 5.8 18 11.7 96.4 270./ 7.3 24 11.7 97.4 269./10.1 30 11.9 98.1 282./ 6.9 36 11.9 99.1 271./10.0 42 12.1 100.1 284./ 9.4 48 12.4 101.1 287./10.6 54 12.6 101.9 283./ 7.7 60 13.1 102.4 308./ 7.2 66 13.3 103.0 289./ 5.8 72 13.8 103.3 330./ 5.8 78 14.0 103.9 290./ 5.9 84 14.4 104.1 331./ 4.1 90 14.7 104.2 340./ 4.0 96 15.2 103.9 37./ 5.6 102 16.0 103.4 30./ 9.8 108 16.9 103.1 15./ 9.0 114 17.7 102.9 13./ 8.1 120 18.7 103.2 347./10.0 126 19.1 103.4 333./ 5.1  884 WSAZ31 LPMG 291737 LPPO SIGMET 8 VALID 291750/291950 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N40 W037 - N33 W036 - N33 W038 - N39 W039 TOP FL370 MOV NNW WKN=  280 WOUS43 KPAH 291738 ADRPAH KYC059-291808- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE/FOLLOW UP STATEMENT KY DAVIESS COUNTY EMA OWENSBORO KY RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1238 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THIS MESSAGE IS FOR TEST PURPOSES ONLY. THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE KY DAVIESS COUNTY EMA. THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. THIS IS A TEST OF THE CAPABILITY TO RELAY EMERGENCY MESSAGES FROM NON-NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SOURCES USING DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SYSTEMS. THIS TEST MESSAGE MAY BE RELAYED BY EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM PARTICIPATING STATIONS IN ACCORDANCE WITH LOCAL AND STATE EAS PLANS. THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE. DO NOT TAKE ACTION BASED ON THIS TEST MESSAGE. $$ DM3952815900026277888/4999565908914453504  361 WSAZ31 LPMG 291737 LPPO SIGMET 8 VALID 291750/291950 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N40 W037 - N33 W036 - N33 W038 - N39 W039 TOP FL370 MOV NNW WKN=  362 WSAZ31 LPMG 291737 LPPO SIGMET 8 VALID 291750/291950 LPPT- LPPO SANTA MARIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N40 W037 - N33 W036 - N33 W038 - N39 W039 TOP FL370 MOV NNW WKN=  486 WGUS82 KMFL 291743 FLSMFL FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 143 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLC086-291945- /O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0079.080929T1743Z-080929T1945Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 143 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF KENDALL... * UNTIL 345 PM EDT * AT 139 PM EDT AN OFF DUTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EMPLOYEE REPORTED VERY HEAVY RAIN AND STREET FLOODING NEAR SW 104 AND U.S. 1. MIAMI DOPPLER RADAR ALSO INDICATED VERY RAIN SOUTHWEST TO THE TAMIAMI AIRPORT WITH AN ESTIMATE THAT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN. THOUGH THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH, THE RAIN CELLS MAY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA WHERE HEAVY RAINS FELL ON SUNDAY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. LAT...LON 2567 8047 2568 8028 2554 8035 2554 8047 $$ JR  351 WSAM20 FCBB 291343 FCCC SIGMET A4 VALID 291345/291745 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1330Z N0656 E01045 - N0323 E01431 - N0111 E01427 - N0105 E00914 - N0206 E00643 - N0502 E00850 MOV W 15KT NC AND N0706 E02258 - N0749 E02357 - N0743 E02513 - N0538 E02710 - N0649 E02313 MOV W 15KT INTSF=  682 WSUS32 KKCI 291755 SIGC MKCC WST 291755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 291955-292355 FROM 30WNW GIJ-30WNW BWG-60SSE SGF-30WNW IRK-30WNW GIJ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  683 WSUS31 KKCI 291755 SIGE MKCE WST 291755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 20E VALID UNTIL 1955Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90ENE VRB-140ENE PBI-40S MIA-50SW MIA-90ENE VRB AREA EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 291955-292355 AREA 1...FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM DXO-LOZ-30WNW BWG-30WNW GIJ-DXO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  684 WSUS33 KKCI 291755 SIGW MKCW WST 291755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 6W VALID UNTIL 1955Z CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40W BTY-30SW TRM-MZB-20E LAX-EHF-40W BTY AREA TS MOV FROM 17015KT. TOPS TO FL240. OUTLOOK VALID 291955-292355 FROM MTU-SJN-EED-MZB-LAX-MOD-60SE FMG-MTU WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  447 WAZA46 FACT 291800 FACT AIRMET 6 VALID 291800/292200 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR: LOC W/SW: MT OBSC, SFC VIS 5000M -SHRA, MOD MTW TURB MOD ICE NEAR QMW= FACT AIRMET 5 VALID 291800/292200 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: LOC ESC: MOD MTW TURB LOC SW ESC: BKN CLD 1000FT=  684 WGUS54 KMAF 291751 FFWMAF TXC377-300000- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0096.000000T0000Z-080930T0000Z/ /00000.U.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1251 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE RIO GRANDE BELOW THE RIO CONCHOS IN... PRESIDIO COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS. * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 1250 PM CDT...A DAM FLOODGATE RELEASE FROM THE LUIS LEON RESERVOIR INTO THE RIO CONCHOS IN MEXICO CONTINUED TO RESULT IN ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS THROUGH THE LEVEES DOWNSTREAM ON THE RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO. ALTHOUGH THE RELEASE RATE HAS DECREASED... ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS THROUGH THE LEVEE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE FOR THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE. * THE NEAREST DOWNSTREAM TOWN IS PRESIDIO...LOCATED ALONG THE LEVEES. THE COMMUNITY OF REDFORD IS APPROXIMATELY 16 MILES DOWNSTREAM OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM AND IS ALSO IN IMMINENT DANGER. IF YOU ARE IN THE LOW LYING AREAS NEAR OR BELOW THE LEVEES YOU SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE ACROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 2940 10418 2943 10419 2944 10421 2950 10425 2952 10436 2957 10442 2967 10431 2948 10405 2938 10415 $$  334 WWJP82 RJTD 291500 VITAL WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 291500UTC ISSUED AT 291800UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 27.0N 122.0E MOVING ENE 08 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 28.7N 123.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 29.5N 125.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300000UTC =  336 WWJP81 RJTD 291500 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 291500UTC ISSUED AT 291800UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 27.0N 122.0E MOVING ENE 08 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 28.7N 123.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 29.5N 125.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH 45 KNOTS SEA AROUND AMAMI, SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300000UTC =  582 WBCN07 CWVR 291700 PAM ROCKS WIND 018 LANGARA; CLDY 6 W4 1FT CHP LO W F BNK ALQDS 1730 CLD EST 4 FEW 16 BKN BKN ABV 25 14/14 GREEN; PC 15+ NE4 1FT CHP F BNK DSNT NE 1730 CLD EST 10 FEW SCT ABV 25 13/13 TRIPLE; PC 15+ SE8E 2FT CHP LO SW 1730 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 15/13 BONILLA; CLR 15+ SE13 2FT CHP LO S 1730 CLR 17/11 BOAT BLUFF; CLR 15 CLM RPLD F PTCHS 1730 CLR 13/12 MCINNES; PC 15 NE10E 2FT CHP LO SW 1730 CLD EST 2 FEW 14/12 IVORY; CLR 15+ E4 1FT CHP LO SW 1730 CLR 13/11 DRYAD; CLR 15 CLM RPLD 1730 CLR 16/12 ADDENBROKE; CLR 15+ CLM RPLD 1730 CLR 13/12 EGG ISLAND; CLR 15+ E7 1FT CHP LO W 1740 CLR 12/11 PINE ISLAND; CLR 15 SE10E 3FT MDT LO W 1740 CLR 11/08 CAPE SCOTT; CLR 15 CLM RPLD LO SW 1740 CLR 19/14 QUATSINO; CLR 15 NE20E 4FT MDT LO SW 1740 CLR 16/12 NOOTKA; CLR 15 N10 1FT CHP LO SW 1745 CLD EST CLR 15/10 ESTEVAN; CLR 15+ CLM RPLD LO SW 1016.2S LENNARD; CLR 15 CLM RPLD LO SW AMPHITRITE; CLR 15 E03 1FT CHP LO SW CAPE BEALE; CLR 15 SE08 3FT MOD LO SW EWOS SE 18 FOG BNK DSNT W PACHENA; CLR 15+ SE20G 6FT MOD LO SW EWOS SE30G CARMANAH; CLR 15+ SE18 4FT MOD LO SW SCARLETT; CLR 15 SE05 RPLD LO NW PULTENEY; CLR 15 SE10 RPLD CHATHAM; CLR 15+ CLM RPLD 1740 CLLR 12/08 CHROME; CLR 15 W4 RPLD MERRY; CLR 15 NW6 RPLD 1740 CLR 13/8 ENTRANCE; CLR 15 W7 1FT CHP LO NW FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; CLR 15+ NW5 RPLD TRIAL IS.; CLR 15 N16 2FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 184/16/13/3003/M/6002 92MM= WLP SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 169/10/08/1516/M/8008 37MM= WEB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 161/13/M/0602/M/8002 7MMM= WQC SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 199/09/09/3501/M/0002 7003 07MM= WRU SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 164/16/M/1310/M/6002 4MMM= WFG SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 156/11/M/0813/M/PK WND 0718 1601Z 6009 0MMM= WVF SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/3009/M/M M 3MMM= WQS SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 156/12/11/1609/M/8007 84MM= WRO SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 158/12/12/1622/M/PK WND 1624 1601Z PRESRR 3027 27MM= WEK SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 167/13/M/0404/M/1001 4MMM= WWL SA 1723 AUTO4 M M M 157/17/M/MM11/M/6004 8MMM= WME SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 180/11/10/0526+32/M/PK WND 0435 1636Z 8009 96MM= WAS SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 182/16/07/3618+24/M/PK WND 3629 1612Z 8002 86MM= WSB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/0904/M/M 9MMM= WGT SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 189/15/11/3303/M/M 6002 76MM= WGB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 192/13/11/2907/M/7003 94MM= WEL SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 187/13/M/2807/M/6002 6MMM= WDR SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/0115/M/M M 1MMM= WZO SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3617/M/M PK WND 3618 1651Z M MMMM= WKA SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/2603/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 192/11/09/0903/M/8002 16MM=  371 WOCN32 CWHX 291800 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.30 PM NDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.30 PM NDT ... LAURA TO PUSH GALES INTO SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS TONIGHT... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 3.30 PM NDT... SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.6 N AND LONGITUDE 48.0 W... ABOUT 585 NAUTICAL MILES OR 1090 KM SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS... 102 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 994 MB. LAURA IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS... 13 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND NDT MB KTS KMH SEP 29 3.30 PM 37.6N 48.0W 994 55 102 SEP 30 3.30 AM 38.9N 48.4W 992 60 111 SEP 30 3.30 PM 40.5N 48.2W 990 60 111 OCT 01 3.30 AM 42.8N 47.5W 992 60 111 TRANSITIONING OCT 01 3.30 PM 45.9N 45.9W 996 55 102 POST-TROPICAL OCT 02 3.30 AM 49.2N 43.8W 997 50 93 POST-TROPICAL OCT 02 3.30 PM 53.1N 38.4W 997 50 93 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY THE BULK OF WEATHER WITH THIS SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE AND NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OVER LAND. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS. THERE IS A LARGE CIRCULATION WITH THIS SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM WITH GALES EXTENDING MORE THAN 250 NAUTICAL MILES BEYOND THE CENTRE. THIS MEANS NORTHEASTERLY GALES MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS TONIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE SYSTEM CENTRE OUTSIDE OF THE GRAND BANKS HOWEVER STORM FORCE WINDS COULD BRUSH CLOSE ENOUGH FOR CONCERN TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS A. ANALYSIS GOOD FIX ON POSITION FROM VIS IMAGERY. CONVECTION NOW WRAPPED AROUND THE CENTRE AS LAURA LOOKS MUCH MORE TROPICAL THAN THIS MORNING. WE MAINTAIN SIMILAR INTENSITY AS EARLIER ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE CLOSE TO A 60-KT SYSTEM AT THIS POINT. B. PROGNOSTIC LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SHIFTED FARTHER EAST AND WE TAKE WHAT WE BELIEVE TO BE A MORE PRUDENT PATH OF STAYING ON THE WEST EDGE OF THE ENVELOPE ... AS HAS NHC. THE OVERALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM DICTATES THAT WE NOT CONCERN OURSELVES TOO MUCH WITH TIMING OF TRANSITION AT THIS POINT BUT FOCUS MORE ON THE EXTENT OF GALES. C. PUBLIC WEATHER NONE. D. MARINE WEATHER WE MAINTAIN A LARGE RADIUS OF GALES TO THE NW OF THE CENTRE THROUGHOUT AS THE SYSTEM PUSHES NORTHWARD AND AN ANTICIPATED TIGHTENING OF THE GRADIENT. THE NORMAL BROADENING OF THE GALES WITH TRANSITION IS NOT REFLECTED HERE BECAUSE OF THE CURRENT LARGE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/18Z 240 210 180 210 90 90 60 60 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 240 210 180 180 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 240 210 180 180 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 01/06Z 240 210 180 180 90 90 90 90 0 0 0 0 01/18Z 240 210 180 180 90 90 75 75 0 0 0 0 02/06Z 240 210 180 180 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 02/18Z 240 210 180 180 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 END BOWYER  648 WSAM20 FCBB 291800 FCCC SIGMET A5 VALID 291745/292045 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1730Z N0514 E00856 - N0318 E01159 - N0134 E01227 - N0032 E00923 - N0416 E00813 MOV SW 15KT NC N0757 E02055 - N0758 E02454 - N0555 E02633 - N0536 E02357 - N0754 E02046 MOV SW 15KT NC=  904 WFUS52 KMFL 291805 TORMFL FLC086-291830- /O.NEW.KMFL.TO.W.0084.080929T1805Z-080929T1830Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 205 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA. * UNTIL 230 PM EDT * AT 159 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND A TRAINED SPOTTER INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR GOULDS... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... GOULDS... AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES. TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR U.S. 1 AND SW 137 AVENUE. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF A TORNADO...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS AND WINDOWS. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 2552 8041 2559 8044 2562 8036 2557 8034 TIME...MOT...LOC 1804Z 252DEG 3KT 2554 8039 $$ JR  192 WHCA72 TJSJ 291811 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 211 PM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...MODERATE LONG NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL AFFECT THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .MODERATE LONG PERIOD NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS GENERATED FROM THE NEWLY NAMED SUB TROPICAL STORM LAURA IN THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN PASSAGES THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.. AMZ710-720-730-300215- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T1811Z-080930T1200Z/ ATLANTIC WATERS NORTHWARD TO 19.5N AND BETWEEN 64N AND 68W FROM NORTHWEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO AT PUNTA CADENA EASTWARD TO MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EXTENDING BEYOND 100 FATHOM LINE TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE- ATLANTIC NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EASTWARD TO CABO SAN JUAN THEN EASTWARD TO CULEBRA ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN AND ADJACENT ISLANDS OUT TO 100 FATHOM LINE.- CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO CABO SAN JUAN EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 17N AND EASTWARD TO 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.- 211 PM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST TUESDAY. NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS INVADING THE LOCAL WATERS AND PASSAGES WILL CREATE HIGH SEAS UP TO 8 FEET AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  834 WSAU21 APRF 291815 YMMM SIGMET PH01 VALID 291810/292200 YPRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S2900 E11000 - S2900 E11400 - S3500 E11500 - S3500 E11100 FL140/200 MOV E 30KT NC STS:NEW  111 WWCN16 CWHX 291823 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:53 PM NDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WRECKHOUSE WIND WARNING FOR: ST. GEORGE'S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 80 GUSTING TO 110 KM/H WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA OF SOUTHWESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GUSTING UPWARDS TO 110 KILOMETRES HOUR WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO EASE THIS EVENING AS KYLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/NLWO  469 WSPS21 NZKL 291822 NZZO SIGMET 15 VALID 291822/291912 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 14 291512/291912  470 WSPS21 NZKL 291822 NZZO SIGMET 16 VALID 291822/292222 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/340 WI 75NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3430 W15400 - S3700 W14930 - S3730 W14200 - S3530 W13600 MOV E 10KT NC  649 WWUS52 KMFL 291825 SVSMFL SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 225 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLC086-291834- /O.EXP.KMFL.TO.W.0084.000000T0000Z-080929T1830Z/ MIAMI-DADE FL- 224 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 230 PM EDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE TORNADO HAS DISSIPATED. THUS THE TORNADO WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 230 PM EDT. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE CUTLER BAY AND BLACK POINT. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. LAT...LON 2552 8041 2559 8044 2562 8036 2557 8034 TIME...MOT...LOC 1824Z 252DEG 3KT 2555 8037 $$ BAXTER  530 WOPF10 NTAA 291826 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 32 DU 29/09/08 A 15H45 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 26S ET 158W LE 29/09/08 A 1500 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 10KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 25S157W 25S154W 28S149W 30S149W 30S157W ET 25S157W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 30/35KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : EXTENSION DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  542 WOPF10 NTAA 291826 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 32 DU 29/09/08 A 15H45 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 26S ET 158W LE 29/09/08 A 1500 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 10KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 25S157W 25S154W 28S149W 30S149W 30S157W ET 25S157W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 30/35KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : EXTENSION DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  429 WHUS52 KMFL 291828 SMWMFL AMZ630-292000- /O.NEW.KMFL.MA.W.0432.080929T1828Z-080929T2000Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 228 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... BISCAYNE BAY * UNTIL 400 PM EDT * AT 225 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OF 34 KNOTS OR GREATER 6 NM NORTH OF CONVOY POINT...ABOUT OVER BLACK POINT.... MOVING EAST AT 5 KNOTS. * THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT CONVOY POINT... AND SURROUNDING COASTAL AREAS. AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE WATER...BOATERS CAN EXPECT STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN. MOVE TO SAFE HARBOR OR STAY CLOSE TO SHORE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER...MAKE SURE ALL SAFETY GEAR IS AVAILABLE AND LIFE JACKETS ARE BEING WORN BY YOU AND YOUR CREW. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. YOUR BEST COURSE OF EVASIVE ACTION IF THREATENED BY A WATERSPOUT IS TO MOVE AT A 90 DEGREE ANGLE FROM ITS APPARENT MOVEMENT. