373 WWMM30 KNGU 150000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK VA// SUBJ/MEDITERRANEAN, BLACK, AND BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND/SEAS WARNING// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 150000Z OCT 09. 2. SYNOPTIC SITUATION FOR 150000Z OCT 09, TO INCLUDE REGIONAL NEAR-GALE WIND EVENTS AND WEATHER HAZARDS. A. WEST MED: HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER ENGLAND RIDGES OVER THE WESTERN MED AND INTERACTS WITH A WEAK LOW OVER CORSICA, PRODUCING SUB-GALE NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY (20-25G30) WINDS IN THE GULF OF LION. EXPECT FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN MED. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE WEST MED FOR THE PERIOD. B. CENT MED: A WEAK LOW OVER CORSICA PRODUCES SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SOUTHERN ITALY. MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF ALGERIA PRODUCES FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE GULF OF SIDRA. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENT MED FOR THE PERIOD. C. EAST MED: A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER UKRAINE TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD AND TRACKS ACROSS THE EASTERN MED. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THER PERIOD. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE EAST MED FOR THE PERIOD. D. BLACK SEA: A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER UKRAINE TRACKS NORTHEAST. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD AND TRACKS ACROSS THE EASTERN MED. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE (20 TO 25 GUSTS 30) WESTERLY WINDS. NO HIGH WINDS OR SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE BLACK SEA FOR THE PERIOD. E. BALTIC SEA: A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER UKRAINE TRACKS INTO RUSSIA AND PRODUCES UNSTABLE CONDITIONS FOR SBALT, SKGKAT, AND NBALT WITH GALE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS. SEE BELOW FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. 3. HIGH WIND WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 150000Z OCT 09. A. GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BALTIC. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS NORTHEAST AT 35-40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 55.0N0 015.0E6, 55.0N0 020.0E2, 59.0N4 023.0E5, 59.0N4 019.0E0, 55.0N0 015.0E6. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 150000Z OCT 09. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BALTIC. MAX SEAS 15 FT. AREA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AND ABATING. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 57.0N2 019.0E0, 58.0N3 021.0E3, 55.0N0 020.0E2, 55.0N0 015.0E6 57.0N2 019.0E0. 5. HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS AND MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND MASSES OR AREAS OF LESSER WINDS/SEAS. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD (1/3) OF COMBINED SEA AND SWELL WAVES, INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. 6. THE GRAPHICAL FORM OF THIS WARNING IS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD: UNCLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTPS://PORTAL.FNMOC.NAVY.MIL/ CLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTP://NOP.OCEANOGRAPHY.NAVY.SMIL.MIL/CONTENT/ NITDS/SWAN WEB SITE: HTTP:/WWW.USMETCEN.NATO.INT 7. NAVMARFCSTCEN VA COMMAND DUTY OFFICER CAN BE CONTACTED VIA: DSN: 312-564-7750/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 COMM: 757-444-7750/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 UNCLASS E-MAIL: MARITIME.CDO(AT)NAVY.MIL CLASSIFIED E-MAIL: CDO.NMFA_N.001.FCT@NAVY.SMIL.MIL 8. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT CMFWC NAPLES TO BE ADDED OR REMOVED FROM THIS MESSAGE. 9. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC TO REQUEST INDIVIDUAL TAILORED SUPPORT. POC: MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC CDR EVANGELIDES HN 0039 081 721 6337 (IVSN 433 6337) UNCLASSIFIED EMAIL: NOIC01(AT)AFSOUTH.NATO.INT. 10. THE NEXT MEDITERRANEAN/BLACK/BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING WILL BE KNGU WWMM31 VALID AT 151200Z OCT 2009.//  218 WWNT30 KNGU 150000 SUBJ/NORTH ATLANTIC WIND AND SEAS WARNING// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 150000Z OCT 09. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS BUT ARE DESCRIBED FOR BREVITY AND MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND MASSES OR AREAS OF LESSER WINDS/SEAS. 3. HIGH WIND WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 150000Z OCT 09. A. GALE WARNING FOR NORTH ATLANTIC (DENMARK STRAITS). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 35-40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 64.0N0 027.0W9, 64.0N0 022.6W0, 60.0N6 018.0W9, 60.0N6 035.0W8, 61.0N7 042.0W6, 64.0N0 027.0W9. B. GALE WARNING FOR NORTH ATLANTIC (OFF THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS CYCLONIC AT 35-40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 52.0N7 056.0W6, 50.0N5 055.0W0, 48.0N2 052.0W7, 46.0N0 053.0W8, 47.0N1 056.0W1, 47.0N1 056.0W1, 47.0N1 059.0W4, 44.0N8 060.0W6, 41.0N5 062.0W8, 37.0N0 052.0W7, 39.0N2 049.0W3, 36.0N9 047.0W1, 37.0N0 042.0W6, 41.0N5 039.0W2, 47.0N1 037.0W0, 51.0N6 036.0W9, 55.0N0 039.0W2, 56.0N1 044.0W8, 55.0N0 053.0W8, C. STORM WARNING FOR NORTH ATLANTIC (NORTHEAST OF NOVA SCOTIA). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 50-55 WITH GUSTS TO 65 KTS. AREA OF 50 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 50.0N5 053.0W8, 51.0N6 050.0W5, 52.0N7 047.0W1, 52.0N7 044.0W8, 49.0N3 044.0W8, 46.0N0 043.0W7, 45.0N9 044.0W8, 44.0N8 039.0W2, 49.0N3 039.0W2, 52.0N7 040.0W4, 55.0N0 044.0W8, 55.0N0 050.0W5, 54.0N9 052.0W7, 51.0N6 055.0W0, 50.0N5 053.0W8. D. STORM WARNING FOR NORTH ATLANTIC (EAST OF NOVA SCOTIA). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS WEST AT 50-55 WITH GUSTS TO 65 KTS. AREA OF 50 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 48.0N2 052.0W7, 46.0N0 052.0W7, 45.0N9 049.0W3, 46.0N0 046.0W0, 48.0N2 046.0W0, 47.0N1 048.0W2, 48.0N2 052.0W7. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 150000Z OCT 09. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR NORTH ATLANTIC (OFF THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA). SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 51.0N6 055.0W0, 53.0N8 047.0W1, 49.0N3 037.0W0, 43.0N7 040.0W4, 34.0N7 050.0W5, 38.0N1 053.0W8, 33.0N6 060.0W6, 36.0N9 066.0W2, 46.0N0 058.0W3, 46.0N0 053.0W8, 48.0N2 052.0W7, 49.0N3 053.0W8, 51.0N6 055.0W0. SEAS 18 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 50.0N5 046.0W0, 49.0N3 039.0W2, 39.0N2 046.0W0, 41.0N5 056.0W1, 44.0N8 056.0W1, 50.0N5 046.0W0. MAX SEAS 28 FT. AREA MOVING NORTHEAST AND BUILDING. B. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR NORTH ATLANTIC (DENMARK STRAITS). SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 68.0N4 007.0W7, 66.0N2 002.0W2, 59.0N4 014.0W5, 51.0N6 025.0W7, 54.0N9 034.0W7, 61.0N7 041.0W5, 64.0N0 029.0W1, 68.0N4 025.0W7, 68.0N4 022.0W4, 66.0N2 025.0W7, 64.0N0 024.0W6, 63.0N9 020.0W2, 63.0N9 016.0W7, 68.0N4 007.0W7. SEAS 18 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 60.0N6 034.0W7, 58.0N3 032.0W5, 57.0N2 027.0W9, 62.0N8 019.0W0, 64.0N0 025.0W7, 60.0N6 034.0W7. MAX SEAS 25 FT. AREA MOVING NORTHEAST AND BUILDING. C. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR NORTH ATLANTIC (NORTH OF NORWAY). SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 66.0N2 005.0E5, 69.0N5 010.0E1, 73.0N0 004.0E4, 75.0N2 003.0E3, 77.0N4 010.0E1, 75.0N2 032.0E5, 71.0N8 040.0E4, 70.0N7 037.0E0, 71.0N8 031.0E4, 71.0N8 023.0E5, 70.0N7 016.0E7, 64.0N0 009.0E9, 63.0N9 005.0E5, 66.0N2 005.0E5. MAX SEAS 18 FT. AREA MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AND ABATING. 5. WAVE HEIGHTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD (1/3) OF COMBINED SEA AND SWELL. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. 6. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING, WWNT31 KNGU WILL BE VALID AT 151200Z.// BT  386 WWMM31 KNGU 151200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK VA// SUBJ/MEDITERRANEAN, BLACK, AND BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND/SEAS WARNING// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 151200Z OCT 09. 2. SYNOPTIC SITUATION FOR 151200Z OCT 09, TO INCLUDE REGIONAL NEAR-GALE WIND EVENTS AND WEATHER HAZARDS. A. WEST MED: HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UNITED KINGDOM RIDGES SOUTHEAST AND INTERACTS WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL MED PRODUCING GALE FORCE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WITH ASSOCIATED SEAS OVER LIONS AND UNICORN. B. CENT MED: A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL MED WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENT MED FOR THE PERIOD. C. EAST MED: A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL MED WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR WESTERN BOMBA, JASON, AND AEGEAN. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN BLACK SEA RIDGES SOUTH INFLUENCING THE WEATHER FOR THE REMAINING NATO AREAS. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE EAST MED FOR THE PERIOD. D. BLACK SEA: HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN BLACK SEA PRODUCES FAIR WEATHER FOR BOTH GEORGIA AND DANUBE. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE BLACK SEA FOR THE PERIOD. E. BALTIC SEA: HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UNITED KINGDOM RIDGES NORTHEAST AND INTERACTS WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER GERMANY PRODUCING MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FOR NBALT AND SBALT. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE BALTIC SEA FOR THE PERIOD. 3. HIGH WIND WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 151200Z OCT 09. A. GALE WARNING FOR THE GULF OF LION. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS NORTHWEST AT 35 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 44.0N8 003.0E3, 41.0N5 003.0E3, 42.0N6 005.0E5, 44.0N8 003.0E3. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 151200Z OCT 09. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE GULF OF LION. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 43.0N7 005.0E5, 42.0N6 004.0E4, 40.0N4 002.0E2, 41.0N5 005.0E5, 43.0N7 005.0E5. MAX SEAS 14 FT AND BUILDING. 5. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS AND MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND MASSES OR AREAS OF LESSER WINDS/SEAS. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD (1/3) OF COMBINED SEA AND SWELL WAVES, INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. 6. THE GRAPHICAL FORM OF THIS WARNING IS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD: UNCLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTPS://PORTAL.FNMOC.NAVY.MIL/ CLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTP://NOP.OCEANOGRAPHY.NAVY.SMIL.MIL/CONTENT/ NITDS/SWAN WEB SITE: HTTP:/WWW.USMETCEN.NATO.INT 7. NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK, VA COMMAND DUTY OFFICER CAN BE CONTACTED VIA: DSN: 312-564-7583/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 COMM: 757-444-7583/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 UNCLASS E-MAIL: MARITIME.CDO(AT)NAVY.MIL CLASSIFIED E-MAIL: CDO.NMFA_N.001.FCT(AT)NAVY.SMIL.MIL 8. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT CMFWC NAPLES TO BE ADDED OR REMOVED FROM THIS MESSAGE. 9. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC TO REQUEST INDIVIDUAL TAILORED SUPPORT. POC: MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC CDR EVANGELIDIS HN 0039 081 721 6337 (IVSN 433 6337) UNCLASSIFIED EMAIL: NOIC01(AT)AFSOUTH.NATO.INT. 10. THE NEXT MEDITERRANEAN/BLACK/BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING WILL BE KNGU WWMM30 VALID AT 160000Z OCT 09.//  533 WWNT31 KNGU 151200 SUBJ/NORTH ATLANTIC WIND AND SEAS WARNING// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 151200Z OCT 09. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS BUT ARE DESCRIBED FOR BREVITY AND MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND MASSES OR AREAS OF LESSER WINDS/SEAS. 3. WIND WARNINGS EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 151200Z OCT 09. A. GALE WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (NORTH OF ICELAND). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS EAST AT 35 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 66.0N2 021.0W3, 67.0N3 017.0W8, 68.0N4 016.0W7, 68.0N4 021.0W3, 66.0N2 021.0W3. B. GALE WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (WEST OF ICELAND). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS NORTH 35 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 65.0N1 023.0W5, 64.0N0 023.0W5, 64.0N0 032.0W5, 66.0N2 032.0W5, 66.0N2 027.0W9, 65.0N1 023.0W5. C. GALE WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (SOUTH OF GREENLAND). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS CYCLONIC AT 35 TO 50 WITH GUSTS TO 55 KTS. AREA OF 35 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 46.0N0 038.0W1, 50.0N5 034.0W7, 56.0N1 033.0W6, 59.0N4 035.0W8, 60.0N6 043.0W7, 60.0N6 047.0W1, 57.0N2 053.0W8, 53.0N8 053.0W8, 49.0N3 051.0W6, 49.0N3 045.0W9, 50.0N5 039.0W2, 46.0N0 038.0W1. D. STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (SOUTH OF GREENLAND). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS CYCLONIC AT 50 TO 55 WITH GUSTS TO 65 KTS. AREA OF 50 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 51.0N6 040.0W4, 53.0N8 041.0W5, 53.0N8 047.0W1, 55.0N0 048.0W2, 57.0N2 049.0W3, 55.0N0 052.0W7, 53.0N8 050.0W5, 51.0N6 047.0W1, 51.0N6 040.0W4. E. STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (SOUTH OF GREENLAND). MAX SUSTAINED WINDS CYCLONIC AT 50 TO 55 WITH GUSTS TO 65 KTS. AREA OF 50 KT WINDS AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 52.0N7 037.0W0, 56.0N1 041.0W5, 58.0N3 039.0W2, 55.0N0 036.0W9, 52.0N7 037.0W0. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 151200Z OCT 09. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (SOUTH OF GREENLAND). SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 31.0N4 061.0W7, 35.0N8 065.0W1, 43.0N7 057.0W2, 46.0N0 053.0W8, 48.0N2 052.0W7, 52.0N7 055.0W0, 59.0N4 049.0W3, 57.0N2 035.0W8, 52.0N7 031.0W4, 38.0N1 043.0W7, 38.0N1 050.0W5, 31.0N4 061.0W7. SEAS 18 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 44.0N8 040.0W4, 50.0N5 036.0W9, 55.0N0 037.0W0, 57.0N2 041.0W5, 55.0N0 048.0W2, 56.0N1 051.0W6, 52.0N7 053.0W8, 44.0N8 049.0W3, 45.0N9 044.0W8, 44.0N8 040.0W4. MAX SEAS 29 FT AND BUILDING. B. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (SOUTH OF ICELAND). SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 56.0N1 021.0W3, 60.0N6 031.0W4, 62.0N8 040.0W4, 66.0N2 034.0W7, 68.0N4 027.0W9, 69.0N5 022.0W4, 70.0N7 017.0W8, 71.0N8 010.0W1, 69.0N5 007.0W7, 67.0N3 014.0W5, 67.0N3 023.0W5, 65.0N1 025.0W7, 64.0N0 022.0W4, 63.0N9 018.0W9, 65.0N1 011.0W2, 67.0N3 004.0W4, 68.0N4 001.0E1, 66.0N2 003.0E3, 62.0N8 009.0W9, 56.0N1 021.0W3. SEAS 18 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 66.0N2 025.0W7, 67.0N3 026.0W8, 63.0N9 036.0W9, 62.0N8 027.0W9, 61.0N7 018.0W9, 63.0N9 015.0W6, 63.0N9 018.0W9, 64.0N0 024.0W6, 65.0N1 026.0W8, 66.0N2 025.0W7. MAX SEAS 24 FT AND ABATING. C. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC (BARENTS SEA). SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 70.0N7 016.0E7, 71.0N8 024.0E6, 71.0N8 030.0E3, 69.0N5 044.0E8, 75.0N2 044.0E8, 77.0N4 037.0E0, 77.0N4 028.0E0, 76.0N3 017.0E8, 73.0N0 018.0E9, 71.0N8 014.0E5, 70.0N7 016.0E7. MAX SEAS 18 FT AND MAINTAINING. 5. WAVE HEIGHTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD (1/3) OF COMBINED SEA AND SWELL. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. 6. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING, WWNT30 KNGU, WILL BE VALID AT 160000.//  436 WSAG31 SARE 152315 SARR SIGMET 2 VALID 142330/150330 SARE- RESISTENCIA FIR EMBD TS OBS BTN SARF SARI 25S 53W SATI 27S 56W SARF MOV E 10KT INTSF=  914 WHUS76 KMTR 150001 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 501 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 PZZ530-150115- /O.CAN.KMTR.SC.Y.0117.000000T0000Z-091015T0800Z/ SAN FRANCISCO/SAN PABLO/SUISUN BAYS AND THE WEST DELTA- 501 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 20 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING. $$ THIS PRODUCT DOES NOT INCLUDE INFORMATION ON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS. SEE PRODUCTS SUCH AS SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS...MARINE WEATHER STATEMENTS...WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATIONS AND THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.  458 WSPS21 NZKL 150001 NZZO SIGMET 2 VALID 150001/150401 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL280/350 90NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3200 E17500 - S3130 W17500 - S2630 W16600 MOV E 10KT NC  461 WSPS21 NZKL 150001 NZZO SIGMET 1 VALID 150001/150148 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 16 142148/150148  498 WWNZ40 NZKL 150004 GALE WARNING 268 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 150000UTC OVER WATERS NORTH OF ICE EDGE. IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 61S 177W 61S 173W 61S 164W: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 35KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 265.  563 WWNZ40 NZKL 150005 GALE WARNING 269 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 150000UTC IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 61S 165E 61S 171E 62S 178E: WESTERLY 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA THEN SLOW MOVING. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 266.  564 WWNZ40 NZKL 150003 GALE WARNING 267 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 150000UTC OVER WATERS NORTH OF ICE EDGE. IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 58S 139W 56S 120W 65S 120W 58S 139W: WESTERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 40KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 264.  096 WSPR31 SPIM 150004 SPIM SIGMET 1 VALID 150005/150007 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET A7 VALID 142205/150000=  201 WSPR31 SPIM 150004 SPIM SIGMET 1 VALID 150005/150007 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET A7 VALID 142205/150000=  685 WSNT08 KKCI 150010 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 7 VALID 150010/150410 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0010Z WI N4500 W04500 - N4500 W04000 - N3945 W04100 - N3415 W04615 - N3730 W05000 - N4500 W04500. TOP FL470. MOV E 20KT. NC.  785 WHUS76 KMFR 150010 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 510 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 PZZ350-356-370-376-151115- /O.EXP.KMFR.GL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-091015T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SI.Y.0098.091015T0010Z-091015T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 510 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT SATURDAY. SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WILL PERSIST THIS EVENING AS A TROUGH MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN OREGON WATERS. SOUTH WINDS WILL EASE TO 15 TO 20 KT OVERNIGHT. HAZARDOUS SEAS OF 13 TO 16 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 10 SECONDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 TO 12 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE WATERS AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DW  944 WTPQ51 PGUM 150010 TCEPQ1 TROPICAL STORM 22W POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1010 AM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 AT 1000 AM CHST...0000Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 22W WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 125 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE GUAM WSR-88D RADAR AT AN ELEVATION OF 16800 FEET. $$ MUNDELL  852 WWGM80 PGUM 150013 AWWGUM GUZ001-150800- AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR GUAM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1005 AM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 AN AIRPORT WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR FREQUENT WIND GUSTS FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 25 TO 35 KT UNTIL 600 PM CHST. BE ALERT AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS AS REQUIRED. $$ SIMPSON  133 WSNT08 KKCI 150010 KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 7 VALID 150010/150410 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0010Z WI N4500 W04500 - N4500 W04000 - N3945 W04100 - N3415 W04615 - N3730 W05000 - N4500 W04500. TOP FL470. MOV E 20KT. NC.  350 WHUS72 KMHX 150017 MWWMHX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 817 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 AMZ135-150830- /O.EXB.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091015T2000Z/ PAMLICO SOUND- 817 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 KT WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ150-152-150830- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091018T1000Z/ S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM- S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM- 817 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... SEVERAL STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREAS WILL MOVE NEAR OR OFFSHORE OF THE AREA PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. AN EXTENDED FETCH OF STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ROUGH SEAS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ154-150830- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091018T1000Z/ S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 817 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... SEVERAL STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREAS WILL MOVE NEAR OR OFFSHORE OF THE AREA PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. AN EXTENDED FETCH OF STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ROUGH SEAS FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ156-150830- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM- 817 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THURSDAY... SEVERAL STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREAS WILL MOVE NEAR OR OFFSHORE OF THE AREA PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ158-150830- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM- 817 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THURSDAY... SEVERAL STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREAS WILL MOVE NEAR OR OFFSHORE OF THE AREA PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  622 WOUS44 KHGX 150017 ADRHGX TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-201-225-239-291-313-321- 339-373-407-455-471-473-477-481-150130- ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE TEXAS DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 717 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE TEXAS DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THE TEXAS DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS DISCONTINUED THE AMBER ALERT IN THE CASE OF MALAKAI IZAAK MASCORRO AS OF 611 PM CDT...OCTOBER 14 2009...END OF MESSAGE. $$  714 WSNZ21 NZKL 150013 NZZC SIGMET 1 VALID 150013/150313 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 28 142313/150313  715 WSNZ21 NZKL 150015 NZZC SIGMET 2 VALID 150015/150314 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 29 142314/150314  895 WSNZ21 NZKL 150015 NZZC SIGMET 3 VALID 150015/150415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZOH/NZGS NC  984 WSNZ21 NZKL 150018 NZZC SIGMET 4 VALID 150018/150418 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 NZHK/NZCH TO PM NC  378 WWST02 SABM 150137 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC OCTOBER 14, 2009 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PART ONE: GALE WARNING NIL ----------------------------------------------------------------- PART TWO: SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 21:00 UTC, OCTOBER/14/2009 HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31 S 35 W MOVING EAST LOW 1010 HPA AT 35 S 47 W MOVING EAST EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 29 S 55 W 31 S 50 W 35 S 46 W MOVING NORTHEAST HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41 S 65 W MOVING EAST COLD FRONT AT 40 S 50 W 41 S 45 W 45 S 38 W 48 S 33 W 50 S 28 W MOVING EAST COLD FRONT AT 56 S 75 W 58 S 67 W 61 S 60 W 63 S 55 W 65 S 53 W MOVING NORTHEAST ----------------------------------------------------------------- PARTH THREE: FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC OCTOBER 15,2009 VALID UNTIL 18:00 UTC OCTOBER 15,2009 1- COASTAL AREAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY VERY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 36 17'23'' S A 40 S: MODERATE BREEZE AFTERWARDS GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 40 S A 43 S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SOUTHEAST VEERING TO NORTHEAST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 43 S A 48 S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 48 S A 52 S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 52 S A 54 S: STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 54 S A 55 S: STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- OCEANIC AREAS 35 S 20 W 40 S 20 W 40 S 30 W 35 S 30 W 35 S 20 W :STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH CHANGING TO MODERATE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 35 W 35 S 35 W 35 S 30 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35 S 35 W 40 S 35 W 40 S 40 W 35 S 40 W 35 S 35 W :MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST CHANGING AFTERWARDS FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY/ WORSENING/ POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. 35 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 50 W 35 S 50 W 35 S 40 W :STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 50 W :MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 20 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 30 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 20 W :STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 40 W :FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 55 W 40 S 55 W 40 S 50 W :FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 55 W :FRESH BREEZE TO NEAR GALE FROM SOUTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 50 S 30 W 50 S 20 W :NEAR GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50 S 30 W 60 S 30 W 60 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 30 W :STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50 S 50 W 60 S 50 W 60 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 50 W :STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W :STRONG BREEZE TO GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ RAIN/ SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY POOR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  684 WSNZ21 NZKL 150013 NZZC SIGMET 1 VALID 150013/150313 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 28 142313/150313  685 WSNZ21 NZKL 150018 NZZC SIGMET 4 VALID 150018/150418 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 NZHK/NZCH TO PM NC  686 WSNZ21 NZKL 150015 NZZC SIGMET 3 VALID 150015/150415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZOH/NZGS NC  687 WSNZ21 NZKL 150015 NZZC SIGMET 2 VALID 150015/150314 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 29 142314/150314  688 WSNZ21 NZKL 150015 NZZC SIGMET 2 VALID 150015/150314 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 29 142314/150314=  689 WSNZ21 NZKL 150015 NZZC SIGMET 3 VALID 150015/150415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZOH/NZGS NC=  690 WSNZ21 NZKL 150018 NZZC SIGMET 4 VALID 150018/150418 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 NZHK/NZCH TO PM NC=  691 WSNZ21 NZKL 150013 NZZC SIGMET 1 VALID 150013/150313 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 28 142313/150313=  574 WWST01 SABM 150024 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 21:00 UTC 14 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL PRIMERA PARTE: AVISO DE TEMPORAL NIL ----------------------------------------------------------------- SEGUNDA PARTE: SITUACION SINOPTICA A LAS: 21:00 UTC DEL 14/OCTUBRE/2009 ANTICICLON 1016 HPA EN 31§S 35§W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE DEPRESION 1010 HPA EN 35§S 47§W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE EXTIENDE FRENTE FRIO EN 29§S 55§W 31§S 50§W 35§S 46§W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL NORESTE ANTICICLON 1020 HPA EN 41§S 65§W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE FRENTE FRIO EN 40§S 50§W 41§S 45§W 45§S 38§W 48§S 33§W 50= §S 28§W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE FRENTE FRIO EN 56§S 75§W 58§S 67§W 61§S 60§W 63§S 55§W 65= §S 53§W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL NORESTE ----------------------------------------------------------------- TERCERA PARTE: PRONOSTICO DE LAS 00:00 UTC DEL 15/OCTUBRE/2009 VALIDO HASTA LAS 18:00 UTC DEL 15/OCTUBRE/2009 1- ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SECTOR ESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. COSTAS DE ISLAS MALVINAS: VIENTOS FUERTES A MUY FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD MUY BUENA/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 36§17'23''§S A 40§S: VIENTOS MODERADOS LUEGO VIENTOS LEVES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR ESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS AISLADA/O/S/ MEJORANDO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 40§S A 43§S: VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SUDESTE ROTANDO AL NORESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 43§S A 48§S: VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR NORTE/ ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 48§S A 52§S: VIENTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 52§S A 54§S: VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 54§S A 55§S: VIENTOS FUERTES A MUY FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE PRECIPITACIONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- AREAS OCEANICAS: 35§S 20§W 40§S 20§W 40§S 30§W 35§S 30§W 35§S 20§W : VIE= NTOS FUERTES A REGULARES DEL SECTOR NORTE CAMBIANDO A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE PRECIPITACIONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 35§S 30§W 40§S 30§W 40§S 35§W 35§S 35§W 35§S 30§W : VIE= NTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL OESTE ROTANDO AL NOROESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE PRECIPITACIONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 35§S 35§W 40§S 35§W 40§S 40§W 35§S 40§W 35§S 35§W : VIE= NTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL OESTE ROTANDO AL NOROESTE CAMBIANDO LUEGO DEL SECTOR SUR/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO A NUBLADO/ DESMEJORANDO/ PROBABILIDAD DE PRECIPITACIONES/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. 35§S 40§W 40§S 40§W 40§S 50§W 35§S 50§W 35§S 40§W : VIE= NTOS FUERTES A REGULARES DEL SECTOR SUR/ NUBLADO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 35§S 50§W 40§S 50§W 40§S 55§W 35§S 55§W 35§S 50§W : VIE= NTOS MODERADOS A REGULARES DEL SECTOR SUR/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ MEJORANDO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40§S 20§W 45§S 20§W 45§S 30§W 40§S 30§W 40§S 20§W : VIE= NTOS MODERADOS DEL NOROESTE ROTANDO AL OESTE/ NUBLADO/ PRECIPITACIONES/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40§S 30§W 45§S 30§W 45§S 40§W 40§S 40§W 40§S 30§W : VIE= NTOS REGULARES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE PRECIPITACIONES/ MEJORANDO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 45§S 20§W 50§S 20§W 50§S 40§W 45§S 40§W 45§S 20§W : VIE= NTOS FUERTES A REGULARES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40§S 40§W 50§S 40§W 50§S 50§W 40§S 50§W 40§S 40§W : VIE= NTOS REGULARES A FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBLADO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIAS/ CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40§S 50§W 50§S 50§W 50§S 55§W 40§S 55§W 40§S 50§W : VIE= NTOS REGULARES A FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE ROTANDO AL OESTE/ NUBLADO/ CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40§S 55§W 50§S 55§W 50§S 60§W 40§S 60§W 40§S 55§W : VIE= NTOS REGULARES A VIENTOS MUY FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE ROTANDO AL OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 50§S 20§W 60§S 20§W 60§S 30§W 50§S 30§W 50§S 20§W : VIE= NTOS MUY FUERTES A VIENTOS FUERTES DEL NOROESTE ROTANDO AL OESTE/ NUBLADO/ NEVADAS/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 50§S 30§W 60§S 30§W 60§S 50§W 50§S 50§W 50§S 30§W : VIE= NTOS FUERTES A MUY FUERTES DEL OESTE ROTANDO AL NOROESTE/ NUBLADO/ NEVADAS AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 50§S 50§W 60§S 50§W 60§S 55§W 50§S 55§W 50§S 50§W : VIE= NTOS FUERTES A MUY FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBLADO/ PRECIPITACIONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 55§S 55§W 60§S 55§W 60§S 67§W 55§S 67§W 55§S 55§W : VIE= NTOS FUERTES A TEMPORAL DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBLADO/ LLUVIAS/ NEVADAS/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD MALA.  835 WWST02 SABM 150024 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC OCTOBER 14, 2009 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PART ONE: GALE WARNING NIL ----------------------------------------------------------------- PART TWO: SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 21:00 UTC, OCTOBER/14/2009 HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31§S 35§W MOVING EAST LOW 1010 HPA AT 35§S 47§W MOVING EAST EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 29§S 55§W 31§S 50§W 35§S 46§W MOVING NORTHEAST HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41§S 65§W MOVING EAST COLD FRONT AT 40§S 50§W 41§S 45§W 45§S 38§W 48§S 33§W 50§= S 28§W MOVING EAST COLD FRONT AT 56§S 75§W 58§S 67§W 61§S 60§W 63§S 55§W 65§= S 53§W MOVING NORTHEAST ----------------------------------------------------------------- PARTH THREE: FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC OCTOBER 15,2009 VALID UNTIL 18:00 UTC OCTOBER 15,2009 1- COASTAL AREAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY VERY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 36§17'23''§S A 40§S: MODERATE BREEZE AFTERWARDS GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 40§S A 43§S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SOUTHEAST VEERING TO NORTHEAST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 43§S A 48§S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 48§S A 52§S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 52§S A 54§S: STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 54§S A 55§S: STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- OCEANIC AREAS 35§S 20§W 40§S 20§W 40§S 30§W 35§S 30§W 35§S 20§W :STRO= NG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH CHANGING TO MODERATE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35§S 30§W 40§S 30§W 40§S 35§W 35§S 35§W 35§S 30§W :FRES= H TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35§S 35§W 40§S 35§W 40§S 40§W 35§S 40§W 35§S 35§W :MODE= RATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST CHANGING AFTERWARDS FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY/ WORSENING/ POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. 35§S 40§W 40§S 40§W 40§S 50§W 35§S 50§W 35§S 40§W :STRO= NG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35§S 50§W 40§S 50§W 40§S 55§W 35§S 55§W 35§S 50§W :MODE= RATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40§S 20§W 45§S 20§W 45§S 30§W 40§S 30§W 40§S 20§W :MODE= RATE BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40§S 30§W 45§S 30§W 45§S 40§W 40§S 40§W 40§S 30§W :FRES= H TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 45§S 20§W 50§S 20§W 50§S 40§W 45§S 40§W 45§S 20§W :STRO= NG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40§S 40§W 50§S 40§W 50§S 50§W 40§S 50§W 40§S 40§W :FRES= H TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40§S 50§W 50§S 50§W 50§S 55§W 40§S 55§W 40§S 50§W :FRES= H TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40§S 55§W 50§S 55§W 50§S 60§W 40§S 60§W 40§S 55§W :FRES= H BREEZE TO NEAR GALE FROM SOUTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 50§S 20§W 60§S 20§W 60§S 30§W 50§S 30§W 50§S 20§W :NEAR= GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50§S 30§W 60§S 30§W 60§S 50§W 50§S 50§W 50§S 30§W :STRO= NG TO NEAR GALE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50§S 50§W 60§S 50§W 60§S 55§W 50§S 55§W 50§S 50§W :STRO= NG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 55§S 55§W 60§S 55§W 60§S 67§W 55§S 67§W 55§S 55§W :STRO= NG BREEZE TO GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ RAIN/ SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY POOR.  302 WWST02 SABM 150139 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC OCTOBER 14, 2009 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PART ONE: GALE WARNING NIL ----------------------------------------------------------------- PART TWO: SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 21:00 UTC, OCTOBER/14/2009 HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31 S 35 W MOVING EAST LOW 1010 HPA AT 35 S 47 W MOVING EAST EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 29 S 55 W 31 S 50 W 35 S 46 W MOVING NORTHEAST HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41 S 65 W MOVING EAST COLD FRONT AT 40 S 50 W 41 S 45 W 45 S 38 W 48 S 33 W 50 S 28 W MOVING EAST COLD FRONT AT 56 S 75 W 58 S 67 W 61 S 60 W 63 S 55 W 65 S 53 W MOVING NORTHEAST ----------------------------------------------------------------- PARTH THREE: FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC OCTOBER 15,2009 VALID UNTIL 18:00 UTC OCTOBER 15,2009 1- COASTAL AREAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY VERY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 36 17'23'' S A 40 S: MODERATE BREEZE AFTERWARDS GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED RAIN/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 40 S A 43 S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SOUTHEAST VEERING TO NORTHEAST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 43 S A 48 S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH/ FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 48 S A 52 S: FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 52 S A 54 S: STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 54 S A 55 S: STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- OCEANIC AREAS 35 S 20 W 40 S 20 W 40 S 30 W 35 S 30 W 35 S 20 W :STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR NORTH CHANGING TO MODERATE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 35 W 35 S 35 W 35 S 30 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35 S 35 W 40 S 35 W 40 S 40 W 35 S 40 W 35 S 35 W :MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST CHANGING AFTERWARDS FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY/ WORSENING/ POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. 35 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 50 W 35 S 50 W 35 S 40 W :STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 35 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 50 W :MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 30 W 40 S 30 W 40 S 20 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 30 W 45 S 30 W 45 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 30 W :FRESH TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION/ IMPROVING/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 20 W :STRONG TO FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 40 W :FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 55 W 40 S 55 W 40 S 50 W :FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 55 W :FRESH BREEZE TO NEAR GALE FROM SOUTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 30 W 50 S 30 W 50 S 20 W :NEAR GALE TO STRONG BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST VEERING TO WEST/ CLOUDY/ SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50 S 30 W 60 S 30 W 60 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 30 W :STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM WEST VEERING TO NORTHWEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50 S 50 W 60 S 50 W 60 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 50 W :STRONG TO NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ ISOLATED PRECIPITATION/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W :STRONG BREEZE TO GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ CLOUDY/ RAIN/ SNOWFALL/ VISIBILITY MODERATE/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY POOR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  965 WTPQ31 PGUM 150030 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 22W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP222009 1100 AM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W PASSING SOUTH OF GUAM... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM... AT 1000 AM CHST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 22W WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM 195 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 275 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. THE TROPICAL STORM IS CURRENTLY MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST AT AROUND 25 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST...AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS...AT AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1000 AM CHST RADAR POSITION...LATITUDE 11.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM CHST THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 500 PM. $$ MUNDELL  246 WWCN11 CWHX 150033 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9:33 PM ADT WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... FROST WARNING FOR: MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA. THIS IS A WARNING THAT AT OR NEAR ZERO GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE FROST IN PARTS OF THESE REGIONS TONIGHT. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A COLD AIRMASS OVER THE PROVINCE WILL RESULT IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/..  860 WWCN14 CWHX 150034 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9:34 PM ADT WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... FROST WARNING FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION CAMPBELLTON AND EASTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY WESTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY FREDERICTON AND SOUTHERN YORK COUNTY FUNDY NATIONAL PARK GRAND FALLS AND VICTORIA COUNTY GRAND LAKE AND QUEENS COUNTY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY OROMOCTO AND SUNBURY COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY STANLEY - DOAKTOWN - BLACKVILLE AREA SUSSEX/KENNEBECASIS VALLEY AND KINGS COUNTY WOODSTOCK AND CARLETON COUNTY. THIS IS A WARNING THAT ZERO GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE FROST IN PARTS OF THESE REGIONS TONIGHT. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== COLD AIR OVER THE PROVINCE WILL RESULT IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/..  721 WWCN16 CWHX 150037 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:07 PM NDT WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WIND WARNING FOR: ST. JOHN'S AND VICINITY AVALON PENINSULA NORTH CLARENVILLE AND VICINITY TERRA NOVA BONAVISTA NORTH. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 100 KM/H WITH COASTAL GUSTS TO 140 KM/H WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. WINTER STORM WARNING FOR: BONAVISTA PENINSULA. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS NEAR 15 CENTIMETRES ARE EXPECTED OVER INLAND SECTIONS OF THE BONAVISTA PENINSULA, MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS IS A WARNING THAT DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: AVALON PENINSULA SOUTH. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTHEAST OF THE AVALON PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT MOVES OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL GUST UPWARDS OF 100 KM/H WITH COASTAL GUSTS REACHING 140 KM/H THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE OVERNIGHT AS THE STORM MOVES OUT TO SEA. HEAVY SNOW HAS BEEN FALLING OVER HIGHER TERRAIN ON THE BONAVISTA PENINSULA AND WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 15 CENTIMETRES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. COASTAL AREAS OF THE PENINSULA WILL SEE VERY LITTLE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION - IN FACT PRECIPITATION IS FALLING AS RAIN OVER MOST COASTAL AREAS NOW. ALONG THE EAST AND NORTHEAST COASTS HIGH SEAS AND ROUGH SURF ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST TONIGHT BEFORE EASING THURSDAY MORNING. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF WAVES CRASHING OR RUNNING ACROSS ROADS CLOSE TO THE SHORELINE AND MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/..  920 WVJP31 RJTD 150045 RJJJ SIGMET 1 VALID 150045/150645 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA ERUPTION MT SAKURAJIMA LOC N3135 E13040 VA CLD OBS AT 0023Z FL070 EXTENDED S INTST UNKNOWN=  443 WVJP31 RJTD 150045 RJJJ SIGMET 1 VALID 150045/150645 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA ERUPTION MT SAKURAJIMA LOC N3135 E13040 VA CLD OBS AT 0023Z FL070 EXTENDED S INTST UNKNOWN=  543 WWCN02 CYTR 150040 WEATHER WARNING NUMBER 068 ISSUED FOR COLD LAKE BY THE MSC WEATHER SERVICES CENTRE TRENTON AT 8:40 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBER 2009. SNOWFALL WARNING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 CM ARE EXPECTED FROM 150400Z TO 151000Z. THIS WARNING WILL BE UPDATED BY 150600Z. END/WILLS/YAU  549 WVNT07 KKCI 150040 WSVA0G TJZS SIGMET GOLF 10 VALID 150040/150640 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 0040Z WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1730 W06300 - N1630 W06300 - N1645 W06515 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. BLW FL090. STNR. FCST 0640Z VA CLD APRX WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1730 W06300 - N1630 W06300 - N1645 W06515 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415.  694 WVIY31 LIIB 150040 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150110/150710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV NE 10-20 KT=  721 WVIY31 LIMM 150040 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150110/150710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV NE 10-20 KT=  192 WVIY31 LIMM 150040 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150110/150710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV NE 10-20 KT=  477 WVIY31 LIIB 150040 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150110/150710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV NE 10-20 KT=  435 WABZ24 SBCW 150040 SBCW AIRMET 1 VALID 150040/150300 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR BKN CLD 02 00FT OBS AT 0020Z WI CURITIBA TMA STNR NC=  522 WVNT07 KKCI 150040 TJZS SIGMET GOLF 10 VALID 150040/150640 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 0040Z WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1730 W06300 - N1630 W06300 - N1645 W06515 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. BLW FL090. STNR. FCST 0640Z VA CLD APRX WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1730 W06300 - N1630 W06300 - N1645 W06515 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415.  715 WGUS84 KLZK 150044 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 744 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... BLACK RIVER AT BLACK ROCK AFFECTING JACKSON...LAWRENCE AND INDEPENDENCE COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC063-067-075-151544- /O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-091017T1800Z/ /BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091011T0100Z.091016T1200Z.NO/ 744 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK ROCK. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON BLACK RIVER BLACK ROCK 14 15.6 WED 07 PM 15.2 14.0 12.7 10.6 9.0 $$ 104  889 WWUS75 KCYS 150044 NPWCYS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 644 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2009 WYZ106-110-150145- /O.CAN.KCYS.HW.W.0072.000000T0000Z-091015T0100Z/ CENTRAL LARAMIE RANGE AND SOUTHWEST PLATTE COUNTY- NORTH SNOWY RANGE FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BORDEAUX...ARLINGTON...ELK MOUNTAIN 644 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. VERY HIGH WIND SPEEDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ACROSS THE WIND CORRIDORS ALONG INTERSTATE 25 NEAR BORDEAUX AND ALONG INTERSTATE 80 NEAR ARLINGTON. THEREFORE THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. BREEZY WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH CAN STILL BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. $$ CARPENTER  116 WWUS74 KOUN 150044 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 744 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY THROUGH 1 AM... OKZ014-016-017-021>025-027>029-033>041-044>046-050-TXZ083>090- 150600- /O.NEW.KOUN.FG.Y.0009.091015T0044Z-091015T0600Z/ ROGER MILLS-CUSTER-BLAINE-BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA- GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-COTTON-JEFFERSON-CARTER-LOVE- HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEYENNE...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON... WATONGA...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...ANADARKO...YUKON... EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHICKASHA...PURCELL... NORMAN...MOORE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK... LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...WALTERS...WAURIKA... ARDMORE...MARIETTA...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON... WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY... HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA 744 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. VISIBILITIES WILL FALL BELOW ONE HALF MILE OVER MOST OF THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT... AND LOCALLY DOWN TO NEAR ZERO. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NORTH WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE AND SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR SPREADS SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR LOW-BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ CJS  242 WSNO35 ENMI 150044 ENBD SIGMET D01 VALID 150100/150500 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST E OF E 01500 BLW FL080. NC=  356 WSNO35 ENMI 150044 ENBD SIGMET D01 VALID 150100/150500 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST E OF E 01500 BLW FL080. NC=  395 WWUS75 KABQ 150046 NPWABQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 646 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2009 NMZ515-523-529-532>534-150200- /O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-091015T0100Z/ EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS- NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY- QUAY COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...CLINES CORNERS... LAS VEGAS...CONCHAS...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI 646 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING... THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING. OVER THE NEXT HOUR...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN SPEED ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO...THUS THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ 52  888 WSIY31 LIIB 150040 LIMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150045/150445 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST W PART FL280/380 MOV SW WKN=  028 WSIY31 LIIB 150040 LIMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150045/150445 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST W PART FL280/380 MOV SW WKN=  344 WSIY31 LIIB 150040 LIMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150045/150445 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST W PART FL280/380 MOV SW WKN=  947 WSUS32 KKCI 150055 SIGC MKCC WST 150055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150255-150655 FROM 30SSE STL-40N DYR-40WSW TXK-30SSW ADM-50E BUM-30SSE STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  948 WSUS31 KKCI 150055 SIGE MKCE WST 150055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 1E VALID UNTIL 0255Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 120ENE OMN-110ENE VRB-40ENE VRB-50ENE OMN-120ENE OMN AREA TS MOV FROM 28020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 150255-150655 FROM 70SE FLO-140ESE ILM-150SSE ILM-190E VRB-SRQ-170S CEW-40SSE CEW-30NW CTY-30N CRG-30ENE SAV-70SE FLO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  949 WSUS33 KKCI 150055 SIGW MKCW WST 150055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150255-150655 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  055 WUUS01 KWNS 150049 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0748 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 VALID TIME 150100Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 32069559 32789688 33789773 34239692 34289532 33929394 33239351 32269365 31839450 32069559 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 32629507 33009635 33879691 34939686 35749566 35539393 34789279 33679241 32909254 32619397 32629507 && ... WIND ... 0.05 32629537 33009635 33909707 34999682 35749554 35519405 34789275 33709240 32819258 32549370 32629537 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 27849610 29039800 30289969 31879943 33419930 34629833 35949705 37169512 37759395 37819243 37669138 36898977 35888813 34468678 33318568 32528430 32028279 31928218 32108147 33477953 36087486 TSTM 39931200 41281499 43411832 45671931 47451703 46721434 43841069 41491003 40251095 39931200 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S PSX 45 SE SAT 15 SSE JCT 30 W BWD 60 SW SPS FSI 20 NW CQB 35 W JLN 50 NW SGF 15 WNW TBN 40 SSE VIH 25 SSW CGI 50 ENE MKL 15 S HSV 20 SSE ANB 35 E CSG 25 WSW VDI 20 SSE VDI 15 W SAV 40 WSW CRE 75 NE HSE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE U24 50 NE EKO 35 ESE BNO 25 W PDT 25 ESE GEG 20 SW MSO 15 N JAC 50 W RKS 45 NNW PUC 45 NE U24.  056 ACUS01 KWNS 150049 SWODY1 SPC AC 150048 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0748 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 VALID 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...ARKLATEX... DESPITE ATTEMPTS OF DEEP MOIST CONVECTION NEAR THE METROPLEX THIS EVENING...IT APPEARS THAT THE ABSENCE OF ANY APPRECIABLE LARGE-SCALE FORCING HAS LIMITED THE DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE-BASED STORMS WITHIN WARM SECTOR. INDEED..00Z FWD SOUNDING SAMPLED A SEEMINGLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE STORMS...FEATURING MLCAPE OF 3000-3500 J/KG...AROUND 50 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND ONLY A WEAK CAP. AND LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS POTENTIAL INSTABILITY IS LIKELY TO BE RELEASED LATER TONIGHT AS WAA AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT ARE ENHANCED N OF SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE /SITUATED FROM N-CNTRL TX INTO CNTRL LA/ ALONG STRENGTHENING SWLY LLJ. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WITHIN A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED/ROTATING UPDRAFTS. THE PRIMARY FACTOR LIMITING A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE THE WEAK LAPSE RATES OBSERVED BY 00Z SOUNDINGS. NONETHELESS...SOME THREAT WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. ..MEAD.. 10/15/2009  153 WSIY31 LIIB 150050 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150100/150500 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND BTN SARDINIA COASTS AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/250 STNR NC=  275 WHUS46 KLOX 150050 CFWLOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 550 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE CENTRAL COAST... ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF THROUGH THURSDAY FOR WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES... .STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH YESTERDAYS STORM IS BRINGING INCREASED WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. LARGER SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. CAZ034-035-150900- /O.CON.KLOX.SU.Y.0010.091015T0100Z-091016T0100Z/ SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- 550 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THURSDAY... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THURSDAY. BREAKERS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 12 FEET WILL AFFECT THE CENTRAL COAST BEACHES TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVY SURF CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. && $$ CAZ040-041-150900- /O.CON.KLOX.CF.S.0011.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ VENTURA COUNTY COAST- LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- 550 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF FOR WEST FACING BEACHES THROUGH 6 PM PDT THURSDAY... BREAKERS OF 3 TO 4 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 6 FEET WILL AFFECT WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES TODAY... BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 8 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH HIGHEST SETS EXPECTED NEAR VENTURA HARBOR. THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. $$ 30/CAK  393 WSIY31 LIIB 150050 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150100/150500 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND BTN SARDINIA COASTS AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/250 STNR NC=  501 WSIY31 LIIB 150050 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150100/150500 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND BTN SARDINIA COASTS AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/250 STNR NC=  690 WSIY31 LIIB 150050 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 150100/150500 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND BTN SARDINIA COASTS AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/250 STNR NC= SSVX01 LFVW 150049 ZZYY 41097 14109 2346/ 714546 061102 6112/ 22219 00294 10301 20030 21003 444 20120 14109 1724/ 516//=  818 WGUS84 KLZK 150052 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 752 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN AFFECTING OUACHITA AND CALHOUN COUNTIES OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION AFFECTING CALHOUN...UNION AND BRADLEY COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC013-103-151552- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CAMA4.1.ER.091007T1022Z.091018T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 752 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON OUACHITA RIVER CAMDEN 26 34.1 WED 07 PM 34.5 34.8 34.9 35.0 34.8 $$ ARC011-013-139-151551- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CALA4.2.ER.091006T0235Z.091022T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 752 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE WATER ELEVATION WAS 85.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD ELEVATION IS 79.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 88.0 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING OCTOBER 22ND. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON OUACHITA RIVER THATCHER L 79 85.5 WED 07 AM 86.6 87.0 87.3 87.5 87.7 $$ 104  992 WWUS71 KBOX 150057 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 MAZ005>007-012-014-NHZ012-150900- /O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...MANCHESTER... NASHUA 857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ CTZ002>004-MAZ015-016-018>023-RIZ001>007-150900- /O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.091015T0400Z-091015T1200Z/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA- SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI- EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BOSTON...QUINCY...BROCKTON... PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM... FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD... PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT... WESTERLY...NEWPORT 857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD FROST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$  255 WHUS71 KBOX 150057 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ANZ254-255-150900- /O.CON.KBOX.SW.Y.0044.000000T0000Z-091015T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0026.091016T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- 857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL BE SUBSIDING BELOW 5 FEET AROUND MIDNIGHT WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF NANTUCKET. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 40 TO 45 KNOTS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO 15 FEET OVER THE WATERS EAST OF THE CAPE AND NANTUCKET BY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ232>235-237-256-150900- /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0026.091016T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 TO 40 KNOTS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. SEAS MAY BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF RHODE ISLAND AND BLOCK ISLAND SOUNDS BY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ231-250-251-150900- /O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0026.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ CAPE COD BAY- COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THURSDAY EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 KNOTS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$  230 WGUS84 KLZK 150058 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 758 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ARKANSAS... WHITE RIVER AT CLARENDON AFFECTING MONROE AND ARKANSAS COUNTIES WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING WHITE AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC067-147-151558- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PTTA4.2.ER.090913T1900Z.091020T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 758 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON CACHE RIVER PATTERSON 8 10.7 WED 07 PM 10.8 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.9 $$ ARC145-147-151557- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /AUGA4.1.ER.091010T2000Z.091017T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 758 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON LOWER WHITE RIVER AUGUSTA 26 30.5 WED 07 PM 30.8 31.2 31.5 31.5 31.2 $$ ARC001-095-151557- /O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0082.091016T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA4.1.ER.091016T0000Z.091021T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 758 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE RIVER AT CLARENDON. * FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY TUESDAY.. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON LOWER WHITE RIVER CLARENDON 26 25.8 WED 07 PM 25.9 26.1 26.4 26.7 26.8 $$ 104  470 WHUS41 KBOX 150058 CFWBOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 858 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO GALE CENTERS WILL AFFECT COASTAL SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN FRIDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .A GALE CENTER PASSING WELL SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET FRIDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A RELATIVE LULL IN WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO LATE SATURDAY... AWAITING THE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER GALE CENTER ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATER IN THE WEEKEND. THAT POTENTIAL LATE WEEKEND GALE HAS A LESS CERTAIN FUTURE...BUT IF IT WERE TO DEVELOP...IT COULD LEAD TO MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES OF AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST. MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ002-004>008-150900- /O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0004.091016T0900Z-091016T2300Z/ EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- BLOCK ISLAND RI- 858 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS FRIDAY MORNING WILL DEVELOP 10 AND 15 FOOT SEAS FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES AND A ONE TO 1.5 FOOT SURGE WOULD PROBABLY LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE THE EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURES FROM OUTER CAPE COD TO NANTUCKET... ESPECIALLY FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE. HOWEVER...MINOR SPLASH OVER IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM SCITUATE TO MARBLEHEAD. EVEN HIGH WATER IS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NARRAGANSETT BAY FRIDAY MORNING...DESPITE A NORTHEAST WIND. WHILE THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... INCOMING WESTWARD MOVING OCEAN SEAS MAY ONLY SUBSIDE TO 9 OR 10 FEET. THE SURGE SHOULD BE ABOUT HALF A FOOT TO A FOOT AND THE ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDE WILL TENDS TO INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND. THE CURRENT OUTLOOK IS FOR ANOTHER POTENTIAL NOREASTER SUNDAY BUT WITH LESS CERTAINTY ON TRACK AND INTENSITY. BEACH EROSION FROM MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON SUCCESSIVE TIDE CYCLES FROM FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. IF EITHER GALE CENTER WERE TO TRACK CLOSER OR BECOME STRONGER.... A MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WOULD EMERGE FRIDAY OR SUNDAY. ANYONE WITH EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURE COASTAL CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS. && ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR. BOSTON HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 9.9 14/09 PM 10.0 -0.1 1 NONE 9.8 15/09 AM 9.9 -0.1 1 NONE 10.2 15/10 PM 10.1 0.1 1-2 NONE 12.1 16/10 AM 11.0 1.1 2 NONE 11.3 16/11 PM 10.2 1.1 1-2 NONE 11.0 17/11 AM 10.8 0.2 1 NONE SCITUATE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 0.7 15/03 AM 1.0 -0.3 1 NONE 8.6 15/09 AM 8.8 -0.2 1 NONE 9.1 15/10 PM 9.0 0.1 2-4 NONE 11.0 16/10 AM 9.9 1.1 8-10 MINOR 10.2 16/11 PM 9.1 1.1 9-10 NONE 9.7 17/11 AM 9.6 0.1 8 NONE NEWBURYPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.1 14/09 PM 8.1 0.0 1 NONE 7.9 15/09 AM 7.9 0.0 1 NONE 8.3 15/10 PM 8.3 0.0 1-3 NONE 9.3 16/10 AM 8.4 0.9 6 NONE 9.4 16/11 PM 8.3 1.1 6-7 NONE 8.9 17/11 AM 8.8 0.1 6 NONE GLOUCESTER HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.8 14/09 PM 8.9 -0.1 2 NONE 8.6 15/09 AM 8.8 -0.2 1 NONE 9.0 15/10 PM 9.0 0.0 1-4 NONE 10.8 16/10 AM 9.9 0.9 8-9 NONE 10.2 16/11 PM 9.1 1.1 9-10 NONE 9.7 17/11 AM 9.6 0.1 8-9 NONE SANDWICH HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.2 14/09 PM 8.2 0.0 2 NONE 8.0 15/09 AM 8.0 0.0 1 NONE 8.5 15/10 PM 8.3 0.2 2-4 NONE 10.3 16/10 AM 9.1 1.2 6 NONE 9.6 16/11 PM 8.3 1.3 5-6 NONE 9.1 17/11 AM 8.8 0.3 4 NONE PROVINCETOWN HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 5.8 14/09 PM 6.3 -0.5 1 NONE 5.6 15/09 AM 6.1 -0.5 1 NONE 5.9 15/10 PM 6.4 -0.5 1-2 NONE 6.6 16/10 AM 7.1 -0.5 3-4 NONE 5.9 16/11 PM 6.4 -0.5 3 NONE 6.3 17/11 AM 6.8 -0.5 2 NONE CHATHAM - EAST COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.2 14/09 PM 4.3 -0.1 3 NONE 4.0 15/10 AM 4.2 -0.2 2 NONE 4.4 15/10 PM 4.3 0.1 2-5 NONE 5.5 16/10 AM 4.4 1.1 10-11 NONE 5.6 16/11 PM 4.4 1.2 11-13 NONE 4.8 17/11 AM 4.6 0.2 9-10 NONE CHATHAM - SOUTH COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.4 14/09 PM 4.4 0.0 1 NONE 4.3 15/09 AM 4.3 0.0 1 NONE 4.7 15/10 PM 4.5 0.2 2-3 NONE 5.9 16/10 AM 4.6 1.3 3 NONE 5.9 16/11 PM 4.5 1.4 2-3 NONE 5.0 17/11 AM 4.8 0.2 2 NONE BUZZARDS BAY - WOODS HOLE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 2.6 14/06 PM 2.6 0.0 1 NONE 2.6 15/07 AM 2.8 -0.2 1 NONE 2.6 15/07 PM 2.6 0.0 1-2 NONE 3.9 16/07 AM 3.0 0.9 4-5 NONE 3.7 17/08 PM 2.6 1.1 2 NONE 3.8 17/08 AM 3.1 0.7 2 NONE VINEYARD HAVEN TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.3 15/08 PM 3.4 -0.1 1 NONE 3.2 15/09 AM 3.4 -0.2 1 NONE 3.8 15/10 PM 3.4 0.4 2-3 NONE 5.2 16/10 AM 3.5 1.7 3 NONE 5.0 16/10 PM 3.3 1.8 2 NONE 4.1 17/10 AM 3.6 0.6 2 NONE NANTUCKET HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.5 14/09 PM 3.7 -0.2 1-2 NONE 3.4 15/10 AM 3.6 -0.2 1 NONE 4.0 15/10 PM 3.7 0.3 2-4 NONE 5.2 16/11 AM 3.8 1.4 5 NONE 5.2 16/11 PM 3.6 1.6 3-4 NONE 4.2 17/11 AM 3.9 0.3 2-3 NONE POINT JUDITH TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.5 14/05 PM 3.5 0.0 1 NONE 3.7 15/06 AM 3.9 -0.2 1 NONE 3.7 15/06 PM 3.6 0.1 2-4 NONE 5.6 16/07 AM 4.2 1.4 6-7 NONE 5.0 16/07 PM 3.6 1.4 6-7 NONE 5.1 17/08 AM 4.3 0.8 4 NONE WESTERLY TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.2 14/06 PM 3.2 0.0 1 NONE 3.2 15/06 AM 3.4 -0.2 1 NONE 3.4 15/07 PM 3.2 0.2 2-3 NONE 5.1 16/07 AM 3.6 1.5 5 NONE 4.6 17/08 PM 3.2 1.4 4 NONE 4.7 17/08 AM 3.8 0.9 3 NONE NARRAGANSETT BAY - CONIMICUT POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 5.7 14/05 PM 5.6 0.1 1 NONE 5.9 15/06 AM 6.1 -0.2 1 NONE 5.7 15/06 PM 5.7 0.0 1 NONE 7.5 16/07 AM 6.4 1.1 1 MINOR 6.8 16/07 PM 5.8 1.0 1 NONE 7.4 17/08 AM 6.6 0.8 1 MINOR WESTPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.0 14/06 PM 4.0 0.0 1 NONE 4.1 15/06 AM 4.3 -0.2 1 NONE 4.0 15/06 PM 4.0 0.0 1-3 NONE 5.7 16/07 AM 4.6 1.1 6 NONE 5.3 16/07 PM 4.1 1.2 3-4 NONE 5.4 17/08 AM 4.7 0.7 2 NONE MATTAPOISETT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.5 14/06 PM 4.5 0.0 1 NONE 4.5 15/06 AM 4.7 -0.2 1 NONE 4.6 15/07 PM 4.6 0.0 1-2 NONE 6.2 16/07 AM 5.1 1.1 4 NONE 5.8 17/08 PM 4.6 1.2 2 NONE 6.0 17/08 AM 5.3 0.7 2 NONE ONSET TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.5 14/07 PM 4.5 0.0 1 NONE 4.5 15/07 AM 4.7 -0.2 1 NONE 4.6 16/08 PM 4.6 0.0 2 NONE 6.0 16/08 AM 5.1 0.9 3 NONE 5.6 17/08 PM 4.5 1.1 2 NONE 5.8 17/09 AM 5.2 0.6 3 NONE BLOCK ISLAND - OLD HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.0 14/05 PM 2.9 0.1 1 NONE 3.1 15/06 AM 3.2 -0.1 1-2 NONE 3.0 15/06 PM 2.9 0.1 3-5 NONE 4.9 16/07 AM 3.5 1.4 8-9 NONE 4.3 16/07 PM 2.9 1.4 8-9 NONE 4.4 17/08 AM 3.6 0.8 6 NONE NARRAGANSETT BAY - FOX POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 6.2 14/06 PM 6.2 0.1 1 NONE 6.3 15/06 AM 6.6 -0.2 1 NONE 6.2 15/06 PM 6.2 -0.1 1 NONE 8.1 16/07 AM 7.0 1.1 1 MODERATE 7.2 16/07 PM 6.3 0.9 1 MINOR 8.0 17/08 AM 7.2 0.8 1 MODERATE NEWPORT HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.2 14/06 PM 4.2 0.0 1 NONE 4.3 15/06 AM 4.5 -0.2 1 NONE 4.3 15/07 PM 4.2 0.1 1-2 NONE 6.0 16/07 AM 4.8 1.2 3 NONE 5.4 16/07 PM 4.2 1.2 2-3 NONE 5.6 17/08 AM 4.9 0.7 2 NONE $$  855 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (TWENTYTWO) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 144.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 144.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 12.5N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 13.2N 138.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 14.1N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 14.6N 134.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 15.6N 132.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 15.9N 130.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 16.2N 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 150300Z POSITION NEAR 11.8N 143.9E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 12 FEET. TROPICAL STORM 22W (TWENTYTWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  357 WHUS76 KSEW 150102 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 602 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 PZZ132-133-150700- /O.EXP.KSEW.GL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-091015T0100Z/ /O.EXA.KSEW.SC.Y.0364.000000T0000Z-091015T0700Z/ EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS- 602 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT... ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ130-150-153-156-170-173-176-150915- /O.CAN.KSEW.SC.Y.0364.000000T0000Z-091015T0700Z/ /O.NEW.KSEW.SW.Y.0029.091015T0102Z-091015T1200Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 602 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE LIKELY TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS AS LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER... BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ PZZ134-150215- /O.CAN.KSEW.SC.Y.0364.000000T0000Z-091015T0700Z/ ADMIRALTY INLET- 602 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ PZZ110-150915- /O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-091015T1000Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 602 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ131-135-150700- /O.CON.KSEW.SC.Y.0364.000000T0000Z-091015T0700Z/ CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL- 602 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HANER WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE  773 WGUS86 KSTO 150103 FLSSTO FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA 603 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 CAC089-150400- /O.NEW.KSTO.FA.Y.0016.091015T0103Z-091015T0400Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SHASTA CA- 603 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SACRAMENTO HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... CENTRAL SHASTA COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA... THIS INCLUDES BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE CITIES OF...SHASTA DAM...REDDING...PALO CEDRO...SHASTA LAKE... * UNTIL 900 PM PDT * AT 600 PM PDT RADAR IS STILL SHOWING A LINE OF MODERATE TO VERY HEAVY SHOWERS JUST WEST OF REDDING EXTENDING TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS SHASTA LAKE THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS THE AREA OF CONCERN WILL LIKELY AFFECT WESTERN TO NORTHERN REDDING IMPACTING HIGHWAY 299 AND INTERSTATE 5 GOING OUT OF TOWN. A SPOTTER REPORTED 0.96 INCHES OF RAIN IN 35 MINUTES NORTHWEST OF REDDING. STREET FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED IN THE TOWN OF SHASTA LAKE. OTHER FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED. THESE SHOWERS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS...OR UNTIL 900 PM PDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS... HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. && LAT...LON 4071 12245 4093 12211 4081 12203 4053 12225 4050 12258 $$ JMC  532 WOPS01 NFFN 150100 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  533 WSPR31 SPIM 150057 SPIM SIGMET 2 VALID 150100/150300 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2315Z WI S0656 W07759 - S0642 W07739 S0656 W07708 - S0720 W07710 - S0727 W07746 - S0714 W07757 S0656 W07759 TOP FL430 STNR NC=  932 WOPS01 NFFN 150100 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  002 WSPR31 SPIM 150057 SPIM SIGMET 2 VALID 150100/150300 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2315Z WI S0656 W07759 - S0642 W07739 S0656 W07708 - S0720 W07710 - S0727 W07746 - S0714 W07757 S0656 W07759 TOP FL430 STNR NC=  451 WHUS72 KCHS 150104 MWWCHS URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 904 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 AMZ350-150900- /O.EXT.KCHS.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-091015T0900Z/ WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM- 904 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT EITHER WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER OVER THE ATLANTIC...OR A COMBINATION OF THE TWO ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS NAVIGATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  171 WGUS82 KFFC 150108 FLSFFC FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 908 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA... OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES... MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD AFFECTING CLARKE...GREENE AND OCONEE COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING WASHINGTON AND WILKINSON COUNTIES && GAC059-133-219-151508- /O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-091018T0936Z/ /PNFG1.2.ER.091012T1900Z.091015T0600Z.091018T0336Z.NO/ 908 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD * UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE RIVER STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET...AND RISING. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING...REACHING NEAR 19.7 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 18 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. WARD ROAD FLOODS CUTTING OFF ACCESS TO THE L.C. CURTIS AND SON SAND AND GRAVEL COMPANY. IRRIGATION SYSTEMS ALSO BEGIN TO FLOOD AND NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND. $$ GAC303-319-151507- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OCOG1.1.ER.091014T1145Z.091014T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 908 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7PM WEDNESDAY THE RIVER STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET...AND STEADY. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO FALL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. $$ GAC021-153-169-207-289-151507- /O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-091017T0000Z/ /MACG1.1.ER.091014T0650Z.091015T0030Z.091016T1800Z.NO/ 908 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE RIVER STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET AND STEADY. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO FALL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...DROPPING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON FRIDAY. * AT 20 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES WITH A LARGE PORTION OF THE MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODED NORTH OF THE FIFTH STREET BRIDGE AS BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET BRIDGE. MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS FURTHER DOWNSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET BRIDGE. $$  276 WTPQ20 RJTD 150000 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 150000UTC 11.3N 144.5E POOR MOVE W 22KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 160000UTC 13.8N 138.8E 120NM 70% MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT =  207 WSCN34 CWUL 150110 SIGMET A4 VALID 150110/150510 CWUL- WTN 40 NM OF LN /4639N04554W/295 E CAPE RACE - /4639N05304W/CAPE RACE - /4921N05356W/35 NE GANDER - /5243N04938W/255 NE FOGO. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 40 AGL ASOCTD WITH 100KT LLJ. AREA MOVG NE 30KT. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/JC/MF  636 WGUS83 KPAH 150111 FLSPAH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KENTUCKY 811 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG MUDDY RIVER IN ILLINOIS AFFECTING AREAS NEAR PLUMFIELD... .WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RECEDE ALONG THE BIG MUDDY...WITH FLOODING EXPECTED TO END LATER TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE UPDATED FORECASTS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PAH /LOWER CASE/ && ILC055-199-150713- /O.EXT.KPAH.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-091015T0713Z/ /PLMI2.1.ER.091013T1623Z.091013T1645Z.091015T0113Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG MUDDY RIVER NEAR PLUMFIELD. * UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS AFFECTING MAINLY BOTTOMLAND AND SURROUNDING LOW LYING AREAS. $$  679 WOAU12 AMRF 150110 ## IDV21000 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology Melbourne AT 0110UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 FINAL GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREA PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Situation A complex low pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is inducing a vigorous westerly flow through Bass Strait. Area Affected Bounded by 38S141E 38S144E 40S144E 40S141E 38S141E. Forecast W/SW winds 25/35 knots, easing below 35 knots after 150300UTC. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate swell. WEATHER MELBOURNE  770 WHUS71 KLWX 150111 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 911 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ANZ534-537-543-150915- /O.EXT.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.091015T0111Z-091016T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 911 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ531>533-538>541-150915- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.091015T0800Z-091016T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- 911 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ530-535-536-542-150915- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.091015T1200Z-091016T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- 911 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  799 WGUS84 KLCH 150111 FLSLCH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 811 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA... RED RIVER NEAR ALEXANDRIA LAC079-151511- /O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0044.091017T1115Z-000000T0000Z/ /AEXL1.1.ER.091017T1115Z.091019T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER NEAR ALEXANDRIA. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLAND AREAS NEAR THE RIVER OCCURS AND RECREATIONAL BOATING IS AFFECTED. $$  630 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (TWENTYTWO) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 144.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 144.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 12.5N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 13.2N 138.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 14.1N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 14.6N 134.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 15.6N 132.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 15.9N 130.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 16.2N 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 150300Z POSITION NEAR 11.8N 143.9E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 12 FEET. TROPICAL STORM 22W (TWENTYTWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z. //  490 WSIN90 VIDP 150100 VIDF SIGMET 01 VALID 150100/150500 VIDF VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  771 WGUS82 KFFC 150115 FLSFFC FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 915 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...HIGH WATER CONTINUES ON THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA... CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LEE...RUSSELL... CHATTAHOOCHEE...MUSCOGEE AND STEWART COUNTIES && ALC081-113-GAC053-215-259-151515- /O.ROU.KFFC.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CMUG1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 915 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...HIGH WATER CONTINUES... HIGH WATER CONTINUES FOR THE CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER NEAR COLUMBUS * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE RIVER STAGE WAS 21 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 34 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN STEADY THIS EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * AT 21 FEET...THE RIVER WALK IS COMPLETELY COVERED WITH FLOWING WATER IN DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS AND PROPERTY ALONG THE RIVER WALK BEGINS TO FLOOD. IN ADDITION...THE PHENIX CITY AMPHITHEATER BEGINS FLOODING. $$  801 WSPA12 PHFO 150115 SIGPAY KZOA SIGMET YANKEE 13 VALID 150115/150515 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. EMBD TS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY N1500 E14100 - N1130 E14530 - N0830 E14100 - N1200 E13800 - N1500 E14100. CB TOPS TO FL550. MOV W 10 KT. NC. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  081 WGUS84 KLZK 150115 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 815 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER NEAR HOUSTON AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC105-151615- /O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-091018T1200Z/ /HUSA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091015T0600Z.091017T0600Z.NO/ 815 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER NEAR HOUSTON. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.2 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER HOUSTON 25 27.1 WED 07 PM 26.9 25.7 24.7 23.6 22.9 $$ 104  718 WSCN02 CWUL 150115 CZQX SIGMET U1 VALID 150115/150515 CWUL- GANDER OCEANIC FIR. WTN 40 NM OF LN 5100N05200W - 5230N04930W - 5230N04500W - 4630N04500W - 4630N05100W. SEVERE MECHANICAL TURBULENCE FORECAST BELOW 040. AREA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD 30 KNOTS. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. END/GANDER OCEANIC/CMAC-E/JC/MF  527 WSSQ31 LZIB 150125 LZBB SIGMET 1 VALID 150125/150350 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV TURB FCST OVER W PART OF LZBB BTN GND/FL060 NC=  793 WHUS72 KILM 150121 MWWILM URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 921 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 AMZ254-256-150930- /O.CON.KILM.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM- MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM- 921 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ250-252-150930- /O.CON.KILM.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T1500Z/ SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM- CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM- 921 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 9  862 WGUS84 KFWD 150125 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 825 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS... SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER AFFECTING DELTA AND HOPKINS COUNTIES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC119-223-151325- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-091017T1400Z/ /COPT2.1.ER.091013T1418Z.091014T0130Z.091017T0200Z.NO/ 825 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0815 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.47 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 PM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER COOPER 16 16.5 WED 08 PM 16.3 16.1 13.0 13.0 $$  287 WSPR31 SPIM 150125 SPIM SIGMET A1 VALID 150130/150400 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0045Z WI S0319 W07708 - S0237 W07641 S0159 W07554 - S0159 W07532 - S0303 W07534 - S0319 W07538 S0355 W07603 - S0410 W07627 - S0401 W07652 - S0319 W07708 TOP FL460 STNR WKN=  729 WSPR31 SPIM 150125 SPIM SIGMET A1 VALID 150130/150400 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0045Z WI S0319 W07708 - S0237 W07641 S0159 W07554 - S0159 W07532 - S0303 W07534 - S0319 W07538 S0355 W07603 - S0410 W07627 - S0401 W07652 - S0319 W07708 TOP FL460 STNR WKN=  147 WGUS84 KJAN 150129 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 829 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC007-051-160729- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WSTM6.2.ER.091006T0355Z.091016T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 829 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER WEST 15 21.9 WED 08 PM 22.2 22.3 22.3 22.3 FRI 07 AM $$ MSC089-163-160729- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BTAM6.2.ER.091004T0615Z.091021T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 829 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER BENTONIA 22 25.9 WED 08 PM 26.2 26.5 26.6 27.0 WED 07 AM $$ MSC049-149-160728- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BOVM6.1.ER.091005T0431Z.091024T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 829 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 32.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER WARRIOR'S TRAIL ROAD. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER BOVINA 28 32.8 WED 08 PM 32.7 31.9 32.2 34.5 FRI 07 PM $$  259 WHUS71 KCLE 150131 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 931 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 LEZ142>149-150945- /O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0152.091015T0131Z-091016T2200Z/ MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 931 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND PROBABLY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY CAUSE WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ON THE WEST END OF THE LAKE. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED TO BE EXPANDED INTO SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ KIELTYKA  398 WAAK47 PAWU 150131 WA7O JNUS WA 150145 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 150800 . NONE . =JNUT WA 150145 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 150800 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . =JNUZ WA 150145 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 150800 . NONE .  706 WGUS84 KMEG 150131 FLSMEG FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 831 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER AND THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER . PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THURSDAY MORNING. FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST RIVER INFORMATION. && MSC095-151418- /O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091015T1418Z/ /BGBM6.1.ER.091014T0632Z.091014T1645Z.091015T0818Z.NO/ 831 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BIGBEE * UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW * AT 7 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET * AT 17.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER PORTIONS OF HOOD ROAD AND EXTENSIVE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING $$ MSC095-151631- /O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-091016T0352Z/ /AMYM6.1.ER.091014T0503Z.091014T1845Z.091015T2152Z.NO/ 831 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR AMORY * UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON * AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET * AT 25.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOWLAND AND FARMLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING $$ MSC087-095-151631- /O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-091019T1800Z/ /ABDM6.1.ER.091014T0437Z.091016T1800Z.091019T1200Z.NO/ 831 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN * UNTIL MONDAY MORNING * AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 16.7 FEET FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET * THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY LATE EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * AT 18.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER AIRBASE ROAD ON THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER $$ MM  016 WGUS84 KFWD 150132 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 832 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS... SOUTH FORK OF THE SABINE NEAR QUINLAN AFFECTING HUNT AND ROCKWALL COUNTIES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC231-397-151332- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-091015T1357Z/ /QLAT2.1.ER.091012T1141Z.091014T0600Z.091015T0157Z.NO/ 832 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH FORK OF THE SABINE NEAR QUINLAN. * UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0745 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.24 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO END WEDNESDAY EVENING. * FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 PM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN SOUTH FORK SABINE RIVER QUINLAN 15 15.2 WED 08 PM 8.7 7.3 6.5 6.0 $$  812 WGUS84 KJAN 150133 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR CREST DATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 833 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC007-051-160733- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WSTM6.2.ER.091006T0355Z.091016T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 833 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER WEST 15 21.9 WED 08 PM 22.2 22.3 22.3 22.3 OCT 23 $$ MSC089-163-160732- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BTAM6.2.ER.091004T0615Z.091021T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 833 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER BENTONIA 22 25.9 WED 08 PM 26.2 26.5 26.6 27.0 OCT 21 $$ MSC049-149-160732- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BOVM6.1.ER.091005T0431Z.091024T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 833 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 32.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER WARRIOR'S TRAIL ROAD. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER BOVINA 28 32.8 WED 08 PM 32.7 31.9 32.2 34.5 OCT 23 $$  962 WGUS44 KMEG 150134 FLWMEG BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 834 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LITTLE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FOLLOWUP FLOOD STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THURSDAY MORNING. FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST RIVER INFORMATION. && MSC071-093-145-151200- /O.NEW.KMEG.FL.W.0066.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/ /ETAM6.1.ER.091015T0600Z.091015T0600Z.091015T0600Z.NO/ 834 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TN HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LITTLE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER AT ETTA * FROM NOW UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW * AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...25.0 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 25.0 FEET THOUGH THE NIGHT * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET * AT 25.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE CROPLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING, MAINLY BETWEEN STATE HIGHWAY 30 AND COUNTY HIGHWAY 46. WATER IS BEGINNING TO COVER THE UNPAVED PORTION OF UNION COUNTY HIGHWAY 47 NEAR MUD CREEK $$ MM  579 WGUS84 KJAN 150134 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 834 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC025-160734- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ /TBBM6.1.ER.091014T0845Z.091015T1200Z.091016T1200Z.NO/ 834 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR TIBBEE && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME TIBBEE CREEK TIBBEE 23 23.5 WED 06 PM 23.8 23.0 19.6 23.8 THU 07 AM $$ MSC103-160733- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-091017T1800Z/ /MCNM6.1.ER.091014T2008Z.091015T1200Z.091017T1200Z.NO/ 834 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 4:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME NOXUBEE RIVER MACON 26 26.1 WED 04 PM 27.6 27.1 26.0 27.6 THU 07 AM $$ MSC087-160733- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-091016T2100Z/ /CLUM6.1.ER.091015T0236Z.091015T1800Z.091016T1500Z.NO/ 834 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.1 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME LUXAPALLILA CREEK COLUMBUS 15 14.7 WED 08 PM 16.0 15.2 13.4 16.1 THU 01 PM $$  865 WGUS84 KJAN 150136 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 836 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA... BOEUF RIVER NEAR FORT NECESSITY AFFECTING FRANKLIN PARISH PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && LAC041-160736- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-091020T0300Z/ /NECL1.1.ER.091014T2000Z.091016T1200Z.091019T1200Z.NO/ 836 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BOEUF RIVER NEAR FORT NECESSITY * UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 50.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 50.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 51.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 50.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF FARM AND AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING ALONG AND NEAR THE RIVER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME BOEUF RIVER FORT NECESSITY 50 50.2 WED 08 PM 50.5 51.0 50.9 51.0 FRI 07 AM $$  293 WGUS84 KBMX 150136 FLSBMX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 836 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER... .HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAS PRODUCED RISES ALONG THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER...AND A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 AM THURSDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && ALC063-065-091-107-119-151336- /O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-091019T0138Z/ /AVLA1.1.ER.091013T0847Z.091016T0000Z.091018T1338Z.NO/ 836 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BEVILL LOCK AND DAM. * UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 126.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 122.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 129.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING . THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 128.0 FEET...CATTLE IN THE AREA SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND. FLOODING OF SOME CABINS AND CAMPS ALONG THE RIVER CAN BE EXPECTED $$ ALC063-065-091-119-151336- /O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0059.091015T0134Z-091018T2100Z/ /GNSA1.3.ER.091014T1903Z.091014T2000Z.091018T0900Z.NR/ 836 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT GAINESVILLE LOCK AND DAM. * UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 98.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 101.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 102.6 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 101.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AND WOODED LANDS IN THE AREA OCCURS. $$ ALC063-065-091-119-151336- /O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0057.091015T1007Z-091020T0039Z/ /DLDA1.1.ER.091015T1007Z.091017T1800Z.091019T1239Z.NO/ 836 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT DEMOPOLIS LOCK AND DAM. * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 64.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 68.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 72.2 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING. $$ KSL  787 WSAU21 ASRF 150136 YMMM SIGMET SY02 VALID 150200/150600 YSRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY12 142200/150200  788 WSAU21 ASRF 150136 YBBB SIGMET SY01 VALID 150200/150600 YSRF- YBBB BRISBANE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY11 142200/150200  684 WHZS40 NSTU 150138 CFWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 230 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 230 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  696 WGUS84 KJAN 150139 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 838 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER NEAR ANGUILLA AFFECTING SHARKEY COUNTY BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER AFFECTING SUNFLOWER COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC133-160738- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SUNM6.2.ER.091014T0137Z.091019T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 838 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO SPREAD ACROSS FARMLANDS FROM FLOODING AT JONES BAYOU, AND WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IN AREA. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER SUNFLOWER 21 23.6 WED 07 PM 24.1 23.8 23.6 25.0 MON 07 AM $$ MSC125-160737- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-091017T1500Z/ /ANGM6.1.ER.091015T0900Z.091016T0600Z.091017T0000Z.NO/ 838 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER NEAR ANGUILLA * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 44.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 45.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 45.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE STATE HIGHWAY 14 BRIDGE. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER ANGUILLA 45 44.9 WED 08 PM 45.1 45.4 44.4 45.5 FRI 01 AM $$  700 WSCH31 SCIP 150140 SCIZ SIGMET 01 VALID 150140/150540 SCIP FIR ISOL/EMBD TCU/CB TOP ETI 35MFT FCST IN AREA: 22S/118W 28S/119W 28S/111W 22S/113W AND 22S/118W MOV E NC=  202 ACPN50 PHFO 150145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST WED OCT 14 2009 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A ROUGHLY EAST TO WEST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY... WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A ROUGHLY EAST TO WEST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH 725 MILES SOUTH OF HILO. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. $$ WROE  711 WGUS44 KSHV 150146 FLWSHV BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 846 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC183-203-315-459-160146- /O.NEW.KSHV.FL.W.0122.091015T0146Z-000000T0000Z/ /ORCT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091014T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 846 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LITTLE CYPRESS BAYOU AT ORE CITY. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 5:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL RISE TO NEAR 15.5 FEET TOMORROW BEFORE BEGINNING TO FALL. $$  542 WGUS84 KJAN 150148 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 848 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC015-083-160748- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091017T1845Z/ /YWGM6.1.ER.091013T1020Z.091015T1800Z.091017T0345Z.NO/ 848 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME YALOBUSHA RIVER WHALEY 21 22.4 WED 08 PM 22.8 22.4 19.8 23.0 THU 01 PM $$  963 WAAK48 PAWU 150149 WA8O ANCS WA 150145 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 150800 . COOK INLET AND SUSITNA VLY AB OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -DZ BR. NC. . COOK INLET AND SUSITNA VLY AB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . CNTRL GLF CST AD OFSHR OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . KODIAK IS AE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . KUSKOKWIM VLY AF AK RANGE OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. IMPR. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. IMPR. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK AMCHITKA W MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. MOV E. NC. . =ANCT WA 150145 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 150800 . AK PEN AI OCNL MOD TURB BLW 050. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK AMCHITKA W OCNL MOD TURB BLW 040. MOV E. NC. . =ANCZ WA 150145 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 150800 . NONE .  666 WGUS84 KJAN 150150 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 850 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC163-160750- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /YZOM6.1.ER.091014T0307Z.091018T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 850 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF MOSTLY AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING OUTSIDE THE LEVEE PROTECTION SYSTEM. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME LOWER YAZOO RIVER YAZOO CITY 29 30.8 WED 07 PM 30.7 31.3 32.1 32.5 OCT 18 $$  856 WSRS32 RUAA 150100 UUYY SIGMET 1 VALID 150300/150700 UUYY- UUYY SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 MOV E 30KMH NC=  092 WSRS32 RUAA 150100 UUYY SIGMET 1 VALID 150300/150700 UUYY- UUYY SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 MOV E 30KMH NC=  344 WDPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 22W (TWENTYTWO)// WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. A. TROPICAL STORM 22W MAINTAINED A RELATIVELY FAST TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MULTIPLE FEEDER BANDS WRAPPING TIGHTER INTO A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME ANIMATION ALSO DEPICTS GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO A NARROW TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) TO THE NORTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF AN ANTICYCLONE IN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES AND THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND FROM A RADAR POSITION REPORT FROM NWS GUAM. TS 22W IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OVER WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST'S) WELL IN EXCESS OF 28 DEGREES CELSIUS. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE PREVIOUS BULLETIN. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS MORE WESTWARD IN TRAJECTORY AND SLOWER AT THE EXTENDED TAUS. B. TS 22W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING ALONG THE STEERING RIDGE DESCRIBED IN PARA 2.A. THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BECOME EVEN MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS THE TUTT TO THE NORTHEAST MOVES WESTWARD AND CLOSER TO THE SYSTEM AND VWS REMAINS LIGHT. ADDITIONALLY, ALONG TRACK SST'S WILL FURTHER INCREASE AFTER TAU 36. BEFORE TAU 72, A WEAK MID- LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL CAUSE A WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE AND JOG THE SYSTEM MORE POLEWARD OF TRACK. C. AFTER TAU 72, TS 22W WILL RESUME A MORE WESTWARD TRAJECTORY AS A SECONDARY AND DEEPER RIDGE NORTH OF TAIWAN WILL ASSUME STEERING OF THE SYSTEM. THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT - THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EXCEED 100-KNOT CENTRAL WIND SPEED BY TAU 120. THE AVAILABLE NUMERIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT UP TO TAU 48 WHERE THEY START TO DIVERGE SLIGHTLY. NOGAPS AND WBAR ARE ON THE RIGHT OF THE ENVELOPE AND EGRR ON THE LEFT. ADDITIONALLY, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND EGRR ARE FASTER THAN THE REST OF THE GROUP. THIS TRACK FORECAST LIES IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK, TO THE LEFT AND SLOWER THAN CONSENSUS. //  610 WSUS31 KKCI 150155 SIGE MKCE WST 150155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2E VALID UNTIL 0355Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 150ENE OMN-120ENE VRB-50ENE VRB-90ENE OMN-150ENE OMN AREA TS MOV FROM 28020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 150355-150755 FROM 30SE ILM-140ESE ILM-150SSE ILM-180ENE PBI-VRB-30N CRG-30ENE SAV-30SE ILM WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  881 WSUS32 KKCI 150155 SIGC MKCC WST 150155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150355-150755 FROM 40ENE STL-60NE DYR-50SW MEM-40WSW TXK-30SSW ADM-30WNW COU-40ENE STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  882 WSUS33 KKCI 150155 SIGW MKCW WST 150155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150355-150755 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  414 WSFR34 LFPW 150151 LFMM SIGMET 1 VALID 150200/150500 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE FROM CORSICA TO W SARDINIA SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E00600 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL260/FL280 NC =  529 WSFR34 LFPW 150151 LFMM SIGMET 1 VALID 150200/150500 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE FROM CORSICA TO W SARDINIA SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E00600 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL260/FL280 NC =  236 WSFR34 LFPW 150153 LFMM SIGMET 2 VALID 150200/150500 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, BTN N4500 AND N4200 AND BTN E00400 AND E00500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  496 WSFR34 LFPW 150153 LFMM SIGMET 2 VALID 150200/150500 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, BTN N4500 AND N4200 AND BTN E00400 AND E00500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  986 WAAK49 PAWU 150156 WA9O FAIS WA 150145 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 150800 . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG E PAWI OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. IMPR. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SHRASN BR. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. NC. . NRN SEWARD PEN AND LWR KOBUK VLY FI PADE-PAVL LN SW OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . NRN SEWARD PEN AND LWR KOBUK VLY FI PADE-PAVL LN SW MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . ST LAWRENCE IS AND WRN NORTON SOUND FK OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . =FAIT WA 150145 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 150800 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 150145 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 150800 . NONE .  344 WGUS84 KSHV 150157 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 856 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC183-150226- /O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ /KLGT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 856 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE RABBIT CREEK AT KILGORE. * AT 7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6.9 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. $$  207 WHZS40 NSTU 150157 CFWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  524 WSEO31 EETN 150157 EETT SIGMET 1 VALID 150200/150600 EEMH- EETT TALLINN FIR FIR SEV TURB FCST NW OF LINE N5790 E02435 - N5948 E02805 BLW 7000FT STNR NC=  868 WSEO31 EETN 150157 EETT SIGMET 1 VALID 150200/150600 EEMH- EETT TALLINN FIR FIR SEV TURB FCST NW OF LINE N5790 E02435 - N5948 E02805 BLW 7000FT STNR NC=  703 WGUS84 KSHV 150200 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 900 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC159-343-449-160200- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WOCT2.2.ER.091005T0200Z.091015T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 900 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE OAK CREEK NEAR TALCO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING. $$  186 WSIN90 VECC 150100 VECF SIGMET NO 01 VALID 150100/150500 UTC VECC VECF-KOLKATA FIR NIL SIGMET=  571 WGUS84 KFWD 150200 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 900 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS... CHAMBERS CREEK NEAR RICE AFFECTING NAVARRO COUNTY TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD AFFECTING HENDERSON AND NAVARRO COUNTIES TRINITY RIVER NEAR LONG LAKE AFFECTING ANDERSON...FREESTONE AND LEON COUNTIES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC349-151400- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-091017T0512Z/ /RCET2.3.ER.091013T2113Z.091014T1930Z.091016T1712Z.NO/ 900 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHAMBERS CREEK NEAR RICE. * UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0800 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.22 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 PM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN CHAMBERS CREEK RICE 24 30.2 WED 08 PM 28.7 21.1 16.6 13.7 $$ TXC213-349-151359- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-091019T1942Z/ /TDDT2.2.ER.091011T0730Z.091015T1200Z.091019T0742Z.NO/ 900 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD. * UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0800 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.20 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 33 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 44 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 PM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN TRINITY RIVER TRINIDAD 33 43.2 WED 08 PM 43.3 41.1 38.1 34.2 $$ TXC001-161-289-151359- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0091.091017T2159Z-000000T0000Z/ /LOLT2.1.ER.091017T2159Z.091019T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 900 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TRINITY RIVER NEAR LONG LAKE. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0830 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.97 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 36 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 PM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN TRINITY RIVER LONG LAKE 35 29.0 WED 08 PM 30.6 33.0 35.2 36.0 $$  655 WGUS84 KJAN 150202 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 901 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON AFFECTING HINDS AND RANKIN COUNTIES PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC099-160801- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-091020T0300Z/ /PLAM6.1.ER.091012T2345Z.091016T0000Z.091019T1200Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA * UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. * AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE CAMPING AREAS IN BURNSIDE LAKE WATER PARK ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME UPPER PEARL RIVER PHILADELPHIA 13 14.7 WED 08 PM 14.9 14.9 14.4 15.0 FRI 01 AM $$ MSC079-160800- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0122.091015T1312Z-091020T1005Z/ /ENBM6.1.ER.091015T1312Z.091018T0000Z.091019T1905Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG * FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT. * AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER IS PARTIALLY COVERING SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS AND DIRT ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THE LUMBER YARD DOWNSTREAM OF STATE HIGHWAY 16 BRIDGE IS AFFECTED. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME UPPER PEARL RIVER EDINBURG 20 19.2 WED 08 PM 19.9 21.5 22.2 22.5 SAT 07 PM $$ MSC079-160800- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CARM6.1.ER.091014T0533Z.091019T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF HIGHWAY 35 BRIDGE IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME UPPER PEARL RIVER CARTHAGE 17 19.0 WED 08 PM 19.3 19.5 19.6 20.0 MON 01 AM $$ MSC049-121-160800- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0126.091017T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /JACM6.1.ER.091017T1800Z.091020T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 901 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...FARMLAND IN SOUTHERN RANKIN COUNTY BEGINS TO FLOOD AND WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT HOMES NEAR THE RIVER IN THE BYRAM AREA. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME MIDDLE PEARL RIVER JACKSON 28 26.6 WED 08 PM 26.8 27.5 27.9 28.5 MON 07 PM $$  364 WHUS71 KAKQ 150202 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1002 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ANZ630-631-650-652-151015- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091016T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM- 1002 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-654-151015- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091016T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO 20 NM- 1002 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ633-656-151015- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091016T2200Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- 1002 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...AND WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ658-151015- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091016T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 1002 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ALEXANDER  503 WHZS40 NSTU 150202 CFWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  809 WGUS84 KJAN 150203 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 903 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR KOSCIUSKO AFFECTING ATTALA COUNTY YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM. && MSC007-160803- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-091016T0900Z/ /KSCM6.1.ER.091013T0815Z.091014T1900Z.091015T1800Z.NO/ 903 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR KOSCIUSKO * UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * AT 8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES 2 MILES UPSTREAM OF GAGE ARE AFFECTED BY WATER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME YOCKANOOKANY RIVER KOSCIUSKO 15 16.4 WED 09 PM 15.8 13.8 12.4 FALLING $$ MSC079-160802- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OFAM6.2.ER.091014T0902Z.091017T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 903 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING FOR SEVERAL MILES EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER. ALSO SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS ARE UNDERWATER SOUTH OF THE GAGE SITE NEAR THE PEARL RIVER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME YOCKANOOKANY RIVER OFAHOMA 19 21.4 WED 09 PM 21.9 22.8 22.8 23.0 FRI 07 PM $$  758 WVNT07 KKCI 150205 WSVA0G TJZS SIGMET GOLF 11 VALID 150205/150805 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 0040Z WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1630 W06300 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. BLW FL090. STNR. FCST 0805Z VA CLD APRX WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1630 W06300 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. ...CORRECTED PTS...  440 WGUS84 KLIX 150207 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 907 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY AND WASHINGTON PARISHES IN LOUISIANA AND HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-152007- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0052.091017T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.091017T1800Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 907 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. $$  554 WWUS43 KBIS 150207 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 907 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... .PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER OVERNIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM WISHEK...TO MEDINA AND CARRINGTON...AND LOCATIONS NORTH AND EAST OF MINOT. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FOSTER...STUTSMAN...LAMOURE...AND DICKEY COUNTIES BY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH 1 TO 3 INCH TOTALS ELSEWHERE IN THE ADVISORY AREA. VERY HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA OVERNIGHT. MOST ROADS ARE SNOW AND ICE COVERED...ESPECIALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 83. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. NDZ018>020-031>034-040>045-150315- /O.CAN.KBIS.WW.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE- HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KILLDEER...BEULAH...HAZEN...CENTER... BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN... BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES 907 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 /807 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2009/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...AND THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER. $$ NDZ001>005-009>013-017-021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-151015- /O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD- MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH- KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...BOWBELLS...MOHALL... BOTTINEAU...ROLLA...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER... RUGBY...WATFORD CITY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY... CARRINGTON...