169 WSPM31 MPTO 220000 MPZL SIGMET 03 VALID 2200/2202 MPTO- MPZL PANAMA FIR CNL SIGMET 02 2120250/212355  978 WSSG31 GOOY 220000 GOOO SIGMET A1 VALID 220000/220400 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 2350Z WI N0620 W01414 - N0452 W03060 - N0840 W03528 - N1400 W02550 - N1256 W02137 TOP FL490 MOV W 05KT NC=  488 WSSG31 GOOY 220001 GOOO SIGMET B1 VALID 220005/220405 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 2355Z WI N0955 W00247 - N0410 W00303 - N0944 W00807 - N1214 W00734 WI N1225 W01124 - N1246 W01336 - N1420 W01223 TOP FL490 MOV W 10KT NC=  228 WSNT07 KKCI 220000 SIGA0G KZHU SIGMET GOLF 2 VALID 220000/220400 KKCI- HOUSTON OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 0000Z WI N2745 W09455 - N2645 W09305 - N2520 W09445 - N2600 W09555 - N2745 W09455. TOP FL500. MOV N 25KT. NC.  095 WSRA31 RUPK 220005 UHPP SIGMET 1 VALID 220005/220405 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5600 S OF N6100 MOV N 20KMH NC=  727 WSNZ21 NZKL 220003 NZZC SIGMET 1 VALID 220003/220127 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 66 212127/220127=  738 WOUS64 KWNS 220003 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 703 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  739 WOUS64 KWNS 220003 WOU6 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 603 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC005-013-027-029-035-051-053-220200- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES DONA ANA LINCOLN LUNA OTERO SIERRA SOCORRO $$ TXC141-229-220200- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EL PASO HUDSPETH $$ ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...  063 WWCN10 CWUL 220001 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR QUEBEC UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:01 P.M. EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: =NEW= SENNETERRE AREA =NEW= ROUYN AREA =NEW= MALARTIC AREA =NEW= VAL D'OR - LOUVICOURT AREA LA SARRE AREA AMOS AREA LEBEL-SUR-QUEVILLON AREA PARENT - GOUIN RESERVOIR MATAGAMI CHARLEVOIX LAKE BOUCHETTE AREA LAURENTIANS WILDLIFE RESERVE ASHUAPMUSHUAN WILDLIFE RESERVE AREA NORMANDIN - PERIBONKA AREA CHIBOUGAMAU TEMISCOUATA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. A WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN ONTARIO WILL MOVE TOWARD THE PROVINCE OF QUEBEC TONIGHT BRINGING A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OVER PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL QUEBEC. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE TEMISCOUATA REGION INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SURFACES SUCH AS HIGHWAYS, ROADS, WALKWAYS AND PARKING LOTS MAY BECOME ICY AND SLIPPERY. TAKE EXTRA CARE WHEN WALKING OR DRIVING IN AFFECTED AREAS. PUBLIC SAFETY CANADA ENCOURAGES EVERYONE TO MAKE AN EMERGENCY PLAN AND GET AN EMERGENCY KIT WITH DRINKING WATER, FOOD, MEDICINE, A FIRST-AID KIT AND A FLASHLIGHT. FOR INFORMATION ON EMERGENCY PLANS AND KITS GO TO HTTP://WWW.GETPREPARED.GC.CA/ FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO TEMPSVIOLENT.QUEBEC(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)METEOQC. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML END/MSC  973 WSUK31 EGRR 220005 EGTT SIGMET 01 VALID 220100/220500 EGRR- EGTT LONDON FIR SEV MTW FCST N OF N5310 FL030/150 STNR INTSF=  876 WWUS84 KMAF 220007 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 607 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMZ028-220045- EDDY COUNTY PLAINS NM- 607 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM MDT... AT 607 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ARTESIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ARTESIA...COTTONWOOD...ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...DAYTON AND ATOKA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM MDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. LAT...LON 3297 10441 3296 10401 3272 10438 3285 10453 TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 227DEG 20KT 3284 10440 $$  899 WSRA31 RUPK 220006 UHPP SIGMET 2 VALID 220006/220405 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR CNL SIGMET 1 220005/220405=  927 WSCR31 LEMM 220000 GCCC SIGMET 1 VALID 220000/220400 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR SEV TURB FCST E OF LINE N3030 W015-N22 W02230 FL290/420 STNR NC=  543 WSNZ21 NZKL 220005 NZZC SIGMET 2 VALID 220008/220408 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S3900 E17710 - S3750 E17810 - S3830 E17920 - S3950 E17840 - S3900 E17710 FL120/300 STNR NC=  676 WSNZ21 NZKL 220006 NZZC SIGMET 3 VALID 220008/220130 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 68 212130/220130=  973 WSRA31 RUPK 220007 UHPP SIGMET 3 VALID 220007/220407 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N5600 S OF N6100 FL020/170 MOV N 20KMH NC=  864 WSNZ21 NZKL 220008 NZZC SIGMET 4 VALID 220009/220409 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV MTW FCST WI S3900 E17710 - S3730 E17820 - S3830 E17910 - S3950 E17830 - S3900 E17710 FL120/320 STNR NC=  230 WSNZ21 NZKL 220009 NZZC SIGMET 5 VALID 220009/220132 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 70 212132/220132=  772 WVJP31 RJTD 220015 RJJJ SIGMET M01 VALID 220015/220615 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT ASOSAN PSN N3253 E13106 VA CLD OBS AT 0000Z FL050 MOV SW INTST UNKNOWN=  256 WWUS54 KSJT 220012 SVSSJT SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 712 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC307-411-220045- /O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0310.000000T0000Z-151022T0045Z/ MCCULLOCH TX-SAN SABA TX- 712 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL MCCULLOCH AND WEST CENTRAL SAN SABA COUNTIES... AT 711 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ROCHELLE...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRADY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR... PLACID AROUND 735 PM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE US- 190 NEAR THE MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA COUNTY LINE AND HALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3110 9919 3118 9933 3138 9914 3125 9887 TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 221DEG 17KT 3120 9920 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  976 WWUS75 KCYS 220013 NPWCYS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 613 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 900 AM MDT THURSDAY... .AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 80 SUMMIT AND OVER THE FOOTHILLS. VISIBILITIES IN DENSE FOG WILL BE UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. IF YOU ENCOUNTER DENSE FOG...PLEASE SLOW DOWN...USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TRAVEL TIME TO SAFELY REACH YOUR DESTINATION. WYZ116-117-221500- /O.NEW.KCYS.FG.Y.0020.151022T0013Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE... HORSE CREEK...HARRIMAN...WHITAKER 613 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY. * TIMING...UNTIL 900 AM MDT THURSDAY. * VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...MOTORISTS ON INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN CHEYENNE AND LARAMIE CAN EXPECT RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES THAT CAN MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ RUBIN  411 WUUS54 KMAF 220013 SVRMAF NMC015-220115- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0256.151022T0013Z-151022T0115Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 613 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 715 PM MDT * AT 612 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ARTESIA... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ARTESIA...COTTONWOOD...ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...DAYTON AND ATOKA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3297 10444 3296 10409 3293 10405 3259 10450 3276 10466 TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 226DEG 20KT 3286 10439 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  491 WSBO31 SLLP 220007 SLLF SIGMET 01 VALID 220007/220307 SLLP- SLLF LA PAZ FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST AT 0007Z WI S1808 W06424 - S1834 W06225 - S1859 W06117 - S2017 W06237 - S2017 W06426 - S1923 W06536 - S1808 W06431 - TOP FL390 MOV SE 02KT INTSF=  214 WUUS54 KMAF 220013 RRA SVRMAF NMC015-TXC109-389-220115- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0257.151022T0013Z-151022T0115Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 713 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 815 PM CDT/715 PM MDT/ * AT 713 PM CDT/613 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 30 MILES NORTH OF BORACHO...OR 33 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PINE SPRINGS... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ORLA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3130 10447 3165 10466 3213 10411 3151 10370 TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 235DEG 34KT 3152 10444 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 80  160 ACPN50 PHFO 220015 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 215 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE OLAF...LOCATED ABOUT 845 MILES SE OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. $$ FOSTER  444 WSRS31 RURD 220014 URRV SIGMET 1 VALID 220015/220300 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR EMBD TS FCST SW OF LINE N4510 E03630 - N4330 E04000 TOP FL280 STNR INTSF=  990 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220014 SBAZ SIGMET 1 VALID 220014/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCS T WI N0206 W06721 - N0044 W06548 - S0028 W06614 - N0053 W06803 - N0148 W06747 - N0206 W06721 TOP FL400 MOV SW 12KT WKN=  186 WGUS84 KMAF 220020 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 620 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC015-220315- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0210.151022T0020Z-151022T0315Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ EDDY NM- 620 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... NORTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 915 PM MDT * AT 619 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF ARTESIA. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... ARTESIA...COTTONWOOD...ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...DAYTON AND ATOKA. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...EAGLE CREEK... COTTONWOOD CREEK...NORTH COTTONWOOD CREEK...PECOS RIVER...SOUTH COTTONWOOD CREEK AND PENASCO, RIO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3296 10458 3296 10425 3273 10425 3273 10459 $$ 44  898 WHUS42 KTBW 220020 CFWTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 820 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR SARASOTA BAY FOR POSSIBLE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION DUE TO FLORIDA RED TIDE REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... FLZ160-230200- /O.CON.KTBW.BH.S.0010.000000T0000Z-151023T0200Z/ COASTAL SARASOTA- 820 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * RED TIDE HAZARDS...FLORIDA RED TIDE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION. * RED TIDE POTENTIAL IMPACTS...SYMPTOMS MAY INCLUDE COUGHING... SNEEZING...AND TEARING EYES. PEOPLE WITH RESPIRATORY CONDITIONS SUCH AS ASTHMA...EMPHYSEMA AND OTHER PULMONARY DISEASES...MAY BE MORE SENSITIVE. IRRITATION MAY VARY LOCALLY AND THROUGHOUT THE DAY. IF YOU EXPERIENCE UNCOMFORTABLE SYMPTOMS...CONSIDER GOING TO AN UNAFFECTED BEACH NEARBY. * FLORIDA RED TIDE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION TIMING/LOCATION...NOAA FORECAST: NORTHERN SARASOTA COUNTY: BAY REGIONS...POSSIBLE TODAY AND THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR RED TIDE FORECAST INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://TIDESANDCURRENTS.NOAA.GOV/HAB (ALL LOWER CASE). FLORIDA RED TIDE OBSERVATIONS...YOU CAN FIND UNAFFECTED BEACHES BY CHECKING REPORTS OF RECENT...LOCAL OBSERVATIONS AND DATA: MOTE MARINE LABORATORY DAILY BEACH CONDITIONS HTTP://WWW.MOTE.ORG/BEACHES AND THE FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE CONSERVATION COMMISSION (FWC) RED TIDE STATUS HTTP://MYFWC.COM/REDTIDESTATUS. FLORIDA RED TIDE HEALTH INFORMATION...CONSULT THE FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH: HTTP://WWW.FLORIDAHEALTH.GOV/ENVIRONMENTAL- HEALTH/AQUATIC- TOXINS/ RED-TIDE.HTM OR CALL THE POISON CONTROL CENTER: 18002221222. INCLUSION OF EXTERNAL LINKS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE ENDORSEMENT BY THE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (DOC)/(NOAA) OF THESE EXTERNAL WEB SITES OR THE INFORMATION...PRODUCTS OR SERVICES CONTAINED THEREIN. FLORIDA RED TIDE INFORMATION SOURCES...RED TIDE FORECASTS ARE PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE WITH DATA PROVIDED BY THE FWC AND MOTE MARINE LABORATORY. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPA  871 WWUS64 KEPZ 220020 WCNEPZ WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 516 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 620 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC013-029-035-051-TXC141-229-220130- /O.CAN.KEPZ.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN NEW MEXICO THIS CANCELS 4 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DONA ANA OTERO SIERRA IN SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO LUNA IN TEXAS THIS CANCELS 2 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS EL PASO HUDSPETH THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALAMOGORDO...DELL CITY...DEMING... EL PASO...LAS CRUCES...SIERRA BLANCA AND TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES. $$  051 WSCN04 CWAO 220021 CZYZ SIGMET B1 VALID 220020/220420 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN N4839 W08205 - N4937 W08659 - N5032 W07949 - N4837 W07541 - N4735 W07624 - N4839 W08205 SFC/FL040 MOV ENE 20KT NC=  052 WSCN23 CWAO 220021 CZWG SIGMET C1 VALID 212235/220235 CWUL- CZWG WINNIPEG FIR CNCL SIGMET C3 212235/220235 RMK GFACN33/CZYZ TORONTO FIR SIGMET B1 CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E1=  053 WSCN25 CWAO 220021 CZUL SIGMET E1 VALID 220020/220420 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN /N4839 W08205/30 W CYTS - /N4937 W08659/10 S CYGQ - /N5032 W07949/60 SE CYMO - /N4837 W07541/60 NW CYPP - /N4735 W07624/60 SE CYVO - /N4839 W08205/30 W CYTS SFC/FL040 MOV ENE 20KT NC RMK GFACN33/CZYZ TORONTO FIR SIGMET B1 CZWG WINNIPEG FIR SIGMET C1=  054 WSCN05 CWAO 220021 CZUL SIGMET E1 VALID 220020/220420 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN N4839 W08205 - N4937 W08659 - N5032 W07949 - N4837 W07541 - N4735 W07624 - N4839 W08205 SFC/FL040 MOV ENE 20KT NC=  055 WSCN03 CWAO 220021 CZWG SIGMET C1 VALID 212235/220235 CWUL- CZWG WINNIPEG FIR CNCL SIGMET C3 212235/220235=  056 WSCN24 CWAO 220021 CZYZ SIGMET B1 VALID 220020/220420 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN /N4839 W08205/30 W CYTS - /N4937 W08659/10 S CYGQ - /N5032 W07949/60 SE CYMO - /N4837 W07541/60 NW CYPP - /N4735 W07624/60 SE CYVO - /N4839 W08205/30 W CYTS SFC/FL040 MOV ENE 20KT NC RMK GFACN33/CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E1 CZWG WINNIPEG FIR SIGMET C1=  861 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 212259  862 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 33 VALID 212114/220030 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0608 W07256 - S0650 W07112 - S0436 W07004 - S0414 W07051 - S0608 W07256 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT INTSF=  863 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 37 VALID 212255/220030 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0829 W06746 - S0703 W06252 - S1201 W05937 - S1328 W06101 - S1207 W06418 - S0944 W06558 - S0829 W06746 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT NC=  864 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 27 VALID 212111/220011 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0152 W06357 - N0143 W06114 - S0021 W06144 - N0041 W06512 - N0152 W06357 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  866 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 30 VALID 212100/220030 SBAZ- SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0327 W06459 - S0317 W06206 - S0528 W06246 - S0825 W06553 - S0711 W06731 - S0327 W06459 TOP FL400 MOV W 15KT NC=  867 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 35 VALID 212220/220030 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0115 W06128 - S0125 W05818 - S0356 W05845 - S0526 W06125 - S0451 W06224 - S0141 W06201 - S0115 W06128 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT INTSF=  868 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 212057  869 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 34 VALID 212230/220030 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 28 212100/220030=  870 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBCW 212215  871 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAO SIGMET 9 VALID 212345/220250 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0645 W03649 - N0740 W03501 - N0651 W03351 - N0638 W03430 - N0703 W03505 - N0645 W03649 TOP FL390 STNR NC=  872 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 212304  873 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBRE 212035  874 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 31 VALID 212100/220030 SBAZ- SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0800 W06429 - S0748 W06253 - S0933 W06305 - S0928 W06446 - S0800 W06429 TOP FL400 MOV W 15KT NC=  875 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 26 VALID 212111/220011 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1244 W05545 - S1353 W05353 - S1646 W05323 - S1751 W05547 - S1359 W05711 - S1244 W05545 TOP FL410 STNR NC=  876 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 38 VALID 212303/220030 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0637 W07214 - S0658 W07051 - S0817 W07059 - S0746 W07226 - S0637 W07214 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT NC=  877 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBRE 212344  878 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 32 VALID 212100/220030 SBAZ- SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0559 W07052 - S0525 W06923 - S0841 W06839 - S0904 W07018 - S0559 W07052 TOP FL400 MOV W 15KT NC=  879 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 212048  880 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAO SIGMET 8 VALID 212050/220050 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2432 W04050 - S3402 W03029 - S3423 W03723 - S3015 W04642 - S2646 W04358 - S2432 W04050 TOP FL390 STNR NC=  881 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 28 VALID 212100/220030 SBAZ- SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0155 W06118 - S0208 W05859 - S0337 W05906 - S0332 W06112 - S0155 W06118 TOP FL400 MOV W 15KT NC=  882 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBCW SIGMET 17 VALID 212230/220130 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2710 W05350- S2750 W04642- S2400 W04403- S2247 W04545 - S2247 W04814 - S2415 W05145 - S2710 W05350 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  883 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBCW SIGMET 16 VALID 212230/220130 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2947 W05702- S2710 W05350- S2750 W04642- S3300 W05100 - S2947 W05702 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  884 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 25 VALID 212111/220011 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0836 W05234 - S1007 W05053 - S1202 W05241 - S1020 W05437 - S0836 W05234 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  885 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 212116  886 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 36 VALID 212255/220030 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 31 212100/220030=  887 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 212223  888 WSBZ01 SBBR 220000 SBAZ SIGMET 29 VALID 212100/220030 SBAZ- SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0441 W05919 - S0441 W05715 - S0944 W05524 - S1007 W05756 - S0721 W05934 - S0441 W05919 TOP FL400 MOV W 15KT NC=  936 WUUS55 KABQ 220022 SVRABQ NMC005-220100- /O.NEW.KABQ.SV.W.0376.151022T0022Z-151022T0100Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 622 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CHAVES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 700 PM MDT * AT 622 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER COTTONWOOD...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARTESIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LAKE ARTHUR. THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 285 NEAR MILE MARKER 79. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. BOATERS SHOULD TAKE REFUGE AT THE NEAREST PROTECTED SHORELINE. && LAT...LON 3310 10436 3301 10407 3296 10413 3297 10445 TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 217DEG 18KT 3293 10436 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ CA  312 WSTU31 LTAC 220021 LTAA SIGMET 1 VALID 220030/220330 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 0030Z N36 E033 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  233 WSIR31 OIII 220020 OIIX SIGMET 1 VALID 220005/220230- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS LOC OVER SW,W AND SOUTH OF NW AREA OBSTOP FL320 MOV E INTSF=  267 WOUS64 KWNS 220024 WOU6 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 624 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC005-027-053-220200- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES LINCOLN SOCORRO $$ ATTN...WFO...ABQ...  269 WOUS64 KWNS 220024 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 724 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  360 WWUS54 KSJT 220024 SVSSJT SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 724 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC307-411-220034- /O.CAN.KSJT.SV.W.0310.000000T0000Z-151022T0045Z/ MCCULLOCH TX-SAN SABA TX- 724 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MCCULLOCH AND WEST CENTRAL SAN SABA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER SMALL HAIL.... GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO. LAT...LON 3110 9919 3118 9933 3138 9914 3125 9887 TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 229DEG 20KT 3125 9913 $$  523 WGUS82 KILM 220026 FLSILM FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 826 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following river... Waccamaw At Conway affecting Horry County SC PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to protect life and property from the flood waters. Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the "Rivers and Lakes" link. && SCC051-221626- /O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151026T0600Z/ /CNWS1.3.ER.151004T1611Z.151010T2100Z.151026T0000Z.NO/ 826 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...Flood Warning now in effect until late Sunday night... The Flood Warning continues for The Waccamaw At Conway. * until late Sunday night. * At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.5 feet. * Flood stage is 11.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday evening. * Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flooding will occur in residential areas off Business 501, Highway 905 and Highway 90. Water levels one foot deep will surround approximately 20 homes in the Savannah Bluff area. Flood waters will also surround homes in the Lees Landing, Pitch Landing and Riverfront South communties. Flooding will occur near a few homes on Oak Street as well as at Punch Bowl and Pitch Landing. && LAT...LON 3391 7892 3382 7886 3379 7900 3371 7900 3371 7911 3385 7908 $$  230 WWCN15 CWNT 220027 BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE HIGH ARCTIC AREA ENDED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 7:27 P.M. CDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- BLIZZARD WARNING ENDED FOR: RESOLUTE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NU END/MSC  734 WSMA31 FIMP 220020 FIMM SIGMET 01 VALID 220030/220430 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0030Z WI S0600 E06000 - S0600 E06300 - S1000 E06300 - S1000 E06000 TOP ABV FL390 STNR NC=  870 WSCN04 CWAO 220028 CZYZ SIGMET D1 VALID 220025/220230 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR CNCL SIGMET D3 212230/220230=  871 WSCN24 CWAO 220028 CZYZ SIGMET D1 VALID 220025/220230 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR CNCL SIGMET D3 212230/220230 RMK GFACN33=  540 WWUS55 KABQ 220030 SVSABQ SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 630 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC005-220100- /O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0376.000000T0000Z-151022T0100Z/ CHAVES- 630 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHAVES COUNTY... AT 629 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COTTONWOOD... OR 11 MILES NORTH OF ARTESIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LAKE ARTHUR. THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 285 NEAR MILE MARKER 79. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. BOATERS SHOULD TAKE REFUGE AT THE NEAREST PROTECTED SHORELINE. && LAT...LON 3310 10436 3302 10414 3296 10420 3297 10445 TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 214DEG 19KT 3300 10433 HAIL...2.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ CA  824 WSCA31 TTPP 220030 RRA TTZP SIGMET 1 VALID 220025/220425 TTPP- TTZP PIARCO FIR OBS EMBD TS IN AREA BNDD BY N1210 W05653 N1146 W05900 N1035 W06002 N0911 W06002 N1203 W05626 N1210 W05653 TOP FL450 INCR=  225 WWNT31 KNGU 221200 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLEWEACEN// SUBJ/HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 221200Z OCT 2015. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS ONLY BUT MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND AND SHELTERED AREAS AND HAVE BEEN SIMPLIFIED TO EASE PLOTTING. 3. HIGH WIND WARNINGS BASED ON 024 HRS FORECAST. A. GALE WARNING: AREA OF 35 KT GALE AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 60.1N7 023.0W5, 59.0N4 024.2W8, 55.3N3 026.0W8, 53.0N8 027.3W2, 51.9N5 026.6W4, 52.0N7 024.3W9, 54.5N4 021.3W6, 56.7N8 019.8W8, 58.6N9 020.0W2, 59.9N3 021.0W3, 60.1N7 023.0W5, MAX GALE 40KT NEAR 56.5N6 023.1W6. B. GALE WARNING: AREA OF 35 KT GALE AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 60.9N5 006.9W5, 60.3N9 009.2W1, 59.0N4 010.1W2, 58.0N3 009.1W0, 57.8N0 006.4W0, 58.6N9 004.4W8, 58.6N9 002.9W1, 57.3N5 000.1W1, 57.9N1 003.1E4, 59.4N8 004.3E7, 60.6N2 003.2E5, 60.6N2 000.5W5, 60.1N7 002.6W8, 60.7N3 004.6W0, 60.9N5 006.9W5, MAX GALE 45KT NEAR 59.1N5 000.5E5. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS BASED ON 024 HRS FORECAST. A. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 33.0N6 025.8W5, 31.3N7 027.2W1, 29.0N1 027.6W5, 28.5N5 026.0W8, 28.8N8 023.6W1, 30.9N2 022.7W1, 32.2N7 022.7W1, 33.5N1 023.7W2, 33.0N6 025.8W5, MAX SEAS 14FT NEAR 30.5N8 025.2W9. B. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 67.6N9 025.1W8, 65.4N5 033.8W4, 64.7N7 034.7W4, 64.2N2 034.8W5, 64.1N1 033.9W5, 64.1N1 033.2W8, 63.9N8 032.3W8, 63.3N2 030.8W1, 62.9N7 029.1W2, 62.8N6 027.3W2, 63.2N1 026.3W1, 64.4N4 025.7W4, 65.7N8 025.1W8, 66.5N7 024.0W6, 67.1N4 023.3W8, 67.6N9 023.6W1, 67.6N9 025.1W8, MAX SEAS 16FT NEAR 65.3N4 028.7W7. C. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 60.2N8 050.7W2, 55.8N8 051.9W5, 54.5N4 051.7W3, 53.8N6 050.7W2, 52.7N4 048.6W8, 51.9N5 047.9W0, 50.7N2 048.1W3, 49.7N0 050.4W9, 48.4N6 050.2W7, 47.5N6 048.6W8, 46.7N7 044.3W1, 45.9N8 039.8W0, 45.3N2 037.9W9, 44.8N6 036.5W4, 45.3N2 034.5W2, 47.9N0 029.6W7, 48.5N7 028.4W4, 48.5N7 027.6W5, 47.3N4 025.8W5, 46.9N9 023.1W6, 47.2N3 021.2W5, 46.9N9 019.1W1, 45.4N3 016.9W6, 45.1N0 015.2W8, 45.6N5 012.5W8, 48.0N2 008.0W8, 49.2N5 007.1W8, 50.5N0 008.0W8, 51.2N8 009.9W8, 51.9N5 010.9W0, 53.0N8 010.6W7, 53.7N5 010.9W0, 55.0N0 010.3W4, 55.7N7 008.6W4, 56.0N1 007.4W1, 57.2N4 007.4W1, 58.3N6 007.7W4, 59.0N4 007.1W8, 59.0N4 004.7W1, 58.8N1 002.9W1, 58.5N8 002.6W8, 58.0N3 001.9W0, 57.7N9 001.3W4, 57.1N3 001.0W1, 56.8N9 000.8E8, 55.7N7 002.2E4, 55.8N8 004.0E4, 56.6N7 005.2E7, 57.2N4 006.1E7, 58.1N4 005.8E3, 59.1N5 004.7E1, 60.3N9 004.3E7, 62.1N9 004.1E5, 62.6N4 004.7E1, 63.2N1 005.9E4, 63.6N5 005.2E7, 63.6N5 003.4E7, 63.0N9 001.0E1, 62.8N6 002.0W2, 62.4N2 004.3W7, 62.7N5 005.0W5, 63.4N3 004.1W5, 64.2N2 003.1W4, 64.9N9 004.9W3, 64.9N9 008.8W6, 64.9N9 011.8W0, 64.4N4 013.7W1, 63.4N3 016.9W6, 63.2N1 020.0W2, 63.4N3 021.8W1, 63.2N1 023.7W2, 62.6N4 025.2W9, 61.6N3 026.1W9, 61.1N8 026.9W7, 60.8N4 028.5W5, 61.1N8 030.3W6, 61.2N9 031.7W1, 60.8N4 033.9W5, 60.0N6 036.6W5, 59.7N1 038.4W5, 59.7N1 040.4W8, 60.0N6 041.3W8, 59.9N3 042.6W2, 59.1N5 043.6W3, 58.3N6 044.6W4, 58.0N3 046.2W2, 58.3N6 047.7W8, 59.4N8 048.0W2, 60.2N8 048.9W1, 60.6N2 050.2W7, 60.2N8 050.7W2, MAX SEAS 32FT NEAR 57.1N3 011.0W2. D. SEAS 18 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 63.7N6 012.6W9, 63.2N1 015.4W0, 61.5N2 017.4W2, 58.7N0 018.8W7, 57.5N7 020.1W3, 57.1N3 021.5W8, 57.9N1 022.5W9, 58.3N6 023.7W2, 57.9N1 026.3W1, 56.7N8 026.7W5, 56.2N3 026.3W1, 54.5N4 027.3W2, 53.3N1 028.1W1, 52.8N5 027.9W8, 52.5N2 026.7W5, 53.0N8 025.5W2, 54.2N1 023.3W8, 54.8N7 021.9W2, 54.3N2 019.5W5, 53.2N0 017.0W8, 52.6N3 015.2W8, 51.1N7 014.0W5, 49.8N1 012.6W9, 49.4N7 011.4W6, 49.8N1 010.4W5, 50.7N2 010.4W5, 51.3N9 011.1W3, 52.2N9 011.8W0, 53.1N9 011.8W0, 54.5N4 011.8W0, 55.5N5 010.7W8, 56.0N1 008.9W7, 57.1N3 008.4W2, 58.8N1 008.4W2, 59.3N7 007.7W4, 59.4N8 005.5W0, 59.4N8 003.5W8, 59.4N8 002.3W5, 58.4N7 001.6W7, 58.1N4 000.2W2, 58.4N7 000.8E8, 59.3N7 001.4E5, 59.7N1 000.5E5, 59.9N3 001.4W5, 60.3N9 002.5W7, 61.1N8 002.5W7, 61.4N1 004.4W8, 61.5N2 006.8W4, 62.1N9 008.3W1, 62.8N6 007.9W6, 63.6N5 009.8W7, 63.7N6 011.3W5, 63.7N6 012.6W9, MAX SEAS 32FT NEAR 57.1N3 011.0W2. 5. A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS WARNING CAN BE FOUND AT A. NIPR: 00Z https://pki.weather.navy.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwnt30.png 12Z https://pki.weather.navy.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwnt31.png B. SIPR: 00Z http://www.weather.navy.smil.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwnt30.png 12Z http://www.weather.navy.smil.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwnt31.png 6. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING WILL BE 210000Z.// BT  558 WWMM31 KNGU 221200 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLEWEACEN// SUBJ/HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR MEDITERRANEAN AND BLACK SEA RMKS/1. THIS WARNING IS VALID FOR 221200Z OCT 2015. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS ONLY BUT MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND AND SHELTERED AREAS AND HAVE BEEN SIMPLIFIED TO EASE PLOTTING. 3. HIGH WIND WARNINGS BASED ON 024 HRS FORECAST. A. GALE WARNING: AREA OF 35 KT GALE AND GREATER OVER WATER BOUNDED BY: 42.7N3 004.0E4, 41.7N2 003.8E1, 41.2N7 004.3E7, 41.4N9 005.8E3, 42.1N7 006.4E0, 42.5N1 005.9E4, 42.8N4 005.0E5, 42.7N3 004.0E4, MAX GALE 40KT NEAR 42.0N6 004.8E2. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNINGS BASED ON 024 HRS FORECAST. A. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER BOUNDED BY: 42.0N6 004.2E6, 40.6N0 004.6E0, 39.3N5 005.6E1, 39.3N5 006.2E8, 39.8N0 007.0E7, 41.2N7 007.0E7, 42.1N7 006.5E1, 42.5N1 005.8E3, 42.6N2 004.5E9, 42.0N6 004.2E6, MAX SEAS 13FT NEAR 41.0N5 005.9E4. 5. A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS WARNING CAN BE FOUND AT A. NIPR: 00Z https://pki.weather.navy.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwmm30.png 12Z https://pki.weather.navy.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwmm31.png B. SIPR: 00Z http://www.weather.navy.smil.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwmm30.png 12Z http://www.weather.navy.smil.mil/center/Winds_and_Seas/Warnings/wwmm31.png 6. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING WILL BE 210000Z.// BT  622 WSCA31 TTPP 220031 RRA TTZP SIGMET 1 VALID 220025/220425 TTPP- TTZP PIARCO FIR OBS EMBD TS IN AREA BNDD BY N1210 W05653 N1146 W05900 N1035 W06002 N0911 W06002 N1203 W05626 N1210 W05653 TOP FL450 INCR=  563 WHXX01 KMIA 220031 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0031 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 0000 151022 1200 151023 0000 151023 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.3N 99.9W 14.3N 101.6W 15.6N 103.1W 17.0N 104.0W BAMD 13.3N 99.9W 14.0N 101.9W 15.3N 103.5W 17.0N 104.4W BAMM 13.3N 99.9W 14.0N 102.1W 15.0N 103.8W 16.2N 104.9W LBAR 13.3N 99.9W 14.4N 102.2W 15.6N 104.1W 17.2N 105.9W SHIP 55KTS 69KTS 84KTS 93KTS DSHP 55KTS 69KTS 84KTS 93KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 0000 151025 0000 151026 0000 151027 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.8N 104.2W 22.3N 103.5W 22.4N 103.8W 23.7N 105.0W BAMD 19.4N 104.7W 25.2N 100.9W 29.3N 94.0W 32.3N 88.0W BAMM 18.0N 105.0W 21.3N 102.6W 22.5N 100.3W 23.6N 97.1W LBAR 18.9N 107.0W 23.9N 106.6W 29.0N 102.6W 32.0N 95.1W SHIP 92KTS 72KTS 62KTS 55KTS DSHP 92KTS 35KTS 28KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.3N LONCUR = 99.9W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 13KT LATM12 = 12.9N LONM12 = 97.4W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 95.1W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 40KT CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 80NM $$ NNNN  560 WAAB31 LATI 220030 LAAA AIRMET 1 VALID 220100/220500 LATI- LAAA TIRANA FIR ISOL CB/TS OBS SW AND CENTRAL PART OF FIR CB TOP FL350=  347 WABZ24 SBCW 220032 SBCW AIRMET 1 VALID 220030/220330 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR ISOL TS FC ST N OF S23 AND E OF W054 ABV FL030 STNR WKN=  112 WWUS54 KMAF 220035 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 635 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC015-220115- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0256.000000T0000Z-151022T0115Z/ EDDY NM- 635 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT FOR NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY... AT 628 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ATOKA...OR NEAR ARTESIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED. SOURCE...PUBLIC. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ARTESIA...COTTONWOOD...ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...DAYTON AND ATOKA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3297 10444 3296 10409 3293 10405 3259 10450 3276 10466 TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 221DEG 21KT 3280 10438 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$  247 WSBZ31 SBBS 220034 SBBS SIGMET 2 VALID 220040/220440 SBBS -SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCS T WI S1708 W05251 - S1612 W04956 - S1757 W04901 - S1808 W04740 - S1936 W04707 - S2129 W04935 - S2029 W05046 - S1933 W05132 - S1708 W05251 T OP FL420 E 10KT NC=  948 WSBZ31 SBBS 220035 SBBS SIGMET 3 VALID 220040/220440 SBBS -SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCS T WI S2252 W04755 - S2216 W04740 - S2218 W04527 - S2246 W04545 - S2313 W04551 - S2329 W04657 - S2308 W04730 - S2252 W04755 TOP FL430 E 10KT NC=  402 WGUS84 KMAF 220037 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 737 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC015-TXC109-220330- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0211.151022T0037Z-151022T0330Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ EDDY NM-CULBERSON TX- 737 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... NORTH CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1030 PM CDT/930 PM MDT/ * AT 736 PM CDT/636 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. * FLOODING WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL EDDY AND NORTH CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES FM 1108 CROSSING DELAWARE RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3204 10426 3147 10423 3147 10458 3204 10460 $$ 44  931 WOUS20 KWNS 220038 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220040 NMZ000-TXZ000-220140- STATUS REPORT ON WW 516 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW ELP TO 25 N ELP TO 10 SSW ALM TO 25 SW SRR TO 20 NW SRR TO 20 NNW 4CR AND 55 W MRF TO 10 SSW GDP TO 40 SSW ROW TO 25 ENE SRR TO 30 NNE 4CR. ..COOK..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 516 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC005-027-220140- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES LINCOLN $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  976 WOUS20 KWNS 220039 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220040 NMZ000-TXZ000-220140- STATUS REPORT ON WW 517 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..COOK..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC015-025-220140- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  246 WABZ24 SBCW 220039 SBCW AIRMET 2 VALID 220030/220330 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 20 00/4000M RA BR BKN CLD 500/1200FT FCST WI S2227 W04835- S2422 W04908- S2512 W 04715- S2429 W04434 - S2330 W04656 - S2227 W04835 STNR NC=  391 WTJP22 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 945 HPA AT 23.7N 141.2E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 24.8N 144.3E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 26.6N 148.7E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 30.7N 155.8E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  392 WTPQ21 RJTD 220000 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 220000UTC 23.7N 141.2E GOOD MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 230000UTC 24.8N 144.3E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 08KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 48HF 240000UTC 26.6N 148.7E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 11KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 72HF 250000UTC 30.7N 155.8E 250NM 70% MOVE NE 19KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT =  511 WHUS73 KMQT 220043 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 LSZ249-220845- /O.UPG.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.EXA.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.151022T0600Z-151022T2300Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ251-220845- /O.EXT.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ /O.EXB.KMQT.SC.Y.0205.151022T1000Z-151022T2300Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ267-220845- /O.EXT.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 16 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ243>245-220845- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.151022T0600Z-151022T1700Z/ UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI- EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 1 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 1 PM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-220845- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.151022T0600Z-151022T2300Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 16 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ264>266-220600- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ241-220845- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 /743 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015/ ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ248-220845- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 11 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-220845- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T0900Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 6 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ248-250-220845- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T0900Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ240-220600- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 /743 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015/ ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ242-220845- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 11 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ247-220845- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ246-220845- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0204.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 843 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 6 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ KC  622 WOUS64 KWNS 220043 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 743 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  624 WOUS64 KWNS 220043 WOU6 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 643 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC005-027-053-220200- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES LINCOLN SOCORRO $$ ATTN...WFO...ABQ...  283 WWUS54 KMAF 220043 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 743 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC015-TXC109-389-220115- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0257.000000T0000Z-151022T0115Z/ EDDY NM-CULBERSON TX-REEVES TX- 743 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT/715 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDDY...NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON AND NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTIES... AT 743 PM CDT/643 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ORLA...OR 34 MILES WEST OF MENTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ORLA. RANGE ROAD 652. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3139 10417 3179 10449 3213 10411 3151 10370 TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 237DEG 32KT 3165 10418 HAIL...1.75IN WIND...60MPH $$ 80  831 WTPQ20 BABJ 220000 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CHAMPI 1525 (1525) INITIAL TIME 220000 UTC 00HR 23.7N 141.1E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS WINDS 300KM NORTHEAST 280KM SOUTHEAST 280KM SOUTHWEST 280KM NORTHWEST 50KTS WINDS 120KM NORTHEAST 120KM SOUTHEAST 120KM SOUTHWEST 120KM NORTHWEST 64KTS WINDS 60KM NORTHEAST 60KM SOUTHEAST 60KM SOUTHWEST 60KM NORTHWEST MOVE ENE 13KM/H P+12HR 24.3N 142.3E 950HPA 45M/S P+24HR 25.0N 143.9E 950HPA 45M/S P+36HR 25.7N 145.7E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 26.3N 147.3E 970HPA 35M/S P+60HR 27.5N 149.7E 975HPA 33M/S P+72HR 29.8N 153.7E 980HPA 30M/S P+96HR 38.0N 169.0E 990HPA 23M/S=  959 WGUS82 KCHS 220048 FLSCHS FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 848 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 SCC015-043-089-230048- /O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-151025T0600Z/ /JAMS1.3.ER.151004T1441Z.151011T0715Z.151024T1800Z.NO/ 848 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Santee River Near Jamestown. * At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.1 feet. * Flood stage is 10.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Forecast, the river is expected to drop below flood stage early Saturday afternoon. * At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads become impassable. && LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3335 7969 3327 7946 3320 7951 3329 7976 $$  757 WWUS55 KABQ 220051 SVSABQ SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 651 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC005-220100- /O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0376.000000T0000Z-151022T0100Z/ CHAVES- 651 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHAVES COUNTY... AT 650 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HAGERMAN...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARTESIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LAKE ARTHUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. BOATERS SHOULD TAKE REFUGE AT THE NEAREST PROTECTED SHORELINE. && LAT...LON 3310 10436 3303 10417 3296 10422 3296 10426 3297 10439 TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 214DEG 17KT 3304 10429 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ CA  532 WSSR20 WSSS 220051 WSJC SIGMET 1 VALID 220100/220500 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0245 NC AND EMBD TS OBS E OF LINE N0245 E10515 - S0045 E105 NC=  809 WUUS54 KMAF 220053 SVRMAF NMC015-220130- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0258.151022T0053Z-151022T0130Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 653 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 730 PM MDT * AT 652 PM MDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER OTIS...OR NEAR CARLSBAD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CARLSBAD...CARLSBAD NORTH...AVALON...SEVEN RIVERS...LAKE AVALON... CAVERN CITY AIR TERMINAL...LAKEWOOD...BRANTLEY LAKE STATE PARK... OTIS...SEVEN RIVERS AIRPORT AND LIVING DESERT STATE PARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL... DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. && LAT...LON 3226 10428 3259 10449 3284 10417 3240 10380 TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 240DEG 49KT 3238 10419 $$  854 WSMS31 WMKK 220052 WBFC SIGMET A01 VALID 220100/220400 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0530 FCST STNR NC=  385 WFUS54 KMAF 220054 TORMAF TXC301-389-220145- /O.NEW.KMAF.TO.W.0029.151022T0054Z-151022T0145Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 754 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL LOVING COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 845 PM CDT * AT 753 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ORLA...OR 25 MILES WEST OF MENTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SLASH RANCH AROUND 840 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. && LAT...LON 3155 10406 3175 10404 3197 10364 3170 10351 TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 242DEG 31KT 3165 10402 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...1.75IN $$ 05  320 WTPQ20 RJTD 220000 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 220000UTC 23.2N 155.2E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 230000UTC 29.7N 160.6E 120NM 70% MOVE NE 25KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  890 WSUS33 KKCI 220055 SIGW MKCW WST 220055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 1W VALID UNTIL 0255Z AZ FROM 40NW PHX-50NE BZA DMSHG LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 34015KT. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 220255-220655 AREA 1...FROM RSK-60NW ABQ-SJN-30SW INW-40SW PHX-40E BZA-30SSW EED-70N PGS-RSK REF WW 516. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 60NW ABQ-50SW ELP-50S TUS-80SE BZA-60SW SJN-SJN-60NW ABQ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  891 WSUS31 KKCI 220055 SIGE MKCE WST 220055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220255-220655 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  892 WSUS32 KKCI 220055 SIGC MKCC WST 220055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 1C VALID UNTIL 0255Z TX OK FROM 20NE CDS-60NE MAF-40SW LBB LINE TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 19035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2C VALID UNTIL 0255Z TX OK KS FROM 70E GCK-20NNW LBL-50WSW MMB LINE EMBD TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 3C VALID UNTIL 0255Z NM FROM 50ESE CIM-50NW CME LINE EMBD TS 50 NM WIDE MOV FROM 18030KT. TOPS TO FL430. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 4C VALID UNTIL 0255Z TX NM FROM 50NE CME-20SW INK-60NNW MRF-60SW CME-40NW CME-50NE CME AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 20025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 5C VALID UNTIL 0255Z TX NM FROM 40NNE LBB-50NE CME DVLPG LINE TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 19035KT. TOPS TO FL370. OUTLOOK VALID 220255-220655 AREA 1...FROM 40NW SLN-40N SAT-30S DLF-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-50SW MRF-50SW ELP-60NW ABQ-40NE ABQ-30NNE LAA-40NW SLN REF WW 516 517. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM PSX-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-30W BRO-30W CRP-PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  716 WSBZ31 SBBS 220054 SBBS SIGMET 4 VALID 220055/220440 SBBS -SBBS BRASILIA FIR SEV ICE FCS T WI S1854 W04546 - S1853 W04229 - S1929 W04231 - S2025 W04238 - S2011 W04324 - S2022 W04329 - S2029 W04350 - S2028 W04406 - S2115 W04440 - S2029 W04607 - S1854 W04546 FL150/200 STNR NC=  541 WGUS84 KAMA 220056 FLSAMA FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 756 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC195-357-220130- /O.CON.KAMA.FA.Y.0148.000000T0000Z-151022T0130Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ OCHILTREE TX-HANSFORD TX- 756 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR OCHILTREE AND HANSFORD COUNTIES... AT 753 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED WATER ON HIGHWAY 136 BETWEEN GRUVER AND MORSE. BAR DITCHES ARE ALSO FULL IN SOME SPOTS. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN. THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN END BY 8:30 PM...BUT MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... PERRYTON...SPEARMAN...GRUVER...WAKA...FARNSWORTH AND MORSE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS FARM AND COUNTRY ROADS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. && LAT...LON 3606 10077 3606 10162 3649 10143 3649 10059 $$ LG  451 WTKO20 RKSL 220000 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 34 NAME 1525 CHAMPI ANALYSIS POSITION 220000UTC 23.8N 141.2E MOVEMENT NE 5KT PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 230000UTC 24.8N 144.3E WITHIN 75NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT 48HR POSITION 240000UTC 27.0N 148.7E WITHIN 125NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT 72HR POSITION 250000UTC 30.6N 155.6E WITHIN 0NM PRES 985HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  669 WSAU21 AMMC 220056 YMMM SIGMET D01 VALID 220130/220530 YMMC- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S4800 E07800 - S4800 E08300 - S4300 E08400 - S3800 E08300 - S3800 E07800 - S4300 E07900 FL240/340 MOV E 25KT NC=  372 WWUS55 KABQ 220057 SVSABQ SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 657 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC005-220107- /O.EXP.KABQ.SV.W.0376.000000T0000Z-151022T0100Z/ CHAVES- 657 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHAVES COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM MDT... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER SMALL HAIL....GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE. LAT...LON 3310 10436 3303 10417 3296 10422 3296 10426 3297 10439 TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 217DEG 18KT 3304 10429 $$ CA  721 WWUS85 KABQ 220059 SPSABQ SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 659 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMZ538-220130- CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS- 659 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM MDT... AT 658 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HAGERMAN...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARTESIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HAGERMAN AND LAKE ARTHUR. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. LAT...LON 3298 10439 3317 10432 3316 10398 3297 10413 3296 10428 TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 215DEG 15KT 3306 10427 $$ CA  692 WGUS84 KMAF 220059 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 659 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC015-220400- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0212.151022T0059Z-151022T0400Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ EDDY NM- 659 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHEASTERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 1000 PM MDT * AT 659 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... CARLSBAD...CARLSBAD NORTH...LOVING...CAVERN CITY AIR TERMINAL... OTIS AND LIVING DESERT STATE PARK. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...BLACK RIVER... PECOS RIVER...DARK CANYON AND SHEEP DRAW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3248 10414 3227 10407 3231 10429 3249 10430 $$ 44  454 ACUS01 KWNS 220059 SWODY1 SPC AC 220058 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0758 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 VALID 220100Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PERMIAN BASIN AND TX S PLAINS... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SRN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THESE APPEAR MOST LIKELY AROUND THE PERMIAN BASIN WITH SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ALONG THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF A NORTHEAST-MOVING SQUALL LINE. ...SRN HIGH PLAINS... A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ALONG THE PECOS VALLEY OF SERN NM/FAR W TX NEAR A 1009 MB SURFACE CYCLONE. THIS LOW IS PROGGED TO ADVANCE NNE TONIGHT AS A SSELY LLJ INTENSIFIES THIS EVENING AMID WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS. ONGOING ACTIVITY SHOULD EVOLVE INTO AN EXPANDING QLCS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL/SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS ON THE FLANKING/SRN PERIPHERY. 00Z MAF/DRT RAOBS SAMPLED A MARITIME TROPICAL AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY MEAN MIXING RATIOS OF 13-15 G/KG. AS LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS FURTHER ENLARGE THIS EVENING...A TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IN THE PERMIAN BASIN/PECOS VALLEY AREA. ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS AND AMPLE BUOYANCY IN THE MID/UPPER-LEVELS WILL FAVOR LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION. PRIMARY LINEAR MODE SHOULD TEMPER THE SIZE/AMPLITUDE OF THE HAIL THREAT BUT MAY SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS. ..GRAMS.. 10/22/2015 $$  456 WUUS01 KWNS 220059 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0758 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 VALID TIME 220100Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29230276 30020354 30650416 31380447 32070458 33090425 33620331 34410252 35240212 35450176 35540135 35460073 34520048 33900046 32330075 30660108 29410149 0.05 32200421 32710358 33000276 33070215 32910173 32520154 31660158 31080171 30640202 30520250 30570323 31290421 31600433 32200421 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29080394 31760460 33440463 35010433 35790313 35800169 35270087 33830059 32150058 30840087 29360154 0.15 33730198 33090168 32200154 31340153 30770182 30480225 30500314 30990383 31450429 32250455 33150438 33870317 33860248 33730198 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29200266 30740426 31990458 33130438 33620376 34760281 35680220 36030164 35680056 35030028 34220018 32880032 30750095 29380144 0.15 32420377 33070300 33570210 33550164 33180140 32530141 32110147 31730158 31220204 31120261 31140338 31330383 31600406 32000404 32420377 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 33730198 33550164 33180140 32530141 32110147 31880154 31340153 30770182 30480225 30500314 30990383 31290421 32250455 33150438 33870317 33860248 33730198 MRGL 29310400 31760460 33440463 35010433 35790313 35800200 36030164 35680056 35030028 34220018 32880032 31600070 30840087 30330110 29630135 TSTM 25419711 27809829 28619914 28570007 28270066 99999999 31571296 33151373 34201420 35631397 36411277 36871143 36850959 36000852 35060793 34760715 35260615 35930573 37410400 38550079 39239741 38939629 38259623 37349687 35679791 32649785 30839731 29689614 28559492 27589381 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW LBB 15 SE LBB 40 SE LBB 20 NNE BGS 10 SSE BGS 25 S BGS 60 SE MAF 55 NNE 6R6 30 N 6R6 30 SSW FST 45 NNE MRF 50 SE GDP 15 WSW CNM 15 SE ROW 35 SSE CVS 40 WNW LBB 10 WNW LBB. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S MRF 15 ESE GDP 10 NNW ROW 45 WSW TCC 35 WSW DHT 35 ESE DHT 25 NNW BGD 45 E BGD 40 N CDS 15 SSE CDS 50 NW ABI 20 NW SJT 40 SSW SJT 65 N DRT 30 NW DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE BRO 15 WNW ALI 10 NNE COT 50 W COT 75 SSE DRT ...CONT... 95 S GBN 60 NE YUM 45 SSE EED 25 N IGM 45 NW GCN PGA 50 S 4BL 35 NNE GUP 10 SSW GNT 35 WSW ABQ 25 S SAF 30 NE SAF 20 ENE TAD 45 N GCK 25 SSE CNK 25 SE MHK EMP 35 SE ICT 25 NW OKC 15 SE MWL 25 SSE TPL 50 W HOU 50 SE LBX 135 SSE GLS.  074 WSSC31 FSIA 220000 FSSS SIGMET 01 VALID 220115/220515 FSIA- FSSS SEYCHELLES FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0951 E05933 - S0843 E05736 - S0621 E05741 - S0513 E05855 - S0645 E05958 - S0951 E05933. TOP ABV FL390 MOV SE NC=  943 WSIY33 LIIB 220100 LIBB SIGMET 01 VALID 220130/220530 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR TOP FL400 MOV E NC=  070 WHUS71 KCAR 220102 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 902 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ANZ050>052-221200- /O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0246.151022T1500Z-151023T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM- INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME- 902 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ NORCROSS  457 WOUS64 KWNS 220103 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 803 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  247 WOUS64 KWNS 220104 WOU6 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 703 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC005-027-053-220200- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES LINCOLN SOCORRO $$ ATTN...WFO...ABQ...  351 WCJP31 RJTD 220110 RJJJ SIGMET L01 VALID 220110/220710 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR TC CHAMPI(1525) OBS AT 0000Z N2340 E14110 CB TOP FL540 WI 110NM OF CENTRE MOV ENE 5KT NC FCST 0600Z TC CENTRE N2400 E14150=  215 WHXX01 KMIA 220104 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 0104 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF (EP192015) 20151022 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 0000 151022 1200 151023 0000 151023 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.3N 145.3W 13.2N 146.8W 13.7N 147.7W 14.2N 148.1W BAMD 12.3N 145.3W 13.3N 146.6W 14.5N 147.6W 15.7N 148.6W BAMM 12.3N 145.3W 13.3N 146.6W 14.3N 147.8W 15.1N 148.7W LBAR 12.3N 145.3W 13.3N 146.3W 14.5N 147.3W 15.9N 148.2W SHIP 105KTS 108KTS 110KTS 103KTS DSHP 105KTS 108KTS 110KTS 103KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 0000 151025 0000 151026 0000 151027 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.2N 148.3W 17.3N 149.0W 19.3N 149.4W 19.5N 145.0W BAMD 16.9N 149.3W 18.0N 149.7W 19.5N 148.0W 22.8N 139.6W BAMM 15.9N 149.3W 16.9N 149.4W 19.3N 147.6W 22.2N 140.0W LBAR 17.2N 148.8W 20.6N 147.6W 23.4N 143.5W 26.5N 137.3W SHIP 94KTS 65KTS 43KTS 31KTS DSHP 94KTS 65KTS 43KTS 31KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.3N LONCUR = 145.3W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 11.6N LONM12 = 144.2W DIRM12 = 299DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 10.9N LONM24 = 142.6W WNDCUR = 105KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 105KT CENPRS = 958MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 240NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 140NM RD34SE = 115NM RD34SW = 55NM RD34NW = 100NM $$ NNNN  835 WWCN14 CWHX 220107 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NEW BRUNSWICK UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:07 P.M. ADT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: CAMPBELLTON AND RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW THE FREEZING MARK AS AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST EARLY THURSDAY. SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE LIKELY THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL SOUTHERLY WINDS BEGIN TO PUSH IN MUCH WARMER AIR ACROSS THE PROVINCE. THE HIGHEST THREAT AREA FOR ICE ACCRETION IS OVER MADAWASKA AND RESTIGOUCHE COUNTIES ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SUGARLOAF PROVINCIAL PARK TO ST-ANDRE TO GRAND FALLS. TAKE EXTRA CARE WHEN WALKING OR DRIVING IN AFFECTED AREAS. BE PREPARED TO ADJUST YOUR DRIVING WITH CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO WEATHERASPC(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)NBSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NB END/MSC  836 WSIY32 LIIB 220105 LIRR SIGMET 01 VALID 220130/220530 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST MAINLY CENTRAL/E PART OF FIR TOP FL400 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST S PART OF FIR ABV FL270 STNR NC=  215 WSCA31 MHTG 220102 MHTG SIGMET H1 VALID 220100/220300 MHTG- MHTG CENTRAL AMERICAN FIR CNL SIGMET H5 212100/220100=  044 WSIY31 LIIB 220110 LIMM SIGMET 01 VALID 220130/220530 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST MAINLY CENTRAL/N PART OF FIR ABV FL270 STNR NC=  342 WWUS85 KPSR 220112 SPSPSR SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 612 PM MST WED OCT 21 2015 AZZ022-220145- NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY AZ- 612 PM MST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR... NORTHWESTERN MARICOPA COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM MST AT 609 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF TONOPAH...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...PONDING...RUNNING WASHES...SMALL HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TONOPAH. LAT...LON 3376 11293 3373 11276 3341 11273 3346 11305 TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 005DEG 25KT 3361 11286 $$ JS  790 WSMX31 MMMX 220112 MMEX SIGMET A1 VALID 220109/220509 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0109Z 40NM WIDE LINE N1518W09806-N1530W09930-N1430W10112-N1236W10206 CB TOP FL450 MOV NW AT 8 KT INTSF. =  466 WSCA31 MHTG 220107 MHTG SIGMET A1 VALID 220105/220305 MHTG- MHTG CENTRAL AMERICAN FIR CNL SIGMET A2 VALID 212105/220105=  365 WGUS85 KABQ 220117 FLSABQ FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 717 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC011-019-047-220415- /O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0551.151022T0117Z-151022T0415Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DE BACA-GUADALUPE-SAN MIGUEL- 717 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A * ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... DE BACA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... NORTHEASTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... SOUTHEASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 1015 PM MDT * AT 715 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST ACROSS DE BACA... EASTERN GUADALUPE AND EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTIES. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS AND ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORT SUMNER...CONCHAS DAM...CUERVO...SUMNER LAKE...CONCHAS...SUMNER LAKE STATE PARK...CONCHAS LAKE STATE PARK...VARIADERO...YESO AND NEWKIRK. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 280 AND 308. HIGHWAY 285 NEAR MILE MARKER 155. OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS CONCHAS DAM...CONCHAS LAKE STATE PARK...SUMNER LAKE STATE PARK...AND FORT SUMNER STATE MONUMENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO TELL HOW MUCH WATER IS ON THE ROAD...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. && LAT...LON 3517 10405 3514 10413 3460 10412 3401 10418 3400 10472 3556 10452 3566 10400 $$  542 WAIY33 LIIB 220115 LIBB AIRMET 01 VALID 220145/220545 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR ISOL/OCNL TS AND CB/TCU FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MOD TURB OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC VIS 3000/5000 M BR FCST INLAND PLAIN AEREAS OF CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR STNR NC=  903 WSCA31 MHTG 220316 MHTG SIGMET B1 VALID 220115/220315 MHTG- MHTG CENTRAL AMERICAN FIR CNL SIGMET B1 212115/220115=  769 WWUS54 KMAF 220119 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 719 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC015-220130- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0258.000000T0000Z-151022T0130Z/ EDDY NM- 719 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM MDT FOR CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY... AT 718 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR AVALON...OR NEAR CARLSBAD NORTH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE AND WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CARLSBAD...CARLSBAD NORTH...AVALON...SEVEN RIVERS...LAKE AVALON... CAVERN CITY AIR TERMINAL...LAKEWOOD...BRANTLEY LAKE STATE PARK... OTIS...SEVEN RIVERS AIRPORT AND LIVING DESERT STATE PARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3226 10428 3259 10449 3284 10417 3240 10380 TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 220DEG 25KT 3250 10416 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  770 WGUS84 KMAF 220119 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 719 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC015-220315- /O.CON.KMAF.FA.Y.0210.000000T0000Z-151022T0315Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ EDDY NM- 719 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM MDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY... AT 719 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... ARTESIA...COTTONWOOD...ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...DAYTON AND ATOKA. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...EAGLE CREEK... COTTONWOOD CREEK...NORTH COTTONWOOD CREEK...PECOS RIVER...SOUTH COTTONWOOD CREEK AND PENASCO, RIO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3296 10458 3296 10425 3273 10425 3273 10459 $$ 44  422 WSIE31 EIDB 220110 EISN SIGMET 01 VALID 220120/220520 EINN- EISN SHANNON FIR SEV MTW FCST E OF W0100 BTN 4000FT/FL080 STNR NC=  445 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  618 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 WSBZ31 SBRE 212344  620 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 SBAZ SIGMET 4 VALID 220030/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0455 W05817 - S0623 W05732 - S0724 W05828 - S0607 W06028 - S0455 W05817 TOP FL400 STNR WKN=  619 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 WSBZ31 SBRE 220017  621 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 SBCW SIGMET 16 VALID 212230/220130 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2947 W05702- S2710 W05350- S2750 W04642- S3300 W05100 - S2947 W05702 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  622 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 SBAZ SIGMET 1 VALID 220014/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0206 W06721 - N0044 W06548 - S0028 W06614 - N0053 W06803 - N0148 W06747 - N0206 W06721 TOP FL400 MOV SW 12KT WKN=  623 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 SBAZ SIGMET 2 VALID 220030/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0408 W07027 - S0634 W06740 - S0939 W06920 - S0745 W07343 - S0636 W07342 - S0512 W07254 - S0408 W07027 TOP FL400 STNR WKN=  624 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220015  625 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220014  626 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 SBCW SIGMET 17 VALID 212230/220130 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2710 W05350- S2750 W04642- S2400 W04403- S2247 W04545 - S2247 W04814 - S2415 W05145 - S2710 W05350 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  628 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 SBAO SIGMET 9 VALID 212345/220250 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0645 W03649 - N0740 W03501 - N0651 W03351 - N0638 W03430 - N0703 W03505 - N0645 W03649 TOP FL390 STNR NC=  629 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 SBAZ SIGMET 3 VALID 220030/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0558 W06658 - S0247 W06518 - S0238 W06100 - S0503 W06051 - S0714 W06515 - S0558 W06658 TOP FL400 MOV W 10KT WKN=  630 WSBZ01 SBBR 220100 WSBZ31 SBCW 212215  484 WSIE31 EIDB 220110 EISN SIGMET 01 VALID 220120/220520 EINN- EISN SHANNON FIR SEV MTW FCST E OF W0100 AND N OF N5130 BTN 4000FT/FL080 STNR NC=  485 WAIY32 LIIB 220120 LIRR AIRMET 01 VALID 220145/220545 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR OCNL TS AND CB/TCU OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD TURB FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SFC VIS 3000/5000 RA/TSRA OBS/FCST INLAND PLAIN AREAS OF ENTIRE FIR STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S APPENNINI AND SICILY AND SARDINIA STNR NC=  192 WWUS84 KLUB 220122 SPSLUB SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 822 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXZ026-220130- CHILDRESS TX- 822 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR UNTIL 830 PM CDT... AT 820 PM...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 21 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHILDRESS...NEAR ARLIE...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. MOTORISTS ALONG HIGHWAY 62 IN NORTHEAST CHILDRESS COUNTY SHOULD PREPARE FOR HAIL...HEAVY BURSTS OF RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. LAT...LON 3474 10000 3464 10000 3473 10010 3474 10010 TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 174DEG 33KT 3471 10002 $$ MCZ  582 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  318 WGUS84 KLCH 220123 FLSLCH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 823 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier LAC019-221523- /O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /LCHL1.1.ER.151021T1200Z.151021T1500Z.151022T1800Z.NO/ 823 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning continues for The Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier. * until Friday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 3.9 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 4.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will fluctuate around flood stage through Friday morning. * Impact...At stages near 4.5 feet...Water covers portions of River Road in north Lake Charles. * Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor marshland flooding occurs. Flooding also begins on River Road in north Lake Charles. && LAT...LON 3035 9332 3017 9335 3014 9328 3029 9303 3036 9309 $$  039 WOUS64 KWNS 220124 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 824 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  573 WOUS64 KWNS 220125 WOU6 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 724 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC005-027-053-220200- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES LINCOLN SOCORRO $$ ATTN...WFO...ABQ...  613 WSBZ31 SBCW 220124 SBCW SIGMET 1 VALID 220130/220445 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2710 W05350- S2843 W05608- S3207 W05153- S3200 W04811 - S2805 W0 4450 - S2634 W05346 - S2710 W05350 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  686 WSBZ31 SBCW 220124 SBCW SIGMET 2 VALID 220130/220445 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2717 W05007- S2313 W04725- S2429 W04434- S2534 W04412 - S2805 W0 4450 - S2717 W05007 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  933 WSMX31 MMMX 220126 CCA MMEX SIGMET A1 VALID 220109/220509 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0109Z 60NM WIDE LINE N1524W09818-N1536W10006-N1512W10106-N1424W10118-N1330W10130-N1236W10206 CB TOP FL450 MOV NW AT 8 KT INTSF. =  735 WGUS84 KCRP 220127 FLSCRP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 827 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas... Nueces River Near Tilden affecting McMullen County .Recent rainfall over the area will keep the aforementioned river above flood stage for the next few days. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local TV and radio stations, or cable TV outlets, for the latest weather information, as additional rainfall could affect crest forecasts. For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our AHPS page at: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=crp && TXC311-221927- /O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0068.151024T0142Z-000000T0000Z/ /TILT2.1.ER.151024T0142Z.151025T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 827 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 The Flood Warning continues for the Nueces River Near Tilden. * From Friday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.6 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 14.0 feet. * Forecast: Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by Sunday early afternoon...and then remain above flood stage until further notice. * At 15.0 feet much of the flood plain below Cotulla to below Tilden is cut off, as sloughs and peripheral channels fill. Hunting cabins, oil field pump jacks and tank batteries flood well away from the channel. Livestock are cut off and can drown. * At 16.0 feet Moderate lowland flooding occurs. Hunting cabins, oil field tanks and pumps are affected, and livestock become isolated. && Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts: FLD LATEST FORECAST 6 AM LST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Nueces River Tilden 14 9.6 Wed 7 PM 10.1 12.3 14.8 15.5 15.1 && LAT...LON 2817 9880 2836 9859 2845 9833 2833 9833 2826 9854 2807 9880 $$  892 WWCN12 CWTO 220126 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9:26 P.M. EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: KAPUSKASING - HEARST TIMMINS - COCHRANE. FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: MANITOUWADGE - HORNEPAYNE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES TO AFFECT AREAS FROM KAPUSKASING TOWARDS THE QUEBEC BORDER. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO RAIN OR SNOW LATER THIS EVENING. SURFACES SUCH AS HIGHWAYS, ROADS, WALKWAYS AND PARKING LOTS MAY BECOME ICY AND SLIPPERY. BE PREPARED TO ADJUST YOUR DRIVING WITH CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO STORM.ONTARIO(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)ONSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NON END/MSC  692 WAIY31 LIIB 220125 LIMM AIRMET 01 VALID 220145/220545 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR MOD TURB FCST S PART OF FIR AND ADRIATIC AREA BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT FCST LIGURIAN SEA STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC VIS 3000/5000 M BR OBS/FCST CENTRAL/W PADANIAN PLAIN STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR ISOL MT OBSC OBS/FCST W PART STNR WKN=  623 WHZS40 NSTU 220127 CFWPPG URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 227 PM SST WED OCT 21 2015 ASZ001-002-221730- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA- 227 PM SST WED OCT 21 2015 ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT... * SURF...HAZARDOUS SURFS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BUILD TO NEAR 10 TO 12 FEET THURSDAY MORNING. THESE SURFS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT SOUTH FACING SHORES. * TIMING...UNTIL SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...LARGE SURFS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS SHOULD HEED ALL ADVICE BROADCAST BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND EXERCISE CAUTION. && FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS 227 AOAULI ASO LULU OKETOPA 21 2015 ...O LOO FAAAUAU LE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA... * GALU...O GALU MAUALULUGA E 8 I LE 10 FUTU O LE A SI'ISI'I ATU I LE 10 I LE 12 FUTU I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI. O LE A AAFIA PEA LE TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. * TAIMI...SEIA O'O I LE ASO TOONA'I. * NOFOAGA AAFIA...E SI'ISI'I TULAGA O GALU MA E A`AVE LE SAMI. FAUTUAGA/TAPENAGA... FAAMOLEMOLE...IA FAAUTAGIA MAI FAUTUAGA UA IAI NEI MO GALU MAUALULUGA. $$ CB  083 WWUS85 KABQ 220128 SPSABQ SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 728 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMZ538-220215- CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS- 728 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM MDT... AT 728 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DEXTER TO 15 MILES EAST OF HAGERMAN TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOCO HILLS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY. OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE MESCALERO SAND DUNES. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. LAT...LON 3314 10406 3322 10446 3345 10418 3342 10372 3339 10373 3339 10376 3296 10377 3296 10407 TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 229DEG 28KT 3321 10438 3314 10407 3298 10407 $$ CA  269 WHUS71 KBUF 220129 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 929 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 LEZ040-041-LOZ042-220930- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0900Z-151022T1800Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 929 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-220930- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0900Z-151022T1800Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 929 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-220930- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T1800Z-151023T1100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 929 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  524 WTPQ31 RJTD 220000 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.19 FOR TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 220000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL ACCELERATE FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTHEAST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.=  400 WHUS72 KJAX 220130 MWWJAX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 930 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 AMZ472-474-221000- /O.CON.KJAX.SC.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 930 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 9 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  426 WWUS54 KMAF 220132 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 832 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC301-389-220145- /O.CON.KMAF.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-151022T0145Z/ LOVING TX-REEVES TX- 832 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL LOVING AND NORTH CENTRAL REEVES COUNTIES... AT 832 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF ORLA...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF MENTONE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SLASH RANCH AROUND 845 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW. && LAT...LON 3164 10379 3181 10391 3197 10364 3170 10351 TIME...MOT...LOC 0132Z 249DEG 20KT 3178 10376 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...1.75IN $$ 05  441 WTPQ30 RJTD 220000 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 1 FOR TD LOCATED AT 23.2N 155.2E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 220000 UTC IS FAIR. TD WILL ACCELERATE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD WILL RECURVE WITHIN 12 HOURS FROM 220000 UTC. TD WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORTHEAST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS. TD WILL BE TRANSFORMED TO EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 HOURS.=  977 WSCR31 LEMM 220130 GCCC SIGMET 2 VALID 220130/220530 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS N OF N29 AND BTN W018-W014 TOP ABV FL350 STNR INTSF =  978 WSCR31 LEMM 220130 GCCC SIGMET 2 VALID 220130/220530 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS N OF N29 AND BTN W018-W014 TOP ABV FL350 STNR INTSF=  055 WSPR31 SPIM 220120 SPIM SIGMET 1 VALID 220120/220320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0045Z WI S0218 W07511 - S0156 W07411 - S0242 W07405 - S0307 W07423 - S0422 W07323 - S0505 W07426 - S0414 W07502 - S0326 W07440 TOP FL450 STNR WKN=  223 WDPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS TIGHTLY-CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A 14-NM RAGGED EYE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTER AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS - PRIMARILY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS - WILL BEGIN TO ERODE THE CYCLONE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHILE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD. TY CHAMPI WILL BECOME A COLD-CORE LOW BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//  051 WTPN52 PGTW 220300 WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 151022011142 2015102200 25W CHAMPI 036 03 050 06 SATL 010 T000 237N 1412E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T012 243N 1426E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 250N 1444E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 125 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 259N 1467E 085 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 273N 1496E 075 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD T072 319N 1581E 055 AMP 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2515101112 115N1672E 15 2515101118 115N1666E 15 2515101200 115N1660E 15 2515101206 115N1652E 15 2515101212 114N1640E 15 2515101218 116N1631E 15 2515101300 120N1622E 20 2515101306 128N1615E 25 2515101312 134N1606E 25 2515101318 140N1598E 30 2515101400 143N1584E 35 2515101406 148N1566E 35 2515101412 148N1551E 40 2515101418 151N1537E 45 2515101500 154N1526E 50 2515101506 158N1512E 50 2515101512 159N1495E 50 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100  109 WSMX31 MMMX 220139 CCB MMEX SIGMET A1 VALID 220109/220509 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0109Z 60NM WIDE LINE N1524W09818-N1536W10006-N1512W10106-N1424W10118-N1406W10206-N1236W10206 CB TOP FL450 MOV NW AT 8 KT INTSF. =  878 WGUS44 KMAF 220139 FLWMAF BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 839 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning for the following rivers in New Mexico... Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County .A line of storng thunderstorms developed along the Pecos River Wednesday evening, and is forecast to push the Pecos River into flood.in the vicinity of Artesia by Thursday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico. If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown! River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits. Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could significantly change the present forecast stage. Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland The next statement will be issued Thursday morning. && NMC015-221739- /O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0029.151022T2308Z-151025T0000Z/ /ATSN5.1.ER.151022T2308Z.151023T1800Z.151024T1200Z.NO/ 739 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 The National Weather Service in has issued a * Flood Warning for the Pecos River near Artesia 6E. * from Thursday evening to Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7PM Wednesday the stage was 6.8 feet (2.1 meters). * flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 12.5 feet (3.8 meters). * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise to near 14.3 feet (4.4 meters) by Friday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning. * Impact...At 15.0 feet (4.6 meters), the river reaches moderate flood stage, flooding the approaches of U. S. Highway 82 1/2 mile east of the bridge, as well as lower structures at Wilbank Trucking, Inc. This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.3 feet (4.4 meters) on Jun 6 1921. && Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Thu Thu Thu Thu 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM Artesia 6E 12.0 12.5 6.8 Wed 7 PM 8.1 9.8 11.3 12.7 Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Thu Thu Thu Thu 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM Artesia 6E 3.7 3.8 2.1 Wed 7 PM 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.9 && LAT...LON 3297 10443 3297 10423 3285 10425 3265 10423 3264 10443 $$  482 WHUS72 KCHS 220139 MWWCHS URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 939 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 AMZ374-220900- /O.CON.KCHS.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151022T0900Z/ WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 939 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY... * IMPACTS...LARGE SEAS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS SEAS. && $$  234 WOUS20 KWNS 220140 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220140 NMZ000-TXZ000-220200- STATUS REPORT ON WW 516 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W MRF TO 30 S GDP TO 30 SSW ROW TO 20 N ROW TO 55 N ROW. WW 516 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 220200Z. ..COOK..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 516 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC005-220200- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  182 WFUS54 KMAF 220141 TORMAF TXC301-220215- /O.NEW.KMAF.TO.W.0030.151022T0141Z-151022T0215Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 841 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 915 PM CDT * AT 840 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF SLASH RANCH...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF MENTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SLASH RANCH AROUND 855 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW. && LAT...LON 3179 10379 3191 10382 3200 10369 3200 10333 3185 10333 TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 237DEG 22KT 3184 10372 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...1.50IN $$ 05  179 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  288 WOUS20 KWNS 220142 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220145 NMZ000-TXZ000-220240- STATUS REPORT ON WW 517 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE FORTHCOMING MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1871 ..COOK..