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COAST GUARD. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI. LAT...LON 2545 8034 2551 8035 2556 8032 2561 8032 2563 8031 2564 8017 2560 8016 2539 8023 2539 8024 TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 281DEG 3KT 2554 8034 $$ BAXTER  648 WSTU31 LTAC 291820 LTAA SIGMET 3 VALID 291800/292100 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1800 LTAZ FCST MOV NE NC=  040 WWNZ40 NZKL 291825 GALE WARNING 577 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 291800UTC IN A BELT 420 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 53S 177W 59S 172W 62S 157W: NORTHWEST 40KT. GALE AREA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 568.  041 WAZA44 FADN 291800 FADN AIRMET 5 VALID 291800/292100 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR: KZN SW-INT: MOD MTW TURB=  090 WWNZ40 NZKL 291821 GALE WARNING 573 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 291800UTC IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 53S 126W 52S 120W 64S 120W 63S 125W 53S 126W: SOUTHWEST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 562.  091 WWNZ40 NZKL 291822 GALE WARNING 574 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 291800UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 47S 123W 46S 128W 45S 131W: SOUTHEAST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA THEN MOVING NORTHEAST 25KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 563.  092 WWNZ40 NZKL 291828 GALE WARNING 580 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 291800UTC IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 50S 174E 47S 175E 45S 177E: SOUTHWEST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 30KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 570.  093 WWNZ40 NZKL 291829 GALE WARNING 581 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND SOUTHERN AT 291800UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. FRONT 43S 145E 49S 152E 55S 149E MOVING EAST 40KT. 1. WITHIN 300 MILES EAST OF FRONT: NORTHWEST 40KT. 2. WITHIN 120 MILES WEST OF FRONT: WESTERLY 40KT. GALE AREAS MOVING WITH FRONT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 571.  094 WWNZ40 NZKL 291831 CANCEL WARNING 572  095 WWNZ40 NZKL 291823 GALE WARNING 575 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 291800UTC IN A BELT 420 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 59S 143W 59S 139W 60S 130W: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 25KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 565.  096 WWNZ40 NZKL 291824 GALE WARNING 576 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 291800UTC IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 30S 151W 31S 153W 32S 155W: NORTHEAST 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA THEN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 566.  097 WWNZ40 NZKL 291826 GALE WARNING 578 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 291800UTC IN A BELT 300 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 48S 159W 51S 162W 54S 166W: NORTHEAST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING SOUTHEAST 15KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 567.  098 WWNZ40 NZKL 291830 CANCEL WARNING 564  099 WWNZ40 NZKL 291827 GALE WARNING 579 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: SUBTROPIC FORTIES AND PACIFIC AT 291800UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 39S 179W 41S 177W 45S 174W: NORTHWEST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 30KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 569.  755 WWUS82 KMFL 291834 SPSMFL SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 232 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLZ073-074-173-174-291930- FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL-METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL- INLAND MIAMI-DADE FL-COASTAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL- 232 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN METRO MIAMI-DADE COUNTY... AT 230 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CUTLER BAY TO FLORIDA CITY. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH AND EAST. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT... CUTLER BAY... NARANJA... HOMESTEAD... PRINCETON... FLORIDA CITY... AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ALSO...THESE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES. RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. LAT...LON 2552 8033 2536 8046 2549 8056 2565 8031 TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 336DEG 2KT 2556 8035 2547 8052 $$ BAXTER  893 WHXX01 KMIA 291837 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1837 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP912008) 20080929 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080929 1800 080930 0600 080930 1800 081001 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.9N 95.0W 11.3N 96.1W 11.6N 97.4W 12.3N 98.8W BAMD 10.9N 95.0W 11.3N 96.8W 11.9N 98.8W 12.7N 100.7W BAMM 10.9N 95.0W 11.1N 96.7W 11.7N 98.7W 12.5N 100.8W LBAR 10.9N 95.0W 11.5N 96.1W 12.5N 97.6W 13.6N 99.1W SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 48KTS DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 48KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081001 1800 081002 1800 081003 1800 081004 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.2N 100.5W 15.7N 103.9W 18.2N 107.7W 17.8N 109.3W BAMD 13.7N 102.4W 15.6N 104.5W 18.5N 105.7W 21.6N 107.2W BAMM 13.7N 102.9W 15.5N 105.8W 16.9N 107.7W 17.8N 108.2W LBAR 14.8N 100.1W 17.2N 100.1W 21.4N 98.0W 26.9N 92.9W SHIP 57KTS 77KTS 92KTS 90KTS DSHP 57KTS 77KTS 92KTS 90KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 10.9N LONCUR = 95.0W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 10.8N LONM12 = 94.2W DIRM12 = 284DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 10.5N LONM24 = 93.3W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN  437 WOAU11 APRM 291842 IDS20210 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, ADELAIDE AT 1842UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. GALE WARNING FOR SOUTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION AT 291730UTC Front expected along 44S123E 50S129E at 301200UTC moving east to be along 46S129E 50S134E at 301800UTC. AREA AFFECTED Area 1 bounded by 50S136E 45S141E 50S141E 50S136E. Area 2 bounded by 42S129E 43S141E 50S141E 50S129E 42S129E. FORECAST Area 1: NW/SW winds 35/45 knots, contracting east of 141E by 292300UTC. Area 2: NW winds increasing to 30/40 knots from the west between 300300UTC and 301500UTC, then shifting NW/W below 34 knots west of front. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER ADELAIDE  565 WVIY31 LIMM 291846 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 291820/292220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  566 WVIY31 LIIB 291846 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 291820/292220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  849 WTPQ20 BABJ 291800 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291800 UTC 00HR 27.6N 122.5E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR ENE 20KM/H P+24HR 29.8N 127.4E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 31.4N 136.0E 995HPA 20M/S P+72HR 32.3N 145.7E 998HPA 18M/S=  095 WVIY31 LIMM 291846 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 291820/292220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  158 WTJP21 RJTD 291800 WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 990 HPA AT 27.4N 122.4E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 28.7N 123.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 29.7N 126.7E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 31.4N 134.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 31.9N 143.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  159 WTPQ20 RJTD 291800 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0815 JANGMI (0815) ANALYSIS PSTN 291800UTC 27.4N 122.4E FAIR MOVE NE 07KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 301800UTC 29.7N 126.7E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 13KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 48HF 011800UTC 31.4N 134.8E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 18KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 72HF 021800UTC 31.9N 143.6E 250NM 70% MOVE E 19KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT =  336 WVIY31 LIIB 291846 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 291820/292220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  319 WTPQ20 BABJ 291800 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291800 UTC 00HR 17.4N 108.2E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 18.3N 104.0E 998HPA 18M/S=  308 WSUS32 KKCI 291855 SIGC MKCC WST 291855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 292055-300055 FROM 30WNW GIJ-30WNW BWG-60SSE SGF-30WNW IRK-30WNW GIJ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  309 WSUS33 KKCI 291855 SIGW MKCW WST 291855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 7W VALID UNTIL 2055Z CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40W BTY-30SW TRM-MZB-20E LAX-EHF-40W BTY AREA TS MOV FROM 17015KT. TOPS TO FL240. OUTLOOK VALID 292055-300055 FROM MTU-SJN-EED-MZB-LAX-MOD-60SE FMG-MTU WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  310 WSUS31 KKCI 291855 SIGE MKCE WST 291855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 21E VALID UNTIL 2055Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90ENE VRB-140ENE PBI-40S MIA-50SW MIA-90ENE VRB AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 22E VALID UNTIL 2055Z IN FROM 30SSE GIJ-20NE FWA-50WSW ROD-40NE IND-30SSE GIJ AREA TS MOV FROM 24025KT. TOPS TO FL240. OUTLOOK VALID 292055-300055 AREA 1...FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM DXO-LOZ-30WNW BWG-30WNW GIJ-DXO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  914 WACN36 CWEG 291854 AIRMET R1 ISSUED AT 1853Z CWEG- AMEND GFACN36 CWUL 291730 ISSUE WTN 140 NM OF LN /6712N06820W/90 NW PANGNIRTUNG - /6216N06512W/125 SE IQALUIT. ADD MDT MXD ICGIC/FZDZ BLO 020. IQALUIT AND PIREP NR IQALUIT REPD FZ PCPN. AREA QS. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA36/SDK/CMAC-W  001 WTJP22 RJTD 291800 WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 985 HPA AT 17.3N 108.0E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 17.9N 105.2E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 17.7N 103.1E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  002 WTPQ21 RJTD 291800 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) ANALYSIS PSTN 291800UTC 17.3N 108.0E FAIR MOVE W 13KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 301800UTC 17.9N 105.2E 70NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 48HF 011800UTC 17.7N 103.1E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  551 WTKO20 RKSL 291800 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 22 NAME TS 0815 JANGMI ANALYSIS POSITION 291800UTC 27.4N 122.4E MOVEMENT NE 7KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 301800UTC 29.7N 126.6E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT 48HR POSITION 011800UTC 31.3N 134.2E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 72HR POSITION 021800UTC 33.1N 144.1E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 37KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  098 WSJP31 RJTD 291900 RJJJ SIGMET 3 VALID 291900/292300 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2900 E12400 - N2900 E12730 - N3100 E12830 - N3100 E12600 - N3000 E12515 - N3000 E12400 - N2900 E12400 MOV NE 10KT INTSF=  099 WSIY31 LIIB 291900 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 291930/292330 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  247 WSIY31 LIIB 291900 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 291930/292330 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  425 WSIY31 LIIB 291900 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 291930/292330 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  683 WSJP31 RJTD 291900 RJJJ SIGMET 3 VALID 291900/292300 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2900 E12400 - N2900 E12730 - N3100 E12830 - N3100 E12600 - N3000 E12515 - N3000 E12400 - N2900 E12400 MOV NE 10KT INTSF=  011 WHUS71 KCAR 291900 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 300 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ052-292000- /O.CAN.KCAR.SW.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-080930T1100Z/ INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- 300 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. $$ ANZ050-051-300300- /O.CON.KCAR.SW.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-080930T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- 300 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FEET OR HIGHER. THIS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.. && $$  703 WSPR31 SPIM 291851 SPIM SIGMET 02 VALID 291900/292200 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S0244 W07709 S0513 W07613 S0422 W07836 S0244 W07709 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF SPIM SIGMET B1 VALID 291900/292200 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S0706 W07733 S0622 W07614 S0739 W07522 S0833 W07641 S0706 W07700 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF SPIM SIGMET C1 VALID 291900/292200 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S0850 W07543 S0802 W07440 S0916 W07535 S1142 W07128 S1201 W07353 S1016 W07554 S0850 W07543 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF=  111 WGUS84 KLIX 291911 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 211 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA... ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY AFFECTING ST. MARY PARISH FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. LAC101-301311- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0094.081001T0000Z-081001T0600Z/ /MCGL1.1.ET.081001T0000Z.081001T0000Z.081001T0000Z.NO/ 211 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY. * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 11:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.4 FEET. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 4.0 FEET...WATER WILL MOVE UP THE BANK AND ACROSS ACCESS ROADS BELOW THE CITY DOCK. FLOODWALL GATES SHOULD BE CLOSED BY THE 5 FOOT STAGE TO PROTECT AGAINST HIGHER STAGES. VESSEL TRAFFIC WILL BE AFFECTED BY STRONGER RIVER CURRENT AND VESSEL TRAFFIC SAFETY RULES WILL BE STRICTLY ENFORCED BY THE U. S. COAST GUARD.  265 WTPQ20 BABJ 291900 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 291900 UTC 00HR 27.7N 122.7E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR ENE 20KM/H=  388 WSIN90 VIDP 291900 VIDF SIGMET 07 VALID 291900/292300 UTC VIDF VIDF DELHI FIR ISOL TS EMBDED C.B. FCST EAST OF 80 DEG. EAST =  094 WAUS41 KKCI 291915 AAA WA1S BOSS WA 291915 AMD AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 292100 . AIRMET IFR...NY LO PA OH LE WV MD VA FROM YOW TO PLB TO SLT TO 40ESE BKW TO HMV TO HNN TO 40NNE ROD TO 40W ERI TO YYZ TO YOW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG NR 16Z. . AIRMET IFR...ME NH MA RI NY NJ MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 100SE BGR TO 140ESE ACK TO 90SE HTO TO 140SE SIE TO 80E ORF TO 60SE JFK TO 40ESE BOS TO 100SE BGR CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 19-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT NY...UPDT FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO CON TO ALB TO SYR TO MSS TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  586 WOPS01 NFFN 291800 DCU PASS NAVY CANCEL WARNING 004.  820 WHUS52 KMFL 291916 SMWMFL AMZ650-670-292015- /O.NEW.KMFL.MA.W.0433.080929T1916Z-080929T2015Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 316 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... WATERS FROM BOYNTON BEACH TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 10 TO 40 NM * UNTIL 415 PM EDT * AT 312 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A WATERSPOUT...ABOUT 14 NM EAST OF HILLSBORO BEACH....MOVING NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. YOUR BEST COURSE OF EVASIVE ACTION IF THREATENED BY A WATERSPOUT IS TO MOVE AT A 90 DEGREE ANGLE FROM ITS APPARENT MOVEMENT. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COAST GUARD. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI. LAT...LON 2625 7949 2625 7975 2626 7975 2626 7977 2630 7988 2647 7961 TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 245DEG 8KT 2626 7982 $$ BAXTER  908 WOPS01 NFFN 291800 DCU PASS NAVY CANCEL WARNING 004.  805 WHUS71 KBOX 291921 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 321 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ250-254-255-300330- /O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080930T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.SW.Y.0041.080929T1921Z-080930T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM- 321 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OUTER-WATERS. LEFTOVER SWELL FROM NOW DISTANT HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEAS UP TO 5 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ235-292200- /O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-080929T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.SW.Y.0041.080929T1921Z-080929T2200Z/ RHODE ISLAND SOUND- 321 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THIS ADVISORY IS FOR RHODE ISLAND SOUND. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING WITH SEAS DROPPING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS BY EARLY EVENING. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  819 WTPQ22 RJTD 291800 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 291800UTC 09.4N 128.3E POOR MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 301800UTC 10.0N 127.7E 120NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  204 WTKO20 RKSL 291800 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4 NAME STS 0816 MEKKHALA ANALYSIS POSITION 291800UTC 17.3N 108.0E MOVEMENT W 13KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 301800UTC 17.8N 105.2E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 49KT 48HR POSITION 011800UTC 18.3N 102.8E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  983 WWCN10 CWUL 291913 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:13 PM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: ANTICOSTI NATASHQUAN CHEVERY. ADDITIONAL RAIN AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 30 MM ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN ANTICOSTI AND OVER NATASHQUAN AND CHEVERY AREAS UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: MINGANIE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO DUMP RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY OVER THE LOWER NORTH SHORE UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER SEVERAL COASTAL AREAS IN THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE PROVINCE TONIGHT. ===================================================================== LEASE REFER TO REGIONAL PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR DETAILS PERTAINING TO EACH REGION. ===================================================================== END/MAX  387 WTPQ20 BABJ 291900 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 291900 UTC 00HR 17.4N 108.0E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H=  182 WOPF10 NTAA 291925 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 33 DU 29/09/08 A 19H30 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 28S ET 157.5W LE 29/09/08 A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 15KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 25S157W 25S150W 30S148W 30S157W ET 25S157W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 35/45KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : EXTENSION DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  347 WUUS01 KWNS 291928 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0227 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID TIME 292000Z - 301200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 25398196 26967949 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39399130 39968860 39958601 38708567 37818666 37018861 36729054 36609260 37319363 38299342 39399130 && ... WIND ... 