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...LINTON...NAPOLEON... EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES 907 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY. EXPECT ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM A DUSTING...UP TO 2 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL BE LOCATED EAST OF HIGHWAY 83. EXPECT STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH HIGHER TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS FOSTER...STUTSMAN...LAMOURE...AND DICKEY COUNTIES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KINNEY  031 WGUS84 KSHV 150208 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 908 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC159-343-387-449-160208- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /TLCT2.3.ER.091005T0058Z.091015T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 908 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SULPHUR RIVER BELOW TALCO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING. EXPECT SOME SECONDARY ROADS TO BE FLOODED AND CLOSED AS THE SULPHUR RIVER REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. $$ TXC037-067-343-160207- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NAPT2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.091018T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 908 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SULPHUR RIVER NEAR NAPLES. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 5:52 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING. EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING OF THE HEAVILY WOODED FLOODPLAIN. FISHERMEN SHOULD USE CAUTION AS THE CURRENTS ARE SWIFT. $$  032 WVNT07 KKCI 150205 TJZS SIGMET GOLF 11 VALID 150205/150805 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 0040Z WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1630 W06300 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. BLW FL090. STNR. FCST 0805Z VA CLD APRX WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1630 W06300 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. ...CORRECTED PTS...  664 WWUS74 KAMA 150212 NPWAMA URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 912 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXZ001-006>020-151000- /O.NEW.KAMA.FG.Y.0009.091015T0212Z-091015T1400Z/ DALLAM-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER- CARSON-GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY- COLLINGSWORTH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DALHART...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS... BORGER...MIAMI...CANADIAN...VEGA...AMARILLO...PANHANDLE... WHITE DEER...PAMPA...SHAMROCK...WHEELER...HEREFORD...CANYON... CLAUDE...CLARENDON...WELLINGTON 912 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. FOG HAS DEVELOPED JUST EAST OF A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO FALL...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ SJOHNSON  229 WGUS84 KMOB 150213 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 913 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC023-025-129-160213- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0065.091015T1530Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.091015T1530Z.091019T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 913 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM * FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET * NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 34.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$ ALC023-025-129-160212- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.3.ER.091013T1114Z.091013T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 913 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY * FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET * NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$  576 WHZS40 NSTU 150213 CFWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  748 WGUS84 KSHV 150214 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 914 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LAC015-017-081-150244- /O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-091017T1800Z/ /SVPL1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 914 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE RED RIVER AT SHREVEPORT. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 29.7 FEET FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. STILL EXPECT WATER PROBLEMS AT C B DICKSON PARK AND SOME LOW AREA FLOODING. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED THAT THE CURRENT REMAINS SWIFT. $$  554 WGUS84 KSHV 150218 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 918 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LAC013-015-017-069-081-160218- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CSHL1.1.ER.091015T0233Z.091017T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 918 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT COUSHATTA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 31.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING TO OCCUR AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. $$ LAC043-069-081-160217- /O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0107.091015T1312Z-000000T0000Z/ /GREL1.1.ER.091015T1312Z.091018T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 918 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT GRAND ECORE. * FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 35.0 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING. $$  761 WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 160E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 168E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 172E TO 37N 174E 36N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 175E TO 34N 176E 31N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 175E TO 33N 171E 31N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.3N 144.5E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 22 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 13.8N 138.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 168E 53N 180E 38N 172E 36N 175E 33N 170E 42N 165E 53N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 142E SE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 149E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 117E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 149E TO 33N 152E 33N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 149E TO 31N 146E 28N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 142E TO 27N 137E 25N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  921 WHZS50 NSTU 150221 SMWPPG HIGH SURF ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 300 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  502 WWUS76 KSTO 150223 NPWSTO URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA 723 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 CAZ013>015-150330- /O.CAN.KSTO.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-091015T0300Z/ SHASTA LAKE AREA / NORTHERN SHASTA COUNTY- BURNEY BASIN / EASTERN SHASTA COUNTY-NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY- 723 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SACRAMENTO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNTAINS FOR SHASTA COUNTY AND FOR THE NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY. WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SHASTA COUNTY HAVE DECREASED THIS EVENING. AS OF 700 PM WINDS IN NEARLY ALL AREAS WERE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT. THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  622 WGUS84 KSHV 150223 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 923 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LAC015-119-160223- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LBBL1.1.ER.091007T0400Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 923 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BODCAU BAYOU AT BAYOU BODCAU LAKE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 183.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 172.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 188.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. EXPECT MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING WITH SEVERAL ACCESS ROADS CLOSED WITH CAMPS AND PICNIC GROUNDS AROUND THE LAKE CLOSED. $$  881 WWUS43 KFGF 150226 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 926 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SNOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION TONIGHT... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY THURSDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL CAUSE SNOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS A SMALL AREA WEST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY FROM WESTERN BARNES COUNTY SOUTH THROUGH THE FORT RANSOM AND FORMAN AREAS...WHERE UP TO 6 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED. LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF AREAS WEST OF THE VALLEY. SNOW FALL AMOUNTS FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY EASTWARD WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF BY MIDNIGHT WITH LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY MORNING. MNZ001>004-007-029-NDZ008-016-027-029-030-039-053-054-150330- /O.CAN.KFGF.WW.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-WEST MARSHALL-WILKIN-PEMBINA- EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-GRAND FORKS-STEELE-TRAILL-CASS-RICHLAND- WESTERN WALSH COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS... HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...HALLOCK...WARREN...BRECKENRIDGE...CAVALIER... GRAFTON...GRAND FORKS...FINLEY...MAYVILLE...FARGO...WAHPETON... ADAMS 926 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY ALONG WITH EARLY RAINFALL WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW TO ACCUMULATE. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY MORNING. EVEN WITH LESS SNOWFALL EXPECTED TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREE EITHER SIDE OF FREEZING WILL CAUSE ROADWAYS TO BE VERY SLIPPERY. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING OVERNIGHT AND THE TOMORROW MORNING COMMUTE. $$ NDZ038-049-052-151200- /O.UPG.KFGF.WW.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WS.W.0010.091015T0226Z-091015T1200Z/ BARNES-RANSOM-SARGENT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALLEY CITY...LISBON...GWINNER 926 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN BARNES COUNTY TO NEAR FORT RANSOM AND FORMAN. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY MAY SEE SIGNIFICANTLY LESSER AMOUNTS. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-028-151200- /O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ TOWNER-CAVALIER-BENSON-RAMSEY-EDDY-NELSON-GRIGGS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CANDO...LANGDON...MADDOCK...LEEDS... DEVILS LAKE...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...COOPERSTOWN 926 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW FALL REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE SNOW TAPERS OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW FREEZING ROADWAYS WITH BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ VOELKER  050 WGUS84 KSHV 150226 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 926 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ARC003-139-160226- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /FELA4.1.ER.091012T1317Z.091026T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 926 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT FELSENTHAL. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 72.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 70.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 77.0 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$  131 WWCN16 CWHX 150225 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:55 PM NDT WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WIND WARNING FOR: =NEW= BONAVISTA PENINSULA ST. JOHN'S AND VICINITY AVALON PENINSULA NORTH BONAVISTA NORTH. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH COASTAL GUSTS TO 110 KM/H WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: CLARENVILLE AND VICINITY TERRA NOVA. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. WINTER STORM WARNING CHANGED TO WIND WARNING FOR: BONAVISTA PENINSULA. OVER 15 CENTIMETRES OF SNOWFALL HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ON THE BONAVISTA PENINSULA. SNOW HAS ENDED BUT STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE FUNK ISLAND BANK WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 110 KM/H FOR A FEW MORE HOURS ALONG PARTS OF THE EAST COAST. ALSO ALONG THE EAST AND NORTHEAST COASTS HIGH SEAS AND ROUGH SURF ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST TONIGHT BEFORE EASING THURSDAY MORNING. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF WAVES CRASHING OR RUNNING ACROSS ROADS CLOSE TO THE SHORELINE AND MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/..  859 WGUS84 KSHV 150227 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 927 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC347-365-401-405-419-150257- /O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ /ATBT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 927 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE ATTOYAC BAYOU NEAR CHIRENO. * AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13.5 FEET TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. $$  757 WSPR31 SPIM 150222 SPIM SIGMET 3 VALID 150220/150300 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET 2 VALID 150100/150300 =  716 WSPR31 SPIM 150222 SPIM SIGMET 3 VALID 150220/150300 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET 2 VALID 150100/150300 =  304 WAUS41 KKCI 150245 WA1T BOST WA 150245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 150900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...TURB OH WV MD DC VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 50SSW JST-80SE SBY-70SSE ILM-GQO-HMV-HNN-CVG-50SSW JST MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS DVLPG 09-12Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  305 WAUS42 KKCI 150245 WA2T MIAT WA 150245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 150900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...TURB NC SC GA OH WV MD DC VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 50SSW JST-80SE SBY-70SSE ILM-GQO-HMV-HNN-CVG-50SSW JST MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS DVLPG 09-12Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  306 WAUS43 KKCI 150245 WA3T CHIT WA 150245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM MI IL IN KY FROM 30SW ISN TO FAR TO 20NNE GRB TO FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO 20NNE DYR TO 20S OSW TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE LAA TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP TO 80SW DIK TO 30SW ISN MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  372 WAUS44 KKCI 150245 WA4T DFWT WA 150245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 150900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  373 WAUS45 KKCI 150245 WA5T SLCT WA 150245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY NV UT CO WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM TOU TO SEA TO 80SW DIK TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 30ESE LAA TO 50W JNC TO ELY TO 130WNW FOT TO 110WNW ONP TO 140W TOU TO TOU MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY NV UT WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40N HVR TO 40ESE BIL TO 50WSW DDY TO 50SW BPI TO 20SW DTA TO 40WNW ELY TO OAL TO 50SSW SNS TO 20WSW FOT TO 20SSE HQM TO TOU TO HUH TO 40N HVR MOD TURB BLW 140. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET TURB...WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 40NNW BFF TO 30ESE CYS TO 40E SNY TO 50W LBL TO 50W RSK TO 30WNW HVE TO 30N OCS TO 40NNW BFF MOD TURB BLW FL180. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...TURB ID MT WA BOUNDED BY 60WSW YXC-20S HLN-SEA-TOU-140W TOU-30WNW HUH-60WSW YXC MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  375 WAUS46 KKCI 150245 WA6T SFOT WA 150245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET TURB...WA OR CA ID MT WY NV UT CO AND CSTL WTRS FROM TOU TO SEA TO 80SW DIK TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 30ESE LAA TO 50W JNC TO ELY TO 130WNW FOT TO 110WNW ONP TO 140W TOU TO TOU MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET TURB...WA OR CA ID MT WY NV UT AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40N HVR TO 40ESE BIL TO 50WSW DDY TO 50SW BPI TO 20SW DTA TO 40WNW ELY TO OAL TO 50SSW SNS TO 20WSW FOT TO 20SSE HQM TO TOU TO HUH TO 40N HVR MOD TURB BLW 140. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...TURB WA ID MT BOUNDED BY 60WSW YXC-20S HLN-SEA-TOU-140W TOU-30WNW HUH-60WSW YXC MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  905 WAUS41 KKCI 150245 WA1S BOSS WA 150245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET IFR...PA OH WV MD VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40SSE FWA TO 40SE EWC TO 20NE ECG TO 30WNW ECG TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO 40SSE FWA CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NY PA WV MD VA NC SC GA FROM JHW TO SLT TO HAR TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z AREA 1...IFR PA OH LE WV MD DC VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30NE SLT-50ESE EMI-20NE ECG-HMV-HNN-CVG-FWA-30NE SLT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . AREA 2...MTN OBSCN NY PA WV MD VA NC SC GA BOUNDED BY JHW-20E HNK-CLT-ATL-GQO-40SW VXV-HMV-HNN-JHW MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  981 WAUS42 KKCI 150245 WA2S MIAS WA 150245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NE ECG TO 90SSE ECG TO 80SSE CHS TO 40WSW OMN TO 60SW TLH TO 50SW CEW TO 40W CEW TO 50SW PZD TO GQO TO HMV TO 20NE ECG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NC SC GA NY PA WV MD VA FROM JHW TO SLT TO HAR TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...MTN OBSCN NC SC GA NY PA WV MD VA BOUNDED BY JHW-20E HNK-CLT-ATL-GQO-40SW VXV-HMV-HNN-JHW MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  982 WAUS43 KKCI 150245 WA3S CHIS WA 150245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET IFR...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI IL IN KY FROM 50NNW ISN TO 60WNW INL TO 60ESE INL TO 40S DLL TO 20ENE FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO RZC TO OSW TO 40SSE ICT TO OBH TO 30NW ANW TO 60NW RAP TO 50NNW ISN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...NE KS FROM 30NW ANW TO OBH TO 40SSE ICT TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO 60ENE BFF TO 30NW ANW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...KY TN FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  983 WAUS44 KKCI 150245 WA4S DFWS WA 150245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET IFR...OK TX AR LA AND CSTL WTRS FROM OSW TO RZC TO 40SW LCH TO 40SW PSX TO 40ESE DLF TO 40NE JCT TO 20WNW ACT TO 70WSW TTT TO 50WNW ABI TO TXO TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO 40SSE ICT TO OSW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...TX AR TN LA MS AL AND CSTL WTRS FROM HMV TO GQO TO 50SW PZD TO 40W CEW TO 50SW CEW TO 50ESE LEV TO 40SW LCH TO RZC TO HMV CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TN KY FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  984 WAUS45 KKCI 150245 WA5S SLCS WA 150245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET IFR...MT WY FROM 30NNE HVR TO 50NNW ISN TO 60NW RAP TO 30SSE MLS TO 30NNE HVR CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...CO NM FROM GLD TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO TXO TO CIM TO 50S AKO TO GLD CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 30SSW DDY TO 20SSE LAR TO 20SSE ALS TO 50S DVC TO 20NNW DVC TO 30SSE BPI TO 30SSW DDY MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ID NV WA OR CA FROM HUH TO 60SW YXC TO 50SE REO TO 90SSW REO TO 40SSW FMG TO 20ENE OAK TO 20NNW RZS TO 40ENE LAX TO 60S TRM TO 20SE MZB TO 40ESE LAX TO 40W RZS TO 20SSW FOT TO 60W PDX TO TOU TO HUH MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ID MT WY FROM 60SSW YXH TO 30N HVR TO 30SW BOY TO 20SSW BPI TO 40ENE REO TO 60SW YXC TO 60SSW YXH MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...MTN OBSCN ID WY UT BOUNDED BY 30SW DDY-30SSE BPI-40SW OCS-40E SLC-50W BPI-30SW DDY MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  985 WAUS46 KKCI 150245 WA6S SFOS WA 150245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET IFR...WA OR AND CSTL WTRS FROM HUH TO 60SW YXC TO 30ESE GEG TO 40S EPH TO 50S HQM TO TOU TO HUH CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG 06-09Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NE ONP TO 60WNW OED TO 20NNW OED TO 30NNE FOT TO 60SSE FOT TO 40NNW RZS TO 50SE EHF TO 50E LAX TO 30ESE MZB TO 220SW MZB TO 140WSW FOT TO 140NW FOT TO 60W ONP TO 20NE ONP CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WA OR CA ID NV FROM HUH TO 60SW YXC TO 50SE REO TO 90SSW REO TO 40SSW FMG TO 20ENE OAK TO 20NNW RZS TO 40ENE LAX TO 60S TRM TO 20SE MZB TO 40ESE LAX TO 40W RZS TO 20SSW FOT TO 60W PDX TO TOU TO HUH MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  522 WHUS73 KMKX 150235 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 935 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...GUSTY EAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY... .LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE STATE AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUATION OF PERSISTENT AND GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS. THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGH WAVES THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. LMZ644>646-151045- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0073.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI- NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI- WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL- 935 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL PREVAIL. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED AT A LATER TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GEHRING  980 WGUS84 KSHV 150239 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 939 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ARC027-LAC119-160239- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SPHL1.2.ER.091004T1325Z.091016T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 939 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING. $$ LAC013-015-119-160238- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MNEL1.2.ER.091006T1005Z.091016T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 939 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU DORCHEAT AT DIXIE INN. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING. EXPECT LOW LYING AREAS IN DIXIE INN TO FLOOD WITH WATER LEVELS APPROACHING THE OLD HIGHWAY 80 BRIDGE. $$ LAC013-015-081-119-160238- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LBUL1.1.ER.091014T0824Z.091017T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 939 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU DORCHEAT AT LAKE BISTINEAU. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 143.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 142.5 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 143.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT LOWLAND FLOODING OF CAMPS AND PICNIC AREAS AS WELL AS FLOODING OF SOME SECONDARY ROADS IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT TO THE LAKE. $$  298 WVNT07 KKCI 150040 TJZS SIGMET G10 VALID 150040/150640 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 0040Z WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1730 W06300 - N1630 W06300 - N1645 W06515 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. BLW FL090. STNR. FCST 0640Z VA CLD APRX WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1730 W06300 - N1630 W06300 - N1645 W06515 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415.=  354 WAUS43 KKCI 150245 WA3Z CHIZ WA 150245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET ICE...ND SD NE MN IA WI LM LS MI LH IL IN FROM 30N INL TO 20N YQT TO 30SSW SSM TO 40SW YVV TO 30ESE ECK TO DXO TO FWA TO 20N DSM TO 20NW OVR TO 50SSW ABR TO 50NNW ISN TO 30N INL MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL SFC-080. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET ICE...KS IA MO IL IN KY FROM 20N DSM TO FWA TO CVG TO 30SSE BWG TO 40NE DYR TO 40NE SGF TO 20SSE MCI TO 20NW OVR TO 20N DSM MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL230. FRZLVL 080-130. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z AREA 1...ICE ND SD BOUNDED BY 50NNW ISN-BIS-40E DPR-100SE MLS-50NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 030-080. CONDS DVLPG 09-12Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . AREA 2...ICE ND SD MN IA WI LM LS MI LH IL IN BOUNDED BY 30N INL-YQT-70ESE YQT-60SSE SSM-30SW YVV-30SE ECK-FWA-40N UIN-30ESE FSD-BIS-50NNW ISN-30N INL MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL SFC-080. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . AREA 3...ICE MO IL IN KY TN BOUNDED BY FWA-CVG-HNN-HMV-GQO-20SSE BWG-30NNE DYR-40N UIN-FWA MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL230. FRZLVL 080-130. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-140 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 030-120 BOUNDED BY 50NNW ISN-20ENE ABR-50WNW MCW- 50SW BAE-30W GIJ-30WNW BVT-20WSW PWE-40ESE MCK-20NW LBF- 30SSE PIR-40E RAP-100SE MLS-60WSW DIK-50NNW ISN SFC ALG 50NNW ISN-30SW MOT-40SE MOT-60E MOT-100WSW YWG 040 ALG 60W DIK-30N PIR-50ESE PIR-30N ONL-50ESE ONL-20SW DXO 080 ALG 70NW RAP-70ESE RAP-30ENE LBF-40NW PWE-40S FWA 120 ALG 30S GLD-30WSW MCI-50WSW IIU-HMV ....  355 WAUS45 KKCI 150245 WA5Z SLCZ WA 150245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET ICE...ID MT WY NV UT WA OR CA FROM 50ESE YDC TO 50NNW ISN TO 70NW RAP TO 40N BOY TO 30SE BVL TO 60SSW REO TO 50SW LKV TO 50NW OED TO 50SSW PDX TO 20NW PDT TO 50ESE YDC MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 020-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE ID MT WY WA OR BOUNDED BY 70NW RAP-50WSW RAP-20W DDY-20SE BPI-40WSW BPI-40N BOY-70NW RAP MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 020-100. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 010-175 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 010-080 BOUNDED BY 30NNW HVR-50NNW ISN-60WSW DIK- 50SSE HVR-30NNW HVR MULT FRZLVL 100-140 BOUNDED BY 70WSW BAM-30SW ELY-50NNE BTY- 50SE FMG-70WSW BAM 040 ALG 30NNE HVR-60NW GGW-60W DIK 080 ALG 90SSE GEG-40NW DLN-40E HLN-50NE BIL-70NW RAP 120 ALG 50W OAL-50WSW ELY-20SSW DTA-30WSW HBU-40NNE PUB-30S GLD 160 ALG BZA-20SE DRK-30E INW-40W ABQ-20SW FTI-20E TCC ....  356 WAUS46 KKCI 150245 WA6Z SFOZ WA 150245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET ICE...WA OR CA ID MT WY NV UT FROM 50ESE YDC TO 50NNW ISN TO 70NW RAP TO 40N BOY TO 30SE BVL TO 60SSW REO TO 50SW LKV TO 50NW OED TO 50SSW PDX TO 20NW PDT TO 50ESE YDC MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 020-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE WA OR ID MT WY BOUNDED BY 70NW RAP-50WSW RAP-20W DDY-20SE BPI-40WSW BPI-40N BOY-70NW RAP MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 020-100. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 050-165 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 170WSW ONP-130SW ONP-30SSE EUG-30ENE PDT-90SSE GEG 120 ALG 140WSW FOT-120SW FOT-20WNW ENI-20NNW SAC-60ENE MOD- 50W OAL 160 ALG 180SSW RZS-100WSW MZB-60SSW MZB ....  512 WAUS41 KKCI 150245 WA1Z BOSZ WA 150245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 150900 . AIRMET ICE...NY LO PA OH LE WV MD FROM 50NNE BUF TO 30ESE PSB TO 20SW HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO DXO TO 50NNE BUF MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 020-100. CONDS DVLPG 06-09Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET ICE...MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50NNE BUF TO 50S ALB TO 70SE ACK TO 150ESE ACK TO 190SSE ACK TO 180SE SIE TO 20SSW EMI TO 20SSW HAR TO 50NNE BUF MOD ICE BTN 080 AND 120. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z AREA 1...ICE MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30NNE YYZ-20NE SYR-40SSE BOS-180ESE SIE-HNN-CVG-FWA-30ESE ECK-30NNE YYZ MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 020-100. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . AREA 2...ICE NY NJ WV MD DE VA NC SC AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY HNN-CSN-180ESE SIE-20ESE ECG-20SSE CLT-40SSW VXV-HMV-HNN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS DVLPG 12-15Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-120 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 050-080 BOUNDED BY 20WNW HAR-170SSE ACK-220SSE HTO-40NNW CSN-20WNW HAR SFC ALG 70WSW YOW-30ESE SYR-20WSW ALB-40WSW CON-50SE HUL 040 ALG 20SW DXO-50SSW JHW-50SSW HTO-150SE ACK-160ESE ACK 080 ALG 40S FWA-50NW CSN-40ESE DCA-90SE SBY-150SE SIE ....  537 WAUS42 KKCI 150245 WA2Z MIAZ WA 150245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 150900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE NC SC NY NJ WV MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY HNN-CSN-180ESE SIE-20ESE ECG-20SSE CLT-40SSW VXV-HMV-HNN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS DVLPG 12-15Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 110-170 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20E HMV-40W GSO-130SE ECG-170SE ECG 160 ALG 40ESE SJI-60SSE CEW-120W PIE-40WSW SRQ-70E PBI ....  538 WAUS44 KKCI 150245 WA4Z DFWZ WA 150245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 150900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE TN MO IL IN KY BOUNDED BY FWA-CVG-HNN-HMV-GQO-20SSE BWG-30NNE DYR-40N UIN-FWA MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL230. FRZLVL 080-130. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 120-175 ACRS AREA 160 ALG 20E TCC-40NE SPS-40NE MLU-30WNW SJI-40ESE SJI ....  952 WHZS50 NSTU 150244 SMWPPG HIGH SURF ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  669 WVNT07 KKCI 150205 TJZS SIGMET G11 VALID 150205/150805 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 0040Z WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1630 W06300 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. BLW FL090. STNR. FCST 0805Z VA CLD APRX WI N1830 W06415 - N1800 W06200 - N1630 W06300 - N1630 W06800 - N1745 W06800 - N1830 W06415. ...CORRECTED PTS...=  505 WGUS84 KSHV 150247 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 946 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC001-073-225-160246- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCST2.1.ER.091014T0300Z.091016T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 946 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NECHES RIVER NEAR NECHES. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.4 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING...HOWEVER A SECONDARY RISE TO 14.5 FEET WILL OCCUR NEXT WEEK. $$  517 WHUS73 KLOT 150248 MWWLOT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 948 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LMZ740>742-151100- /O.CON.KLOT.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR- WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND- NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR- 948 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE EAST. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET TO OCCUR. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  914 WHZS50 NSTU 150248 SMWPPG HIGH SURF ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  388 WSUS32 KKCI 150255 SIGC MKCC WST 150255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150455-150855 FROM 40ENE STL-50NW BNA-50NE SQS-40WSW TXK-30SSW ADM-30SSE OKC-40E TUL-30WNW COU-40ENE STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  389 WSUS31 KKCI 150255 SIGE MKCE WST 150255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150455-150855 FROM 80S ECG-150ESE ILM-150SSE ILM-170E PBI-PBI-CRG-80S ECG WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  390 WSUS33 KKCI 150255 SIGW MKCW WST 150255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150455-150855 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  401 WGUS84 KSHV 150252 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 952 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC423-499-160252- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MLAT2.2.ER.091005T1435Z.091014T1930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 952 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER NEAR MINEOLA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 18.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. $$ TXC183-423-459-499-160251- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /GDWT2.2.ER.091013T2318Z.091019T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 952 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER NEAR GLADEWATER. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.0 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$ TXC183-401-160251- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LONT2.1.ER.091015T1400Z.091016T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 952 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT LONGVIEW. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. $$ TXC183-203-365-401-160251- /O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-091018T1559Z/ /BEKT2.1.ER.091013T1909Z.091015T1800Z.091017T2159Z.NO/ 952 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER NEAR BECKVILLE. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.1 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. $$  288 WHZS50 NSTU 150254 SMWPPG HIGH SURF ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  788 WWJP72 RJTD 150000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 150000UTC ISSUED AT 150300UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 150900UTC =  888 WWJP71 RJTD 150000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 150000UTC ISSUED AT 150300UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 150900UTC =  889 WWJP74 RJTD 150000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 150000UTC ISSUED AT 150300UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 150900UTC =  890 WWJP73 RJTD 150000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 150000UTC ISSUED AT 150300UTC LOW 1010HPA AT 34N 149E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS WARM FRONT FROM 34N 149E TO 33N 152E 33N 155E COLD FRONT FROM 34N 149E TO 31N 146E 28N 142E STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 142E TO 27N 137E 25N 133E WARNING(NEAR GALE) NORTHERN SEA OFF KANTO, SOUTHERN SEA OFF KANTO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 150900UTC =  891 WWJP75 RJTD 150000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 150000UTC ISSUED AT 150300UTC LOW 1012HPA AT 45N 142E MOVING SE 10 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA EAST OF SAKHALIN NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 150900UTC =  488 WBCN07 CWVR 150200 PAM ROCKS WIND 2011 LANGARA; OVC 12R- SE12 1FT CHP LO NE 0230 CLD EST 20 FEW OVC ABV 25 08/06 GREEN; OVC 5R- E18 4FT MDT VSBY SE-SW 21/2F 0230 CLD EST 10 OVC 09/00 TRIPLE; OVC 7R SE25E 5FT MDT LO-MOD W 0230 CLD EST 10 OVC 08/03 BONILLA; OVC 15R- SE20G 4FT MDT LO S 0230 CLD EST 10 BKN OVC ABV 25 08/08 BOAT BLUFF; CLDY 15 N03 RPLD 0230 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 10/08 MCINNES; CLDY 10RW- SE25E 5FT MDT LO-MOD SW 0230 CLD EST 18 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/08 IVORY; CLDY 10 E16 3FT MDT LO SW SHWRS DSNT ALQDS 0230 CLD EST 12 BKN BKN ABV 10/08 DRYAD; OVC 12 S12 2FT CHP 0230 CLD EST 18 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/07 ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15 S10E 2FT CHP VSBY N 10 0230 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 10/08 EGG ISLAND; N/A PINE ISLAND; N/A CAPE SCOTT; N/A QUATSINO; N/A NOOTKA; CLDY 15 S12 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW ONCL RW- 0245 CLD EST 20 SCT BKN ABV 25 10/10 ESTEVAN; CLDY 12 E10 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW 1005.8R SHWRS ALL QUADS LENNARD; CLDY 15 SE12 2FT CHP MOD SW AMPHITRITE; CLDY 15 SE05 UNKN CAPE BEALE; CLDY 15 SW14 3FT MOD LO-MOD SW PACHENA; PC 15 CLM 2FT CHP MOD SW CARMANAH; CLDY 15 E15 3FT MOD MOD SW ONCL RW+ SCARLETT; N/A PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; OVC 04R-F SE15 2FT CHP CHROME; CLDY 15 S18 3FT MDT LO E MERRY; OVC 15 SE18 3FT MDT 0240 CLD EST 25 SCT OVC ABV 25 12/10 ENTRANCE; OVC 15 SW12 3FT MDT LO SW FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; CLDY 15 SW14 1FT CHP TRIAL IS.; CLDY 15RW- W23 3FT MDT Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 082/13/09/2406/M/0002 PRESRR 3061 99MM= WLP SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 041/11/08/1811/M/PRESRR 1067 77MM= WEB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 065/11/10/1007/M/0008 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR 1049 52MM= WQC SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 071/11/10/1602/M/0004 PRESRR 3067 16MM= WRU SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 042/11/05/1518/M/PK WND 1620 0134Z 1056 97MM= WFG SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 024/10/05/1922/M/PK WND 1825 0146Z 1075 97MM= WVF SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/1617/M/M PK WND 1422 0130Z M 3MMM= WQS SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/08/05/1415/M/0016 PCPN 0.6MM PAST HR PK WND 1628 0101Z M 12MM= WRO SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/08/06/1020+26/M/0026 PCPN 2.3MM PAST HR PK WND 0926 0150Z M 23MM= WEK SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 955/08/M/0626+33/M/0014 PCPN 1.4MM PAST HR PK WND 0537 0106Z 3040 0MMM= WWL SA 0222 AUTO4 M M M 947/08/M/MM16+33/M/0012 3045 2MMM= WME SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 042/06/04/0814/M/M PK WND 0922 0119Z PRESRR 1097 11MM= WAS SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 068/10/08/0211/M/0018 PCPN 1.8MM PAST HR PK WND 3619 0128Z 1043 74MM= WSB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/0916/M/0024 PCPN 1.8MM PAST HR PK WND 0824 0148Z M 6MMM= WGT SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 052/13/10/1417+24/M/M PK WND 1327 0134Z PRESRR 3062 50MM= WGB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/12/10/1413/M/PK WND 1321 0144Z M 72MM= WEL SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/13/10/2009+16/M/PK WND 1219 0102Z M 10MM= WDR SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/2808+18/M/M PK WND 2618 0159Z M 2MMM= WZO SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/2715/M/M PK WND 2818 0153Z M MMMM= WKA SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1020/M/M PK WND 1132 0109Z M MMMM= XFA SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 043/09/08/0906/M/0014 1048 23MM=  999 WHZS40 NSTU 150256 CFWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  260 WGUS84 KSHV 150259 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 959 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC499-160259- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /QTMT2.3.ER.091013T0700Z.091014T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 959 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LAKE FORK CREEK NEAR QUITMAN. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 17.1 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING AND HOLD ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. $$  471 WTPQ31 PGUM 150300 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 22W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP222009 200 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GUAM IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT... AT 100 PM CHST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 22W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM 205 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA 270 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 280 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 22W MADE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO GUAM AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING...AND IS NOW MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. THE TROPICAL STORM IS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST AT AROUND 25 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST AT AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 100 PM CHST POSITION...LATITUDE 12.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM CHST TONIGHT. $$ MUNDELL  782 WHGM70 PGUM 150300 MWWGUM URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 100 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EXTENDED TO INCLUDE GUAM WATERS... .OVERVIEW...WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM 22W WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT IN THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY. PMZ151-152000- /O.EXA.PGUM.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-091016T0800Z/ GUAM COASTAL WATERS- 100 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TIYAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST FRIDAY. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REPLACES THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH...WHICH WAS CANCELLED AT 1 PM CHST. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT AND SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY AS TROPICAL STORM 22W AND ITS PERIPHERAL WIND FIELD NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION MOVES THROUGH THE MARIANAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS 10 FEET OR GREATER AND SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PMZ152>154-152000- /O.CON.PGUM.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-091016T0800Z/ ROTA COASTAL WATERS-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS- 100 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST FRIDAY. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT AND SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY AS TROPICAL STORM 22W AND ITS PERIPHERAL WIND FIELD NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION MOVES THROUGH THE MARIANAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS 10 FEET OR GREATER AND SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MUNDELL  936 WTPQ81 PGUM 150300 HLSPQ1 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM 22W LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 100 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE ON GUAM AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GUAM HAS BEEN CANCELLED. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 100 PM CHST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 22W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST AT AROUND 25 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST AT AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH DURING NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... TROPICAL STORM 22W MADE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO GUAM AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING...AND IS NOW MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL STEADILY DIMINISH THROUGH FRIDAY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARIANAS WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD WAIT UNTIL MARINE CONDITIONS SUBSIDE BEFORE VENTURING OUT TO SEA. SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS...WITH DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. && .NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR TROPICAL STORM 22W. GUZ001-PMZ151-150400- /X.CAN.PGUM.TR.A.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS- 100 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM 22W IS MOVING AWAY FROM GUAM. WEATHER CONDITIONS ON GUAM WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. $$ MUNDELL  860 WGUS83 KSGF 150301 FLSSGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1001 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS. ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE) && MOC217-151801- /O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-091016T0320Z/ /SCZM7.1.ER.091010T1030Z.091013T0000Z.091015T0320Z.NO/ 1001 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY. * AT 9:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL-OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY, AND LOST CREEK ROAD, ON THE WEST SIDE OF SCHELL LAKE. IN ADDITION, FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN OSAGE RIVER CHANNEL, AT THE GAGE SITE. $$  084 WALJ31 LJLJ 150255 LJLA AIRMET 1 VALID 150300/150500 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST N OF N46 FL030/080 STNR WKN=  946 WSBW20 VGZR 150330 VGFR SIGMET 02 VALID 150400/150800 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  221 WGUS84 KSHV 150304 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1004 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC159-343-449-160304- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WOCT2.2.ER.091005T0200Z.091015T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1004 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE OAK CREEK NEAR TALCO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING. EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING AS WHITE OAK CREEK WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO NEXT WEEK. $$  380 WSBW20 VGZR 150330 VGFR SIGMET 02 VALID 150400/150800 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  822 WSEW33 LEMM 150300 GCCC SIGMET 1 VALID 150300/150700 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV SLW NE WKN=  158 WSEW33 LEMM 150300 GCCC SIGMET 1 VALID 150300/150700 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV SLW NE WKN=  186 WSEW33 LEMM 150300 GCCC SIGMET 1 VALID 150300/150700 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV SLW NE WKN=  397 WSEW33 LEMM 150300 GCCC SIGMET 1 VALID 150300/150700 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV SLW NE WKN=  981 WWUS74 KLIX 150307 NPWLIX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1007 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM THURSDAY MORNING FOR SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... .THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS...CLEAR SKIES...HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS NEAR THE SURFACE...AND VERY MOIST GROUND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AREAS OF DENSE FOG OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND THOSE AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. LAZ034>040-046>050-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-151115- /O.NEW.KLIX.FG.Y.0011.091015T0307Z-091015T1300Z/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA- WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE- EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA... ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL... MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...CENTREVILLE... WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LIBERTY...CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN... PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT... BILOXI...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER... ST. MARTIN 1007 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT THURSDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$  461 WSNT08 KKCI 150308 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 8 VALID 150308/150410 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET HOTEL 7 150010/150410.  380 WSNT08 KKCI 150308 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 8 VALID 150308/150410 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET HOTEL 7 150010/150410.  841 WGUS84 KSHV 150311 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1011 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXC067-315-160311- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /JEFT2.2.ER.091007T0655Z.091017T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK CYPRESS BAYOU AT JEFFERSON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING. $$ TXC183-203-315-459-160310- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /ORCT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091015T0215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LITTLE CYPRESS BAYOU AT ORE CITY. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL RISE TO NEAR 15.5 FEET TOMORROW MORNING. $$ TXC183-203-315-459-160310- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /JFFT2.2.ER.091013T1750Z.091017T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LITTLE CYPRESS BAYOU NEAR JEFFERSON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING. $$  280 WSPS21 NZKL 150311 NZZO SIGMET 4 VALID 150311/150711 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL280/350 90NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3230 E17840 - S2810 W16725 MOV E 10KT NC  281 WSPS21 NZKL 150311 NZZO SIGMET 3 VALID 150311/150401 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 2 150001/150401  339 WWUS71 KOKX 150314 NPWOKX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1114 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FREEZE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...AND FAR INTERIOR NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY... .HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE AREA WILL BRING IN AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH LOWS REACHING AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW THE FREEZING MARK ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...AND FAR INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY. CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-151100- /O.CON.KOKX.FZ.W.0005.091015T0700Z-091015T1300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- 1114 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY... A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION WILL USHER IN A COLD AIR MASS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND FAR INTERIOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$  216 WSNZ21 NZKL 150313 NZZC SIGMET 5 VALID 150313/150415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 3 150015/150415  307 WSNZ21 NZKL 150315 NZZC SIGMET 6 VALID 150315/150418 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 4 150018/150418  308 WSNZ21 NZKL 150313 NZZC SIGMET 7 VALID 150313/150713 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZOH/NZGS NC  309 WSNZ21 NZKL 150315 NZZC SIGMET 8 VALID 150315/150715 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM NC  603 WSNZ21 NZKL 150313 NZZC SIGMET 5 VALID 150313/150415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 3 150015/150415  604 WSNZ21 NZKL 150315 NZZC SIGMET 8 VALID 150315/150715 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM NC  605 WSNZ21 NZKL 150315 NZZC SIGMET 6 VALID 150315/150418 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 4 150018/150418  606 WSNZ21 NZKL 150313 NZZC SIGMET 7 VALID 150313/150713 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZOH/NZGS NC  944 WGZS80 NSTU 150316 FLSPPG FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 420 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151100- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 420 PM SST THU OCT 14 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN PAGO PAGO HAS ISSUED... *A SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE ISLANDS OF TUTUILA, AUNUU AND MANU'A UNTIL 200 AM THURSDAY. *SATELLITE SHOWS AN INTENSE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ISLANDS REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AND IS PRODUCING OCCASIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. *THE HEAVY SHOWERS AND RUNOFFS WILL CAUSE OVERFLOW OF STREAMS AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. MUD AND LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE AS GROUNDS BECOME SATURATED...ESPECIALLY ALONG MOUNTAIN AREAS. CONSIDERABLE CAUTION IS ADVISED WHILE DRIVING AND PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS 420 AOAULI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 UA IAI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA MO VAITAFE I NOFOAGA MAUALALALO MO TUTUILA...AUNUU MA MANUA E OO ATU I LE 400 TAEAO ASO LULU. O LO'O VA'AIA I SATELITE SE FA'APUTUGA O AO MA TIMUGA I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA MA UA MAFUA AI NEI TIMUGA MAMAFA MA NI NAI FAITITILI. O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA O LE A LOLOVAIA AI VAITAFE FA'APEA NOFOAGA MAUALALALO. E ONO TUTUPU FO'I SOLOGA I NOFOAGA TULATA I MAUGA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'AETEETE I TAIMI O FEMALAGA'IGA I LUGA O ALATELE ONA O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA MA LOLOGA. E AO FOI ONA TAPENAPENA LELEI MA NOFO SAUNI AUA LE PUIPUIA O LE SOIFUA MA MEA TOTINO. RL  539 WHUS41 KOKX 150319 CFWOKX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1119 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING... .THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND A COASTAL STORM PASSING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WILL PRODUCE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS AROUND LONG ISLAND. THIS...COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES WILL BUILD UP WATER AT THE COAST...LIKELY PRODUCING MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>081-151130- /O.CON.KOKX.CF.A.0001.091016T0900Z-091016T1600Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 1119 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MILES PER HOUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SEAS AND SURGE ALONG THE COAST. THIS COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES LIKELY WILL PRODUCE MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF LONG ISLAND SOUND APPEAR MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS AT THIS TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && ...OCEAN/NEW YORK HARBOR/SOUTH SHORE BAYS FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIMEOF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) THE BATTERY.....718 AM.....5.7.........6.7.........8.0........8.0 BERGEN POINT....717 AM.....6.2.........N/A.........8.5........8.6 FREEPORT........725 AM.....3.7.........5.2.........5.9........5.9 ...LONG ISLAND SOUND FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) KINGS POINT....1036 AM.....8.9.........N/A........10.5.......11.4 STAMFORD.......1014 AM.....8.6.........9.5........11.1.......11.2 BRIDGEPORT.....1011 AM.....8.0.........8.9........10.4.......10.5 NEW LONDON......810 AM.....3.4.........5.0.........N/A........5.5 $$  490 WSSG31 GOOY 150320 GOOO SIGMET 2 VALID 150315/150715 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 0245Z OVER IVORY COAST BTN N0930 W00624 - N0930 W00558 - N0904 W00556 N0855 W00613 - N0914 W00628 - N0930 W00624 AND N0813 W00610 N0830 W00554 - N0814 W00540 - N0800 W00550 - N0806 W00607 N0813 W00610 AND BTN N0958 W00440 - N0953 W00330 - N0840 W00337 N0840 W00347 - N0958 W00440 AND BTN N0835 W00334 - N0837 W00233 N0812 W00230 - N0713 W00257 - N0722 W00351 - N0818 W00347 N0835 W00334 TOP CB FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  491 WGZS80 NSTU 150321 FLSPPG FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 420 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151100- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 420 PM SST THU OCT 14 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN PAGO PAGO HAS ISSUED... *A SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE ISLANDS OF TUTUILA, AUNUU AND MANU'A UNTIL 200 AM THURSDAY. *SATELLITE SHOWS AN INTENSE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ISLANDS AND IS PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS HEAVY AT TIMES AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. *THE HEAVY SHOWERS AND RUNOFFS WILL CAUSE OVERFLOW OF STREAMS AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. MUD AND LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE AS GROUNDS BECOME SATURATED...ESPECIALLY ALONG MOUNTAIN AREAS. CONSIDERABLE CAUTION IS ADVISED WHILE DRIVING AND PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS 420 AOAULI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 UA IAI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA MO VAITAFE I NOFOAGA MAUALALALO MO TUTUILA...AUNUU MA MANUA E OO ATU I LE 400 TAEAO ASO LULU. O LO'O VA'AIA I SATELITE SE FA'APUTUGA O AO MA TIMUGA I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA MA UA MAFUA AI NEI TIMUGA E MAMAFA I TAIMI MA NI FAITITILI E ONO PA PA AI. O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA O LE A LOLOVAIA AI VAITAFE FA'APEA NOFOAGA MAUALALALO. E ONO TUTUPU FO'I SOLOGA I NOFOAGA TULATA I MAUGA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'AETEETE I TAIMI O FEMALAGA'IGA I LUGA O ALATELE ONA O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA MA LOLOGA. E AO FOI ONA TAPENAPENA LELEI MA NOFO SAUNI AUA LE PUIPUIA O LE SOIFUA MA MEA TOTINO. RL  264 WSSG31 GOOY 150320 GOOO SIGMET 2 VALID 150315/150715 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 0245Z OVER IVORY COAST BTN N0930 W00624 - N0930 W00558 - N0904 W00556 N0855 W00613 - N0914 W00628 - N0930 W00624 AND N0813 W00610 N0830 W00554 - N0814 W00540 - N0800 W00550 - N0806 W00607 N0813 W00610 AND BTN N0958 W00440 - N0953 W00330 - N0840 W00337 N0840 W00347 - N0958 W00440 AND BTN N0835 W00334 - N0837 W00233 N0812 W00230 - N0713 W00257 - N0722 W00351 - N0818 W00347 N0835 W00334 TOP CB FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  267 WHMY40 PGUM 150322 CFWMY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 122 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE MARIANAS... .OVERVIEW...BUILDING SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS FROM TROPICAL STORM 22W ARE PRODUCING HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ON EAST FACING BEACHES AND REEFS IN THE MARIANAS. HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED ON EAST AND SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES THROUGH FRIDAY. GUZ001-002-003-004-152000- /X.NEW.PGUM.SU.Y.0017.091015T0322Z-091016T0800Z/ GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN- 122 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY... WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST FRIDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF OF 9 TO 12 FEET ON EAST AND SOUTHEAST EXPOSURES THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SURF HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK TONIGHT THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FRIDAY AS TROPICAL STORM 22W MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID VENTURING NEAR EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES...ESPECIALLY THOSE ALONG EAST AND SOUTH FACING REEFS. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE LIFE THREATENING. && $$ MUNDELL  910 WWUS74 KSJT 150323 NPWSJT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1023 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG OOZING SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY THIS EVENING... .A VERY DISTINCT FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIES ACROSS NORTHERN HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES THIS EVENING. JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY...COOL AND SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS HAVE RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF DENSE FOG. DRIER AIR WILL EVENTUALLY PUSH INTO THE AREA AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH BY EARLY MORNING THURSDAY. TXZ098-099-150900- /O.NEW.KSJT.FG.Y.0003.091015T0323Z-091015T0900Z/ HASKELL-THROCKMORTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON 1023 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY. DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO BELOW A QUARTER MILE IN SPOTS ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY EARLY MORNING AS DRY AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ LACY  492 WGUS84 KSHV 150325 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1025 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LAC061-073-111-160325- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LDBL1.2.ER.091013T0300Z.091014T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1025 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU D'ARBONNE AT LAKE D'ARBONNE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 84.8 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 83.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO A STAGE OF 85.2 FEET BY TOMORROW AND REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE FLOODED AND CLOSED. $$  304 WHZS40 NSTU 150325 CFWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 400 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  312 WGUS84 KSHV 150328 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1028 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LAC013-015-160328- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SLGL1.2.ER.091013T2351Z.091015T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1028 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED CHUTE BAYOU AT SLIGO. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.1 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 31.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING. LIVESTOCK AND FARM EQUIPMENT SHOULD HAVE BEEN MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND BY NOW. $$  354 WSNZ21 NZKL 150313 NZZC SIGMET 5 VALID 150313/150415 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 3 150015/150415=  355 WSNZ21 NZKL 150315 NZZC SIGMET 6 VALID 150315/150418 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 4 150018/150418=  356 WSNZ21 NZKL 150313 NZZC SIGMET 7 VALID 150313/150713 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZOH/NZGS NC=  707 WSNZ21 NZKL 150315 NZZC SIGMET 8 VALID 150315/150715 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM NC=  775 WSPA12 PHFO 150330 SIGPAY KZOA SIGMET YANKEE 14 VALID 150330/150730 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. EMBD TS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY N1630 E13930 - N1300 E14230 - N0900 E14230 - N0930 E13730 - N1630 E13930. CB TOPS TO FL530. MOV WNW 10 KT. NC. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  247 WGZS80 NSTU 150331 FLSPPG FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 420 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151100- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 420 PM SST THU OCT 14 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN PAGO PAGO HAS ISSUED... *A SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE ISLANDS OF TUTUILA, AUNUU AND MANU'A UNTIL 1200 AM THURSDAY. *SATELLITE SHOWS AN INTENSE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ISLANDS AND IS PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS HEAVY AT TIMES AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. *THE HEAVY SHOWERS AND RUNOFFS WILL CAUSE OVERFLOW OF STREAMS AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. MUD AND LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE AS GROUNDS BECOME SATURATED...ESPECIALLY ALONG MOUNTAIN AREAS. CONSIDERABLE CAUTION IS ADVISED WHILE DRIVING AND PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS 420 AOAULI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 UA IAI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA MO VAITAFE I NOFOAGA MAUALALALO MO TUTUILA...AUNUU MA MANUA E OO ATU I LE 1200 VAVEAO ASO TOFI. O LO'O VA'AIA I SATELITE I UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA MA UA MAFUA AI NEI TIMUGA E MAMAFA I TAIMI MA NI FAITITILI E ONO PA PA AI. O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA O LE A LOLOVAIA AI VAITAFE FA'APEA NOFOAGA MAUALALALO. E ONO TUTUPU FO'I SOLOGA I NOFOAGA TULATA I MAUGA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'AETEETE I TAIMI O FEMALAGA'IGA I LUGA O ALATELE ONA O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA MA LOLOGA. E AO FOI ONA TAPENAPENA LELEI MA NOFO SAUNI AUA LE PUIPUIA O LE SOIFUA MA MEA TOTINO. RL  116 WWUS74 KOUN 150335 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1035 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY THROUGH 1 AM... OKZ014-016-017-021>025-027>029-034-035-040-150445- /O.CAN.KOUN.FG.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T0600Z/ ROGER MILLS-CUSTER-BLAINE-BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA- GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-GREER-KIOWA-GARVIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEYENNE...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON... WATONGA...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...ANADARKO...YUKON... EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHICKASHA...PURCELL... NORMAN...MOORE...MANGUM...HOBART...PAULS VALLEY 1035 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED ACROSS THE AREA AS NORTH WINDS WERE GRADUALLY INCREASING AT AND JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE. ALTHOUGH A FEW POCKETS OF FOG MAY OCCASIONALLY LOWER VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE MILE... THE LIKELIHOOD OF ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG REDEVELOPING OVER THE AREA WILL BE SMALL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. $$ OKZ047-051-052-150600- /O.EXA.KOUN.FG.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T0600Z/ JOHNSTON-MARSHALL-BRYAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TISHOMINGO...MADILL...DURANT 1035 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE HALF MILE OVER MOST OF THE ADVISORY AREA ... AND LOCALLY DOWN TO NEAR ZERO. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NORTH WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE AND SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR SPREADS SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR LOW-BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ OKZ033-036>039-041-044>046-050-TXZ083>090-150600- /O.CON.KOUN.FG.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T0600Z/ HARMON-JACKSON-TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-MURRAY-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-LOVE-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER- CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLIS...ALTUS...FREDERICK...LAWTON... DUNCAN...SULPHUR...WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...MARIETTA... QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON...WICHITA FALLS... MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY...HOLLIDAY... LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA 1035 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN MANY AREAS... AND LOCALLY DOWN TO NEAR ZERO. HOWEVER... CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY 1 AM AS NORTH WINDS INCREASE AND SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR SPREADS SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR LOW-BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ CJS  231 WGUS84 KSHV 150338 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1038 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LAC027-061-111-160338- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LCAL1.1.ER.091013T0015Z.091014T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1038 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU D'ARBONNE AT LAKE CLAIBORNE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 188.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 188.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE BAYOU CREST AT 188.6 WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. $$  586 WSSG31 GOOY 150345 GOOO SIGMET 3 VALID 150345/150745 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0315Z SW BISSAU BTN N1030 W01527 - N1034 W01636 - N1103 W01617 - N1138 W01531 N1132 W01450 - N1030 W01527 TOP CB FL450 MOV SW 10KT NC=  616 WSUS32 KKCI 150355 SIGC MKCC WST 150355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150555-150955 FROM 40ENE STL-50NW BNA-50NE SQS-40WSW TXK-30SSW ADM-30SSE OKC-40E TUL-30WNW COU-40ENE STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  617 WSUS31 KKCI 150355 SIGE MKCE WST 150355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150555-150955 FROM 80S ECG-150ESE ILM-150SSE ILM-170E PBI-PBI-CRG-80S ECG WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  618 WSUS33 KKCI 150355 SIGW MKCW WST 150355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150555-150955 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  672 WGUS84 KSHV 150341 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1041 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 LAC017-160300- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /CRLL1.1.ER.091014T0032Z.091014T1600Z.091015T0900Z.NO/ 1041 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CROSS BAYOU AT CROSS LAKE. * UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 173.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 173.0 FEET. * FORECAST...EXPECT THE LEVEL TO REMAIN NEAR 173.0 FEET THROUGH TOMORROW. $$  950 WHUS76 KEKA 150341 MWWEKA URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 841 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 PZZ470-151145- /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO 10 TO 60 NM- 841 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ450-151145- /O.CON.KEKA.SW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO OUT 10 NM- 841 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ PZZ455-151145- /O.CON.KEKA.SW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-091015T2000Z/ CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA OUT 10 NM- 841 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ PZZ475-151145- /O.CON.KEKA.SW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA 10 TO 60 NM- 841 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  157 WAHW31 PHFO 150345 WA0HI HNLS WA 150400 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 151000 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 150400 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151000 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 150400 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 151000 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. FZLVL...155-160.  317 WSSQ31 LZIB 150350 LZBB SIGMET 2 VALID 150350/150750 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV TURB FCST OVER W PART OF LZBB BTN GND/FL060 WKN=  770 WHUS76 KPQR 150348 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 848 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 PZZ210-151200- /O.CON.KPQR.RB.Y.0358.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 848 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY. IN THE MAIN CHANNEL...COMBINED SEAS 10 FT TONIGHT AND THU. HOWEVER...SEAS TEMPORARILY BUILDING TO 12 FT WITH BREAKERS DURING THE EBB CURRENTS AROUND 3 AM THU MORNING AND AROUND 330 PM THU AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ250-255-270-275-151200- /O.CON.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 848 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS A SERIES OF SMALL SYSTEMS PASS OVER THE WATERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  995 WWUS74 KLUB 150349 NPWLUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1049 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 TXZ023>026-030>032-036>038-043-044-151200- /O.NEW.KLUB.FG.Y.0006.091015T0349Z-091015T1200Z/ SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-CROSBY-DICKENS- KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE... MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...MATADOR... ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...CROSBYTON...RALLS...DICKENS...SPUR... GUTHRIE...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 1049 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE ROLLING PLAINS...NORTHEASTERN SOUTH PLAINS...AND EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT...EXPANDING ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE... AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES LOWER THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE SHOULD BE EXPECTED... WITH PATCHES OF VERY DENSE FOG ESPECIALLY NEAR THE CAPROCK. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$  157 WSSQ31 LZIB 150350 LZBB SIGMET 3 VALID 150350/150750 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV ICE FCST OVER NW AND N PART OF LZBB BTN FL010/130 NC=  256 WOAU06 APRF 150352 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0351UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0000UTC Vigorous W/NW flow south of 36S. Cold front developing near 41S080E 44S087E by 151200UTC forecast to be near 37S080E 43S091E 50S106E by 160000UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line 47S080E 47S090E 50S095E, moving to south of a line 37S080E 42S094E within 350nm east of front by 151200UTC and south of a line 38S090E 41S100E 46S109E within 350nm east of front by 160000UTC. FORECAST W/NW winds 25/35 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  679 WABZ24 SBCW 150341 SBCW AIRMET 2 VALID 150345/150745 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR BKN CLD 02 00FT OBS AT 0325Z WI S2533 W04954 - S2610 W04858 - S2500 W04842 - S25 33 W04954 STNR NC=  680 WSSG31 GOOY 150345 GOOO SIGMET 3 VALID 150345/150745 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0315Z SW BISSAU BTN N1030 W01527 - N1034 W01636 - N1103 W01617 - N1138 W01531 N1132 W01450 - N1030 W01527 TOP CB FL450 MOV SW 10KT NC=  681 WSIN90 VIDP 150400 VIDF SIGMET 02 VALID 150400/150800 VIDF VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  682 WOAU06 APRF 150352 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0351UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0000UTC Vigorous W/NW flow south of 36S. Cold front developing near 41S080E 44S087E by 151200UTC forecast to be near 37S080E 43S091E 50S106E by 160000UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line 47S080E 47S090E 50S095E, moving to south of a line 37S080E 42S094E within 350nm east of front by 151200UTC and south of a line 38S090E 41S100E 46S109E within 350nm east of front by 160000UTC. FORECAST W/NW winds 25/35 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  200 WHUS41 KAKQ 150356 CFWAKQ COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1156 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-151200- /O.CON.KAKQ.CF.A.0002.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- 1156 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST THURSDAY NIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW LATE THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND THUS BUILDING WAVES WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT BETWEEN OCEAN CITY AND CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT...WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. AT OCEAN CITY INLET...HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AT 624 AM EDT...WITH THE ANTICIPATED HEIGHT AROUND 5.5 FEET MLLW. MODERATE FLOODING AT OCEAN CITY INLET BEGINS AT 5 FT. THE EXPECTED HIGH TIDE FRIDAY EVENING AT OCEAN CITY INLET IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSER TO 5.25 FEET MLLW. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 8 AND 11 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$ GINGRICH  825 WWCN11 CWTO 150356 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:56 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING FOR: CITY OF TORONTO ELGIN LONDON - MIDDLESEX SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND OXFORD - BRANT NIAGARA CITY OF HAMILTON HALTON - PEEL YORK - DURHAM HURON - PERTH WATERLOO - WELLINGTON DUFFERIN - INNISFIL GREY - BRUCE BARRIE - COLLINGWOOD - HILLSDALE BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND KINGSTON - PRINCE EDWARD STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC BROCKVILLE - LEEDS AND GRENVILLE CITY OF OTTAWA GATINEAU PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL CORNWALL - MORRISBURG SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE. WIDESPREAD FROST EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY EARLY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW ZERO AGAIN TONIGHT IN MOST LOCALES. WIDESPREAD FROST IS THUS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP. NOTE THAT ENVIRONMENT CANADA'S FROST WARNING PROGRAM ENDS ON OCTOBER 15TH FOR MOST OF THE ABOVE REGIONS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME AREAS IN SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO. FOR THOSE REGIONS, THE PROGRAM CONTINUES UNTIL OCTOBER 30TH. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/OSPC  149 WGUS86 KSTO 150359 FLSSTO FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA 859 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 CAC089-150407- /O.EXP.KSTO.FA.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-091015T0400Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SHASTA CA- 859 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM PDT FOR WEST CENTRAL SHASTA COUNTY... THE HEAVIER SHOWERS HAVE ENDED OVER WEST CENTRAL SHASTA COUNTY. ALTHOUGH SOME CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS MAY RUN HIGH FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT. WATCH FOR AREAS WHERE PONDING OF WATER CONTINUES TO CREATE ROADWAY HAZARDS. LAT...LON 4071 12245 4093 12211 4081 12203 4053 12225 4050 12258 $$ MCS  311 WHUS76 KSEW 150401 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 901 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 PZZ131>133-135-150515- /O.CAN.KSEW.SC.Y.0364.000000T0000Z-091015T0700Z/ CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS- PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL- 901 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ PZZ130-150515- /O.CAN.KSEW.SW.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 901 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. $$ PZZ110-151215- /O.EXT.KSEW.RB.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-091015T1600Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 901 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-151215- /O.EXT.KSEW.SW.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-091015T1600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 901 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE LIKELY TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS AS LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. && $$  075 WSSR20 WSSS 150402 WSJC SIGMET 1 VALID 150410/150810 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N03 AND E OF E108 NC=  743 WSSR20 WSSS 150402 WSJC SIGMET 1 VALID 150410/150810 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N03 AND E OF E108 NC=  487 WWMY80 PGUM 150404 SPSMY SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 204 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 GUZ001>004-PMZ151>154-152000- GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-MARIANAS COASTAL WATERS- 204 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... TROPICAL STORM 22W MADE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS AROUND 10 AM CHST THIS MORNING...AND IT CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. AS A RESULT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GUAM WAS CANCELLED AT 1 PM. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS HAS PASSED...RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANAS NEED TO BE AWARE THAT STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. WINDS GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE STILL EXISTS. BE ALERT AND TAKE APPROPRIATE PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS. $$ MUNDELL  431 WTPQ20 RJTD 150300 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 150300UTC 11.7N 143.5E POOR MOVE W 24KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 160300UTC 14.3N 137.5E 120NM 70% MOVE WNW 16KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT =  716 WHZS50 NSTU 150406 SMWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 500 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 500 PM SST WED OCT 14 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 417 PM WED AND 441 AM THU TAU 359 PM WED AND 420 AM THU && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 AM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 500 AFIAFI ASO LULU OKETOPA 14 2009 ...UA I AI NEI SE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 417 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 441 VAVEAO ASO TOFI TAU 359 AFIAFI ASO LULU MALE 420 VAVEAO ASO TOFI O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 14 2009. HM  604 WSCN34 CWUL 150410 SIGMET A5 VALID 150410/150810 CWUL- WTN 40 NM OF LN /4736N04603W/270 E ST JOHNS - /4801N05207W/35 NE ST JOHNS - /5124N05420W/65 E ST ANTHONY - /5417N05127W/245 NE ST ANTHONY. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 40 AGL ASOCTD WITH 80KT LLJ. AREA MOVG NE 30KT. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/JC/MF  110 WSCN02 CWUL 150413 CZQX SIGMET U2 VALID 150415/150815 CWUL- GANDER OCEANIC FIR. WTN 40 NM OF LN 4800N05100W - 4700N04400W - 5400N04530W - 5430N05130W - 5230N05330W. SEVERE MECHANICAL TURBULENCE FORECAST BELOW 040. AREA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD 30 KNOTS. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. END/GANDER OCEANIC/CMAC-E/JC/MF  278 WHUS76 KLOX 150415 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 915 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 PZZ670-673-676-151215- /O.CON.KLOX.SW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T0400Z/ WATERS FROM PT. PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO PT. ARGUELLO AND WESTWARD 60 NM- WATERS FROM PT. ARGUELLO TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS ISLAND- 915 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THURSDAY. WEST SWELL 9 TO 12 FT AT 11 SECONDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  359 WWMY80 PGUM 150404 SPSMY SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 204 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 GUZ001>004-PMZ151>154-152000- GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-MARIANAS COASTAL WATERS- 204 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... TROPICAL STORM 22W MADE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS AROUND 10 AM CHST THIS MORNING...AND IT CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. AS A RESULT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GUAM WAS CANCELLED AT 1 PM. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS HAS PASSED...RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANAS NEED TO BE AWARE THAT STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. WINDS GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE STILL EXISTS. BE ALERT AND TAKE APPROPRIATE PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS. $$ MUNDELL=  383 WWCN02 CYTR 150417 WEATHER WARNING NUMBER 068 CANCELLED FOR COLD LAKE BY THE MSC WEATHER SERVICES CENTRE TRENTON AT 12:17 AM EDT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. SNOWFALL WARNING CANCELLED. END/WILLS/YAU  470 WVCA31 TTPP 150400 TTZP SIGMET 1 VALID 150400/151000 TTPP SOUFRIERE HILLS MONTSERRAT N1642 W06210 PIARCO FIR OBS VA CLD NR SOURCE UP TO FL090 MOVG W AT 5-10KTS...LTL CHNG=  299 WSIN90 VECC 150400 VECF SIGMET NO 02 VALID 150400/150800 UTC VECC VECF-KOLKATA FIR NIL SIGMET=  596 WGUS83 KPAH 150432 FLSPAH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KENTUCKY 1132 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE BIG MUDDY RIVER IN ILLINOIS AFFECTING AREAS NEAR PLUMFIELD... .WATER LEVELS HAD FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE ALONG THE BIG MUDDY RIVER NEAR PLUMFIELD. THE RIVER CRESTED AT 21.4 FEET...OR 0.4 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...SHORTLY BEFORE NOON ON TUESDAY OCTOBER 13TH. THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE UPDATED FORECASTS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PAH /LOWER CASE/ && ILC055-199-150502- /O.CAN.KPAH.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-091015T0713Z/ /PLMI2.1.ER.091013T1623Z.091013T1645Z.091015T0115Z.NO/ 1132 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE BIG MUDDY RIVER NEAR PLUMFIELD. * AT 11 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. * FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8:15 PM WEDNESDAY. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 18.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. $$  366 WSCN31 CWEG 150433 SIGMET M7 CANCELLED AT 150435 CWEG- WNDS HAVE EASED SMWHT. MDT-LCL SEV MECH/LLWS TURB STILL EXPD VC MOUTHS OF INLETS. END/GFA31/DN/CMAC-W  417 WAEG31 HECA 150430 HECC AIRMET 1 VALID 150430/150830 HECA- CAIRO FIR SFC VIS3000M BR OBS AT0400Z OVER HEBA STNR NC=  196 WSIY31 LIIB 150440 LIMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150445/150845 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL120/180 MOV S NC=  389 WSIY31 LIIB 150440 LIMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150445/150845 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL120/180 MOV S NC=  922 WSIY31 LIIB 150440 LIMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150445/150845 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL120/180 MOV S NC=  475 WSIY31 LIIB 150440 LIMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150445/150845 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL120/180 MOV S NC= FCSN31 ESIB 150500 TAF ESIB 150450Z 1505/1514 04009KT CAVOK QFE 1024 QNH 1031=  977 WVJP31 RJTD 150445 RJJJ SIGMET 2 VALID 150445/151045 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT SAKURAJIMA LOC N3135 E13040 VA CLD OBS AT 0407Z FL080 15NM S OF RJFK EXTENDED SE BY DH8D INTST UNKNOWN=  573 WVJP31 RJTD 150445 RJJJ SIGMET 2 VALID 150445/151045 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT SAKURAJIMA LOC N3135 E13040 VA CLD OBS AT 0407Z FL080 15NM S OF RJFK EXTENDED SE BY DH8D INTST UNKNOWN=  378 WUUS01 KWNS 150445 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1143 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29919338 30099445 31339506 32489425 32759037 32718723 31788454 31188249 30218245 29698387 30248733 29919338 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 27729623 28079805 28759893 29849907 32029606 33269210 33298903 31848623 30398532 29338585 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28307989 28278143 28228366 99999999 27819636 28099809 28839891 29759910 30669809 31559669 32469525 33149337 33349162 33408977 33078660 32258526 31838395 31598176 31578023 0.15 31789498 32399349 32739142 32508933 32108775 30898700 30268768 30059110 29719455 30119528 31129553 31789498 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30069095 29719450 30079524 31099553 31759505 32399352 32759138 32108779 30988705 30308754 30069095 TSTM 28520113 29499987 30489924 31379831 32529735 33709704 34399654 35109497 35499193 35848981 36328676 36298473 35828323 34048126 33417968 34107828 35937686 37727488 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BTR 30 NNE GLS 30 N HOU 25 N UTS 40 NNW LFK 20 ESE SHV 40 ENE MLU 50 WSW SEM 30 S GZH 25 WSW PNS 35 SSE BTR. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW DRT 45 WNW HDO 30 E JCT 50 SE BWD 20 S FTW 20 W GYI 30 ENE ADM 20 WNW RKR 25 SW BVX 25 WSW DYR 15 NNW BNA 30 NE CSV 25 WSW HSS 10 NW CAE 40 NNE CHS 25 WSW ILM 45 WSW ECG 35 ESE WAL.  379 ACUS01 KWNS 150445 SWODY1 SPC AC 150443 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1143 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009 VALID 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF ERN TX INTO THE CNTRL GULF STATES... ...SYNOPSIS... CURRENT QUASI-ZONAL FLOW REGIME WILL UNDERGO AMPLIFICATION AS A SERIES OF MIDLEVEL IMPULSES SERVE TO ESTABLISH A LONG WAVE TROUGH E OF THE ROCKIES. THIS EVOLUTION WILL RESULT IN THE MOST SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS/DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT DEVELOPING SEWD THROUGH THE OH AND TN VALLEYS INTO PARTS OF THE CNTRL AND ERN GULF STATES. AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH SEWD FROM THE ARKLATEX AND MID SOUTH THROUGH THE GULF COAST REGION. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR STRONG TO SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ...ERN TX EWD INTO THE CNTRL GULF STATES... 15/00Z SOUNDINGS AND CURRENT GOES SOUNDER AND GPS PW DATA INDICATE A MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS IN PLACE FROM CNTRL TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND PW VALUES FROM 1.75-2.25 INCHES. REGIONAL VWP/PROFILER DATA INDICATE THAT LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE INCREASING WHILE VEERING TO A WSWLY DIRECTION FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO OZARKS AND LOWER MS VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO EWD TRANSLATION OF LEAD SHORT WAVE TROUGH INTO THE MID MS VALLEY. THESE LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES ARE FORECAST TO BE MAINTAINED TODAY WITHIN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR...ALLOWING MOIST AIR MASS TO SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE CNTRL GULF STATES. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK...BUT THIS MOISTURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH DAYTIME HEATING ARE EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY AFTERNOON /PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA/ WHERE MLCAPE WILL APPROACH 1500-2500 J/KG. CLUSTERS OF TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT THE ONSET OF THE FORECAST PERIOD INVOF SURFACE FRONT FROM THE ARKLATEX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE DAY AS INCREASED HEIGHT FALLS AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE INTERACT WITH DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR. WHILE NEAR-GROUND SHEAR WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG OWING TO VEERED LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN WARM SECTOR...FORECAST WIND PROFILES ALONG FRONT INDICATE RELATIVELY STRONG MID AND HIGH-LEVEL FLOW...RESULTING IN 40-50 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. AS SUCH...SETUP APPEARS TO FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. ..MEAD/GRAMS.. 10/15/2009  919 WSIY31 LIIB 150445 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 150500/150900 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA COASTS AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/250 STNR NC=  128 WSIY31 LIIB 150445 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 150500/150900 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA COASTS AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/250 STNR NC=  212 WSIY31 LIIB 150445 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 150500/150900 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA COASTS AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/250 STNR NC=  732 WSTU31 LTBA 150445 LTBB SIGMET 1 VALID 150445/150745 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SEV ICE FCST MARMARA AND NORTH AEGEAN REGION BTN FL170 AND FL200 NC=  362 WSUS32 KKCI 150455 SIGC MKCC WST 150455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 1C VALID UNTIL 0655Z IL MO FROM 50ESE FAM-30SSW FAM-50NW ARG LINE EMBD TS 20 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27035KT. TOPS TO FL360. OUTLOOK VALID 150655-151055 FROM 40ENE STL-50NW BNA-50NE SQS-40WSW TXK-30SSW ADM-30SSE OKC-40E TUL-30WNW COU-40ENE STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  363 WSUS31 KKCI 150455 SIGE MKCE WST 150455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150655-151055 FROM 80S ECG-150ESE ILM-150SSE ILM-170E PBI-PBI-CRG-80S ECG WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  364 WSUS33 KKCI 150455 SIGW MKCW WST 150455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150655-151055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  770 WSFR34 LFPW 150436 LFMM SIGMET 3 VALID 150500/150700 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE FROM CORSICA TO W SARDINIA SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E00530 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  155 WSFR34 LFPW 150436 LFMM SIGMET 3 VALID 150500/150700 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE FROM CORSICA TO W SARDINIA SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E00530 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  545 WSFR34 LFPW 150451 LFMM SIGMET 4 VALID 150500/150800 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, BTN N4500 AND N4200 AND EAST OF E00500 BLW FL050 STNR WKN=  650 WSFR34 LFPW 150451 LFMM SIGMET 4 VALID 150500/150800 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, BTN N4500 AND N4200 AND EAST OF E00500 BLW FL050 STNR WKN=  516 WOMQ50 LFPW 150455 WARNING ON METAREA 3, METEO-FRANCE WARNING NR 269, THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009 AT 0454 UTC GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 15 AT 0000 UTC. LOW 1009 HPA OVER NORTHEAST OF TUNISIA MOVING EAST OR NORTHEAST AND DEEPENING. EXPECTED LOW 1011 HPA OVER SOUTHWEST OF SARDINIA ON THURSDAY MORNING, MOVING SOUTHWARDS AND FILLING. HIGH 1020 TO 1030 HPA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OF FRANCE INCREASING IN SOUTH. LION, MINORQUE : FROM 15/09 UTC TO 16/06 UTC AT LEAST.=  348 WSNO35 ENMI 150456 ENBD SIGMET D02 VALID 150500/150900 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST E OF E 01500 BLW FL080. NC=  465 WSPR31 SPIM 150450 SPIM SIGMET A2 VALID 150400/150600 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0315Z WI S0319 W07708 - S0237 W07641 S0159 W07554 - S0159 W07532 - S0303 W07534 - S0319 W07538 S0355 W07603 - S0410 W07627 - S0401 W07652 - S0319 W07708 TOP FL460 STNR WKN=  532 WSNO35 ENMI 150456 ENBD SIGMET D02 VALID 150500/150900 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST E OF E 01500 BLW FL080. NC=  602 WSPR31 SPIM 150450 SPIM SIGMET A2 VALID 150400/150600 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0315Z WI S0319 W07708 - S0237 W07641 S0159 W07554 - S0159 W07532 - S0303 W07534 - S0319 W07538 S0355 W07603 - S0410 W07627 - S0401 W07652 - S0319 W07708 TOP FL460 STNR WKN=  018 WGUS66 KSTO 150508 FFASTO FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA 1008 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 CAZ013-150615- /O.CAN.KSTO.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-091015T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SHASTA LAKE AREA / NORTHERN SHASTA COUNTY- 1008 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BURN SCAR AREAS OF NORTHERN SHASTA COUNTY AND THE SHASTA LAKE AREA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WAS OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF SHASTA COUNTY EARLIER THIS EVENING HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BURN SCAR AREAS OF SHASTA COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  607 WUUS02 KWNS 150536 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1235 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 28828389 29618039 99999999 26307942 25558239 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 29388583 31048066 99999999 26959974 27359663 99999999 48632357 46972295 44512311 43612508 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW AAF 45 E SSI ...CONT... 45 SSW LRD 60 ESE CRP ...CONT... 35 N CLM OLM 30 NNE EUG 45 WNW OTH.  608 ACUS02 KWNS 150536 SWODY2 SPC AC 150535 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1235 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... AN INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE CONUS ON FRIDAY. THE LEAD PORTION OF THE EASTERN STATES UPPER TROUGH SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE OHIO VALLEY/APPALACHIANS...WHILE A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH/UPPER JET STREAK REINFORCES THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE ARKLATEX AND LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...DEEP CONVECTION WILL BE VIRTUALLY NIL ASIDE FROM THE FL PENINSULA...AND PERHAPS PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTH TX AND/OR THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA... AS GRADUAL LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS/MODEST COOLING ALOFT OCCURS...LOW LEVEL GULF MOISTURE INFLUX WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA AHEAD OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED EARLY DAY SHOWERS/TSTMS. WHILE DESTABILIZATION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE FRONTAL ZONE WILL LIKELY BE HINDERED BY EARLY DAY CLOUD COVER/RAINFALL...AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH AT LEAST MODERATE PREFRONTAL SURFACE HEATING/DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION MAY SUPPORT SOME STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE TSTMS MAINLY THROUGH AROUND SUNSET. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD...WITH SOME POSSIBILITY FOR HAIL AND/OR A BRIEF TORNADO AS WELL. ..GUYER.. 10/15/2009  023 ACCA62 TJSJ 150537 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DEL SNM EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO  140 WSRS32 RUAA 150500 UUYY SIGMET 2 VALID 150700/151100 UUYY- UUYY SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 MOV E 30KMH NC=  434 WSCN35 CWEG 150541 SIGMET W1 VALID 150540/150940 CWEG- WTN 20 NM OF LN /7010N13829W/50 NE KOMAKUK - /6950N12907W/NICHOLSON POINT. SEV CLR ICG IN FZRA FCST BLO 015. AREA QS. NO CHG. END/GFA35/AM/CMAC-W  480 WOMQ50 LFPW 150541 WARNING ON METAREA 3, METEO-FRANCE WARNING NR 270, THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009 AT 0454 UTC GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 15 AT 0000 UTC. LOW 1009 HPA OVER NORTHEAST OF TUNISIA MOVING EAST OR NORTHEAST AND DEEPENING. EXPECTED LOW 1011 HPA OVER SOUTHWEST OF SARDINIA ON THURSDAY MORNING, MOVING SOUTHWARDS AND FILLING. HIGH 1020 TO 1030 HPA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OF FRANCE INCREASING IN SOUTH. LION, MINORQUE : FROM 15/09 UTC TO 16/06 UTC AT LEAST. NORTHERLY LOCALLY 8. SEVERE GUSTS.=  201 WGAK88 PAFC 150544 FLSAFC FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 944 PM AKDT WED OCT 14 2009 AKZ121-125-150549- /O.CAN.PAFC.FA.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-091017T0000Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AK-WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AK- 944 PM AKDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA... WATER LEVELS ON THE SNOW RIVER NEAR SEWARD ABOVE KENAI LAKE AND ON THE KENAI RIVER AT COOPER LANDING HAVE CRESTED AND FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. LAT...LON 6041 14932 6021 14927 6019 14940 6037 14938 6039 14967 6050 14980 6043 14954 $$ SEB  849 WSUS31 KKCI 150555 SIGE MKCE WST 150555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150755-151155 FROM ORF-180ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-MIA-CRG-ORF WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  850 WSUS33 KKCI 150555 SIGW MKCW WST 150555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150755-151155 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  107 WSUS32 KKCI 150555 SIGC MKCC WST 150555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2C VALID UNTIL 0755Z MO FROM 50SE FAM-40N ARG LINE EMBD TS 20 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27040KT. TOPS TO FL380. OUTLOOK VALID 150755-151155 FROM 50WNW PXV-BNA-30SSW VUZ-EIC-50ENE TTT-OKC-40ESE RZC-50SW STL-50WNW PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  389 WWCN11 CWVR 150553 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:53 PM PDT WEDNESDAY 14 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL BRITISH COLUMBIA... WIND WARNING FOR: NORTH COAST - COASTAL SECTIONS QUEEN CHARLOTTES. NORTHEAST OUTFLOW WINDS OF 70 TO 90 KM/H WILL DEVELOP LATE OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE MAINLAND VALLEYS AND INLETS OF THE NORTH COAST AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 70 TO 90 KM/H ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING OVER EXPOSED COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE CENTRE APPROACHING THE NORTH COAST OF BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE VALLEYS AND INLETS OF THE NORTH COAST. THE LOW WILL ALSO BRING VERY STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS TO EXPOSED SECTIONS OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES TOMORROW MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE LATE TOMORROW MORNING AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER NORTH AND EASES. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/PSPC  360 WBCN07 CWVR 150500 PAM ROCKS WIND 2702 LANGARA; PC 15 SE10 2FT CHP LO E GREEN; PC 12 SE26G33 5FT MDT TRIPLE; CLDY 15 SE25E 5FT MDT LO-MOD W BONILLA; PC 10 SE25G 5FT MDT LO S SWT 9.8 BOAT BLUFF; CLDY 15 NE04 RPLD MCINNES; CLDY 12 SE15E 3FT MDT LO-MOD SW IVORY; CLDY 12 E16 3FT MDT LO SW DRYAD; CLDY 12 SE12 2FT CHP ADDENBROKE; PC 15 SE05E 1FT CHP EGG ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE21 4FT MDT LO W PINE ISLAND; PC 15 NE5E 1FT CHP LO W CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15 SE20E 4FT MDT LO-MOD SW QUATSINO; PC 15 NE15E 3FT MDT MOD SW SWT 10.2 NOOTKA; OVC 15 CLM 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW ESTEVAN; CLDY 12 E13 3FT MOD LO-MOD SW 1009.8R LENNARD; OVC 12 E10 2FT CHP MOD SW AMPHITRITE; OVC 01F E03 UNKN CAPE BEALE; OVC 15 E08 3FT MOD LO-MOD SW PACHENA; OVC 08RW- E10 2FT CHP MOD SW CARMANAH; OVC 15 E18 3FT MOD MOD SW SCARLETT; PC 15 SE10 1FT CHP LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; OVC 10 SE15 2FT CHP CHROME; CLDY 15 S20 3FT MOD LO E MERRY; CLDY 15 S7 RPLD ENTRANCE; CLDY 15 SE4 1FT CHP FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; PC 15 W9 1FT CHP LO SW Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 132/11/07/1812/M/0002 PK WND 1817 0454Z 3049 22MM= WLP SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 084/10/08/0910/M/3043 89MM= WEB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 107/10/10/1011+16/M/0010 PK WND 0818 0421Z 2041 39MM= WQC SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 122/07/07/0000/M/0004 1050 05MM= WRU SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 073/10/08/1024/M/PK WND 1127 0451Z 2030 37MM= WFG SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 061/11/06/1626/M/PK WND 1630 0458Z 1037 68MM= WVF SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/2112/M/M PK WND 2019 0431Z M 0MMM= WQS SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/11/07/1621+26/M/0016 PK WND 1627 0443Z M 68MM= WRO SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/08/07/1724+33/M/0072 PK WND 1733 0455Z M 49MM= WEK SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 019/09/M/1427+34/M/0052 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR PK WND 1537 0415Z PRESRR 3064 3MMM= WWL SA 0522 AUTO4 M M M 023/10/M/MM26+32/M/0012 1076 8MMM= WME SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 089/06/04/0621/M/M PK WND 0525 0454Z 1047 93MM= WAS SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 122/11/09/2702/M/0036 1054 54MM= WSB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/1103/M/0027 M 3MMM= WGT SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 111/13/05/2511/M/M PK WND 2419 0400Z PRESRR 3059 00MM= WGB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/12/06/1703/M/M 46MM= WEL SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/13/06/2406/M/PK WND 2217 0404Z M 09MM= WDR SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/13/M/2805/M/M M 9MMM= WZO SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/2711/M/M PK WND 2819 0401Z M MMMM= WKA SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1412/M/M PK WND 1517 0449Z M MMMM= XFA SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 097/09/08/0908/M/0014 PRESRR 3054 00MM=  246 WTNT80 EGRR 150600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.10.2009 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.7N 99.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.10.2009 12.7N 99.3W WEAK 12UTC 17.10.2009 13.0N 101.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.10.2009 13.7N 103.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.10.2009 14.0N 106.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.10.2009 14.8N 108.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.10.2009 15.1N 110.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2009 16.5N 112.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2009 16.9N 113.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.10.2009 17.4N 115.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 150439  954 WSAU21 ASRF 150535 YBBB SIGMET SY03 VALID 150600/151000 YSRF- YBBB BRISBANE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY01 150200/150600  955 WSAU21 ASRF 150535 YMMM SIGMET SY04 VALID 150600/151000 YSRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY02 150200/150600  985 WSRS32 RUAA 150500 UUYY SIGMET 2 VALID 150700/151100 UUYY- UUYY SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 MOV E 30KMH NC=  724 WSPS21 NZKL 150601 NZZO SIGMET 6 VALID 150601/151001 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST FL280/350 90NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE S3135 E17550 - S2610 W16450 MOV NE 10KT WKN  725 WSPS21 NZKL 150601 NZZO SIGMET 5 VALID 150601/150711 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 4 150311/150711  539 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 12 VALID 150604/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM NC  540 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 10 VALID 150604/150715 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 8 150315/150715  563 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 9 VALID 150604/150713 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 7 150313/150713  564 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 11 VALID 150604/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZNP/NZGS NC  837 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 11 VALID 150604/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZNP/NZGS NC  838 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 10 VALID 150604/150715 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 8 150315/150715  839 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 12 VALID 150604/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM NC  840 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 9 VALID 150604/150713 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 7 150313/150713  483 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 11 VALID 150604/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 NW OF NZNP/NZGS NC=  484 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 10 VALID 150604/150715 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 8 150315/150715=  485 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 12 VALID 150604/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM NC=  486 WSNZ21 NZKL 150604 NZZC SIGMET 9 VALID 150604/150713 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 7 150313/150713=  987 WSMP31 LMMM 150605 LMMM SIGMET 1 VALID 150600/151000 LMML- MALTA FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST MALTA FIR TOP FL390 MOV E NC  061 WSMP31 LMMM 150605 LMMM SIGMET 1 VALID 150600/151000 LMML- MALTA FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST MALTA FIR TOP FL390 MOV E NC  254 WSCI37 ZLXY 150515 ZLHW SIGMET 1 VALID 150530/150930 ZLXY- XIAN CTA EMBD TS FCST TOP FL360 S OF N40 MOV E 25KMH NC=  251 WWCN16 CWHX 150612 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:42 AM NDT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEWFOUNDLAND... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: ST. JOHN'S AND VICINITY AVALON PENINSULA NORTH BONAVISTA PENINSULA BONAVISTA NORTH. WINDS HAVE EASED TO BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END  142 WWNZ40 NZKL 150616 CANCEL WARNING 268  143 WWNZ40 NZKL 150613 GALE WARNING 270 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 150600UTC IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 58S 131W 57S 120W 61S 120W 58S 131W: WESTERLY 35KT EASING NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE AREA SLOW MOVING. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 267.  144 WWNZ40 NZKL 150614 GALE WARNING 271 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 150600UTC OVER WATERS NORTH OF ICE EDGE. IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 61S 163E 61S 176W 61S 158W: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 30KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 269.  145 WWNZ40 NZKL 150615 GALE WARNING 272 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND PACIFIC AT 150600UTC LOW 1000HPA NEAR 48S 178E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15KT. IN A BELT 180 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 46S 173W 49S 175W 51S 180: CLOCKWISE 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING WITH LOW.  298 WUUS03 KWNS 150627 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0126 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... &&  299 ACUS03 KWNS 150627 SWODY3 SPC AC 150626 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0126 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 171200Z - 181200Z ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST... DEEP CONVECTIVE/SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE QUITE LOW OVER THE CONUS ON SATURDAY. BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE EASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS...WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT LIKELY TO CLEAR SOUTH FL EARLY IN THE DAY. WHILE AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST...THE PRIMARY TSTM POTENTIAL /ISOLATED AT THAT/ FOR THE PERIOD SHOULD BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WA/ORE AND PERHAPS NORTHERN ID ATTENDANT TO A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ..GUYER.. 10/15/2009  647 WSBW20 VGZR 150700 VGFR SIGMET 03 VALID 150800/151200 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  854 WSBW20 VGZR 150700 VGFR SIGMET 03 VALID 150800/151200 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  123 WWAK77 PAJK 150629 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1029 PM AKDT WED OCT 14 2009 AKZ018-019-025-029-150730- /X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-091015T0800Z/ TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL- JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...JUNEAU...HYDER 1029 PM AKDT WED OCT 14 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LOCALLY GUSTY NEAR INTERIOR PASSES AND GAPS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT. $$ PSS  197 WHUS72 KILM 150633 MWWILM URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 233 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ250-252-151200- /O.EXT.KILM.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM- CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM- 233 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ254-256-151200- /O.CON.KILM.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM- MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM- 233 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  504 WTIN20 DEMS 150635 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DT. 15-10-09 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN(THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES ALONG LATITUDE.20.0 DEG N OVER INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ?????/  063 WSPR31 SPIM 150450 SPIM SIGMET A3 VALID 150600/150640 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET A2 VALID 150400/150600=  230 WSPR31 SPIM 150450 SPIM SIGMET A3 VALID 150600/150640 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET A2 VALID 150400/150600=  325 WSNT10 KKCI 150700 SIGA0J KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 1 VALID 150700/151100 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 0700Z WI N4100 W04230 - N3445 W04345 - N3345 W04715 - N3945 W04615 - N4100 W04230. TOP FL400. MOV ENE 25KT. INTSF.  747 WSUS32 KKCI 150655 SIGC MKCC WST 150655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 3C VALID UNTIL 0855Z TN KY IL MO AR FROM 50ESE FAM-50NE DYR-30ESE ARG-10NNE ARG-50ESE FAM AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 27040KT. TOPS TO FL390. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 4C VALID UNTIL 0855Z OK FROM 50E OKC-20ENE MLC LINE EMBD TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27030KT. TOPS TO FL410. OUTLOOK VALID 150855-151255 FROM 50SW STL-40ENE PXV-30SSW VUZ-EIC-50ENE TTT-OKC-40ESE RZC-50SW STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  748 WSUS31 KKCI 150655 SIGE MKCE WST 150655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 3E VALID UNTIL 0855Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 90NE VRB-80ENE VRB-50NE PBI-30NE VRB-90NE VRB AREA TS MOV FROM 27020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 150855-151255 FROM ORF-180ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-MIA-CRG-ORF WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  749 WSUS33 KKCI 150655 SIGW MKCW WST 150655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150855-151255 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  076 WWPK20 OPKC 150650 MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FOR MET AREA IX VALID FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 0900UTC DATED 15-10-2009 BY PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT PART -I: NIL. PART -II: NO ALERT MESSAGE. PART -III: FORECASTS: SUB AREA NO.1 NORTH ARABIAN SEA I. WIND NW/NE’LY 10-15KTS GUSTING 20KTS . II. WEATHER FAIR/ PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY/MISTY MORNING III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE/MIST . IV. STATE OF SEASLIGHT/MODERATE SUB AREA NO. 2 GULF OF OMAN I. WIND NW/SW’LY 10-15KTS GUSTING 20KTS . II. WEATHER FAIR WITH HAZY MORNING . III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE . IV. STATE OF SEASLIGHT/MODERATE . SUB AREA NO. 3 CENTRAL NORTH ARABIAN SEA (12ºN/55ºE, 12ºN/63ºE, 20°N/58°E, 20ºN/67ºE) I. WIND NE/SE’LY 10-15 KTS GUSTING 20KTS . II. WEATHER PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY/MISTY MORNING. III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE/MIST. IV. STATE OF SEASLIGHT/MODERATE . SUB AREA NO. 4 GULF OF ADEN I. WIND NE/E’LY 10-15KTS GUSTING 20KTS. II. WEATHER PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY/MISTY MORNING. III. VISIBILITYMODERATE REDUCING TO POOR IN HAZE/MIST IV. STATE OF SEASLIGHT/MODERATE  135 WSNT10 KKCI 150700 KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 1 VALID 150700/151100 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 0700Z WI N4100 W04230 - N3445 W04345 - N3345 W04715 - N3945 W04615 - N4100 W04230. TOP FL400. MOV ENE 25KT. INTSF.  546 WVIY31 LIIB 150655 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 150710/151310 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  547 WVIY31 LIMM 150655 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 150710/151310 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  131 WVIY31 LIMM 150655 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 150710/151310 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  529 WVIY31 LIIB 150655 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 150710/151310 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  497 WSEW33 LEMM 150700 GCCC SIGMET 2 VALID 150700/151100 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV NE WKN=  944 WSEW33 LEMM 150700 GCCC SIGMET 2 VALID 150700/151100 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV NE WKN=  945 WSEW33 LEMM 150700 GCCC SIGMET 2 VALID 150700/151100 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV NE WKN=  160 WSEW33 LEMM 150700 GCCC SIGMET 2 VALID 150700/151100 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OBSC EMB TS OBS W OF LINE N26 W025 - N29 W021 TOP ABV FL200 MOV NE WKN=  056 WSIN90 VECC 150700 VECF SIGMET NO 03 VALID 150700/151100 UTC VECF-KOLKATA FIR NIL SIGMET=  116 WACN31 CWEG 150703 AIRMET M1 ISSUED AT 0702Z CWEG- AMEND GFACN31 CWUL 150530 ISSUE WTN 45 NM OF LN /5329N13421W/65 SW LANGARA - /5038N13307W/110 SW CAPE ST JAMES. ADD ISOLD CB 240 2SM TSRA BR CIGS 8 ASL. END/GFA31/CMAC-W/DN  129 WOPS01 NFFN 150700 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  340 WOPS01 NFFN 150700 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  386 WSCN34 CWUL 150707 SIGMET A6 VALID 150705/151105 CWUL- WTN 40 NM OF LN /4840N04610W/275 E BONAVISTA - /4915N05213W/50 NE BONAVISTA - /5341N05438W/85 E CARTWRIGHT - /5555N05315W/190 NE CARTWRIGHT. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 40 AGL ASOCTD WITH 80KT LLJ. AREA MOVG NE 30KT. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/JC/MF  364 WTPQ20 RJTD 150600 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 150600UTC 11.8N 142.1E POOR MOVE W 24KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 160600UTC 14.3N 136.1E 120NM 70% MOVE WNW 16KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT =  519 WSCN02 CWUL 150712 CZQX SIGMET U3 VALID 150710/151110 CWUL- GANDER OCEANIC FIR. WTN 40 NM OF LN 4900N05100W - 4830N04230W - 5630N04530W - 5600N05330W - 5330N05430W. SEVERE MECHANICAL TURBULENCE FORECAST BELOW 040. AREA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD 30 KNOTS. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. END/GANDER OCEANIC/CMAC-E/JC/MF  242 WSSG31 GOOY 150700 GOOO SIGMET 5 VALID 150715/15115 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL 450 OBS AT 0645Z W GASK AND NE IVORY COAST MOV W 10KT NC=  490 WSSG31 GOOY 150700 GOOO SIGMET 5 VALID 150715/15115 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL 450 OBS AT 0645Z W GASK AND NE IVORY COAST MOV W 10KT NC=  816 ACUS11 KWNS 150715 SWOMCD SPC MCD 150715 ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-150945- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2109 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0215 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN OK...SWRN/S-CENTRAL AR...EXTREME NWRN LA...NE TX. CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 150715Z - 150945Z TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND TO GROW IN COVERAGE ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH REMAINDER OVERNIGHT HOURS...INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR STG-SVR GUSTS AND PERHAPS MRGL HAIL OVER ARKLATEX AREA AND ADJOINING PORTIONS OK. SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS COMPLEX PATTERN OF BOUNDARIES...FEATURING PRIMARY/QUASI STATIONARY SFC FRONT FROM WEAK LOW NW FTW...ENEWD ACROSS DUA-DEQ AREAS. NRN BRANCH OF THIS FRONT IS ANALYZED FROM SWRN PUSHMATAHA COUNTY OK NEWD ALMOST TO FSM...BECOMING DIFFUSE IN AR. COLD FRONTAL SEGMENT OVER NERN OK AND NWRN AR MAY MERGE WITH NRN STATIONARY FRONTAL BRANCH BY 10Z WITH SOME SEWD MOTION OF COMBINED BOUNDARY. TROUGHING EXTENDS NEWD ACROSS AR TO SECONDARY/WEAK LOW. EFFECTIVE INFLOW PARCELS S OF MAIN FRONT...AND BETWEEN IT AND NRN FRONTAL BRANCH OVER SERN OK...APPEAR TO BE WEAKLY CAPPED AND EITHER AT OR VERY NEARLY SFC-BASED...WITH DEW POINTS LOW-MID 70S S OF MAIN FRONT AND 68-70 F S OF NRN FRONTAL SEGMENT. THIS RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OFFSETS WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT ENOUGH TO YIELD MLCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG INVOF MAIN SFC FRONT...AND ALSO MUCAPES 1000-1500 J/KG NWD ACROSS MUCH OF SERN OK AND SWRN AR...ROOTED ABOVE SFC. THROUGH 12Z..SFC LOW SHOULD MOVE EWD TOWARD AREA BETWEEN GVT-TXK...WHILE COLD FRONT TRAILING WSWWD FROM LOW MOVES SEWD ACROSS N-CENTRAL TX. ZONE OF STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL WAA AND DEEP-LAYER ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EWD AND SEWED ACROSS THIS REGION...SUPPORTING INCREASING STRENGTH/DENSITY OF CONVECTION FROM SERN OK ACROSS PORTIONS SWRN AR...NE TX AND PERHAPS NWRN LA. WEAK/SELY SFC WINDS AND 20-30 KT WLY 850 MB FLOW ALONG AND S OF MAIN FRONTAL SEGMENT OVER NE TX AND IMMEDIATE RED RIVER AREA OF SE OK WILL SUPPORT ENLARGED LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WITH EFFECTIVE SRH 150-350 J/KG...ALTHOUGH DEGREE OF JUXTAPOSITION OF CONVECTION WITH THAT FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS IN QUESTION. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE OVER BROADER MESOSCALE AREA...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES COMMONLY 45-55 KT IN FAVOR OF POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELL AND BOW STRUCTURES...ALTHOUGH MESSY/CLUSTERED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION MAY LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS. RELATIVELY WARM PROFILES AND WEAK LAPSE RATES INDICATE LIMITED HAIL POTENTIAL...MAINLY WITH MOST SUSTAINED/INTENSE CELLS...WITH PRIMARY CONCERN BEING ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS. TORNADO POTENTIAL APPEARS VERY MRGL/CONDITIONAL ATTM. ..EDWARDS.. 10/15/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 35159677 35359560 35039396 34649270 34229202 33269215 32629318 32829460 33319595 34059624 35159677  309 WWUS84 KTSA 150719 SPSTSA SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 219 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 OKZ075-150815- LATIMER OK- 219 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY... IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATIMER AT 219 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF GOWEN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...WILBURTON...BENGAL...DAMON... GOWEN...PANOLA AND RED OAK. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING. LAT...LON 3485 9551 3503 9550 3504 9535 3506 9535 3506 9492 3496 9492 3495 9500 3487 9500 3486 9505 3479 9505 TIME...MOT...LOC 0719Z 276DEG 19KT 3498 9543 $$  948 WHUS46 KSGX 150720 CFWSGX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 1220 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY ISSUED FOR SAN DIEGO AND ORANGE COUNTY BEACHES TODAY... .A WEST SWELL WILL INCREASE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS AND CAUSE HIGH SURF TODAY. THE SURF WILL DECREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. CAZ042-043-151800- /O.EXT.KSGX.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-091016T0700Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- 1220 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT... THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. THE SURF WILL INCREASE TODAY TO 5 TO 7 FEET WITH SETS TO 8 FEET. THERE WILL BE STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. THE SURF WILL DECREASE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SURF 3 TO 5 FEET WITH SETS TO 6 FEET ON FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. IF YOU PLAN ON SWIMMING...ALWAYS STAY NEAR STAFFED LIFEGUARD STATIONS. ALSO...STAY OFF ROCKS AND JETTIES AS LARGE WAVES CAN SWEEP PEOPLE INTO THE OCEAN WITHOUT WARNING. && $$ WHITLOW  998 WSDL31 EDZM 150723 EDMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150730/150930 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  822 WSDL31 EDZM 150723 EDMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150730/150930 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  823 WSFR34 LFPW 150721 LFMM SIGMET 5 VALID 150700/150900 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E00530 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  027 WSFR34 LFPW 150721 LFMM SIGMET 5 VALID 150700/150900 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E00530 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  155 WSDL31 EDZM 150723 EDMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150730/150930 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  352 WSPA12 PHFO 150728 SIGPAY KZOA SIGMET YANKEE 15 VALID 150730/151130 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. EMBD TS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY N1750 E14210 - N1620 E14330 - N1250 E14200 - N0850 E14240 - N0740 E14000 - N1110 E13650 - N1350 E13640 - N1750 E14210. CB TOPS TO FL550. MOV W 15KT. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  566 WSDL31 EDZM 150727 EDMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150735/150935 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  051 WSDL31 EDZM 150727 EDMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150735/150935 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  682 WWCN11 CWHX 150730 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:30 AM ADT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... FROST WARNING FOR: MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA. THIS IS A WARNING THAT AT OR NEAR ZERO GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE FROST IN PARTS OF THESE REGIONS THIS MORNING. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FROST WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING IN AREAS OF BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES UNDER A COLD AIR MASS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/..  156 WAAK47 PAWU 150731 WA7O JNUS WA 150745 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 151400 . CNTRL SE AK JC S FREDERICK SOUND MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. MOV N. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF VCY PASI S MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 150745 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 151400 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. NC. . =JNUZ WA 150745 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 151400 . NONE .  220 WWCN14 CWHX 150731 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:31 AM ADT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... FROST WARNING FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION CAMPBELLTON AND EASTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY WESTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY FREDERICTON AND SOUTHERN YORK COUNTY FUNDY NATIONAL PARK GRAND FALLS AND VICTORIA COUNTY GRAND LAKE AND QUEENS COUNTY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY OROMOCTO AND SUNBURY COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY STANLEY - DOAKTOWN - BLACKVILLE AREA SUSSEX/KENNEBECASIS VALLEY AND KINGS COUNTY WOODSTOCK AND CARLETON COUNTY. THIS IS A WARNING THAT ZERO GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE FROST IN PARTS OF THESE REGIONS THIS MORNING. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FROST WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING IN AREAS OF BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES UNDER A COLD AIR MASS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/..  757 WAAK48 PAWU 150734 WA8O ANCS WA 150745 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 151400 . COOK INLET AND SUSITNA VLY AB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC AFT 10Z MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . CNTRL GLF CST AD OFSHR AND NEAR IMMEDIATE CST OCNL CIGS BLW 005 VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . KODIAK IS AE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . KUSKOKWIM VLY AF AK RANGE OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. IMPR. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. IMPR. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK E OCFNT OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -RA BR. NC. . =ANCT WA 150745 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 151400 . AK PEN AI OCNL MOD TURB BLW 050. WKN. . ADAK TO ATTU AK E OCFNT SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 30 KTS OR GTR. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK OCNL MOD TURB BLW 040. NC. . =ANCZ WA 150745 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 151400 . NONE .  407 WHUS73 KAPX 150735 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 335 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 LHZ348-349-160900- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0072.091015T1600Z-091016T0900Z/ PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 335 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 AM EDT FRIDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  289 WAAK49 PAWU 150736 WA9O FAIS WA 150745 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 151400 . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG E PAWI OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. IMPR. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . NRN SEWARD PEN AND LWR KOBUK VLY FI PABL-PAVL LN SW OCNL CIG BLW 010/ISOL VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . NRN SEWARD PEN AND LWR KOBUK VLY FI PABL-PAVL LN SW MTS OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . ST LAWRENCE IS AND WRN NORTON SOUND FK OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. NC. . =FAIT WA 150745 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 151400 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 150745 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 151400 . NONE .  440 WWUS71 KPHI 150739 NPWPHI URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 339 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NJZ025-026-152000- /O.UPG.KPHI.HW.A.0001.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.HW.W.0002.091016T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND 339 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE 25 TO 35 MILES AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 55 MILES AN HOUR. A FEW GUSTS MAY REACH TO NEAR 60 MILES AN HOUR. THESE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH WOULD BE A DANGER TO RESIDENTS AND PROPERTY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WOULD RESULT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. && $$ NJZ024-152000- /O.UPG.KPHI.HW.A.0001.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.HW.W.0002.091015T2100Z-091016T1000Z/ ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OCEAN CITY 339 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT...AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE 25 TO 35 MILES AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 55 MILES AN HOUR. A FEW GUSTS MAY REACH TO NEAR 60 MILES AN HOUR. THESE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH WOULD BE A DANGER TO RESIDENTS AND PROPERTY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WOULD RESULT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. && $$ DEZ004-NJZ014-152000- /O.UPG.KPHI.HW.A.0001.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.WI.Y.0008.091015T2100Z-091016T1400Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REHOBOTH BEACH...SANDY HOOK 339 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE 25 TO 35 MILES AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MILES AN HOUR. THESE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH MIGHT BE A DANGER TO RESIDENTS AND PROPERTY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WOULD RESULT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ DEZ003-NJZ013-020-022-023-027-152000- /O.EXT.KPHI.WI.Y.0008.091015T2100Z-091016T1400Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...FREEHOLD...JACKSON... HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...WHARTON STATE FOREST 339 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE 25 TO 35 MILES AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MILES AN HOUR. THESE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH MIGHT BE A DANGER TO RESIDENTS AND PROPERTY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WOULD RESULT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH OR HIGHER ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WEAK TREE LIMBS AND SHALLOW ROOTED TREES MIGHT GET KNOCKED DOWN. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$  692 WHUS71 KCLE 150739 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 339 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 LEZ142>149-151545- /O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 339 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND UP TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES WILL OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVES GENERALLY IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE THOUGH UP TO 8 FOOT LIKELY ESPECIALLY ON WEST END OF THE LAKE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  259 WHUS72 KCHS 150740 MWWCHS URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 340 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ350-150845- /O.CAN.KCHS.SC.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-091015T0900Z/ WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM- 340 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$  216 WHUS71 KOKX 150742 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 342 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE WATERS STARTING TONIGHT... .INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL TRACK NORTHEAST...PRODUCING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE WATERS STARTING THIS AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND GALES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. ANZ350-353-355-152200- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0078.091015T1700Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0019.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0020.091015T2200Z-091017T0600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 342 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 1 TO 2 FT TO 3 TO 5 FT BY THIS AFTERNOON. STARTING THIS EVENING...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KT WITH 40 TO 45 KT GUSTS. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 9 TO 12 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-338-340-345-152200- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0078.091015T1900Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0019.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0020.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 342 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 1 TO 2 FT TO 3 TO 5 FT ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND BY THIS AFTERNOON. STARTING THIS EVENING...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH 35 TO 40 KT GUSTS. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. SEAS ON LONG ISLAND SOUND WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MPS  400 WSSQ31 LZIB 150749 LZBB SIGMET 4 VALID 150749/151150 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV TURB FCST OVER W PART OF LZBB BTN GND AND FL080 NC=  789 WSSG31 GOOY 150745 GOOO SIGMET 6 VALID 150745/151145 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 0715Z BTN N1123 W01934 - N1154 W01539 - N1106 W01456 - N1000 W01557 - N1008 W01809 MOV NE 10KT NC=  325 WSSG31 GOOY 150745 GOOO SIGMET 6 VALID 150745/151145 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 0715Z BTN N1123 W01934 - N1154 W01539 - N1106 W01456 - N1000 W01557 - N1008 W01809 MOV NE 10KT NC=  456 WSSQ31 LZIB 150750 LZBB SIGMET 5 VALID 150750/151150 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV ICE FCST OVER LZBB FL020/100 NC=  156 WWUS71 KOKX 150747 NPWOKX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 347 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING... .AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND LIGHT NORTH WINDS HAVE PREVENTED TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING BELOW FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING. CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-150900- /O.CAN.KOKX.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-091015T1300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- 347 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE WARNING. MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING. AS SUCH...THE FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  147 WSUS32 KKCI 150755 SIGC MKCC WST 150755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 5C VALID UNTIL 0955Z TN KY IL MO AR FROM 20SE FAM-60NW BNA-40ESE DYR-30WSW DYR-20SE FAM AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 27045KT. TOPS TO FL400. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 6C VALID UNTIL 0955Z TX OK FROM 40ESE OKC-30ENE MLC-60SSE MLC LINE EMBD TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 28030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 150955-151355 FROM 50SW STL-40ENE PXV-50SW MGM-EIC-50ENE TTT-OKC-40ESE RZC-50SW STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  148 WSUS31 KKCI 150755 SIGE MKCE WST 150755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 4E VALID UNTIL 0955Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 80ENE VRB-40E PBI-30E MIA LINE TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 150955-151355 AREA 1...FROM 50S SBY-150SE SIE-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-MIA-CRG-50S SBY WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40ENE PXV-VXV-40SW MGM-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 40SSW CEW-50SE CEW-40SE CTY-30WNW RSW-70SW SRQ-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-40SSW CEW WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  149 WSUS33 KKCI 150755 SIGW MKCW WST 150755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 150955-151355 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  931 WHUS41 KOKX 150749 CFWOKX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 349 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING... .THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND A COASTAL STORM PASSING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WILL PRODUCE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS AROUND LONG ISLAND. THIS... COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES...WILL BUILD UP WATER AT THE COAST...LIKELY PRODUCING MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>081-151600- /O.CON.KOKX.CF.A.0001.091016T0900Z-091016T1600Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 349 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MILES PER HOUR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SEAS AND SURGE ALONG THE COAST. THIS...COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES...WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF LONG ISLAND SOUND APPEAR MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS AT THIS TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && ...OCEAN/NEW YORK HARBOR/SOUTH SHORE BAYS FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) THE BATTERY.....718 AM.....5.7.........6.7.........8.0........8.0 BERGEN POINT....717 AM.....6.2.........N/A.........8.5........8.6 FREEPORT........725 AM.....3.7.........5.2.........5.9........5.9 ...LONG ISLAND SOUND FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) KINGS POINT....1036 AM.....8.9.........N/A........10.5.......11.4 STAMFORD.......1014 AM.....8.6.........9.5........11.1.......11.2 BRIDGEPORT.....1011 AM.....8.0.........8.9........10.4.......10.5 NEW LONDON......810 AM.....3.4.........5.0.........N/A........5.5 $$ MPS  567 ACPN50 PHFO 150750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WED OCT 14 2009 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT PERSISTENT... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 2. A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURFACE TROUGH CENTERED APPROXIMATELY 720 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...HAWAII. THE THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA HAVE DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. $$ HOUSTON  609 WWPK19 OPKC 150750 PAKISTAN MORNING INFERENCE DATED 15-10-2009 ============================================ YESTERDAY'S TROUGH OVER KASHMIR MOVED AWAY NORTHEAST WARDS. A TROUGH LIES OVER UPPER NWFP AND ADJOINING AREAS. A TROUGH LIES OVER BALOCHISAN AND ADJOINING AREAS. FORECAST VAILD UNTIL 16TH EVENING (1200 UTC). ============================================= RAIN/ THUNDER STORMS LIKLY AT A FEW PLACES MALAKAND, HAZARA DIVISION FATH, KASHMIR AND AT ONE OR TWO PLACES RAWALPINDI DIVISION. MAINLY DRY WEATHER ELSEWHERE COUNTRY.  859 WVNT07 KKCI 150751 WSVA0G TJZS SIGMET GOLF 12 VALID 150751/150805 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET GOLF 11 150205/150805.  090 WVNT07 KKCI 150751 WSVA0G TJZS SIGMET GOLF 12 VALID 150751/150805 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET GOLF 11 150205/150805.  079 WHUS73 KDTX 150800 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 400 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP WAVES HIGH THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY WILL SPREAD RAIN OVER THE MARINE AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF PORT HURON. MORE IMPORTANT, THIS SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER ONTARIO TO GENERATE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES OVER ALL MARINE AREAS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE HEADING INTO SATURDAY. COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO SETTLE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LHZ441>443-152000- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.091015T1200Z-091017T1200Z/ PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 400 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM SATURDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE EAST TO OCCUR AROUND 5 PM TODAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 7 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 8 PM TONIGHT. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ421-422-152000- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.091015T1600Z-091017T0600Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- 400 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM SATURDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE EAST TO OCCUR AROUND 5 PM TODAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 26 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 7 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 9 PM TONIGHT. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ444-152000- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- 400 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM SATURDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM TONIGHT. GUSTS OF UP TO 27 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 8 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 2 AM FRIDAY MORNING. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LCZ460-152000- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ LAKE ST. CLAIR- 400 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM FRIDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST TO OCCUR AROUND 5 PM TODAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 26 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 8 PM TONIGHT. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ BT  310 WSSR20 WSSS 150800 WSJC SIGMET 2 VALID 150810/151210 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N03 AND E OF E105 NC=  018 WSSR20 WSSS 150800 WSJC SIGMET 2 VALID 150810/151210 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N03 AND E OF E105 NC=  438 WONT54 EGRR 150800 SECURITE STORM WARNING AT 150000UTC, LOW 48 NORTH 50 WEST 965 EXPECTED 58 NORTH 48 WEST 971 BY 160000UTC. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH STORM FORCE 10 OR VIOLENT STORM FORCE 11 IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNTIL 151500UTC BETWEEN 200 AND 400 MILES OF THE CENTRE  783 WWUS41 KPHI 150803 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 403 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT... .RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BRING 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. PAZ054-055-151600- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.091015T1600Z-091016T1000Z/ CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 403 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO THE AREA DURING TODAY...AND WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR SO BY DARK...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW TONIGHT MAY ADD AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO...AND END EARLY FRIDAY WITH A TOTAL OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN POCONOS LATER TODAY...TONIGHT...AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$  146 WWUS84 KTSA 150804 SPSTSA SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 304 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 OKZ076-150845- LE FLORE OK- 304 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY... IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA SOUTHERN LE FLORE AT 304 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF TALIHINA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BIG CEDAR...MUSE...WHITESBORO... TALIHINA AND HODGEN. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING. LAT...LON 3475 9505 3484 9505 3487 9503 3487 9500 3491 9499 3482 9444 3480 9444 3453 9462 TIME...MOT...LOC 0804Z 292DEG 33KT 3483 9504 $$  595 WHUS71 KAKQ 150807 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 407 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ630-631-650-652-151615- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM- 407 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-654-151615- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO 20 NM- 407 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ633-656-151615- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- 407 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...AND WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ658-151615- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 407 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$  033 WSFR34 LFPW 150805 LFMM SIGMET 6 VALID 150800/151200 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, ON RHONE'S VALLEY BLW FL050 STNR WKN=  155 WSFR34 LFPW 150805 LFMM SIGMET 6 VALID 150800/151200 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, ON RHONE'S VALLEY BLW FL050 STNR WKN=  114 WWUS84 KTSA 150809 SPSTSA SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 309 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 OKZ053-150845- CHOCTAW OK- 309 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY... IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EASTERN CHOCTAW AT 309 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF SWINK TO SAWYER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...SAWYER...FORT TOWSON AND SWINK. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING. LAT...LON 3402 9542 3416 9516 3416 9515 3397 9514 3394 9514 3394 9515 3396 9523 3394 9524 TIME...MOT...LOC 0809Z 294DEG 20KT 3413 9516 3402 9537 $$  497 WHUS71 KPHI 150809 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 409 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ452>455-152100- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0075.091015T1200Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0015.091015T0809Z-091017T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0009.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 409 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND THEN TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY INTO FRIDAY. WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE DURING THE DAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WHILE SEAS CONTINUE TO BUILD. REMEMBER AND CHECK THE WEATHER IF HEADING NORTH ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS OVER THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP NEARSHORE ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-450-451-152100- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0075.091015T1600Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0015.091015T0809Z-091017T0400Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0009.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 409 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND THEN TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY INTO FRIDAY. WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE DURING THE DAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WHILE SEAS CONTINUE TO BUILD. REMEMBER AND CHECK THE WEATHER IF HEADING NORTH ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS OVER THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP NEARSHORE ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$  820 WHUS71 KLWX 150814 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 414 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ531>534-537>541-543-151615- /O.EXT.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 414 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ530-535-536-542-151615- /O.EXT.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.091015T1600Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- 414 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  427 WWUS41 KBUF 150816 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 416 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL POSSIBLE... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EASTWARD FROM KENTUCKY TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES WILL COMBINE WITH COLD AIR FROM EASTERN ONTARIO TO PRODUCE AN EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. WHEREAS THERE MAY NOT BE ENOUGH SNOW TO WARRANT A STORM WARNING BASED SOLELY ON THE AMOUNT OF SNOW...7 INCHES OR MORE IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...THE IMPACT OF EVEN 4 INCHES OF SNOW ON FOLIATED TREES WILL RESULT IN A SNOW LOAD CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES IF NOT WHOLE TREES...AND THUS DOWNED POWER LINES...CLOSED ROADS AND/OR DAMAGE TO HOMES AND OTHER STRUCTURES. NYZ019>021-151630- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0004.091015T2200Z-091017T0300Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 416 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A STEADY ACCUMULATION SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 4 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE TO 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER HILLS OF SOUTHERN CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES. THE IMPACT OF 4 INCHES OF SNOW ON LEAF COVERED TREES CAN RESULT IN A SNOW LOAD CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN LARGE BRANCHES IF NOT WHOLE TREES...AND THUS DOWNED POWER LINES...CLOSED ROADS OR DAMAGE TO HOMES AND OTHER STRUCTURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$  748 WWUS41 KBGM 150820 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 420 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON HEAVY WET SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET... .A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ALONG WITH A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION LATER TODAY. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGING TO MOSTLY SNOW TONIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE THE FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON. NYZ022-024-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-151630- /O.NEW.KBGM.WS.A.0004.091016T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ STEUBEN-CHEMUNG-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD- SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE- SOUTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORNING...HORNELL...ELMIRA...OWEGO... BINGHAMTON...WALTON...DELHI...MONTICELLO...TOWANDA...SAYRE... MONTROSE...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON...WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON... MILFORD...HONESDALE 420 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA BY LATE MORNING AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS THE PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT AS A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WITH MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED IN THE VALLEYS. TOWARD LATE AFTERNOON THE MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH A FEW WET SNOWFLAKES POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS. AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL ENOUGH THAT ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE 1500 FEET. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE BACK TO RAIN DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET. THIS ACCUMULATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW COMBINED WITH MANY TREES STILL CONTAINING LEAVES...WILL PRODUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY...BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. && $$ HEDEN/PN/CMG  885 WWUS74 KAMA 150824 NPWAMA URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 324 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG NO LONGER IMPACTING THE TEXAS PANHANDLE... .A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE PANHANDLES BRINGING NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS. THE NORTHWEST WINDS ARE PROVIDING DRIER AIR WHICH IS ALLOWING THE VISIBILITIES TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE. ALTHOUGH AREAS OF FOG WILL STILL BE PRESENT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...DENSE FOG IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. TXZ001-006>020-150930- /O.CAN.KAMA.FG.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T1400Z/ DALLAM-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER- CARSON-GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY- COLLINGSWORTH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DALHART...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS... BORGER...MIAMI...CANADIAN...VEGA...AMARILLO...PANHANDLE... WHITE DEER...PAMPA...SHAMROCK...WHEELER...HEREFORD...CANYON... CLAUDE...CLARENDON...WELLINGTON 324 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS NO LONGER OCCURRING ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. AREAS OF FOG WILL STILL OCCUR ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THIS MORNING BUT VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE ONE QUARTER MILE. $$ JJB  656 WWUS41 KCTP 150826 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 426 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...UNUSUAL EARLY SEASON DAMAGING HEAVY WET SNOW POSSIBLE... .A STORM DEVELOPING TO OUR SOUTHWEST WILL FORCE RAIN UP AND INTO THE REGION TODAY. THE ABNORMALLY CHILLY AIR IN PLACE OVER THE STATE WILL LEAD TO A VERY EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL STAY MAINLY RAIN. THE STORM WILL LAST QUITE A WHILE...ABOUT TWO DAYS. WHILE THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY NOT BE DEEP...THE HEAVY AND WET CHARACTER OF THE SNOW WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND POSSIBLY TO POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL OVER THE RIDGES MAY ALSO BECOME HAZARDOUS. PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-037-041-042-152030- /O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0005.091015T1200Z-091016T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0005.091015T2000Z-091017T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- 426 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A STORM DEVELOPING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL SPREAD RAIN AND SNOW INTO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS TODAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW FOR MOST PLACES LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS SNOW WILL BE A VERY HEAVY AND WET SNOW WITH A HIGH WATER- CONTENT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. BUT...EVEN THE VALLEYS WILL GET A FEW INCHES OF THIS SLUSHY SNOW. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT NIGHT...AS THE WARMING EFFECT OF THE SUN IS MUCH STRONGER NOW THAN IT IS IN THE MIDDLE OF WINTER. THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL COLLECT MAINLY ON THE TREES AND COLDER SURFACES...BUT THE ROADS MAY BE GENERALLY WET AS THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON TREES THAT STILL HAVE MOST OF THE LEAVES ON THEM WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND EVEN SOME POWER OUTAGES. EXPECT A TOTAL OF 4 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL BY SATURDAY MORNING. AGAIN...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ON THE RIDGE TOPS...AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKET AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ019-024>028-033>035-045-046-049>053-058-152030- /O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0005.091015T1200Z-091016T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0038.091016T0600Z-091017T1200Z/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET- BEDFORD-FULTON-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER- MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL- 426 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A STORM DEVELOPING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO THE REGION TODAY. THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW AT TIMES TODAY ON THE RIDGES...BUT LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TURN TO MAINLY SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATER TONIGHT. THE VALLEYS WILL HAVE RAIN FOR MOST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL START TO LOWER DOWN TO ELEVATIONS BELOW 1400 FEET LATE TONIGHT. WHILE MUCH OF FRIDAY WILL ALSO ONLY HOLD RAIN FOR THE VALLEYS...THE SNOW LEVEL SHOULD THEN LOWER EVEN FURTHER AFTER SUNSET ON FRIDAY. THIS SNOW WILL BE A VERY HEAVY AND WET SNOW WITH A HIGH WATER- CONTENT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE VALLEY LOCATIONS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE SNOW ON THE GROUND UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. BUT...EVEN THE VALLEYS WILL GET AN INCH OR TWO OF THIS SLUSHY SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT NIGHT...AS THE WARMING EFFECT OF THE SUN IS MUCH STRONGER NOW THAN IT IS IN THE MIDDLE OF WINTER. THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL COLLECT MAINLY ON THE TREES AND COLDER SURFACES...BUT THE ROADS MAY BE GENERALLY WET AS THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON TREES THAT STILL HAVE MOST OF THE LEAVES ON THEM WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND PERHAPS A FEW POWER OUTAGES...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. EXPECT A TOTAL OF ONLY 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL BY SATURDAY MORNING. AGAIN...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ON THE HIGHEST RIDGE TOPS...AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ DANGELO  065 WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 56N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 175E TO 38N 177E 36N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 177E TO 34N 178E 32N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 177E TO 33N 173E 31N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.8N 142.1E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 24 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 14.3N 136.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 56N 168E 56N 180E 35N 180E 35N 175E 40N 170E 56N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 43N 144E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 153E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 117E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 122E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 37N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 153E TO 34N 156E 34N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 153E TO 31N 148E 28N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 143E TO 26N 135E 25N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  749 WHUS41 KPHI 150827 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 427 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-152100- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T0900Z-091017T0300Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 427 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT AT THIS TIME BUT WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH OUT THE DAY AND BLOWING IN FROM THE OCEAN. THIS WILL ALLOW THE TIDES TO RISE TODAY...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT... RARITAN BAY...DELAWARE BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS. THIS MORNING'S HIGH TIDE WILL NOT POSE ANY PROBLEM BUT THE ONE THIS EVENING COULD BE THE FIRST TO BRING MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER TIDES AT EACH NEW HIGH TIDE PERIOD. FOR THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT AND RARITAN BAY...HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 530 PM AND 630 PM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES ON FRIDAY...MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT AND RARITAN BAY THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 615 AM AND 715 AM EDT... AND THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS ARE 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK...7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND 8.0 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY... BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING...AND WAVE ACTION MAY LEAD TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. THE MAJOR CONCERN IS NOT THAT THE STORM TODAY INTO FRIDAY OR THE ONE ON SUNDAY WILL BE STRONG, BUT THE TRACK OF THE TWO WOULD KEEP THE FETCH COMING TOWARD THE MAINLAND AND NOT ALLOW THE WATERS TO DRAIN UNTIL EARLY ON MONDAY. THAT WOULD BE ABOUT SEVEN HIGH TIDE CYCLES BEFORE THE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$ EBERWINE  499 WUUS54 KSHV 150829 SVRSHV OKC089-TXC387-150915- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0347.091015T0829Z-091015T0915Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 329 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN RED RIVER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS... SOUTHERN MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 415 AM CDT * AT 327 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF MANCHESTER...OR 22 MILES EAST OF HUGO...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO IDABEL... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. && LAT...LON 3392 9528 3391 9525 3394 9526 3397 9523 3395 9516 3405 9516 3412 9508 3397 9459 3369 9468 3370 9474 3348 9475 3388 9532 TIME...MOT...LOC 0829Z 313DEG 24KT 3393 9512 $$ 22  559 WHUS73 KLOT 150829 MWWLOT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 329 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LMZ740>742-151630- /O.EXT.KLOT.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-091016T1300Z/ WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR- WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND- NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR- 329 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE EAST TO NORTHEAST NEAR 25 KNOTS...WITH HIGHEST WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  782 WSIY31 LIIB 150830 LIMM SIGMET 03 VALID 150845/151245 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN=  209 WSIY31 LIIB 150830 LIMM SIGMET 03 VALID 150845/151245 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN=  893 WWUS74 KMEG 150830 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 330 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THIS MORNING... .DENSE FOG HAS ALREADY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH THIS MORNING AND WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BEFORE SUNRISE. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-151500- /O.NEW.KMEG.FG.Y.0011.091015T0900Z-091015T1500Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS- ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE- OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 330 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL DROP TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIME THIS MORNING. THE FOG SHOULD LIFT AFTER SUNRISE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$  143 WSCN35 CWEG 150830 SIGMET W2 VALID 150830/151230 CWEG- WTN 20 NM OF LN /7010N13829W/50 NE KOMAKUK - /6950N12907W/NICHOLSON POINT. SEV CLR ICG IN FZRA FCST BLO 015. AREA QS. NIL CHG. END/GFA35/AM/CMAC-W  144 WSIY31 LIIB 150830 LIMM SIGMET 03 VALID 150845/151245 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN=  348 WHUS71 KBUF 150831 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 431 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 LOZ042-043-151645- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.091015T1400Z-091016T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 431 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME EAST TO NORTHEAST TODAY AND INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-151645- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.091016T0000Z-091016T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- 431 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE THIS EVENING. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK  216 WAUS43 KKCI 150845 WA3Z CHIZ WA 150845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET ICE...ND SD MN IA WI LM LS MI IL IN FROM 50NNW ISN TO YQT TO 60SSW SAW TO 20E BAE TO 40ESE GRR TO FWA TO 60SSE IOW TO 30NE DSM TO 50WNW ABR TO 80SW DIK TO 50NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL SFC-070. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET ICE...WI LM LS MI LH IN FROM YQT TO SSM TO YVV TO DXO TO FWA TO 40ESE GRR TO 20E BAE TO 40NNE GRB TO YQT MOD ICE BTN 070 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET ICE...IA MO IL IN KY AR TN FROM FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 30ESE MEM TO 20S ARG TO 30SE STL TO 60SSE IOW TO FWA MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL230. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-135 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 040-120 BOUNDED BY 30NW ISN-50WSW MOT-40NNW IOW- 60WSW DXO-CVG-40S STL-30E LAA-50E SNY-50SSW BFF-70SW RAP- 30NW ISN SFC ALG 20SW ISN-20W BIS-30E BIS-70ENE BIS-90SW YWG 040 ALG 60WSW DIK-30SSW PIR-50SSE FSD-30SW IOW-20WSW BDF-50SW DXO 080 ALG 60SW RAP-60NE BFF-30E OBH-30SW IRK-20NW TTH-50WSW ROD 120 ALG 40ESE LAA-40ESE ICT-60W PXV-30NNW BWG-40SSW LOZ ....  217 WAUS45 KKCI 150845 WA5Z SLCZ WA 150845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET ICE...WY CO FROM 70SW DDY TO 50WNW BFF TO 60E HBU TO 40E DVC TO 20SW JNC TO 70SW DDY MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET ICE...NV CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70WSW OED TO 40SSW REO TO 70NE RBL TO 30W OAL TO 40E MOD TO 40SSW SNS TO 70SW PYE TO 130WSW ENI TO 140WSW FOT TO 150WNW FOT TO 70WSW OED MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 100-140. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET ICE...MT FROM 50NNW ISN TO 70WSW DIK TO 70SSW GGW TO 20N HVR TO 50NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND 130. FRZLVL SFC-050. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET ICE...ID MT WY FROM 60SW YXC TO 20N HVR TO 70SSW GGW TO 70WSW DIK TO 60NW RAP TO 40SSW SHR TO 40SSW BOY TO 50SW BPI TO 50SE REO TO 60SSE GEG TO 60SW YXC MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 060-090. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...ICE ID MT WY BOUNDED BY 30N HVR-70SSW GGW-60SW DIK-70SW RAP-50S BOY-30E BPI-40SW BPI-50SE REO-60SSE GEG-60SSE FCA-50W HLN-40S HLN-30NW BIL-30N HVR MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 060-100. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-170 ACRS AREA SFC ALG 30S YQL-20SW ISN 040 ALG 30NNW HVR-30NE HVR-60WSW DIK 080 ALG 70NNW DNJ-30WNW DLN-30SW BIL-20E SHR-60SW RAP 120 ALG 30NNW FMG-70NE OAL-20NNW HVE-50SW HBU-40ESE LAA 160 ALG BZA-50SSW DRK-50SW INW-40SE ABQ-20WSW TXO ....  218 WAUS46 KKCI 150845 WA6Z SFOZ WA 150845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET ICE...CA NV AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70WSW OED TO 40SSW REO TO 70NE RBL TO 30W OAL TO 40E MOD TO 40SSW SNS TO 70SW PYE TO 130WSW ENI TO 140WSW FOT TO 150WNW FOT TO 70WSW OED MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 100-140. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET ICE...WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SSE YDC TO 30S YKM TO 60SSE GEG TO 50SE REO TO 40SSW REO TO 70WSW OED TO 150WNW FOT TO 100W ONP TO 70W TOU TO TOU TO HUH TO 30SSE YDC MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 060-110. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...ICE WA OR AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY HUH-40SSE YDC-50S YKM-40SSW REO-40SE LKV-60WSW OED-140WNW FOT-110WNW ONP-140W TOU-TOU-HUH MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL 070-120. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 055-160 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 170WSW HQM-100SW HQM-40S PDX-40N DSD-70NNW DNJ 120 ALG 140WSW FOT-30ESE FOT-30NNW FMG ....  323 WHUS72 KMHX 150832 MWWMHX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 432 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ150-152-152115- /O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091019T1500Z/ S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM- S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM- 432 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ154-152115- /O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091019T1500Z/ S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 432 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ135-152000- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091015T2000Z/ PAMLICO SOUND- 432 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE SHIFTING WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ156-152115- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM- 432 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ158-152115- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM- 432 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  364 WSIY31 LIIB 150830 LIMM SIGMET 03 VALID 150845/151245 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS OBS ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN= FCSN32 ESCR 150800 TAF ESCM 150800Z 1509/1514 33006KT CAVOK QFE 1026 QNH 1028 ISSUED BY ESCR=  404 WAUS41 KKCI 150845 WA1Z BOSZ WA 150845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET ICE...MD VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SE CSN TO 150SE SIE TO 20ESE ECG TO 50SSW GQO TO GQO TO HMV TO 30SE CSN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS DVLPG 12-15Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET ICE...NH VT MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50E YYZ TO 60ENE SYR TO 40SSW ENE TO 50SSE ACK TO 60SSE HTO TO 150SE SIE TO 30SE CSN TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO DXO TO 50E YYZ MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL 020-110. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...ICE MD VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30SE CSN-150SE SIE-190ESE ECG-40SSE ODF-50SSW GQO-GQO-HMV-30SE CSN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...ICE NH VT MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 50E YYZ-140SSE BGR-200SE ACK-160SE SIE-30SE CSN-HMV-HNN-CVG-FWA-DXO-50E YYZ MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL 030-110. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-115 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 050-100 BOUNDED BY 30SW ERI-20NW CYN-SIE-30SE CSN- EKN-40S CLE-30SW ERI SFC ALG 80WSW YOW-40SSE SYR-20SW ALB-50SE HUL 040 ALG 50SW DXO-20NE CLE-30S PSB-80SSE ACK-160ESE ACK 080 ALG 50WSW ROD-20SSW AIR-20NNW SBY-180ESE SIE ....  405 WAUS42 KKCI 150845 WA2Z MIAZ WA 150845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET ICE...NC SC GA MD VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SE CSN TO 150SE SIE TO 20ESE ECG TO 50SSW GQO TO GQO TO HMV TO 30SE CSN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS DVLPG 12-15Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...ICE NC SC GA MD VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30SE CSN-150SE SIE-190ESE ECG-40SSE ODF-50SSW GQO-GQO-HMV-30SE CSN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 110-170 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 50WSW HMV-20SSE GSO-60E RDU-170ESE ECG 160 ALG 40E SJI-40SSW CEW-120S CEW-50SW RSW-MIA-90ESE MIA ....  406 WAUS44 KKCI 150845 WA4Z DFWZ WA 150845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET ICE...AR TN IA MO IL IN KY FROM FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 30ESE MEM TO 20S ARG TO 30SE STL TO 60SSE IOW TO FWA MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL230. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-180 ACRS AREA 160 ALG 20WSW TXO-40WNW SPS-30ESE SPS-50SW GGG-60SE MLU-40E SJI ....  849 WONT50 LFPW 150834 A SECURITE ON METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE, WARNING NR 475, THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009 AT 0830 UTC GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 15 AT 00UTC HIGH 1031 55N16W, MOVING NORTHEAST, EXPECTED 1041 58N08W BY 16/12 UTC, WITH ASSOCIATED RIDGE SOUTHWARD TOWARDS NORTH SPAIN. FINISTERRE FROM 15/12UTC TO 16/12UTC AT LEAST IN NORTH AND NEAR CAPES: EAST OR NORTHEAST 8. GUSTS.=  964 WSIY31 LIIB 150835 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 150900/151300 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  965 WSIY31 LIIB 150835 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 150900/151300 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  669 WSIY31 LIIB 150835 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 150900/151300 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  685 WWCN11 CWTO 150836 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:36 AM EDT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING FOR: CITY OF TORONTO ELGIN LONDON - MIDDLESEX SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND OXFORD - BRANT NIAGARA CITY OF HAMILTON HALTON - PEEL YORK - DURHAM HURON - PERTH WATERLOO - WELLINGTON DUFFERIN - INNISFIL GREY - BRUCE BARRIE - COLLINGWOOD - HILLSDALE BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND KINGSTON - PRINCE EDWARD STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC BROCKVILLE - LEEDS AND GRENVILLE CITY OF OTTAWA GATINEAU PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL CORNWALL - MORRISBURG SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE. WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== TEMPERATURES HAVE PLUNGED TO NEAR OR BELOW ZERO EARLY THIS MORNING IN MOST LOCALES. WIDESPREAD FROST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. THE FROST WARNING WILL BE ENDED LATER THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE THE DEGREE MARK. NOTE THAT ENVIRONMENT CANADA'S FROST WARNING PROGRAM ENDS ON OCTOBER 15TH FOR MOST OF THE ABOVE REGIONS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME AREAS IN SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO. FOR THOSE REGIONS, THE PROGRAM CONTINUES UNTIL OCTOBER 30TH. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/OSPC  261 WAUS41 KKCI 150845 WA1T BOST WA 150845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET TURB...ME NH VT NY LO AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 30NE PQI TO 50WSW YSJ TO 140SSE BGR TO 20N BOS TO 70SSW YOW TO MSS TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET TURB...PA OH WV MD VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20SE FWA TO 20WSW EWC TO 20NNE CSN TO 70SE SBY TO 60SSE ILM TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO 20SE FWA MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...TURB PA OH WV MD DC DE VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30SSE HAR-100SE SBY-80SSE ECG-60SSE ILM-GQO-HMV-HNN- CVG-50S APE-30SSE HAR MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...TURB MA RI CT NY NJ MD DE VA NC AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 20NNW ACK-200SE ACK-160SE SIE-190ESE ECG-150ESE ILM- 70ENE ILM-30N ORF-20ESE SAX-20NNW ACK MOD TURB BLW 080. CONDS DVLPG 15-18Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  262 WAUS42 KKCI 150845 WA2T MIAT WA 150845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET TURB...NC SC GA PA OH WV MD VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20SE FWA TO 20WSW EWC TO 20NNE CSN TO 70SE SBY TO 60SSE ILM TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO 20SE FWA MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...TURB NC SC GA PA OH WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30SSE HAR-100SE SBY-80SSE ECG-60SSE ILM-GQO-HMV-HNN- CVG-50S APE-30SSE HAR MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...TURB NC MA RI CT NY NJ MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 20NNW ACK-200SE ACK-160SE SIE-190ESE ECG-150ESE ILM- 70ENE ILM-30N ORF-20ESE SAX-20NNW ACK MOD TURB BLW 080. CONDS DVLPG 15-18Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  263 WAUS43 KKCI 150845 WA3T CHIT WA 150845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET TURB...NE KS MN IA MO WI IL IN KY FROM 70NW RWF TO 50N DLL TO BDF TO 40SSE FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO 30E FAM TO 40NNW DYR TO 50SE LAA TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP TO 60S FSD TO 70NW RWF MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB SD NE KS IA MO IL IN KY OK TX AR TN MS AL BOUNDED BY 70SW RAP-60S RAP-ANW-IRK-CVG-HNN-HMV-GQO-20S MLC-20N CDS-40ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-BFF-70SW RAP MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  264 WAUS44 KKCI 150845 WA4T DFWT WA 150845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB OK TX AR TN MS AL SD NE KS IA MO IL IN KY BOUNDED BY 70SW RAP-60S RAP-ANW-IRK-CVG-HNN-HMV-GQO-20S MLC-20N CDS-40ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-BFF-70SW RAP MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  304 WAUS45 KKCI 150845 WA5T SLCT WA 150845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET TURB...ID WY NV UT WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90SSE GEG TO 20SSW JNC TO 130WNW FOT TO 120WSW HQM TO 90SSE GEG MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL360. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET TURB...MT WY CO FROM 30N HVR TO 50SSW BFF TO 40ESE DEN TO 30WNW DBL TO 20NNE OCS TO 40N FCA TO 30N HVR MOD TURB BLW FL180. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY WA OR CA FROM HUH TO 40N FCA TO 30N OCS TO 40SE LKV TO 40SW ENI TO 90SW EUG TO 50S HQM TO TOU TO HUH MOD TURB BLW 100. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY UT CO WA OR AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20WNW HUH TO 50SE YXC TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50SE LAA TO 20SW PUB TO 20SSW JNC TO 90SSE GEG TO 120WSW HQM TO 140W TOU TO TOU TO 20WNW HUH MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL360. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB ID MT WY UT CO NM WA OR AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 40NW HVR-70SW RAP-BFF-GLD-50W LBL-30ESE TBE-30SE ALS- HBU-20SSW JNC-90SSE GEG-120WSW HQM-140W TOU-TOU-HUH-40NW HVR MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  305 WAUS46 KKCI 150845 WA6T SFOT WA 150845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET TURB...WA OR CA ID WY NV UT AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90SSE GEG TO 20SSW JNC TO 130WNW FOT TO 120WSW HQM TO 90SSE GEG MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL360. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET TURB...WA OR CA ID MT WY FROM HUH TO 40N FCA TO 30N OCS TO 40SE LKV TO 40SW ENI TO 90SW EUG TO 50S HQM TO TOU TO HUH MOD TURB BLW 100. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET TURB...WA OR ID MT WY UT CO AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20WNW HUH TO 50SE YXC TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50SE LAA TO 20SW PUB TO 20SSW JNC TO 90SSE GEG TO 120WSW HQM TO 140W TOU TO TOU TO 20WNW HUH MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL360. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB WA OR ID MT WY UT CO NM AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 40NW HVR-70SW RAP-BFF-GLD-50W LBL-30ESE TBE-30SE ALS- HBU-20SSW JNC-90SSE GEG-120WSW HQM-140W TOU-TOU-HUH-40NW HVR MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  120 WSDL31 EDZM 150723 EDMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150730/150930 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  276 WSDL31 EDZM 150723 EDMM SIGMET 01 VALID 150730/150930 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  299 WSDL31 EDZM 150727 EDMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150735/150935 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  300 WSDL31 EDZM 150727 EDMM SIGMET 02 VALID 150735/150935 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  511 WAUS41 KKCI 150845 WA1S BOSS WA 150845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET IFR...NY PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70SW SYR TO 60S ETX TO 50SE SBY TO 20NE ECG TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO 20SSW DXO TO 70SW SYR CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NY PA WV MD VA NC SC GA FROM JHW TO 20ESE HNK TO HAR TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO AIR TO JHW MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...IFR CT NY NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 40WSW ALB-130S ACK-20NE ECG-HMV-HNN-CVG-FWA-30SSW DXO- 40N CLE-40WSW ALB CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...MTN OBSCN NH VT MA NY PA WV MD VA NC SC GA BOUNDED BY 40WSW CON-HAR-CLT-ATL-GQO-HMV-HNN-AIR-JHW-40WSW CON MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  512 WAUS43 KKCI 150845 WA3S CHIS WA 150845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET IFR...SD NE KS FROM 30ESE RAP TO 20NW OBH TO 60NW END TO 50W LBL TO 20SSW MCK TO 50NNW LBF TO 30ESE RAP CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET IFR...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI IL IN KY FROM 50NNW ISN TO 70E INL TO ORD TO GIJ TO FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO RZC TO OSW TO 60NW END TO 20NW OBH TO 70NW RAP TO 50NNW ISN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...KY TN FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. ....  513 WAUS44 KKCI 150845 WA4S DFWS WA 150845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET IFR...OK TX FROM 50W LBL TO 40N GAG TO 20WSW AMA TO LBB TO 50SSW TXO TO 40NE TCC TO 50W LBL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET IFR...OK TX AR TN LA MS AL FROM OSW TO RZC TO HMV TO GQO TO 50SW PZD TO 40W CEW TO 50SW CEW TO LEV TO 50WSW LCH TO 30E PSX TO 30NNE ACT TO 40SSW ABI TO LBB TO 20WSW AMA TO 40N GAG TO OSW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET IFR...TX FROM 30NNE ACT TO 30E PSX TO 30SSE CRP TO 20E BRO TO 80SSE LRD TO 20W DLF TO 40SSW ABI TO 30NNE ACT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TN KY FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. ....  777 WAUS42 KKCI 150845 WA2S MIAS WA 150845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NE ECG TO 70SSE ECG TO 100S ILM TO 20NNW OMN TO 30NW ORL TO 70SW TLH TO 50SW CEW TO 40W CEW TO 50SW PZD TO GQO TO HMV TO 20NE ECG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NC SC GA NY PA WV MD VA FROM JHW TO 20ESE HNK TO HAR TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO AIR TO JHW MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...MTN OBSCN NC SC GA NH VT MA NY PA WV MD VA BOUNDED BY 40WSW CON-HAR-CLT-ATL-GQO-HMV-HNN-AIR-JHW-40WSW CON MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  779 WAUS45 KKCI 150845 WA5S SLCS WA 150845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET IFR...CO FROM 20WSW GLD TO 60SSE LAA TO 30SSW PUB TO 20WSW GLD CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET IFR...ID MT WA FROM 40SW YQL TO 50W GTF TO 30NNE LKT TO 50SSW MLP TO YKM TO 30SSW YDC TO 40SW YQL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET IFR...MT FROM 60S YXH TO 50NNW ISN TO 100SE MLS TO 80SSE MLS TO 70E LWT TO 50S HVR TO 60S YXH CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...CO FROM 30SW CYS TO 50ESE HBU TO 40E DVC TO 50SSE OCS TO 30SW CYS MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ID MT WY FROM 40NNE HVR TO 20NNE SHR TO 50SW BPI TO 30SE TWF TO 50SE REO TO 70NNW DNJ TO 30NE GEG TO 60SW YXC TO 40NNE HVR MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...MTN OBSCN ID MT WY BOUNDED BY 50SW YXC-40S YQL-60SSW BIL-50SW BPI-20S TWF-40NE GEG- 50SW YXC MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  780 WAUS46 KKCI 150845 WA6S SFOS WA 150845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET IFR...WA ID MT FROM 40SW YQL TO 50W GTF TO 30NNE LKT TO 50SSW MLP TO YKM TO 30SSW YDC TO 40SW YQL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET IFR...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SSE ENI TO 40SSE SNS TO 40NNW RZS TO 50SW HEC TO 40E MZB TO 20S MZB TO 100SW MZB TO 90WSW RZS TO 60SW OAK TO 30SSE ENI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET IFR...WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40WNW HQM TO 30SW SEA TO 50SE EUG TO 50ESE OED TO 60ENE FOT TO 30SSE ENI TO 120SW PYE TO 140WSW FOT TO 150SW ONP TO 80SSW HQM TO 40WNW HQM CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WA OR CA FROM 40ESE YDC TO 60SSW YKM TO 40SE LKV TO 30WNW RBL TO 20WSW SNS TO 20WSW PYE TO 20SSW FOT TO 80WNW OED TO 50SSE HQM TO TOU TO 20W HUH TO 40ESE YDC MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...OR CA FROM 40SE LKV TO 30SSW FMG TO 60NNE CZQ TO 20WSW SNS TO 30WNW RBL TO 40SE LKV MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 09-12Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...OR FROM 70NNW DNJ TO 50SE REO TO 40SE LKV TO 60SSW YKM TO 70NNW DNJ MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...CA FROM 30S SNS TO 60W EHF TO 20NNW RZS TO 50SSW HEC TO 60S TRM TO 30S MZB TO 40SE LAX TO 40W RZS TO 30S SNS MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...IFR CA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30SSE ENI-30SE OAK-30ENE RZS-50SW HEC-40E MZB-20S MZB- 240SSW RZS-150SW SNS-30SSE ENI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...MTN OBSCN WA OR CA BOUNDED BY 40SE YDC-60SSW YKM-40SE LKV-30WNW RBL-20W SNS-20SSW FOT-50SSW ONP-50SSE HQM-TOU-20W HUH-40SE YDC MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  776 WWUS71 KBOX 150843 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 MAZ005>007-012-014-NHZ012-151200- /O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...MANCHESTER... NASHUA 443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING WILL REBOUND EARLY THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ MAZ019>022-RIZ007-151645- /O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- BARNSTABLE MA-NEWPORT RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...NEWPORT 443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT. WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY ON THE CAPE. LESSER WINDS THAN THIS WILL PROBABLY VERIFY AWAY FROM THE CAPE...BUT MAY STILL DO SOME DAMAGE TO LARGE LIMBS AS FOLIAGE REMAINS ON MOST TREES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ RIZ008-151645- /O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BLOCK ISLAND 443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ MAZ023-151645- /O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0003.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ DUKES MA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...VINEYARD HAVEN 443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WITH TREES STILL NEARLY FULLY-FOLIATED...SOME LARGE BRANCHES WILL PROBABLY BE BROKEN ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME UPROOTINGS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG DAMAGING WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE MENTIONED AREAS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS CAUSING PROPERTY DAMAGE. IF A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. && $$ CTZ002>004-MAZ015-016-018-RIZ001>006-151200- /O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI- BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BOSTON...QUINCY...BROCKTON... FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK... BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY 443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S WILL REBOUND EARLY THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ MAZ024-151645- /O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0003.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ NANTUCKET MA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NANTUCKET 443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT. WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WITH TREES STILL NEARLY FULLY-FOLIATED...SOME LARGE BRANCHES WILL PROBABLY BE BROKEN ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME UPROOTINGS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG DAMAGING WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE MENTIONED AREAS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS CAUSING PROPERTY DAMAGE. IF A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. && $$  777 WFUS54 KSHV 150843 TORSHV OKC089-TXC387-150930- /O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0063.091015T0843Z-091015T0930Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 343 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN RED RIVER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS... SOUTHERN MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 430 AM CDT * AT 342 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES WEST OF IDABEL...OR 22 MILES NORTH OF CLARKSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ALBION...GARVIN...BRYARLY...HARRIS...HAWORTH...BOKHOMA...GOODLAKE AND MOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM... MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. && LAT...LON 3403 9504 3383 9455 3367 9467 3369 9466 3370 9474 3356 9475 3387 9515 TIME...MOT...LOC 0843Z 298DEG 29KT 3392 9501 $$ 22  797 WVNT07 KKCI 150751 TJZS SIGMET 12 VALID 150751/150805 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET GOLF 11 150205/150805.=  342 WSNO35 ENMI 150846 ENBD SIGMET D03 VALID 150900/151300 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST AND OBS N OF N6500 BLW FL080. NC=  499 WSNO35 ENMI 150846 ENBD SIGMET D03 VALID 150900/151300 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST AND OBS N OF N6500 BLW FL080. NC=  478 WSUS32 KKCI 150855 SIGC MKCC WST 150855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 7C VALID UNTIL 1055Z AR TX OK FROM 50E OKC-40WSW FSM-40NE TXK-60W TXK-50E OKC AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 28035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151055-151455 FROM 50SW STL-40ENE PXV-50SW MGM-EIC-50ENE TTT-OKC-40ESE RZC-50SW STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  479 WSUS31 KKCI 150855 SIGE MKCE WST 150855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 5E VALID UNTIL 1055Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 110ENE VRB-60ENE PBI-60ESE PBI LINE TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 28020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 151055-151455 AREA 1...FROM 50S SBY-150SE SIE-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-MIA-CRG-50S SBY WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40ENE PXV-VXV-40SW MGM-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 40SSW CEW-50SE CEW-40SE CTY-30WNW RSW-70SW SRQ-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-40SSW CEW WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  480 WSUS33 KKCI 150855 SIGW MKCW WST 150855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151055-151455 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  347 WSAG31 SARE 150330 SARR SIGMET 1 VALID 150330/150630 SARE- RESISTENCIA FIR EMBD TS OBS BTN SARI 24S 54W SATI 28S 55W MOV E 10KT INTSF=  735 WHUS73 KMKX 150850 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 350 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GUSTY EAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT... .SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WILL REMAIN BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF PERSISTENT AND GUSTY EAST WINDS TODAY WHICH WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO THE NORTHEAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE HIGH WAVES THROUGH TONIGHT. LMZ643-151700- /O.EXB.KMKX.SC.Y.0073.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI- 350 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY. EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FARTHER INTO FRIDAY MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HIGH WAVES GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ644>646-151700- /O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0073.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI- NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI- WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL- 350 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY. EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS AS THEY BACK TO THE NORTHEAST. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FARTHER INTO FRIDAY MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING WAVES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MBK  474 WWJP71 RJTD 150600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 150600UTC ISSUED AT 150900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 151500UTC =  675 WWJP75 RJTD 150600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 150600UTC ISSUED AT 150900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 151500UTC =  676 WWJP74 RJTD 150600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 150600UTC ISSUED AT 150900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 151500UTC =  677 WWJP73 RJTD 150600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 150600UTC ISSUED AT 150900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 151500UTC =  773 WWJP72 RJTD 150600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 150600UTC ISSUED AT 150900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 151500UTC =  134 WBCN07 CWVR 150800 PAM ROCKS WIND MM LANGARA; N/A GREEN; N/A TRIPLE; N/A BONILLA; N/A BOAT BLUFF; N/A MCINNES; N/A IVORY; N/A DRYAD; N/A ADDENBROKE; N/A EGG ISLAND; N/A PINE ISLAND; N/A CAPE SCOTT; N/A QUATSINO; N/A NOOTKA; N/A ESTEVAN; N/A LENNARD; N/A AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; N/A PACHENA; N/A CARMANAH; N/A SCARLETT; N/A PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; N/A CHROME; N/A MERRY; N/A ENTRANCE; N/A FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; N/A Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 160/10/09/1307/M/1028 22MM= WLP SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 108/10/07/1418/M/PK WND 1422 0739Z 1024 94MM= WEB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 129/10/09/0707/M/0010 PCPN 0.6MM PAST HR 1022 84MM= WQC SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 155/08/07/3202/M/1033 94MM= WRU SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 087/10/08/1034+39/M/PK WND 1040 0740Z 1014 34MM= WFG SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 076/11/08/1522+32/M/PK WND 1539 0717Z 1015 55MM= WVF SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/0712/M/M M 5MMM= WQS SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/12/05/1520+30/M/PK WND 1531 0700Z M 09MM= WRO SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/10/07/1325/M/0004 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR PK WND 1433 0725Z M 94MM= WEK SA 0700 AUTO8 M M M 055/09/M/1420/M/PK WND 1427 0606Z 1061 4MMM= WWL SA 0822 AUTO4 M M M 056/10/M/MM15+26/M/1032 3MMM= WME SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 120/06/04/0419/M/M PK WND 0523 0733Z 1031 33MM= WSB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/0907/M/M 8MMM= WGT SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 143/12/06/1310/M/M 1032 15MM= WGB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/11/07/0904/M/M 99MM= WEL SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/12/07/1603/M/M 01MM= WDR SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/0807/M/M M 9MMM= WZO SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1106/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0908/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 140/10/08/0904/M/1043 50MM=  068 ACUS48 KWNS 150855 SWOD48 SPC AC 150855 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 181200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... IT APPEARS THAT CENTRAL/EASTERN STATES UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED STABLE/DRY AIRMASS WILL KEEP DEEP CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL QUITE LOW OVER THE CONUS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LATEST ECMWF/GEFS GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO IMPLY THAT A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ROCKIES/PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME SEVERE THREAT COULD DEVELOP BY AROUND DAY 6/TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...BUT A WIDESPREAD SEVERE RISK IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED GIVEN EXPECTATIONS FOR MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. ..GUYER.. 10/15/2009  069 WUUS48 KWNS 150855 PTSD48 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 181200Z - 231200Z SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 4-8 ... ANY SEVERE ... &&  847 WHUS41 KBOX 150858 CFWBOX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 458 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO GALE CENTERS WILL AFFECT COASTAL SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN FRIDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... MAZ019-022>024-151700- /O.CAN.KBOX.CF.S.0004.091016T0900Z-091016T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.CF.A.0001.091016T1000Z-091016T1800Z/ EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA- 458 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WILL DEVELOP 10 TO 15 FOOT SEAS FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES AND A ONE TO 1.8 FOOT SURGE WOULD PROBABLY LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES...WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THIS WILL DEPEND ON HOW STRONG THE OFFSHORE WINDS AND SEAS ACTUALLY GET. RIGHT NOW...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS THE MOST PROBABLE OUTCOME. WHILE THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE CURRENT OUTLOOK IS FOR ANOTHER POTENTIAL NOREASTER SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT WITH LESS CERTAINTY ON TRACK AND INTENSITY. BEACH EROSION FROM MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON SUCCESSIVE TIDE CYCLES FROM FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. IF EITHER GALE CENTER WERE TO TRACK CLOSER OR BECOME STRONGER...A MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WOULD EMERGE FRIDAY OR SUNDAY. ANYONE WITH EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURE COASTAL CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS. && ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR. SCITUATE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 0.7 15/03 AM 1.0 -0.3 1 NONE 8.6 15/09 AM 8.8 -0.2 1 NONE 9.1 15/10 PM 9.0 0.1 2-4 NONE 11.3 16/10 AM 9.9 1.3 8-10 MINOR 10.5 16/11 PM 9.1 1.3 9-10 NONE 9.7 17/11 AM 9.6 0.1 8 NONE SANDWICH HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.2 14/09 PM 8.2 0.0 2 NONE 8.0 15/09 AM 8.0 0.0 1 NONE 8.5 15/10 PM 8.3 0.2 2-4 NONE 10.6 16/10 AM 9.1 1.5 6 NONE 9.8 16/11 PM 8.3 1.5 5-6 NONE 9.1 17/11 AM 8.8 0.3 4 NONE PROVINCETOWN HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 5.8 14/09 PM 6.3 -0.5 1 NONE 5.6 15/09 AM 6.1 -0.5 1 NONE 5.9 15/10 PM 6.4 -0.5 1-2 NONE 6.6 16/10 AM 7.1 -0.5 3-4 NONE 5.9 16/11 PM 6.4 -0.5 3 NONE 6.3 17/11 AM 6.8 -0.5 2 NONE CHATHAM - EAST COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.2 14/09 PM 4.3 -0.1 3 NONE 4.0 15/10 AM 4.2 -0.2 2 NONE 4.4 15/10 PM 4.3 0.1 2-5 NONE 5.8 16/10 AM 4.4 1.4 10-11 NONE 5.9 16/11 PM 4.4 1.5 11-13 NONE 4.8 17/11 AM 4.6 0.2 9-10 NONE CHATHAM - SOUTH COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.4 14/09 PM 4.4 0.0 1 NONE 4.3 15/09 AM 4.3 0.0 1 NONE 4.7 15/10 PM 4.5 0.2 2-3 NONE 6.2 16/10 AM 4.6 1.5 3 NONE 6.1 16/11 PM 4.5 1.4 2-3 NONE 5.0 17/11 AM 4.8 0.2 2 NONE BUZZARDS BAY - WOODS HOLE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 2.6 14/06 PM 2.6 0.0 1 NONE 2.6 15/07 AM 2.8 -0.2 1 NONE 2.6 15/07 PM 2.6 0.0 1-2 NONE 4.2 16/07 AM 3.0 1.2 4-5 NONE 3.7 17/08 PM 2.6 1.1 2 NONE 3.8 17/08 AM 3.1 0.7 2 NONE VINEYARD HAVEN TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.3 15/08 PM 3.4 -0.1 1 NONE 3.2 15/09 AM 3.4 -0.2 1 NONE 3.8 15/10 PM 3.4 0.4 2-3 NONE 5.3 16/10 AM 3.5 1.8 3 NONE 5.0 16/10 PM 3.3 1.8 2 NONE 4.1 17/10 AM 3.6 0.6 2 NONE NANTUCKET HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.5 14/09 PM 3.7 -0.2 1-2 NONE 3.4 15/10 AM 3.6 -0.2 1 NONE 4.0 15/10 PM 3.7 0.3 2-4 NONE 5.4 16/11 AM 3.8 1.6 5 NONE 5.2 16/11 PM 3.6 1.6 3-4 NONE 4.2 17/11 AM 3.9 0.3 2-3 NONE $$ MAZ007-015-016-020-021-RIZ002-004>008-151700- /O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0004.091016T0900Z-091016T2300Z/ EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- BLOCK ISLAND RI- 458 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WILL DEVELOP 10 AND 15 FOOT SEAS FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES AND A ONE TO 1.5 FOOT SURGE WOULD PROBABLY LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES. EVEN HIGH WATER IS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NARRAGANSETT BAY FRIDAY MORNING...DESPITE A NORTHEAST WIND. WHILE THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE CURRENT OUTLOOK IS FOR ANOTHER POTENTIAL NOREASTER SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT WITH LESS CERTAINTY ON TRACK AND INTENSITY. BEACH EROSION FROM MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON SUCCESSIVE TIDE CYCLES FROM FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. IF EITHER GALE CENTER WERE TO TRACK CLOSER OR BECOME STRONGER...A MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WOULD EMERGE FRIDAY OR SUNDAY. ANYONE WITH EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURE COASTAL CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS. && ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR. BOSTON HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 9.9 14/09 PM 10.0 -0.1 1 NONE 9.8 15/09 AM 9.9 -0.1 1 NONE 10.2 15/10 PM 10.1 0.1 1-2 NONE 12.4 16/10 AM 11.0 1.4 2 NONE 11.3 16/11 PM 10.2 1.1 1-2 NONE 11.0 17/11 AM 10.8 0.2 1 NONE NEWBURYPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.1 14/09 PM 8.1 0.0 1 NONE 7.9 15/09 AM 7.9 0.0 1 NONE 8.3 15/10 PM 8.3 0.0 1-3 NONE 9.3 16/10 AM 8.4 0.9 6 NONE 9.4 16/11 PM 8.3 1.1 6-7 NONE 8.9 17/11 AM 8.8 0.1 6 NONE GLOUCESTER HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.8 14/09 PM 8.9 -0.1 2 NONE 8.6 15/09 AM 8.8 -0.2 1 NONE 9.0 15/10 PM 9.0 0.0 1-4 NONE 10.8 16/10 AM 9.9 0.9 8-9 NONE 10.2 16/11 PM 9.1 1.1 9-10 NONE 9.7 17/11 AM 9.6 0.1 8-9 NONE POINT JUDITH TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.5 14/05 PM 3.5 0.0 1 NONE 3.7 15/06 AM 3.9 -0.2 1 NONE 3.7 15/06 PM 3.6 0.1 2-4 NONE 5.6 16/07 AM 4.2 1.4 6-7 NONE 5.0 16/07 PM 3.6 1.4 6-7 NONE 5.1 17/08 AM 4.3 0.8 4 NONE WESTERLY TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.2 14/06 PM 3.2 0.0 1 NONE 3.2 15/06 AM 3.4 -0.2 1 NONE 3.4 15/07 PM 3.2 0.2 2-3 NONE 5.1 16/07 AM 3.6 1.5 5 NONE 4.6 17/08 PM 3.2 1.4 4 NONE 4.7 17/08 AM 3.8 0.9 3 NONE NARRAGANSETT BAY - CONIMICUT POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 5.7 14/05 PM 5.6 0.1 1 NONE 5.9 15/06 AM 6.1 -0.2 1 NONE 5.7 15/06 PM 5.7 0.0 1 NONE 7.5 16/07 AM 6.4 1.1 1 MINOR 6.8 16/07 PM 5.8 1.0 1 NONE 7.4 17/08 AM 6.6 0.8 1 MINOR WESTPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.0 14/06 PM 4.0 0.0 1 NONE 4.1 15/06 AM 4.3 -0.2 1 NONE 4.0 15/06 PM 4.0 0.0 1-3 NONE 5.7 16/07 AM 4.6 1.1 6 NONE 5.3 16/07 PM 4.1 1.2 3-4 NONE 5.4 17/08 AM 4.7 0.7 2 NONE MATTAPOISETT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.5 14/06 PM 4.5 0.0 1 NONE 4.5 15/06 AM 4.7 -0.2 1 NONE 4.6 15/07 PM 4.6 0.0 1-2 NONE 6.5 16/07 AM 5.1 1.4 4 NONE 5.8 17/08 PM 4.6 1.2 2 NONE 6.0 17/08 AM 5.3 0.7 2 NONE ONSET TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.5 14/07 PM 4.5 0.0 1 NONE 4.5 15/07 AM 4.7 -0.2 1 NONE 4.6 16/08 PM 4.6 0.0 2 NONE 6.3 16/08 AM 5.1 1.2 3 NONE 5.6 17/08 PM 4.5 1.1 2 NONE 5.8 17/09 AM 5.2 0.6 3 NONE BLOCK ISLAND - OLD HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.0 14/05 PM 2.9 0.1 1 NONE 3.1 15/06 AM 3.2 -0.1 1-2 NONE 3.0 15/06 PM 2.9 0.1 3-5 NONE 4.9 16/07 AM 3.5 1.4 8-9 NONE 4.3 16/07 PM 2.9 1.4 8-9 NONE 4.4 17/08 AM 3.6 0.8 6 NONE NARRAGANSETT BAY - FOX POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 6.2 14/06 PM 6.2 0.1 1 NONE 6.3 15/06 AM 6.6 -0.2 1 NONE 6.2 15/06 PM 6.2 -0.1 1 NONE 8.1 16/07 AM 7.0 1.1 1 MODERATE 7.2 16/07 PM 6.3 0.9 1 MINOR 8.0 17/08 AM 7.2 0.8 1 MODERATE NEWPORT HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.2 14/06 PM 4.2 0.0 1 NONE 4.3 15/06 AM 4.5 -0.2 1 NONE 4.3 15/07 PM 4.2 0.1 1-2 NONE 6.0 16/07 AM 4.8 1.2 3 NONE 5.4 16/07 PM 4.2 1.2 2-3 NONE 5.6 17/08 AM 4.9 0.7 2 NONE $$  900 WSFR34 LFPW 150856 LFMM SIGMET 7 VALID 150900/151100 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E0530 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  453 WSFR34 LFPW 150856 LFMM SIGMET 7 VALID 150900/151100 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E0530 MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  628 WWPS21 NFFN 150900 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Oct 15/0900 UTC 2009 UTC. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.  378 WWPS21 NFFN 150900 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Oct 15/0900 UTC 2009 UTC. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.  728 WHUS41 KPHI 150900 CCA CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 459 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-152145- /O.COR.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T0900Z-091017T0300Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 459 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT AT THIS TIME BUT WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH OUT THE DAY AND BLOWING IN FROM THE OCEAN. THIS WILL ALLOW THE TIDES TO RISE TODAY...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT... RARITAN BAY...DELAWARE BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS. THIS MORNING'S HIGH TIDE WILL NOT POSE ANY PROBLEM BUT THE ONE THIS EVENING COULD BE THE FIRST TO BRING MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER TIDES AT EACH NEW HIGH TIDE PERIOD. FOR THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT AND RARITAN BAY...HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 530 PM AND 630 PM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES ON FRIDAY...MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT AND RARITAN BAY THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 615 AM AND 715 AM EDT... AND THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS ARE 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK...7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND 8.0 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY... BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING...AND WAVE ACTION MAY LEAD TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. THE MAJOR CONCERN IS NOT THAT THE STORM TODAY INTO FRIDAY OR THE ONE ON SUNDAY WILL BE STRONG, BUT THE TRACK OF THE TWO WOULD KEEP THE FETCH COMING TOWARD THE MAINLAND AND NOT ALLOW THE WATERS TO DRAIN UNTIL EARLY ON MONDAY. THAT WOULD BE ABOUT SEVEN HIGH TIDE CYCLES BEFORE THE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$ EBERWINE(COR TO OMIT EVENING FOLLOWING FRIDAY 5TH PARAGRAPH)  312 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (TWENTYTWO) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z --- NEAR 12.1N 142.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N 142.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 12.7N 138.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 13.3N 135.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 13.7N 134.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 14.2N 133.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 15.2N 132.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 16.0N 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 16.7N 126.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 150900Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 141.3E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 22W (TWENTYTWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS MULTIPLE BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO WRAP INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS VERY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AS SUCH, THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES (T2.5) AND RJTD (T1.5) DUE TO THE IMPROVED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND LOW LEVEL SIGNATURE (EVIDENT IN A 150400Z AMSRE MICROWAVE IMAGE). TS 22W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY TAU 48, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN FORWARD TRACK SPEED AND TAKE A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TEMPORARILY WEAKENS THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE. BY TAU 96, TS 22W SHOULD RESUME ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A REBUILT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AS TS 22W MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE PHILIPPINE SEA, SUFFICIENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO THE TUTT AND EXCELLENT OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES WILL ENABLE THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY INTO A STRONG TYPHOON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.//  849 WWUS54 KSHV 150901 SVSSHV SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 401 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 OKC089-TXC387-150930- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091015T0930Z/ MCCURTAIN OK-RED RIVER TX- 401 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR RED RIVER AND MCCURTAIN COUNTIES... AT 400 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO TRACK A SEVERE STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF BRYARLY...OR 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLARKSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO HARRIS...HAWORTH...BOKHOMA...GOODLAKE AND MOON PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. && LAT...LON 3384 9502 3390 9488 3383 9455 3369 9465 3370 9474 3356 9475 TIME...MOT...LOC 0900Z 298DEG 29KT 3383 9488 $$ 22  206 WSPS21 NZKL 150902 NZZO SIGMET 7 VALID 150902/151001 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 6 150601/151001  635 WHUS71 KBOX 150904 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 504 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ232>235-237-254>256-151715- /O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.091016T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ231-151715- /O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ CAPE COD BAY- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ250-251-151715- /O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0026.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ236-151715- /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ NARRAGANSETT BAY- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH AT THE BAY ENTRANCE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ230-151715- /O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0098.091016T0000Z-091017T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 30 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH AT THE HARBOR ENTRANCE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  987 WWUS43 KBIS 150907 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 407 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... .PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF NORTH DAKOTA. SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH OF SNOW. HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREAS OF NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY EARLY ON. MOST ROADS WERE REPORTED TO BE SNOW AND ICE COVERED...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 83. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WILL ADD TO ADVERSE TRAVEL CONDITIONS THERE. ROAD CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AS DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RISE TO ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS. NDZ001-009-017-035>037-046>048-050-051-151015- /O.CAN.KBIS.WW.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN- LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY... BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...LINTON...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY... ASHLEY...OAKES 407 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. HOWEVER...ROAD CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING IN SOME AREAS. $$ NDZ002>005-010>013-021>023-025-151700- /O.EXT.KBIS.WW.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091015T1700Z/ BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE- MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA... NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER...RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY... HARVEY...CARRINGTON 407 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY. EXPECT ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM A DUSTING...UP TO 1 INCH. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NH  307 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 14 VALID 150908/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 12 150604/151004  308 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 16 VALID 150908/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM WKN  309 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 15 VALID 150908/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 N OF NZNP/NZNR S OF NZHN WKN  310 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 13 VALID 150908/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 11 150604/151004  509 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 16 VALID 150908/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM WKN  510 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 14 VALID 150908/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 12 150604/151004  511 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 13 VALID 150908/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 11 150604/151004  512 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 15 VALID 150908/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 N OF NZNP/NZNR S OF NZHN WKN  419 WHUS41 KAKQ 150909 CFWAKQ COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 509 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-151715- /O.CON.KAKQ.CF.A.0002.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- 509 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST THURSDAY NIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW LATE THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND THUS BUILDING WAVES WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT BETWEEN OCEAN CITY AND CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT...WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. AT OCEAN CITY INLET...HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AT 624 AM EDT...WITH THE ANTICIPATED HEIGHT AROUND 5.5 FEET MLLW. MODERATE FLOODING AT OCEAN CITY INLET BEGINS AT 5 FT. THE EXPECTED HIGH TIDE FRIDAY EVENING AT OCEAN CITY INLET IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSER TO 5.25 FEET MLLW. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$ ESS  606 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 14 VALID 150908/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 12 150604/151004=  607 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 15 VALID 150908/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST FL100/180 N OF NZNP/NZNR S OF NZHN WKN=  608 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 13 VALID 150908/151004 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 11 150604/151004=  803 WSNZ21 NZKL 150908 NZZC SIGMET 16 VALID 150908/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST FL240/350 N OF NZHK/NZCH S OF NZPM WKN=  602 WSCI37 ZLXY 150902 ZLHW SIGMET 2 VALID 150930/151330 ZLXY- XIAN CTA MOD TO SEV TURB S OF N40 FCST ABV SFC MOV E SLOWLY NC=  965 WHUS76 KMFR 150913 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 213 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ350-356-370-376-152215- /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SI.Y.0099.091015T1800Z-091017T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 213 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM PDT FRIDAY. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT SATURDAY. SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL EASE TO 15 TO 20 KT FRIDAY NIGHT. HAZARDOUS SEAS OF 13 TO 15 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 10 SECONDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH TODAY. BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE WATERS AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  230 WOAU06 APRF 150913 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0913UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0600UTC Vigorous W/NW flow south of 36S. Cold front near 41S080E 43S084E by 151200UTC forecast to be near 41S087E 45S098E 47S101E by 160000UTC and near 39S092E 42S098E 45S105E 49S113E by 161200UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line 48S080E 46S091E 50S099E, moving to south of a line 37S080E 39S086E 42S092E within 350nm east of front by 151200UTC and south of a line 39S091E 45S108E within 350nm east of front by 160000UTC and south of a line 41S101E 44S110E 48S120E by 161200UTC. FORECAST W/NW winds 25/35 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  424 WOAU06 APRF 150913 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 0913UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0600UTC Vigorous W/NW flow south of 36S. Cold front near 41S080E 43S084E by 151200UTC forecast to be near 41S087E 45S098E 47S101E by 160000UTC and near 39S092E 42S098E 45S105E 49S113E by 161200UTC. AREA AFFECTED South of a line 48S080E 46S091E 50S099E, moving to south of a line 37S080E 39S086E 42S092E within 350nm east of front by 151200UTC and south of a line 39S091E 45S108E within 350nm east of front by 160000UTC and south of a line 41S101E 44S110E 48S120E by 161200UTC. FORECAST W/NW winds 25/35 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  423 WWUS74 KSJT 150918 NPWSJT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 418 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT THE BIG COUNTRY THROUGH MID MORNING... .A DISTINCT...BUT SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BIG COUNTRY THIS MORNING. ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...COOL AND SATURATED AIR IS RESULTING THE THE DEVELOPMENT OF DENSE FOG. THIS DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT MUCH THE BIG COUNTRY THROUGH AROUND 9 AM WHEN DRIER AIR WILL BE ABLE TO MOVE IN AND CLEAR THE FOG OUT. TXZ098-099-151400- /O.EXP.KSJT.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-091015T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KSJT.FG.Y.0004.091015T0918Z-091015T1400Z/ HASKELL-THROCKMORTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON 418 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO BELOW A QUARTER MILE IN SPOTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY MID MORNING AS DRY AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION THIS MORNING. && $$ TXZ049-054-113-114-127-128-151400- /O.NEW.KSJT.FG.Y.0004.091015T0918Z-091015T1400Z/ FISHER-NOLAN-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...STAMFORD... ANSON...HAMLIN...ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS 418 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO BELOW A QUARTER MILE ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY MID MORNING AS DRY AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION THIS MORNING. && $$  485 WSDL31 EDZM 150920 EDMM SIGMET 3 VALID 150930/151130 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  503 WSDL31 EDZM 150920 EDMM SIGMET 3 VALID 150930/151130 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  539 WWUS84 KLZK 150922 SPSLZK SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 422 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ052-053-150950- CLARK-PIKE- 422 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CLARK AND PIKE COUNTIES UNTIL 450 AM CDT... AT 422 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MURFREESBORO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. $$ 61  897 WSDL31 EDZM 150923 EDMM SIGMET 4 VALID 150935/151135 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  181 WSDL31 EDZM 150923 EDMM SIGMET 4 VALID 150935/151135 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  258 WSDL31 EDZM 150923 EDMM SIGMET 4 VALID 150935/151135 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  539 WSDL31 EDZM 150923 EDMM SIGMET 4 VALID 150935/151135 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  540 WSDL31 EDZM 150920 EDMM SIGMET 3 VALID 150930/151130 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  583 WSDL31 EDZM 150920 EDMM SIGMET 3 VALID 150930/151130 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL080 MOV SW NC =  584 WSDL31 EDZM 150923 EDMM SIGMET 4 VALID 150935/151135 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N5030 AND E OF E012 BLW FL050 MOV SW NC =  963 WFUS54 KSHV 150929 TORSHV OKC089-TXC037-387-151015- /O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0064.091015T0929Z-091015T1015Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 429 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN BOWIE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS... EAST CENTRAL RED RIVER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 515 AM CDT * AT 428 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR HARRIS...OR 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLARKSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GOODLAKE...TOM...BEAVERDAMS AND ALMONT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. && LAT...LON 3367 9448 3364 9448 3347 9469 3377 9489 3386 9473 TIME...MOT...LOC 0928Z 319DEG 13KT 3376 9475 $$ 22  441 WHUS46 KLOX 150934 CFWLOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 234 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE CENTRAL COAST... ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF THROUGH THURSDAY FOR WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES... .STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TUESDAYS STORM IS CONTINUING TO BRING INCREASED WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. LARGER SWELL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY...THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. CAZ034-035-151745- /O.CON.KLOX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- 234 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. BREAKERS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 12 FEET WILL AFFECT THE CENTRAL COAST BEACHES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE HIGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. && $$ CAZ040-041-151745- /O.CON.KLOX.CF.S.0011.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ VENTURA COUNTY COAST- LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- 234 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF FOR WEST FACING BEACHES THROUGH 6 PM PDT THURSDAY... BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 7 FEET WILL AFFECT WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHEST SETS EXPECTED NEAR VENTURA HARBOR. THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. $$ MEIER/KAPLAN  051 WTPQ20 RJTD 150900 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 150900UTC 12.1N 141.0E POOR MOVE W 24KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 160900UTC 14.4N 135.3E 120NM 70% MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT =  907 WHUS76 KSEW 150941 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 241 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-151745- /O.UPG.KSEW.SW.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-091015T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KSEW.GL.W.0049.091015T0941Z-091016T1600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 241 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ130-151745- /O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0365.091015T1000Z-091016T1600Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 241 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ110-151745- /O.EXT.KSEW.RB.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 241 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$  342 WSRS32 RUAA 150900 UUYY SIGMET 3 VALID 151100/151500 UUYY- UUYY SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 MOV E 30KMH NC=  554 WSRS32 RUAA 150900 UUYY SIGMET 3 VALID 151100/151500 UUYY- UUYY SYKTYVKAR FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 MOV E 30KMH NC=  484 WAHW31 PHFO 150945 WA0HI HNLS WA 151000 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 151600 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 151000 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 151600 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 151000 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 1 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 151600 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. FZLVL...155-160.  520 WHUS76 KMTR 150945 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 245 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...LARGE STEEP SEAS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAN FRANCISCO BAR TODAY... PZZ545-151745- /O.NEW.KMTR.RB.Y.0030.091015T0945Z-091016T0500Z/ POINT REYES TO PIGEON POINT TO 10 NM- 245 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN FRANCISCO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING. LARGE STEEP SEAS BETWEEN 10 TO 12 FEET AT 12 SECONDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAN FRANCISCO BAR THROUGH THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 7 TO 9 FEET AT 12 SECONDS BY THE EVENING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO MARINERS. && $$ THIS PRODUCT DOES NOT INCLUDE INFORMATION ON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS. SEE PRODUCTS SUCH AS SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS...MARINE WEATHER STATEMENTS...WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATIONS AND THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.  957 WABZ21 SBRE 150945 SBRE AIRMET 1 VALID 150945/151145 SBRE- RECIFE FIR SFC VIS 3000M -RA BR AND BKN CLD 0600/1100FT OBS AT 0940 I N AD SBPS AREA STNR NC=  306 WSUS32 KKCI 150955 SIGC MKCC WST 150955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 8C VALID UNTIL 1155Z AR TX OK FROM 30NW MLC-30SSW FSM-40N ELD-50W TXK-30NW MLC AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151155-151555 FROM 50SW STL-40ENE PXV-50SW MGM-EIC-50ENE TTT-OKC-40ESE RZC-50SW STL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  307 WSUS31 KKCI 150955 SIGE MKCE WST 150955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 6E VALID UNTIL 1155Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 80ENE PBI-50E MIA LINE TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 151155-151555 AREA 1...FROM 50S SBY-150SE SIE-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-MIA-CRG-50S SBY WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40ENE PXV-VXV-40SW MGM-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 40SSW CEW-50SE CEW-40SE CTY-30WNW RSW-70SW SRQ-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-40SSW CEW WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  334 WSUS33 KKCI 150955 SIGW MKCW WST 150955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151155-151555 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  697 WSAU21 ASRF 150950 YBBB SIGMET SY05 VALID 151000/151400 YSRF- YBBB BRISBANE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY03 150600/151000  834 WWUS54 KSHV 150950 SVSSHV SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 450 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 TXC387-151000- /O.CAN.KSHV.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091015T1015Z/ RED RIVER TX- 450 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR RED RIVER COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY. LAT...LON 3372 9475 3378 9462 3367 9448 3364 9448 3350 9466 TIME...MOT...LOC 0950Z 319DEG 13KT 3370 9469 $$ OKC089-TXC037-151015- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091015T1015Z/ MCCURTAIN OK-BOWIE TX- 450 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM CDT FOR BOWIE AND MCCURTAIN COUNTIES... AT 449 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO TRACK A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GOODLAKE...OR 17 MILES WEST OF FOREMAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO TOM... BEAVERDAMS AND ALMONT PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. && LAT...LON 3372 9475 3378 9462 3367 9448 3364 9448 3350 9466 TIME...MOT...LOC 0950Z 319DEG 13KT 3370 9469 $$ 22  011 WSAU21 ASRF 150950 YMMM SIGMET SY06 VALID 151000/151400 YSRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY04 150600/151000  918 WWUS84 KSHV 150952 SPSSHV SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 452 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ060-061-151030- HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA- 452 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 AM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... NEVADA AND HEMPSTEAD... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... BLEVINS...EMMET...PERRYTOWN AND PRESCOTT... AT 451 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF BLEVINS...OR 8 MILES EAST OF NASHVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. $$ 13  784 WTPQ31 PGUM 150954 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 22W ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP222009 800 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... ...NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT... AT 700 PM CHST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 22W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 195 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULITHI 285 MILES NORTHEAST OF YAP 580 MILES NORTHEAST OF KOROR 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM 295 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA 350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 360 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 700 PM CHST POSITION...LATITUDE 12.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 AM CHST FRIDAY MORNING. $$ CHAN  661 WVCA31 TTPP 151000 TTZP SIGMET 2 VALID: 151000/151600 TTPP- SOUFRIERE HILLS MONTSERRAT N1642W06210 PIARCO FIR OBS VA CLD SFC/FL090 20NM WID LN BTWN N1643W06252 N1643W06211 MOV W 5/10KT=  674 WHUS76 KEKA 150957 MWWEKA URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 257 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ470-151800- /O.CAN.KEKA.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KEKA.SW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO 10 TO 60 NM- 257 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EUREKA HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ PZZ450-151100- /O.CAN.KEKA.SW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO OUT 10 NM- 257 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EUREKA HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. $$ PZZ455-151100- /O.CAN.KEKA.SW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-091015T2000Z/ CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA OUT 10 NM- 257 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EUREKA HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. $$ PZZ475-151800- /O.CON.KEKA.SW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA 10 TO 60 NM- 257 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  256 WSMP31 LMMM 150956 LMMM SIGMET 2 VALID 151000/151400 LMML- MALTA FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST E MALTA FIR TOP FL390 MOV E NC  847 WSMP31 LMMM 150956 LMMM SIGMET 2 VALID 151000/151400 LMML- MALTA FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST E MALTA FIR TOP FL390 MOV E NC  389 WHUS76 KLOX 150958 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 258 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ670-673-676-151800- /O.EXT.KLOX.SW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ WATERS FROM PT. PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO PT. ARGUELLO AND WESTWARD 60 NM- WATERS FROM PT. ARGUELLO TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS ISLAND- 258 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. A WEST SWELL OF 11 TO 13 FEET WITH AN 11 SECOND PERIOD WILL PERSIS THROUGH THE DAY...THEN LOWER TO BELOW 10 FEET LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ MEIER  963 WSIN90 VIDP 151000 VIDF SIGMET 04 VALID 151000/151400 VIDF-DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  648 WSUS31 KKCI 151001 SIGE MKCE WST 151001 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 7E VALID UNTIL 1155Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 110E CRG-210ENE OMN-130E OMN-50ENE OMN-110E CRG AREA TS MOV FROM 29020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. ...SPECIAL... CONVECTIVE SIGMET 6E VALID UNTIL 1155Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 80ENE PBI-50E MIA LINE TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 151155-151555 AREA 1...FROM 50S SBY-150SE SIE-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-MIA-CRG-50S SBY WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40ENE PXV-VXV-40SW MGM-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 3...FROM 40SSW CEW-50SE CEW-40SE CTY-30WNW RSW-70SW SRQ-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-40SSW CEW WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  404 WGUS82 KFFC 151005 FLSFFC FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 605 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA... COOSA RIVER NEAR PLANT HAMMOND AFFECTING FLOYD COUNTY OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES... MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD AFFECTING CLARKE...GREENE AND OCONEE COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF OCONEE AFFECTING WASHINGTON AND WILKINSON COUNTIES .RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND RIVERS...CAUSING RIVERS TO RISE. SOME POINTS ALONG THE RIVER SYSTEM WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN. && GAC059-133-219-160005- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-091018T0936Z/ /PNFG1.2.ER.091012T1900Z.091015T0715Z.091018T0336Z.NO/ 605 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD * UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * AT 5AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET...AND SLOWLY FALLING. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. WARD ROAD FLOODS AND CUTS OFF ACCESS TO L.C. CURTIS AND SON SAND AND GRAVEL COMPANY. IRRIGATION SYSTEMS ALSO BEGIN TO FLOOD AND NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND. $$ GAC303-319-160004- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OCOG1.1.ER.091014T1145Z.091014T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 605 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE 9NW * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 5AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET...AND SLOWLY FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. $$ GAC115-160004- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HMMG1.1.ER.091013T0244Z.091013T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 605 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE COOSA RIVER NEAR PLANT HAMMOND * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 571.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 570.0 FEET. $$ GAC021-153-169-207-289-160004- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-091017T0000Z/ /MACG1.1.ER.091014T0650Z.091015T0030Z.091016T1800Z.NO/ 605 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 5AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET...AND FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS. AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF THE MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL FLOODS NORTH OF THE FIFTH STREET BRIDGE. BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW UPSTREAM FROM THE FIFTH STREET BRIDGE. $$  382 WSCN34 CWUL 151007 SIGMET A7 VALID 151005/151405 CWUL- WTN 40 NM OF LN /5239N04943W/250 NE FOGO - /5036N05255W/75 NE FOGO - /5450N05141W/215 NE MARYS HARBOUR. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 40 AGL ASOCTD WITH 80KT LLJ. AREA MOVG NE 30KT. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/JC/MF  428 WUUS54 KSHV 151008 SVRSHV ARC057-099-151045- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0348.091015T1008Z-091015T1045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 508 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... NORTHERN NEVADA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PRESCOTT... * UNTIL 545 AM CDT * AT 508 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BLEVINS...OR 8 MILES WEST OF PRESCOTT...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PERRYTOWN...EMMET AND BLUFF CITY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. && LAT...LON 3397 9361 3397 9353 3395 9351 3397 9349 3395 9334 3390 9329 3385 9328 3382 9318 3382 9313 3378 9309 3359 9310 3374 9374 3399 9364 TIME...MOT...LOC 1008Z 282DEG 31KT 3384 9352 $$ 22  864 WSCN02 CWUL 151009 CZQX SIGMET U4 VALID 151010/151410 CWUL- GANDER OCEANIC FIR. WTN 40 NM OF LN 5230N04930W - 5100N05230W - 5800N05000W - 5730N04000W - 5000N04030W. SEVERE MECHANICAL TURBULENCE FORECAST BELOW 040. AREA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD 30 KNOTS. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. END/GANDER OCEANIC/CMAC-E/JC/MF  989 WWUS54 KSHV 151014 SVSSHV SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 514 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 OKC089-TXC037-151024- /O.EXP.KSHV.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091015T1015Z/ MCCURTAIN OK-BOWIE TX- 514 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR BOWIE AND MCCURTAIN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 515 AM CDT... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. LAT...LON 3372 9475 3378 9462 3367 9448 3364 9448 3350 9466 TIME...MOT...LOC 1014Z 319DEG 13KT 3363 9463 $$ 22  982 WHUS76 KPQR 151015 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 315 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ270-275-151815- /O.NEW.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.091015T1015Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.EXT.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0300Z-091016T1800Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 315 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...RISING TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY BEFORE FALLING BELOW 10 FT LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ250-151815- /O.EXT.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.091015T1500Z-091016T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM- 315 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT WILL DEVELOP MID MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL THEN DROP BELOW 10 FEET FOR THE AFTERNOON...THEN BUILD BACK ABOVE 10 FT TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ255-151815- /O.EXT.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.091015T1800Z-091017T0600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- 315 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...EXCEPT GUSTS TO 30 KT ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ PZZ210-151815- /O.EXT.KPQR.RB.Y.0358.