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC015-025-220240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  962 WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS TIGHTLY-CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A 14-NM RAGGED EYE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTER AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS - PRIMARILY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS - WILL BEGIN TO ERODE THE CYCLONE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHILE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD. TY CHAMPI WILL BECOME A COLD-CORE LOW BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//  259 WOUS64 KWNS 220143 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 843 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  295 WSZA21 FAOR 220149 FAOR SIGMET A01 VALID 220200/220600 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S3442 E03951 - S3713 E04411 - S3917 E04651 - S4038 E04626 - S3958 E04415 - S3754 E04132 - S3538 E03931=  690 WOUS64 KWNS 220144 WOU6 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 743 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC005-027-053-220200- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAVES LINCOLN SOCORRO $$ ATTN...WFO...ABQ...  181 WALJ31 LJLJ 220145 LJLA AIRMET 1 VALID 220200/220500 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST SW OF LINE N4620 E01320 - N4525 E01435 SFC/5000FT STNR NC=  834 WSRS31 RURD 220145 URRV SIGMET 2 VALID 220200/220300 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR CNL SIGMET 1 220015/220300=  390 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  771 WSMX31 MMMX 220146 CCC MMEX SIGMET A1 VALID 220109/220509 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0109Z 60NM WIDE LINE N1524W09818-N1536W10006-N1512W10106-N1430W10130-N1406W10206-N1236W10206 CB TOP FL450 MOV NW AT 8 KT INTSF. =  470 WDPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS TIGHTLY-CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A 14-NM RAGGED EYE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTER AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS - PRIMARILY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS - WILL BEGIN TO ERODE THE CYCLONE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHILE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD. TY CHAMPI WILL BECOME A COLD-CORE LOW BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//  287 WSRS31 RURD 220147 URRV SIGMET 3 VALID 220200/220530 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR EMBD TS FCST SW OF LINE N4510 E03630 - N4310 E04140 TOP FL400 STNR INTSF=  280 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXTWARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  003 ACUS11 KWNS 220149 SWOMCD SPC MCD 220148 TXZ000-NMZ000-220315- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1871 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0848 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST NM AND SOUTHWEST TX CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517... VALID 220148Z - 220315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...IN ADDITION TO A CONTINUED HAIL THREAT ACROSS WW 517...THERE IS AN INCREASED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO ACROSS SOUTHEAST NM AND SOUTHWEST TX THIS EVENING. DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN LIGHTNING DATA AND MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE THE FORMATION OF A QLCS ACROSS FAR EASTERN NM TO SOUTHWEST TX /NORTHERN REEVES AND WESTERN LOVING COUNTIES TX/. FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN NM AND WEST TX WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST NM INTO SOUTHWEST AND PERHAPS WEST TX THIS EVENING...WHERE THE AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY SHEARED IN BOTH DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL PER 0118Z MAF/LBB VWP DATA. IF STORMS IN SOUTHEAST NM ARE ABLE TO SUSTAIN INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION...AREAS WEST OF LBB COULD EXPERIENCE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER...WW ISSUANCE REMAINS UNCERTAIN TO THE NORTHEAST OF WW 517 /INTO THE LBB COUNTY WARNING AREA/...AS WEAK INSTABILITY SUGGESTS LESS OF A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TOO FAR EAST OF THE NM/TX BORDER. ..PETERS.. 10/22/2015 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ... LAT...LON 31000420 31760400 32400421 32910423 33320444 33820441 33920438 34050383 34080355 33970290 33270207 32550183 32070174 31660180 31440269 30910342 30800371 31000420  507 WHHW70 PHFO 220149 MWWHFO URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 349 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY... .STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS AND CHANNELS AROUND THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS BIG ISLAND WATERS AS SOUTHEAST SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF BUILD. THESE HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL LIKELY SPREAD WESTWARD TO ADDITIONAL WATERS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PHZ122>124-221500- /O.CON.PHFO.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151026T0400Z/ BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS- BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS- 349 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SUNDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 12 FT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BY THURSDAY...BUT BUILDING SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS INTO THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS 10 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PHZ119>121-221500- /O.CON.PHFO.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ MAALAEA BAY-PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL- 349 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM HST THURSDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 10 FT INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS 10 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  880 WTPN51 PGTW 220300 WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 151022004231 2015102200 26W TWENTYSIX 001 03 310 13 SATL 020 T000 235N 1553E 025 T012 266N 1559E 030 T024 304N 1610E 030 T036 331N 1680E 030 T048 345N 1764E 030 AMP 024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXTWARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 2615101912 163N1647E 15 2615101918 166N1640E 15 2615102000 171N1634E 15 2615102006 180N1626E 15 2615102012 188N1618E 15 2615102018 193N1606E 20 2615102100 199N1595E 20 2615102106 209N1584E 20 2615102112 217N1576E 20 2615102118 227N1564E 20 2615102200 235N1553E 25  227 WWUS65 KABQ 220150 WCNABQ WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 516 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 750 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC005-027-053-220300- /O.EXP.KABQ.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL ALLOW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 TO EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THIS ALLOWS TO EXPIRE 2 COUNTIES LINCOLN SOCORRO IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS ALLOWS TO EXPIRE 1 COUNTY CHAVES THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF....BOSQUE DEL APACHE...ALTO... BITTER LAKE WILDLIFE REFUGE...BONITO LAKE...MIDWAY...ROSWELL... RUIDOSO AND SOCORRO. $$  650 WWUS84 KAMA 220153 SPSAMA SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 853 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXZ015-020-220230- WHEELER TX-COLLINGSWORTH TX- 853 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 852 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES EAST OF LUTIE...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF WELLINGTON...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN WHEELER AND NORTHEASTERN COLLINGSWORTH COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3496 10013 3546 10015 3547 10000 3494 10000 TIME...MOT...LOC 0152Z 183DEG 38KT 3503 10002 $$ MB  164 WHHW40 PHFO 220154 CFWHFO COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 354 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...HIGH SURF WARNING FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF MAUI... .SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF ON THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI INTO THE WEEKEND. THE LARGE SWELL WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY SATURDAY. HIZ024-025-221600- /O.CON.PHFO.SU.W.0009.000000T0000Z-151025T0400Z/ SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST- 354 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SATURDAY... * SURF...12 TO 18 FEET. * TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...HIGH...EXPECT OCEAN WATER OCCASIONALLY SWEEPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF BEACHES...VERY STRONG BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS. BREAKING WAVES MAY OCCASIONALLY IMPACT HARBORS MAKING NAVIGATING THE HARBOR CHANNEL DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS SHOULD ALWAYS HEED LIFEGUARD ADVICE AND KNOW YOUR LIMITS. WHEN IN DOUBT...DO NOT GO OUT. && $$ HIZ020-221600- /O.CON.PHFO.SU.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151025T0400Z/ WINDWARD HALEAKALA- 354 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SATURDAY... * SURF...BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT. * TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...MODERATE...EXPECT STRONG BREAKING WAVES...SHORE BREAK...AND STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS MAKING SWIMMING DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS SHOULD HEED ALL ADVICE GIVEN BY OCEAN SAFETY OFFICIALS AND EXERCISE CAUTION. && $$  485 WSUS31 KKCI 220155 SIGE MKCE WST 220155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220355-220755 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  486 WSUS33 KKCI 220155 SIGW MKCW WST 220155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2W VALID UNTIL 0355Z AZ FROM 40NW PHX-50NE BZA DVLPG LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 11010KT. TOPS TO FL350. OUTLOOK VALID 220355-220755 AREA 1...FROM RSK-60NW ABQ-SJN-30SW INW-40SW PHX-40E BZA-30SSW EED-70N PGS-RSK REF WW 516. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 60NW ABQ-50SW ELP-50S TUS-80SE BZA-60SW SJN-SJN-60NW ABQ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  487 WSUS32 KKCI 220155 SIGC MKCC WST 220155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 6C VALID UNTIL 0355Z TX FROM 30W AMA-30SSE CDS-40NNE MAF-60WSW LBB-10N TXO-30W AMA AREA TS MOV FROM 19035KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 7C VALID UNTIL 0355Z TX OK KS FROM 70E GCK-10S GCK-30SSE LBL LINE EMBD TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS TO FL380. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 8C VALID UNTIL 0355Z NM FROM 30E CIM-50SW TCC LINE EMBD TS 50 NM WIDE MOV FROM 18030KT. TOPS TO FL430. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 9C VALID UNTIL 0355Z TX NM FROM 70S FTI-TXO-20S INK-50WSW INK-70S FTI AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 20025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 220355-220755 AREA 1...FROM 40NW SLN-40N SAT-30S DLF-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-50SW MRF-50SW ELP-60NW ABQ-40NE ABQ-30NNE LAA-40NW SLN REF WW 516 517. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM PSX-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-30W BRO-30W CRP-PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  349 WWCN02 CYTR 220156 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB BORDEN PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 9:56 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB BORDEN (CYBN) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY ENDED COMMENTS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED WITHIN 30 NM OF BORDEN. END/JMC  371 WHUS73 KAPX 220156 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 LSZ321-322-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345>348-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ349-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD  503 WHUS71 KCLE 220156 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 LEZ147>149-221000- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0042.151022T0900Z-151022T2000Z/ WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE- LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 956 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY. * WAVES/SEAS...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  799 WTPQ32 PGUM 220158 CCA TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015 800 AM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 CORRECTED LATITUDE ...TYPHOON CHAMPI REINTENSIFIES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE MARIANAS... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.4N 141.0E ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO ISLAND ABOUT 440 MILES NORTHWEST OF AGRIHAN ABOUT 650 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 730 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST-NORTHEAST...070 DEGREES AT 3 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAMPI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.0 EAST. CHAMPI IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH. CHAMPI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION AND GRADUALLY SPEED UP DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE CHAMPI SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH. CHAMPI IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY FURTHER THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON. $$ WILLIAMS  059 WTPQ32 PGUM 220158 CCA TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 35...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015 800 AM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 CORRECTED LATITUDE ...TYPHOON CHAMPI REINTENSIFIES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE MARIANAS... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.4N 141.0E ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO ISLAND ABOUT 440 MILES NORTHWEST OF AGRIHAN ABOUT 650 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 730 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST-NORTHEAST...070 DEGREES AT 3 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAMPI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.0 EAST. CHAMPI IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH. CHAMPI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION AND GRADUALLY SPEED UP DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE CHAMPI SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH. CHAMPI IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY FURTHER THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON. $$ WILLIAMS  348 WSUS33 KKCI 220159 CCA SIGW MKCW WST 220159 COR CONVECTIVE SIGMET 2W VALID UNTIL 0355Z AZ UT FROM 80SW DVC-40NW TBC LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 11010KT. TOPS TO FL350. ...COR PTS... OUTLOOK VALID 220355-220755 AREA 1...FROM RSK-60NW ABQ-SJN-30SW INW-40SW PHX-40E BZA-30SSW EED-70N PGS-RSK REF WW 516. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 60NW ABQ-50SW ELP-50S TUS-80SE BZA-60SW SJN-SJN-60NW ABQ WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  399 WWUS60 KWNS 220200 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 22-OCT-15 AT 02:00:01 UTC SEVR 151021 2230 WS0517 0500 03040.10458 03325.10457 03325.10211 03040.10216;  263 WOUS64 KWNS 220203 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 903 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  265 WOUS64 KWNS 220203 WOU6 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 803 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NMZ000-TXZ000-220200- /O.EXP.KWNS.SV.A.0516.000000T0000Z-151022T0200Z/ NO COUNTIES OR PARISHES REMAIN IN THE WATCH. $$ ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...  104 WWUS20 KWNS 220204 SEL6 SPC WW 220203 NMZ000-TXZ000-220200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 516 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 803 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 516 ISSUED AT 1215 PM MDT FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO TEXAS  105 WWUS30 KWNS 220204 SAW6 SPC AWW 220203 WW 516 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANCELLED  214 WUUS54 KMAF 220204 SVRMAF NMC025-220300- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0259.151022T0204Z-151022T0300Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 804 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 900 PM MDT * AT 803 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF SLASH RANCH...OR 19 MILES NORTH OF MENTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... JAL...BENNETT AND JAL AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3200 10367 3239 10307 3201 10307 TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 235DEG 26KT 3199 10354 HAIL...1.50IN WIND...<50MPH $$ 05  061 WWUS54 KMAF 220205 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 905 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC301-220215- /O.CON.KMAF.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151022T0215Z/ LOVING TX- 905 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY... AT 905 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF SLASH RANCH...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF MENTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW. && LAT...LON 3185 10365 3200 10369 3200 10333 3190 10333 TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 235DEG 22KT 3193 10357 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...1.50IN $$ 05  470 WCIN31 VIDP 220200 NIL  797 WHUS73 KGRR 220207 MWWGRR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1007 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 LMZ845>849-220900- /O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-151022T0900Z/ SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI- GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI- PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 1007 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND BECOMING NORTHWEST. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET...THEN SUBSIDING TOWARD THURSDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OR WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ WDM  015 WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 01// RMKS// 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE MAIN CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST, PARTIALLY EXPOSING A BROAD AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI ANIMATION WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS IS BASED ON AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) THAT IS OFFSET BY GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. THIS IS THE INITIAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN AND SETS THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY ON THIS SYSTEM. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH AND BEGIN ROUNDING THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE STEERING STR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, IT WILL ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AS IT GETS EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL OFFSET INCREASING VWS AND SUSTAIN THE SYSTEM AT TD INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. BY TAU 12, THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AS IT ENTERS THE COLD BAROCLINIC ZONE, BECOMING A COLD CORE LOW BY TAU 48. THERE IS, HOWEVER, A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. THE AVAILABLE NUMERIC GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE BROAD AND WEAK LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST INTENSITY, THERE IS AN OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL JTWC FORECAST.//  301 WHUS74 KCRP 220209 MWWCRP URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 909 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS AND STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED... .PERSISTENT AND STRENGTHENING EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW AND LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. GMZ250-255-221100- /O.EXT.KCRP.SC.Y.0046.151022T0209Z-151023T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- 909 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY. * WINDS: EAST WIND AROUND 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST THURSDAY. * WAVES/SEAS: SEAS TO 4 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 6 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ GMZ270-275-221100- /O.CON.KCRP.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 909 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY. * WINDS: EAST WIND 20 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST THURSDAY. * WAVES/SEAS: SEAS TO 7 TO 9 FEET BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ TMT/CB  763 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2015// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 212230). REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  369 WWCN12 CWTO 220212 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:12 P.M. EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: KAPUSKASING - HEARST LITTLE ABITIBI - KESAGAMI LAKE. FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: TIMMINS - COCHRANE - IROQUOIS FALLS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES TO AFFECT AREAS FROM KAPUSKASING TOWARDS THE QUEBEC BORDER. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS KAPUSKASING AND FRASERDALE REGIONS AND OVERNIGHT FOR LITTLE ABITIBI. SURFACES SUCH AS HIGHWAYS, ROADS, WALKWAYS AND PARKING LOTS MAY BECOME ICY AND SLIPPERY. BE PREPARED TO ADJUST YOUR DRIVING WITH CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO STORM.ONTARIO(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)ONSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NON END/MSC  093 WTPQ32 PGUM 220212 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015 200 PM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 ...TYPHOON CHAMPI PASSING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO ISLAND... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.8N 141.6E ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO ISLAND ABOUT 435 MILES NORTHWEST OF AGRIHAN ABOUT 655 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 745 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST...050 DEGREES AT 7 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAMPI WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.6 EAST. CHAMPI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH. CHAMPI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION AND GRADUALLY SPEED UP DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 115 MPH. CHAMPI IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES FROM THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING. $$ WILLIAMS  432 WSIR31 OIII 220209 OIIX SIGMET 2 VALID 220205/220530- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST LOC OVER SW,W,CENTRAL AND SOUTH OF NW AREA OBS TOP FL320 MOV E INTSF=  139 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220213 SBAZ SIGMET 5 VALID 220230/220500 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCS T WI S0009 W06836 - N0139 W06725 - N0100 W06607 - S0026 W06607 - S0132 W06711 - S0009 W06836 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT WKN=  269 WUUS54 KMAF 220213 SVRMAF TXC301-220315- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0260.151022T0213Z-151022T0315Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 913 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1015 PM CDT * AT 913 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF SLASH RANCH...OR 21 MILES NORTH OF MENTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. * THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3190 10356 3200 10361 3200 10333 3195 10333 TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 234DEG 22KT 3200 10350 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$ 05  417 WWCN12 CWTO 220213 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:13 P.M. EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: FRASERDALE - PLEDGER LAKE LITTLE ABITIBI - KESAGAMI LAKE. FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: KAPUSKASING - HEARST - SMOOTH ROCK FALLS. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES TO AFFECT AREAS FROM NORTH OF KAPUSKASING TOWARDS THE QUEBEC BORDER. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS FRASERDALE AND OVERNIGHT FOR LITTLE ABITIBI. SURFACES SUCH AS HIGHWAYS, ROADS, WALKWAYS AND PARKING LOTS MAY BECOME ICY AND SLIPPERY. BE PREPARED TO ADJUST YOUR DRIVING WITH CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO STORM.ONTARIO(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)ONSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NON END/MSC  314 WHUS73 KGRB 220214 MWWGRB URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 914 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...HAZARDOUS WAVES EXPECTED IN NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN... .WHILE WINDS HAVE VEERED WEST AND DIMINISHED THIS EVENING...WAVES IN NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT. LMZ541-220600- /O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI- 914 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...WEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FT...GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  784 WSAG31 SABE 220200 SAEF SIGMET 2 VALID 220200/220400 SABE- SAEF EZEIZA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0200Z WI S3719 W05912 - S4058 W05603 - S4115 W05837 - S3719 W05912 TOP FL300 STNR NC=  576 WHUS44 KCRP 220216 CFWCRP COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 916 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THURSDAY... .THE COMBINATION OF LONG PERIOD SWELLS...SIGNIFICANT SWELL HEIGHTS...AND A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW...WILL MAINTAIN A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. IN ADDITION...THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THESE CONDITIONS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND THE ADVISORIES MAY BE EXTENDED AND/OR UPGRADED IF WARRANTED. WATER LEVELS IN THE BAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED WITH BAYS ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. BAY LEVELS COULD REACH 2 FEET MSL ON THURSDAY AND CAUSE FLOODING OF SOME ROADS IN NORTH BEACH AND INGLESIDE BY THE BAY. TXZ242-243-245-247-221130- /O.CON.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCRP.RP.S.0012.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ KLEBERG-NUECES-ARANSAS-CALHOUN- 916 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2.5 FEET MSL. WATER LEVELS MAY REACH 2.75 FEET MSL SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS. * TIMING...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW EXPECTED TO OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT BEGINNING AROUND 10 PM AND CONTINUING THROUGH 7 AM THURSDAY MORNING...WITH THE PEAK OF HIGH TIDE OCCURRING AT 1227 AM AT PORT ARANSAS JETTIES AND AT 509 AM THURSDAY MORNING AT PORT OCONNOR. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. WITH INCREASING WAVES WITH LONG PERIOD SWELLS...THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO RUN UP AND REACH THE DUNES TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ TXZ244-221130- /O.CON.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ SAN PATRICIO- 916 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET MSL. * TIMING....MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE...ESPECIALLY AT INGLESIDE BY THE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ TMT/CB  312 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2015// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 212230). REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  681 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2015// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 212230). REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  469 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2015// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  610 WTPQ31 PGUM 220221 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262015 200 PM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W FORMS WELL NORTHEAST OF THE MARIANAS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 155.4E ABOUT 90 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA ABOUT 890 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 1020 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.4 EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO CURVE AND ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL LIKELY NOT BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER THE WEEKEND. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING. $$ WILLIAMS  028 WWUS84 KOUN 220221 SPSOUN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 921 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 OKZ014-021-220245- ROGER MILLS OK-BECKHAM OK- 921 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ROGER MILLS AND NORTHWESTERN BECKHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT... AT 918 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF TEXOLA...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. HAZARDS INCLUDE... HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ERICK...REYDON...SWEETWATER...TEXOLA AND DEMPSEY. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 7. LAT...LON 3570 10000 3569 9992 3562 9979 3518 9988 3520 10000 TIME...MOT...LOC 0218Z 183DEG 38KT 3528 9995 $$ KURTZ  814 WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 57N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 179E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 49N 175W 47N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 48N 178W 44N 180E 40N 174E 37N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 175E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 56N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 121E 28N 125E 22N 125E 20N 118E 24N 118E 28N 121E. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 23.2N 155.2E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 26.4N 156.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 29.7N 160.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 47N 180E 50N 170E 55N 162E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 20N 124E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 129E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41N 160E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 24N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 180E TO 28N 178E 28N 177E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 177E TO 28N 170E 32N 158E 30N 150E 28N 140E. REMARKS. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 945 HPA AT 23.7N 141.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  307 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 SBAZ SIGMET 1 VALID 220014/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0206 W06721 - N0044 W06548 - S0028 W06614 - N0053 W06803 - N0148 W06747 - N0206 W06721 TOP FL400 MOV SW 12KT WKN=  308 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 WSBZ31 SBCW 220124  309 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220015  310 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 WSBZ31 SBRE 220017  311 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220014  312 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 SBAZ SIGMET 4 VALID 220030/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0455 W05817 - S0623 W05732 - S0724 W05828 - S0607 W06028 - S0455 W05817 TOP FL400 STNR WKN=  314 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 SBAZ SIGMET 3 VALID 220030/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0558 W06658 - S0247 W06518 - S0238 W06100 - S0503 W06051 - S0714 W06515 - S0558 W06658 TOP FL400 MOV W 10KT WKN=  315 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 WSBZ31 SBRE 212344  316 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 SBAZ SIGMET 2 VALID 220030/220230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0408 W07027 - S0634 W06740 - S0939 W06920 - S0745 W07343 - S0636 W07342 - S0512 W07254 - S0408 W07027 TOP FL400 STNR WKN=  317 WSBZ01 SBBR 220200 SBAO SIGMET 9 VALID 212345/220250 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0645 W03649 - N0740 W03501 - N0651 W03351 - N0638 W03430 - N0703 W03505 - N0645 W03649 TOP FL390 STNR NC=  262 WTPQ31 PGUM 220223 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262015 200 PM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 CORRECTED TYPO ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W FORMS WELL NORTHEAST OF THE MARIANAS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 155.4E ABOUT 90 MILES EAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA ABOUT 890 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 1020 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.4 EAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO CURVE AND ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL LIKELY NOT BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER THE WEEKEND. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 PM THIS EVENING. $$ WILLIAMS  283 WOUS64 KWNS 220224 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 924 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  821 WSBZ31 SBRE 220223 SBAO SIGMET 2 VALID 220250/220650 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0636 W03659 - N0558 W03243 - N074 0 W03501 - N0636 W03659 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  489 WWUS54 KMAF 220229 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 929 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC301-220239- /O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-151022T0315Z/ LOVING TX- 929 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR WESTERN TEXAS. LAT...LON 3190 10356 3200 10361 3200 10333 3195 10333 TIME...MOT...LOC 0225Z 234DEG 22KT 3206 10341 $$ 05  695 WSCN25 CWAO 220232 CZUL SIGMET E2 VALID 220230/220630 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN /N4907 W08050/45 NE CYTS - /N4935 W08415/25 W CYHF - /N5027 W08050/45 S CYMO - /N4847 W07611/75 NE CYVO - /N4731 W07805/30 S CYVO - /N4907 W08050/45 NE CYTS SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT NC RMK GFACN33/CZYZ TORONTO FIR SIGMET B2=  696 WSCN04 CWAO 220232 CZYZ SIGMET B2 VALID 220230/220630 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN N4907 W08050 - N4935 W08415 - N5027 W08050 - N4847 W07611 - N4731 W07805 - N4907 W08050 SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT NC=  697 WSCN24 CWAO 220232 CZYZ SIGMET B2 VALID 220230/220630 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN /N4907 W08050/45 NE CYTS - /N4935 W08415/25 W CYHF - /N5027 W08050/45 S CYMO - /N4847 W07611/75 NE CYVO - /N4731 W07805/30 S CYVO - /N4907 W08050/45 NE CYTS SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT NC RMK GFACN33/CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E2=  698 WSCN05 CWAO 220232 CZUL SIGMET E2 VALID 220230/220630 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN N4907 W08050 - N4935 W08415 - N5027 W08050 - N4847 W07611 - N4731 W07805 - N4907 W08050 SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT NC=  269 WOUS20 KWNS 220234 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220235 NMZ000-TXZ000-220340- STATUS REPORT ON WW 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW GDP TO 15 WNW CNM TO 25 N CNM TO 25 SE ROW. ..COOK..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC015-025-220340- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  781 WHUS71 KBOX 220234 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1034 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ANZ230-236-221045- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151022T2200Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 1034 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ232>235-237-221045- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 1034 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ254>256-221045- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 1034 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ231-251-221045- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 1034 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ250-221045- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1034 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON  955 WWCN02 CYTR 220234 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB BORDEN PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 10:34 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB BORDEN (CYBN) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 30 NM VALID: UNTIL 22/0400Z (UNTIL 21/2400 EDT) COMMENTS: A NEW GROUP OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO GIVE LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN 30 NM OF BORDEN UNTIL THE FLYING PROGRAM IS OVER FOR THE NIGHT. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/0400Z (22/0000 EDT) END/JMC  040 WHUS74 KBRO 220235 AAA MWWBRO URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 935 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...MARINE CONDITIONS WORSENING... .A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS MOVING ONSHORE JUST SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS INTERACTING WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER A MAJORITY OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...RESULTING IN RAPIDLY INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND...WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE UNTIL AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND. GMZ130-132-135-221100- /O.NEW.KBRO.SI.Y.0028.151022T0235Z-151022T1200Z/ LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- 935 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY. * WINDS...EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ150-155-170-175-221100- /O.CON.KBRO.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 935 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * WAVES...9 TO 11 FEET BETWEEN 0 AND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE AND...10 TO 12 FEET FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. THIS GENERALLY MEANS COMBINED SEA HEIGHTS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ TOMASELLI  471 WHCA72 TJSJ 220236 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1036 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND MONA PASSAGES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SUBSIDING TONIGHT. AMZ710-722-741-221045- /O.CON.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N- ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N- 1036 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM AST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 10 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ712-715-742-745-221045- /O.CON.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- 1036 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  683 WHUS74 KLCH 220237 MWWLCH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 937 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE MAINTAINED INTO THURSDAY MORNING...WITH WINDS SUBSIDING A BIT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. GMZ470-472-475-221100- /O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 937 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THURSDAY... * WINDS....EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 4 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 13  113 WHUS44 KLCH 220237 CFWLCH COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 937 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST THROUGH TOMORROW... .A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP TIDES RUNNING 1.0 TO 1.5 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR COASTAL WATERWAYS... ESPECIALLY NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. LAZ052>054-073-074-TXZ215-221100- /O.CON.KLCH.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-JEFFERSON- 937 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THURSDAY... * COASTAL FLOODING...TIDE LEVELS OF 3.0 TO 3.5 FEET MLLW ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST DURING ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE LATE THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...LOW PORTIONS NEAR SABINE LAKE AND CALCASIEU LAKE AND SHIP CHANNELS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING AROUND ORANGE AND DEATONVILLE. LOW PORTIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN HOLLY BEACH AND CONSTANCE BEACH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. SECONDARY PARISH ROADS ACROSS COASTAL CAMERON PARISH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING... INCLUDING PORTIONS OF MAIN STREET IN CAMERON. ACROSS COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY...PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 87 BETWEEN SEA RIM STATE PARK AND SABINE PASS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. INTRACOASTAL CITY...DELCAMBRE...CYPREMORT POINT...AND SALT POINT COULD ALSO SEE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ 13  443 WHCA72 TJSJ 220236 CCA MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1036 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND MONA PASSAGES TONIGHT...SUBSIDING ON THURSDAY. AMZ710-722-741-221045- /O.CON.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N- ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N- 1036 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM AST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 10 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ712-715-742-745-221045- /O.CON.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- 1036 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  952 WWUS45 KPUB 220239 WSWPUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 839 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 COZ058-060-066-068-073-075-080-082-221045- /O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS... MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS... WOLF CREEK PASS...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN... PIKES PEAK 839 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10 TO 11 THOUSAND FEET... INCLUDING MOST OF THE MAJOR MOUNTAIN PASSES. * CAUSE AND TIMING...A LARGE...SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY...WET SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THURSDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OVER A FOOT POSSIBLE ABOVE 12000 FEET. * WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH ON THURSDAY. * IMPACT...HUNTERS...HIKERS AND OTHER OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS VENTURING INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL ENCOUNTER HEAVY...WET SNOW...PERIODS OF LOW VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. WET CLOTHING FROM MELTING SNOW COULD QUICKLY DROP BODY TEMPERATURES TO UNSAFE LEVELS IF NOT PROPERLY PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. BE SURE TO TRAVEL WITH WATER...FOOD...BLANKETS...EXTRA CLOTHING AND PLENTY OF FUEL. DO NOT STRAY TOO FAR AWAY FROM A PLACE OF DRY SHELTER. BE SURE AND LET OTHERS KNOW EXACTLY WHERE YOU WILL BE AND WHEN YOU WILL BE THERE. CARRY A BACK COUNTRY SAFETY BEACON WITH YOU IN CASE YOU GET LOST OR STRANDED. && $$  622 WAUS46 KKCI 220245 WA6T SFOT WA 220245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB AND STG SFC WNDS VALID UNTIL 220900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . AIRMET STG SFC WNDS...OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 80W OED TO 40SW PYE TO 130WSW PYE TO 140WSW FOT TO 150WNW FOT TO 80W OED SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS GTR THAN 30KT EXP. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  623 WAUS45 KKCI 220245 WA5T SLCT WA 220245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET TURB...MT WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 70SW DIK TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO 70WSW LBB TO 70S SJN TO 40ENE ILC TO 20ESE JAC TO 50NNW BOY TO 50SE BIL TO 70SW DIK MOD TURB BTN FL260 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  624 WAUS43 KKCI 220245 WA3T CHIT WA 220245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL OK TX FROM YQT TO SSM TO YVV TO 30SE ECK TO DXO TO 60SW BAE TO 40N IRK TO 20W OKC TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP TO 70SW DIK TO YQT MOD TURB BTN FL250 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...TURB ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL OK TX AR BOUNDED BY 20NW YQT-SSM-YVV-30SSE ECK-50SSW BAE-40W BVT-50S AXC- 30S ADM-INK-30ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-BFF-70SW RAP-70SW DIK-80SSE FAR-20NW YQT MOD TURB BTN FL250 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  319 WAUS42 KKCI 220245 WA2T MIAT WA 220245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 220900 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  320 WAUS41 KKCI 220245 WA1T BOST WA 220245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB AND LLWS VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET TURB...VT NY LO PA OH LE FROM YSC TO 40NNW ALB TO 20NNE CVG TO FWA TO 30SSE ECK TO YOW TO YSC MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET TURB...NY LO PA OH LE FROM 90ENE YYZ TO 20SSE BUF TO 50SSE CLE TO 40WSW ROD TO FWA TO 30SE ECK TO 90ENE YYZ MOD TURB BTN FL250 AND FL400. CONDS ENDG 06-09Z. . LLWS POTENTIAL...NH VT NY LO PA LE BOUNDED BY YOW-20SW YSC-CON-40WSW SYR-30WSW SLT-30SSW JHW-30W YYZ-YOW LLWS EXP. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12-15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...TURB ME NH VT NY LO PA OH LE BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-60NE PQI-20SE MLT-40W CON-50ENE SLT-20SSE JHW-20NNW APE-50SW DXO-30SE ECK-YOW-YSC-70NW PQI MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  321 WAUS44 KKCI 220245 WA4T DFWT WA 220245 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET TURB...OK TX ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL FROM YQT TO SSM TO YVV TO 30SE ECK TO DXO TO 60SW BAE TO 40N IRK TO 20W OKC TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP TO 70SW DIK TO YQT MOD TURB BTN FL250 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...TURB OK TX AR ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI LM LS MI LH IL BOUNDED BY 20NW YQT-SSM-YVV-30SSE ECK-50SSW BAE-40W BVT-50S AXC- 30S ADM-INK-30ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-BFF-70SW RAP-70SW DIK-80SSE FAR-20NW YQT MOD TURB BTN FL250 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  275 WHUS72 KKEY 220241 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1041 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 GMZ032-035-220830- /O.EXB.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T0900Z/ BAYSIDE AND GULFSIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE- GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS- 1041 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 4 FEET IN THE GULF WATERS INSIDE FIVE FATHOMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID OPERATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ GMZ033-034-042>044-052>055-072>075-220830- /O.EXT.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T0900Z/ GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS- GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL- HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF- HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO THE REEF- HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL OUT TO THE REEF- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 1041 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL PERSIST ACROSS HAWK CHANNEL...THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...AND THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 5 FEET IN HAWK CHANNEL...SEAS UP TO 7 FEET IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND SEAS UP TO 9 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID OPERATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ KASPER  040 WHCA42 TJSJ 220242 AAA CFWSJU COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1042 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL IS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS IS RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-221200- /O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.CON.TJSJ.RP.S.0016.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST- MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- 1042 PM AST WED OCT 21 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THURSDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THURSDAY... * WAVES AND SURF...BREAKING WAVES OF 11 TO 13 FEET. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO...SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN. * TIMING...THROUGH 8 AM AST THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. && $$  013 WOUS64 KWNS 220243 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 943 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  298 WSRH31 LDZM 220243 LDZO SIGMET 1 VALID 220300/220700 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4404 E01524 - N4422 E01610 - N4537 E01436 - N4525 E01352 SFC/FL060 STNR NC=  520 WTPA25 PHFO 220243 TCMCP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 0300 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 145.6W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......140NE 115SE 55SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 200SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 145.6W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 145.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.3N 146.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 55NW. 34 KT...135NE 115SE 65SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.6N 146.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 55NW. 34 KT...135NE 120SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.9N 147.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 65NE 60SE 50SW 55NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 85SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.5N 147.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 65NE 60SE 50SW 55NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.0N 146.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 55SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...110NE 115SE 85SW 85NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 22.0N 144.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 145.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON  694 WAUS46 KKCI 220245 WA6S SFOS WA 220245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET IFR...WA OR AND CSTL WTRS FROM YDC TO 40NNE OED TO 80NNW FOT TO TOU TO YDC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG 06-09Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30NW SNS TO 70WSW MZB TO 220SW MZB TO 160SW SNS TO 30NW SNS CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/FG. CONDS DVLPG 06-09Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WA OR FROM 60ESE YDC TO 20NW DSD TO 40SW OED TO 80W OED TO HQM TO 20NW TOU TO HUH TO 60ESE YDC MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z AREA 1...MTN OBSCN WA OR CA BOUNDED BY 60ESE YDC-20NE DSD-40S FOT-80W OED-20SSW HQM-TOU-HUH- 60ESE YDC MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . AREA 2...MTN OBSCN CA BOUNDED BY 50S RBL-20SW SAC-30W EHF-40SSW HEC-60SSE TRM-20S MZB- 30WSW LAX-70WSW RZS-30SW ENI-50S RBL MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS DVLPG 09-12Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  695 WAUS45 KKCI 220245 WA5S SLCS WA 220245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET IFR...WY CO NM FROM 60SE DDY TO SNY TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO INK TO 60SSE ABQ TO 20WSW HBU TO 60SE DDY CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WY CO NM FROM 20NNE DDY TO 20NNE CYS TO 20NE TBE TO 50SW TCC TO 60W INK TO ELP TO 30SE DVC TO 20NNE DDY MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  170 WAUS44 KKCI 220245 WA4S DFWS WA 220245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET IFR...OK TX NE KS FROM SNY TO 60ENE HLC TO 60ESE GCK TO 50SE LBB TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO SNY CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...TX LA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 60WSW SJT TO 50WSW LFK TO 60WSW LCH TO 30ESE PSX TO 50W PSX TO 60NW BRO TO 20W DLF TO 60WSW SJT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TX FROM 60W INK TO 60WNW DLF TO 90S MRF TO ELP TO 60W INK MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  171 WAUS41 KKCI 220245 WA1S BOSS WA 220245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET IFR...VA NC SC AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20S RIC TO 30ENE ORF TO 70SSE ECG TO 80E ILM TO 40SSW CHS TO 30SW CAE TO 20ESE RDU TO 20S RIC VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12- 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...ME NH VT MA RI CT AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50ENE YSC TO 40SSW BGR TO 80E ACK TO 20SSW PVD TO 20NNE PLB TO YSC TO 50ENE YSC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT MA NY FROM 70NW PQI TO 30WSW HUL TO 50WSW BGR TO 30N BDL TO MSS TO 50W YSC TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...IFR ME NH VT MA RI CT AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-40N PQI-30NW MLT-40SSE BGR-110SSW YSJ-120E ACK-20SW PVD-50N PLB-YSC-70NW PQI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. ....  172 WAUS43 KKCI 220245 WA3S CHIS WA 220245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET IFR...NE KS OK TX FROM SNY TO 60ENE HLC TO 60ESE GCK TO 50SE LBB TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO SNY CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. ....  173 WAUS42 KKCI 220245 WA2S MIAS WA 220245 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20S RIC TO 30ENE ORF TO 70SSE ECG TO 80E ILM TO 40SSW CHS TO 30SW CAE TO 20ESE RDU TO 20S RIC VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12- 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...SC GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50W SAV TO SAV TO 20N CRG TO 40E CTY TO 40W CTY TO 30NNW TLH TO 50W SAV CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 06-09Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12-15Z. ....  554 WTPA35 PHFO 220244 TCPCP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 500 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...OLAF MOVING NORTHWEST WELL EAST OF HAWAII .. SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 145.6W ABOUT 800 MI...1285 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.6 WEST. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. OLAF IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY CURVE TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SEE THE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGES...WHHW40 PHFO OR CFWHFO...FROM THE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU FOR DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON  347 WAUS43 KKCI 220245 WA3Z CHIZ WA 220245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET ICE...NE KS OK TX FROM 60WSW ANW TO 50ESE SLN TO 40ENE CDS TO 50SW SPS TO 40ESE LBB TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO SNY TO 60WSW ANW MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE SD NE KS OK TX BOUNDED BY 50SW PIR-40S ONL-30E PWE-60SW MCI-20SSE ICT-40SW END-20NE ABI-40WNW SJT-INK-30ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-BFF-20SE RAP-50SW PIR MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 035-145 ACRS AREA 040 ALG 60WNW YQT-40W YQT-70SE YQT-70NNE SAW 080 ALG 50SSW YWG-60ESE BJI-40SSE SAW-70SE SSM 120 ALG 50W LBL-40SW HLC-30NE DSM-60SSE MCW-30SSE MCW-50SSE RWF-80NW RAP 120 ALG 20W ISN-RWF-30E ECK ....  348 WAUS41 KKCI 220245 WA1Z BOSZ WA 220245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET ICE...NY LO PA LE FROM 60W YSC TO 20ENE ALB TO 20SW HNK TO 60S JHW TO 30W YYZ TO YOW TO 60W YSC MOD ICE BTN 080 AND FL200. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . AIRMET ICE...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY PA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 60NE PQI TO 160ENE ACK TO 130ESE ENE TO 50NE ACK TO 60S ALB TO 20SW HNK TO 20ENE ALB TO 60W YSC TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL220. FRZLVL SFC-100. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE ME NH VT MA NY LO LE AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 50ESE YQB-20NW MLT-30SSW BGR-30WSW BOS-20S HNK-40WSW BUF-50WSW YOW-YOW-YSC-50ESE YQB MOD ICE BTN 080 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM SFC-135 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL BLW 070 BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-60NE PQI-60WSW YSJ- 20WSW MLT-30NE YSC-70NW PQI 040 ALG 50E YQB-30E HUL 080 ALG YSC-60ESE YSC-60SW YSJ 120 ALG 40ESE ECK-40W ERI-70S HTO-120SSE HTO-160SSE HTO- 170ESE SIE-180ESE SIE ....  349 WAUS45 KKCI 220245 WA5Z SLCZ WA 220245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET ICE...WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 30ESE BPI TO 60W LAR TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO 20NNE RSK TO 50SW SJN TO 40E LAS TO 50W DTA TO 30ESE BPI MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL230. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 095-130 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 70SSE LKV-80SE LKV-60WSW BAM-40S OAL 120 ALG 60E ELP-20W TXO 120 ALG 80NW RAP-20ESE SHR-40WSW LWT-20ENE GTF-30W HVR-30N HVR 120 ALG 50N GGW-60NE GGW-20W ISN ....  350 WAUS42 KKCI 220245 WA2Z MIAZ WA 220245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 220900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 120-170 ACRS AREA 160 ALG 120SSE SJI-120WSW SRQ-40ENE RSW-100ESE MIA ....  351 WAUS44 KKCI 220245 WA4Z DFWZ WA 220245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET ICE...OK TX NE KS FROM 60WSW ANW TO 50ESE SLN TO 40ENE CDS TO 50SW SPS TO 40ESE LBB TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO SNY TO 60WSW ANW MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z THRU 15Z. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE OK TX SD NE KS BOUNDED BY 50SW PIR-40S ONL-30E PWE-60SW MCI-20SSE ICT-40SW END-20NE ABI-40WNW SJT-INK-30ESE TBE-50W LBL-GLD-BFF-20SE RAP-50SW PIR MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-165 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20W TXO-40WNW AMA-50W LBL 160 ALG 60S LRD-40WSW CRP-20ENE CRP-70SSE PSX-130ENE BRO 160 ALG 80SW LEV-60WSW LEV-20S HRV-120SSE SJI ....  352 WAUS46 KKCI 220245 WA6Z SFOZ WA 220245 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 220900 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0900-1500Z...ICE WA OR CA BOUNDED BY 20ESE GEG-20SSW MLP-50SW FMG-30SSW OED-20ESE GEG MOD ICE BTN 150 AND FL250. CONDS DVLPG 09-12Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 15Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 055-155 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 170WSW HQM-30W HQM-50SSW HUH-40SE YDC-60E YDC 120 ALG 130W FOT-50S LKV-70SSE LKV 120 ALG 40S OAL-50ESE EHF-20ESE LAX-30SSW MZB ....  975 WGUS64 KFWD 220245 FFAFWD FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 945 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... .AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM TO THE WEST WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHILE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FIRST SYSTEM WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND. THE ALIGNMENT OF THE LOWER AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WILL BE SUCH THAT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND SLOW TO A CRAWL FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH SUCH A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM...RAIN MAY BE CONTINUOUS WITH RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AN HOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS. OVER TIME...TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT. TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>146-156>159-221000- /O.CON.KFWD.FF.A.0015.151023T0600Z-151025T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL- NAVARRO-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO... DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND... THE COLONY...PLANO...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER... SULPHUR SPRINGS...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD... BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...TERRELL... KAUFMAN...FORNEY...WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN... EDGEWOOD...EMORY...POINT...EAST TAWAKONI...CISCO...EASTLAND... RANGER...GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...GRANBURY... OAK TRAIL SHORES...GLEN ROSE...CLEBURNE...BURLESON...WAXAHACHIE... ENNIS...MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY... COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE...HAMILTON...HICO...CLIFTON... MERIDIAN...VALLEY MILLS...HILLSBORO...CORSICANA...LAMPASAS... COPPERAS COVE...GATESVILLE...KILLEEN...TEMPLE...FORT HOOD...WACO 945 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN NORTH ...CENTRAL TEXAS...BELL... BOSQUE...COLLIN...COMANCHE...COOKE...CORYELL...DALLAS... DENTON...EASTLAND...ELLIS...ERATH...FANNIN...GRAYSON... HAMILTON...HILL...HOOD...HUNT...JACK...JOHNSON...KAUFMAN... LAMPASAS...MCLENNAN...MILLS...MONTAGUE...NAVARRO...PALO PINTO...PARKER...ROCKWALL...SOMERVELL...STEPHENS...TARRANT... WISE AND YOUNG. IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...DELTA...HENDERSON... HOPKINS...LAMAR...RAINS AND VAN ZANDT. * FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT * PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL * FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND POOR DRAINING STREETS AND ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. && $$  225 WTPZ25 KNHC 220245 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 0300 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 100.5W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 85SE 50SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 100.5W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 99.9W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.2N 102.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.5N 103.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 104.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.0N 105.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 24.1N 103.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 100.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART  386 WTPZ35 KNHC 220245 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 1000 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...PATRICIA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 100.5W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Corrientes to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Patricia was located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 100.5 West. Patricia is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected tonight. A turn toward the northwest is expected on Thursday, followed by a turn toward the north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Patricia should be near the coast of southwestern Mexico on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Patricia is expected to become a hurricane by Thursday morning and a major hurricane on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by Friday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning areas by late Thursday or early Friday, and possible within the tropical storm watch area by late Thursday or early Friday. RAINFALL: Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later Thursday into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart  073 WTPZ45 KNHC 220246 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 1000 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 The convective cloud pattern of Patricia has improved significantly since the previous advisory. A large CDO feature and a pronounced curved convective band in the western semicircle has developed, and a primitive eye feature has been noted in recent passive microwave imagery. The last report from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicated a SFMR surface wind value of 56 kt, which arrived after the previous advisory had been issued. That data, along with a 2056Z UW-CIMSS AMSU intensity estimate of 59 kt and the improved satellite appearance, is the justification for increasing the intensity to a conservative 55 kt. The initial motion estimate is 290/12 kt. The new forecast track is similar to the previous advisory track except to widen the turn toward the northwest slightly in 24-36 hours. The new 18Z GFS model shifted slightly westward and is now very close to the ECMWF solution. As a result, the official forecast track has been nudged slightly westward at the 24-, 36-, and 48-hours, which delays landfall by another 6 hours or so. Otherwise, the track forecast reasoning remains unchanged. Patricia is expected to move west-northwestward along the south side of a deep-layer ridge over the Gulf of Mexico for the next 24 hours, followed by a gradual turn toward the northwest, and a turn toward the north at 36-48 hours. The model guidance remains in excellent agreement on this track scenario, and the official forecast lies between the GFS-ECMWF (GFEX) and TVCE consensus model tracks. The improved organization of Patricia along with favorable environmental and oceanic conditions consisting of low vertical wind shear of less than 5 kt, a very moist mid-level environment, SSTs in excess of 30 deg C, and high upper-ocean heat content values in excess of 60 units support rapid intensification of the tropical cyclone. The NHC intensity forecast closely follows the IVCN consensus model through 24 hours and then is above the consensus after that, following a blend of the SHIPS and LGEM models. The justification for going above the IVCN consensus is due to the low bias caused by the HWRF model, which moves Patricia inland sooner, resulting in a much lower intensity at 48 hours. As a result, rapid intensification is explicitly forecast for the next 36 hours, making Patricia a major hurricane by the end of that period. The intensity is then leveled off at 48 hours due to the possibility of modest southerly wind shear and some land interaction affecting the cyclone as Patricia nears the coast of southwestern Mexico. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 13.5N 100.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 22/1200Z 14.2N 102.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 23/0000Z 15.5N 103.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 36H 23/1200Z 17.0N 104.9W 100 KT 115 MPH 48H 24/0000Z 19.0N 105.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 25/0000Z 24.1N 103.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart  748 WSCN24 CWAO 220246 CZYZ SIGMET G1 VALID 220245/220645 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR FRQ TS OBS WTN 15 NM OF LINE /N4317 W08133/25 NW CYXU - /N4416 W08014/45 NW CYYZ TOP FL340 MOV ENE 30KT WKNG RMK GFACN33=  749 WSCN04 CWAO 220246 CZYZ SIGMET G1 VALID 220245/220645 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR FRQ TS OBS WTN 15 NM OF LINE N4317 W08133 - N4416 W08014 TOP FL340 MOV ENE 30KT WKNG=  011 WGUS54 KAMA 220247 FFWAMA TXC117-359-220645- /O.NEW.KAMA.FF.W.0029.151022T0247Z-151022T0645Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 947 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... DEAF SMITH COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... OLDHAM COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 145 AM CDT * AT 945 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... HEREFORD...VEGA...ADRIAN...BOYS RANCH...WILDORADO...GLENRIO... SIMMS...BOOTLEG AND DAWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. && LAT...LON 3562 10304 3563 10216 3475 10217 3475 10304 $$ MB  446 WSBO31 SLLP 220243 SLLF SIGMET A1 VALID 220243/220543 SLLP- SLLF LA PAZ FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST AT 2243Z WI S1529 W06857 - S1543 W06759 - S1618 W06721 - S1655 W06747 - S1648 W06831 - S1623 W06919 - S1529 W06902 - TOP FL390 MOV SE 02KT INTSF=  604 WHCA42 TJSJ 220250 AAA CFWSPN MENSAJES SOBRE PELIGROS COSTEROS SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1042 PM AST MIERCOLES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS ESTAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO. ESTO RESULTA EN CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS FUERTES A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO. PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-221200- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NORESTE- MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD-CULEBRA- SAN THOMAS/SAN JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- 1042 PM AST MIERCOLES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DEL JUEVES... ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DEL JUEVES... * OLEAJE Y RESACAS...OLAS ROMPIENTES DE 11 A 13 PIES. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...SAN THOMAS...Y SAN JOHN. * DURACION...HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DEL JUEVES. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR HOY DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA NORTE DE PUERTO RICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE ESTA NOCHE. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVETENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES O OLEAJE FUERTE AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$  605 WTPA45 PHFO 220250 TCDCP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 500 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 THE SATELLITE CLOUD PATTERN AROUND OLAF HAS WEAKENED SINCE THIS MORNING. THE SURROUNDING TOPS HAVE WARMED AND THE EYE HAS COOLED... BUT SOME OF THESE CHANGES HAVE OCCURRED SINCE THE 21/2330 UTC DVORAK SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATES WERE DONE. THE ESTIMATES FROM HFO...JTWC AND SAB WERE ALL UNCHANGED SINCE THIS MORNINGS WITH CURRENT INTENSITIES OF 5.5/102 KT. THE UW-CIMSS OBJECTIVE ESTIMATE WAS 5.7/107.2 KT. I HAVE KEPT THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 105 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION FOR THIS ADVISORY IS 315/08 KT WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE IN RECENT CENTER POSITIONS. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE REASONING FOR THE TRACK FORECAST SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. OLAF IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...GRADUALLY TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH IN 72 HOURS. A STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH TOWARD THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STARTING ON SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...OLAF WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE CURRENT FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS OUR PREVIOUS FORECASTS AND REMAINS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE TRUSTED MODELS. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE...SST...ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COOL FROM NEAR 29 DEGREES CELSIUS THIS AFTERNOON TO 26 DEGREES 120 HOURS FROM NOW. THE INITIAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR... VWS...WAS RATHER LOW WITH SHIPS SHOWING 3 KT FROM THE SOUTHEAST UW-CIMSS SHOWING 15 KT FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SHIPS SHOWS THE VWS INCREASING STEADILY TO 28 KT SUNDAY NIGHT. SHIPS SHOWS SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THEN STEADY WEAKENING. ICON AND IVCN SHOW GRADUAL WEAKENING FROM THE START. I HAVE FOLLOWED THE CONSENSUS MODELS WITH SLOW WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THEN FASTER WEAKENING DUE TO STRONGER VWS AND LOWER SST. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 12.6N 145.6W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 22/1200Z 13.3N 146.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 23/0000Z 14.6N 146.9W 100 KT 115 MPH 36H 23/1200Z 15.9N 147.1W 95 KT 110 MPH 48H 24/0000Z 17.5N 147.0W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 25/0000Z 20.0N 146.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 26/0000Z 22.0N 144.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 27/0000Z 25.5N 141.0W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON  795 WGUS64 KSJT 220252 FFASJT FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 952 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING MAY AFFECT WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... .AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. MEANWHILE...A PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE REGION. AS THE STORM SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS THE MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING...AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE AN INTENSITY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THEREFORE...FLASH FLOODING MAY DEVELOP... ESPECIALLY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 221100- /O.CON.KSJT.FF.A.0013.151022T1200Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN- COLEMAN-BROWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER... STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS... MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...HASKELL...THROCKMORTON... WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE... BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...BROWNWOOD 952 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING BROWN...CALLAHAN...COKE...COLEMAN...CONCHO...CROCKETT... FISHER...HASKELL...IRION...JONES...NOLAN...RUNNELS... SHACKELFORD...STERLING...TAYLOR...THROCKMORTON AND...TOM GREEN. * FROM 7 AM CDT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$  982 WFUS54 KMAF 220252 TORMAF NMC025-220315- /O.NEW.KMAF.TO.W.0031.151022T0252Z-151022T0315Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 852 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 915 PM MDT * AT 851 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR JAL...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF KERMIT... MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... JAL AROUND 905 PM MDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE BENNETT AND JAL AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW. && LAT...LON 3202 10339 3216 10341 3229 10307 3201 10307 TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 262DEG 28KT 3209 10328 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...1.00IN $$ 05  867 WHCA72 TJSJ 220253 CCA MWWSPN URGENTE - MENSAJE MARITIMO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1036 PM AST MIERCOLES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...OLEAJE PELIGROSO A TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO Y EL PASAJE DE MONA... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO Y EL PASAJE DE MONA ESTA NOCHE...Y LUEGO DISMINUIRAN EL JUEVES. AMZ710-722-741-221045- 1036 PM AST MIERCOLES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 2 PM AST DEL JUEVES... * VIENTOS...DEL SURESTE DE 5 A 10 NUDOS. * OLAS/OLEAJE...DE 5 A 8 PIES CON OLEAJE OCASIONAL HASTA DE 10 PIES EN MAREJADAS DEL NORTE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA OLEAJE DE 7 PIES O MAS PRODUCIENDO CONDICIONES MARITIMAS PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NAVEGANTES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE AQUELLOS QUE OPERAN NAVES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$ AMZ712-715-742-745-221045- 1036 PM AST MIERCOLES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 AM DEL JUEVES... * VIENTOS...DEL SURESTE DE 5 A 10 NUDOS. * OLAS/OLEAJE...DE 5 A 7 PIES CON OLEAJE OCASIONAL HASTA DE 8 PIES EN MAREJADAS DEL NORTE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA OLEAJE DE 7 PIES O MAS PRODUCIENDO CONDICIONES MARITIMAS PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NAVEGANTES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE AQUELLOS QUE OPERAN NAVES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$  746 WWJP72 RJTD 220000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 220000UTC ISSUED AT 220300UTC PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STEEP WARNING(NEAR GALE) TSUSHIMA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 220900UTC =  747 WWJP75 RJTD 220000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 220000UTC ISSUED AT 220300UTC DEVELOPING LOW 986HPA AT 57N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY DEVELOPING LOW 994HPA AT 56N 164E MOVING ENE 10 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 220900UTC =  748 WWJP73 RJTD 220000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 220000UTC ISSUED AT 220300UTC TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA AT 23.2N 155.2E MOVING WNW 13 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 26.4N 156.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 29.7N 160.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 177E TO 28N 170E 32N 158E 30N 150E 28N 140E WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOUTHERN SEA OFF TOKAI, SOUTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 220900UTC =  749 WWJP74 RJTD 220000 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 220000UTC ISSUED AT 220300UTC PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STEEP WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 220900UTC =  750 WWJP81 RJTD 220000 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 220000UTC ISSUED AT 220300UTC TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002HPA AT 20N 124E MOVING EAST SLOWLY GALE WARNING SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOUTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU, SEA EAST OF OKINAWA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 220900UTC =  265 WBCN07 CWVR 220200 PAM ROCKS WIND 2906 LANGARA; OVC 8RW- S15G27 3FT MDT MOD-HVY W 0230 CLD EST 10 BKN 15 OVC 09/09 GREEN; OVC 8R- S26E 5FT MDT 0230 CLD EST 18 FEW 24 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/08 TRIPLE; OVC 7RW- S22E 4FT MDT LO SW 0230 CLD EST 10 FEW 20 BKN OVC ABV 25 12/08 BONILLA; CLDY 15 S18 4FT MDT LO S 0230 CLD EST BKN ABV 25 12/09 BOAT BLUFF; CLDY 12 SE07 1FT CHP 0230 CLD EST 22 BKN BKN ABV 25 12/09 MCINNES; CLDY 15 SW05E 1FT CHP LO W 0230 CLD EST 20 BKN BKN ABV 25 12/10 IVORY; OVC 10 SE09 1FT CHP LO SW 0230 CLD EST 12 SCT OVC ABV 25 12/10 DRYAD; CLDY 12 SE06 RPLD 0230 CLD EST 16 SCT BKN ABV 25 11/10 ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15 SE15E 3FT MDT LO SW RW- PST HR 0230 CLD EST 20 SCT BKN ABV 25 11/10 EGG ISLAND; CLDY 10 SE10 2FT CHP LO W 0240 CLD EST 18 FEW BKN ABV 25 10/10 PINE ISLAND; PC 15 SE3E RPLD LO W 0240 CLD EST 20 FEW SCT ABV 25 11/11 CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15 S15E 3FT MOD LO SW 0240 CLD EST 18 SCT BKN ABV 25 12/10 QUATSINO; PC 15 W5E 2FT CHP LO SW 0240 CLD EST SCT ABV 25 12/11 NOOTKA; PC 15 E3 1FT CHP LO-MDT SW 0240 CLD EST 12 FEW SCT ABV 25 11/11 ESTEVAN; PC 15 NW04 1FT CHP LO-MDT SW 1020.0R LENNARD; PC 15 NW09 2FT CHP LO SW AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; PC 15 E03 2FT CHP LO SW PACHENA; CLDY 15 CLM 2FT CHP LO SW CARMANAH; CLDY 12 SE04E 1FT CHP LO SW SCARLETT; PC 15 SW4E 1FT CHP LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; CLDY 12RW- W4E RPLD 0240 CLD EST 4 FEW 22 SCT BKN ABV 25 11/10 CHROME; OVC 12 SE6 1FT CHP LO E MERRY; CLDY 15 E5 RPLD 0240 CLD EST 20 SCT BKN ABV 25 12/12 ENTRANCE; OVC 15 SE6 1FT CHP FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; CLDY 15+ SE5 RPLD TRIAL IS.; PC 12 SW18 3FT MOD F BNK DSTNT S-W Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 202/11/10/2110/M/ 5000 33MM= WLP SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 198/11/10/1807/M/ 3008 07MM= WEB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 218/11/10/2804/M/ 3011 15MM= WQC SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 209/11/10/2501/M/ 3010 33MM= WRU SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 209/13/09/2705/M/ 3009 83MM= WFG SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 197/12/09/2314/M/ 2006 43MM= WVF SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/11/10/1706/M/M M 45MM= WQS SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 123/12/10/2214+19/M/0024 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR PK WND 2219 0156Z 1011 77MM= WRO SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 112/10/09/1813/M/ PK WND 1817 0158Z 3010 58MM= WEK SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 117/12/09/1822/M/ PK WND 1826 0124Z 3006 50MM= WWL SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 132/12/08/1918/M/ PK WND 1821 0156Z M 64MM= WME SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 185/10/08/2106/M/0006 PK WND 2219 0131Z 3013 90MM= WAS SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 196/12/10/2906/M/ 3001 66MM= WSB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 195/12/10/1005/M/ 5000 32MM= WGT SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 198/13/09/1215/M/M PK WND 1118 0111Z 3004 73MM= WGB SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 198/12/11/1209/M/ 3002 02MM= WEL SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 200/12/11/1809/M/ 3002 59MM= WDR SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 198/10/M/2307/M/M 3001 4MMM= WZO SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1710/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1009/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 0200 AUTO8 M M M 202/11/09/3302/M/0004 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR 3012 01MM=  794 WHUS73 KDLH 220256 MWWDLH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 956 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 LSZ146-147-220400- /O.CAN.KDLH.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI- 956 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LSZ140-141-220600- /O.EXT.KDLH.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN- GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN- 956 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... * SUSTAINED WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT. * WIND GUSTS...UP TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ WL  005 WGUS84 KMAF 220259 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 859 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC025-220600- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0213.151022T0259Z-151022T0600Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEA NM- 859 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... EAST CENTRAL LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT * AT 857 PM MDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED HEAVY RAIN AND LOW VISIBILITIES ON STATE HIGHWAY 18 NORTHWEST OF HOBBS DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... HOBBS...LOVINGTON...NADINE...LEA COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT... KNOWLES...HUMBLE CITY...MONUMENT...LOVINGTON AIRPORT AND INDUSTRIAL AIRPARK. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...SEMINOLE DRAW... WARDSWELL DRAW AND MONUMENT DRAW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3300 10307 3250 10307 3251 10344 3300 10343 $$ 44  715 WSUS32 KKCI 220255 SIGC MKCC WST 220255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 10C VALID UNTIL 0455Z TX CO NM FROM 40NNE CIM-20E CDS-INK-60W INK-40NNE CIM AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 19035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 11C VALID UNTIL 0455Z KS FROM 50WSW SLN-20E GCK LINE EMBD TS 40 NM WIDE MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS TO FL420. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 12C VALID UNTIL 0455Z TX FROM 40WSW INK-30WNW MRF-60ESE MRF LINE TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 21035KT. TOPS TO FL440. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 13C VALID UNTIL 0455Z TX FROM 40WSW SJT-10ENE DLF LINE TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 18030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 220455-220855 AREA 1...FROM 30S PWE-60E ICT-40NNW END-30S DLF-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-90S ELP-50N ELP-60S FTI-40W CIM-40NE LAA-40NE HLC-30S PWE REF WW 517. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30ENE PSX-80S LCH-120S LCH-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-CRP-50W PSX-30ENE PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  716 WSUS31 KKCI 220255 SIGE MKCE WST 220255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220455-220855 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  717 WSUS33 KKCI 220255 SIGW MKCW WST 220255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220455-220855 AREA 1...FROM 50SE HVE-SJN-30SW INW-40SW PHX-40E BZA-30SSW EED-70N PGS-50SE HVE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 50W TCS-50N ELP-90S ELP-70SSW DMN-50W TCS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  164 WSBW20 VGHS 220300 VGFR SIGMET 1 VALID 220400/220800 VGHS- VGFR DHAKA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N21 AND E OF E88 TOP FL400 MOV ESE NC=  501 WWUS75 KCYS 220300 NPWCYS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 900 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 900 AM MDT THURSDAY... .AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 80 SUMMIT AND OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY. VISIBILITIES IN DENSE FOG WILL BE UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. IF YOU ENCOUNTER DENSE FOG...PLEASE SLOW DOWN...USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TRAVEL TIME TO SAFELY REACH YOUR DESTINATION. WYZ118-221500- /O.EXA.KCYS.FG.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHEYENNE 900 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY. * TIMING...UNTIL 900 AM MDT THURSDAY. * VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...MOTORISTS ON INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN CHEYENNE AND LARAMIE CAN EXPECT RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES THAT CAN MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ WYZ116-117-221500- /O.CON.KCYS.FG.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE... HORSE CREEK...HARRIMAN...WHITAKER 900 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...UNTIL 900 AM MDT THURSDAY. * VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...MOTORISTS ON INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN CHEYENNE AND LARAMIE CAN EXPECT RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES THAT CAN MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ RUBIN  692 WWUS84 KSJT 220303 SPSSJT SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1003 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXZ076-220330- CROCKETT TX- 1003 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CROCKETT COUNTY UNTIL 1030 PM CDT... AT 1003 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF OZONA...