0.05 26578267 26917963 0.05 38329342 38979231 39539073 39988846 39978615 38738562 37788667 37008857 36729059 36649268 37359367 38329342 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 28648364 29568030 99999999 30738373 30528609 31318666 32218608 33308388 34238013 33877904 33337919 31848086 30738373 99999999 42628107 38718247 37478373 36218550 34868881 34529058 34689293 36009453 37439541 39189458 40239255 41638798 43718321 42628107 99999999 34332065 34822041 36382056 39172190 40352221 41332167 41602040 41911784 41411570 40691399 40871317 41401134 41361073 40450972 39020909 37270937 36571069 36501237 36681425 35871555 34401638 32301578 TSTM 33081158 33081158 TSTM 32361468 32861370 32391173 31161076 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW CTY 50 ENE DAB ...CONT... 25 S MGR 30 SE CEW 25 ESE GZH 20 ESE MGM 40 SE ATL 25 W FLO 15 NNW CRE 30 SSW CRE 30 SE SAV 25 S MGR ...CONT... 60 NW ERI 25 N HTS 20 WSW JKL 30 NW CSV 40 N TUP 50 SW MEM 15 NE HOT 20 W FYV 15 SSE CNU MKC 10 N IRK 25 SW CGX 10 WSW BAX 60 NW ERI ...CONT... 30 S VBG SMX 50 N PRB 50 NNW SAC 15 N RBL 35 E MHS 10 NE AAT 45 S REO 40 N EKO ENV 45 ENE ENV 20 WNW EVW 15 ENE EVW 10 W VEL 30 WSW GJT 20 SSE 4BL 50 ESE PGA 40 NNW GCN 45 SW SGU 25 WSW LAS 40 SE DAG 40 SSW IPL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE PHX 35 SE PHX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW YUM 55 ENE YUM 50 WNW TUS 40 SW FHU.  348 ACUS01 KWNS 291928 SWODY1 SPC AC 291925 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0225 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 VALID 292000Z - 301200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...MID MS VALLEY/LOWER OH VALLEY... LATEST DIAGNOSTIC DATA INDICATES BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT HAS NOT DESTABILIZED SIGNIFICANTLY WITH MLCAPE VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG FROM SRN IL INTO SWRN MO WHERE VALUES ARE SOMEWHAT HIGHER. A PREFRONTAL WIND SHIFT HAS ALSO SURGED AHEAD OF MAIN FRONT AND THIS HAS VEERED LOW LEVEL WINDS...APPARENTLY REDUCING CONVERGENCE NEEDED FOR SUSTAINED ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW INTENSE THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE ONCE IT EVOLVES ALONG THIS ZONE DUE TO AFOREMENTIONED WEAKNESS IN INSTABILITY AND CONVERGENCE. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE DEEPENING WLY FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION ANY STORMS THAN DO ORGANIZE WILL PROPAGATE SEWD TOWARD AN AXIS OF STEEPER LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHERE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT MORE CONDUCIVE FOR GUSTY DOWNDRAFTS. ...SOUTH FL... LATEST VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS A SW-NE ORIENTED BAND OF FOCUSED CONVECTION OVER THE SRN FL PENINSULA. SEVERAL STRONG UPDRAFTS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG WEAK...NWD RETREATING SEA BREEZE/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT NOW STRETCHES FROM MONROE COUNTY...TO PALM BEACH COUNTY. THIS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS UNTIL AIRMASS IS OVERTURNED AND BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS. THERE APPEARS TO BE JUST ENOUGH SHEAR FOR WEAK STORM ROTATION AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO. ..DARROW.. 09/29/2008  240 WHUS71 KOKX 291933 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 333 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...OCEAN SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .LEFTOVER LONG PERIOD SOUTHEAST OCEAN SWELLS GENERATED BY EX HURRICANE KYLE AND SEVERAL DAYS OF PRECEDING LONG FETCH EASTERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ANZ355-300100- /O.EXT.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-080930T0100Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 333 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. SWELLS OF UP TO 5 FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE INTO THIS EVENING. ROUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE INLETS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ350-353-300345- /O.EXT.KOKX.SW.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 333 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. SWELLS OF UP TO 5 FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ROUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE INLETS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 FT OR HIGHER...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ GOODMAN  937 WWCN10 CWUL 291927 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:27 PM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING FOR: NATASHQUAN CHEVERY. ADDITIONAL RAIN AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 30 MM ARE EXPECTED OVER NATASHQUAN AND CHEVERY AREAS UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR QUEBEC... RAINFALL WARNING ENDED FOR: ANTICOSTI. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KYLE WILL CONTINUE TO DUMP RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY OVER THE LOWER NORTH SHORE UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER SEVERAL COASTAL AREAS OF FAR EASTERN AREA OF THE PROVINCE TONIGHT. ===================================================================== LEASE REFER TO REGIONAL PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR DETAILS PERTAINING TO EACH REGION. ===================================================================== END/MAX  182 WAAK47 PAWU 291935 WA7O JNUS WA 291945 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 300200 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. INTSF. . CNTRL SE AK JC OCNL CIGS BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. IMPR. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF PAAP N OCNL CIG BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. IMPR FM S. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. IMPR FM S. . =JNUT WA 291945 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE . =JNUZ WA 291945 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE .  128 WHUS71 KGYX 291936 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 336 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 .LEFTOVER SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE OCEAN WATERS TONIGHT. ANZ150-152-154-300345- /O.CAN.KGYX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGYX.SW.Y.0019.080929T1936Z-080930T1200Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM- CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 336 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ151-153-292045- /O.CAN.KGYX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ PENOBSCOT BAY-CASCO BAY- 336 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. SEAS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 5 FEET. THUS...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  740 WAAK48 PAWU 291937 WA8O ANCS WA 291945 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 300200 . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG PABE SE MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS/ISOL PCPN. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . PRIBILOF ISLANDS AND SOUTHEAST BERING SEA AL OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . =ANCT WA 291945 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE . =ANCZ WA 291945 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE .  528 ACCN10 CWTO 291940 CONVECTIVE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA ONTARIO REGION AT 3:40 PM EDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. THIS FORECAST IS ISSUED AT 4 AM AND 4.30 PM DAILY BETWEEN MAY 1 AND SEPTEMBER 30. NOTE: THIS IS NOT A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH WARNING OR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT. DISCUSSION OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. TONIGHT..CHANCE OF A NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHEASTWARDS. TUESDAY..ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS A LOW MOVES TOWARDS LAKE ERIE FROM ILLINOIS AND MERGES WITH THE LOW FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS LAKE HURON. TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY..CHANCE OF A NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES BASIN..ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN ONTARIO. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS DEFINED AS HAVING ONE OR MORE OF THE FOLLOWING - WIND GUSTS OF 90 KM/H OR GREATER. - HAIL OF 2 CENTIMETRES DIAMETER OR GREATER. - RAINFALL RATE GREATER THAN 50 MILLIMETRES IN 1 HOUR OR LESS OR 75 MILLIMETRES IN 3 HOURS OR LESS. - TORNADOES. END/ASHTON  183 WSTU31 LTAC 291930 LTAA SIGMET 4 VALID 291900/292200 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1900 LTAI AND LTFC FCST MOV NE NC=  037 WHUS71 KAKQ 291942 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 342 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ANZ650-652-654-292045- /O.CAN.KAKQ.SC.Y.0124.000000T0000Z-080929T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- 342 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ WAMSLEY  651 WSUS31 KKCI 291955 SIGE MKCE WST 291955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 23E VALID UNTIL 2155Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90ENE VRB-140ENE PBI-40S MIA-50SW MIA-90ENE VRB AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 24E VALID UNTIL 2155Z IN FROM 30SSE GIJ-20NE FWA-50WSW ROD-40NE IND-30SSE GIJ AREA TS MOV FROM 24025KT. TOPS TO FL240. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 25E VALID UNTIL 2155Z SC GA FROM 20E GQO-20NE ODF-20SSE ODF-40SE GQO-20E GQO AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL300. OUTLOOK VALID 292155-300155 AREA 1...FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM DXO-SAV-40WSW MGM-30WNW GIJ-DXO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  652 WSUS32 KKCI 291955 SIGC MKCC WST 291955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 292155-300155 FROM 30WNW GIJ-30WNW BWG-60SSE SGF-30WNW IRK-30WNW GIJ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  941 WSUS33 KKCI 291955 SIGW MKCW WST 291955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 8W VALID UNTIL 2155Z CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40W BTY-30SW TRM-MZB-20E LAX-EHF-40W BTY AREA TS MOV FROM 17015KT. TOPS TO FL240. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 9W VALID UNTIL 2155Z NV CA FROM 50SSW FMG-50WSW OAL LINE TS 20 NM WIDE MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL240. OUTLOOK VALID 292155-300155 FROM MTU-SJN-EED-MZB-LAX-MOD-FMG-MTU WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  685 WWUS73 KUNR 291949 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 149 PM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FROST ADVISORY TONIGHT FOR MOST OF NORTHEASTERN WYOMING AND WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE AND CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF FROST TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN WYOMING AND WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. SDZ001-002-012>014-027-030>032-041>044-073-WYZ054>056-058-071- 301000- /O.NEW.KUNR.FR.Y.0001.080930T0600Z-080930T1400Z/ HARDING-PERKINS-BUTTE-NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-ZIEBACH- SOUTHERN FOOT HILLS-CUSTER CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-HAAKON- FALL RIVER-SHANNON-JACKSON-BENNETT-SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS- NORTHERN CAMPBELL-SOUTHERN CAMPBELL-WESTERN CROOK-WESTON- NORTHEASTERN CROOK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...LEMMON...BISON... BELLE FOURCHE...FAITH...DUPREE...HOT SPRINGS...FOLSOM...WALL... PHILIP...EDGEMONT...PINE RIDGE...KYLE...KADOKA...MARTIN... UNION CENTER...GILLETTE...WRIGHT...MOORCROFT...HULETT... NEWCASTLE...COLONY 149 PM MDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM MDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM MDT TUESDAY. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. THE RESULTING CLEAR SKIES...DRY AIR AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEASTERN WYOMING AND WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA TONIGHT...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES IN LOW LYING AREAS. AREAS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. A FROST ADVISORY MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF FROST THAT CAN KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS. $$  749 WGUS64 KMAF 291949 FFAMAF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 249 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE RIO GRANDE AT PRESIDIO AND DOWNSTREAM INTO THE BIG BEND... .MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE RIVER FROM PRESIDIO TO THE BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK...THOUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE. WATER RELEASES FROM LUIS LEON RESERVOIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE RIO GRANDE THROUGH THIS WEEK. CONSIDERABLE FLUCTUATIONS IN WATER LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DEPENDING ON ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN THE WATERSHED. TXZ079-301200- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.A.0011.000000T0000Z-080930T1200Z/ /00000.0.DR.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PRESIDIO VALLEY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PRESIDIO 249 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA... PRESIDIO VALLEY. * THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * WATER RELEASES AT LUIS LEON RESERVOIR ON THE RIO CONCHOS CONTINUE TO AFFECT RIVER LEVELS ON THE RIO GRANDE. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE SHOULD LEVEES FAIL. * PORTIONS OF FM 170 REMAIN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. FOR ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND AND CLICK ON RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS ON THE LEFT MENU BAR. $$  259 WHUS43 KMQT 291951 CFWMQT LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 351 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 MIZ005-006-301000- /O.EXT.KMQT.LS.S.0018.080930T1200Z-081002T0000Z/ MARQUETTE-ALGER- 351 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPING TUESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY FROM MARQUETTE TO GRAND MARAIS MICHIGAN... LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST ONTARIO WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR AND UPPER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...THEN MOVE TO LAKE HURON ON TUESDAY. BEHIND THE LOW...EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ON THE EAST HALF OF LAKE SUPERIOR. THE WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WHILE INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET ON TUESDAY AND TO 9 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. AS THESE WAVES MOVE ASHORE...PLAN ON A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY ON THE BEACHES BETWEEN MARQUETTE AND GRAND MARAIS MICHIGAN...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WHEN THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT EVEN THE MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS STAY OUT OF THE WATER. RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG...NARROW CHANNELS OF WATER THAT FLOW AWAY FROM THE BEACH. IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO THE SHORE UNTIL OUT OF THE CURRENT...THEN SWIM BACK TO THE SHORE. SINCE A NORTH WIND IS EXPECTED...THERE IS ALSO AN ADDITIONAL RISK OF LONG SHORE CURRENTS DEVELOPING NEAR PICNIC ROCKS IN THE CITY OF MARQUETTE. ANY PERSONS CAUGHT IN THIS CURRENT SHOULD IMMEDIATELY SWIM TOWARD THE MAIN SHORELINE. $$ JLA  138 WAAK49 PAWU 291955 WA9O FAIS WA 291945 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 300200 . TANANA VLY FC PABI E MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH E PAKP MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =FAIT WA 291945 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 291945 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE .  135 WHUS52 KKEY 291956 SMWKEY GMZ032-054-075-292030- /O.NEW.KKEY.MA.W.0281.080929T1956Z-080929T2030Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 356 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... WATERS FROM KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS NORTH 20 NM AND SOUTH 60 NM.... COASTAL WATERS FROM THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM... GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM... * UNTIL 430 PM EDT * AT 354 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PERSONNEL OBSERVED A WATERSPOUT ABOUT 1 MILE NORTHEAST OF KEY WEST...MOVING SOUTH AT 7 KNOTS. THE WINDS IN AND NEAR WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN SMALL BOATS. IF A WATERSPOUT IS SIGHTED...MOVE AWAY FROM IT AS QUICKLY AND SAFELY AS POSSIBLE. LAT...LON 2444 8186 2467 8183 2466 8165 2459 8165 2443 8165 TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 006DEG 7KT 2459 8177 $$ BS  557 WWUS82 KKEY 291958 AWWKEY FLZ078-292030- AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 358 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT THROUGH 430 PM EDT... THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE WARNING PERIOD... LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLE WITHIN 5 MILES OF THE AIRPORT $$ BS  235 WAAK49 PAWU 291959 CCA WA9O FAIS WA 292005 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 300200 . TANANA VLY FC PABI E MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . =FAIT WA 292005 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 292005 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE .  278 WHUS73 KIWX 291959 MWWIWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 359 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 .A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO SOUTHEAST ONTARIO TONIGHT AND INTENSIFY...AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LMZ043-046-300400- /O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0053.080930T1000Z-081002T0000Z/ NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 359 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH 3 TO 5 FOOT WAVES BY LATE TONIGHT. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH WAVES BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  362 ACPN50 PHFO 292000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MON SEP 29 2008 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. $$ MORRISON  746 WFUS52 KKEY 292000 TORKEY FLC087-292030- /O.NEW.KKEY.TO.W.0016.080929T2000Z-080929T2030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 400 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... LOWER KEYS IN MONROE COUNTY IN FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITY OF KEY WEST... * UNTIL 430 PM EDT * AT 354 PM EDT...A WATERSPOUT WAS REPORTED TO BE MOVING ONSHORE NEAR KEY WEST...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... RURAL LOWER KEYS IN MONROE COUNTY AT 410 PM EDT WATERSPOUTS THAT MOVE ONSHORE ARE DANGEROUS AND CAN BE DEADLY. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES...SEE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY! LAT...LON 2460 8180 2459 8178 2457 8178 2459 8173 2457 8172 2459 8171 2461 8170 2456 8167 2455 8171 2456 8172 2454 8181 TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 057DEG 8KT 2458 8180 $$ BS  611 WONT54 EGRR 292000 SECURITE NO STORMS=  132 WOAU12 AMRF 292003 IDV21000 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, MELBOURNE AT 2003UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREA Please be aware Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Situation Vigorous westerly airstream. Area Affected Within 43S141E/44S160E/50S160E/50S141E/43S141E. Forecast Northwest to southwesterly winds 25/35 knots and reaching 40 knots south of 45S. Wind easing 20/30 knots in the west. Very rough to high seas. Moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER MELBOURNE  361 WTSS20 VHHH 291945 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (108.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (104.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  363 WHCI28 BCGZ 292000 TS WARNING NR 6 AT 291800 Z 0816 (0816 MEKKHALA) 990 HPA NEAR 17.4 NORTH 108.2 EAST POSITION FAIR BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS GUSTS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 25 KT WINDS 300 KMS OVER WATER MOVING WLY AT 11 KNOTS 24 HR FCST POSIT AT 301800 Z NEAR 18.0 NORTH 103.6 EAST MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS GUSTS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER 48 HR DISSIPATED OVER WATERS  694 WTPQ20 VHHH 291946 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (0815) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (122.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC THREE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (30.1 N) ONE TWO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (128.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC THREE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (31.8 N) ONE THREE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (137.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  774 WTSS20 VHHH 291945 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 291800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (108.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (104.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  951 WSCI31 RCTP 292004 RCAA SIGMET 8 VALID 292000/292400 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB OBS AT 1940Z AND FCST WI N2900 E12230 - N2100 E11830 - N2100 E12130 - N2330 E12400 - N2900 E12400 TOP FL370 MOV E 08KT WKN=  087 WSCI31 RCTP 292004 RCAA SIGMET 8 VALID 292000/292400 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB OBS AT 1940Z AND FCST WI N2900 E12230 - N2100 E11830 - N2100 E12130 - N2330 E12400 - N2900 E12400 TOP FL370 MOV E 08KT WKN=  447 WSCI31 RCTP 292004 RCAA SIGMET 8 VALID 292000/292400 RCTP- TAIPEI FIR ISOL CB OBS AT 1940Z AND FCST WI N2900 E12230 - N2100 E11830 - N2100 E12130 - N2330 E12400 - N2900 E12400 TOP FL370 MOV E 08KT WKN=  500 WHUS73 KGRR 292005 MWWGRR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 405 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...INCREASING WINDS AND WAVES TUESDAY... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY MONRING...AND WINDS AND WAVES WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT. LMZ844>849-300415- /O.NEW.KGRR.SC.Y.0063.080930T1000Z-081002T0000Z/ ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 405 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP TO 30 KNOTS TUESDAY AND CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET... CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT AND ANYONE VENTURING OUT IN THE WATER OR OUT ON PIERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES OF 4 FEET OR MORE WILL PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MEADE  151 WSNZ21 NZKL 292006 NZZC SIGMET 27 VALID 292006/292121 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 26 291721/292121  221 WSNZ21 NZKL 292006 NZZC SIGMET 27 VALID 292006/292121 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 26 291721/292121  999 WHUS73 KGRR 292009 CCA MWWGRR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 408 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...INCREASING WINDS AND WAVES TUESDAY... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND WINDS AND WAVES WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT. LMZ844>849-300430- /O.NEW.KGRR.SC.Y.0063.080930T1000Z-081002T0000Z/ ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 408 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO UP TO 30 KNOTS TUESDAY AND CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET... CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT AND ANYONE VENTURING OUT IN THE WATER OR OUT ON PIERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES OF 4 FEET OR MORE WILL PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MEADE  291 WWUS82 KMFL 292013 SPSMFL SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 412 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLZ067-292115- INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL- 412 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING NORTHWEST PALM BEACH COUNTY... AT 407 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF NORTH PALM BEACH GENERAL AIRPORT TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BELLE GLADE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT... CANAL POINT... BELLE GLADE... RURAL CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY... RURAL WESTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY... AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. LAT...LON 2655 8050 2655 8071 2661 8083 2670 8076 2669 8074 2673 8073 2675 8072 2676 8070 2677 8070 2695 8056 2695 8021 TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 076DEG 4KT 2686 8037 2664 8059 $$ BAXTER  387 WHUS73 KMKX 292013 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 313 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... .A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND LAKE MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN INTENSIFY AND SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE LAKE WILL LEAD TO BRISK AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES. LMZ643>646-300415- /O.NEW.KMKX.SC.Y.0074.080930T0900Z-081002T0000Z/ SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI- PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI- NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI- WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL- 313 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LAST INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET ON TUESDAY AND REACH 4 TO 7 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN PREVAILING WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN 22 AND 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GEHRING  316 WWUS52 KKEY 292014 SVSKEY SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 414 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLC087-292025- /O.CAN.KKEY.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080929T2030Z/ LOWER KEYS IN MONROE FL- 414 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR LOWER KEYS IN MONROE COUNTY IS CANCELED... THE WATERSPOUT...WHICH MOVED ONSHORE IN KEY WEST OVER THE COAST GUARD SECTOR KEY WEST BUILDING...HAS PASSED WEST OF KEY WEST AND DISSIPATED. THEREFORE...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR THE LOWER KEYS IN MONROE COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELED. LAT...LON 2460 8180 2459 8178 2457 8178 2459 8173 2457 8172 2459 8171 2461 8170 2456 8167 2455 8171 2456 8172 2454 8181 TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 057DEG 8KT 2457 8182 $$ BS  781 WTPQ20 BABJ 292000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 292000 UTC 00HR 27.7N 122.9E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR ENE 20KM/H=  032 WHCA72 TJSJ 292017 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 417 PM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...MODERATE LONG PERIOD NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS WILL AFFECT THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .LONG PERIOD NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS GENERATED FROM SUB TROPICAL STORM LAURA LOCATED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTHWARD AND INVADE THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS OVERNIGHT...THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. AMZ730-300430- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T2017Z-080930T0600Z/ /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080930T1200Z-081001T0000Z/ CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM PUNTA VIENTO TO CABO SAN JUAN EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO 17N AND EASTWARD TO 64W INCLUDING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.- 417 PM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST TUESDAY DUE TO BUILDING SEAS. NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS INVADING THE LOCAL WATERS AND PASSAGES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS SEAS UP TO 8 FEET AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ710-300430- /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.10000.080929T2017Z-081001T0000Z/ ATLANTIC WATERS NORTHWARD TO 19.5N AND BETWEEN 64N AND 68W FROM NORTHWEST COAST OF PUERTO RICO AT PUNTA CADENA EASTWARD TO MOUTH OF RIO GUAJATACA EXTENDING BEYOND 100 FATHOM LINE TO THE ANEGADA PASSAGE- 417 PM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST TUESDAY DUE TO BUILDING SEAS. NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS INVADING THE LOCAL WATERS AND PASSAGES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS SEAS UP TO 8 FEET AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  191 WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09.4N 128.3E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 10.0N 127.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 167E 48N 180E 38N 180E 36N 172E 41N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 166E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 147E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 32N 127E 32N 135E 33N 144E 33N 150E 40N 170E 44N 180E. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 990 HPA AT 27.4N 122.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) 985 HPA AT 17.3N 108.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  597 WAHW31 PHFO 292020 WA0HI HNLS WA 292030 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 292200 . AIRMET MT OBSC...KAUAI N THROUGH E FACING MT. KAUAI AFT 29/2300Z...MT TEMPO OBSC ABV 030 EXP DUE TO CLD AND SHRA. CONDS SPREADING TO OAHU BY 02Z. =HNLT WA 291600 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 292200 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 291600 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 2 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 292200 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...160-165.  409 WTPN32 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z --- NEAR 17.4N 108.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 108.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 17.9N 106.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 18.4N 105.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 18.8N 103.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 292100Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 107.7E. TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  875 WWUS82 KKEY 292022 AWWKEY FLZ078-292130- AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 420 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT HAS BEEN CANCELED... THE THUNDERSTORM...WHICH PRODUCED LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN 5 MILES OF THE AIRPORT...HAS PASSED FAR ENOUGH WEST OF KEY WEST FOR LIGHTNING TO NO LONGER BE A THREAT. THEREFORE...THE AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT HAS BEEN CANCELED. $$ BS  540 WTPQ20 BABJ 292000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 292000 UTC 00HR 17.5N 107.7E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H=  884 WHUS73 KDLH 292029 MWWDLH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 329 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 LSZ145-300915- /O.EXB.KDLH.SC.Y.0045.080930T0000Z-081001T0000Z/ DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI- 329 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ121-146>148-300915- /O.CON.KDLH.SC.Y.0045.080930T0000Z-081002T0000Z/ BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI- SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI- 329 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MELDE  423 WWUS73 KBIS 292030 NPWBIS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 330 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...FREEZE WARNING FOR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE COOLING RAPIDLY TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT ANY REMAINING VULNERABLE VEGETATION. NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-300430- /O.NEW.KBIS.FZ.W.0003.080930T0600Z-080930T1400Z/ DIVIDE-BURKE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY- BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-HETTINGER-BOWMAN-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...WILLISTON... NEW TOWN...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON... MARMARTH...MOTT...BOWMAN...HETTINGER 330 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 /230 PM MDT MON SEP 29 2008/ ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ TO 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ TO 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ TUESDAY. CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND DRY AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA OVERNIGHT. A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. $$ HW  224 WAUS46 KKCI 292045 WA6Z SFOZ WA 292045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 130-150 ACRS AREA ....  225 WAUS46 KKCI 292045 WA6T SFOT WA 292045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET TURB...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20SSW ENI TO 30W SAC TO 30SW EHF TO 50SE EHF TO 60SW HEC TO 30NNE MZB TO 40WNW RZS TO 20SSW ENI MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS ENDG 01-03Z. ....  226 WAUS45 KKCI 292045 WA5Z SLCZ WA 292045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 125-150 ACRS AREA ....  227 WAUS45 KKCI 292045 WA5S SLCS WA 292045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  228 WAUS45 KKCI 292045 WA5T SLCT WA 292045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET TURB...AZ NM FROM TBC TO TCS TO 40SSW DMN TO 50S TUS TO 70ESE BZA TO 30ESE EED TO TBC MOD TURB BLW 120. COND ENDG 01-03Z. ....  229 WAUS46 KKCI 292045 WA6S SFOS WA 292045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET IFR...WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20SE HQM TO 20S FOT TO 20SW ENI TO 40WNW RZS TO 150WSW RZS TO 140WSW FOT TO 110W ONP TO 130WSW HQM TO 20SE HQM CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  706 WTNT22 KNHC 292032 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 2100 UTC MON SEP 29 2008 SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 48.4W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......210NE 210SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 400SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 48.4W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 48.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.3N 48.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 41.2N 48.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 43.6N 47.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 46.5N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 52.5N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 55.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 55.0N 12.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 48.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH  961 WTNT42 KNHC 292032 TCDAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 500 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 AN ASCAT PASS AROUND 1326 UTC THIS MORNING INDICATED MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 45 KT...BUT THIS SENSOR USUALLY TENDS TO HAVE A SLIGHT LOW BIAS SO AN INTENSITY OF 50 KT WILL BE MAINTAINED IN THIS PACKAGE. LAURA CONTINUES TO ACQUIRE SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...WITH THE FSU PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS AND AMSU DATA BOTH INDICATING A DEEP WARM CORE. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS NOT ALL THAT DEEP AND THE 75 NM RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS IS IN THE GRAY ZONE BETWEEN TROPICAL AND SUBTROPICAL. LAURA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM FOR NOW ALTHOUGH THE TRANSITION TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LIKELY OCCURRING. LATEST SATELLITE FIXES INDICATE THAT LAURA IS TURNING AND ACCELERATING WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF 335/8. THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING HAS NOT CHANGED. ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE MODELS...INCLUDING THE GFS...GFDL...AND ECMWF...HAVE SHIFTED LEFT SINCE THIS MORNING...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LIES VERY CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND IS NOT FAR FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. IF LAURA IS BECOMING MORE TROPICAL...IT HAS A CHANCE TO STRENGTHEN A LITTLE BEFORE IT MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS AND LGEM MODELS FOR THE FIRST 36 HOURS BUT THEN CALLS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING ONCE LAURA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL AND MOVES INTO A COLDER AIR MASS...MUCH LIKE AN OCCLUDED LOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL AND HWRF GUIDANCE. LAURA WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 36 HOURS AND THEN COULD BE FULLY ABSORBED INTO A FRONTAL ZONE BY DAY 5 WEST OF IRELAND...ALTHOUGH A POINT AT THAT TIME IS STILL GIVEN FOR CONTINUITY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 38.3N 48.4W 50 KT 12HR VT 30/0600Z 39.3N 48.6W 55 KT 24HR VT 30/1800Z 41.2N 48.3W 60 KT 36HR VT 01/0600Z 43.6N 47.4W 55 KT 48HR VT 01/1800Z 46.5N 46.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 02/1800Z 52.5N 41.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/1800Z 55.0N 28.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 04/1800Z 55.0N 12.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN  962 WTNT32 KNHC 292032 TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 500 PM AST MON SEP 29 2008 ...LAURA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...BEGINNING TO TRANSITION TO A TROPICAL STORM... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.4 WEST OR ABOUT 630 MILES...1010 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND. LAURA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE LAURA MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS. LAURA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT. WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...38.3 N...48.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN  445 WSRA31 RUVV 292000 UHWW SIGMET 1 VALID 292100/300100 UHWW- UHWW VLADIVOSTOK FIR OCNL TS FCST N OF N43 W OF E134 TOP FL280 MOV E 20 KMH NC=  733 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNING NR 025 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z --- NEAR 27.7N 122.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N 122.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 28.7N 124.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 29.8N 127.