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 315 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY... IN THE MAIN CHANNEL...COMBINED SEAS 9 TO 10 FT TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SEAS TEMPORARILY BUILDING TO 13 FT WITH BREAKERS DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 245 AM THIS MORNING...TO 14 FT WITH BREAKERS DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON... AND TO 14 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 345 AM FRI MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND  745 WWUS76 KLOX 151028 NPWLOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 328 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 CAZ034>036-151600- /O.NEW.KLOX.FG.Y.0010.091015T1028Z-091015T1600Z/ SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAN LUIS OBISPO...PISMO BEACH... MORRO BAY...CAMBRIA...SAN SIMEON...SANTA MARIA...LOMPOC... VANDENBERG...SANTA YNEZ...SOLVANG 328 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT THE CENTRAL COAST THROUGH MID MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. IMPACTED ROADS INCLUDE HIGHWAYS 1...101...154...AND 246. AT 315 AM THE AIRFIELDS AT VANDENBERG AFB...SANTA MARINA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO WERE ALL REPORTING VISIBILITES OF A QUARTER MILE OR LESS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITY WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. FOG CAN ALSO MAKE ROAD SURFACES SLICK SO AVOID USING EXCESSIVE SPEED. && $$ ASR/JM  426 WSBW20 VGZR 151100 VGFR SIGMET 04 VALID 151200/151600 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  292 WSBW20 VGZR 151100 VGFR SIGMET 04 VALID 151200/151600 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  022 WUUS54 KSHV 151031 SVRSHV ARC081-133-OKC089-151115- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0349.091015T1031Z-091015T1115Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 531 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... NORTHWESTERN LITTLE RIVER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... SOUTHERN SEVIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...HORATIO...DE QUEEN... * UNTIL 615 AM CDT * AT 527 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES WEST OF HORATIO...OR NEAR EAGLETOWN OKLAHOMA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ARKINDA...WINTHROP...LOCKESBURG AND ALLEENE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. && LAT...LON 3399 9407 3368 9430 3391 9475 3413 9444 TIME...MOT...LOC 1028Z 301DEG 22KT 3400 9461 $$ 06  579 WABZ22 SBBS 151030 SBBS AIRMET 1 VALID 151020/151210 SBBS - BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 1500M BR AND OVC CLD 0200FT OBS AT 1020Z AT SBS P STNR NC=  431 WSNT10 KKCI 151045 SIGA0J KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 2 VALID 151045/151445 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1045Z WI N3530 W04600 - N3430 W04315 - N2830 W04730 - N2915 W04945 - N3530 W04600. TOP FL450. MOV ESE 25KT. NC.  981 WWUS54 KSHV 151034 SVSSHV SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 534 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC057-151044- /O.CAN.KSHV.SV.W.0348.000000T0000Z-091015T1045Z/ HEMPSTEAD AR- 534 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY. LAT...LON 3369 9345 3392 9332 3385 9328 3382 9318 3382 9313 3378 9309 3359 9310 TIME...MOT...LOC 1034Z 282DEG 31KT 3377 9326 $$ ARC099-151045- /O.CON.KSHV.SV.W.0348.000000T0000Z-091015T1045Z/ NEVADA AR- 534 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM CDT FOR NEVADA COUNTY... AT 533 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL... AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOUGHTON...OR 7 MILES EAST OF PRESCOTT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MORRIS...READER AND BLUFF CITY LAT...LON 3369 9345 3392 9332 3385 9328 3382 9318 3382 9313 3378 9309 3359 9310 TIME...MOT...LOC 1034Z 282DEG 31KT 3377 9326 $$ 22  507 WSNT10 KKCI 151045 KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 2 VALID 151045/151445 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1045Z WI N3530 W04600 - N3430 W04315 - N2830 W04730 - N2915 W04945 - N3530 W04600. TOP FL450. MOV ESE 25KT. NC.  107 WSNT11 KKCI 151100 SIGA0K KZNY KZMA SIGMET KILO 1 VALID 151100/151500 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR MIAMI OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1100Z WI N2945 W07115 - N2830 W06930 - N2730 W07530 - N2815 W07615 - N2945 W07115. TOP FL450. MOV E 25KT. INTSF.  632 WGUS84 KSHV 151036 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 536 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 TXC067-315-161036- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /JEFT2.2.ER.091007T0655Z.091017T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 536 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK CYPRESS BAYOU AT JEFFERSON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 5:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING. $$ 10  953 WSRA31 RUKR 151037 UNKL SIGMET 1 VALID 151100/151500 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH INTSF=  964 WSRA31 RUKR 151037 UNKL SIGMET 1 VALID 151100/151500 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH INTSF=  228 WSRA31 RUKR 151037 UNKL SIGMET 1 VALID 151100/151500 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH INTSF=  729 ACUS11 KWNS 151040 SWOMCD SPC MCD 151039 MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-151315- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2110 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0539 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SWRN AR...EXTREME NE TX...NRN LA...EXTREME W-CENTRAL MS. CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 151039Z - 151315Z CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SVR THREAT IN CORRIDOR EXTENDING SEWD FROM PRESENT/LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER ARKLATEX REGION. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO GROW UPSCALE AND EVOLVE INTO MORE CONCENTRATED MCS...INCREASING DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS IT MOVES SEWD. MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE AVAILABLE/EFFECTIVE INFLOW LAYER WILL REMAIN CHARACTERIZED BY VERY MOIST/HIGH-THETAE CONDITIONS WITH RESULTANT BOOST IN AVAILABLE BUOYANCY IN SYSTEM RELATIVE SENSE. SFC DEW POINTS GENERALLY LOW-MID 70S F IN FOREGOING AIR MASS WILL OFFSET WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT 1000-200 J/KG MLCAPE THROUGH ABOUT 13-14Z...INCREASING THEREAFTER WITH DIURNAL HEATING. MEANWHILE...MLCINH IS ALREADY WEAK AND SHOULD NOT CHANGE APPRECIABLY FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS...GIVEN CONSTRAINTS IMPOSED BY MOISTURE ON DIABATIC COOLING. OFFSETTING FACTORS WILL INCLUDE LITTLE OR NO APPRECIABLE EVAPORATE COOLING EFFECTS ON STORM-SCALE TO ACCELERATE DOWNDRAFTS GENERATED ALOFT...AND LACK OF STRONGER FLOW JUST ABOVE SFC FOR SUSTAINED/BROAD ZONE OF DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER. DAMAGING WIND THREAT THEREFORE IS TIED MORE TO SMALLER SCALE BOW/LEWP PROCESSES AND RELATED/LOCALIZED OUTFLOW SURGES. MCS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY PARALLEL TO AND INVOF DIFFUSE/QUASISTATIONARY SFC FRONTAL ZONE. ALTHOUGH SFC WINDS WILL REMAIN WEAK...EFFECTIVE SHEAR 40-50 KT WILL AIR POTENTIAL STORM ORGANIZATION. TAIL END OF MCS...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY PROPAGATIONAL/BACKBUILDING COMPONENT OF MOVEMENT...WILL REMAIN ON NERN EDGE OF FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH STRUCTURES. THEREFORE...WHILE ADDITIONAL SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE AND TORNADO RISK IS NON-ZERO...MAIN CONCERN WILL BE EPISODIC STG-SVR GUSTS. ..EDWARDS.. 10/15/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV... LAT...LON 33859445 33909272 33549172 32899085 32149070 31589192 32119352 33209440 33859445  274 WSUS32 KKCI 151055 SIGC MKCC WST 151055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 9C VALID UNTIL 1255Z AR TX OK FROM 20ESE MLC-40SW LIT-20NW ELD-40W TXK-20ESE MLC AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151255-151655 FROM 40ENE PXV-50SSW CEW-30WSW LEV-LFK-50NW MLC-30SE ARG-60E FAM-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  275 WSUS31 KKCI 151055 SIGE MKCE WST 151055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 8E VALID UNTIL 1255Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 130ENE PBI-60E MIA-20SE MIA LINE TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 29015KT. TOPS TO FL440. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 9E VALID UNTIL 1255Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 160ENE OMN-150E OMN-50ENE OMN-160ENE OMN AREA TS MOV FROM 28025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 151255-151655 AREA 1...FROM SBY-160ESE SIE-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-90SE MIA-MIA-CRG-SBY WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40ENE PXV-40NE ODF-30WNW LGC-TLH-CRG-30NW VRB-RSW-70SW SRQ-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  276 WSUS33 KKCI 151055 SIGW MKCW WST 151055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151255-151655 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  937 WWUS84 KLZK 151048 SPSLZK SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 548 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ066-151135- OUACHITA- 548 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR OUACHITA COUNTY UNTIL 635 AM CDT... AT 549 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BLUFF CITY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. AREAS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE WHITE OAK LAKE AND CAMDEN. FREQUENT...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. $$ 57  286 WGUS64 KSHV 151055 FFASHV URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 555 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ060-061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ097-112-126-138- 151>153-165>167-151830- /O.NEW.KSHV.FF.A.0016.091015T1055Z-091016T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER- WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE- JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL- LA SALLE-BOWIE-CASS-MARION-HARRISON-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY- ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOPE...PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA... LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...EL DORADO...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY... MINDEN...HOMER...RUSTON...FARMERVILLE...MANSFIELD...COUSHATTA... BIENVILLE...JONESBORO...MONROE...MANY...NATCHITOCHES... WINNFIELD...COLFAX...COLUMBIA...JENA...ATLANTA...JEFFERSON... MARSHALL...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN... SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL 555 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS... COLUMBIA...HEMPSTEAD...LAFAYETTE...MILLER...NEVADA AND UNION AR. IN LOUISIANA...BIENVILLE...BOSSIER...CADDO...CALDWELL... CLAIBORNE...DE SOTO...GRANT...JACKSON...LA SALLE...LINCOLN... NATCHITOCHES...OUACHITA...RED RIVER...SABINE LA...UNION LA... WEBSTER AND WINN. IN TEXAS...ANGELINA...BOWIE...CASS... HARRISON...MARION...NACOGDOCHES...PANOLA...SABINE TX...SAN AUGUSTINE AND SHELBY. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH TEXAS HAS A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM REACHING EAST ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND THEN INTO NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THIS PLACES THE REGION IN AN AREA RICH WITH GULF MOISTURE AND RIPE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE RAINS WILL BE FALLING OVER AN AREA THAT HAS HAD RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND NEARLY SATURATED SOILS. AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH THE DAY WILL RESULT IN RAPID WATER RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. * MANY LAKES...RIVERS...AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY IN FLOOD AND THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ADDITIONAL HIGH WATER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 06  470 WGZS80 NSTU 151107 FLSPPG FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 1200 AM SST THU OCT 15 2009 ASZ001-002-151700- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 1200 AM SST THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN PAGO PAGO CONTINUE... *A SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE ISLANDS OF TUTUILA, AUNUU AND MANU'A UNTIL 600 AM THURSDAY. *SATELLITE SHOWS AN INTENSE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ISLANDS AND IS PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS HEAVY AT TIMES AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. *THE HEAVY SHOWERS AND RUNOFFS WILL CAUSE OVERFLOW OF STREAMS AND FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. MUD AND LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE AS GROUNDS BECOME SATURATED...ESPECIALLY ALONG MOUNTAIN AREAS. CONSIDERABLE CAUTION IS ADVISED WHILE DRIVING AND PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS 1200 VAVEAO ASO TOFI OKETOPA 15 2009 O LOO FA'AAUAU PEA FAUTUAGA MO LOLOGA MA TAFEGA MO VAITAFE I NOFOAGA MAUALALALO MO TUTUILA...AUNUU MA MANUA E OO ATU I LE 600 I LE TAEAO ASO TOFI. O LO'O VA'AIA I SATELITE I UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA MA UA MAFUA AI NEI TIMUGA E MAMAFA I TAIMI MA NI FAITITILI E ONO PA PA AI. O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA O LE A LOLOVAIA AI VAITAFE FA'APEA NOFOAGA MAUALALALO. E ONO TUTUPU FO'I SOLOGA I NOFOAGA TULATA I MAUGA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'AETEETE I TAIMI O FEMALAGA'IGA I LUGA O ALATELE ONA O LE MAMAFA O TIMUGA MA LOLOGA. E AO FOI ONA TAPENAPENA LELEI MA NOFO SAUNI AUA LE PUIPUIA O LE SOIFUA MA MEA TOTINO. RL/SP  226 WABZ22 SBBS 151107 SBBS AIRMET 2 VALID 151110/151310 SBBS - BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 1500M RA OBS AT 1100Z AT SBJD STNR NC=  314 WABZ22 SBBS 151108 SBBS AIRMET 3 VALID 151110/151310 SBBS - BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 3000M BR OBS AT 1100Z AT SBKP STNR NC=  315 WSFR34 LFPW 151107 LFMM SIGMET 8 VALID 151100/151400 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E0530 ON MAR/COT MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  480 WSFR34 LFPW 151107 LFMM SIGMET 8 VALID 151100/151400 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E0530 ON MAR/COT MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  800 WUUS54 KSHV 151114 SVRSHV ARC081-TXC037-151200- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0350.091015T1114Z-091015T1200Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 614 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL BOWIE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS... EASTERN LITTLE RIVER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ASHDOWN... * UNTIL 700 AM CDT * AT 613 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10240 MILES WEST OF ALLEENE...OR 10152 MILES WEST OF ALTHEIMER... AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WILTON...RICHMOND AND OGDEN... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. && LAT...LON 3379 9418 3380 9412 3377 9404 3375 9403 3375 9396 3373 9396 3373 9394 3368 9396 3365 9389 3354 9398 3357 9400 3355 9404 3345 9405 3368 9436 3382 9425 3381 9423 3382 9418 TIME...MOT...LOC 1114Z 313DEG 23KT -2147483648 -2147483648 $$ 22  522 WGUS84 KSHV 151117 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 617 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC061-073-111-161117- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LDBL1.2.ER.091013T0300Z.091015T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 617 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU D'ARBONNE AT LAKE D'ARBONNE IN FARMERVILLE LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 200 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 84.9 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 83.0 FEET. * FORECAST...EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ON LAKE D'ARBONNE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LAKE CONTINUES TO CREST NEAR 84.9 FEET. $$  790 WSCN35 CWEG 151117 SIGMET W3 VALID 151115/151515 CWEG- WTN 20 NM OF LN /7010N13829W/50 NE KOMAKUK - /6950N12907W/NICHOLSON POINT. SEV CLR ICG IN FZRA FCST BLO 015. AREA QS. AREA BECMG LCL BY 14Z. END/GFA35/AM/CMAC-W  932 WGUS84 KSHV 151123 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 623 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC013-015-161123- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SLGL1.2.ER.091013T2351Z.091015T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 623 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED CHUTE BAYOU AT SLIGO LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 500 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.2 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 31 FEET. * FORECAST...RED CHUTE BAYOU HAS CRESTED AT SLIGO LOUISIANA AT 34.2 FEET. EXPECT RED CHUTE BAYOU TO RECEDE SOME THREE TO SIX INCHES PER DAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. $$  820 WSDL31 EDZM 151125 EDMM SIGMET 5 VALID 151130/151530 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N49 AND E OF E011 BLW FL130 MOV S NC =  072 WUUS54 KLZK 151124 SVRLZK ARC103-151200- /O.NEW.KLZK.SV.W.0531.091015T1124Z-091015T1200Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 624 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN OUACHITA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS * UNTIL 700 AM CDT * AT 624 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR STEPHENS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... LOUANN AROUND 700 AM CDT... REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK. LAT...LON 3337 9267 3336 9269 3339 9274 3337 9280 3338 9309 3339 9312 3358 9312 3360 9310 3338 9260 3337 9260 3336 9266 TIME...MOT...LOC 1124Z 301DEG 24KT 3348 9306 $$ 57  598 WSDL31 EDZM 151125 EDMM SIGMET 5 VALID 151130/151530 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N49 AND E OF E011 BLW FL130 MOV S NC =  949 WSDL31 EDZM 151125 EDMM SIGMET 5 VALID 151130/151530 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N49 AND E OF E011 BLW FL130 MOV S NC =  370 WSDL31 EDZM 151125 EDMM SIGMET 5 VALID 151130/151530 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N49 AND E OF E011 BLW FL130 MOV S NC =  652 WSDL31 EDZM 151125 EDMM SIGMET 5 VALID 151130/151530 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N49 AND E OF E011 BLW FL130 MOV S NC =  398 WSPA12 PHFO 151128 SIGPAY KZOA SIGMET YANKEE 16 VALID 151130/151530 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. EMBD TS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY N1830 E13950 - N1630 E14420 - N1340 E14040 - N1020 E14200 - N0800 E13750 - N1310 E13600 - N1830 E13950. CB TOPS TO FL550. MOV WNW 10KT. NC. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  895 WGUS84 KSHV 151134 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 634 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC061-081-133-OKC089-151204- /O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ /HRGA4.1.ER.091014T2030Z.091014T2030Z.091014T2030Z.NO/ 634 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE LITTLE RIVER AT HORATIO ARKANSAS. * AT 600 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET. * FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 330 PM WEDNESDAY. * FLOOD STAGE IS 27 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 19.4 FEET DURING FRIDAY MORNING. ALSO THE LITTLE RIVER CRESTED AT THE 27.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE DURING EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. $$  243 WWCN11 CWVR 151135 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:35 AM PDT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL BRITISH COLUMBIA... WIND WARNING FOR: =NEW= CENTRAL COAST - COASTAL SECTIONS NORTH COAST - COASTAL SECTIONS QUEEN CHARLOTTES. NORTHEAST OUTFLOW WINDS OF 70 TO 90 KM/H WILL DEVELOP EARLY TODAY THROUGH THE MAINLAND VALLEYS AND INLETS OF THE NORTH COAST AND WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 70 TO 90 KM/H HAVE DEVELOPED OVER EXPOSED COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES AND WILL CONTINUE UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 70 TO 90 KM/H WILL DEVELOP EARLY FRIDAY ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE CENTRE APPROACHING THE NORTH COAST OF BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE VALLEYS AND INLETS OF THE NORTH COAST. THE LOW WILL ALSO BRING VERY STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS TO EXPOSED SECTIONS OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES TODAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE LATE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER NORTH AND EASES. A SECOND INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST. THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS AND NORTH COAST WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DUE TO THIS SECOND LOW AND A WARNING MAY BE ISSUED DEPENDING ON THE EXACT PATH THE LOW TAKES. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/PSPC  288 WAUS44 KKCI 151136 AAA WA4S DFWS WA 151136 AMD AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET IFR...OK TX AR TN LA MS AL FROM OSW TO RZC TO HMV TO GQO TO 50SW PZD TO 40W CEW TO 50SW CEW TO LEV TO 50WSW LCH TO 30E PSX TO 30NNE ACT TO 40SSW ABI TO LBB TO 20WSW AMA TO 40N GAG TO OSW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET IFR...TX FROM 30NNE ACT TO 30E PSX TO 30SSE CRP TO 20E BRO TO 80SSE LRD TO 20W DLF TO 40SSW ABI TO 30NNE ACT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET IFR...TX...UPDT FROM 30NE TCC TO 30WSW AMA TO LBB TO 30SSW ABI TO SJT TO 60WSW LBB TO 30NE TCC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TN KY FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. ....  876 WGUS44 KSHV 151139 FLWSHV BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 639 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC013-015-081-119-161139- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LBUL1.2.ER.091014T0824Z.091017T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 639 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU DORCHEAT AT LAKE BISTINEAU LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 400 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 143.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 142.5 FEET. * FORECAST...THE LAKE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 144.5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. $$  764 WUUS54 KSHV 151141 SVRSHV ARC027-139-151245- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0351.091015T1141Z-091015T1245Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 641 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SMACKOVER...NORPHLET...HUTTIG...EL DORADO... EAST CENTRAL COLUMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... * UNTIL 745 AM CDT * AT 639 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOUNT HOLLY...OR 9 MILES EAST OF STEPHENS...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LISBON...WESSON...CALION...LAWSON...URBANA...STRONG AND LAPILE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER IN STREETS AND LOW AREAS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. && LAT...LON 3302 9249 3326 9318 3339 9307 3338 9256 3337 9252 3333 9251 3333 9245 3328 9242 3331 9235 3327 9230 3329 9229 3326 9221 3321 9221 3322 9217 3318 9216 3317 9211 3310 9212 3302 9206 TIME...MOT...LOC 1140Z 299DEG 30KT 3339 9291 $$ 06  786 WWUS43 KFGF 151142 WSWFGF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 642 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...AREAS OF SNOW HAVE DIMINISHED... .SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF DRAMATICALLY ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SNOW FALL HAS MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED. NDZ038-049-052-151245- /O.EXP.KFGF.WS.W.0010.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ BARNES-RANSOM-SARGENT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALLEY CITY...LISBON...GWINNER 642 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-028-151245- /O.EXP.KFGF.WW.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ TOWNER-CAVALIER-BENSON-RAMSEY-EDDY-NELSON-GRIGGS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CANDO...LANGDON...MADDOCK...LEEDS... DEVILS LAKE...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...COOPERSTOWN 642 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL HAS DIMINISHED IN THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE HAS MOVED OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. ROADS ARE LIKELY SNOW OR ICE COVERED AND REQUIRE EXTRA ATTENTION FOR MORNING COMMUTES. $$ JK  914 WSSG31 GOOY 151145 GOOO SIGMET 8 VALID 151145/151545 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 1115Z N1149 W01616 - N1121 W01643 - N1158 W01758 - N1219 W01701 AND N1026 W01830 - N1057 W01906 - N1142 W01857 - N1129 W01806 MOV NE 10KT NC=  146 WSSG31 GOOY 151145 GOOO SIGMET 8 VALID 151145/151545 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 1115Z N1149 W01616 - N1121 W01643 - N1158 W01758 - N1219 W01701 AND N1026 W01830 - N1057 W01906 - N1142 W01857 - N1129 W01806 MOV NE 10KT NC=  740 WWUS74 KMEG 151143 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 643 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG THREAT HAS ENDED... .THE DENSE FOG THAT HAD EARLIER DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF THE MID- SOUTH HAS LIFTED. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-151245- /O.CAN.KMEG.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-091015T1500Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS- ITAWAMBA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-LAKE- OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD- CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...TUPELO...AMORY...ABERDEEN...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 643 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE THREAT OF DENSE FOG GREATLY REDUCING VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH HAS ENDED AND THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  917 WSSG31 GOOY 151145 GOOO SIGMET 8 VALID 151145/151545 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 1115Z N1149 W01616 - N1121 W01643 - N1158 W01758 - N1219 W01701 AND N1026 W01830 - N1057 W01906 - N1142 W01857 - N1129 W01806 MOV NE 10KT NC=  664 WSUS32 KKCI 151155 SIGC MKCC WST 151155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 10C VALID UNTIL 1355Z AR TX OK FROM 50ESE MLC-40WSW LIT-30ESE ELD-30WSW TXK-50ESE MLC AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151355-151755 FROM 40ENE PXV-50SSW CEW-30WSW LEV-LFK-50NW MLC-30SE ARG-60E FAM-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  665 WSUS31 KKCI 151155 SIGE MKCE WST 151155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 10E VALID UNTIL 1355Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 160ENE PBI-100ENE PBI LINE TS 25 NM WIDE MOV FROM 29020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 11E VALID UNTIL 1355Z FL CSTL WTRS FROM 130ENE OMN-120NE VRB LINE TS 20 NM WIDE MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 151355-151755 AREA 1...FROM SBY-160ESE SIE-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-90SE MIA-MIA-CRG-SBY WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40ENE PXV-40NE ODF-30WNW LGC-TLH-CRG-30NW VRB-RSW-70SW SRQ-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  666 WSUS33 KKCI 151155 SIGW MKCW WST 151155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151355-151755 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  915 WWUS84 KSHV 151147 SPSSHV SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 647 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ060-070-071-151245- HEMPSTEAD-LAFAYETTE-MILLER- 647 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 745 AM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... HEMPSTEAD...LAFAYETTE AND MILLER... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... BUCKNER...FULTON...GARLAND...GENOA...HOPE...LEWISVILLE... MANDEVILLE...PERRYTOWN...STAMPS AND TEXARKANA... AT 645 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES EAST OF OGDEN...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF TEXARKANA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. $$ 22  377 WWPQ80 PGUM 151149 SPSPQ SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 949 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 PMZ161-171-160900- KOROR PALAU-YAP- 949 PM CHST THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W PASSING NORTH OF YAP STATE... AT 0900Z...TROPICAL STORM 22W IS LOCATED AT 12N141E...ABOUT 285 MILES NORTHEAST OF YAP...195 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULITHI...AND 580 MILES NORTHEAST OF KOROR. IT IS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 45 MPH. 22W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK...22W WILL BE PASSING NORTH OF YAP STATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH BRIEF LOCAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR YAP... ULITHI...FAIS AND NEARBY ISLANDS THRU FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED. SURF ALONG WEST AND NORTH FACING REEFS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BEING FARTHER SOUTHWEST OF 22W...KOROR WILL BE SPARED FROM ANY DIRECT AFFECTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM. NEVERTHELESS...CONVERGING MONSOON WINDS SOUTH OF THE STORM WILL BRING PERIODS OF SHOWER AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. EVEN THOUGH NO TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED... RESIDENTS OF YAP STATE AND THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU ARE ADVISED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST STATUS OF TROPICAL STORM 22W WITH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM FOR ANY CHANGES AND UPDATE THIS STATEMENT IF NECESSARY. $$ CHAN  116 WHUS72 KILM 151151 MWWILM URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 751 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ254-256-151300- /O.CAN.KILM.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM- MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM- 751 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THIS MORNING. $$ AMZ250-252-151500- /O.EXT.KILM.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T1500Z/ SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM- CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM- 751 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ RJD  411 ACCA62 TJSJ 151154 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI/BROWN TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DEL SNM EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO  969 WBCN07 CWVR 151100 PAM ROCKS WIND MM LANGARA; OVC 12 SE16G22 4FT MOD LO-MOD E GREEN; PC 12 E23G29 5FT MOD TRIPLE; PC 15 SE15E 3FT MOD LO SW BONILLA; PC 12 E30G 4FT MOD LO S BOAT BLUFF; CLDY 15 W03 RPLD MCINNES; CLDY 15 SE20E 4FT MOD LO-MOD SW IVORY; PC 15 NE16 3FT MOD LO SW DRYAD; PC 15 SE18 2FT CHP ADDENBROKE; PC 15 SE02E RPLD EGG ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE33 6FT MDT LO W PINE ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE25E 5FT MDT LO W CAPE SCOTT; OVC 15 SE20EG 4FT MDT LO-MOD SW QUATSINO; CLDY 12RW- SE20EG 4FT MDT MOD SW NOOTKA; OVC 15 N10 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW ESTEVAN; OVC 15 E18 4FT MOD LOMOD SW 1014.0R LENNARD; CLDY 12 E13 2FT CHP MOD SW AMPHITRITE; CLDY 15 NE05 UNKN CAPE BEALE; OVC 15 NE04 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW PACHENA; CLDY 15 E08 2FT CHP MOD SW CARMANAH; CLDY 15 SE15 3FT MOD MOD SW SCARLETT; CLDY 12 SE20G 4FT MDT LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; OVC 15 CLM RPLD CHROME; N/A MERRY; N/A ENTRANCE; N/A FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; N/A Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 180/11/09/0103/M/1020 82MM= WLP SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 125/10/07/1323/M/PK WND 1129 1001Z 2017 04MM= WEB SA 1000 AUTO8 M M M 147/11/10/0913+19/M/0010 PK WND 0926 0908Z 3024 80MM= WQC SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 178/08/07/2801/M/0004 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR 1023 83MM= WRU SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 100/11/09/1041+49/M/PK WND 1049 1050Z 3013 57MM= WFG SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 080/11/09/1644+52/M/PK WND 1554 1038Z 0004 87MM= WVF SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/0808/M/M M 9MMM= WQS SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/12/06/1216+30/M/PK WND 1130 1059Z M 67MM= WRO SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/10/07/1229+37/M/0004 PK WND 1239 1023Z M 98MM= WEK SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 090/08/M/0624/M/PK WND 0629 1025Z 1024 7MMM= WWL SA 1122 AUTO4 M M M 069/10/M/MM15+26/M/0013 6MMM= WME SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 138/07/04/0521+29/M/M PK WND 0528 1058Z 1018 62MM= WSB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/0803/M/M 1MMM= WGT SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 162/12/09/1322/M/M PK WND 1324 1058Z 1019 69MM= WGB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/11/08/1313/M/PK WND 1218 1005Z M 04MM= WEL SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/12/10/1413/M/M 57MM= WDR SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/0508/M/M M 6MMM= WZO SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0305/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1008/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 165/09/07/1507/M/0002 1025 91MM=  012 WWUS54 KLZK 151155 SVSLZK SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 655 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC103-151200- /O.EXP.KLZK.SV.W.0531.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ OUACHITA AR- 655 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN OUACHITA COUNTY EXPIRES AT 700 AM CDT... THE STORM WILL BE MOVING OUT OF OUACHITA COUNTY AND INTO UNION COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. LAT...LON 3337 9267 3336 9269 3339 9274 3337 9280 3338 9309 3339 9312 3358 9312 3360 9310 3338 9260 3337 9260 3336 9266 TIME...MOT...LOC 1152Z 301DEG 24KT 3339 9287 $$ 57  097 WWUS54 KSHV 151156 SVSSHV SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 656 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC081-TXC037-151206- /O.EXP.KSHV.SV.W.0350.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/ LITTLE RIVER AR-BOWIE TX- 656 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BOWIE AND LITTLE RIVER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 AM CDT... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. SO THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. LAT...LON 3379 9418 3380 9412 3377 9404 3375 9403 3375 9396 3373 9396 3373 9394 3368 9396 3365 9389 3354 9398 3357 9400 3355 9404 3345 9405 3368 9436 3382 9425 3381 9423 3382 9418 TIME...MOT...LOC 1156Z 313DEG 23KT 6421 6352 $$ 22  071 WSGR31 LGAT 151140 LGGG SIGMET 2 VALID 151140/151540 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS W OF E02330 AND S OF N3900 MOV E-NE NC=  113 WSGR31 LGAT 151140 LGGG SIGMET 2 VALID 151140/151540 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS W OF E02330 AND S OF N3900 MOV E-NE NC=  154 WSGR31 LGAT 151140 LGGG SIGMET 2 VALID 151140/151540 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS W OF E02330 AND S OF N3900 MOV E-NE NC=  932 WTSR20 WSSS 150600 NO STORM WARNING=  461 WSSQ31 LZIB 151159 LZBB SIGMET 6 VALID 151159/151600 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV ICE FCST OVER LZBB FL020/100 NC=  175 WGUS84 KMRX 151203 FLSMRX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 803 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 TNC001-009-013-025-057-059-063-089-093-105-129-145-151-155-173- 151800- /O.NEW.KMRX.FA.Y.0171.091015T1203Z-091015T1800Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LOUDON TN-ROANE TN-ANDERSON TN-HAMBLEN TN-MORGAN TN-GRAINGER TN- UNION TN-CAMPBELL TN-CLAIBORNE TN-SCOTT TN-JEFFERSON TN-KNOX TN- BLOUNT TN-SEVIER TN-GREENE TN- 803 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... ANDERSON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... BLOUNT COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... CAMPBELL COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... GRAINGER COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... EXTREME WESTERN GREENE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... HAMBLEN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... JEFFERSON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... KNOX COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... LOUDON COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... MORGAN COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... ROANE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... SEVIER COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... UNION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 200 PM EDT THURSDAY * AT 759 AM EDT MODERATE RAINS WERE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU INTO CENTRAL EAST TENNESSEE. SOME HAD RAIN RATES OF CLOSE TO ONE INCH PER HOUR. NORMALLY...THIS WOULD NOT BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE MINOR FLOODING AND PONDING. BUT...STREAMS REMAIN AT VERY HIGH LEVELS FROM PREVIOUS RAINS AND SOME OF THE RAIN IS MOVING INTO URBANIZED AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU COME TO A FLOODED OR CLOSED ROAD...TURN AROUND. DON'T DROWN! THIS IS NOT A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION AT THIS TIME. IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME ONE. DON'T MAKE IT ONE WITH CARELESS DECISIONS. LAT...LON 3660 8347 3652 8338 3641 8337 3639 8327 3631 8328 3632 8318 3623 8310 3613 8318 3615 8322 3608 8324 3563 8413 3567 8432 3566 8459 3586 8474 3591 8469 3599 8472 3615 8491 3628 8488 3640 8467 3661 8477 $$ BB  300 WWUS86 KPQR 151203 SPSPQR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 503 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ORZ001>011-014-WAZ019>023-039-040-160000- NORTH OREGON COAST-CENTRAL OREGON COAST- COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON- CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF WESTERN OREGON-LOWER COLUMBIA- GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY- SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY-WESTERN COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE- NORTHERN OREGON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES- UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY-SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES-WILLAPA HILLS- SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-I-5 CORRIDOR IN COWLITZ COUNTY- GREATER VANCOUVER AREA-SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADE FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASTORIA...CANNON BEACH...TILLAMOOK... LINCOLN CITY...NEWPORT...FLORENCE...VERNONIA...JEWELL...TRASK... GRANDE RONDE...TIDEWATER...SWISSHOME...ST. HELENS...CLATSKANIE... HILLSBORO...PORTLAND...OREGON CITY...GRESHAM...SALEM... MCMINNVILLE...DALLAS...EUGENE...CORVALLIS...ALBANY...HOOD RIVER... CASCADE LOCKS...MULTNOMAH FALLS...SANDY... SILVER FALLS STATE PARK...SWEET HOME...GOVERNMENT CAMP... DETROIT...SANTIAM PASS...PARKDALE...ODELL... COLDWATER RIDGE VISITORS CENTER...MOUNT ST. HELENS...FRANCES... RYDERWOOD...RAYMOND...LONG BEACH...CATHLAMET...LONGVIEW...KELSO... CASTLE ROCK...STEVENSON...SKAMANIA...VANCOUVER...BATTLE GROUND... WASHOUGAL...TOUTLE...ARIEL...COUGAR 503 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HEAVY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... AN UNUSUALLY WET EARLY SEASON SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DUMP SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE AREA EARLY THIS WEEKEND. THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL FALL ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM TAPS INTO A TROPICAL AIR MASS. MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON BRINGING THE FRONT ONSHORE AND THEN STALLING IT. AS THE FRONT STALLS THE SYSTEM WILL USHER IN A LOT OF WARM AND MOIST AIR AND CONSEQUENTLY WRING IT OUT OVER NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 5 INCHES IN THE COAST RANGE...1 TO 2 INCHES NORTHERN PORTIONS OF WILLAMETTE VALLEY...2 TO 4 INCHES NORTH CASCADES...AND AROUND AN INCH ELSEWHERE. SINCE THIS SYSTEM IS COMING EARLY IN THE YEAR WHEN RIVERS ARE NEAR THEIR SUMMER LOWS FLOODING SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF A CONCERN...HOWEVER...LOCAL AREAS MAY SEE HIGHER THAN EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS AND THEREFORE WILL NOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY FOR LOCAL FLOODING. REMEMBER TO MAINTAIN A HIGHER AWARENESS LEVEL AND KEEP INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING SCENARIO. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION...FORECASTS...AND WARNINGS. $$ WOLFE  828 WSSQ31 LZIB 151200 LZBB SIGMET 7 VALID 151200/151600 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV TURB FCST OVER W AND N PART OF LZBB BTN GND AND FL080NC=  929 WWUS30 KWNS 151205 SAW9 SPC AWW 151205 WW 769 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 151210Z - 151800Z AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 60NW MLU/MONROE LA/ - 35WSW HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /8S ELD - 35ENE AEX/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025. LAT...LON 33139155 31429066 31429304 33139397 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU9.  951 WOUS64 KWNS 151205 WOU9 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 710 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARC003-027-139-151800- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0769.091015T1210Z-091015T1800Z/ AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY COLUMBIA UNION $$ LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073- 081-083-107-111-119-123-127-151800- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0769.091015T1210Z-091015T1800Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151800- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0769.091015T1210Z-091015T1800Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...  297 WWUS64 KJAN 151208 WCNJAN WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 708 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-MSC001-021-037-055- 063-149-151800- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.A.0769.091015T1210Z-091015T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS ASHLEY IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 PARISHES IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL IN MISSISSIPPI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN JEFFERSON IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ISSAQUENA WARREN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...BUDE...CROSSETT...DELHI... EPPS...FAYETTE...FERRIDAY...HAMBURG...HARRISONBURG...JONESVILLE... LAKE PROVIDENCE...MAYERSVILLE...MEADVILLE...NATCHEZ...NEWELLTON... NORTH CROSSETT...OAK GROVE...PORT GIBSON...RAYVILLE...ROXIE... ST. JOSEPH...TALLULAH...VICKSBURG...VIDALIA...WATERPROOF... WEST CROSSETT...WEST FERRIDAY AND WINNSBORO. $$  921 WWUS60 KWNS 151210 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 15-OCT-09 AT 12:10:01 UTC SEVR 091015 1210 WS0769 1800 03308.09132 03125.09039 03125.09302 03308.09358;  922 WWUS20 KWNS 151209 SEL9 SPC WW 151209 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-151800- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 710 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS NORTH AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 710 AM UNTIL 100 PM CDT. HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONROE LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SRN AR WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND MOVE SEWD ACROSS N/NE LA AND W CENTRAL MS THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY. THE CONVECTION WILL BE SUPPORTED BY AN INFLUX OF LOW-MID 70S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS...MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 2000 J/KG...AND INCREASINGLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES IN ADVANCE OF A WEAK WAVE ON THE SURFACE FRONT IN EXTREME NE TX. DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM THREAT THROUGH THE MORNING. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025. ...THOMPSON  328 WWUS40 KWNS 151209 WWP9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WS 0769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0709 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 WS 0769 PROBABILITY TABLE: PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 10% PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 05% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 30% PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 10% PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : <05% PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 60% && ATTRIBUTE TABLE: MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 1.0 MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60 MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 550 MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 31025 PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO && FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH AND WATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU9. $$  587 WUUS54 KSHV 151211 SVRSHV ARC057-073-091-099-151315- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0352.091015T1211Z-091015T1315Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 711 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... NORTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...STAMPS...LEWISVILLE... NORTHERN MILLER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TEXARKANA... SOUTHWESTERN NEVADA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... * UNTIL 815 AM CDT * AT 709 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTH OF GARLAND...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF LEWISVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BODCAW AND BUCKNER... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. && LAT...LON 3365 9330 3341 9336 3329 9342 3327 9342 3326 9347 3321 9347 3326 9404 3355 9403 3356 9400 3354 9398 3358 9396 3356 9394 3361 9386 3360 9382 3363 9385 3368 9373 TIME...MOT...LOC 1211Z 295DEG 21KT 3347 9375 $$ 22  012 WGUS84 KSHV 151215 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 715 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC017-151245- /O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /CRLL1.1.ER.091014T0032Z.091014T1600Z.091015T0030Z.NO/ 715 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE CROSS BAYOU AT CROSS LAKE IN SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA. * AT 600 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 172.8 FEET. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 173 FEET. * THE LAKE RECEDED BELOW FLOOD POOL STAGE DURING WEDNESDAY EVENING. ALSO THE LAKE CRESTED AT 173.25 FEET DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING. $$  251 WWNZ40 NZKL 151216 CANCEL WARNING 270  043 WWNZ40 NZKL 151215 GALE WARNING 274 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND PACIFIC AT 151200UTC LOW 1003HPA NEAR 49S 179E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15KT. IN A BELT 120 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 48S 170W 50S 173W 52S 177W: CLOCKWISE 35KT EASING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. GALE AREA MOVING WITH LOW. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 272.  044 WWNZ40 NZKL 151214 GALE WARNING 273 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 151200UTC OVER WATERS NORTH OF ICE EDGE. IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 61S 169E 61S 170W 63S 141W: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 50KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 271.  310 WWST02 SABM 151332 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 09:00 UTC OCTOBER 15, 2009 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PART ONE: GALE WARNING STRONG BARIC GRADIENT AT 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 AND MOVING TO EAST TO 10 KTS PROVOKES STRONG GALE FROM WEST AT 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W ----------------------------------------------------------------- PART TWO: SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 09:00 UTC, OCTOBER/15/2009 LOW 1012 HPA AT 39 S 40 W MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KTS EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 39 S 40 W 35 S 42 W 31 S 47 W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS WARM FRONT AT 39 S 40 W 41 S 38 W 42 S 35 W MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KTS COLD FRONT AT 42 S 35 W 43 S 30 W 45 S 26 W 49 S 20 W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS LOW 963 HPA AT 63 S 44 W MOVING EAST AT 15 KTS EXTENDS COLD FRONT AT 62 S 5 W 65 S 40 W 60 S 33 W 55 S 36 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 58 W MOVING EAST AT 15 KTS COLD FRONT AT 63 S 63 W 60 S 61 W 55 S 62 W 52 S 75 W 52 S 77 W MOVING EAST AT 15 KTS HIGH 1021 HPA AT 37 S 62 W INTENSIFYING MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KTS EXTENDS RIDGE AT 37 S 62 W 41 S 61 W 46 S 59 W 48 S 55 W MOVING EAST AT 10 KTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- PARTH THREE: FORECAST ISSUED 12:00 UTC OCTOBER 15,2009 VALID UNTIL 06:00 UTC OCTOBER 16,2009 1- COASTAL AREAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR EAST VEERING TO NORTH/ FAIR SKY TO PARTLY CLOUDY/ MIST AS FROM DAYBREAK/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST/ CLOUDY INCREASE/ POSSIBLE RAIN AND SHOWERS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. 36 17'23'' S A 40 S: VARIABLE GENTLE BREEZE CHANGING TO MODERATE FROM NORTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ MIST AS FROM NIGHTFALL/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. 40 S A 47 S: MODERATE BREEZE FROM WEST CHANGING TO FRESH FROM NORTHWEST/ CLEAR SKY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 47 S A 52 S: STRONG BREEZE FROM WEST VEERING TO SOUTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 52 S A 55 S: GALE FROM SOUTHWEST/ GUSTS/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ ISOLATED RAIN AND SHOWERS AS FROM NIGHTFALL/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- OCEANIC AREAS 35 S 20 W 40 S 20 W 40 S 40 W 35 S 40 W 35 S 20 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM NORTHWEST VEERING TO SOUTHWEST/ OVERCAST/ POSSIBLE RAIN AND SHOWERS/ IMPROVING BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD/ VISIBILITY MODERATE TO GOOD. 35 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 40 W :FRESH BREEZE FROM SECTOR SOUTH VEERING TO WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 40 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 20 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM SOUTHWEST CHANGING TO STRONG FROM WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 40 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 40 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM WEST CHANGING TO FRESH FROM SOUTHWEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 40 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 50 W :MODERATE BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 20 W :FRESH BREEZE FROM WEST CHANGING TO STRONG FROM NORTHWEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 45 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 40 W :STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ GUSTS/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 45 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 60 W 45 S 60 W 45 S 50 W :STRONG BREEZE FROM SECTOR WEST/ GUSTS/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO FAIR SKY/ VISIBILITY GOOD. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 20 W :NEAR GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE RAIN AND SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY MODERATE/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY POOR. 50 S 40 W 60 S 40 W 60 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 40 W :NEAR GALE INCREASING TO STRONG GALE GUSTS/ VARIABLY CLOUDY/ POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS/ VISIBILITY GOOD/ OCCASIONALLY/ VISIBILITY MODERATE. 50 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 50 S 67 W 50 S 55 W :STRONG GALE FROM SECTOR WEST/ PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY/ SHOWERS/ RAIN AND SNOW MIXTURE AS FROM AFTERNOON/ VISBILITY GOOD TO MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  424 WWST01 SABM 151200 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 09:00 UTC 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL PRIMERA PARTE: AVISO DE TEMPORAL FUERTE GRADIENTE BARICO EN 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS PROVOCA/N TEMPORAL FUERTE DEL OESTE EN 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W ----------------------------------------------------------------- SEGUNDA PARTE: SITUACION SINOPTICA A LAS: 09:00 UTC DEL 15/OCTUBRE/2009 DEPRESION 1012 HPA EN 39 S 40 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 10 KTS EXTIENDE FRENTE FRIO EN 39 S 40 W 35 S 42 W 31 S 47 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS FRENTE CALIENTE EN 39 S 40 W 41 S 38 W 42 S 35 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 10 KTS FRENTE FRIO EN 42 S 35 W 43 S 30 W 45 S 26 W 49 S 20 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS DEPRESION 963 HPA EN 63 S 44 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS EXTIENDE FRENTE FRIO EN 62 S 5 W 65 S 40 W 60 S 33 W 55 S 36 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 58 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS FRENTE FRIO EN 63 S 63 W 60 S 61 W 55 S 62 W 52 S 75 W 52 S 77 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS ANTICICLON 1021 HPA EN 37 S 62 W INTENSIFICANDOSE QUE SE DESPLAZA AL NORESTE A 10 KTS EXTIENDE EJE DE CUNIA EN 37 S 62 W 41 S 61 W 46 S 59 W 48 S 55 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- TERCERA PARTE: PRONOSTICO DE LAS 12:00 UTC DEL 15/OCTUBRE/2009 VALIDO HASTA LAS 06:00 UTC DEL 16/OCTUBRE/2009 1- ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: VIENTOS LEVES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR ESTE ROTANDO AL NORTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ NEBLINAS A PARTIR DE LA MADRUGADA/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. COSTAS DE ISLAS MALVINAS: VIENTOS REGULARES A FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD EN AUMENTO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES HACIA EL FINAL DEL PERIODO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. 36 17'23'' S A 40 S: VIENTOS LEVES Y VARIABLES CAMBIANDO A MODERADOS DEL NOROESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ NEBLINAS A PARTIR DE LA NOCHE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. 40 S A 47 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL OESTE CAMBIANDO A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE/ CIELO DESPEJADO A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 47 S A 52 S: VIENTOS FUERTES DEL OESTE ROTANDO AL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 52 S A 55 S: TEMPORAL DEL SUDOESTE/ RAFAGAS/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S A PARTIR DE LA NOCHE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- AREAS OCEANICAS: 35 S 20 W 40 S 20 W 40 S 40 W 35 S 40 W 35 S 20 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL NOROESTE ROTANDO AL SUDOESTE/ CUBIERTO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES/ MEJORANDO HACIA EL FINAL DEL PERIODO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 35 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 40 W : VIENTOS REGULARES DEL SECTOR SUR ROTANDO AL OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 40 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 20 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SUDOESTE CAMBIANDO A FUERTES DEL OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 40 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 40 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL OESTE CAMBIANDO A REGULARES DEL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 50 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SECTOR OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 20 W : VIENTOS REGULARES DEL OESTE CAMBIANDO A FUERTES DEL NOROESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 40 W : VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ RAFAGAS/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 60 W 45 S 60 W 45 S 50 W : VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ RAFAGAS/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 20 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD MALA. 50 S 40 W 60 S 40 W 60 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 40 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES AUMENTANDO A TEMPORAL FUERTE RAFAGAS/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 50 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 50 S 67 W 50 S 55 W : TEMPORAL FUERTE DEL SECTOR OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO A NUBLADO/ CHAPARRONES/ LLUVIA Y NIEVE MEZCLADA A PARTIR DE LA TARDE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  621 WSIY31 LIIB 151223 LIMM SIGMET 04 VALID 151245/151645 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS FCST ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN=  622 WACN34 CWUL 151219 AIRMET B1 ISSUED AT 1219Z CWUL- AMEND GFACN34 CWUL 120530 ISSUE WTN 40 NM OF LN /5552N06141W/40 S NAIN - /5341N05752W/30 W CARTWRIGHT. ADD PTCHY SEV MXD ICG DUE FZDZ IN ONSHR FLO. AT 1203Z DHC6 REPS FZ PCPN 15NW MAKKOVIK. AREA QS. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/ALP/MS  698 WVNT12 KKCI 151230 WSVA0L TJZS SIGMET LIMA 1 VALID 151230/151830 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 1230Z WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1730 W06500 - N1700 W06300. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 1830Z VA CLD APRX WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1700 W06400 - N1630 W06300.  748 WSIY31 LIIB 151223 LIMM SIGMET 04 VALID 151245/151645 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS FCST ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN=  802 WSIY31 LIIB 151223 LIMM SIGMET 04 VALID 151245/151645 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS FCST ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN=  268 WGUS54 KSHV 151220 FFWSHV ARC027-057-073-091-099-139-151515- /O.NEW.KSHV.FF.W.0093.091015T1220Z-091015T1515Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 720 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SMACKOVER...NORPHLET...HUTTIG...EL DORADO... COLUMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WALDO...MCNEIL...MAGNOLIA... SOUTHERN HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HOPE... LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...STAMPS...LEWISVILLE... MILLER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TEXARKANA... SOUTHERN NEVADA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... * UNTIL 1015 AM CDT * AT 718 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED FLASH FLOODING FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WILLISVILLE...ROSSTON...PERRYTOWN...MANDEVILLE...LAWSON...LAPILE... FULTON...EMMET...CALION...BODCAW AND BLUFF CITY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ONE TO TWO INCHES HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE WARNED AREA THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COMBINED WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS COULD LEAD TO FLOODING PROBLEMS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. && LAT...LON 3303 9404 3354 9402 3360 9382 3364 9391 3374 9381 3373 9309 3339 9310 3338 9256 3333 9251 3333 9245 3328 9242 3330 9233 3327 9230 3327 9222 3321 9220 3322 9217 3317 9215 3316 9209 3310 9212 3304 9206 $$ 22  732 WSIY31 LIIB 151225 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151300/151700 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  805 WWUS84 KJAN 151222 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 722 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ074-LAZ007-151300- ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA- 722 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING ASHLEY COUNTY AND MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 720 AM CDT...A LARGE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER UNION COUNTY ARKANSAS WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM WILL LIKELY ENTER WESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY AND WESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH AROUND OR JUST AFTER 800 AM CDT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...AS WELL AS VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM IF IT MAINTAINS ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. RESIDENTS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS CLOSELY THIS MORNING. BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AS STORMS APPROACH. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. $$ COHEN  920 WSIY31 LIIB 151225 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151300/151700 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  167 WSIY31 LIIB 151225 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151300/151700 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  350 WACN34 CWUL 151222 AIRMET B1 ISSUED AT 1219Z CWUL- AMEND GFACN34 CWUL 120530 ISSUE WTN 40 NM OF LN /5552N06141W/40 S NAIN - /5341N05752W/30 W CARTWRIGHT. ADD PTCHY SEV MXD ICG DUE FZDZ IN ONSHR FLO. AT 1203Z DHC6 REPS FZ PCPN 15NW MAKKOVIK. AREA QS. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/ALP/MS  835 WWUS64 KSHV 151223 WCNSHV WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 723 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC027-139-LAC013-021-027-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-111-119-127- 151800- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.A.0769.091015T1223Z-091015T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS UNION AR IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS COLUMBIA IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 13 PARISHES IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA CALDWELL GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN OUACHITA UNION LA WINN IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA BIENVILLE CLAIBORNE NATCHITOCHES RED RIVER WEBSTER THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BIENVILLE...COLFAX...COLUMBIA... COUSHATTA...EL DORADO...FARMERVILLE...HOMER...JENA...JONESBORO... MAGNOLIA...MINDEN...MONROE...NATCHITOCHES...RUSTON AND WINNFIELD. $$ 06  977 WSNT10 KKCI 151230 SIGA0J KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 3 VALID 151230/151445 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET JULIETT 2 151045/151445.  021 WSNO35 ENMI 151223 ENBD SIGMET D04 VALID 151300/151700 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST E OF E01700 BLW FL080. NC=  022 WSIY31 LIIB 151223 LIMM SIGMET 04 VALID 151245/151645 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS FCST ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN= SASN35 ESWI 151220 METAR ESUD 151220Z AUTO 27006KT 220V290 9999NDV OVC130/// 08/03 Q1021=  218 WSNO35 ENMI 151223 ENBD SIGMET D04 VALID 151300/151700 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV TURB FCST E OF E01700 BLW FL080. NC=  295 WSNT10 KKCI 151230 SIGA0J KZNY SIGMET JULIETT 3 VALID 151230/151445 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET JULIETT 2 151045/151445.  428 WVNT12 KKCI 151230 TJZS SIGMET LIMA 1 VALID 151230/151830 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 1230Z WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1730 W06500 - N1700 W06300. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 1830Z VA CLD APRX WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1700 W06400 - N1630 W06300.  611 WWCN11 CWTO 151225 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:25 AM EDT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING FOR: CALEDON NEWMARKET - GEORGINA - NORTHERN YORK REGION PICKERING - OSHAWA - SOUTHERN DURHAM REGION UXBRIDGE - BEAVERTON - NORTHERN DURHAM REGION HURON - PERTH WATERLOO - WELLINGTON DUFFERIN - INNISFIL GREY - BRUCE BARRIE - COLLINGWOOD - HILLSDALE BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND KINGSTON - PRINCE EDWARD STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC BROCKVILLE - LEEDS AND GRENVILLE CITY OF OTTAWA GATINEAU PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL CORNWALL - MORRISBURG SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE. WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING ENDED FOR: CITY OF TORONTO ELGIN LONDON - MIDDLESEX SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND OXFORD - BRANT NIAGARA CITY OF HAMILTON BURLINGTON - OAKVILLE HALTON HILLS - MILTON MISSISSAUGA - BRAMPTON VAUGHAN - RICHMOND HILL - MARKHAM. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AS OF 8 AM..TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR OR BELOW ZERO IN MOST LOCALES NORTH AND WEST OF TORONTO AS WELL AS IN EASTERN ONTARIO. FOR THESE REGIONS THE THREAT FOR FROST WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO BEFORE THE MERCURY CLIMBS ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT. MEANWHILE FOR AREAS FROM WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO INTO SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO AND NIAGARA INCLUDING THE GTA..HAMILTON..LONDON AND ST CATHARINES..THE FROST WARNING HAS NOW ENDED. NOTE THAT ENVIRONMENT CANADA'S FROST WARNING PROGRAM ENDS ON OCTOBER 15TH FOR MOST OF THE ABOVE REGIONS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME AREAS IN SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO. FOR THOSE REGIONS, THE PROGRAM CONTINUES UNTIL OCTOBER 30TH. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/OSPC  682 WWUS74 KJAN 151226 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 726 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ043-048-049-151600- /O.NEW.KJAN.FG.Y.0011.091015T1226Z-091015T1600Z/ MADISON MS-HINDS-RANKIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND 726 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING. VERY MOIST AIR OVER THE AREA IS RESULTING IN AREAS OF DENSE FOG. THE DENSE FOG SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE LIFTING DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$  493 WSNZ21 NZKL 151227 NZZC SIGMET 17 VALID 151227/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 15 150908/151308  555 WSNZ21 NZKL 151227 NZZC SIGMET 18 VALID 151227/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 16 150908/151308  199 WSNZ21 NZKL 151227 NZZC SIGMET 18 VALID 151227/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 16 150908/151308  200 WSNZ21 NZKL 151227 NZZC SIGMET 17 VALID 151227/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 15 150908/151308  709 WSNZ21 NZKL 151227 NZZC SIGMET 17 VALID 151227/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 15 150908/151308=  710 WSNZ21 NZKL 151227 NZZC SIGMET 18 VALID 151227/151308 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 16 150908/151308=  663 WSFR34 LFPW 151228 LFMM SIGMET 9 VALID 151200/151500 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR WKN=  896 WSFR34 LFPW 151228 LFMM SIGMET 9 VALID 151200/151500 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE, ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR WKN=  548 WSIY31 LIIB 151223 LIMM SIGMET 04 VALID 151245/151645 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR EMBD TS FCST ADRIATIC SEA AND LOC COASTS TOP FL220 MOV S WKN= SASN35 ESWI 151220 METAR ESUD 151220Z AUTO 27006KT 220V290 9999NDV OVC130/// 08/03 Q1021= SASN33 ESWI 151220 METAR ESUT 151220Z AUTO VRB01KT 9999NDV BKN011/// OVC014/// 05/04 Q1021=  202 WWUS54 KSHV 151236 SVSSHV SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 736 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC057-151245- /O.CAN.KSHV.SV.W.0352.000000T0000Z-091015T1315Z/ HEMPSTEAD AR- 736 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. LAT...LON 3345 9335 3336 9340 3327 9342 3326 9347 3321 9347 3325 9391 3341 9386 3348 9350 3348 9348 3349 9347 3352 9334 TIME...MOT...LOC 1235Z 295DEG 21KT 3334 9353 $$ ARC073-091-099-151315- /O.CON.KSHV.SV.W.0352.000000T0000Z-091015T1315Z/ NEVADA AR-LAFAYETTE AR-MILLER AR- 736 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 AM CDT FOR MILLER...LAFAYETTE AND NEVADA COUNTIES... AT 735 AM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR STAMPS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FALCON...MARS HILL...MCKAMIE...LERCH AND BUCKNER PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. && LAT...LON 3345 9335 3336 9340 3327 9342 3326 9347 3321 9347 3325 9391 3341 9386 3348 9350 3348 9348 3349 9347 3352 9334 TIME...MOT...LOC 1235Z 295DEG 21KT 3334 9353 $$ 22  912 WUUS54 KSHV 151241 SVRSHV ARC027-073-151345- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0353.091015T1241Z-091015T1345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 741 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... COLUMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WALDO...MCNEIL...MAGNOLIA... SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... * UNTIL 845 AM CDT * AT 741 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SMITHLAND...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF STAMPS...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BUSSEY...TAYLOR...WELCOME...MACEDONIA...EMERSON...VILLAGE AND ATLANTA... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. && LAT...LON 3302 9298 3303 9360 3317 9364 3345 9335 3344 9310 3339 9310 3339 9300 3338 9297 3322 9297 TIME...MOT...LOC 1241Z 301DEG 32KT 3327 9346 $$ 22  451 WUUS01 KWNS 151244 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0743 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30079088 30219305 30619379 31469413 33049401 33359349 33248947 32968827 32618780 31068702 30318753 30079088 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29648849 30079102 30699273 31979409 33029405 33349355 33228938 32958822 32628769 31038575 30388532 29548579 && ... WIND ... 0.05 27849624 28419730 29129786 29899796 30609770 31359663 32529518 33519401 33629221 33608942 33178673 32398503 31818358 31418233 31068085 99999999 28307989 28278143 28228366 0.15 33029404 33339354 33359225 33218932 32998837 32638780 31078700 30308754 30059110 30219306 30659380 31459412 33029404 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30069095 30219310 30649383 31419412 33019404 33339358 33349215 33208936 33008835 32658780 31098702 30308754 30069095 TSTM 33747755 36967507 99999999 27189672 26980009 99999999 28520113 29499987 30489924 31379831 32529735 33709704 34399654 35109497 35169420 35019208 34679045 34048901 33748771 33708627 33098473 32348318 32038251 31938177 31648041 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BTR 10 NE LCH 50 SW POE 40 ENE LFK 30 S TXK 25 ESE TXK 30 SW LLQ 45 ESE GWO 45 S CBM 40 SSW TCL 25 S GZH 25 WSW PNS 35 SSE BTR. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE ILM 65 E ORF ...CONT... 65 SE CRP 55 SW LRD ...CONT... 60 SSW DRT 45 WNW HDO 30 E JCT 50 SE BWD 20 S FTW 20 W GYI 30 ENE ADM 20 WNW RKR 15 SE FSM 20 NNE LIT 35 SW MEM 20 SW TUP 35 N TCL 20 SSW GAD 20 ENE LGC 35 SE MCN 15 SW VDI 35 WSW SAV 60 SE SAV.  490 ACUS01 KWNS 151244 SWODY1 SPC AC 151242 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0742 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY... ...SYNOPSIS... A SERIES OF MID-UPPER SPEED MAXIMA OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AMPLIFICATION OF A TROUGH OVER THE MS/OH VALLEY REGION...AS UPSTREAM HEIGHTS RISE OVER THE GREAT BASIN IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER ERN PAC TROUGH. WITH RESPECT TO THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...THE MOST RELEVANT FEATURES WILL BE THE ESEWD PROGRESSION OF AN EMBEDDED SPEED MAX FROM CO/KS THIS MORNING TO THE LOWER MS AND TN VALLEY REGION TONIGHT. THIS SPEED MAX WILL BE PRECEDED BY A WEAK REMNANT LEE CYCLONE WHICH WILL DEVELOP EWD FROM NE TX ALONG THE SLOW-MOVING BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS SRN AR...CENTRAL MS/AL...AND SRN GA. IN THE WAKE OF THIS WAVE...THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL MOVE SEWD AS A COLD FRONT AND REACH THE NW AND N CENTRAL GULF COAST EARLY FRIDAY. ...LOWER MS VALLEY AREA TODAY... A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING OVER SRN AR...IN ADVANCE OF THE WEAK SURFACE WAVE ON THE FRONT...WHERE LOW-LEVEL WAA IS STRONGEST. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS CONVECTION WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND DEVELOP SEWD ACROSS LA/MS DURING THE DAY...FED BY AN INFLUX OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE W/SW...AND MLCAPE VALUES AOA 2000 J/KG. MEANWHILE...DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING EMBEDDED BOW/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR HAS ALREADY PEAKED THIS MORNING AND WILL WEAKEN GRADUALLY THROUGH THE DAY AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERS TO WLY AND SPEEDS DIMINISH...THUS THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BE MARGINAL AT BEST. WARM PROFILES ALOFT SUGGEST THAT THE HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIMITED...WHILE THE MODERATE INSTABILITY/DRYING ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ..THOMPSON/HURLBUT.. 10/15/2009  795 WUUS54 KJAN 151244 SVRJAN ARC003-LAC067-151400- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0553.091015T1244Z-091015T1400Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 744 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BASTROP... WESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT... HAMBURG...CROSSETT... * UNTIL 900 AM CDT * AT 744 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF WEST CROSSETT TO 32 MILES WEST OF WEST CROSSETT MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... OLD MILO BY 800 AM CDT... WEST CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT AND HAMBURG BY 810 AM CDT... CROSSETT BY 815 AM CDT... BERLIN BY 830 AM CDT... BEEKMAN BY 835 AM CDT... JONES BY 845 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3321 9212 3331 9197 3335 9198 3338 9196 3321 9171 3290 9163 3268 9195 3271 9197 3271 9202 3269 9204 3272 9206 3281 9205 3287 9208 3299 9208 3302 9207 3309 9213 3315 9211 3318 9214 TIME...MOT...LOC 1244Z 327DEG 31KT 3326 9226 3297 9254 $$ COHEN  796 WSNT11 KKCI 151245 SIGA0K KZNY SIGMET KILO 2 VALID 151245/151500 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET KILO 1 151100/151500.  270 WWAK77 PAJK 151245 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 445 AM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 AKZ027-160000- /X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0069.091015T2000Z-091016T0500Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK 445 AM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ023-160000- /X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0069.091015T2000Z-091016T0200Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER 445 AM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$  907 WSCH31 SCIP 151240 SCIZ SIGMET 01 VALID 151240/151640 SCIP-ISLA DE PASCUA FIR ISOL/EMBD TCU/CB TOP ETI 32/36MFT FCST IN AREA: 24S/116W 24S/108W 30S/110W AND 30S/117W MOV E INTSF=  908 WSNT11 KKCI 151245 SIGA0K KZNY SIGMET KILO 2 VALID 151245/151500 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET KILO 1 151100/151500.  586 WWUS84 KSHV 151246 SPSSHV SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 746 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ073-LAZ006-151345- UNION- 746 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 845 AM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISHES... IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS... UNION... IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... UNION... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... HUTTIG...LAPILE...LAWSON...STRONG AND URBANA... AT 745 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR URBANA...OR 13 MILES EAST OF EL DORADO... MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF NEAR ONE INCH PER HOUR. $$  234 WWUS74 KLIX 151250 NPWLIX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 750 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ..DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... .PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT BEFORE 9 AM. LAZ034>040-046>050-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-151400- /O.CAN.KLIX.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-091015T1300Z/ POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA- WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE- EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE- WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA... ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER... HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL... MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE... PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES... DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...CENTREVILLE... WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LIBERTY...CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN... PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT... BILOXI...PASCAGOULA...OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER... ST. MARTIN 750 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO LIFT AROUND 8 AM. $$  612 WSUS32 KKCI 151255 SIGC MKCC WST 151255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 11C VALID UNTIL 1455Z MS LA AR TX FROM 30NNE LIT-50NNW SQS-20NNW MLU-30WNW EIC-50S FSM-30NNE LIT AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 30030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151455-151855 FROM 40ENE PXV-170S CEW-LEV-IAH-50NW MLC-30SE ARG-60E FAM-40ENE PXV REF WW 769. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  613 WSUS31 KKCI 151255 SIGE MKCE WST 151255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151455-151855 AREA 1...FROM SBY-160ESE SIE-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-170E PBI-90SE MIA-MIA-VRB-CRG-130SE CHS-ILM-70SSE ECG-SBY WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40ENE PXV-40NE ODF-ATL-PZD-CRG-VRB-RSW-70SW SRQ-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-40ENE PXV WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  614 WSUS33 KKCI 151255 SIGW MKCW WST 151255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151455-151855 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  639 WSCN34 CWUL 151254 SIGMET A7 CANCELLED AT 151255 CWUL- SEV TURB NO LGR EXPD. END/GFA34/CMAC-E/ALP/MS  921 WTPQ20 RJTD 151200 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 151200UTC 12.1N 140.2E POOR MOVE W 18KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 161200UTC 13.3N 134.2E 120NM 70% MOVE W 15KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT =  922 WSIN90 VIDP 151300 VIDF SIGMET 05 VALID 151300/151700 VIDF-DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  030 WSCN02 CWUL 151255 CZQX SIGMET U4 CANCELLED AT 151255 CWUL- GANDER OCEANIC FIR. SEVERE MECHANICAL TURBULENCE NO LONGER EXPECTED. END/GANDER OCEANIC/CMAC-E/NP/MS  001 WHXX01 KMIA 151256 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1256 UTC THU OCT 15 2009 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP932009) 20091015 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 091015 1200 091016 0000 091016 1200 091017 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.8N 95.4W 11.8N 96.9W 12.5N 98.1W 13.0N 99.7W BAMD 10.8N 95.4W 11.6N 96.8W 12.2N 98.0W 12.7N 99.3W BAMM 10.8N 95.4W 11.8N 96.9W 12.4N 98.1W 12.9N 99.7W LBAR 10.8N 95.4W 11.9N 96.9W 12.6N 98.4W 13.2N 100.3W SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 38KTS 49KTS DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 38KTS 49KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 091017 1200 091018 1200 091019 1200 091020 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.5N 102.0W 14.9N 107.8W 15.6N 113.4W 14.6N 116.3W BAMD 13.5N 100.9W 15.2N 104.7W 17.8N 108.8W 20.3N 111.4W BAMM 13.5N 101.5W 14.9N 106.4W 16.5N 111.4W 16.7N 114.7W LBAR 14.0N 101.9W 15.5N 105.1W 16.7N 108.2W 18.4N 110.7W SHIP 59KTS 78KTS 89KTS 93KTS DSHP 59KTS 78KTS 89KTS 93KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 10.8N LONCUR = 95.4W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 9.0N LONM12 = 93.8W DIRM12 = 333DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 7.2N LONM24 = 92.8W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN  547 WVIY31 LIIB 151302 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 151310/151710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  702 WVIY31 LIMM 151302 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 151310/151710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  801 WVIY31 LIMM 151302 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 151310/151710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  311 WVIY31 LIIB 151302 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 151310/151710 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  578 WUUS54 KSHV 151259 SVRSHV ARC139-LAC111-151345- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0354.091015T1259Z-091015T1345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 759 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... UNION PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... EASTERN UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HUTTIG... * UNTIL 845 AM CDT * AT 800 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STRONG...OR 14 MILES WEST OF HUTTIG...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FARMERVILLE AND LAPILE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. && LAT...LON 3260 9223 3259 9236 3263 9242 3268 9242 3268 9247 3278 9260 3332 9256 3324 9221 3321 9220 3322 9217 3317 9215 3316 9209 3310 9212 3302 9206 3286 9207 3274 9204 TIME...MOT...LOC 1259Z 283DEG 34KT 3303 9244 $$ PARKER  648 WGUS84 KSHV 151300 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 800 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 TXC001-073-225-161300- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCST2.1.ER.091014T0300Z.091017T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 800 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NECHES RIVER NEAR NECHES TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 730 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.5 FEET THROUGH THIS WEEKEND DUE TO RELEASES FROM LAKE PALESTINE. $$  595 WGUS84 KJAN 151301 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 801 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI... LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN && MSC087-151331- /O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-091016T2100Z/ /CLUM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 801 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS. * AT 4:15 AM THURSDAY...THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.7 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 14.1 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LUXAPALLILA CREEK COLUMBUS 15 14.3 THU 4 AM 14.1 13.4 11.6 FALLING $$  103 WGUS84 KLZK 151302 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 802 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER NEAR HOUSTON AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC105-160402- /O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-091018T1930Z/ /HUSA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091015T1000Z.091017T1330Z.NO/ 802 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER NEAR HOUSTON. * UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER HOUSTON 25 27.4 THU 07 AM 26.2 25.1 23.9 23.2 22.8 $$ 110  295 WWUS54 KJAN 151302 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 802 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-LAC067-151400- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0553.000000T0000Z-091015T1400Z/ ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA- 802 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR WESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY...AND NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 802 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF WEST CROSSETT TO 16 MILES WEST OF WEST CROSSETT TO 33 MILES WEST OF WEST CROSSETT MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... WEST CROSSETT BY 825 AM CDT... OLD MILO BY 830 AM CDT... NORTH CROSSETT AND CROSSETT BY 835 AM CDT... HAMBURG BY 850 AM CDT... BEEKMAN AND BERLIN BY 900 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3321 9212 3331 9197 3335 9198 3338 9196 3321 9171 3290 9163 3268 9195 3271 9197 3271 9202 3269 9204 3272 9206 3281 9205 3287 9208 3299 9208 3302 9207 3309 9213 3315 9211 3318 9214 TIME...MOT...LOC 1302Z 297DEG 20KT 3325 9213 3305 9226 3305 9258 $$ COHEN  271 WOUS64 KWNS 151303 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 803 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARC003-027-139-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY COLUMBIA UNION $$ LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073- 081-083-107-111-119-123-127-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...  730 WABZ22 SBBS 151304 SBBS AIRMET 4 VALID 151310/151510 SBBS - BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 4000M BR OBS AT 1300Z AT SBYS STNR NC=  813 WABZ22 SBBS 151305 SBBS AIRMET 5 VALID 151310/151510 SBBS - BRASILIA FIR BKN CLD 0400FT OBS AT 1300Z AT SBPC STNR NC=  832 WOPS01 NFFN 151200 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  955 WOPS01 NFFN 151200 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  591 WWUS54 KJAN 151314 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 814 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-LAC067-151400- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0553.000000T0000Z-091015T1400Z/ ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA- 814 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR WESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY...AND NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 814 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF WEST CROSSETT TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST CROSSETT MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... WEST CROSSETT BY 825 AM CDT... OLD MILO BY 830 AM CDT... NORTH CROSSETT AND CROSSETT BY 835 AM CDT... HAMBURG BY 845 AM CDT... BEEKMAN...BERLIN AND BASTROP BY 900 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3321 9212 3331 9197 3335 9198 3338 9196 3321 9171 3290 9163 3268 9195 3271 9197 3271 9202 3269 9204 3272 9206 3281 9205 3287 9208 3299 9208 3302 9207 3309 9213 3315 9211 3318 9214 TIME...MOT...LOC 1314Z 297DEG 20KT 3326 9202 3292 9225 $$ COHEN  114 WUUS54 KSHV 151318 SVRSHV ARC139-LAC027-111-119-151415- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0355.091015T1318Z-091015T1415Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 818 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN UNION PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... NORTHERN CLAIBORNE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HOMER... NORTHERN WEBSTER PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... SOUTHWESTERN UNION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF JUNCTION CITY... * UNTIL 915 AM CDT * AT 817 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF HAYNESVILLE...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF MAGNOLIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WESSON... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. && LAT...LON 3290 9261 3273 9319 3285 9342 3301 9346 3302 9333 3302 9299 3304 9298 3305 9297 3317 9296 3311 9257 TIME...MOT...LOC 1317Z 281DEG 30KT 3306 9314 $$ PARKER  316 WAUS45 KKCI 151317 AAA WA5Z SLCZ WA 151317 AMD AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 151500 . AIRMET ICE...NV CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70WSW OED TO 40SSW REO TO 70NE RBL TO 30W OAL TO 40E MOD TO 40SSW SNS TO 70SW PYE TO 130WSW ENI TO 140WSW FOT TO 150WNW FOT TO 70WSW OED MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 100-140. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET ICE...MT FROM 50NNW ISN TO 70WSW DIK TO 70SSW GGW TO 20N HVR TO 50NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND 130. FRZLVL SFC-050. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET ICE...ID MT WY FROM 60SW YXC TO 20N HVR TO 70SSW GGW TO 70WSW DIK TO 60NW RAP TO 40SSW SHR TO 40SSW BOY TO 50SW BPI TO 50SE REO TO 60SSE GEG TO 60SW YXC MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 060-090. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET ICE...WY CO...UPDT FROM 70SW DDY TO BFF TO GLD TO PUB TO 40E DVC TO 70SW DDY MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...ICE ID MT WY BOUNDED BY 30N HVR-70SSW GGW-60SW DIK-70SW RAP-50S BOY-30E BPI-40SW BPI-50SE REO-60SSE GEG-60SSE FCA-50W HLN-40S HLN-30NW BIL-30N HVR MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 060-100. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-170 ACRS AREA SFC ALG 30S YQL-20SW ISN 040 ALG 30NNW HVR-30NE HVR-60WSW DIK 080 ALG 70NNW DNJ-30WNW DLN-30SW BIL-20E SHR-60SW RAP 120 ALG 30NNW FMG-70NE OAL-20NNW HVE-50SW HBU-40ESE LAA 160 ALG BZA-50SSW DRK-50SW INW-40SE ABQ-20WSW TXO ....  031 WSBY31 UMMS 151319 UMMV SIGMET 1 VALID 151320/151500 UMMS- UMMV MINSK FIR EMBD TSGR FCST E OF E027 TOP FL280 MOV NW 30KMH NC=  227 WSBY31 UMMS 151319 UMMV SIGMET 1 VALID 151320/151500 UMMS- UMMV MINSK FIR EMBD TSGR FCST E OF E027 TOP FL280 MOV NW 30KMH NC=  461 WSBY31 UMMS 151319 UMMV SIGMET 1 VALID 151320/151500 UMMS- UMMV MINSK FIR EMBD TSGR FCST E OF E027 TOP FL280 MOV NW 30KMH NC=  288 WWUS41 KBGM 151321 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 921 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON HEAVY WET SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET... .A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ALONG WITH A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION INTO THE REGION LATER TODAY. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGING TO MOSTLY SNOW TONIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE THE FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON. NYZ062-PAZ043-044-047-048-072-152130- /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0009.091015T1400Z-091016T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KBGM.WS.A.0004.091016T1200Z-091017T1200Z/ SULLIVAN-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON... WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE 921 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY WET SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE BY EVENING AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FT...WITH LITLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THE VALLEYS. ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS....BRINGING TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE POCONOS. THE HEAVY WET SNOW MAY CAUSE SCATTERED TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES UP THE EAST COAST. THEREFORE A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT INTO THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY...BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. && $$ NYZ022-024-055>057-PAZ038>040-152130- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.A.0004.091016T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ STEUBEN-CHEMUNG-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA- NORTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORNING...HORNELL...ELMIRA...OWEGO... BINGHAMTON...WALTON...DELHI...TOWANDA...SAYRE...MONTROSE 921 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY LATE MORNING. ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS THE PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT AS A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WITH MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED IN THE VALLEYS. TOWARD LATE AFTERNOON THE MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH A FEW WET SNOWFLAKES POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS. ONLY MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY. AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL ENOUGH THAT ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE 1500 FEET. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE BACK TO RAIN DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET. THIS ACCUMULATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW COMBINED WITH MANY TREES STILL CONTAINING LEAVES...WILL PRODUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY...BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. && $$  861 WGUS84 KLIX 151324 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 824 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY AND WASHINGTON PARISHES IN LOUISIANA AND HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-160724- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0052.091016T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.091016T1800Z.091019T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 824 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING OCTOBER 20TH. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. $$ 98/SO  637 WWST02 SBBR 151330 1 31 05 02 12 20 WARNING NR 672/2009 NEAR GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 GMT - THU - 15/OCT/2009 AREAS BRAVO AT EXTREME SW AND CHARLIE AT S OF 26S STARTING AT 151800 GMT. WIND SW/S FORCE 7 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 160600 GMT. WARNING NR 673/2009 NEAR GALE/GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 GMT - THU - 15/OCT/2009 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 30S AT E OF 030W STARTING AT 161800 GMT. WIND N/NW FORCE 7/8 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 171200 GMT. WARNING NR 674/2009 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 GMT - THU - 15/OCT/2009 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 30S AND E OF 30W STARTING AT 161800 GMT. WAVES FM N/NW BECMG SW 3.0/4.5 METERS. VALID UNTIL 171800 GMT. NNNN  734 WWUS54 KJAN 151332 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 832 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-LAC067-151400- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0553.000000T0000Z-091015T1400Z/ ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA- 832 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY...AND NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 832 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WEST CROSSETT TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CROSSETT TO 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF BASTROP MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BEEKMAN BY 850 AM CDT... BERLIN BY 855 AM CDT... BASTROP...GALION AND BONITA BY 900 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3321 9190 3321 9171 3290 9163 3268 9195 3271 9197 3271 9202 3269 9204 3272 9206 3281 9205 3287 9208 3299 9208 3302 9207 3309 9213 3315 9211 3318 9214 TIME...MOT...LOC 1332Z 293DEG 27KT 3312 9201 3299 9203 3288 9217 $$ COHEN  730 WOUS20 KWNS 151333 WWASPC SPC WW-A 151335 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-151440- STATUS REPORT ON WW 769 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..PETERS..10/15/09 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-027-139-151440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY COLUMBIA UNION $$ LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073- 081-083-107-111-119-123-127-151440- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151440- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  772 WWCN11 CWHX 151333 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:33 AM ADT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NOVA SCOTIA... FROST WARNING ENDED FOR: MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN AND THE FROST HAS DISSIPATED. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN AND THE FROST HAS DISSIPATED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END  773 WWCN14 CWHX 151333 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:33 AM ADT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK... FROST WARNING ENDED FOR: ACADIAN PENINSULA BATHURST AND CHALEUR REGION CAMPBELLTON AND EASTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY WESTERN HALF OF RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY FREDERICTON AND SOUTHERN YORK COUNTY FUNDY NATIONAL PARK GRAND FALLS AND VICTORIA COUNTY GRAND LAKE AND QUEENS COUNTY GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY KENT COUNTY KOUCHIBOUGUAC NATIONAL PARK MIRAMICHI AND AREA MONCTON AND SOUTHEAST NEW BRUNSWICK MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY OROMOCTO AND SUNBURY COUNTY SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY STANLEY - DOAKTOWN - BLACKVILLE AREA SUSSEX/KENNEBECASIS VALLEY AND KINGS COUNTY WOODSTOCK AND CARLETON COUNTY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN AND THE FROST HAS DISSIPATED. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN AND THE FROST HAS DISSIPATED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END  208 WGUS84 KSHV 151336 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 835 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 TXC423-499-161335- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MLAT2.2.ER.091005T1435Z.091014T1930Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 835 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER NEAR MINEOLA TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 815 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 18.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. $$ TXC183-423-459-499-161334- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /GDWT2.2.ER.091013T2318Z.091019T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 835 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER NEAR GLADEWATER TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 815 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY LATE MONDAY. $$ TXC183-401-161334- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LONT2.1.ER.091015T1800Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 835 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT LONGVIEW TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 515 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND AND CONTINUE TO REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. $$ TXC183-203-365-401-161334- /O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-091018T0359Z/ /BEKT2.1.ER.091013T1909Z.091015T0930Z.091017T0959Z.NO/ 835 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SABINE RIVER NEAR BECKVILLE TEXAS. * UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 745 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26 FEET. * FORECAST...EXPECT THE SABINE RIVER TO CONTINUE CRESTING NEAR 27 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY. $$  156 WGUS84 KFWD 151337 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 837 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS... SOUTH FORK OF THE SABINE NEAR QUINLAN AFFECTING HUNT AND ROCKWALL COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC231-397-151407- /O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-091015T1357Z/ /QLAT2.1.ER.091012T1141Z.091014T0600Z.091015T0148Z.NO/ 837 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE SOUTH FORK OF THE SABINE NEAR QUINLAN. * AT 0745 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.57 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. * FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. * LAST FORCAST. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON SOUTH FORK SABINE RIVER QUINLAN 15 10.6 THU 08 AM 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 $$  964 WABZ24 SBCW 151335 SBCW AIRMET 3 VALID 151335/151500 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 03 00M/0800M FG OVC CLD 0100FT/0300FT FCST WI S2441 W05341 - S2500 W0533 0 - S2547 W05352 - S2400 W05400 - S2441 W05341 STNR WKN=  028 WHUS71 KAKQ 151339 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 939 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ633-152145- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- 939 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ630-631-650-652-152145- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM- 939 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-654-152145- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO 20 NM- 939 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ656-152145- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- 939 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ658-152145- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 939 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$  464 WWMM31 KNGU 151200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK VA// SUBJ/MEDITERRANEAN, BLACK, AND BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND/SEAS WARNING// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 161200Z OCT 09. 2. SYNOPTIC SITUATION FOR 161200Z OCT 09, TO INCLUDE REGIONAL NEAR-GALE WIND EVENTS AND WEATHER HAZARDS. A. WEST MED: HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UNITED KINGDOM RIDGES SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN MEDITERRANEAN INTERACTING WITH A LOW OVER SICILY PRODUCING SUB-GALE NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY WIND WITH ASSOCIATED SEAS OVER LIONS AND UNICORN. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE WEST MED FOR THE PERIOD. B. CENT MED: LOW PRESSURE OVER SICILY PRODUCES MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. INTERACTION BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING SOUTH FROM THE UNITED KINGDOM AND THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW WILL PRODUCE SUB-GALE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FOR BONNY AND WESTERN MELITA, VENICE, CENTAUR, AND BOOT; AND WESTERLY FLOW FOR EASTERN MELITA AND SIDRA. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENT MED FOR THE PERIOD. C. EAST MED: LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BALKANS INTERACTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING SOUTHWEST INTO THE EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN FROM RUSSIA PRODUCING SUB-GALE EASTERLY FLOW FOR CRUSADE, TAURUS, AND DELTA; AND SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FOR MARTUH, JASON, AND AEGEAN. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE EAST MED FOR THE PERIOD. D. BLACK SEA: LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BALKANS INTERACTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER RUSSIA PRODUCING MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND SUB-GALE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FOR DANUBE. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE BLACK SEA FOR THE PERIOD. E. BALTIC SEA: THE TRAILING EDGE OF A COLD FRONT EXTENDS INTO THE BALTIC SEA PRODUCING MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FOR ALL NATO AREAS. INTERACTION BETWEEN THIS BOUNDARY AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UNITED KINGDOM WILL PRODUCE SUB-GALE NORTHERLY FLOW FOR SKGKAT. NO HIGH WINDS AND NO SEAS 12 FT (3.7M) OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED IN THE BALTIC SEA FOR THE PERIOD. 3. NO HIGH WIND WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 161200Z OCT 09. 4. NO HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 161200Z OCT 09. 5. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS AND MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND MASSES OR AREAS OF LESSER WINDS/SEAS. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD (1/3) OF COMBINED SEA AND SWELL WAVES, INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. 6. THE GRAPHICAL FORM OF THIS WARNING IS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD: UNCLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTPS://PORTAL.FNMOC.NAVY.MIL/ CLASSIFIED WEB SITE: HTTP://NOP.OCEANOGRAPHY.NAVY.SMIL.MIL/CONTENT/ NITDS/SWAN WEB SITE: HTTP:/WWW.USMETCEN.NATO.INT 7. NAVMARFCSTCEN NORFOLK, VA COMMAND DUTY OFFICER CAN BE CONTACTED VIA: DSN: 312-564-7583/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 COMM: 757-444-7583/STU-III 0963/FAX 0998 UNCLASS E-MAIL: MARITIME.CDO(AT)NAVY.MIL CLASSIFIED E-MAIL: CDO.NMFA_N.001.FCT(AT)NAVY.SMIL.MIL 8. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT CMFWC NAPLES TO BE ADDED OR REMOVED FROM THIS MESSAGE. 9. ALLIED UNITS PLEASE CONTACT MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC TO REQUEST INDIVIDUAL TAILORED SUPPORT. POC: MCC HQ NAPLES NOIC CDR EVANGELIDIS HN 0039 081 721 6337 (IVSN 433 6337) UNCLASSIFIED EMAIL: NOIC01(AT)AFSOUTH.NATO.INT. 10. THE NEXT MEDITERRANEAN/BLACK/BALTIC SEA HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING WILL BE KNGU WWMM30 VALID AT 170000Z OCT 09.//  831 WAAK47 PAWU 151340 WA7O JNUS WA 151345 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 152000 . CNTRL SE AK JC PAGN S MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF VCY PASI S MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 151345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 152000 . SRN SE AK JD AFT 18Z OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF S PASI OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. INTSF AND SPRDG N. . =JNUZ WA 151345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 152000 . NONE .  832 WAAK48 PAWU 151340 WA8O ANCS WA 151345 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 152000 . COOK INLET AND SUSITNA VLY AB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. IMPR. . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC VLYS TIL 18Z OCNL CIG BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. IMPR. . CNTRL GLF CST AD PRINC WILLIAM SOUND TIL 18Z OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. IMPR. . CNTRL GLF CST AD PAVD W MTS OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH ALUTN RANGE OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ PAAK W AND PAKO E MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS/ISOL PCPN. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK AMCHITKA E MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK AMCHITKA E OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -RA BR. NC. . =ANCT WA 151345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 152000 . BRISTOL BAY AH ISOL MOD TURB BLW 040. AREAS LLWS. WKN. . ADAK TO ATTU AK E OCFNT SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 30 KTS OR GTR. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK OCNL MOD TURB BLW 040. NC. . =ANCZ WA 151345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 152000 . NONE .  518 WAAK49 PAWU 151341 WA9O FAIS WA 151345 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 152000 . TANANA VLY FC AK RANGE OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG OCNL CIG BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -SN BR. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . NRN SEWARD PEN AND LWR KOBUK VLY FI S PAOT MTS OBSC CLDS. NC. . =FAIT WA 151345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 152000 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 151345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 152000 . NONE .  785 WWUS54 KJAN 151342 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 842 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-LAC067-151400- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0553.000000T0000Z-091015T1400Z/ ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA- 842 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY...AND NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 842 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BEEKMAN MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BEEKMAN AND BASTROP BY 855 AM CDT... GALION BY 900 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3321 9190 3321 9171 3290 9163 3268 9195 3271 9197 3271 9202 3269 9204 3272 9206 3281 9205 3287 9208 3299 9208 3302 9207 3309 9213 3315 9211 3318 9214 TIME...MOT...LOC 1342Z 286DEG 25KT 3298 9198 $$ COHEN  833 WWUS83 KUNR 151345 SPSUNR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 745 AM MDT THU OCT 15 2009 SDZ026-030-031-042>044-072>074-151600- BENNETT-CUSTER CO PLAINS-HERMOSA FOOT HILLS-JACKSON- PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-RAPID CITY-SHANNON-SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS- STURGIS/PIEDMONT FOOT HILLS- 745 AM MDT THU OCT 15 2009 .FOG WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA THROUGH MID MORNING. VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO UNDER ONE QUARTER MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS FOG INCLUDE STURGIS...RAPID CITY...WALL... MARTIN...KADOKA...AND HERMOSA. THIS WILL AFFECT TRAVELERS ALONG INTERSTATE 90 FROM KADOKA TO STURGIS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY LATE MORNING. $$  953 WAAK48 PAWU 151346 CCA WA8O ANCS WA 151346 COR AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 152000 . COOK INLET AND SUSITNA VLY AB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. IMPR. . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC VLYS TIL 18Z OCNL CIG BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. IMPR. . CNTRL GLF CST AD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TIL 18Z OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM BR. IMPR. . CNTRL GLF CST AD PAVD W MTS OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH ALUTN RANGE OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ PAAK W AND PAKO E MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS/ISOL PCPN. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK UPDT AMCHITKA E MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK UPDT AMCHITKA E OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -RA BR. NC. . =ANCT WA 151345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 152000 . BRISTOL BAY AH ISOL MOD TURB BLW 040. AREAS LLWS. WKN. . ADAK TO ATTU AK UPDT AMCHITKA E OCNL MOD TURB BLW 040. WKN. . =ANCZ WA 151345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 152000 . NONE .  366 WFUS54 KJAN 151347 TORJAN LAC067-151445- /O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0100.091015T1347Z-091015T1445Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 847 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN MOREHOUSE PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 945 AM CDT * AT 847 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES WEST OF BEEKMAN MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BEEKMAN BY 900 AM CDT... GALION BY 920 AM CDT... JONES BY 930 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3300 9208 3301 9207 3301 9157 3279 9160 3281 9206 3286 9207 3287 9208 3290 9208 3293 9207 3295 9208 TIME...MOT...LOC 1347Z 274DEG 23KT 3289 9198 $$ COHEN  052 WWST01 SABM 151331 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 09:00 UTC 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL PRIMERA PARTE: AVISO DE TEMPORAL FUERTE GRADIENTE BARICO EN 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS PROVOCA/N TEMPORAL FUERTE DEL OESTE EN 55 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 55 S 67 W 55 S 55 W ----------------------------------------------------------------- SEGUNDA PARTE: SITUACION SINOPTICA A LAS: 09:00 UTC DEL 15/OCTUBRE/2009 DEPRESION 1012 HPA EN 39 S 40 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 10 KTS EXTIENDE FRENTE FRIO EN 39 S 40 W 35 S 42 W 31 S 47 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS FRENTE CALIENTE EN 39 S 40 W 41 S 38 W 42 S 35 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL SUDESTE A 10 KTS FRENTE FRIO EN 42 S 35 W 43 S 30 W 45 S 26 W 49 S 20 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS DEPRESION 963 HPA EN 63 S 44 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS EXTIENDE FRENTE FRIO EN 62 S 5 W 65 S 40 W 60 S 33 W 55 S 36 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 58 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS FRENTE FRIO EN 63 S 63 W 60 S 61 W 55 S 62 W 52 S 75 W 52 S 77 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 15 KTS ANTICICLON 1021 HPA EN 37 S 62 W INTENSIFICANDOSE QUE SE DESPLAZA AL NORESTE A 10 KTS EXTIENDE EJE DE CUNIA EN 37 S 62 W 41 S 61 W 46 S 59 W 48 S 55 W QUE SE DESPLAZA AL ESTE A 10 KTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- TERCERA PARTE: PRONOSTICO DE LAS 12:00 UTC DEL 15/OCTUBRE/2009 VALIDO HASTA LAS 06:00 UTC DEL 16/OCTUBRE/2009 1- ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA: VIENTOS LEVES A MODERADOS DEL SECTOR ESTE ROTANDO AL NORTE/ ALGO A PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ NEBLINAS A PARTIR DE LA MADRUGADA/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. COSTAS DE ISLAS MALVINAS: VIENTOS REGULARES A FUERTES DEL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD EN AUMENTO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES HACIA EL FINAL DEL PERIODO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. 36 17'23'' S A 40 S: VIENTOS LEVES Y VARIABLES CAMBIANDO A MODERADOS DEL NOROESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ NEBLINAS A PARTIR DE LA NOCHE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. 40 S A 47 S: VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL OESTE CAMBIANDO A REGULARES DEL NOROESTE/ CIELO DESPEJADO A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 47 S A 52 S: VIENTOS FUERTES DEL OESTE ROTANDO AL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 52 S A 55 S: TEMPORAL DEL SUDOESTE/ RAFAGAS/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S A PARTIR DE LA NOCHE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2- AREAS OCEANICAS: 35 S 20 W 40 S 20 W 40 S 40 W 35 S 40 W 35 S 20 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL NOROESTE ROTANDO AL SUDOESTE/ CUBIERTO/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES/ MEJORANDO HACIA EL FINAL DEL PERIODO/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR A BUENA. 35 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 55 W 35 S 55 W 35 S 40 W : VIENTOS REGULARES DEL SECTOR SUR ROTANDO AL OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 40 S 20 W 45 S 20 W 45 S 40 W 40 S 40 W 40 S 20 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SUDOESTE CAMBIANDO A FUERTES DEL OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 40 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 50 W 40 S 50 W 40 S 40 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL OESTE CAMBIANDO A REGULARES DEL SUDOESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 40 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 60 W 40 S 60 W 40 S 50 W : VIENTOS MODERADOS DEL SECTOR OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 20 W 50 S 20 W 50 S 40 W 45 S 40 W 45 S 20 W : VIENTOS REGULARES DEL OESTE CAMBIANDO A FUERTES DEL NOROESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 50 W 45 S 50 W 45 S 40 W : VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ RAFAGAS/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 45 S 50 W 50 S 50 W 50 S 60 W 45 S 60 W 45 S 50 W : VIENTOS FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ RAFAGAS/ PARCIALMENTE A ALGO NUBLADO/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA. 50 S 20 W 60 S 20 W 60 S 40 W 50 S 40 W 50 S 20 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES DEL SECTOR OESTE/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE LLUVIA Y CHAPARRONES/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD MALA. 50 S 40 W 60 S 40 W 60 S 55 W 50 S 55 W 50 S 40 W : VIENTOS MUY FUERTES AUMENTANDO A TEMPORAL FUERTE RAFAGAS/ NUBOSIDAD VARIABLE/ PROBABILIDAD DE CHAPARRONES AISLADA/O/S/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA/ OCASIONALMENTE/ VISIBILIDAD REGULAR. 50 S 55 W 60 S 55 W 60 S 67 W 50 S 67 W 50 S 55 W : TEMPORAL FUERTE DEL SECTOR OESTE/ PARCIALMENTE NUBLADO A NUBLADO/ CHAPARRONES/ LLUVIA Y NIEVE MEZCLADA A PARTIR DE LA TARDE/ VISIBILIDAD BUENA A REGULAR. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN  262 WWUS41 KPHI 151348 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 948 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT... .RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BRING 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. NJZ001-152200- /O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.091015T1400Z-091016T1200Z/ SUSSEX- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWTON 948 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. WITH WINDS PICKING UP IN INTENSITY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TEMPERATURES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BEGIN TO DROP TURNING ANY FALLING PRECIPITATION INTO SNOW. THERE MAY BE ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE SYSTEM SPINS FURTHER OFFSHORE THE SNOW WILL BE COMING TO AN END FRIDAY MORNING WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TODAY...TONIGHT...AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ PAZ054-055-152200- /O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.091015T1400Z-091016T1200Z/ CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 948 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A STRONG COASTAL LOW WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. WITH WINDS PICKING UP IN INTENSITY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TEMPERATURES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BEGIN TO DROP TURNING ANY FALLING PRECIPITATION INTO SNOW. THERE MAY ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE SYSTEM SPINS FURTHER OFFSHORE THE SNOW WILL COMING TO AN END FRIDAY MORNING WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN POCONOS LATER TODAY...TONIGHT...AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ HEAVENER  396 ACPN50 PHFO 151350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST THU OCT 15 2009 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED...BUT PERSISTENT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH IS LOCATED ABOUT 870 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THERE MAY BE SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. $$ HOUSTON  617 WUUS54 KSHV 151351 SVRSHV LAC013-027-061-111-151430- /O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0356.091015T1351Z-091015T1430Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 851 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN LINCOLN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... UNION PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... NORTH CENTRAL BIENVILLE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 930 AM CDT * AT 849 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF BERNICE TO 19 MILES WEST OF BERNICE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JUNCTION CITY TO HOMER...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 40 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FARMERVILLE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. && LAT...LON 3269 9209 3269 9213 3267 9213 3260 9222 3254 9316 3272 9319 3290 9261 3301 9259 3301 9209 3272 9206 TIME...MOT...LOC 1350Z 353DEG 34KT 3291 9264 3277 9299 $$ PARKER  646 WGUS44 KFWD 151352 FLWFWD BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 852 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS... TRINITY RIVER NEAR LONG LAKE AFFECTING ANDERSON...FREESTONE AND LEON COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC001-161-289-160152- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0091.091016T2324Z-000000T0000Z/ /LOLT2.2.ER.091016T2324Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 852 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TRINITY RIVER NEAR LONG LAKE. * FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0830 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.21 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST * FORECAST...THE RIVER SHOULD RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR 40 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 40 FEET MODERATE FLOODING OF RANCHES ALONG THE RIVER IS EXPECTED. THE COFFIELD PRISON FARM AND RANCH LANDS WILL BE MODERATELY FLOODED. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 40.1 FEET ON DEC 25 1959. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TRINITY RIVER LONG LAKE 35 29.2 THU 08 AM 32.9 36.8 39.0 39.8 $$  766 WWUS54 KJAN 151352 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 852 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-151445- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0100.000000T0000Z-091015T1445Z/ MOREHOUSE LA- 852 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR NORTHERN MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 852 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BEEKMAN MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BEEKMAN BY 900 AM CDT... GALION BY 920 AM CDT... BONITA BY 930 AM CDT... JONES BY 935 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3300 9208 3301 9207 3301 9157 3279 9160 3281 9206 3286 9207 3287 9208 3290 9208 3293 9207 3295 9208 TIME...MOT...LOC 1352Z 274DEG 23KT 3290 9196 $$ COHEN  335 WGUS84 KFWD 151353 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 853 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA IN TEXAS... CHAMBERS CREEK NEAR RICE AFFECTING NAVARRO COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC349-160153- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-091017T0501Z/ /RCET2.3.ER.091013T2113Z.091014T1930Z.091016T1701Z.NO/ 853 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHAMBERS CREEK NEAR RICE. * UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0800 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.60 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON CHAMBERS CREEK RICE 24 29.6 THU 08 AM 26.6 18.4 15.1 12.5 $$  498 WSAU21 ASRF 151353 YMMM SIGMET SY08 VALID 151400/151800 YSRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY06 151000/151400  499 WSAU21 ASRF 151354 YBBB SIGMET SY07 VALID 151400/151800 YSRF- YBBB BRISBANE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY05 151000/151400  551 WGUS84 KFWD 151355 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 855 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS... TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD AFFECTING HENDERSON AND NAVARRO COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC213-349-160155- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-091020T2159Z/ /TDDT2.2.ER.091011T0730Z.091016T0600Z.091020T0959Z.NO/ 855 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD. * UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 0800 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 43.86 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 33 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 44 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TRINITY RIVER TRINIDAD 33 43.9 THU 08 AM 44.0 42.4 40.0 35.6 $$  559 WSUS32 KKCI 151355 SIGC MKCC WST 151355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 12C VALID UNTIL 1555Z MS LA AR TX FROM 50W MEM-30N IGB-10ENE MLU-10E GGG-50WSW LIT-50W MEM AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 30030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151555-151955 FROM 50NNE MSL-170S CEW-LEV-40WNW PSX-30NW CWK-60NNE TXK-50NNE MSL REF WW 769. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  560 WSUS31 KKCI 151355 SIGE MKCE WST 151355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151555-151955 AREA 1...FROM 50NNE MSL-40ENE GQO-PZD-CRG-220ENE OMN-170E PBI-RSW-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-50NNE MSL WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 110ESE SIE-180S ACK-180SE SBY-200ESE ECG-140SSE ILM-ORF-110ESE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  561 WSUS33 KKCI 151355 SIGW MKCW WST 151355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151555-151955 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  837 WHUS72 KMHX 151356 MWWMHX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 956 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ135-152000- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091015T2000Z/ PAMLICO SOUND- 956 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE SHIFTING WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ150-152-152200- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091019T1500Z/ S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM- S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM- 956 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ154-152200- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091019T1500Z/ S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 956 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ156-152200- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM- 956 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ158-152200- /O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM- 956 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG THE COAST WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  130 WHUS71 KCLE 151358 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 958 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 LEZ142>149-152200- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 958 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND UP TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES WILL OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVES GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO 7 FOOT RANGE THOUGH UP TO 8 FOOT WAVES ARE LIKELY ESPECIALLY ON WEST END OF THE LAKE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOMBARDY  552 WWUS54 KJAN 151358 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 858 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-LAC067-151408- /O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0553.000000T0000Z-091015T1400Z/ ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA- 858 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY... AND NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH WILL EXPIRE AT 900 AM CDT... HOWEVER...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR NORTHERN MOREHOUSE PARISH. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3321 9190 3321 9171 3290 9163 3268 9195 3271 9197 3271 9202 3269 9204 3272 9206 3281 9205 3287 9208 3299 9208 3302 9207 3309 9213 3315 9211 3318 9214 TIME...MOT...LOC 1358Z 286DEG 25KT 3295 9185 $$ COHEN  334 WGUS42 KFFC 151400 FLWFFC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN GEORGIA... OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING JOHNSON...WASHINGTON AND WILKINSON COUNTIES .RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND RIVERS...CAUSING THE RIVERS TO RISE. SOME POINTS ALONG THE RIVER SYSTEM WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN. THE LATEST STAGE DATA WAS FURNISHED IN COOPERATION WITH THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY. && GAC167-303-319-160400- /O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0120.091015T1400Z-000000T0000Z/ /OCNG1.1.ER.091015T1330Z.091015T1345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET...AND RISING SLOWLY. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. THE WATER LEVEL REACHES THE TOP OF THE OLD BALLS FERRY ROAD BOAT RAMP...JUST UPSTREAM AND RIGHTBANK FROM THE GEORGIA HIGHWAY 57 BRIDGE. MINOR FLOODING OF WOODLANDS NEAR THE RIVER OCCURS. $$  061 WSMP31 LMMM 151400 LMMM SIGMET 3 VALID 151400/151800 LMML- MALTA FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST E MALTA FIR TOP FL390 MOV E NC  552 WSMP31 LMMM 151400 LMMM SIGMET 3 VALID 151400/151800 LMML- MALTA FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST E MALTA FIR TOP FL390 MOV E NC  725 WWUS54 KJAN 151402 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 902 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-151445- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0100.000000T0000Z-091015T1445Z/ MOREHOUSE LA- 902 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 902 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BEEKMAN MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... GALION BY 915 AM CDT... BONITA BY 925 AM CDT... JONES BY 930 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3281 9198 3301 9195 3301 9157 3279 9160 TIME...MOT...LOC 1402Z 273DEG 23KT 3290 9185 $$ COHEN  666 WOUS64 KWNS 151403 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 903 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARC003-027-139-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY COLUMBIA UNION $$ LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073- 081-083-107-111-119-123-127-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...  991 WSRA31 RUKR 151403 UNKL SIGMET 2 VALID 151500/151800 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH INTSF=  124 WSRA31 RUKR 151403 UNKL SIGMET 2 VALID 151500/151800 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH INTSF=  243 WSRA31 RUKR 151403 UNKL SIGMET 2 VALID 151500/151800 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH INTSF=  275 WSCN35 CWEG 151405 SIGMET W3 CANCELLED AT 151405 CWEG- FZRA HAS WKND AND BECM LCL. END/GFA35/JS/CMAC-W  367 WHUS71 KBUF 151406 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1006 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 LOZ042-043-152215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-091016T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1006 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-152215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.091016T0000Z-091016T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- 1006 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY. EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE THIS EVENING. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  907 WHUS41 KPHI 151406 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1006 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ020>027-160300- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0025.091015T2100Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T0900Z-091017T0300Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC- CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1006 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A STRENGTHENING EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE DELAWARE COAST...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NEW JERSEY COAST...ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE MAY EXACERBATE FLOODING. HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST BETWEEN 530 PM AND 645 PM EDT. HIGH TIDE OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER ON THE BACK BAYS AND ALONG DELAWARE BAY. PLEASE DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE IN A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...AND DO NOT TRY TO DRIVE ACROSS ANY FLOODED ROADWAYS THAT YOU MAY ENCOUNTER. FOR THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES ON FRIDAY...MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 615 AM AND 715 AM EDT...AND THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS ARE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND 8.0 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING...AND WAVE ACTION MAY LEAD TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. THE MAJOR CONCERN IS THAT THE TRACK OF THE TWO SYSTEMS THAT WILL AFFECT US INTO THE WEEKEND MAY MAINTAIN AN EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND AND NOT ALLOW TIDAL WATERS TO DRAIN UNTIL EARLY ON MONDAY. BY THAT TIME...SEVEN HIGH TIDE CYCLES WILL HAVE OCCURRED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ NJZ012>014-160300- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T0900Z-091017T0300Z/ MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH- 1006 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. INCREASING EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE TIDES TO RISE ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT...RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS. IT SEEMS THAT THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE WILL NOT RESULT IN ANYTHING OTHER THAN VERY SPOTTY MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING OCCURS BETWEEN 530 PM AND 630 PM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES ON FRIDAY...MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT AND RARITAN BAY THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 615 AM AND 715 AM EDT... AND THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS ARE 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING...AND WAVE ACTION MAY LEAD TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. THE MAJOR CONCERN IS THAT THE TRACK OF THE TWO SYSTEMS THAT WILL AFFECT US INTO THE WEEKEND WILL MAINTAIN AN EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND AND NOT ALLOW TIDAL WATERS TO DRAIN UNTIL EARLY ON MONDAY. BY THAT TIME...SEVEN HIGH TIDE CYCLES WILL HAVE OCCURRED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$  347 WWUS54 KJAN 151411 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 911 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-151445- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0100.000000T0000Z-091015T1445Z/ MOREHOUSE LA- 911 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 911 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GALION MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BONITA AND JONES BY 925 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3281 9190 3301 9188 3301 9157 3279 9160 TIME...MOT...LOC 1411Z 273DEG 23KT 3289 9176 $$ COHEN  600 WSFR34 LFPW 151409 LFMM SIGMET 10 VALID 151400/151700 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E0530 ON MAR/COT MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  819 WSFR34 LFPW 151409 LFMM SIGMET 10 VALID 151400/151700 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4330 EAST OF E0530 ON MAR/COT MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  349 WWUS54 KJAN 151417 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 917 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-151445- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0100.000000T0000Z-091015T1445Z/ MOREHOUSE LA- 917 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 918 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GALION MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... JONES BY 925 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3282 9182 3301 9181 3301 9157 3281 9160 TIME...MOT...LOC 1418Z 273DEG 23KT 3289 9171 $$ COHEN  188 WWUS41 KCTP 151418 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1018 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...UNUSUAL EARLY SEASON DAMAGING HEAVY WET SNOW POSSIBLE... .A STORM DEVELOPING TO OUR SOUTHWEST WILL FORCE RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE ABNORMALLY CHILLY AIR IN PLACE OVER THE STATE WILL LEAD TO A VERY EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL STAY MAINLY RAIN. THE STORM WILL LAST QUITE A WHILE...ABOUT TWO DAYS. WHILE THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY NOT BE DEEP...THE HEAVY AND WET CHARACTER OF THE SNOW WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND POSSIBLY TO POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL OVER THE RIDGES MAY ALSO BECOME HAZARDOUS. PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-037-041-042-160230- /O.EXT.KCTP.WS.W.0005.091015T1415Z-091017T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- 1018 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. RAIN AND SNOW OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS MORNING WILL BECOME MOSTLY SNOW BY AFTERNOON. BY SUNSET...A GENERAL ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ON TREES...GRASS AND COLDER OUTDOOR OBJECTS BY LATE AFTERNOON...WHILE ROADS AND MOST SIDEWALKS REMAIN WET OR SLIGHTLY SLUSHY. THIS SNOW WILL BE A VERY HEAVY AND WET SNOW WITH A HIGH WATER- CONTENT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. BUT...EVEN THE VALLEYS WILL GET A FEW INCHES OF THIS SLUSHY SNOW. MUCH OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT NIGHT...AS THE WARMING EFFECT OF THE SUN IS MUCH STRONGER NOW THAN IT IS IN THE MIDDLE OF WINTER. THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL COLLECT MAINLY ON THE TREES AND COLDER SURFACES...BUT THE ROADS MAY BE GENERALLY WET AS THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON TREES THAT STILL HAVE MOST OF THE LEAVES ON THEM WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND EVEN SOME POWER OUTAGES. EXPECT A TOTAL OF 4 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL BY SATURDAY MORNING. AGAIN...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ON THE RIDGE TOPS... AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKET AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ019-024-025-033-034-045-046-160230- /O.EXT.KCTP.WW.Y.0038.091015T1418Z-091017T1200Z/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING- 1018 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BE ELEVATION DEPENDENT FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 36 HOURS. IN THE VALLEYS...PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...OCCASIONALLY MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO SNOW WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION. HOWEVER...ON THE RIDGES RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO MOSTLY WET SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE AS MAINLY SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT. THE VALLEYS WILL HAVE MIXED RAIN AND SNOW CONTINUE TONIGHT...AS THE SNOW LEVEL DROPS TO ELEVATIONS BELOW 1400 FEET LATE TONIGHT. FRIDAY WILL FEATURE A SIMILAR MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS...WHILE RIDGES SEE MOSTLY SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL LOWER EVEN FURTHER AFTER SUNSET ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MAY ENHANCE THE PRECIPITATION AGAIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING SATURDAY. THE SNOW WILL BE VERY WET AND HEAVY WITH A HIGH WATER CONTENT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE VALLEY LOCATIONS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE SNOW ON THE GROUND UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. BUT...EVEN THE VALLEYS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE AN INCH OR TWO OF THIS SLUSHY SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT NIGHT IN VALLEY LOCATIONS. THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL COLLECT MAINLY ON THE TREES AND COLDER SURFACES...BUT THE ROADS MAY BE GENERALLY WET AS THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON TREES THAT STILL HAVE MOST OF THE LEAVES ON THEM WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND PERHAPS A FEW POWER OUTAGES...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING SHOULD RANGE FROM AROUND 2 INCHES IN THE VALLEYS TO 6 INCHES ON THE RIDGE TOPS. THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES. IF THIS BECOMES IMMINENT... THIS ADVISORY WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ026>028-035-049>053-058-160230- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0038.091016T0600Z-091017T1200Z/ HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL- 1018 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN THE VALLEYS...WHILE RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW AT TIMES TODAY ON THE RIDGES...WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BEFORE SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TURN TO MAINLY SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATER TONIGHT. THE VALLEYS WILL HAVE RAIN FOR MOST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL START TO LOWER DOWN TO ELEVATIONS BELOW 1400 FEET LATE TONIGHT. WHILE MUCH OF FRIDAY WILL ALSO ONLY HOLD RAIN FOR THE VALLEYS...THE SNOW LEVEL SHOULD THEN LOWER EVEN FURTHER AFTER SUNSET ON FRIDAY. THIS SNOW WILL BE A VERY HEAVY AND WET SNOW WITH A HIGH WATER- CONTENT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE VALLEY LOCATIONS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE SNOW ON THE GROUND UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. BUT...EVEN THE VALLEYS WILL GET AN INCH OR TWO OF THIS SLUSHY SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT NIGHT...AS THE WARMING EFFECT OF THE SUN IS MUCH STRONGER NOW THAN IT IS IN THE MIDDLE OF WINTER. THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL COLLECT MAINLY ON THE TREES AND COLDER SURFACES...BUT THE ROADS MAY BE GENERALLY WET AS THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON TREES THAT STILL HAVE MOST OF THE LEAVES ON THEM WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND PERHAPS A FEW POWER OUTAGES...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. EXPECT A TOTAL OF ONLY 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL BY SATURDAY MORNING. AGAIN...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ON THE HIGHEST RIDGE TOPS...AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$  399 WGUS84 KJAN 151421 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 921 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI.. BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM. && MSC007-051-162021- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WSTM6.2.ER.091006T0355Z.091016T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 921 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. * IMPACT AT 21 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER WEST 15 21.8 THU 09 AM 22.2 22.2 21.7 22.3 FRI 01 PM $$ MSC089-163-162020- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BTAM6.2.ER.091004T0615Z.091021T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 921 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27 FEET BY 10/21. * IMPACT AT 26 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER BENTONIA 22 26.4 THU 08 AM 26.7 26.8 26.8 27 WED 10/21 $$ MSC049-149-162020- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BOVM6.1.ER.091005T0431Z.091024T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 921 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 28 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACT AT 32.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER WARRIOR'S TRAIL ROAD. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER BOVINA 28 32.7 THU 08 AM 33.4 33.4 33.6 34.5 FRI 10/23 $$  454 WWCN11 CWTO 151422 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:22 AM EDT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO... FROST WARNING ENDED FOR: CALEDON NEWMARKET - GEORGINA - NORTHERN YORK REGION PICKERING - OSHAWA - SOUTHERN DURHAM REGION UXBRIDGE - BEAVERTON - NORTHERN DURHAM REGION HURON - PERTH WATERLOO - WELLINGTON DUFFERIN - INNISFIL GREY - BRUCE BARRIE - COLLINGWOOD - HILLSDALE BELLEVILLE - QUINTE - NORTHUMBERLAND KINGSTON - PRINCE EDWARD STIRLING - TWEED - SOUTH FRONTENAC BROCKVILLE - LEEDS AND GRENVILLE CITY OF OTTAWA GATINEAU PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL CORNWALL - MORRISBURG SMITHS FALLS - LANARK - SHARBOT LAKE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE NOW CLIMBED ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT OVER ALL REGIONS AND THE THREAT FOR FROST HAS ENDED. NOTE THAT AS OF TODAY ENVIRONMENT CANADAS FROST WARNING PROGRAM OFFICIALLY ENDS FOR THE SEASON FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ONTARIO. THE EXCEPTION IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO WHERE THE FROST WARNING PROGRAM CONTINUES UNTIL OCTOBER 30TH FOR THE FOLLOWING REGIONS: WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT SARNIA - LAMBTON ELGIN SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND NIAGARA CITY OF HAMILTON PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/OSPC  820 WUUS54 KJAN 151424 SVRJAN LAC067-083-151545- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0554.091015T1424Z-091015T1545Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 924 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BASTROP... RICHLAND PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...START...RAYVILLE... * UNTIL 1045 AM CDT * AT 924 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF BASTROP TO 21 MILES WEST OF BASTROP TO 45 MILES WEST OF BASTROP MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BASTROP BY 940 AM CDT... START BY 1010 AM CDT... RAYVILLE AND BUCKNER BY 1015 AM CDT... ALTO BY 1020 AM CDT... HOLLY RIDGE AND ARCHIBALD BY 1025 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3287 9184 3264 9160 3246 9159 3218 9196 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3230 9203 3239 9200 3252 9191 3267 9191 3266 9194 3271 9197 3270 9205 3286 9207 TIME...MOT...LOC 1424Z 334DEG 33KT 3291 9202 3267 9225 3259 9265 $$ COHEN  472 WWUS54 KJAN 151425 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 925 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-151445- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0100.000000T0000Z-091015T1445Z/ MOREHOUSE LA- 925 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISH... AT 926 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BONITA MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3282 9160 3284 9174 3301 9174 3301 9157 TIME...MOT...LOC 1426Z 273DEG 23KT 3290 9162 $$ COHEN  882 WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 57N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12.1N 140.2E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 13.3N 134.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 57N 170E 57N 180E 30N 180E 30N 175E 35N 175E 40N 170E 57N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 131E SE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 42N 147E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 156E EAST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 115E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 124E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 37N 140E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 24N 160E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 173E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 156E TO 34N 159E 34N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 156E TO 31N 152E 29N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 146E TO 27N 136E 25N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 170E TO 32N 175E 35N 180E 34N 177W 33N 176W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  035 WHUS71 KLWX 151427 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1027 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ531>534-537>541-543-152230- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 1027 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ530-535-536-542-152230- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.091015T1600Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- 1027 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  996 WWUS54 KJAN 151428 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 928 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-151438- /O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0100.000000T0000Z-091015T1445Z/ MOREHOUSE LA- 928 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISH IS CANCELLED... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO WARNING HAS WEAKENED. HOWEVER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3282 9160 3284 9174 3301 9174 3301 9157 TIME...MOT...LOC 1428Z 273DEG 23KT 3290 9161 $$ COHEN  486 WHUS73 KLOT 151429 MWWLOT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 929 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LMZ740>742-152230- /O.CON.KLOT.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-091016T1300Z/ WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR- WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND- NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR- 929 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE EAST. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET TO OCCUR. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  829 WAUS41 KKCI 151445 WA1Z BOSZ WA 151445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET ICE...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SSE YOW TO 90SSW YSJ TO 200SE ACK TO 180SE SIE TO 20ESE CSN TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO DXO TO 30SSE YOW MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL 030-110. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET ICE...NJ MD DE VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20ESE CSN TO 180SE SIE TO 200ESE ECG TO 50S ODF TO 50WNW ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO 20ESE CSN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 00-03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 010-115 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 030-070 BOUNDED BY 50SSW JHW-30WSW CYN-50SW JST- 40WSW ROD-40ESE FWA-50SSW JHW 040 ALG 20NE FWA-30ESE JST-20S HTO-140ESE ACK 080 ALG 20NNW CVG-30NNW HNN-50ESE EKN-60SE CYN-190S ACK ....  830 WAUS42 KKCI 151445 WA2Z MIAZ WA 151445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET ICE...NC SC GA NJ MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20ESE CSN TO 180SE SIE TO 200ESE ECG TO 50S ODF TO 50WNW ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO 20ESE CSN MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 00-03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 105-170 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 30E VXV-40SSW GSO-60E ECG-180E ECG 160 ALG 90SSE SJI-90SSW CEW-170W PIE 160 ALG 100WSW RSW-80SW RSW-30SE MIA-120SE MIA ....  831 WAUS43 KKCI 151445 WA3Z CHIZ WA 151445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET ICE...KY TN AL FROM CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 20NNE VUZ TO 30SW BNA TO LOZ TO CVG MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL230. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET ICE...ND SD NE MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN FROM 40NNW ISN TO YQT TO 70SSE SSM TO 40WNW YVV TO 50ENE ECK TO FWA TO 40WSW ROD TO 20NE UIN TO OVR TO 20SSE PIR TO 80SW DIK TO 40NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL SFC-070. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-125 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 020-100 BOUNDED BY 30WSW ISN-20SSE FSD-40SE JOT- 50ESE IND-20SSE TTH-30WSW STL-20S OBH-ANW-50WNW ANW-100SE MLS-30WSW ISN 040 ALG 60WSW DIK-50NNE ANW-90S FSD-50SSW BDF-20NE FWA 080 ALG 60SW RAP-60SE OBH-30E STL-20NNW CVG 120 ALG RZC-30E BWG-40SSW LOZ ....  832 WAUS44 KKCI 151445 WA4Z DFWZ WA 151445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET ICE...TN AL KY FROM CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 20NNE VUZ TO 30SW BNA TO LOZ TO CVG MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL230. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 110-180 ACRS AREA 120 ALG LBL-TUL-RZC 160 ALG 50SSW TXO-50NW ABI-20SSE ACT-90SSE SJI ....  833 WAUS45 KKCI 151445 WA5Z SLCZ WA 151445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET ICE...ID MT WY UT WA OR FROM YKM TO 60ESE DLN TO 60ESE MLD TO 30SW DSD TO 50WSW PDX TO YKM MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND 140. FRZLVL SFC-100. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET ICE...ID MT WY UT CO FROM 40SW YXC TO 50NNW ISN TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO CYS TO CHE TO 60ESE MLD TO 60ESE DLN TO 40SW YXC MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL SFC-100. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET ICE...CO FROM BFF TO GLD TO PUB TO 50SW HBU TO CHE TO CYS TO BFF MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL220. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z AREA 1...ICE MT WY CO NM BOUNDED BY 50NNW ISN-70SW RAP-BFF-20NNW GLD-50WSW LBL-20SW TBE-30ESE CYS-30W CHE-20SW OCS-20WSW SHR-70SSW YXH-50NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL 050-100. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. . AREA 2...ICE ID MT WY WA OR AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY HUH-60E DLN-50SSW JAC-PIH-50SSE BKE-20SW LKV-110WNW ONP-150W TOU-HUH MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS DVLPG 21-00Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-170 ACRS AREA SFC ALG 70S YYN-50NW ISN-50NNW ISN 040 ALG 30N HVR-30SSE GGW-60WSW DIK 080 ALG 80SSE GEG-40NW DLN-40W BIL-30NE CZI-60SW RAP 120 ALG 80N FMG-20WSW HBU-50W PUB-40WNW LBL 160 ALG 40S EED-40SW INW-50SSW TXO ....  834 WAUS46 KKCI 151445 WA6Z SFOZ WA 151445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET ICE...WA OR ID MT WY UT FROM YKM TO 60ESE DLN TO 60ESE MLD TO 30SW DSD TO 50WSW PDX TO YKM MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND 140. FRZLVL SFC-100. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...ICE WA OR ID MT WY AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY HUH-60E DLN-50SSW JAC-PIH-50SSE BKE-20SW LKV-110WNW ONP-150W TOU-HUH MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS DVLPG 21-00Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 060-165 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 150WSW TOU-30N HQM-YKM-80SSE GEG 120 ALG 140WNW FOT-80N FMG 160 ALG 150WSW RZS-80W RZS-30ENE RZS-30NE TRM-40S EED ....  937 WWUS84 KJAN 151432 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 932 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAZ007>009-151515- MOREHOUSE LA-WEST CARROLL LA-EAST CARROLL LA- 932 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL PASS BETWEEN KILBOURNE AND OAK GROVE... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF OAK GROVE AT 930 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN NORTH CENTRAL EAST CARROLL...NORTHERN WEST CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ 40  169 WAUS41 KKCI 151445 WA1T BOST WA 151445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB AND STG SFC WNDS VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET TURB...NH MA RI CT NY NJ PA OH WV MD DC DE VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 150ENE ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO 150ESE ILM TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO 150ENE ACK MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET TURB...MA RI CT NY NJ MD DE VA NC AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NNW ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO 150ESE ILM TO 70ENE ILM TO 30N ORF TO 20ESE SAX TO 20NNW ACK MOD TURB BLW 080. CONDS DVLPG 16-18Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...STG SFC WNDS MA RI NY NJ MD DE VA CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 50ESE ACK-190SE ACK-70SE SBY-20ESE CYN-40SW HTO-50ESE ACK SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS GTR THAN 30KT EXP. CONDS DVLPG 21-00Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  170 WAUS43 KKCI 151445 WA3T CHIT WA 151445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET TURB...SD NE KS IA MO IL IN KY OK TX AR TN MS AL FROM 60SW RAP TO ANW TO 40SSE OVR TO 20SSE UIN TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO MLC TO 20N CDS TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 60SW RAP MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  171 WAUS44 KKCI 151445 WA4T DFWT WA 151445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET TURB...OK TX AR TN MS AL SD NE KS IA MO IL IN KY FROM 60SW RAP TO ANW TO 40SSE OVR TO 20SSE UIN TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO MLC TO 20N CDS TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 60SW RAP MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  172 WAUS45 KKCI 151445 WA5T SLCT WA 151445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY NV UT CO NM WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40SSE YQL TO 60SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO RSK TO BAM TO 110W ONP TO 140W TOU TO HUH TO 40SSE YQL MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET TURB...CO NM FROM SNY TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO 30SE TCC TO 50WSW RSK TO 40S OCS TO SNY MOD TURB BLW FL180. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 00-03Z. . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY NV UT WA OR CA FROM 60NW GGW TO 20SW LAR TO 50NNW MTU TO BOI TO FMG TO 40SW ENI TO FOT TO 20NNW TOU TO 60NW GGW MOD TURB BLW 160. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  173 WAUS46 KKCI 151445 WA6T SFOT WA 151445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET TURB...WA OR CA ID MT WY NV UT CO NM AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40SSE YQL TO 60SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO RSK TO BAM TO 110W ONP TO 140W TOU TO HUH TO 40SSE YQL MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET TURB...WA OR CA ID MT WY NV UT FROM 60NW GGW TO 20SW LAR TO 50NNW MTU TO BOI TO FMG TO 40SW ENI TO FOT TO 20NNW TOU TO 60NW GGW MOD TURB BLW 160. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  387 WAUS42 KKCI 151445 WA2T MIAT WA 151445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET TURB...NC SC GA NH MA RI CT NY NJ PA OH WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 150ENE ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO 150ESE ILM TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO 150ENE ACK MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET TURB...NC MA RI CT NY NJ MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NNW ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO 150ESE ILM TO 70ENE ILM TO 30N ORF TO 20ESE SAX TO 20NNW ACK MOD TURB BLW 080. CONDS DVLPG 16-18Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  703 WSGL31 BGSF 151433 BGGL SIGMET 1 VALID 151430/151830 BGSF- BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR SEV TURB FCST OVER S-GREENLAND S OF N6130 AND E OF W04630 BLW FL080 STNR NC=  251 WOUS20 KWNS 151435 WWASPC SPC WW-A 151440 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-151540- STATUS REPORT ON WW 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE SHV TO 30 SW ELD TO 30 SSE ELD TO 30 NNW MLU TO 35 SSW LLQ. ..PETERS..10/15/09 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC003-151540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY $$ LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073- 081-083-107-111-119-123-127-151540- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  373 WAUS41 KKCI 151445 WA1S BOSS WA 151445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET IFR...MA RI CT NY NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30WSW ALB TO 130S ACK TO 20NE ECG TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO 60SW DXO TO 20W JHW TO 30WSW ALB CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NY PA WV MD VA NC SC GA FROM SYR TO ALB TO HAR TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW TO SYR MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  374 WAUS42 KKCI 151445 WA2S MIAS WA 151445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20ESE ORF TO 80SE ECG TO 90SE ILM TO 40W OMN TO 50WSW TLH TO 50SW PZD TO GQO TO HMV TO 20ESE ORF CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NC SC GA NY PA WV MD VA FROM SYR TO ALB TO HAR TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW TO SYR MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  375 WAUS43 KKCI 151445 WA3S CHIS WA 151445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET IFR...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LS MI IL IN KY FROM 70NNW ISN TO 20NNE INL TO 20SE RHI TO 20W JOT TO FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO 50S SGF TO OSW TO 40N GAG TO 60NW END TO 50SE HLC TO 60SW OBH TO 70NW RAP TO 70NNW ISN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...KY TN FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...IFR ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI IL IN KY BOUNDED BY 60NNE ISN-60SSE YWG-IND-CVG-HNN-HMV-50WSW BWG-50NW ARG-30E RZC-30WNW RZC-70WSW FOD-20ENE BIS-60NNE ISN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  407 WAUS44 KKCI 151445 WA4S DFWS WA 151445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET IFR...OK TX AR TN LA MS AL FROM OSW TO 50S SGF TO HMV TO GQO TO 50SW PZD TO 40NNW CEW TO BTR TO 30SSW ELD TO 30NNE JCT TO 30ESE MAF TO 60WSW LBB TO 30S CDS TO 40N GAG TO OSW CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TN KY FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...IFR OK TX AR TN LA MS AL BOUNDED BY 50WSW BWG-HMV-GQO-40S LGC-40SE LFK-20W GGG-30W EIC- 60W TXK-50WSW BWG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  408 WAUS45 KKCI 151445 WA5S SLCS WA 151445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 152100 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...UT CO FROM 40SSE LAR TO 20NNW ALS TO 50SSW HBU TO 30ESE DVC TO 40E MTU TO 40SSE LAR MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ID MT WA FROM 30S YQL TO 40E DLN TO 40ENE DNJ TO 40SE YDC TO 30S YQL MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. ....  739 WAUS46 KKCI 151445 WA6S SFOS WA 151445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 152100 . AIRMET IFR...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20N PYE TO SNS TO 30NNW RZS TO 50SW HEC TO 40ESE MZB TO 210SW MZB TO 120WSW PYE TO 20N PYE CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WA OR CA FROM 20NE HUH TO 30SE YDC TO 60S YKM TO 30SSW OED TO ENI TO 20N RZS TO 30NNE LAX TO 50ESE MZB TO 30S MZB TO LAX TO 30W RZS TO 30W ENI TO 20SSW FOT TO 80WNW OED TO 40SSE HQM TO TOU TO 20NE HUH MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WA ID MT FROM 30S YQL TO 40E DLN TO 40ENE DNJ TO 40SE YDC TO 30S YQL MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. ....  990 WWUS54 KJAN 151437 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 937 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-083-151545- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0554.000000T0000Z-091015T1545Z/ MOREHOUSE LA-RICHLAND LA- 937 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR RICHLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES... AT 937 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BASTROP TO 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BASTROP TO 40 MILES WEST OF BUCKNER MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BASTROP BY 950 AM CDT... MER ROUGE BY 955 AM CDT... COLLINSTON BY 1000 AM CDT... OAK RIDGE BY 1015 AM CDT... START BY 1025 AM CDT... RAYVILLE BY 1035 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3287 9184 3264 9160 3246 9159 3218 9196 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3230 9203 3239 9200 3252 9191 3267 9191 3266 9194 3271 9197 3270 9205 3286 9207 TIME...MOT...LOC 1437Z 330DEG 23KT 3283 9196 3263 9222 3252 9258 $$ COHEN  086 WSGL31 BGSF 151433 BGGL SIGMET 1 VALID 151430/151830 BGSF- BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR SEV TURB FCST OVER S-GREENLAND S OF N6130 AND E OF W04630 BLW FL080 STNR NC=  135 WWUS82 KTBW 151439 SPSTBW SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1039 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-152300- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL... NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG... BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON... WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA... PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 1039 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FIRST STRONG COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON TO MOVE THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT USHERING IN MUCH DRIER AND NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND... A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL PUSH THE FIRST STRONG COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY. CURRENT TIMING OF THE FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE NATURE COAST DURING FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING SOUTH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AMPLE MOISTURE AND ADEQUATE INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH MODERATE PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY SUPPORT SOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION... WITH THE MAIN HAZARDS BEING ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES AND MARINE WATERSPOUTS. ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORID SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR LOCATIONS...MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT A MUCH DRIER AND NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR MASS WILL OVERSPREAD ALL OF THE REGION LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND ON A BRISK NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS...THEN WILL FALL TO SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER 70S OVER THE NATURE COAST...MID 70S CENTRAL...AND UPPER 70S FAR SOUTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE QUITE COOL WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S OVER THE NATURE COAST...TO THE LOWER AND MID 50S CENTRAL...AND UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 FAR SOUTH. A BRISK NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY WIND FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE CHOPPY ROUGH SEAS OVER THE GULF WATERS AND INCREASE THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG AREA BEACHES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THE INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS...AND MARINERS... FISHERMEN...AND BOATING ENTHUSIASTS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE TRIPS INTO THE GULF UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE EARLY NEXT WEEK. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. $$ MCMICHAEL  726 WWUS54 KJAN 151443 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 943 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-083-151545- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0554.000000T0000Z-091015T1545Z/ MOREHOUSE LA-RICHLAND LA- 943 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR RICHLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES... AT 944 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BASTROP TO 20 MILES WEST OF COLLINSTON TO 38 MILES WEST OF BUCKNER MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BASTROP BY 950 AM CDT... MER ROUGE BY 955 AM CDT... COLLINSTON BY 1000 AM CDT... OAK RIDGE BY 1015 AM CDT... START BY 1025 AM CDT... RAYVILLE BY 1035 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3287 9184 3264 9160 3246 9159 3218 9196 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3230 9203 3239 9200 3252 9191 3267 9191 3266 9194 3271 9197 3270 9205 3286 9207 TIME...MOT...LOC 1444Z 330DEG 23KT 3279 9193 3259 9219 3248 9255 $$ COHEN  940 WGUS84 KMEG 151444 FLSMEG FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 944 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CANCELLED OR EXPIRED FOR THE TENN-TOM WATERWAY...TOMBIGBEE RIVER...TOMBIGBEE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST RIVER INFORMATION. && MSC095-151514- /O.EXP.KMEG.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091015T1418Z/ /BGBM6.1.ER.091014T0632Z.091014T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 944 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 FORECAST INFORMATION FOR TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT BIGBEE * AT 07 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET * NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON * AT 14.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICLTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING $$ MSC095-151514- /O.CAN.KMEG.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-091016T0352Z/ /AMYM6.1.ER.091014T0503Z.091014T1845Z.091015T1046Z.NO/ 944 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 FORECAST INFORMATION FOR TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR AMORY * AT 08 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET * NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 19.0 FEET THIS AFTERNOON * AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS $$  210 WWUS74 KJAN 151444 NPWJAN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 944 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...PATCHY DENSE FOG NOW DISSIPATING OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... MSZ043-048-049-151545- /O.CAN.KJAN.FG.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-091015T1600Z/ MADISON MS-HINDS-RANKIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND 944 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE PATCHY DENSE FOG AND VERY LOW CLOUDS THAT EXISTED OVER THE JACKSON METRO AREA AND SURROUNDING COUNTIES EARLIER THIS MORNING IS NOW LIFTING. VISIBILITIES ARE CONTINUING TO IMPROVE AREAWIDE. $$ HAMRICK  522 WGUS84 KMEG 151445 FLSMEG FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 945 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THURSDAY EVENING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST RIVER INFORMATION. && MSC087-095-160545- /O.EXT.KMEG.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-091019T2200Z/ /ABDM6.1.ER.091014T0437Z.091016T1800Z.091019T1600Z.NO/ 945 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUTTAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR ABERDEEN * UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING * AT 08 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * MAXIMUM FORECAST STAGE OF 16.7 FEET TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET * THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING. * AT 18.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER AIRBASE ROAD ON THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER $$  755 WACN32 CWEG 151448 AIRMET A1 ISSUED AT 1448Z CWEG- AMEND GFACN32 CWUL 151130 ISSUE WTN 60 NM OF LN /5551N11852W/40 N GRANDE PRAIRIE - /5355N11801W/30 E GRANDE CACHE - /5057N11211W/80 NW MEDICINE HAT. PLEASE ADD PTCHY 3-6SM -FZDZ BR GVG MDT CLR ICG BLO 050. LTL CHG UNTIL 20Z THEN T WILL RISE ABV ZERO. END/GFA32/YG/CMAC-W  723 WSUS32 KKCI 151455 SIGC MKCC WST 151455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 13C VALID UNTIL 1655Z AL MS LA AR TX FROM 30SW MEM-30W VUZ-20SSE MLU-40ESE GGG-30WNW ELD-30SW MEM AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 30030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151655-152055 FROM LIT-60N IGB-VUZ-170S CEW-LEV-40WNW PSX-30NW CWK-LIT REF WW 769. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  726 WSUS31 KKCI 151455 SIGE MKCE WST 151455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151655-152055 AREA 1...FROM 30ENE GQO-ODF-PZD-CRG-220ENE OMN-170E PBI-RSW-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-VUZ-30ENE GQO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 110ESE SIE-180S ACK-180SE SBY-200ESE ECG-130SSE ILM-ORF-110ESE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  727 WSUS33 KKCI 151455 SIGW MKCW WST 151455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151655-152055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  468 ACUS44 KWBC 151450 SCCNS4 STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR NORTH-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WINTER STORM NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1100 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON SNOW STORM DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA... WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR NORTH-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...WHILE WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN NEW YORK STATE FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 1000 AM EDT... A 1005 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TODAY AS IT LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS SHOW A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL FROM THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION. SNOW WAS REPORTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES. THE AREA OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE COASTAL LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTH. COLDER AIR WILL GET PULLED INTO THE NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION WITH THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR PENNSYLVANIA SEEING ACCUMULATING SNOWS. THE HIGHEST PEAKS COULD SEE IN EXCESS OF SIX INCHES OF SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. ALONG WITH THE HEAVY SNOW...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. ECKERT $$  214 WGUS84 KSHV 151454 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 954 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-139-161454- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /FELA4.1.ER.091012T1317Z.091027T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 954 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT FELSENTHAL LOCK AND DAM ARKANSAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 900 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 73.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 70 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 80.0 FEET BY OCTOBER 27. EXPECT WIDESPREAD MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING IN THE FELSENTHAL NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE. $$  032 WWJP72 RJTD 151200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 151200UTC ISSUED AT 151500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 152100UTC =  033 WWJP71 RJTD 151200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 151200UTC ISSUED AT 151500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 152100UTC =  237 WWJP74 RJTD 151200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 151200UTC ISSUED AT 151500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 152100UTC =  238 WWJP75 RJTD 151200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 151200UTC ISSUED AT 151500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 152100UTC =  239 WWJP73 RJTD 151200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 151200UTC ISSUED AT 151500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 152100UTC =  079 WBCN07 CWVR 151400 PAM ROCKS WIND 35010 LANGARA; OVC 8R- SE16G32 5FT MOD LO-MDT E 1430 CLD EST 8 BKN 15 OVC 09/07 GREEN; CLDY 12 E25G30 5FT MOD 1430 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 09/04 TRIPLE; CLDY 12 SE15E 3FT MOD LO SW 1430 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 10/05 BONILLA; OVC 8RW- E30G 4FT MOD LO S 1430 CLD EST 12 OVC 09/07 BOAT BLUFF; CLDY 15 CLM RPLD 1430 CLD EST 18 SCT BKN ABV 25 07/06 MCINNES; OVC 12RW- E20E 4FT MOD LO-MDT 1430 CLD EST 5 SCT 20 BKN OVC ABV 25 09/07 IVORY; OVC 12RW- NE16 3FT MOD LO SW 1430 CLD EST 20 SCT OVC ABV 25 09/05 DRYAD; OVC 15 SE16G 2FT CHP 1430 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 09/06 ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15+ SE05E 1FT CHP LO S 1430 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 12/04 EGG ISLAND; CLDY 15+ SE33G40 6FT MOD LO W 1440 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 12/06 PINE ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE30EG 7FT RUF LO W 1440 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 11/06 CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15 SE25EG 5FT MOD MOD SW 1440 CLD EST 18 SCT BKN ABV 25 13/08 QUATSINO; CLDY 15RW- SE25EG 5FT MOD MOD SW 1440 CLD EST 20 FEW BKN ABV 25 13/10 NOOTKA; CLDY 15 N10 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW 1445 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 11/09 ESTEVAN; OVC 15 SE16 3FT MDT LO-MOD SW 1015.1R LENNARD; OVC 06RW-F E12 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW AMPHITRITE; OVC 10 E10 2FT CHP MOD SW CAPE BEALE; OVC 12 E12 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW PACHENA; OVC 15RW- SE08 2FT CHP LOW-MOD SW CARMANAH; OVC 15 SE12 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW F BNK DSNT NW SCARLETT; CLDY 10 SE25G 5FT MOD LO NW PULTENEY; CLDY 15 SE20EG 2FT CHP SHWRS DSNT SW CHATHAM; OVC 12R- SE4 RPLD 1440 CLD EST 18 FEW 23 SCT OVC ABV 25 09/08 CHROME; CLDY 15 W6 1FT CHP LO E MERRY; CLDY 15 SE9 1FT CHP 1440 BKN ABV 25 13/8 ENTRANCE; OVC 15 SE14 2FT CHP LO E FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; OVC 15 NE10 RPLD TRIAL IS.; CLDY 12 NE8 1FT CHP OCNL RW- Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 196/10/09/0913/M/1016 31MM= WLP SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 127/12/06/1234+40/M/PK WND 1240 1353Z 0002 53MM= WEB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 164/12/10/0910+20/M/PK WND 0922 1315Z 3013 89MM= WQC SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 194/08/07/1901/M/0004 3016 73MM= WRU SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 111/11/09/1043/M/PK WND 1049 1337Z 1011 82MM= WFG SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 088/11/10/1650+57/M/PK WND 1557 1351Z 3008 96MM= WVF SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/1010/M/M M 6MMM= WQS SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/13/09/1519+25/M/M PK WND 1636 1338Z M 98MM= WRO SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/10/06/1131+36/M/0004 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR PK WND 1141 1315Z M 91MM= WEK SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 090/08/M/0627/M/PK WND 0632 1339Z 0000 5MMM= WWL SA 1422 AUTO4 M M M 063/10/M/MM16+31/M/0006 PCPN 0.6MM PAST HR 6006 7MMM= WME SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 147/07/04/0523+29/M/M PK WND 0436 1330Z 3009 80MM= WAS SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 197/10/08/3510/M/0002 1011 41MM= WSB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/2801/M/M 9MMM= WGT SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 174/12/09/1322/M/M PK WND 1326 1300Z 3012 53MM= WGB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/11/10/1417/M/PK WND 1421 1323Z M 05MM= WEL SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/11/10/1412/M/0002 M 27MM= WDR SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/10/M/0807/M/M M 3MMM= WZO SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1206/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0912/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 184/10/07/1506/M/3019 59MM=  993 WWUS54 KJAN 151456 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 956 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-083-151545- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0554.000000T0000Z-091015T1545Z/ MOREHOUSE LA-RICHLAND LA- 956 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR RICHLAND AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISHES... AT 956 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MER ROUGE TO 17 MILES WEST OF START TO 36 MILES WEST OF BUCKNER MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... OAK RIDGE BY 1010 AM CDT... START BY 1020 AM CDT... RAYVILLE BY 1030 AM CDT... BUCKNER...ALTO AND HOLLY RIDGE BY 1040 AM CDT... ARCHIBALD BY 1045 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3239 9200 3252 9191 3264 9191 3267 9191 3266 9194 3271 9197 3281 9178 3264 9160 3246 9159 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3230 9203 TIME...MOT...LOC 1456Z 330DEG 23KT 3274 9175 3252 9215 3244 9253 $$ COHEN  746 WGUS84 KLZK 151458 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 958 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... OUACHITA RIVER AT ARKADELPHIA AFFECTING CLARK AND HOT SPRING COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC019-059-151528- /O.CAN.KLZK.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-091015T2210Z/ /AKDA4.1.ER.091014T0124Z.091014T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 958 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT ARKADELPHIA. * AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13.4 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 9.8 FEET BY . && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE OUACHITA RIVER ARKADELPHI 17 12.3 THU 09 AM 9.8 8.6 7.8 7.7 7.5 $$ 110  246 WACN33 CWUL 151500 AIRMET M1 ISSUED AT 1459Z CWUL- AMEND GFACN33 CWUL 151130 ISSUE WTN AREA BOUNDED BY /4945N07718W/20 E MATAGAMI - /4906N07309W/50 NW ROBERVAL - /5042N07304W/80 NE CHIBOUGAMAU - /5120N07641W/30 SW NEMISCAU - /4945N07718W/20 E MATAGAMI. ADD PTCHY MDT MXD ICG BTN SFC AND 060 DUE FZDZ. AREA QS. DSIPTG BY 18Z. END/GFA33/CMAC-E/AGL/MS  845 WGUS44 KLZK 151501 FLWLZK FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1001 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ARKANSAS... ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ARKANSAS... OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN AFFECTING OUACHITA AND CALHOUN COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC013-103-160601- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CAMA4.2.ER.091007T1022Z.091018T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1001 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT CAMDEN. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 37.5 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE OUACHITA RIVER CAMDEN 26 35.2 THU 09 AM 36.2 37.1 37.5 37.4 36.9 $$ 110  266 WHUS72 KILM 151501 MWWILM URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1101 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ250-252-151615- /O.EXP.KILM.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T1500Z/ SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM- CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM- 1101 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... $$ RJD  447 WWUS84 KJAN 151502 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1002 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAZ007>009-015-151545- MOREHOUSE LA-WEST CARROLL LA-EAST CARROLL LA-RICHLAND LA- 1002 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEARING GOODWILL AND MOVING EAST... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF GOODWILL AT 1000 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN UP TO ONE INCH ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM AS IT MOVES INTO THE PIONEER AND FOREST COMMUNITIES BY 1045 AM. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN EXTREME NORTHEASTERN RICHLAND...WESTERN EAST CARROLL... CENTRAL WEST CARROLL AND CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ 40  858 WGUS84 KLZK 151503 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1003 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION AFFECTING CALHOUN...UNION AND BRADLEY COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC011-013-139-160603- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CALA4.2.ER.091006T0235Z.091022T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1003 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:25 AM THURSDAY THE WATER ELEVATION WAS 87.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD ELEVATION IS 79.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 89.5 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING OCTOBER 22ND. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE OUACHITA RIVER THATCHER L 79 87.1 THU 09 AM 87.2 87.7 88.2 88.6 89.0 $$ 110  955 WOUS64 KWNS 151503 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1003 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARC003-027-139-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ASHLEY COLUMBIA UNION $$ LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073- 081-083-107-111-119-123-127-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...  163 WHUS41 KOKX 151503 CFWOKX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1103 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING... .THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND A COASTAL STORM PASSING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WILL PRODUCE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS AROUND LONG ISLAND. THIS... COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES...WILL BUILD UP WATER AT THE COAST...LIKELY PRODUCING MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. CTZ009>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>081-152315- /O.CON.KOKX.CF.A.0001.091016T0900Z-091016T1600Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 1103 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MILES PER HOUR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SEAS AND SURGE ALONG THE COAST. THIS... COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES...WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF LONG ISLAND SOUND APPEAR MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS AT THIS TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && ...OCEAN/NEW YORK HARBOR/SOUTH SHORE BAYS FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) THE BATTERY.....718 AM.....5.7.........6.7.........8.0........8.0 BERGEN POINT....717 AM.....6.2.........N/A.........8.5........8.6 FREEPORT........725 AM.....3.7.........5.2.........5.9........5.9 ...LONG ISLAND SOUND FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) KINGS POINT....1036 AM.....8.9.........N/A........10.5.......11.4 STAMFORD.......1014 AM.....8.6.........9.5........11.1.......11.2 BRIDGEPORT.....1011 AM.....8.0.........8.9........10.4.......10.5 NEW LONDON......810 AM.....3.4.........5.0.........N/A........5.5 $$ MALOIT  216 WOXX50 KWNP 151505 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 3887 Issue Time 2009 Oct 15 1455 UTC TEST ALERT: Message Delivery Test - Solar Radiation Alert Comment: This is a message delivery test of the SOLAR RADIATION ALERT system. Test messages are sent each day at 1500 UTC unless a SOLAR RADIATION ALERT is in progress. Information on the Solar Radiation Alert system is at www.faa.gov/library/reports/medical/oamtechreports/2000s/ media/0514.pdf . . . CARI users: heliocentric potential was 256 in January 2009 . . .  960 WWUS83 KGRB 151508 SPSGRB SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 1008 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 WIZ005-010-011-018-019-030-035-151715- VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-MARATHON-WOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EAGLE RIVER...RHINELANDER...CRANDON... TOMAHAWK...ANTIGO...WAUSAU...WISCONSIN RAPIDS 1008 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SNOW FALLING AGAIN IN CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WAS PRODUCING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WAS ACCUMULATING ON THE GRASS NORTHWEST OF A MARSHFIELD TO ANTIGO TO CRANDON LINE...BUT WAS GENERALLY MELTING ON ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. SLUSH COULD FORM ON SOME ROADS WHERE THE SNOW IS FALLING HEAVIEST...SO DRIVE WITH CARE. THE SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN BEFORE ENDING IN THE AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. $$ RDM  044 WGUS84 KBMX 151509 FLSBMX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1009 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER... .RISES CONTINUE ALONG THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER...AND A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR MINOR FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && ALC063-065-091-107-119-160309- /O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-091019T0412Z/ /AVLA1.1.ER.091013T0847Z.091016T0000Z.091018T1612Z.NO/ 1009 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT THE LOWER BEVILL LOCK AND DAM. * UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 127.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 122 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 128.4 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 128 FEET...CATTLE IN THE AREA SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND. FLOODING OF SOME CABINS AND CAMPS ALONG THE RIVER OCCURS AT THIS STAGE. $$ ALC063-065-091-119-160309- /O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-091018T1329Z/ /GNSA1.3.ER.091014T1903Z.091014T2000Z.091018T0129Z.NR/ 1009 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT THE LOWER GAINESVILLE LOCK AND DAM. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 100.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 101 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 102.3 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL THEN BEGIN TO FALL AND DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 101 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AND WOODED LANDS IN THE AREA OCCURS. $$ ALC063-065-091-119-160309- /O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-091020T2100Z/ /DLDA1.1.ER.091015T1912Z.091018T0000Z.091020T0900Z.NO/ 1009 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT THE LOWER DEMOPOLIS LOCK AND DAM. * UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 67.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 68 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 72.6 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 73 FEET...SOME CABINS AND TRAILERS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD...AS WELL AS SOME SECONDARY ROADS. CONSIDERABLE OVERFLOW OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS ALONG THE RIVER WILL OCCUR. $$  677 WSBW20 VGZR 151530 VGFR SIGMET 05 VALID 151600/152000 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  978 WWUS54 KJAN 151511 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1011 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-083-151545- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0554.000000T0000Z-091015T1545Z/ MOREHOUSE LA-RICHLAND LA- 1011 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR RICHLAND AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISHES... AT 1011 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OAK RIDGE TO 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF BUCKNER TO 31 MILES WEST OF BUCKNER MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... START BY 1020 AM CDT... RAYVILLE BY 1030 AM CDT... BUCKNER...ALTO AND HOLLY RIDGE BY 1040 AM CDT... ARCHIBALD BY 1045 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3239 9200 3252 9191 3264 9191 3267 9191 3266 9194 3271 9197 3281 9178 3264 9160 3246 9159 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3230 9203 TIME...MOT...LOC 1511Z 330DEG 23KT 3266 9169 3244 9209 3236 9247 $$ COHEN  452 WSBW20 VGZR 151530 VGFR SIGMET 05 VALID 151600/152000 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  601 WGUS84 KBMX 151512 FLSBMX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER... .RISES CONTINUE ON THE LOWER BLACK WARRIOR RIVER...AND THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AT SELDEN LOCK AND DAM FOR MINOR FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && ALC063-065-091-160312- /O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-091019T0810Z/ /WLDA1.1.ER.091013T2237Z.091017T0000Z.091018T2010Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER AT THE LOWER SELDEN LOCK AND DAM. * UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 93.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 90 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 93.9 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL THEN BEGIN TO FALL AND DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 94 FEET...SOME SECONDARY ROADS IN THE AREA BEGIN TO FLOOD. FLOODING OF FARM AND PASTURELANDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE AREA THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. $$  651 WGUS84 KJAN 151512 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR KOSCIUSKO AFFECTING ATTALA COUNTY PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON AFFECTING HINDS AND RANKIN COUNTIES PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM. && MSC099-162112- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PLAM6.1.ER.091012T2345Z.091016T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. * IMPACT AT 15 FEET...MOST OF THE CAMPING AREAS IN BURNSIDE LAKE WATER PARK ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME UPPER PEARL RIVER PHILADELPHIA 13 14.6 THU 09 AM 15.0 14.9 14.4 15.0 FRI 07 AM $$ MSC079-162111- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0122.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /ENBM6.1.ER.091015T1623Z.091017T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT AT 23 FEET...WATER IS PARTIALLY COVERING SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS AND DIRT ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THE LUMBER YARD DOWNSTREAM OF STATE HIGHWAY 16 BRIDGE IS AFFECTED. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME UPPER PEARL RIVER EDINBURG 20 19.7 THU 09 AM 21.8 22.4 22.5 22.5 SAT 01 PM $$ MSC079-162111- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CARM6.1.ER.091014T0533Z.091019T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR CARTHAGE * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. * IMPACT AT 20 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLANDS UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF HIGHWAY 35 BRIDGE IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME UPPER PEARL RIVER CARTHAGE 17 19.7 THU 09 AM 20.4 20.7 20.9 21 SUN 07 PM $$ MSC007-162111- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-091018T0100Z/ /KSCM6.1.ER.091013T0815Z.091014T1900Z.091017T1000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR KOSCIUSKO * UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT AT 16 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES 2 MILES UPSTREAM OF GAGE ARE AFFECTED BY WATER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME YOCKANOOKANY RIVER KOSCIUSKO 15 15.8 THU 09 AM 15.5 14.9 14.0 FALLING $$ MSC079-162111- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OFAM6.2.ER.091014T0902Z.091016T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. * IMPACT AT 23 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING FOR SEVERAL MILES EAST AND WEST OF THE RIVER. ALSO SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS ARE UNDERWATER SOUTH OF THE GAGE SITE NEAR THE PEARL RIVER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME YOCKANOOKANY RIVER OFAHOMA 19 22.1 THU 09 AM 22.9 23.0 22.7 23.0 FRI 01 PM $$ MSC049-121-162111- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0126.091016T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /JACM6.1.ER.091016T1800Z.091019T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 28 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT AT 29 FEET...FARMLAND IN SOUTHERN RANKIN COUNTY BEGINS TO FLOOD AND WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT HOMES NEAR THE RIVER IN THE BYRAM AREA. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME MIDDLE PEARL RIVER JACKSON 28 27.2 THU 08 AM 27.9 28.5 29.0 29.5 MON 01 PM $$  866 WSCN31 CWEG 151515 SIGMET O1 VALID 151515/151915 CWEG- WTN 50 NM OF LN /5329N13125W/20 NE SANDSPIT - /5000N12722W/40 S PORT HARDY. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 30. SARTINE ISLD REPS 16050G57KT AND CUMSHEWA ISLD REPS 14042G50KT. AREA QS. LTL CHG EXPD. END/GFA31/CMAC-W/JB/CPM/  409 WGUS42 KFFC 151515 FLWFFC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1115 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN GEORGIA... OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE AFFECTING BLECKLEY AND PULASKI COUNTIES OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE AFFECTING DODGE...TELFAIR AND WILCOX COUNTIES .RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND RIVERS...CAUSING THE RIVERS TO RISE. SOME POINTS ALONG THE RIVER SYSTEM WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN. THE LATEST STAGE DATA WAS FURNISHED IN COOPERATION WITH THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY. && GAC023-235-160515- /O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0121.091019T0112Z-000000T0000Z/ /HAWG1.1.ER.091019T0112Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1115 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE. * FROM SUNDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET...AND RISING. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY NIGHT CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.7 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 20.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS BEGINS ON THE SOUTHSIDE OF HAWKINSVILLE...ALONG GOOSENECK LANE. WITH THE FLOODING OF GOOSENECK LANE...RESIDENTS ARE CUTOFF FROM REACHING THEIR HOMES. $$ GAC091-271-315-160515- /O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0122.091019T0600Z-000000T0000Z/ /ABBG1.1.ER.091019T0600Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1115 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE * FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET...AND RISING. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLANDS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER CONTINUE TO EXPAND INTO THE FLOOD PLAIN. FLOODING OF THE NEARBY PARK AND PARKING LOT ALSO EXPANDS. $$  881 WSFR34 LFPW 151514 LFMM SIGMET 11 VALID 151500/151900 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  950 WSFR34 LFPW 151514 LFMM SIGMET 11 VALID 151500/151900 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  711 WHUS71 KOKX 151518 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1118 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE WATERS STARTING TONIGHT... .INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL TRACK NORTHEAST...PRODUCING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE WATERS STARTING THIS AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND GALES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-160330- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0078.091015T1518Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0020.091015T2200Z-091016T2200Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 1118 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 30 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 1 TO 2 FT TO 3 TO 5 FT ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND BY THIS AFTERNOON. STARTING THIS EVENING...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH 35 TO 40 KT GUSTS. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. SEAS ON LONG ISLAND SOUND WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-160330- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0078.091015T1518Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0020.091015T2200Z-091017T0600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1118 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 30 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD FROM 1 TO 2 FT TO 3 TO 6 FT BY THIS AFTERNOON. STARTING THIS EVENING...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KT WITH 40 TO 45 KT GUSTS. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 9 TO 12 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MALOIT  814 WSDL31 EDZM 151520 EDMM SIGMET 6 VALID 151530/151930 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST ALL PARTS BLW FL140 MOV S WKN =  277 WAAK47 PAWU 151520 WA7O JNUS WA 151345 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 152000 . CNTRL SE AK JC PAGN S MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD UPDT MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF VCY PASI S MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 151345 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 152000 . SRN SE AK JD UPDT OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF S PASI OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. INTSF AND SPRDG N. . =JNUZ WA 151345 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 152000 . NONE .  483 WGUS83 KIND 151520 FLSIND FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 1120 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR A PORTION OF THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN SOUTHERN INDIANA... MUSCATATUCK RIVER... .LOWLAND FLOODING CONTINUED IN THE SPARKSVILLE AND FORT RITNER AREAS ALONG THE MUSCATATUCK AND EAST FORK WHITE RIVERS. RAIN THURSDAY AND ON FRIDAY MAY SLOW THE FALL OF THE RIVERS. FLOODING MAY NOT END UNTIL THE WEEKEND IN THE SPARKSVILLE AND FORT RITNER AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...MOTORISTS SHOULD NEVER DRIVE INTO FLOOD WATER. TURN AROUND AND GO ANOTHER WAY. KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. RECREATIONAL AND AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING RIVER CONDITIONS. FOR DETAILED FLOOD INFORMATION GO TO WEATHER.GOV/IND ON THE WEB. FROM THE BLUE MENU BAR ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE PAGE...CLICK ON RIVERS AND LAKES. && INC071-093-175-161520- /O.CON.KIND.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WHLI3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091012T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1120 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MUSCATATUCK RIVER AT WHEELER HOLLOW. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * AT 18.0 FEET...FLOODS AREA IN A FEW LOW SPOTS AND WOODLAND AREAS ALONG THE RIVER. RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY IS NOT DIRECTLY AT THIS POINT. $$  678 WSDL31 EDZM 151520 EDMM SIGMET 6 VALID 151530/151930 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST ALL PARTS BLW FL140 MOV S WKN =  526 ACUS11 KWNS 151523 SWOMCD SPC MCD 151523 MSZ000-LAZ000-151630- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2111 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1023 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/NERN LA AND WEST CENTRAL/SWRN MS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769... VALID 151523Z - 151630Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 CONTINUES. LATEST TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY HAVE SHOWN A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OF THE MCS WHICH IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SEWD THROUGH NRN/NERN LA. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE MCS HAS BECOME MORE PARALLEL TO VEERING W/NWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS IN RESPONSE TO THE SEWD TRANSLATION OF A LEAD IMPULSE AHEAD OF AN AMPLIFYING UPPER LONGWAVE TROUGH INTO THE MS VALLEY REGION. THE RESULTANT LACK OF STRONGER LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND WAA SUGGEST OVERALL STORM INTENSITIES SHOULD TEND TO REMAIN LESS THAN OBSERVED EARLIER THIS MORNING... DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE/ STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. IN THE SHORT TERM...THE MAIN THREAT SHOULD BE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.8-2.0 INCHES AND SLOWER STORM MOVEMENT TRAINING TOWARD THE ESE AS NEW UPDRAFTS DEVELOP ALONG THE SWRN PERIPHERY OF THE MCS. ..PETERS.. 10/15/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV... LAT...LON 32519347 32619305 32709264 32859204 32979138 32979087 32659088 32479063 31369066 31129152 31079159 31419231 31389327 31899359 32519347  441 WGUS84 KLIX 151525 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1025 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY AND WASHINGTON PARISHES IN LOUISIANA AND HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-160925- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0052.091016T1200Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.091016T1200Z.091025T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1025 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING OCTOBER 24TH. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. $$ 98/SO  222 WOAU06 APRF 151525 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 1522UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 1500UTC Vigorous W/NW flow ahead of a cold front. Cold front near 36S078E 43S085E 45S095E, moving east southeast and forecast near 38S088E 44S091E 47S105E at 160001UTC and near 43S098E 50S112E at 161200UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 240nm east of front. FORECAST W/NW winds 30/40 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  656 WOAU06 APRF 151525 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 1522UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 1500UTC Vigorous W/NW flow ahead of a cold front. Cold front near 36S078E 43S085E 45S095E, moving east southeast and forecast near 38S088E 44S091E 47S105E at 160001UTC and near 43S098E 50S112E at 161200UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 240nm east of front. FORECAST W/NW winds 30/40 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  050 WWUS54 KJAN 151527 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1027 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC067-083-151545- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0554.000000T0000Z-091015T1545Z/ MOREHOUSE LA-RICHLAND LA- 1027 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR RICHLAND AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOREHOUSE PARISHES... AT 1027 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OAK RIDGE TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BUCKNER TO 23 MILES WEST OF BUCKNER MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BUCKNER AND START BY 1040 AM CDT... ALTO...RAYVILLE AND ARCHIBALD BY 1045 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3239 9200 3252 9191 3267 9191 3269 9174 3264 9160 3246 9159 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3230 9203 TIME...MOT...LOC 1527Z 330DEG 23KT 3262 9186 3235 9203 3234 9232 $$ COHEN  883 WSPA12 PHFO 151528 SIGPAY KZOA SIGMET YANKEE 17 VALID 151530/151930 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. EMBD TS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY N1630 E13830 - N1610 E14120 - N1420 E14000 - N1110 E14110 - N0940 E13830 - N1350 E13500 - N1630 E13830. CB TOPS TO FL570. MOV W 10KT. NC. BASED ON SATELLITE OBS.  082 WGUS82 KFFC 151528 FLSFFC FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1128 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA... OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES... MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD AFFECTING CLARKE...GREENE AND OCONEE COUNTIES COOSA RIVER NEAR PLANT HAMMOND AFFECTING FLOYD COUNTY OCONEE RIVER NEAR AVANT MINE NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING WASHINGTON AND WILKINSON COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING JOHNSON...WASHINGTON AND WILKINSON COUNTIES && GAC059-133-219-160528- /O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-091018T1200Z/ /PNFG1.2.ER.091012T1900Z.091015T0715Z.091018T0600Z.NO/ 1128 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET...AND FALLING. * MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. WARD ROAD FLOODS AND CUTS OFF ACCESS TO L.C. CURTIS AND SON SAND AND GRAVEL COMPANY. IRRIGATION SYSTEMS ALSO BEGIN TO FLOOD AND NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND. $$ GAC303-319-160527- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OCOG1.1.ER.091014T1145Z.091014T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1128 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR AVANT MINE NEAR OCONEE * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET...AND FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. $$ GAC167-303-319-160527- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OCNG1.1.ER.091015T1330Z.091015T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1128 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET...AND RISING. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. THE WATER LEVEL REACHES THE TOP OF THE OLD BALLS FERRY ROAD BOAT RAMP...JUST UPSTREAM AND RIGHTBANK FROM THE GEORGIA HIGHWAY 57 BRIDGE. MINOR FLOODING OF WOODLANDS NEAR THE RIVER OCCURS. $$ GAC115-160527- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HMMG1.1.ER.091013T0244Z.091013T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 1128 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE COOSA RIVER NEAR PLANT HAMMOND. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 571.1 FEET...AND FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 570.0 FEET. $$ GAC021-153-169-207-289-160527- /O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-091017T1030Z/ /MACG1.1.ER.091014T0650Z.091015T0030Z.091017T0430Z.NO/ 1128 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET...AND FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES. THE MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD IN AREAS JUST NORTH OF THE FIFTH STREET BRIDGE. CITIZENS OF THE TRAIL WILL NEED TO STOP USE. IN ADDITION...THE LOWEST SECTIONS OF THE CHARLES JONES GATEWAY PARK WILL FLOOD. $$  301 WGUS82 KFFC 151530 FLSFFC FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1130 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WATER CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA... CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LEE...RUSSELL... CHATTAHOOCHEE...MUSCOGEE AND STEWART COUNTIES && ALC081-113-GAC053-215-259-160530- /O.ROU.KFFC.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CMUG1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1130 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 HIGH WATER CONTINUES FOR THE CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER NEAR COLUMBUS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET...AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW THE ACTION STAGE OF 20 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. $$  608 WWUS64 KJAN 151531 WCNJAN WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1031 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC003-151645- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA IN ARKANSAS THIS CANCELS 1 COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS ASHLEY THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...HAMBURG... NORTH CROSSETT AND WEST CROSSETT. $$ LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-MSC001-021-037-055-063-149- 151800- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 PARISHES IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL IN MISSISSIPPI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN JEFFERSON IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ISSAQUENA WARREN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...BUDE...DELHI...EPPS... FAYETTE...FERRIDAY...HARRISONBURG...JONESVILLE... LAKE PROVIDENCE...MAYERSVILLE...MEADVILLE...NATCHEZ...NEWELLTON... OAK GROVE...PORT GIBSON...RAYVILLE...ROXIE...ST. JOSEPH... TALLULAH...VICKSBURG...VIDALIA...WATERPROOF... WEST FERRIDAY AND WINNSBORO. $$  436 WGUS54 KSHV 151533 FFWSHV LAC049-061-073-111-151830- /O.NEW.KSHV.FF.W.0094.091015T1533Z-091015T1830Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1033 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... JACKSON PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF JONESBORO... LINCOLN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...RUSTON...GRAMBLING... OUACHITA PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST MONROE...SWARTZ...MONROE... CLAIBORNE...BROWNSVILLE-BAWCOMVILLE... UNION PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 130 PM CDT * AT 1027 AM CDT...VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS REPORTED FROM A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA. PRODUCING SOME ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL AN HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THUS INCREASING THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO STERLINGTON...RICHWOOD...FARMERVILLE...MONROE...RUSTON AND BERNICE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. && LAT...LON 3232 9204 3228 9230 3215 9233 3215 9281 3218 9282 3226 9276 3245 9277 3246 9288 3260 9288 3276 9282 3276 9269 3298 9267 3297 9216 3277 9204 3272 9205 3272 9201 3260 9194 $$ PARKER  271 WSSR20 WSSS 151535 WSJC SIGMET 3 VALID 151545/151945 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0345 AND E OF E106 MOV W 7 KT INTSF=  898 WWAK77 PAJK 151537 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 737 AM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 AKZ028-160215- /X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0069.091015T1537Z-091016T0500Z/ SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA 737 AM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. FRONTAL PASSAGE OVER THE PANHANDLE WITH SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ027-160215- /X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0069.091015T1537Z-091016T0500Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK 737 AM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. FRONTAL PASSAGE OVER THE PANHANDLE WITH SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ023-160200- /X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0069.091015T1537Z-091016T0200Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER 737 AM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. FRONTAL PASSAGE OVER THE PANHANDLE WITH EAST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$  193 WOMQ50 LFPW 151536 WARNING ON METAREA 3, METEO-FRANCE WARNING NR 271, THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009 AT 1530 UTC. GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 15 AT 12 UTC. THUNDERY LOW 1008 OVER SICILY, SLOW-MOVING. HIGH 1037 NEAR GREAT BRITAIN, BUILDING A LITTLE. BALEARES : IMMINENT TO 16/03 UTC. NORTHEAST LOCALLY 8 IN FAR EAST. GUSTS. MINORQUE : CONTINUING TO 16/12 UTC. NORTH 8 IN NORTH. SEVERE GUSTS. LION : CONTINUING TO 16/18 UTC AT LEAST. NORTH OR NORTHWEST 8 IN SOUTHWEST. SEVERE GUSTS.=  512 WSCI37 ZLXY 151530 ZLHW SIGMET 3 VALID 151530/151930 ZLXY- XIAN CTA MOD TO SEV TURB N OF N32 MOV E SLOWLY NC=  903 WOUS20 KWNS 151539 WWASPC SPC WW-A 151540 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-151640- STATUS REPORT ON WW 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE SHV TO 45 E SHV TO 35 W MLU TO 30 SSE ELD TO 30 NNW MLU TO 35 SSW LLQ. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2111. ..PETERS..10/15/09 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073-081- 083-107-111-123-127-151640- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151640- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  164 WUUS54 KJAN 151539 SVRJAN LAC041-065-083-107-151645- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0555.091015T1539Z-091015T1645Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1039 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... FRANKLIN PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WINNSBORO... SOUTHWESTERN MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... RICHLAND PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...START...RAYVILLE...MANGHAM... NORTHWESTERN TENSAS PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 1145 AM CDT * AT 1040 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF RAYVILLE TO ALTO TO 12 MILES WEST OF BUCKNER MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... ARCHIBALD AND BUCKNER BY 1045 AM CDT... HOLLY RIDGE AND MANGHAM BY 1050 AM CDT... DELHI BY 1100 AM CDT... WAVERLY...LIDDIEVILLE...CROWVILLE AND BAKERS BY 1105 AM CDT... WINNSBORO BY 1110 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3241 9199 3257 9181 3256 9175 3259 9172 3253 9152 3228 9121 3205 9142 3199 9178 3210 9190 3212 9187 3216 9190 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3229 9204 TIME...MOT...LOC 1540Z 312DEG 34KT 3257 9169 3236 9185 3230 9213 $$ COHEN  477 WSDL31 EDZM 151520 EDMM SIGMET 6 VALID 151530/151930 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST ALL PARTS BLW FL140 MOV S WKN =  060 WSIL31 BICC 151520 BIRD SIGMET 01 VALID 151540/152000 BIRK- BIRD REYKJAVIK CTA MOD TO SEV TURB OBS AT 1435Z WI 100NM OF LINE N6330W043 - N6600W036 - N6700W025 - N6500W015 - N6100W005 F220/F390 MOV N 35KT NC=  185 WGUS54 KBMX 151541 FFWBMX ALC075-152130- /O.NEW.KBMX.FF.W.0115.091015T1541Z-091015T2130Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1041 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...VERNON...SULLIGENT...MILLPORT... * UNTIL 430 PM CDT * AT 1033 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETECTED HEAVY RAINFALL FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE INTO LAMAR COUNTY FROM MISSISSIPPI OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WITH SATURATED GROUNDS FROM PREVIOUS RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK AND SOME ROADS THAT REMAIN CLOSED FROM EARLIER STORMS...EXPECTED RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS OF OVER 2 INCHES COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAMAR COUNTY AIRPORT...CREWS...BLOOMING GROVE...BEDFORD AND BEAVERTON PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. && TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER... CALL 1-800-856-0758. LAT...LON 3393 8796 3354 8795 3354 8827 3393 8821 $$ 08  323 WSGR31 LGAT 151540 LGGG SIGMET 3 VALID 151540/151940 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N3900 MOV E-NE NC=  618 WAHW31 PHFO 151545 WA0HI HNLS WA 151600 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 152200 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 151600 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 152200 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 151600 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 2 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 152200 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. FZLVL...160.  994 WGUS84 KFWD 151545 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1045 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS... SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER AFFECTING DELTA AND HOPKINS COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. && TXC119-223-160345- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /COPT2.1.ER.091013T1418Z.091014T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1045 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1015 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.55 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 16 FEET FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. * AT 16 FEET MINOR OUT OF BANK FLOODING WILL OCCUR. A FEW RURAL ROADS WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR TO FARM AND RANCH LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON SOUTH SULPHUR RIVER COOPER 16 16.5 THU 10 AM 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 $$  257 WGUS84 KMOB 151545 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1045 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA... TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. .RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. && ALC023-025-129-161545- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.091015T2145Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1045 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM * FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET * NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 33.8 FEET BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND. $$ ALC023-025-129-161544- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.3.ER.091013T1114Z.091013T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1045 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY * FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET * NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$  661 WHUS76 KMTR 151546 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 846 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...LARGE STEEP SEAS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAN FRANCISCO BAR TODAY... PZZ545-152230- /O.CON.KMTR.RB.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-091016T0500Z/ POINT REYES TO PIGEON POINT TO 10 NM- 846 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING. LARGE STEEP SEAS BETWEEN 10 TO 12 FEET AT 12 SECONDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAN FRANCISCO BAR THROUGH THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 7 TO 9 FEET AT 12 SECONDS BY THE EVENING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO MARINERS. && $$ THIS PRODUCT DOES NOT INCLUDE INFORMATION ON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND WATERSPOUTS. SEE PRODUCTS SUCH AS SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS...MARINE WEATHER STATEMENTS...WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATIONS AND THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO  802 WWUS41 KBUF 151546 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1146 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EASTWARD FROM KENTUCKY TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES WILL COMBINE WITH COLD AIR FROM EASTERN ONTARIO TO PRODUCE AN EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. NYZ019>021-160000- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0004.091015T2200Z-091017T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.091015T1600Z-091017T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 1146 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EARLY SEASON SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. STEADY LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE TO 4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER HILLS OF SOUTHERN CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES. THE IMPACT OF THIS SNOW ON LEAF COVERED TREES CAN RESULT IN A SNOW LOAD CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREES BRANCHES AND LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME POWER LINES. THE EARLY SEASON SNOW WILL REQUIRE USING WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED BECAUSE OF THE EARLY SEASON SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER MAY NOT BE SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SOME CAUTION IS TO BE HEEDED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ LEVAN  814 WSSR20 WSSS 151535 WSJC SIGMET 3 VALID 151545/151945 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0345 AND E OF E106 MOV W 7 KT INTSF=  820 WSDL31 EDZM 151520 EDMM SIGMET 6 VALID 151530/151930 EDZM- EDMM MUENCHEN FIR SEV ICE FCST ALL PARTS BLW FL140 MOV S WKN =  823 WSIL31 BICC 151520 BIRD SIGMET 01 VALID 151540/152000 BIRK- BIRD REYKJAVIK CTA MOD TO SEV TURB OBS AT 1435Z WI 100NM OF LINE N6330W043 - N6600W036 - N6700W025 - N6500W015 - N6100W005 F220/F390 MOV N 35KT NC=  877 WSGR31 LGAT 151540 LGGG SIGMET 3 VALID 151540/151940 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N3900 MOV E-NE NC=  942 WGUS84 KLZK 151548 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1048 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... BLACK RIVER AT BLACK ROCK AFFECTING JACKSON...LAWRENCE AND INDEPENDENCE COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC063-067-075-160648- /O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-091017T1500Z/ /BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091011T0100Z.091016T0900Z.NO/ 1048 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK RIVER AT BLACK ROCK. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE BLACK RIVER BLACK ROCK 14 15.1 THU 10 AM 13.8 12.1 10.4 8.9 7.7 $$ 110  847 WSUS33 KKCI 151555 SIGW MKCW WST 151555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151755-152155 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  848 WSUS32 KKCI 151555 SIGC MKCC WST 151555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 14C VALID UNTIL 1755Z AL MS FROM 50NNE IGB-40SSE VUZ-40ESE SQS-40NNE SQS-50NNE IGB AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 28025KT. TOPS TO FL420. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 15C VALID UNTIL 1755Z LA AR FROM 20W ELD-50NE MLU-40SE MLU-40SSE EIC-20W ELD AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151755-152155 FROM 60N IGB-VUZ-170S CEW-LEV-40WNW PSX-CWK-ELD-60N IGB REF WW 769. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  849 WSUS31 KKCI 151555 SIGE MKCE WST 151555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151755-152155 AREA 1...FROM 40NW ODF-40ESE ODF-50SE LGC-30N CRG-220ENE OMN-170E PBI-RSW-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-VUZ-40NW ODF WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 50SE SIE-180S ACK-180SE SBY-200ESE ECG-130SE ILM-70ENE ILM-50SE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  176 WGUS84 KMEG 151548 FLSMEG FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1048 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC095-151745- /O.NEW.KMEG.FA.Y.0147.091015T1548Z-091015T1745Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1048 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 1245 PM CDT * AT 1048 AM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE ADVISORY AREA. OVER THE PAST HOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT 1.75 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE AFFECTED AREA. LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY INCLUDE ABERDEEN...AMORY...NEW WREN...PRAIRIE...SMITHVILLE AND ATHENS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... .MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. LAT...LON 3367 8851 3368 8850 3368 8869 3408 8869 3407 8820 3375 8824 3374 8825 3374 8831 3369 8837 3365 8850 3365 8851 $$  827 WWUS84 KJAN 151549 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1049 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ030-031-033-151630- CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-OKTIBBEHA MS- 1049 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO ONE INCH DEVELOPING FOR GOLDEN TRIANGLE AREAS... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS UP TO ONE INCH AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 MPH WERE CENTERED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MULDROW AT 1045 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HEAVY RAINS ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE AFFECTING THE WEST POINT...STARKVILLE AND COLUMBUS AREAS THROUGH NOON TIME. GUSTY WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN NORTHERN OKTIBBEHA...NORTHERN LOWNDES AND SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ 40  229 WSSG31 GOOY 151500 GOOO SIGMET 10 VALID 151545/151945 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1515Z N1228 W01945 - N1300 W01808 - N1207 W01755 - N1139 W01916 TOP CB FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  511 WSSG31 GOOY 151500 GOOO SIGMET 10 VALID 151545/151945 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1515Z N1228 W01945 - N1300 W01808 - N1207 W01755 - N1139 W01916 TOP CB FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  670 WSSG31 GOOY 151600 GOOO SIGMET 11 VALID 151550/151950 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1515Z ARROUND BAMAKO,NE ABIDJAN,NW YAMOUSSOUKRO AND OVER MAN TOP CB FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  037 WSSG31 GOOY 151600 GOOO SIGMET 11 VALID 151550/151950 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1515Z ARROUND BAMAKO,NE ABIDJA  816 WSIN90 VIDP 151600 VIDF SIGMET 06 VALID 151600/152000 VIDF DELHI FIR NIL SIGMET=  269 WWUS76 KLOX 151554 NPWLOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 854 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 CAZ034>036-151700- /O.EXP.KLOX.FG.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091015T1600Z/ SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAN LUIS OBISPO...PISMO BEACH... MORRO BAY...CAMBRIA...SAN SIMEON...SANTA MARIA...LOMPOC... VANDENBERG...SANTA YNEZ...SOLVANG 854 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING... THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT A FEW AREAS OF THE CENTRAL COAST AND SANTA YNEZ VALLEY FOR THE NEXT HALF HOUR OR SO...BUT VISIBILITIES HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO IMPROVE AS COVERAGE SHRINKS. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL THEREFORE BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME. $$ KITTELL  257 WSSQ31 LZIB 151600 LZBB SIGMET 8 VALID 151600/152000 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV ICE FCST OVER LZBB FL020/100 NC=  462 WGUS44 KJAN 151558 FLWJAN BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 1058 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT AFFECTING COPIAH AND SIMPSON COUNTIES PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM. && MSC029-127-162158- /O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0127.091021T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /ROCM6.1.ER.091021T0000Z.091021T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1058 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR ROCKPORT * FROM TUESDAY 10/20 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 07:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 21.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY 10/20. * IMPACT AT 25 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW PASTURELAND AND BOTTOMLAND IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME MIDDLE PEARL RIVER ROCKPORT 25 21.8 THU 07 AM 23.2 23.4 23.8 25.0 TUES 10/20 $$ MSC077-162157- /O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0128.091022T0600Z-000000T0000Z/ /MTCM6.1.ER.091022T0600Z.091022T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1058 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO * FROM THURSDAY 10/22 UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY 10/22. * IMPACT AT 22 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME MIDDLE PEARL RIVER MONTICELLO 22 19.8 THU 09 AM 20.7 21.0 21.1 22.0 THU 10/22 $$  485 WTPQ31 PGUM 151559 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 22W ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP222009 200 AM CHST FRI OCT 16 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM 22W PASSING NORTH OF YAP STATE... ...NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT... AT 100 AM CHST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 22W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 185 MILES NORTH OF ULITHI 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP 515 MILES NORTHEAST OF KOROR 345 MILES WEST OF GUAM 385 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA 430 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 440 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST AT 20 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 22W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE CENTER REPEATING THE 100 AM CHST POSITION...LATITUDE 12.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM CHST LATER THIS MORNING. $$ CHAN  970 WTPQ20 RJTD 151500 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 151500UTC 12.0N 139.8E POOR MOVE W 15KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 161500UTC 13.2N 133.8E 120NM 70% MOVE W 14KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT =  496 WWUS54 KJAN 151601 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1101 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-065-083-107-151645- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0555.000000T0000Z-091015T1645Z/ RICHLAND LA-TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-MADISON LA- 1101 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...FRANKLIN...NORTHWESTERN TENSAS AND RICHLAND PARISHES... AT 1101 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MANGHAM MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BASKIN AND HOLLY RIDGE BY 1110 AM CDT... WINNSBORO AND JIGGER BY 1115 AM CDT... CROWVILLE...BAKERS...GILBERT AND DELHI BY 1125 AM CDT... WAVERLY BY 1130 AM CDT... NEWLIGHT BY 1140 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3241 9199 3257 9181 3256 9175 3259 9172 3253 9152 3228 9121 3205 9142 3199 9178 3210 9190 3212 9187 3216 9190 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 3229 9204 TIME...MOT...LOC 1601Z 290DEG 32KT 3232 9180 $$ COHEN  634 WOUS64 KWNS 151603 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1103 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARC027-139-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLUMBIA UNION $$ LAC013-021-025-027-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073- 081-083-107-111-119-123-127-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER RICHLAND TENSAS UNION WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...SHV...JAN...  903 WGUS84 KSHV 151605 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1104 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 TXC159-343-449-161604- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WOCT2.1.ER.091005T0200Z.091014T2345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1104 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE OAK CREEK NEAR TALCO TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1030 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET. * FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 18.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. ALSO WHITE OAK CREEK CRESTED AT 18.8 FEET DURING WEDNESDAY EVENING. $$  570 WSSG31 GOOY 151600 GOOO SIGMET 11 VALID 151550/151950 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1515Z ARROUND BAMAKO,NE ABIDJA  497 WGUS84 KSHV 151608 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1108 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 TXC159-343-387-449-161608- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /TLCT2.2.ER.091005T0058Z.091015T1015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1108 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SULPHUR RIVER BELOW TALCO TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1015 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 25.1 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. $$ TXC037-067-343-161607- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NAPT2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.091015T1052Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1108 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SULPHUR RIVER NEAR NAPLES TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * THE THURSDAY MORNING ESTIMATED STAGE WAS NEAR 30 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. * FORECAST...EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. $$ TXC067-315-161607- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /JEFT2.2.ER.091007T0655Z.091017T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1108 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK CYPRESS BAYOU AT JEFFERSON TEXAS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1100 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET. * FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. $$ TXC183-203-315-459-161607- /O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-091020T1600Z/ /JFFT2.2.ER.091013T1750Z.091017T1800Z.091019T2200Z.NO/ 1108 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LITTLE CYPRESS BAYOU NEAR JEFFERSON TEXAS. * UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1015 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET. * FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. $$  150 WHUS76 KPQR 151608 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 908 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ270-275-160015- /O.CON.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0300Z-091016T1800Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 908 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...RISING TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY BEFORE FALLING BELOW 10 FT LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ250-160015- /O.EXT.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM- 908 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT WILL DEVELOP MID MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL REMAIN NEAR 10 FEET THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN BUILD ABOVE 10 FEET AS GALE FORCE GUSTS DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ255-160015- /O.EXT.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.091015T1800Z-091017T0600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- 908 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...EXCEPT GUSTS TO 30 KT ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ PZZ210-160015- /O.CON.KPQR.RB.Y.0358.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 908 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY. IN THE MAIN CHANNEL...COMBINED SEAS 8 TO 10 FT TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SEAS TEMPORARILY BUILDING TO 10 TO 12 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON...AND TO 11 TO 13 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 345 AM FRI MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$  249 WVCA31 TTPP 151600 TTZP SIGMET3 VALID 151600/152200 TTPP- SOUFRIERE HILL MONTSERRAT N1642 W06210 PIARCO FIR OBS VA CLD SFC/FL110 N17A8 W06319 - N1655 W06244 N1646 W06211 - N1640 W06210 - N1619 W06254 - N1657 W06355 - 1718 W06319 MOV W 5-10KT  868 WGUS84 KLZK 151609 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1109 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... WHITE RIVER AT CLARENDON AFFECTING MONROE AND ARKANSAS COUNTIES WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING WHITE AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC067-147-160709- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PTTA4.2.ER.090913T1900Z.091019T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING OCTOBER 19TH. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE CACHE RIVER PATTERSON 8 10.9 THU 10 AM 10.9 10.9 10.9 11.0 11.0 $$ ARC145-147-160709- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /AUGA4.1.ER.091010T2000Z.091017T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE LOWER WHITE RIVER AUGUSTA 26 30.8 THU 10 AM 31.3 31.5 31.3 30.4 29.1 $$ ARC001-095-160709- /O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0082.091015T1606Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA4.1.ER.091015T1439Z.091021T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1109 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WHITE RIVER AT CLARENDON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING OCTOBER 20TH. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE LOWER WHITE RIVER CLARENDON 26 26.0 THU 10 AM 26.3 26.6 26.8 26.9 26.9 $$ 110  659 WWUS54 KJAN 151611 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1111 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-065-083-107-151645- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0555.000000T0000Z-091015T1645Z/ RICHLAND LA-TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-MADISON LA- 1111 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...FRANKLIN...NORTHWESTERN TENSAS AND SOUTHERN RICHLAND PARISHES... AT 1111 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BASKIN MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... CROWVILLE...BAKERS...GILBERT AND DELHI BY 1125 AM CDT... WAVERLY BY 1130 AM CDT... NEWLIGHT BY 1140 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3237 9188 3253 9152 3228 9121 3205 9142 3199 9178 3210 9190 3212 9187 3216 9190 3217 9197 3220 9198 3220 9201 3227 9200 TIME...MOT...LOC 1611Z 290DEG 32KT 3229 9170 $$ COHEN  928 WGUS84 KSHV 151611 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1111 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC017-TXC067-203-315-161611- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LCOL1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.091019T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1111 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG CYPRESS BAYOU AT CADDO LAKE NEAR MOORINGSPORT LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 800 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 173.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 172.