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN CROCKETT COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...THE INTERSECTION OF U.S 190 AND HIGHWAY 163. LAT...LON 3065 10128 3102 10122 3102 10097 3070 10097 3064 10111 TIME...MOT...LOC 0303Z 196DEG 23KT 3083 10114 $$  910 WWUS45 KGJT 220303 WSWGJT URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 903 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 COZ019-221115- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 903 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY... * LOCATIONS...FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR WOLF CREEK PASS. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 5 INCHES. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN A MILE IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...WOLF CREEK PASS WILL BECOME SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ012-221115- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS- 903 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY ABOVE 10000 FEET... * LOCATIONS...FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR MONARCH PASS. * TIMING...THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 5 INCHES. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 10000 FEET. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN A MILE IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE COME SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$  931 WOUS64 KWNS 220303 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1003 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  814 WSGR31 LGAT 220305 LGGG SIGMET 1 VALID 220305/220705 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS WI N4000 E01900 - N3930 E02430 - N3700 E02500 - N3530 E01900 MOV E NC=  269 WUUS54 KMAF 220306 SVRMAF NMC025-TXC003-220400- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0261.151022T0306Z-151022T0400Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1006 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... NORTHWESTERN ANDREWS COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1100 PM CDT/1000 PM MDT/ * AT 1006 PM CDT/906 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF JAL...OR 29 MILES NORTH OF KERMIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... EUNICE AND FRANKEL CITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3215 10329 3228 10330 3252 10307 3252 10264 3226 10268 TIME...MOT...LOC 0306Z 231DEG 32KT 3227 10314 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$ 05  881 WSMP31 LMMM 220306 LMMM SIGMET 1 VALID 220306/220706 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR SEV TURB FCST BTN FL300/360 NC=  212 WWUS84 KMAF 220309 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1009 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMZ028-034-TXZ058-059-220400- EDDY COUNTY PLAINS NM-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY NM- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS TX-LOVING TX- 1009 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDDY...SOUTHWESTERN LEA...NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON...NORTHWESTERN LOVING AND NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT/1000 PM MDT/... AT 1008 PM CDT/908 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RED BLUFF RESERVOIR...OR 29 MILES NORTHWEST OF MENTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RED BLUFF RESERVOIR AND RED BLUFF. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT/1100 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. LAT...LON 3184 10407 3212 10411 3226 10382 3186 10357 TIME...MOT...LOC 0308Z 240DEG 49KT 3200 10397 $$  748 WWUS84 KMAF 220310 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1010 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXZ081-220400- BIG BEND AREA TX- 1010 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY UNTIL 1100 PM CDT... AT 1010 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARATHON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MARATHON...ELEPHANT MOUNTAIN WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA AND ELEPHANT MOUNTAIN. LAT...LON 2982 10335 2994 10357 3023 10346 3027 10293 TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 215DEG 26KT 3001 10336 $$  124 WTPN32 PHNC 220400 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 029// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 12.3N 145.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 145.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 13.3N 146.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 14.6N 146.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 15.9N 147.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 17.5N 147.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 20.0N 146.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 22.0N 144.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 25.5N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 220400Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 145.6W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 718 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z, 221600Z, 222200Z AND 230400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.//  933 WCPA07 PHFO 220314 WSTPAT KZAK SIGMET TANGO 8 VALID 220315/220915 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR TC OLAF OBS AT 0300Z N1236 W14536. CB TOP FL510 WI 200NM OF CENTER. MOV NW 07KT. NC. FCST 0900Z TC CENTER N1304 W14600.  160 WANO34 ENMI 220314 ENBD AIRMET C01 VALID 220330/220730 ENVV- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL MOD ICE FCST N OF N6200 AND S OF N6500 FL070/200 MOV E NC=  725 WHUS71 KBUF 220315 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1115 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 LOZ042-221115- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0900Z-151023T1100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1115 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-221115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0900Z-151022T1800Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1115 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-221115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0900Z-151022T1800Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 1115 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043>045-221115- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T1800Z-151023T1100Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1115 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  134 WTPN31 PHNC 220400 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 13.3N 99.9W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N 99.9W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 14.2N 102.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 15.5N 103.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 17.0N 104.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 19.0N 105.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 24.1N 103.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 220400Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 100.6W. TROPICAL STORM 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z, 221600Z, 222200Z AND 230400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  273 WSUZ31 UTTT 220323 UTTR SIGMET 1 VALID 220315/220600 UTTT- UTTR TASHKENT FIR EMDB TS OBS W OF E070 E OF E068 TOP FL200 MOV NE 10KT NC UTTR SIGMET 2 VALID 220315/220600 UTTT- UTTR TASHKENT FIR EMBD TS FCST E OF E068 TOP FL300 MOV NE 10KT NC=  015 WWUS84 KAMA 220318 AWWAMA AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 1018 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXZ012-017-220800- POTTER-RANDALL- 1018 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR RICK HUSBAND AMARILLO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND TRADEWIND AIRPORT FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS... * CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITHIN 5 MILES OF KAMA. TIMING... * UNTIL 300 AM CDT. $$ GOEHRING  638 WABZ24 SBCW 220318 SBCW AIRMET 3 VALID 220330/220530 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR ISOL TS FC ST N OF S23 AND E OF W053 ABV FL030 STNR WKN=  515 WGUS64 KOUN 220319 AAA FFAOUN FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1019 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY...WITH A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. RAIN WILL BEGIN IN THE WESTERN BORDER AREAS OF OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT...THEN SPREAD SLOWLY EAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221130- /O.CON.KOUN.FF.A.0009.151022T0600Z-151023T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD- NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE- BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN- CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON- TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON- JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN- FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD... PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY... CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA... KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL... ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER... CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE... HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK... LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE... WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA... MADILL...DURANT...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON... WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY... HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA 1019 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. * THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS AROUND 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. THE HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. * DO DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS AND INFORMATION. MAKE PLANS TO GET TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING HAPPENS. && $$  625 WGUS85 KABQ 220319 FLSABQ FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 919 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC009-037-041-220615- /O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0552.151022T0319Z-151022T0615Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CURRY-ROOSEVELT-QUAY- 919 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... CURRY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... SOUTHEASTERN QUAY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO... * UNTIL 1215 AM MDT * AT 919 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS BETWEEN SAN JON...MELROSE...CLOVIS...PORTALES AND ROGERS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH THESE STORMS AND WILL FALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS. IN PARTICULAR...CLOVIS AND PORTALES WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE WATER COVERED ROADS...SOME OF WHICH MAY BECOME IMPASSIBLE. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CLOVIS...PORTALES...FARWELL...TEXICO...MELROSE...DORA...GRADY... BROADVIEW...OASIS STATE PARK AND SAINT VRAIN. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 365 AND 373. OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE GRULLA NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE AND OASIS STATE PARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS... STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. && LAT...LON 3398 10376 3480 10374 3523 10305 3395 10304 $$  080 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGRE ES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATE LLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 1 25 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 1 05 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KT S --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 0 70 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMAT ELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AN D 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGT W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX ) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  081 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGRE ES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATE LLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 1 25 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 1 05 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KT S --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 0 70 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMAT ELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AN D 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  082 WSBZ01 SBBR 220300 WSBZ31 SBRE 220223  083 WSBZ01 SBBR 220300 WSBZ31 SBCW 220124  084 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGRE ES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATE LLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 1 25 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 1 05 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KT S --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 0 70 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMAT ELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AN D 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  085 WSBZ01 SBBR 220300 SBCW SIGMET 1 VALID 220130/220445 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2710 W05350- S2843 W05608- S3207 W05153- S3200 W04811 - S2805 W04450 - S2634 W05346 - S2710 W05350 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  086 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) W ARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGRE ES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0 35 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOC ATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXTWARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WA RNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  209 WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25 W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED AP PROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELL ITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS TIGHTLY-CURVE D CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A 14-NM RAGGED EYE, WHICH S UPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENS ITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A N ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTER AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FOREC AST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST -NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH TH E FORECAST PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS - PRIMARILY INC REASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS - WILL BEGIN TO ERODE TH E CYCLONE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRAN SITION AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHILE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD. TY CHAMPI WILL BECOME A COLD-CORE LOW BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOS E TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//  210 WDPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25 W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED AP PROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELL ITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS TIGHTLY-CURVE D CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A 14-NM RAGGED EYE, WHICH S UPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENS ITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A N ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTER AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FOREC AST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST -NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH TH E FORECAST PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS - PRIMARILY INC REASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS - WILL BEGIN TO ERODE TH E CYCLONE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSIT ION AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHILE ACCELERAT ING NORTHEASTWARD. TY CHAMPI WILL BECOME A COLD-CORE LOW BY TAU 72. D YNAMIC GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-M ODEL CONSENSUS.//  211 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) W ARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGRE ES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0 35 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOC ATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 22210 0Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (W TPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) W ARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  212 WTPN51 PGTW 220300 WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 151022004231 2015102200 26W TWENTYSIX 001 03 310 13 SATL 020 T000 235N 1553E 025 T012 266N 1559E 030 T024 304N 1610E 030 T036 331N 1680E 030 T048 345N 1764E 030 AMP 024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSI X) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) W ARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGRE ES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0 35 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOC ATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXTWARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WA RNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 2615101912 163N1647E 15 2615101918 166N1640E 15 2615102000 171N1634E 15 2615102006 180N1626E 15 2615102012 188N1618E 15 2615102018 193N1606E 20 2615102100 199N1595E 20 2615102106 209N1584E 20 2615102112 217N1576E 20 2615102118 227N1564E 20 2615102200 235N1553E 25  213 WTPN52 PGTW 220300 WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 151022011142 2015102200 25W CHAMPI 036 03 050 06 SATL 010 T000 237N 1412E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 S E QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 135 N E QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T012 243N 1426E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 S E QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 N E QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 250N 1444E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 S E QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 N E QD 135 SE QD 125 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 259N 1467E 085 R064 035 NE QD 040 S E QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 N E QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 273N 1496E 075 R064 035 NE QD 040 S E QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 N E QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 125 NW QD T072 319N 1581E 055 AMP 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 0 36 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGRE ES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATE LLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 1 25 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 1 05 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KT S --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 0 70 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMAT ELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AN D 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGT W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX ) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2515101112 115N1672E 15 2515101118 115N1666E 15 2515101200 115N1660E 15 2515101206 115N1652E 15 2515101212 114N1640E 15 2515101218 116N1631E 15 2515101300 120N1622E 20 2515101306 128N1615E 25 2515101312 134N1606E 25 2515101318 140N1598E 30 2515101400 143N1584E 35 2515101406 148N1566E 35 2515101412 148N1551E 40 2515101418 151N1537E 45 2515101500 154N1526E 50 2515101506 158N1512E 50 2515101512 159N1495E 50 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100  507 WCMX31 MMMX 220321 MMEX SIGMET 1 VALID 220317/220917 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR TC PATRICIA OBS N1330 W10030 AT 0317Z FRQ TS TOP FL550 W1 180NM OF CENTRE MOV WNW 14KT INTSF. FCST CENTRE 220900 N1354 W10142=  221 WUUS54 KMAF 220321 SVRMAF TXC243-377-220415- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0262.151022T0321Z-151022T0415Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1021 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTH CENTRAL PRESIDIO COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1115 PM CDT * AT 1021 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BLOYS CAMP...OR 16 MILES WEST OF FORT DAVIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORT DAVIS...BUFFALO TRAIL SCOUT CAMP...BLOYS CAMP...INDIAN LODGE STATE PARK...DAVIS MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...MCDONALD OBSERVATORY... FORT DAVIS NATIONAL HISTORICAL SITE...STAR MOUNTAIN AND BLACK MOUNTAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3042 10414 3053 10431 3105 10413 3062 10360 TIME...MOT...LOC 0321Z 222DEG 34KT 3055 10417 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  766 WUUS54 KMAF 220321 RRA SVRMAF TXC377-220430- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0263.151022T0321Z-151022T0430Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1021 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN PRESIDIO COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1130 PM CDT * AT 1021 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER CANDELARIA...OR 39 MILES WEST OF MARFA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MARFA...RYAN...MARFA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND CANDELARIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL... DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. && LAT...LON 3053 10450 3041 10391 3028 10391 3003 10468 3007 10470 3008 10469 3018 10469 3022 10471 3023 10471 3026 10475 3030 10476 3031 10478 3032 10478 TIME...MOT...LOC 0321Z 238DEG 32KT 3015 10466 $$ 05  128 WSBZ01 SBBR 220300 SBAZ SIGMET 5 VALID 220230/220500 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0009 W06836 - N0139 W06725 - N0100 W06607 - S0026 W06607 - S0132 W06711 - S0009 W06836 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT WKN=  129 WSBZ01 SBBR 220300 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220213  130 WSBZ01 SBBR 220300 SBCW SIGMET 2 VALID 220130/220445 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2717 W05007- S2313 W04725- S2429 W04434- S2534 W04412 - S2805 W04450 - S2717 W05007 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  131 WSBZ01 SBBR 220300 WSBZ31 SBRE 220017  435 WGUS84 KAMA 220323 FLSAMA FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 1023 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC375-381-220800- /O.NEW.KAMA.FA.Y.0149.151022T0323Z-151022T0800Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POTTER TX-RANDALL TX- 1023 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... POTTER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... RANDALL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 300 AM CDT * AT 1022 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... AMARILLO...CANYON...LAKE TANGLEWOOD...PALO DURO CANYON...VALLEY DE ORO...BUSHLAND...MESCALERO PARK...UMBARGER...BUFFALO LAKE AND TIMBERCREEK CANYON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. && LAT...LON 3475 10217 3562 10216 3562 10162 3475 10163 $$ LG  054 WOUS64 KWNS 220324 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1024 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  234 WAHW31 PHFO 220326 WA0HI HNLS WA 220400 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 221000 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 220400 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 221000 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 220400 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 221000 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...165-160.  860 WWUS54 KMAF 220326 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1026 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC025-TXC003-220400- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0261.000000T0000Z-151022T0400Z/ LEA NM-ANDREWS TX- 1026 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT/1000 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA AND NORTHWESTERN ANDREWS COUNTIES... AT 1026 PM CDT/926 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EUNICE...OR 26 MILES SOUTH OF HOBBS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... EUNICE AND FRANKEL CITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3228 10330 3252 10307 3252 10264 3231 10267 3223 10330 TIME...MOT...LOC 0326Z 222DEG 23KT 3235 10312 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$ 05  666 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGRE ES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATE LLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 1 25 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 1 05 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KT S --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 0 70 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMAT ELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AN D 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGT W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX ) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  667 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) W ARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGRE ES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0 35 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOC ATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 22210 0Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WARNINGS (W TPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) W ARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  668 WDPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25 W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED AP PROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELL ITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS TIGHTLY-CURVE D CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A 14-NM RAGGED EYE, WHICH S UPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENS ITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A N ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTER AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FOREC AST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST -NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH TH E FORECAST PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS - PRIMARILY INC REASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS - WILL BEGIN TO ERODE TH E CYCLONE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSIT ION AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHILE ACCELERAT ING NORTHEASTWARD. TY CHAMPI WILL BECOME A COLD-CORE LOW BY TAU 72. D YNAMIC GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-M ODEL CONSENSUS./=  669 WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25 W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED AP PROXIMATELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELL ITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS TIGHTLY-CURVE D CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A 14-NM RAGGED EYE, WHICH S UPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENS ITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A N ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CENTER AND EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FOREC AST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST -NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH TH E FORECAST PERIOD. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS - PRIMARILY INC REASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS - WILL BEGIN TO ERODE TH E CYCLONE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRAN SITION AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHILE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD. TY CHAMPI WILL BECOME A COLD-CORE LOW BY TAU 72. DYNAMIC GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS POSITIONED CLOS E TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS./=  670 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) W ARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 155.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGRE ES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0 35 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 155.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 26.6N 155.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 30.4N 161.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 33.1N 168.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.5N 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 0 40 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 155.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOC ATED APPROXIMATELY 770 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXTWARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (KOPPU) WA RNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. /=  671 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGRE ES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATE LLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 1 25 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 1 05 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KT S --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 0 70 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMAT ELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AN D 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  672 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEAR L HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 036 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHW ESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINU TE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 23.7N 141.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGRE ES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATE LLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 1 25 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 141.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 24.3N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KT S --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 25.0N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 1 15 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KT S --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.9N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 1 05 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KT S --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.3N 149.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 0 90 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH EAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTH EAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTH WEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTH WEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KT S --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 31.9N 158.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 0 70 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 141.6E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMAT ELY 66 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A T 220000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AN D 230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  176 WSPR31 SPIM 220317 SPIM SIGMET 2 VALID 220317/220320 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET 1 VALID 220120/220320=  357 WARH31 LDZM 220327 LDZO AIRMET 1 VALID 220330/220600 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MT OBSC OBS WI N4538 E01434 - N4434 E01505 - N4554 E01729 - N4630 E01624 ABV FL030 STNR NC=  192 WSNT07 KKCI 220335 SIGA0G KZHU SIGMET GOLF 3 VALID 220335/220735 KKCI- HOUSTON OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 0335Z WI N2810 W09430 - N2655 W09250 - N2520 W09335 - N2605 W09615 - N2810 W09430. TOP FL510. STNR. NC.  316 WSPS21 NZKL 220327 NZZO SIGMET 2 VALID 220333/220733 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S4600 W13450 - S4550 W13330 - S4900 W13150 - S5140 W13110 - S5150 W13210 - S4600 W13450 FL180/280 MOV SE 45KT NC=  492 WSPS21 NZKL 220328 NZZO SIGMET 3 VALID 220333/220404 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 1 220004/220404=  537 WWCN02 CYTR 220333 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB PETAWAWA PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 11:33 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB PETAWAWA (CYWA) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 30 NM VALID: 22/0345Z TO 22/0500Z (21/2345 EDT TO 22/0100 EDT) COMMENTS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY APPROACHING PETAWAWA FROM THE WEST AND ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN GIVING LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN 30 NM VERY SHORTLY. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE 30 NM RADIUS QUICKLY AND SHOULD STAY NORTH OF THE 5 NM RADIUS. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/0500Z (22/0100 EDT) END/JMC  841 WSIR31 OIII 220209 OIIX SIGMET 2 VALID 220205/220530 OIIX- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST LOC OVER SW,W,CENTRAL AND SOUTH OF NW AREA OBS TOP FL320 MOV E INTSF=  049 WSIR31 OIII 220020 OIIX SIGMET 1 VALID 220005/220230 OIIX- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS LOC OVER SW,W AND SOUTH OF NW AREA OBSTOP FL320 MOV E INTSF=  908 WHUS76 KSEW 220336 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 836 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 PZZ131-132-220445- /O.CAN.KSEW.SC.Y.0228.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ CENTRAL U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- EAST ENTRANCE U.S. WATERS STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA- 836 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ PZZ110-221145- /O.NEW.KSEW.RB.Y.0027.151022T1800Z-151023T1300Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 836 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY. * SEAS...COMBINED SEAS 10 FEET LATE THURSDAY MORNING. * BAR CONDITION...BECOMING ROUGH LATE THURSDAY MORNING. * FIRST MAXIMUM EBB...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. * SECOND MAXIMUM EBB...1 PM THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-221145- /O.CON.KSEW.SW.Y.0022.151022T1300Z-151023T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 836 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS...WEST SWELL 10 TO 13 FEET. * DOMINANT PERIOD...13 TO 15 SECONDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER... BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE  235 WARH31 LDZM 220334 LDZO AIRMET 2 VALID 220334/220700 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD TURB FCST WI N4420 E01611 - N4356 E01533 - N4206 E01826 - N4232 E01824 SFC/FL060 STNR NC=  292 WWUS54 KMAF 220338 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1038 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC377-220430- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0263.000000T0000Z-151022T0430Z/ PRESIDIO TX- 1038 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN PRESIDIO COUNTY... AT 1038 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RYAN...OR 26 MILES WEST OF MARFA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MARFA...RYAN AND MARFA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3053 10450 3041 10391 3028 10391 3016 10453 3035 10473 TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 234DEG 41KT 3031 10448 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$ 05  370 WARH31 LDZM 220338 LDZO AIRMET 3 VALID 220338/220700 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD MTW FCST WI N4501 E01327 - N4141 E01819 - N4224 E01830 - N4537 E01435 TOP ABV FL100 STNR NC=  451 WOUS20 KWNS 220341 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220345 NMZ000-TXZ000-220440- STATUS REPORT ON WW 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW GDP TO 20 E CNM TO 30 NNE HOB TO 50 N HOB. ..PETERS..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC015-025-220440- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  112 WUUS54 KMAF 220342 SVRMAF TXC043-371-220445- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0264.151022T0342Z-151022T0445Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1042 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTH CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHWESTERN PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1145 PM CDT * AT 1041 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MARATHON... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MARATHON AND SIERRA MADERA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3017 10334 3084 10324 3056 10236 3004 10317 TIME...MOT...LOC 0341Z 220DEG 29KT 3019 10320 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 67  324 WTJP32 RJTD 220300 WARNING 220300. WARNING VALID 230300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 23.9N 141.4E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 25.0N 144.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  325 WTPQ21 RJTD 220300 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 220300UTC 23.9N 141.4E GOOD MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 230300UTC 25.0N 144.9E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 45HF 240000UTC 26.6N 148.7E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 11KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 69HF 250000UTC 30.7N 155.8E 250NM 70% MOVE NE 19KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT =  427 WSCG31 FCBB 220340 FCCC SIGMET A1 VALID 220345/220745 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0315Z W OF LINE S0313 E01447 - N0547 E01430 E OF LINE N0454 E01901 - N0757 E01855 TOP FL480 MOV W 15KT NC=  448 WOUS64 KWNS 220343 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1043 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  839 WWUS54 KMAF 220343 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1043 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC025-TXC003-220353- /O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0261.000000T0000Z-151022T0400Z/ LEA NM-ANDREWS TX- 1043 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA AND NORTHWESTERN ANDREWS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT/1100 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS. LAT...LON 3228 10330 3252 10307 3252 10264 3231 10267 3223 10330 TIME...MOT...LOC 0340Z 231DEG 32KT 3245 10298 $$ 05  891 WSCN04 CWAO 220343 CZYZ SIGMET G2 VALID 220340/220740 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR FRQ TS OBS WTN 15 NM OF LINE N4330 W08001 - N4423 W07913 TOP FL340 MOV ENE 45KT WKNG=  892 WSCN24 CWAO 220343 CZYZ SIGMET G2 VALID 220340/220740 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR FRQ TS OBS WTN 15 NM OF LINE /N4330 W08001/15 E CYKF - /N4423 W07913/30 S CYQA TOP FL340 MOV ENE 45KT WKNG RMK GFACN33=  520 WHUS76 KPQR 220346 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 846 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 PZZ210-221200- /O.CON.KPQR.RB.Y.0136.151022T1800Z-151023T0700Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 846 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT PDT THURSDAY NIGHT... * IN THE MAIN CHANNEL... * GENERAL SEAS: 4 TO 5 FT THIS EVENING...BUILDING TO 8 FT LATER TONIGHT...AND HOLDING NEAR 9 FT ON THU. * FIRST EBB: AROUND 1215 AM TONIGHT. SEAS NEAR 7 FT. * SECOND EBB: AROUND 115 PM THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS NEAR 10 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ250-255-270-275-221200- /O.CON.KPQR.SW.Y.0074.151022T1900Z-151023T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 846 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS: WESTERLY SWELL BUILDS LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. EXPECT SWELL TO CLIMB TO 10 FT THURSDAY MORNING...PEAKING AT 10 TO 12 FT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SWELL WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND  955 WWUS54 KMAF 220347 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1047 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC243-377-220415- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-151022T0415Z/ PRESIDIO TX-JEFF DAVIS TX- 1047 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL PRESIDIO AND CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES... AT 1047 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUFFALO TRAIL SCOUT CAMP...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT DAVIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORT DAVIS...BUFFALO TRAIL SCOUT CAMP...BLOYS CAMP...INDIAN LODGE STATE PARK...DAVIS MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...MCDONALD OBSERVATORY...FORT DAVIS NATIONAL HISTORICAL SITE...STAR MOUNTAIN AND BLACK MOUNTAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3042 10414 3053 10431 3105 10413 3062 10360 TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 222DEG 34KT 3074 10398 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  230 WHUS73 KAPX 220347 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 LHZ345-347-348-LMZ342-221200- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY- 1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LSZ321-322-221200- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-341-344>346-221200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ346-221200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ349-221200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 1147 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD  112 WSBO31 SLLP 220340 SLLF SIGMET 02 VALID 220340/220540 SLLP- SLLF LA PAZ CNL SIGMET 01 VALID 220007/220307=  454 WSBZ31 SBRE 220350 SBAO SIGMET 3 VALID 220450/220650 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2533 W04212 - S3401 W04300 - S335 9 W04644 - S3403 W05004 - S2644 W04345 - S2533 W04212 TOP FL400 MOV NE 03KT NC=  547 WSUS31 KKCI 220355 SIGE MKCE WST 220355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220555-220955 FROM 30N PLB-50SSW PLB-40S SYR-30WSW BUF-40E YYZ-40NW SYR-30W MSS-30N PLB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  548 WSUS33 KKCI 220355 SIGW MKCW WST 220355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220555-220955 AREA 1...FROM HVE-30NE DVC-SJN-30SW INW-40SW PHX-40E BZA-30SSW EED-70N PGS-HVE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 50W TCS-50N ELP-80SW ELP-70SSW DMN-50W TCS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  549 WSUS32 KKCI 220355 SIGC MKCC WST 220355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 14C VALID UNTIL 0555Z TX OK NM FROM 30SW TBE-40SW MMB-CDS-40NNE INK-30E CME-30SW TBE AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 19035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 15C VALID UNTIL 0555Z TX NM FROM 60N INK-30WSW MRF LINE SEV TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 22035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 16C VALID UNTIL 0555Z TX 40S FST ISOL SEV TS D30 MOV FROM 20020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 17C VALID UNTIL 0555Z TX FROM 30WSW SJT-60SW SJT-40NNE DLF LINE TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 19020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 220555-220955 AREA 1...FROM 60S OBH-30S PWE-60E ICT-30E MMB-40W SPS-30S DLF-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-80SW ELP-50N ELP-60S FTI-40W CIM-60S OBH REF WW 517. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30ENE PSX-80S LCH-120S LCH-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-CRP-50W PSX-30ENE PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  751 WWUS54 KMAF 220352 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1052 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC243-377-220415- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0262.000000T0000Z-151022T0415Z/ PRESIDIO TX-JEFF DAVIS TX- 1052 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL PRESIDIO AND CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES... AT 1049 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUFFALO TRAIL SCOUT CAMP...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT DAVIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BUFFALO TRAIL SCOUT CAMP...BLOYS CAMP...STAR MOUNTAIN AND BLACK MOUNTAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3042 10414 3053 10431 3105 10413 3062 10360 TIME...MOT...LOC 0349Z 221DEG 32KT 3075 10398 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 67  192 WSSG31 GOOY 220400 GOOO SIGMET A2 VALID 220400/220800 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 0350Z WI N1300 W02146 - N0723 W02040 - N0430 W03030 - N0954 W03557 - N1357 W02528 TOP FL490 MOV W 05KT NC=  071 WSRA31 RUKR 220340 UNKL SIGMET 1 VALID 220340/220600 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N68 S OF N70 E OF E084 W OF E088 SFC/FL100 MOV SE 20KMH NC=  701 WSMS31 WMKK 220355 WBFC SIGMET A02 VALID 220400/220700 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N0430 E114 N07 E117 FCST MOV W SLOWLY NC=  361 WSSG31 GOOY 220401 GOOO SIGMET B2 VALID 220405/220805 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 0355Z WI N0955 W00400 - N0356 W00357 - N0405 W00635 - N1135 W00630 TOP FL450 MOV W 08KT WKN WI N2118 W01530 - N1514 W02000 - N1720 W02000 - N2118 W01640 TOP FL400 MOV NE 10KT WKN=  200 WWCN02 CYTR 220356 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB BORDEN PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 11:56 PM EDT WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB BORDEN (CYBN) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY ENDED COMMENTS: THE FLYING PROGRAM IS OVER FOR TONIGHT IN BORDEN. END/JMC  518 WUUS54 KMAF 220357 SVRMAF TXC389-475-220500- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0265.151022T0357Z-151022T0500Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1057 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WEST CENTRAL WARD COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... CENTRAL REEVES COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT * AT 1056 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF BALMORHEA...OR 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PECOS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PECOS...TOYAH...VERHALEN...TOYAH LAKE...PECOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...B F GOODRICH TESTING TRACK AND BARSTOW. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 191 AND 206. INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 12 AND 51. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3096 10386 3107 10401 3148 10374 3156 10342 3126 10318 TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 221DEG 35KT 3108 10385 HAIL...1.25IN WIND...60MPH $$ 67  862 WHUS76 KLOX 220359 MWWLOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 859 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 PZZ650-673-676-220500- /O.EXP.KLOX.SC.Y.0107.000000T0000Z-151022T0400Z/ EAST SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL FROM PT. CONCEPTION TO PT. MUGU CA INCLUDING SANTA CRUZ ISLAND- WATERS FROM PT. SAL TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS- OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO 60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS AND SANTA BARBARA ISLANDS- 859 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO RETURN IN THE NEAR FUTURE. $$ FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT... HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES  635 WTPQ20 RJTD 220300 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 220300UTC 23.6N 154.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 230300UTC 30.2N 161.5E 120NM 70% MOVE NE 25KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  284 WAAK48 PAWU 220402 WA8O ANCS WA 220415 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 221215 . KUSKOKWIM VLY AF MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG AFT 06Z OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/-SHRA BR. DTRT. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG AFT 06Z MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. DTRT. . BRISTOL BAY AH ALG ALEUTIAN RANGE SW PAKN MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =ANCT WA 220415 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 221215 . NONE . =ANCZ WA 220415 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 221215 . NONE . DME OCT 2015 AAWU  407 WSCA31 TTPP 220402 TTZP SIGMET 2 VALID 220405/220410 TTPP- CNL SIGMET CNL SIGMET 1 VALID 220025/220425=  420 WOUS64 KWNS 220403 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1103 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  515 WSAG31 SABE 220355 SAEF SIGMET 3 VALID 220355/220400 SABE- SAEF EZEIZA FIR CNL SIGMET 2 VALID 220200/220400=  218 WAAK47 PAWU 220404 WA7O JNUS WA 220415 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 221215 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 220415 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 221215 . NONE . =JNUZ WA 220415 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 221215 . NONE . DME OCT 2015 AAWU  219 WAAK49 PAWU 220404 WA9O FAIS WA 220415 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 221215 . UPR YKN VLY FB BROOKS RANGE OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. DTRT. . UPR YKN VLY FB AFT 06Z PACR SE MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. DTRT. . TANANA VLY FC PABI SE OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SN BR. NC. . TANANA VLY FC PABI-PAMH LN S MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . LWR YKN VLY FF KUSKO0KWIM MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG PABR E OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SHSN BR. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH E SURVEY PASS MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. DTRT. . =FAIT WA 220415 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 221215 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 220415 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 221215 . NONE . HOLTZIE OCT 15  464 WHUS74 KHGX 220405 MWWHGX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1105 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .ELEVATED ONSHORE FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THE ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED AT LEAST FOR THE GULF WATERS. GMZ330-350-355-370-375-221215- /O.CON.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ MATAGORDA BAY- WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM- 1105 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...6 TO 7 FEET NEARSHORE...7 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  745 WUUS54 KMAF 220406 SVRMAF NMC025-TXC165-220500- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0266.151022T0406Z-151022T0500Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1106 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... WESTERN GAINES COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT/1100 PM MDT/ * AT 1105 PM CDT/1005 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER NADINE...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF HOBBS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HOBBS...NADINE...LEA COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT...KNOWLES...HUMBLE CITY...HIGGINBOTHAM AND INDUSTRIAL AIRPARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3256 10298 3248 10324 3296 10325 3295 10280 TIME...MOT...LOC 0405Z 201DEG 27KT 3259 10311 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  084 WSNZ21 NZKL 220406 NZZC SIGMET 6 VALID 220406/220408 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 2 220008/220408=  465 WSNZ21 NZKL 220407 NZZC SIGMET 7 VALID 220407/220409 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 4 220009/220409=  786 WUUS54 KLUB 220409 SVRLUB TXC045-220445- /O.NEW.KLUB.SV.W.0237.151022T0409Z-151022T0445Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1109 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL BRISCOE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 1145 PM CDT * AT 1109 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SILVERTON...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SILVERTON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3434 10118 3441 10139 3475 10137 3475 10096 TIME...MOT...LOC 0409Z 196DEG 38KT 3448 10126 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.75IN WIND...70MPH $$ MCZ  445 WSAU21 AMMC 220411 YMMM SIGMET D02 VALID 220530/220930 YMMC- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S4900 E08400 - S4900 E08700 - S4400 E08800 - S3800 E08500 - S3500 E08300 - S3500 E08100 - S4000 E08400 - S4300 E08500 FL240/340 MOV E 45KT NC=  015 WGUS44 KLUB 220417 FLWLUB BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1117 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC017-369-220715- /O.NEW.KLUB.FA.W.0024.151022T0417Z-151022T0715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BAILEY TX-PARMER TX- 1117 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR... BAILEY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... PARMER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 215 AM CDT * AT 1111 PM CDT...RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED HEAVY RAIN FROM MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN NEAR MULESHOE AND CITY STREETS ARE FLOODING. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MULESHOE...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...NEEDMORE AND BLACK. * UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN WILL PROLONG FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FLOODING AT NIGHT IS HARD TO RECOGNIZE WHEN DRIVING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. && LAT...LON 3475 10253 3431 10253 3431 10261 3383 10262 3382 10305 3475 10304 $$ MCZ  284 WTNT80 EGRR 220418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.10.2015 HURRICANE OLAF ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 144.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.10.2015 12.2N 144.6W MODERATE 12UTC 22.10.2015 13.0N 145.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2015 14.1N 145.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2015 15.7N 144.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2015 17.5N 144.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2015 18.7N 143.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.10.2015 19.8N 142.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.10.2015 20.6N 141.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2015 21.3N 141.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.10.2015 22.0N 141.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.10.2015 23.0N 142.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 23.6N 142.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 24.0N 143.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 100.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.10.2015 13.3N 100.5W MODERATE 12UTC 22.10.2015 14.7N 102.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2015 16.1N 104.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2015 17.8N 105.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2015 20.9N 104.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 24.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 28.6N 24.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2015 28.6N 24.6W WEAK 00UTC 23.10.2015 26.1N 25.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2015 24.8N 24.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2015 23.0N 24.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 27.2N 63.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.10.2015 29.1N 63.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2015 31.2N 60.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2015 32.3N 57.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2015 33.6N 55.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2015 36.2N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2015 39.5N 52.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 42.8N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 46.6N 45.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.10.2015 51.2N 39.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.10.2015 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 28.1N 95.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.10.2015 28.1N 95.5W WEAK 00UTC 26.10.2015 29.9N 95.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 29.5N 93.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 29.5N 93.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 30.3N 92.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.6N 120.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2015 11.7N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 12.9N 117.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 13.3N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 13.0N 114.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 12.0N 113.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 14.7N 105.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2015 15.3N 105.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 15.6N 105.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 17.0N 105.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 17.5N 106.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 17.8N 106.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 220418  285 WTNT82 EGRR 220418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 22.10.2015 HURRICANE OLAF ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 144.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192015 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 22.10.2015 0 12.2N 144.6W 991 44 1200UTC 22.10.2015 12 13.0N 145.0W 987 52 0000UTC 23.10.2015 24 14.1N 145.1W 982 52 1200UTC 23.10.2015 36 15.7N 144.8W 978 56 0000UTC 24.10.2015 48 17.5N 144.2W 975 63 1200UTC 24.10.2015 60 18.7N 143.5W 982 53 0000UTC 25.10.2015 72 19.8N 142.7W 986 50 1200UTC 25.10.2015 84 20.6N 141.8W 988 50 0000UTC 26.10.2015 96 21.3N 141.4W 992 40 1200UTC 26.10.2015 108 22.0N 141.6W 998 33 0000UTC 27.10.2015 120 23.0N 142.0W 1001 27 1200UTC 27.10.2015 132 23.6N 142.7W 1004 24 0000UTC 28.10.2015 144 24.0N 143.9W 1006 24 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 100.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202015 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 22.10.2015 0 13.3N 100.5W 991 44 1200UTC 22.10.2015 12 14.7N 102.9W 985 55 0000UTC 23.10.2015 24 16.1N 104.8W 977 65 1200UTC 23.10.2015 36 17.8N 105.2W 970 66 0000UTC 24.10.2015 48 20.9N 104.1W 999 26 1200UTC 24.10.2015 60 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 28.6N 24.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 22.10.2015 12 28.6N 24.6W 1008 28 0000UTC 23.10.2015 24 26.1N 25.3W 1010 23 1200UTC 23.10.2015 36 24.8N 24.2W 1013 19 0000UTC 24.10.2015 48 23.0N 24.0W 1015 19 1200UTC 24.10.2015 60 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 27.2N 63.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 23.10.2015 36 29.1N 63.0W 1007 26 0000UTC 24.10.2015 48 31.2N 60.2W 1006 31 1200UTC 24.10.2015 60 32.3N 57.5W 1009 31 0000UTC 25.10.2015 72 33.6N 55.5W 1010 28 1200UTC 25.10.2015 84 36.2N 54.4W 1012 34 0000UTC 26.10.2015 96 39.5N 52.9W 1012 31 1200UTC 26.10.2015 108 42.8N 49.9W 1011 32 0000UTC 27.10.2015 120 46.6N 45.3W 1006 35 1200UTC 27.10.2015 132 51.2N 39.3W 995 41 0000UTC 28.10.2015 144 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 28.1N 95.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.10.2015 84 28.1N 95.5W 1007 28 0000UTC 26.10.2015 96 29.9N 95.4W 1004 32 1200UTC 26.10.2015 108 29.5N 93.9W 1004 29 0000UTC 27.10.2015 120 29.5N 93.0W 1005 28 1200UTC 27.10.2015 132 30.3N 92.1W 1008 31 0000UTC 28.10.2015 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.6N 120.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 26.10.2015 96 11.7N 119.8W 1006 27 1200UTC 26.10.2015 108 12.9N 117.9W 1007 20 0000UTC 27.10.2015 120 13.3N 116.5W 1006 27 1200UTC 27.10.2015 132 13.0N 114.9W 1007 26 0000UTC 28.10.2015 144 12.0N 113.4W 1007 17 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 14.7N 105.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 26.10.2015 96 15.3N 105.0W 1005 17 1200UTC 26.10.2015 108 15.6N 105.6W 1006 18 0000UTC 27.10.2015 120 17.0N 105.8W 1005 23 1200UTC 27.10.2015 132 17.5N 106.1W 1005 24 0000UTC 28.10.2015 144 17.8N 106.4W 1004 26 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 220418  641 WWUS54 KMAF 220419 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1119 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC377-220428- /O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0263.000000T0000Z-151022T0430Z/ PRESIDIO TX- 1119 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN PRESIDIO COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAT...LON 3053 10450 3041 10391 3028 10391 3016 10453 3035 10473 TIME...MOT...LOC 0414Z 238DEG 32KT 3050 10412 $$ 67  016 WSBZ31 SBCW 220418 SBCW SIGMET 3 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCS T WI S2500 W05330 - S2830 W05330- S3100 W04719- S2645 W04345 - S2530 W 04910 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  958 WSBZ31 SBCW 220418 SBCW SIGMET 4 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2530 W04910 - S2330 W04656- S2314 W04550- S2240 W04200 - S2407 W 04016 - S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  759 WSUK31 EGRR 220420 EGTT SIGMET 02 VALID 220500/220900 EGRR- EGTT LONDON FIR SEV MTW FCST N OF N5250 FL030/150 STNR NC=  833 WSBZ01 SBBR 220400 WSBZ31 SBCW 220124  832 WSBZ01 SBBR 220400 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220213  835 WSBZ01 SBBR 220400 WSBZ31 SBRE 220017  836 WSBZ01 SBBR 220400 SBCW SIGMET 1 VALID 220130/220445 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2710 W05350- S2843 W05608- S3207 W05153- S3200 W04811 - S2805 W04450 - S2634 W05346 - S2710 W05350 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  949 WSBZ01 SBBR 220400 SBAZ SIGMET 5 VALID 220230/220500 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0009 W06836 - N0139 W06725 - N0100 W06607 - S0026 W06607 - S0132 W06711 - S0009 W06836 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT WKN=  950 WWCN02 CYTR 220421 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 12:21 AM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 30 NM VALID: 22/0500Z TO 22/0800Z (22/0100 EDT TO 22/0400 EDT) COMMENTS: A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE TRACKING EAST AND ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 30 OF TRENTON OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE TRACKING OUT OF THE REGION. THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 5 NM OF TRENTON AND A WARNING WILL BE ISSUED IF NECESSARY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/0615Z (22/0215 EDT) END/JMC  951 WSBZ01 SBBR 220400 SBCW SIGMET 2 VALID 220130/220445 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2717 W05007- S2313 W04725- S2429 W04434- S2534 W04412 - S2805 W04450 - S2717 W05007 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  952 WSBZ01 SBBR 220400 WSBZ31 SBRE 220223  812 WWUS84 KLUB 220424 SPSLUB SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1124 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXZ028-029-034-035-220500- HALE TX-LAMB TX-HOCKLEY TX-LUBBOCK TX- 1124 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HOCKLEY...LAMB...SOUTHWESTERN HALE AND WESTERN LUBBOCK COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT... AT 1123 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MULESHOE TO 7 MILES WEST OF LOCKETVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION...THIS LINE IS SHOWING INDICATIONS OF MULTIPLE SMALL CIRCULATIONS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE. THIS MAY FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LUBBOCK...LEVELLAND...LITTLEFIELD...WOLFFORTH...SHALLOWATER... OLTON...SUNDOWN...ANTON...EARTH...SUDAN...AMHERST...SPADE... WHITHARRAL...SLIDE...REESE CENTER...PEP...FIELDTON...SMYER... ROPESVILLE AND OPDYKE WEST. LAT...LON 3429 10261 3431 10255 3431 10211 3339 10191 3339 10249 3398 10262 TIME...MOT...LOC 0423Z 256DEG 33KT 3421 10263 3335 10244 $$ 26  056 WOUS64 KWNS 220424 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1124 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  756 WWUS54 KLUB 220428 SVSLUB SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1128 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC045-220445- /O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-151022T0445Z/ BRISCOE TX- 1128 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN BRISCOE COUNTY... AT 1123 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF SILVERTON...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. DOPPLER RADAR IS INDICATING ROTATION WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. ALTHOUGH UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME...TORNADOES CAN AND DO DEVELOP RAPIDLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED. && LAT...LON 3446 10112 3451 10134 3475 10135 3475 10096 TIME...MOT...LOC 0423Z 196DEG 38KT 3463 10121 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.00IN WIND...70MPH $$ MCZ  218 WWUS54 KMAF 220428 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1128 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC389-475-220500- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0265.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ WARD TX-REEVES TX- 1128 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL WARD AND CENTRAL REEVES COUNTIES... AT 1128 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PECOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...OR NEAR PECOS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PECOS...TOYAH...VERHALEN...TOYAH LAKE...PECOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...B F GOODRICH TESTING TRACK AND BARSTOW. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 191 AND 206. INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 12 AND 51. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3096 10386 3107 10401 3148 10374 3156 10342 3126 10318 TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 223DEG 40KT 3134 10357 HAIL...1.25IN WIND...60MPH $$ 67  029 WWUS54 KMAF 220430 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1130 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC025-TXC165-220500- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0266.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ LEA NM-GAINES TX- 1130 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT/1100 PM MDT/ FOR EAST CENTRAL LEA AND WESTERN GAINES COUNTIES... AT 1130 PM CDT/1030 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOBBS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HOBBS...NADINE...LEA COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT...KNOWLES...HUMBLE CITY...HIGGINBOTHAM AND INDUSTRIAL AIRPARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3256 10298 3248 10324 3296 10325 3295 10280 TIME...MOT...LOC 0430Z 201DEG 27KT 3277 10303 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  857 ACUS11 KWNS 220431 SWOMCD SPC MCD 220431 TXZ000-NMZ000-220530- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1872 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1131 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST NM AND SOUTHWEST TX CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517... VALID 220431Z - 220530Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...WW 517 MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN TIME AND AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE MAF COUNTY WARNING AREA...AS THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST MAINLY ACROSS THIS REGION OF SOUTHWEST TX AND FAR SOUTHEAST NM INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT PERIOD. DISCUSSION...AT 04Z...LIGHTING DATA AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED STORMS EXTENDED FROM THE TX PANHANDLE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD IN VICINITY OF THE TX/NM BORDER THROUGH LEA COUNTY NM TO PRESIDIO COUNTY TX...WITH THE STRONGER/SUSTAINED STORMS LOCATED FROM WESTERN GAINES COUNTY TX TO REEVES COUNTY TX. MOST OF THESE STORMS ARE LOCATED ALONG A FRONT ADVANCING SLOWLY TO THE EAST AND JUXTAPOSED WITH DEEP-LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SOUTHWEST STATES CLOSED LOW. GIVEN ONLY SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT EXPECTED OF THIS PARENT LOW/TROUGH SYSTEM WITH WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS WEST AND SOUTHWEST TX...EASTWARD ADVANCEMENT OF THE STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE SMALL. THIS SUGGESTS THE REMAINING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT SHOULD BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MAF COUNTY WARNING AREA...WHERE RESIDUAL MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG BULK SHEAR WILL FAVOR THIS POTENTIAL. A STRONG TO ISOLATED STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT FARTHER NORTH ACROSS WEST AND NORTHWEST TX..AND PERHAPS INTO THE TX PANHANDLE...AS THIS REGION WILL ALSO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT AND FAVORABLE BULK SHEAR. HOWEVER...WEAK INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE LOW AND NOT WARRANT A WW ISSUANCE. ..PETERS/HART.. 10/22/2015 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30650425 31170396 32150362 32860326 32970258 32900170 32840113 32020130 31500145 30810197 30390240 30260284 30270353 30650425  811 WAAB31 LATI 220430 LAAA AIRMET 2 VALID 220500/220800 LATI- LAAA TIRANA FIR ISOL CB/TS OBS SW AND CENTRAL PART OF FIR CB TOP FL350 INTSF=  881 WSCN02 CWAO 220433 CZEG SIGMET H1 VALID 220500/220900 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE N6144 W11440 - N6112 W11119 - N6017 W10938 SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC=  882 WSCN22 CWAO 220433 CZEG SIGMET H1 VALID 220500/220900 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE /N6144 W11440/45 NW CYFR - /N6112 W11119/75 E CYFR - /N6017 W10938/60 NW CYBE SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC RMK GFACN32 GFACN35=  882 WSBZ31 SBBS 220437 SBBS SIGMET 5 VALID 220440/220840 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2044 W05034 - S1923 W04859 - S2215 W04523 - S2246 W04545 - S2312 W04551 - S2322 W04623 - S2328 W04657 - S2259 W04751 - S2227 W04836 - S2211 W04833 - S2205 W04839 - S2152 W0 4911 - S2044 W05034 TOP FL430 E 10KT NC=  719 WUUS54 KMAF 220439 SVRMAF NMC015-025-TXC003-135-165-301-495-220545- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0267.151022T0439Z-151022T0545Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1139 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... WINKLER COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... WESTERN ECTOR COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHWESTERN GAINES COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... ANDREWS COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN LOVING COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1245 AM CDT/1145 PM MDT/ * AT 1138 PM CDT/1038 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR EUNICE TO 7 MILES WEST OF WINKLER COUNTY AIRPORT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CARLSBAD...ARTESIA...ANDREWS...KERMIT...WEST ODESSA...CARLSBAD NORTH...EUNICE...JAL...LOVING...WINK...GOLDSMITH...MALAGA... QUEEN...ANDREWS COUNTY AIRPORT...SEVEN RIVERS...COTTONWOOD...LAKE AVALON...LAKEWOOD...WINKLER COUNTY AIRPORT AND ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 100 AND 111. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3296 10484 3297 10382 3253 10382 3252 10372 3218 10372 3215 10341 3248 10335 3271 10245 3173 10244 3172 10348 3214 10343 3217 10372 3200 10372 3200 10485 TIME...MOT...LOC 0438Z 240DEG 30KT 3250 10315 3182 10332 $$ 67  947 WGUS84 KMAF 220439 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1139 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMC025-TXC003-165-301-495-220630- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0214.151022T0439Z-151022T0630Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEA NM-WINKLER TX-GAINES TX-ANDREWS TX-LOVING TX- 1139 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... CENTRAL WINKLER COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... WESTERN GAINES COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... WESTERN ANDREWS COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... NORTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 130 AM CDT/1230 AM MDT/ * AT 1136 PM CDT/1036 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS MAY CAUSE SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. PERSONS TRAVELING THROUGH THE HEAVY RAIN MAY EXPERIENCE NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... SEMINOLE...KERMIT...SEAGRAVES...EUNICE...JAL...HIGGINBOTHAM... GAINES COUNTY PARK...FRANKEL CITY...GAINES COUNTY AIRPORT...OIL CENTER...PAYNES CORNER...WINKLER COUNTY AIRPORT...JAL AIRPORT... EUNICE AIRPORT AND BENNETT. THIS INCLUDES LOW WATER CROSSING LOCATIONS RR 181 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW...RR 181 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW TRIB... RR 1757 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW TRIB...RR 181 CROSSING WARDSWELL DRAW...AND AVE G CROSSING WARDSWELL DRAW TRIB. LAT...LON 3295 10256 3179 10291 3177 10351 3250 10341 3251 10306 3295 10307 $$  343 WOUS20 KWNS 220441 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220440 NMZ000-TXZ000-220500- STATUS REPORT ON WW 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW GDP TO 30 WNW INK TO 10 WNW HOB TO 50 WSW LBB. WW 517 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 220500Z. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1872. ..PETERS..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-220500- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  036 WOUS64 KWNS 220443 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1143 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NMC015-025-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE EDDY LEA $$ TXC003-109-135-165-243-301-329-389-475-495-220500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND REEVES WARD WINKLER $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  327 WGUS84 KMAF 220444 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1144 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 TXC301-389-475-495-220645- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0215.151022T0444Z-151022T0645Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WINKLER TX-WARD TX-LOVING TX-REEVES TX- 1144 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHWESTERN WINKLER COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN WARD COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... CENTRAL REEVES COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 145 AM CDT * AT 1143 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS MAY CAUSE SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. PERSONS TRAVELING THROUGH THE HEAVY RAIN MAY EXPERIENCE NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... PECOS...WINK...TOYAH LAKE...PECOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...WINKLER COUNTY AIRPORT AND BARSTOW. THIS INCLUDES UNNAMED ROAD CROSSING PECOS RIVER. LAT...LON 3178 10309 3131 10330 3130 10379 3176 10357 $$  917 WUUS54 KLUB 220446 SVRLUB TXC219-279-220515- /O.NEW.KLUB.SV.W.0238.151022T0446Z-151022T0515Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1146 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN HOCKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN LAMB COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1215 AM CDT * AT 1143 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WHITHARRAL...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF LEVELLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM IS EXHIBITING SMALL CIRCULATIONS WHICH MAY TRIGGER WEAK SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES. THE GREATEST RISK OF THESE WEAK TORNADOES IS BETWEEN WHITHARRAL AND ANTON. HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ANTON...WHITHARRAL AND SPADE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3382 10240 3396 10220 3383 10209 3363 10208 3356 10228 TIME...MOT...LOC 0443Z 241DEG 37KT 3373 10223 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...<.75IN WIND...70MPH $$ 26  151 WSUS32 KKCI 220455 SIGC MKCC WST 220455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 18C VALID UNTIL 0655Z KS FROM 40NW SLN-50SW SLN-30S HLC-40NW SLN AREA TS MOV FROM 19030KT. TOPS TO FL390. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 19C VALID UNTIL 0655Z TX OK NM FROM 30E LBL-40N CDS-60S MRF-70W MRF-50SE CIM-30E LBL AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 20035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 20C VALID UNTIL 0655Z TX FROM 20NNW SJT-50SW SJT LINE TS 20 NM WIDE MOV FROM 20025KT. TOPS TO FL400. OUTLOOK VALID 220655-221055 AREA 1...FROM MCK-PWE-60E ICT-JCT-DLF-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-80SW ELP-50N ELP-FTI-DEN-MCK REF WW 517. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30ENE PSX-80S LCH-120S LCH-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-CRP-50W PSX-30ENE PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  152 WSUS33 KKCI 220455 SIGW MKCW WST 220455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220655-221055 AREA 1...FROM HVE-30NE DVC-SJN-30SW INW-40SW PHX-40E BZA-30SSW EED-70N PGS-HVE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 50W TCS-50N ELP-80SW ELP-70SSW DMN-50W TCS WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  153 WSUS31 KKCI 220455 SIGE MKCE WST 220455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220655-221055 FROM 30N PLB-50SSW PLB-40S SYR-30WSW BUF-40E YYZ-40NW SYR-30W MSS-30N PLB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  922 WGUS64 KLUB 220449 AAA FFALUB FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1149 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... TXZ021>024-027>030-033>036-039>042-221300- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-COCHRAN- HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT... HART...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD... OLTON...PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK... RALLS...CROSBYTON...LORENZO...DENVER CITY...PLAINS...BROWNFIELD... TAHOKA...O'DONNELL...GRAHAM...POST 1149 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * BAILEY...COCHRAN...CROSBY...FLOYD...GARZA...HALE...HOCKLEY...LAMB... LUBBOCK...LYNN...TERRY...YOAKUM...BRISCOE...CASTRO...PARMER AND SWISHER. * THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-221300- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...CHILDRESS...MATADOR... ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...HACKBERRY...SPUR...DICKENS...DUMONT... FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 1149 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * CHILDRESS...COTTLE...DICKENS...KENT...KING...MOTLEY...STONEWALL AND HALL. * THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. && $$  775 WHUS76 KEKA 220450 MWWEKA URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 950 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 PZZ470-475-221300- /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151022T0700Z/ /O.CON.KEKA.GL.W.0031.151022T0700Z-151023T1000Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO 10 TO 60 NM- CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA 10 TO 60 NM- 950 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT PDT TONIGHT... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...INCREASING TO N 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...N BUILDING TO 11 TO 13 FT AT AROUND 10 SECONDS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ PZZ450-455-221300- /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151023T1900Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO OUT 10 NM- CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA OUT 10 NM- 950 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...N 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE NEAR POINT SAINT GEORGE AND CAPE MENDOCINO. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 15 KT BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...NW 8 TO 10 FT AT AROUND 10 SECONDS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$  951 WSSR20 WSSS 220451 WSJC SIGMET 2 VALID 220500/220900 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS E OF E10445 NC=  523 WSSC31 FSIA 220400 FSSS SIGMET 02 VALID 220515/220915 FSIA- FSSS SEYCHELLES FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1000 E06000 - S1000 E05732 - N0250 E05551 - N0300 E06000 - S1000 E06000. TOP ABV FL390 MOV SE NC=  906 WHUS73 KDLH 220452 MWWDLH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 1152 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 LSZ140-141-220600- /O.CAN.KDLH.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN- GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN- 1152 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ WL  063 WALJ31 LJLJ 220456 LJLA AIRMET 2 VALID 220500/220900 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST SW OF LINE N4620 E01320 - N4525 E01435 SFC/5000FT STNR NC=  806 WGUS54 KMAF 220456 FFWMAF NMC025-TXC003-165-220515- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0063.151022T0456Z-151022T0515Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1156 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... WESTERN GAINES COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... WESTERN ANDREWS COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1215 AM CDT/1115 PM MDT/ * AT 1151 PM CDT/1051 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. AT 1145 PM CDT/1045 PM MDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER OVER THE INTERSECTION OF MILLEN AND NAVAJO STREETS IN HOBBS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE MORE FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... HOBBS...LOVINGTON...SEMINOLE...DENVER CITY...SEAGRAVES...EUNICE... JAL...LEA COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT...KNOWLES...HUMBLE CITY... HIGGINBOTHAM...GAINES COUNTY PARK...NADINE...FRANKEL CITY...GAINES COUNTY AIRPORT...OIL CENTER...PAYNES CORNER...MONUMENT...SEAGRAVES AIRPORT AND JAL AIRPORT. THIS INCLUDES LOW WATER CROSSING LOCATIONS STATE HIGHWAY 18 BETWEEN HOBBS AND JAL...RR 181 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW...RR 181 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW TRIB...RR 1757 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW TRIB...RR 181 CROSSING WARDSWELL DRAW...AND AVE G CROSSING WARDSWELL DRAW TRIB. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. && LAT...LON 3296 10306 3296 10253 3210 10268 3209 10308 3201 10308 3201 10357 3300 10335 3300 10306 $$ 67  244 WWCN02 CYTR 220456 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB PETAWAWA PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 12:56 AM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB PETAWAWA (CYWA) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY ENDED COMMENTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED WITHIN 30 NM OF PETAWAWA. END/JMC  029 WWUS72 KILM 220457 NPWILM URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1257 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ALONG THE COAST... NCZ105>110-SCZ053>056-221300- /O.NEW.KILM.FG.Y.0008.151022T0457Z-151022T1300Z/ INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER- COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND... BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH... OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 1257 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH 9 AM. * IMPACTS...DENSE FOG COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THROUGH EARLY MORNING DUE TO SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ 17  131 WVRA31 RUPK 220455 UHPP SIGMET 5 VALID 220455/220555 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT KARYMSKY PSN N5403 E15926 VA CLD OBS AT 0346Z SFC/FL050 MOV ESE 50KMH=  685 WWUS54 KLUB 220500 SVSLUB SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1200 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC219-279-220515- /O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-151022T0515Z/ HOCKLEY TX-LAMB TX- 1200 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN HOCKLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN LAMB COUNTIES... AT 1159 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ANTON...OR 11 MILES WEST OF ABERNATHY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ANTON AND SPADE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3384 10235 3396 10220 3383 10209 3363 10208 3362 10223 TIME...MOT...LOC 0459Z 241DEG 37KT 3381 10205 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...60MPH $$ 26  282 WWUS60 KWNS 220500 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 22-OCT-15 AT 05:00:01 UTC NO WATCHES CURRENTLY ACTIVE  292 WSIY31 LIIB 220505 LIMM SIGMET 02 VALID 220530/220930 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST MAINLY CENTRAL/N PART OF FIR ABV FL270 STNR NC=  784 WSIY32 LIIB 220510 LIRR SIGMET 02 VALID 220530/220930 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST MAINLY SE PART OF FIR TOP FL370 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST S PART OF FIR ABV FL270 STNR NC=  029 WSIY33 LIIB 220515 LIBB SIGMET 02 VALID 220530/220930 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR TOP FL370 MOV E NC=  689 WWUS30 KWNS 220503 SAW7 SPC AWW 220503 WW 517 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANCELLED  690 WWUS20 KWNS 220503 SEL7 SPC WW 220503 NMZ000-TXZ000-220500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1203 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 517 ISSUED AT 530 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO TEXAS  698 WOUS64 KWNS 220503 WOU7 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 517 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1203 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NMZ000-TXZ000-220500- /O.EXP.KWNS.SV.A.0517.000000T0000Z-151022T0500Z/ NO COUNTIES OR PARISHES REMAIN IN THE WATCH. $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...  