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 30.8N 131.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 31.5N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 32.6N 144.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z POSITION NEAR 28.0N 123.2E. TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  737 WSRA31 RUVV 292000 UHWW SIGMET 1 VALID 292100/300100 UHWW- UHWW VLADIVOSTOK FIR OCNL TS FCST N OF N43 W OF E134 TOP FL280 MOV E 20 KMH NC=  751 WSIY31 LIIB 292041 LIBB SIGMET 06 VALID 292100/300100 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV S NC=  755 WSIY31 LIIB 292041 LIBB SIGMET 06 VALID 292100/300100 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV S NC=  538 WSIY31 LIIB 292041 LIBB SIGMET 06 VALID 292100/300100 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV S NC=  569 WAUS44 KKCI 292045 WA4Z DFWZ WA 292045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-155 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 40WNW DYR-20E DYR-30SSW BWG ....  570 WAUS43 KKCI 292045 WA3S CHIS WA 292045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET IFR...WI LS MI FROM 70SE YQT TO GRB TO 30NNW DLL TO 50WSW RHI TO 70N RHI TO 70SE YQT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 00Z-03Z. ....  571 WAUS44 KKCI 292045 WA4T DFWT WA 292045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET TURB...TN MS AL IN KY FROM CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 50SW PZD TO 40W CEW TO IGB TO PXV TO CVG MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . ELSW NO SGFNT TURB EXP EXCP INVOF CNVTV ACT. ....  572 WAUS43 KKCI 292045 WA3Z CHIZ WA 292045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET ICE...WI LM LS MI LH IL FROM YQT TO SSM TO DXO TO GIJ TO 30S BAE TO RHI TO YQT MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS DVLPG/SPRDG EWD...CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . ELSW NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 045-145 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 060-090 BOUNDED BY 60SW YWG-30N INL-EAU-MSP-FAR- 60SW YWG 080 ALG 80SW YWG-30SE FAR-30WNW MSP-20WSW GRB-60SW SSM-SSM 120 ALG 50N ISN-30ENE ONL-40W OVR-20ENE MCI-60SSE COU-40N ARG- 40WNW DYR 120 ALG 30SSW BWG-60ESE BWG-20ENE LOZ-HNN ....  573 WAUS44 KKCI 292045 WA4S DFWS WA 292045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  613 WAUS43 KKCI 292045 WA3T CHIT WA 292045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 4 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET TURB...MN IA WI LS MI IL FROM 30N INL TO YQT TO ORD TO 40S IOW TO 40S DSM TO MSP TO 30N INL MOD TURB BLW 080. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...IN KY TN MS AL FROM CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 50SW PZD TO 40W CEW TO IGB TO PXV TO CVG MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN KY FROM 30N INL TO YQT TO SSM TO YVV TO DXO TO FWA TO CVG TO PXV TO OSW TO SLN TO OVR TO FOD TO 30N INL MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL410. CONDS SPRDG EWD DURG PD...CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . ELSW NO SGFNT TURB EXP EXCP INVOF CNVTV ACT. ....  822 WTPN33 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z --- NEAR 9.9N 127.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N 127.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 10.9N 125.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 11.9N 123.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 12.8N 122.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 13.9N 120.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 16.1N 119.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 19.0N 118.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 21.9N 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 292100Z POSITION NEAR 10.2N 127.2E. TROPICAL STORM 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  207 WAUS41 KKCI 292045 WA1S BOSS WA 292045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 4 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT MA NY FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO CON TO 30SE HNK TO SYR TO MSS TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z AREA 1...IFR OH WV VA BOUNDED BY 40WSW AIR-40E EKN-30S PSK-HMV-HNN-40WSW AIR VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG AFT 06Z AND CONTG THRU 09Z. . AREA 2...IFR NH VT NY BOUNDED BY YSC-60SSE YSC-30WNW ENE-40E SYR-MSS-YSC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z AND CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  208 WAUS42 KKCI 292045 WA2Z MIAZ WA 292045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 120-160 ACRS AREA ....  209 WAUS42 KKCI 292045 WA2T MIAT WA 292045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET TURB...NC SC GA FL VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM RIC TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO SAV TO 150W PIE TO 170SE LEV TO 40W CEW TO 50SW PZD TO GQO TO HMV TO RIC MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  210 WAUS41 KKCI 292045 WA1Z BOSZ WA 292045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 090-150 ACRS AREA 120 ALG HNN-20NE HNN-40SSW ERI-20W BUF-30NE BUF-PVD-140E ACK ....  211 WAUS42 KKCI 292045 WA2S MIAS WA 292045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 300300 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...IFR NC SC BOUNDED BY 40NNE RDU-20NE ECG-ILM-30NE CHS-30WNW FLO-40NNE RDU CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG AFT 06Z AND CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  212 WAUS41 KKCI 292045 WA1T BOST WA 292045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 300300 . AIRMET TURB...VA NC SC GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM RIC TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO SAV TO 150W PIE TO 170SE LEV TO 40W CEW TO 50SW PZD TO GQO TO HMV TO RIC MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  483 WSPR31 SPIM 292039 SPIM SIGMET 03 VALID 292040/292300 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S1132 W07140 S1058 W06932 S1212 W06053 S1309 W06856 S1210 W07117 S1132 W07140 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF=  452 WSIN90 VECC 291900 VECF SIGMET NO 07 VALID 291900/292300 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  733 WSSR20 WSSS 292049 WSJC SIGMET 4 VALID 292100/300100 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0730 E109 - N0330 E104 INTSF=  121 WSSR20 WSSS 292049 WSJC SIGMET 4 VALID 292100/300100 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0730 E109 - N0330 E104 INTSF=  362 ACUS11 KWNS 292051 SWOMCD SPC MCD 292050 ILZ000-MOZ000-292145- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2300 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0350 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL/SERN MO AND SRN IL CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 292050Z - 292145Z ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON/ EARLY EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN MO INTO SRN IL. ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND EXIT REGION OF ATTENDANT MID LEVEL JET SPREADING ACROSS MID MS/LOWER MO VALLEYS COMBINED WITH WARM...WEAKLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL TSTMS ALONG COLD FRONT ADVANCING SEWD ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA. REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED ISOLATED TSTMS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL MO/CENTRAL IL ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WHICH EXTENDED FROM ERN WI SWWD THROUGH CENTRAL IL TO CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL OK. AREA WIND PROFILER DATA INDICATED DEEP LAYER SHEAR AVERAGING AROUND 30 KT. ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD SUPPORT MULTICELLS... THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER ACTIVITY...AND THUS PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WATCH. HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND/OR STRONGER WIND GUSTS. ..PETERS.. 09/29/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF... 37689388 38399278 38729092 39598912 39548867 39348812 38148798 37538853 37168956 36659071 36669185 36639304  094 WWJP74 RJTD 291800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 291800UTC ISSUED AT 292100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300300UTC =  097 WBCN07 CWVR 292000 PAM ROCKS WIND 102 LANGARA; X0F E6 1FT CHP LO E 2030 CLD EST 13/13 GREEN; PC 15+ NE15 3FT MOD 2030 CLD EST SCT ABV 25 15/13 TRIPLE; CLR 15+ SE2 RPLD LO NW 2030 CLR 16/14 BONILLA; CLR 15+ S6 1FT CHP LO S SWT 12.1 2030 CLR 16/13 BOAT BLUFF; CLR 15 W2 RPLD 2030 CLR 15/13 MCINNES; CLR 15 NE5E 1FT CHP LO SW 2030 CLR 16/112 IVORY; CLR 15+ E7 1FT CHP LO SW 2030 CLR 15/11 DRYAD; CLR 15 E3 RPLD 2030 CLR 19/14 ADDENBROKE; CLR 15+ N5E RPLD 2030 CLR 15/11 EGG ISLAND; CLR 15 SE11 2FT CHP LO W 2040 CLD EST CLR 15/10 PINE ISLAND; CLR 15 SE15 3FT MOD LO W 2040 CLD EST CLR 17/08 CAPE SCOTT; CLR 15 SE10 2FT CHP LO SW 2040 CLD EST CLR 18/14 QUATSINO; CLR 15 NE7 1FT CHP LO SW 2040 CLD EST CLR 17/11 NOOTKA; CLR 15 SW05 1FT CHP LO SW 2045 CLR 18 10 ESTEVAN; CLR 15 SE10 1FT CHP LO SW 1015.2S LENNARD; CLR 15 SE07 1FT CHP LO SW AMPHITRITE; CLR 15 E08 2FT CHP LO SW CAPE BEALE; CLR 15 SE08 2FT CHP LO SW PACHENA; CLR 15+ SE20G 6FT MOD LO SW EWOS SE30G CARMANAH; CLR 15+ SE18G 5FT MOD LO SW EWOS SE28G SCARLETT; CLR 15 SE8 1FT CHP LO NW PULTENEY; PC 15 SE10 2FT CHP CHATHAM; CLR 15 SE4 RPLD 2040 CLD EST CLR 15/08 CHROME; CLR 15 CLM RPLD MERRY; CLR 15 NW9 RPLD 2040 CLR 16/9 ENTRANCE; CLR 15 NW3 1FT CHP FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; CLR 6+ SW8 1FT CHP TSAWWASSEN; CLR 15+ NW6 RPLD TRIAL IS.; PC 15 NE15 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 172/19/12/3203/M/8011 71MM= WLP SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 154/13/07/1614/M/8015 73MM= WEB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 157/17/M/1307/M/6004 7MMM= WQC SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 177/18/09/1901/M/8021 69MM= WRU SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 158/16/M/1310/M/8006 1MMM= WFG SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 147/16/M/1514/M/PK WND 1417 1933Z 8008 6MMM= WVF SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/2906/M/M M 9MMM= WQS SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 148/16/13/1717+23/M/PK WND 1723 1952Z 8008 58MM= WRO SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 147/15/12/1514/M/8011 53MM= WEK SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 163/14/M/0315/M/6004 4MMM= WWL SA 2023 AUTO4 M M M 150/14/M/MM05/M/8007 8MMM= WME SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 162/14/10/0624+31/M/PK WND 0635 1935Z M018 74MM= WAS SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 169/17/07/0102/M/8012 11MM= WSB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/14/M/2803/M/M 1MMM= WGT SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 177/15/11/3405/M/M 7012 88MM= WGB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 181/-49/-15/3005/M/7012 11MM= WEL SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 175/14/M/3007/M/8012 9MMM= WDR SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/15/M/3613/M/M PK WND 3617 1943Z M 8MMM= WZO SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0212/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3007/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 174/15/08/1208/M/8018 99MM=  099 WWJP81 RJTD 291800 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 291800UTC ISSUED AT 292100UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 27.4N 122.4E MOVING NE 07 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 28.7N 123.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 29.7N 126.7E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 31.4N 134.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA AT 9.4N 128.3E MOVING WNW 08 KNOTS POSITION POOR MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 10.0N 127.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 32N 127E 32N 135E 33N 144E 33N 150E 40N 170E 44N 180E STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA, SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA, SEA AROUND AMAMI WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH 45 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOUTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300300UTC =  102 WWJP75 RJTD 291800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 291800UTC ISSUED AT 292100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300300UTC =  104 WWJP82 RJTD 291800 VITAL WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 291800UTC ISSUED AT 292100UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 27.4N 122.4E MOVING NE 07 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 28.7N 123.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 29.7N 126.7E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 31.4N 134.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 32N 127E 32N 135E 33N 144E 33N 150E 40N 170E 44N 180E STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300300UTC =  145 WWJP73 RJTD 291800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 291800UTC ISSUED AT 292100UTC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 32N 127E 32N 135E 33N 144E 33N 150E 40N 170E 44N 180E WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF TOKAI, SOUTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300300UTC =  278 WWUS83 KSGF 292055 SPSSGF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 355 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 MOZ057-069-070-292145- PULASKI MO-CAMDEN MO-MILLER MO- 355 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN PULASKI...SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN AND SOUTHERN MILLER COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT... AT 352 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OSAGE BEACH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 27 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR... 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF RICHLAND BY 435 PM CDT. CROCKER BY 445 PM CDT. THE TOWNS OF BRUMLEY AND SWEDEBORG ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 157 AND 167. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. $$ ANGLE  814 WSUS32 KKCI 292055 SIGC MKCC WST 292055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 292255-300255 FROM 30WNW GIJ-30WNW BWG-60SSE SGF-30WNW IRK-30WNW GIJ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  815 WSUS31 KKCI 292055 SIGE MKCE WST 292055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 26E VALID UNTIL 2255Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SSE ORL-40SE PBI-50NE EYW-30NNW RSW-30SSE ORL AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 27E VALID UNTIL 2255Z OH MI FROM 50WSW DXO-50ENE FWA-20NNW ROD LINE TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 24025KT. TOPS TO FL310. OUTLOOK VALID 292255-300255 AREA 1...FROM 130SSE ILM-160E PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-100WSW PIE-130SSE ILM WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40NNW CLE-SAV-40WSW MGM-30WNW GIJ-40NNW CLE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  816 WSUS33 KKCI 292055 SIGW MKCW WST 292055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 10W VALID UNTIL 2255Z CA FROM 50SW OAL-40SSW HEC-10NNW LAX-30S EHF-30SE CZQ-50SW OAL AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL370. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 11W VALID UNTIL 2255Z NV CA FROM 50SE FMG-20NNE OAL-40NE CZQ-50ENE SAC-50SE FMG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL330. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 12W VALID UNTIL 2255Z NV CA FROM 60SW BAM-60NE BTY-40NE HEC-20NW BTY-70E FMG-60SW BAM DVLPG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL340. OUTLOOK VALID 292255-300255 FROM MTU-SJN-EED-MZB-LAX-MOD-FMG-MTU WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  146 WABZ24 SBCW 292054 SBCW AIRMET 1 VALID 292100/292350 SBCW - CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 3500M/5 000M RA BR OBS AND FCST IN SBFI / GEMAS PSN / SBCA / GEBUN PSN / SBFI AREA STNR NC=  501 WABZ24 SBCW 292057 SBCW AIRMET 2 VALID 292100/292350 SBCW - CURITIBA FIR BKN CLD 0800FT/ 1000FT OBS AND FCST IN SBUG / SSSB / GEBUN PSN / SBNM / SBSM / TULIO PSN / SBUG AREA STNR NC=  347 WSTU31 LTAC 292000 LTAA SIGMET 5 VALID 292000/292300 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 2000 LTAU FCST MOV NE NC=  553 WHUS73 KGRB 292100 MWWGRB URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 400 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...INCREASING WAVES AND CAUSING A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT. LMZ521-522-541>543-300500- /O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0054.080930T1200Z-081002T0000Z/ THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI- THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY WI TO TWO RIVERS WI- LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS WI TO SHEBOYGAN WI- 400 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KTS TUESDAY MORNING... CAUSING WAVES TO BUILD TO 3 TO 6 FT. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH WAVES OF BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT EARLY WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  075 WCNT09 KKCI 292110 WSTA0I KZNY SIGMET INDIA 3 VALID 292110/300310 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR TC LAURA OBS AT 2100Z NR N3818 W04824. MOV NNW 5KT. NC. FRQ TS TOPS TO FL450 WI N4300 W04525 - N3335 W04120 - N3130 W04800 - N4100 W05135 - N4300 W04525. FCST 0300Z TC CENTER N3858 W04832.  057 WHUS73 KLOT 292107 MWWLOT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 407 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...NORTH WIND WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES ON THE SOUTH END OF LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .A LOW OVER CENTRAL ONTARIO WILL MOVE TO SOUTHEAST ONTARIO AND WILL DEEPEN IN PRESSURE. A HIGH WILL BUILD INTO CENTRAL MANITOBA THESE TWO EVENTS WILL OCCUR DURING THE PERIOD FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A LARGE CHANGE IN PRESSURE PER DISTANCE WILL DEVELOP OVER LAKE MICHIGAN GIVING A NORTHWEST WIND OF UP TO 30 KNOTS. LMZ740>745-300515- /O.NEW.KLOT.SC.Y.0074.080930T0900Z-081002T0000Z/ WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR- WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND- NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY- GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY- 407 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. A NORTHWEST WIND OF UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL PRODUCE WAVES OF UP TO 5 TO 8 FEET ON THE SOUTH END OF LAKE MICHIGAN STARTING TONIGHT. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN 22 AND 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY...AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  560 WVIY31 LIIB 292120 LIRR SIGMET 07 VALID 292220/300220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  701 WVIY31 LIMM 292120 LIRR SIGMET 07 VALID 292220/300220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  146 WVIY31 LIMM 292120 LIRR SIGMET 07 VALID 292220/300220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  187 WWUS83 KGRR 292117 SPSGRR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 517 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 MIZ066-067-072>074-292315- CALHOUN-EATON-INGHAM-JACKSON-KALAMAZOO- 517 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 513 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KALAMAZOO TO SCHOOLCRAFT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE... SCHOOLCRAFT... KALAMAZOO... RICHLAND... BATTLE CREEK... MARSHALL... TEKONSHA... ALBION... SPRINGPORT... CONCORD... LESLIE... JACKSON... GRASS LAKE... BROOKLYN... STOCKBRIDGE... THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF DOWNPOURS. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. LAT...LON 4240 8559 4243 8524 4242 8508 4244 8507 4245 8499 4251 8414 4207 8414 4207 8577 TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 271DEG 26KT 4231 8548 4208 8562 $$ MJS  225 WVIY31 LIIB 292120 LIRR SIGMET 07 VALID 292220/300220 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA LAST OBS (290600Z BY LICZ) EXT 15 NM E OF ETNA FL070/110 MOV E-SE 15 KT.=  277 WSMC31 GMMC 292116 GMMM SIGMET A4 VALID 292100/292400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3479 W00994 - N3409 W00679 - N3557 W00658 - N3617 W00916 TOP FL 400 MOV NE NC=  722 WSMC31 GMMC 292116 GMMM SIGMET A4 VALID 292100/292400 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3479 W00994 - N3409 W00679 - N3557 W00658 - N3617 W00916 TOP FL 400 MOV NE NC=  552 WOAU06 APRF 292120 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 2119UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 2100UTC Gale force NW/SW flow through Southern Ocean with embedded cold fronts. Deep low 965hPa near 55S100E at 292100UTC, expected near 55S110E by 301200UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line south of a line 42S080E 35S100E 43S129E. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots rough to very rough seas moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  553 WOAU06 APRF 292120 40:3:2:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 2119UTC 29 SEPTEMBER 2008 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 2100UTC Gale force NW/SW flow through Southern Ocean with embedded cold fronts. Deep low 965hPa near 55S100E at 292100UTC, expected near 55S110E by 301200UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line south of a line 42S080E 35S100E 43S129E. FORECAST NW/SW winds 30/40 knots rough to very rough seas moderate to heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  088 WSNT10 KKCI 292130 SIGA0J KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 1 VALID 292130/300130 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 2130Z WI N3410 W04000 - N2535 W04000 - N2740 W04510 - N3410 W04000. TOPS TO FL450. MOV ENE 5- 10KT. INTSF.  815 WWUS82 KMFL 292123 SPSMFL SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 523 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLZ066-070-292230- HENDRY FL-INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL- 523 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR COLLIER AND SOUTHWEST HENDRY COUNTIES. AT 517 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HENDRY CORRECTIONAL I/A/P TO 7 MILES EAST OF BONITA SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT... BIG CORKSCREW ISLAND... BUNKER HILL... CORKSCREW SWAMP SANCTUARY... IMMOKALEE... AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. LAT...LON 2632 8169 2632 8166 2642 8166 2643 8166 2643 8157 2651 8157 2652 8157 2652 8117 2633 8117 2630 8169 TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 180DEG 5KT 2637 8121 2635 8167 $$ BAXTER  001 WSNT10 KKCI 292130 SIGA0J KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 1 VALID 292130/300130 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 2130Z WI N3410 W04000 - N2535 W04000 - N2740 W04510 - N3410 W04000. TOPS TO FL450. MOV ENE 5- 10KT. INTSF.  483 WWUS83 KSGF 292124 SPSSGF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 424 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 MOZ058-071-292215- PHELPS MO-MARIES MO- 424 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN PHELPS AND SOUTHERN MARIES COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT... AT 421 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF IBERIA...OR 23 MILES NORTH OF WAYNESVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR... DOOLITTLE BY 510 PM CDT. ROLLA BY 515 PM CDT. THE TOWNS OF BRINKTOWN AND NORTHWYE ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 178 AND 192. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. $$ ANGLE  163 WTPH20 RPMM 291800 TTT GALE WARNING 03 AT 1800 29 SEPTEMBER TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 301800 ONE ONE POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT FOUR EAST AT 011800 ONE THREE POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN EAST AND AT 021800 ONE SIX POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA=  065 WSPS21 NZKL 292126 NZZO SIGMET 18 VALID 292126/300126 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/340 WI 75NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3330 W15400 - S3700 W14800 - S3730 W14130 - S3430 W13300 MOV E 10KT NC  066 WSPS21 NZKL 292126 NZZO SIGMET 17 VALID 292126/292222 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 16 291822/292222  981 WAHW31 PHFO 292130 WA0HI HNLS WA 292200 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 4 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 300400 . AIRMET MT OBSC...KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI N THROUGH E FACING MT. KAUAI AFT 29/2300Z...MT TEMPO OBSC ABV 030 EXP DUE TO CLD AND SHRA. CONDS SPREADING TO OAHU BY 02Z...AND TO MOLOKAI BY 04Z. CONDS ENDING KAUAI BY 05Z. =HNLT WA 292200 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 300400 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 292200 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 3 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 300400 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...160-165.  478 WTPQ20 BABJ 292100 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 292100 UTC 00HR 28.0N 122.9E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NE 20KM/H P+24HR 30.3N 127.9E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 31.8N 136.0E 995HPA 20M/S P+72HR 32.2N 146.1E 998HPA 18M/S=  334 WHUS76 KMTR 292135 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 235 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ530-300545- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0128.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ SAN FRANCISCO/SAN PABLO/SUISUN BAYS AND THE WEST DELTA- 235 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR ANGEL ISLAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  826 WWGM80 PGUM 292135 AWWGUM GUZ001-290100- AIRPORT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GUAM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 730 AM CHST TUE SEP 30 2008 AN AVIATION THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AIRPORT FROM 730 AM TO 1100 AM CHST TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING AND ARE LIKELY WITHIN 20 NM OF THE AIRPORT. BE ALERT AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AS REQUIRED. $$ EDSON  387 WWGM80 PGUM 292137 CCA AWWGUM GUZ001-300100- AIRPORT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GUAM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 730 AM CHST TUE SEP 30 2008 AN AVIATION THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AIRPORT FROM 730 AM TO 1100 AM CHST TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING AND ARE LIKELY WITHIN 20 NM OF THE AIRPORT. BE ALERT AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AS REQUIRED. $$ EDSON  956 WTPQ20 BABJ 292100 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 292100 UTC 00HR 17.5N 107.6E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 17.9N 103.9E 1000HPA 16M/S=  852 WWPN20 KNES 292135 A. 20W (MEKKHALA) B. 29/2030Z C. 17.4N D. 107.5E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HRS G. IR/EIR/SWIR/AMSRE H. REMARKS...DT OF 3.5 BASED ON CCC. MET IS 3.0 WITH PT OF 3.5. FT BASED ON PT. ADDL POSITIONS: 29/1822Z AMSRE 17.3N 107.8E ...LIDDICK =  088 WHUS76 KLOX 292141 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 241 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ650-300400- /O.EXB.KLOX.SC.Y.0120.080929T2200Z-080930T0400Z/ EAST SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL FROM PT. CONCEPTION TO PT. MUGU INCLUDING SANTA CRUZ AND ANACAPA ISLANDS- 241 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING...THEN DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 KT OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ676-300545- /O.CON.KLOX.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-081001T1000Z/ OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS ISLAND- 241 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 KT LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST NW OF SAN NICOLAS ISLAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ673-300545- /O.CON.KLOX.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-081001T1000Z/ WATERS FROM PT. ARGUELLO TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- 241 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 KT LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST AROUND POINT CONCEPTION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  805 WHCA72 TJSJ 292144 MWWSPN URGENTE - MENSAJE SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES MARITIMAS SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 417 PM AST LUNES 29 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...MAREJADAS MODERADAS DE PERIODO LARGO AFECTARAN LAS AGUAS LOCALES DEL ATLANTICO DURANTE LA NOCHE HASTA EL MARTES... .MAREJADAS DEL NORESTE DE PERIODO LARGO GENERADAS POR LA TORMENTA SUBTROPICAL LAURA LOCALIZADA EN EL ATLANTICO NORTE CENTRAL... CONTINUARAN PROPAGANDOSE HACIA EL SUR INVADIENDO LAS AGUAS LOCALES DEL ATLANTICO DURANTE LA NOCHE...LUEGO SE EXTENDERAN A TRAVES DE LOS PASAJES DEL CARIBE EL MARTES HASTA POR LO MENOS EL MIERCOLES. AMZ730-300430- AGUAS DEL CARIBE DESDE PUNTA VIENTO HASTA CABO SAN JUAN HACIA EL SUR HASTA 17 NORTE Y HACIA EL ESTE HASTA 64 OESTE INCLUYENDO LAS AGUAS DEL CARIBE DE CULEBRA VIEQUES Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS- 417 PM AST LUNES 29 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...EN EFECTO ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DEL MARTES... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS...EL CUAL ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DEL MARTES DEBIDO AL OLEAJE EN DESARROLLO. MAREJADAS DEL NORESTE INVADIENDO LAS AGUAS LOCALS Y LOS PASAJES CREARAN OLEAJE PELIGROSO DE HASTA 8 PIES HASTA POR LO MENOS EL MIERCOLES. ACCIONES DE PRECAUCION/PREPARACION... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA QUE VIENTOS DE 22 A 33 NUDOS Y/O MAREJADAS A 7 PIES O MAS PRODUZCAN CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NADADORES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE LOS QUE OPERAN EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR NAVEGAR BAJO ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$ AMZ710-300430- AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO DESDE PUNTA CADENA HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO GUAJATACA DESPUES HACIA EL ESTE MAS ALLA DE 100 BRAZAS HASTA EL PASAJE DE ANEGADA HACIA EL NORTE HASTA 19.5 NORTE ENTRE 68 OESTE Y 64 OESTE- ...EN EFECTO ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DEL MARTES... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS...EL CUAL ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DEL MARTES DEBIDO AL OLEAJE EN DESARROLLO. MAREJADAS DEL NORESTE INVADIENDO LAS AGUAS LOCALS Y LOS PASAJES CREARAN OLEAJE PELIGROSO DE HASTA 8 PIES HASTA POR LO MENOS EL MIERCOLES. ACCIONES DE PRECAUCION/PREPARACION... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA QUE VIENTOS DE 22 A 33 NUDOS Y/O MAREJADAS A 7 PIES O MAS PRODUZCAN CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NADADORES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE LOS QUE OPERAN EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR NAVEGAR BAJO ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$  176 WTPQ20 RJTD 292100 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0815 JANGMI (0815) ANALYSIS PSTN 292100UTC 27.9N 123.1E FAIR MOVE NE 13KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 302100UTC 29.9N 128.1E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 14KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 45HF 011800UTC 31.4N 134.8E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 18KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 69HF 021800UTC 31.9N 143.6E 250NM 70% MOVE E 19KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT =  177 WTJP31 RJTD 292100 WARNING 292100. WARNING VALID 302100. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI (0815) 990 HPA AT 27.9N 123.1E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 29.0N 125.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 29.9N 128.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  639 WWPN20 KNES 292144 A. 21W (NONAME) B. 29/2030Z C. 10.1N D. 128.0E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR/SWIR H. REMARKS...DT OF 2.5 BASED ON .55 BANDING. MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON MET. ...LIDDICK =  968 WWUS82 KTBW 292149 SPSTBW SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 547 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLZ057-292245- HIGHLANDS- 547 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY... . NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES HEAVY SHOWERS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH...WILL AFFECT THE MENTIONED AREA INCLUDING AVON PARK...UNTIL 645 PM EDT. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. WHEN DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN...SLOW DOWN. ALWAYS LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES. WHEN USING WIPERS...TURN ON HEADLIGHTS. AVOID DRIVING THROUGH PUDDLES THAT COULD HIDE POTHOLES OR CAUSE HYDROPLANING. $$ AR  288 WHUS51 KCLE 292149 SMWCLE LEZ142-143-162-163-292315- /O.NEW.KCLE.MA.W.0086.080929T2149Z-080929T2315Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 549 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... MAUMEE BAY TO THE ISLANDS... INCLUDING THE ADJACENT OPEN WATERS... * UNTIL 715 PM EDT * AT 545 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM 17 NM SOUTHWEST OF MAUMEE BAY TO 20 NM SOUTH OF MAUMEE BAY... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 KNOTS. * THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN AWAY FROM SIGNIFICANT COASTAL LANDMARKS OVER THE INDICATED AREAS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING... AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES. LAT...LON 4175 8341 4196 8311 4193 8307 4187 8305 4177 8288 4161 8316 4162 8321 4167 8332 4168 8343 4172 8349 4175 8348 TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 237DEG 25KT 4162 8373 4142 8353 $$ LEINS  311 WWUS82 KTBW 292149 CCA SPSTBW SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 547 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLZ057-292245- HIGHLANDS- 547 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES HEAVY SHOWERS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH...WILL AFFECT THE MENTIONED AREA INCLUDING AVON PARK...UNTIL 645 PM EDT. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. WHEN DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN...SLOW DOWN. ALWAYS LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES. WHEN USING WIPERS...TURN ON HEADLIGHTS. AVOID DRIVING THROUGH PUDDLES THAT COULD HIDE POTHOLES OR CAUSE HYDROPLANING. $$ AR  760 WSUS31 KKCI 292155 SIGE MKCE WST 292155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 28E VALID UNTIL 2355Z OH MI IN FROM 10E GRR-20SW DXO-60WSW CLE-30W ROD-10S PMM-10E GRR AREA TS MOV FROM 24030KT. TOPS TO FL320. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 29E VALID UNTIL 2355Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40S ORL-10ESE PBI-30S RSW-30ESE SRQ-40S ORL AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL430. OUTLOOK VALID 292355-300355 AREA 1...FROM MBS-ECK-DXO-CLE-HNN-BNA-30N BVT-MBS WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM SPA-ILM-ILM-CHS-SAV-TLH-CEW-LGC-ODF-SPA WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM OMN-190ENE VRB-170E PBI-60ENE PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-60WSW PIE-50SSE CTY-OMN WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  212 WSUS32 KKCI 292155 SIGC MKCC WST 292155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 21C VALID UNTIL 2355Z IN IL MO FROM 40W DEC-10NE TTH-40SSW DEC-50SE SGF-30SW COU-40W DEC AREA TS MOV FROM 30025KT. TOPS TO FL440. OUTLOOK VALID 292355-300355 FROM 30N BVT-BNA-MEM-60SSE SGF-COU-40WSW BVT-30N BVT WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  585 WSUS33 KKCI 292155 SIGW MKCW WST 292155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 13W VALID UNTIL 2355Z CA FROM 50S BTY-30N TRM-40NE LAX-30NE RZS-30NE EHF-50S BTY AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL370. CELL MOV 16015KT. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 14W VALID UNTIL 2355Z NV CA FROM 40ESE FMG-40NNW OAL-40ENE CZQ-50WSW FMG-40ESE FMG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL320. CELL MOV 15015KT. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 15W VALID UNTIL 2355Z NV CA FROM 40SW BVL-60NE BTY-50ENE HEC-20SE OAL-70ENE FMG-40SW BVL AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL340. CELL MOV 15015KT. OUTLOOK VALID 292355-300355 FROM 40SSE REO-MTU-RSK-60NE TBC-INW-PGS-MZB-RZS-MOD-70SSW LKV-40SSE REO WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  844 WSMC31 GMMC 292146 GMMM SIGMET C4 VALID 292140/292330 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3379 W00181 - N3320 W00345 - N3255 W00310 - N3218 W00135 TOP FL 360 MOV E NC=  857 WHUS76 KSEW 292154 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 254 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 PZZ135-292300- /O.CAN.KSEW.SC.Y.0151.000000T0000Z-080929T2200Z/ PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL- 254 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTH PART OF PUGET SOUND. $$ PZZ130-300415- /O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-080930T0100Z/ /O.EXT.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.080930T0100Z-080930T0900Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 254 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM PDT TUESDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST ENTRANCE TO THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM PDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. && $$ PZZ150-300415- /O.EXT.KSEW.SI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080930T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 20 NM- 254 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PDT TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FOR THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE WASHINGTON COASTAL WATERS...FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 20 NM...IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PDT TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  616 WTCA42 TJSJ 292154 TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA SUBTROPICAL LAURA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 3 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL122008 500 PM AST LUNES 29 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2008 ...LAURA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE...COMENZANDO LA TRANSICION A TORMENTA TROPICAL... A LAS 500 PM AST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA SUBTROPICAL LAURA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 38.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 48.4 OESTE O COMO A 630 MILLAS...1010 KM...AL SUR-SURESTE DE CAPE RACE TERRANOVA. LAURA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL NORTE LUEGO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE CON UN AUMENTO EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE EL PROXIMO PAR DE DIAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 60 MPH...95 KM/HR... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS ANTES DE QUE LAURA SE MUEVA SOBRE AGUAS MAS FRIAS. SE ESPERA QUE LAURA SE CONVIERTA EN UNA TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA NOCHE. VIENTOS DE AL MENOS 40 MPH SE EXTIENDE HACIA AFUERA HASTA 240 MILLAS...390 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MILIBARES...29.38 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 PM AST...38.3 NORTE...48.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MILIBARES. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 PM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BERG/FRANKLIN  910 WSMC31 GMMC 292146 GMMM SIGMET C4 VALID 292140/292330 GMMC- CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS OBS LINE N3379 W00181 - N3320 W00345 - N3255 W00310 - N3218 W00135 TOP FL 360 MOV E NC=  459 WWPN20 KNES 292156 A. 19W (JANGMI) B. 29/2030Z C. 28.0N D. 123.3E E. FIVE/MTSAT F. T1.5/2.5/W1.5/18HRS G. IR/EIR/SWIR H. REMARKS...DT OF 1.5 BASED ON LLCC GREATER THAN 1.25 DEGREE FROM SHEARED CONVECTION. MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON DT. ...LIDDICK =  220 WWUS86 KHNX 292159 SPSHNX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA 259 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 CAZ099-292300- SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT- 259 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH BORON OVER THE NEXT HOUR... RADAR INDICATED AND AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH BORON AS OF 255 PM PDT. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH, SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN UP TO ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS CELL. $$ JDB WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD  912 WTPQ21 RJTD 292100 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0816 MEKKHALA (0816) ANALYSIS PSTN 292100UTC 17.2N 107.5E FAIR MOVE W 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 302100UTC 18.2N 104.7E 70NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 45HF 011800UTC 17.7N 103.1E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =  002 WWUS83 KGRR 292201 SPSGRR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 600 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 MIZ066-067-073-074-300000- CALHOUN-EATON-INGHAM-JACKSON- 600 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 559 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BATTLE CREEK TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF BATTLE CREEK TO 15 MILES WEST OF TEKONSHA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE... BATTLE CREEK... MARSHALL... TEKONSHA... ALBION... SPRINGPORT... CONCORD... JACKSON... LESLIE... GRASS LAKE... BROOKLYN... STOCKBRIDGE... THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF DOWNPOURS. GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. LAT...LON 4242 8530 4242 8508 4250 8414 4208 8413 4207 8530 TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 265DEG 29KT 4235 8528 4221 8521 4208 8527 $$ MJS  470 WSAU21 APRF 292202 YMMM SIGMET PH02 VALID 292200/300200 YPRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S2900 E11230 - S2900 E11630 - S3500 E11700 - S3500 E11300 FL140/200 MOV E 30KT NC STS:REV SIGMET PH01 291810/292200  900 WSIN90 VIDP 292155 VIDF SIGMET 08 VALID 292200/300200 VIDF DELHI FIR ISOL TS EMBDD CB FCST EAST OF 80 DEG EAST=  126 WWUS86 KPQR 292211 RFWPQR RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 311 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ORZ608-300600- /O.CON.KPQR.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ ZONE 608- 311 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR CRITICALLY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THIS WARNING INCLUDES THE WILLAMETTE NATIONAL FOREST AND ALL STATE-MANAGED LAND WITHIN THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE FIRE WEATHER ZONE INCLUDED IN THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS... ZONE 608...CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES. A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT EXTENDS FROM UTAH INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...RESULTING IN VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF OREGON. THE RIDGE HAS PUSHED A THERMAL TROUGH WEST OF THE CASCADES...LEADING TO OFFSHORE FLOW AND VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN OREGON. TEMPERATURES ARE HAVE REACHED THE 80S AND LOWER 90S IN MOST LOCATIONS TODAY...WITH EVEN THE HIGHER PASSES REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 70S. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WERE POOR ON THE MIDSLOPES AND RIDGES LAST NIGHT...FAILING TO REACH 30 PERCENT IN SOME AREAS. DESPITE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES...RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS FALLEN TO AROUND 15 PERCENT FOR MUCH OF THE ZONE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PROXIMITY OF THE THERMAL TROUGH IS ALSO LEADING TO VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TODAY...WITH WIDESPREAD MID-LEVEL HAINES 6 AND LOCALIZED HIGH-LEVEL HAINES 6 ACROSS THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES. THESE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WOULD LEAD TO PRIME GROWTH POTENTIAL FOR ANY NEW FIRE STARTS AND ALSO EXISTING FIRES. A WEAK DISTURBANCE BRINGING HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD FROM CALIFORNIA MAY TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS INSTABLITY AND DEVELOP ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CASCADES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. AT THIS POINT...LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE LIGHT...BUT AFTER THE VERY DRY WEATHER OF THE PAST 36 HOURS FUELS WOULD BE VERY RECEPTIVE TO NEW STARTS DUE TO LIGHTNING STRIKES. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. $$ WEAGLE  450 WWUS83 KSGF 292212 SPSSGF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 509 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 MOZ058-071-083-292300- PHELPS MO-MARIES MO-DENT MO- 509 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN DENT...NORTHERN PHELPS AND SOUTHEASTERN MARIES COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT... AT 506 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROLLA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ROLLA BY 515 PM. THE TOWNS OF ROLLA...BANGERT...HOWES AND SLIGO ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 176 AND 199. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. $$ ANGLE  860 WSAU21 AMHF 292214 YMMM SIGMET HB03 VALID 292220/292220 YMHF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR CNL SIGMET HB02 291800/282200 STS:CNL SIGMET HB02 291800/292200  164 WWUS86 KMFR 292215 RFWMFR RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 315 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ORZ617-300600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- 315 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR HAINES 6 OVER ZONE 617... RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR HAINES 6 OVER ZONE 617. A HAINES INDEX OF 6 CONTINUES TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND VERY DRY AIR COINCIDING WITH ONGOING FIRES IN ZONE 617. LASTLY...UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL RESULT IN A FEW MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH AND INCREASED AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ORZ623-300600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 315 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING HAINES 6 AND FOR DEVELOPING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE OVER ZONE 623... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL11 PM PDT THIS EVENING HAINES 6 AND DEVELOPING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE OVER ZONE 623. A HAINES INDEX OF 6 CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND VERY DRY AIR COINCIDING WITH ONGOING WILDFIRE IN ZONES 623. DRY AND UNSTABLE LOW LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE COMBINING WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR ZONE 623. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH AND INCREASED AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LITTLE RAIN WILL ALSO PRODUCE A HIGH THREAT FOR NEW STARTS. $$ CAZ284-285-ORZ624-300600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080930T0600Z/ SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 315 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN ZONES 624 284 AND 285... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN ZONES 624 284 AND 285. UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND INCREASED MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED AND MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY WILL BE LIGHT...GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE INCREASED AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR NEW STARTS. $$ STAVISH  662 WUUS53 KLSX 292217 SVRLSX MOC099-187-221-292300- /O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0456.080929T2217Z-080929T2300Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 517 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI ST. FRANCOIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI * UNTIL 600 PM CDT * AT 516 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RICHWOODS...OR 13 MILES WEST OF DE SOTO...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... OLD MINES... BLACKWELL... DE SOTO... OLYMPIAN VILLAGE... BONNE TERRE... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. LAT...LON 3820 9039 3790 9052 3810 9094 3820 9090 TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 296DEG 28KT 3812 9078 $$ BYRD  726 WTPQ22 RJTD 292100 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 292100UTC 10.4N 127.4E POOR MOVE NW 12KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 302100UTC 12.4N 125.7E 120NM 70% MOVE NW 07KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  472 WTPQ20 BABJ 292200 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 292200 UTC 00HR 28.2N 122.9E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 20KM/H=  523 WTPQ20 BABJ 292200 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 292200 UTC 00HR 17.5N 107.4E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H=  368 WAAK47 PAWU 292221 AAA WA7O JNUS WA 292228 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 300200 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. INTSF. . CNTRL SE AK JC OCNL CIGS BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. IMPR. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF PAAP N OCNL CIG BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM RA BR. IMPR FM S. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. IMPR FM S. . =JNUT WA 292228 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE . =JNUZ WA 292228 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 300200 . NONE .  386 WSIN90 VECC 292200 VECF SIGMET NO 08 VALID 292200/300200 UTC VECF KOLKATA FIR NIL=  483 WWUS86 KPDT 292225 RFWPDT RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR 325 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A CRITICALLY DRY AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BE OVER CENTRAL OREGON THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... ORZ610-611-630-300400- /O.CON.KPDT.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080930T0400Z/ EAST SLOPES OF CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-DESCHUTES NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF OREGON- 325 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE ZONES 610...611 AND 630 FOR A HAINES 6 ENVIRONMENT AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE CRITICALLY DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY...OTHERWISE KNOWN AS HAINES 6 CONDITIONS INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THESE CONDITIONS ARE PRIME FOR STRONG PLUME DEVELOPMENT AND THE RAPID GROWTH OF EXISTING OR NEW FIRES. ALSO...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING OVER FIRE ZONE 611 AND NEAR THE CASCADE CREST IN FIRE ZONE 610. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HIGH HAINES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DRIVEN FIRES AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PENDLETON. $$  344 WSTU31 LTAC 292225 LTAA SIGMET 6 VALID 292200/300100 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 2200 LTAI AND LTAZ FCST MOV NE NC=  236 WWCN16 CWHX 292232 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:02 PM NDT MONDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2008. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WRECKHOUSE WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: ST. GEORGE'S. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GUSTING UPWARDS OF 80 KM/H IN THE WRECKHOUSE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/NLWO  702 WWUS53 KLSX 292239 SVSLSX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 539 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 MOC099-187-221-292300- /O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0456.000000T0000Z-080929T2300Z/ ST. FRANCOIS MO-WASHINGTON MO-JEFFERSON MO- 539 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON AND ST. FRANCOIS COUNTIES... AT 535 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BLACKWELL...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DE SOTO...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE... BLACKWELL...DE SOTO...VALLES MILL AND BONNE TERRE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL AT RICHWOODS OF PENNY SIZE. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! LAT...LON 3820 9039 3790 9052 3800 9073 3810 9094 3820 9090 TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 296DEG 23KT 3806 9067 $$ TES  477 WSIY31 LIIB 292249 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 292330/300330 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  752 WSIY31 LIIB 292249 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 292330/300330 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  105 WSIY31 LIIB 292249 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 292330/300330 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST FL270/360 S PART MOV E NC=  310 WFUS53 KLSX 292248 TORLSX MOC099-186-187-221-292330- /O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0085.080929T2248Z-080929T2330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 548 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI EXTREME EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI ST. FRANCOIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WESTERN STE. GENEVIEVE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 544 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF BONNE TERRE...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DE SOTO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BONNE TERRE... THIS TORNADO WARNING IS AN UPGRADE TO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING PREVIOUSLY ISSUED FOR THE WARNED AREA. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. LAT...LON 3799 9023 3779 9039 3801 9071 3810 9063 TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 298DEG 24KT 3802 9061 $$ TES  191 WSUS33 KKCI 292255 SIGW MKCW WST 292255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 16W VALID UNTIL 0055Z CA FROM 50S BTY-20N TRM-40ENE LAX-30NE EHF-50S BTY AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL350. CELL MOV 16015KT. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 17W VALID UNTIL 0055Z NV CA FROM 50N FMG-60ESE FMG-20ENE CZQ-50W FMG-50N FMG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL320. CELL MOV 15015KT. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 18W VALID UNTIL 0055Z NV CA FROM 70WSW BAM-40SSW BVL-50NNW LAS-30ENE HEC-40WNW BTY-70WSW BAM AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL360. CELL MOV 15015KT. OUTLOOK VALID 300055-300455 FROM 40SSE REO-MTU-RSK-60NE TBC-INW-PGS-MZB-RZS-MOD-70SSW LKV-40SSE REO WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  192 WSUS32 KKCI 292255 SIGC MKCC WST 292255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 22C VALID UNTIL 0055Z IN IL MO FROM 40S FWA-40ESE FAM-50SE SGF-50NE SGF-40W DEC-40S FWA AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30025KT. TOPS TO FL420. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 300055-300455 FROM BVT-BNA-MEM-60SSE SGF-50NE SGF-DEC-BVT WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  198 WSUS31 KKCI 292255 SIGE MKCE WST 292255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 30E VALID UNTIL 0055Z OH MI IN LE FROM 30ENE GRR-10SE DXO-40WSW CLE-20SSW ROD-20S GRR-30ENE GRR AREA TS MOV FROM 24030KT. TOPS TO FL320. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 31E VALID UNTIL 0055Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50SSW ORL-10SSE PBI-30SSW RSW-30E SRQ-50SSW ORL AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 300055-300455 AREA 1...FROM MBS-ECK-DXO-CLE-HNN-BNA-BVT-MBS WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM SPA-ILM-ILM-CHS-SAV-TLH-CEW-LGC-ODF-SPA WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM OMN-190ENE VRB-170E PBI-60ENE PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-60WSW PIE-50SSE CTY-OMN WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  522 WSJP31 RJTD 292300 RJJJ SIGMET 4 VALID 292300/300300 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2730 E12530 - N2930 E12800 - N3230 E12900 - N3230 E12650 - N3000 E12525 - N2730 E12530 MOV NE 10KT NC=  692 WHXX04 KWBC 292256 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL STORM LAURA 12L INITIAL TIME 18Z SEP 29 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 37.8 48.3 315./ 7.0 6 38.5 48.5 343./ 7.5 12 39.5 48.5 358./10.0 18 40.4 48.4 7./ 9.2 24 41.6 48.0 19./12.2 30 42.8 47.5 22./12.4 36 44.3 46.9 24./15.6 42 45.9 46.8 1./16.7 48 47.8 46.7 5./18.3 54 49.6 46.5 5./18.8 60 51.6 46.4 3./19.8 STORM DISSIPATED AT 60 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.  056 WSJP31 RJTD 292300 RJJJ SIGMET 4 VALID 292300/300300 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2730 E12530 - N2930 E12800 - N3230 E12900 - N3230 E12650 - N3000 E12525 - N2730 E12530 MOV NE 10KT NC=  827 WSBW20 VGZR 292330 VGFR SIGMET 01 VALID 300000/300400 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST TOP FL390=  999 WSBW20 VGZR 292330 VGFR SIGMET 01 VALID 300000/300400 VGZR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST TOP FL390=  565 WWUS83 KGRR 292301 SPSGRR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 701 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 MIZ066-067-074-300000- EATON-INGHAM-JACKSON- 701 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 658 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SPRINGPORT...MOVING EAST AT 34 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... PULASKI... SPRINGPORT... CONCORD... PARMA... EATON RAPIDS... HANOVER... SPRING ARBOR... HORTON... KINNEVILLE... SANDSTONE... ONONDAGA... TOMPKINS... AURELIUS... LIBERTY TWP... RIVES JUNCTION... JACKSON... VANDERCOOK LAKE... LESLIE... THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF DOWNPOURS. GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED. LAT...LON 4208 8414 4208 8470 4249 8472 4254 8460 4256 8416 4226 8413 TIME...MOT...LOC 2301Z 260DEG 30KT 4231 8469 $$ LAURENS  468 WTSS20 VHHH 292245 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (103.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  535 WTPQ20 VHHH 292246 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (0815) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (28.3 N) ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (123.