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE LAKE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 175.5 FEET BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. * EXPECT FLOODING OF BUILDINGS AND STRUCTURES IN THE CYPRESS VILLAGE...UNCERTAIN...AND CADDO LAKE STATE PARK AREAS OF EAST TEXAS. * AREA RESIDENTS NEED TO CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HIGH WATER. $$  735 WUUS01 KWNS 151614 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1113 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30059087 30029373 29639551 30169625 30949559 31859341 33169069 33248947 32968827 32618780 31068702 30318753 30059087 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29648849 30029107 29659327 29069529 29549681 30309692 31119577 31579463 32249311 33309101 33228938 32958822 32628769 31038575 30388532 29548579 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28307989 28278143 28228366 99999999 27849624 28449735 29909733 30299690 31119577 32219315 33309103 33638943 33178673 32398503 31818358 31418233 31068085 0.15 30069111 30019380 29719555 30159641 31009554 31939333 33169072 33208931 32998837 32638780 31078700 30308754 30069111 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 29999094 30009392 29669551 30139640 30979558 31859341 33129085 33198937 33008835 32658780 31098702 30308754 29999094 TSTM 34397611 35277574 36137519 99999999 27189672 26980009 99999999 28520113 29369983 30479791 31169615 31999462 32519415 33109360 33629272 33829185 34038994 34218783 34238678 33998610 33108477 32348318 32038251 31938177 31648041 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW HUM BPT 15 W HOU 30 S CLL 20 NNW UTS 20 WNW IER 25 SSE GLH 45 ESE GWO 45 S CBM 40 SSW TCL 25 S GZH 25 WSW PNS 35 NNW HUM. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW HSE 10 WNW HSE 55 E ECG ...CONT... 65 SE CRP 55 SW LRD ...CONT... 60 SSW DRT 40 W HDO 15 NW AUS 40 NNE CLL 25 SSE GGG 20 WNW SHV 35 SE TXK 30 NNE ELD 15 NNW LLQ 35 SW UOX 40 SSW MSL 30 S HSV GAD 20 ENE LGC 35 SE MCN 15 SW VDI 35 WSW SAV 60 SE SAV.  736 ACUS01 KWNS 151614 SWODY1 SPC AC 151612 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1112 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHWEST AL... ...LA/MS... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE HAS AIDED IN THE MAINTENANCE OF SCATTERED INTENSE CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN LA. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN MS AND PERHAPS SOUTHWEST AL. VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR BOW/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...BUT WEAK LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED HEATING WILL SERVE AS MITIGATING FACTORS FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT. ...SOUTHEAST TX... LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS EAST TX. FULL SUNSHINE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS DESTABILIZING THE AIRMASS...AND COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 70S ARE YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-2500 J/KG. THE COMBINATION OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE NORTH...AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AS BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTHWARD...WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST TX. EFFECTIVE SHEAR APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HOWEVER...WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT HAIL PRODUCTION. LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT. ..HART/SMITH.. 10/15/2009  138 WSIY31 LIIB 151617 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 151700/152100 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  139 WSIY31 LIIB 151617 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 151700/152100 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  453 WSIY31 LIIB 151617 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 151700/152100 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND CENTRAL AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 STNR NC=  925 WWUS71 KBOX 151616 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1216 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FIRST OF TWO GALE EVENTS WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY DAMAGING WIND LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE NEAR CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AT NOON WILL PASS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET FRIDAY MORNING AND PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 55 MPH OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. MAZ023-024-160030- /O.NEW.KBOX.HW.W.0002.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET 1216 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. THIS WARNING REPLACE THE EARLIER WATCH FOR THIS AREA. THE COMBINATION OF 45 TO 55 MPH WILL WIND GUSTS WITH RAIN ON FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE A FEW TREES TO FALL OR LARGE LIMBS WILL BREAK EARLY FRIDAY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS. && $$ MAZ019>022-RIZ007-008-160030- /O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- BARNSTABLE MA-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...NEWPORT... BLOCK ISLAND 1216 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CONTINUED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR BLOCK ISLAND AND MUCH OF SOUTHEAST COASTAL RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH COMBINED WITH RAIN ON FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE BRANCH BREAKAGE AND ASSOCIATED POWER OUTAGES FRIDAY MORNING. A PORTION OF THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING IN LATE AFTERNOON FORECASTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ DRAG  786 WWUS54 KJAN 151617 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1117 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-065-083-107-151645- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0555.000000T0000Z-091015T1645Z/ RICHLAND LA-TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-MADISON LA- 1117 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...NORTHERN FRANKLIN...NORTH CENTRAL TENSAS AND CENTRAL RICHLAND PARISHES... AT 1118 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BASKIN MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... CROWVILLE BY 1125 AM CDT... BAKERS BY 1130 AM CDT... NEWLIGHT BY 1145 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3236 9184 3250 9156 3228 9121 3207 9144 3215 9179 TIME...MOT...LOC 1618Z 290DEG 32KT 3229 9166 $$ COHEN  345 WHUS71 KBOX 151618 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1218 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ231>235-237-254>256-160030- /O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY- RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 1218 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ236-250-251-160030- /O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ NARRAGANSETT BAY- COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 1218 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH AT THE BAY ENTRANCE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ230-160030- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0098.091016T0000Z-091017T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR- 1218 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 30 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH AT THE HARBOR ENTRANCE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  208 WGUS84 KJAN 151620 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 1120 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER AFFECTING SUNFLOWER COUNTY BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER NEAR ANGUILLA AFFECTING SHARKEY COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM. && MSC015-083-162220- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091018T1630Z/ /YWGM6.1.ER.091013T1020Z.091016T0000Z.091018T0130Z.NO/ 1120 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY * UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23 FEET BY THIS EVENING. * IMPACT AT 23 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME YALOBUSHA RIVER WHALEY 21 22.5 THU 10 AM 22.9 21.9 20.3 23.0 THU 07 PM $$ MSC163-162219- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /YZOM6.1.ER.091014T0307Z.091018T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1120 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT AT 32 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF MOSTLY AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING OUTSIDE THE LEVEE PROTECTION SYSTEM. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LOWER YAZOO RIVER YAZOO CITY 29 30.7 THU 07 AM 31.5 32.2 32.4 32.5 SUN 01 AM $$ MSC133-162219- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SUNM6.2.ER.091014T0137Z.091018T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1120 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 21 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25 FEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT AT 25 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO SPREAD ACROSS FARMLANDS FROM FLOODING AT JONES BAYOU, AND WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IN AREA. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER SUNFLOWER 21 24.4 THU 10 AM 24.6 24.8 24.9 25.0 SUN 01 PM $$ MSC125-162219- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-091017T1500Z/ /ANGM6.1.ER.091015T1525Z.091016T1200Z.091017T0000Z.NO/ 1120 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER NEAR ANGUILLA * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 45 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 45 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 45.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. * IMPACT AT 45 FEET...MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE STATE HIGHWAY 14 BRIDGE. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER ANGUILLA 45 45.0 THU 10 AM 45.5 43.5 37.8 45.5 FRI 07 AM $$  333 WHUS76 KLOX 151620 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 920 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ670-673-676-160030- /O.CON.KLOX.SW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ WATERS FROM PT. PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO PT. ARGUELLO AND WESTWARD 60 NM- WATERS FROM PT. ARGUELLO TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS ISLAND- 920 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. A WEST SWELL OF 11 TO 13 FEET WITH AN 11 SECOND PERIOD WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...THEN LOWER TO BELOW 10 FEET LATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA LATER IN THE DAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  813 WGUS84 KSHV 151623 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1123 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC061-073-111-161623- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LDBL1.2.ER.091013T0300Z.091016T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1123 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU D'ARBONNE AT LAKE D'ARBONNE AT FARMERVILLE LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1000 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 85.2 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 83 FEET. * FORECAST...DUE TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL DURING THIS THURSDAY MORNING...EXPECT A SLIGHT RISE TO NEAR 85.5 FEET THROUGH THIS THURSDAY EVENING AND THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. $$  985 WVIY31 LIIB 151627 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151710/152110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  986 WVIY31 LIMM 151627 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151710/152110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  775 WSIN90 VECC 151600 VECF SIGMET NO 06 VALID 151600/152000 UTC VECF-KOLKATA FIR NIL SIGMET=  484 WGUS84 KSHV 151626 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1125 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC027-061-111-161625- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LCAL1.1.ER.091013T0015Z.091014T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1125 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU D'ARBONNE AT LAKE CLAIBORNE AT FARMERVILLE LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1115 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 188.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 188 FEET. * FORECAST...DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THIS THURSDAY MORNING... EXPECT A SLIGHT RISE TO NEAR 185.5 FEET THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AND FRIDAY MORNING. $$  855 WVIY31 LIMM 151627 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151710/152110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  911 WVIY31 LIIB 151627 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151710/152110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  124 WVIY31 LIIB 151627 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151710/152110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT= SASN32 ESWI 151620 METAR ESKN 151620Z VRB02KT CAVOK 04/M01 Q1023= METAR ESOE 151620Z 35003KT CAVOK 03/M02 Q1024= METAR ESOK 151620Z 32003KT CAVOK 03/M02 Q1025= METAR ESOW 151620Z 35004KT CAVOK 04/M01 Q1024= METAR ESSA 151620Z 36005KT CAVOK 03/M01 Q1023 NOSIG R88/CLRD//= METAR ESSB 151620Z 35004KT CAVOK 05/M03 Q1023= METAR ESSD 151620Z 24004KT CAVOK 03/M04 Q1024= METAR ESSP 151620Z 32004KT CAVOK 05/M01 Q1023= METAR ESSV 151620Z 02010KT 4800 RA BR OVC005 05/05 Q1020=  468 WWUS64 KSHV 151627 WCNSHV WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1127 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC027-139-LAC013-027-049-061-073-081-111-119-151730- /O.CAN.KSHV.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN ARKANSAS THIS CANCELS 2 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS UNION AR IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS COLUMBIA IN LOUISIANA THIS CANCELS 8 PARISHES IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA JACKSON LINCOLN OUACHITA UNION LA IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA BIENVILLE CLAIBORNE RED RIVER WEBSTER THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BIENVILLE...COUSHATTA...EL DORADO... FARMERVILLE...HOMER...JONESBORO...MAGNOLIA...MINDEN... MONROE AND RUSTON. $$ LAC021-043-059-069-127-151800- /O.CON.KSHV.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 PARISHES IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE WINN IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA NATCHITOCHES THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COLFAX...COLUMBIA...JENA... NATCHITOCHES AND WINNFIELD. $$ 15  810 WHUS41 KBOX 151628 CFWBOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO GALE CENTERS WILL AFFECT COASTAL SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN FRIDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... MAZ019-022>024-160030- /O.CON.KBOX.CF.A.0001.091016T1000Z-091016T1800Z/ EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA- 1228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WILL DEVELOP 10 TO 15 FOOT SEAS FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES AND A ONE TO 1.8 FOOT SURGE WOULD PROBABLY LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES...WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THIS WILL DEPEND ON HOW STRONG THE OFFSHORE WINDS AND SEAS ACTUALLY GET. RIGHT NOW... MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS THE MOST PROBABLE OUTCOME. WHILE THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE CURRENT OUTLOOK IS FOR ANOTHER POTENTIAL NOREASTER SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT WITH LESS CERTAINTY ON TRACK AND INTENSITY. BEACH EROSION FROM MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON SUCCESSIVE TIDE CYCLES FROM FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. IF EITHER GALE CENTER WERE TO TRACK CLOSER OR BECOME STRONGER...A MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WOULD EMERGE FRIDAY OR SUNDAY. ANYONE WITH EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURE COASTAL CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS. && ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR. SCITUATE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 9.1 15/10 PM 9.0 0.1 2-4 NONE 1.8 16/04 AM 1.3 0.5 5-7 NONE 3.6 16/05 PM 2.2 1.4 10 NONE 2.4 17/05 AM 1.9 0.5 8-9 NONE 1.9 17/06 PM 1.9 0.0 8 NONE SANDWICH HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.4 15/10 PM 8.3 0.1 3-4 NONE 9.9 16/10 AM 8.5 1.4 6 NONE 9.7 16/11 PM 8.3 1.4 5-6 NONE 9.1 17/11 AM 8.8 0.3 4 NONE 8.3 17/11 PM 8.2 0.1 4 NONE PROVINCETOWN HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 6.1 15/10 PM 6.4 -0.3 2-3 NONE 6.2 16/10 AM 6.5 -0.3 3-4 NONE 6.1 16/11 PM 6.4 -0.3 2-3 NONE 6.5 17/11 AM 6.8 -0.3 2 NONE 6.0 17/11 PM 6.3 -0.3 2 NONE CHATHAM - EAST COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.3 15/10 PM 4.3 0.0 3-5 NONE 5.7 16/10 AM 4.4 1.3 9-11 NONE 5.8 16/11 PM 4.4 1.4 10-12 NONE 4.7 17/11 AM 4.6 0.1 8-9 NONE 4.3 18/12 AM 4.3 0.0 8 NONE CHATHAM - SOUTH COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.8 15/10 PM 4.5 0.3 2-4 NONE 5.9 16/10 AM 4.6 1.3 3 NONE 5.9 16/11 PM 4.5 1.4 3 NONE 5.0 17/11 AM 4.8 0.2 2-3 NONE 4.6 18/12 AM 4.5 0.1 3 NONE BUZZARDS BAY - WOODS HOLE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 2.5 15/07 PM 2.6 -0.1 2 NONE 3.8 16/07 AM 3.0 0.8 3 NONE 3.7 17/08 PM 2.6 1.1 2 NONE 3.8 17/08 AM 3.1 0.7 2 NONE 2.5 17/09 PM 2.4 0.1 2 NONE 3.5 18/09 AM 3.2 0.3 2 NONE NANTUCKET TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.9 15/10 PM 3.7 0.2 3-6 NONE 5.3 16/11 AM 3.8 1.5 10 MINOR 5.2 16/11 PM 3.6 1.6 9-11 NONE 4.3 17/11 AM 3.9 0.4 7-8 NONE 3.8 18/12 AM 3.6 0.2 7-8 NONE VINEYARD HAVEN TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.8 15/10 PM 3.4 0.4 2-3 NONE 5.2 16/10 AM 3.5 1.8 3 NONE 5.0 16/10 PM 3.3 1.7 2 NONE 4.1 17/10 AM 3.6 0.6 2 NONE 3.6 17/11 PM 3.2 0.4 2 NONE $$ MAZ007-015-016-020-021-RIZ002-004>008-160030- /O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0004.091016T0900Z-091016T2300Z/ EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- BLOCK ISLAND RI- 1228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WILL DEVELOP 10 AND 15 FOOT SEAS FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES AND A ONE TO 1.5 FOOT SURGE WOULD PROBABLY LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES. EVEN HIGH WATER IS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NARRAGANSETT BAY FRIDAY MORNING...DESPITE A NORTHEAST WIND. WHILE THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE CURRENT OUTLOOK IS FOR ANOTHER POTENTIAL NOREASTER SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT WITH LESS CERTAINTY ON TRACK AND INTENSITY. BEACH EROSION FROM MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON SUCCESSIVE TIDE CYCLES FROM FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. IF EITHER GALE CENTER WERE TO TRACK CLOSER OR BECOME STRONGER...A MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WOULD EMERGE FRIDAY OR SUNDAY. ANYONE WITH EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURE COASTAL CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS. && ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR. BOSTON HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 10.2 15/10 PM 10.1 0.1 1-2 NONE 12.4 16/10 AM 11.1 1.3 2 NONE 11.9 16/11 PM 10.6 1.3 2 NONE 11.1 17/11 AM 10.9 0.2 2 NONE 10.2 17/11 PM 10.1 0.1 2 NONE NEWBURYPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.4 15/10 PM 8.3 0.1 1-2 NONE 10.2 16/10 AM 9.1 1.1 6 NONE 9.9 16/11 PM 8.7 1.2 6 NONE 9.0 17/11 AM 8.9 0.1 6 NONE 8.3 18/12 AM 8.2 0.1 5 NONE GLOUCESTER HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 9.1 15/10 PM 9.0 0.1 1-3 NONE 11.1 16/10 AM 10.0 1.1 7-9 NONE 10.7 16/11 PM 9.5 1.2 9-10 NONE 9.8 17/11 AM 9.7 0.1 8-9 NONE 9.0 17/11 PM 9.0 0.0 8 NONE POINT JUDITH TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.8 15/06 PM 3.6 0.2 2-4 NONE 5.6 16/07 AM 4.2 1.4 6-7 NONE 5.0 16/07 PM 3.6 1.4 5-6 NONE 5.1 17/08 AM 4.3 0.8 4 NONE 3.9 18/08 PM 3.6 0.3 4-5 NONE 4.7 18/08 AM 4.3 0.4 6 NONE WESTERLY TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.4 15/07 PM 3.2 0.2 2-3 NONE 5.1 16/07 AM 3.6 1.5 5 NONE 4.6 17/08 PM 3.2 1.4 4 NONE 4.7 17/08 AM 3.8 0.9 3 NONE 3.5 18/08 PM 3.1 0.4 3 NONE 4.2 18/09 AM 3.9 0.3 4 NONE NARRAGANSETT BAY - CONIMICUT POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 5.5 15/06 PM 5.7 -0.2 1 NONE 7.3 16/07 AM 6.4 0.9 1 MINOR 6.9 16/07 PM 5.8 1.1 1 NONE 7.4 17/08 AM 6.6 0.8 1 MINOR 6.0 18/08 PM 5.9 0.1 1 NONE 7.0 18/08 AM 6.5 0.5 1 NONE WESTPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.0 15/06 PM 4.0 0.0 1-2 NONE 5.8 16/07 AM 4.6 1.2 4 NONE 5.4 16/07 PM 4.1 1.3 3-4 NONE 5.4 17/08 AM 4.7 0.7 2 NONE 4.3 18/08 PM 4.1 0.2 2-3 NONE 5.1 18/08 AM 4.7 0.4 3-4 NONE MATTAPOISETT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.7 15/07 PM 4.6 0.1 2 NONE 6.1 16/07 AM 5.1 1.0 3 NONE 5.8 17/08 PM 4.6 1.2 2 NONE 6.1 17/08 AM 5.3 0.8 2 NONE 4.6 17/09 PM 4.5 0.1 2 NONE 5.7 18/09 AM 5.3 0.4 2 NONE ONSET TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.6 16/08 PM 4.6 0.0 2 NONE 6.0 16/08 AM 5.1 0.9 3 NONE 5.6 17/08 PM 4.5 1.1 2 NONE 5.8 17/09 AM 5.2 0.6 1 NONE 4.6 17/09 PM 4.5 0.1 1 NONE 5.6 18/09 AM 5.2 0.4 1 NONE BLOCK ISLAND - OLD HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.1 15/06 PM 2.9 0.2 3-5 NONE 4.9 16/07 AM 3.5 1.4 7-9 NONE 4.3 16/07 PM 2.9 1.4 8-9 NONE 4.5 17/08 AM 3.6 0.9 5 NONE 3.2 18/08 PM 2.9 0.3 6 NONE 4.0 18/08 AM 3.6 0.4 7-8 NONE NARRAGANSETT BAY - FOX POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 6.1 15/06 PM 6.2 -0.2 1 NONE 7.8 16/07 AM 7.0 0.8 1 MODERATE 7.5 16/07 PM 6.3 1.1 1 MINOR 8.0 17/08 AM 7.2 0.8 1 MODERATE 6.6 18/08 PM 6.5 0.1 1 NONE 7.6 18/08 AM 7.1 0.5 1 MINOR NEWPORT HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.2 15/07 PM 4.2 0.0 2 NONE 2.1 16/12 AM 1.6 0.5 2-3 NONE 3.2 16/12 PM 1.9 1.3 3 NONE 3.1 17/12 AM 1.8 1.3 1-2 NONE 2.6 17/01 PM 2.0 0.6 1 NONE 2.6 18/01 AM 2.0 0.6 1 NONE $$ DRAG  308 WVIY31 LIIB 151627 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 151710/152110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT= SASN32 ESWI 151620 METAR ESKN 151620Z VRB02KT CAVOK 04/M01 Q1023= METAR ESOE 151620Z 35003KT CAVOK 03/M02 Q1024= METAR ESOK 151620Z 32003KT CAVOK 03/M02 Q1025= METAR ESOW 151620Z 35004KT CAVOK 04/M01 Q1024= METAR ESSA 151620Z 36005KT CAVOK 03/M01 Q1023 NOSIG R88/CLRD//= METAR ESSB 151620Z 35004KT CAVOK 05/M03 Q1023= METAR ESSD 151620Z 24004KT CAVOK 03/M04 Q1024= METAR ESSP 151620Z 32004KT CAVOK 05/M01 Q1023= METAR ESSV 151620Z 02010KT 4800 RA BR OVC005 05/05 Q1020= SANO31 ENMI 151620 RRA METAR ENAN 151620Z 24013KT 9999 5000W -DZ SCT008 BKN012 08/05 Q1014 TEMPO 4000 DZRA BKN007=  137 WWUS54 KJAN 151634 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1134 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC083-151644- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0555.000000T0000Z-091015T1645Z/ RICHLAND LA- 1134 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL RICHLAND PARISH IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3219 9166 3232 9163 3243 9145 3228 9121 3207 9144 TIME...MOT...LOC 1634Z 278DEG 31KT 3227 9150 $$ LAC041-065-107-151645- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0555.000000T0000Z-091015T1645Z/ TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-MADISON LA- 1134 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND NORTH CENTRAL TENSAS PARISHES... AT 1134 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BAKERS MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... NEWLIGHT BY 1145 AM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3219 9166 3232 9163 3243 9145 3228 9121 3207 9144 TIME...MOT...LOC 1634Z 278DEG 31KT 3227 9150 $$ COHEN  214 WGUS84 KSHV 151635 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1135 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARC027-LAC119-161635- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /SPHL1.2.ER.091004T1325Z.091015T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1135 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1100 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. * FORECAST...EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS BAYOU DORCHEAT IS NEAR CREST AT SPRINGHILL LOUISIANA. $$ LAC013-015-119-161634- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MNEL1.2.ER.091006T1005Z.091015T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1135 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU DORCHEAT AT DIXIE INN LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1000 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET. * FORECAST...EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS BAYOU DORCHEAT IS CRESTING AT DIXIE INN LOUISIANA. $$ LAC013-015-081-119-161634- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LBUL1.2.ER.091014T0824Z.091017T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1135 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BAYOU DORCHEAT AT LAKE BISTINEAU LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 800 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 143.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 142.5 FEET. * FORECAST...THE LAKE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 144.5 FEET DURING SATURDAY. ALL LAKE RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR FLOODING. $$  511 WGUS64 KSHV 151636 FFASHV FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1136 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ARZ060-061-070>073-LAZ001>003-010-011-017-TXZ097-112-126-138- 151>153-165>167-151745- /O.CAN.KSHV.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER- WEBSTER-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-SABINE LA-BOWIE-CASS-MARION-HARRISON- PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOPE...PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA... LEWISVILLE...MAGNOLIA...EL DORADO...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY... MINDEN...MANSFIELD...COUSHATTA...MANY...ATLANTA...JEFFERSON... MARSHALL...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN... SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL 1136 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALTHOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED. $$ LAZ004>006-012>014-018>022-152130- /O.CON.KSHV.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-UNION LA-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA- NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOMER...RUSTON...FARMERVILLE... BIENVILLE...JONESBORO...MONROE...NATCHITOCHES...WINNFIELD... COLFAX...COLUMBIA...JENA 1136 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... CALDWELL...GRANT...JACKSON...LA SALLE...LINCOLN...OUACHITA... UNION LA AND WINN. IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...BIENVILLE... CLAIBORNE AND NATCHITOCHES. * UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING * A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO REDEVELOP AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP AND SPREAD FARTHER SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE FRONT SLOWLY ENTERS EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA BY MID AFTERNOON. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OVER AREAS THAT ARE ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF THIS WEEK. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL RESULT IN RAPID WATER RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. * MANY LAKES...RIVERS...AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY IN FLOOD AND THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ADDITIONAL HIGH WATER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 15  699 WOUS20 KWNS 151636 WWASPC SPC WW-A 151640 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-151740- STATUS REPORT ON WW 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW IER TO 30 SW MLU TO 10 S MLU TO 35 SSW LLQ. ..PETERS..10/15/09 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-059-065-067-069-083-107-123-127- 151740- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT LA SALLE MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-055-063-149-151740- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON WARREN $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  421 WGUS54 KJAN 151637 FFWJAN LAC041-065-083-107-151830- /O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0171.091015T1637Z-091015T1830Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1137 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... FRANKLIN PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WINNSBORO... SOUTHWESTERN MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... SOUTHERN RICHLAND PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MANGHAM... NORTHWESTERN TENSAS PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 130 PM CDT * AT 1136 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN NEAR MANGHAM...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ARCHIBALD...JIGGER...CROWVILLE...BAKERS...WAVERLY...NEWLIGHT AND TENDAL VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT TWO HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THEY WILL RELAY FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN JACKSON. && LAT...LON 3246 9194 3245 9124 3198 9132 3203 9183 3210 9189 3213 9187 3217 9191 3217 9194 3220 9197 3231 9201 $$ 40  060 WGUS84 KLCH 151637 FLSLCH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1137 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA... RED RIVER NEAR ALEXANDRIA LAC009-079-160637- /O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0044.091017T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /AEXL1.1.ER.091017T1800Z.091019T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1137 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER NEAR ALEXANDRIA. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 34.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOWLAND AREAS NEAR THE RIVER OCCURS AND RECREATIONAL BOATING IS AFFECTED. $$  623 WGUS44 KSHV 151638 FLWSHV BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1138 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC015-119-161638- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LBBL1.2.ER.091007T0400Z.091022T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 1138 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BODCAU BAYOU AT BAYOU BODCAU LAKE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1000 AM THURSDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 184.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 172 FEET. * FORECAST...THE LAKE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 195.0 FEET BY NEXT THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. * EXPECT MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING BETWEEN LEVEE SYSTEMS ON RED CHUTE BAYOU BELOW BODCAU LAKE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND ALL OF NEXT WEEK. $$  293 WWUS84 KJAN 151639 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1139 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ031-151725- LOWNDES MS- 1139 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBUS AT 1139 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE QUICKLY. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ COHEN  750 WGUS84 KSHV 151640 FLSSHV FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1140 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC013-015-017-069-081-161640- /O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-091020T0900Z/ /CSHL1.1.ER.091015T0700Z.091017T0600Z.091019T1500Z.NO/ 1140 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT COUSHATTA LOUISIANA. * UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1000 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 31 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. $$ LAC043-069-081-161639- /O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /GREL1.1.ER.091016T0600Z.091018T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1140 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RED RIVER AT GRAND ECORE LOUISIANA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1000 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 33 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 35.0 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. $$  699 WGUS84 KJAN 151642 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 1142 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM. && MSC025-162242- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-091017T0112Z/ /TBBM6.1.ER.091014T0845Z.091015T1800Z.091016T1912Z.NO/ 1142 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.1 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACT AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR TIBBEE && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME TIBBEE CREEK TIBBEE 23 24.0 THU 08 AM 23.5 20.7 15.9 24.1 THU 01 PM $$ MSC103-162241- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-091018T1912Z/ /MCNM6.1.ER.091014T2008Z.091016T0000Z.091018T1312Z.NO/ 1142 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 26 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING. * IMPACT AT 28 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME NOXUBEE RIVER MACON 26 27.7 THU 08 AM 27.7 27.1 26.1 28.8 THU 07 PM $$  421 WWUS54 KJAN 151644 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1144 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-065-107-151654- /O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0555.000000T0000Z-091015T1645Z/ TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-MADISON LA- 1144 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON... NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND NORTH CENTRAL TENSAS PARISHES WILL EXPIRE AT 1145 AM CDT... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3219 9166 3232 9163 3243 9145 3228 9121 3207 9144 TIME...MOT...LOC 1644Z 278DEG 31KT 3226 9140 $$ COHEN  483 WGUS84 KJAN 151645 FLSJAN FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 1145 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA... BOEUF RIVER NEAR FORT NECESSITY AFFECTING FRANKLIN PARISH PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN! THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM. && LAC041-162245- /O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NECL1.1.ER.091014T2000Z.091018T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1145 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BOEUF RIVER NEAR FORT NECESSITY * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 50.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 50 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 51.5 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACT AT 50 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF FARM AND AGRICULTURAL LAND IS OCCURRING ALONG AND NEAR THE RIVER. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME BOEUF RIVER FORT NECESSITY 50 50.6 THU 11 AM 51.0 51.3 51.5 51.5 SUN 07 AM $$  415 WGUS84 KLZK 151646 CCA FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED THATCHER L&D NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1146 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION AFFECTING CALHOUN...UNION AND BRADLEY COUNTIES RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC011-013-139-160603- /O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CALA4.2.ER.091006T0235Z.091022T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1146 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:25 AM THURSDAY THE WATER ELEVATION WAS 87.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD ELEVATION IS 79.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 89.5 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING OCTOBER 22ND. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE OUACHITA RIVER THATCHER L 79 87.1 THU 09 AM 87.4 87.8 88.2 88.6 89.0 $$ 110  105 WWIN40 DEMS 151200 I W B 15TH OCT 2009 EVN: ======================== THE LOPAR OVER NE- BAY OF BENGAL AND N/H PERSISTS (.) ASSTD CYCIR EXTDNS UPTO 2.1 KMS ASL PERSISTS (.) THE CYCIR EXTDG UPTO 4.5 KM ASL OVER N-PAK AND ADJ J/K PERSISTS(.) THE CYCIR EXTDG UPTO 2.1 KM ASL OVER EAST RAJ AND N/H PERSISTS (.) ABOVE TWO SYSTEMS ARE LIKELY TO MOVE ENE-WARDS(.) FORECAST:- RAIN/THRS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR AT A FEW PLACES IN ASSAM AND MEGHALAYA,NMMT,COT KKA, KRL AND LKDWP AND AT ISOL PLACES IN A AND N ISD,GWB, E RAJ KONKAN GOA M.MAHARASHTRA AND T NADU, MAINLY DRY WX WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REST OF THE COUNTRY(.)  140 WWUS84 KBMX 151648 SPSBMX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1148 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALZ022-151730- PICKENS- 1148 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PICKENS COUNTY UNTIL 1230 PM CDT... AT 1147 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ETHELSVILLE...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF PICKENSVILLE... MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. * LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE... PINE GROVE. MCSHAN. CARROLLTON. OWENS. GORDO. PIONEER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$ 08  060 WSUS31 KKCI 151655 SIGE MKCE WST 151655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151855-152255 AREA 1...FROM VUZ-40NNW LGC-50SE LGC-30N CRG-220ENE OMN-170E PBI-RSW-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-VUZ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 50SE SIE-180S ACK-180SE SBY-200ESE ECG-160ESE ILM-70SSE ECG-50SE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  061 WSUS33 KKCI 151655 SIGW MKCW WST 151655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151855-152255 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  062 WSUS32 KKCI 151655 SIGC MKCC WST 151655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 16C VALID UNTIL 1855Z AL MS FROM 40N SQS-40NW LGC-50N MGM-30SSE SQS-40N SQS AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 28025KT. TOPS TO FL440. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 17C VALID UNTIL 1855Z MS LA AR FROM 30ESE ELD-40WNW JAN-60WNW MCB-40SSE EIC-30ESE ELD AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151855-152255 FROM VUZ-170S CEW-LEV-40WNW PSX-CWK-JAN-IGB-VUZ REF WW 769. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  775 WUUS02 KWNS 151652 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1151 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 29258510 30888055 99999999 27137902 25858294 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 29728780 32367957 99999999 26959974 27359663 99999999 49912299 46972295 44642367 42872549 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW PNS 45 SE CHS ...CONT... 45 SSW LRD 60 ESE CRP ...CONT... 80 NNW BLI OLM 20 ENE ONP 75 WSW OTH.  818 ACUS02 KWNS 151652 SWODY2 SPC AC 151651 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1151 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... BY EARLY FRIDAY...THE UPPER PATTERN WILL HAVE EVOLVED INTO A LARGE TROUGH OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE U.S. WITH AN UPSTREAM RIDGE IN THE WEST. AS THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD AND OFF THE GULF COAST EARLY FRIDAY BUT CONTINUE THROUGH THE FL PENINSULA DURING THE DAY. ...FL... RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WITH LOW 70S DEWPOINTS WILL CHARACTERIZE THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR ACROSS FL. WEAK 850-500 MB LAPSE RATES AND POTENTIAL FOR MULTILAYER CLOUDS AND ONGOING CONVECTION SHOULD LIMIT MLCAPE TO AOB 1500 J/KG. STORMS MAY UNDERGO SOME INTENSIFICATION AS THEY DEVELOP SEWD THROUGH THE WARM SECTOR. HOWEVER...STRONGER FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN POST FRONTAL WITH 25-35 KT WLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF PRIMARILY MULTICELLS. ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS COULD ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS...BUT OVERALL THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT MORE THAN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME. ..DIAL.. 10/15/2009  888 WGUS84 KJAN 151652 FLSJAN FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS 1152 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY AFFECTING CHICOT...DESHA... BOLIVAR AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST CARROLL...ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS... CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES SYNOPSIS... THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL STAGES. THE RIVER WILL RANGE FROM 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT ARKANASAS CITY TO 32 FEET ABOVE NORMAL STAGES AT NATCHEZ. THIS SIGNIFICANT RISE IS DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES IN MISSOURI, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, SOUTHERN INDIANA, AND THE ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN OVER THE LAST WEEK. THE RIVER WILL REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT ALL LOCATIONS; HOWEVER, WILDLIFE, THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY, AND AGRICULTURE WITHIN THE LEVEE SYSTEMS WILL BE AFFECTED. ARC017-041-MSC011-151-160332- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-091016T0332Z/ /ARSA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1152 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO AROUND 28.4 FEET SUNDAY MORNING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER ARKANSAS CITY 37 24.4 THU 11 AM 26.5 28.0 28.4 28.4 10/18 $$ ARC017-LAC035-MSC055-151-160332- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-091016T0332Z/ /GEEM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1152 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO AROUND 41.4 FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER GREENVILLE 48 35.4 THU 11 AM 38.1 40.2 41.2 41.4 10/19 $$ LAC065-107-MSC021-063-149-160332- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-091016T0332Z/ /VCKM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1152 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 43.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO AROUND 35.7 FEET MONDAY EVENING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VICKSBURG 43 28.5 THU 11 AM 31.2 33.2 34.8 35.7 10/20 $$ LAC029-MSC001-157-160332- /O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-091016T0332Z/ /NTZM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 1152 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.3 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO AROUND 44.2 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 44.0 FEET...SOME CAMPS AND MOST ACCESS ROADS FLOODED ALONG LAKE MARY. * IMPACT...AT 43.0 FEET...WATER IS OVER THORNBURG LAKE ROAD IN THE AREA KNOWN AS ANNA'S BOTTOM NORTH OF NATCHEZ. ALSO, LAKE MARY ROAD IS UNDER WATER. * IMPACT...AT 38.0 FEET...LOWLANDS ALONG THE RIVER IN AREAS NOT PROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO FLOOD. SOME OF THESE AREAS CONTAIN OIL AND GAS WELLS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE RIVER, BUT ARE NOT AFFECTED UNTIL HIGHER STAGES. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM CREST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER NATCHEZ 48 35.3 THU 11 AM 38.0 40.6 42.3 44.2 10/21 $$  926 WGUS74 KBMX 151654 FFSBMX FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1154 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALC075-152130- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.W.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T2130Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LAMAR AL- 1154 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR LAMAR COUNTY... AT 1151 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER CONTINUED TO DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO VERNON... SULLIGENT...LAMAR COUNTY AIRPORT...CREWS...BLOOMING GROVE AND BEDFORD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. && TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER... CALL 1-800-856-0758. LAT...LON 3393 8796 3354 8795 3354 8827 3393 8821 $$ 08  040 WWUS43 KBIS 151657 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1157 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT NOON TODAY... .SNOWFALL REPORTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA...AND 2 TO 5 INCHES IN THE JAMES RIVER BASIN...WERE RECEIVED FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. AREAS OF FOG ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS MAY LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FOR LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NDZ002>005-010>013-021>023-025-151800- /O.EXP.KBIS.WW.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091015T1700Z/ BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE- MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...BOTTINEAU...ROLLA... NEW TOWN...MINOT...TOWNER...RUGBY...GARRISON...MCCLUSKY... HARVEY...CARRINGTON 1157 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CDT TODAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CDT TODAY. ONLY LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE ON TAP FOR TODAY...WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. $$ JV  282 WWUS64 KJAN 151701 WCNJAN WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1201 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC035-067-083-123-MSC055-151815- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS CANCELS 4 PARISHES IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA EAST CARROLL MOREHOUSE RICHLAND WEST CARROLL IN MISSISSIPPI THIS CANCELS 1 COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ISSAQUENA THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...DELHI...EPPS... LAKE PROVIDENCE...MAYERSVILLE...OAK GROVE AND RAYVILLE. $$ LAC025-029-041-065-107-MSC001-021-037-063-149-151815- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 PARISHES IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS IN MISSISSIPPI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN JEFFERSON IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WARREN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BUDE...FAYETTE...FERRIDAY... HARRISONBURG...JONESVILLE...MEADVILLE...NATCHEZ...NEWELLTON... PORT GIBSON...ROXIE...ST. JOSEPH...TALLULAH...VICKSBURG... VIDALIA...WATERPROOF...WEST FERRIDAY AND WINNSBORO. $$  794 WSNO35 ENMI 151701 ENBD SIGMET D05 VALID 151700/152100 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR LCA SEV TURB FCST E OF E02200 AND N OF N7000 BLW FL080. WKN S PART.=  075 WSNO35 ENMI 151701 ENBD SIGMET D05 VALID 151700/152100 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR LCA SEV TURB FCST E OF E02200 AND N OF N7000 BLW FL080. WKN S PART.=  036 WOUS64 KWNS 151703 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1203 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LAC021-025-029-041-043-059-065-069-107-127-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN GRANT LA SALLE MADISON NATCHITOCHES TENSAS WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-063-149-151800- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN JEFFERSON WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...SHV...JAN...  434 WSRA31 RUKR 151704 UNKL SIGMET 3 VALID 151800/152100 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH NC=  845 WSRA31 RUKR 151704 UNKL SIGMET 3 VALID 151800/152100 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH NC=  391 WSRA31 RUKR 151704 UNKL SIGMET 3 VALID 151800/152100 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL240/370 MOV E 40KMH NC=  897 WSCH31 SCCI 151706 CCA SCCZ SIGMET 01 VALID 151706/152105 SCCI - PUNTA ARENAS FIR TURBULENCIA SEVERA OBSERVADA SECTOR YENDEGAIA AT 1621Z BTN FL070/090=  957 WHZS50 NSTU 151708 SMWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 600 AM SST THU OCT 15 2009 ASZ001-002-160500- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 600 AM SST THU OCT 15 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 505 PM THU AND 530 AM FRI TAU 444 PM THU AND 507 AM FRI && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 PM SST THU SEP 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 TAEAO ASO TOFI OKETOPA 15 2009 ...O LOO FA'AAUAU PEA FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 505 AFIAFI ASO TOFI MALE 530 VAVEAO ASO FARAILE TAU 444 AFIAFI ASO TOFI MALE 507 VAVEAO ASO FARAILE O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE AFIAFI O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 15 2009. SP  126 WUUS54 KJAN 151709 SVRJAN LAC041-107-151815- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0556.091015T1709Z-091015T1815Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1209 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL FRANKLIN PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... NORTHERN TENSAS PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 115 PM CDT * AT 1209 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF NEWLIGHT MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... NEWLIGHT BY 1225 PM CDT... NEWELLTON...LAKE BRUIN AND SOMERSET BY 1245 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3222 9168 3224 9153 3225 9151 3224 9150 3222 9154 3222 9118 3221 9115 3214 9115 3213 9106 3206 9107 3209 9113 3208 9115 3204 9108 3200 9109 3199 9116 3195 9119 3197 9151 3204 9171 TIME...MOT...LOC 1709Z 278DEG 28KT 3211 9158 $$ COHEN  620 WSCH31 SCCI 151706 CCA SCCZ SIGMET 01 VALID 151706/152105 SCCI - PUNTA ARENAS FIR TURBULENCIA SEVERA OBSERVADA SECTOR YENDEGAIA AT 1621Z BTN FL070/090=  909 WGUS84 KMRX 151719 FLSMRX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 119 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 TNC001-009-013-025-057-059-063-089-093-105-129-145-151-155-173- 151726- /O.CAN.KMRX.FA.Y.0171.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LOUDON TN-ROANE TN-ANDERSON TN-HAMBLEN TN-MORGAN TN-GRAINGER TN- UNION TN-CAMPBELL TN-CLAIBORNE TN-SCOTT TN-JEFFERSON TN-KNOX TN- BLOUNT TN-SEVIER TN-GREENE TN- 119 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EXTREME WESTERN GREENE...SEVIER...BLOUNT...KNOX...JEFFERSON... SCOTT...CLAIBORNE...CAMPBELL...UNION...GRAINGER...MORGAN...HAMBLEN... ANDERSON...ROANE AND LOUDON COUNTIES... RAIN HAD ENDED ACROSS THE REGION...EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLE PATCHY AREAS OF DRIZZLE. THUS...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY...FOR THE NORTHEAST CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND MUCH OF CENTRAL EAST TENNESSEE ...HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAT...LON 3660 8347 3652 8338 3641 8337 3639 8327 3631 8328 3632 8318 3623 8310 3613 8318 3615 8322 3608 8324 3563 8413 3567 8432 3566 8459 3586 8474 3591 8469 3599 8472 3615 8491 3628 8488 3640 8467 3661 8477 $$ TG  799 WFUS54 KJAN 151720 TORJAN LAC107-151800- /O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0101.091015T1720Z-091015T1800Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1220 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL TENSAS PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 100 PM CDT * AT 1220 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEWLIGHT MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... NEWLIGHT BY 1225 PM CDT... LAKE BRUIN AND NEWELLTON BY 1240 PM CDT... ST. JOSEPH BY 1245 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3219 9148 3217 9116 3214 9115 3215 9108 3213 9103 3209 9108 3206 9107 3206 9109 3209 9113 3208 9115 3203 9108 3199 9111 3199 9116 3191 9121 3196 9150 TIME...MOT...LOC 1720Z 277DEG 38KT 3205 9151 $$ COHEN  535 WSFR34 LFPW 151719 LFMM SIGMET 12 VALID 151700/152000 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4100 EAST OF E0530 ON MAR MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  797 WSFR34 LFPW 151719 LFMM SIGMET 12 VALID 151700/152000 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : EMBD TS OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE SOUTH OF N4100 EAST OF E0530 ON MAR MOV SOUTH TOP CB FL200/FL250 NC =  714 WWUS54 KJAN 151724 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1224 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC107-151800- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0101.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ TENSAS LA- 1224 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL TENSAS PARISH... AT 1225 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEWLIGHT MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... LAKE BRUIN AND NEWELLTON BY 1240 PM CDT... ST. JOSEPH BY 1245 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3219 9148 3217 9116 3214 9115 3215 9108 3213 9103 3209 9108 3206 9107 3206 9109 3209 9113 3208 9115 3203 9108 3199 9111 3199 9116 3191 9121 3196 9150 TIME...MOT...LOC 1725Z 277DEG 38KT 3204 9145 $$ COHEN  398 WWUS81 KPBZ 151725 SPSPBZ SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 125 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 PAZ009-015-016-151930- FOREST-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TIONESTA...CLARION...PUNXSUTAWNEY... BROOKVILLE...REYNOLDSVILLE...BROCKWAY 125 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON... MODERATE SNOW WAS FALLING AT DUBOIS THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME ACCUMULATION BEFORE MELTING. SNOW IS ALSO FALLING ACROSS PARTS OF FOREST AND CLARION COUNTIES AND MAY ALSO ACCUMULATE. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. MOST PAVEMENTS WILL JUST BE WET BUT MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR SLICK SPOTS INTO THIS EVENING. SNOW ACCUMULATION THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH BEFORE MELTING AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE PROBLEMS WITH TREES OR POWER LINES. $$  846 WHXX04 KWBC 151721 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93E INITIAL TIME 12Z OCT 15 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 10.7 95.5 325./11.1 6 11.4 96.0 319./ 8.5 12 11.9 97.1 298./11.4 18 12.6 97.6 322./ 8.2 24 12.8 98.7 281./11.5 30 12.5 99.3 243./ 6.6 36 13.0 99.8 313./ 7.1 42 13.6 100.9 299./11.3 48 14.0 102.3 286./14.2 54 14.5 103.7 291./15.1 60 14.8 105.1 281./13.9 66 15.3 106.3 292./12.3 72 16.1 107.6 302./14.8 78 16.5 108.8 289./12.2 84 17.1 109.7 304./10.8 90 17.8 110.5 312./10.1 96 18.5 111.0 325./ 8.7 102 19.2 111.4 334./ 7.8 108 20.0 111.6 345./ 7.3 114 20.6 111.4 14./ 6.5 120 21.5 111.1 18./ 9.6 126 22.5 110.6 26./10.4  541 WSTU31 LTBA 151730 LTBB SIGMET 1 VALID 151730/152030 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS FCST LTBS LTFE MOV NE INTSF=  485 WSBW20 VGZR 151800 VGFR SIGMET 06 VALID 152000/152400 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  373 WSBW20 VGZR 151800 VGFR SIGMET 06 VALID 152000/152400 VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  258 ACUS11 KWNS 151731 SWOMCD SPC MCD 151731 MSZ000-LAZ000-151800- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2112 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1231 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 AREAS AFFECTED...NERN LA/WEST CENTRAL AND SWRN MS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769... VALID 151731Z - 151800Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 CONTINUES. REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A TSTM OVER NERN LA /FRANKLIN AND TENSAS PARISHES/ TRACKING ESEWD AT 35-40 KT. SURFACE HEATING WITHIN A VERY MOIST AIR MASS RESIDING ALONG AND S OF THE ONGOING...BUT GRADUALLY DIMINISHING MCS IS MAINTAINING A MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. THIS COMBINED WITH STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /UP TO 50 KT/ SUGGESTS A STORM OR TWO MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS SWRN/SRN MS. DESPITE STRONG LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL/BOW STRUCTURES...OVERALL LIKELIHOOD FOR ISOLATED COVERAGE/THREAT FOR A STRONG WIND GUST AND/OR BRIEF TORNADO SUGGESTS A NEW WATCH MAY NOT BE WARRANTED. HOWEVER...LOCAL WFO WATCH EXTENSION OF WW 769 IN AREA AND TIME /BEYOND SCHEDULED 18Z EXPIRATION/ IS POSSIBLE. ..PETERS.. 10/15/2009 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...SHV... LAT...LON 31489212 32419153 32559092 32519052 32128995 31768965 31448972 31288994 31349075 31249168 31489212  024 WGUS74 KJAN 151732 FFSJAN FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1232 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-065-083-107-151830- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0171.000000T0000Z-091015T1830Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RICHLAND LA-TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-MADISON LA- 1232 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...FRANKLIN...NORTHWESTERN TENSAS AND SOUTHERN RICHLAND PARISHES... AT 1231 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO DETECT NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN CROSSING MANGHAM...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS... ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR. ANOTHER ONE INCH OF RAINFALL IS STILL POSSIBLE. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO JIGGER...WINNSBORO...CROWVILLE...BAKERS...WAVERLY...NEWLIGHT AND TENDAL PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THEY WILL RELAY FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN JACKSON. && LAT...LON 3246 9194 3245 9124 3198 9132 3203 9183 3210 9189 3213 9187 3217 9191 3217 9194 3220 9197 3231 9201 $$ 40  284 WHUS46 KLOX 151736 CFWLOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 1036 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE CENTRAL COAST... ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF THROUGH THURSDAY FOR WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES... .STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TUESDAYS STORM IS CONTINUING TO BRING INCREASED WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. LARGER SWELL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY...THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. CAZ034-035-160100- /O.CON.KLOX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- 1036 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. BREAKERS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 12 FEET WILL AFFECT THE CENTRAL COAST BEACHES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE HIGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. && $$ CAZ040-041-160100- /O.CON.KLOX.CF.S.0011.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ VENTURA COUNTY COAST- LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- 1036 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF FOR WEST FACING BEACHES THROUGH 6 PM PDT THURSDAY... BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 7 FEET WILL AFFECT WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHEST SETS EXPECTED NEAR VENTURA HARBOR. THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. $$ SWEET  592 ACCA62 TJSJ 151737 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI/BEVEN TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DEL SNM EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO  878 WUUS54 KJAN 151739 SVRJAN LAC065-MSC021-149-151845- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0557.091015T1739Z-091015T1845Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1239 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 145 PM CDT * AT 1239 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES WEST OF YOKENA TO 17 MILES WEST OF PORT GIBSON TO 26 MILES WEST OF PORT GIBSON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... LE TOURNEAU AND YOKENA BY 105 PM CDT... ROCKY SPRINGS AND PORT GIBSON BY 115 PM CDT... REGANTON BY 120 PM CDT... PATTISON BY 125 PM CDT... HERMANVILLE BY 130 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 70 MPH CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS... AND CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES. NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES MAY OCCUR...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3199 9116 3199 9111 3203 9107 3208 9115 3209 9113 3206 9109 3206 9107 3209 9108 3212 9103 3215 9107 3214 9115 3221 9116 3223 9074 3200 9073 3188 9075 3189 9122 TIME...MOT...LOC 1739Z 270DEG 36KT 3221 9125 3202 9127 3196 9143 $$ COHEN  912 WOUS20 KWNS 151741 WWASPC SPC WW-A 151745 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-151800- STATUS REPORT ON WW 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW IER TO 15 S MLU TO 20 SSE MLU TO 45 ENE MLU. WW 769 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 151800Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2112. ..PETERS..10/15/09 ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 769 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC021-025-029-041-043-059-065-069-107-127-151800- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN GRANT LA SALLE MADISON NATCHITOCHES TENSAS WINN $$ MSC001-021-037-063-149-151800- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN JEFFERSON WARREN $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  169 WWUS64 KJAN 151743 WCNJAN WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1243 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-151845- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS CANCELS 1 PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA FRANKLIN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WINNSBORO. $$ MSC029-077-085-152100- /O.EXB.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON IN MISSISSIPPI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COPIAH IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LAWRENCE LINCOLN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BROOKHAVEN...CRYSTAL SPRINGS... HAZLEHURST...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON AND WESSON. $$ LAC025-029-065-107-MSC001-021-037-063-149-152100- /O.EXT.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769...PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 PARISHES IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA CATAHOULA CONCORDIA MADISON TENSAS IN MISSISSIPPI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN JEFFERSON IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WARREN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BUDE...FAYETTE...FERRIDAY... HARRISONBURG...JONESVILLE...MEADVILLE...NATCHEZ...NEWELLTON... PORT GIBSON...ROXIE...ST. JOSEPH...TALLULAH...VICKSBURG... VIDALIA...WATERPROOF AND WEST FERRIDAY. $$ 40  616 WWUS54 KJAN 151744 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1244 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC107-151800- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0101.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ TENSAS LA- 1244 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL TENSAS PARISH... AT 1244 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE BRUIN MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3207 9134 3218 9132 3217 9116 3214 9115 3215 9108 3213 9104 3209 9108 3206 9107 3209 9113 3208 9115 3203 9108 3199 9111 3199 9116 3191 9121 3193 9137 3196 9141 TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 277DEG 38KT 3202 9122 $$ COHEN  117 WOUS64 KWNS 151746 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1246 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LAC021-025-029-043-059-065-069-107-127-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA GRANT LA SALLE MADISON NATCHITOCHES TENSAS WINN $$ MSC001-021-029-037-063-077-085-149-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE COPIAH FRANKLIN JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LINCOLN WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...SHV...JAN...  393 WHUS46 KSGX 151748 CFWSGX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 1048 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY ISSUED FOR SAN DIEGO AND ORANGE COUNTY BEACHES TODAY... .A WEST SWELL WILL INCREASE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS AND CAUSE HIGH SURF TODAY. THE SURF WILL DECREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. CAZ042-043-160400- /O.CON.KSGX.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-091016T0700Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- 1048 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT. THE SURF OF 5 TO 7 FEET WITH SETS TO 8 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. THERE WILL BE STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. THE SURF WILL DECREASE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SURF 3 TO 5 FEET WITH SETS TO 6 FEET ON FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. IF YOU PLAN ON SWIMMING...ALWAYS STAY NEAR STAFFED LIFEGUARD STATIONS. ALSO...STAY OFF ROCKS AND JETTIES AS LARGE WAVES CAN SWEEP PEOPLE INTO THE OCEAN WITHOUT WARNING. && $$ AH  576 WWUS64 KSHV 151748 WCNSHV WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 1248 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC021-043-059-069-127-151900- /O.CAN.KSHV.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS CANCELS 5 PARISHES IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE WINN IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA NATCHITOCHES THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COLFAX...COLUMBIA...JENA... NATCHITOCHES AND WINNFIELD. $$ 15  863 WOUS64 KWNS 151752 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1252 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LAC025-029-065-107-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA MADISON TENSAS $$ MSC001-021-029-037-063-077-085-149-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE COPIAH FRANKLIN JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LINCOLN WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...  331 WSUS33 KKCI 151755 SIGW MKCW WST 151755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 151955-152355 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  332 WSUS32 KKCI 151755 SIGC MKCC WST 151755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 18C VALID UNTIL 1955Z GA AL MS FROM 40NNE SQS-20WSW ATL-20SW LGC-30NNE JAN-40NNE SQS AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 28030KT. TOPS TO FL440. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 19C VALID UNTIL 1955Z MS LA FROM 30NNE MLU-20SE JAN-40WNW MCB-50WSW MLU-30NNE MLU AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 70KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 151955-152355 FROM VUZ-170S CEW-LEV-PSX-CWK-50WNW MCB-40WSW IGB-VUZ WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  333 WSUS31 KKCI 151755 SIGE MKCE WST 151755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 12E VALID UNTIL 1955Z NC AND CSTL WTRS FROM 60E ECG-160ESE ECG-150SE ECG-60SSE ECG-60E ECG DVLPG AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 24025KT. TOPS TO FL440. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 13E VALID UNTIL 1955Z FL GA AL AND FL CSTL WTRS FROM 60ENE CEW-60SW AMG-10E ORL-40E SRQ-70SW TLH-60ENE CEW AREA TS MOV FROM 27015KT. TOPS TO FL440. OUTLOOK VALID 151955-152355 AREA 1...FROM VUZ-50NNE MCN-50N CRG-PBI-RSW-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-VUZ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40SE SIE-180S ACK-180SE SBY-200ESE ECG-170SE ECG-60SE ECG-50ENE ORF-40SE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  407 WSTU31 LTBA 151745 LTBB SIGMET 3 VALID 151745/152045 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR MOD ICE AND MOD TURB FCST ISTANBUL FIR AREA BTN FL100 AND FL200 NC=  408 WSTU31 LTBA 151730 CCA LTBB SIGMET 2 VALID 151730/152030 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS FCST LTBS LTFE MOV NE INTSF=  974 WFUS54 KJAN 151753 TORJAN MSC021-063-151900- /O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0102.091015T1753Z-091015T1900Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1253 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 200 PM CDT * AT 1254 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF ALCORN MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... ALCORN BY 100 PM CDT... LORMAN BY 110 PM CDT... PORT GIBSON BY 115 PM CDT... RED LICK BY 120 PM CDT... PATTISON BY 125 PM CDT... HERMANVILLE BY 130 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3186 9127 3190 9121 3199 9116 3199 9111 3201 9109 3199 9074 3174 9076 3180 9118 3182 9124 3185 9125 3186 9129 TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 278DEG 29KT 3192 9120 $$ COHEN  525 WBCN07 CWVR 151700 PAM ROCKS WIND MM LANGARA; OVC 6R- SE13 5FT MOD LO-MDT E EWOS 20 1730 CLD EST 6 SCT 10 SCT 12 OVC 10/09 GREEN; OVC 12RW- E27 5FT MOD LO S 1730 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 09/03 TRIPLE; OVC 10RW- SE30EG 6FT MOD LO SW 1730 CLD EST 20 FEW OVC ABV 25 10/06 BONILLA; OVC 2RF SE35G 7FT RUF LO-MDT S 1730 CLD EST 10 OVC 09/08 BOAT BLUFF; OVC 15 SW03 RPLD 1730 CLD EST 10 FEW OVC ABV 25 08/07 MCINNES; OVC 12 E20E 4FT MOD LO-MDT SW SHWRS ALQDS 1730 CLD EST 14 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/07 IVORY; OVC 15 E17 3FT MOD LO-MDT SW 1730 CLD EST 20 BKN OVC ABV 25 10/05 DRYAD; CLDY 15 SE15 2FT CHP 1730 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 10/05 ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15+ SE05E 1FT CHP LO S 1730 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 14/05 EGG ISLAND; OVC 15+ SE33G42 6FT MOD LO W 1740 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 13/06 PINE ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE35EG 8FT RUF LO W 1740 CLD EST 20 FEW BKN ABV 25 11/07 CAPE SCOTT; OVC 15 SE30EG 6FT MOD MOD SW OCNL RW- 1740 CLD EST 18 BKN OVC ABV 25 14/07 QUATSINO; CLDY 15RW- SE25EG 6FT MOD MOD SW 1740 CLD EST 18 FEW BKN ABV 25 14/10 NOOTKA; OVC 15 N06 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW 1745 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 12 09 ESTEVAN; OVC 15 SE22G30 4FT MOD LO-MOD SW 1016.8R LENNARD; OVC 12 E15 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW AMPHITRITE; OVC 15 SE12 3FT MOD LO-MOD SW CAPE BEALE; OVC 15 E12 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW PACHENA; OVC 15 SE16 3FT MOD LO-MOD SW CARMANAH; OVC 15 SE20G 4FT MOD MOD SW FBNK SE SCARLETT; OVC 15 SE35G43 7FT RUF LO NW PULTENEY; CLDY 15 SE30EG 3FT MOD SHWRS DSNT S-SW CHATHAM; OVC 15 SE4 RPLD 1740 CLD EST 4 FEW 14 SCT OVC ABV 25 09/08 CHROME; OVC 15 SE20 3FT MOD LO E MERRY; OVC 15 E7 RPLD 1740 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 13/8 ENTRANCE; OVC 15 SE12 2FT CHP LO E FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; PC 15 NE10 RPLD TRIAL IS.; CLDY 15 NE08 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1600 AUTO8 M M M 213/11/09/0810/M/3017 82MM= WLP SA 1600 AUTO8 M M M 140/12/07/1237+47/M/PK WND 1247 1551Z 3012 68MM= WQC SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 209/09/09/3602/M/0004 3014 15MM= WRU SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 121/10/10/1043+49/M/0010 PCPN 0.8MM PAST HR PK WND 1153 1629Z 1010 37MM= WFG SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 099/11/10/1650+59/M/0008 PCPN 0.6MM PAST HR PK WND 1559 1601Z 3011 18MM= WVF SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/0809/M/M M 4MMM= WQS SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/13/10/1735+44/M/M PK WND 1849 1600Z M 46MM= WRO SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/10/08/1237+48/M/0018 PCPN 0.9MM PAST HR PK WND 1349 1609Z M 96MM= WEK SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 094/08/M/0528+33/M/PK WND 0537 1613Z 3004 8MMM= WWL SA 1722 AUTO4 M M M 072/09/M/MM16+33/M/0040 PCPN 1.2MM PAST HR 1009 0MMM= WME SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 156/08/04/0626/M/M PK WND 0536 1607Z 3009 76MM= WSB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/11/M/1102/M/M 3MMM= WGT SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 201/11/10/1419/M/M PK WND 1422 1654Z 1027 95MM= WGB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/11/09/1418/M/PK WND 1421 1656Z M 11MM= WEL SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/11/10/1414/M/0002 M 45MM= WDR SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/0507/M/M M 9MMM= WZO SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0408/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1112/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 200/11/07/1409/M/1016 64MM=  621 WWUS84 KBMX 151756 AWWBMX AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR SHELBY COUNTY AIRPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1256 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALZ025-152100- SHELBY- AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SHELBY COUNTY AIRPORT THROUGH 400 PM CDT. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING TO MOVE ACROSS SHELBY COUNTY AIRPORT AND ITS VICINITY BY 130 PM. $$ 08  417 WSIN90 VECC 151900 VECF SIGMET NO 07 VALID 151900/152300 UTC VECF-KOLKATA FIR NIL SIGMET=  815 WSCN31 CWEG 151758 SIGMET O2 VALID 151800/152200 CWEG- WTN 35 NM OF LN /5015N12722W/25 S PORT HARDY - /5346N13055W/45 NE SANDSPIT. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 30. SARTINE ISLD REPS 16050G59KT. AREA QS. WNDS WKNG FM W NXT 4 HRS. END/GFA31/CMAC-W/JB/CPM/  925 WWCN11 CWVR 151747 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:47 AM PDT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL BRITISH COLUMBIA... WIND WARNING FOR: =NEW= WEST VANCOUVER ISLAND =NEW= NORTH VANCOUVER ISLAND CENTRAL COAST - COASTAL SECTIONS QUEEN CHARLOTTES. NORTHEAST OUTFLOW WINDS OF 60 GUSTING TO 80 KM/H TODAY THROUGH THE MAINLAND VALLEYS AND INLETS OF THE NORTH COAST WILL EASE SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT RETURN OVERNIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 70 GUSTING TO 90 KM/H OVER EXPOSED COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES WILL CONTINUE UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING AND WILL STRENGTHEN TO SOUTHEAST 90 GUSTIN GTO 110 KM/H OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS OVERNIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 70 TO 90 KM/H WILL DEVELOP EARLY FRIDAY ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST. SOUTHEAST WINDS 90 GUSTING TO 110 KM/H WILL DEVELOP OVER EXPOSED COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND TONIGHT AND EASE LATE FRIDAY MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS 70 GUSTING TO 90 KM/H WILL DEVELOP OVER EXPOSED COASTAL SECTIONS OF WESTERN VANCOUVER ISLAND TONIGHT AND EASE LATE FRIDAY MORNING. THIS IS A WARNING THAT POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS..LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS ENDED FOR COASTAL BRITISH COLUMBIA... WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: NORTH COAST - COASTAL SECTIONS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE CENTRE APPROACHING THE NORTH COAST OF BRITISH COLUMBIA IS PRODUCING STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE VALLEYS AND INLETS OF THE NORTH COAST THIS MORNING AND THESE WINDS WILL RECUR FRIDAY MORNING. THE LOW WILL ALSO BRING VERY STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS TO EXPOSED SECTIONS OF THE BC COAST TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LOW MOVES FURTHER NORTH AND EASES. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/PSPC  551 WWUS60 KWNS 151800 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 15-OCT-09 AT 18:00:01 UTC NO WATCHES CURRENTLY ACTIVE  218 WTNT80 EGRR 151800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.10.2009 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.8N 96.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.10.2009 11.8N 96.6W WEAK 12UTC 16.10.2009 12.0N 99.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.10.2009 12.6N 99.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.10.2009 13.1N 101.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.10.2009 13.3N 103.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2009 14.7N 106.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.10.2009 15.3N 110.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.10.2009 16.1N 112.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.10.2009 16.5N 115.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2009 16.6N 117.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2009 16.3N 118.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2009 17.5N 119.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151702  305 WSAU21 ASRF 151800 YBBB SIGMET SY09 VALID 151800/152200 YSRF- YBBB BRISBANE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY07 151400/151800  546 WSAU21 ASRF 151801 YMMM SIGMET SY10 VALID 151800/152200 YSRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3800 E15100 BLW A100 STNR NC STS:REV SIGMET SY08 151400/151800  310 WWUS54 KJAN 151802 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 102 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-151813- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0556.000000T0000Z-091015T1815Z/ FRANKLIN LA- 102 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL FRANKLIN PARISH IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3207 9124 3214 9115 3213 9106 3209 9108 3206 9107 3209 9113 3208 9115 3206 9114 3204 9108 3200 9109 3199 9116 3195 9120 3197 9131 TIME...MOT...LOC 1803Z 278DEG 28KT 3205 9109 $$ LAC107-151815- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0556.000000T0000Z-091015T1815Z/ TENSAS LA- 102 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL TENSAS PARISH... AT 103 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAKE BRUIN MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3207 9124 3214 9115 3213 9106 3209 9108 3206 9107 3209 9113 3208 9115 3206 9114 3204 9108 3200 9109 3199 9116 3195 9120 3197 9131 TIME...MOT...LOC 1803Z 278DEG 28KT 3205 9109 $$ COHEN  719 WOUS64 KWNS 151803 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 103 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LAC025-029-065-107-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA MADISON TENSAS $$ MSC001-021-029-037-063-077-085-149-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE COPIAH FRANKLIN JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LINCOLN WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...  059 WGUS54 KJAN 151808 FFWJAN LAC065-107-MSC021-149-152000- /O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0172.091015T1808Z-091015T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 108 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TALLULAH... NORTHEASTERN TENSAS PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... NORTHERN CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF VICKSBURG... * UNTIL 300 PM CDT * AT 106 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN CENTERED ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLULAH...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF 1.5 INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AFTON...LE TOURNEAU...YOKENA...ROCKY SPRINGS AND REGANTON VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT TWO HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THEY WILL RELAY FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN JACKSON. && LAT...LON 3233 9072 3199 9074 3210 9130 3242 9125 $$ 40  297 WWUS54 KJAN 151809 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 109 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC065-151818- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0557.000000T0000Z-091015T1845Z/ MADISON LA- 109 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MADISON PARISH IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3199 9115 3199 9111 3203 9107 3208 9114 3209 9113 3206 9109 3206 9106 3210 9107 3211 9100 3207 9083 3200 9073 3188 9075 3189 9122 TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 270DEG 36KT 3207 9101 3196 9103 3190 9114 $$ MSC021-149-151845- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0557.000000T0000Z-091015T1845Z/ CLAIBORNE MS-WARREN MS- 109 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN WARREN AND CENTRAL CLAIBORNE COUNTIES... ALSO...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE COUNTY. AT 108 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF PORT GIBSON TO PORT GIBSON TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PORT GIBSON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... HERMANVILLE BY 125 PM CDT... PATTISON BY 130 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3199 9115 3199 9111 3203 9107 3208 9114 3209 9113 3206 9109 3206 9106 3210 9107 3211 9100 3207 9083 3200 9073 3188 9075 3189 9122 TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 270DEG 36KT 3207 9101 3196 9103 3190 9114 $$ COHEN  765 WGCA82 TJSJ 151811 FLSSJU FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 211 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 PRC005-011-027-071-081-099-115-131-152115- /O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0338.091015T1811Z-091015T2115Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ISABELA PR-MOCA PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR- LARES PR-CAMUY PR-ANASCO PR- 211 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES... IN PUERTO RICO ISABELA...MOCA...QUEBRADILLAS...SAN SEBASTIAN...AGUADILLA... LARES...CAMUY AND ANASCO * UNTIL 515 PM AST * AT 209 PM AST THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN QUICKLY DEVELOPING AND MOVING ACROSS THESE AREAS. ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE BETWEEN AN INCH TO TWO INCHES ACROSS THESE AREAS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AND RUNOFF WILL AFFECT THESE AREAS AT LEAST UNTIL 515 PM AST. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. && LAT...LON 1834 6712 1851 6713 1850 6689 1836 6683 1829 6691 1826 6707 1825 6708 $$ CASTRO  639 WWUS54 KJAN 151812 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 112 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC021-063-151900- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0102.000000T0000Z-091015T1900Z/ JEFFERSON MS-CLAIBORNE MS- 112 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE AND NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES... AT 113 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ALCORN MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... LORMAN BY 120 PM CDT... RED LICK AND PORT GIBSON BY 125 PM CDT... PATTISON BY 135 PM CDT... BLUE HILL AND HERMANVILLE BY 140 PM CDT... PEYTON BY 145 PM CDT... MCBRIDE BY 150 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3186 9127 3190 9121 3199 9116 3199 9111 3201 9109 3199 9074 3174 9076 3180 9118 3182 9124 3185 9125 3186 9129 TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 275DEG 29KT 3184 9111 $$ COHEN  260 WWUS54 KJAN 151814 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 114 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC107-151824- /O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0556.000000T0000Z-091015T1815Z/ TENSAS LA- 114 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL TENSAS PARISH WILL EXPIRE AT 115 PM CDT... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3207 9124 3214 9115 3213 9106 3209 9108 3206 9107 3209 9113 3208 9115 3206 9114 3204 9108 3200 9109 3199 9116 3195 9120 3197 9131 TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 278DEG 28KT 3204 9099 $$ COHEN  512 WVNT12 KKCI 151830 WSVA0L TJZS SIGMET LIMA 2 VALID 151830/160030 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 1830Z WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1730 W06500 - N1700 W06300. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 0030Z VA CLD APRX WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1700 W06300 - N1730 W06430.  164 WGCA82 TJSJ 151816 FLSSPN ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 211 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PRC005-011-027-071-081-099-115-131-152115- ISABELA PR-MOCA PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR- AGUADILLA PR-LARES PR-CAMUY PR-ANASCO PR- 211 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA * ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES URBANAS Y DE RIACHUELOS PARA LOS SIGUIENTES MUNICIPIOS... EN PUERTO RICO ISABELA...MOCA...QUEBRADILLAS...SAN SEBASTIAN...AGUADILLA... LARES...CAMUY Y ANASCO * HASTA LAS 5:15 PM AST * A LAS 2:09 PM AST EL RADAR DOPPLER INDICO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS CON LLUVIA FUERTE DESARROLLANDOSE RAPIDAMENTE Y MOVIENDOSE A TRAVES DE ESTAS AREAS. ESTIMADOS DE LLUVIA ESTAN ENTRE UNA A DOS PULGADAS A TRAVES DE ESTAS AREAS. LLUVIA ADICIONAL ES POSIBLE...ESCORRENTIAS TAMBIEN AFECTARAN ESTAS AREAS. LA MAYORIA DE LAS MUERTES RELACIONADAS A INUNDACIONES OCURREN EN AUTOMOVILES. NUNCA MANEJE SU VEHICULO EN AREAS DONDE EL AGUA CUBRA LA CARRETERA. LA PROFUNDIDAD DEL AGUA SUELE SER MAYOR DE LO QUE APARENTA. SOLO UN PIE DE AGUA ES SUFICIENTE PARA ARRASTRAR LOS VEHICULOS DE LA CARRETERA. CUANDO SE ENCUENTRE CON CARRETERAS INUNDADAS...TOME LA DECISION SABIA...REGRESE...PROTEJA SU VIDA. && LAT...LON 1834 6712 1851 6713 1850 6689 1836 6683 1829 6691 1826 6707 1825 6708 $$ CASTRO  947 WGUS84 KOHX 151817 FLSOHX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 117 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE, TN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... GARRISON FORK NEAR WARTRACE AFFECTING BEDFORD COUNTY .RAINFALL OVERNIGHT HAS CAUSED THE GARRISON FORK NEAR WARTRACE TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER WILL CREST THIS AFTERNOON AND BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && TNC003-160617- /O.NEW.KOHX.FL.Y.0027.091015T1817Z-091017T0614Z/ /WTTT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 117 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE, TN HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE GARRISON FORK NEAR WARTRACE * AT 01PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND CRESTING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * AT 8.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOW OVER THE LOW WATER CROSSING ON BUGSCUFFLE ROAD. $$ MTP  220 WWNZ40 NZKL 151815 CANCEL WARNING 274  221 WWNZ40 NZKL 151814 GALE WARNING 275 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 151800UTC OVER WATERS NORTH OF ICE EDGE. IN A BELT 240 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 61S 180 60S 149W 63S 130W: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 50KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 273.  296 WUUS54 KJAN 151823 SVRJAN MSC063-151915- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0558.091015T1823Z-091015T1915Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 123 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 215 PM CDT * AT 123 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RED LICK MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BLUE HILL BY 135 PM CDT... UNION CHURCH BY 145 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3176 9074 3163 9075 3166 9095 3173 9108 3182 9107 TIME...MOT...LOC 1823Z 277DEG 36KT 3181 9101 $$ COHEN  462 WHUS71 KCAR 151824 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 224 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ050>052-160230- /O.NEW.KCAR.SC.Y.0060.091016T0600Z-091017T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM- INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME- 224 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WAVE CONDITIONS OF 5 FEET OR HIGHER. THIS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  249 WWUS54 KJAN 151825 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 125 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC021-063-151900- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0102.000000T0000Z-091015T1900Z/ JEFFERSON MS-CLAIBORNE MS- 125 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CLAIBORNE AND NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES... AT 125 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LORMAN MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... PATTISON BY 135 PM CDT... BLUE HILL BY 140 PM CDT... PEYTON BY 145 PM CDT... MCBRIDE BY 150 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3179 9110 3187 9106 3192 9100 3190 9075 3174 9076 TIME...MOT...LOC 1825Z 275DEG 29KT 3183 9099 $$ COHEN  413 WHUS46 KLOX 151826 CFWLOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 1126 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE CENTRAL COAST AND THE COAST OF VENTURA COUNTY... ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF THROUGH THURSDAY FOR WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES COUNTY... .STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TUESDAYS STORM IS CONTINUING TO BRING INCREASED WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL TO THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. LARGER SWELL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY...THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. CAZ040-160100- /O.CAN.KLOX.CF.S.0011.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ /O.EXA.KLOX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ VENTURA COUNTY COAST- 1126 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THE LATEST SURF REPORTS ALONG THE VENTURA COUNTY COAST OF 8 FEET WAVES WITH MAXIMUM SETS TO 10 FEET HAVE PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR THE VENTURA COUNTY COAST UNTIL 6 PM. EXPECT BREAKERS OF 7 TO 9 FEET WITH MAX SETS TO 10 FEET THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. && $$ CAZ034-035-160100- /O.CON.KLOX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- 1126 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. BREAKERS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 12 FEET WILL AFFECT THE CENTRAL COAST BEACHES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE HIGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. && $$ CAZ041-160100- /O.CON.KLOX.CF.S.0011.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- 1126 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF FOR WEST FACING BEACHES THROUGH 6 PM PDT THURSDAY... BREAKERS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WITH LOCAL SETS TO 7 FEET WILL AFFECT WEST FACING BEACHES OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHEST SETS EXPECTED NEAR VENTURA HARBOR. THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF WILL ALSO BRING A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. $$ SWEET  119 WSGL31 BGSF 151826 BGGL SIGMET 2 VALID 151830/152130 BGSF- BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR SEV TURB FCST OVER S-GREENLAND S OF LINE N6100 W04700 - N6120 W04520 - N6010 W04400 BLW FL080 STNR WKN=  162 WSGL31 BGSF 151826 BGGL SIGMET 2 VALID 151830/152130 BGSF- BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR SEV TURB FCST OVER S-GREENLAND S OF LINE N6100 W04700 - N6120 W04520 - N6010 W04400 BLW FL080 STNR WKN=  104 WWUS54 KJAN 151829 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 129 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC149-151837- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0557.000000T0000Z-091015T1845Z/ WARREN MS- 129 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3195 9102 3200 9092 3199 9073 3193 9074 3188 9075 3189 9105 TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 270DEG 36KT 3193 9094 $$ MSC021-151845- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0557.000000T0000Z-091015T1845Z/ CLAIBORNE MS- 129 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE COUNTY... ALSO...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CLAIBORNE COUNTY. AT 127 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PORT GIBSON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... HERMANVILLE BY 135 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3195 9102 3200 9092 3199 9073 3193 9074 3188 9075 3189 9105 TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 270DEG 36KT 3193 9094 $$ COHEN  478 WGUS54 KJAN 151831 FFWJAN LAC041-065-083-107-151930- /O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0173.091015T1831Z-091015T1930Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 131 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... NORTHERN FRANKLIN PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... SOUTHWESTERN MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... SOUTHERN RICHLAND PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MANGHAM... NORTH CENTRAL TENSAS PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 230 PM CDT * AT 130 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLULAH TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MANGHAM...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR. * THE STORMS PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE INDICATED PARISHES. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT HOUR WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS...ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THEY WILL RELAY FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN JACKSON. && LAT...LON 3242 9125 3210 9131 3232 9201 3246 9193 $$ 40  112 WSTU31 LTBA 151830 LTBB SIGMET 4 VALID 151830/152130 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS FCST 37.2N 28.3E MOV NE INTSF=  129 WAZA42 FAJS 151700 FACT AIRMET A2 VALID 151700/152100 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN SFC VIS 4000M -RA FCST OVER SW W-CAPE=  130 WSZA21 FAJS 151400 FACT SIGMET A1 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S3124 E02512 - S3230 E02618 - S3406 E02730 - S3500 E02918 - S3424 E03042 - S3300 E03136 - S3112 E02818 - S3124 E02512 TOP FL360=  131 WAZA42 FAJS 151400 FACT AIRMET D4 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN MOD MTW OBS OVER INTERIOR OF W-CAPE, W INTERIOR OF E-CAPE=  132 WAZA42 FAJS 151400 FAJS AIRMET C1 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR SFC VIS 4000M TSRA OBS OVER FREESTATE=  133 WAZA42 FAJS 151400 FACT AIRMET B1 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN BKN CLD 400/5000FT OBS OVER SW INT OF W-CAPE=  134 WAZA42 FAJS 151400 FACT AIRMET F1 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN SFC VIS 4000M TSRA FCST OVER E-CAPE=  135 WAZA42 FAJS 151400 FACT AIRMET A1 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN SFC VIS 4000M -RA FCST OVER SW W-CAPE=  136 WAZA42 FAJS 151700 FACT AIRMET F2 VALID 151700/152100 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN SFC VIS 4000M TSRA FCST OVER E HALF OF E-CAPE=  137 WAZA42 FAJS 151700 FACT AIRMET B2 VALID 151700/152100 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN BKN CLD 400/5000FT OBS OVER SW INT OF W-CAPE=  138 WAZA42 FAJS 151400 FACT AIRMET C1 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN MT OBSC OBS OVER SW INT OF W-CAPE=  300 WAZA42 FAJS 151400 FAJS AIRMET A4 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR ISOL CB OBS OVER E FREESTATE, E NW PROV, MPUMALANGA HIV AND WSW KZN=  342 WAZA42 FAJS 151700 FAJS AIRMET C2 VALID 151700/152100 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR SFC VIS 4000M TSRA OBS OVER EXTRME E E-CAPE, KZN INT, LESOTHO, FREE STATE, NE N-CAPE, NW PROV AND S MPUMALANGA=  343 WSZA21 FAJS 151700 FACT SIGMET A2 VALID 151700/151800 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S3130 E02548 - S3224 E02700 - S3342 E02818 - S3512 E03012 - S3312 E03148 - S3100 E02812 - S3130 E02548 TOP FL360=  344 WAZA42 FAJS 151700 FAJS AIRMET A5 VALID 151700/152100 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR ISOL CB OBS OVER E FREESTATE, E NW PROV, MPUMALANGA HIV AND INT KZN=  345 WSZA21 FAJS 151700 FAJS SIGMET A7 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S2800 E02048 - S2912 E02224 - S3048 E02530 - S3054 E02742 - S3118 E02936 - S3212 E03054 - S3154 E03218 - S3036 E03106 - S2906 E02848 - S2748 E02648 - S2636 E02512 - S2542 E02518 - S2524 E02430 - S2512 E02336 - S2618 E02248 - S2648 E02124 - S2800 E02048 TOP FL360=  346 WSZA21 FAJS 151400 FAJS SIGMET A6 VALID 151400/151800 FAJS- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S3048 E02500 - S2842 E02248 - S2724 E02130 - S2636 E02154 - S2548 E02236 - S2524 E02336 - S2718 E02548 - S2906 E02700 - S3100 E02848 - S3048 E02500 TOP FL360=  347 WAZA42 FAJS 151700 FACT AIRMET D5 VALID 151700/152100 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN MOD MTW OBS OVER INTERIOR OF W-CAPE, W INTERIOR OF E-CAPE=  348 WAZA42 FAJS 151700 FACT AIRMET C2 VALID 151700/152100 FAJS- FACA CAPE TOWN MT OBSC OBS OVER SW INT OF W-CAPE=  038 WWUS54 KJAN 151835 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 135 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC021-151845- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0557.000000T0000Z-091015T1845Z/ CLAIBORNE MS- 135 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND MOVED SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3195 9102 3200 9092 3199 9073 3193 9074 3188 9075 3189 9105 TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 270DEG 36KT 3193 9084 $$ COHEN  661 WHUS41 KAKQ 151836 CFWAKQ URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 236 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 MDZ024-025-160245- /O.UPG.KAKQ.CF.A.0002.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.W.0001.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- 236 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 25 AND 35 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT BETWEEN OCEAN CITY AND CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT...WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. AT OCEAN CITY INLET...HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AT 624 AM EDT...WITH THE ANTICIPATED HEIGHT AROUND 5.5 FEET MLLW. MODERATE FLOODING AT OCEAN CITY INLET BEGINS AT 5 FT. THE EXPECTED HIGH TIDE FRIDAY EVENING AT OCEAN CITY INLET IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSER TO 5.25 FEET MLLW. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ VAZ099-100-160245- /O.UPG.KAKQ.CF.A.0002.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.Y.0011.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- 236 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND THUS BUILDING WAVES WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT...WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 6 AND 10 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ VAZ095-098-160245- /O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.Y.0011.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-VIRGINIA BEACH- 236 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND THUS INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. THESE DEPARTURES WILL POSSIBLY CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. AT VIRGINIA BEACH...HIGH TIDES FRIDAY WILL OCCUR AT 639 AM EDT AND AGAIN AT 657 PM EDT. MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS DURING BOTH HIGH TIDE CYCLES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 5.0 AND 5.5 FEET MLLW. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 5.0 FEET MLLW. AT SEWELLS POINT...HIGH TIDES FRIDAY WILL OCCUR AT 807 AM EDT AND AGAIN AT 831 PM EDT. MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS DURING BOTH HIGH TIDE CYCLES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4.5 TO 4.75 FEET MLLW. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 4.5 FEET MLLW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ JAB/BKH  627 WVNT12 KKCI 151830 TJZS SIGMET L2 VALID 151830/160030 TJZS- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 1830Z WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1730 W06500 - N1700 W06300. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 0030Z VA CLD APRX WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1700 W06300 - N1730 W06430.=  789 WWUS54 KJAN 151838 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 138 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC021-151847- /O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0102.000000T0000Z-091015T1900Z/ CLAIBORNE MS- 138 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CLAIBORNE COUNTY IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3178 9103 3179 9103 3184 9102 3186 9098 3186 9096 3184 9086 3183 9085 3179 9085 3179 9078 3174 9076 TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 295DEG 20KT 3179 9094 $$ MSC063-151900- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0102.000000T0000Z-091015T1900Z/ JEFFERSON MS- 138 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY... AT 137 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR RED LICK MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... BLUE HILL BY 150 PM CDT... MCBRIDE BY 200 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION NOW. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3178 9103 3179 9103 3184 9102 3186 9098 3186 9096 3184 9086 3183 9085 3179 9085 3179 9078 3174 9076 TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 295DEG 20KT 3179 9094 $$ COHEN  147 WGUS74 KBMX 151838 FFSBMX FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 138 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALC075-152130- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.W.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T2130Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LAMAR AL- 138 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR LAMAR COUNTY... AT 133 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED SEVEN ADDITIONAL ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO HIGH WATER NEAR STAR. OVER TEN ROADS REMAIN CLOSED DUE TO ACTIVITY FROM EARLIER STORMS. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO VERNON... SULLIGENT...LAMAR COUNTY AIRPORT...CREWS...BLOOMING GROVE AND BEDFORD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER... CALL 1-800-856-0758. LAT...LON 3393 8796 3354 8795 3354 8827 3393 8821 $$ 08  015 WSFR34 LFPW 151837 LFMM SIGMET 13 VALID 151900/152300 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  289 WSFR34 LFPW 151837 LFMM SIGMET 13 VALID 151900/152300 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  577 WWUS41 KPHI 151839 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 239 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-160300- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 239 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL LOW HAS SPREAD SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE REGION. ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH VALLEY LOCATIONS AVERAGING LESS THAN AN INCH. THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ON NON PAVED SURFACES AS WELL AS SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. BECAUSE THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES, OVER SOME OF THE HIGHEST TERRAIN, SOME LIMBS MIGHT COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE THE INTENSITY WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT AND ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MIGHT BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GIGI/HEAVENER  545 WWUS54 KJAN 151840 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 140 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC063-151915- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0558.000000T0000Z-091015T1915Z/ JEFFERSON MS- 140 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY... AT 141 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RED LICK MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BLUE HILL BY 150 PM CDT... MCBRIDE BY 155 PM CDT... UNION CHURCH BY 200 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3172 9100 3180 9098 3176 9074 3163 9075 3166 9095 3167 9097 TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 293DEG 24KT 3176 9092 $$ COHEN  739 WVNT12 KKCI 151830 TJZS SIGMET LIMA 2 VALID 151830/160030 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 1830Z WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1730 W06500 - N1700 W06300. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 0030Z VA CLD APRX WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1700 W06300 - N1730 W06430.  096 WSNZ21 NZKL 151841 NZZC SIGMET 19 VALID 151841/152241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABOUT/E RANGES NZHN/EASTCAPE TO NZPP NC  348 WSNZ21 NZKL 151841 NZZC SIGMET 19 VALID 151841/152241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABOUT/E RANGES NZHN/EASTCAPE TO NZPP NC  636 WHXX01 KMIA 151843 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1843 UTC THU OCT 15 2009 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY (EP202009) 20091015 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 091015 1800 091016 0600 091016 1800 091017 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 11.9N 96.6W 12.7N 97.9W 13.1N 99.3W 13.6N 101.2W BAMD 11.9N 96.6W 12.5N 98.1W 13.0N 99.5W 13.5N 101.0W BAMM 11.9N 96.6W 12.6N 98.1W 13.1N 99.5W 13.6N 101.3W LBAR 11.9N 96.6W 12.8N 98.4W 13.5N 100.3W 14.2N 102.4W SHIP 30KTS 39KTS 55KTS 68KTS DSHP 30KTS 39KTS 55KTS 68KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 091017 1800 091018 1800 091019 1800 091020 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.2N 103.7W 15.5N 109.4W 16.0N 114.0W 15.1N 113.8W BAMD 14.2N 102.7W 16.1N 107.0W 18.5N 111.1W 20.4N 113.7W BAMM 14.2N 103.3W 15.8N 108.3W 17.2N 112.8W 17.1N 114.6W LBAR 15.1N 104.4W 16.7N 107.8W 18.3N 110.7W 19.2N 112.6W SHIP 82KTS 101KTS 111KTS 111KTS DSHP 82KTS 101KTS 111KTS 111KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 11.9N LONCUR = 96.6W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 13KT LATM12 = 10.2N LONM12 = 94.5W DIRM12 = 320DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 7.8N LONM24 = 93.2W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN  036 WSTU31 LTBA 151815 LTBB SIGMET 5 VALID 151815/152115 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS FCST LTBS LTFE MOV NE INTSF=  680 WWUS41 KALY 151846 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 246 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NYZ058-063-161030- /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0013.091015T2000Z-091016T1600Z/ WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON... NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 246 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS. LIGHT SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME RAIN THIS AFTERNOON...WILL BECOME ALL SNOW...AND WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY TOWARD AND AFTER SUNSET. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL THEN PERSIST AT LIGHT TO MODERATE INTENSITY OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF IN INTENSITY BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY ABOVE 1800 FEET. DUE TO THE WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW...ALONG WITH SOME FOLIAGE STILL REMAINING ON TREES...THE WEIGHT OF THIS SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO DOWN TREE LIMBS...AND COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. THE SNOW WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT TO A POSITION EAST OF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST BY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ KL/HWJIV  813 WSUS31 KKCI 151855 SIGE MKCE WST 151855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 14E VALID UNTIL 2055Z NC CSTL WTRS FROM 70E ECG-190ESE ECG-170SE ECG-60SE ECG-70E ECG AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 24025KT. TOPS TO FL430. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 15E VALID UNTIL 2055Z GA AL FROM 30SSW ATL-40SE IGB LINE EMBD TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 28030KT. TOPS TO FL440. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 16E VALID UNTIL 2055Z FL GA AL AND FL CSTL WTRS FROM 30E MGM-50W CRG-30E ORL-40E SRQ-30ESE CEW-30E MGM AREA TS MOV FROM 27015KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 152055-160055 AREA 1...FROM 50NNE MCN-50N CRG-PBI-RSW-60WSW PIE-170S CEW-30SSW VUZ-50NNE MCN WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 50ESE SIE-180S ACK-180SE SBY-200ESE ECG-170SE ECG-50ESE ECG-50SSE SBY-50ESE SIE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  814 WSUS32 KKCI 151855 SIGC MKCC WST 151855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 20C VALID UNTIL 2055Z MS LA FROM 20ENE MLU-30SSE JAN-50ENE AEX-20SW MLU-20ENE MLU AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 70KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 152055-160055 FROM 30SSW VUZ-170S CEW-LEV-PSX-30NE SAT-EIC-50ESE MLU-30SSW VUZ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  815 WSUS33 KKCI 151855 SIGW MKCW WST 151855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 152055-160055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  855 WWUS54 KJAN 151847 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 147 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC063-151856- /O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0102.000000T0000Z-091015T1900Z/ JEFFERSON MS- 147 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO WARNING HAS WEAKENED. HOWEVER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3178 9103 3179 9103 3184 9102 3186 9098 3186 9096 3184 9086 3183 9085 3179 9085 3179 9078 3174 9076 TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 295DEG 20KT 3177 9089 $$ COHEN  381 WSTU31 LTBA 151815 CCA LTBB SIGMET 5 VALID 151815/152115 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1800Z 37.2N 28.3E LTBS LTFE MOV NE INTSF=  706 WHUS71 KGYX 151848 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 248 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... ANZ150>154-161000- /O.NEW.KGYX.SC.Y.0080.091016T0600Z-091017T1200Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY- CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 248 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  999 WSNZ21 NZKL 151841 NZZC SIGMET 19 VALID 151841/152241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABOUT/E RANGES NZHN/EASTCAPE TO NZPP NC=  658 WWUS54 KJAN 151852 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 152 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC063-151915- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0558.000000T0000Z-091015T1915Z/ JEFFERSON MS- 152 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY... AT 152 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BLUE HILL MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... UNION CHURCH AND MCBRIDE BY 205 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3173 9094 3178 9091 3176 9074 3163 9075 3166 9095 3170 9095 TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 288DEG 17KT 3173 9086 $$ COHEN  256 WSIL31 BICC 151846 BIRD SIGMET 02 VALID 151900/152100 BIRK- BIRD REYKJAVIK CTA MOD OCNL SEV TURB FCST WI 100NM OF LINE N70 W034 - N6830 W020 F250/F400 MOV N NC CNL SIGMET 01 151540/152000=  919 WWUS41 KCTP 151854 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 254 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...UNUSUAL EARLY SEASON DAMAGING HEAVY WET SNOW CONTINUES... .ABNORMALLY CHILLY AIR IN PLACE OVER THE STATE WILL KEEP VERY EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL STAY MAINLY RAIN. THE STORM WILL LAST QUITE A WHILE...ABOUT TWO DAYS. WHILE THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY NOT BE DEEP...THE HEAVY AND WET CHARACTER OF THE SNOW WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND POSSIBLY TO POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL OVER THE RIDGES MAY ALSO BECOME HAZARDOUS. PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018-037-041-042-160700- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- 254 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. PERIODS OF SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE LOWEST VALLEYS...WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. THE STEADIEST PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH AN ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ON RIDGETOPS...TREES...GRASS AND OTHER COLDER OUTDOOR OBJECTS. ROADS AND MOST SIDEWALKS REMAIN WET OR SLIGHTLY SLUSHY. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS. THIS SNOW WILL BE A VERY HEAVY AND WET SNOW WITH A HIGH WATER- CONTENT. MOST OF IT WILL MELT AS IT HITS PAVEMENT...BUT ROADS COULD BECOME SLIPPERY AFTER SUNSET. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON FOLIATED TREES WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND EVEN SOME POWER OUTAGES. A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAY FRIDAY BEFORE LIKELY INCREASING AGAIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT A TOTAL OF 4 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL BY SATURDAY MORNING. AGAIN...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ON THE RIDGE TOPS... AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKET AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ019-024-025-033-034-045-046-160700- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING- 254 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BE ELEVATION DEPENDENT FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 36 HOURS. IN THE VALLEYS...PERIODS OF MODERATE RAIN AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE INCH ON GRASSY SURFACES...TREES AND CARS AND MAINLY WET PAVEMENT. HOWEVER...RIDGES WILL HAVE MOSTLY SNOW WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE AS MAINLY LIGHT SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT. THE VALLEYS WILL HAVE MIXED RAIN AND SNOW CONTINUE TONIGHT...AS THE SNOW LEVEL DROPS TO ELEVATIONS BELOW 1400 FEET LATE TONIGHT. FRIDAY WILL FEATURE A SIMILAR MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS...WHILE RIDGES SEE MOSTLY SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL LOWER EVEN FURTHER AFTER SUNSET ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MAY ENHANCE THE PRECIPITATION AGAIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING SATURDAY. THE SNOW WILL BE VERY WET AND HEAVY WITH A HIGH WATER CONTENT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE VALLEY LOCATIONS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE SNOW ON THE GROUND UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. BUT...EVEN THE VALLEYS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE AN INCH OR TWO OF THIS SLUSHY SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT NIGHT IN VALLEY LOCATIONS. THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL COLLECT MAINLY ON THE TREES AND COLDER SURFACES...BUT THE ROADS MAY BE GENERALLY WET AS THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON TREES THAT STILL HAVE MOST OF THE LEAVES ON THEM WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND PERHAPS A FEW POWER OUTAGES...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY MORNING SHOULD RANGE FROM AROUND 2 INCHES IN THE VALLEYS TO 6 INCHES ON THE RIDGE TOPS. THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES. IF THIS BECOMES IMMINENT... THIS ADVISORY WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ026>028-035-049>053-058-160700- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0038.091016T0600Z-091017T1200Z/ HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL- 254 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. COLDER AIR WILL CAUSE MIXED RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE RIDGES TO CHANGE TO ALL SNOW...AND RAIN IN THE VALLEYS TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW TONIGHT. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL LOWER DOWN TO ELEVATIONS BELOW 1400 FEET LATE. WHILE MUCH OF FRIDAY WILL ALSO ONLY HOLD RAIN FOR THE VALLEYS...THE SNOW LEVEL SHOULD THEN LOWER EVEN FURTHER AFTER SUNSET ON FRIDAY. THIS SNOW WILL BE A VERY HEAVY AND WET SNOW WITH A HIGH WATER- CONTENT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE VALLEY LOCATIONS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE SNOW ON THE GROUND UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. BUT...EVEN THE VALLEYS WILL GET AN INCH OR TWO OF THIS SLUSHY SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT NIGHT...AS THE WARMING EFFECT OF THE SUN IS MUCH STRONGER NOW THAN IT IS IN THE MIDDLE OF WINTER. THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL COLLECT MAINLY ON THE TREES AND COLDER SURFACES...BUT THE ROADS MAY BE GENERALLY WET AS THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON TREES THAT STILL HAVE MOST OF THE LEAVES ON THEM WILL LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND PERHAPS A FEW POWER OUTAGES...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. EXPECT A TOTAL OF ONLY 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL BY SATURDAY MORNING. AGAIN...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ON THE HIGHEST RIDGE TOPS...AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$  075 WSIL31 BICC 151846 BIRD SIGMET 02 VALID 151900/152100 BIRK- BIRD REYKJAVIK CTA MOD OCNL SEV TURB FCST WI 100NM OF LINE N70 W034 - N6830 W020 F250/F400 MOV N NC CNL SIGMET 01 151540/152000=  544 WWUS54 KJAN 151857 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 157 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC063-151915- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0558.000000T0000Z-091015T1915Z/ JEFFERSON MS- 157 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY... AT 157 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BLUE HILL MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MCBRIDE BY 205 PM CDT... UNION CHURCH BY 210 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3166 9093 3170 9092 3174 9092 3178 9089 3176 9074 3163 9075 TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 288DEG 17KT 3172 9083 $$ COHEN  278 WTPQ20 RJTD 151800 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0920 LUPIT (0920) UPGRADED FROM TD ANALYSIS PSTN 151800UTC 12.4N 139.1E POOR MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 161800UTC 13.3N 134.4E 75NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 48HF 171800UTC 14.7N 132.5E 110NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 72HF 181800UTC 15.0N 131.8E 160NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT GUST 100KT =  312 WTJP21 RJTD 151800 WARNING 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0920 LUPIT (0920) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 12.4N 139.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 13.3N 134.4E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 14.7N 132.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 15.0N 131.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  937 WOUS64 KWNS 151903 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 203 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LAC025-029-065-107-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA MADISON TENSAS $$ MSC001-021-029-037-063-077-085-149-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS CLAIBORNE COPIAH FRANKLIN JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LINCOLN WARREN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...  798 WEPA40 VHHH 151857 TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY, HKC P 183924 Z.=  406 WGUS83 KSGF 151905 FLSSGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 205 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS. ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/ INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE) && MOC217-151935- /O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-091016T0320Z/ /SCZM7.1.ER.091010T1030Z.091013T0000Z.091015T0537Z.NO/ 205 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE OSAGE RIVER NEAR SCHELL CITY. * AT 1:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. * FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:37 AM THURSDAY. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 28.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT THE SCHELL-OSAGE CONSERVATION AREA, THE OLD RIVER ROAD NORTH OF SCHELL CITY, AND LOST CREEK ROAD, ON THE WEST SIDE OF SCHELL LAKE. IN ADDITION, FLOOD WATERS OVERFLOW THE MAIN OSAGE RIVER CHANNEL, AT THE GAGE SITE. $$  017 WWUS41 KBGM 151906 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 306 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NYZ022-024-PAZ038>040-160315- /O.EXB.KBGM.WW.Y.0009.091015T1906Z-091016T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KBGM.WS.A.0004.091017T0000Z-091018T1800Z/ STEUBEN-CHEMUNG-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORNING...HORNELL...ELMIRA...TOWANDA... SAYRE...MONTROSE 306 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET...WITH A DUSTING TO AN INCH POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY BRING DOWN SOME SMALL TREE BRANCHES POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY...BUT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL. ANOTHER STORM WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-81 CORRIDOR. THEREFORE A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING INTO THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY...BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. && $$ NYZ062-PAZ043-044-047-048-072-160315- /O.EXT.KBGM.WS.A.0004.091017T0000Z-091018T1800Z/ /O.CON.KBGM.