772 WAIY31 LIIB 220520 LIMM AIRMET 02 VALID 220545/220945 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR MOD TURB FCST S PART OF FIR AND ADRIATIC AREA BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT FCST ADRIATIC SEA STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC VIS 2000/5000 M BR OBS/FCST CENTRAL/W PADANIAN PLAIN STNR WKN. LIMM MILANO FIR ISOL MT OBSC OBS/FCST E PART OF N SIDE APPENNINI STNR NC=  049 WGUS54 KMAF 220504 FFWMAF NMC025-TXC003-165-220815- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151022T0815Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1204 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... WESTERN GAINES COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... WESTERN ANDREWS COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 315 AM CDT/215 AM MDT/ * AT 1151 PM CDT/1051 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. AT 1145 PM CDT/1045 PM MDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER OVER THE INTERSECTION OF MILLEN AND NAVAJO STREETS IN HOBBS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE MORE FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... HOBBS...LOVINGTON...SEMINOLE...DENVER CITY...SEAGRAVES...EUNICE... JAL...LEA COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT...KNOWLES...HUMBLE CITY... HIGGINBOTHAM...GAINES COUNTY PARK...NADINE...FRANKEL CITY...GAINES COUNTY AIRPORT...OIL CENTER...PAYNES CORNER...MONUMENT...SEAGRAVES AIRPORT AND JAL AIRPORT. THIS INCLUDES LOW WATER CROSSING LOCATIONS STATE HIGHWAY 18 BETWEEN HOBBS AND JAL...RR 181 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW...RR 181 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW TRIB...RR 1757 CROSSING SEMINOLE DRAW TRIB...RR 181 CROSSING WARDSWELL DRAW...AND AVE G CROSSING WARDSWELL DRAW TRIB. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3296 10306 3296 10253 3210 10268 3209 10308 3201 10308 3201 10357 3300 10335 3300 10306 $$ 67  503 WSBO31 SLLP 220501 SLLF SIGMET A2 VALID 220501/220701 SLLP- SLLF LA PAZ CNL SIGMET A1 VALID 220243/220543=  952 WAIY32 LIIB 220525 LIRR AIRMET 02 VALID 220545/220945 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD TURB FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT OBS/FCST CENTRAL/E PART OF FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S APPENNINI AND SICILY AND SARDINIA MOV E NC=  867 WWUS54 KLUB 220507 SVSLUB SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1207 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC219-279-220517- /O.EXP.KLUB.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-151022T0515Z/ HOCKLEY TX-LAMB TX- 1207 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HOCKLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN LAMB COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 AM CDT... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. LAT...LON 3384 10235 3396 10220 3383 10209 3363 10208 3362 10223 TIME...MOT...LOC 0505Z 241DEG 37KT 3381 10205 $$ 26  874 WAIY33 LIIB 220530 LIBB AIRMET 02 VALID 220545/220945 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR ISOL/OCNL TS AND CB/TCU FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MOD TURB OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC WSPD 30KT OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC VIS 3000/5000 M BR FCST INLAND PLAIN AEREAS OF CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR STNR NC=  903 WOAU12 AMMC 220508 IDY21010 40:2:1:04:55S125E30045:11:00 SECURITE High Seas Weather Warning for METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC At 0508UTC 22 October 2015 GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREA PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0600UTC Vigorous southerly winds developing. AREA AFFECTED Bounded by 33S152E 32.5S154E 35S153E 34.5S151E 33S152E. FORECAST S/SW winds reaching 35 knots this evening. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell.  501 WWUS54 KMAF 220510 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1210 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 NMC015-220519- /O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-151022T0545Z/ EDDY NM- 1210 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EDDY COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAT...LON 3248 10335 3271 10245 3173 10244 3172 10348 TIME...MOT...LOC 0509Z 240DEG 30KT 3263 10289 3195 10306 $$ NMC025-TXC003-135-165-301-495-220545- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-151022T0545Z/ LEA NM-WINKLER TX-ECTOR TX-GAINES TX-ANDREWS TX-LOVING TX- 1210 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM CDT/1145 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA...WINKLER...WESTERN ECTOR... SOUTHWESTERN GAINES...ANDREWS AND EASTERN LOVING COUNTIES... AT 1209 AM CDT/1109 PM MDT/...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAYNES CORNER TO 6 MILES NORTH OF KERMIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ANDREWS...KERMIT...WEST ODESSA...EUNICE...JAL...WINK...GOLDSMITH... ANDREWS COUNTY AIRPORT...WINKLER COUNTY AIRPORT...FRANKEL CITY... FLOREY...PENWELL...NOTREES...OIL CENTER...NORTH COWDEN...JAL AIRPORT...EUNICE AIRPORT AND BENNETT. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 100 AND 111. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THESE STORMS MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE. && LAT...LON 3248 10335 3271 10245 3173 10244 3172 10348 TIME...MOT...LOC 0509Z 240DEG 30KT 3263 10289 3195 10306 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 67  741 WWUS45 KABQ 220511 WSWABQ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 1111 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 NMZ513-514-221200- /O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-151022T2200Z/ NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET- 1111 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THURSDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 6 INCHES ABOVE 10000 FEET WITH UP TO 10 INCHES ON THE HIGHEST PEAKS AND RIDGES. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. * WINDS...NO WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED. * SNOW LEVELS...AROUND 10000 FEET. * LOCAL IMPACTS...LITTLE TO NO IMPACT BELOW 10000 FEET. THE WEIGHT OF HEAVY WET SNOW MAY DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES ABOVE RESORT LEVEL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL PRIMARILY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. && $$  906 WWUS84 KLUB 220511 SPSLUB SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1211 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ029-035-220530- HALE TX-LUBBOCK TX- 1211 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HALE AND NORTHWESTERN LUBBOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT... AT 1209 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ANTON...OR 11 MILES WEST OF ABERNATHY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM IS EXHIBITING A CIRCULATION 5 MILES EAST OF ANTON. A WEAK SHORT-LIVED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE ACROSS RURAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN HALE COUNTY. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ABERNATHY. LAT...LON 3382 10168 3370 10205 3375 10209 3391 10209 3407 10188 TIME...MOT...LOC 0509Z 240DEG 29KT 3381 10205 $$ 26  403 WVRA31 RUPK 220517 UHPP SIGMET 6 VALID 220517/220555 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR CNL SIGMET 5 220455/220555=  063 WSRA31 RUKR 220520 UNKL SIGMET 2 VALID 220600/221000 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N68 S OF N70 E OF E084 W OF E088 SFC/FL100 MOV E 20KMH NC=  298 WVRA31 RUPK 220520 UHPP SIGMET 7 VALID 220520/220620 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT KARYMSKY PSN N5403 E15926 VA CLD OBS AT 0502Z SFC/FL080 MOV SE 50KMH=  980 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 WSBZ31 SBRE 220350  981 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220213  982 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 WSBZ31 SBRE 220223  983 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 WSBZ31 SBCW 220418  985 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 SBAO SIGMET 2 VALID 220250/220650 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0636 W03659 - N0558 W03243 - N0740 W03501 - N0636 W03659 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  986 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 SBAZ SIGMET 5 VALID 220230/220500 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0009 W06836 - N0139 W06725 - N0100 W06607 - S0026 W06607 - S0132 W06711 - S0009 W06836 TOP FL400 MOV W 12KT WKN=  987 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 SBCW SIGMET 4 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2530 W04910 - S2330 W04656- S2314 W04550- S2240 W04200 - S2407 W04016 - S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  988 WSBZ01 SBBR 220500 SBCW SIGMET 3 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2830 W05330- S3100 W04719- S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  197 WSAL31 DAAA 220515 DAAA SIGMET 1 VALID 220515/220915 DAMM ALGIERS FIR ISOL EMBD CB/TS TOP FL 350 OBS AND FCST OVER N OF TMA ALGIERS CENTER AND TMA NORTH EAST MOV E NC=  547 WSRS31 RURD 220522 URRV SIGMET 4 VALID 220530/220800 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR EMBD TS FCST SW OF LINE N4510 E03630 - N4310 E04140 TOP FL370 STNR INTSF=  680 WHXX04 KWBC 220524 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA 20E INITIAL TIME 0Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 13.3 100.0 285./13.0 6 14.1 101.0 310./13.0 12 15.1 102.3 306./16.0 18 15.5 103.4 292./11.2 24 16.3 104.1 318./10.0 30 16.9 104.7 315./ 8.9 36 17.7 105.0 343./ 8.7 42 18.8 105.1 355./11.0 48 20.7 104.8 7./18.4 54 22.5 103.8 29./20.4 60 24.1 101.9 50./24.1 66 25.5 99.4 61./26.8 72 25.8 98.7 69./ 6.6 78 26.1 98.2 54./ 5.6 84 26.2 97.1 88./10.4 90 26.4 96.4 70./ 5.8 96 26.5 95.8 79./ 5.5 102 26.5 95.6 83./ 2.3 108 27.1 95.5 12./ 5.6 114 27.5 95.5 354./ 4.1 120 28.0 95.4 14./ 5.2 126 28.8 95.2 11./ 8.1  217 WSCR31 LEMM 220530 GCCC SIGMET 3 VALID 220530/220830 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS N OF N29 AND BTN W01830-W015 TOP ABV FL350 STNR INTSF=  162 WGUS54 KMAF 220526 FFWMAF NMC025-TXC301-475-495-220830- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0064.151022T0526Z-151022T0830Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1226 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... WINKLER COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... WARD COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... LOVING COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 330 AM CDT/230 AM MDT/ * AT 1224 AM CDT/1124 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MONAHANS...KERMIT...WINK...WICKETT...PYOTE...WINKLER COUNTY AIRPORT...MONAHANS SANDHILLS STATE PARK...MONAHANS SAND HILLS STATE PARK...ROY HURD MEMORIAL AIRPORT...SLASH RANCH...ROYALTY... THORNTONVILLE AND GRANDFALLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3208 10280 3164 10280 3164 10277 3131 10277 3137 10300 3138 10301 3158 10342 3178 10369 3202 10357 3208 10306 $$ 67  187 WHXX04 KWBC 220525 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE OLAF 19E INITIAL TIME 0Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 12.3 145.3 300./ 7.0 6 12.6 145.9 297./ 6.6 12 13.1 146.1 333./ 5.8 18 13.8 146.5 332./ 7.5 24 14.6 147.0 326./10.0 30 15.3 147.6 318./ 8.2 36 15.8 147.9 329./ 6.7 42 16.7 148.2 342./ 9.4 48 17.7 148.4 347./ 9.7 54 18.4 148.6 344./ 6.9 60 19.0 149.0 331./ 7.2 66 19.6 149.2 341./ 6.7 72 20.4 149.6 329./ 8.2 78 20.9 149.6 3./ 5.3 84 21.6 149.5 6./ 7.7 90 22.5 149.0 29./10.0 96 23.5 148.1 44./12.3 102 24.3 146.6 63./16.3 108 25.1 144.6 66./20.0 114 26.0 142.4 70./21.4 120 26.9 140.0 69./23.7 126 28.4 137.2 61./28.3  444 WSIE31 EIDB 220520 EISN SIGMET 02 VALID 220520/220920 EINN- EISN SHANNON FIR SEV MTW FCST N OF N5300 AND E OF W01000 BTN 4000FT/FL080 STNR NC=  769 ACPN50 PHFO 220529 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 729 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE OLAF...LOCATED ABOUT 775 MI SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. $$  603 WSIR31 OIII 220531 OIIX SIGMET 3 VALID 220530/220830- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST LOC OVER SW,W,CENTRAL AND SOUTH OF NW AREA OBS TOP FL320 MOV E INTSF=  187 WHUS71 KLWX 220535 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 135 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ530-538-542-221345- /O.EXB.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0800Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- 135 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ531>534-537-539>541-543-221345- /O.EXT.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0800Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 135 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  736 WGUS84 KLUB 220535 FLSLUB FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1235 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC303-220730- /O.NEW.KLUB.FA.Y.0077.151022T0535Z-151022T0730Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUBBOCK TX- 1235 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL LUBBOCK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 230 AM CDT * AT 1234 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THE EASTWARD MOTION OF THE STORM SYSTEM HAS SLOWED AND THIS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE THE THREAT FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... LUBBOCK...WOLFFORTH...SHALLOWATER...DOWNTOWN LUBBOCK...LUBBOCK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...LUBBOCK SOUTH PLAINS MALL...TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY...REESE CENTER...NEW DEAL AND LUBBOCK SCIENCE SPECTRUM. LAT...LON 3346 10175 3345 10206 3371 10208 3372 10177 $$ 26  380 ACUS01 KWNS 220538 SWODY1 SPC AC 220536 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SRN GREAT PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS...MAINLY THIS MORNING THROUGH EVENING. ...SRN GREAT PLAINS... EXTENSIVE CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING AT 12Z ACROSS WRN PORTIONS OF TX/OK IN RESPONSE TO STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA AND A LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE EJECTING FROM THE RIO GRANDE OF FAR W TX. AS THIS IMPULSE SHIFTS NNE TOWARDS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AND EFFECTIVELY REFORMS THE BROADER MID-LEVEL TROUGH FROM AZ...ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL STILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR MAINTAINING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY TOWARDS THE RED RIVER VALLEY. WHILE DIABATIC DESTABILIZATION WILL BE HINDERED...EXPANSION OF A MARITIME TROPICAL AIR MASS NWD SHOULD YIELD WEAK SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY INTO PARTS OF NW TX AND SW OK. PRESENCE OF 35-45 KT LOW-LEVEL SLYS SHOULD FOSTER A RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITHIN A LINEAR/CLUSTER STORM MODE. DIABATIC HEATING WILL BE INCREASINGLY ROBUST WITH SWRN EXTENT...BUT LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD BE DIMINISHING GIVEN THE EARLY-DAY EJECTION OF THE SHORTWAVE IMPULSE AND BULK OF LOW-LEVEL WAA SHIFTING N. WHILE THE COMBINATION OF BUOYANCY/SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A RISK FOR SUPERCELLS...NEAR-NEUTRAL HEIGHT CHANGE/WEAK WAA IN THE MID-LEVELS RENDERS LOW CONFIDENCE IN SUSTAINING AFTERNOON/EVENING SURFACE-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT. WILL MAINTAIN A MARGINAL/CAT 1 RISK FOR A CONDITIONAL THREAT. ..GRAMS/COOK.. 10/22/2015 $$  382 WUUS01 KWNS 220538 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1237 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 221200Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 33339752 32759761 32189775 31749781 30669841 30099969 30140092 30690185 31290205 32590171 34610012 35049946 35079889 34919838 34279778 33339752 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28690298 30810303 31670272 32160226 33120110 33560033 33749971 33819899 33489809 32939768 31799773 30019881 27970054 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28810297 30860303 31710276 33040160 34560030 35549917 35469827 35019772 33419750 31799776 30789826 29759895 28050040 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 29060297 30810304 31710276 33040160 34560030 35549917 35469827 35019772 33409750 32069772 31799773 31529789 30789826 29759895 28240024 TSTM 29590471 31510463 32310555 32390712 33040918 34301107 35561260 37181413 38231417 39371290 40711067 41200837 40780643 40480422 40820328 41130255 41480168 42669978 42999795 41759579 38689343 37679311 35719340 34469374 33469426 32369424 31259407 30539404 28999321 && THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW 6R6 10 SW FST 25 E INK 45 SSE LBB 10 N CDS 15 N CSM 30 NW CHK 15 ESE CHK 40 N FTW 30 ESE SEP 30 WNW ACT 40 NW TPL 45 NW AUS 30 NNE HDO 65 WSW COT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SW MRF 25 SSE GDP 50 SE ALM 35 ENE DMN 30 ENE SAD 55 SSW INW 35 SW GCN 30 WNW SGU 45 NNE P38 20 W U24 45 SSE EVW 45 SE RKS 55 SW LAR 40 E FCL 25 SW SNY 20 E SNY 50 SW MHN 10 ENE ANW 30 W YKN 20 E TQE SZL 35 NNE SGF 35 NNW RUE 35 W HOT 15 W TXK 25 WSW SHV 40 E LFK 40 N BPT 80 S LCH.  200 WHUS73 KGRB 220541 MWWGRB URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI 1241 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINDS AND WAVES DIMINISHING.... .HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH WINDS AND WAVES OVERNIGHT. LMZ541-220645- /O.EXP.KGRB.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI- 1241 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING... $$  947 WSTU31 LTBA 220540 LTBB SIGMET 1 VALID 220540/220940 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR EMBD TS FCST N38 E026 AND OF VCY MOV NE INTSF=  440 WUUS02 KWNS 220544 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1243 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 231200Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 29510233 30950127 31899989 32509765 32449691 32139658 31669645 30289711 28419854 27470006 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 29780213 30950127 31909989 32509765 32449691 32139658 31669645 30289711 28419854 27689971 TSTM 34881116 36061127 37310955 39150957 39840868 39600688 38450444 36580345 35810351 34890405 32830760 33120943 34881116 99999999 29340516 31780263 36389925 37839873 39469829 40859862 41829972 42600027 43150021 43839970 44329778 44469348 44438933 44018745 43068675 42478674 40878741 39028855 36978989 35349145 33519312 31709377 30589377 28929314 && THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE 6R6 55 WSW SJT 40 SSW ABI 30 SW FTW 30 S DAL 15 WNW CRS 25 S CRS 35 E AUS 40 E COT 20 WNW LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW INW 50 E GCN 20 SSW 4BL 30 NNE CNY 50 N GJT EGE 10 NNE PUB 20 WNW CAO 45 N TCC 30 SW TCC 35 SW TCS 20 NNE SAD 25 WSW INW ...CONT... 100 SW MRF 30 WSW MAF 30 ENE GAG 40 NNW P28 35 W CNK 20 WSW GRI 30 N BBW 15 W ANW 25 NE VTN 20 WNW 9V9 25 E HON 25 NE MKT 30 SE CWA 15 SE MTW 25 WSW MKG 30 NW BEH 40 NW LAF 35 SSW MTO 25 SW CGI 30 SSE BVX 25 NW ELD 40 W IER 45 NW LCH 85 S LCH.  721 ACUS02 KWNS 220544 SWODY2 SPC AC 220543 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1243 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF N-CNTRL TX INTO S-CNTRL TX... ...SUMMARY... A COUPLE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF TEXAS ON FRIDAY. ...SRN PLAINS... A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS EARLY FRIDAY WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION DURING THE DAY AS SWLY FLOW AND NEUTRAL TO WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT RISES OCCUR AHEAD OF AN UPSTREAM TROUGH OVER THE SRN ROCKIES. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE AREA WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY DURING THE MORNING ACROSS N-CNTRL TX NEWD INTO ERN OK/OZARKS. SUBSEQUENT DESTABILIZATION AND RECOVERY APPEAR UNLIKELY OVER OK TO THE N OF ANY SUSTAINED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS TX. RICH GULF MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY MID 60S TO LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE BUOYANCY IN AREAS LARGELY VOID OF PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER OVER S-CNTRL TX. A COUPLE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. ...MID MO VALLEY... IN WAKE OF EARLY-DAY SHOWERS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD TOWARDS THE MS RIVER...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THIS REGION LATE IN THE DAY. AN AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY MAY DEVELOP IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM NERN KS NWD ALONG THE NEB/IA BORDER. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT TIMING DIFFERENCES IN MODELS IN THE PLACEMENT OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH --FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY-- AND THE DEPICTION OF LOW-LEVEL MASS FIELDS /DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION/ REMAIN IN QUESTION AT THIS TIME. WILL DEFER THE POSSIBLE INTRODUCTION OF LOW-SEVERE PROBABILITIES TO LATER OUTLOOKS. ..SMITH.. 10/22/2015 $$  383 WSUS32 KKCI 220555 SIGC MKCC WST 220555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 21C VALID UNTIL 0755Z KS FROM 50N SLN-20SW SLN-40ESE HLC-50N SLN AREA TS MOV FROM 19030KT. TOPS TO FL390. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 22C VALID UNTIL 0755Z TX OK KS NM FROM 20E LBL-40SSE MMB-70S MRF-40WSW MRF-40SE TBE-20E LBL AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 20035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 220755-221155 AREA 1...FROM MCK-PWE-60E ICT-JCT-DLF-100S MRF-ELP-FTI-DEN-MCK WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30ENE PSX-80S LCH-120S LCH-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-CRP-50W PSX-30ENE PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  384 WSUS33 KKCI 220555 SIGW MKCW WST 220555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220755-221155 FROM HVE-DVC-SJN-DRK-EED-ILC-HVE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  385 WSUS31 KKCI 220555 SIGE MKCE WST 220555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220755-221155 FROM PLB-50SSW PLB-40S SYR-EWC-40E YYZ-40NW SYR-MSS-PLB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  467 WSCN04 CWAO 220545 CZYZ SIGMET G3 VALID 220545/220740 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR CNCL SIGMET G2 220340/220740=  638 WSCN24 CWAO 220545 CZYZ SIGMET G3 VALID 220545/220740 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR CNCL SIGMET G2 220340/220740 RMK GFACN33=  282 WTPA35 PHFO 220546 CCA TCPCP5 BULLETIN...CORRECTED HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 500 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...OLAF MOVING NORTHWEST WELL SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 145.6W ABOUT 800 MI...1285 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.6 WEST. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. OLAF IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY CURVE TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SEE THE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGES...WHHW40 PHFO OR CFWHFO...FROM THE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU FOR DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON  458 WGUS84 KLUB 220547 FLSLUB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1247 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC017-369-220715- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151022T0715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BAILEY TX-PARMER TX- 1247 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR BAILEY AND PARMER COUNTIES... AT 1241 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL WAS GRADUALLY DISSIPATING IN INTENSITY OVER THE WARNED AREA...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF UP TO 1/3 INCH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 215 AM. THIS RAIN WILL PROLONG FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS THAT EARLIER RECEIVED 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MULESHOE...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...NEEDMORE AND BLACK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. && LAT...LON 3475 10253 3431 10253 3431 10261 3383 10262 3382 10305 3475 10304 $$ MCZ  027 WSZA21 FAOR 220548 FAOR SIGMET B01 VALID 220600/221000 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S3456 E04335 - S3457 E04515 - S3929 E05205 - S4138 E05700 - S4500 E05700 - S4500 E06503 - S4738 E06144 - S4711 E05624 - S4155 E04830 - S3629 E04334 FL070/180=  840 WHMY40 PGUM 220550 CFWMY COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 350 PM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 ...LARGE SWELL FROM DISTANT TYPHOON CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE HAZARDOUS SURF FOR THE MARIANAS THROUGH TONIGHT... GUZ001>004-222000- /O.CON.PGUM.SU.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-151022T2000Z/ GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN- 350 PM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CHST FRIDAY... * HAZARDOUS SURF OF 7 TO 9 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST FACING REEFS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW HAZARDOUS LEVELS FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID VENTURING INTO THE WATER ALONG EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES... ESPECIALLY THOSE FACING NORTH AND WEST...AS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE THREATENING. && $$ WILLIAMS  310 WARH31 LDZM 220549 LDZO AIRMET 4 VALID 220600/220800 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MT OBSC OBS WI N4538 E01435 - N4432 E01506 - N4505 E01753 - N4547 E01758 - N4630 E01624 ABV FL030 STNR NC=  076 WSBZ31 SBCW 220551 SBCW SIGMET 5 VALID 220540/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2247 W05147 - S2052 W05042 - S2227 W04835 - S2325 W04907 - S2247 W05147 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  033 WGUS44 KLUB 220552 FLWLUB BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1252 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC219-303-305-445-501-220845- /O.NEW.KLUB.FA.W.0025.151022T0552Z-151022T0845Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HOCKLEY TX-YOAKUM TX-TERRY TX-LYNN TX-LUBBOCK TX- 1252 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR... HOCKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN YOAKUM COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... TERRY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... WESTERN LYNN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... LUBBOCK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 345 AM CDT * AT 1246 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN WHICH WILL CAUSE FLOODING. A NEARLY STATIONARY LINE OF HEAVY RAIN EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN LUBBOCK COUNTY TO DENVER CITY IS LIKELY TO TRIGGER AREAS OF FLOODING. THE INITIAL THREAT IS ALONG AND JUST WEST OF US HIGHWAY 82 THOUGH A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT IS LIKELY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. LAT...LON 3296 10300 3339 10259 3367 10239 3382 10209 3383 10159 3296 10206 $$ 26  709 WSAG31 SABE 220550 SAEF SIGMET 4 VALID 220600/220800 SABE- SAEF EZEIZA FIR EMBD TS FCST AT 0700Z WI S3437 W05947 -S3425 W05841 - S3520 W05850 - S3437 W05947 TOP FL300 =  000 WSIR31 OIII 220531 OIIX SIGMET 3 VALID 220530/220830 OIII- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST LOC OVER SW,W,CENTRAL AND SOUTH OF NW AREA OBS TOP FL320 MOV E INTSF=  483 WBCN07 CWVR 220500 PAM ROCKS WIND 2704 LANGARA; CLDY 8 S14G24 3FT MDT MOD-HVY W SHWRS DSNT ALQDS GREEN; OVC 8R- S32E 6FT MDT OCNL RW TRIPLE; OVC 7R- S25E 5FT MDT LO SW BONILLA; OVC 15RW- S15 3FT MDT LO S BOAT BLUFF; OVC 15RW- CLM RPLD MCINNES; PC 15 S05E 1FT CHP LO SW IVORY; CLDY 12 SE11 2FT CHP LO SW T PST HR DRYAD; CLDY 12RW- S04 RPLD ADDENBROKE; OVC 4R+ T+ SW25EG 5FT MDT LO S* EGG ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE14 3FT MOD LO W PINE ISLAND; CLDY 8 SE10E 2FT CHP LO W CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15 SW15E 3FT MOD LO SW QUATSINO; CLDY 15 S18E 3FT MOD LO SW NOOTKA; CLDY 4F N5 1FT CHP LO SW ESTEVAN; CLDY 15 E02 1FT CHP LO-MDT SW 1021.2R LENNARD; PC 15 N05 1FT CHP LO SW AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; PC 15 NW12 3FT MOD LO SW VSBY NW 6 F PACHENA; PC 15 NW05E 2FT CHP LO SW CARMANAH; PC 15 N04E 1FT CHP LO SW SCARLETT; CLDY 15 S3E 1FT CHP LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; PC 12 NW3E RPLD CHROME; OVC 15 NW05 RPLD MERRY; CLDY 15 W05 RPLD ENTRANCE; OVC 08 S04 RPLD FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; PC 12 SW17 3FT MOD RMK F BNK DSNT S-W Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 211/11/10/1905/M/ 1009 68MM= WLP SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 202/11/09/1412/M/ PK WND 1517 0426Z 0003 64MM= WEB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 228/10/09/0704/M/ 3010 51MM= WQC SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 223/10/09/0402/M/ 3014 79MM= WRU SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 215/11/09/1604/M/0010 PCPN 1.0MM PAST HR 2005 36MM= WFG SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 204/12/09/2518/M/ PK WND 2324 0404Z 3006 71MM= WVF SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/11/10/1406/M/M M 72MM= WQS SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 131/12/10/2113/M/0026 PK WND 2217 0415Z 1008 96MM= WRO SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 124/10/09/1815/M/ PK WND 1919 0425Z 1012 06MM= WEK SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 124/11/09/1824+30/M/0006 PCPN 0.6MM PAST HR PK WND 1830 0456Z 1007 02MM= WWL SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 141/11/08/1917/M/ PK WND 1922 0417Z 1009 09MM= WME SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 186/09/07/1506/M/0018 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR 0001 44MM= WAS SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 204/11/09/2704/M/ 1008 14MM= WSB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 207/11/10/1204/M/ 3012 30MM= WGT SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 211/12/09/2801/M/M 3013 93MM= WGB SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 209/11/11/1405/M/ 3011 46MM= WEL SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 211/11/10/1602/M/ 1011 35MM= WDR SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 206/11/M/2504/M/M 0008 8MMM= WZO SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/2008/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0103/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 0500 AUTO8 M M M 212/09/08/1003/M/0008 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR 1010 44MM=  672 WTPZ35 KNHC 220555 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 100 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATRICIA BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...FURTHER STRENGTHENING ANTICIPATED... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 101.5W ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT PATRICIA HAS STRENGTHENED INTO A HURRICANE. AT 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PATRICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 101.5 WEST. PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF PATRICIA SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM) FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB (29.15 INCHES). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY, AND ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. RAINFALL: PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES, OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF JALISCO, COLIMA, MICHOACAN AND GUERRERO LATER THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH  896 WWUS60 KWNS 220600 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 22-OCT-15 AT 06:00:01 UTC SEVR 151022 0600 WT0518 1400 03010.10334 03440.10209 03440.10002 03010.10133;  967 WSMA31 FIMP 220600 FIMM SIGMET A02 VALID 220600/221000 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0530Z WI S0500 E05800 - S0500 E06400 - S0900 E06100 - S0900 E05800 TOP ABV FL390 STNR NC=  442 WWUS84 KMAF 220602 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 102 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ045-046-050-051-220645- ANDREWS TX-MARTIN TX-GAINES TX-DAWSON TX- 102 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN GAINES...EASTERN ANDREWS...WESTERN MARTIN AND WESTERN DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL 145 AM CDT... AT 101 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LOOP TO NEAR FLOREY TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF GOLDSMITH...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ANDREWS...SEMINOLE...SEAGRAVES...WELCH...ANDREWS COUNTY AIRPORT... ASHMORE...FAIRVIEW IN GAINES COUNTY...PRIDE...CEDAR LAKE...GAINES COUNTY AIRPORT...FLOREY...SAND...LOOP...SEAGRAVES AIRPORT AND MCKENZIE LAKE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. VISIBILITY WILL DROP TO NEAR ZERO IN HEAVY RAINFALL. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3211 10212 3210 10279 3296 10259 3296 10207 TIME...MOT...LOC 0601Z 222DEG 39KT 3293 10248 3250 10265 3210 10269 $$ 67  267 WWNZ40 NZKL 220558 STORM WARNING 429 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 220600UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. FRONT 44S 164W 45S 162W 55S 146W 59S 145W 65S 151W MOVING EAST 35KT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW 931HPA NEAR 62S 150W MOVING SOUTHEAST 30KT. 1. WITHIN 360 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE: CLOCKWISE 50KT. STORM AREA MOVING SOUTHEAST 30KT. 2. OUTSIDE AREA 1 AND WITHIN 1560 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF FRONT FROM 45S 162W TO 65S 151W: SOUTHWEST 40KT AT TIMES. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 35KT. 3. OUTSIDE AREAS 1 AND 2 AND WITHIN 480 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF FRONT: NORTHWEST 40KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 35KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 427.  471 WWNZ40 NZKL 220600 GALE WARNING 431 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND SOUTHERN AT 220600UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. IN A BELT 420 NAUTICAL MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 55S 140E 52S 157E 52S 164E: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 45KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 428.  472 WWNZ40 NZKL 220559 GALE WARNING 430 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 220600UTC IN A BELT 180 NAUTICAL MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 35S 123W 38S 122W 42S 121W: NORTHERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING SOUTHEAST 35KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 426.  473 WWNZ40 NZKL 220602 CANCEL WARNING 425  474 WWNZ40 NZKL 220601 CANCEL WARNING 424  479 WSMA31 FIMP 220600 FIMM SIGMET B01 VALID 220600/221000 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0530Z WI S0500 E06600 - S0500 E07200 - S0800 E07500 - S1000 E07200 S1000 E06800 - S0800 E06600 TOP ABV FL390 STNR NC=  738 WWUS40 KWNS 220603 WWP8 TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1257 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 WT 0518 PROBABILITY TABLE: PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 30% PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 20% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 20% PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : <05% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 10% PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : <05% PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 40% && ATTRIBUTE TABLE: MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 1.0 MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60 MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 500 MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 21040 PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO && FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH AND WATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU8. $$  739 WOUS64 KWNS 220603 WOU8 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 100 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0518.151022T0600Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  743 WWUS20 KWNS 220603 SEL8 SPC WW 220603 TXZ000-221400- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 100 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 100 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...BROKEN SSW-NNE SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED EXPECTED TO EDGE SLOWLY E ACROSS W TX THROUGH SUNRISE. WITH MID AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND ASCENT EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY INCREASE WITH THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF NRN MEXICO SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND WITH LOW-LVL SELY WINDS ADVECTING MORE MOISTURE-RICH AIR TO REGION...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS/SMALL BOW ECHOES WITH A RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LOCALLY-DAMAGING WIND. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT STOCKTON TEXAS TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF PLAINVIEW TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040. ...CORFIDI  744 WWUS30 KWNS 220603 SAW8 SPC AWW 220603 WW 518 TORNADO TX 220600Z - 221400Z AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 55SSE FST/FORT STOCKTON TX/ - 50NE PVW/PLAINVIEW TX/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /51SSE FST - 45WNW CDS/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040. LAT...LON 30180356 34680215 34680004 30180155 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU8.  038 WOAU01 AMMC 220604 IDY21000 40:3:1:04:55S075E35060:11:00 SECURITE High Seas Weather Warning for METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC At 0604UTC 22 October 2015 GALE WARNING FOR WESTERN AREA PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 0600UTC Vigorous flow associated with approaching cold front, forecast 45S075E 48S080E 50S090E at 230600UTC. AREA AFFECTED Bounded by 44S080E 50S098E 50S080E 44S080E. FORECAST NW quarter winds 30/40 knots east of front developing by 230300UTC. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.  360 WWUS64 KMAF 220606 WCNMAF WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 106 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC003-033-043-103-115-135-165-173-227-317-329-335-371-377-383- 415-443-461-221400- /O.NEW.KMAF.TO.A.0518.151022T0606Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 18 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS BREWSTER PECOS PRESIDIO TERRELL IN WEST TEXAS ANDREWS BORDEN CRANE DAWSON ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK HOWARD MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL REAGAN SCURRY UPTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALPINE...ANDREWS...BIG LAKE... BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...CRANE...FORT STOCKTON...GAIL... GARDEN CITY...LAMESA...MARFA...MCCAMEY...MIDLAND...ODESSA... PRESIDIO...RANKIN...SANDERSON...SEMINOLE...SNYDER AND STANTON. $$  463 WWUS64 KLUB 220606 WCNLUB WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 106 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC045-075-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-263-303-305-345-437-445- 221400- /O.NEW.KLUB.TO.A.0518.151022T0606Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST TEXAS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS FLOYD GARZA HALE KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY TERRY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS BRISCOE CHILDRESS HALL SWISHER THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BROWNFIELD...CEDAR HILL... CHILDRESS...CROSBYTON...DICKENS...GRAHAM...HACKBERRY...JAYTON... LORENZO...LUBBOCK...LUBBOCK...MATADOR...MEMPHIS...O'DONNELL... PADUCAH...PLAINVIEW...POST...QUITAQUE...RALLS...ROARING SPRINGS... SILVERTON...SPUR...TAHOKA AND TULIA. $$  971 WSTU31 LTBA 220604 LTBB SIGMET 2 VALID 220604/221004 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR EMBD TS FCST N40 E026 AND OF VCY MOV NE INTSF=  579 WHUS74 KLIX 220607 MWWLIX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 107 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 .OVERVIEW...INTERACTION BETWEEN STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH GULF THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE RELAXING. GMZ572-575-220900- /O.EXP.KLIX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KLIX.SC.Y.0039.151022T0607Z-151022T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 107 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS EXTENDED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING. * WINDS...EAST NEAR 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...6 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ570-221200- /O.CON.KLIX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 107 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING... * WINDS...EAST NEAR 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...6 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ TD  719 WWUS64 KSJT 220607 WCNSJT WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 107 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC105-235-431-221400- /O.NEW.KSJT.TO.A.0518.151022T0607Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS CROCKETT IRION STERLING THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MERTZON...OZONA AND STERLING CITY. $$  627 WSMA31 FIMP 220600 FIMM SIGMET A02 VALID 220600/221000 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0530Z WI S0500 E05800 - S0500 E06400 - S0900 E06100 - S0900 E05800 TOP ABV FL390 STNR NC= FIMM SIGMET B01 VALID 220600/221000 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0530Z WI S0500 E06600 - S0500 E07200 - S0800 E07500 - S1000 E07200 S1000 E06800 - S0800 E06600 TOP ABV FL390 STNR NC=  691 WVJP31 RJTD 220615 RJJJ SIGMET M02 VALID 220615/221215 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT ASOSAN PSN N3253 E13106 VA CLD OBS AT 0600Z FL050 MOV SW INTST UNKNOWN=  909 WGUS84 KLUB 220610 FLSLUB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 110 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC017-369-220715- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151022T0715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BAILEY TX-PARMER TX- 110 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR BAILEY AND PARMER COUNTIES... AT 106 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO AND ONE HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MULESHOE...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...NEEDMORE...BLACK...MULESHOE WILDLIFE REFUGE...OKLAHOMA LANE...LARIAT...PROGRESS...MAPLE...BULA... WEST CAMP...LAZBUDDIE...ENOCHS AND RHEA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. && LAT...LON 3475 10253 3431 10253 3431 10261 3383 10262 3382 10305 3475 10304 $$ 26  987 WWUS45 KGJT 220610 WSWGJT URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1210 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ004-221415- /O.NEW.KGJT.WW.Y.0068.151022T1800Z-151024T0000Z/ ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- 1210 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE 9000 FEET FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 6 PM MDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ009-010-013-018-221415- /O.EXB.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.151022T1500Z-151024T0000Z/ GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-FLAT TOPS- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 1210 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE 9000 FEET FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM MDT FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...SNOWMASS...TRAPPERS LAKE...TELLURIDE. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ012-221415- /O.EXT.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS- 1210 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND THIS EVENING. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ019-221415- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 1210 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THURSDAY... * LOCATIONS...FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR WOLF CREEK PASS. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 5 INCHES. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...WOLF CREEK PASS WILL BE SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$  729 WSTU31 LTAC 220610 LTAA SIGMET 2 VALID 220700/221100 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS FCST MEDITERRANEAN REGION MOV NE 12KT NC=  225 WSTU31 LTAC 220610 CCA LTAA SIGMET 2 VALID 220700/221100 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS FCST MEDITERRANEAN REGION MOV NE 12KT NC=  213 WWCN02 CYTR 220612 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 2:12 AM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 30 NM VALID: UNTIL 22/0730Z (UNTIL 22/0330 EDT) COMMENTS: A LINE OF SHOWERS CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH TRENTON IS GIVING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE BASE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONTINUING TO WEAKEN AND BECOME LESS FREQUENT AS THEY TRACK TO THE EAST. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE AND TRACK OUT OF THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. THESE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/0730Z (22/0330 EDT) END/JMC  480 WSCN05 CWAO 220614 CZUL SIGMET E3 VALID 220610/221010 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN N4806 W07715 - N4855 W07828 - N5015 W07849 - N4816 W07107 - N4712 W07210 - N4806 W07715 SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT NC=  481 WSCN24 CWAO 220614 CZYZ SIGMET B3 VALID 220230/220630 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR CNCL SIGMET B2 220230/220630 RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E3=  482 WSCN04 CWAO 220614 CZYZ SIGMET B3 VALID 220230/220630 CWUL- CZYZ TORONTO FIR CNCL SIGMET B2 220230/220630=  483 WSCN25 CWAO 220614 CZUL SIGMET E3 VALID 220610/221010 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN /N4806 W07715/20 E CYVO - /N4855 W07828/45 N CYUY - /N5015 W07849/45 NW CYNM - /N4816 W07107/5 SW CYBG - /N4712 W07210/45 NW CYQB - /N4806 W07715/20 E CYVO SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT NC RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZYZ TORONTO FIR SIGMET B3=  785 WSKW31 OKBK 220607 OKBK SIGMET 2 VALID 220700/221100 OKBK- OKBC KUWAIT FIR ISOL TS FCST AND OBS N OF N29 E OF E047 TOP FL340 MOV E15KT INTSF=  550 WSZA21 FAOR 220620 FAOR SIGMET A01 VALID 220630/221000 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2932 E03710 - S2946 E03842 - S3159 E04157 - S3458 E04510 - S3456 E04335 - S3629 E04332 - S3255 E03955 - S3025 E03646 TOP FL280=  938 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 WSBZ31 SBRE 220223  939 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 WSBZ31 SBRE 220350  940 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 WSBZ31 SBCW 220551  941 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 SBCW SIGMET 4 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2530 W04910 - S2330 W04656- S2314 W04550- S2240 W04200 - S2407 W04016 - S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  942 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 SBAO SIGMET 2 VALID 220250/220650 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0636 W03659 - N0558 W03243 - N0740 W03501 - N0636 W03659 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  943 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 SBCW SIGMET 5 VALID 220540/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2247 W05147 - S2052 W05042 - S2227 W04835 - S2325 W04907 - S2247 W05147 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  944 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 SBCW SIGMET 3 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2830 W05330- S3100 W04719- S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  945 WSBZ01 SBBR 220600 WSBZ31 SBCW 220418  007 WSKW31 OKBK 220607 OKAC SIGMET 2 VALID 220700/221100 OKBK- OKAC KUWAIT FIR ISOL TS FCST AND OBS N OF N29 E OF E047 TOP FL340 MOV E15KT INTSF=  995 WSPY31 SGAS 220619 SGFA SIGMET 01 VALID 220620/221020 SGAS- SGFA ASUNCION FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S2536 W05738 - S2713 W05841 - SW2722 W05540 - S2638 W05447 - S2543 W05437 - S2536 W05738 TOP FL 240/340 MOV NE 05KT INTSF=  649 WSPO31 LPMG 220625 LPPC SIGMET 1 VALID 220625/220825 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS FCST S OF N3300 TOP ABV FL350 STNR NC=  068 WOUS64 KWNS 220624 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 124 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  242 WGUS54 KMAF 220630 FFWMAF TXC003-115-135-165-317-329-220930- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0065.151022T0630Z-151022T0930Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 130 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... ECTOR COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN GAINES COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN ANDREWS COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... MIDLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... MARTIN COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... DAWSON COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 430 AM CDT * AT 128 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MIDLAND...ODESSA...ANDREWS...LAMESA...STANTON...SEAGRAVES...WEST ODESSA...O'DONNELL...GOLDSMITH...LOS YBANEZ...MISSION DORADO... KEY...WELCH...WARFIELD...PLEASANT FARMS...ASHMORE...TARZAN...LAMESA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...COURTNEY AND MIDLAND AIRPARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3167 10183 3166 10279 3296 10256 3296 10174 $$ 67  260 WSBW20 VGHS 220630 VGFR SIGMET 2 VALID 220800/221200 VGHS- VGFR DHAKA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N21 AND E OF E88 TOP FL400 MOV ESE NC=  986 WOMQ50 LFPW 220631 WARNING ON METAREA 3, METEO-FRANCE WARNING NR 298, THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015 AT 0630 UTC GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 22 AT 00 UTC. THUNDERY LOW 1000 OVER SOUTH OF TYRRENIAN SEA MOVING TO ADRIATIC SEA. ATLANTIC RIDGE 1027 MOVING TO SOUTHWEST OF FRANCE. NORTH OF MINORQUE, LION. CONTINUING TO 23/06 UTC. NORTHWEST 8, LOCALLY 9 NEAR CAPES BEAR AND BAGUR. SEVERE GUSTS. WEST OF PROVENCE. CONTINUING TO 23/03 UTC. NORTHWEST AT TIMES 8. SEVERE GUSTS.  752 WAUS42 KKCI 220633 AAA WA2S MIAS WA 220633 AMD AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 220900 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20S RIC TO 30ENE ORF TO 70SSE ECG TO 80E ILM TO 40SSW CHS TO 30SW CAE TO 20ESE RDU TO 20S RIC VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12- 15Z. . AIRMET IFR...SC GA FL AND CSTL WTRS...UPDT FROM 60SSE IRQ TO 20SE SAV TO 20ENE CRG TO OMN TO PIE TO 40W CTY TO 30NNW TLH TO 30W AMG TO 60SSE IRQ CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 09Z ENDG 12-15Z. ....  474 WWCN12 CWTO 220634 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO ENDED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2:34 A.M. EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: FRASERDALE - PLEDGER LAKE LITTLE ABITIBI - KESAGAMI LAKE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NON END/MSC  434 WGUS74 KMAF 220636 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 136 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 NMC025-TXC301-475-495-220830- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T0830Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEA NM-WINKLER TX-WARD TX-LOVING TX- 136 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT/230 AM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA...WINKLER...WARD AND LOVING COUNTIES... AT 134 AM CDT/1234 AM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED EAST OF THE WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...FLASH FLOODING COULD STILL BE OCCURRING UNTIL ANY FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MONAHANS...KERMIT...WINK...WICKETT...PYOTE...WINKLER COUNTY AIRPORT...MONAHANS SANDHILLS STATE PARK...MONAHANS SAND HILLS STATE PARK...ROY HURD MEMORIAL AIRPORT...SLASH RANCH...ROYALTY... THORNTONVILLE AND GRANDFALLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3208 10280 3164 10280 3164 10277 3131 10277 3137 10300 3138 10301 3158 10342 3178 10369 3202 10357 3208 10306 $$ 67  821 WSPY31 SGAS 220620 SGFA SIGMET 01 VALID 220620/221020 SGAS- SGFA ASUNCION FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S2536 W05738 - S2713 W05841 - S2722 W05540 - S2638 W05447 - S2543 W05437 - S2536 W05738 TOP FL 240/340 MOV NE 05KT INTSF=  802 WTPQ20 BABJ 220600 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CHAMPI 1525 (1525) INITIAL TIME 220600 UTC 00HR 24.0N 141.8E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS WINDS 330KM NORTHEAST 280KM SOUTHEAST 330KM SOUTHWEST 330KM NORTHWEST 50KTS WINDS 130KM NORTHEAST 120KM SOUTHEAST 130KM SOUTHWEST 130KM NORTHWEST 64KTS WINDS 60KM NORTHEAST 60KM SOUTHEAST 60KM SOUTHWEST 60KM NORTHWEST MOVE ENE 15KM/H P+12HR 24.3N 143.1E 950HPA 45M/S P+24HR 25.0N 145.1E 950HPA 45M/S P+36HR 25.9N 147.1E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 26.8N 148.7E 970HPA 35M/S P+60HR 28.5N 151.8E 975HPA 33M/S P+72HR 31.1N 157.0E 982HPA 28M/S P+96HR 38.9N 169.5E 993HPA 20M/S=  268 WGUS54 KAMA 220640 FFWAMA TXC117-359-221145- /O.EXT.KAMA.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-151022T1145Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 140 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... DEAF SMITH COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... OLDHAM COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 645 AM CDT * AT 139 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THREE TO SEVEN INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... HEREFORD...VEGA...ADRIAN...BOYS RANCH...WILDORADO...GLENRIO... SIMMS...BOOTLEG AND DAWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3562 10304 3563 10216 3475 10217 3475 10304 $$ JC  332 WTJP22 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.0N 141.8E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 25.2N 145.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 27.4N 150.5E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 32.5N 160.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  333 WTPQ21 RJTD 220600 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 220600UTC 24.0N 141.8E GOOD MOVE ENE 06KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 230600UTC 25.2N 145.8E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 09KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 48HF 240600UTC 27.4N 150.5E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 12KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 72HF 250600UTC 32.5N 160.6E 250NM 70% MOVE ENE 25KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT =  694 WHXX01 KMIA 220641 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 0641 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF (EP192015) 20151022 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 0600 151022 1800 151023 0600 151023 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.8N 145.8W 13.7N 146.7W 14.6N 147.3W 15.6N 147.9W BAMD 12.8N 145.8W 14.1N 146.8W 15.6N 147.6W 17.2N 148.8W BAMM 12.8N 145.8W 14.0N 146.8W 15.3N 147.7W 16.4N 148.8W LBAR 12.8N 145.8W 14.0N 146.6W 15.5N 147.5W 17.0N 147.9W SHIP 105KTS 106KTS 102KTS 94KTS DSHP 105KTS 106KTS 102KTS 94KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 0600 151025 0600 151026 0600 151027 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.5N 148.5W 18.5N 149.8W 19.6N 150.6W 18.5N 150.5W BAMD 18.3N 149.6W 19.0N 150.7W 19.4N 150.3W 18.6N 148.5W BAMM 17.2N 149.5W 18.0N 150.5W 18.6N 150.0W 17.7N 149.6W LBAR 18.8N 147.7W 21.6N 145.4W 24.5N 141.0W 27.6N 134.9W SHIP 76KTS 53KTS 35KTS 15KTS DSHP 76KTS 53KTS 35KTS 15KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.8N LONCUR = 145.8W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 12.0N LONM12 = 144.7W DIRM12 = 303DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 11.3N LONM24 = 143.4W WNDCUR = 105KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 105KT CENPRS = 957MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 125NM RD34SW = 110NM RD34NW = 130NM $$ NNNN  261 WSRH31 LDZM 220642 LDZO SIGMET 2 VALID 220700/221100 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4404 E01524 - N4422 E01610 - N4537 E01436 - N4525 E01352 SFC/FL060 STNR NC=  717 WOUS64 KWNS 220643 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 143 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  920 WARH31 LDZM 220643 LDZO AIRMET 5 VALID 220700/220900 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD TURB FCST WI N4420 E01611 - N4356 E01533 - N4206 E01826 - N4232 E01824 SFC/FL060 STNR NC=  409 WARH31 LDZM 220644 LDZO AIRMET 6 VALID 220700/220900 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD MTW FCST WI N4501 E01327 - N4141 E01819 - N4224 E01830 - N4537 E01435 TOP ABV FL100 STNR NC=  412 WHXX01 KMIA 220644 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0644 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 0600 151022 1800 151023 0600 151023 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.0N 101.7W 15.2N 103.6W 16.4N 105.0W 17.9N 105.8W BAMD 14.0N 101.7W 15.2N 103.6W 16.8N 105.0W 18.9N 105.8W BAMM 14.0N 101.7W 15.2N 103.6W 16.5N 105.1W 18.3N 106.0W LBAR 14.0N 101.7W 15.6N 103.6W 17.2N 105.3W 19.3N 106.3W SHIP 70KTS 89KTS 104KTS 112KTS DSHP 70KTS 89KTS 104KTS 112KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 0600 151025 0600 151026 0600 151027 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.5N 105.9W 22.2N 104.2W 22.0N 104.6W 23.6N 105.6W BAMD 21.4N 105.8W 26.7N 101.9W 29.3N 96.4W 33.7N 91.4W BAMM 20.2N 106.1W 23.4N 103.3W 24.3N 100.0W 26.7N 95.1W LBAR 21.7N 106.7W 27.2N 103.6W 31.2N 97.1W 34.1N 90.4W SHIP 101KTS 65KTS 51KTS 43KTS DSHP 86KTS 34KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.0N LONCUR = 101.7W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 15KT LATM12 = 13.1N LONM12 = 98.7W DIRM12 = 281DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 12.9N LONM24 = 96.3W WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 985MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 140NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 80NM $$ NNNN  174 WSUS33 KKCI 220655 SIGW MKCW WST 220655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220855-221255 FROM HVE-DVC-SJN-DRK-EED-ILC-HVE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  175 WSUS32 KKCI 220655 SIGC MKCC WST 220655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 23C VALID UNTIL 0855Z KS FROM 60N SLN-20ESE SLN-60W SLN-60N SLN AREA TS MOV FROM 19030KT. TOPS TO FL390. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 24C VALID UNTIL 0855Z TX OK KS CO NM FROM 30ENE GCK-20ENE MMB-70SSE MRF-70WNW MRF-60W LBL-30ENE GCK AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 20035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 220855-221255 AREA 1...FROM DSM-60E ICT-JCT-DLF-100S MRF-ELP-FTI-DEN-DSM REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30ENE PSX-80S LCH-120S LCH-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-CRP-50W PSX-30ENE PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  176 WSUS31 KKCI 220655 SIGE MKCE WST 220655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220855-221255 FROM PLB-50SSW PLB-HNK-JST-BUF-40NW SYR-MSS-PLB WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  241 WGUS74 KMAF 220649 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 149 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 NMC025-TXC003-165-220815- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0063.000000T0000Z-151022T0815Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEA NM-GAINES TX-ANDREWS TX- 149 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT/215 AM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA...WESTERN GAINES AND WESTERN ANDREWS COUNTIES... AT 109 AM CDT/1209 AM MDT/...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 6 TO 12 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER US HIGHWAY 180 ON THE EAST SIDE OF SEMINOLE. AT 146 AM CDT/1246 AM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT SINCE ANY HIGH WATER FROM THE HEAVY RAINS WILL TAKE AT LEAST ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO TO RECEDE. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... HOBBS...LOVINGTON...SEMINOLE...DENVER CITY...SEAGRAVES...EUNICE... JAL...LEA COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT...KNOWLES...HUMBLE CITY... HIGGINBOTHAM...GAINES COUNTY PARK...NADINE...FRANKEL CITY...GAINES COUNTY AIRPORT...OIL CENTER...PAYNES CORNER...MONUMENT...SEAGRAVES AIRPORT AND JAL AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3296 10306 3296 10253 3210 10268 3209 10308 3201 10308 3201 10357 3300 10335 3300 10306 $$ 67  187 WHUS71 KCAR 220650 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 250 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ050>052-221500- /O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0246.151022T1500Z-151023T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM- INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME- 250 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ POHL  569 WSCI45 ZHHH 220651 ZHWH SIGMET 1 VALID 220700/221100 ZHHH- ZHWH WUHAN FIR SEV TURB FCST N OF N30 FL250/400 STNR NC=  035 WTPQ20 RJTD 220600 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 220600UTC 25.1N 154.9E FAIR MOVE NNW 14KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 230600UTC 30.6N 162.9E 120NM 70% MOVE ENE 26KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  685 WVRA31 RUPK 220634 UHPP SIGMET 8 VALID 220634/221150 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT KARYMSKY PSN N5403 E15926 VA CLD OBS AT 0550 WI N5402 E15951 - N5355 E15947 - N5350 E15952 - N5402 E15958 SFC/FL080 MOV E 40KMH FCST 1150Z VA CLD APRX N5356 E16327 - N5354 E16359 - N5321 E16410 - N5327 E16324 - N5356 E16327=  374 WGUS84 KLUB 220656 FLSLUB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 156 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC219-303-305-445-501-220845- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-151022T0845Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HOCKLEY TX-YOAKUM TX-TERRY TX-LYNN TX-LUBBOCK TX- 156 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR HOCKLEY... SOUTHEASTERN YOAKUM...TERRY...WESTERN LYNN AND LUBBOCK COUNTIES... AT 151 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ALONG A LINE FROM SMYER TO DENVER CITY. THE AREA OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS BEGUN AN EASTWARD MOTION THOUGH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 4 AM. MANY NON-PAVED SECTION ROADS ARE LIKELY TO BE IMPASSABLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. && LAT...LON 3296 10300 3339 10259 3367 10239 3382 10209 3383 10159 3296 10206 $$ 26  000 WTIN20 DEMS 220656 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22-10-2115. TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 72 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 22ND OCTOBER 2015 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 22ND OCTOBER 2015. BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LIE OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ISOLATED OVER SOUTH PARTS OF SOUTH ADMAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS OVER BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA DURING NEXT 72 HOURS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL ARABIAN SEA:- BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LIE OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND OFF KERALA AND KARNATAKA COAST. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS OVER ARABIAN SEA DURING NEXT 72 HOURS: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL=  975 WTKO20 RKSL 220600 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 35 NAME 1525 CHAMPI ANALYSIS POSITION 220600UTC 24.0N 141.8E MOVEMENT ENE 6KT PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 230600UTC 25.0N 145.4E WITHIN 75NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT 48HR POSITION 240600UTC 27.4N 150.2E WITHIN 125NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT 72HR POSITION 250600UTC 31.9N 159.9E WITHIN 0NM PRES 985HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  208 WHUS71 KGYX 220658 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 258 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ151-230000- /O.EXA.KGYX.SC.Y.0175.151022T1600Z-151023T1200Z/ PENOBSCOT BAY- 258 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ154-230000- /O.EXT.KGYX.SC.Y.0175.151022T1600Z-151023T1200Z/ CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 258 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ150-152-230000- /O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0175.151022T1600Z-151023T1200Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM- 258 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  699 WGUS84 KLUB 220658 FLSLUB FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 158 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC303-220707- /O.CAN.KLUB.FA.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-151022T0730Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUBBOCK TX- 158 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN LUBBOCK COUNTY... THE FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM. LAT...LON 3346 10175 3345 10206 3371 10208 3372 10177 $$ MCZ  582 WSMS31 WMKK 220658 WBFC SIGMET A03 VALID 220700/221000 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS W OF LINE N04 E11345 - N0630 E116 FCST MOV W SLOWLY NC=  527 WHUS72 KJAX 220700 MWWJAX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 300 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 AMZ472-474-222200- /O.EXT.KJAX.SC.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-151023T2000Z/ WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 300 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 9 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  498 WSMC31 GMMC 220701 GMMM SIGMET S1 VALID 220700/221100 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST E OF LINE N2119 W01440 - N2826 W010 04 - N2754 W00840 TOP FL340 MOV NE NC=  948 WOPS01 NFFN 220600 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  225 WGUS84 KMAF 220702 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 202 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC103-371-475-221000- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0216.151022T0702Z-151022T1000Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARD TX-CRANE TX-PECOS TX- 202 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... NORTHEASTERN WARD COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... CRANE COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... NORTH CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 500 AM CDT * AT 201 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... IMPERIAL...CORDONA LAKE AND TUBBS CORNER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && LAT...LON 3165 10233 3131 10239 3105 10261 3093 10297 3128 10276 3165 10277 $$ 67  380 WGUS84 KAMA 220702 FLSAMA FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 202 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC011-065-221000- /O.NEW.KAMA.FA.Y.0150.151022T0702Z-151022T1000Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CARSON TX-ARMSTRONG TX- 202 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... CARSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... ARMSTRONG COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 500 AM CDT * AT 202 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BORGER...PANHANDLE...CLAUDE...FRITCH...WHITE DEER...GROOM... SKELLYTOWN...WAYSIDE...WASHBURN...GOODNIGHT AND PANTEX. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && LAT...LON 3476 10163 3562 10162 3563 10109 3475 10109 $$ JC  285 WOUS64 KWNS 220703 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 203 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  323 WGUS84 KLUB 220703 FLSLUB FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 203 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC069-189-279-437-221000- /O.NEW.KLUB.FA.Y.0078.151022T0703Z-151022T1000Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CASTRO TX-SWISHER TX-LAMB TX-HALE TX- 203 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... CASTRO COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... SWISHER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... LAMB COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... HALE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 500 AM CDT * AT 202 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO TWO INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA. SOME FARM TO MARKET ROADS HAVE BECOME COVERED WITH WATER BUT REMAIN PASSABLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS CASTRO AND LAMB COUNTIES. MANY NON-PAVED SECTION ROADS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IMPASSABLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE HALF TO TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH 5 AM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... PLAINVIEW...LITTLEFIELD...TULIA...DIMMITT...ABERNATHY...HALE CENTER...OLTON...PETERSBURG...HART...EARTH...SUDAN...AMHERST... KRESS...HAPPY...COTTON CENTER...SUMMERFIELD...CLAYTONVILLE... FIELDTON...SPADE AND EASTER. LAT...LON 3475 10147 3431 10147 3431 10157 3383 10157 3382 10261 3431 10261 3431 10253 3475 10252 $$ 26  102 WGUS84 KAMA 220704 FLSAMA FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 204 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC129-179-221000- /O.NEW.KAMA.FA.Y.0151.151022T0704Z-151022T1000Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DONLEY TX-GRAY TX- 204 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... DONLEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... GRAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 500 AM CDT * AT 204 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... PAMPA...CLARENDON...MCLEAN...LEFORS...HOWARDWICK...HEDLEY...LAKE MCCLELLAN...KINGSMILL...GREENBELT LAKE...LELIA LAKE AND ALANREED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3562 10109 3562 10054 3475 10054 3475 10109 $$ JC  343 WCJP31 RJTD 220710 RJJJ SIGMET L02 VALID 220710/221310 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR TC CHAMPI(1525) OBS AT 0600Z N2400 E14150 CB TOP FL510 WI 110NM OF CENTRE MOV ENE 6KT NC FCST 1200Z TC CENTRE N2420 E14235=  967 WWUS84 KSJT 220706 AWWABI TXZ127-220900- AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 206 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING... SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KTS WILL GUST OVER 35 KTS AT TIMES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS DECAYING SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT. $$  126 WHUS76 KEKA 220707 MWWEKA URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 1207 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ470-475-221515- /O.EXP.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151022T0700Z/ /O.CON.KEKA.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO 10 TO 60 NM- CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA 10 TO 60 NM- 1207 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... * WINDS...INCREASING TO N 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...N BUILDING TO 11 TO 13 FT AT AROUND 10 SECONDS TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ450-455-221515- /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151023T1900Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO OUT 10 NM- CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA OUT 10 NM- 1207 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...N 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE NEAR POINT SAINT GEORGE AND CAPE MENDOCINO. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 15 KT BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...NW 8 TO 10 FT AT AROUND 10 SECONDS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$  486 WGUS84 KLUB 220709 FLSLUB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 209 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC017-369-220715- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-151022T0715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BAILEY TX-PARMER TX- 209 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR BAILEY AND PARMER COUNTIES... AT 206 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THE AREA OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA THOUGH LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 4 AM. THE FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AND BE REPLACED WITH AN AREAL FLOOD ADVISORY. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MULESHOE...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...NEEDMORE...BLACK...MULESHOE WILDLIFE REFUGE...OKLAHOMA LANE...LARIAT...PROGRESS...MAPLE...BULA... WEST CAMP...LAZBUDDIE...ENOCHS AND RHEA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. && LAT...LON 3475 10253 3431 10253 3431 10261 3383 10262 3382 10305 3475 10304 $$ 26  562 WSGR31 LGAT 220705 LGGG SIGMET 2 VALID 220705/220905 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS WI N4000 E01900 - N4030 E02430 - N3700 E02500 - N3530 E01900 MOV E-NE INTSF=  906 WSGR31 LGAT 220705 LGGG SIGMET 2 VALID 220705/220905 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS WI N4000 E01900 - N4030 E02430 - N3700 E02500 - N3530 E01900 MOV E-NE INTSF=  850 WAEG31 HECA 220710 HECC AIRMET 01 VALID 220700/221000 HECA- HECC CAIRO FIR SFC VIS 2000M SA OBS AND FCST OVER HEMM,HEAX AND HEBA STNR NC=  838 WGUS74 KMAF 220712 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 212 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC003-115-135-165-317-329-220930- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151022T0930Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ECTOR TX-GAINES TX-ANDREWS TX-MIDLAND TX-MARTIN TX-DAWSON TX- 212 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR ECTOR...EASTERN GAINES...EASTERN ANDREWS...MIDLAND...MARTIN AND DAWSON COUNTIES... AT 208 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 2 FEET OF WATER COVERING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MUSTANG ROAD IN ANDREWS. HIGH WATER WAS ALSO REPORTED OVER NORTHEAST MUSTANG AND MAIN STREET...AND SOUTH MAIN AND ANDREWS STREETS. AT 208 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR FROM WELCH TO ODESSA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED...THEREFORE THE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MIDLAND...ODESSA...ANDREWS...LAMESA...STANTON...SEAGRAVES...WEST ODESSA...O'DONNELL...GOLDSMITH...LOS YBANEZ...MISSION DORADO...KEY... WELCH...WARFIELD...PLEASANT FARMS...ASHMORE...TARZAN...LAMESA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...COURTNEY AND MIDLAND AIRPARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3167 10183 3166 10279 3296 10256 3296 10174 $$ 67  493 WGUS84 KLUB 220712 FLSLUB FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 212 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC017-369-220915- /O.NEW.KLUB.FA.Y.0079.151022T0712Z-151022T0915Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BAILEY TX-PARMER TX- 212 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... BAILEY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... PARMER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 415 AM CDT * AT 210 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES CONTINUED TO INDICATE HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. SEVERAL FARM TO MARKET ROADS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH WATER COVERING THE ROADWAY. MANY NON-PAVED SECTION ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE. AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH 4 AM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MULESHOE...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...NEEDMORE...BLACK...MULESHOE WILDLIFE REFUGE...OKLAHOMA LANE...LARIAT...PROGRESS...MAPLE... BULA...WEST CAMP...LAZBUDDIE...ENOCHS AND RHEA. LAT...LON 3475 10253 3431 10253 3431 10261 3383 10262 3382 10305 3475 10304 $$ 26  282 WHUS72 KCHS 220715 MWWCHS URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 315 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 AMZ374-221200- /O.EXT.KCHS.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 315 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * IMPACTS...LARGE SEAS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DURING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS SEAS. && $$  076 WWUS84 KMAF 220716 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 216 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ074-075-081-220800- BIG BEND AREA TX-PECOS TX-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA TX- 216 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BREWSTER AND CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM CDT... AT 215 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HOVEY...OR 21 MILES NORTH OF MARATHON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORT STOCKTON...FORT STOCKTON-PECOS COUNTY AIRPORT...BELDING AND SIERRA MADERA. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 250 AND 269. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. LAT...LON 3032 10292 3050 10325 3107 10296 3070 10246 TIME...MOT...LOC 0715Z 220DEG 47KT 3051 10312 $$  170 WWCN02 CYTR 220716 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 3:16 AM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY ENDED COMMENTS: THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION HAVE ENDED. END/JMC  853 WUUS03 KWNS 220716 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0215 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 241200Z - 251200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... TSTM 29140267 31190244 32550121 33679867 35449561 37289297 38549005 38688697 38278587 37708588 36708757 35468885 34608979 32149319 30679353 28999321 && GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW 6R6 35 NE FST 30 NE BGS 25 SSW SPS 20 SW MKO 25 E SGF 10 W BLV 40 SSW BMG 10 NW SDF 35 SSW SDF HOP 10 SSE MKL 20 NW UOX 30 N IER 35 SW POE 80 S LCH.  854 ACUS03 KWNS 220716 SWODY3 SPC AC 220715 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0215 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SATURDAY ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES. ...SYNOPSIS... BROAD CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL EXTEND FROM THE CANADIAN ROCKIES THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES AND INTO ERN CANADA WHILE A LOWER-LATITUDE TROUGH SLOWLY MOVES EWD OVER THE SRN PLAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND THE SWRN EXTENSION OF THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL RESIDE OVER THE ARKLATEX AND INTO ERN-SRN PORTIONS OF TX. MOISTURE RICH...SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE WRN GULF BASIN COUPLED WITH FRONTAL LIFT WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER OH VALLEY SWWD INTO TX. A DIMINISHING RESERVOIR OF BUOYANCY/SHEAR COMPARED TO PRIOR DAYS WILL TEND TO LIMIT STORM STRENGTH AND PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR LOW-SEVERE PROBABILITIES. ..SMITH.. 10/22/2015 $$  016 WSMP31 LMMM 220719 LMMM SIGMET 2 VALID 220717/221117 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR SEV TURB FCST MALTA FIR FL210/410 STNR NC=  251 WWST01 SBBR 220320 1 31 05 02 12 20 SECURITE AVISO NR 1576/2015 AVISO DE VENTO FORTE/MUITO FORTE EMITIDO AS 1330 HMG SEG 19/OUT/2015 AREA SUL OCEANICA AO SUL DE 30S E LESTE DE 035W E OESTE DE 025W A PARTIR DE 210000 HMG. VENTO N/NW FORCA 7/8 COM RAJADAS. VALIDO ATE 220600 HMG. ESTE AVISO SUBSTITUI O AVISO NR 1574/2015. AVISO NR 1580/2015 AVISO DE MAR GROSSO/MUITO GROSSO EMITIDO AS 1330 HMG - TER - 20/OUT/2015 AREA SUL OCEANICA AO SUL DE 30S E OESTE DE 035W A PARTIR DE 201200 HMG. ONDAS DE NW/SW 3.0/5.0 METROS. VALIDO ATE 230000 HMG. ESTE AVISO SUBSTITUI O AVISO NR 1575/2015. AVISO NR 1581/2015 AVISO DE MAR GROSSO/MUITO GROSSO EMITIDO AS 1330 HMG - TER - 20/OUT/2015 ÁREA SUL OCEANICA AO SUL DE 32S E LESTE DE 035W A PARTIR DE 211200 HMG. ONDAS DE NW/SW 3.0/4.0 METROS. VALIDO ATE 240000 HMG. ESTE AVISO SUBSTITUI O AVISO NR 1577/2015. NNNN  519 WWST02 SBBR 220320 1 31 05 02 12 20 SECURITE WARNING NR 1576/2015 NEAR GALE/GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC MON 19/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 30S AND E OF 035W AND W 025W STARTING AT 210000 UTC. WIND N/NW FORCE 7/8 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 220600 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1574/2015. WARNING NR 1580/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC - TUE- 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 30S AND W OF 035W STARTING AT 201200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 230000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1575/2015. WARNING NR 1581/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC – TUE - 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 32S AND E OF 035W STARTING AT 211200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/4.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 240000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1577/2015. NNNN  626 WSBZ01 SBBR 220700 SBCW SIGMET 3 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2830 W05330- S3100 W04719- S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  684 WSBZ01 SBBR 220700 SBCW SIGMET 5 VALID 220540/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2247 W05147 - S2052 W05042 - S2227 W04835 - S2325 W04907 - S2247 W05147 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  685 WSBZ01 SBBR 220700 WSBZ31 SBCW 220418  686 WSBZ01 SBBR 220700 WSBZ31 SBCW 220551  688 WSBZ01 SBBR 220700 SBCW SIGMET 4 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2530 W04910 - S2330 W04656- S2314 W04550- S2240 W04200 - S2407 W04016 - S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  873 WOUS20 KWNS 220723 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220725 TXZ000-220840- STATUS REPORT ON WW 518 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-220840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  602 WANO34 ENMI 220723 ENBD AIRMET C02 VALID 220730/221130 ENVV- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL MOD ICE FCST N OF N6200 AND S OF N6500 AND E OF E00800 FL070/170 MOV NE WKN SW PART=  264 WSNT07 KKCI 220730 SIGA0G KZHU SIGMET GOLF 4 VALID 220730/221130 KKCI- HOUSTON OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 0730Z WI N2730 W09500 - N2715 W09300 - N2530 W09330 - N2600 W09600 - N2730 W09500. TOP FL500. STNR. NC.  503 WOUS64 KWNS 220724 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 224 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  143 WWPK20 OPKC 220723 MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FOR MET AREA IX VALID FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING FROM 0700 UTC DATED 22-10-2015 BY PAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT PART -I: NIL. PART –II: NIL. PART -III: FORECASTS: SUB AREA NO.1 NORTH ARABIAN SEA I. WIND SW/NW’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT NORTH OF 24šN SW/NW’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT SOUTH OF 24šN II. WEATHER FAIR/PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY/MISTY MORNING. III. VISIBILITY MODERATE MAY BE POOR IN HAZE/MIST. IV. STATE OF SEA SLIGHT/MODERATE. SUB AREA NO. 2 GULF OF OMAN I. WIND SE/SW’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT NORTH OF 24šN. NW’LY BECMG NE/SE’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT SOUTH OF 24šN. II. WEATHER FAIR/PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY/MISTY MORNING. III. VISIBILITY MODERATE MAY BE POOR IN HAZE/MIST. IV. STATE OF SEA SLIGHT/MODERATE. SUB AREA NO. 3 CENTRAL NORTH ARABIAN SEA (12šN/55šE, 12šN/63šE, 20°N/58°E, 20šN/67šE) I. WIND N/NE’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT NORTH OF 18šN AND EAST OF 65°E. NE/SE’LY BECMG NW/N’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT NORTH OF 18šN AND WEST OF 65šE. NE’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT SOUTH OF 18šN AND EAST OF 63°E. NE/SE’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT SOUTH OF 18šN AND WEST OF 63°E. II. WEATHER PARTLY CLOUDY/CLOUDY WITH CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORM RAIN IN SOUTHERN SECTOR. III. VISIBILITY MODERATE MAY BE POOR IN RAIN. IV.STATE OF SEA SLIGHT/MODERATE. SUB AREA NO. 4 GULF OF ADEN I. WIND E/NE’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT WEST OF 50°E. NE/E’LY 10-15KT GUSTING 20KT EAST OF 50°E. II. WEATHER FAIR/PARTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZY MORNING. III.VISIBILITY MODERATE MAY BE POOR IN HAZE. IV. STATE OF SEA SLIGHT/MODERATE.  794 WHUS73 KGRR 220728 MWWGRR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 328 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LMZ845>849-221530- /O.EXT.KGRR.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI- GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI- PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 328 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET...THEN SUBSIDING AROUND NOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OR WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  877 WSCN02 CWAO 220728 CZEG SIGMET H2 VALID 220725/221125 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE N6205 W11335 - N6127 W11058 - N5959 W10746 SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC=  878 WSCN22 CWAO 220728 CZEG SIGMET H2 VALID 220725/221125 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE /N6205 W11335/30 SE CYZF - /N6127 W11058/60 S CYLK - /N5959 W10746/30 NE CYBE SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC RMK GFACN32 GFACN35=  915 WTPQ31 RJTD 220600 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.20 FOR TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 220600 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL ACCELERATE FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.