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC THREE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (30.6 N) ONE TWO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (129.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.  657 WTSS20 VHHH 292245 TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (0816) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (103.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.  701 WTPN33 PGTW 292100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 3 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED// 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z --- NEAR 9.9N 127.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N 127.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 10.9N 125.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 11.9N 123.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 12.8N 122.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 13.9N 120.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 16.1N 119.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 19.0N 118.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 21.9N 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 292100Z POSITION NEAR 10.2N 127.2E. TROPICAL STORM 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (JANGMI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 20W (MEKKHALA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED STORM MOTION AND BEARING AND DISTANCE FROM MANILA.//  267 WSRA31 RUVV 292300 UHWW SIGMET 1 VALID 300100/300500 UHWW- UHWW VLADIVOSTOK FIR OCNL TS FCST N OF N43 W OF E138 TOP FL280 NC=  727 WSRA31 RUVV 292300 UHWW SIGMET 1 VALID 300100/300500 UHWW- UHWW VLADIVOSTOK FIR OCNL TS FCST N OF N43 W OF E138 TOP FL280 NC=  420 WSNT11 KKCI 292325 SIGA0K KZMA SIGMET KILO 1 VALID 292325/300325 KKCI- MIAMI OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2325Z WI N2630 W08310 - N2525 W08200 - N2400 W08230 - N2400 W08540 - N2630 W08310. TOP FL480. MOV NE 15-20KT. INTSF.  845 WSNT11 KKCI 292325 SIGA0K KZMA SIGMET KILO 1 VALID 292325/300325 KKCI- MIAMI OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2325Z WI N2630 W08310 - N2525 W08200 - N2400 W08230 - N2400 W08540 - N2630 W08310. TOP FL480. MOV NE 15-20KT. INTSF.  712 WGUS82 KMFL 292325 FLSMFL FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 725 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLC043-300115- /O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0080.080929T2325Z-080930T0115Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 725 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... CENTRAL GLADES COUNTY IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PALMDALE...MOORE HAVEN...LAKEPORT... * UNTIL 915 PM EDT * AT 722 PM EDT DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER EASTERN GLADES COUNTY. SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT INSTRUMENTS HAVE MEASURED AROUND 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL SO FAR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. LAT...LON 2701 8111 2690 8110 2689 8111 2689 8110 2677 8109 2677 8121 2678 8139 2690 8139 2694 8140 $$ GR  855 WHXX04 KWBC 292327 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 91E INITIAL TIME 18Z SEP 29 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 10.8 95.1 280./ 4.1 6 11.6 95.8 319./11.2 12 12.1 96.7 296./ 9.6 18 11.5 97.8 244./12.6 24 11.3 98.7 256./ 9.0 30 11.5 99.2 295./ 4.7 36 12.0 99.8 308./ 7.7 42 12.3 100.6 290./ 8.5 48 12.5 101.2 292./ 7.0 54 13.1 101.6 332./ 6.8 60 13.6 102.0 314./ 6.2 66 14.0 102.6 306./ 6.5 72 14.5 102.8 332./ 5.6 78 15.2 103.3 327./ 8.4 84 15.5 103.6 319./ 3.9 90 16.3 103.4 7./ 8.2 96 17.2 103.5 358./ 9.5 102 18.4 103.7 350./11.6 108 19.6 103.9 348./12.0 114 21.1 103.8 5./15.1 120 21.9 102.5 60./14.6 STORM DISSIPATED AT 120 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.  453 WWUS53 KLSX 292328 SVSLSX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 628 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 MOC099-186-187-221-292338- /O.EXP.KLSX.TO.W.0085.000000T0000Z-080929T2330Z/ ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-WASHINGTON MO-JEFFERSON MO- 628 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...EXTREME EASTERN WASHINGTON...WESTERN STE. GENEVIEVE AND ST. FRANCOIS COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 630 PM CDT... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER APPEARED TO BE SEVERE. LAT...LON 3799 9023 3779 9039 3801 9071 3810 9063 TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 298DEG 24KT 3789 9031 $$ TES  075 WGUS82 KTBW 292329 FLSTBW FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 729 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 FLC071-300100- /O.NEW.KTBW.FA.Y.0080.080929T2329Z-080930T0100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEE- 729 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN... CENTRAL LEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA. THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF FORT MYERS...AND FORT MYERS VILLAS. * UNTIL 900 PM EDT * AT 728 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL RATES OF THREE INCHES PER HOUR ASSOCIATED WITH. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS LIKELY. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND INTERSECTIONS. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHILE DRIVING. DO NOT USE CRUISE CONTROL DURING TORRENTIAL RAINS. IT COULD CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE IF HYDROPLANING OCCURS. RAPID RISING STREAMS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY UP TO 1 FOOT. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF NEARBY LOW LYING AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. DON'T BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! && LAT...LON 2664 8188 2669 8182 2674 8169 2662 8171 2651 8186 2650 8196 $$ 22  213 WUUS53 KLSX 292332 SVRLSX MOC093-123-300015- /O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0457.080929T2332Z-080930T0015Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 632 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... IRON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI * UNTIL 715 PM CDT * AT 627 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ARCADIA...OR NEAR IRONTON...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RURAL WESTERN MADISON COUNTY RURAL CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST INSIDE IRON AND WESTERN MADISON COUNTIES SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH... DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN ST LOUIS. LAT...LON 3753 9027 3735 9040 3754 9070 3762 9065 TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 297DEG 21KT 3755 9059 $$ TES  583 WTPQ20 BABJ 292300 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 292300 UTC 00HR 28.3N 123.0E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 20KM/H=  584 WTPQ20 BABJ 292300 CCA SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS JANGMI 0815 (0815) INITIAL TIME 292300 UTC 00HR 28.3N 123.1E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NNE 20KM/H=  585 WTPQ20 BABJ 292300 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MEKKHALA 0816 (0816) INITIAL TIME 292300 UTC 00HR 17.5N 107.3E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 15KM/H=  192 WSTU31 LTAC 292330 LTAA SIGMET 7 VALID 292300/300200 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 2300 41-N-35E FCST MOV NE WKN=  067 WSPR31 SPIM 292315 SPIM SIGMET 04 VALID 292320/300220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S0409 W07833 S0219 W07607 S0510 W07438 S0644 W07708 S0409 W07833 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF SPIM SIGMET A2 VALID 292320/300220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S0710 W07641 S0539 W07429 S0832 W07335 S1024 W07137 S1131 W07245 0710 07641 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF SPIM SIGMET C2 VALID 292320/300220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S1053 W07120 S1102 W06904 S1215 W06845 S1306 W07002 S1221 W07125 S1053 W07121 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF SPIM SIGMET D1 VALID 292320/300220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR ISOL TS FCST S1358 W07226 S1456 W06932 S1600 W07005 S1432 W07341 S1358 W07226 TOP FL390 STNR INTSF=  993 WOPF10 NTAA 292349 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 33 DU 29/09/08 A 19H30 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 28S ET 157.5W LE 29/09/08 A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 15KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 25S157W 25S150W 30S148W 30S157W ET 25S157W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 35/45KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : EXTENSION DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  994 WOPF10 NTAA 292349 BMS MARINE A : AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS B : NUMERO 33 DU 29/09/08 A 19H30 UTC VALID 24 HEURES C : MINIMUM DEPRESSIONNAIRE 1007 HPA D : CENTRE PAR 28S ET 157.5W LE 29/09/08 A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-EST 15KT E : DANS LA ZONE LIMITEE PAR LES POINTS 25S157W 25S150W 30S148W 30S157W ET 25S157W VENT DE SECTEUR NORD A NORD-OUEST 25/33KT POINTES 35/45KT MER FORTE EVOLUTION : EXTENSION DE LA ZONE VERS LE SUD-EST= METEO-FRANCE EST CERTIFIE ISO 9001-2000 PAR BVC=  888 WWUS84 KLZK 292353 SPSLZK SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 653 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ARZ004-005-013>015-300040- BAXTER-IZARD-MARION-SEARCY-STONE- 653 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR BAXTER...IZARD...MARION...SEARCY AND STONE COUNTIES UNTIL 740 PM CDT... AT 653 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOWER BUFFALO WILDERNESS AREA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. AREAS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE FIFTY SIX...CALICO ROCK AND PINEVILLE. TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ADVISED TO EXPECT REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN. $$ 44  372 WWUS86 KEKA 292354 SPSEKA SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 454 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 CAZ001>004-076-301300- REDWOOD COAST-MENDOCINO COAST-NORTH COAST INTERIOR- UPPER TRINITY RIVER-MENDOCINO INTERIOR- 454 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2008 ...WET WEATHER EXPECTED LATE THIS WEEK... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CONTINUED WARM AND DRY WEATHER TO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. HOWEVER... A STORM SYSTEM NOW OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BRING LIGHT RAIN TO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MORE POTENT RAIN PRODUCING STORM LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM AND THE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS... IT APPEARS THAT NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA WILL SEE THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OF THE SEASON DURING THIS PERIOD. PLEASE KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS. $$ LERMAN  601 WSUS32 KKCI 292355 SIGC MKCC WST 292355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 23C VALID UNTIL 0155Z IN IL MO AR FROM 30SE FWA-30WNW CVG-70ESE RZC-70E SGF-20SSW DEC-30SE FWA AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 30025KT. TOPS TO FL430. HAIL TO 1IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 300155-300555 FROM 30NNE TTH-BNA-MEM-80ESE RZC-30SE DEC-30NNE TTH WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  602 WSUS33 KKCI 292355 SIGW MKCW WST 292355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 19W VALID UNTIL 0155Z NV CA FROM 50NNW LAS-20N TRM-30ENE RZS-40NNE EHF-50NNW LAS AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL350. CELL MOV 16015KT. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 20W VALID UNTIL 0155Z NV CA OR FROM 20WNW LKV-40ENE FMG-40N CZQ-40E RBL-20WNW LKV AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL300. CELL MOV 15015KT. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 21W VALID UNTIL 0155Z NV CA FROM 30NNW BAM-40ESE BAM-50ENE BTY-40WNW BTY-40NE FMG-30NNW BAM AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL370. CELL MOV 15015KT. OUTLOOK VALID 300155-300555 FROM 60NNE LKV-50S REO-MTU-HVE-80SSE ILC-PGS-30NNE MZB-30NNE RZS-30NNE SAC-OED-60NNE LKV WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  603 WSUS31 KKCI 292355 SIGE MKCE WST 292355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 32E VALID UNTIL 0155Z OH MI LE FROM 20ENE FNT-10SE DXO-40NNW CLE-30SE ROD-20ENE GRR-20ENE FNT AREA TS MOV FROM 24030KT. TOPS TO FL300. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 33E VALID UNTIL 0155Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20ENE VRB-PBI-30SSW RSW-30NW RSW-20ENE VRB AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL380. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 34E VALID UNTIL 0155Z NC SC GA FROM 20N SPA-30N MCN-20N ATL-30WNW SPA-20N SPA DVLPG AREA TS MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL350. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 35E VALID UNTIL 0155Z FL FROM 30SE CTY-50WNW ORL-40NE PIE LINE TS 20 NM WIDE MOV LTL. TOPS TO FL390. OUTLOOK VALID 300155-300555 AREA 1...FROM MBS-ECK-DXO-40NW CLE-50NW ERI-30NNW AIR-BNA-TTH-50ESE GRR-MBS WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30NNW SPA-ILM-ILM-SAV-TLH-CEW-LGC-50W ODF-30NNW SPA WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM OMN-190ENE VRB-170E PBI-60ENE PBI-130SE MIA-80WSW EYW-60WSW PIE-50SSE CTY-OMN WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  375 WWJP81 RJTD 292100 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 292100UTC ISSUED AT 300000UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 27.9N 123.1E MOVING NE 13 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 29.0N 125.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 29.9N 128.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA AT 10.4N 127.4E MOVING NW 12 KNOTS POSITION POOR MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 12.4N 125.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 32N 128E 31N 135E 33N 145E 33N 152E 38N 166E 44N 179W 43N 173W STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA SOUTHWEST OF MESHIMA, SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA, SEA AROUND AMAMI WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS GALE WARNING SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WITH 45 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOUTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300600UTC =  487 WWJP82 RJTD 292100 VITAL WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 292100UTC ISSUED AT 300000UTC TROPICAL STORM 0815 JANGMI(0815) 990HPA AT 27.9N 123.1E MOVING NE 13 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160NM EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 29.0N 125.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 29.9N 128.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 32N 128E 31N 135E 33N 145E 33N 152E 38N 166E 44N 179W 43N 173W STORM WARNING SEA WEST OF NAGASAKI, SEA OFF KAGOSHIMA WITH MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 300600UTC =  588 WBCN07 CWVR 292300 PAM ROCKS WIND 1403 LANGARA; PC 15+ E8 1FT CHP LO E F BNK DSNT N SWT 11.6 2330 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 14/13 GREEN; PC 15+ NE13 3FT MOD 2330 CLD EST SCT ABV 25 15/12 TRIPLE; CLR 15+ CLM RPLD LO SW 2330 CLR 16/14 BONILLA; CLR 15+ SW4 1FT CHP LO S 2330 CLR 17/12 BOAT BLUFF; CLR 15 W5 RPLD 2330 CLR 22/15 MCINNES; CLR 15 NW10E 2FT CHP LO SW 2330 CLR 15/12 IVORY; CLR 15+ W4 1FT CHP LO SW 2330 CLR 17/14 DRYAD; CLR 15 SE3 RPLD 2330 CLR 21/12 ADDENBROKE; CLR 15+ N5E 1FT CHP 2330 CLR 15/11 EGG ISLAND; CLR 15+ SE10 2FT CHP LO W SWT9.2 2340 CLD EST CLR 16/14 PINE ISLAND; CLR 16 SE05E 1FT CHP LO W SWT9.6 2340 CLD EST CLR 19/10 CAPE SCOTT; CLR 15 SE10E 2FT CHP LO SW 2340 CLD EST CLR 18/14 QUATSINO; PC 15+ N03E RPLD LO SW 2340 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 19/11 NOOTKA; PC 15 SW3 RPLD LO SW 2345 CLD EST FEW ABV 25 19/10 ESTEVAN; CLR 15 SE4 RPLD LO SW 1013.8F LENNARD; PC 15 SE8 2FT CHP LO SW AMPHITRITE; CLR 15 SE8 2FT CHP LO SW CAPE BEALE; CLR 15 SE10 4FT MOD LO SW EWOS SE20 PACHENA; PC 15+ SE16 5FT MOD LO SW EWOS SE26 CARMANAH; PC 15+ SE24G 5FT MOD LO SW SCARLETT; CLR 15 SE06 RPLD LO NW PULTENEY; CLR 15 SE05 RPLD CHATHAM; CLR 15+ SE02 RPLD 2340 CLD EST CLR 16/11 CHROME; CLR 15 SE3 RPLD MERRY; CLR 15 NW7 RPLD 2340 CLR 17/11 ENTRANCE; PC 15 W5 1FT CHP LO NW FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; CLR 6+ SW6 1FT CHP TSAWWASSEN; CLR 15+ NW8 1FT CHP TRIAL IS.; PC 15 NE10 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 151/20/11/3103/M/6021 69MM= WLP SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 138/16/07/1411/M/6016 60MM= WEB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 141/17/M/1105/M/8015 1MMM= WQC SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 159/24/07/1601/M/6018 51MM= WRU SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 139/15/M/1414+23/M/PK WND 1322 2257Z 8019 6MMM= WFG SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 135/15/M/1614/M/8012 2MMM= WVF SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/3007/M/M M 7MMM= WQS SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 135/15/12/1914/M/PK WND 1821 2202Z 8013 69MM= WRO SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 142/15/12/1605/M/8005 93MM= WEK SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 145/15/M/0316/M/7018 0MMM= WWL SA 2323 AUTO4 M M M 130/17/M/MM00/M/6020 0MMM= WME SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 141/16/11/0715+24/M/PK WND 0525 2212Z 6021 53MM= WAS SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 151/17/11/1403/M/7018 04MM= WSB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/17/M/0702/M/M 5MMM= WGT SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 157/16/12/3203/M/M 6020 05MM= WGB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 161/-49/M/2705/M/6020 1MMM= WDR SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/17/M/3614/M/M M 8MMM= WZO SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0208/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3007/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 154/19/08/1404/M/6020 71MM=  438 WUUS53 KPAH 292356 SVRPAH ILC055-300030- /O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0248.080929T2356Z-080930T0030Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 656 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2008 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 730 PM CDT. * AT 650 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF EWING...OR 6 MILES NORTH OF BENTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE... EWING... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION. LAT...LON 3813 8871 3795 8871 3804 8900 3813 8899 TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 283DEG 18KT 3808 8891 $$  759 WTTH20 VTBB 291800 TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY NAME TS MEKKHALA (0816) PSTN 291800 UTC 17.5 N 107.4 E MOVE W 12 KTS PRES 985 HPA MAXD 45 KT FORECAST 24 HR 301800 UTC 17.5 N 103.8 E DOWNGRADE TO TROPICAL DEORESSION MOVE W 10 KTS PRES 994 HPA MAXD 32 KT 48 HR 011800 UTC 17.0 N 100.5 E DOWNGRADE TO LOW  022 WTSR20 WSSS 291800 NO STORM WARNING=  746 WTTH20 VTBB 291200 TROPICAL STORM ADVISORY NAME TS MEKKHALA (0816) PSTN 291200 UTC 17.0 N 109.5 E MOVE NW 08 KTS PRES 992 HPA MAXD 45 KT FORECAST 24 HR 301200 UTC 18.0 N 107.0 E MOVE WNW 08 KTS PRES 994 HPA MAXD 45 KT 48 HR 011200 UTC 18.5 N 105.5 E DOWNGRADE TO TROPICAL DEORESSION MOVE W 08 KTS PRES 1000 HPA MAXD 32 KT 72 HR 021200 UTC 19.0 N 102.5 E MOVE W 06 KTS PRES 1002 HPA MAXD 30 KT