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SULLIVAN-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...TUNKHANNOCK...SCRANTON... WILKES-BARRE...HAZLETON...MILFORD...HONESDALE 306 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET. A DUSTING TO POSSIBLY INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IS POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS...WHERE RAIN WILL MIX IN WITH THE SNOW AT TIMES. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY BRING DOWN SOME SMALL TREE BRANCHES POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON FRIDAY...BUT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL. ANOTHER STORM WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-81 CORRIDOR. THEREFORE A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING INTO THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY...BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. && $$ NYZ009-036-037-044>046-160315- /O.EXB.KBGM.WS.A.0004.091017T0000Z-091018T1800Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME... CORTLAND...NORWICH...ONEONTA...COOPERSTOWN 306 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-81 CORRIDOR. THEREFORE A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY...BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. && $$ NYZ055>057-160315- /O.EXT.KBGM.WS.A.0004.091017T0000Z-091018T1800Z/ TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWEGO...BINGHAMTON...WALTON...DELHI 306 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-81 CORRIDOR. THEREFORE A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT BECAUSE HEAVY SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY...BUT NOT A CERTAINTY. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS...SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA. && $$  363 WWUS64 KJAN 151906 WCNJAN WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 769 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 206 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC065-107-MSC021-029-149-152015- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS CANCELS 2 PARISHES IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA MADISON TENSAS IN MISSISSIPPI THIS CANCELS 3 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COPIAH IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI CLAIBORNE IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WARREN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST... NEWELLTON...PORT GIBSON...ST. JOSEPH...TALLULAH...VICKSBURG... WATERPROOF AND WESSON. $$ LAC025-029-MSC001-037-063-077-085-152100- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 PARISHES IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA CATAHOULA CONCORDIA IN MISSISSIPPI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LAWRENCE LINCOLN IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI ADAMS FRANKLIN JEFFERSON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BROOKHAVEN...BUDE...FAYETTE... FERRIDAY...HARRISONBURG...JONESVILLE...MEADVILLE...MONTICELLO... NATCHEZ...NEW HEBRON...ROXIE...VIDALIA AND WEST FERRIDAY. $$ 40  890 WCPA01 PHFO 151908 WSTPAN KZOA SIGMET NOVEMBER 1 VALID 151910/160110 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. TC LUPIT 1000HPA NEAR N1225 E13905 AT 1800 UTC. EMBD TS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY N1622 E13507 - N1524 E14038 - N0935 E13947 - N0944 E13402 - N1622 E13507. TOPS TO FL570. CB TOPS TO FL570. MOV WNW 11KT. INTSF. FCST POSITION...TC CENTER AT 0000 UTC N1240 E13800. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY ISSUED BY JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.  241 WSPA12 PHFO 151910 SIGPAY KZOA SIGMET YANKEE 18 VALID 151906/151930 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. CNL SIGMET YANKEE 17 VALID 151530/151930. REPLACED BY SIGMET NOVEMBER SERIES FOR TC LUPIT ISSUED BY JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.  147 WHUS41 KLWX 151911 CFWLWX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 310 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 DCZ001-MDZ007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>055-057-160315- /O.NEW.KLWX.CF.Y.0015.091015T1910Z-091017T1200Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-HARFORD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES- ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT- PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-KING GEORGE- 310 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EXCESS WATER INTO THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS ESTUARIES. THIS COMBINED WITH HIGH SPRING TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE LUNAR CYCLE WILL PRODUCE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL TIDAL CYCLES. EXPECT TIDAL INUNDATION OF THE AREAS THAT TYPICALLY FLOOD FIRST. HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR A FEW LOCATIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH... ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY... HAVRE DE GRACE...8:18 PM AND 8:38 AM... FORT MCHENRY BALTIMORE...5:05 PM AND 5:25 AM... ANNAPOLIS U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY...3:35 PM AND 3:55 AM... SOLOMONS ISLAND...12:47 AM AND 1:23 PM... POINT LOOKOUT...11:57 PM AND 12:33 PM... NOW ALONG THE POTOMAC RIVER... ALEXANDRIA...6:48 PM AND 7:14 AM... INDIAN HEAD...6:16 PM AND 6:42 AM... GOOSE BAY...2:48 AM AND 3:12 PM... WICOMICO RIVER NEAR COBB ISLAND...10:49 PM AND 11:20 AM... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF THE AREAS THAT TYPICALLY FLOOD FIRST ALONG TIDAL WATERS. THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 11 PM. $$ HTS/CAS  642 WSIN90 VIDP 151900 VIDF SIGMET 07 VALID 151900/152300 VIDF DELHI FIR ISOL TS EMBDED CB FCST WEST OF 78 DEG EAST=  966 WOCN11 CWHX 151914 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NOVA SCOTIA ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2:37 PM ADT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. A COLD WESTERLY FLOW PASSING OVER THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF CAPE BRETON TONIGHT. OVER THE HIGHLANDS LOCAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 10 CM ARE EXPECTED. MEANWHILE AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF CAPE HATTERAS IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD PASSING SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SCOTIA NEAR SABLE ISLAND FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IS FORECAST TO BEGIN OVER SOUTHWESTERN REGIONS FRIDAY MORNING AND SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CAPE BRETON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE STORM TRACK BUT CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA WILL RECEIVE THE MOST RAINFALL...POSSIBLY IN EXCESS OF 50 MILLIMETRES BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM IS ALSO FORECAST TO BRING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 KM/H ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA ON FRIDAY. WHILE THE CURRENT COMPUTER MODELS ARE INDICATING THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA ON FRIDAY...OVER HIGHER TERRAIN THE RAIN MAY BE MIXED WITH WET SNOW. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. END/..  323 WWUS54 KJAN 151915 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 215 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC063-151924- /O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0558.000000T0000Z-091015T1915Z/ JEFFERSON MS- 215 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 215 PM CDT... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE AREA. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AS WELL AS PEA SIZE HAIL. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3166 9093 3170 9092 3174 9092 3178 9089 3176 9074 3163 9075 TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 278DEG 28KT 3167 9079 $$ COHEN  713 WUUS52 KTAE 151916 SVRTAE FLC065-079-152000- /O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0289.091015T1916Z-091015T2000Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 316 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MONTICELLO... NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN FLORIDA... * UNTIL 400 PM EDT * AT 314 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MONTICELLO...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... AUCILLA BY 335 PM EDT... GREENVILLE BY 355 PM EDT... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN EXITS 225 AND 233 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 3065 8360 3044 8361 3046 8394 3059 8396 TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 274DEG 19KT 3052 8389 $$ 38-GODSEY  541 WWUS84 KJAN 151917 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 217 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ059-061-062-152000- JEFFERSON MS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN MS- 217 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER UNION CHURCH AT 217 PM CDT... MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN NORTHERN LINCOLN...NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ COHEN  864 WOPS01 NFFN 151800 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  676 WOPS01 NFFN 151800 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  122 WSSR20 WSSS 151920 WSJC SIGMET 4 VALID 151945/152345 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0430 AND E OF E10845 MOV SW 7 KT NC=  230 WSSR20 WSSS 151920 WSJC SIGMET 4 VALID 151945/152345 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0430 AND E OF E10845 MOV SW 7 KT NC=  916 WSPR31 SPIM 151916 SPIM SIGMET 4 VALID 151920/152220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1830Z WI S1258 W07150 - S1235 W07204 S1231 W07244 - S1213 W07231 - S1217 W07204 - S1224 W07155 S1226 W07132 - S1240 W07132 - S1255 W07146 - S1253 W07153 S1258 W07150 TOP FL410 STNR NC=  173 WTKO20 RKSL 151800 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1 NAME TS 0920 LUPIT ANALYSIS POSITION 151800UTC 12.4N 139.1E MOVEMENT WNW 11KT PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 161800UTC 14.0N 133.9E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT 48HR POSITION 171800UTC 14.8N 132.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT 72HR POSITION 181800UTC 16.4N 129.3E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 70KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  182 WWUS84 KJAN 151922 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 222 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAZ016-MSZ040-047-152010- WARREN MS-ISSAQUENA MS-MADISON LA- 222 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF MANSFORD AT 222 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ISSAQUENA AND NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES...AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON PARISH SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ COHEN  836 WHUS76 KPQR 151923 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 1223 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ270-275-160330- /O.CAN.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0300Z-091016T1800Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 1223 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...RISING TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH MOST OF SATURDAY BEFORE FALLING BELOW 10 FT LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ255-160330- /O.CAN.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-091017T0600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- 1223 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE REMAINING BELOW 20 KT TODAY ALONG THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST...AND SEAS HAVE FALLEN BELOW 10 FEET. THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS AND SEAS HAVE BEEN CANCELLED FOR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER ABOUT 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON...OUT OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION UP TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS MAY ALSO BUILD ABOVE 10 FEET FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ250-160330- /O.UPG.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ /O.UPG.KPQR.SW.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-091016T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0300Z-091016T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM- 1223 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD ABOVE 10 FEET AS GALE FORCE GUSTS DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...PEAKING AROUND 12 TO 14 FEET BY MIDDAY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ210-160330- /O.CON.KPQR.RB.Y.0358.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 1223 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY. IN THE MAIN CHANNEL...COMBINED SEAS 8 TO 10 FT TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SEAS TEMPORARILY BUILDING TO 10 TO 12 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON...AND TO 11 TO 13 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 345 AM FRI MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$  327 WOMQ50 LFPW 151923 WARNING ON METAREA 3, METEO-FRANCE WARNING NR 272, THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009 AT 1920 UTC. GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 15 AT 12 UTC. THUNDERY LOW 1008 OVER SICILY, SLOW-MOVING. HIGH 1037 NEAR GREAT BRITAIN, BUILDING A LITTLE. BALEARES : CONTINUING TO 16/03 UTC. NORTHEAST LOCALLY 8 IN FAR EAST. GUSTS. MINORQUE : CONTINUING TO 16/12 UTC. NORTH 8 IN NORTH. SEVERE GUSTS. LION : CONTINUING TO 17/00 UTC AT LEAST. NORTH OR NORTHWEST 8 IN SOUTHWEST. SEVERE GUSTS. WEST OF PROVENCE : FROM 16/21 UTC TO 17/00 UTC AT LEAST. NORTH OR NORTHWEST 8. SEVERE GUSTS.=  525 WSPR31 SPIM 151916 SPIM SIGMET 4 VALID 151920/152220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1830Z WI S1258 W07150 - S1235 W07204 S1231 W07244 - S1213 W07231 - S1217 W07204 - S1224 W07155 S1226 W07132 - S1240 W07132 - S1255 W07146 - S1253 W07153 S1258 W07150 TOP FL410 STNR NC=  813 WWUS41 KPBZ 151925 WSWPBZ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 325 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 PAZ008-009-015-016-023-160330- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WW.Y.0017.091015T2300Z-091016T2300Z/ VENANGO-FOREST-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-INDIANA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OIL CITY...FRANKLIN...SUGARCREEK... TIONESTA...CLARION...PUNXSUTAWNEY...BROOKVILLE...REYNOLDSVILLE... BROCKWAY...INDIANA 325 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EDT FRIDAY. RAIN AND SNOW WILL TURN OVER TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES UP THE EAST COAST AND TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR FREEZING AROUND DAWN. AS TEMPERATURES WARM UP IN THE LATE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW...RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX BACK IN WITH SNOW...WITH PRECIPITATION TURNING OVER TO ALL RAIN IN THE LOWLANDS. PRECIPITATION WILL TURN BACK OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE FRIDAY EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE MOST ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. WITH THE ACCUMULATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW...THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW MAY DOWN TREES LIMBS AND POSSIBLY POWER LINES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. REPORT YOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772. $$  215 WHUS41 KPHI 151926 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 326 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ020>027-160300- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0002.091016T0900Z-091016T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T2200Z-091017T1600Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0025.091015T2100Z-091016T0300Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC- CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 326 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A STEADY EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE DELAWARE COAST...NEW JERSEY COAST...ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY THIS EVENING AND WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING FRIDAY MORNING. ANY RAINFALL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE FLOODING...AND WAVE ACTION WILL LEAD TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST BETWEEN 530 PM AND 645 PM EDT. HIGH TIDE OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER ON THE BACK BAYS AND ALONG DELAWARE BAY. HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST BETWEEN 615 AM AND 715 AM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE...FORECAST TIDE HEIGHTS ARE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT. THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT...AND THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS ARE ARE 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT CAPE MAY...AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR...AND BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET MLLW AT REEDY POINT. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND INTO SATURDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS THIS EVENING. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$ NJZ012>014-160300- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0002.091016T0900Z-091016T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091016T2200Z-091017T1600Z/ MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH- 326 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A STEADY EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT...RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS. ANY RAINFALL AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE FLOODING...AND WAVE ACTION WILL LEAD TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND RARITAN BAY OCCURS BETWEEN 615 AM AND 715 AM EDT. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE...FORECAST TIDE HEIGHTS ARE 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK. THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND RARITAN BAY BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT...AND THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND RARITAN BAY BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND INTO SATURDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$  732 WONT50 LFPW 151926 A SECURITE ON METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE, WARNING NR 476, THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009 AT 1930 UTC GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 15 AT 12UTC LOW EXPECTED 1013 BY 16/12UTC ALONG MOROCCO COASTS, WITH LITTLE CHANGE. HIGH 1038 58N17W, SLOWLY MOVING EAST, EXPECTED 1038 OVER SCOTLAND BY 17/00UTC. FINISTERRE CONTINUING TO 17/00UTC AT LEAST IN NORTH AND NEAR CAPES: EAST OR NORTHEAST 8. GUSTS. SEA BECOMING HIGH IN EXTEREM WEST. CADIZ, GIBRALTAR STRAIT FROM 16/15UTC TO 17/06UTC. IN AND LEEWARD STRAIT, EASTERLY 8. GUSTS.=  171 WGCA82 TJSJ 151927 FLSSJU FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 327 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 PRC141-152230- /O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0339.091015T1927Z-091015T2230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ UTUADO PR- 327 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY... IN PUERTO RICO UTUADO * UNTIL 630 PM AST * AT 324 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING IN UTUADO. EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS OF 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL WERE RECEIVED YESTERDAY IN ONLY A FEW HOURS. AS A RESULT...SEVERAL MUDSLIDES AND FLOODED RIVERS AND STREAMS THREATEN THE AREA. SOILS ARE SATURATED AND THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO RAPID FLOODING OF LOW LYING STREAMS AND FURTHER PROBLEMS ASSOCIATED WITH MUDSLIDES. IF YOU INHABIT AND AREA WHICH HAS BEEN IMPACTED BY RECENT SLIDES...FOLLOW EMERGENCY MANAGER INSTRUCTION. IF UNSURE OF WHAT TO DO...CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE OR CALL 911. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. && LAT...LON 1823 6682 1833 6682 1833 6659 1820 6663 $$ RA  443 WGUS84 KBMX 151929 FLSBMX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 229 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALC021-037-152130- /O.NEW.KBMX.FA.Y.0175.091015T1929Z-091015T2130Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CHILTON AL-COOSA AL- 229 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A * SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... EAST CENTRAL CHILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA... COOSA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEOGUFKA...STEWARTVILLE...ROCKFORD... KELLYTON...GOODWATER...EQUALITY... * UNTIL 430 PM CDT * AT 225 PM CDT DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED OVER AN INCH OF RAINFALL OVER THE ADVISORY AREA. AN ADDITION ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR...WHICH COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER ON COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. && LAT...LON 3276 8631 3278 8632 3278 8634 3277 8633 3276 8642 3272 8642 3272 8652 3292 8670 3311 8629 3311 8601 3276 8601 $$ 08  213 WHUS71 KCLE 151930 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 330 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 LEZ142>149-160330- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 330 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVES GENERALLY IN THE 5 TO 8 FOOT RANGE. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE EAST COAST AND WORK WITH HIGH PRESSURE TRYING TO BUILD SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION. THE TWO WEATHER FEATURES WILL PRODUCE THE GUSTY WINDS ON LAKE ERIE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOMBARDY  253 WVJP31 RJTD 151935 RJJJ SIGMET 3 VALID 151935/160135 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA ERUPTION MT SAKURAJIMA LOC N3135 E13040 VA CLD OBS AT 1913Z FL080 EXTENDED SE INTST UNKNOWN=  176 WVJP31 RJTD 151935 RJJJ SIGMET 3 VALID 151935/160135 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA ERUPTION MT SAKURAJIMA LOC N3135 E13040 VA CLD OBS AT 1913Z FL080 EXTENDED SE INTST UNKNOWN=  752 WWUS41 KLWX 151931 WSWLWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 331 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 MDZ501-502-WVZ501-503-160345- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.091016T0500Z-091016T1300Z/ EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY- WESTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...CUMBERLAND...BAYARD... EMORYVILLE...HARTMANSVILLE 331 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR FAR WESTERN MARYLAND AND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT AS COLDER AIR MOVES SOUTHWARD ALONG THE ALLEGHENY FRONT THROUGH THE EVENING. WARM AIR ATOP THE SHALLOW COLD AIR MASS WILL YIELD A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN EARLY WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR VALLEYS AND ELEVATIONS FROM 1000 TO 3000 FT. THE WARM AIR ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO ERODE LATE TONIGHT...WHICH WILL PROMOTE A TRANSITION OF ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION TO SNOW FOR MOST AREAS. ANY SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL AND GENERALLY ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KRAMAR/HTS  387 WUUS54 KJAN 151932 SVRJAN MSC029-037-085-152030- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0559.091015T1932Z-091015T2030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 232 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL COPIAH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BROOKHAVEN... NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 330 PM CDT * AT 232 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LOYD STAR TO MCCALL CREEK MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... LOYD STAR BY 245 PM CDT... WESSON...WEST LINCOLN AND VAUGHN BY 250 PM CDT... BROOKHAVEN BY 300 PM CDT... BOGUE CHITTO BY 305 PM CDT... ENTERPRISE BY 310 PM CDT... EAST LINCOLN BY 320 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3144 9074 3158 9080 3162 9076 3161 9074 3164 9074 3176 9060 3173 9024 3139 9028 TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 277DEG 26KT 3170 9057 3159 9071 $$ COHEN  753 WABZ24 SBCW 151930 SBCW AIRMET 4 VALID 151935/152235 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC WSPD 35KT OBS AT1915Z WI S2924 W04948 - S2707 W04840 - S2800 W047 00 - S2924 W04948 STNR NC=  991 WWUS71 KPHI 151934 NPWPHI URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 334 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NJZ025-026-160900- /O.CAN.KPHI.HW.W.0002.091016T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.WI.Y.0008.091015T2100Z-091016T2200Z/ COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND 334 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. AN INTENSIFYING COASTAL STORM EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL AVERAGE 25 TO 30 MILES AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MILES AN HOUR. THESE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH MIGHT BE A DANGER TO RESIDENTS AND PROPERTY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WOULD RESULT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ NJZ024-160900- /O.CAN.KPHI.HW.W.0002.091015T2100Z-091016T1000Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.WI.Y.0008.091015T2100Z-091016T2200Z/ ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OCEAN CITY 334 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. AN INTENSIFYING COASTAL STORM EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL AVERAGE 25 TO 30 MILES AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MILES AN HOUR. THESE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH MIGHT BE A DANGER TO RESIDENTS AND PROPERTY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WOULD RESULT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022-023-027-160900- /O.CON.KPHI.WI.Y.0008.091015T2100Z-091016T1400Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH- OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH... FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...WHARTON STATE FOREST 334 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. AN INTENSIFYING COASTAL STORM EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL AVERAGE 20 TO 30 MILES AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MILES AN HOUR. THESE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS...WHICH MIGHT BE A DANGER TO RESIDENTS AND PROPERTY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WOULD RESULT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS THE STORM RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ GIGI/HEAVENER  410 WUUS54 KJAN 151934 SVRJAN LAC065-MSC055-149-152030- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0560.091015T1934Z-091015T2030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 234 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF REDWOOD... * UNTIL 330 PM CDT * AT 235 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OMEGA MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... EAGLE BEND BY 240 PM CDT... REDWOOD BY 300 PM CDT... OAK RIDGE BY 310 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3255 9113 3254 9112 3256 9112 3257 9108 3256 9107 3259 9102 3259 9066 3241 9065 3241 9118 3255 9118 TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 270DEG 32KT 3250 9107 $$ COHEN  921 WGUS74 KJAN 151935 FFSJAN FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 235 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC041-065-083-107-151945- /O.EXP.KJAN.FF.W.0173.000000T0000Z-091015T1930Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ RICHLAND LA-TENSAS LA-FRANKLIN LA-MADISON LA- 235 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON... NORTHERN FRANKLIN...NORTH CENTRAL TENSAS AND SOUTHERN RICHLAND PARISHES... RAINFALL RATES HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS AND ADDITIONAL RAINS SHOULD AVERAGE LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. LAT...LON 3242 9125 3210 9131 3232 9201 3246 9193 $$ 40  378 WHUS71 KLWX 151935 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 335 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ530>543-160345- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 335 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  232 WGCA82 TJSJ 151938 FLSSJU FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 338 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 PRC013-017-027-039-054-065-073-091-101-107-152230- /O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0340.091015T1938Z-091015T2230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-OROCOVIS PR-MOROVIS PR-BARCELONETA PR- CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-MANATI PR-ARECIBO PR- 338 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES... IN PUERTO RICO CIALES...FLORIDA...JAYUYA...OROCOVIS...MOROVIS...BARCELONETA... CAMUY...HATILLO...MANATI AND ARECIBO * UNTIL 630 PM AST * AT 337 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS LEFT SOILS SATURATED IN MANY AREAS...WITH MUDSLIDES AND RIVER FLOODING REPORTED YESTERDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON WILL LEAD TO MORE THREATS OF MUDSLIDES AND RUSHES OF WATER THROUGH STREAMS AND RIVERS THIS AFTERNOON. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. && LAT...LON 1820 6662 1833 6658 1833 6682 1850 6688 1849 6644 1817 6637 $$ RA  735 WHZS40 NSTU 151942 CFWPPG COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 600 AM SST THU OCT 15 2009 ASZ001-002-160500- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 600 AM SST THU OCT 15 2009 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES... SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTH FACING SH0RES OF THE ISLANDS. THE HIGH SURF IS A RESULT OF SWELLS FROM AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE ISLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS WAVES ALONG THE AFFECTED SHORES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER AND WELL AWAY FROM THE SHORE BREAK DUE TO HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTIONS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES FOR: PAGO PAGO 505 PM THU AND 530 AM FRI TAU 444 PM THU AND 507 AM FRI && THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 600 PM SST THU OCT 15 2009. $$ FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AMERIKA SAMOA 600 TAEAO ASO TOFI OKETOPA 15 2009 ...O LOO FA'AAUAU PEA FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA I TALAFATAI I SAUTE... O GALU E 9 I LE 12 FUTU LE MAUALULUGA MA E TETELE ATU I NISI TAIMI...O LE A A'AFIA AI PEA TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. O NEI GALU NA MAFUA MAI I AUMA TETELE ONA O UIGA LOULOUA O LE TAU O LOO TAOTO I LUGA O LE ATU SAMOA. E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU LAUTELE INA IA FA'A'ETE'ETE ONA O LE TETELE O GALU MA LE A'AVE O LE SAMI O LO'O I AI...AE MAISE LAVA TAIMI E SUA AI LE TAI. O LE A SUA LE TAI: PAGO PAGO 505 AFIAFI ASO TOFI MALE 530 VAVEAO ASO FARAILE TAU 444 AFIAFI ASO TOFI MALE 507 VAVEAO ASO FARAILE O LE A TOE AUINA ATU SE FAAOPOOPOGA O LENEI FAUTUAGA I LE 6 I LE AFIAFI O LE ASO TOFI OKETOPA 15 2009. SP  026 WGCA82 TJSJ 151943 FLSSPN ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 327 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PRC141-152230- UTUADO PR- 327 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA * ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES URBANAS Y DE RIACHUELOS PARA LOS SIGUIENTES MUNICIPIOS... EN PUERTO RICO UTUADO * HASTA LAS 6:30 PM AST * A LAS 3:24 PM AST EL RADAR DOPPLER ESTIMO LLUVIA FUERTE SOBRE EL AREA DE UTUADO. PERSONAL DE MANEJO DE EMERGENCIAS REPORTARON SOBRE 5 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA CAIDAS AYER. LOS SUELOS ESTAN SATURADOS ASI QUE INUNDACIONES EN AREAS BAJAS SON POSIBLES Y PODRIA RESULTAR INCLUSO EN DESLIZAMIENTOS DE TERRENO. LA MAYORIA DE LAS MUERTES RELACIONADAS A INUNDACIONES OCURREN EN AUTOMOVILES. NUNCA MANEJE SU VEHICULO EN AREAS DONDE EL AGUA CUBRA LA CARRETERA. LA PROFUNDIDAD DEL AGUA SUELE SER MAYOR DE LO QUE APARENTA. SOLO UN PIE DE AGUA ES SUFICIENTE PARA ARRASTRAR LOS VEHICULOS DE LA CARRETERA. CUANDO SE ENCUENTRE CON CARRETERAS INUNDADAS...TOME LA DECISION SABIA...REGRESE...PROTEJA SU VIDA. && LAT...LON 1823 6682 1833 6682 1833 6659 1820 6663 $$ RA  609 WAAK49 PAWU 151945 WA9O FAIS WA 151945 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 160200 . TANANA VLY FC ALG AK RANGE MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG E PABR OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SN BR. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SRN SEWARD PEN AND ERN NORTON SOUND FJ E PAGL MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. IMPR. . =FAIT WA 151945 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 151945 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE . holtzie OCT 09  140 WGUS84 KLZK 151945 FLSLZK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 245 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS... FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER NEAR HOUSTON AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL FORECASTS. OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ARC105-161045- /O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-091018T1200Z/ /HUSA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091015T1000Z.091017T0600Z.NO/ 245 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER NEAR HOUSTON. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. && FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER HOUSTON 25 27.4 THU 01 PM 26.5 24.6 23.4 22.6 22.2 $$ 104  291 WSGR31 LGAT 151940 LGGG SIGMET 4 VALID 151940/152340 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N3930 MOV E-NE NC=  419 WWUS72 KGSP 151946 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 346 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS SATURDAY MORNING... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS ON FRIDAY. AS COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE AREA...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE LOW-TO-MID 30S ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS SATURDAY MORNING. NCZ033-049-050-160915- /O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.A.0002.091017T0400Z-091017T1300Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE 346 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DIP TO AROUND FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS SATURDAY MORNING. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE MAINLY EXPECTED IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET. HOWEVER...SOME SHELTERED LOWER VALLEYS COULD BRIEFLY REACH FREEZING AROUND SUNRISE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ LANE  726 WSGR31 LGAT 151940 LGGG SIGMET 4 VALID 151940/152340 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N3930 MOV E-NE NC=  397 WHUS71 KOKX 151947 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 347 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE WATERS STARTING TONIGHT... .INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL TRACK NORTHEAST...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS DEVELOPING THIS EVENING. GALES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-160800- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0020.091015T1947Z-091016T2200Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 347 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. STARTING THIS EVENING...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH 35 TO 40 KT GUSTS. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. SEAS ON LONG ISLAND SOUND WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-160800- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-091015T2200Z/ /O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0020.091015T1947Z-091017T0600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 347 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. STARTING THIS EVENING...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KT WITH 40 TO 45 KT GUSTS. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 9 TO 12 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$  884 WHMY40 PGUM 151948 CFWMY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 548 AM CHST FRI OCT 16 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARIANAS... .OVERVIEW...SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS GENERATED FROM TROPICAL STORM LUPIT ARE PRODUCING HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ON EAST FACING BEACHES AND REEFS IN THE MARIANAS. HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED ON EAST AND SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES THROUGH THIS EVENING. GUZ001-002-003-004-160800- /X.CON.PGUM.SU.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-091016T0800Z/ GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN- 548 AM CHST FRI OCT 16 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST THIS EVENING... A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST THIS EVENING. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET ON EAST AND SOUTHEAST EXPOSURES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SURF HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM LUPIT MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID VENTURING NEAR EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES...ESPECIALLY THOSE ALONG EAST AND SOUTH FACING REEFS. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE LIFE THREATENING. && $$  387 WHUS73 KDTX 151948 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...STRONG EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... .ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...AVERAGING 29.80 INCHES...WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO MARINE AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF PORT HURON. MORE IMPORTANT, THIS SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH HIGH PRESSURE...AVERAGING 30.30 INCHES...OVER ONTARIO TO GENERATE STRONG NE WINDS AND HIGH WAVES OVER ALL MARINE AREAS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE HEADING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO SETTLE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LHZ421-422-160800- /O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE EAST TO OCCUR AROUND 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 7 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 12 AM EDT FRIDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LCZ460-160800- /O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ LAKE ST. CLAIR- 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST TO OCCUR AROUND 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ441>443-160800- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE EAST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT THURSDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 7 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ444-160800- /O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0370.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST TO OCCUR AROUND 10 PM EDT THURSDAY. GUSTS OF UP TO 27 KNOTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR THE LARGEST WAVES OF UP TO 8 FEET TO OCCUR AROUND 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  533 WHUS71 KBOX 151948 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ231>235-237-254>256-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0000Z-091016T1800Z/ CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY- RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH STRONGEST FREQUENT WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND NOON FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BECOME VERY ROUGH REACH...POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 18 FEET EAST OF NANTUCKET. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF ISOLATED 50 KNOT GUSTS SOUTH AND EAST OF NANTUCKET FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER... GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY AGAIN LATER SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ236-250-251-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0032.091016T0600Z-091016T1800Z/ NARRAGANSETT BAY- COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 KNOTS FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH AT THE BAY ENTRANCE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ230-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0098.091016T0000Z-091017T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR- 348 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING 30 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BECOME ROUGH AT THE HARBOR ENTRANCE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DRAG  108 WTPQ20 BABJ 151800 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS LUPIT 0920 (0920) INITIAL TIME 151800 UTC 00HR 12.5N 139.1E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 260KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 13.5N 134.3E 988HPA 25M/S P+48HR 14.9N 132.5E 975HPA 33M/S P+72HR 15.1N 131.8E 960HPA 40M/S P+96HR 16.3N 129.2E 950HPA 45M/S=  226 WWUS52 KTAE 151949 SVSTAE SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 349 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 FLC065-079-151959- /O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0289.000000T0000Z-091015T2000Z/ MADISON FL-JEFFERSON FL- 349 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN EXITS 225 AND 233 RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3065 8360 3044 8361 3046 8394 3059 8396 TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 274DEG 19KT 3050 8369 $$ 38-GODSEY  023 WGCA82 TJSJ 151950 FLSSPN ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 338 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PRC013-017-027-039-054-065-073-091-101-107-152230- CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-OROCOVIS PR-MOROVIS PR-BARCELONETA PR- CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-MANATI PR-ARECIBO PR- 338 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA * ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES URBANAS Y DE RIACHUELOS PARA LOS SIGUIENTES MUNICIPIOS... EN PUERTO RICO CIALES...FLORIDA...JAYUYA...OROCOVIS...MOROVIS... BARCELONETA...HATILLO...MANATI Y ARECIBO * HASTA LAS 6:30 PM AST * A LAS 3:37 PM AST EL RADAR DOPPLER ESTIMO LLUVIA FUERTE SOBRE EL AREA. LA RECIENTE LLUVIA HA PROVOCADO SATURACION EN MUCHAS AREAS...CON DESLIZAMIENTOS E INUNDACIONES REPORTADOS. LA LLUVIA ADICIONAL DE ESTA TARDE PODRIA OCASIONAR DESLIZAMIENTOS ADICIONALES E INUNDACIONES. LA MAYORIA DE LAS MUERTES RELACIONADAS A INUNDACIONES OCURREN EN AUTOMOVILES. NUNCA MANEJE SU VEHICULO EN AREAS DONDE EL AGUA CUBRA LA CARRETERA. LA PROFUNDIDAD DEL AGUA SUELE SER MAYOR DE LO QUE APARENTA. SOLO UN PIE DE AGUA ES SUFICIENTE PARA ARRASTRAR LOS VEHICULOS DE LA CARRETERA. CUANDO SE ENCUENTRE CON CARRETERAS INUNDADAS...TOME LA DECISION SABIA...REGRESE...PROTEJA SU VIDA. && LAT...LON 1820 6662 1833 6658 1833 6682 1850 6688 1849 6644 1817 6637 $$ RA  938 WWUS54 KJAN 151951 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 251 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC065-152001- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0560.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ MADISON LA- 251 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MADISON PARISH IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3243 9085 3247 9095 3252 9099 3256 9098 3259 9091 3259 9066 3242 9065 TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 270DEG 32KT 3250 9090 $$ MSC055-149-152030- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0560.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ WARREN MS-ISSAQUENA MS- 251 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND NORTH CENTRAL WARREN COUNTIES... AT 251 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF REDWOOD MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... REDWOOD BY 300 PM CDT... OAK RIDGE BY 310 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3243 9085 3247 9095 3252 9099 3256 9098 3259 9091 3259 9066 3242 9065 TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 270DEG 32KT 3250 9090 $$ COHEN  887 WSUS32 KKCI 151955 SIGC MKCC WST 151955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 21C VALID UNTIL 2155Z MS LA FROM 20NW MLU-30SW MEI-10W BTR-40S EIC-20NW MLU AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 152155-160155 FROM 50S VUZ-40SSW CEW-LEV-PSX-40SE CWK-30SSE EIC-50S VUZ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  888 WSUS31 KKCI 151955 SIGE MKCE WST 151955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 17E VALID UNTIL 2155Z VA NC CSTL WTRS FROM 100SE SBY-180SE SIE-170SE ECG-80E ECG-100SE SBY AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 24030KT. TOPS TO FL420. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 18E VALID UNTIL 2155Z GA AL FROM 20SE IGB-30SE ATL-40WNW PZD-40W MGM-20SE IGB AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 28030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 19E VALID UNTIL 2155Z FL GA AL AND FL CSTL WTRS FROM 60SE MGM-40S AMG-50ENE ORL-30E SRQ-40ESE CEW-60SE MGM AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 27015KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 152155-160155 AREA 1...FROM 40N MCN-30S SAV-30ENE VRB-RSW-40SSW CEW-50S VUZ-40N MCN WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 90ESE CYN-170S ACK-180SE SBY-200ESE ECG-170SE ECG-70E ECG-70ESE SBY-90ESE CYN WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  889 WSUS33 KKCI 151955 SIGW MKCW WST 151955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 152155-160155 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  574 WSSQ31 LZIB 152000 LZBB SIGMET 9 VALID 152000/152330 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV ICE FCST OVER LZBB FL020/100 NC=  903 WHUS71 KAKQ 151953 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 353 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ650-160400- /O.UPG.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.GL.W.0015.091016T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO 20 NM- 353 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ633-160400- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- 353 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ630-631-652-160400- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM- 353 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-654-160400- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO 20 NM- 353 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ656-160400- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- 353 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ658-160400- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 353 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$  459 WUUS01 KWNS 151954 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0252 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30189079 30079271 29919400 30599422 31179400 31489332 31799201 31959011 31918849 31378791 30998787 30488810 30218860 30189079 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29868845 29979102 29799350 29649462 30499512 31039506 31589412 32059257 32289104 32378839 31958732 31298689 30498694 29868728 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28307989 28278143 28228366 99999999 28149593 28519693 29919720 30649659 31519475 32039312 32609088 32938883 32858654 32398503 31818358 31418233 31068085 0.15 30199095 30099288 29839437 30389472 30989448 31499329 31859155 31968997 31898851 31368784 30568806 30208867 30199095 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30199042 30079282 29809439 30419470 31009442 31519327 31869147 31949000 31928848 31308782 30568804 30198864 30199042 TSTM 27189672 26980009 99999999 28520113 29369983 30479791 31129623 31739476 32419233 32929010 33528907 33708841 33728751 33698667 33688565 33358438 32858362 32088249 31938177 31648041 99999999 34397611 35277574 36137519 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MSY 25 E LCH 25 WSW BPT 50 ESE UTS 25 SE LFK 20 SSW IER 20 NNW HEZ 25 S JAN 35 SSE MEI 45 W GZH 15 SE MOB 30 ESE GPT 15 NW MSY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE CRP 55 SW LRD ...CONT... 60 SSW DRT 40 W HDO 15 NW AUS 40 NNE CLL 35 N LFK 20 WSW MLU 40 S GWO 35 WSW CBM CBM 35 N TCL 10 NNE BHM 15 ENE ANB 20 S ATL 10 N MCN 10 SW VDI 35 WSW SAV 60 SE SAV ...CONT... 65 SSW HSE 10 WNW HSE 55 E ECG.  460 ACUS01 KWNS 151954 SWODY1 SPC AC 151952 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0252 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 152000Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN TX THROUGH SRN LA...SRN MS AND SWRN AL... ...SERN TX THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY... COLD FRONT FROM S OF DEL-RIO NEWD TO ERN TX...NRN LA AND N CNTRL MS WILL CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH THE EVENING. HIGH THETA-E BOUNDARY LAYER AIR RESIDES IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WITH 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE QUITE WARM WITH 10 C AT 700 MB AND -5 C AT 500 MB RESULTING IN WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MODEST NORMALIZED CAPE. OVERALL THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY ROBUST GIVEN WEAK UPPER FORCING...SHALLOW/WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WHICH COULD ULTIMATELY LIMIT STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WIND PROFILES ARE UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WITH 35-45 KT BULK SHEAR BUT WITH MODEST FLOW THROUGH THE LOWEST 3 KM. A FEW STORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN MS...AND DEVELOPMENT STILL REMAINS POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING FARTHER SW ALONG ADVANCING COLD FRONT. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT. ..DIAL.. 10/15/2009 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1112 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009/ ...LA/MS... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE HAS AIDED IN THE MAINTENANCE OF SCATTERED INTENSE CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN LA. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN MS AND PERHAPS SOUTHWEST AL. VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR BOW/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...BUT WEAK LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED HEATING WILL SERVE AS MITIGATING FACTORS FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT. ...SOUTHEAST TX... LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS EAST TX. FULL SUNSHINE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS DESTABILIZING THE AIRMASS...AND COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 70S ARE YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-2500 J/KG. THE COMBINATION OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE NORTH...AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AS BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTHWARD...WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST TX. EFFECTIVE SHEAR APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HOWEVER...WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT HAIL PRODUCTION. LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT.  539 WWUS54 KJAN 151954 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 254 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC029-152004- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0559.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ COPIAH MS- 254 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL COPIAH COUNTY IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3144 9074 3159 9071 3166 9050 3170 9024 3139 9028 TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 285DEG 30KT 3161 9029 3153 9061 $$ MSC037-085-152030- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0559.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN MS- 254 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR LINCOLN AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES... AT 254 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF EAST LINCOLN TO VAUGHN MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... WEST LINCOLN BY 300 PM CDT... BOGUE CHITTO BY 310 PM CDT... ENTERPRISE AND BOGUE CHITTO BY 315 PM CDT... EAST LINCOLN AND ENTERPRISE BY 320 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3144 9074 3159 9071 3166 9050 3170 9024 3139 9028 TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 285DEG 30KT 3161 9029 3153 9061 $$ COHEN  527 WHUS73 KMKX 151955 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 255 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GUSTY EAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT... .SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WILL REMAIN BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF PERSISTENT AND GUSTY EAST WINDS TODAY WHICH WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO THE NORTHEAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE HIGH WAVES THROUGH TONIGHT. LMZ643>646-160400- /O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0073.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI- PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI- NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI- WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL- 255 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED FARTHER INTO FRIDAY MORNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING WAVES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF AT LEAST 3 TO 5 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  460 WGUS74 KJAN 151956 FFSJAN FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 256 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAC065-107-MSC021-149-152015- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0172.000000T0000Z-091015T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TENSAS LA-CLAIBORNE MS-WARREN MS-MADISON LA- 256 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN WARREN AND NORTHERN CLAIBORNE COUNTIES...AND SOUTHEASTERN MADISON AND NORTHEASTERN TENSAS PARISHES... AT 251 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED DECREASING RAINFALL RATES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. THE HEAVIEST POCKETS OF RAIN WERE NEAR YOKENA AND JUST SOUTHWEST OF MOUND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH...MAY STILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT HOUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER TO AVOID ANY FLOODED ROADWAYS AS THE WATERS RECEDE AND REPORT ANY FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THEY WILL RELAY REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN JACKSON. && LAT...LON 3233 9072 3199 9074 3210 9130 3242 9125 $$ 40  354 WAAK49 PAWU 151958 WA9O FAIS WA 151945 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 160200 . TANANA VLY FC ALG AK RANGE MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG E PABR OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SN BR. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SRN SEWARD PEN AND ERN NORTON SOUND FJ E PAGL MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. IMPR. . =FAIT WA 151945 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 151945 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE .  615 WAAK48 PAWU 151958 CCB WA8O ANCS WA 151958 COR AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 160200 . COOK INLET AND SUSITNA VLY AB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. IMPR. . CNTRL GLF CST AD MTS OBSC IN CLOUDS/ISOL -RA. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH ALG ALUETIAN RANGE MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. IMPR. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ W PAAK MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS/ISOL PCPN. NC. . ADAK TO ATTU AK E AMCHITKA MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. IMPR FM W. . ADAK TO ATTU AK E AMCHITKA OCNL CIGS BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -RA BR. IMPR FM W. . =ANCT WA 151957 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE . =ANCZ WA 151957 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE .  632 WAAK47 PAWU 151958 WA7O JNUS WA 151945 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 160200 . CNTRL SE AK JC AFT 00Z MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD AFT 01Z MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF VCY PASI S MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 151945 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 160200 . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . =JNUZ WA 151945 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE .  928 WHUS72 KMHX 151959 MWWMHX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ135-160200- /O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0200Z/ PAMLICO SOUND- 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE LOW PUSHES AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ150-152-160200- /O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM- S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM- 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET IN THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AS THE LOW PUSHES AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ154-160200- /O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AS THE LOW PUSHES AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ156-160200- /O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0200Z/ S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM- 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET IN THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AS THE LOW PUSHES AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ158-160200- /O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0192.000000T0000Z-091016T0200Z/ S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM- 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AS THE LOW PUSHES AWAY FROM THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  387 WWUS82 KJAX 151959 SPSJAX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 FLZ038-152045- FLAGLER- 359 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN FLAGLER COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 445 PM EDT... AT 358 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 7 MILES NORTH OF PIERSON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY BECOME STRONG... AFFECTING MAINLY RURAL AREAS THROUGH 445 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. LAT...LON 2926 8120 2926 8130 2926 8141 2927 8142 2930 8142 2938 8142 2940 8124 TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 264DEG 16KT 2933 8142 $$ ZAPPE  490 ACPN50 PHFO 152000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THU OCT 15 2009 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. $$ CRAIG  512 WWUS41 KBUF 152000 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 400 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EASTWARD FROM KENTUCKY TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES WILL COMBINE WITH COLD AIR FROM EASTERN ONTARIO TO PRODUCE AN EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL GENERALLY BE ELEVATION DE PENDANT...WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGING GREATLY BETWEEN VALLEY LOCATIONS...AND HIGHER TERRAIN. NYZ019>021-160400- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 400 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. STEADY LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE TO 4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER HILLS OF SOUTHERN CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES. THE IMPACT OF THIS SNOW ON LEAF COVERED TREES CAN RESULT IN A SNOW LOAD CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN TREES BRANCHES AND LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME POWER LINES. THE EARLY SEASON SNOW WILL REQUIRE USING WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED BECAUSE OF THE EARLY SEASON SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER MAY NOT BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SOME CAUTION IS TO BE HEEDED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ APFFEL  743 WWUS54 KJAN 152000 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 300 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC055-152010- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0560.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ ISSAQUENA MS- 300 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTY IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3258 9085 3259 9066 3242 9065 3243 9085 3246 9086 TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 270DEG 32KT 3251 9077 $$ MSC149-152030- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0560.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ WARREN MS- 300 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL WARREN COUNTY... AT 300 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR REDWOOD MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... OAK RIDGE BY 305 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3258 9085 3259 9066 3242 9065 3243 9085 3246 9086 TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 270DEG 32KT 3251 9077 $$ COHEN  840 WVNT12 KKCI 151830 TJZS SIGMET L2 VALID 151830/160030 TZJS- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 1830Z WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1730 W06500 - N1700 W06300. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 0030Z VA CLD APRX WI 30NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE N1700 W06300 - N1730 W06430.=  105 WONT54 EGRR 152000 SECURITE NO STORMS=  349 WGUS74 KBMX 152001 FFSBMX FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 301 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALC075-152130- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.W.0115.000000T0000Z-091015T2130Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LAMAR AL- 301 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR LAMAR COUNTY... AT 256 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE RAINFALL OVER THE WARNED AREA. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN CLOSED ACROSS PORTIONS OF LAMAR COUNTY. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO VERNON... SULLIGENT...LAMAR COUNTY AIRPORT...CREWS...BLOOMING GROVE AND BEDFORD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. && TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER... CALL 1-800-856-0758. LAT...LON 3393 8796 3354 8795 3354 8827 3393 8821 $$ 08  881 WHUS71 KBUF 152002 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 402 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 LEZ040-160415- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.091015T2002Z-091016T1600Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- 402 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-043-160415- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-091016T2100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 402 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJP  131 WUUS01 KWNS 152002 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30189079 30079271 29919400 30599422 31179400 31489332 31799201 31959011 31918849 31378791 30998787 30488810 30218860 30189079 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29868845 29979102 29799350 29649462 30499512 31039506 31589412 32059257 32289104 32378839 31958732 31298689 30498694 29868728 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28307989 28278143 28228366 99999999 28149593 28519693 29919720 30649659 31519475 32039312 32609088 32938883 32858654 32398503 31818358 31418233 31068085 0.15 30199095 30099288 29839437 30389472 30989448 31499329 31859155 31968997 31898851 31368784 30568806 30208867 30199095 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30199042 30079282 29809439 30419470 31009442 31519327 31869147 31949000 31928848 31308782 30568804 30198864 30199042 TSTM 27189672 26980009 99999999 28520113 29369983 30479791 31129623 31739476 32419233 32929010 33528907 33708841 33728751 33698667 33688565 33358438 32858362 32088249 31938177 31648041 99999999 34397611 35277574 36137519 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MSY 25 E LCH 25 WSW BPT 50 ESE UTS 25 SE LFK 20 SSW IER 20 NNW HEZ 25 S JAN 35 SSE MEI 45 W GZH 15 SE MOB 30 ESE GPT 15 NW MSY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE CRP 55 SW LRD ...CONT... 60 SSW DRT 40 W HDO 15 NW AUS 40 NNE CLL 35 N LFK 20 WSW MLU 40 S GWO 35 WSW CBM CBM 35 N TCL 10 NNE BHM 15 ENE ANB 20 S ATL 10 N MCN 10 SW VDI 35 WSW SAV 60 SE SAV ...CONT... 65 SSW HSE 10 WNW HSE 55 E ECG.  132 ACUS01 KWNS 152002 SWODY1 SPC AC 152000 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 152000Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN TX THROUGH SRN LA...SRN MS AND SWRN AL... ...SERN TX THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY... COLD FRONT FROM S OF DEL-RIO NEWD TO ERN TX...NRN LA AND N CNTRL MS WILL CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH THE EVENING. HIGH THETA-E BOUNDARY LAYER AIR RESIDES IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WITH 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE QUITE WARM WITH 10 C AT 700 MB AND -5 C AT 500 MB RESULTING IN WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MODEST NORMALIZED CAPE. OVERALL THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY ROBUST GIVEN WEAK UPPER FORCING...SHALLOW/WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WHICH COULD ULTIMATELY LIMIT STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WIND PROFILES ARE UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WITH 35-45 KT BULK SHEAR BUT WITH MODEST FLOW THROUGH THE LOWEST 3 KM. A FEW STORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN MS...AND DEVELOPMENT STILL REMAINS POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING FARTHER SW ALONG ADVANCING COLD FRONT. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT. ..DIAL.. 10/15/2009 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1112 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009/ ...LA/MS... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE HAS AIDED IN THE MAINTENANCE OF SCATTERED INTENSE CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN LA. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN MS AND PERHAPS SOUTHWEST AL. VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR BOW/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...BUT WEAK LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED HEATING WILL SERVE AS MITIGATING FACTORS FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT. ...SOUTHEAST TX... LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS EAST TX. FULL SUNSHINE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS DESTABILIZING THE AIRMASS...AND COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 70S ARE YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-2500 J/KG. THE COMBINATION OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE NORTH...AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AS BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTHWARD...WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST TX. EFFECTIVE SHEAR APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HOWEVER...WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT HAIL PRODUCTION. LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT.  701 WSCH31 SCEL 152001 SCEZ SIGMET 01 VALID 152000/160000 SCEL-SANTIAGO FIR TURB MOD CONT FCST SEV OCNL/ICE FCST AND OBS ISOL TCU EMBD BTN ANKON-UMKAL BTN FL100/FL280=  146 WOUS64 KWNS 152003 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 303 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS LAC025-029-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA $$ MSC001-037-063-077-085-152100- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS FRANKLIN JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LINCOLN $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...  795 WSRA31 RUKR 152003 UNKL SIGMET 4 VALID 152100/160100 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL250/380 MOV NE 40KMH WKN=  952 WSRA31 RUKR 152003 UNKL SIGMET 4 VALID 152100/160100 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL250/380 MOV NE 40KMH WKN=  173 WSRA31 RUKR 152003 UNKL SIGMET 4 VALID 152100/160100 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF N6000 FL250/380 MOV NE 40KMH WKN=  359 WWUS54 KJAN 152004 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 304 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC149-152015- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0560.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ WARREN MS- 304 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL WARREN COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. LAT...LON 3258 9085 3259 9066 3242 9065 3243 9085 3246 9086 TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 270DEG 32KT 3251 9072 $$ COHEN  503 WWUS54 KJAN 152006 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 306 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC037-152016- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0559.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ FRANKLIN MS- 306 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IS CANCELLED... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. LAT...LON 3143 9061 3157 9060 3164 9046 3170 9024 3139 9028 TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 285DEG 30KT 3153 9040 $$ MSC085-152030- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0559.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ LINCOLN MS- 306 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR LINCOLN COUNTY... AT 306 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BROOKHAVEN MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... EAST LINCOLN BY 320 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3143 9061 3157 9060 3164 9046 3170 9024 3139 9028 TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 285DEG 30KT 3153 9040 $$ COHEN  608 WSSG31 GOOY 152005 GOOO SIGMET 14 VALID 152000/152400 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1930Z W BAMAKO,W MAN,OVER DALOA,OVER GAGNOA,AND SE SIKASSO TOP CB FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  661 WSSG31 GOOY 152005 GOOO SIGMET 14 VALID 152000/152400 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1930Z W BAMAKO,W MAN,OVER DALOA,OVER GAGNOA,AND SE SIKASSO TOP CB FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  479 WAEG31 HECA 152000 HECC AIRMET 2 VALID 152000/152400 HECA- CAIRO FIR SFC VIS 4000M BR OBS AND FCST OVER HECA NC=  649 WUUS01 KWNS 152012 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0311 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30189079 30079271 29919400 30599422 31179400 31489332 31799201 31959011 31918849 31378791 30998787 30488810 30218860 30189079 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29868845 29979102 29799350 29649462 30499512 31039506 31589412 32059257 32289104 32378839 31958732 31298689 30498694 29868728 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28307989 28278143 28228366 99999999 28149593 28519693 29919720 30649659 31519475 32039312 32609088 32938883 32858654 32398503 31818358 31418233 31068085 0.15 30199095 30099288 29839437 30389472 30989448 31499329 31859155 31968997 31898851 31368784 30568806 30208867 30199095 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30199042 30079282 29809439 30419470 31009442 31519327 31869147 31949000 31928848 31308782 30568804 30198864 30199042 TSTM 27189672 26980009 99999999 28520113 29369983 30479791 31129623 31739476 32419233 32929010 33528907 33708841 33728751 33698667 33688565 33358438 32858362 32088249 31938177 31648041 99999999 34397611 35277574 36137519 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MSY 25 E LCH 25 WSW BPT 50 ESE UTS 25 SE LFK 20 SSW IER 20 NNW HEZ 25 S JAN 35 SSE MEI 45 W GZH 15 SE MOB 30 ESE GPT 15 NW MSY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE CRP 55 SW LRD ...CONT... 60 SSW DRT 40 W HDO 15 NW AUS 40 NNE CLL 35 N LFK 20 WSW MLU 40 S GWO 35 WSW CBM CBM 35 N TCL 10 NNE BHM 15 ENE ANB 20 S ATL 10 N MCN 10 SW VDI 35 WSW SAV 60 SE SAV ...CONT... 65 SSW HSE 10 WNW HSE 55 E ECG.  650 ACUS01 KWNS 152012 SWODY1 SPC AC 152011 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0311 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 VALID 152000Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN TX THROUGH SRN LA...SRN MS AND SWRN AL... CORRECTED FOR FORECASTER NAMES ...SERN TX THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY... COLD FRONT FROM S OF DEL-RIO NEWD TO ERN TX...NRN LA AND N CNTRL MS WILL CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH THE EVENING. HIGH THETA-E BOUNDARY LAYER AIR RESIDES IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WITH 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE QUITE WARM WITH 10 C AT 700 MB AND -5 C AT 500 MB RESULTING IN WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MODEST NORMALIZED CAPE. OVERALL THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY ROBUST GIVEN WEAK UPPER FORCING...SHALLOW/WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WHICH COULD ULTIMATELY LIMIT STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WIND PROFILES ARE UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WITH 35-45 KT BULK SHEAR BUT WITH MODEST FLOW THROUGH THE LOWEST 3 KM. A FEW STORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN MS...AND DEVELOPMENT STILL REMAINS POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING FARTHER SW ALONG ADVANCING COLD FRONT. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREAT. ..DIAL/COOK.. 10/15/2009 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1112 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009/ ...LA/MS... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE HAS AIDED IN THE MAINTENANCE OF SCATTERED INTENSE CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN LA. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN MS AND PERHAPS SOUTHWEST AL. VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR BOW/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...BUT WEAK LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED HEATING WILL SERVE AS MITIGATING FACTORS FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT. ...SOUTHEAST TX... LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS EAST TX. FULL SUNSHINE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS DESTABILIZING THE AIRMASS...AND COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 70S ARE YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-2500 J/KG. THE COMBINATION OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE NORTH...AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AS BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTHWARD...WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST TX. EFFECTIVE SHEAR APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HOWEVER...WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT HAIL PRODUCTION. LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT.  264 WUUS54 KJAN 152015 SVRJAN MSC077-085-152115- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0561.091015T2015Z-091015T2115Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 315 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 315 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM EAST LINCOLN TO BOGUE CHITTO MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... EAST LINCOLN AND BOGUE CHITTO BY 320 PM CDT... MONTICELLO BY 330 PM CDT... ROBINWOOD BY 335 PM CDT... ROBINWOOD...RUTH AND TOPEKA BY 340 PM CDT... ARM BY 345 PM CDT... JAYESS AND TILTON BY 350 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3135 9011 3135 9052 3140 9052 3158 9017 3154 9000 3150 8995 3140 8996 3140 9003 3134 9004 3133 9006 TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 297DEG 25KT 3154 9025 3145 9051 $$ COHEN  297 WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 58N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 170E 60N 170E 60N 180E 45N 180E 45N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 175E 40N 175E 40N 180E 32N 180E 32N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 117E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 42N 131E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 161E EAST 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 41N 179W ENE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 114E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 37N 144E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 157E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 178E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 161E TO 32N 163E 32N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 161E TO 32N 158E 31N 156E 30N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 153E TO 28N 147E 26N 139E 26N 127E. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0920 LUPIT (0920) 1000 HPA AT 12.4N 139.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  343 WSCH31 SCEL 152020 CCA SCEZ SIGMET 01 VALID 152020/160020 SCEL-SANTIAGO FIR TURB MOD CONT FCST SEV OCNL/ICE FCST AND TSRA / OBS ISOL TCU EMBD BTN ANKON-UMKAL BTN FL100/FL280=  561 WWUS54 KJAN 152020 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 320 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC077-085-152115- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ LINCOLN MS-LAWRENCE MS- 320 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES... AT 320 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM EAST LINCOLN TO BOGUE CHITTO MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... MONTICELLO BY 330 PM CDT... ROBINWOOD BY 335 PM CDT... RUTH AND TOPEKA BY 340 PM CDT... ARM BY 345 PM CDT... JAYESS AND TILTON BY 350 PM CDT... OAK VALE BY 355 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3135 9011 3135 9052 3140 9052 3158 9017 3154 9000 3150 8995 3140 8996 3140 9003 3134 9004 3133 9006 TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 297DEG 25KT 3152 9021 3143 9047 $$ COHEN  751 WGCA82 TJSJ 152020 FLSSJU FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 420 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 PRC005-011-027-071-081-099-115-131-152031- /O.CAN.TJSJ.FA.Y.0338.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ISABELA PR-MOCA PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-AGUADILLA PR- LARES PR-CAMUY PR-ANASCO PR- 420 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE MUNICIPALITIES OF... IN PUERTO RICO ISABELA...MOCA...QUEBRADILLAS...SAN SEBASTIAN...AGUADILLA... LARES...CAMUY AND ANASCO && LAT...LON 1834 6712 1851 6713 1850 6689 1836 6683 1829 6691 1826 6707 1825 6708 $$ RA! ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN  847 WSPR31 SPIM 152020 SPIM SIGMET B1 VALID 152020/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1915Z WI S0622 W07326 - S0604 W07313 S0549 W07309 - S0517 W07353 - S0535 W07404 - S0551 W07402 S0624 W07349 - S0622 W07326 TOP FL400 STNR INTSF=  932 WSPR31 SPIM 152020 SPIM SIGMET C1 VALID 152020/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1915Z WI S1115 W07554 - S1153 W07500 S1133 W07427 - S1101 W07442 - S1059 W07502 - S1059 W07527 S1115 W07554 TOP FL380 STNR INTSF=  933 WSPR31 SPIM 152015 SPIM SIGMET A4 VALID 152020/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1915Z WI S0239 W07554 - S0404 W07627 S0500 W07538 - S0404 W07502 - S0252 W07507 - S0239 W07538 S0239 W07554 TOP FL410 STNR INTSF=  310 WAAK47 PAWU 152022 AAA WA7O JNUS WA 152022 AMD AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 160200 . CNTRL SE AK JC AFT 00Z MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD AFT 01Z MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 152020 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 160200 . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . =JNUZ WA 152020 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 160200 . NONE .  816 WWUS41 KPHI 152023 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 423 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NJZ007>009-160400- /O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T0400Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON 423 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THIS IS MAINLY FOR HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS. A BAND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS COOLED THE ATMOSPHERE AND HAS CHANGED THE RAIN TO SNOW. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS UNTIL THIS BAND MOVES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND PROBABLY CHANGE BACK TO RAIN. THIS SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT TRAVEL ON INTERSTATE 80 AND POSSIBLY ALSO PARTS OF INTERSTATE 78. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES CAN ACCUMULATE SNOW SINCE THEY ARE NOT IN CONTACT WITH THE GROUND. ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES. BECAUSE THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES... OVER SOME OF THE HIGHEST TERRAIN... SOME LIMBS MIGHT COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THE EVENING RUSH. SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MIGHT BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-160430- /O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-091016T1200Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 423 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL LOW HAS SPREAD SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND RAIN AND SNOW IN THE VALLEYS ACROSS THE REGION. ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD AVERAGE 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH VALLEY LOCATIONS AVERAGING LESS THAN AN INCH. THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY WARM AND MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ON NON PAVED SURFACES AS WELL AS SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. BECAUSE THERE ARE STILL LEAVES ON THE TREES... OVER SOME OF THE HIGHEST TERRAIN... SOME LIMBS MIGHT COME DOWN FROM THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND CAUSE WIDELY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE THE INTENSITY WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT AND ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR SLIPPERY TRAVEL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SOME BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MIGHT BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GIGI  182 WSPR31 SPIM 152015 SPIM SIGMET A4 VALID 152020/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1915Z WI S0239 W07554 - S0404 W07627 S0500 W07538 - S0404 W07502 - S0252 W07507 - S0239 W07538 S0239 W07554 TOP FL410 STNR INTSF=  950 WWUS54 KJAN 152024 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 324 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC085-152030- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0559.000000T0000Z-091015T2030Z/ LINCOLN MS- 324 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY... AT 324 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES EAST OF EAST LINCOLN TO BOGUE CHITTO MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3143 9061 3153 9048 3159 9025 3139 9028 TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 285DEG 30KT 3151 9020 3144 9041 $$ COHEN  994 WSPR31 SPIM 152020 SPIM SIGMET C1 VALID 152020/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1915Z WI S1115 W07554 - S1153 W07500 S1133 W07427 - S1101 W07442 - S1059 W07502 - S1059 W07527 S1115 W07554 TOP FL380 STNR INTSF=  995 WSPR31 SPIM 152020 SPIM SIGMET B1 VALID 152020/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1915Z WI S0622 W07326 - S0604 W07313 S0549 W07309 - S0517 W07353 - S0535 W07404 - S0551 W07402 S0624 W07349 - S0622 W07326 TOP FL400 STNR INTSF=  175 WUUS54 KLIX 152028 SVRLIX MSC147-152115- /O.NEW.KLIX.SV.W.0176.091015T2028Z-091015T2115Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 328 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 326 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER LINCOLN COUNTY...OR 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF MCCOMB...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... RURAL WALTHALL COUNTY AT 350 PM CDT PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. && LAT...LON 3134 9007 3135 9004 3134 9003 3120 9002 3118 9000 3118 9002 3132 9026 3136 9026 3136 9011 TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 300DEG 24KT 3144 9027 $$  749 WGUS84 KOHX 152029 FLSOHX FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 329 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE GARRISON FORK... GARRISON FORK NEAR WARTRACE AFFECTING BEDFORD COUNTY .THE WATERS AT GARRISON FORK NEAR WARTRACE HAS SUBSIDED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && TNC003-152059- /O.CAN.KOHX.FL.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-091017T0614Z/ /WTTT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 329 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE GARRISON FORK NEAR WARTRACE * AT 03PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. $$ MTP  538 WAUS42 KKCI 152045 WA2S MIAS WA 152045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC GA NY NJ MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 180SE SIE TO 200ESE ECG TO 130SE ILM TO 70SSE ILM TO 20NE CHS TO 60ESE SAV TO 50SSE LGC TO GQO TO HMV TO 70E ECG TO 180SE SIE CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NC SC GA NY PA WV MD VA FROM SYR TO ALB TO HAR TO 40SE PSK TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW TO SYR MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  539 WAUS43 KKCI 152045 WA3S CHIS WA 152045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET IFR...KS MO OK AR FROM SLN TO 20W BUM TO 50SSE COU TO 30NW ARG TO FSM TO 40S MLC TO 20NNW ADM TO SLN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET IFR...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI IL IN KY FROM 70WNW INL TO 30ENE INL TO 20N GRB TO 40NE ORD TO FWA TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO 30SW BWG TO 30NW ARG TO 50SSE COU TO MCI TO 50SW BIS TO 50W DIK TO 50NNW ISN TO 70WNW INL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...KY TN FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...IFR ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI IL IN KY BOUNDED BY 50NNW ISN-40N INL-80W YQT-40NE DLH-20WSW GIJ-20SE MKG- DXO-FWA-CVG-HNN-HMV-20NNE DYR-30NW ARG-60SSE COU-MCI-40SSW BIS- 70SSW ISN-50NNW ISN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  540 WAUS41 KKCI 152045 WA1S BOSS WA 152045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET IFR...MA RI CT NY NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM ALB TO 50ESE ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 180SE SIE TO 70E ECG TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO 20NE ERI TO ALB CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET IFR...NY NJ MD DE VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 180SE SIE TO 200ESE ECG TO 130SE ILM TO 70SSE ILM TO 20NE CHS TO 60ESE SAV TO 50SSE LGC TO GQO TO HMV TO 70E ECG TO 180SE SIE CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...NY PA WV MD VA NC SC GA FROM SYR TO ALB TO HAR TO 40SE PSK TO CLT TO ATL TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW TO SYR MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  541 WAUS44 KKCI 152045 WA4S DFWS WA 152045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 4 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET IFR...OK AR KS MO FROM SLN TO 20W BUM TO 50SSE COU TO 30NW ARG TO FSM TO 40S MLC TO 20NNW ADM TO SLN CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET IFR...OK TX AR TN LA MS AL FROM 30SW BWG TO HMV TO GQO TO 50SSE LGC TO 40SE LFK TO 30S GGG TO 70WSW GGG TO 40WNW TXK TO 50SE MEM TO 30SW BWG CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TN KY FROM HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO LOZ TO HNN MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...IFR TX AR TN LA MS AL AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY HMV-GQO-40WSW PZD-30ENE SJI-20WSW LEV-50SW LCH-20WNW LFK-20W GGG-SQS-20NNE DYR-HMV CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  542 WAUS46 KKCI 152045 WA6S SFOS WA 152045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET IFR...OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50WSW OED TO 60S FOT TO SNS TO 110SW MZB TO 220SW MZB TO 160WSW FOT TO 120WNW FOT TO 50WSW OED CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG 00-03Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  543 WAUS45 KKCI 152045 WA5S SLCS WA 152045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 160300 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  575 WHUS71 KPHI 152030 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 430 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ430-431-450>455-160900- /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-091017T0400Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 430 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND THEN TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST INTO FRIDAY. REMEMBER TO CHECK THE WEATHER IF HEADING NORTH ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS OVER THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP NEARSHORE ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$  350 WWUS54 KJAN 152031 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 331 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC077-085-152115- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ LINCOLN MS-LAWRENCE MS- 331 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES... AT 331 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROBINWOOD TO BOGUE CHITTO MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... OAK VALE...RUTH AND TOPEKA BY 340 PM CDT... TILTON BY 345 PM CDT... JAYESS BY 355 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 70 MPH CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS... AND CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES. NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES MAY OCCUR...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3135 9011 3135 9052 3140 9052 3158 9017 3154 9000 3150 8995 3140 8996 3140 9003 3134 9004 3133 9006 TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 297DEG 25KT 3145 9005 3144 9039 $$ COHEN  418 WAUS43 KKCI 152045 WA3Z CHIZ WA 152045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET ICE...NE KS FROM 60SSE RAP TO 40WNW OBH TO 80S OBH TO 20SW HLC TO 40ENE LAA TO GLD TO BFF TO 60NNW BFF TO 60SSE RAP MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET ICE...ND SD NE MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL IN KY FROM 50NNW ISN TO 30NW YQT TO 50E SAW TO 50WNW YVV TO 30SE ECK TO DXO TO FWA TO CVG TO 40SSW UIN TO 30S OVR TO 30NW ANW TO 80SW DIK TO 50NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL SFC-070. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...ICE NE KS OK TX BOUNDED BY 20S BFF-40E LBF-60S OBH-50SSW ICT-GAG-60SSE TBE-30ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-20S BFF MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 015-120 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 030-100 BOUNDED BY 40N DPR-50SSE FSD-40NNW UIN- FWA-CVG-20ESE FAM-BUM-20SSE PWE-40SSE OBH-50WSW PIR-40N DPR 040 ALG 40SSW ISN-30SE DIK-40NNE ONL-30NNE COU-STL-20N TTH- 40WSW ROD 080 ALG 50W RAP-40ESE LBF-60E SGF-20S FAM-30NW IIU-HNN ....  419 WAUS44 KKCI 152045 WA4Z DFWZ WA 152045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 160300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...ICE OK TX NE KS BOUNDED BY 20S BFF-40E LBF-60S OBH-50SSW ICT-GAG-60SSE TBE-30ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-20S BFF MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 100-175 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 50W LBL-40WNW MLC-50W LIT-50WNW MSL-30E VXV 160 ALG 60N INK-40NNE MAF-60NE JCT-20W LCH-130ESE LEV ....  420 WAUS45 KKCI 152045 WA5Z SLCZ WA 152045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 4 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET ICE...ID WA OR AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NNW HUH TO 50NNE LKT TO DNJ TO 30NNE OED TO 110W ONP TO 140W TOU TO 20NNW HUH MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET ICE...MT WY CO FROM 50NNW ISN TO 80SW DIK TO 50NNW BFF TO BFF TO GLD TO 40ENE LAA TO 50W LBL TO 30SE OCS TO 30W JAC TO 30NE JAC TO 20NNW LWT TO 70SSW YXH TO 50NNW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL 050-100. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...ICE ID MT WA OR AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30WNW HUH-60SW YXC-20E DLN-20SSE DBS-30SSE DSD-130WNW ONP-150W TOU-30WNW HUH MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 030-165 ACRS AREA 040 ALG 80SSW YYN-40NNW GGW-40SSW ISN 080 ALG 40SE GEG-40SSE GTF-40ENE SHR-50W RAP 120 ALG 40SSE REO-20SE JNC-50W PUB-50W LBL 160 ALG 20S EED-40NNW TCS-60N INK ....  421 WAUS46 KKCI 152045 WA6Z SFOZ WA 152045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET ICE...WA OR ID AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20NNW HUH TO 50NNE LKT TO DNJ TO 30NNE OED TO 110W ONP TO 140W TOU TO 20NNW HUH MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...ICE WA OR ID MT AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30WNW HUH-60SW YXC-20E DLN-20SSE DBS-30SSE DSD-130WNW ONP-150W TOU-30WNW HUH MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 065-165 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 100W TOU-20ENE TOU-40S HUH-40SE GEG 120 ALG 170WSW ONP-130SW ONP-40NNW OED-20NNE LKV-20SSW REO- 40SSE REO 160 ALG 160SW RZS-70SW RZS-30NW LAX-20S EED 160 ALG 60SW MZB-180SW MZB ....  611 WAUS41 KKCI 152045 WA1Z BOSZ WA 152045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET ICE...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90SSW YSJ TO 200SE ACK TO 180SE SIE TO 20WSW ORF TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO DXO TO 20ENE YYZ TO 90SSW YSJ MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL SFC-110. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-120 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 040-090 BOUNDED BY 40S HNK-40SE ETX-30SE AIR-CVG- FWA-60S JHW-40S HNK SFC ALG 60WSW YOW-60S MSS-50S PLB-30SE PQI-50ENE PQI 040 ALG 40WSW ROD-40ENE APE-20ESE JST-50SSW BDL-90ESE ACK- 140E ACK 080 ALG HNN-40WNW CSN-90SE HTO-150SSE ACK-190SE ACK ....  612 WAUS42 KKCI 152045 WA2Z MIAZ WA 152045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 160300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-165 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 30E VXV-20NNE RDU-20SW ECG-100E ORF-180E ECG 160 ALG 130ESE LEV-40W SRQ-20NE RSW-40ESE RSW-50WSW MIA-30SSE EYW ....  393 WHUS72 KTBW 152032 MWWTBW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 432 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THIS FRONT STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND SETTING UP A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS WILL ESTABLISH A BREEZY NORTHERLY FLOW ALONG WITH ELEVATED SEAS LEADING TO HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS. GMZ870-873-161000- /O.NEW.KTBW.SC.Y.0021.091016T2100Z-091018T0000Z/ TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- 432 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS WELL OFFSHORE. THESE WINDS AND SEAS WILL PRODUCE VERY HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE INEXPERIENCED OR OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...MAY WISH TO POSTPONE TRIPS UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. && $$ PRC  023 WSIY31 LIIB 152037 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 152100/160100 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 MOV S NC=  352 WVIY31 LIMM 152038 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 152110/160110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  437 WHUS74 KLCH 152035 MWWLCH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 335 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EARLY FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE AS THE COOLER AIR MOVES OVER RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. GMZ470-472-475-160445- /O.NEW.KLCH.SC.Y.0037.091016T1200Z-091017T1200Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 335 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SATURDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND STRENGTHENING AS THE COOLER AIR MOVES OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS INCREASING TO UP TO 8 FEET FROM 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE. $$ 24  639 WVIY31 LIIB 152038 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 152110/160110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  694 WSIY31 LIIB 152037 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 152100/160100 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 MOV S NC=  761 WSIY31 LIIB 152037 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 152100/160100 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS SARDINIA AREA AND S TYRRHENIAN SEA AND SICILY COASTS AND IONIAN SEA TOP FL170/230 MOV S NC=  762 WVIY31 LIIB 152038 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 152110/160110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  218 WVIY31 LIMM 152038 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 152110/160110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  219 WVIY31 LIIB 152038 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 152110/160110 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT= FCNO33 ENMI 152000 TAF ENAT 152000Z 1521/1606 25012KT 9999 FEW025 SCT060= TAF ENBL 152000Z NIL= TAF ENEV 152000Z 1521/1524 23008KT 9999 -RA FEW010 BKN025 TEMPO 1521/1523 23015G25KT 4000 RADZ BKN012= TAF ENFL 152000Z NIL= TAF ENKB 152000Z NIL= TAF ENKR 152000Z NIL= TAF ENML 152000Z NIL=  309 WHUS41 KOKX 152036 CFWOKX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 436 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL LINGERING INTO THE WEEKEND... .THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND A COASTAL STORM PASSING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WILL PRODUCE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS AROUND LONG ISLAND. THIS... COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES...WILL BUILD UP WATER AT THE COAST...PRODUCING MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. CTZ009-010-NJZ006-NYZ071>081-160445- /O.UPG.KOKX.CF.A.0001.091016T0900Z-091016T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.CF.W.0004.091016T0900Z-091016T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.CF.A.0002.091016T1800Z-091017T1700Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-HUDSON-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 436 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OVER THE WATERS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SEAS AND SURGE ALONG THE COAST. THIS...COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF LONG ISLAND SOUND APPEAR MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS AT THIS TIME. THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND AS A PERSISTENT LONG FETCH OF STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && ...OCEAN/NEW YORK HARBOR/SOUTH SHORE BAYS FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) THE BATTERY.....718 AM.....5.7.........6.7.........8.0........8.0 BERGEN POINT....717 AM.....6.2.........N/A.........8.5........8.6 FREEPORT........725 AM.....3.7.........5.2.........5.9........6.4 ...LONG ISLAND SOUND FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) KINGS POINT....1036 AM.....8.9.........N/A........10.5.......11.5 STAMFORD.......1014 AM.....8.6.........9.5........11.1.......11.2 BRIDGEPORT.....1011 AM.....8.0.........8.9........10.4.......10.5 $$ NJZ005-011-160445- /O.NEW.KOKX.CF.W.0004.091016T0900Z-091016T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.CF.A.0002.091016T1800Z-091017T1700Z/ ESSEX-UNION- 436 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MILES PER HOUR OVER THE WATERS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SEAS AND SURGE ALONG THE COAST. THIS... COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND AS A PERSISTENT LONG FETCH OF STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && ...NEW YORK HARBOR FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) THE BATTERY.....718 AM.....5.7.........6.7.........8.0........8.0 BERGEN POINT....717 AM.....6.2.........N/A.........8.5........8.6 $$ CTZ011-012-160445- /O.UPG.KOKX.CF.A.0001.091016T0900Z-091016T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0014.091016T1000Z-091016T1400Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.CF.A.0002.091016T1800Z-091017T1700Z/ SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 436 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MILES PER HOUR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN BUILDING SEAS AND SURGE ALONG THE COAST. THIS...COUPLED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND AS A PERSISTENT LONG FETCH OF STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && ...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND FRIDAY MORNING... ...............TIME OF.....HEIGHT.....MINOR.....MODERATE....FORECAST LOCATION......HIGH TIDE...OF TIDE..FLOOD HEIGHT..FLD HGT.....HEIGHT ...........................(MLLW)....(MLLW)......(MLLW)......(MLLW) NEW LONDON......810 AM.....3.4.........5.0.........N/A........5.5 $$  528 WWUS82 KFFC 152036 SPSFFC SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 436 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 GAZ066-067-078-152100- 436 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IN HARRIS... TROUP AND MERIWETHER COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT... AT 434 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF JONES CROSSROADS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS HARRIS...TROUP AND MERIWETHER COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CANNONVILLE...LONG CANE...WHITESVILLE-PINE LAKE...SMITHS CROSSROAD...BAUGHS CROSSROADS...JONES CROSSROADS...HAMILTON...STOVALL...PINE MOUNTAIN-CALLAWAY GARDENS...PINE MOUNTAIN VALLEY...F.D. ROOSEVELT STATE PARK AND DURAND. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. $$  067 WGUS82 KFFC 152037 FLSFFC FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 437 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA... OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON AFFECTING BIBB...HOUSTON...JONES... MONROE AND TWIGGS COUNTIES OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE AFFECTING BLECKLEY AND PULASKI COUNTIES OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE AFFECTING DODGE...TELFAIR AND WILCOX COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD AFFECTING CLARKE...GREENE AND OCONEE COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR AVANT MINE NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING WASHINGTON AND WILKINSON COUNTIES OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE AFFECTING JOHNSON...WASHINGTON AND WILKINSON COUNTIES && GAC059-133-219-161037- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-091018T1200Z/ /PNFG1.2.ER.091012T1900Z.091015T0715Z.091018T0600Z.NO/ 437 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR PENFIELD. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 4 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET...AND FALLING. * MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * AT 18 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. WARD ROAD FLOODS AND CUTS OFF ACCESS TO L.C. CURTIS AND SON SAND AND GRAVEL COMPANY. IRRIGATION SYSTEMS ALSO BEGIN TO FLOOD AND NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND. $$ GAC303-319-161036- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OCOG1.1.ER.091014T1145Z.091014T2315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 437 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR AVANT MINE NEAR OCONEE. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET...AND FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. $$ GAC167-303-319-161036- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /OCNG1.1.ER.091015T1330Z.091015T2015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 437 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCONEE RIVER NEAR OCONEE * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 4 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET...AND RISING. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET. * AT 19 FEET...THE WATER LEVEL BEGINS TO FLOOD THE DIRT PARKING LOT AREA NEAR THE OLD BALLS FERRY ROAD BOAT RAMP...JUST UPSTREAM AND RIGHTBANK FROM THE GEORGIA HIGHWAY 57 BRIDGE. MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES AND SPREADS FURTHER INTO THE WOODLANDS NEAR THE RIVER. $$ GAC021-153-169-207-289-161036- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0111.000000T0000Z-091017T1030Z/ /MACG1.1.ER.091014T0650Z.091015T0030Z.091017T0430Z.NO/ 437 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR MACON. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET...AND FALLING. * MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET. * AT 19 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES. THE MACON GREENWAY OCMULGEE HERITAGE TRAIL WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD IN AREAS JUST NORTH OF THE FIFTH STREET BRIDGE. CITIZENS OF THE TRAIL WILL NEED TO STOP USE. IN ADDITION...THE LOWEST SECTIONS OF THE CHARLES JONES GATEWAY PARK WILL FLOOD. $$ GAC023-235-161036- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0121.091019T0112Z-000000T0000Z/ /HAWG1.1.ER.091019T0112Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 437 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR HAWKINSVILLE. * FROM SUNDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET...AND RISING. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.7 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 20.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS BEGINS ON THE SOUTHSIDE OF HAWKINSVILLE...ALONG GOOSENECK LANE. WITH THE FLOODING OF GOOSENECK LANE...RESIDENTS ARE CUTOFF FROM REACHING THEIR HOMES. $$ GAC091-271-315-161036- /O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0122.091019T0600Z-000000T0000Z/ /ABBG1.1.ER.091019T0600Z.091020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 437 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER NEAR ABBEVILLE. * FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7 FEET...AND RISING. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 13 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLANDS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER CONTINUE TO EXPAND INTO THE FLOOD PLAIN. FLOODING OF THE NEARBY PARK AND PARKING LOT ALSO EXPANDS. $$  777 WAUS41 KKCI 152045 WA1T BOST WA 152045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB AND STG SFC WNDS VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET TURB...NY PA OH LE WV MD VA FROM 30SE ECK TO JHW TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO 30SE ECK MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS DVLPG 21-00Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY NJ PA OH WV MD DC DE VA NC SC GA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40ESE HUL TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO LGC TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW TO 20N PLB TO 40ESE HUL MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...MA RI CT NY NJ PA MD DE VA NC AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20N ACK TO 150E ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO 170SE ECG TO 70SSE ECG TO 40ENE RIC TO 60S ETX TO SAX TO 20N ACK MOD TURB BLW FL180. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET STG SFC WNDS...MA RI NY NJ MD DE VA CSTL WTRS FROM 140E ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 180SE SIE TO 40NE ORF TO 30S JFK TO 20WSW HTO TO 40SSE PVD TO 140E ACK SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS GTR THAN 30KT EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z AREA 1...TURB NY PA OH LE WV MD DC VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 30ESE ECK-50SW SYR-40E EMI-20NE ECG-HMV-HNN-CVG-FWA- 30ESE ECK MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . AREA 2...TURB ME NH MA RI CT NY NJ PA MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY BOS-160ENE ACK-200SE ACK-180SE SIE-30SSW SIE-60S ETX- SAX-BDL-BOS MOD TURB BLW FL180. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  851 WAUS42 KKCI 152045 WA2T MIAT WA 152045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET TURB...NC SC GA ME NH VT MA RI CT NY NJ PA OH WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40ESE HUL TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO LGC TO GQO TO HMV TO HNN TO JHW TO 20N PLB TO 40ESE HUL MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...NC MA RI CT NY NJ PA MD DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20N ACK TO 150E ACK TO 200SE ACK TO 160SE SIE TO 190ESE ECG TO 170SE ECG TO 70SSE ECG TO 40ENE RIC TO 60S ETX TO SAX TO 20N ACK MOD TURB BLW FL180. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  852 WAUS43 KKCI 152045 WA3T CHIT WA 152045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET TURB...SD NE KS MO IL IN KY OK TX AR TN MS AL FROM 70SW RAP TO 20NW MCI TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 20SSE MSL TO 30NNE IGB TO 50SSW LIT TO 20N CDS TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  853 WAUS44 KKCI 152045 WA4T DFWT WA 152045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET TURB...OK TX AR TN MS AL SD NE KS MO IL IN KY FROM 70SW RAP TO 20NW MCI TO CVG TO HNN TO HMV TO GQO TO 20SSE MSL TO 30NNE IGB TO 50SSW LIT TO 20N CDS TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  854 WAUS45 KKCI 152045 WA5T SLCT WA 152045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY NV UT CO WA OR AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70S YYN TO 100SE MLS TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO ALS TO HVE TO 110W ONP TO 140W TOU TO 20WNW HUH TO 70S YYN MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY NV WA OR CA FROM 30SSE YXC TO 70S YYN TO 20SSW LAR TO 50ENE SLC TO BOI TO FMG TO 30SW ENI TO FOT TO TOU TO 30SSE YXC MOD TURB BLW 160. CONDS ENDG 00-03Z. . AIRMET TURB...WY CO NM FROM SNY TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO 20NW TXO TO 50WSW RSK TO 40S OCS TO SNY MOD TURB BLW FL180. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...TURB ID MT WY UT CO WA OR BOUNDED BY 70S YYN-100SE MLS-70SW RAP-BFF-GLD-60W LBL-20S ALS- BOI-BKE-20ESE HUH-70S YYN MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  855 WAUS46 KKCI 152045 WA6T SFOT WA 152045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 160300 . AIRMET TURB...WA OR ID MT WY NV UT CO AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70S YYN TO 100SE MLS TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO ALS TO HVE TO 110W ONP TO 140W TOU TO 20WNW HUH TO 70S YYN MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...WA OR CA ID MT WY NV FROM 30SSE YXC TO 70S YYN TO 20SSW LAR TO 50ENE SLC TO BOI TO FMG TO 30SW ENI TO FOT TO TOU TO 30SSE YXC MOD TURB BLW 160. CONDS ENDG 00-03Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...TURB WA OR ID MT WY UT CO BOUNDED BY 70S YYN-100SE MLS-70SW RAP-BFF-GLD-60W LBL-20S ALS- BOI-BKE-20ESE HUH-70S YYN MOD TURB BTN FL180 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  322 WTPZ25 KNHC 152038 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 2100 UTC THU OCT 15 2009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 97.0W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 97.0W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 96.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.6N 98.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.0N 99.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.4N 101.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.9N 103.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...125NE 90SE 90SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 85SE 70SW 85NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 19.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 97.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  548 WGCA52 TJSJ 152038 FFWSJU PRC013-017-039-054-073-091-141-152230- /O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0054.091015T2038Z-091015T2230Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 438 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES IN PUERTO RICO CIALES FLORIDA JAYUYA UTUADO BARCELONETA MANATI ARECIBO * UNTIL 630 PM AST * AT 430 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN A VERY BRIEF PERIOD. RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SOME OF THESE AREAS...ESPECIALLY UTUADO...HAVE CAUSED MUDSLIDES AND MINOR FLOODING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT TWO HOURS. BE AWARE OF RAPID RUSHING FLOOD WATERS DOWN RIVERS AND STREAMS. THE AREAS OF EXPECTED HIGHEST IMPACT BORDER UTUADO...CIALES AND FLORIDA IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER LAGO DOS BOCAS...RIO LIMON AND SECTIONS OF ROADS 140 AND 146. DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. && LAT...LON 1846 6658 1833 6650 1823 6657 1839 6675 $$ RA ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN  648 WTPZ35 KNHC 152039 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 200 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN... AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES...620 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH... 24 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...12.1N 97.0W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  140 WTPZ45 KNHC 152039 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 200 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY...DATA FROM THE ASCAT SCATTEROMETER...AND SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED SOUTH OF MEXICO HAS ACQUIRED SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND CIRCULATION TO BE DESIGNATED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE ASCAT DATA SHOWED MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 30 KT ABOUT 60 N MI NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE CIRRUS OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY GOOD IN ALL DIRECTIONS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 305/11. THE DEPRESSION IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM MEXICO WESTWARD OVER THE PACIFIC. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THIS FEATURE TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 48-72 HR...AND THIS SHOULD STEER THE DEPRESSION WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. AFTER THAT TIME...THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. THE TRACK GUIDANCE DIVERGES DURING THIS TIME. THE HWRF AND GFDL... WHICH ARE ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...TURN THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST BY 120 HR...WITH THE GFDL FORECASTING THE CENTER TO BE NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE NOGAPS...CANADIAN...AND UKMET ARE ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE...AND SHOW A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AFTER 72 HR. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN BETWEEN THESE EXTREMES...WITH 120 HR POSITIONS JUST SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. THE FORECAST TRACK COMPROMISES BETWEEN THESE EXTREMES...WITH THE TRACK IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE TVCN CONSENSUS MODEL FOR THE FIRST 72 HR AND WITH THE GFS/ECMWF THEREAFTER. THE DEPRESSION IS EMBEDDED IN A LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER VERY WARM WATER...AND THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 72 HR. ALL GUIDANCE IS FORECASTING SIGNIFICANT AND RAPID STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 72-96 HR...WITH THE HWRF FORECASTING THE CENTRAL PRESSURE TO FALL BELOW 900 MB. THE RAPID INTENSIFICATION INDEX OF THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF 30 KT OR MORE INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR FAST STRENGTHENING...WITH THE DEPRESSION BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM BY 12 HR...A HURRICANE IN ABOUT 36 HR...AND A MAJOR HURRICANE IN ABOUT 72 HR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS AND INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODELS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE CYCLONE COULD STRENGTHEN FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THE INITIAL RADII OF 12 FT SEAS ARE BASED ON TWO SHIP REPORTS 130 AND 170 N MI FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 12.1N 97.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 16/0600Z 12.6N 98.2W 40 KT 24HR VT 16/1800Z 13.0N 99.7W 55 KT 36HR VT 17/0600Z 13.4N 101.3W 65 KT 48HR VT 17/1800Z 13.9N 103.3W 80 KT 72HR VT 18/1800Z 15.0N 108.0W 100 KT 96HR VT 19/1800Z 17.0N 111.5W 110 KT 120HR VT 20/1800Z 19.0N 112.5W 115 KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN  926 WGUS82 KFFC 152040 FLSFFC FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 440 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WATER CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN GEORGIA... CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LEE...RUSSELL... CHATTAHOOCHEE...MUSCOGEE AND STEWART COUNTIES && ALC081-113-GAC053-215-259-161040- /O.ROU.KFFC.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CMUG1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ 440 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 HIGH WATER CONTINUES FOR THE CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER NEAR COLUMBUS. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET...AND FALLING SLOWLY. * FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE ACTION STAGE OF 20 FEET THIS EVENING. $$  179 WWUS54 KJAN 152040 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 340 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC077-085-152115- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ LINCOLN MS-LAWRENCE MS- 340 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES... AT 340 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TOPEKA MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... ROBINWOOD BY 350 PM CDT... ARM BY 355 PM CDT... TILTON BY 400 PM CDT... OAK VALE BY 405 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 70 MPH CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS... AND CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES. NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES MAY OCCUR...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3135 9011 3135 9052 3140 9052 3158 9017 3154 9000 3150 8995 3140 8996 3140 9003 3134 9004 3133 9006 TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 286DEG 26KT 3141 9018 $$ COHEN  757 WWUS71 KBOX 152041 NPWBOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 441 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FIRST OF TWO GALE EVENTS WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY DAMAGING WIND LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE VIRGINIA CAPES LATE TODAY WILL PASS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET FRIDAY MORNING AND PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 55 MPH OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. MAZ023-024-160445- /O.CON.KBOX.HW.W.0002.