=  550 WSFR34 LFPW 220729 LFMM SIGMET 1 VALID 220800/221200 LFPW- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4200 E00430 - N4215 E00230 - N4400 E00245 - N4400 E00400 SFC/FL060 STNR NC=  154 WSKW31 OKBK 220607 OKBK SIGMET 2 VALID 220700/221100 OKBK- OKBK KUWAIT FIR ISOL TS FCST AND OBS N OF N29 E OF E047 TOP FL340 MOV E15KT INTSF=  344 WSKW31 OKBK 220718 OKBK SIGMET 3 VALID 220700/221100 OKBK- OKBK KUWAIT FIR EMBD TS FCST AND OBS N OF N29 AND E OF E047 TOP FL340 MOV E 15KT INTSF=  280 WVRA31 RUPK 220634 UHPP SIGMET 8 VALID 220730/221150 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT KARYMSKY PSN N5403 E15926 VA CLD OBS AT 0550 WI N5402 E15951 - N5355 E15947 - N5350 E15952 - N5402 E15958 SFC/FL080 MOV E 40KMH FCST 1150Z VA CLD APRX N5356 E16327 - N5354 E16359 - N5321 E16410 - N5327 E16324 - N5356 E16327=  580 WSPS21 NZKL 220731 NZZO SIGMET 4 VALID 220731/220733 NZKL- NZZO AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET 2 220333/220733=  323 WGUS74 KMAF 220730 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 230 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC003-115-135-165-317-329-220930- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151022T0930Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ECTOR TX-GAINES TX-ANDREWS TX-MIDLAND TX-MARTIN TX-DAWSON TX- 230 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR ECTOR...EASTERN GAINES...EASTERN ANDREWS...MIDLAND...MARTIN AND DAWSON COUNTIES... FROM 200 TO 224 AM CDT...THE ANDREWS COUNTY S.O. REPORTED A VEHICLE UNDER WATER ON NW AVENUE C...AND WATER FLOODING INTO RESIDENTS YARDS ON NW 1ST AND AVENUE C AND 8TH PLACE AND 9TH STREET. IN ADDITION... SOUTHBOUND LANES ON NORTH MAIN AND NW MUSTANG WERE BEING BARRICADED DUE TO HIGH WATER. AT 225 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM LAMESA TO MIDLAND AND ODESSA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MORE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MIDLAND...ODESSA...ANDREWS...LAMESA...STANTON...SEAGRAVES...WEST ODESSA...O'DONNELL...GOLDSMITH...LOS YBANEZ...MISSION DORADO...KEY... WELCH...WARFIELD...PLEASANT FARMS...ASHMORE...TARZAN...LAMESA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...COURTNEY AND MIDLAND AIRPARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3167 10183 3166 10279 3296 10256 3296 10174 $$ 67  043 WTPQ30 RJTD 220600 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 2 FOR TD LOCATED AT 25.1N 154.9E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 220600 UTC IS FAIR. TD WILL ACCELERATE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD WILL RECURVE WITHIN 12 HOURS FROM 220600 UTC. TD WILL MOVE NORTH FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE TO EAST-NORTHEAST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS. TD WILL BE TRANSFORMED TO EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 HOURS.=  348 WWIN40 DEMS 220300 IWB 22 OCTOBER, 2015 MORNING THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS AN UPPER AIR TROUGH IN THE MIDTROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 62.0 DEG EAST AND NORTH OF LAT. 30.0 DEG NORTH PERSISTS. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE AN INDUCED UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WOULD FORM OVER CENTRAL PAKISTAN & ADJOINING WEST RAJASTHAN DURING NEXT 48 HOURS (.) THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER LAKSHADWEEP AREA & NEIGHBOURHOOD, NOW LIES OVER LAKSHADWEEP & MALDIVE AREA AND EXTENDS UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL(.) A TROUGH OF LOW AT MEAN SEA LEVEL LIES OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING LAKSHADWEEP AREA (.) AN UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (.) ANOTHER UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF SRILANKA COAST AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (.) FORECAST: RAIN/THUNDERSHOWERS WOULD OCCUR AT MANY PLACES OVER LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW PLACES OVER KERALA AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, SUB-HIMALAYA WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, COASTAL KARNATAKA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMILNADU & PUDDUCHERY AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS (.) DRY WEATHER WOULD PREVAIL OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.) WARNING: NO WEATHER WARNING (.)=  950 WSKY31 UCFM 220731 UCFM SIGMET 1 VALID 220730/221130 UCFM- UCFM BISHKEK FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0725Z N4334 E07354 TOP FL380 MOV E 40KMH NC=  869 WHUS71 KBUF 220736 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 336 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 SLZ022-221545- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T1200Z-151022T2100Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- 336 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...1 TO 2 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-221545- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0800Z-151022T1800Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 336 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-221545- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0800Z-151022T1800Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 336 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-221545- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T1500Z-151023T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 336 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-221545- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T0900Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 336 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-221545- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T1000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 336 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ CHURCH  061 WHUS71 KOKX 220737 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 337 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING... ANZ330-350-353-222215- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.151022T1800Z-151023T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 337 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JMC  377 WSCG31 FCBB 220735 FCCC SIGMET A2 VALID 220745/221145 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0715Z W OF LINE N0530 E01410 - S0145 E01419 E OF LINE N0725 E02219 - N0510 E02245 TOP FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  398 WSCG31 FCBB 220735 FCCC SIGMET A2 VALID 220745/221145 FCBB-??FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0715Z W OF LINE N0530 E01410 - S0145 E01419 E OF LINE N0725 E02219 - N0510 E02245 TOP FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  518 WSCG31 FCBB 220735 FCCC SIGMET A2 VALID 220745/221145 FCBB- ?FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EM BD TS OBS AT 0715Z W OF LINE N0530 E01410 - S0145 E01419 E OF LINE N0725 E02219 - N0510 E02245 TOP FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  932 WSCG31 FCBB 220735 FCCC SIGMET A2 VALID 220745/221145 FCBB- W OF LINE N0530 E01410 - S0145 E01419 E OF LINE N0725 E02219 - N0510 E02245 TOP FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  095 WSKW31 OKBK 220718 OKAC SIGMET 3 VALID 220700/221100 OKBK- OKAC KUWAIT FIR EMBD TS FCST AND OBS N OF N29 AND E OF E047 TOP FL340 MOV E 15KT INTSF=  250 WSCG31 FCBB 220735 FCCC SIGMET A2 VALID 220745/221145 FCBB-?FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EM BD TS OBS AT 0715Z W OF LINE N0530 E01410 - S0145 E01419 E OF LINE N0725 E02219 - N0510 E02245 TOP FL450 MOV W 10KT NC=  471 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737 SBCW SIGMET 6 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCS T WI S2517 W05310 - S2710 W05350 - S2806 W05527 - S2933 W04604 - S2645 W04345 - S2545 W04224 - S2517 W05310 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  431 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737 SBCW SIGMET 7 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FC ST WI S2849 W05205 - S3000 W05109 - S3300 W04906 - S2933 W04604 - S2849 W05205 FL140/200 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  276 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737 SBCW SIGMET 8 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2210 W05125 - S2415 W04845 - S2258 W04753 - S2118 W04953 - S2210 W05125 TOP FL420 MOV E 04KT NC=  876 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737 SBCW SIGMET 9 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FC ST WI S2545 W04224 - S2540 W04553 - S2247 W04545 - S2038 W04202 - S2226 W03808 - S2545 W04224 FL140/200 MOV E 04KT NC=  446 WSNT08 KKCI 220740 SIGA0H KZNY KZMA SIGMET HOTEL 1 VALID 220740/221140 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR MIAMI OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 0740Z WI N2815 W05845 - N2630 W05930 - N2430 W07245 - N2600 W07245 - N2815 W05845. TOP FL450. STNR. INTSF.  816 WOUS64 KWNS 220743 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 243 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  390 WWUS84 KMAF 220746 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 246 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ051-062-220830- MARTIN-MIDLAND- 246 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MIDLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN COUNTIES... AT 246 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR WARFIELD...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MIDLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MIDLAND...STANTON...SPRABERRY...COTTON FLAT...GREENWOOD...COURTNEY... STANTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND SKYWEST AIRPORT. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 129 AND 157. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 3175 10218 3187 10225 3228 10179 3186 10178 TIME...MOT...LOC 0746Z 234DEG 28KT 3188 10217 $$ 67  555 WSUS33 KKCI 220755 SIGW MKCW WST 220755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220955-221355 FROM HVE-DVC-SJN-DRK-EED-ILC-HVE WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  556 WSUS32 KKCI 220755 SIGC MKCC WST 220755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 25C VALID UNTIL 0955Z KS NE FROM 60W PWE-40ENE SLN-60W SLN-60W PWE AREA TS MOV FROM 19030KT. TOPS TO FL360. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 26C VALID UNTIL 0955Z TX OK KS NM FROM GCK-50NE MMB-70SSE FST-MRF-40SSW TXO-GCK AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 25030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 220955-221355 AREA 1...FROM DSM-60E ICT-JCT-DLF-100S MRF-ELP-FTI-DEN-DSM REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30ENE PSX-80S LCH-120S LCH-120SSW LCH-100SE PSX-80E BRO-CRP-50W PSX-30ENE PSX WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  557 WSUS31 KKCI 220755 SIGE MKCE WST 220755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 220955-221355 FROM YSC-MPV-HNK-JST-BUF-40NW SYR-MSS-YSC WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  342 WHUS73 KAPX 220747 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LHZ345-347-348-LMZ342-LSZ321-322-221600- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-341-344>346-221600- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ346-221600- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ349-221200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 347 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD  387 WGUS84 KLUB 220750 FLSLUB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 250 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC219-303-305-445-501-220845- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-151022T0845Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HOCKLEY TX-YOAKUM TX-TERRY TX-LYNN TX-LUBBOCK TX- 250 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT FOR HOCKLEY... SOUTHEASTERN YOAKUM...TERRY...WESTERN LYNN AND LUBBOCK COUNTIES... AT 246 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN AS VERIFIED BY RAIN GAUGES. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 4 AM. SOME FARM TO MARKET ROADS MAY EXPERIENCE WATER COVERING THE ROADWAY. MANY NON-PAVED SECTION ROADS WILL REMAIN IMPASSABLE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. && LAT...LON 3296 10300 3339 10259 3367 10239 3382 10209 3383 10159 3296 10206 $$ 26  201 WSRS31 RURD 220750 URRV SIGMET 5 VALID 220800/221030 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR EMBD TS FCST SW OF LINE N4740 E03820 - N4310 E04240 TOP FL370 MOV NE 30KMH NC=  177 WGUS84 KAMA 220752 FLSAMA FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 252 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC375-381-221100- /O.EXT.KAMA.FA.Y.0149.000000T0000Z-151022T1100Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POTTER TX-RANDALL TX- 252 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... POTTER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... RANDALL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 600 AM CDT * AT 250 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT EARLIER HEAVY RAINS WERE CAUSING STREET FLOODING IN AMARILLO. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... AMARILLO...CANYON...LAKE TANGLEWOOD...PALO DURO CANYON...VALLEY DE ORO...BUSHLAND...MESCALERO PARK...UMBARGER...BUFFALO LAKE AND TIMBERCREEK CANYON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3475 10217 3562 10216 3562 10162 3475 10163 $$ JC  221 WSAB31 LATI 220750 LAAA SIGMET 1 VALID 220800/221200 LATI- LAAA TIRANA FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR TOP FL350 MOV ENE NC=  936 WWCN02 CYTR 220753 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 3:53 AM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: WHITE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: SURFACE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 KNOTS VALID: 22/1200Z TO 22/2300Z (22/0800 EDT TO 22/1900 EDT) COMMENTS: WESTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 25 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING OVER TRENTON IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING COLD FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT TODAY BEFORE EASING BELOW WARNING CRITERIA THIS EVENING. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/1400Z (22/1000 EDT) END/JMC  153 WHUS42 KMFL 220753 CFWMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 353 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... FLZ168-172-173-230900- /O.EXT.KMFL.RP.S.0037.000000T0000Z-151024T0400Z/ COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 353 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY. * IMPACTS...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. STRONG RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG RIP CURRENTS...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI  218 WGUS74 KMAF 220754 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 254 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC003-115-135-165-317-329-220930- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-151022T0930Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ECTOR TX-GAINES TX-ANDREWS TX-MIDLAND TX-MARTIN TX-DAWSON TX- 254 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR ECTOR...EASTERN GAINES...EASTERN ANDREWS...MIDLAND...MARTIN AND DAWSON COUNTIES... FROM 230 AM TO 250 AM CDT...ODESSA LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 4 HIGH WATER RESCUES IN ODESSA...AT MUSKINGUM AND 2ND...MUSKINGUM AND MURPHY...2ND AND LASSITER...AND AT 805 S JACKSON. AT 251 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM LAMESA TO MIDLAND AND ODESSA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AND NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY. THEREFORE...FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MIDLAND...ODESSA...ANDREWS...LAMESA...STANTON...SEAGRAVES...WEST ODESSA...O'DONNELL...GOLDSMITH...LOS YBANEZ...MISSION DORADO...KEY... WELCH...WARFIELD...PLEASANT FARMS...ASHMORE...TARZAN...LAMESA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...COURTNEY AND MIDLAND AIRPARK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3167 10183 3166 10279 3296 10256 3296 10174 $$ 67  575 WARH31 LDZM 220750 LDZO AIRMET 7 VALID 220800/221000 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MT OBSC OBS WI N4554 E01734 - N4630 E01626 - N4539 E01435 - N4440 E01454 - N4418 E01527 - N4407 E01619 - N4505 E01750 ABV FL020 STNR NC=  402 WUUS48 KWNS 220755 PTSD48 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0253 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 251200Z - 301200Z SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 4 ... ANY SEVERE ... && SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 5 ... ANY SEVERE ... && SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 6 ... ANY SEVERE ... && SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 7 ... ANY SEVERE ... && SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 8 ... ANY SEVERE ... &&  405 ACUS48 KWNS 220755 SWOD48 SPC AC 220753 DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0253 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 251200Z - 301200Z ...DISCUSSION... A LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN ON SUNDAY /D4/ IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY NEXT WEEK ACCORDING TO MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE AND ENSEMBLE DATA. HOWEVER...THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROUGH FROM SRN PRAIRIE PROVINCES INTO THE N-CNTRL U.S. DURING THE EARLY HALF OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL LIKELY ENCOUNTER LIMITED MOISTURE AS IT PROGRESSES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. MODEL VARIABILITY INCREASES DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD BUT A CONTINUATION OF THE LOW PROBABILITY FOR SEVERE SEEMS TO BE THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO. ..SMITH.. 10/22/2015  036 WSAG31 SARE 220755 SARR SIGMET 2 VALID 220800/221200 SARE- SARR RESISTENCIA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0738Z WI S2608 W05443 - S2639 W05332 - S2717 W05344 - S2800 W05511 - S2739 W05643 - S2608 W05443 MOV SE 05KT INTSF=  551 WHUS71 KCLE 220756 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 356 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LEZ147>149-221600- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0042.151022T0900Z-151022T2000Z/ WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE- LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 356 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHILE DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS.. * WAVES/SEAS...WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  890 WSAG31 SARE 220755 CCA SARR SIGMET 1 VALID 220800/221200 SARE- SARR RESISTENCIA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0738Z WI S2608 W05443 - S2639 W05332 - S2717 W05344 - S2800 W05511 - S2739 W05643 - S2608 W05443 MOV SE 05KT INTSF=  077 WSKW31 OKBK 220718 OKAC SIGMET 3 VALID 220700/221100 OKBK- OKBK KUWAIT FIR EMBD TS FCST AND OBS N OF N29 AND E OF E047 TOP FL340 MOV E 15KT INTSF=  658 WSAG31 SABE 220755 SAEF SIGMET 5 VALID 220800/221000 SABE- SAEF EZEIZA FIR EMBD TS FCST AT 0900Z WI S3437 W05947 -S3425 W05841 - S3520 W05850 - S3437 W05947 TOP FL300 =  092 WHUS72 KKEY 220758 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 358 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 5 FEET IN HAWK CHANNEL...SEAS UP TO 7 FEET IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND SEAS UP TO 9 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. GMZ032>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-221600- /O.EXT.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ BAYSIDE AND GULFSIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE- GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS- GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL- GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS- HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF- HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO THE REEF- HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL OUT TO THE REEF- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 358 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL PERSIST ACROSS HAWK CHANNEL...THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA... AND THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 5 FEET IN HAWK CHANNEL...SEAS UP TO 7 FEET IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND SEAS UP TO 9 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID OPERATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ BWC  619 WONT54 EGRR 220800 SECURITE STORM WARNING AT 220000UTC, LOW 51 NORTH 12 WEST 973 EXPECTED 66 NORTH 22 EAST 983 BY 230000UTC. LOW 57 NORTH 39 WEST 990 EXPECTED 59 NORTH 30 WEST 978 BY SAME TIME. NEW LOW EXPECTED 63 NORTH 24 WEST 979 BY THAT TIME. WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH STORM FORCE 10 ACROSS SOUTHEAST BAILEY UNTIL 220900UTC. IN DENMARK STRAIT, NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO REACH STORM FORCE 10 FROM 230300UTC  305 WSSG31 GOOY 220800 GOOO SIGMET A3 VALID 220800/221200 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 0750Z WI N1549 W03251-N1323 W02207-N0606 W01428-N0550 W03149- N0758 W03516-N1334 W03657 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  406 WHUS74 KLCH 220800 MWWLCH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 300 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .THE LONG FETCH OF MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY. TIDES WILL CONTINUE RUNNING ABOUT 1 TO 1.5 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE BY THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK AS A DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE AREA. GMZ470-472-475-221800- /O.CON.KLCH.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 300 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS....EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  493 WSSG31 GOOY 220805 GOOO SIGMET B3 VALID 220805/221205 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 0755Z WI N0950 W00254-N0516 W00327-N0409 W00728-N1114 W00802-N1317 W00514 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  589 WHUS44 KLCH 220800 CFWLCH COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 300 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST THROUGH TOMORROW... .A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP TIDES RUNNING 1.0 TO 1.5 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR COASTAL WATERWAYS NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. LAZ052>054-073-074-TXZ215-221800- /O.CON.KLCH.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-JEFFERSON- 300 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... * COASTAL FLOODING...TIDE LEVELS OF 3.0 TO 3.5 FEET MLLW ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST DURING ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...LOW PORTIONS NEAR SABINE LAKE AND CALCASIEU LAKE AND SHIP CHANNELS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING AROUND ORANGE AND DEATONVILLE. LOW PORTIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN HOLLY BEACH AND CONSTANCE BEACH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. SECONDARY PARISH ROADS ACROSS COASTAL CAMERON PARISH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING... INCLUDING PORTIONS OF MAIN STREET IN CAMERON. ACROSS COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY...PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 87 BETWEEN SEA RIM STATE PARK AND SABINE PASS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. INTRACOASTAL CITY...DELCAMBRE...CYPREMORT POINT...AND SALT POINT COULD ALSO SEE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$  829 WHUS42 KKEY 220802 CFWKEY COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 402 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 FLZ076-221600- /O.NEW.KKEY.CF.S.0012.151022T0802Z-151022T1600Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS- 402 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING PERSISTS IN THE UPPER KEYS... * COASTAL FLOODING...COASTAL FLOODING WILL PERSIST IN SOME BAYSIDE OF COMMUNITIES OF THE UPPER KEYS THIS MORNING. WATER LEVELS WILL AVERAGE AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED TIDES. * TIMING...OBSERVED WATER LEVELS WILL BE HIGHEST DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING. COASTAL FLOODING MAY PERSIST IN SOME BAYSIDE COMMUNITIES OF THE UPPER KEYS INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. * IMPACTS...THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE SALTWATER FLOODING OF THE LOWEST ELEVATION STREETS. SOME STORM DRAINS WILL OVERFLOW...AND SOME DOCKS AND SEAWALLS WILL BE OVER-TOPPED. $$ BWC  627 WHUS71 KAKQ 220803 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 403 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ630-631-221615- /O.NEW.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1000Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- 403 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: 3 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-634-221615- /O.NEW.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1200Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL- 403 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: 3 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ633-221615- /O.NEW.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1400Z-151024T0200Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- 403 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ656-658-221615- /O.NEW.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1400Z-151024T0800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 403 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$  843 WWCN14 CWHX 220803 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NEW BRUNSWICK UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:03 A.M. ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: CAMPBELLTON AND RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW THE FREEZING MARK AS AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST EARLY THIS MORNING. SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE LIKELY UNTIL SOUTHERLY WINDS BEGIN TO PUSH IN MUCH WARMER AIR ACROSS THE PROVINCE. THE HIGHEST THREAT AREA FOR ICE ACCRETION IS OVER MADAWASKA AND RESTIGOUCHE COUNTIES ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SUGARLOAF PROVINCIAL PARK TO ST-ANDRE TO GRAND FALLS. TAKE EXTRA CARE WHEN WALKING OR DRIVING IN AFFECTED AREAS. BE PREPARED TO ADJUST YOUR DRIVING WITH CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO WEATHERASPC(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)NBSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NB END/MSC  905 WOUS64 KWNS 220803 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 303 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  516 WHCA42 TJSJ 220804 CFWSJU COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 404 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL IS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS IS RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-221200- /O.CON.TJSJ.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.CON.TJSJ.RP.S.0016.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST- MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-CULEBRA- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- 404 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THIS MORNING... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THIS MORNING... * WAVES AND SURF...BREAKING WAVES BETWEEN 8 TO 12 FEET. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...THROUGH 8 AM AST THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TODAY. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. && $$  950 WHUS71 KBOX 220804 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 404 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ230-236-221615- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 404 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ254>256-221615- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 404 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ250-221615- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 404 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ232>235-237-221615- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 404 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ231-251-221615- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 404 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON  920 WABZ22 SBBS 220810 SBBS AIRMET 1 VALID 220810/221010 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 20 00/4000M BR FCST WI S2253 W04803 - S2140 W04716 - S2244 W04550 - S2314 W04550 - S2329 W04656 - S2253 W04803 SNTR NC=  969 WGUS84 KMAF 220811 FLSMAF FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 311 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC103-371-461-221115- /O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0217.151022T0811Z-151022T1115Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ UPTON TX-CRANE TX-PECOS TX- 311 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... UPTON COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN CRANE COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 615 AM CDT * AT 310 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BAKERSFIELD...MIDKIFF...KING MOUNTAIN... GIRVIN...CRANE COUNTY AIRPORT AND UPTON COUNTY AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && LAT...LON 3108 10189 3109 10237 3103 10229 3103 10221 3100 10219 3099 10202 3064 10258 3062 10306 3134 10237 3164 10232 3165 10182 3112 10182 $$  283 WASQ41 LZIB 220759 LZBB AIRMET 1 VALID 220800/220900 LZIB- LZBB BRATISLAVA FIR SFC VIS 300M FG OBS AT 0800Z WI N4810 E01900 - N4845 E01900 - N4845 E02000 - N4815 E02000 STNR NC=  867 WWCN10 CWUL 220813 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR QUEBEC UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:13 A.M. EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: CHARLEVOIX LAURENTIANS WILDLIFE RESERVE TEMISCOUATA. FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: ABITIBI PARENT - GOUIN RESERVOIR MATAGAMI LAKE BOUCHETTE AREA ASHUAPMUSHUAN WILDLIFE RESERVE AREA NORMANDIN - PERIBONKA AREA CHIBOUGAMAU. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. A WARM FRONT WILL GIVE A FEW HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING IN THESE AREAS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN QUEBEC. SURFACES SUCH AS HIGHWAYS, ROADS, WALKWAYS AND PARKING LOTS MAY BECOME ICY AND SLIPPERY. TAKE EXTRA CARE WHEN WALKING OR DRIVING IN AFFECTED AREAS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO TEMPSVIOLENT.QUEBEC(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)METEOQC. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML END/MSC  961 WSVS31 VVGL 220820 VVTS SIGMET 1 VALID 220820/221220 VVGL- VVTS HO CHI MINH FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N10 BTN E105 AND E110 TOP FL400 STNR NC=  698 WSRS31 RUAA 220820 ULAA SIGMET 1 VALID 220900/221300 ULAA- ULAA ARKHANGELSK FIR SEV TURB FCST FL260/360 MOV SE 40KMH NC=  384 WOCN17 CWHX 220818 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:48 AM NDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR: =NEW= RED BAY TO L'ANSE-AU-CLAIR. SNOW INLAND AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST SOUTH OF LABRADOR TONIGHT AND ACROSS NORTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND ON FRIDAY. RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN LABRADOR TONIGHT WHILE HEAVY, WET SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INLAND AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AFFECTING PARTS OF THE TRANS LABRADOR HIGHWAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 10 CENTIMETRES ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT. MOTORISTS TRAVELLING THE TRANS LABRADOR HIGHWAY ARE ADVISED TO BE PREPARED FOR WINTER DRIVING, WITH CONDITIONS CHANGING RAPIDLY WITH ELEVATION. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT WWW.WEATHER.GC.CA END  171 WHUS44 KBRO 220819 CFWBRO COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 319 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...TIDAL RUN UP INTO THE DUNES PLUS A HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT CONTINUE... .LARGE...LONG PERIOD SWELLS ARE MOVING ACROSS THE WEST GULF... RESULTING IN TIDAL RUN UP TO THE DUNES AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. TXZ251-256-257-231100- /O.EXT.KBRO.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T1100Z/ /O.EXT.KBRO.RP.S.0007.000000T0000Z-151023T1100Z/ KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON- 319 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... * COASTAL FLOODING...SEA WATER WILL RUN UP TO AND INTO THE DUNES ALONG SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT. * RIP CURRENTS...A HIGH THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR AREA BEACHES. * TIMING...TIDES: THE HIGHEST LEVELS WILL BE BETWEEN 9 PM THURSDAY AND NOON FRIDAY...AND THEN AGAIN FROM 9 PM FRIDAY TO NOON SATURDAY RIP CURRENTS: THROUGH SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...WITH SEA WATER CREEPING UP TO AND INTO THE DUNES... BEACH DRIVING WILL BE IMPOSSIBLE AND LIFE THREATENING FROM BEACH ACCESS 4 THROUGH 6 AND ALONG BOCA CHICA BEACH. THE SURF WILL DAMAGE OR WASH AWAY ANY ITEMS LEFT ON THE BEACH SUCH AS CHAIRS...UMBRELLAS...TENTS...AND TRASH CONTAINERS. SOME SEA WATER WILL SPILL THROUGH GAPS IN THE DUNES AT BEACH ACCESS 4 THROUGH 6...WITH UP TO SIX INCHES ONTO HIGHWAY 100. RIP CURRENTS: LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE.. ESPECIALLY ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE ISLA BLANCA JETTIES AT ISLA BLANCA PARK...BOCA CHICA BEACH...NEAR CLAYTON'S BEACH BAR AND RESORT...AND FROM PUBLIC BEACH ACCESS NUMBER 4 AND POINTS NORTH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES SHOULD MOVE ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH CANS BACK INTO THE DUNES AND REMOVE UMBRELLAS...TENTS...AND OTHER ITEMS FROM THE BEACH BEFORE SUNSET TUESDAY EVENING. DRIVERS SHOULD PLAN TO BE OFF THE BEACH BY SUNSET BEFORE THE WATERS RISE. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT. ..BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OR TIDAL OVERWASH...DEFINED AS TIDES EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER ALONG THE SOUTH PADRE ISLAND BEACH FRONT AND 2.5 TO 3.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER FOR COMMUNITIES ALONG THE LAGUNA MADRE. && $$ 54  235 WWUS81 KBOX 220817 SPSBOX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 417 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 CTZ004-MAZ004>007-012>022-026-RIZ001>007-221200- WINDHAM CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA- WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA- EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA- EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- BARNSTABLE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI- BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BARRE... FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...GLOUCESTER... MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON... QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER... NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN... AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH... WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT 417 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATCHY FOG WILL BRING POOR VISIBILITY DURING PART OF THE MORNING RUSH HOUR... EARLY MORNING FOG HAS CREATED VISIBILITIES OF 1/2 MILE OR LESS IN SOME SPOTS. THE AREAS MOST AFFECTED INCLUDE NORTHERN WORCESTER COUNTY AS WELL AS RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING DURING THE MORNING RUSH HOUR...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITY. THE FOG MAY OBSCURE ROAD HAZARDS YOU MIGHT OTHERWISE HAVE SEEN. TRAVEL SLOWER AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ WTB  227 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 SBCW SIGMET 7 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2849 W05205 - S3000 W05109 - S3300 W04906 - S2933 W04604 - S2849 W05205 FL140/200 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  228 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 SBCW SIGMET 8 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2210 W05125 - S2415 W04845 - S2258 W04753 - S2118 W04953 - S2210 W05125 TOP FL420 MOV E 04KT NC=  229 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737  230 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 SBCW SIGMET 5 VALID 220540/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2247 W05147 - S2052 W05042 - S2227 W04835 - S2325 W04907 - S2247 W05147 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  231 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 SBCW SIGMET 3 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2830 W05330- S3100 W04719- S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  232 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 WSBZ31 SBCW 220551  234 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 SBCW SIGMET 6 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2517 W05310 - S2710 W05350 - S2806 W05527 - S2933 W04604 - S2645 W04345 - S2545 W04224 - S2517 W05310 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  235 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 WSBZ31 SBCW 220418  233 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 SBCW SIGMET 9 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2545 W04224 - S2540 W04553 - S2247 W04545 - S2038 W04202 - S2226 W03808 - S2545 W04224 FL140/200 MOV E 04KT NC=  236 WSBZ01 SBBR 220800 SBCW SIGMET 4 VALID 220445/220800 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2530 W04910 - S2330 W04656- S2314 W04550- S2240 W04200 - S2407 W04016 - S2645 W04345 - S2530 W04910 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 05KT NC=  322 WOUS64 KWNS 220824 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 324 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  259 WSCR31 LEMM 220830 GCCC SIGMET 4 VALID 220830/221230 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OCNL TS OBS W OF LINE N25 W023- N31 W014 TOP ABV FL350 STNR INTSF=  953 WHCA72 TJSJ 220825 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 425 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES...BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. AMZ725-221200- /O.EXA.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- 425 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THIS MORNING. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ710-722-741-221630- /O.CON.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N- ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N- 425 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 10 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ712-715-742-745-221200- /O.CON.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- 425 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM AST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 8 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  035 WGUS54 KMAF 220829 FFWMAF TXC033-115-227-317-415-221130- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0066.151022T0829Z-151022T1130Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 329 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... BORDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN SCURRY COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... HOWARD COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN MARTIN COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN DAWSON COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 630 AM CDT * AT 326 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM GAIL TO STANTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BIG SPRING...STANTON...GAIL...MESQUITE...BROWN...COAHOMA...KNAPP... SOUTH HAVEN...FAIRVIEW IN MITCHELL COUNTY...DERMOTT...KNOTT... SOUTH HAVEN...MIDWAY IN HOWARD COUNTY...SAND SPRINGS...ARAH... LOMAX...BIG SPRING COUNTRY CLUB...MIDWAY IN DAWSON COUNTY...ELBOW AND STANTON MUNICIPAL AIPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3253 10118 3209 10119 3209 10188 3296 10175 3296 10091 $$ 67  145 WWUS82 KILM 220830 SPSILM SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 430 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 NCZ087-096-099-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221300- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE- MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE 430 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING... FOG IS BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AND DENSE THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH SUNRISE. MANY OBSERVATIONS ARE REPORTING VISIBILITY OF ONE-QUARTER MILE TO ONE-HALF MILE ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH VISIBILITY WILL FLUCTUATE THROUGH SUNRISE...MANY LOCATIONS WILL SEE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY REACHING ONE- QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. THE FOG WILL LIFT DURING THE MORNING...BUT IT MAY TAKE AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE FOR VISIBILITY TO IMPROVE. IF TRAVELING THIS MORNING PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTION. KEEP YOUR LIGHTS ON...BUT AVOID USING THE HIGH BEAMS. LEAVE EXTRA SPACE BETWEEN YOU AND THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU...AND REDUCE YOUR SPEED. $$ 17  105 WTPA25 PHFO 220830 TCMCP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 0900 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 146.1W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 110SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 260SE 360SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 146.1W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 145.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.0N 146.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.3N 147.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.7N 147.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...135NE 120SE 85SW 115NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.1N 147.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...130NE 115SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.5N 146.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...115NE 105SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 22.5N 144.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 25.5N 140.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 146.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON  153 WTPZ25 KNHC 220831 TCMEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 0900 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 102.3W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 102.3W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 101.7W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.3N 103.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 105.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.3N 104.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 110SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.0N 101.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 102.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH  712 WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 57N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 52N 180E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 180E TO 52N 176W 51N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 174W TO 49N 169W 46N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 174W TO 46N 174W 41N 180E 37N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 125E 20N 117E 24N 117E 28N 121E 28N 125E 23N 125E. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 25.1N 154.9E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 28.2N 157.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 30.6N 162.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 165E ENE 10 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 19N 124E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 115E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 132E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 165E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 24N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 27N 180E TO 27N 179E 27N 177E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 177E TO 28N 170E 31N 161E 30N 154E 29N 145E. REMARKS. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.0N 141.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  005 WTPZ35 KNHC 220832 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 400 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATRICIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...LIKELY TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 102.3W ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Corrientes to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Patricia was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 102.3 West. Patricia is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest is expected later today or tonight followed by a turn toward the north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of the hurricane will be crossing the coast of Mexico in the Hurricane Warning area by Friday evening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued strengthening is forecast, and Patricia is likely to become a major hurricane later today or tonight. Thereafter, additional strengthening is forecast until landfall. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by Friday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, and are possible within the tropical storm watch area by tonight or early Friday. RAINFALL: Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later Thursday into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch  121 WSUK31 EGRR 220832 EGTT SIGMET 03 VALID 220900/221300 EGRR- EGTT LONDON FIR SEV MTW FCST N OF N5300 FL030/150 STNR NC=  833 ACUS11 KWNS 220833 SWOMCD SPC MCD 220832 OKZ000-TXZ000-KSZ000-221030- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1873 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0332 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...W TX PECOS VALLEY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE ERN TX PNHDL/WRN OK CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 518... VALID 220832Z - 221030Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 518 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE NEED FOR A NEW WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. BUT... LOCALIZED DAMAGING SURFACE GUSTS AND SOME RISK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY CONTINUE WITH A SLOW MOVING SQUALL LINE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH DAYBREAK. DISCUSSION...WITHIN THE PRESENCE OF 40 KT SOUTHERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW...A MODEST WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS WITHIN THE CONVECTIVELY GENERATED OR ENHANCED SURFACE BASED COLD POOL IS CONTRIBUTING TO A SLOW BUT STEADY EASTWARD PROPAGATION OF THE ONGOING SQUALL LINE. NEAR THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD POOL...LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR...AS WELL AS SHEAR ACROSS THE BOUNDARY...REMAIN STRONG AND POTENTIALLY SUPPORTIVE OF MESOCYCLONES...AS CONVECTION BEGINS TO SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA...AND INTO PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS TO THE EAST OF WW 518 THROUGH 10-12Z. WHILE IT STILL APPEARS THAT A SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER AND MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER TO THE NORTH OF ABILENE...ON THE NORTHERN/ LEADING EDGE OF 65F+ SURFACE DEW POINTS...PROBABLY WILL LIMIT SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...LOCALIZED DAMAGING SURFACE GUSTS MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION. SOUTHWEST OF ABILENE INTO THE PECOS VALLEY...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SLOWER SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM...THE RISK FOR A LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND GUST /OR PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO/ STILL SEEMS AT LEAST SOMEWHAT HIGHER... AND MAY CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK. ..KERR.. 10/22/2015 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF... LAT...LON 37009988 36919908 36559853 35059822 32989940 30550100 30240221 31230187 32760106 34550031 35610025 36490048 36960032 37009988  875 WGUS64 KMAF 220832 FFAMAF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 332 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...LOWER TRANS PECOS...AND BIG BEND... .A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY. MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT AHEAD OF THE LOW HAS CAUSED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THAT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN TODAY. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.. NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ057>060-067-258-220945- /O.CAN.KMAF.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD... CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL... VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...MONAHANS... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS 332 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 /232 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED EAST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS AREA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ TXZ074-079-080-220945- /O.CAN.KMAF.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...PRESIDIO...MARFA 332 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY RAIN HAS PUSHED EAST INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THIS AREA. $$ TXZ047-048-052-053-061>063-068>070-075-081-082-222100- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BORDEN-SCURRY-HOWARD-MITCHELL-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-CRANE-UPTON- REAGAN-PECOS-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAIL...SNYDER...BIG SPRING... COLORADO CITY...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...CRANE... MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...FORT STOCKTON...BIG BEND NP... MARATHON...SANDERSON 332 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...BIG BEND AREA...PECOS AND TERRELL. IN WEST TEXAS...BORDEN...CRANE...ECTOR... GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...REAGAN...SCURRY AND UPTON. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. * FLASH FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS... ARROYOS...AND URBAN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ TXZ045-046-050-051-222100- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...ANDREWS...STANTON 332 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... ANDREWS...DAWSON...GAINES AND MARTIN. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. * FLASH FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS... ARROYOS... AND URBAN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$  108 WTPZ45 KNHC 220834 TCDEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 400 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 Patricia has become significantly better organized overnight, with an eye evident on infrared imagery, and the system now has well-defined convective banding features. The initial intensity estimate is set at 75 kt, which is above the Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB at 0600 UTC to account for the increased organization since that time. This is also in good agreement with the most recent ADT estimates from UW-CIMSS. Upper-level outflow is strong, as evidenced by the expanding cirrus canopy. The hurricane has been moving a little faster toward the west-northwest, or around 295/15 kt. There has not been much change to the track forecast philosophy. Patricia is likely to move around the southwestern periphery of a mid-tropospheric high pressure area during the next day or so. By late Friday, the system should turn toward the north-northeast as it moves between the high and a trough over extreme northwestern Mexico. The official track forecast is nudged very slightly to the west to account for a slight westward shift in the GFS/ECMWF consensus. This is also very close to the overall dynamical model consensus. The environment appears to be very conducive for strengthening for the next 24 hours or so, with some increase in south-southwesterly shear and some mid-tropospheric drying later on Friday. An earlier 37 GHz GPM image showed a cyan ring around the eye, which often presages rapid intensification. Given that, and the currently favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions, rapid strengthening (30 kt over 24 h) is forecast through tonight followed by a slower pace of intensification up to landfall. This is in good agreement with the latest DSHIPS prediction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 14.3N 102.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 15.3N 103.9W 95 KT 110 MPH 24H 23/0600Z 16.5N 105.3W 105 KT 120 MPH 36H 23/1800Z 18.0N 105.5W 110 KT 125 MPH 48H 24/0600Z 20.3N 104.8W 80 KT 90 MPH...INLAND 72H 25/0600Z 25.0N 101.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch  287 WOUS20 KWNS 220834 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220835 TXZ000-220940- STATUS REPORT ON WW 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW FST TO 30 NNE FST TO 30 S LBB TO 50 WNW CDS. ..KERR..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-220940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  655 WSPO31 LPMG 220834 LPPC SIGMET 2 VALID 220835/221135 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS FCST S OF N3300 TOP ABV FL350 STNR NC=  687 WDPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 37// RMKS// 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CLOUD FILLED 35NM EYE WITH A DEEP CONVECTIVE CORE THAT IS BEING ELONGATED AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE STRONG MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. A 220318Z AMSR-2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A DEEP CONVECTIVE RING SURROUNDING THE LARGE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN THE MSI LOOP WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD AT 100 KNOTS BASED ON CONCURRING DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.5 (102 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A DETERIORATING ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE (20-25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BEING OFFSET BY A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL, ENHANCED BY THE MID-LATITUDE ZONAL FLOW. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASING VWS AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE TYPHOON AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. TY CHAMPI WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) BY TAU 36 AS IT EMBEDS IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. TY 25W WILL COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG COLD CORE LOW. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//  688 WDPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 02// RMKS// 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 747 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF CENTER. A 220349Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEFINED SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC WITH LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE LLCC IN THE ABOVE IMAGERY WITH LIMITED CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD AT 25 KNOTS USING THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. TD 25W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 10 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO EMBED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD; HOWEVER, GIVEN THE BROAD AND WEAK LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST INTENSITY, THERE IS AN OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST.//  689 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 24.0N 141.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N 141.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 24.7N 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 25.5N 145.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 26.7N 147.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 28.2N 151.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 33.6N 161.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z POSITION NEAR 24.2N 142.1E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  968 WTPN52 PGTW 220900 WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 151022071705 2015102206 25W CHAMPI 037 02 055 05 SATL 035 T000 240N 1417E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 180 NW QD T012 247N 1434E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 150 SE QD 105 SW QD 165 NW QD T024 255N 1452E 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 145 SE QD 115 SW QD 155 NW QD T036 267N 1477E 085 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 145 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD T048 282N 1510E 075 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD T072 336N 1617E 055 AMP 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 037 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 24.0N 141.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N 141.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 24.7N 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 25.5N 145.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 26.7N 147.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 28.2N 151.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 33.6N 161.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z POSITION NEAR 24.2N 142.1E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2515101112 115N1672E 15 2515101118 115N1666E 15 2515101200 115N1660E 15 2515101206 115N1652E 15 2515101212 114N1640E 15 2515101218 116N1631E 15 2515101300 120N1622E 20 2515101306 128N1615E 25 2515101312 134N1606E 25 2515101318 140N1598E 30 2515101400 143N1584E 35 2515101406 148N1566E 35 2515101412 148N1551E 40 2515101418 151N1537E 45 2515101500 154N1526E 50 2515101506 158N1512E 50 2515101512 159N1495E 50 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100  537 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 25.3N 154.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N 154.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 28.6N 157.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 31.1N 162.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 33.4N 169.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 155.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 747 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  594 WTPN51 PGTW 220900 WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 151022071610 2015102206 26W TWENTYSIX 002 02 345 19 SATL 045 T000 253N 1548E 025 T012 286N 1575E 030 T024 311N 1625E 030 T036 334N 1698E 030 AMP 012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 036HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 25.3N 154.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N 154.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 28.6N 157.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 31.1N 162.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 33.4N 169.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 155.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 747 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2615101912 163N1647E 15 2615101918 166N1640E 15 2615102000 171N1634E 15 2615102006 180N1626E 15 2615102012 188N1618E 15 2615102018 193N1606E 20 2615102100 199N1595E 20 2615102106 209N1584E 20 2615102112 217N1576E 20 2615102118 227N1564E 20 2615102200 235N1553E 25 2615102206 253N1548E 25  049 WGUS64 KSJT 220838 FFASJT URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 338 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING MAY AFFECT WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BEGINNING TODAY... .AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE REGION. AS THE STORM SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS THE MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING... INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE DAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE RANGE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. THIS WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO FRIDAY. TXZ077-078-154-155-168>170-221800- /O.EXB.KSJT.FF.A.0013.151023T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELDORADO...SONORA...BRADY...SAN SABA... MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON 338 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING KIMBLE...MASON...MCCULLOCH...MENARD... SAN SABA...SCHLEICHER ...AND SUTTON. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 221800- /O.CON.KSJT.FF.A.0013.151022T1200Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN- COLEMAN-BROWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER... STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS... MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...HASKELL...THROCKMORTON... WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE... BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...BROWNWOOD 338 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING BROWN...CALLAHAN...COKE...COLEMAN...CONCHO...CROCKETT... FISHER...HASKELL...IRION...JONES...NOLAN...RUNNELS... SHACKELFORD...STERLING...TAYLOR...THROCKMORTON AND ...TOM GREEN. * FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JOHNSON  233 WSBZ31 SBBS 220833 SBBS SIGMET 6 VALID 220840/221240 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2143 W04920 - S2131 W04816 - S2218 W04716 - S2309 W04732 - S2229 W04833 - S2203 W04840 - S2154 W04911 - S2143 W04920 TOP FL430 E 12KT NC=  329 WSUS31 KKCI 220855 SIGE MKCE WST 220855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221055-221455 FROM YSC-MPV-SAX-PSB-40NW SYR-MSS-YSC WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  330 WAUS45 KKCI 220845 WA5S SLCS WA 220845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET IFR...ID MT WY FROM 30SSW YXC TO 40SSW YQL TO 50E JAC TO 20NE PIH TO 30SSW YXC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 09-12Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET IFR...WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 30ESE CZI TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO INK TO 60W INK TO 40S FTI TO 50W ABQ TO RSK TO 40NW TBC TO 20SSE DTA TO 40NE DBL TO 50WNW LAR TO 30ESE CZI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WY NV UT CO AZ NM FROM 20NNE DDY TO CYS TO 20SW TBE TO 60W INK TO 20ENE ELP TO 40ESE TCS TO 20E SSO TO 40SSE PGS TO 20SSE ELY TO 40NE DTA TO 50E SLC TO 30S OCS TO 20NNE DDY MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. ....  331 WSUS33 KKCI 220855 SIGW MKCW WST 220855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221055-221455 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  332 WAUS43 KKCI 220845 WA3S CHIS WA 220845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET IFR...SD NE KS OK TX FROM 70SW RAP TO 60SSW OBH TO 40WNW SPS TO SJT TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. ....  333 WSUS32 KKCI 220855 SIGC MKCC WST 220855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 27C VALID UNTIL 1055Z KS NE FROM 40WNW PWE-40NE SLN-40NW SLN-40WNW PWE AREA TS MOV FROM 22025KT. TOPS TO FL330. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 28C VALID UNTIL 1055Z TX OK KS FROM GCK-70NNE MMB-70WNW DLF-50SE MRF-TXO-GCK AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 25030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 221055-221455 AREA 1...FROM DSM-60E ICT-JCT-DLF-80SSE MRF-INK-60SE TBE-GLD-DSM REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM CRP-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-CRP WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  334 WAUS46 KKCI 220845 WA6S SFOS WA 220845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET IFR...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SE ENI TO 40NW RZS TO 20E LAX TO 50SSW MZB TO 220SW MZB TO 130WSW PYE TO 80WSW ENI TO 30SE ENI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET IFR...WA OR CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40WSW YDC TO 60SSE BTG TO 30NW OED TO 30SSW FOT TO 80SW ONP TO 20SSW HQM TO TOU TO 40WSW YDC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WA OR CA FROM YDC TO 60SE YDC TO 30NNW YKM TO 50ESE DSD TO 30SW OED TO 20S FOT TO 80WNW OED TO 40S HQM TO TOU TO YDC MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. ....  651 WAUS41 KKCI 220845 WA1Z BOSZ WA 220845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET ICE...OH FROM 30WNW EWC TO 20W AIR TO 30N CVG TO FWA TO 30WNW EWC MOD ICE BTN 150 AND FL240. CONDS DVLPG 12-15Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET ICE...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY LO PA AND CSTL WTRS FROM YSC TO 20WNW ENE TO 20NNW ACK TO 20E BDL TO 20SSE PSB TO 20SW SLT TO 50SE BUF TO YOW TO YSC MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET ICE...ME NH MA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 60NE PQI TO 150ENE ACK TO 110ESE ENE TO 20N ACK TO 20WNW ENE TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL 020-080. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...ICE ME NH MA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-50NE PQI-160ENE ACK-ACK-40SSW ENE-60SSE YSC-20NNE YSC-70NW PQI MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL180. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...ICE ME NH VT MA RI CT NY NJ PA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 60SSE YSC-40SSW ENE-ACK-40ESE JST-60ESE BUF-60SSE YSC MOD ICE BTN 120 AND 160. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 025-135 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 030-090 BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-30NE PQI-40SSE HUL- 50SE YQB-70NW PQI 040 ALG 60ENE YQB-30W PQI-40E PQI 080 ALG 30NE YSC-30WSW MLT-40W YSJ 120 ALG 20NE FWA-40NNW APE-40SSW ERI-20ESE HTO-190SE ACK ....  652 WAUS41 KKCI 220845 WA1S BOSS WA 220845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET IFR...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY AND CSTL WTRS FROM 60ENE YQB TO 20WSW MLT TO 50SSW BGR TO 140ENE ACK TO 130E ACK TO 40SSW HTO TO 50SSW BDL TO 60W YSC TO YSC TO 60ENE YQB CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT NY FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO 30NNE ENE TO CON TO 30E ALB TO 20NNW PLB TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...VT NY PA FROM 20N PLB TO HNK TO 20NNE EWC TO JHW TO SYR TO MSS TO 20N PLB MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. CONDS DVLPG 12-15Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...IFR ME NH VT MA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 80NW PQI-30NNE PQI-50WSW YSJ-150ENE ACK-60NE ACK-40S CON-30E MPV-YSC-80NW PQI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...MTN OBSCN NH VT MA NY PA BOUNDED BY 20NNE PLB-CON-20SSW HNK-HAR-AIR-JHW-SYR-MSS-20NNE PLB MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  974 WAUS45 KKCI 220845 WA5Z SLCZ WA 220845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET ICE...CO FROM 40ESE CYS TO 50ESE SNY TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO 20N PUB TO 20NE DEN TO 40ESE CYS MOD ICE BTN 110 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET ICE...NM FROM 40NE TCC TO INK TO 60ENE ELP TO 30NNW CME TO 40WSW TCC TO 40NE TCC MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL240. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET ICE...UT CO AZ NM FROM 40WSW LAR TO 20NE DEN TO 20NNE PUB TO 30WNW ALS TO 60SW ABQ TO 50S INW TO 70SSW BCE TO DTA TO 40E SLC TO 40WSW LAR MOD ICE BTN 110 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...ICE WY UT CO AZ NM BOUNDED BY 50ESE DDY-20WSW DEN-50SSE HBU-50W ABQ-50SSE INW-40NE DRK-DTA-70SSW BPI-50ESE DDY MOD ICE BTN 110 AND FL220. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...ICE WY CO BOUNDED BY 50WNW RAP-40ESE CYS-40E SNY-50W LBL-40ESE DEN-20WSW DEN-50ESE DDY-50WNW RAP MOD ICE BTN 110 AND FL240. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 085-125 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20W FMG-FMG-50NNW OAL-OAL-40S OAL 120 ALG 80SW DIK-40NNW MLS-30SSW GGW-40N GGW-70NE GGW-30NW ISN 120 ALG 40NNW GLD-30ESE AKO-50SSW BFF-50NW LAR-50SW DDY-CZI- 80NW RAP 120 ALG 70WNW MRF-20E TCC ....  980 WAUS44 KKCI 220845 WA4Z DFWZ WA 220845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 221500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-165 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20E TCC-20W LBL 160 ALG 80W BRO-70ENE BRO-80E BRO 160 ALG 60SSW LEV-30SW LEV-20SSE HRV-120SSE SJI ....  981 WAUS43 KKCI 220845 WA3Z CHIZ WA 220845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 221500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 035-140 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 040-100 BOUNDED BY YQT-SSM-YVV-50ENE ECK-40WNW ASP-50S SAW-30ENE DLH-YQT 040 ALG 50WNW YQT-SSM 080 ALG 70SE YWG-30NNE BJI-40NNW RHI-40WNW ASP-YVV 120 ALG 20W LBL-30WNW GCK-50SW HLC-40ENE GCK-30WNW GIJ-20NE FWA 120 ALG 30NW ISN-40E BIS-50NNW ABR-20WSW ABR-40SW ABR-80SW DIK 120 ALG 60WNW RAP-30WNW RAP-50SW RAP-BFF-40WNW MCK-30N GLD- 40NNW GLD ....  000 WAUS46 KKCI 220845 WA6Z SFOZ WA 220845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 221500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 050-150 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 160WNW ONP-110WNW ONP-SEA-70N GEG-50WSW YXC 120 ALG 140WSW FOT-30SW FOT-40SE FOT-30SSW RBL-20W FMG 120 ALG 40S OAL-50WSW HEC-30ESE MZB ....  001 WAUS44 KKCI 220845 WA4S DFWS WA 220845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 1 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET IFR...TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40N ABI TO 50W LCH TO 50W PSX TO 20NNW BRO TO 70W BRO TO 70SE DLF TO 50SSW JCT TO SJT TO 40N ABI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET IFR...OK TX SD NE KS FROM 70SW RAP TO 60SSW OBH TO 40WNW SPS TO SJT TO INK TO 30ESE TBE TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TX FROM 30W INK TO FST TO 50W DLF TO 90S MRF TO 30W MRF TO 30E ELP TO 30W INK MTNS OBSC BY CLDS. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. ....  005 WAUS42 KKCI 220845 WA2Z MIAZ WA 220845 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 1 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 221500 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 120-170 ACRS AREA 160 ALG 120SSE SJI-160W PIE 160 ALG 90WSW SRQ-80SW SRQ-RSW-30ENE MIA-100ESE MIA ....  103 WAUS42 KKCI 220845 WA2S MIAS WA 220845 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20S SBY TO 80SSE ECG TO 40SSW CHS TO 30SSW CAE TO 40S RDU TO 30SSW RIC TO 20S SBY VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. . AIRMET IFR...GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40SSE IRQ TO 20ESE SAV TO 20NNE CRG TO 20SSE ORL TO SRQ TO 40S CTY TO 40W CTY TO 70SW TLH TO 20E CEW TO 50SW PZD TO 40SSE IRQ CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 12-15Z. ....  431 WOUS64 KWNS 220843 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 343 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  291 WAUS43 KKCI 220845 WA3T CHIT WA 220845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO FROM 70SW DIK TO 40NE ABR TO 30E OVR TO 30ENE SLN TO 60NE MMB TO 50W LBL TO 40E SNY TO 50SSW BFF TO 70SW DIK MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB ND SD NE MN IA WI BOUNDED BY 20W ISN-70S INL-30WNW DBQ-30SSE MCW-30ESE OVR-30E OBH- 50E SNY-50SSW BFF-20W ISN MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  292 WAUS41 KKCI 220845 WA1T BOST WA 220845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB AND LLWS VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET TURB...ME NH VT MA CT NY LO PA OH LE WV AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 40NE PQI TO 60SW YSJ TO 20E BOS TO 40NW ETX TO 20SE AIR TO 20ENE APE TO 30SE ECK TO YOW TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . LLWS POTENTIAL...ME NH VT NY LO PA LE BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-30NE PQI-30SW MLT-30N ENE-40S SYR-20E SLT- 30NW EWC-30W YYZ-YOW-YSC-70NW PQI LLWS EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB ME NH VT MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 60NNE PQI-40W YSJ-160ENE ACK-ACK-20WNW SAX-20S AIR- 60E ECK-20N YYZ-YOW-YSC-70NW PQI-60NNE PQI MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  293 WAUS46 KKCI 220845 WA6T SFOT WA 220845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB AND STG SFC WNDS VALID UNTIL 221500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . AIRMET STG SFC WNDS...CA CSTL WTRS FROM 80NW FOT TO 80W PYE TO 120WSW PYE TO 140WSW FOT TO 140WNW FOT TO 80NW FOT SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS GTR THAN 30KT EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...TURB OR CA NV BOUNDED BY 30S ONP-70NW REO-50SW OAL-20SSW OAK-20SSE FOT-30S ONP MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL370. CONDS DVLPG 15-18Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  294 WAUS45 KKCI 220845 WA5T SLCT WA 220845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET TURB...WY CO AZ NM FROM 70NW RAP TO 50SSW BFF TO 40E SNY TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO INK TO ELP TO 60S SSO TO 20NNE TCS TO 30WSW RSK TO 50S OCS TO 50ESE BOY TO 70NW RAP MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z AREA 1...TURB NV OR CA BOUNDED BY 30S ONP-70NW REO-50SW OAL-20SSW OAK-20SSE FOT-30S ONP MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL370. CONDS DVLPG 15-18Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. . AREA 2...TURB MT WY UT CO NM BOUNDED BY 40SSW ISN-50SSW BFF-40E SNY-50W LBL-30ESE TBE-INK-70E ELP-60ENE TCS-30WSW RSK-20NW MTU-30NE BIL-40SSW ISN MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL390. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  574 WAUS44 KKCI 220845 WA4T DFWT WA 220845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 221500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  755 WAUS42 KKCI 220845 WA2T MIAT WA 220845 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 221500 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  655 WARH31 LDZM 220842 LDZO AIRMET 8 VALID 220900/221300 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD MTW FCST WI N4503 E01317 - N4331 E01430 - N4221 E01613 - N4125 E01819 - N4227 E01830 - N4451 E01546 - N4539 E01434 TOP ABV FL100 STNR NC=  538 WDPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 02// RMKS// 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF CENTER. A 220349Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEFINED SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC WITH LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE LLCC IN THE ABOVE IMAGERY WITH LIMITED CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD AT 25 KNOTS USING THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. TD 25W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 10 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO EMBED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD; HOWEVER, GIVEN THE BROAD AND WEAK LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST INTENSITY, THERE IS AN OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST./=  539 WDPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 37// RMKS// 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CLOUD FILLED 35NM EYE WITH A DEEP CONVECTIVE CORE THAT IS BEING ELONGATED AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE STRONG MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. A 220318Z AMSR-2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A DEEP CONVECTIVE RING SURROUNDING THE LARGE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN THE MSI LOOP WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD AT 100 KNOTS BASED ON CONCURRING DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.5 (102 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A DETERIORATING ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE (20-25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BEING OFFSET BY A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL, ENHANCED BY THE MID-LATITUDE ZONAL FLOW. TY 25W IS NOW TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR). 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASING VWS AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE TYPHOON AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. TY CHAMPI WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) BY TAU 36 AS IT EMBEDS IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. TY 25W WILL COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG COLD CORE LOW. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK./=  540 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 25.3N 154.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N 154.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 28.6N 157.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 31.1N 162.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 33.4N 169.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 155.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 747 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  541 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 24.0N 141.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N 141.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 24.7N 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 25.5N 145.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 26.7N 147.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 28.2N 151.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 33.6N 161.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z POSITION NEAR 24.2N 142.1E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  829 WANO35 ENMI 220845 ENBD AIRMET D01 VALID 220842/221230 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL MOD ICE FCST BTN N6500 AND N6700 FL040/150 MOV N NC=  178 WARH31 LDZM 220855 LDZO AIRMET 9 VALID 220900/221100 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD TURB FCST WI N4420 E01611 - N4356 E01533 - N4206 E01826 - N4232 E01824 SFC/FL060 STNR INTSF=  564 WGUS84 KLUB 220847 FLSLUB FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 347 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC107-153-169-189-219-303-305-445-221045- /O.NEW.KLUB.FA.Y.0080.151022T0847Z-151022T1045Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HOCKLEY TX-CROSBY TX-TERRY TX-GARZA TX-LYNN TX-HALE TX-FLOYD TX- LUBBOCK TX- 347 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHEASTERN HOCKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... CROSBY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN TERRY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... WESTERN GARZA COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... LYNN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHERN HALE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... SOUTHWESTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... LUBBOCK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 545 AM CDT * AT 345 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES CONTINUED TO INDICATE HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS SUBSIDED...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS. AN ADDITIONAL ONE HALF INCH OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE 6 AM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... LUBBOCK...BROWNFIELD...SLATON...POST...ABERNATHY...TAHOKA... CROSBYTON...WOLFFORTH...SHALLOWATER...IDALOU...RALLS...LORENZO... RANSOM CANYON...O'DONNELL...WOODROW...SLIDE...LUBBOCK SOUTH PLAINS MALL...CAPROCK...SOUTHLAND AND CONE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && LAT...LON 3296 10246 3384 10208 3384 10107 3296 10140 $$ 01  272 WSAU21 AMMC 220847 YMMM SIGMET D03 VALID 220930/221330 YMMC- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S4700 E08900 - S4700 E09100 - S4400 E09100 - S3800 E08800 - S3400 E08300 - S3500 E08200 - S4000 E08700 - S4300 E08900 FL240/340 MOV E 40KT NC=  256 WSSR20 WSSS 220850 WSJC SIGMET 3 VALID 220900/221200 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS E OF E106 NC=  706 ACUS11 KWNS 220851 SWOMCD SPC MCD 220851 COR OKZ000-TXZ000-KSZ000-221030- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1873 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0351 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...W TX PECOS VALLEY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE ERN TX PNHDL/WRN OK CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 518... VALID 220851Z - 221030Z CORRECTED WATCH TYPE IN HEADERS THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 518 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE NEED FOR A NEW WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. BUT... LOCALIZED DAMAGING SURFACE GUSTS AND SOME RISK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY CONTINUE WITH A SLOW MOVING SQUALL LINE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/NORTHWEST TEXAS INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH DAYBREAK. DISCUSSION...WITHIN THE PRESENCE OF 40 KT SOUTHERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW...A MODEST WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS WITHIN THE CONVECTIVELY GENERATED OR ENHANCED SURFACE BASED COLD POOL IS CONTRIBUTING TO A SLOW BUT STEADY EASTWARD PROPAGATION OF THE ONGOING SQUALL LINE. NEAR THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD POOL...LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR...AS WELL AS SHEAR ACROSS THE BOUNDARY...REMAIN STRONG AND POTENTIALLY SUPPORTIVE OF MESOCYCLONES...AS CONVECTION BEGINS TO SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA...AND INTO PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS TO THE EAST OF WW 518 THROUGH 10-12Z. WHILE IT STILL APPEARS THAT A SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER AND MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER TO THE NORTH OF ABILENE...ON THE NORTHERN/ LEADING EDGE OF 65F+ SURFACE DEW POINTS...PROBABLY WILL LIMIT SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...LOCALIZED DAMAGING SURFACE GUSTS MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION. SOUTHWEST OF ABILENE INTO THE PECOS VALLEY...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SLOWER SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM...THE RISK FOR A LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND GUST /OR PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO/ STILL SEEMS AT LEAST SOMEWHAT HIGHER... AND MAY CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK. ..KERR.. 10/22/2015 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF... LAT...LON 37009988 36919908 36559853 35059822 32989940 30550100 30240221 31230187 32760106 34550031 35610025 36490048 36960032 37009988  513 WTPA35 PHFO 220854 TCPCP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 1100 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE OLAF MOVING NORTHWESTWARD FAR SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.1N 146.1W ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 960 MI...1550 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. OLAF IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHWARD BY LATE FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. OLAF IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS INTO THIS WEEKEND. SEE THE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...WHHW40 PHFO OR CFWHFO...ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU FOR DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON  270 WWJP75 RJTD 220600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 220600UTC ISSUED AT 220900UTC DEVELOPED LOW 990HPA AT 57N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA AT 25.1N 154.9E MOVING NNW 14 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 28.2N 157.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 30.6N 162.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 221500UTC =  271 WWJP74 RJTD 220600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 220600UTC ISSUED AT 220900UTC PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STEEP WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 221500UTC =  272 WWJP81 RJTD 220600 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 220600UTC ISSUED AT 220900UTC TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002HPA AT 19N 124E MOVING EAST SLOWLY GALE WARNING SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOUTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 221500UTC =  273 WWJP72 RJTD 220600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 220600UTC ISSUED AT 220900UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 221500UTC =  274 WWJP73 RJTD 220600 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 220600UTC ISSUED AT 220900UTC TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI(1525) 940HPA AT 24.0N 141.8E MOVING ENE 06 KNOTS POSITION GOOD MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60NM RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210NM NORTHEAST AND 180NM ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 25.2N 145.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER OUTLOOK POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 27.4N 150.5E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA AT 25.1N 154.9E MOVING NNW 14 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 28.2N 157.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 30.6N 162.