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET 441 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THE COMBINATION OF 45 TO 55 MPH WILL WIND GUSTS WITH RAIN ON FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE A FEW TREES TO FALL OR LARGE LIMBS WILL BREAK EARLY FRIDAY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER AT ANY TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS. && $$ MAZ019>022-RIZ007-008-160445- /O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/ EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- BARNSTABLE MA-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...NEWPORT... BLOCK ISLAND 441 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL RHODE ISLAND AS WELL AS BLOCK ISLAND. A WARNING CONTINUES FOR NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH COMBINED WITH RAIN ON FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE BRANCH BREAKAGE AND ASSOCIATED POWER OUTAGES FRIDAY MORNING. A PORTION OF THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING IN OVERNIGHT FORECASTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING CAN ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ DRAG  246 WHUS73 KLOT 152042 MWWLOT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 342 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LMZ743>745-160445- /O.EXA.KLOT.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-091016T1300Z/ CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-GARY TO BURNS HARBOR- BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY- 342 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST. LOOK FOR THE HIGHEST WAVES OF UP TO 5 FEET TO OCCUR. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ740>742-160445- /O.CON.KLOT.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-091016T1300Z/ WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR- WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND- NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR- 342 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVE HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 4 FEET UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY. * DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PLAN ON THE STRONGEST WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST. LOOK FOR THE HIGHEST WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET TO OCCUR. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  671 WSSS20 VHHH 152045 VHHK SIGMET 1 VALID 152045/160045 VHHH- VHHK HONG KONG FIR EMBD TS FCST S OF N18 TOP FL390 MOV W 05KT NC=  686 WHUS41 KBOX 152045 CFWBOX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 445 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...ONE OR POSSIBLY TWO GALE CENTERS WILL AFFECT COASTAL SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN FRIDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... MAZ019-022>024-160445- /O.CON.KBOX.CF.A.0001.091016T1000Z-091016T1800Z/ EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA- 445 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND NOON FRIDAY MORNING WILL DEVELOP 10 TO 15 FOOT SEAS FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES AND A 1.2 TO 1.8 FOOT SURGE WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING /SPLASH OVER AND POSSIBLY A FEW ROAD CLOSURES/. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE PROBABILITY OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING /NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES AND ISOLATED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE/. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS THE MOST PROBABLE OUTCOME BUT A 2 FOOT STORM SURGE AND SEAS A COUPLE OF FEET HIGHER WOULD RESULT IN A MODERATE FLOOD EVENT. WHILE THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE CURRENT OUTLOOK IS FOR ANOTHER NOREASTER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY BUT WITH LESS CERTAINTY ON TRACK AND INTENSITY. CONSIDERABLE AND POSSIBLY SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION FROM COASTAL FLOODING ON AT LEAST SIX SUCCESSIVE TIDE CYCLES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. IF THE SUNDAY GALE CENTER WERE TO TRACK CLOSER OR BECOME STRONGER...A MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WOULD EMERGE FRIDAY OR SUNDAY. ANYONE WITH EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURE COASTAL CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS. && ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR. SCITUATE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 2.6 16/04 AM 2.0 0.6 5-9 NONE 11.0 16/10 AM 10.0 1.0 10-11 MINOR 10.9 16/11 PM 9.8 1.1 9-10 MINOR 10.7 17/11 AM 10.2 0.5 8 NONE 10.1 17/11 PM 9.6 0.5 7-8 NONE 11.2 18/12 PM 10.3 0.9 9 NONE SANDWICH HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.7 15/10 PM 8.3 0.4 3-4 NONE 10.5 16/10 AM 9.2 1.3 6 NONE 10.3 16/11 PM 9.0 1.3 5-6 NONE 9.6 17/11 AM 8.8 0.8 4 NONE 9.0 17/11 PM 8.2 0.8 4 NONE 9.7 18/12 PM 8.9 0.8 5 NONE PROVINCETOWN HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 6.2 15/10 PM 6.4 -0.2 2-3 NONE 6.3 16/10 AM 6.5 -0.2 3-4 NONE 6.2 16/11 PM 6.4 -0.2 2-3 NONE 7.1 17/11 AM 6.8 0.3 2 NONE 6.6 17/11 PM 6.3 0.3 2 NONE 7.2 18/12 PM 6.9 0.3 2 NONE CHATHAM - EAST COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.3 15/10 PM 4.3 0.0 3-5 NONE 5.5 16/10 AM 4.4 1.1 11-13 NONE 5.6 16/11 PM 4.4 1.2 10-12 NONE 5.2 17/11 AM 4.6 0.6 8-9 NONE 4.8 18/12 AM 4.3 0.5 8 NONE 5.5 18/12 PM 4.7 0.8 9-10 NONE CHATHAM - SOUTH COAST TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.7 15/10 PM 4.5 0.2 2-4 NONE 5.9 16/10 AM 4.6 1.3 3 NONE 5.9 16/11 PM 4.5 1.4 3 NONE 5.5 17/11 AM 4.8 0.7 2-3 NONE 5.2 18/12 AM 4.5 0.7 3 NONE 5.7 18/12 PM 4.9 0.8 3 NONE BUZZARDS BAY - WOODS HOLE TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 2.6 15/07 PM 2.6 0.0 1-2 NONE 3.8 16/07 AM 3.0 0.8 3 NONE 3.7 17/08 PM 2.6 1.1 2 NONE 3.8 17/08 AM 3.1 0.7 2 NONE 2.5 17/09 PM 2.4 0.1 2 NONE 3.7 18/09 AM 3.2 0.5 2 NONE VINEYARD HAVEN TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.8 15/10 PM 3.4 0.4 2-3 NONE 5.2 16/10 AM 3.5 1.8 3 NONE 5.0 16/10 PM 3.3 1.7 2 NONE 4.7 17/10 AM 3.6 1.1 2 NONE 4.0 17/11 PM 3.2 0.9 2 NONE 4.7 18/11 AM 3.7 1.0 2 NONE NANTUCKET TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.0 15/10 PM 3.7 0.3 3-6 NONE 5.3 16/11 AM 3.8 1.5 12 MINOR 5.1 16/11 PM 3.6 1.5 9-11 NONE 4.7 17/11 AM 3.9 0.8 7-8 NONE 4.4 18/12 AM 3.6 0.8 7-8 NONE 4.7 18/12 PM 4.0 0.7 8-9 NONE $$ MAZ007-015-016-020-021-RIZ002-004>008-160445- /O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0004.091016T0900Z-091016T2300Z/ EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- BLOCK ISLAND RI- 445 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND NOON FRIDAY MORNING WILL DEVELOP 10 AND 15 FOOT SEAS FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES AND A 1.2 TO 1.5 FOOT SURGE WILL LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLES...ESPECIALLY THE MARBLEHEAD...REVERE WINTHROP TO SCITUATE SECTION OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. EVEN HIGH WATER IS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NARRAGANSETT BAY FRIDAY MORNING...DESPITE A NORTHEAST WIND. WHILE THERE SHOULD BE A LULL IN THE WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE CURRENT OUTLOOK IS FOR ANOTHER POTENTIAL NOREASTER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY BUT WITH LESS CERTAINTY ON TRACK AND INTENSITY. BEACH EROSION FROM MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON SUCCESSIVE TIDE CYCLES FROM FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT IN COASTAL NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS. IF EITHER GALE CENTER WERE TO TRACK CLOSER OR BECOME STRONGER...A MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WOULD EMERGE SUNDAY. ANYONE WITH EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURE COASTAL CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS. && ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR. BOSTON HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 10.1 15/10 PM 10.1 0.0 1-2 NONE 12.2 16/10 AM 11.1 1.1 2 NONE 12.1 16/11 PM 10.9 1.2 2 NONE 11.9 17/11 AM 11.4 0.5 2 NONE 11.2 17/11 PM 10.7 0.5 2 NONE 12.5 18/12 PM 11.5 1.0 3 MINOR NEWBURYPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.5 15/10 PM 8.3 0.2 1-2 NONE 10.0 16/10 AM 9.1 0.9 6 NONE 10.1 16/11 PM 9.0 1.1 6 NONE 10.0 17/11 AM 9.4 0.6 5-6 NONE 9.4 18/12 AM 8.8 0.6 5 NONE 10.4 18/12 PM 9.5 0.9 6 NONE GLOUCESTER HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 8.9 15/10 PM 9.0 -0.1 1-3 NONE 10.9 16/10 AM 10.0 0.9 7-9 NONE 10.9 16/11 PM 9.8 1.1 9-10 MINOR 10.7 17/11 AM 10.2 0.5 8-9 NONE 10.1 17/11 PM 9.6 0.5 8 NONE 11.2 18/12 PM 10.3 0.9 9 NONE POINT JUDITH TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.8 15/06 PM 3.6 0.2 3-4 NONE 5.6 16/07 AM 4.2 1.4 6-7 NONE 4.9 16/07 PM 3.6 1.3 5-6 NONE 5.2 17/08 AM 4.3 0.9 4 NONE 4.0 18/08 PM 3.6 0.4 5 NONE 4.8 18/08 AM 4.3 0.5 6 NONE WESTERLY TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.5 15/07 PM 3.2 0.3 3 NONE 5.0 16/07 AM 3.6 1.4 5 NONE 4.6 17/08 PM 3.2 1.4 4 NONE 4.7 17/08 AM 3.8 0.9 3 NONE 3.5 18/08 PM 3.1 0.4 3-4 NONE 4.3 18/09 AM 3.9 0.4 4 NONE NARRAGANSETT BAY - CONIMICUT POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.5 15/06 PM 4.7 -0.1 1 NONE 6.3 16/07 AM 5.4 0.9 1 NONE 5.7 16/07 PM 4.5 1.1 1 NONE 6.2 17/08 AM 5.4 0.8 1-2 NONE 4.8 18/08 PM 4.7 0.1 2 NONE 5.9 18/08 AM 5.2 0.6 2 NONE : NARRAGANSETT BAY - FOX POINT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 5.2 15/06 PM 5.2 -0.1 1 NONE 6.8 16/07 AM 6.0 0.9 1 NONE 6.2 16/07 PM 5.2 1.0 1 NONE 6.8 17/08 AM 6.0 0.8 1-2 NONE 5.3 18/08 PM 5.2 0.1 2 NONE 6.6 18/08 AM 5.8 0.7 2 NONE WESTPORT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.1 15/06 PM 4.0 0.1 1-2 NONE 5.7 16/07 AM 4.6 1.1 4 NONE 5.3 16/07 PM 4.1 1.2 3-4 NONE 5.5 17/08 AM 4.7 0.8 2-4 NONE 4.3 18/08 PM 4.1 0.2 4 NONE 5.2 18/08 AM 4.7 0.5 5 NONE MATTAPOISETT TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.6 15/07 PM 4.6 0.0 1-2 NONE 6.0 16/07 AM 5.1 0.9 3 NONE 5.7 17/08 PM 4.6 1.1 2 NONE 6.1 17/08 AM 5.3 0.8 2 NONE 4.7 17/09 PM 4.5 0.2 2 NONE 5.8 18/09 AM 5.3 0.5 3-4 NONE ONSET TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 4.7 16/08 PM 4.6 0.1 2 NONE 6.0 16/08 AM 5.1 0.9 3 NONE 5.5 17/08 PM 4.5 1.0 2 NONE 5.8 17/09 AM 5.2 0.6 1-2 NONE 4.6 17/09 PM 4.5 0.1 2 NONE 5.7 18/09 AM 5.2 0.5 3 NONE BLOCK ISLAND - OLD HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 3.1 15/06 PM 2.9 0.2 4-5 NONE 4.9 16/07 AM 3.5 1.4 7-9 NONE 4.2 16/07 PM 2.9 1.3 8-9 NONE 4.5 17/08 AM 3.6 0.9 5 NONE 3.3 18/08 PM 2.9 0.4 6-7 NONE 4.1 18/08 AM 3.6 0.5 8 NONE NEWPORT HARBOR TOTAL ASTRO TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY ------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ---------- 2.2 16/12 AM 1.6 0.6 2-3 NONE 5.9 16/07 AM 4.8 1.1 3 NONE 5.4 16/07 PM 4.2 1.2 2-3 NONE 5.7 17/08 AM 4.9 0.8 1-2 NONE 4.4 18/08 PM 4.2 0.2 2 NONE 5.3 18/09 AM 4.9 0.4 2 NONE $$ DRAG  909 WGUS64 KSHV 152047 FFASHV FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 347 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 LAZ004>006-012>014-018>022-152200- /O.CAN.KSHV.FF.A.0016.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-UNION LA-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA- NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOMER...RUSTON...FARMERVILLE... BIENVILLE...JONESBORO...MONROE...NATCHITOCHES...WINNFIELD... COLFAX...COLUMBIA...JENA 347 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALTHOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS ENDED ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA. HOWEVER...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY STILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...BEFORE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION LATER TONIGHT. $$ 15  057 WUUS54 KJAN 152047 SVRJAN MSC065-077-091-152145- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0562.091015T2047Z-091015T2145Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 347 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...KOKOMO...COLUMBIA... * UNTIL 445 PM CDT * AT 348 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF TILTON MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... TILTON BY 400 PM CDT... OAK VALE BY 405 PM CDT... HOLLY SPRINGS AND KOKOMO BY 410 PM CDT... MORGANTOWN AND SOCIETY HILL BY 415 PM CDT... GOSS BY 420 PM CDT... BUNKER HILL BY 425 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3120 9003 3124 9003 3125 9004 3133 9007 3135 9009 3149 9001 3143 8967 3110 8981 TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 286DEG 26KT 3139 9014 $$ COHEN  191 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z --- NEAR 12.7N 138.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 138.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 13.2N 135.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 13.8N 133.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 14.3N 132.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 14.8N 132.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 15.9N 130.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 16.7N 127.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 17.5N 125.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 137.9E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 22W (LUPIT) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF YAP AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO DEPICTS VERY GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. AS SUCH, THE SYSTEM HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND IS NOW AT 55 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES (T3.5) AS WELL AS A 151730Z SATCON AUTOMATED DVORAK VALUE OF T3.4. A 151615Z AMSRE 89 GHZ MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. TS 22W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. BY TAU 36, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN FORWARD TRACK SPEED AND MOVE POLEWARD SLIGHTLY AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TEMPORARILY WEAKENS THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE. TS 22W WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AND HIGH OCEAN HEAT CONTENT. BY TAU 72, TS 22W SHOULD RESUME ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WESTERN LOBE OF THE STR LOCATED BEHIND THE TROUGH. AS TS 22W CONTINUES THROUGH THE PHILIPPINE SEA, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEADILY INTENSIFY AS THE ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN FAVORABLE. THIS FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE JTWC CONSENSUS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS WHICH CALL FOR THE TROUGH TO WEAKEN THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AND SLOW THE SYSTEM'S FORWARD SPEED BETWEEN TAUS 36 AND 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z.//  624 WWUS54 KLIX 152051 SVSLIX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 351 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC147-152115- /O.CON.KLIX.SV.W.0176.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ WALTHALL MS- 351 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN WALTHALL COUNTY... AT 349 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL... AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER LAWRENCE COUNTY...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLUMBIA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. && LAT...LON 3134 9007 3135 9004 3134 9003 3120 9002 3118 9000 3118 9002 3132 9026 3136 9026 3136 9011 TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 300DEG 24KT 3136 9011 $$  824 WWUS54 KJAN 152051 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 351 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC065-077-091-152145- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0562.000000T0000Z-091015T2145Z/ MARION MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS- 351 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND MARION COUNTIES... AT 351 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF TILTON MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... TILTON BY 400 PM CDT... OAK VALE BY 405 PM CDT... HOLLY SPRINGS AND KOKOMO BY 410 PM CDT... MORGANTOWN...GOSS AND SOCIETY HILL BY 415 PM CDT... GOSS BY 420 PM CDT... BUNKER HILL BY 425 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3120 9003 3124 9003 3125 9004 3133 9007 3135 9009 3149 9001 3143 8967 3110 8981 TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 286DEG 26KT 3138 9012 $$ COHEN  070 WHUS74 KMOB 152052 MWWMOB URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 352 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... .A STRONG COLD FRONT ADVANCING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MOVES THROUGH THE MARINE AREA LATE TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS SWITCHING TO A MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. A STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW FOLLOWS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THEN WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE NEARS THE AREA. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES EASTWARD TO THE CAROLINA COAST ON TUESDAY WITH WINDS GRADUALLY SWITCHING TO THE SOUTHEAST. GMZ670-675-160500- /O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0035.091016T1900Z-091018T1800Z/ WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 352 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM CDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM CDT SUNDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND GENERALLY REMAIN IN A RANGE OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THEN DECREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS BY DURING SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ650-655-160500- /O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0035.091016T2100Z-091018T1400Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- 352 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN A RANGE OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THEN DECREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ630-160500- /O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0035.091017T0000Z-091018T1400Z/ MOBILE BAY- 352 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CDT SUNDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS EARLY FRIDAY EVENING AND REMAIN IN A RANGE OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THEN DECREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  634 WSUS32 KKCI 152055 SIGC MKCC WST 152055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 22C VALID UNTIL 2255Z MS LA FROM 30W JAN-50ENE MCB-20SE BTR-40SSW MLU-30W JAN AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 152255-160255 FROM 40S VUZ-40SSW CEW-PSX-50NW PSX-30NNW IAH-30SSE EIC-40S VUZ WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  635 WSUS31 KKCI 152055 SIGE MKCE WST 152055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 20E VALID UNTIL 2255Z VA NC CSTL WTRS FROM 190SE SIE-110E ECG LINE EMBD TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 25025KT. TOPS TO FL420. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 21E VALID UNTIL 2255Z GA AL FROM 30SSE ATL-10NE MCN-40SE MGM-50S VUZ-30SSE ATL AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 28035KT. TOPS TO FL440. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 22E VALID UNTIL 2255Z FL GA AL FROM 60E CEW-50WSW AMG-40NNW CTY LINE TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27025KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 23E VALID UNTIL 2255Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30NNE OMN-50NNE VRB-30ENE SRQ-50NW ORL-30NNE OMN AREA TS MOV FROM 28020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 152255-160255 AREA 1...FROM 130SSE HTO-170S ACK-190ESE SBY-200ESE ECG-170SE ECG-80ESE ECG-90SE SIE-130SSE HTO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40N MCN-90ESE SAV-60E VRB-SRQ-40SSW CEW-40S VUZ-40N MCN WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  636 WSUS33 KKCI 152055 SIGW MKCW WST 152055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 152255-160255 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  699 WWJP72 RJTD 151800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 151800UTC ISSUED AT 152100UTC LOW 1010HPA AT 42N 131E MOVING EAST SLOWLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 153E TO 28N 147E 26N 139E 26N 127E WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA WEST OF CHEJU ISLAND NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 160300UTC =  700 WWJP75 RJTD 151800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 151800UTC ISSUED AT 152100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 160300UTC =  701 WWJP74 RJTD 151800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 151800UTC ISSUED AT 152100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 160300UTC =  702 WWJP71 RJTD 151800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 151800UTC ISSUED AT 152100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 160300UTC =  703 WWJP73 RJTD 151800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 151800UTC ISSUED AT 152100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 160300UTC =  780 WSCN31 CWEG 152055 SIGMET O3 VALID 152055/160055 CWEG- WTN 35 NM OF LN /5015N12722W/25 S PORT HARDY - /5346N13055W/45 NE SANDSPIT. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 30. SARTINE ISLD REPS 16049G57KT. AREA QS. WNDS WKNG NRN SXNS. END/GFA31/CMAC-W/JB/CPM/  553 WBCN07 CWVR 152000 PAM ROCKS WIND 3012 LANGARA; CLDY 15 SE12 2FT CHP LO-MOD E SWT 9.1 EWOS SE25 2030 CLD EST 4 FEW 10 BKN 11/10 GREEN; OVC 12R- SE17G23 4FT MDT LO S 2030 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 11/06 TRIPLE; OVC 12 SE25EG 5FT MDT MOD SW SHWRS DSNT ALQDS 2030 CLD EST 20 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/08 BONILLA; OVC 1R-F SE30G 6FT MDT MOD S SWT 10.0 2030 CLD EST 10 OVC 10/09 BOAT BLUFF; OVC 15 CLM RPLD 2030 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 10/08 MCINNES; OVC 10RW- E25EG 5FT MDT LO-MOD SW 2030 CLD EST 12 BKN OVC ABV 25 12/09 IVORY; OVC 15RW- E18 3FT MDT LO-MOD SW 2030 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 11/06 DRYAD; OVC 12RW- SE12 2FT CHP 2030 CLD EST 22 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/05 ADDENBROKE; OVC 15 SE05E 1FT CHP LO S VSBY N 10 2030 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 12/09 EGG ISLAND; OVC 15+ SE40G45 8 FT RUF LO W 2040 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 14/08 PINE ISLAND; OVC 15 SE35EG 8 FT RUF LO W 2040 CLD EST 20 FEW OVC ABV 25 12/07 CAPE SCOTT; OVC 15 SE30EG 6 FT MDT MOD SW 2040 CLD EST 18 BKN OVC ABV 25 14/08 QUATSINO; OVC 15 SE25EG 6 FT MDT MOD SW 2040 CLD EST 18 FEW OVC ABV 25 15/10 NOOTKA; OVC 15 NE07 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW 2045 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 15/09 ESTEVAN; OVC 15 E11G19 4FT MDT LO-MOD SW 1016.5F OCNL RW- LENNARD; CLDY 15 E17 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW AMPHITRITE; OVC 15 E14 3FT MDT LO-MOD SW CAPE BEALE; OVC 15 E14 3FT MDT LO-MOD SW PACHENA; OVC 15 SE16G 4FT MDT LO-MOD SW CARMANAH; OVC 15 E25G 4FT MDT LO-MOD SW SCARLETT; OVC 15 SE35G43 7 FT RUF LO NW PULTENEY; CLDY 15 SE20EG 3 FT MDT CHATHAM; OVC 15 CLM RPLD 2040 CLD EST 3 FEW 18 BKN OVC ABV 25 10/10 CHROME; CLDY 15 E22 3FT MOD LO E MERRY; CLDY 15 S10 1FT CHP 2040 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 13/8 ENTRANCE; CLDY 15 SE8 1FT CHP LO E FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; OVC 15 E8 1FT CHP TRIAL IS.; CLDY 15 NE9 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WLP SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 156/12/07/1237+45/M/PK WND 1247 1918Z 3012 03MM= WEB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 180/14/11/1014+25/M/PK WND 1125 1959Z 0000 66MM= WQC SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 209/13/09/2802/M/0001 94MM= WRU SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 129/11/10/1146+51/M/PK WND 1154 1921Z 3008 47MM= WFG SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 116/11/10/1649+57/M/0002 PK WND 1462 1938Z 3016 20MM= WVF SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/14/M/0806/M/M M 9MMM= WQS SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/14/11/1737+47/M/PK WND 1747 1929Z M 55MM= WRO SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/10/09/1436+42/M/0011 PCPN 0.5MM PAST HR PK WND 1347 1933Z M 15MM= WEK SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 104/09/M/0719+26/M/0002 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR PK WND 0533 1906Z 3010 0MMM= WWL SA 2022 AUTO4 M M M 089/10/M/MM20+30/M/0026 PCPN 1.8MM PAST HR 1017 9MMM= WME SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 166/08/04/0422/M/M PK WND 0528 1902Z 2010 03MM= WAS SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 219/12/08/0312/M/6001 99MM= WSB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/14/M/3002/M/M 8MMM= WGT SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 206/12/09/1320/M/M PK WND 1224 1921Z 3005 82MM= WGB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/12/09/1411/M/PK WND 1418 1900Z M 43MM= WEL SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/12/10/1208/M/M 87MM= WDR SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/3508/M/M M 9MMM= WZO SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0109/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1216/M/M PK WND 1219 1952Z M MMMM= XFA SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 208/11/08/1411+17/M/PK WND 1319 1901Z 3008 81MM=  123 WWUS54 KJAN 152059 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 359 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC077-085-152115- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ LINCOLN MS-LAWRENCE MS- 359 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES... AT 359 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OAK VALE TO TILTON TO JAYESS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... JAYESS BY 405 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. && LAT...LON 3135 9011 3136 9030 3143 9027 3146 9013 3154 9000 3150 8995 3141 8997 3140 9004 3134 9004 3133 9006 TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 286DEG 26KT 3143 8996 3139 9008 3138 9025 $$ COHEN  239 WGCA52 TJSJ 152059 CCA FFWSPN PRC013-017-039-054-073-091-141-152230- BOLETIN - SE REQUIERE ACTIVACION DEL EAS AVISO DE INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA 438 PM AST YUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UN * AVISO DE INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS PARA LOS SIGUIENTE MUNICIPIOS... EN PUERTO RICO CIALES FLORIDA JAYUYA UTUADO BARCELONETA MANATI ARECIBO * HASTA LAS 630 PM AST * A LAS 430 PM AST...EL RADAR DOPPLER DEL SNM INDICO VARIAS PULGADAS DE LLUVIA HAN CAIDO EN UN PERIODO MUY BREVE DE TIEMPO. LAS RECIENTES LLUVIAS FUERTES EN ESA AREA...EN ESPECIAL UTUADO...HAN PROVOCADO DESLIZES DE LODO E INUDACIONES MENORES. CATIDADES TOTALES DE HASTA 5 PULGADAS SON POSIBLE HASTA LAS PROXIMAS DOS HORAS. SE ALERTA AL PUBLICO ANTES LA PROBABILIDAD DE QUE OCURRAN RAPIDAS CRECIENTES O GOLPES DE AGUA EN LOS RIOS Y QUEBRADAS. LAS AREAS MAS AFECTADAS CIRCUNDAN UTUADO....CIALES Y FLORIDA EN LA VECINDAD DE LA PARTE BAJA DEL LAGO DOS BOCAS...RIO LIMON Y SECCIONES DE LAS CARRETERAS 140 Y 146. NO SUBESTIME LA FUERZA DEL LAS CORRIENTES DE AGUA...AGUA EN MOVIMIENTO DE SOLO UNAS POCAS PULGADAS PUEDE ARRASTRAR RAPIDAMENTE A SU VEHICULO. ACCIONES DE PRECAUCION Y PREPARATIVOS... UN AVISO DE INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS SIGNIFICA QUE LAS INUNDACIONES SON INMINENTES O ESTAN OCURRIENDO. SI USTED SE ENCUENTRA EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO MUEVASE A SUELOS MAS ALTOS INMEDIATAMENTE. LOS RESIDENTES A LO LARGO DE RIOS...RIACHUELOS Y QUEBRADAS DEBEN TOMAR PRECAUCIONES INMEDIATAS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD. NO INTENTE CRUZAR CORRIENTES DE AGUA O AGUAS DE PROFUNDIDAD DESCONOCIDA A PIE O EN AUTOMOVIL. && LAT...LON 1846 6658 1833 6650 1823 6657 1839 6675 $$ RA/JAE INFORMACION ADICIONAL PUEDE ENCONTRARLA EN HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN  865 ACUS44 KWBC 152100 SCCNS4 STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR NORTHERN APPALACHIANS WINTER STORM NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 500 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON SNOW STORM DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA... WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR NORTH-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR NEARBY AREAS IN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW YORK STATE. WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK STATE. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 400 PM EDT...A 1001 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS IT LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH JUST OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER THE MIDWEST...LOWER GREAT LAKES...NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES...AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LIGHT SNOW WAS REPORTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES. ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT 15 THROUGH 400 PM EDT THU OCT 15... ...NEW JERSEY... HIGH POINT STATE 0.5 ...PENNSYLVANIA... TOBYHANNA 1.4 STATE COLLEGE 0.3 THE AREA OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS THE COASTAL LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTH. COLDER AIR WILL GET PULLED INTO THE NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION WITH THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR PENNSYLVANIA SEEING ACCUMULATING SNOWS. THE HIGHEST PEAKS COULD SEE IN EXCESS OF SIX INCHES OF SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. ALONG WITH THE HEAVY SNOW...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. KONG $$  384 WOXX50 KWNP 152100 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 3888 Issue Time: 2009 Oct 15 2058 UTC WARNING: GOES Satellite Data Unavailable Comment: The Solar Radiation Alert system is currently inactive. GOES satellite data used in estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes are unavailable. The system will resume normal operation as soon as GOES data become available. More information at http://www.faa.gov/education_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by US DOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  587 WOUS64 KWNS 152103 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 403 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769 IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-152100- /O.EXP.KWNS.SV.A.0769.000000T0000Z-091015T2100Z/ NO COUNTIES OR PARISHES REMAIN IN THE WATCH. $$ ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...  590 WWUS20 KWNS 152103 SEL9 SPC WW 152103 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-151800- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 403 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 769 ISSUED AT 710 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS LOUISIANA MISSISSIPPI  591 WWUS30 KWNS 152103 SAW9 SPC AWW 152103 WW 769 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANCELLED  240 WSTU31 LTBA 152100 LTBB SIGMET 6 VALID 152100/152400 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS FCST LTBJ LTBS LTFE LTBL MOV NE NC=  628 WWUS54 KJAN 152104 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 404 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC085-152114- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ LINCOLN MS- 404 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IS CANCELLED... LAT...LON 3135 9011 3136 9024 3142 9023 3143 9011 3151 9002 3150 8995 3141 8997 3140 9004 3134 9004 3133 9006 TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 286DEG 26KT 3142 8992 3138 9004 3137 9021 $$ MSC077-152115- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0561.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ LAWRENCE MS- 404 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY... AT 404 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES EAST OF TILTON TO TILTON TO JAYESS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. && LAT...LON 3135 9011 3136 9024 3142 9023 3143 9011 3151 9002 3150 8995 3141 8997 3140 9004 3134 9004 3133 9006 TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 286DEG 26KT 3142 8992 3138 9004 3137 9021 $$ COHEN  768 WHUS74 KCRP 152104 MWWCRP URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 404 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 GMZ230-235-160515- /O.NEW.KCRP.SC.Y.0097.091016T0600Z-091016T2100Z/ BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS- BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR- 404 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM CDT FRIDAY. A RELATIVELY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 KNOTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE SLOWLY THROUGH FRIDAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO DROP JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ250-255-160515- /O.NEW.KCRP.SC.Y.0097.091016T0600Z-091017T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- 404 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY. A RELATIVELY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE STRONG OFFSHORE WIND WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED TO THE NORTH AND WINDS WILL REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ270-275-160515- /O.NEW.KCRP.SC.Y.0097.091016T0900Z-091017T1100Z/ WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 404 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY. A RELATIVELY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL REACH THE OFFSHORE WATERS BEFORE SUNRISE. WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE STRONG OFFSHORE WIND WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED TO THE NORTH AND WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MJG  231 WOXX50 KWNP 152106 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 3889 Issue Time: 2009 Oct 15 2103 UTC ATTENTION: Satellite Data Now Available Comment: GOES satellite data are now available for estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes. More information at http://www.faa.gov/education_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by USDOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  319 WSIL31 BICC 152104 BIRD SIGMET 03 VALID 152100/160100 BIRK- BIRD REYKJAVIK CTA MOD OCNL SEV TURB FCST WI 100NM OF LINE N70 W034 - N6830 W020 F250/F400 STNR NC=  615 WSIL31 BICC 152104 BIRD SIGMET 03 VALID 152100/160100 BIRK- BIRD REYKJAVIK CTA MOD OCNL SEV TURB FCST WI 100NM OF LINE N70 W034 - N6830 W020 F250/F400 STNR NC=  777 WSSG31 GOOY 152110 GOOO SIGMET 15 VALID 152115/160115 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 2045Z N DIBW AND NE DIDK MOV W 10KT WKN=  926 WWUS54 KJAN 152110 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 410 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC065-077-091-152145- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0562.000000T0000Z-091015T2145Z/ MARION MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS- 410 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND MARION COUNTIES... AT 410 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOLLY SPRINGS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MORGANTOWN...GOSS AND SOCIETY HILL BY 415 PM CDT... GOSS BY 420 PM CDT... BUNKER HILL BY 425 PM CDT... COLUMBIA AND PICKWICK BY 430 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 70 MPH CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS... AND CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES. NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES MAY OCCUR...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. && LAT...LON 3120 9003 3124 9003 3125 9004 3133 9007 3135 9009 3149 9001 3143 8967 3110 8981 TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 286DEG 26KT 3134 8996 $$ COHEN  998 WSSG31 GOOY 152110 GOOO SIGMET 15 VALID 152115/160115 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 2045Z N DIBW AND NE DIDK MOV W 10KT WKN=  507 ACUS44 KWBC 152113 SCCNS4 STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR NORTHERN APPALACHIANS WINTER STORM NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 500 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON SNOW STORM DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA... WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR NORTH-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR NEARBY AREAS IN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW YORK STATE. WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK STATE. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 500 PM EDT... A 1001 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS IT LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH JUST OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER THE MIDWEST...LOWER GREAT LAKES...NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES...AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LIGHT SNOW WAS REPORTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WITH MEASURABLE ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES. SNOW WAS ALSO REPORTED IN THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT 15 THROUGH 400 PM EDT THU OCT 15... ...NEW JERSEY... HIGH POINT STATE 0.5 ...PENNSYLVANIA... TOBYHANNA 1.4 STATE COLLEGE 0.3 THE AREA OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS THE COASTAL LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTH. COLDER AIR WILL GET PULLED INTO THE NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION WITH THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR PENNSYLVANIA SEEING ACCUMULATING SNOWS. THE HIGHEST PEAKS COULD SEE IN EXCESS OF SIX INCHES OF SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. ALONG WITH THE HEAVY SNOW...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. KONG $$  326 WWUS84 KBMX 152114 SPSBMX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 414 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALZ037-043-045-152200- ELMORE-MACON-TALLAPOOSA- 414 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EASTERN ELMORE...MACON AND SOUTHERN TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT... AT 412 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF VICTORYLAND...OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MILSTEAD...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. WINDS UP TO 30 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. * LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE... WARE. MILSTEAD. REEVES AIRPORT. FRANKLIN. LIVERPOOL. TUSKEGEE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$ KSL  436 WHUS76 KSEW 152114 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 214 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ130-160515- /O.UPG.KSEW.SC.Y.0365.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/ /O.EXA.KSEW.GL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/ WEST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 214 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-160515- /O.CON.KSEW.GL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 214 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ131>134-160515- /O.NEW.KSEW.SC.Y.0366.091015T2114Z-091017T0100Z/ CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- NORTHERN INLAND WATERS INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN ISLANDS- ADMIRALTY INLET- 214 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS OR A COMBINATION OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ110-160515- /O.EXT.KSEW.RB.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-091017T0100Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 214 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$  751 WWUS84 KBMX 152114 RRA SPSBMX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 414 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALZ047-048-152200- LEE-RUSSELL- 414 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LEE AND RUSSELL COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT... AT 413 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BEAUREGARD...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AUBURN... MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. * LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE... BEAUREGARD. BEANS MILL. GRIFFEN MILL. BLEECKER. MONTEREY HEIGHTS. BIBB CITY. PARKMANVILLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$  755 WWUS54 KLIX 152116 SVSLIX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 416 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC147-152125- /O.EXP.KLIX.SV.W.0176.000000T0000Z-091015T2115Z/ WALTHALL MS- 416 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WALTHALL COUNTY HAS EXPIRED... THE MAIN CORE OF THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF WALTHALL COUNTY. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT LIGHTING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL THE REMAINDER OF THE STORM MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. LAT...LON 3134 9007 3135 9004 3134 9003 3120 9002 3118 9000 3118 9002 3132 9026 3136 9026 3136 9011 TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 300DEG 24KT 3136 9011 $$ 95/DM  880 WWUS54 KJAN 152119 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 419 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC065-077-091-152145- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0562.000000T0000Z-091015T2145Z/ MARION MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS- 419 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND MARION COUNTIES... AT 419 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOLLY SPRINGS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... SOCIETY HILL BY 425 PM CDT... MORGANTOWN AND GOSS BY 430 PM CDT... COLUMBIA AND BUNKER HILL BY 440 PM CDT... PICKWICK BY 445 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 70 MPH CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS... AND CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES. NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES MAY OCCUR...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. && LAT...LON 3143 9000 3142 8968 3110 8981 3120 9003 3124 9003 3125 9004 3133 9007 3135 9009 TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 286DEG 26KT 3129 9000 $$ COHEN  785 WHUS74 KLIX 152120 MWWLIX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 420 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINDY WEEKEND IN STORE... GMZ550-555-570-575-160530- /O.NEW.KLIX.SC.Y.0046.091016T1200Z-091018T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 420 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP. TOMORROW COLD AIR OVER THE WARM WATERS WILL EASILY TRANSPORT STRONGER WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE DOWN. WINDS WILL MOVE INTO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE AND MAINLY REMAIN AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS. AS WE MOVE INTO SATURDAY ANOTHER MUCH STRONGER SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE DOWN INTO THE AREA. THIS COULD BRING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS OUT OF THE NORTH NORTHWEST. WINDS COULD EVEN APPROACH GALE FORCE AND SOME LOCATIONS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS MAY NEED TO HAVE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UPGRADED TO A GALE WARNING FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ530-160530- /O.NEW.KLIX.SC.Y.0046.091017T0000Z-091018T1200Z/ LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS- 420 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP. TOMORROW NIGHT COLD AIR OVER THE WARM WATERS WILL EASILY TRANSPORT STRONGER WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE DOWN. WINDS WILL MOVE INTO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA SHORTLY TOMORROW EVENING AND COULD ACTUALLY BEGIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL THEN REMAIN AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ CAB  755 WTPQ31 PGUM 152122 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (22W) ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP222009 800 AM CHST FRI OCT 16 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM LUPIT STEADILY INTENSIFYING NORTH OF YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 700 AM CHST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 230 MILES NORTH OF YAP 450 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR 465 MILES WEST OF GUAM AND 550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING RAPIDLY WEST AT 21 MPH. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TYPHOON DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 700 AM CHST POSITION...LATITUDE 12.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 21 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM CHST THIS AFTERNOON. $$ WILLIAMS/ZIOBRO  308 WWCN11 CWHX 152122 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 6:22 PM ADT THURSDAY 15 OCTOBER 2009. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA... SNOWFALL WARNING FOR: =NEW= INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH =NEW= VICTORIA COUNTY. AN ADDITIONAL 10 CM OF SNOW IS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. THIS IS A WARNING THAT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING IN THESE REGIONS. MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS.. LISTEN FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OFF THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF CAPE BRETON TONIGHT. 10 TO 15 CM OF SNOW HAS BEEN REPORTED NEAR NORTH MOUNTAIN OVER THE HIGHLANDS AND A FURTHER 10 CM IS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/..  827 WWUS82 KTAE 152123 SPSTAE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 523 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 GAZ155-156-152215- DECATUR-SEMINOLE- 523 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR DECATUR AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES... * UNTIL 615 PM EDT AT 523 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DONALSONVILLE TO WEST BAINBRIDGE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DONALSONVILLE TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF BAINBRIDGE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR... DONALSONVILLE BY 540 PM EDT. BAINBRIDGE BY 545 PM EDT. WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ 25-CAMP  124 WSGL31 BGSF 152124 BGGL SIGMET 3 VALID 152130/152330 BGSF- BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR SEV TURB FCST OVER S-GREENLAND S OF LINE N6100 W04700 - N6120 W04520 - N6010 W04400 BLW FL080 STNR WKN=  162 WSGL31 BGSF 152124 BGGL SIGMET 3 VALID 152130/152330 BGSF- BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR SEV TURB FCST OVER S-GREENLAND S OF LINE N6100 W04700 - N6120 W04520 - N6010 W04400 BLW FL080 STNR WKN=  292 WWUS54 KJAN 152126 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 426 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC065-152136- /O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0562.000000T0000Z-091015T2145Z/ JEFFERSON DAVIS MS- 426 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IS CANCELLED... LAT...LON 3120 9003 3124 9003 3127 9005 3133 9004 3133 9007 3136 9007 3143 9000 3142 8996 3139 8996 3139 8982 3140 8982 3139 8969 3110 8981 TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 286DEG 26KT 3128 8995 $$ MSC077-091-152145- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0562.000000T0000Z-091015T2145Z/ MARION MS-LAWRENCE MS- 426 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND MARION COUNTIES... AT 426 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MORGANTOWN MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... COLUMBIA...PICKWICK AND BUNKER HILL BY 440 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 70 MPH CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS... AND CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES. NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES MAY OCCUR...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. && LAT...LON 3120 9003 3124 9003 3127 9005 3133 9004 3133 9007 3136 9007 3143 9000 3142 8996 3139 8996 3139 8982 3140 8982 3139 8969 3110 8981 TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 286DEG 26KT 3128 8995 $$ COHEN  803 WSSG31 GOOY 152110 CCA GOOO SIGMET 15 VALID 152115/160115 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 2045Z N DIBU AND NE DIDK MOV W 10KT WKN=  804 WSSG31 GOOY 152110 CCA GOOO SIGMET 15 VALID 152115/160115 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS TOP FL450 OBS AT 2045Z N DIBU AND NE DIDK MOV W 10KT WKN=  770 WHUS76 KLOX 152129 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 229 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ673-676-160530- /O.CAN.KLOX.SW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KLOX.SC.Y.0287.091015T2200Z-091016T1000Z/ WATERS FROM PT. ARGUELLO TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS ISLAND- 229 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A WEST SWELL OF 11 TO 13 FEET WITH AN 11 SECOND PERIOD WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY...THEN LOWER TO BELOW 10 FEET LATE TONIGHT. WINDS HAVE ALSO REACHED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ670-160530- /O.CON.KLOX.SW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091016T1000Z/ WATERS FROM PT. PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO PT. ARGUELLO AND WESTWARD 60 NM- 229 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. A WEST SWELL OF 11 TO 13 FEET WITH AN 11 SECOND PERIOD WILL LOWER TO BELOW 10 FEET LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  777 WWUS86 KPQR 152129 SPSPQR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 229 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ORZ001>011-014-WAZ019>023-039-040-160530- NORTH OREGON COAST-CENTRAL OREGON COAST- COAST RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON- CENTRAL COAST RANGE OF WESTERN OREGON-LOWER COLUMBIA- GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY- SOUTH WILLAMETTE VALLEY-WESTERN COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE- NORTHERN OREGON CASCADE FOOTHILLS-NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES- UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY-SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES-WILLAPA HILLS- SOUTH WASHINGTON COAST-I-5 CORRIDOR IN COWLITZ COUNTY- GREATER VANCOUVER AREA-SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADE FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASTORIA...CANNON BEACH...TILLAMOOK... LINCOLN CITY...NEWPORT...FLORENCE...VERNONIA...JEWELL...TRASK... GRANDE RONDE...TIDEWATER...SWISSHOME...ST. HELENS...CLATSKANIE... HILLSBORO...PORTLAND...OREGON CITY...GRESHAM...SALEM... MCMINNVILLE...DALLAS...EUGENE...CORVALLIS...ALBANY...HOOD RIVER... CASCADE LOCKS...MULTNOMAH FALLS...SANDY... SILVER FALLS STATE PARK...SWEET HOME...GOVERNMENT CAMP... DETROIT...SANTIAM PASS...PARKDALE...ODELL... COLDWATER RIDGE VISITORS CENTER...MOUNT ST. HELENS...FRANCES... RYDERWOOD...RAYMOND...LONG BEACH...CATHLAMET...LONGVIEW...KELSO... CASTLE ROCK...STEVENSON...SKAMANIA...VANCOUVER...BATTLE GROUND... WASHOUGAL...TOUTLE...ARIEL...COUGAR 229 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY... AN UNUSUALLY WET EARLY SEASON SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DUMP SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE AREA EARLY THIS WEEKEND. THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL FALL FROM LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM TAPS INTO A TROPICAL AIR MASS. MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON BRINGING THE FRONT ONSHORE AND THEN STALLING IT... ALTHOUGH DETAILS ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL ARE STILL EVOLVING. AS THE FRONT STALLS THE SYSTEM WILL USHER IN A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS AND CONSEQUENTLY WRING IT OUT OVER NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 5 INCHES IN THE COAST RANGE...1 TO 2 INCHES NORTHERN PORTIONS OF WILLAMETTE VALLEY...2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE SOUTH WASHINGTON AND NORTH OREGON CASCADES...AND AROUND AN INCH ELSEWHERE. SINCE THIS SYSTEM IS COMING EARLY IN THE YEAR WHEN RIVERS ARE NEAR THEIR SUMMER LOWS...RIVER FLOODING SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF A CONCERN. HOWEVER...LOCAL AREAS MAY SEE HIGHER THAN EXPECTED ACCUMULATIONS AND THEREFORE LOCAL FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS REMAINS A POSSIBILITY. REMEMBER TO MAINTAIN A HIGHER AWARENESS LEVEL AND KEEP INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING SCENARIO. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION...FORECASTS...AND WARNINGS. $$  625 WWUS84 KJAN 152131 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 431 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ054-055-063-064-152210- LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-SIMPSON MS-COPIAH MS- 431 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER ROCKPORT AT 431 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. PEOPLE IN EAST CENTRAL COPIAH...SOUTH CENTRAL SIMPSON...NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS AND NORTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ COHEN  891 WSAU21 ASRF 152138 YBBB SIGMET SY11 VALID 152200/152400 YSRF- YBBB BRISBANE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3730 E15100 BLW A100 STNR WKN STS:REV SIGMET SY09 151800/152200  021 WSAU21 ASRF 152138 YMMM SIGMET SY12 VALID 152200/152400 YSRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI YCRG - YORG - YGDH - S3130 E15400 - S3730 E15100 BLW A100 STNR WKN STS:REV SIGMET SY10 151800/152200  022 WSTU31 LTBA 152120 LTBB SIGMET 7 VALID 152130/160030 LTBA- ISTANBUL FIR SQL TS OBS AT 2120Z LTBJ LTFE MOV NE NC=  938 WUUS54 KJAN 152140 SVRJAN MSC073-091-152245- /O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0563.091015T2140Z-091015T2245Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 440 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...KOKOMO...SANDY HOOK...COLUMBIA... WESTERN LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 440 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF IMPROVE TO 12 MILES WEST OF KOKOMO MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... COLUMBIA BY 445 PM CDT... KOKOMO BY 455 PM CDT... PICKWICK BY 525 PM CDT... PINEBUR BY 530 PM CDT... BAXTERVILLE AND SANDY HOOK BY 545 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. && LAT...LON 3107 8985 3107 8991 3113 8995 3114 9001 3117 9001 3119 9003 3125 9004 3132 9004 3137 8956 3121 8947 3101 8948 3102 8954 3100 8957 3100 8983 TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 336DEG 11KT 3130 8961 3121 9021 $$ COHEN  387 WTPQ20 RJTD 152100 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0920 LUPIT (0920) ANALYSIS PSTN 152100UTC 12.6N 138.4E FAIR MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 162100UTC 13.5N 134.2E 70NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT GUST 065KT 45HF 171800UTC 14.7N 132.5E 110NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT GUST 080KT 69HF 181800UTC 15.0N 131.8E 160NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT GUST 100KT =  071 WSNZ21 NZKL 152141 NZZC SIGMET 20 VALID 152141/152241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 19 151841/152241  072 WSNZ21 NZKL 152141 NZZC SIGMET 21 VALID 152141/160141 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABOUT/E RANGES NZHN/EASTCAPE TO NZPP NC  265 WSNZ21 NZKL 152141 NZZC SIGMET 20 VALID 152141/152241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 19 151841/152241  267 WSNZ21 NZKL 152141 NZZC SIGMET 21 VALID 152141/160141 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABOUT/E RANGES NZHN/EASTCAPE TO NZPP NC  106 WAHW31 PHFO 152145 WA0HI HNLS WA 152200 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 160400 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 152200 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 160400 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 152200 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 3 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 160400 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. FZLVL...159-158.  949 WHUS76 KPQR 152145 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 245 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ270-275-160545- /O.CON.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-091016T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0300Z-091016T1800Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...RISING TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. MAINLY WIND DRIVEN SEAS WILL BUILD BACK ABOVE 10 FEET TONIGHT AS GALE FORCE WIND DEVELOPS. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 12 TO 14 FEET FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ250-160545- /O.CON.KPQR.GL.W.0021.091016T0300Z-091016T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO 15 TO 25 KT...WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT DEVELOPING LATE IN THE EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD ABOVE 10 FEET AS GALE FORCE GUSTS DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...PEAKING AROUND 12 TO 14 FEET BY MIDDAY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ210-160545- /O.EXT.KPQR.RB.Y.0358.000000T0000Z-091016T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KPQR.RB.Y.0359.091016T0800Z-091016T1400Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING. ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH COLUMBIA RIVER BAR IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM FRIDAY MORNING. IN THE MAIN CHANNEL...COMBINED SEAS 8 TO 10 FT TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SEAS TEMPORARILY BUILDING TO 10 TO 12 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON...AND TO 11 TO 13 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY DURING THE EBB CURRENT AROUND 345 AM FRI MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ255-160545- /O.EXT.KPQR.SI.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-091017T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KPQR.SW.Y.0065.091016T0700Z-091017T0600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER ABOUT 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON... OUT OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION UP TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 10 TO 12 FT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  438 WSIN90 VIDP 152200 VIDF SIGMET 08 VALID 152200/160200 VIDF DELHI FIR ISOL TS EMBDED CB FCST WEST OF 78 DEG EAST=  324 WWUS54 KJAN 152152 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 452 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC073-091-152245- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0563.000000T0000Z-091015T2245Z/ LAMAR MS-MARION MS- 452 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR MARION AND WESTERN LAMAR COUNTIES... AT 453 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF PINEBUR TO 11 MILES WEST OF KOKOMO MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... PICKWICK BY 525 PM CDT... PINEBUR BY 530 PM CDT... BAXTERVILLE AND SANDY HOOK BY 545 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. && LAT...LON 3107 8985 3107 8991 3113 8995 3114 9001 3117 9001 3119 9003 3125 9004 3128 9004 3136 8956 3121 8947 3101 8948 3102 8954 3100 8957 3100 8983 TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 336DEG 11KT 3126 8959 3117 9019 $$ COHEN  746 WVIY31 LIIB 152038 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 152110/160110 LIRR- ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT=  946 WWUS84 KBMX 152154 SPSBMX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 454 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ALZ045-047-048-152300- LEE-MACON-RUSSELL- 454 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LEE...MACON AND RUSSELL COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT... AT 452 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OPELIKA TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUERRYTON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OPELIKA TO 9 MILES WEST OF HURTSBORO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. WINDS UP TO 30 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. * LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE... WARRIORSTAND. BEAUREGARD. MARVYN. HURTSBORO. UCHEE. BLEECKER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$ KSL  570 WSUS32 KKCI 152155 SIGC MKCC WST 152155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 23C VALID UNTIL 2355Z MS LA FROM 30W JAN-30SE JAN-50WNW SJI-10ESE AEX-40NNE AEX-30W JAN AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 152355-160355 FROM 40S VUZ-40SSW CEW-PSX-50NW PSX-30NNW IAH-30SSE EIC-40S VUZ WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  571 WSUS31 KKCI 152155 SIGE MKCE WST 152155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 24E VALID UNTIL 2355Z GA AL FROM 40N MCN-40ENE MCN-50W PZD-10NNW MGM-40N MCN AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 28035KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 25E VALID UNTIL 2355Z FL GA AL FROM 50NE CEW-30N TLH-20SW AMG LINE TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 27025KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 26E VALID UNTIL 2355Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40ESE CRG-30NNE VRB-40S ORL-40NNE PIE LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 28020KT. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 152355-160355 AREA 1...FROM 130SSE HTO-170S ACK-190ESE SBY-200ESE ECG-170SE ECG-110ESE ECG-110E ORF-130SSE HTO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40N MCN-90ESE SAV-60E VRB-SRQ-40SSW CEW-40S VUZ-40N MCN WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  572 WSUS33 KKCI 152155 SIGW MKCW WST 152155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 152355-160355 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  404 WUUS54 KLIX 152155 SVRLIX MSC147-152245- /O.NEW.KLIX.SV.W.0177.091015T2155Z-091015T2245Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 455 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 453 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SALEM...OR 15 MILES WEST OF COLUMBIA...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO DEXTER PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. && LAT...LON 3127 9003 3122 9002 3119 9002 3119 9001 3114 8999 3114 8994 3109 8991 3108 8983 3101 8983 3101 8997 3114 9021 3130 9011 TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 299DEG 21KT 3118 9007 $$ 95/DM  073 WSCI37 ZLXY 152150 ZLHW SIGMET 4 VALID 152230/160230 ZLXY- XIAN CTA MOD TO SEV TURB FCST ABV SFC S OF N40 MOV E SLOWLY NC=  091 WHUS76 KMFR 152156 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 256 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 PZZ350-356-370-376-161100- /O.CAN.KMFR.SE.W.0041.000000T0000Z-091017T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0091.091015T2156Z-091017T2200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SI.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-091017T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 256 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT SATURDAY. THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT FRIDAY. SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST BEYOND 5 NM FROM SHORE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT WEAKENS OVER THE WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. SEAS OF 9 TO 12 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 TO 10 SECONDS TONIGHT WILL DIMINISH TO 8 TO 11 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 TO 10 SECONDS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 6 TO 8 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT. && $$ DW  162 WWUS41 KALY 152157 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 557 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 CTZ001-NYZ066-160600- /O.EXA.KALY.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN DUTCHESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS... MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON 557 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY FOR NORTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN CONNECTICUT AND EASTERN DUTCHESS COUNTY IN NEW YORK. A BAND OF SNOW...MODERATE TO HEAVY IN INTENSITY...WILL CONTINUE DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THIS EVENING. THIS BAND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY ABOVE 800 FEET. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATE FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY ABOVE 800 FEET. DUE TO THE WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW...ALONG WITH SOME FOLIAGE STILL REMAINING ON TREES...THE WEIGHT OF THIS SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO DOWN TREE LIMBS...AND COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. THE SNOW WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT TO A POSITION EAST OF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST BY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NYZ058-063-160600- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/ WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON... NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 557 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL PERSIST AT LIGHT TO MODERATE INTENSITY OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF IN INTENSITY BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPER OFF LATE FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY ABOVE 1800 FEET. DUE TO THE WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW...ALONG WITH SOME FOLIAGE STILL REMAINING ON TREES... THE WEIGHT OF THIS SNOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO DOWN TREE LIMBS...AND COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. THE SNOW WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT TO A POSITION EAST OF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST BY FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.  329 WVIY31 LIIB 152038 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 152110/160110 LIRR- ROMA FIR FBL VA (LAST OBS 130925Z BY LICZ) EXT 20 NM S OF ETNA FL040/110 MOV AT FL050 WNW 15-20KT / AT FL100 NNE 20-25 KT= SASN32 ESWI 152150 METAR ESKN 152150Z 32003KT 240V360 CAVOK M04/M04 Q1019= METAR ESOE 152150Z AUTO 24003KT 9999NDV OVC100/// 02/M01 Q1019= METAR ESOK 152150Z 00000KT CAVOK 01/M01 Q1019= METAR ESOW 152150Z AUTO 00000KT 9999NDV OVC092/// 02/M00 Q1019= METAR ESSA 152150Z 25003KT CAVOK M01/M02 Q1019 NOSIG R88/CLRD//= METAR ESSB 152150Z AUTO 00000KT 9999NDV NCD M02/M02 Q1019= METAR ESSD 152150Z AUTO 32003KT 9999NDV OVC021/// 03/M04 Q1019= METAR ESSP 152150Z 00000KT CAVOK M02/M04 Q1019= METAR ESSV 152150Z 34004KT 0550 R03/P1500N R21/P1500N DZ BKN001 OVC027 05/05 Q1017=  609 WSNZ21 NZKL 152141 NZZC SIGMET 21 VALID 152141/160141 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST BLW FL100 ABOUT/E RANGES NZHN/EASTCAPE TO NZPP NC=  733 WSNZ21 NZKL 152141 NZZC SIGMET 20 VALID 152141/152241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 19 151841/152241=  644 WGCA82 TJSJ 152208 FLSSJU FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 608 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 PRC141-152218- /O.CAN.TJSJ.FA.Y.0339.000000T0000Z-091015T2230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ UTUADO PR- 608 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE MUNICIPALITY OF... IN PUERTO RICO UTUADO && LAT...LON 1823 6682 1833 6682 1833 6659 1820 6663 $$ RA ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN  155 WWUS54 KJAN 152210 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 510 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC073-091-152245- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0563.000000T0000Z-091015T2245Z/ LAMAR MS-MARION MS- 510 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN MARION AND SOUTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTIES... AT 511 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF BAXTERVILLE TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KOKOMO MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BAXTERVILLE BY 535 PM CDT... SANDY HOOK BY 545 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. && LAT...LON 3107 8985 3107 8991 3113 8995 3114 9001 3117 9001 3119 9003 3125 9004 3124 8995 3124 8983 3126 8961 3121 8947 3101 8948 3102 8954 3100 8957 3100 8983 TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 336DEG 11KT 3115 8951 3114 9009 $$ COHEN  345 WGCA82 TJSJ 152212 FLSSPN ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 608 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PRC141-152218- UTUADO PR- 608 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA CANCELADO LA ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES URBANAS Y DE RIACHUELOS PARA LOS SIGUIENTES MUNICIPIOS... EN PUERTO RICO UTUADO && LAT...LON 1823 6682 1833 6682 1833 6659 1820 6663 $$ RA/JAE  569 WVCA31 TTPP 152200 TTZP SIGMET 4 VALID 152200/160400 TTPP- SOUFRIERE HILL MONTSERRAT N1642 W06210 PIARCO FIR OBS VA CLD:SFC/FL110 N1748 W06305-N1647 W06208 N1639 W06208-N1617 W06253-N1644 W06404- N1736 W06340-N1748 W06305 MOV NW 10KT...NO CHNG=  588 WSIN90 VECC 152200 VECF SIGMET NO 08 VALID 152200/160200 UTC VECF-KOLKATA FIR NIL=  843 WHUS71 KGYX 152218 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 618 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ154-161330- /O.UPG.KGYX.SC.Y.0080.091016T0600Z-091017T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGYX.GL.W.0077.091016T0600Z-091016T1500Z/ CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 618 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ150>153-161330- /O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0080.091016T0600Z-091017T1200Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY- 618 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  493 WGCA72 TJSJ 152221 FFSSJU FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 621 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 PRC013-017-039-054-073-091-141-152230- /O.EXP.TJSJ.FF.W.0054.000000T0000Z-091015T2230Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-UTUADO PR-BARCELONETA PR-MANATI PR- ARECIBO PR- 621 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM AST FOR ARECIBO... MANATI...BARCELONETA...UTUADO...JAYUYA...FLORIDA AND CIALES MUNICIPALITIES... EVEN THOUGH RAINFALL HAS ENDED...POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM DRAINING FLOOD WATERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE VIGILANT OF FLOODED ROADWAYS AND SWOLLEN RIVERS AND STREAMS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LAT...LON 1846 6658 1833 6650 1823 6657 1839 6675 $$ RA ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN  697 WGCA82 TJSJ 152221 FLSSJU FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 621 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 PRC013-017-027-039-054-065-073-091-101-107-152232- /O.EXP.TJSJ.FA.Y.0340.000000T0000Z-091015T2230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-OROCOVIS PR-MOROVIS PR-BARCELONETA PR- CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-MANATI PR-ARECIBO PR- 621 PM AST THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM AST FOR ARECIBO... MANATI...HATILLO...CAMUY...BARCELONETA...MOROVIS...OROCOVIS... JAYUYA...FLORIDA AND CIALES MUNICIPALITIES... && LAT...LON 1820 6662 1833 6658 1833 6682 1850 6688 1849 6644 1817 6637 $$ RA ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN  417 WHUS71 KLWX 152222 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 622 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ535-536-152330- /O.CAN.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD- 622 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ ANZ530>534-537>543-160630- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0134.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 622 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  125 WWUS54 KJAN 152225 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 525 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC073-091-152245- /O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0563.000000T0000Z-091015T2245Z/ LAMAR MS-MARION MS- 525 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN MARION AND SOUTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTIES... AT 525 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES EAST OF BAXTERVILLE TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KOKOMO MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BAXTERVILLE BY 535 PM CDT... SANDY HOOK BY 545 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR. && LAT...LON 3107 8985 3107 8991 3113 8995 3114 9001 3117 9001 3119 9003 3120 9003 3121 8947 3101 8948 3102 8954 3100 8957 3100 8983 TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 336DEG 11KT 3111 8949 3110 9007 $$ COHEN  983 WWUS54 KLIX 152226 SVSLIX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 526 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC147-152235- /O.CAN.KLIX.SV.W.0177.000000T0000Z-091015T2245Z/ WALTHALL MS- 526 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WALTHALL COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED. THIS STORM IS STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AS WELL AS FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. LAT...LON 3127 9003 3122 9002 3119 9002 3119 9001 3114 8999 3114 8994 3109 8991 3108 8983 3101 8983 3101 8997 3114 9021 3130 9011 TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 299DEG 21KT 3109 8989 $$ 95/DM  607 WGCA72 TJSJ 152228 FFSSPN COMUNICADO SOBRE INUNDACIONES SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 621 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PRC013-017-039-054-073-091-141-152230- CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-UTUADO PR-BARCELONETA PR-MANATI PR-ARECIBO PR- 621 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 ...EL AVISO DE INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS HABRA DE EXPIRAR A LAS 630 PARA LOS MUNICIPIOS DE ARECIBO...MANATI...BARCELONETA...UTUADO... JAYUYA...FLORIDA Y CIALES AUNQUE LAS LLUVIAS HAN CESADO...AUN SIGUE EL POTENCIAL DE QUE AUN OCCURAN INPACTOS POR LAS ESCORRENTIAS. LOS RESIDENTES DEBEN CONTINUAR VIGILANTES ANTES LAS CARRETERAS INUNDADAS Y LOS RIOS Y QUEBRADAS QUE AUN SEGUIRAN CON ALTOS CAUDALES DE AGUAS POR LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. LAT...LON 1846 6658 1833 6650 1823 6657 1839 6675 $$ RA/JAE  827 WGCA82 TJSJ 152230 FLSSPN ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 621 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 RC013-017-027-039-054-065-073-091-101-107-152232- CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-JAYUYA PR-OROCOVIS PR-MOROVIS PR-BARCELONETA PR- CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-MANATI PR-ARECIBO PR- 621 PM AST JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 LA ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES URBANAS Y DE RIACHUELOS HABRA DE EXPIRAR A LAS 630 PARA LOS SIGUIENTES MUNICIPIOS... EN PUERTO RICO ARECIBO... MANATI...HATILLO...CAMUY...BARCELONETA...MOROVIS...OROCOVIS... JAYUYA...FLORIDA Y CIALES && LAT...LON 1820 6662 1833 6658 1833 6682 1850 6688 1849 6644 1817 6637 $$ RA/JAE  571 WWUS82 KFFC 152231 SPSFFC SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 631 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 GAZ091-092-103-104-152300- 631 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IN SUMTER... WEBSTER...SCHLEY AND MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT... AT 626 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CHURCH HILL...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS SUMTER...WEBSTER...SCHLEY AND MARION COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE SEMINOLE...DUMAS... PRESTON...CHURCH HILL...DRANEVILLE...PLAINS...FRIENDSHIP...CONCORD... SHILOH...AMERICUS...BUMPHEAD AND LA CROSSE. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. $$  392 WWUS84 KLIX 152232 SPSLIX MSZ077-152330- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 532 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING SOUTHEAST AFFECTING PEARL RIVER COUNTY... AT 530 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBIA...OR ABOUT 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF POPLARVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...POPLARVILLE THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED. $$ 95/DM  220 WUUS52 KFFC 152234 SVRFFC GAC197-249-261-307-152300- /O.NEW.KFFC.SV.W.0449.091015T2234Z-091015T2300Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 634 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTHERN SCHLEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA NORTHWESTERN SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA CENTRAL WEBSTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA * UNTIL 700 PM EDT * AT 634 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF PRESTON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PLAINS AND AMERICUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. && LAT...LON 3222 8418 3203 8419 3204 8458 3225 8456 TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 275DEG 29KT 3215 8446 $$  945 ACUS44 KWBC 152236 SCCNS4 STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR NORTHERN APPALACHIANS WINTER STORM NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 500 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...EARLY SEASON SNOW STORM DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA... WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR NORTH-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR NEARBY AREAS IN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW YORK STATE. WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK STATE. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 500 PM EDT... A 1000 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS IT LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH JUST OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER THE MIDWEST...LOWER GREAT LAKES...NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES...AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. LIGHT SNOW WAS REPORTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WITH MEASURABLE ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE HIGHER RIDGES. SNOW WAS ALSO REPORTED IN THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT 15 THROUGH 400 PM EDT THU OCT 15... ...NEW JERSEY... HIGH POINT STATE 0.5 ...PENNSYLVANIA... TOBYHANNA 1.4 STATE COLLEGE 0.3 THE AREA OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS THE COASTAL LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES NORTH. COLDER AIR WILL GET PULLED INTO THE NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION WITH THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR PENNSYLVANIA SEEING ACCUMULATING SNOWS. THE HIGHEST PEAKS COULD SEE IN EXCESS OF SIX INCHES OF SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. ALONG WITH THE HEAVY SNOW...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY COULD SEE WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. KONG $$  760 WAAK47 PAWU 152239 AAB WA7O JNUS WA 152239 AMD AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 160800 . CNTRL SE AK JC AFT 00Z MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD AFT 01Z MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLOUDS AND PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 152237 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 160800 . CNTRL SE AK JC OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. VCY PAJN ISOL SEV BLW 020. NC. . SRN SE AK JD OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF OCNL MOD TURB BLW 060. LLWS. NC. . =JNUZ WA 152237 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 160800 . NONE .  500 WABZ24 SBCW 152237 SBCW AIRMET 5 VALID 152240/160240 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR OVC/BKN CLD 0100FT/0500FT OBS AT 2230Z WI S2800 W05400 - S3000 W04800 - S2815 W04841 - S2800 W05400 STNR NC=  379 WSPR31 SPIM 152237 SPIM SIGMET 5 VALID 152215/152220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET 4 VALID 151920/152220=  334 WSPR31 SPIM 152237 SPIM SIGMET 5 VALID 152215/152220 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET 4 VALID 151920/152220=  833 WWPS21 NFFN 152200 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Oct 15/2241 UTC 2009 UTC. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.  939 WWPS21 NFFN 152200 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Oct 15/2241 UTC 2009 UTC. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.  759 WWUS54 KJAN 152243 SVSJAN SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 543 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC073-091-152252- /O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0563.000000T0000Z-091015T2245Z/ LAMAR MS-MARION MS- 543 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MARION AND SOUTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM CDT... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE AREA. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...PEA SIZE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. LAT...LON 3107 8985 3107 8991 3113 8995 3114 9001 3117 9001 3119 9003 3120 9003 3121 8947 3101 8948 3102 8954 3100 8957 3100 8983 TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 336DEG 11KT 3106 8947 3105 9004 $$ COHEN  843 WSFR34 LFPW 152241 LFMM SIGMET 14 VALID 152300/160300 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  978 WSFR34 LFPW 152241 LFMM SIGMET 14 VALID 152300/160300 LFML- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR : SEV TURB OBS AND FCST ON FIR MARSEILLE ON RHONE'S VALLEY SOUTH OF N4500 BLW FL050 STNR NC=  614 WABZ22 SBBS 152242 SBBS AIRMET 6 VALID 152240/160240 SBBS - BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 0800M FG AND VV001 OBS AT 2225Z AT SBJF STNR NC=  164 WWUS84 KJAN 152245 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 545 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ072-073-152335- LAMAR MS-MARION MS- 545 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 4 MILES NORTH OF LUMBERTON TO SANDY HOOK AT 546 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN MARION AND SOUTHERN LAMAR COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY. $$ COHEN  781 WFUS52 KFFC 152248 TORFFC GAC261-152315- /O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0124.091015T2248Z-091015T2315Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 648 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA * UNTIL 715 PM EDT * AT 648 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PLAINS... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LESLIE AND DESOTO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO A BASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM ON THE GROUND FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS. IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL AFTER THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. && LAT...LON 3191 8430 3199 8444 3208 8442 3200 8396 3190 8406 TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 295DEG 30KT 3201 8438 $$  926 WSUS32 KKCI 152255 SIGC MKCC WST 152255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 24C VALID UNTIL 0055Z MS LA FROM 10N JAN-30SW MEI-40WNW SJI-20SSW AEX-50SE EIC-10N JAN AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 160055-160455 FROM 40S VUZ-40SSW CEW-PSX-50NW PSX-30NNW IAH-30SSE EIC-40S VUZ WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  927 WSUS31 KKCI 152255 SIGE MKCE WST 152255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 27E VALID UNTIL 0055Z FL GA AL FROM 20NE MCN-40W AMG-TLH-50ENE CEW-20NNW MGM-20NE MCN AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 28035KT. TOPS TO FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 28E VALID UNTIL 0055Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50ENE OMN-10NNE VRB DMSHG LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 28020KT. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 160055-160455 AREA 1...FROM 130SSE HTO-170S ACK-190ESE SBY-200ESE ECG-170SE ECG-110ESE ECG-110E ORF-130SSE HTO WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40N MCN-130SE CHS-130ENE PBI-SRQ-40SSW CEW-40S VUZ-40N MCN WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  928 WSUS33 KKCI 152255 SIGW MKCW WST 152255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 160055-160455 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  256 WUUS52 KFFC 152254 SVRFFC GAC081-093-249-261-152330- /O.NEW.KFFC.SV.W.0450.091015T2254Z-091015T2330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 654 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN CRISP COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTHWESTERN DOOLY COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTHEASTERN SCHLEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA * UNTIL 730 PM EDT * AT 653 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR AMERICUS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LESLIE AND DESOTO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. ALTHOUGH CURRENT DATA DOES NOT INDICATE THE EXISTENCE OF A TORNADO...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. && LAT...LON 3190 8401 3190 8405 3205 8439 3221 8430 3209 8384 3190 8394 3190 8400 TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 295DEG 30KT 3209 8424 $$  510 WSBW20 VGZR 152330 VGFR SIGMET 01 VALID 160000Z/160400Z VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  668 WSGR31 LGAT 152300 LGGG SIGMET 5 VALID 152300/160300 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N3930 MOV E-NE NC=  669 WSPR31 SPIM 152255 SPIM SIGMET B2 VALID 152300/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET B1 VALID 152020/152320=  670 WSPR31 SPIM 152255 SPIM SIGMET C2 VALID 152300/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET C1 VALID 152020/152320=  735 WSGR31 LGAT 152300 LGGG SIGMET 5 VALID 152300/160300 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N3930 MOV E-NE NC=  736 WSBW20 VGZR 152330 VGFR SIGMET 01 VALID 160000Z/160400Z VGZR- VGFR DHAKA FIR ISOL CB FCST=  100 WSPR31 SPIM 152255 SPIM SIGMET B2 VALID 152300/152320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET B1 VALID 152020/152320=  550 WOAU06 APRF 152300 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 2300UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 2100UTC Vigorous W/NW flow ahead of a cold front. Cold front near 38S088E 44S091E 47S105E at 152300UTC, expected near 43S098E 50S112E at 161200UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 240nm east of front. FORECAST W/NW winds 30/40 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  796 WOAU06 APRF 152300 40:3:1:31:10:11:00 IDW21200 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH AT 2300UTC 15 OCTOBER 2009 Gale Warning FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 2100UTC Vigorous W/NW flow ahead of a cold front. Cold front near 38S088E 44S091E 47S105E at 152300UTC, expected near 43S098E 50S112E at 161200UTC. AREA AFFECTED Within 240nm east of front. FORECAST W/NW winds 30/40 knots. Very rough seas. Heavy swell. WEATHER PERTH  140 WUUS54 KLIX 152305 SVRLIX MSC109-160000- /O.NEW.KLIX.SV.W.0178.091015T2305Z-091016T0000Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 605 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN PEARL RIVER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF POPLARVILLE... * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 604 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF POPLARVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT POPLARVILLE BY 625 PM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. && LAT...LON 3094 8933 3086 8932 3065 8935 3091 8975 3092 8976 3092 8974 3093 8975 3101 8964 3101 8956 3103 8955 TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 295DEG 22KT 3096 8961 $$  568 WHUS72 KCHS 152306 MWWCHS URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 706 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 AMZ374-160915- /O.NEW.KCHS.SC.Y.0058.091016T0400Z-091016T1600Z/ WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 706 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT EITHER WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER OVER THE ATLANTIC...OR A COMBINATION OF THE TWO ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS NAVIGATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  553 WUUS52 KTAE 152307 SVRTAE GAC177-287-321-152345- /O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0290.091015T2307Z-091015T2345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 707 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ASHBURN... NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LEESBURG... * UNTIL 745 PM EDT * AT 705 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF SMITHVILLE...OR 22 MILES NORTH OF LEESBURG...AND MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... 8 MILES NORTH OF CHOKEE BY 735 PM EDT... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 75 AND 84 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 3191 8393 3186 8393 3184 8386 3181 8381 3181 8362 3186 8360 3185 8350 3160 8352 3173 8425 3181 8425 3186 8427 3188 8432 3192 8432 TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 284DEG 22KT 3205 8421 $$ 85-GIBBS  960 WHUS74 KCRP 152307 MWWCRP URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 607 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 GMZ230-235-160900- /O.EXT.KCRP.SC.Y.0097.091016T0400Z-091016T2100Z/ BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS- BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR- 607 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM CDT FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BAYS THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS WILL DECREASE SLOWLY THROUGH FRIDAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO DROP JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ250-255-160900- /O.EXT.KCRP.SC.Y.0097.091016T0400Z-091017T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- 607 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NEARSHORE WATERS LATE THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE STRONG OFFSHORE WIND WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED TO THE NORTH. SEAS WILL BUILD AS HIGH AS 7 FEET OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS ON FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ270-275-160900- /O.EXT.KCRP.SC.Y.0097.091016T0700Z-091017T1100Z/ WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 607 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM CDT SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OFFSHORE WATERS JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE STRONG OFFSHORE WIND WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED TO THE NORTH. SEAS WILL BUILD AS HIGH AS 9 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS ON FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MB  471 WFUS52 KFFC 152311 TORFFC GAC261-152345- /O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0125.091015T2311Z-091015T2345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 711 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA * UNTIL 745 PM EDT * AT 710 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTH OF AMERICUS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LESLIE AND DESOTO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO A BASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM ON THE GROUND FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS. IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL AFTER THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. && LAT...LON 3190 8401 3191 8424 3193 8432 3210 8424 3203 8396 3190 8395 3190 8400 TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 287DEG 28KT 3199 8420 $$  316 WHUS42 KMHX 152312 CFWMHX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 712 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 NCZ103-161000- /O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0009.091016T0900Z-091017T1200Z/ OUTER BANKS DARE- 712 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 8 AM EDT SATURDAY. MODERATE NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST ALONG THE OUTER BANKS AS A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVES NORTHEAST OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE PERSISTANT NORTH WIND COMBINED WITH HIGHER THAN NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE AT DUCK ARE 624 AM AND 642 PM ON FRIDAY...AND 711 AM ON SATURDAY. MINOR OCEAN OVERWASH AND BEACH EROSION WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE TYPICAL PRONE AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ CULLEN  485 WUUS54 KEWX 152312 SVREWX TXC325-152345- /O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0161.091015T2312Z-091015T2345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 612 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL MEDINA COUNTY... * UNTIL 645 PM CDT. * AT 611 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF NEW FOUNTAIN...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF HONDO...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH. * SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE QUIHI AND DUNLAY. LAT...LON 2929 9894 2925 9923 2959 9924 2962 9903 TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 352DEG 10KT 2951 9912 $$  548 WSPR31 SPIM 152310 SPIM SIGMET A5 VALID 152320/160120 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2215Z WI S0350 W07605 - S0435 W07641 S0529 W07639 - S0616 W07527 - S0526 W07454 - S0431 W07514 S0424 W07534 - S0401 W07536 - S0355 W07549 - S0350 W07605 TOP FL390 STNR WKN=  802 WSPR31 SPIM 152310 SPIM SIGMET A5 VALID 152320/160120 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2215Z WI S0350 W07605 - S0435 W07641 S0529 W07639 - S0616 W07527 - S0526 W07454 - S0431 W07514 S0424 W07534 - S0401 W07536 - S0355 W07549 - S0350 W07605 TOP FL390 STNR WKN=  968 WHXX04 KWBC 152320 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY 20E INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 15 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 11.9 96.8 310./13.0 6 12.4 97.4 313./ 8.0 12 12.6 98.0 291./ 5.4 18 12.9 98.7 288./ 7.7 24 13.0 99.4 277./ 6.7 30 13.2 99.9 290./ 5.6 36 13.4 100.5 294./ 5.8 42 14.3 101.3 316./11.7 48 14.7 102.5 291./12.5 54 15.1 103.7 287./11.8 60 15.4 104.8 287./11.8 66 15.9 106.1 289./12.9 72 16.5 107.1 302./12.0 78 17.1 108.4 295./13.3 84 17.6 109.4 295./11.1 90 18.2 110.2 308./ 9.4 96 18.8 110.8 316./ 8.5 102 19.4 111.3 322./ 7.2 108 19.8 111.5 328./ 4.9 114 20.5 111.4 6./ 6.4 120 21.2 111.3 11./ 7.3 126 22.0 111.1 15./ 7.8  959 WSSR20 WSSS 152321 WSJC SIGMET 5 VALID 152345/160345 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0230 E10430 - N0430 E11145 INTSF=  427 WDPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 22W (TWENTYTWO)// WARNING NR 007// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 22W (TWENTYTWO) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS MULTIPLE BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO WRAP INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO DEPICTS VERY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AS SUCH, THE SYSTEM HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND IS NOW AT 45 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES (T3.0) AS WELL AS A 150800Z SATCON ESTIMATE WHICH INCLUDED AN AUTOMATED DVORAK VALUE OF T3.1. DUE TO DEEP, CENTRAL CONVECTION, THE CURRENT POSITION IS PLACED WITH RELATIVELY LOW CONFIDENCE WEST OF THE PGTW POSITION FIX, EAST OF THE RJTD POSITION FIX, AND SUPPORTED BY THE 150956Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE (WHICH ALSO REVEALS THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL SIGNATURE). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. THE FORECAST REASONING HAS NOT CHANGED SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN. B. TS 22W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. BY TAU 36, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN FORWARD TRACK SPEED AND TAKE A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TEMPORARILY WEAKENS THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE. WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD, TS 22W WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO THE TUTT AND EXCELLENT OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES IN EXCESS OF 100 J/KG/CM^2. C. BY TAU 72, TS 22W SHOULD RESUME ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A REBUILT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AS TS 22W MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE PHILIPPINE SEA, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEADILY INTENSIFY AS THE ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN FAVORABLE. THE NUMERICAL MODEL AIDS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A JOG TO THE NORTHWEST DUE TO THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AS WELL AS A RETURN TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK IN THE EXTENDED TAUS. HOWEVER, THE AIDS DO VARY ON THE TIMING OF INTERACTION AND THE DEGREE TO WHICH THE TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE TRACK OF 22W. THE NOGAPS MODEL, FOR EXAMPLE, DEPICTS A DEEPER TROUGH THAT WILL ENABLE THE SYSTEM TO GAIN MORE LATITUDE BEFORE TURNING WESTWARD WHILE THE UKMO MODEL INDICATES A SHALLOW TROUGH AND TRACK ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE AIDS ENVELOPE. THIS FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE JTWC CONSENSUS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS WHICH CALL FOR THE TROUGH TO WEAKEN THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE (BUT NOT DIG TO THE EXTENT OF THE NOGAPS MODELS AND THEREFORE DO NOT PULL THE SYSTEM AS FAR NORTH) AND SLOW THE SYSTEM'S TRACK SPEED BETWEEN TAUS 36 AND 72.//  076 WSSR20 WSSS 152321 WSJC SIGMET 5 VALID 152345/160345 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0230 E10430 - N0430 E11145 INTSF=  199 WWUS84 KJAN 152323 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 623 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ062-152355- LINCOLN MS- 623 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF VAUGHN AT 623 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. PEOPLE IN CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ CME  041 WSSQ31 LZIB 152330 LZBB SIGMET 10 VALID 152330/160330 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR MOD TO SEV ICE FCST OVER LZBB FL020/100 NC=  272 WVNT12 KKCI 152330 WSVA0L TJZS SIGMET LIMA 3 VALID 152330/160530 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 2330Z WI N1800 W06530 - N1745 W06400 - N1715 W06300 - N1615 W06300 - N1645 W06500 - N1800 W06530. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 0530Z VA CLD APRX WI N1800 W06530 - N1745 W06400 - N1715 W06300 - N1615 W06300 - N1645 W06500 - N1800 W06530.  212 WSAU21 ASRF 152330 YBBB SIGMET SY13 VALID 152330/152400 YSRF- YBBB BRISBANE FIR CNL SIGMET SY11 152200/152400 STS:CNL SIGMET SY11 152200/152400  982 WSAU21 ASRF 152330 YMMM SIGMET SY14 VALID 152330/152400 YSRF- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR CNL SIGMET SY12 152200/152400 STS:CNL SIGMET SY12 152200/152400  047 WVNT12 KKCI 152330 TJZS SIGMET LIMA 3 VALID 152330/160530 KKCI- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 2330Z WI N1800 W06530 - N1745 W06400 - N1715 W06300 - N1615 W06300 - N1645 W06500 - N1800 W06530. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 0530Z VA CLD APRX WI N1800 W06530 - N1745 W06400 - N1715 W06300 - N1615 W06300 - N1645 W06500 - N1800 W06530.  660 WHUS71 KAKQ 152332 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 732 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ANZ652-160745- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091016T0500Z/ /O.EXB.KAKQ.GL.W.0015.091016T0500Z-091016T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM- 732 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ650-160745- /O.EXT.KAKQ.GL.W.0015.091015T2332Z-091016T1400Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO 20 NM- 732 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ630-631-160745- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- 732 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-654-160745- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO 20 NM- 732 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ633-656-658-160745- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-091017T2200Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 732 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...OR WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ HURLEY  978 WWUS82 KTAE 152333 SPSTAE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 733 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 GAZ157-158-160015- GRADY-THOMAS- 733 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR GRADY AND THOMAS COUNTIES... * UNTIL 815 PM EDT AT 731 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES EAST OF CAIRO...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND IS ALSO PRODUCING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ 85-GIBBS  024 WWUS54 KLIX 152333 SVSLIX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 633 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSC109-152341- /O.CAN.KLIX.SV.W.0178.000000T0000Z-091016T0000Z/ PEARL RIVER MS- 633 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN PEARL RIVER COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED. WINDS OF 40 MPH...FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF PEARL RIVER COUNTY...INCLUDING THE POPLARVILLE AREA THROUGH ABOUT 730 PM. LAT...LON 3094 8933 3086 8932 3065 8935 3091 8975 3092 8976 3092 8974 3093 8975 3101 8964 3101 8956 3103 8955 TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 295DEG 22KT 3089 8943 $$  052 ACCA62 TJSJ 152333 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT JUEVES 15 DE OCTUBRE DE 2009 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL EN LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DEL SNM EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO  082 WWUS84 KJAN 152333 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 633 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ065-066-160005- COVINGTON MS-JONES MS- 633 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND 45 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF COLLINS AT 633 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN WESTERN JONES AND NORTHERN COVINGTON COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ BYB  550 WUUS52 KFFC 152333 SVRFFC GAC081-261-160015- /O.NEW.KFFC.SV.W.0451.091015T2333Z-091016T0015Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 733 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CRISP COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTHEASTERN SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA * UNTIL 815 PM EDT * AT 732 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DESOTO...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CORDELE AND ARABI. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. ALTHOUGH CURRENT DATA DOES NOT INDICATE THE EXISTENCE OF A TORNADO...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM. IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. && LAT...LON 3180 8378 3185 8394 3186 8395 3190 8394 3190 8410 3191 8410 3204 8404 3194 8362 3180 8363 3180 8366 TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 290DEG 30KT 3196 8401 $$  799 WWUS84 KLIX 152341 SPSLIX LAZ036-037-MSZ069-160045- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 641 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST AFFECTING EAST FELICIANA PARISH...ST. HELENA PARISH...AMITE COUNTY... AT 639 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 13 MILES WEST OF LIBERTY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF FELPS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...FELPS THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. $$  344 WWUS54 KEWX 152343 SVSEWX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 643 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 TXC325-152352- /O.EXP.KEWX.SV.W.0161.000000T0000Z-091015T2345Z/ MEDINA TX- 643 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MEDINA COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM CDT... THE STORM ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MEDINA COUNTY HAS WEAKENED WITH NO REPORTS OF HIGH WINDS RECEIVED. THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. LAT...LON 2929 9894 2925 9923 2959 9924 2962 9903 TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 352DEG 10KT 2943 9911 $$  120 WHUS41 KAKQ 152344 CFWAKQ COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 744 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 MDZ025-160745- /O.NEW.KAKQ.SU.Y.0006.091015T2344Z-091017T1000Z/ /O.CON.KAKQ.CF.W.0001.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ MARYLAND BEACHES- 744 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 25 AND 35 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT BETWEEN OCEAN CITY AND CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT...WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. AT OCEAN CITY INLET...HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AT 624 AM EDT...WITH THE ANTICIPATED HEIGHT AROUND 5.5 FEET MLLW. MODERATE FLOODING AT OCEAN CITY INLET BEGINS AT 5 FT. THE EXPECTED HIGH TIDE FRIDAY EVENING AT OCEAN CITY INLET IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSER TO 5.25 FEET MLLW. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. && $$ MDZ024-160745- /O.CON.KAKQ.CF.W.0001.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ INLAND WORCESTER- 744 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 25 AND 35 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEANFRONT BETWEEN OCEAN CITY AND CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT...WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. AT OCEAN CITY INLET...HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AT 624 AM EDT...WITH THE ANTICIPATED HEIGHT AROUND 5.5 FEET MLLW. MODERATE FLOODING AT OCEAN CITY INLET BEGINS AT 5 FT. THE EXPECTED HIGH TIDE FRIDAY EVENING AT OCEAN CITY INLET IS EXPECTED TO BE CLOSER TO 5.25 FEET MLLW. ANY RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WOULD EXACERBATE TIDAL FLOODING. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ VAZ099-160745- /O.NEW.KAKQ.SU.Y.0006.091015T2344Z-091017T0400Z/ /O.CON.KAKQ.CF.Y.0011.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ ACCOMACK- 744 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND THUS BUILDING WAVES WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT... INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT... WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. && $$ VAZ095-098-100-160745- /O.CON.KAKQ.CF.Y.0011.091016T0900Z-091017T0400Z/ NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-VIRGINIA BEACH-NORTHAMPTON VA- 744 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT... THEN INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS...WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. THE PERSISTENT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND THUS BUILDING WAVES WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES FRIDAY MORNING FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT... INCLUDING WACHAPREAGUE...WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 615 AND 745 AM EDT... WHILE HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 645 AND 800 PM EDT. IN ALL AREAS...THE TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD BETWEEN 6 AND 9 FEET OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...THE INCREASED WAVE ACTION MAY ALSO RESULT IN MINOR BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ HURLEY  829 WUUS52 KTAE 152345 SVRTAE GAC177-287-321-160030- /O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0291.091015T2345Z-091016T0030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 745 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ASHBURN... NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... NORTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... * UNTIL 830 PM EDT * AT 743 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 24 MILES NORTHWEST OF ASHBURN...OR 12 MILES WEST OF CORDELE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF ASHBURN BY 830 PM EDT... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 75 AND 84 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND DAMAGING HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS! RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 3191 8393 3190 8392 3186 8393 3184 8386 3182 8384 3181 8381 3181 8362 3186 8360 3185 8348 3161 8351 3172 8409 3192 8410 TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 297DEG 18KT 3192 8396 $$ 85-GIBBS  903 WSCN31 CWEG 152349 SIGMET O4 VALID 152350/160350 CWEG- WTN 15 NM OF LN /5012N12806W/40 SW PORT HARDY - /5050N12842W/85 S MCINNES ISLAND. SEV MECH TURB FCST BLO 30. LN XPNDG EWD AND NWD. INTSFYG. END/GFA31/CMAC-W/CPM/  386 WWNZ40 NZKL 152348 GALE WARNING 276 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: SOUTHERN AT 160000UTC OVER WATERS NORTH OF ICE EDGE. IN A BELT 300 MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 61S 163W 59S 139W 61S 119W: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 20KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 275.  860 WSUS32 KKCI 152355 SIGC MKCC WST 152355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 25C VALID UNTIL 0155Z MS LA FROM 10SSE JAN-30S MEI-50WSW SJI-30SSE AEX-40SSE EIC-10SSE JAN AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 29030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 160155-160555 FROM 40S VUZ-60SSW CEW-PSX-50NW PSX-30NNW IAH-30SSE EIC-40S VUZ WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  861 WSUS31 KKCI 152355 SIGE MKCE WST 152355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 29E VALID UNTIL 0155Z FL GA AL FROM 30WSW LGC-60E MCN-30E TLH-50NE CEW-30WSW LGC AREA SEV EMBD TS MOV FROM 28035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 30E VALID UNTIL 0155Z FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 80NE VRB-10NNE VRB LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 28020KT. TOPS TO FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 160155-160555 FROM 40N MCN-30ENE SAV-120SSE ILM-170ENE PBI-30ESE VRB-60SSW CEW-40S VUZ-40N MCN WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  862 WSUS33 KKCI 152355 SIGW MKCW WST 152355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 160155-160555 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  879 WWUS84 KJAN 152353 SPSJAN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 653 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 MSZ062>064-072-160040- MARION MS-LINCOLN MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS- 653 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009 A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 45 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER ENTERPRISE AT 653 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...SOUTHERN LAWRENCE... SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN AND NORTHWESTERN MARION COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. $$ BYB  088 WWAK77 PAJK 152354 NPWAJK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 354 PM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 AKZ023-160500- /X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-091016T0500Z/ CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER 354 PM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ027-028-160500- /X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0069.000000T0000Z-091016T0500Z/ DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN... METLAKATLA 354 PM AKDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ BECKER  896 WBCN07 CWVR 152300 PAM ROCKS WIND 3208 LANGARA; OVC 15 SE10 2FT CHP LO E OCNL BKS SHWRS DSNT N 2330 CLD EST 3 FEW 14 OVC 11/10 GREEN; OVC 5R- NE20 4FT MDT 2330 CLD EST 10 SCT OVC ABV 25 08/07 TRIPLE; OVC 10R- SE12E 2FT CHP LO SW VIS SW-NW 2F 2330 CLD EST 20 OVC 10/09 BONILLA; OVC 3R-F SE25G 5FT MDT MOD S 2330 CLD EST 10 OVC 11/10 BOAT BLUFF; OVC 15RW- CLM RPLD 2330 CLD EST 3 FEW OVC ABV 25 10/09 MCINNES; OVC 15 E15E 4FT MDT LO-MOD SW SHWRS DSNT ALQDS 2330 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 10/08 IVORY; OVC 15 E11 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW 2330 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 12/07 DRYAD; OVC 15 SE10 2FT CHP 2330 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 10/06 ADDENBROKE; OVC 15 SE02E RPLD LO S 2330 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 14/07 EGG ISLAND; OVC 15+ SE34G43 6FT MOD LO W 2340 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 14/08 PINE ISLAND; OVC 15 SE35EG 7FT RUF LO W 2340 CLD EST 18 FEW OVC ABV 25 12/08 CAPE SCOTT; OVC 15 E15E 5FT MOD MOD SW EWOS SE25 2340 CLD EST 18 BKN OVC ABV 25 13/08 QUATSINO; OVC 15 NE20EG 7FT RUF MOD SW EWOS SW35 2340 CLD EST 20 FEW OVC ABV 25 13/11 NOOTKA; OCV 12RW- N08 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW VSBY S-SW6F 2345 CLD EST OVC ABV 25 14 12 ESTEVAN; OVC 6R-F E11G19 4FT MOD LO-MOD SW 1014.5F LENNARD; OVC 12RW- SE17 3FT MOD LO-MOD SW AMPHITRITE; OVC 12 E12 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW OCNL RW- CAPE BEALE; OVC 15 SW10 3FT MOD LO-MOD SW PACHENA; OVC 15RW- SE20 4FT MOD LO-MOD SW CARMANAH; OVC 15 E20 4FT MOD LO-MOD SW SHWRS DSTNT SW SCARLETT; OVC 15RW- SE35G46 7FT RUF LO NW PULTENEY; OVC 15 SE25EG 4FT MOD SHWRS DSNT S-SW CHATHAM; OVC 15 CALM RPLD 2340 CLD EST 3 FEW 16 FEW OVC ABV 25 11/09 CHROME; OVC 15 E11 2FT CHP LO E MERRY; OVC 15 E5 RPLD 2340 OVC ABV 25 13/10 ENTRANCE; OVC 15 SE6 RPLD LO E FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; CLDY 15 E7 RPLD TRIAL IS.; OVC 15 N12 1FT CHP Latest Automatic Weather Reports WLP SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 137/13/08/1237+44/M/PK WND 1146 2210Z 8019 69MM= WEB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 155/13/11/0911+22/M/0004 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR PK WND 0825 2204Z 7025 89MM= WQC SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 190/14/10/2701/M/8019 84MM= WRU SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 107/12/09/1040/M/PK WND 1146 2219Z 8022 34MM= WFG SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 106/12/10/1526+35/M/0002 PK WND 1652 2210Z 8009 17MM= WVF SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/15/M/0801/M/M M 5MMM= WQS SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/13/11/1726+31/M/PK WND 1737 2209Z M 63MM= WRO SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/11/09/1328+38/M/0028 PK WND 1439 2211Z M 71MM= WEK SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 113/08/M/0517/M/0086 PCPN 6.2MM PAST HR PK WND 0622 2245Z 0009 9MMM= WWL SA 2322 AUTO4 M M M 092/12/M/MM25+36/M/0030 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR 3003 5MMM= WME SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 155/08/05/0524/M/M PK WND 0429 2245Z 8011 96MM= WAS SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 204/13/08/3208/M/8015 73MM= WSB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/15/M/2602/M/M 5MMM= WGT SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 193/12/09/1316/M/M PK WND 1317 2230Z 8013 49MM= WGB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/13/09/MM10/M/M 82MM= WEL SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/13/09/1306/M/M 74MM= WDR SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/12/M/3412/M/M M 3MMM= WZO SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0212/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1311/M/M PK WND 1120 2203Z M MMMM= XFA SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 190/12/09/1411+17/M/PK WND 1417 2259Z 8018 78MM=  398 WFUS52 KTAE 152356 TORTAE GAC287-321-160045- /O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0086.091015T2356Z-091016T0045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 756 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ASHBURN... NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 845 PM EDT * AT 754 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF ASHBURN...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CORDELE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... ASHBURN BY 840 PM EDT... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 82 AND 84 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 3184 8386 3182 8384 3181 8362 3182 8361 3182 8360 3166 8365 3176 8398 3186 8394 TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 280DEG 18KT 3183 8390 $$ 25-CAMP  996 WABZ24 SBCW 152353 SBCW AIRMET 6 VALID 152255/160255 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 02 00M/0900M FG AND OVC CLD 0100FT/0900FT FCST WI S2328 W05200 - S2419 W 05039 - S2238 W05027 - S2328 W05200 STNR NC=  579 WWUS76 KLOX 152358 NPWLOX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 458 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...GUSTY CANYON WINDS OVER THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST... .GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST CANYON WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST AND MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY EARLY THIS EVENING TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO AS HIGH AS 45 MPH BELOW AND THROUGH THE PASSES AND CANYONS...WITH THE WINDS STRONGEST THIS EVENING FROM THE VICINITY OF GAVIOTA PASS TO SAN MARCOS PASS...THEN STRONGEST LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF MONTECITO AS WINDS TURN MORE NORTHEASTERLY. THE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS BY MID MORNING ON FRIDAY. CAZ039-160800- /O.NEW.KLOX.WI.Y.0048.091015T2358Z-091016T1600Z/ SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA BARBARA...MONTECITO...CARPINTERIA 458 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS CAN BE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING MAINLY FROM NEAR GAVIOTA PASS TO NEAR SAN MARCOS PASS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND BE STRONGEST BELOW THE PASSES AND CANYONS AROUND MONTECITO LATER TONIGHT. BY MID MORNING FRIDAY THE WINDS SHOULD FALL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. ROADWAYS AFFECTED BY THE GUSTY WINDS INCLUDE HIGHWAY 101 ALONG THE SOUTH SANTA BARBARA COUNTY COAST...AND HIGHWAY 154 BELOW SAN MARCOS PASS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ052-160800- /O.NEW.KLOX.WI.Y.0048.091015T2358Z-091016T1600Z/ SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAN MARCOS PASS... SAN RAFAEL WILDERNESS AREA...DICK SMITH WILDERNESS AREA 458 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PDT FRIDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH PASSES AND CANYONS CAN BE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING MAINLY FROM NEAR GAVIOTA PASS TO NEAR SAN MARCOS PASS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND BE STRONGEST THROUGH PASSES AND CANYONS ABOVE MONTECITO LATER TONIGHT. BY MID MORNING FRIDAY THE WINDS SHOULD FALL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. ROADWAYS AFFECTED BY THE GUSTY WINDS INCLUDE HIGHWAY 101 THROUGH GAVIOTA PASS...AND HIGHWAY 154 THROUGH SAN MARCOS PASS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ SIRARD  701 WVNT12 KKCI 152330 TJZS SIGMET L3 VALID 152330/160530 TJZS- SAN JUAN OCEANIC FIR VA ERUPTION SOUFRIERE HILLS VA CLD OBS AT 2330Z WI N1800 W06530 - N1745 W06400 - N1715 W06300 - N1615 W06300 - N1645 W06500 - N1800 W06530. BLW FL110. STNR. FCST 0530Z VA CLD APRX WI N1800 W06530 - N1745 W06400 - N1715 W06300 - N1615 W06300 - N1645 W06500 - N1800 W06530.=  935 WTSR20 WSSS 151800 NO STORM WARNING=  168 WWIN40 DEMS 151200 I W B 15TH OCT 2009 EVN: ======================== THE LOPAR OVER NE- BAY OF BENGAL AND N/H PERSISTS (.) ASSTD CYCIR EXTDNS UPTO 2.1 KMS ASL PERSISTS (.) THE CYCIR EXTDG UPTO 4.5 KM ASL OVER N-PAK AND ADJ J/K PERSISTS(.) THE CYCIR EXTDG UPTO 2.1 KM ASL OVER EAST RAJ AND N/H PERSISTS (.) ABOVE TWO SYSTEMS ARE LIKELY TO MOVE ENE-WARDS(.) FORECAST:- RAIN/THRS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR AT A FEW PLACES IN ASSAM AND MEGHALAYA,NMMT,COT KKA, KRL AND LKDWP AND AT ISOL PLACES IN A AND N ISD,GWB, E RAJ KONKAN GOA M.MAHARASHTRA AND T NADU, MAINLY DRY WX WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REST OF THE COUNTRY(.)