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 177E TO 28N 170E 31N 161E 30N 154E 29N 145E WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOUTHERN SEA OFF SHIKOKU NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 221500UTC =  787 WBCN07 CWVR 220800 PAM ROCKS WIND 1506 LANGARA; N/A GREEN; N/A TRIPLE; N/A BONILLA; N/A BOAT BLUFF; N/A MCINNES; N/A IVORY; N/A DRYAD; N/A ADDENBROKE; N/A EGG ISLAND; N/A PINE ISLAND; N/A CAPE SCOTT; N/A QUATSINO; N/A NOOTKA; N/A ESTEVAN; N/A LENNARD; N/A AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; N/A PACHENA; N/A CARMANAH; N/A SCARLETT; N/A PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; N/A CHROME; N/A MERRY; N/A ENTRANCE; N/A FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; N/A Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 222/10/10/3002/M/ 3011 48MM= WLP SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 213/10/09/1312/M/ PK WND 1420 0713Z 3011 29MM= WEB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 233/09/09/1007/M/ 1005 17MM= WQC SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 233/07/06/0000/M/ 2010 13MM= WRU SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 220/11/09/1211/M/0006 3005 12MM= WFG SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 212/12/08/2615/M/ PK WND 2521 0738Z 3008 63MM= WVF SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/11/10/2806/M/M M 93MM= WQS SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 138/12/10/2116/M/ PK WND 2222 0716Z 1007 81MM= WRO SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 132/10/08/1814/M/ PK WND 1819 0723Z 1008 75MM= WEK SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 138/11/10/1722/M/0002 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR PK WND 1726 0719Z 1014 39MM= WWL SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/11/08/1713/M/ PK WND 1918 0702Z 1010 14MM= WME SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 199/09/08/1001/M/0028 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR 0012 68MM= WAS SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 215/11/10/1506/M/ 1011 18MM= WSB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 216/11/10/3005/M/ 2009 33MM= WGT SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 225/12/10/2905/M/M 1013 58MM= WGB SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 221/11/10/2409/M/ 1012 25MM= WEL SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 223/11/11/3608/M/ 1012 37MM= WDR SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 215/12/M/2803/M/M 1009 6MMM= WZO SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/2301/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3602/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 0800 AUTO8 M M M 220/09/08/0906/M/ 1008 01MM=  332 WSEG31 HECA 220852 HECC SIGMET 1 VALID 220830/221130 HECA- HECC CAIRO ACC HYV SS FSCT AND OBS AT OVER HEMM THE WSPD MAY BE MORE THAN 30KTS NC=  257 WSBZ31 SBRE 220858 SBAO SIGMET 4 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2534 W04223 - S2848 W03717 - S3354 W04022 - S3355 W04554 - S3054 W04720 - S2534 W04223 TOP FL390 MOV E 03KT NC=  237 WSBZ31 SBRE 220858 SBAO SIGMET 5 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0559 W03811 - N0743 W03500 - N0543 W03219 - N0525 W03513 - N0559 W03811 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  498 WALJ31 LJLJ 220900 LJLA AIRMET 3 VALID 220900/221300 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST SW OF LINE N4620 E01320 - N4525 E01435 SFC/5000FT STNR NC=  860 WTPA45 PHFO 220902 TCDCP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 1100 PM HST WED OCT 21 2015 THE RAGGED EYE OF OLAF CONTINUES TO BE EVIDENT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS EVENING. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PHFO AND SAB WERE 5.5/102 KT...WHILE JTWC INDICATED 5.0/90 KT. THE MOST RECENT UW-CIMSS ADT ESTIMATE WAS 5.6/105 KT. AS A RESULT...WE HAVE KEPT THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 105 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION FOR THIS ADVISORY IS 315/07 KT. OLAF IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST DURING THE 24 TO 36 HOUR TIME PERIOD...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH FROM DAYS 2 THROUGH 3. A MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG SOUTH TOWARD THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LATER THIS WEEKEND. ONCE THIS OCCURS...OLAF IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS JUST TO THE LEFT OF THE TVCN AND GFEX CONSENSUS GUIDANCE...BUT TO THE RIGHT OF THE LATEST HWRF MODEL. THE LATEST ESTIMATES OF ENVIRONMENTAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF OLAF ARE 7 KT FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ACCORDING TO SHIPS...AND 12 KT FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ACCORDING TO UW-CIMSS. THE LATEST CIRA ANALYSIS OF OCEAN HEAT CONTENT /OHC/ ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK OF OLAF SHOWS IT WILL MOVE OVER MODEST VALUES OF THIS PARAMETER DURING THE NEXT 3 TO 4 DAYS. HOWEVER...THE OHC IS SLIGHTLY LOWER COMPARED WITH THE OCEANIC AREAS TO THE EAST AND WEST OF THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO THE LARGE NUMBER OF TROPICAL CYCLONES THAT HAVE TRAVERSED THESE WATERS DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF MONTHS CAUSING A LINGERING UPWELLING SIGNAL. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE...SST...ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COOL FROM NEAR 29C NOW TO AROUND 25C 5 DAYS FROM NOW. THE LATEST SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS A STEADY INCREASE IN THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS. HOWEVER... THE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR STARTS TO RAMP UP BY 36 HOURS...WITH STEADILY INCREASING VALUES THROUGH DAY 5. SHIPS SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY STEADY WEAKENING. THE LATEST IVCN CONSENSUS GUIDANCE SHOWS GRADUAL WEAKENING DURING THE ENTIRE FORECAST. OUR LATEST INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS...WHICH MORE CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE CONSENSUS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 13.1N 146.1W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 14.0N 146.7W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 23/0600Z 15.3N 147.1W 100 KT 115 MPH 36H 23/1800Z 16.7N 147.4W 95 KT 110 MPH 48H 24/0600Z 18.1N 147.2W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 25/0600Z 20.5N 146.3W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 26/0600Z 22.5N 144.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 27/0600Z 25.5N 140.0W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON  861 WWUS84 KMAF 220902 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 402 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ062-063-220945- GLASSCOCK-MIDLAND- 402 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL GLASSCOCK AND SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND COUNTIES... AT 401 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 7 MILES NORTH OF MIDKIFF... OR 22 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GARDEN CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... GARDEN CITY...SAINT LAWRENCE AND BIGBY CORNER. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. VISIBILITY WILL DROP NEAR ZERO AT TIMES DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 3167 10182 3179 10189 3208 10152 3173 10128 TIME...MOT...LOC 0901Z 242DEG 22KT 3174 10182 $$ 67  347 WOUS64 KWNS 220903 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 403 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  699 WHUS74 KBRO 220903 MWWBRO URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 403 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE... .THE LONG EASTERLY FETCH ACROSS THE GULF WILL CONTINUE...AND A TIGHTER GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO BREEZY EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS ON THE GULF. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. GMZ150-155-170-175-222130- /O.CAN.KBRO.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBRO.SC.Y.0033.151022T0903Z-151023T0400Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 403 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET BETWEEN 0 AND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE AND...7 TO 9 FEET FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 16 TO 22 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ130-132-135-221015- /O.CAN.KBRO.SI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- 403 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS. WINDS ON THE LAGUNA MADRE ARE NOT MEETING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AND THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$  821 WSGR31 LGAT 220905 LGGG SIGMET 3 VALID 220905/221105 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS WI N4000 E01900 - N4050 E02430 - N3700 E02500 - N3530 E01900 MOV E-NE INTSF=  822 WHUS73 KMQT 220904 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LMZ221-248-250-221015- /O.EXP.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T0900Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. $$ LSZ251-221715- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0205.151022T1000Z-151022T2300Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ267-221015- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ243>245-221715- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI- EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ241-242-221500- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI- ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 /404 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015/ ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 9 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ247-221015- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 18 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 5 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ246-221015- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0204.000000T0000Z-151022T1000Z/ POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 15 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 21 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 2 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ248-221600- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 9 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ249-221715- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T2300Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-221715- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T2300Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 504 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ KEC  890 WOIN20 VEPT 220900 FROM: FORECAST PATNA TO: FLOOD FORECASTING WARNING CENTRE, DHAKA (E-MAIL ID:FFWC05@YAHOO.COM & FFWCBWDB@GMAIL.COM) MEMBER, JRC (E-MAIL ID: JRCB@QUBEEMAIL.COM.BD) COMMISSIONER (GANGA) MINISTRY OF WATER RESOURCES, NEW DELHI (E-MAIL ID: MOWR@NIC.IN) SENIOR JOINT COMMISSIONER-I(GANGA) MINISTRY OF WATER RESOURCES, NEW DELHI (E-MAIL ID: MOWR@NIC.IN) DIRECTOR, METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE, PATNA (E-MAIL ID: PATNAMC@GMAIL.COM) FLOOD MESSAGE NO 455 M.C.PATNA DATED :22/10/2015 (MORNING) WATER LEVELS OF RIVER GANGA AT SAHIBGANJ ARE AS FOLLOWS (TIMINGS ARE IN I.S.T.) LEVELS (M) LEVEL IN WORDS TIME IN HRS TIME IN DATE 23.110 TWENTY THREE POINT ONE ONE ZERO 2100 TWENTY ONE 21.10.2015 23.110 TWENTY THREE POINT ONE ONE ZERO 2400 TWENTY FOUR 21.10.2015 23.100 TWENTY THREE POINT ONE ZERO ZERO 0300 THREE 22.10.2015 23.090 TWENTY THREE POINT ZERO NINE ZERO 0600 SIX 22.10.2015 FLOOD MESSAGE NO:456 M.C.PATNA DATED :22/10/2015 (MORNING) WATER LEVELS OF RIVER GANGA AT FARAKKA ARE AS FOLLOWS (TIMINGS ARE IN I.S.T.) LEVELS (M) LEVEL IN WORDS TIME IN HRS TIME IN WORDS DATE 15.910 FIFTEEN POINT NINE ONE ZERO 2100 TWENTY ONE 21.10.2015 15.870 FIFTEEN POINT EIGHT SEVEN ZERO 2400 TWENTY FOUR 21.10.2015 15.860 FIFTEEN POINT EIGHT SIX ZERO 0300 THREE 22.10.2015 15.860 FIFTEEN POINT EIGHT SIX ZERO 0600 SIX 22.10.2015 QUICK REPLY=  130 WWST01 SBBR 220910 1 31 05 02 12 20 SECURITE AVISO NR 1580/2015 AVISO DE MAR GROSSO/MUITO GROSSO EMITIDO AS 1330 HMG - TER - 20/OUT/2015 AREA SUL OCEANICA AO SUL DE 30S E OESTE DE 035W A PARTIR DE 201200 HMG. ONDAS DE NW/SW 3.0/5.0 METROS. VALIDO ATE 230000 HMG. ESTE AVISO SUBSTITUI O AVISO NR 1575/2015. AVISO NR 1581/2015 AVISO DE MAR GROSSO/MUITO GROSSO EMITIDO AS 1330 HMG - TER - 20/OUT/2015 ÁREA SUL OCEANICA AO SUL DE 32S E LESTE DE 035W A PARTIR DE 211200 HMG. ONDAS DE NW/SW 3.0/4.0 METROS. VALIDO ATE 240000 HMG. ESTE AVISO SUBSTITUI O AVISO NR 1577/2015.  473 WSSC31 FSIA 220900 FSSS SIGMET 03 VALID 220915/221315 FSIA- FSSS SEYCHELLES FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1000 E06000 - S1000 E05701 - N0305 E05631 - N0305 E06000 - S1000 E06000. TOP ABV FL390 MOV SE NC=  152 WTPQ32 PGUM 220906 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015 800 PM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 ...TYPHOON CHAMPI PASSING SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO ISLAND... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 142.1E ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO ISLAND ABOUT 440 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF AGRIHAN ABOUT 670 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 760 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST...055 DEGREES AT 6 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAMPI WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.1 EAST. CHAMPI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 115 MPH. CHAMPI IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE DATA...EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES FROM THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. $$ KLEESCHULTE  242 WTPQ31 PGUM 220906 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262015 800 PM CHST THU OCT 22 2015 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W MOVING QUICKLY NORTH-NORTHWEST... WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.1N 155.5E ABOUT 155 MILES NORTHEAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA ABOUT 985 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 1115 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...345 DEGREES AT 22 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.5 EAST... MOVING RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WILL TURN NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES INTO THE OPEN NORTH PACIFIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W MAY INTENSIFY A LITTLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BUT IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE  940 WWUS85 KCYS 220907 SPSCYS SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 307 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 WYZ103>106-109>117-230515- NORTH LARAMIE RANGE-FERRIS/SEMINOE/SHIRLEY MOUNTAINS- SHIRLEY BASIN-CENTRAL LARAMIE RANGE AND SOUTHWEST PLATTE COUNTY- CENTRAL CARBON COUNTY-NORTH SNOWY RANGE FOOTHILLS- SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-SIERRA MADRE RANGE- UPPER NORTH PLATTE RIVER BASIN-SNOWY RANGE-LARAMIE VALLEY- SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUDDY GAP...MEDICINE BOW...BORDEAUX... RAWLINS...SINCLAIR...HANNA...ARLINGTON...ELK MOUNTAIN...BAGGS... DIXON...SARATOGA...ENCAMPMENT...RIVERSIDE...CENTENNIAL...ALBANY... WOODS LANDING...LARAMIE...VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE... HORSE CREEK...HARRIMAN...WHITAKER 307 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING HIGH ELEVATION SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH MOUNTAIN PASSES LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT... A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS BY TONIGHT. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND MAY BECOME ALL SNOW ABOVE 8000 FEET BY TONIGHT AS SOME COOLER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME...SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE OVER THE INTERSTATE 80 SUMMIT BETWEEN LARAMIE AND CHEYENNE. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE OVER THE HIGH ELEVATION MOUNTAINS PASSES INCLUDING STATE HIGHWAY 130 THROUGH THE SNOWY RANGE...AND HIGHWAY 70 OVER THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT WHERE 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. CAMPERS...HUNTERS AND PEOPLE TRAVELING ABOVE ELEVATIONS OF 8000 FEET ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED FOR PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. $$ TT  378 WGUS64 KOUN 220907 FFAOUN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 407 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY...WITH A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. RAIN WILL BEGIN IN THE WESTERN BORDER AREAS OF OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TODAY...THEN SPREAD SLOWLY EAST THROUGH FRIDAY. OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-222200- /O.CON.KOUN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD- NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE- BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN- CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON- TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON- JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN- FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD... PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY... CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA... KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL... ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER... CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE... HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK... LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE... WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA... MADILL...DURANT...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON... WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY... HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA 407 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN OKLAHOMA...ALFALFA...ATOKA...BECKHAM... ... BLAINE...BRYAN...CADDO...CANADIAN...CARTER...CLEVELAND... COAL...COMANCHE...COTTON...CUSTER...DEWEY...ELLIS...GARFIELD... GARVIN...GRADY...GRANT...GREER...HARMON...HARPER...HUGHES... JACKSON...JEFFERSON...JOHNSTON...KAY...KINGFISHER...KIOWA... LINCOLN...LOGAN...LOVE...MAJOR...MARSHALL...MCCLAIN...MURRAY... NOBLE...OKLAHOMA...PAYNE...PONTOTOC...POTTAWATOMIE...ROGER MILLS...SEMINOLE...STEPHENS...TILLMAN...WASHITA...WOODS AND WOODWARD. IN NORTHERN TEXAS...ARCHER...BAYLOR...CLAY...FOARD... HARDEMAN...KNOX...WICHITA AND WILBARGER. * THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY ENDING EARLIER IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA. * HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS AROUND 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. THE HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. * DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS AND INFORMATION. MAKE PLANS TO GET TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING HAPPENS. && $$ CMS  203 WWST02 SBBR 220910 1 31 05 02 12 20 SECURITE WARNING NR 1580/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC - TUE- 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 30S AND W OF 035W STARTING AT 201200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 230000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1575/2015. WARNING NR 1581/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC – TUE - 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 32S AND E OF 035W STARTING AT 211200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/4.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 240000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1577/2015.  404 WCPA07 PHFO 220912 WSTPAT KZAK SIGMET TANGO 9 VALID 220915/221515 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR TC OLAF OBS AT 0900Z N1306 W14606. CB TOP FL520 WI 175NM OF CENTER. MOV NW 07KT. NC. FCST 1500Z TC CENTER N1342 W14630.  118 WSBZ31 SBBS 220914 SBBS SIGMET 7 VALID 220915/221240 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S1956 W05115 - S1950 W04955 - S2131 W04816 - S2142 W04925 - S2043 W05037 - S1956 W05115 TOP FL430 MOV E 12KT NC=  166 WSJP31 RJTD 220920 RJJJ SIGMET X01 VALID 220920/221320 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2800 E15830 - N2920 E16130 - N3006 E16500 - N3246 E16500 - N3130 E15920 - N2950 E15630 - N2800 E15830 MOV E 15KT INTSF=  803 WWUS84 KEWX 220917 SPSEWX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 417 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-222100- LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO... ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG... BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS... BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS... SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY... PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES... CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS 417 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...RAINFALL LIKELY TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO PROBABLE FLOODING FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AND PEAK FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD OCCUR ANYTIME TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE GREATEST CHANCES OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL SLOWLY END FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS TO RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL ARE PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN HILL COUNTRY AND ANYWHERE ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. DESPITE RECENT DRY CONDITIONS...FLASH FLOODING IS PROBABLE ACROSS THIS REGION GIVEN THE HIGH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS FORECAST. FLASH FLOODING COULD BE ENHANCED FURTHER ACROSS RECENT BURN AREAS. IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING WILL LIKELY LEAD TO DISRUPTIONS OF OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY COULD REACH 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN HILL COUNTRY AND ANYWHERE ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. POCKETS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES COULD OCCUR IN ISOLATED SPOTS ACROSS THIS REGION. FARTHER WEST...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE WESTERN HILL COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE. ALL INTERESTS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR FORECASTS AS THIS POTENTIAL HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT UNFOLDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES COULD BE POSTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. HAVE WAYS TO RECEIVE FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. REMEMBER...IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. $$  049 WWUS82 KCHS 220918 SPSCHS SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 518 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 SCZ043>045-221315- INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND BERKELEY- 518 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL IMPACT PARTS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING... PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF BERKELEY...DORCHESTER AND COLLETON COUNTIES THIS MORNING. VISIBILITY IN THE FOG WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE AT TIMES...BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE BY AROUND 9 AM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN AND LEAVE EXTRA DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU IN CASE A SUDDEN STOP IS NEEDED. USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS OR FOG LIGHTS...IF YOU HAVE THEM...WHEN YOU ENCOUNTER FOG. && $$  089 WOIN20 VEPT 220900 FROM: FORECAST PATNA TO: FLOOD FORECASTING WARNING CENTRE, DHAKA (E-MAIL ID:FFWC05@YAHOO.COM & FFWCBWDB@GMAIL.COM) MEMBER, JRC (E-MAIL ID: JRCB@QUBEEMAIL.COM.BD) COMMISSIONER (GANGA) MINISTRY OF WATER RESOURCES, NEW DELHI (E-MAIL ID: MOWR@NIC.IN) SENIOR JOINT COMMISSIONER-I(GANGA) MINISTRY OF WATER RESOURCES, NEW DELHI (E-MAIL ID: MOWR@NIC.IN) DIRECTOR, METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE, PATNA (E-MAIL ID: PATNAMC@GMAIL.COM) FLOOD MESSAGE NO 455 M.C.PATNA DATED :22/10/2015 (MORNING) WATER LEVELS OF RIVER GANGA AT SAHIBGANJ ARE AS FOLLOWS (TIMINGS ARE IN I.S.T.) LEVELS (M) LEVEL IN WORDS TIME IN HRS TIME IN DATE 23.110 TWENTY THREE POINT ONE ONE ZERO 2100 TWENTY ONE 21.10.2015 23.110 TWENTY THREE POINT ONE ONE ZERO 2400 TWENTY FOUR 21.10.2015 23.100 TWENTY THREE POINT ONE ZERO ZERO 0300 THREE 22.10.2015 23.090 TWENTY THREE POINT ZERO NINE ZERO 0600 SIX 22.10.2015 FLOOD MESSAGE NO:456 M.C.PATNA DATED :22/10/2015 (MORNING) WATER LEVELS OF RIVER GANGA AT FARAKKA ARE AS FOLLOWS (TIMINGS ARE IN I.S.T.) LEVELS (M) LEVEL IN WORDS TIME IN HRS TIME IN WORDS DATE 15.910 FIFTEEN POINT NINE ONE ZERO 2100 TWENTY ONE 21.10.2015 15.870 FIFTEEN POINT EIGHT SEVEN ZERO 2400 TWENTY FOUR 21.10.2015 15.860 FIFTEEN POINT EIGHT SIX ZERO 0300 THREE 22.10.2015 15.860 FIFTEEN POINT EIGHT SIX ZERO 0600 SIX 22.10.2015=  269 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 SBAO SIGMET 4 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2534 W04223 - S2848 W03717 - S3354 W04022 - S3355 W04554 - S3054 W04720 - S2534 W04223 TOP FL390 MOV E 03KT NC=  271 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 SBAO SIGMET 5 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0559 W03811 - N0743 W03500 - N0543 W03219 - N0525 W03513 - N0559 W03811 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  272 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 SBCW SIGMET 6 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2517 W05310 - S2710 W05350 - S2806 W05527 - S2933 W04604 - S2645 W04345 - S2545 W04224 - S2517 W05310 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  273 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 SBCW SIGMET 7 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2849 W05205 - S3000 W05109 - S3300 W04906 - S2933 W04604 - S2849 W05205 FL140/200 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  274 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737  275 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 WSBZ31 SBRE 220858  276 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 SBCW SIGMET 8 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2210 W05125 - S2415 W04845 - S2258 W04753 - S2118 W04953 - S2210 W05125 TOP FL420 MOV E 04KT NC=  277 WSBZ01 SBBR 220900 SBCW SIGMET 9 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2545 W04224 - S2540 W04553 - S2247 W04545 - S2038 W04202 - S2226 W03808 - S2545 W04224 FL140/200 MOV E 04KT NC=  164 WOUS64 KWNS 220924 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 424 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  264 WSRA31 RUKR 220925 UNKL SIGMET 3 VALID 221000/221400 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N68 S OF N70 E OF E084 W OF E088 SFC/FL100 MOV E 20KMH NC=  338 WCMX31 MMMX 220925 MMEX SIGMET 2 VALID 220910/221510 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR TC PATRICIA OBS N1418 W10218 AT 0900Z FRQ TS TOPS FL540 WI 180NM OF CENTRE MOV WNW 15KT INTSF. FCST 221500 N1448 W10306=  601 WGUS84 KAMA 220926 FLSAMA FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 426 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC087-211-295-483-221230- /O.NEW.KAMA.FA.Y.0152.151022T0926Z-151022T1230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LIPSCOMB TX-WHEELER TX-COLLINGSWORTH TX-HEMPHILL TX- 426 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... LIPSCOMB COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... WHEELER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... COLLINGSWORTH COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... HEMPHILL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... * UNTIL 730 AM CDT * AT 425 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... LIPSCOMB...CANADIAN...WELLINGTON...SHAMROCK...BRISCOE...WHEELER... BOOKER...FOLLETT...HIGGINS...DARROUZETT...DODSON...LUTIE...LELA... TWITTY...SAMNORWOOD...QUAIL...LAKE MARVIN...DOZIER...ALLISON AND GLAZIER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS FARM AND COUNTRY ROADS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 3475 10054 3650 10054 3650 10000 3475 10000 $$ JC  229 WAHW31 PHFO 220927 WA0HI HNLS WA 221000 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 1 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 221600 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 221000 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 1 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 221600 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 221000 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 1 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 221600 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...165-160.  639 WOUS20 KWNS 220927 WWASPC SPC WW-A 220930 TXZ000-221040- STATUS REPORT ON WW 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW FST TO 30 SSW MAF TO 35 SW CDS TO 25 NW CDS. ..KERR..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  800 WWCN03 CYZX 220927 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR 5 CDSB GAGETOWN PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 6:27 AM ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: 5 CDSB GAGETOWN (CYCX) TYPE: FREEZING PRECIPITATION WARNING IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: FREEZING RAIN VALID: UNTIL 22/1200Z (UNTIL 22/0900 ADT) COMMENTS: LIGHT FREEZING RAIN HAS DEVELOPED IN THE VICINITY OF GAGETOWN THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO RAIN IN A COUPLE OF HOURS AS THE SURFACE TEMPERATURE RISES ABOVE ZERO. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/1200Z (22/0900 ADT) END/JMC  397 WSIY33 LIIB 220929 LIBB SIGMET 03 VALID 220930/221330 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR TOP FL370 MOV E NC=  939 WSIY32 LIIB 220929 LIRR SIGMET 03 VALID 220930/221330 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST MAINLY SE PART OF FIR TOP FL370 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST S PART OF FIR ABV FL270 STNR NC=  940 WSIY31 LIIB 220929 LIMM SIGMET 03 VALID 220930/221330 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST MAINLY CENTRAL/N PART OF FIR ABV FL270 STNR NC=  741 WAIY33 LIIB 220929 LIBB AIRMET 03 VALID 220945/221345 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR ISOL/OCNL TS AND CB/TCU FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MOD TURB OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC WSPD 30KT OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC VIS 3000/5000 M BR FCST INLAND PLAIN AEREAS OF CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR STNR NC=  952 WHUS74 KHGX 220931 MWWHGX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 431 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... .ELEVATED ONSHORE FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ELEVATED WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS WEEKEND AS A COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS NEAR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST... AND ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. GMZ330-350-355-370-375-230000- /O.CON.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ MATAGORDA BAY- WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM- 431 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...6 TO 7 FEET NEARSHORE...7 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  782 WHUS44 KHGX 220932 CFWHGX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 432 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK... ...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AROUND HIGH TIDE... .A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS HAS GENERATED ELEVATED SURF...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST. AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE DURING THE EVENINGS AND EARLY MORNINGS...THESE HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS AND WAVE RUN UP MAY APPROACH OR SLIGHTLY OVER WASH THE LOWEST LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. THIS INCLUDES PARTS OF THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA AT HIGHWAY 87 AT HIGHWAY 124...THE BLUE WATER HIGHWAY IN EASTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY AND BEACH DRIVE IN SURFSIDE. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND CONDITIONS COULD WORSEN IF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMS SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING NEAR THE AREA. TXZ214-237-238-230000- /O.CON.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON- 432 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR PIERS... JETTIES AND ROCK GROINS WILL MAKE SWIMMING POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVEN TO THE MOST MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS. THE GALVESTON BEACH PATROL ADVISES TO ONLY GO INTO A DEPTH OF YOUR KNEES IF YOU ARE A CAPABLE SWIMMER. OTHERWISE DO NOT ENTER THE WATER. ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS... WATER HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER THE ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 87 AND HIGHWAY 124 DEPOSITING SAND AND DEBRIS ON THE ROADS ON THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA AS A RESULT OF THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY IN THE SURF ZONE. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL... FLAGS AND SIGNS. SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$ TXZ236-230000- /O.CON.KHGX.BH.S.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ MATAGORDA- 432 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * HAZARDS...ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. * TIMING...STRONG RIP CURRENTS TODAY. WAVE RUN UP TO NEAR THE DUNES AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * POTENTIAL IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR PIERS... JETTIES AND ROCK GROINS WILL MAKE SWIMMING POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVEN TO THE MOST MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY IN THE SURF ZONE. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL... FLAGS AND SIGNS. SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$  802 WAIY32 LIIB 220930 LIRR AIRMET 03 VALID 220945/221345 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD TURB FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT OBS/FCST CENTRAL/E PART OF FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S APPENNINI AND SICILY AND SARDINIA MOV E NC=  803 WAIY31 LIIB 220935 LIMM AIRMET 03 VALID 220945/221345 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR MOD TURB FCST S PART OF FIR AND ADRIATIC AREA BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT FCST ADRIATIC SEA STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC VIS 2000/5000 M BR OBS/FCST CENTRAL/W PADANIAN PLAIN STNR WKN. LIMM MILANO FIR ISOL MT OBSC OBS/FCST E PART OF N SIDE APPENNINI STNR NC=  129 WWUS84 KOUN 220934 SPSOUN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 434 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKZ021-033-034-036-TXZ083-084-221000- HARMON OK-GREER OK-BECKHAM OK-JACKSON OK-HARDEMAN TX-FOARD TX- 434 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARMON...WESTERN GREER...WESTERN BECKHAM...SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON...HARDEMAN AND NORTHWESTERN FOARD COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM CDT... AT 432 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES EAST OF SHAMROCK TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOLLIS TO 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SWEARINGEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARDS INCLUDE... WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL THAT WILL RESULT IN FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 20. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS. && LAT...LON 3423 10005 3423 10000 3534 10000 3542 9965 3423 9965 3390 10005 TIME...MOT...LOC 0932Z 227DEG 40KT 3522 10015 3461 10003 3401 10004 $$ 30  485 WHUS76 KEKA 220935 MWWEKA URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 235 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ450-221745- /O.NEW.KEKA.SE.W.0033.151022T0935Z-151023T1000Z/ /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151023T1900Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO OUT 10 NM- 235 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EUREKA HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS...N 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE NEAR POINT SAINT GEORGE AND CAPE MENDOCINO. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 15 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...NW 9 TO 10 FT AT AROUND 8 SECONDS THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. && $$ PZZ470-475-221745- /O.CON.KEKA.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO 10 TO 60 NM- CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA 10 TO 60 NM- 235 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...N 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...N BUILDING TO 11 TO 13 FT AT AROUND 10 SECONDS TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ455-221745- /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151023T1900Z/ CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA OUT 10 NM- 235 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...N 15 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE NEAR CAPE MENDOCINO. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...NW 8 TO 10 FT AT AROUND 9 SECONDS THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$  957 WHUS74 KLIX 220936 MWWLIX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 436 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE... .PERSISTENT EAST WINDS OVER 20 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED...HOWEVER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR SMALLER CRAFT DUE TO WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS UP TO 6 FEET. GMZ570-221045- /O.CAN.KLIX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 436 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 5 TO 6 FEET. $$ TD  156 WHUS76 KMTR 220937 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA 237 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ540-221745- /O.NEW.KMTR.SC.Y.0148.151022T0937Z-151023T1000Z/ POINT ARENA TO POINT REYES TO 10 NM- 237 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ570-221745- /O.EXT.KMTR.SC.Y.0146.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ POINT ARENA TO POINT REYES 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 237 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ571-221745- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0146.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ POINT REYES TO PIGEON POINT 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 237 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ575-221745- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ PIGEON POINT TO POINT PINOS 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 237 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO  077 WHUS72 KCHS 220941 MWWCHS URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 541 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 AMZ374-221045- /O.CAN.KCHS.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 541 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. $$  654 WGUS54 KMAF 220941 FFWMAF TXC173-329-221145- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0067.151022T0941Z-151022T1145Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 441 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... GLASSCOCK COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 645 AM CDT * AT 440 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. SINCE RAINFALL RATES ARE 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... GARDEN CITY...SAINT LAWRENCE...BIGBY CORNER AND LEES. THIS INCLUDES LOW WATER CROSSING LOCATIONS CR 110 CROSSING LACY CREEK...CR 110 CROSSING LACY CREEK TRIB...AND OVERTON RD CROSSING NORTH CONCHO RIVER TRIB. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3166 10127 3166 10185 3208 10180 3208 10126 $$ 67  075 WARH31 LDZM 220950 LDZO AIRMET 10 VALID 221000/221200 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MT OBSC OBS WI N4554 E01734 - N4630 E01626 - N4539 E01435 - N4440 E01454 - N4418 E01527 - N4407 E01619 - N4505 E01750 ABV FL020 STNR NC=  767 WOUS64 KWNS 220943 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 443 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  404 WTJP32 RJTD 220900 WARNING 220900. WARNING VALID 230900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.1N 142.2E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 25.4N 146.2E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  405 WTPQ21 RJTD 220900 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 220900UTC 24.1N 142.2E GOOD MOVE ENE 07KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 230900UTC 25.4N 146.2E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 10KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 45HF 240600UTC 27.4N 150.5E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 12KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 69HF 250600UTC 32.5N 160.6E 250NM 70% MOVE ENE 25KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT =  596 WHUS76 KSEW 220944 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 244 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ110-221745- /O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0027.151022T1800Z-151023T1300Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 244 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS...COMBINED SEAS RISING TO 10 FEET. * BAR CONDITION...BECOMING ROUGH. * FIRST MAXIMUM EBB...1 PM TODAY. * SECOND MAXIMUM EBB...115 AM TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-221745- /O.CON.KSEW.SW.Y.0022.151022T1300Z-151023T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 244 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS...WEST SWELL 10 TO 13 FEET. * DOMINANT PERIOD...13 TO 15 SECONDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER... BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE  482 WSUS32 KKCI 220955 SIGC MKCC WST 220955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 29C VALID UNTIL 1155Z KS NE FROM 60SE OBH-30SSW PWE-40NNE SLN-60SE OBH AREA TS MOV FROM 22025KT. TOPS TO FL330. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 30C VALID UNTIL 1155Z TX OK KS FROM 60W ICT-40E CDS-70NW DLF-30S FST-20SW GCK-60W ICT AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 25030KT. TOPS TO FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 221155-221555 AREA 1...FROM DSM-60E ICT-JCT-DLF-80SSE MRF-INK-60SE TBE-GLD-DSM REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM CRP-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-CRP WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  483 WSUS31 KKCI 220955 SIGE MKCE WST 220955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221155-221555 FROM YSC-MPV-SAX-PSB-40NW SYR-MSS-YSC WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  735 WSUS33 KKCI 220955 SIGW MKCW WST 220955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221155-221555 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  871 WHUS76 KMFR 220946 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 246 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ376-222315- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0246.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0041.151022T1200Z-151023T0600Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 246 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING. * WINDS: NORTH 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. * SEAS: STEEP WIND DRIVEN 12 TO 14 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. * AREAS AFFECTED: GALES AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF PORT ORFORD THROUGH THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS GALE FORCE WINDS AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ350-356-370-222315- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0246.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 246 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. * SEAS: STEEP INCREASING 9 TO 12 FEET... BUILDING TO A PEAK OF 10 TO 11 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * AREAS AFFECTED: IN ZONE 370...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR SEAS WILL AFFECT ALL AREAS. SMALL CRAFT FOR WINDS WILL AFFECT ALL AREAS, EXCEPT FOR THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE AREA. IN ZONE 350...SMALL CRAFT FOR SEAS WILL AFFECT ALL AREAS. SMALL CRAFT FOR WINDS WILL AFFECT AREAS 5 NM FROM SHORE SOUTH OF CAPE ARGO. IN ZONE 356...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEAS WILL IMPACT ALL BUT THE MOST SHELTERED NEAR SHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEYOND 5 NM FROM SHORE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD  249 WAKO31 RKSI 220950 RKRR AIRMET U01 VALID 221000/221400 RKSI- RKRR INCHEON FIR SFC VIS 5000M FG BR OBS WI N3714 E12501 - N3716 E12746 - N3456 E12746 - N3342 E12501 STNR INTSF=  729 WTPN32 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 145.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 145.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.0N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 15.3N 147.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 16.7N 147.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 18.1N 147.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 20.5N 146.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 22.5N 144.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 25.5N 140.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 221000Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 146.1W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 677 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  109 WSAG31 SABE 220952 SAEF SIGMET 6 VALID 220952/221000 SABE- SAEF EZEIZA FIR CNL SIGMET 5 VALID 220800/221000=  666 WTPN31 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 008// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 14.0N 101.7W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 101.7W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 15.3N 103.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 16.5N 105.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 18.0N 105.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 20.3N 104.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 25.0N 101.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221000Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 102.4W. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 198 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  362 WSMS31 WMKK 221054 WBFC SIGMET A04 VALID 221000/221300 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0415 W OF E11745 FCST STNR INTSF=  748 WSMS31 WMKK 220954 WBFC SIGMET A04 VALID 221000/221300 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0415 W OF E11745 FCST STNR INTSF=  836 WSMS31 WMKK 220954 WBFC SIGMET A04 VALID 221000/221300 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OSAIR31 OIII 220930 METAR OIAW 220930Z 28012KT 6000 DU FEW030CB SCT035 OVC090 28/14 Q1013= METAR OIFM 220930Z 30004KT 4000 HZ NSC 22/00 Q1020 A3014= METAR OIII 220930Z 24006KT 9999 FEW040 OVC100 20/01 Q1020 A3014= METAR OIKB 220930Z 19006KT CAVOK 35/20 Q1012 A2990= METAR OIKK 220930Z NIL= METAR OIMM 220930Z 07006KT CAVOK 16/04 Q1022 A3020= METAR OISS 220930Z 18006KT 9999 FEW035 OVC200 27/00 Q1020 A3014= METAR OITT 220930Z 27010KT 9999 SCT032 20/06 Q1021 A3015= METAR OIZH 220930Z 26006KT 9999 FEW035CB SCT040TCU 28/02 Q1020 A3012=  095 WTPQ20 RJTD 220900 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 220900UTC 25.9N 156.1E FAIR MOVE N 14KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 230900UTC 31.3N 165.4E 120NM 70% MOVE ENE 30KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  900 WHCA42 TJSJ 220955 CFWSPN MENSAJES SOBRE PELIGROS COSTEROS SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 404 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE ESTAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO. ESTO RESULTA EN CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS FUERTES Y RESACAS FUERTES A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO. PRZ001-002-005-008-010-012-VIZ001-221200- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NOROESTE- MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD-CULEBRA- SAN THOMAS/SAN JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- 404 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DE HOY... ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DE HOY... * OLAS Y RESACAS...OLAS ROMPIENTES ENTRE 8 Y 12 PIES. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...Y SAN THOMAS. * DURACION...HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DE HOY. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR ESTA MANANA DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE MAS TARDE HOY. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$  957 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220955 SBAZ SIGMET 6 VALID 220950/221200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCS T WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV SW 12KT INTSF=  362 WSZA21 FAOR 220959 FAOR SIGMET B02 VALID 221000/221400 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR SEV ICE OBS WI S3414 E04833 - S3727 E05333 - S4023 E05700 - S4451 E05700 - S4450 E05641 - S3943 E05120 - S3558 E04629 - S3424 E04623 FL070/180=  200 WGUS64 KFWD 220957 FFAFWD FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 457 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAIN EVENT EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>146-156>159-221800- /O.CON.KFWD.FF.A.0015.151023T0600Z-151025T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL- NAVARRO-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO... DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND... THE COLONY...PLANO...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER... SULPHUR SPRINGS...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD... BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...TERRELL... KAUFMAN...FORNEY...WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN... EDGEWOOD...EMORY...POINT...EAST TAWAKONI...CISCO...EASTLAND... RANGER...GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...GRANBURY... OAK TRAIL SHORES...GLEN ROSE...CLEBURNE...BURLESON...WAXAHACHIE... ENNIS...MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY... COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE...HAMILTON...HICO...CLIFTON... MERIDIAN...VALLEY MILLS...HILLSBORO...CORSICANA...LAMPASAS... COPPERAS COVE...GATESVILLE...KILLEEN...TEMPLE...FORT HOOD...WACO 457 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * MOST OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE WATCH CURRENTLY EXCLUDES THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN AREAS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM TEMPLE TO ATHENS BUT MAY BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THIS AREA LATER TODAY. * FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * FOR PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. * FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND POOR DRAINING STREETS AND ROADS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. && $$ 92  976 WSZA21 FAOR 221000 FAOR SIGMET A02 VALID 221000/221400 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S3132 E04305 - S3158 E04446 - S3412 E04833 - S3430 E04633 - S3550 E04633 - S3250 E04227 TOP FL280=  381 WWUS45 KPUB 220958 WSWPUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 358 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ058-060-066-068-073-075-080-082-221800- /O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS... MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS... WOLF CREEK PASS...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN... PIKES PEAK 358 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10 TO 11 THOUSAND FEET... INCLUDING MOST OF THE MAJOR MOUNTAIN PASSES. * CAUSE AND TIMING...A LARGE...SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY...WET SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THURSDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OVER A FOOT POSSIBLE ABOVE 12000 FEET. * IMPACT...HUNTERS...HIKERS AND OTHER OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS VENTURING INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL ENCOUNTER HEAVY...WET SNOW...PERIODS OF LOW VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. WET CLOTHING FROM MELTING SNOW COULD QUICKLY DROP BODY TEMPERATURES TO UNSAFE LEVELS IF NOT PROPERLY PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. BE SURE TO TRAVEL WITH WATER...FOOD...BLANKETS...EXTRA CLOTHING AND PLENTY OF FUEL. DO NOT STRAY TOO FAR AWAY FROM A PLACE OF DRY SHELTER. BE SURE AND LET OTHERS KNOW EXACTLY WHERE YOU WILL BE AND WHEN YOU WILL BE THERE. CARRY A BACK COUNTRY SAFETY BEACON WITH YOU IN CASE YOU GET LOST OR STRANDED. && $$  654 WTPN32 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 145.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 145.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.0N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 15.3N 147.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 16.7N 147.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 18.1N 147.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 20.5N 146.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 22.5N 144.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 25.5N 140.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 221000Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 146.1W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 677 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  714 WSCN22 CWAO 220958 CZEG SIGMET H3 VALID 220955/221355 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE /N6145 W11106/45 S CYLK - /N6042 W10755/75 N CYBE - /N5946 W10621/30 NW CYSF SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC RMK GFACN32 GFACN35=  715 WSCN02 CWAO 220958 CZEG SIGMET H3 VALID 220955/221355 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE N6145 W11106 - N6042 W10755 - N5946 W10621 SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC=  416 WWUS84 KCRP 221000 SPSCRP SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 500 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ229>234-239>247-222100- LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL- JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTULLA...CALLIHAM...CROSS... LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE... GOLIAD...VICTORIA...LAREDO...FREER...BENAVIDES...SAN DIEGO... ALICE...ORANGE GROVE...KINGSVILLE...CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND... INGLESIDE...ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO... WOODSBORO...PORT LAVACA 500 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD EVENT POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS TROPICAL MOISTURE SURGES IN FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. A WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD EVENT IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC...MOVE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...RESULTING IN HEAVY RAINFALL. ON AVERAGE...RAINFALL EVENT TOTALS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS WITH 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE EASTERN BRUSH COUNTRY...COASTAL BEND...AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. OVERALL...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS WEEK WILL BE LOW. HOWEVER...SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND A BRIEF ISOLATED TORNADO MAY ALSO OCCUR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. SOUTH TEXAS RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER CLOSELY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING AND REVIEW ACTIONS YOU WOULD TAKE IF FLASH FLOODING BECOMES IMMINENT. $$ TE  042 WWUS75 KPUB 221001 NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 401 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ069>071-221815- /O.NEW.KPUB.FZ.A.0002.151023T0800Z-151023T1500Z/ DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY- INCLUDING...CENTER...DEL NORTE...ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA... MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...SAN LUIS... FORT GARLAND...BLANCA 401 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * LOCATION...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. * TEMPERATURE...LOWS FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S. THE COLDEST READINGS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY...INCLUDING THE ALAMOSA AREA. * IMPACT...TENDER PLANTS MAY BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT OUTSIDE UNCOVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$  103 WWUS84 KOUN 221001 SPSOUN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 501 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKZ009-014-021-033-034-036-TXZ083-084-221030- HARMON OK-GREER OK-ROGER MILLS OK-BECKHAM OK-ELLIS OK-JACKSON OK- HARDEMAN TX-FOARD TX- 501 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARMON...GREER...ROGER MILLS... BECKHAM...SOUTHWESTERN ELLIS...WESTERN JACKSON...HARDEMAN AND NORTHWESTERN FOARD COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CDT... AT 458 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF DURHAM TO NEAR SWEETWATER TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF VINSON TO NEAR GOODLETT TO 13 MILES EAST OF SWEARINGEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARDS INCLUDE... WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH... MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 3 AND 37. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS. && LAT...LON 3428 9990 3475 9988 3558 10000 3623 10000 3638 9970 3576 9944 3463 9938 3438 9946 3440 9947 3439 9947 3424 9949 3397 10000 TIME...MOT...LOC 0958Z 231DEG 29KT 3594 9999 3545 9993 3480 9983 3432 9985 3408 9993 $$ 30  785 WTPN31 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 008// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 14.0N 101.7W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 101.7W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 15.3N 103.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 16.5N 105.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 18.0N 105.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 20.3N 104.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 25.0N 101.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221000Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 102.4W. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 198 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  069 WWUS76 KMFR 221002 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 302 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 CAZ080-081-222215- /O.NEW.KMFR.FR.Y.0033.151023T0900Z-151023T1500Z/ WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...WEED 302 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY. * TEMPERATURE: LOWERING TO 33 TO 36 DEGREES F EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS BRIEFLY LOWERING TO FREEZING. * TEMPERATURE INVERSION: A MODERATE TO STRONG SURFACE INVERSION IS EXPECTED IN THE LOWER LEVELS WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 5 TO 10 DEGREES F WARMER WITHIN 500 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...SCOTT BAR...SEIAD VALLEY...KLAMATH RIVER...MONTAGUE...AND WEED. * IMPACTS: SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY COLD TEMPERATURES. RESIDENTS SHOULD PROTECT VEGETATION THAT MAY BE VULNERABLE TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FROST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ ORZ024-026-222215- /O.NEW.KMFR.FR.Y.0033.151023T0900Z-151023T1500Z/ EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAVE JUNCTION...ASHLAND 302 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY. * TEMPERATURE: LOWERING TO 33 TO 36 DEGREES F EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURE INVERSION: A MODERATE TO STRONG SURFACE INVERSION IS EXPECTED IN THE LOWER LEVELS WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 5 TO 10 DEGREES F WARMER WITHIN 500 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: CAVE JUNCTION...SELMA...MURPHY...APPLEGATE... ROGUE RIVER...GOLD HILL...JACKSONVILLE...ASHLAND AND OUTLYING AREAS IN THE ROGUE VALLEY. * IMPACTS: SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY COLD TEMPERATURES. RESIDENTS SHOULD PROTECT VEGETATION THAT MAY BE VULNERABLE TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FROST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ CC  576 WTPN32 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 145.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 145.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.0N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 15.3N 147.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 16.7N 147.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 18.1N 147.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 20.5N 146.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 22.5N 144.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 25.5N 140.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 221000Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 146.1W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 677 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  577 WTPN32 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 145.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 145.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.0N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 15.3N 147.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 16.7N 147.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 18.1N 147.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 20.5N 146.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 22.5N 144.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 25.5N 140.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 221000Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 146.1W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 677 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. /=  386 WOUS64 KWNS 221003 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 503 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC003-033-043-045-075-101-103-105-107-115-125-135-153-165-169- 173-189-191-227-235-263-303-305-317-329-335-345-371-377-383-415- 431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS PRESIDIO REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  956 WSMA31 FIMP 221000 FIMM SIGMET A03 VALID 221000/221400 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1000Z WI S0500 E05800 - S0900 E05800 - S0800 E06200 - S0400 E06500 TOP ABV FL390 STNR NC=  545 WSRH31 LDZM 221003 LDZO SIGMET 3 VALID 221000/221100 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR CNL SIGMET 2 220700/221100=  247 WSRH31 LDZM 221003 LDZO SIGMET 4 VALID 221000/221400 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4453 E01321 - N4133 E01818 - N4226 E01830 - N4539 E01435 SFC/FL060 STNR NC=  837 WSMA31 FIMP 221000 FIMM SIGMET B02 VALID 221000/221400 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1000Z WI S0400 E06500 - S1000 E06900 - S0800 E07500 - S0500 E07200 - TOP ABV FL410 STNR NC=  397 WSCN25 CWAO 221007 CZUL SIGMET E4 VALID 221005/221405 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN /N4917 W07257/60 NW CYRJ - /N4747 W06732/45 N CYSL - /N4707 W06938/75 W CYSL - /N4750 W07257/45 SW CYRJ - /N4917 W07257/60 NW CYRJ SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT WKNG RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZQM MONCTON FIR SIGMET A1=  398 WSCN05 CWAO 221007 CZUL SIGMET E4 VALID 221005/221405 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN N4917 W07257 - N4747 W06732 - N4707 W06938 - N4750 W07257 - N4917 W07257 SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT WKNG=  399 WSCN26 CWAO 221007 CZQM SIGMET A1 VALID 221005/221405 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN /N4917 W07257/60 NW CYRJ - /N4747 W06732/45 N CYSL - /N4707 W06938/75 W CYSL - /N4750 W07257/45 SW CYRJ - /N4917 W07257/60 NW CYRJ SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT WKNG RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E4=  400 WSCN06 CWAO 221007 CZQM SIGMET A1 VALID 221005/221405 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN N4917 W07257 - N4747 W06732 - N4707 W06938 - N4750 W07257 - N4917 W07257 SFC/FL030 MOV E 20KT WKNG=  839 WABZ22 SBBS 221007 SBBS AIRMET 2 VALID 221010/221210 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 20 00/4000M BR FCST WI S2253 W04803 - S2140 W04716 - S2244 W04550 - S2314 W04550 - S2329 W04656 - S2253 W04803 SNTR NC=  840 WARH31 LDZM 221007 LDZO AIRMET 11 VALID 221000/221100 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR CNL AIRMET 9 220900/221100=  069 WHUS76 KPQR 221009 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 309 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ210-221815- /O.EXT.KPQR.RB.Y.0136.151022T1800Z-151023T1300Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 309 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * IN THE MAIN CHANNEL... * GENERAL SEAS: 4 TO 5 FT EARLY THIS MORNING...BUILDING 8 TO 10 FT BY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY FRI MORNING. * FIRST EBB: AROUND 115 PM THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS NEAR 10 FT. * SECOND EBB: AROUND 130 AM EARLY FRI MORNING. SEAS NEAR 12 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ250-255-270-275-221815- /O.CON.KPQR.SW.Y.0074.151022T1900Z-151023T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 309 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS: WESTERLY SWELL BUILDS LATER THIS MORNING. EXPECT SWELL TO CLIMB TO 10 FT BY MIDDAY TODAY...PEAKING AT 10 TO 12 FT THIS AFTERNOON. SWELL WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$  437 WSKZ31 UAAA 221010 UAAA SIGMET 1 VALID 221030/221430 UAAA- UAAA ALMATY FIR SEV ICE FCST ALL ALMATY FIR BTN FL030/ABV150 MOV E 20KMH NC=  894 WGUS64 KAMA 221011 FFAAMA URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 511 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKZ003-TXZ004-005-009-010-014-015-019-020-221815- /O.EXT.KAMA.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BEAVER-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-GRAY-WHEELER-DONLEY- COLLINGSWORTH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER...FORGAN...PERRYTON...BOOKER... HIGGINS...FOLLETT...MIAMI...CANADIAN...PAMPA...SHAMROCK... WHEELER...CLARENDON...WELLINGTON 511 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN ...OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS...COLLINGSWORTH...DONLEY... GRAY... HEMPHILL...LIPSCOMB...OCHILTREE...ROBERTS AND WHEELER. * THROUGH 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. * WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS MORNING...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THE REST OF TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. HEAVY RAINS HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED THREAT FOR FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. * FLASH FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...STREAMS...AND URBAN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR. BACKCOUNTRY ROADWAYS MAY ALSO BECOME MUDDY AND IMPASSABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ OKZ001-002-TXZ001>003-006>008-011>013-016>018-221815- /O.CON.KAMA.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON- OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOISE CITY...KEYES...GUYMON...DALHART... STRATFORD...SPEARMAN...GRUVER...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS... BORGER...VEGA...AMARILLO...PANHANDLE...WHITE DEER...HEREFORD... CANYON...CLAUDE 511 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN ...OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON AND TEXAS. IN TEXAS...ARMSTRONG... CARSON... DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HANSFORD...HARTLEY... HUTCHINSON... MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL AND SHERMAN. * THROUGH 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. * SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER TO HALF INCH POSSIBLE TODAY. RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED THREAT FOR FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. * FLASH FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...STREAMS...AND URBAN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR. BACKCOUNTRY ROADWAYS MAY ALSO BECOME MUDDY AND IMPASSABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ NF  370 WAEG31 HECA 221000 HECC AIRMET 02 VALID 221000/221300 HECA- HECC CAIRO FIR SFC VIS 0600M SA OBS AND FCST OVER HEMM STNR NC=  928 WHUS44 KCRP 221014 CFWCRP COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 514 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING... .THE COMBINATION OF LONG PERIOD SWELLS...SIGNIFICANT SWELL HEIGHTS...AND A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW...WILL MAINTAIN A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. IN ADDITION...THESE CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THESE CONDITIONS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND THE ADVISORIES MAY BE EXTENDED AND/OR UPGRADED IF WARRANTED. WATER LEVELS IN THE BAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED WITH BAYS ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. BAY LEVELS COULD REACH 2 FEET MSL TODAY AND CAUSE FLOODING OF SOME ROADS IN NORTH BEACH AND INGLESIDE BY THE BAY. TXZ242-243-245-247-222100- /O.CON.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCRP.RP.S.0012.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ KLEBERG-NUECES-ARANSAS-CALHOUN- 514 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2.5 FEET MSL. WATER LEVELS MAY REACH 2.75 FEET MSL SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS. * TIMING...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE MORNING HOURS AND THEN AGAIN TONIGHT BEGINNING AROUND 10 PM AND CONTINUING THROUGH 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE PEAK OF HIGH TIDE OCCURRING AT 1254 AM AT PORT ARANSAS JETTIES AND AT 524 AM FRIDAY MORNING AT PORT OCONNOR. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. WITH INCREASING WAVES WITH LONG PERIOD SWELLS...THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO RUN UP AND REACH THE DUNES AGAIN TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ TXZ244-222100- /O.CON.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ SAN PATRICIO- 514 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET MSL. * TIMING....MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE...ESPECIALLY AT INGLESIDE BY THE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ TE  915 WGUS54 KMAF 221015 FFWMAF TXC135-329-221245- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0068.151022T1015Z-151022T1245Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 515 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... ECTOR COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... MIDLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 745 AM CDT * AT 514 AM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MIDLAND...ODESSA...WEST ODESSA...GOLDSMITH...MISSION DORADO... MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...WARFIELD...COTTON FLAT...MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL...ODESSA SCHELEMEYER FIELD...PENWELL...GREENWOOD... MIDLAND AIRPARK...NORTH COWDEN AND SKYWEST AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3205 10185 3168 10185 3169 10270 3204 10266 $$ 33  146 WWCN14 CWHX 221016 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NEW BRUNSWICK UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 7:16 A.M. ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: =NEW= GRAND FALLS AND VICTORIA COUNTY =NEW= MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY =NEW= STANLEY - DOAKTOWN - BLACKVILLE AREA CAMPBELLTON AND RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW THE FREEZING MARK AS AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST EARLY THIS MORNING. SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE LIKELY UNTIL SOUTHERLY WINDS BEGIN TO PUSH IN MUCH WARMER AIR ACROSS THE PROVINCE. TAKE EXTRA CARE WHEN WALKING OR DRIVING IN AFFECTED AREAS. BE PREPARED TO ADJUST YOUR DRIVING WITH CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO WEATHERASPC(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)NBSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NB END/MSC  175 WHUS74 KCRP 221019 MWWCRP URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 519 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED... .PERSISTENT AND STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW AND LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING. ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. GMZ250-255-270-275-222100- /O.CON.KCRP.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 519 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS: SEAS 8 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ TE  799 WSTS40 DTTA 221018 DTTC SIGMET N1 VALID 221030/221430 DTTA- DTTC TUNIS FIR ISOL EMBD CB/TS/TSGR OBS AND FCST OVER N OF N3500.TOP CB BLW FL340 MOV EAST NC.=  766 WWUS64 KMAF 221020 WCNMAF WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 520 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC003-043-103-115-135-165-317-329-377-221130- /O.CAN.KMAF.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 518 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS CANCELS 9 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS BREWSTER PRESIDIO IN WEST TEXAS ANDREWS CRANE DAWSON ECTOR GAINES MARTIN MIDLAND THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALPINE...ANDREWS...CRANE...LAMESA... MARFA...MIDLAND...ODESSA...PRESIDIO...SEMINOLE AND STANTON. $$ TXC033-173-227-335-371-383-415-443-461-221400- /O.CON.KMAF.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS PECOS TERRELL IN WEST TEXAS BORDEN GLASSCOCK HOWARD MITCHELL REAGAN SCURRY UPTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BIG LAKE...BIG SPRING... COLORADO CITY...FORT STOCKTON...GAIL...GARDEN CITY...MCCAMEY... RANKIN...SANDERSON AND SNYDER. $$  967 WHUS73 KAPX 221020 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LHZ345-LMZ342-LSZ321-322-221830- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ347-348-221830- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ349-221130- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LHZ346-LMZ323-341-344>346-221830- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 620 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD  002 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 WSBZ31 SBRE 220858  003 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 SBCW SIGMET 8 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2210 W05125 - S2415 W04845 - S2258 W04753 - S2118 W04953 - S2210 W05125 TOP FL420 MOV E 04KT NC=  005 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737  006 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 SBCW SIGMET 7 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2849 W05205 - S3000 W05109 - S3300 W04906 - S2933 W04604 - S2849 W05205 FL140/200 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  007 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 SBAZ SIGMET 6 VALID 220950/221200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV SW 12KT INTSF=  008 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 SBCW SIGMET 9 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2545 W04224 - S2540 W04553 - S2247 W04545 - S2038 W04202 - S2226 W03808 - S2545 W04224 FL140/200 MOV E 04KT NC=  009 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 SBAO SIGMET 5 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0559 W03811 - N0743 W03500 - N0543 W03219 - N0525 W03513 - N0559 W03811 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  010 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220955  191 WSBZ01 SBBR 221000 SBAO SIGMET 4 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2534 W04223 - S2848 W03717 - S3354 W04022 - S3355 W04554 - S3054 W04720 - S2534 W04223 TOP FL390 MOV E 03KT NC=  247 WWUS45 KABQ 221022 WSWABQ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 422 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 NMZ513-514-222200- /O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-151022T2200Z/ NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET- 422 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES NEAR AND ABOVE 10000 FEET THROUGH THE DAY WITH UP TO 4 INCHES ON THE HIGHEST PEAKS AND RIDGES. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE ON AND OFF THROUGH THE DAY. * WINDS...NO WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED. * SNOW ACCUMULATION LEVELS...AROUND 9000 TO 9500 FEET THIS MORNING AND AROUND 10000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCAL IMPACTS...LITTLE TO NO IMPACT BELOW 10000 FEET. THE WEIGHT OF HEAVY WET SNOW MAY DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES ABOVE RESORT LEVEL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL PRIMARILY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. && $$ 43  955 WOUS64 KWNS 221024 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 524 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC033-045-075-101-105-107-125-153-169-173-189-191-227-235-263- 303-305-335-345-371-383-415-431-437-443-445-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN BRISCOE CHILDRESS COTTLE CROCKETT CROSBY DICKENS FLOYD GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE HALL HOWARD IRION KENT LUBBOCK LYNN MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING SWISHER TERRELL TERRY UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  575 WGUS54 KMAF 221024 FFWMAF TXC335-415-221430- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0069.151022T1024Z-151022T1430Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 524 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... MITCHELL COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... SCURRY COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 930 AM CDT * AT 524 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... SNYDER...COLORADO CITY...CHINA GROVE...VALLEY VIEW...LORAINE... WESTBROOK...HERMLEIGH...KNAPP...WINSTON FIELD...UNION IN SCURRY COUNTY...RANDALLS CORNER...DERMOTT...INADALE...ARAH...LAKE COLORADO CITY...CUTHBERT...DUNN...COLORADO CITY AIRPORT...IRA AND CHAMPION CREEK RESERVOIR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. ARROYOS...STREAMS AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3210 10117 3296 10113 3296 10066 3210 10066 $$ 33  436 WSCG31 FCBB 221024 FCCC SIGMET E1 VALID 221030/221430 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 0315Z E OF LINE N0530 E01511 - N0305 E01530 E OF LINE S0100 E01450 - S0320 E01504 TOP FL500 MOV W 15KT INTSF=  597 WWUS64 KLUB 221028 WCNLUB WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 528 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC045-107-153-189-303-305-437-445-221130- /O.CAN.KLUB.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 518 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS CANCELS 8 COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST TEXAS CROSBY FLOYD HALE LUBBOCK LYNN TERRY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS BRISCOE SWISHER THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BROWNFIELD...CEDAR HILL... CROSBYTON...LORENZO...LUBBOCK...LUBBOCK...O'DONNELL...PLAINVIEW... QUITAQUE...RALLS...SILVERTON...TAHOKA AND TULIA. $$ TXC075-101-125-169-191-263-345-221400- /O.CON.KLUB.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST TEXAS COTTLE DICKENS GARZA KENT MOTLEY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS CHILDRESS HALL THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHILDRESS...DICKENS...GRAHAM... HACKBERRY...JAYTON...MATADOR...MEMPHIS...PADUCAH...POST... ROARING SPRINGS AND SPUR. $$  219 WSRS31 RURD 221028 URRV SIGMET 6 VALID 221030/221230 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR EMBD TS FCST SW OF LINE N4650 E03730 - N4310 E04240 TOP FL340 MOV NE 30KMH NC=  501 WGUS74 KMAF 221031 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 531 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC033-115-227-317-415-221130- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0066.000000T0000Z-151022T1130Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BORDEN TX-SCURRY TX-HOWARD TX-MARTIN TX-DAWSON TX- 531 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CDT FOR BORDEN...NORTHWESTERN SCURRY...HOWARD...EASTERN MARTIN AND EASTERN DAWSON COUNTIES... AT 529 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BIG SPRING...STANTON...GAIL...MESQUITE...BROWN...COAHOMA...KNAPP... SOUTH HAVEN|2...FAIRVIEW IN MITCHELL COUNTY...DERMOTT...KNOTT...SOUTH HAVEN...MIDWAY IN HOWARD COUNTY...SAND SPRINGS...ARAH...LOMAX...BIG SPRING COUNTRY CLUB...MIDWAY IN DAWSON COUNTY...ELBOW AND STANTON MUNICIPAL AIPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. && LAT...LON 3253 10118 3209 10119 3209 10188 3296 10175 3296 10091 $$ 67  014 WWUS72 KILM 221031 NPWILM URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 631 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 NCZ087-096-099-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221300- /O.EXA.KILM.FG.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-151022T1300Z/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE- MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE 631 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH 9 AM. * IMPACTS...DENSE FOG COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THROUGH EARLY MORNING DUE TO SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ NCZ105>110-SCZ053>056-221300- /O.CON.KILM.FG.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-151022T1300Z/ INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER- COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND... BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH... OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 631 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH 9 AM. * IMPACTS...DENSE FOG COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THROUGH EARLY MORNING DUE TO SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ 17  671 WSBW20 VGHS 221030 VGFR SIGMET 3 VALID 221200/221600 VGHS- VGFR DHAKA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N21 AND E OF E88 TOP FL390 MOV ESE NC=  222 WSTU31 LTBA 221035 LTBB SIGMET 3 VALID 221035/221435 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR EMBD TS FCST N3901 E02637 AND OF VCY MOV NE INTSF=  052 WABZ24 SBCW 221036 SBCW AIRMET 4 VALID 221040/221210 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 30 00/4000M RA BR BKN CLD 300/0600FT FCST WI S2442 W04743- S2613 W04847 - S2531 W04939- S2436 W04820 - S2442 W04743 STNR WKN=  560 WSAE20 OMAA 221036 OMAE SIGMET 1 VALID 221100/221500 OMAA- OMAE FIR EMBD TS OBS E OF LINE N2510 E05600 - N2410 E05620 FL040/250 MOV WNW 5KT INTSF=  852 WSPY31 SGAS 221040 SGFA SIGMET 02 VALID 221040/221440 SGAS- SGFA ASUNCION FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1030Z WI S2549 W05707 - S2723 W05708 - S2654 W05513 - S2553 W05437 - S2549 W05707 TOP FL 240/320 STNR NC=  233 WOUS20 KWNS 221040 WWASPC SPC WW-A 221040 TXZ000-221140- STATUS REPORT ON WW 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW FST TO 20 S MAF TO 20 N BGS TO 65 ESE LBB TO 20 NE CDS. ..KERR..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-075-101-105-125-169-173-191-227-235-263-335-345-371-383- 415-431-443-461-221140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN CHILDRESS COTTLE CROCKETT DICKENS GARZA GLASSCOCK HALL HOWARD IRION KENT MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  106 WWUS84 KBRO 221042 SPSBRO SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 542 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ248>257-221800- ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY- INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS... SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR... MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN... PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND... LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA 542 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES THIS WEEKEND FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. IN ADDITION TO THIS... HURRICANE PATRICIA IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER CENTRAL MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. THE REMNANTS OF PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. THIS DEEPENING TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS INTERACTION WILL MAINTAIN THE THREAT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. THE GREATEST RAINFALL THREAT FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WILL OCCUR FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AND WILL MOST LIKELY AFFECT THE EASTERN COUNTIES OF HIDALGO...CAMERON...BROOKS...WILLACY AND KENEDY. THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES FROM NOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WESTERN COUNTIES WILL LIKELY SEE A LITTLE LOWER RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF KENEDY...WILLACY AND CAMERON. RESIDENTS IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MAY EXPERIENCE NUISANCE FLOODING OF POORLY-DRAINING AND LOW-LYING AREAS AND NUISANCE FLOODING OF ROADS THAT HAVE A HISTORY OF FLOODING AS THE WEEKEND APPROACHES. RESIDENTS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY ARE URGED TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AND BE PREPARED TO ACT IN THE EVENT THAT FLOOD ADVISORIES OR FLASH FLOOD WATCHES/WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA. $$  727 WWUS84 KOUN 221043 SPSOUN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 543 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKZ009-010-014>016-021-022-033>036-TXZ083>085-221115- HARMON OK-GREER OK-CUSTER OK-KIOWA OK-WOODWARD OK-ROGER MILLS OK- BECKHAM OK-DEWEY OK-ELLIS OK-JACKSON OK-WASHITA OK-WILBARGER TX- FOARD TX-HARDEMAN TX- 543 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARMON...GREER...WESTERN CUSTER...NORTHWESTERN KIOWA...SOUTHWESTERN WOODWARD...ROGER MILLS... BECKHAM...WESTERN DEWEY...ELLIS...CENTRAL JACKSON...WESTERN WASHITA...WESTERN WILBARGER...CENTRAL FOARD AND HARDEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM CDT... AT 542 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTH OF GAGE TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAMMON TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WILLOW TO NEAR DUKE TO NEAR CROWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARDS INCLUDE... WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH... MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 8 AND 57. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS. && LAT...LON 3635 9997 3660 9946 3595 9917 3541 9911 3411 9951 3385 9991 3545 9986 TIME...MOT...LOC 1042Z 214DEG 42KT 3627 9975 3555 9950 3502 9945 3467 9953 3396 9973 $$ 30  235 WWUS84 KMAF 221043 SPSMAF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 543 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ052-053-221130- MITCHELL-HOWARD- 543 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL MITCHELL AND SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES... AT 543 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COAHOMA...OR 14 MILES EAST OF BIG SPRING...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... COLORADO CITY...WESTBROOK...CHAMPION CREEK RESERVOIR...LAKE COLORADO CITY...COLORADO CITY AIRPORT AND LAKE COLORADO CITY STATE PARK. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 199 AND 216. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 3210 10123 3222 10129 3251 10094 3219 10071 TIME...MOT...LOC 1043Z 231DEG 29KT 3219 10123 $$ 67  248 WOUS64 KWNS 221043 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 543 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC033-075-101-105-125-169-173-191-227-235-263-335-345-371-383- 415-431-443-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN CHILDRESS COTTLE CROCKETT DICKENS GARZA GLASSCOCK HALL HOWARD IRION KENT MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  032 WTID01 WIIX 221049 TEST1  103 WGUS54 KMAF 221052 FFWMAF TXC383-461-221445- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0070.151022T1052Z-151022T1445Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 552 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... REAGAN COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... UPTON COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 945 AM CDT * AT 549 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH OVER UPTON AND REAGAN COUNTIES. FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BIG LAKE...RANKIN...MIDKIFF...NORTH REAGAN FIRE STATION...BEST... STILES...TEXON AND REAGAN COUNTY AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3108 10221 3165 10211 3165 10127 3108 10127 $$ 67  710 WSMC31 GMMC 221053 GMMM SIGMET S2 VALID 221100/221500 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST E OF LINE N3222 W01220 - N2323 W013 48 - N3014 W01043 - N2921 W00739 TOP FL340 MOV NE NC=  127 WSTU31 LTAC 221050 LTAA SIGMET 3 VALID 221100/221400 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1035Z N37 E038 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  366 WSTU31 LTAC 221050 LTAA SIGMET 4 VALID 221100/221500 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS FCST MEDITERRANEAN REGION MOV NE 12KT NC=  003 WWCN01 CYZX 221056 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB GREENWOOD PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 7:56 AM ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB GREENWOOD (CYZX) TYPE: FREEZING PRECIPITATION WARNING IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: FREEZING RAIN VALID: UNTIL 22/1230Z (UNTIL 22/0930 ADT) COMMENTS: A BAND OF PRECIPITATION CROSSING THE AREA COMBINED WITH BELOW ZERO SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING. WHILE ROADS WILL LIKELY BE WARM ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY ICE ACCUMULATION, METAL SURFACES ON CARS OR BUILDINGS MAY SEE A SMALL AMOUNT OF ICE BUILD-UP BEFORE THE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/1230Z (22/0930 ADT) END/JMC  339 WSUS33 KKCI 221055 SIGW MKCW WST 221055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221255-221655 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  340 WSUS31 KKCI 221055 SIGE MKCE WST 221055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221255-221655 FROM YSC-MPV-SAX-PSB-40NW SYR-MSS-YSC WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  541 WSUS32 KKCI 221055 SIGC MKCC WST 221055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 31C VALID UNTIL 1255Z TX OK KS FROM 10N GCK-60W ICT-40NW SPS-40WSW SJT-40ESE FST-10N GCK AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 25030KT. TOPS TO FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. OUTLOOK VALID 221255-221655 AREA 1...FROM DSM-60E ICT-JCT-DLF-80SSE MRF-INK-60SE TBE-GLD-DSM REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM CRP-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-CRP WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  956 WSBZ31 SBCW 221057 SBCW SIGMET 10 VALID 221100/221400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FC ST WI S2500 W05330 - S2455 W04625 - S2843 W04925 - S2725 W05427 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  962 WOUS64 KWNS 221103 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 603 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC033-075-101-105-125-169-173-191-227-235-263-335-345-371-383- 415-431-443-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN CHILDRESS COTTLE CROCKETT DICKENS GARZA GLASSCOCK HALL HOWARD IRION KENT MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  937 WSRS31 RUAA 221108 ULAA SIGMET 2 VALID 221300/221700 ULAA- ULAA ARKHANGELSK FIR SEV TURB FCST FL250/350 MOV SE 40KMH NC=  595 WSBZ31 SBRE 221106 SBAO SIGMET 6 VALID 221110/221300 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTIC FIR CNL SIGMET 4 220900/221300=  944 WSBZ31 SBRE 221106 SBAO SIGMET 7 VALID 221110/221500 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2539 W04215 - S2620 W04225 - S271 7 W04326 - S2714 W04407 - S2645 W04346 - S2539 W04215 TOP FL430 MOV EN E 03KT NC=  617 WSBZ31 SBRE 221106 SBAO SIGMET 8 VALID 221110/221510 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2224 W03812 - S2840 W03149 - S304 3 W03141 - S3138 W03711 - S3358 W03907 - S3400 W04134 - S3357 W04323 - S3400 W04443 - S3007 W04634 - S2713 W04407 - S2717 W04326 - S2619 W0 4224 - S2538 W04214 - S2224 W03812 FL140/220 MOV ENE 03KT NC=  145 WWCN03 CYZX 221108 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR 5 CDSB GAGETOWN PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 8:08 AM ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: 5 CDSB GAGETOWN (CYCX) TYPE: FREEZING PRECIPITATION WARNING ENDED COMMENTS: DUE TO SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE ZERO, FREEZING RAIN IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. END/JMC  896 WABZ22 SBBS 221113 SBBS AIRMET 3 VALID 221110/221310 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 20 00/4000M HZ FCST IN SBBR SNTR NC=  712 WGUS65 KABQ 221114 FFAABQ FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 514 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 NMZ526-530>540-221215- /O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY- EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY- ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS- EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY- 514 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NO LONGER EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE MORNING OR AFTERNOON. THESE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH OR PRODUCE HEAVY ENOUGH RAIN TO WARRANT CONTINUATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. $$  136 WSGR31 LGAT 221105 LGGG SIGMET 4 VALID 221105/221505 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS N OF N3700 MOV ENE NC=  304 WSFR34 LFPW 221115 LFMM SIGMET 2 VALID 221200/221600 LFPW- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4200 E00430 - N4215 E00230 - N4400 E00245 - N4400 E00400 SFC/FL060 STNR NC=  210 WSCG31 FCBB 221113 FCCC SIGMET A3 VALID 221145/221545 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1245Z W OF LINE N0500 E01212 - S0030 E01155 TOP FL500 MOV W 10KT NC=  163 WABZ22 SBBS 221114 SBBS AIRMET 4 VALID 221110/221310 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 20 00/4000M HZ FCST IN SBUR SNTR NC=  180 WWUS82 KRAH 221118 SPSRAH SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 718 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 NCZ011-027-028-042-043-078-089-221330- HALIFAX-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-WAYNE-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...NASHVILLE...RED OAK... SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON... SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...GOLDSBORO...CLINTON 718 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...AREAS OF DENSE FOG EXPECTED ACROSS SECTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH 9 AM EDT... POCKETS OF DENSE FOG REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SECTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING THE I-95 CORRIDOR FROM GARLAND TO GOLDSBORO TO SCOTLAND NECK. MOTORISTS WILL ENCOUNTER RAPID CHANGES IN THE VISIBILITY OVER A RELATIVELY SHORT DISTANCE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU $$  663 WSEG31 HECA 221100 HECC SIGMET 2 VALID 221100/221400 HECA- HECC CAIRO ACC HYV SS FSCT AND OBS AT OVER HEMM THE WSPD MAY BE MORE THAN 30KTS NC=  583 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 SBAO SIGMET 5 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0559 W03811 - N0743 W03500 - N0543 W03219 - N0525 W03513 - N0559 W03811 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  584 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 SBAO SIGMET 4 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2534 W04223 - S2848 W03717 - S3354 W04022 - S3355 W04554 - S3054 W04720 - S2534 W04223 TOP FL390 MOV E 03KT NC=  586 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 SBCW SIGMET 8 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2210 W05125 - S2415 W04845 - S2258 W04753 - S2118 W04953 - S2210 W05125 TOP FL420 MOV E 04KT NC=  587 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 WSBZ31 SBRE 220858  588 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220955  589 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 SBAZ SIGMET 6 VALID 220950/221200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV SW 12KT INTSF=  590 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 SBCW SIGMET 9 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2545 W04224 - S2540 W04553 - S2247 W04545 - S2038 W04202 - S2226 W03808 - S2545 W04224 FL140/200 MOV E 04KT NC=  591 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 WSBZ31 SBCW 221057  592 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 SBCW SIGMET 7 VALID 220800/221100 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2849 W05205 - S3000 W05109 - S3300 W04906 - S2933 W04604 - S2849 W05205 FL140/200 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  593 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 WSBZ31 SBCW 220737  594 WSBZ01 SBBR 221100 SBCW SIGMET 10 VALID 221100/221400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2455 W04625 - S2843 W04925 - S2725 W05427 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  172 WAAB31 LATI 221121 LAAA AIRMET 3 VALID 221200/221600 LATI- LAAA TIRANA FIR ISOL CB/TS OBS/FCST NW AND SE PART OF FIR CB TOP FL350 MOV E INTSF=  348 WSNT07 KKCI 221130 SIGA0G KZHU SIGMET GOLF 5 VALID 221130/221530 KKCI- HOUSTON OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1130Z WI N2730 W09515 - N2730 W09245 - N2545 W09300 - N2600 W09630 - N2730 W09515. TOP FL500. STNR. INTSF.  600 WSPO31 LPMG 221124 LPPC SIGMET 3 VALID 221135/221535 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR FRQ TS FCST S OF N3300 TOP ABV FL350 STNR NC=  602 WOUS64 KWNS 221124 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 624 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC033-075-101-105-125-169-173-191-227-235-263-335-345-371-383- 415-431-443-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN CHILDRESS COTTLE CROCKETT DICKENS GARZA GLASSCOCK HALL HOWARD IRION KENT MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  945 WHXX04 KWBC 221124 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE PATRICIA 20E INITIAL TIME 6Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 14.0 101.7 295./14.9 6 14.6 102.9 295./13.2 12 15.2 103.9 303./11.3 18 15.9 104.7 312./10.3 24 16.4 105.2 314./ 6.5 30 17.1 105.4 347./ 7.9 36 18.1 105.4 359./10.2 42 19.5 105.3 3./13.6 48 21.6 104.9 10./21.7 54 23.7 103.3 39./25.1 60 25.5 100.8 55./29.5 66 25.9 99.2 74./14.5 72 26.6 98.7 37./ 7.7 78 26.8 97.6 79./ 9.9 84 27.2 97.0 55./ 7.7 90 27.7 96.6 41./ 5.5 96 27.8 96.5 30./ 1.4 102 28.0 96.5 349./ 1.6 108 28.1 96.6 346./ 1.2 114 28.4 96.4 30./ 3.4 120 28.8 96.2 29./ 4.4 126 29.8 95.5 33./11.3  955 WHXX04 KWBC 221125 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE OLAF 19E INITIAL TIME 6Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 12.8 145.8 315./ 7.0 6 13.2 146.2 312./ 6.2 12 13.6 146.4 337./ 3.9 18 14.2 146.6 346./ 6.6 24 15.1 146.8 342./ 9.2 30 15.8 146.9 354./ 6.8 36 16.8 147.0 352./10.5 42 17.8 147.0 3./10.0 48 18.7 147.0 358./ 8.4 54 19.3 147.1 349./ 6.5 60 19.9 147.2 359./ 6.4 66 20.6 147.1 1./ 6.5 72 21.2 147.0 12./ 6.2 78 21.9 146.8 19./ 6.9 84 22.6 146.3 31./ 8.6 90 23.5 145.5 43./11.4 96 24.2 144.2 60./14.3 102 25.0 142.6 64./16.4 108 25.8 140.8 66./17.8 114 26.4 139.2 71./15.5 120 26.5 137.5 84./15.9 126 27.0 135.6 75./16.9  553 WSMP31 LMMM 221126 LMMM SIGMET 3 VALID 221126/221526 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR SEV TURB FCST MALTA FIR FL210/430 MOV E NC=  525 WSTU31 LTBA 221125 LTBB SIGMET 4 VALID 221125/221525 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR EMBD TS FCST N40 E029 AND OF VCY MOV NE INTSF=  896 WABZ22 SBBS 221127 SBBS AIRMET 5 VALID 221125/221410 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR BKN CLD 0500/1000FT BR FCST WI S2253 W04803 - S2140 W04716 - S2244 W04550 - S2314 W04550 - S2326 W04622 - S2329 W04656 - S2253 W04803 SNTR NC=  354 WOAU12 AMMC 221129 IDY21010 40:2:1:04:55S125E30045:11:00 SECURITE High Seas Weather Warning for METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC At 1129UTC 22 October 2015 FINAL GALE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREA PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 1200UTC Vigorous southerly winds. AREA AFFECTED Bounded by 33S152E 32.5S153E 35S155E 33S152E. FORECAST S quarter winds 25/35 knots. Winds easing below 34 knots after 221300UTC. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell.  904 WGUS44 KMAF 221130 FLWMAF BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 630 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning for the following rivers in Texas... Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County Rapid rise overnight due to rain upstream. Crest overnight around 11.6 feet. Falling now, will fall below flood stage later this morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico. If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown! River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits. Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could significantly change the present forecast stage. Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland The next statement will be issued later today. && TXC377-222348- /O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0030.151022T1130Z-151022T2348Z/ /CDET2.2.ER.151022T0412Z.151022T0445Z.151022T1148Z.NR/ 630 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 The National Weather Service in has issued a * Flood Warning for the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N. * until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 6AM Thursday the stage was 8.8 feet (2.7 meters). * Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters). * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this morning. * Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas. Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected. Farmers and ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground. This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.9 feet (2.7 meters) on Aug 12 2014. && Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon 7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM Candelaria 3N 7.5 8.5 8.8 Thu 6 AM 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.6 Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon 7AM 7AM 7AM 7AM Candelaria 3N 2.3 2.6 2.7 Thu 6 AM 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 && LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465 $$  493 WOUS20 KWNS 221131 WWASPC SPC WW-A 221135 TXZ000-221240- STATUS REPORT ON WW 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE MRF TO 30 SE MAF TO 45 NNE BGS TO 30 S CDS. ..KERR..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-075-101-105-125-169-173-191-227-235-263-335-345-371-383- 415-431-443-461-221240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN CHILDRESS COTTLE CROCKETT DICKENS GARZA GLASSCOCK HALL HOWARD IRION KENT MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  618 WGUS84 KSJT 221132 FLSSJT FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 632 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC431-221430- /O.NEW.KSJT.FA.Y.0178.151022T1132Z-151022T1430Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ STERLING TX- 632 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... STERLING COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 930 AM CDT * AT 630 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN STERLING COUTY. ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN ESTIMATED ACROSS NORTHWEST STERLING COUNTY AND AN ADDITION 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD EAST INTO THE REST OF THE COUNTY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... STERLING CITY AND BROOME. ... THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ... BADE 331 BADE CROSSING LACY CREEK JACKSON 330 JACKSON CROSSING STERLING CREEK ... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH THESE LOW WATER CROSSINGS OR ANY OTHER ... LOW WATER CROSSING WITH WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY. && LAT...LON 3209 10126 3208 10083 3170 10083 3170 10086 3156 10087 3156 10127 $$ DANIELS  944 WSMS31 WMKK 221133 WBFC SIGMET B01 VALID 221135/221435 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS W OF LINE N04 E116 - N07 E118 FCST STNR NC=  733 ACPN50 PHFO 221134 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 134 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE OLAF...LOCATED ABOUT 960 MI SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. $$ EVANS  316 WSNT08 KKCI 221140 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 2 VALID 221140/221540 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1140Z WI N2945 W05730 - N2700 W05730 - N2530 W06100 - N2815 W06015 - N2945 W05730. TOP FL500. MOV NE 15KT. NC.  680 WWAA02 SAWB 220900 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 09:00 UTC 22, OCTOBER 2015. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) DATE AND TIME REFERENCE MERIDIAN OF GREENWICH - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS PART 1 NO WARNINGS PART 2 GENERAL SYNOPSIS AT 09:00UTC LOW 960HPA 75S 105W MOV S WKN EXTENDS OFNT AT 70S 110W 75S 90W 73S 80W LOW 984HPA 73S 80W MOV NE DPN EXP 65S 50W BY 23/1200 EXTENDS CFNT AT 60S 105W 65S 90W 70S 75W 73S 80W HIGH 1008HPA 62S 50W MOV NE NC EXTENDS RIDGE AT 62S 50W 65S 50W 70S 50W 75S 50W LOW 984HPA 62S 30W MOV SE WKN PART 3 FORECAST ISSUED 12:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 12:00 UTC 2015-10-23 COASTAL AREAS: SOUTHERN PORTION OF DRAKE STRAIT : SECTOR W 4/5 INCR 6 WITH GUSTS BY 23/0300 SNOW FALL SPELLS OF GOOD WEATHER VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR MAR DE LA FLOTA COASTS : SECTOR W 5/4 INCR 6 WITH GUSTS BY 22/2100 PROB OF MIST PROB OFISOL SNOW FALL DURING THE MORNING SNOW FALL STARTING NIGTH IMPR TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD VIS GOOD TO MODERATE OCNL POOR GERLACHE STRAIT : SECTOR N 4 BACK SECTOR W 5/6 BY 23/0300 INTERMITTENT SNOW FALL STARTING NOON PROB OF BLIZZARD VIS GOOD TO MODERATE OCNL POOR MARGARITA BAY : VRB 3 VEER SECTOR N 4/5 WITH GUSTS BACK SECTOR W 4 BY 22/1800 INTERMITTENT SNOW FALL PROB OF MIST PROB OF BLIZZARD VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR EREBUS Y TERROR GULF : SECTOR N 3/4 BACK SECTOR W 5/6 WITH GUSTS BY 22/2100 PROB OF ISOL SNOW FALL TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD PROB OF BLIZZARD VIS GOOD TO MODERATE OCEANIC AREAS: NORTHER BELLINGSHAUSEN SEA (60-66S 70-90W): SECTOR W 5/6 WITH GUSTS DECR 5/4 BY 23/0300 SNOW FALL SPELLS OF GOOD WEATHER VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR SOUTHERN BELLINGSHAUSEN SEA (66-73S 70-90W): SECTOR W 4 ISOL SNOW FALL IMPR TOWARDS NIGTH VIS MODERATE TO GOOD NORTHERN WEDDELL SEA (60-68S 20-50W): SECTOR N 4 VEER VRB 3 VEER 4/5 BY 23/0300 BLIZZARD PROB OF SNOW FALL SPELLS OF GOOD WEATHER PROB OF MIST VIS MODERATE OCNL GOOD SOUTHERN WEDDELL SEA (68-78S 20-60W): SECTOR E 4 PROB OF ISOL SNOW FALL TOWARDS NIGTH PROB OF MIST VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE -----------------------------------------------------------------  340 WSCI36 ZUUU 221135 ZPKM SIGMET 1 VALID 221135/221535 ZUUU- ZPKM KUNMING FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N29 AND W OF E108 TOP FL340 STNR NC=  688 ACCA62 TJSJ 221138 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 800 AM EDT JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO: NO SE ANTICIPA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR ROBERTS  455 WSSR20 WSSS 221139 WSJC SIGMET 4 VALID 221200/221600 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0130 AND E OF E10515 NC=  955 WWUS75 KCYS 221139 NPWCYS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 539 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 WYZ116>118-221500- /O.CON.KCYS.FG.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS- CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE... HORSE CREEK...HARRIMAN...WHITAKER...CHEYENNE 539 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING... * TIMING...UNTIL 900 AM MDT THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...MOTORISTS ON INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN CHEYENNE AND LARAMIE CAN EXPECT RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES THAT CAN MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$ TT  429 WSMS31 WMKK 221141 WBFC SIGMET A05 VALID 221140/221300 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR CNL SIGMET A04 VALID 221000/221300=  022 WOUS64 KWNS 221143 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 643 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC033-075-101-105-125-169-173-191-227-235-263-335-345-371-383- 415-431-443-461-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN CHILDRESS COTTLE CROCKETT DICKENS GARZA GLASSCOCK HALL HOWARD IRION KENT MITCHELL MOTLEY PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  607 WWUS64 KLUB 221144 WCNLUB WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 644 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC075-101-125-169-191-263-345-221245- /O.CAN.KLUB.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 518 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS CANCELS 7 COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST TEXAS COTTLE DICKENS GARZA KENT MOTLEY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS CHILDRESS HALL THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHILDRESS...DICKENS...GRAHAM... HACKBERRY...JAYTON...MATADOR...MEMPHIS...PADUCAH...POST... ROARING SPRINGS AND SPUR. $$  551 WWUS85 KRIW 221144 SPSRIW SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 544 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 WYZ020-022-221430- NATRONA COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS-CASPER MOUNTAIN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CASPER 544 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 THROUGH 9 AM...AREAS OF FOG WILL IMPACT CASPER AND SURROUNDING AREAS OF NATRONA COUNTY. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITY...DOWN TO UNDER A QUARTER MILE IN SPOTS. REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN WHEN FOG IS ENCOUNTERED...AND BE EXTRA MINDFUL OF CHILDREN NEAR SCHOOLS AND BUS STOPS. $$ 21  947 WGUS54 KMAF 221145 FFWMAF TXC173-329-221445- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0071.151022T1145Z-151022T1445Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 645 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... GLASSCOCK COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 945 AM CDT * AT 641 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER EASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY AND GLASSCOCK COUNTY SINCE 400 AM CDT. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THESE AREAS... THEREFORE MORE FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... GARDEN CITY...SPRABERRY...SAINT LAWRENCE...BIGBY CORNER AND LEES. THIS INCLUDES LOW WATER CROSSING LOCATIONS CR 110 CROSSING LACY CREEK...CR 110 CROSSING LACY CREEK TRIB...AND OVERTON RD CROSSING NORTH CONCHO RIVER TRIB. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3166 10185 3208 10185 3208 10126 3166 10127 $$ 67  360 WSAG31 SARE 221145 SARR SIGMET 3 VALID 221200/221600 SARE- SARR RESISTENCIA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1108Z WI S2720 W05550 - S2600 W05440 - S2600 W05350 - S2700 W05340 - S2810 W05550 - S2720 W05550 MOV ESE 10KT WKN=  361 WSCN06 CWAO 221146 CZQM SIGMET A2 VALID 221005/221405 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR CNCL SIGMET A1 221005/221405=  362 WSCN05 CWAO 221146 CZUL SIGMET E5 VALID 221145/221545 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE N4950 W07441 - N4932 W07204 - N4854 W06922 SFC/FL030 MOV ENE 20KT WKNG=  363 WSCN26 CWAO 221146 CZQM SIGMET A2 VALID 221005/221405 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR CNCL SIGMET A1 221005/221405 RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E5=  364 WSCN25 CWAO 221146 CZUL SIGMET E5 VALID 221145/221545 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 30 NM OF LINE /N4950 W07441/10 NW CYMT - /N4932 W07204/60 N CYRJ - /N4854 W06922/45 W CYBC SFC/FL030 MOV ENE 20KT WKNG RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZQM MONCTON FIR SIGMET A2=  347 WSAG31 SARE 221145 CCA SARR SIGMET 2 VALID 221200/221600 SARE- SARR RESISTENCIA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1108Z WI S2720 W05550 - S2600 W05440 - S2600 W05350 - S2700 W05340 - S2810 W05550 - S2720 W05550 MOV ESE 10KT WKN=  875 WAUS45 KKCI 221147 AAA WA5S SLCS WA 221147 AMD AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 221500 . AIRMET IFR...ID MT WY FROM 30SSW YXC TO 40SSW YQL TO 50E JAC TO 20NE PIH TO 30SSW YXC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 09-12Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET IFR...WY CO NM...UPDT FROM 40ENE CZI TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO INK TO 50WNW INK TO 70S FTI TO 20NW ABQ TO 30SE DBL TO 60WNW LAR TO 40ENE CZI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WY NV UT CO AZ NM FROM 20NNE DDY TO CYS TO 20SW TBE TO 60W INK TO 20ENE ELP TO 40ESE TCS TO 20E SSO TO 40SSE PGS TO 20SSE ELY TO 40NE DTA TO 50E SLC TO 30S OCS TO 20NNE DDY MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 15Z THRU 21Z. . OTLK VALID 1500-2100Z...IFR WY CO NM...UPDT BOUNDED BY 40ENE CZI-70SW RAP-BFF-GLD-50W LBL-30ESE TBE-INK- 50WNW INK-70S FTI-20W ABQ-40WNW ALS-DVC-20NNW JNC-20ESE CHE- 70WNW LAR-40ENE CZI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 21Z. ....  675 WSUS33 KKCI 221155 SIGW MKCW WST 221155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221355-221755 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  676 WSUS31 KKCI 221155 SIGE MKCE WST 221155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221355-221755 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  677 WSUS32 KKCI 221155 SIGC MKCC WST 221155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 32C VALID UNTIL 1355Z TX OK KS FROM 10N GCK-60W ICT-40NW SPS-40WSW SJT-40ESE FST-10N GCK AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 25030KT. TOPS TO FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 33C VALID UNTIL 1355Z TX CSTL WTRS FROM 100NE BRO-50E BRO-20ENE BRO-50NNE BRO-100NE BRO AREA TS MOV FROM 20020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 221355-221755 AREA 1...FROM PIR-DSM-JCT-INK-60SE TBE-DBL-RAP-PIR REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM CRP-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-CRP WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  153 WSTU31 LTAC 221145 LTAA SIGMET 5 VALID 221130/221430 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1140Z N40 E041 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  441 WTPZ35 KNHC 221149 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 700 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATRICIA INTENSIFYING QUICKLY... ...PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE COMPLETED TODAY... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 103.0W ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Corrientes to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Patricia was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 103.0 West. Patricia is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest is expected later today or tonight, followed by a turn toward the north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of the hurricane will be crossing the coast of Mexico in the hurricane warning area by Friday evening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued strengthening is forecast, and Patricia is likely to become a major hurricane later today or tonight. Thereafter, additional strengthening is forecast until landfall. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.73 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by Friday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, and are possible within the tropical storm watch area by tonight or early Friday. RAINFALL: Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later today into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Patricia are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan/Roberts  163 WWUS45 KGJT 221149 WSWGJT URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 549 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ019-221500- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 549 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR WOLF CREEK PASS. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 5 INCHES. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...WOLF CREEK PASS WILL BE SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ009-010-013-018-222100- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.151022T1500Z-151024T0000Z/ GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-FLAT TOPS- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 549 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...SNOWMASS...TRAPPERS LAKE...TELLURIDE. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ004-222100- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0068.151022T1800Z-151024T0000Z/ ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- 549 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * TIMING...FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ012-222100- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS- 549 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND THIS EVENING. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$  826 WWUS84 KSJT 221149 SPSSJT SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 649 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ049-054-113-127-221245- JONES TX-FISHER TX-NOLAN TX-TAYLOR TX- 649 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN JONES...FISHER... NOLAN AND NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTIES UNTIL 745 AM CDT... AT 649 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CHAMPION...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROSCOE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... ROSCOE AROUND 705 AM CDT. SWEETWATER AROUND 720 AM CDT. LONGWORTH AROUND 735 AM CDT. SYLVESTER AROUND 745 AM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE LAKE SWEETWATER... CAPITOLA...THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 70 AND RANCH ROAD 53... GANNON...BUSBY...CAMP BOOTHE OAKS...CAMP BUTMAN...THE INTERSECTION OF RANCH ROAD 608 AND HIGHWAY 147...US-180 NEAR THE FISHER-SCURRY COUNTY LINE AND I-20 NEAR THE NOLAN-MITCHELL COUNTY LINE. LAT...LON 3226 10001 3218 10066 3278 10066 3295 10023 TIME...MOT...LOC 1149Z 231DEG 28KT 3235 10063 $$ DANIELS  148 WWCN03 CYTR 221152 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB VALCARTIER PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 7:52 AM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB VALCARTIER (CYOY) TYPE: GUST SPREAD WARNING IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: GUST SPREAD OF 15 KNOTS OR GREATER VALID: 22/1600Z TO 22/2400Z (22/1200 EDT TO 22/2000 EDT) COMMENTS: STRONG WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL OCCASIONALLY MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS RESULTING IN A GUST SPREAD DIFFERENTIAL OF 15 KNOTS OR GREATER. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/1800Z (22/1400 EDT) END/JMC  466 WWCN03 CYZX 221153 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR 5 CDSB GAGETOWN PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 8:53 AM ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: 5 CDSB GAGETOWN (CYCX) TYPE: WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: SURFACE WIND GUST GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 KNOTS VALID: 22/1800Z TO 22/2400Z (22/1500 ADT TO 22/2100 ADT) COMMENTS: A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO BRING SURFACE WIND GUSTS OF 25 KNOTS TO THE GAGETOWN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/1800Z (22/1500 ADT) END/JMC  071 WBCN07 CWVR 221100 PAM ROCKS WIND 3202 LANGARA; OVC 12 S10G15 3FT MDT MOD W SHWRS DSNT ALQDS GREEN; CLDY 15 SE25G31E 5FT MDT TRIPLE; CLDY 15RW- S22E 4FT MDT LO SW BONILLA; CLDY 12 S20 4FT MDT LO S BOAT BLUFF; CLDY 12RW- SE03 RPLD MCINNES; PC 15 S20E 4FT MDT LO-MOD SW IVORY; CLDY 15 SE08 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW DRYAD; CLDY 12 SE10 1FT CHP ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15 SE10E 2FT CHP LO S EGG ISLAND; PT CLDY 15 SE18 3 FT MDT LO W PINE ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE20E 3 FT MDT LO W CAPE SCOTT; OVC 15 SE10E 2 FT CHP LO SW QUATSINO; PT CLDY 15 SE13E 3 FT MDT LO SW NOOTKA; PC 15 N8 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW ESTEVAN; PC 15 E08 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW 1022.2R LENNARD; PC 15 NE05 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; CLR 10 N03 2FT CHP MOD SW PACHENA; PC 15 CLM 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW CARMANAH; PC 15 E03E 1FT CHP LO SW VIS 10 W-NW SCARLETT; CLDY 15 SW10E 1 FT CHP LO NW PULTENEY; N/A CHATHAM; OVC 15 SE4E RPLD CHROME; PC 12 W06 RPLD MERRY; PC 15 NW03 RPLD ENTRANCE; PC 15 W08 1FT CHP FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; PC 08 N07 RPLD RMK F BNK DSNT NE-NW RMK VSBY SW -NW 1/2F Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 232/10/10/2403/M/ 2010 48MM= WLP SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 222/10/09/1313/M/0004 PK WND 1418 1023Z 2009 66MM= WEB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 242/08/08/0804/M/0002 3009 51MM= WQC SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 242/09/08/0000/M/ 1009 92MM= WRU SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 227/11/09/1212/M/0006 1007 04MM= WFG SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 218/12/09/2016/M/ PK WND 2119 1057Z 1006 11MM= WVF SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/12/10/3107/M/M M 88MM= WQS SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 142/10/08/2209/M/0030 PCPN 2.8MM PAST HR PK WND 2631 1001Z 0004 53MM= WRO SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 135/10/09/1717/M/0003 PCPN 0.3MM PAST HR PK WND 1621 1048Z 0003 32MM= WEK SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 143/11/10/1620/M/0002 PK WND 1723 1017Z 0005 15MM= WWL SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/11/09/1718/M/ PK WND 1824 1039Z 1003 26MM= WME SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 211/08/06/1403/M/0084 PCPN 1.8MM PAST HR 1012 82MM= WAS SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 222/11/10/3202/M/ 1007 17MM= WSB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 223/11/10/3102/M/ 1007 31MM= WGT SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 232/11/10/3105/M/M 1007 26MM= WGB SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 229/10/09/2407/M/ 1008 09MM= WEL SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 230/12/10/3109/M/ 1007 73MM= WDR SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 229/10/M/3608/M/M 1014 9MMM= WZO SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0306/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0202/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1100 AUTO8 M M M 232/09/08/1605/M/ 1012 75MM=  039 WWUS64 KSJT 221155 WCNSJT WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 655 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC081-353-221400- /O.EXA.KSJT.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 518 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COKE NOLAN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BRONTE...ROBERT LEE AND SWEETWATER. $$ TXC105-235-431-221400- /O.CON.KSJT.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS CROCKETT IRION STERLING THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MERTZON...OZONA AND STERLING CITY. $$  546 WHUS71 KOKX 221157 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 757 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING... ANZ355-222000- /O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.151023T0400Z-151023T1000Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 757 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS AND SEAS...NW 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-222000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.151022T1800Z-151023T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 757 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...W 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-222000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.151022T1800Z-151023T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 757 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...W 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  057 WOUS64 KWNS 221157 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 657 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC033-081-105-173-227-235-335-353-371-383-415-431-443-461- 221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...  920 WOAU01 AMMC 221159 IDY21000 40:3:1:04:55S075E35060:11:00 SECURITE High Seas Weather Warning for METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC At 1159UTC 22 October 2015 GALE WARNING FOR WESTERN AREA PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 1200UTC Vigorous flow associated with an approaching cold front, forecast near 45S075E 50S087E at 230600UTC and near 43S079E 50S092E at 231200UTC. AREA AFFECTED Bounded by 44S080E 50S098E 50S080E 44S080E. FORECAST NW quarter winds 30/40 knots east of front developing after 230300UTC. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.  891 WSBZ31 SBBS 221158 SBBS SIGMET 8 VALID 221200/221600 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2300 W04749 - S2222 W04716 - S2223 W04609 - S2247 W04545 - S2313 W04551 - S2313 W04551 - S2325 W04623 - S2329 W04655 - S2300 W04749 T OP FL420 MOV E 12KT NC=  054 WSSG31 GOOY 221200 GOOO SIGMET A4 VALID 221200/221600 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1150Z WI N1406 W02618-N1235 W02109-N0510 W03132-N1238 W03648 TOP FL450 MOV NE 10KT NC WI N0959 W01819-N0533 W01324-N0453 W01726-N0836 W02057 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  130 WTSR20 WSSS 220600 NO STORM WARNING=  194 WSSG31 GOOY 221200 GOOO SIGMET A4 VALID 221200/221600 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1150Z WI N1406 W02618-N1235 W02109-N0510 W03132-N1238 W03648 TOP FL450 MOV NE 10KT NC WI N0959 W01819-N1533 W01324-N0453 W01726-N0836 W02057 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  939 WHUS71 KLWX 221201 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 801 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ530>534-537>543-222015- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0800Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 801 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  493 WSSG31 GOOY 221205 GOOO SIGMET B4 VALID 221205/221605 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1155Z WI N1540 W00618-N1259 W00511-N1026 W00532-N1028 W00803-N1242 W00820 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  546 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221201 SBAZ SIGMET 7 VALID 221200/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCS T WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  149 WOUS64 KWNS 221203 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 703 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC033-081-105-173-227-235-335-353-371-383-415-431-443-461- 221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BORDEN COKE CROCKETT GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS REAGAN SCURRY STERLING TERRELL UPTON $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...  543 WWCN01 CYZX 221205 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB GREENWOOD PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 9:05 AM ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB GREENWOOD (CYZX) TYPE: FREEZING PRECIPITATION WARNING ENDED COMMENTS: TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT. THEREFORE, FREEZING RAIN IS NO LONGER EXPECTED THIS MORNING. END/JMC  117 WWUS64 KMAF 221206 WCNMAF WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 518 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 706 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC033-173-227-335-371-383-415-443-461-221315- /O.CAN.KMAF.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 518 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS CANCELS 9 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS PECOS TERRELL IN WEST TEXAS BORDEN GLASSCOCK HOWARD MITCHELL REAGAN SCURRY UPTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BIG LAKE...BIG SPRING... COLORADO CITY...FORT STOCKTON...GAIL...GARDEN CITY...MCCAMEY... RANKIN...SANDERSON AND SNYDER. $$  547 WWST03 SABM 220900 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR NAVTEX STATIONS - METAREA 6 - OCTOBER 22, 09:00UTC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS GALE WARNING: WARNING 257: LOW 1014HPA AT 44S 60W MOV E DEEPENING EXPECTED 43S 55W BY 23/0000 WILL PROVOKE WINDS FORCE 8 FROM SECTOR S AND BETWEEN 40S-45S 55W-60W GENERAL SINOPSIS: LOW 1014HPA 44S 60W MOV E DPN EXP 43S 55W BY 23/0000 LOW 1016HPA 43S 55W MOV E NC EXTENDS CFNT AT MAR DEL PLATA COASTS MOV NE HIGH 1018HPA 43S 46W MOV E INTSF EXP 43S 40W BY 23/0000 EXTENDS RIDGE AT 47S 50W 50S 60W 50S 65W MOV E FORECAST ISSUED 12:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 12:00 UTC 2015-10-23 NAVTEX STATIONS FCST: BUENOS AIRES: NW 3 BACK SW 4 BACK S 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF RAIN STARTING EVENING VIS GOOD TO MODERATE BAHIA BLANCA: SW 5/7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY BACK S 5 BY 23/1200 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR TO MODERATE. MAR DEL PLATA: NW 4 BACK SW 5/6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD IMPR VIS GOOD TO POOR. COMODORO RIVADAVIA: S 7/5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE. RIO GALLEGOS: N OF 50S: SE 5 VEER SW 4 PROB OF ISOL DRIZZLE IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD. REST OF THE AREA: SW 4/5 VEER W PROB OF ISOL DRIZZLE IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD. USHUAIA: SECTOR W 4/5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  549 WWST02 SABM 220900 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 09:00 UTC OCTOBER 22, 2015. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS PART 1 GALE WARNING: WARNING 256: LOW 977HPA AT 47S 24W MOV SE DEEPENING PROVOKES WINDS FORCE 8 FROM SW WITH GUST BETWEEN 45S-50S AND 20W-30W FROM 22/0900 UNTIL 22/2100 WARNING 257: LOW 1014HPA AT 44S 60W MOV E DEEPENING EXPECTED 43S 55W BY 23/0000 WILL PROVOKE WINDS FORCE 8 FROM SECTOR S AND BETWEEN 40S-45S 55W-60W PART 2 GENERAL SYNOPSIS AT 09:00UTC LOW 1014HPA 44S 60W MOV E DPN EXP 43S 55W BY 23/0000 LOW 1016HPA 43S 55W MOV E NC EXTENDS CFNT AT MAR DEL PLATA COASTS MOV NE HIGH 1018HPA 43S 46W MOV E INTSF EXP 43S 40W BY 23/0000 EXTENDS RIDGE AT 47S 50W 50S 60W 50S 65W MOV E LOW 977HPA 47S 24W MOV SE DPN ICEBERG AT 5857S 4832W ESTIMATED SIZE 14 X 26KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE ICEBERG AT 5924S 5037W ESTIMATED SIZE 14 X 24KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE PART 3 FORECAST ISSUED 12:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 12:00 UTC 2015-10-23 COASTAL AREAS: INNER RIO DE LA PLATA: NW 3 BACK SW 4 BACK S 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF RAIN STARTING EVENING VIS GOOD TO MODERATE OUTER RIO DE LA PLATA: N 4 BACK SECTOR S 5/6 WITH GUSTS VEER SW BY 23/1200 PROB OF RAIN STARTING EVENING VIS GOOD TO POOR URUGUAY SOUTH EAST COASTS: E 3/4 BACK N BACK SW 5 BY 23/0600 PROB OF RAIN TOWARDS EVENING COASTAL MIST DISSIPATING VIS GOOD TO POOR MAR DEL PLATA COASTS(36š17S - 38š30S): NW 4 BACK SW 5/6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD IMPR VIS GOOD TO POOR RINCON BAHIA BLANCA COASTS(38š30S - 41šS): SW 5/7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY BACK S 5 BY 23/1200 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR TO MODERATE PENINSULA DE VALDES COASTS(41šS - 45šS): SW 7/8 WITH GUSTS BACK S 6/4 BY 23/0000 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR GOLFO DE SAN JORGE COASTS(45šS - 48šS): S 7/5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE SOUTH PATAGONIA COASTS(48šS - 54šS) N OF 50S: SE 5 VEER SW 4 PROB OF ISOL DRIZZLE IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD SOUTH PATAGONIA COASTS(48šS - 54šS) REST OF THE AREA: SW 4/5 VEER W PROB OF ISOL DRIZZLE IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD FIN DEL MUNDO COASTS(54šS - 55šS): SECTOR W 4/5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: SW 4/5 VEER W BY 23/1200 PROB OF SH VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE OCEANIC AREAS: NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) E OF 25W: NW 7/5 WITH GUSTS BACK SECTOR S PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) E OF 40 - W OF 25W: SE 5 BACK E VIS GOOD NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) E OF 50 - W OF 40W: E 4/5 BACK N 6 BACK W 7 WITH GUSTS BY 23/1200 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE TO POOR NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) REST OF THE AREA: N 5/4 BACK NW 6 BACK SW 6/7 BY 23/0000 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS GOOD TO POOR CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) N OF 45 - E OF 30W: SW 7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY DECR 5 PROB OF SH RAIN IMPR VIS POOR TO MODERATE CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) S OF 45 - E OF 30W: SW 8 WITH GUSTS VEER W 8/6 BY 23/0000 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 6/5 PROB OF ISOL SH VIS MODERATE CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) N OF 45 - E OF 50W: SECTOR E 4/6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF RAIN STORMS STARTING NIGTH VIS MODERATE TO VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) S OF 45 - E OF 50W: SW 5/4 BACK SECTOR E 6 PROB OF DRIZZLE RAIN STARTING NIGTH VIS MODERATE TO POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) N OF 45 - W OF 50W: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR S 6/8 WITH GUSTS BY 23/0000 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE TO VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SE 5/7 WITH GUSTS VEER S 6 BY 23/1200 PROB OF DRIZZLE RAIN VIS POOR SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) N OF 55 - E OF 30W: SW 7/8 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SNOW FALL VIS VERY POOR TO POOR SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) S OF 55 - E OF 30W: NW 6 WITH GUSTS BACK SW 8 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SNOW FALL VIS VERY POOR TO POOR SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 6/7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY PROB OF SH OF SNOW VIS MODERATE OCNL VERY POOR SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) N OF 55S: SW 6/5 VEER W BY 23/0000 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS MODERATE SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 7/6 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY VEER W PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR DRAKE AREA (55S- 60S AND 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE TO POOR ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  548 WWST01 SABM 220900 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 2015-10-22 , 09:00 UTC. SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL HORA Y FECHA EN REFERENCIA AL TIEMPO UNIVERSAL COORDINADO (UTC), PRESION EN HPA, ESCALA BEAUFORT PARA VIENTO Y ALTURA DE OLAS EN METROS. 1 PARTE AVISO DE TEMPORAL: AVISO 256: DEPRESION 977HPA EN 47S 24W MOV SE PROFUNDIZANDOSE PROVOCA VIENTO FUERZA 8 DEL SW CON RAFAGAS EN 45S-50S 20W-30W A PARTIR DEL 22/0900 HASTA EL 22/2100 AVISO 257: DEPRESION 1014HPA EN 44S 60W MOV E PROFUNDIZANDOSE PREVISTO EN 43S 55W EL 23/0000 PROVOCARA VIENTO FUERZA 8 DEL SECTOR S ENTRE 40S-45S 55W-60W 2 PARTE SINOPSIS GENERAL A LAS 09:00UTC DEPRESION 1014HPA 44S 60W MOV E DPN EXP 43S 55W EL 23/0000 DEPRESION 1016HPA 43S 55W MOV E NC EXTIENDE CFNT EN COSTA MAR DEL PLATA MOV NE ANTICICLON 1018HPA 43S 46W MOV E INTSF EXP 43S 40W EL 23/0000 EXTIENDE EJE DE CUŅA EN 47S 50W 50S 60W 50S 65W MOV E DEPRESION 977HPA 47S 24W MOV SE DPN TEMPANO EN 5857S 4832W TAMAŅO ESTIMADO 14 X 26KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE TEMPANO EN 5924S 5037W TAMAŅO ESTIMADO 14 X 24KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE 3 PARTE PRONOSTICO DE LAS 12:00 UTC VALIDO HASTA LAS 12:00 UTC DEL DIA 23-10-2015 ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA INTERIOR: NW 3 BACK SW 4 BACK S 5 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS A PARTIR DE LA TARDE VIS BUENA A REGULAR RIO DE LA PLATA EXTERIOR: N 4 BACK SECTOR S 5/6 CON RAFAGAS VEER SW EL 23/1200 PROB DE LLUVIAS A PARTIR DE LA TARDE VIS BUENA A MALA COSTA SUDESTE DEL URUGUAY: E 3/4 BACK N BACK SW 5 EL 23/0600 PROB DE LLUVIAS HACIA LA TARDE NEBLINAS COSTERAS DISIPANDOSE VIS BUENA A MALA COSTA MAR DEL PLATA(36š17S - 38š30S): NW 4 BACK SW 5/6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH LLUVIAS HACIA EL FINAL DEL PERIODO MEJORANDO VIS BUENA A MALA RINCON BAHIA BLANCA(38š30S - 41šS): SW 5/7 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 BACK S 5 EL 23/1200 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA A REGULAR COSTA PENINSULA DE VALDES(41šS - 45šS): SW 7/8 CON RAFAGAS BACK S 6/4 EL 23/0000 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA GOLFO DE SAN JORGE(45šS - 48šS): S 7/5 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR COSTA PATAGONIA SUR(48šS - 54šS) N DE 50S: SE 5 VEER SW 4 PROB DE LLOVIZNAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA PATAGONIA SUR(48šS - 54šS) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 4/5 VEER W PROB DE LLOVIZNAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA FIN DEL MUNDO(54šS - 55šS): SECTOR W 4/5 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR COSTA DE ISLAS MALVINAS: SW 4/5 VEER W EL 23/1200 PROB DE SH VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREAS OCEANICAS: AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) E DE 25W: NW 7/5 CON RAFAGAS BACK SECTOR S PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) E DE 40 - W DE 25W: SE 5 BACK E VIS BUENA AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) E DE 50 - W DE 40W: E 4/5 BACK N 6 BACK W 7 CON RAFAGAS EL 23/1200 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR A MALA AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) RESTO DEL AREA: N 5/4 BACK NW 6 BACK SW 6/7 EL 23/0000 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS BUENA A MALA AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) N DE 45 - E DE 30W: SW 7 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 DECR 5 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS MEJORANDO VIS MALA A REGULAR AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) S DE 45 - E DE 30W: SW 8 CON RAFAGAS VEER W 8/6 EL 23/0000 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 6/5 PROB DE SH AISLADOS VIS REGULAR AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) N DE 45 - E DE 50W: SECTOR E 4/6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS TORMENTAS A PARTIR DE LA NOCHE VIS REGULAR A MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) S DE 45 - E DE 50W: SW 5/4 BACK SECTOR E 6 PROB DE LLOVIZNAS LLUVIAS A PARTIR DE LA NOCHE VIS REGULAR A MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) N DE 45 - W DE 50W: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR S 6/8 CON RAFAGAS EL 23/0000 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR A MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SE 5/7 CON RAFAGAS VEER S 6 EL 23/1200 PROB DE LLOVIZNAS LLUVIAS VIS MALA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) N DE 55 - E DE 30W: SW 7/8 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE NEVADAS VIS MALA A MUY MALA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) S DE 55 - E DE 30W: NW 6 CON RAFAGAS BACK SW 8 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE NEVADAS VIS MALA A MUY MALA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 6/7 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 PROB DE SH DE NIEVE VIS REGULAR OCNL MUY MALA AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) N DE 55S: SW 6/5 VEER W EL 23/0000 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 7/6 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 VEER W PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA PASAJE DE DRAKE (55S- 60S Y 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/7 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR A MALA ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  679 WARH31 LDZM 221200 LDZO AIRMET 12 VALID 221200/221500 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MT OBSC OBS WI N4554 E01734 - N4630 E01626 - N4539 E01435 - N4440 E01454 - N4418 E01527 - N4407 E01619 - N4505 E01750 ABV FL020 STNR NC=  286 WSMP31 LMMM 221207 LMMM SIGMET 4 VALID 221204/221604 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST W OF E014 TOP FL320 MOV E NC=  669 WVJP31 RJTD 221215 RJJJ SIGMET M03 VALID 221215/221815 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT ASOSAN PSN N3253 E13106 VA CLD OBS AT 1200Z FL050 MOV SW INTST UNKNOWN=  324 WAAK48 PAWU 221210 WA8O ANCS WA 221215 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 222015 . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC S AND E PAGK MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . KUSKOKWIM VLY AF MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG S PARS OCNL CIG BLW 010/ISOL VIS BLW 3SM -SHRA BR. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . AK PEN AI MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =ANCT WA 221215 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 222015 . NONE . =ANCZ WA 221215 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 222015 . NONE . RMS OCT 2015 AAWU  614 WAAK47 PAWU 221210 WA7O JNUS WA 221215 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 222015 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 221215 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 222015 . NONE . =JNUZ WA 221215 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 222015 . NONE . RMS OCT 2015 AAWU  669 WABZ24 SBCW 221210 SBCW AIRMET 5 VALID 221210/221410 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 30 00/4000M RA BR BKN CLD 300/0600FT FCST WI S2326 W04628 - S2355 W04617 - S2613 W04847 - S2533 W05003 - S2330 W04656 - S2326 W04628 STNR WKN=  812 WOUS64 KWNS 221211 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 711 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC081-105-235-353-431-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION NOLAN STERLING $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...  759 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221211 SBAZ SIGMET 8 VALID 221210/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCS T WI S0040 W06409 - S0124 W06243 - S0344 W06417 - S0250 W06525 - S0040 W06409 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  193 WWUS82 KCAE 221212 SPSCAE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 812 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 SCZ038-221400- CLARENDON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANNING...SUMMERTON 812 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATCHY DENSE FOG ACROSS PARTS OF CLARENDON COUNTY THIS MORNING... LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF CLARENDON COUNTY THROUGH 10 AM THIS MORNING. MOST AFFECTED WILL BE LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR...WHERE VISIBILITIES MAY BE BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES AND CHANGE RAPIDLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. ALLOW EXTRA TRAVEL TIME THIS MORNING AND USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS IF YOU ENCOUNTER ANY DENSE FOG. $$ GERAPETRITIS  392 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221211 SBAZ SIGMET 9 VALID 221207/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 7 221200/221400=  036 WGUS74 KMAF 221213 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 713 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC383-461-221445- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151022T1445Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ REAGAN TX-UPTON TX- 713 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR REAGAN AND UPTON COUNTIES... AT 710 AM CDT...THE UPTON COUNTY S.O. REPORTED PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 349 FROM 4 TO 7 MILES NORTH OF RANKIN WAS IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER. AT 709 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH OVER UPTON AND REAGAN COUNTIES. THESE STORMS WERE PRODUCING 1 TO 2 INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES SO ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BIG LAKE...RANKIN...MIDKIFF...NORTH REAGAN FIRE STATION...BEST... STILES...TEXON AND REAGAN COUNTY AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3108 10221 3165 10211 3165 10127 3108 10127 $$ 67  842 WWNZ40 NZKL 221210 STORM WARNING 432 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 221200UTC LOW 999HPA NEAR 44S 124W MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 5KT. 1. WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST TO EAST: CLOCKWISE 50KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6-12 HOURS. 2. OUTSIDE AREA 1 AND WITHIN 180 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST TO EAST: CLOCKWISE 35KT DEVELOPING NEXT 6 HOURS. STORM AND GALE AREAS MOVING WITH LOW.  843 WWNZ40 NZKL 221213 CANCEL WARNING 430  844 WWNZ40 NZKL 221211 STORM WARNING 433 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 221200UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. FRONT 45S 156W 53S 141W 59S 135W 65S 138W MOVING EAST 35KT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW 926HPA NEAR 63S 147W MOVING SOUTHEAST 30KT. 1. WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST TO EAST: CLOCKWISE 50KT. STORM AREA MOVING SOUTHEAST 30KT. 2. OUTSIDE AREA 1 AND WITHIN 1620 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF FRONT: SOUTHWEST 40KT AT TIMES. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 35KT. 3. OUTSIDE AREAS 1 AND 2 AND WITHIN 480 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF FRONT: NORTHWEST 40KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 35KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 429.  950 WWNZ40 NZKL 221212 GALE WARNING 434 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES AND SOUTHERN AT 221200UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. IN A BELT 420 NAUTICAL MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 52S 152E 51S 164E 52S 174E: WESTERLY 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 45KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 431.  171 WSUK31 EGRR 221214 EGTT SIGMET 04 VALID 221300/221700 EGRR- EGTT LONDON FIR SEV MTW FCST N OF N5300 FL030/150 STNR NC=  221 WANO35 ENMI 221214 ENBD AIRMET D02 VALID 221230/221630 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL MOD ICE FCST BTN N6500 AND N6730 FL040/150 MOV NE NC=  790 WHCA72 TJSJ 221214 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 814 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES...BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. AMZ712-715-725-742-745-222015- /O.EXP.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.NEW.TJSJ.SC.Y.0038.151022T1214Z-151022T2100Z/ COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- 814 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 10 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ710-722-741-222015- /O.EXT.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N- ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N- 814 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 10 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  084 WGUS54 KSJT 221216 FFWSJT TXC431-221515- /O.NEW.KSJT.FF.W.0044.151022T1216Z-151022T1515Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 716 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... STERLING COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1015 AM CDT * AT 713 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE FALLEN ACROSS NORTHWEST STERLING COUNTY AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. THIS MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF ROADWAYS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING AREAS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST INTO MUCH OF THE REST OF STERLING COUNTY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... STERLING CITY. ... THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ... BADE 331 BADE CROSSING LACY CREEK JACKSON 330 JACKSON CROSSING STERLING CREEK ... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH THESE LOW WATER CROSSINGS OR ANY OTHER ... LOW WATER CROSSING WITH WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3209 10126 3208 10085 3173 10085 3157 10098 3156 10122 3156 10127 $$ DANIELS  158 WAAK49 PAWU 221218 WA9O FAIS WA 221215 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 222015 . UPR YKN VLY FB PACR SE MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . TANANA VLY FC PABI-PAMH LN S OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SN BR. IMPR. . TANANA VLY FC PABI-PAMH LN S MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . LWR YKN VLY FF KUSKOKWIM MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS. NC. . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG PAQT E OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SHSN BR. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH E SURVEY PASS MTS OCNL OBSC CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =FAIT WA 221215 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 222015 . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG OFSHR W PPIZ SUSTAINED SFC WND 30 KT OR GTR. WKN. . =FAIZ WA 221215 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 222015 . NONE . AV OCT 2015 AAWU  693 WHCA72 TJSJ 221219 MWWSPN URGENTE - MENSAJE MARITIMO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 814 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...OLEAJE PELIGROSO A TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO Y LOS PASAJES LOCALES... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO Y LOS PASAJES LOCALES...ANTES DE DISMINUIR MAS TARDE HOY. AMZ712-715-725-742-745-222015- 814 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY... * VIENTOS...DEL SURESTE DE 5 A 10 NUDOS. * OLAS/OLEAJE...DE 6 A 8 PIES CON OLEAJE OCASIONAL HASTA DE 10 PIES EN MAREJADAS DEL NORTE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA OLEAJE DE 7 PIES O MAS PRODUCIENDO CONDICIONES MARITIMAS PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NAVEGANTES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE AQUELLOS QUE OPERAN NAVES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$ AMZ710-722-741-222015- 814 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM DE HOY... * VIENTOS...DEL SURESTE DE 5 A 10 NUDOS. * OLAS/OLEAJE...DE 6 A 8 PIES CON OLEAJE OCASIONAL HASTA DE 10 PIES EN MAREJADAS DEL NORTE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA OLEAJE DE 7 PIES O MAS PRODUCIENDO CONDICIONES MARITIMAS PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NAVEGANTES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE AQUELLOS QUE OPERAN NAVES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$  750 WHCA42 TJSJ 221219 CFWSJU COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 819 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ......HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL IS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS IS RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-222030- /O.EXP.TJSJ.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.EXP.TJSJ.RP.S.0016.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.NEW.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.151022T1219Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.NEW.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.151022T1219Z-151023T0000Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-CULEBRA- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- 819 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL AT LEAST 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING. * WAVES AND SURF...BREAKING WAVES BETWEEN 8 TO 12 FEET. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...THROUGH 8 AM AST THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TODAY. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. && $$ PRZ010-222030- /O.EXP.TJSJ.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.EXP.TJSJ.RP.S.0016.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.NEW.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.151022T1219Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.NEW.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.151022T1219Z-151022T2100Z/ MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY- 819 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. * WAVES AND SURF...BREAKING WAVES BETWEEN 8 TO 12 FEET. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...THROUGH 8 AM AST THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TODAY. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. && $$  869 WOUS20 KWNS 221221 WWASPC SPC WW-A 221220 TXZ000-221340- STATUS REPORT ON WW 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW SJT TO 65 WSW SJT TO 65 NE BGS. ..KERR..10/22/15 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC081-105-235-353-431-221340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION NOLAN STERLING $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$  086 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 SBAO SIGMET 4 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2534 W04223 - S2848 W03717 - S3354 W04022 - S3355 W04554 - S3054 W04720 - S2534 W04223 TOP FL390 MOV E 03KT NC=  087 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 220955  088 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 WSBZ31 SBCW 221057  089 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221201  090 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 SBCW SIGMET 10 VALID 221100/221400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2455 W04625 - S2843 W04925 - S2725 W05427 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  091 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 SBAO SIGMET 5 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0559 W03811 - N0743 W03500 - N0543 W03219 - N0525 W03513 - N0559 W03811 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  092 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 SBAZ SIGMET 7 VALID 221200/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  093 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 WSBZ31 SBRE 220858  094 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 SBAZ SIGMET 6 VALID 220950/221200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV SW 12KT INTSF=  095 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 WSBZ31 SBRE 221106  097 WSBZ01 SBBR 221200 SBAO SIGMET 8 VALID 221110/221510 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2224 W03812 - S2840 W03149 - S3043 W03141 - S3138 W03711 - S3358 W03907 - S3400 W04134 - S3357 W04323 - S3400 W04443 - S3007 W04634 - S2713 W04407 - S2717 W04326 - S2619 W04224 - S2538 W04214 - S2224 W03812 FL140/220 MOV ENE 03KT NC=  949 WOUS64 KWNS 221224 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 724 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC081-105-235-353-431-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION NOLAN STERLING $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...  540 WGUS74 KMAF 221226 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 726 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC335-415-221430- /O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151022T1430Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MITCHELL TX-SCURRY TX- 726 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 AM CDT FOR MITCHELL AND SCURRY COUNTIES... AT 715 AM CDT...THE SNYDER F.D. REPORTED A FEW ROADS IN SNYDER WERE BARRICADED DUE TO HIGH WATER. AT 723 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL PER HOUR WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH OVER THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... SNYDER...COLORADO CITY...CHINA GROVE...VALLEY VIEW...LORAINE... WESTBROOK...HERMLEIGH...KNAPP...WINSTON FIELD...UNION IN SCURRY COUNTY...RANDALLS CORNER...DERMOTT...INADALE...ARAH...LAKE COLORADO CITY...CUTHBERT...DUNN...COLORADO CITY AIRPORT...IRA AND CHAMPION CREEK RESERVOIR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. ARROYOS...STREAMS AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL. && LAT...LON 3210 10117 3296 10113 3296 10066 3210 10066 $$ 67  596 WHCA42 TJSJ 221226 CFWSPN MENSAJES SOBRE PELIGROS COSTEROS SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 819 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE ESTAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO. ESTO RESULTA EN CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS FUERTES Y RESACAS FUERTES A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-222030- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NOROESTE-CULEBRA-SAN THOMAS/SAN JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- 819 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY... ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DE HOY... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES...QUE ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY. ADEMAS...UN COMUNICADO DE ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS HA SIDO EMITIDO. ESTE POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DE HOY. * OLAS Y RESACAS...OLAS ROMPIENTES ENTRE 8 Y 12 PIES. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...Y SAN THOMAS. * DURACION...HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DE HOY. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR ESTA MANANA DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE MAS TARDE HOY. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$ PRZ010-222030- MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD- 819 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY... ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES...QUE ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY. ADEMAS...UN COMUNICADO DE ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS HA SIDO EMITIDO. ESTE POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY. * OLAS Y RESACAS...OLAS ROMPIENTES ENTRE 8 Y 12 PIES. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...Y SAN THOMAS. * DURACION...HASTA LAS 8 AM AST DE HOY. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR ESTA MANANA DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE MAS TARDE HOY. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$  390 WSCR31 LEMM 221230 GCCC SIGMET 5 VALID 221230/221630 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR OCNL TS OBS NW OF LINE N22 W024- N32 W012 TOP ABV FL350 STNR NC=  480 WGUS54 KMAF 221229 FFWMAF TXC135-329-221445- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0068.000000T0000Z-151022T1445Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 729 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... ECTOR COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... MIDLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 945 AM CDT * AT 726 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN TWO INCHES HAVE BEEN WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. MIDLAND LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORTING THAT ALL LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE CLOSED. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MIDLAND...ODESSA...WEST ODESSA...GOLDSMITH...MISSION DORADO... MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...WARFIELD...COTTON FLAT...MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL...ODESSA SCHELEMEYER FIELD...PENWELL...GREENWOOD... MIDLAND AIRPARK...NORTH COWDEN AND SKYWEST AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. ARROYOS...STREAMS AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3205 10185 3168 10185 3169 10270 3204 10266 $$ STROBIN  777 WSRS31 RURD 221229 URRV SIGMET 7 VALID 221230/221500 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR EMBD TS FCST SW OF LINE N4650 E03730 - N4310 E04240 TOP FL340 MOV NE 30KMH NC=  728 WGUS64 KLUB 221230 FFALUB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 730 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... TXZ021>024-027>030-033>036-039>042-222030- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-COCHRAN- HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT... HART...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD... OLTON...PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK... RALLS...CROSBYTON...LORENZO...DENVER CITY...PLAINS...BROWNFIELD... TAHOKA...O'DONNELL...GRAHAM...POST 730 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * BAILEY...COCHRAN...CROSBY...FLOYD...GARZA...HALE...HOCKLEY...LAMB...LUBBOCK...LYNN...TERRY...YOAKUM...BRISCOE...CASTRO...PARMER AND SWISHER. * THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-222030- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...CHILDRESS...MATADOR... ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...HACKBERRY...SPUR...DICKENS...DUMONT... FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 730 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES * CHILDRESS...COTTLE...DICKENS...KENT...KING...MOTLEY...STONEWALL AND HALL. * THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. && $$  694 WSCR31 LEMM 221230 CCA GCCC SIGMET 5 VALID 221230/221630 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N22 W024- N32 W012 TOP ABV FL350 STNR NC=  087 WOUS44 KOHX 221233 CAETN TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-035-057-059-063-065-067-073-089- 091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-179-221430- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED CHILD ABDUCTION EMERGENCY TENNESSEE BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION NASHVILLE TN RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 730 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THIS IS A CHILD ABDUCTION EMERGENCY TRASMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE TENNESSEE BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION AN EAST TENNESSEE AMBER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE KNOXVILLE POLICE DEPARTMENT FOR 16 YEAR-OLD HARLEA HUNTER WEBSTER. SHE IS A WHITE FEMALE, 5'4" TALL, 100LBS, BLUE EYES AND NOW HAS BLACK HAIR. SHE WAS LAST SEEN WEARING A RED SHIRT, GRAY JACKET, GRAY SWEAT PANTS, AND A DARK GRAY BEANIE CAP. HARLEA WAS ABDUCTED AT GUNPOINT BY A 35 YEAR- OLD UNKNOWN BLACK MALE, AROUND 6’ TALL AND BETWEEN 220-230 POUNDS, WITH LONG DREADLOCKS WEARING BLACK PANTS, A BLACK HOODIE SWEAT SHIRT, AND A BLACK TOBOGGAN WITH WHITE TRIM AND WHITE DESIGN. THE SUBJECT MAY BE ARMED AND DANGEROUS. THEY WERE LAST SEEN LEAVING AN APARTMENT ON TOWNVIEW DRIVE IN KNOXVILLE, TN ON FOOT. IF YOU HAVE SEEN THE VICTIM OR SUBJECTS, CALL THE KNOXVILLE POLICE DEPARTMENT AT 865-215- 7212 OR THE TBI AT 1-800-TBI-FIND. NIC#M592904082 $$  211 WSMX31 MMMX 221235 MMEX SIGMET B1 VALID 221231/221631 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1231Z WI N2317 W09748 - N2234 W09509 - N2033 W09452 - N2001 W09528 - N2005 W09614 - N2220 W09815 - N2317 W09748 CB TOP ABV FL400 MOV NNE 05KT WKN. =  383 WSCN02 CWAO 221236 CZEG SIGMET H4 VALID 221235/221635 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE N6137 W10748 - N6044 W10515 - N5946 W10454 SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC=  384 WSCN22 CWAO 221236 CZEG SIGMET H4 VALID 221235/221635 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE /N6137 W10748/90 SE CYLK - /N6044 W10515/75 NW CKV4 - /N5946 W10454/45 NE CYSF SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC RMK GFACN32 GFACN35=  385 WSAU21 AMMC 221235 YMMM SIGMET D04 VALID 221331/221731 YMMC- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S5000 E08800 - S5000 E09140 - S4330 E09520 - S3500 E08710 - S3500 E08510 - S4300 E09210 FL240/340 MOV ESE 40KT NC=  722 WABZ24 SBCW 221236 SBCW AIRMET 6 VALID 221235/221435 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR ISOL TS OB S AT 1230Z WI S2314 W04550- S2534 W04412- S2455 W04625- S2436 W04820 - S2258 W04753 - S2330 W04656 - S2314 W04550 ABV FL030 STNR NC=  007 WHUS71 KCAR 221238 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 838 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION ANZ050>052-222045- /O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0246.151022T1500Z-151023T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM- INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME- 838 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  484 WWUS82 KMHX 221239 SPSMHX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 839 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 NCZ029-044-079-090-091-221345- MARTIN-PITT-GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... GREENVILLE...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...WALLACE...WARSAW... ROSE HILL...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON 839 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FOG WILL LIFT THIS MORNING... LOCALLY DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES AT TIMES 1/4 MILE WILL LIFT THROUGH 9 AM. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING IN AREAS WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES. $$  194 WSCN22 CWAO 221241 CZEG SIGMET H5 VALID 221240/221640 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE /N6143 W10836/75 SE CYLK - /N6048 W10503/60 NW CKV4 - /N5943 W10334/45 S CKV4 SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC RMK GFACN32 GFACN36 GFACN35=  195 WSCN02 CWAO 221241 CZEG SIGMET H5 VALID 221240/221640 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE N6143 W10836 - N6048 W10503 - N5943 W10334 SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT NC=  593 WHXX01 KMIA 221240 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1240 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF (EP192015) 20151022 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 1200 151023 0000 151023 1200 151024 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.2N 146.1W 14.2N 147.1W 14.8N 147.7W 15.6N 147.9W BAMD 13.2N 146.1W 14.7N 147.0W 16.4N 147.8W 17.7N 148.5W BAMM 13.2N 146.1W 14.6N 147.1W 15.7N 147.9W 16.6N 148.6W LBAR 13.2N 146.1W 14.2N 146.6W 15.7N 147.2W 17.6N 147.4W SHIP 100KTS 98KTS 92KTS 84KTS DSHP 100KTS 98KTS 92KTS 84KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 1200 151025 1200 151026 1200 151027 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.3N 147.7W 18.3N 147.5W 19.5N 147.0W 19.3N 145.1W BAMD 18.3N 148.5W 18.4N 148.5W 18.8N 146.2W 19.5N 141.7W BAMM 16.9N 148.6W 17.6N 147.7W 18.9N 144.3W 20.2N 139.4W LBAR 18.9N 147.3W 21.3N 144.5W 23.5N 140.4W 26.9N 135.8W SHIP 71KTS 47KTS 31KTS 0KTS DSHP 71KTS 47KTS 31KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.2N LONCUR = 146.1W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 6KT LATM12 = 12.3N LONM12 = 145.3W DIRM12 = 306DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 11.6N LONM24 = 144.2W WNDCUR = 100KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 105KT CENPRS = 961MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 210NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 135NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 115NM $$ NNNN  040 WSBZ31 SBRE 221241 SBAO SIGMET 9 VALID 221300/221700 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0623 W03315 - N0513 W03507 - N063 1 W03622 - N0657 W03457 - N0728 W03445 - N0623 W03315 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  409 WARH31 LDZM 221250 LDZO AIRMET 13 VALID 221300/221700 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD MTW FCST WI N4503 E01317 - N4331 E01430 - N4221 E01613 - N4125 E01819 - N4227 E01830 - N4451 E01546 - N4539 E01434 TOP ABV FL100 STNR NC=  868 WOUS64 KWNS 221243 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 743 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC081-105-235-353-431-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION NOLAN STERLING $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...  660 WTJP22 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.2N 142.7E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 25.9N 147.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 28.4N 152.4E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 35.5N 166.5E WITH 325 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  661 WTPQ21 RJTD 221200 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 221200UTC 24.2N 142.7E GOOD MOVE E 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 231200UTC 25.9N 147.1E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 11KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 48HF 241200UTC 28.4N 152.4E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 13KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 72HF 251200UTC 35.5N 166.5E 325NM 70% MOVE ENE 35KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT =  662 WSBZ31 SBBS 221245 SBBS SIGMET 9 VALID 221245/221600 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2007 W05108 - S1945 W04950 - S2021 W04830 - S2138 W04927 - S2042 W05037 - S2007 W05108 TOP FL420 MOV E 12KT WKN=  883 WSMC31 GMMC 221248 GMMM SIGMET S3 VALID 221300/221500 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR CNL SIGMET S2 221100/221500=  907 WHCA42 TJSJ 221219 CCA CFWSJU COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 819 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ......HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL IS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS IS RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-222030- /O.EXP.TJSJ.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.EXP.TJSJ.RP.S.0016.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.COR.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.151022T1219Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.COR.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.151022T1219Z-151023T0000Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-CULEBRA- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- 819 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL AT LEAST 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING. * WAVES AND SURF...BREAKING WAVES BETWEEN 8 TO 12 FEET. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TODAY. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. && $$ PRZ010-222030- /O.EXP.TJSJ.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.EXP.TJSJ.RP.S.0016.000000T0000Z-151022T1200Z/ /O.COR.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.151022T1219Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.COR.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.151022T1219Z-151022T2100Z/ MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY- 819 AM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. * WAVES AND SURF...BREAKING WAVES BETWEEN 8 TO 12 FEET. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TODAY. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. && $$  502 WHXX01 KMIA 221250 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1250 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 1200 151023 0000 151023 1200 151024 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.7N 103.2W 15.8N 105.2W 16.8N 106.5W 18.2N 106.9W BAMD 14.7N 103.2W 15.9N 105.1W 17.3N 106.6W 18.9N 107.5W BAMM 14.7N 103.2W 15.9N 105.0W 17.3N 106.2W 19.2N 106.3W LBAR 14.7N 103.2W 16.3N 105.2W 18.4N 106.6W 20.9N 107.4W SHIP 80KTS 99KTS 110KTS 107KTS DSHP 80KTS 99KTS 110KTS 107KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 1200 151025 1200 151026 1200 151027 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.0N 106.3W 21.9N 105.1W 22.9N 107.3W 25.6N 109.0W BAMD 21.4N 106.9W 26.2N 102.7W 29.8N 96.5W 35.7N 92.9W BAMM 21.2N 105.0W 23.7N 100.6W 25.3N 95.4W 30.1N 90.4W LBAR 23.6N 107.0W 28.6N 102.0W 31.4N 94.6W 34.4N 88.3W SHIP 79KTS 56KTS 39KTS 30KTS DSHP 61KTS 30KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.7N LONCUR = 103.2W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 16KT LATM12 = 13.4N LONM12 = 100.1W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 = 15KT LATM24 = 12.9N LONM24 = 97.4W WNDCUR = 80KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 55KT CENPRS = 975MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 80NM $$ NNNN  151 WSUS32 KKCI 221255 SIGC MKCC WST 221255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 34C VALID UNTIL 1455Z TX OK KS NM FROM 50SSE HLC-40WNW ICT-50SSW SPS-70ESE FST-50WNW FST-50SSE HLC AREA SEV TS MOV FROM 23030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 60KT POSS. NRN PTN MOV FROM 19035KT. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 35C VALID UNTIL 1455Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 60SSE CRP-130ENE BRO-80E BRO-10ENE BRO-60SSE CRP AREA TS MOV FROM 19015KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 221455-221855 AREA 1...FROM PIR-DSM-JCT-INK-60SE TBE-DBL-RAP-PIR REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM CRP-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-CRP WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  152 WSUS31 KKCI 221255 SIGE MKCE WST 221255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221455-221855 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  153 WSUS33 KKCI 221255 SIGW MKCW WST 221255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221455-221855 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  477 WHCA42 TJSJ 221254 CCA CFWSPN MENSAJES SOBRE PELIGROS COSTEROS...CORRECCION SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 819 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE ESTAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO. ESTO RESULTA EN CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS FUERTES Y RESACAS FUERTES A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-222030- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NOROESTE-CULEBRA-SAN THOMAS/SAN JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- 819 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY... ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DE HOY... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES...QUE ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY. ADEMAS...UN COMUNICADO DE ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS HA SIDO EMITIDO. ESTE POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DE HOY. * OLAS Y RESACAS...OLAS ROMPIENTES ENTRE 8 Y 12 PIES. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...Y SAN THOMAS. * DURACION...HASTA AVANZADA ESTA TARDE. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR ESTA MANANA DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE MAS TARDE HOY. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$ PRZ010-222030- MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD- 819 AM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY... ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES...QUE ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY. ADEMAS...UN COMUNICADO DE ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS HA SIDO EMITIDO. ESTE POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS ESTA EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 5 PM AST DE HOY. * OLAS Y RESACAS...OLAS ROMPIENTES ENTRE 8 Y 12 PIES. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...Y SAN THOMAS. * DURACION...HASTA AVANZADA ESTA TARDE. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR ESTA MANANA DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE MAS TARDE HOY. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$  392 WALJ31 LJLJ 221255 LJLA AIRMET 4 VALID 221300/221700 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST SW OF LINE N4620 E01320 - N4525 E01435 SFC/5000FT STNR NC=  502 WUUS01 KWNS 221256 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0754 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 221300Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 28660309 29920276 31100275 31860099 34269875 35119766 35099716 34209678 33109678 31709649 30879700 30119835 29389952 27740070 0.05 29260271 30010259 30940255 31770080 32919906 32739851 31799824 30479879 29719993 28540078 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28690298 30810303 31680285 32380227 32440115 33199996 33819899 33489809 32939768 31099773 29489946 27970054 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28810297 31080298 31800125 32920028 34259906 35219792 35169725 34369675 33009672 31579640 30809711 29499929 28050040 0.15 29540265 30990262 31660106 32919906 32779857 31679821 30429882 29769993 28660076 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 29560263 30970259 31630106 32919909 32759857 31679827 30459882 29799982 28580079 MRGL 29060297 30810303 31730279 32380227 32440115 33020026 34239906 35299789 35119722 34289675 33009675 31629643 30909700 30229812 29449946 27990055 TSTM 31390640 32200708 32790806 33050907 33641164 34621394 37151442 39281219 40851141 42180919 42360779 41710619 41070519 41310345 43600108 44589784 42619304 39839241 37079238 34649224 33259218 31499285 30429198 29198836 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW 6R6 20 E FST 35 WNW SJT 50 NE ABI 30 W MWL 40 S SEP 55 E JCT 50 NW HDO 55 S DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW 6R6 10 SW FST 25 E INK 30 N MAF 25 NE BGS 55 NW ABI 30 SSE LTS 15 NNE CHK 30 SE OKC 15 E ADM 10 NNE DAL 30 S CRS 30 SE TPL 25 WSW AUS 20 WNW HDO 75 WNW LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S ELP 35 E DMN 10 NNE SVC 35 ENE SAD 25 NE PHX 40 ESE EED 35 S P38 20 ESE U24 30 E SLC 40 N RKS 50 NW RWL 40 NW LAR 20 WSW CYS 30 WNW SNY 40 SE PHP 25 NE HON 35 W ALO 20 SSE IRK 35 NW UNO LIT 35 SW LLQ 25 SE IER 15 N LFT 65 E BVE.  503 ACUS01 KWNS 221256 SWODY1 SPC AC 221254 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0754 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 221300Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SW AND CNTRL TX... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MRGL RISK AREA FROM THE RIO GRANDE NNE INTO SRN OK... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...MAINLY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING INTO TONIGHT. ...SYNOPTIC SETUP... UPR LOW ON THE AZ-NM BORDER EXPECTED TO DEVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE LATER TODAY AS IT MOVES NNE INTO CNTRL CO BY EVE AND CONTINUES NNE TO WRN NEB/SD EARLY FRI. ASSOCIATED LEAD IMPULSE NOW OVER THE WRN TX PANHANDLE SHOULD FURTHER WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES NNE INTO WRN KS TODAY...WHILE UPSTREAM IMPULSE NOW OVER NRN CHIHUAHUA MOVES NE INTO W CNTRL TX BY EVE. AT LWR LVLS...MODERATE...SEASONABLY MOIST SELY FLOW WILL PERSIST FROM THE WRN GULF INTO CNTRL AND E TX...ALONG AND S OF SSW-NNE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH W TX SQLN. THE SRN HALF OF THE OUTFLOW BNDRY/SQLN SHOULD BECOME NEARLY STNRY ALONG A SW-NE AXIS FROM THE TX BIG BEND TO WRN PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY BY MIDDAY. ...TX BIG BEND NEWD TO THE RED RVR TODAY/TNGT... MODEST SFC HEATING THIS AFTN...INCREASINGLY STRONG WITH SWRN EXTENT...MAY SUPPORT REJUVENATION OF EXISTING CONVECTION AND/OR DEVELOPMENT OF NEW STORMS ALONG AND E OF STALLED OR SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE OUTFLOW BNDRY OVER SW AND CNTRL TX THIS AFTN. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL BE LIMITED...ALTHOUGH A MODEST INCREASE MAY OCCUR AS CHIHUAHUA DISTURBANCE GLANCES REGION. WHILE MID-LVL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN MODEST...RICH MOISTURE /PW AOA 1.50 INCHES/ WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POCKETS OF SBCAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG AMIDST 40 KT SWLY DEEP SHEAR. THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR A COUPLE SUPERCELLS OR OTHER SUSTAINED STORMS CAPABLE OF OCCASIONAL INSTANCES OF LOCALLY DMGG WIND...SVR HAIL...AND/OR A TORNADO. FARTHER N/W...ASCENT ATOP POST-MCS COLD POOL WILL SUPPORT EPISODES OF FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION/STORMS THROUGH LATER TODAY NNEWD INTO PARTS OF OK. AND...OTHER STORMS LIKELY WILL ARISE LATER TODAY INTO TNGT IN WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT ZONE E/SE OF THE SQLN ACROSS CNTRL AND E TX. WEAK SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY AND THE PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORMS IN THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT A SPORADIC BRIEF TORNADO/LOCALLY DMGG WIND THREAT INTO EARLY FRI. ..CORFIDI/KERR.. 10/22/2015 $$  342 WTPQ20 BABJ 221200 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CHAMPI 1525 (1525) INITIAL TIME 221200 UTC 00HR 24.2N 142.5E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS WINDS 330KM NORTHEAST 280KM SOUTHEAST 330KM SOUTHWEST 330KM NORTHWEST 50KTS WINDS 130KM NORTHEAST 120KM SOUTHEAST 130KM SOUTHWEST 130KM NORTHWEST 64KTS WINDS 60KM NORTHEAST 60KM SOUTHEAST 60KM SOUTHWEST 60KM NORTHWEST MOVE ENE 19KM/H P+12HR 25.0N 144.5E 950HPA 45M/S P+24HR 25.9N 146.7E 955HPA 42M/S P+36HR 26.7N 148.7E 965HPA 38M/S P+48HR 28.1N 151.8E 975HPA 30M/S P+60HR 30.4N 156.0E 980HPA 28M/S P+72HR 33.6N 162.1E 992HPA 20M/S=  594 WTKO20 RKSL 221200 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 36 NAME 1525 CHAMPI ANALYSIS POSITION 221200UTC 24.2N 142.7E MOVEMENT ENE 9KT PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 231200UTC 25.8N 146.4E WITHIN 75NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT 48HR POSITION 241200UTC 28.6N 152.2E WITHIN 125NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT 72HR POSITION 251200UTC 34.1N 163.6E WITHIN 0NM PRES 985HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  847 WANO35 ENMI 221259 ENBD AIRMET D03 VALID 221251/221630 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR CNL AIRMET D02 221230/221630=  494 WSMX31 MMMX 221301 MMEX SIGMET E1 VALID 221256/221656 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1256Z WI N1452 W10611 - N1246 W10505 - N1111 W10304 - N0812 W10712 - N0843 W10908 - N1022 W10947 - N1055 W10841 - N1048 W10712 - N1452 W10611 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV WSW 06KT INTSF. =  393 WOUS64 KWNS 221303 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 803 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC081-105-235-353-431-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION NOLAN STERLING $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...  789 WANO35 ENMI 221303 ENBD AIRMET D04 VALID 221300/221700 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL MOD ICE FCST N OF N6500 AND S OF N6730 FL040/150 MOV NE NC=  153 WCJP31 RJTD 221310 RJJJ SIGMET L03 VALID 221310/221910 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR TC CHAMPI(1525) OBS AT 1200Z N2410 E14240 CB TOP FL540 WI 90NM OF CENTRE MOV E 8KT NC FCST 1800Z TC CENTRE N2430 E14340=  732 WSTU31 LTBA 221300 LTBB SIGMET 5 VALID 221300/221700 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1250Z N39 E027 AND OF VCY MOV NE INTSF=  156 WWUS72 KILM 221310 NPWILM URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 910 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-221415- /O.EXP.KILM.FG.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-151022T1300Z/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 910 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... VISIBILITIES ARE IMPROVING ACROSS THE REGION. $$  633 WWUS81 KGYX 221310 AWWMHT NHZ012-221515- AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 910 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 |THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED AN * AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR GROUND OPERATIONS AT MANCHESTER-BOSTON REGIONAL AIRPORT * UNTIL 11 AM. * FOR VISIBILITY OF 1/4 MILE OR LESS DUE TO DENSE FOG. $$  016 WSAG31 SARE 221310 SARR SIGMET 3 VALID 221320/221400 SARE- SARR RESISTENCIA FIR CNL SIGMET 2 221200/221600=  381 WTPQ20 RJTD 221200 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 221200UTC 27.3N 156.4E FAIR MOVE N 21KT PRES 1006HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 231200UTC 31.5N 165.4E 120NM 70% MOVE ENE 26KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  267 WACN23 CWAO 221312 CZWG AIRMET A1 VALID 221310/221710 CWEG- CZWG WINNIPEG FIR MDT ICG OBS WTN 15 NM OF LINE /N5304 W09729/45 N CYBV - /N5140 W09626/45 SE CYBV SFC/FL030 QS WKNG RMK GFACN32=  268 WACN03 CWAO 221312 CZWG AIRMET A1 VALID 221310/221710 CWEG- CZWG WINNIPEG FIR MDT ICG OBS WTN 15 NM OF LINE N5304 W09729 - N5140 W09626 SFC/FL030 QS WKNG=  791 WOPS01 NFFN 221200 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  897 WSVS31 VVGL 221320 VVTS SIGMET 2 VALID 221320/221720 VVGL- VVTS HO CHI MINH FIR EMBD TS OBS BTN N12 AND N0930 OVER LAND TOP FL430 STNR NC=  821 WSTU31 LTBA 221311 LTBB SIGMET 6 VALID 221300/221700 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1300Z N38 E029 AND OF VCY MOV NE INTSF=  119 WSIY31 LIIB 221317 LIMM SIGMET 04 VALID 221330/221730 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST MAINLY CENTRAL/N PART OF FIR ABV FL320 STNR WKN=  274 WSJP31 RJTD 221320 RJJJ SIGMET X02 VALID 221320/221720 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N3020 E15730 - N2840 E16120 - N3006 E16500 - N3139 E16500 - N3120 E15920 - N3020 E15730 MOV E 15KT WKN=  117 WSAG31 SARE 221315 CCA SARR SIGMET 3 VALID 221320/221600 SARE- SARR RESISTENCIA FIR CNL SIGMET 2 221200/221600=  902 WSIY32 LIIB 221317 LIRR SIGMET 04 VALID 221330/221730 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR MAINLY SICILY CHANNEL TOP FL370 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST S PART OF FIR ABV FL320 MOV S NC=  272 WSMX31 MMMX 221316 MMEX SIGMET F1 VALID 221313/221713 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1313Z WI N1116 W11146 - N1032 W11021 - N0938 W10955 - N0748 W11323 - N0859 W11427 - N1017 W11501 - N1116 W11146 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV WNW 06KT INTSF. =  512 WSAG31 SARE 221315 CCA SARR SIGMET 3 VALID 221320/221600 SARE- SARRESISTENCIA FIR CNL SIGMET 2 221200/221600=  163 WSIY33 LIIB 221318 LIBB SIGMET 04 VALID 221330/221730 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR TOP FL370 MOV E NC=  212 WHHW70 PHFO 221317 MWWHFO URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 317 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY... .HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS BIG ISLAND WATERS AS SOUTHEAST SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF BUILD. THESE HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL LIKELY SPREAD WESTWARD TO ADDITIONAL WATERS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PHZ119>121-221430- /O.CAN.PHFO.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ MAALAEA BAY-PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL- 317 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE AREA RESULTING IN THE CANCELLATION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ PHZ122>124-230215- /O.CON.PHFO.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151026T0400Z/ BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS- BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS- 317 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SUNDAY... * SEAS...BUILDING SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS INTO THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS 10 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ EVANS  306 WSCN22 CWAO 221320 CZEG SIGMET H6 VALID 221320/221720 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE /N6215 W10358/120 N CKV4 - /N5848 W10356/45 NW CZWL SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT WKNG RMK GFACN32 GFACN36 GFACN35=  307 WSCN02 CWAO 221320 CZEG SIGMET H6 VALID 221320/221720 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE N6215 W10358 - N5848 W10356 SFC/FL025 MOV ESE 25KT WKNG=  354 WSRA31 RUKR 221318 UNKL SIGMET 4 VALID 221400/221800 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N68 S OF N70 W OF E088 SFC/FL100 MOV E 20KMH NC=  043 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 SBAZ SIGMET 9 VALID 221207/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 7 221200/221400=  044 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 SBCW SIGMET 10 VALID 221100/221400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2455 W04625 - S2843 W04925 - S2725 W05427 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  045 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221211  046 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 SBAO SIGMET 4 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2534 W04223 - S2848 W03717 - S3354 W04022 - S3355 W04554 - S3054 W04720 - S2534 W04223 TOP FL390 MOV E 03KT NC=  048 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 WSBZ31 SBRE 221106  049 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221201  050 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 SBAZ SIGMET 7 VALID 221200/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  051 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 SBAO SIGMET 6 VALID 221110/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR CNL SIGMET 4 220900/221300=  052 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 SBAZ SIGMET 8 VALID 221210/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0040 W06409 - S0124 W06243 - S0344 W06417 - S0250 W06525 - S0040 W06409 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  053 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 WSBZ31 SBCW 221057  054 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 WSBZ31 SBRE 220858  055 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 SBAO SIGMET 5 VALID 220900/221300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0559 W03811 - N0743 W03500 - N0543 W03219 - N0525 W03513 - N0559 W03811 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  056 WSBZ01 SBBR 221300 WSBZ31 SBRE 221241  809 WAIY31 LIIB 221319 LIMM AIRMET 04 VALID 221345/221745 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR MOD TURB FCST S PART OF FIR AND ADRIATIC AREA BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT FCST ADRIATIC SEA STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC VIS 3000/5000 M BR FCST CENTRAL/W PADANIAN PLAIN STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR MOD MTW OBS S APPENNINIAN AREA ABV FL080 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR MOD ICE FCST S APPENNINIAN AREA ABV FL090 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR ISOL MT OBSC OBS/FCST E PART OF N SIDE APPENNINI STNR NC=  155 WSMX31 MMMX 221322 MMEX SIGMET G1 VALID 221320/221720 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1320Z WI N1408 W11811 - N1401 W11021 - N1254 W11011 - N1134 W11331 - N1134 W11654 - N1408 W11811 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV WNW 06KT INTSF. =  766 WAIY32 LIIB 221324 LIRR AIRMET 04 VALID 221345/221745 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD TURB FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT OBS/FCST CENTRAL/E PART OF FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD MTW OBS N APPENNINIAN AREA ABV FL090 STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S APPENNINI AND SICILY AND LOC SARDINIA MOV E NC=  669 WOUS64 KWNS 221324 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 824 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC081-105-235-353-431-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION NOLAN STERLING $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...  053 WAIY33 LIIB 221325 LIBB AIRMET 04 VALID 221345/221745 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MOD TURB OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC WSPD 30KT OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC VIS 2000/5000 M BR FCST INLAND PLAIN AEREAS OF CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR STNR NC=  928 WGUS64 KAMA 221327 FFAAMA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 827 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKZ001-002-TXZ001>003-006>008-011>013-016>018-221430- /O.CAN.KAMA.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CIMARRON-TEXAS-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON- OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOISE CITY...KEYES...GUYMON...DALHART... STRATFORD...SPEARMAN...GRUVER...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS... BORGER...VEGA...AMARILLO...PANHANDLE...WHITE DEER...HEREFORD... CANYON...CLAUDE 827 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THE WESTERN PANHANDLES... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THOUGH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED. $$ OKZ003-TXZ004-005-009-010-014-015-019-020-222130- /O.CON.KAMA.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BEAVER-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-GRAY-WHEELER-DONLEY- COLLINGSWORTH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER...FORGAN...PERRYTON...BOOKER... HIGGINS...FOLLETT...MIAMI...CANADIAN...PAMPA...SHAMROCK... WHEELER...CLARENDON...WELLINGTON 827 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN ...OKLAHOMA...BEAVER. IN TEXAS... COLLINGSWORTH...DONLEY... GRAY...HEMPHILL...LIPSCOMB...OCHILTREE... ROBERTS AND WHEELER. * UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING * SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLES. UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. * FLASH FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...STREAMS...AND URBAN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR. BACKCOUNTRY ROADWAYS MAY ALSO BECOME MUDDY AND IMPASSABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$  353 WWCN10 CWUL 221327 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR QUEBEC UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9:27 A.M. EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: TEMISCOUATA. FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: CHARLEVOIX LAURENTIANS WILDLIFE RESERVE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL AROUND 10:30 AM THIS MORNING. SURFACES SUCH AS HIGHWAYS, ROADS, WALKWAYS AND PARKING LOTS MAY BECOME ICY AND SLIPPERY. TAKE EXTRA CARE WHEN WALKING OR DRIVING IN AFFECTED AREAS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO TEMPSVIOLENT.QUEBEC(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)METEOQC. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML END/MSC  749 WGUS82 KCHS 221329 FLSCHS FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 929 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 SCC015-043-089-231000- /O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ /JAMS1.3.ER.151004T1441Z.151011T0715Z.151022T2200Z.NO/ 929 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Santee River Near Jamestown. * At 8 AM Thursday the stage was 10.5 feet. * Flood stage is 10.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Forecast, the river is expected to drop below flood stage this evening. * At 10.0 feet, water covers numerous logging roads and inundates timber land adjacent to the river. Most access points to Wee Tee State Forest are cut off. && LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3335 7969 3327 7946 3320 7951 3329 7976 $$  430 WOXX50 KWNP 221330 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 7018 Issue Time: 2015 Oct 22 1326 UT WARNING: GOES Satellite Data Unavailable Comment: The Solar Radiation Alert system is currently inactive. GOES satellite data used in estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes are unavailable. The system will resume normal operation as soon as GOES data become available. More information at http://www.faa.gov/data_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by US DOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  301 WHHW40 PHFO 221333 CFWHFO COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 333 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF WARNING FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF MAUI... .SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF ON THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI INTO THE WEEKEND. THE LARGE SWELL WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY SATURDAY. HIZ024-025-230245- /O.CON.PHFO.SU.W.0009.000000T0000Z-151025T0400Z/ SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST- 333 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SATURDAY... * SURF...12 TO 18 FEET. * TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...HIGH...EXPECT OCEAN WATER OCCASIONALLY SWEEPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF BEACHES...VERY STRONG BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS. BREAKING WAVES MAY OCCASIONALLY IMPACT HARBORS MAKING NAVIGATING THE HARBOR CHANNEL DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS ALWAYS SHOULD HEED LIFEGUARD ADVICE AND KNOW THEIR LIMITS. WHEN IN DOUBT...DO NOT GO OUT. && $$ HIZ020-230245- /O.CON.PHFO.SU.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151025T0400Z/ WINDWARD HALEAKALA- 333 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SATURDAY... * SURF...BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT. * TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...MODERATE...EXPECT STRONG BREAKING WAVES...SHORE BREAK...AND STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS MAKING SWIMMING DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS SHOULD HEED ALL ADVICE GIVEN BY OCEAN SAFETY OFFICIALS AND BE CAREFUL. && $$  655 WSSG31 GOOY 221205 GOOO SIGMET C1 VALID 221335/221605 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1325Z WI N1722 W02002 - N2001 W01726 - N1622 W01742 - N1230 W02048 TOP FL410 MOV NE 08KT INTSF=  516 WAEG31 HECA 221000 HECC AIRMET 03 VALID 221300/221600 HECA- HECC CAIRO FIR SFC VIS 1000M SA OBS AND FCST OVER HEMM STNR NC=  574 WOXX50 KWNP 221334 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 7019 Issue Time: 2015 Oct 22 1331 UT ATTENTION: Satellite Data Now Available Comment: GOES satellite data are now available for estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes. More information at http://www.faa.gov/data_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by USDOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  076 WGUS54 KSJT 221335 FFWSJT TXC151-207-253-353-221730- /O.NEW.KSJT.FF.W.0045.151022T1335Z-151022T1730Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 835 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... JONES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... FISHER COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... HASKELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... NOLAN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1230 PM CDT * AT 832 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO OR ALREADY OVER THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... ABILENE...SWEETWATER...HASKELL...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN... ROSCOE...BLACKWELL...NOLAN...ROTAN...ROBY...RULE...HAWLEY... LUEDERS...ROCHESTER...WEINERT...O'BRIEN...NOODLE...SAGERTON AND MARYNEAL. ... THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ... SH 28 SH 70 CROSSING THE DRAW SOUTHEAST OF ROTAN US 29 US 180 CROSSING 7 MILES WEST OF ROBY IH 43 IH 20 FRONTAGE ROADS CROSSING TOWN CREEK IH 42 IH 20 FRONTAGE ROADS CROSSING PLUM CREEK FM 258 FM 1170 CROSSING EAGLE CREEK FM 44 FM 2035 CROSSING BITTER CREEK FM 30 FM 611 CROSSING 1 MILE WEST OF ROTAN IH 41 IH 20 FRONTAGE ROADS CROSSING BITTER CREEK FM 31 FM 611 CROSSING 7 MILES WEST OF ROTAN IH 40 IH 20 FRONTAGE ROADS CROSSING SWEETWATER CREEK ... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH THESE LOW WATER CROSSINGS OR ANY OTHER ... LOW WATER CROSSING WITH WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. && LAT...LON 3339 9947 3296 9947 3296 9962 3252 9962 3252 10016 3209 10015 3209 10066 3296 10065 3296 9999 3340 9999 $$ HUBER  119 WSRH31 LDZM 221355 LDZO SIGMET 5 VALID 221400/221800 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4453 E01321 - N4133 E01818 - N4226 E01830 - N4539 E01435 SFC/FL070 STNR NC=  560 WOCN17 CWHX 221338 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:08 AM NDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR: RED BAY TO L'ANSE-AU-CLAIR. SNOW INLAND AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST SOUTH OF LABRADOR TONIGHT AND ACROSS NORTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND ON FRIDAY. RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN LABRADOR TONIGHT WHILE HEAVY, WET SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INLAND AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AFFECTING PARTS OF THE TRANS LABRADOR HIGHWAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 10 CENTIMETRES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT. MOTORISTS TRAVELLING THE TRANS LABRADOR HIGHWAY ARE ADVISED TO BE PREPARED FOR WINTER DRIVING, WITH CONDITIONS CHANGING RAPIDLY WITH ELEVATION. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED OR EXTENDED. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT WWW.WEATHER.GC.CA END  842 WVRA31 RUPK 221340 UHPP SIGMET 9 VALID 221340/221840 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT KARYMSKY PSN N5403 E15926 VA CLD OBS AT 1240Z WI N5420 E16209 - N5426 E16230 - N5423 E16239 - N5417 E16228 - N5414 E16208 - N5420 E16209 SFC/FL150 MOV E 50KMH FCST 1840Z VA CLD APRX N5524 E16557 - N5537 E16641 - N5433 E16644 - N5433 E16522 - N5502 E16557 - N5524 E16557=  873 WOUS64 KWNS 221343 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 843 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC081-105-235-353-431-221400- /O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COKE CROCKETT IRION NOLAN STERLING $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...  425 WSZA21 FAOR 221343 FAOR SIGMET A03 VALID 221400/221800 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S3152 E04502 - S3202 E04657 - S3426 E05035 - S3542 E05029 - S3606 E04837 - S3310 E04425 - S3152 E04502 TOP FL280 WKN=  840 WSNT09 KKCI 221345 SIGA0I KZNY SIGMET INDIA 1 VALID 221345/221745 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1345Z WI N2615 W07330 - N2615 W06945 - N2500 W07015 - N2500 W07315 - N2615 W07330. TOP FL430. STNR. INTSF.  055 WSZA21 FAOR 221345 FAOR SIGMET B03 VALID 221400/221800 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR SEV ICE OBS WI S3428 E05046 - S3806 E05700 - S4152 E05700 - S4051 E05550 - S3608 E04840 - S3544 E05030 - S3428 E05046 FL070/180=  709 WSNT10 KKCI 221345 SIGA0J KZNY KZMA SIGMET JULIETT 1 VALID 221345/221745 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR MIAMI OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1345Z WI N2345 W06800 - N2230 W06700 - N2015 W07015 - N2115 W07215 - N2345 W06800. TOP FL470. STNR. INTSF.  748 WSZA21 FAOR 221348 FAOR SIGMET C01 VALID 221500/221800 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S3704 W00750 - S3821 W00509 - S4015 W00333 - S4138 W00446 - S4113 W00707 - S3956 W00805 - S3845 W00944 - S3717 W00933 TOP FL320=  062 WSBZ31 SBCW 221349 SBCW SIGMET 11 VALID 221400/221700 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FC ST WI S2405 W05418- S2455 W04625- S2740 W04833 - S2806 W05527 - S2612 W 05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2405 W05418 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  666 WHUS71 KBOX 221350 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 950 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ230-236-222200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 950 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ232>235-237-222200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 950 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ254>256-222200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 950 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ231-251-222200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T1000Z/ CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 950 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ250-222200- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.151022T1600Z-151023T2000Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 950 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON  064 WWCN02 CYTR 221351 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 9:51 AM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: WHITE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: SURFACE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 KNOTS VALID: UNTIL 22/2300Z (UNTIL 22/1900 EDT) COMMENTS: WESTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 25 KNOTS HAVE DEVELOP JUST WEST OF THE REGION AND WILL MOVE OVER TRENTON THIS MORNING WITH THE PASSING OF A COLD FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT TODAY BEFORE EASING BELOW WARNING CRITERIA THIS EVENING. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/2000Z (22/1600 EDT) END/JMC  996 WHUS71 KCLE 221351 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 951 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LEZ147>149-222000- /O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-151022T2000Z/ WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE- LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 951 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHILE DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS.. * WAVES/SEAS...WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  132 WSUS32 KKCI 221355 SIGC MKCC WST 221355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 36C VALID UNTIL 1555Z TX OK NM FROM 60SSE MMB-40NNE SPS-50SSE ABI-40SE FST-40NW INK-60SSE MMB AREA TS MOV FROM 23030KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 37C VALID UNTIL 1555Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90SE PSX-130ENE BRO-80E BRO-10ESE BRO-60SE CRP-90SE PSX AREA TS MOV FROM 19015KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 221555-221955 FROM 50S OBH-60E ICT-30S ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-INK-60SE TBE-GLD-50S OBH REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  133 WSUS33 KKCI 221355 SIGW MKCW WST 221355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221555-221955 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  134 WSUS31 KKCI 221355 SIGE MKCE WST 221355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221555-221955 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  669 WSCG31 FCBB 221350 FCCC SIGMET B1 VALID 221350/221750 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1330Z W OF N0800 E01410 - N0550 E01410 TOP FL530 MOV SW 15KT INTSF=  760 WAKO31 RKSI 221350 RKRR AIRMET U02 VALID 221400/221800 RKSI- RKRR INCHEON FIR SFC VIS 5000M FG BR OBS WI N3652 E12458 - N3731 E12719 - N3640 E12811 - N3502 E12810 - N3338 E12459 STNR INTSF=  390 WSZA21 FAOR 221357 FAOR SIGMET A01 VALID 221500/221800 FAOR- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2754 E02940 - S2822 E03027 - S3001 E02956 - S3045 E02835 - S3039 E02727 - S2944 E02712 - S2903 E02758 - S2807 E02837 TOP FL300=  647 WABZ24 SBCW 221356 SBCW AIRMET 7 VALID 221410/221710 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 30 00/4000M RA BR BKN CLD 300/0600FT FCST WI S2326 W04628 - S2355 W04617 - S2613 W04847 - S2533 W05003 - S2330 W04656 - S2326 W04628 STNR WKN=  609 WWCN14 CWHX 221359 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NEW BRUNSWICK UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:59 A.M. ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: CAMPBELLTON AND RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY. FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: EDMUNDSTON AND MADAWASKA COUNTY GRAND FALLS AND VICTORIA COUNTY STANLEY - DOAKTOWN - BLACKVILLE AREA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK AS SOUTHERLY WINDS BEGIN TO PUSH IN MUCH WARMER AIR ACROSS THE PROVINCE. TAKE EXTRA CARE WHEN WALKING OR DRIVING IN AFFECTED AREAS. BE PREPARED TO ADJUST YOUR DRIVING WITH CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN RAIN FALLING IN SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURES CREATES ICE BUILD-UP AND ICY SURFACES. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO WEATHERASPC(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)NBSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NB END/MSC  046 WHUS73 KMQT 221400 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LSZ241-221500- /O.CAN.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 /900 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015/ ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LSZ243-221500- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 17 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ249-222100- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ242-221500- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0206.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 16 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ244-245-221800- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ248-221600- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 18 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 24 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-222200- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T2300Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 11 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ251-222200- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151022T2300Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 1000 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ KLUBER  624 WWUS60 KWNS 221400 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 22-OCT-15 AT 14:00:01 UTC NO WATCHES CURRENTLY ACTIVE  923 WWST02 SBBR 221400 1 31 05 02 12 20 SECURITE WARNING NR 1580/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC - TUE- 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 30S AND W OF 035W STARTING AT 201200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 230000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1575/2015. WARNING NR 1581/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC – TUE - 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 32S AND E OF 035W STARTING AT 211200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/4.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 240000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1577/2015. WARNING NR 1582/2015 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1430 UTC - THU - 22/OCT/2015 AREA ALFA STARTING AT 240000 UTC. WAVES FM SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 260000 UTC. WARNING NR 1583/2015 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1430 UTC - THU - 22/OCT/2015 AREA BRAVO E OF 045W STARTING AT 250000 UTC. WAVES FM SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 260000 UTC NNNN  871 WOUS64 KWNS 221403 WOU8 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 903 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TORNADO WATCH 518 IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TXZ000-221400- /O.EXP.KWNS.TO.A.0518.000000T0000Z-151022T1400Z/ NO COUNTIES OR PARISHES REMAIN IN THE WATCH. $$ ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...  904 WWUS30 KWNS 221403 SAW8 SPC AWW 221403 WW 518 TORNADO CANCELLED  574 WHZS40 NSTU 221403 CFWPPG URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 303 AM SST THU OCT 22 2015 ASZ001>003-230215- TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA-SWAINS- 303 AM SST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT... * SURF...HAZARDOUS SURFS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BUILD TO NEAR 10 TO 12 FEET THURSDAY MORNING. THESE SURFS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT SOUTH FACING SHORES. * TIMING...UNTIL SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...LARGE SURFS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS SHOULD HEED ALL ADVICE BROADCAST BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND EXERCISE CAUTION. && FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS 300 VAVEAO ASO TOFI OKETOPA 22 2015 ...O LOO FAAAUAU LE FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA... * GALU...O GALU MAUALULUGA E 8 I LE 10 FUTU O LE A SI'ISI'I ATU I LE 10 I LE 12 FUTU I LE TAEAO O LE ASO TOFI. O LE A AAFIA PEA LE TALAFATAI I SAUTE O LE ATUNUU. * TAIMI...SEIA O'O I LE ASO TOONA'I. * NOFOAGA AAFIA...E SI'ISI'I TULAGA O GALU MA E A`AVE LE SAMI. FAUTUAGA/TAPENAGA... FAAMOLEMOLE...IA FAAUTAGIA MAI FAUTUAGA UA IAI NEI MO GALU MAUALULUGA. $$  261 WWUS20 KWNS 221404 SEL8 SPC WW 221403 TXZ000-221400- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 518 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 903 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 518 ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF TEXAS  020 WSKZ31 UAAA 221407 UAAA SIGMET 2 VALID 221430/221830 UAAA- UAAA ALMATY FIR SEV ICE FCST ALL ALMATY FIR BTN FL030/250 MOV E 20KMH NC=  078 WSRS31 RUAA 221411 ULAA SIGMET 3 VALID 221700/222100 ULAA- ULAA ARKHANGELSK FIR SEV TURB FCST FL250/350 MOV SE 40KMH NC=  560 WGUS54 KMAF 221418 FFWMAF TXC173-329-221715- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0071.000000T0000Z-151022T1715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 918 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... GLASSCOCK COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... EASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1215 PM CDT * AT 916 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED HEAVY RAIN FALLING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... GARDEN CITY...SPRABERRY...SAINT LAWRENCE...BIGBY CORNER AND LEES. THIS INCLUDES LOW WATER CROSSING LOCATIONS CR 110 CROSSING LACY CREEK...CR 110 CROSSING LACY CREEK TRIB...AND OVERTON RD CROSSING NORTH CONCHO RIVER TRIB. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. ARROYOS...STREAMS AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3166 10185 3208 10185 3208 10126 3166 10127 $$ 33  051 WSTU31 LTAC 221415 LTAA SIGMET 6 VALID 221400/221700 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1140Z N39 E042 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  255 WWUS84 KSJT 221419 AWWABI TXZ127-221715- AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 919 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH THROUGH ABILENE REGIONAL AIRPORT AT AROUND. WINDS FROM THE WEST NEAR 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH NOON. $$  588 WSCG31 FCBB 221417 FCCC SIGMET E2 VALID 221420/221820 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1400Z E OF N0550 E01200 - S0415 E01200 TOP FL530 MOV W 15KT INTSF=  699 WSTU31 LTAC 221420 LTAA SIGMET 7 VALID 221500/221900 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS FCST MEDITERRANEAN REGION MOV NE 12KT NC=  749 WGUS64 KLUB 221420 FFALUB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 920 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... TXZ021>024-027>030-033>036-039>042-221530- /O.CAN.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-COCHRAN- HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT... HART...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD... OLTON...PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK... RALLS...CROSBYTON...LORENZO...DENVER CITY...PLAINS...BROWNFIELD... TAHOKA...O'DONNELL...GRAHAM...POST 920 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE...ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD FLOODING RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THEREFORE THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR AREAS ON THE CAPROCK. $$ TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-230000- /O.CON.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...CHILDRESS...MATADOR... ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...HACKBERRY...SPUR...DICKENS...DUMONT... FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 920 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST TEXAS... CHILDRESS...COTTLE...DICKENS...KENT...KING...MOTLEY AND STONEWALL. IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...HALL. * THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. * RAINFALL THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. SOME AREAS COULD SEE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. && $$ JORDAN  444 WGUS54 KMAF 221421 FFWMAF TXC383-461-221745- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151022T1745Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 921 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... REAGAN COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... UPTON COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1245 PM CDT * AT 918 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ADDITONAL FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BIG LAKE...RANKIN...MIDKIFF...NORTH REAGAN FIRE STATION...BEST... STILES...TEXON AND REAGAN COUNTY AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. ARROYOS...STREAMS AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3108 10221 3165 10211 3165 10127 3108 10127 $$ 12  097 WABZ22 SBBS 221421 SBBS AIRMET 6 VALID 221420/221610 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 20 00/4000M HZ AND BKN CLD 0500/1000FT BR FCST WI S2253 W04803 - S2140 W04716 - S2244 W04550 - S2314 W04550 - S2326 W04622 - S2329 W04656 - S2253 W04803 S NTR NC=  670 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 SBAZ SIGMET 9 VALID 221207/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 7 221200/221400=  671 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 SBCW SIGMET 10 VALID 221100/221400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2500 W05330 - S2455 W04625 - S2843 W04925 - S2725 W05427 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2500 W05330 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  672 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 SBCW SIGMET 11 VALID 221400/221700 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2405 W05418- S2455 W04625- S2740 W04833 - S2806 W05527 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2405 W05418 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  673 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 WSBZ31 SBRE 221241  674 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 SBAZ SIGMET 7 VALID 221200/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0252 W06549 - S0155 W06314 - S0340 W06256 - S0406 W06507 - S0252 W06549 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  675 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 WSBZ31 SBCW 221057  676 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221201  677 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 WSBZ31 SBCW 221349  678 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 SBAZ SIGMET 8 VALID 221210/221400 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0040 W06409 - S0124 W06243 - S0344 W06417 - S0250 W06525 - S0040 W06409 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  679 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221211  680 WSBZ01 SBBR 221400 WSBZ31 SBRE 221106  258 WABZ22 SBBS 221421 SBBS AIRMET 7 VALID 221420/221610 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 20 00/4000M HZ FCST IN SBUR SNTR NC=  411 WDPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 38// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A MOSTLY UNCHANGED CONVECTIVE CORE STRUCTURE THAT IS SURROUNDING A 36NM EYE WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE ELONGATED TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. A 221109Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A SLIGHT WEAKENING IN THE CONVECTIVE CORE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONCURRING DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.5 (102 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE (20-25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BEING OFFSET BY A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL, ENHANCED BY THE MID-LATITUDE ZONAL FLOW. TY 25W IS TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASING VWS AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE TYPHOON AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. TY CHAMPI WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) BY TAU 36 AS IT EMBEDS IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG COLD CORE LOW. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//  730 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 745 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS EVIDENT IN A 221108Z ASCAT PASS, WITH A DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. A 220746Z CORIOLIS MICROWAVE IMAGE FURTHER ILLUSTRATES THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE LLCC AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TD 25W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. TD 26W IS TRACKING ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL CONTINUE ETT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. BASED ON THE TIGHT AGREEMENT IN DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST.//  710 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 24.2N 142.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N 142.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 24.8N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.5N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 26.6N 149.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 28.2N 152.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 34.1N 164.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 143.0E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  711 WTPN52 PGTW 221500 WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 151022123305 2015102212 25W CHAMPI 038 02 075 08 SATL 035 T000 242N 1425E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 180 NW QD T012 248N 1444E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 150 SE QD 105 SW QD 165 NW QD T024 255N 1467E 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 145 SE QD 115 SW QD 155 NW QD T036 266N 1495E 085 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 145 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD T048 282N 1528E 075 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD T072 341N 1646E 055 AMP 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 038 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 24.2N 142.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N 142.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 24.8N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.5N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 26.6N 149.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 28.2N 152.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 34.1N 164.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 143.0E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2515101112 115N1672E 15 2515101118 115N1666E 15 2515101200 115N1660E 15 2515101206 115N1652E 15 2515101212 114N1640E 15 2515101218 116N1631E 15 2515101300 120N1622E 20 2515101306 128N1615E 25 2515101312 134N1606E 25 2515101318 140N1598E 30 2515101400 143N1584E 35 2515101406 148N1566E 35 2515101412 148N1551E 40 2515101418 151N1537E 45 2515101500 154N1526E 50 2515101506 158N1512E 50 2515101512 159N1495E 50 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102212 242N1425E 100 2515102212 242N1425E 100 2515102212 242N1425E 100  206 WHUS72 KKEY 221426 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 5 FEET IN HAWK CHANNEL...SEAS UP TO 7 FEET IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND SEAS UP TO 9 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. GMZ032-035-042>044-221530- /O.CAN.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ BAYSIDE AND GULFSIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE- GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS- HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF- HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO THE REEF- HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL OUT TO THE REEF- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... SMALL CRAFT WILL STILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THESE WATERS AS NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND GUSTY. $$ GMZ033-034-052>055-072>075-222100- /O.EXT.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS- GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL PERSIST THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...AND THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 6 FEET IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND SEAS UP TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID OPERATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ FUTTERMAN  115 WSBZ31 SBBS 221425 SBBS SIGMET 10 VALID 221430/221600 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR CNL SIGME T 8 221200/221600=  212 WHUS71 KBUF 221426 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LEZ040-041-221800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-222230- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.151022T1500Z-151023T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-221800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151022T1800Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-222230- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-222230- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-222100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- 1026 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  978 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 27.0N 156.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N 156.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 29.4N 159.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 31.4N 165.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 32.4N 172.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 157.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 745 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  296 WHUS73 KGRR 221427 MWWGRR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1027 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LMZ845>849-221530- /O.CAN.KGRR.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-151022T1600Z/ SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI- GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI- PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 1027 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE COME DOWN ACROSS THE AREA...AND WILL REMAIN DOWN THROUGH TODAY. $$ NJJ  614 WTPN51 PGTW 221500 WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 151022124811 2015102212 26W TWENTYSIX 003 02 030 20 SATL 060 T000 270N 1560E 025 T012 294N 1598E 025 T024 314N 1656E 030 T036 324N 1728E 030 AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 036HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 27.0N 156.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N 156.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 29.4N 159.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 31.4N 165.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 32.4N 172.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 157.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 745 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2615101912 163N1647E 15 2615101918 166N1640E 15 2615102000 171N1634E 15 2615102006 180N1626E 15 2615102012 188N1618E 15 2615102018 193N1606E 20 2615102100 199N1595E 20 2615102106 209N1584E 20 2615102112 217N1576E 20 2615102118 227N1564E 20 2615102200 235N1553E 25 2615102206 253N1548E 25 2615102212 270N1560E 25  803 WGUS54 KMAF 221427 FFWMAF TXC335-415-221730- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151022T1730Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 927 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... MITCHELL COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... SCURRY COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1230 PM CDT * AT 922 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... SNYDER...COLORADO CITY...CHINA GROVE...VALLEY VIEW...LORAINE... WESTBROOK...HERMLEIGH...KNAPP...WINSTON FIELD...UNION IN SCURRY COUNTY...RANDALLS CORNER...DERMOTT...INADALE...ARAH...LAKE COLORADO CITY...CUTHBERT...DUNN...COLORADO CITY AIRPORT...IRA AND CHAMPION CREEK RESERVOIR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3210 10117 3296 10113 3296 10066 3210 10066 $$ 12  971 WGUS54 KMAF 221430 FFWMAF TXC135-329-221715- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.W.0068.000000T0000Z-151022T1715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 930 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS EXTENDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... ECTOR COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... MIDLAND COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 1215 PM CDT * AT 926 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT HAS REPORTED ONGOING FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA AND THAT ALL LOW WATER CROSSINGS REMAIN CLOSED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN TWO INCHES HAVE BEEN WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MIDLAND...ODESSA...WEST ODESSA...GOLDSMITH...MISSION DORADO... MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...WARFIELD...COTTON FLAT...MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL...ODESSA SCHELEMEYER FIELD...PENWELL...GREENWOOD... MIDLAND AIRPARK...NORTH COWDEN AND SKYWEST AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. ARROYOS...STREAMS AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 3205 10185 3168 10185 3169 10270 3204 10266 $$ 27  208 WSMS31 WMKK 221430 WBFC SIGMET A06 VALID 221435/221835 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N07 BTN E11445 AND E118 STNR INTSF=  598 WABZ24 SBCW 221428 SBCW AIRMET 8 VALID 221435/221735 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR ISOL TS OB S AT 1430Z WI S2314 W04550- S2534 W04412- S2455 W04625- S2442 W04743 - S2258 W04753 - S2330 W04656 - S2314 W04550 ABV FL030 STNR NC=  031 WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 56N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 123E 19N 123E 19N 120E 23N 117E 27N 121E 25N 123E. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 27.3N 156.4E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 21 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 29.6N 159.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 31.5N 165.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 58N 165E NORTH SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 20N 125E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 114E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 132E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41N 169E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 174E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 23N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 145E TO 29N 153E 32N 163E 27N 175E 27N 180E. REMARKS. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.2N 142.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  488 WAUS41 KKCI 221445 WA1Z BOSZ WA 221445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET ICE...NY PA OH LE WV MD VA FROM 20NW ERI TO 30SSW HNK TO 20E ETX TO 30WSW EMI TO 30S AIR TO 40WSW ROD TO FWA TO DXO TO 20NW ERI MOD ICE BTN 120 AND FL200. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. . AIRMET ICE...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY NJ AND CSTL WTRS FROM 60NE PQI TO 150ENE ACK TO 30E ACK TO 20SE SAX TO 50SSW ALB TO 40W BGR TO 60NE PQI MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL 090-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...ICE ME NH MA RI CT NY NJ PA DE AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 60SW YSJ-140E ACK-100S ACK-20S SIE-30WSW SAX-30ENE SAX-50SSW ALB-60SW YSJ MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL180. FRZLVL 110-120. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 050-135 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 20NNE YYZ-50NNE SYR-30ESE YSC-40SW PQI-30E HUL 120 ALG 30NE FWA-20NNW AIR-HAR-20NE HTO-80E ACK-140ESE ACK ....  489 WAUS43 KKCI 221445 WA3Z CHIZ WA 221445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET ICE...SD NE KS MN IA OK TX FROM 70NW RAP TO 30E FSD TO 70SE ICT TO 50ENE CDS TO 50SSW AMA TO 50W LBL TO 40ESE SNY TO 40ESE CYS TO 70NW RAP MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 110-140. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...ICE ND SD NE KS MN IA MO BOUNDED BY 30SW ISN-70SSW BRD-FOD-60SE OVR-OSW-LBL-50W LBL-40E SNY-50SSW BFF-30SW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 110-140. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 030-145 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 030-090 BOUNDED BY 30N INL-YQT-SSM-YVV-ASP-50NE GRB-60NE DLH-30N INL 040 ALG 20WNW YQT-60WNW SSM-SSM 080 ALG 50NW INL-60ENE DLH-50NW TVC-40SSW YVV 120 ALG 30SSE SNY-50WSW PIR-30SSW PIR-30NE RWF-40WNW PMM- 30SSW PMM-30NE FWA 120 BOUNDED BY 30WNW MOT-30SSW MOT-30ENE DIK-20ENE DIK-50ESE ISN-30WNW MOT 120 BOUNDED BY 20WSW OBH-30SE OBH-50SE OBH-70SSE OBH-60NNW SLN-60ENE HLC-60E MCK-50WSW OBH-20WSW OBH ....  490 WAUS42 KKCI 221445 WA2Z MIAZ WA 221445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 222100 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 125-165 ACRS AREA 160 ALG 120SSE SJI-160S CEW-150W PIE 160 ALG 110SW SRQ-50SSE MIA-90SE MIA-150SE MIA ....  582 WAUS45 KKCI 221445 WA5Z SLCZ WA 221445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET ICE...MT WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 70NW RAP TO 40ESE CYS TO 40ESE SNY TO 30SSW GLD TO 50W ABQ TO 40SE PGS TO 30W DTA TO SLC TO 70NW RAP MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL220. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 080-125 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 30SSW FMG-30S OAL-20WSW BTY 120 ALG 70E ELP-30SSW TXO 120 ALG 40SE TBE-20ENE TBE-30ENE AKO-30SSE SNY ....  584 WAUS44 KKCI 221445 WA4Z DFWZ WA 221445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET ICE...OK TX SD NE KS MN IA FROM 70NW RAP TO 30E FSD TO 70SE ICT TO 50ENE CDS TO 50SSW AMA TO 50W LBL TO 40ESE SNY TO 40ESE CYS TO 70NW RAP MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 110-140. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-165 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 30SSW TXO-TXO-70SE TBE-40SE TBE 160 ALG 90W BRO-50W BRO-50NE BRO-110ENE BRO 160 ALG 100WSW LEV-30W LEV-30ENE LEV-110ESE LEV-120SSE SJI ....  020 WAUS46 KKCI 221445 WA6Z SFOZ WA 221445 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 2 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 222100 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 055-150 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 160WNW ONP-120WNW ONP-50SW HQM-60NNE GEG 120 ALG 140WSW FOT-40WSW FOT-50ESE FOT-30SSW FMG 120 ALG 20WSW BTY-TRM-40W BZA ....  776 WSPY31 SGAS 221430 SGFA SIGMET 03 VALID 221430/221530 SGAS- SGFA ASUNCION FIR CNL SIGMET 02 VALID 221040/221440=  983 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 27.0N 156.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N 156.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 29.4N 159.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 31.4N 165.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 32.4N 172.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 157.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 745 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  984 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS EVIDENT IN A 221108Z ASCAT PASS, WITH A DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. A 220746Z CORIOLIS MICROWAVE IMAGE FURTHER ILLUSTRATES THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE LLCC AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TD 25W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. TD 26W IS TRACKING ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL CONTINUE ETT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. BASED ON THE TIGHT AGREEMENT IN DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST./=  985 WDPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 38// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A MOSTLY UNCHANGED CONVECTIVE CORE STRUCTURE THAT IS SURROUNDING A 36NM EYE WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE ELONGATED TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. A 221109Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A SLIGHT WEAKENING IN THE CONVECTIVE CORE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONCURRING DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.5 (102 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE (20-25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BEING OFFSET BY A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL, ENHANCED BY THE MID-LATITUDE ZONAL FLOW. TY 25W IS TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASING VWS AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE TYPHOON AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. TY CHAMPI WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) BY TAU 36 AS IT EMBEDS IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG COLD CORE LOW. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK./=  986 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 24.2N 142.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N 142.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 24.8N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 25.5N 146.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 26.6N 149.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 28.2N 152.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 34.1N 164.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 143.0E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  596 WTPA25 PHFO 221434 TCMCP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 146.3W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......135NE 100SE 80SW 115NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 275SE 380SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 146.3W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 146.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.3N 146.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...135NE 100SE 80SW 115NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.7N 146.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.4N 146.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 70SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.8N 146.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 95SE 65SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.7N 145.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 60SW 95NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 22.5N 142.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 25.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 146.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON  722 WARH31 LDZM 221432 LDZO AIRMET 14 VALID 221500/221900 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MT OBSC OBS WI N4538 E01434 - N4437 E01459 - N4409 E01538 - N4407 E01618 - N4556 E01733 - N4631 E01624 ABV FL020 STNR NC=  427 WTPZ25 KNHC 221438 TCMEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS * NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS * NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 103.8W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 70SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 103.8W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N 105.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.2N 105.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.3N 105.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 103.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 103.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN  519 WWCN10 CWUL 221439 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR QUEBEC ENDED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10:39 A.M. EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: TEMISCOUATA. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML END/MSC  699 WSQB31 LQBK 221439 LQSB SIGMET 1 VALID 221440/221840 LQBK- LQSB SARAJEVO FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF LINE N4402 E01625 - N4321 E01851 SFC/FL065 STNR NC=  176 WSCN26 CWAO 221439 CZQM SIGMET I1 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE /N5050 W07307/75 W CRB4 - /N4945 W06713/45 SW CYZV - /N4737 W06543/CZBF SFC/FL030 MOV NE 25KT WKNG RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E6=  177 WSCN25 CWAO 221439 CZUL SIGMET E6 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE /N5050 W07307/75 W CRB4 - /N4945 W06713/45 SW CYZV - /N4737 W06543/CZBF SFC/FL030 MOV NE 25KT WKNG RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZQM MONCTON FIR SIGMET I1=  178 WSCN06 CWAO 221439 CZQM SIGMET I1 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE N5050 W07307 - N4945 W06713 - N4737 W06543 SFC/FL030 MOV NE 25KT WKNG=  179 WSCN05 CWAO 221439 CZUL SIGMET E6 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR SEV ICG (FZRA) FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE N5050 W07307 - N4945 W06713 - N4737 W06543 SFC/FL030 MOV NE 25KT WKNG=  235 WHUS71 KLWX 221440 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1040 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ530>534-537>543-222245- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0800Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 1040 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  311 WTPZ35 KNHC 221440 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 1000 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...PATRICIA EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO TOMORROW AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE... ...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 103.8W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch from north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Corrientes to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas * North of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas * North of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Patricia was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 103.8 West. Patricia is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today with a reduction in forward speed. A turn toward the northwest and then toward the north is forecast tonight and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Patricia is expected to become a major hurricane later today or tonight and remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through landfall. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area late Friday. RAINFALL: Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later today into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Patricia are already affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico, and will spread northwestward during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan  152 WAUS43 KKCI 221445 WA3S CHIS WA 221445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET IFR...NE KS FROM 50NNW BFF TO 20E ANW TO 20WSW SLN TO 40S ICT TO 30E LBL TO 50W LBL TO 50E SNY TO 30W SNY TO 50NNW BFF CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...IFR SD NE KS BOUNDED BY 50ENE DPR-50E PIR-30NE OBH-60SE ICT-LBL-50W LBL-40E SNY-50SSW BFF-60NW RAP-50ENE DPR CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  153 WAUS45 KKCI 221445 WA5S SLCS WA 221445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET IFR...WY UT CO NM FROM 40NE CZI TO 70SW RAP TO 30W SNY TO 50E SNY TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO 60WSW ALS TO 40SSW DVC TO 50E MTU TO 70E OCS TO 40NE CZI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET IFR...CO NM FROM 40ESE TBE TO 20S INK TO 50W INK TO 60NNW CME TO 20W ABQ TO 60WSW ALS TO 40ESE TBE CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 30SE CZI TO CYS TO TBE TO 20N RSK TO 30SE DTA TO 60ESE OCS TO 30SE CZI MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...UT CO AZ NM FROM 30SE DTA TO 20N RSK TO TBE TO 60SSW TCC TO ELP TO 40E TCS TO 70S RSK TO 30S DRK TO 60SSE ILC TO 30SE DTA MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...IFR MT WY UT CO BOUNDED BY 50W DIK-50SSW BFF-40E SNY-20NW GLD-DEN-40W ALS-50SSW DVC-40N JNC-50W DIK CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  154 WAUS46 KKCI 221445 WA6S SFOS WA 221445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET IFR...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30W FOT TO 20N PYE TO 30NW RZS TO 20E LAX TO 40SSW MZB TO 220SW MZB TO 130WSW ENI TO 30W FOT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. . AIRMET IFR...WA OR AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40WSW YDC TO 40SSE SEA TO 50SSE BTG TO 30N ONP TO 20W HQM TO TOU TO 40WSW YDC CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WA OR CA FROM 40SE YDC TO 60SE OED TO 60SW OED TO HUH TO 40SE YDC MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. ....  920 WAUS44 KKCI 221445 WA4S DFWS WA 221445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET IFR...OK TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40S ICT TO 40SE OKC TO 30NNW TTT TO 50ESE CWK TO 20NNE CRP TO 20NW BRO TO 90W BRO TO DLF TO FST TO INK TO 40ESE TBE TO 40S ICT CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21- 00Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...TX FROM 50W INK TO 70SE FST TO 50SE MRF TO 30WSW MRF TO 80ESE ELP TO 50W INK MTNS OBSC BY CLDS. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. ....  921 WAUS41 KKCI 221445 WA1S BOSS WA 221445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 2 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET IFR...ME NH VT MA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 60NE PQI TO 150ENE ACK TO 20SE BOS TO 20WSW CON TO 40SE YQB TO 70NW PQI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 00-03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO CON TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 00-03Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...VT NY PA WV FROM 40W YSC TO 50SSW ALB TO 20NE AIR TO JHW TO SYR TO MSS TO 40W YSC MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. CONDS DVLPG 15-18Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. ....  922 WAUS42 KKCI 221445 WA2S MIAS WA 221445 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET IFR...NC SC FROM 40S RDU TO 30NNE ILM TO 30NE CHS TO 40WSW FLO TO 40S RDU CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. . AIRMET IFR...GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30S PZD TO 20NW CRG TO 50W ORL TO 20W CTY TO 40SW TLH TO 30S PZD CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS ENDG 15-18Z. ....  102 WHUS73 KAPX 221441 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1041 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LHZ345-346-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-222245- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1041 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ347-348-222245- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1041 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD  054 WTPZ45 KNHC 221442 TCDEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 1000 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 Patricia continues to strengthen, with an eye evident in recent microwave images and intermittently seen in infrared imagery. The initial intensity is set to 85 kt, a bit above the latest UW-CIMSS ADT estimate of T4.7/82 kt, and this could be a little conservative if the eye becomes more distinct in infrared imagery. Even so, Patricia has intensified 50 kt in the last 24 hours. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate Patricia later today and provide valuable information on the intensity and structure of the hurricane. The environment is expected to be conducive for continued rapid strengthening in the next 24 hours, with the cyclone in an area of very low shear and SSTs above 30C. In fact, the SHIPS RI index shows a 95 percent chance of a 40-kt increase in the next 24 hours. The official forecast is close to the upper end of the guidance near the LGEM, and shows Patricia reaching major hurricane status by this evening and continuing to intensify through Friday morning. Little change in intensity is forecast on Friday prior to landfall, as southwesterly shear begins to increase. After landfall, Patricia should rapidly weaken, and the low-level circulation should dissipate over the high terrain of Mexico before 72 hours. The hurricane continues to move quickly west-northwestward, with an initial motion estimate of 295/15. The track forecast philosophy has not changed, with Patricia expected to turn northwestward and then northward during the next 24 hours as it moves around the periphery of a mid-level high centered over the Gulf of Mexico. Then, the hurricane should turn north-northeastward between the high and an amplifying trough over northwestern Mexico. The new NHC track has again been shifted a little to the left to account for the initial motion and is near the latest GFS/ECMWF consensus on the western side of the guidance envelope. Based on the latest forecast, the government of Mexico has issued a hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning from north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas, which includes the Puerto Vallarta area. Note that model guidance suggests that the mid-level remnants and moisture from Patricia will be absorbed by a non-tropical area of low pressure that forms over south Texas or the northwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. This moisture could contribute to a major rainfall event already ongoing across portions of Texas. For more information, please refer to products from your local National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Confidence is increasing that Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area as an extremely dangerous major hurricane Friday afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect life and property in the hurricane warning area should be completed today, as tropical storm conditions will begin to affect the warning area tonight or early Friday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 14.9N 103.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 15.8N 105.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 23/1200Z 17.2N 105.7W 115 KT 130 MPH 36H 24/0000Z 19.3N 105.5W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 24/1200Z 22.5N 103.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND 72H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan  241 WTPQ32 PGUM 221444 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015 200 AM CHST FRI OCT 23 2015 ...TYPHOON CHAMPI PICKING UP SPEED... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 143.0E ABOUT 110 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO ISLAND ABOUT 415 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF AGRIHAN ABOUT 660 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 760 MILES NORTH OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST-NORTHEAST...075 DEGREES AT 9 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAMPI WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.0 EAST. CHAMPI IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 9 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 115 MPH. CHAMPI IS STILL FORECAST TO WEAKEN TODAY AND SATURDAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES FROM THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 800 AM. $$ MCELROY  644 WGUS54 KSJT 221444 FFWSJT TXC059-417-441-447-221845- /O.NEW.KSJT.FF.W.0046.151022T1444Z-151022T1845Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 944 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... TAYLOR COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... CALLAHAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... THROCKMORTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... SHACKELFORD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 145 PM CDT * AT 938 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO OR CURRENTLY OVER THE WARNED AREA AND PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS COUNTIES JUST TO THE WEST OF THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... ABILENE...CLYDE...ALBANY...BAIRD...THROCKMORTON...MERKEL...TYE... CROSS PLAINS...TUSCOLA...BUFFALO GAP...TRENT...LAWN...MORAN... WOODSON...PUTNAM...HAPPY VALLEY...DYESS AFB...IBEX...EULA AND VIEW. ... THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ... INTERSECTIONS 428 INTERSECTIONS ALONG SAMMONS STREET TEXAS 430 TEXAS AVENUE AT ARNOLD BOULEVARD BUTTERNUT 420 BUTTERNUT UNDERPASS I-20 414 I-20 FRONTAGE ROADS NEAR PUTNAM I-20 413 I-20 FRONTAGE ROADS NEAR BAIRD CURRY 423 CURRY LANE FROM CLACK STREET TO CATCLAW DRIVE INTERSECTIONS 415 INTERSECTIONS ALONG BUTTONWILLOW PARKWAY I-20 412 I-20 FRONTAGE ROADS WEST OF CLYDE HARTFORD...REDBIRD...CORSICANA 424 HARTFORD...REDBIRD...CORSICANA STREETS FM 73 FM 89 CROSSING ELM CREEK ... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH THESE LOW WATER CROSSINGS OR ANY OTHER ... LOW WATER CROSSING WITH WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3296 9895 3295 9910 3210 9912 3209 10013 3251 10014 3251 9961 3296 9961 3297 9946 3339 9946 3339 9896 $$ HUBER  909 WSBZ31 SBRE 221444 SBAO SIGMET 10 VALID 221510/221900 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S3136 W04749 - S3349 W04522 - S325 0 W02923 - S2718 W02933 - S2206 W03731 - S2644 W04345 - S3136 W04749 F L140/220 MOV ENE 03KT NC=  849 WTPA35 PHFO 221445 TCPCP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 500 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HURRICANE OLAF MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD FAR SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 146.3W ABOUT 720 MI...1165 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.3 WEST. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT. OLAF IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY. OLAF IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES...250 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS INTO THIS WEEKEND. SEE THE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...WHHW40 PHFO OR CFWHFO...ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU FOR DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON  322 WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 103.2W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 103.2W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 15.8N 105.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 17.2N 105.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 19.3N 105.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 22.5N 103.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 221600Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 103.8W. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z, 230400Z, 231000Z AND 231600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  162 WSUS33 KKCI 221455 SIGW MKCW WST 221455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221655-222055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  163 WSUS32 KKCI 221455 SIGC MKCC WST 221455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 38C VALID UNTIL 1655Z TX OK FROM 60SSE MMB-40SW OKC-70NW ACT-40ESE FST-50NNE INK-60SSE MMB AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 39C VALID UNTIL 1655Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90SE PSX-130ENE BRO-80E BRO-10ESE BRO-50SE CRP-90SE PSX AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 19015KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 221655-222055 FROM 70ENE GCK-ICT-40SE END-30S ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-INK-60SE TBE-GCK-70ENE GCK REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  164 WSUS31 KKCI 221455 SIGE MKCE WST 221455 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221655-222055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  669 WACN27 CWAO 221451 CZQX AIRMET C1 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZQX GANDER DOMESTIC FIR MDT TURB FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE /N6025 W06446/120 N CYLU - /N5633 W06143/CYDP SFC/FL040 QS WKNG RMK GFACN34 GFACN36/CZUL MONTREAL FIR AIRMET D1=  670 WACN05 CWAO 221451 CZUL AIRMET D1 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR MDT TURB FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE N6025 W06446 - N5633 W06143 SFC/FL040 QS WKNG=  671 WACN07 CWAO 221451 CZQX AIRMET C1 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZQX GANDER DOMESTIC FIR MDT TURB FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE N6025 W06446 - N5633 W06143 SFC/FL040 QS WKNG=  672 WACN25 CWAO 221451 CZUL AIRMET D1 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR MDT TURB FCST WTN 45 NM OF LINE /N6025 W06446/120 N CYLU - /N5633 W06143/CYDP SFC/FL040 QS WKNG RMK GFACN34 GFACN36/CZQX GANDER DOMESTIC FIR AIRMET C1=  358 ACUS43 KWBC 221452 SCCNS3 STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1000 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS BEGINNING TO UNFOLD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY... FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN CENTRAL TEXAS AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 900 AM CDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF AMARILLIO TEXAS. FROM THE LOW...A STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDS TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CETNRAL PLAINS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY ALSO EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO THE SOUTH INTO THE BIG BEND REGION. DEEP MOISTURE IS INTERACTING WITH A STRONG JET ALOFT AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE A HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED A SQUALL LINE MOVING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. FURTHER NORTH...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS BEING OBSERVED ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS AND COLORADO. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OBSERVED ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS. ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT 21 THROUGH 900 AM CDT THU OCT 22... ...COLORADO... TYRONE 6 SE 2.51 TRINIDAD 2 ENE 2.29 THATCHER 7 SSE 2.22 STONINGTON 9 SE 2.13 ...KANSAS... GARDEN CITY REG ARPT 2.17 LIBERAL MUNI ARPT 1.78 ...NEW MEXICO... ARTESIA 4 NNE 2.84 PORTALES 1 SW 2.75 GASCON 1 WNW 2.62 CLOVIS 3 ENE 2.35 ROSWELL 4 WNW 2.25 SEDILLO 2 WNW 1.78 GILA 3 NE 1.72 CHAMA 1.65 MAYHILL 1 NNE 1.60 ALBUQUERQUE 6 E 1.38 CLIFF 6 NE 1.34 ...OKLAHOMA... GUYMON MUNI ARPT 3.27 FORGAN 10 NW 2.80 ...TEXAS... DENVER CITY 3.75 CANYON 3.31 LUBBOCK 6 SW 3.23 ABERNATHY 3.01 DUMAS 2.96 BORGER/HUTCHINSON 2.35 ODESSA-SCHLEMEYER FIELD 2.29 MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO 2.27 SWEETWATER 2.00 STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH HEAVY RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TODAY. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AFFECTING THE MAJORITY OF TEXAS...SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN A SWATH FROM CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS TO THE RED RIVER INCLUDING THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM SAN ANTONIO TO DALLAS. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THER REGION AS THE HEAVY RAIN IS COMING AFTER A PROLONGED DRY PERIOD. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. KREKELER $$  475 WAUS45 KKCI 221445 WA5T SLCT WA 221445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 40SSW ISN TO 40ESE CYS TO 20SSW RSK TO 20WNW DTA TO 50SE LKT TO 40SSW ISN MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL410. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. ....  476 WAUS46 KKCI 221445 WA6T SFOT WA 221445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB AND STG SFC WNDS VALID UNTIL 222100 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . AIRMET STG SFC WNDS...OR CA CSTL WTRS FROM 140WNW FOT TO 60NW FOT TO 70W ENI TO 120WSW PYE TO 140WSW FOT TO 140WNW FOT SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS GTR THAN 30KT EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  477 WAUS44 KKCI 221445 WA4T DFWT WA 221445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET TURB...OK TX SD NE KS FROM 40NW ANW TO 50E OBH TO 30ENE SLN TO 50SE ICT TO OKC TO CDS TO AMA TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO SNY TO 40NW ANW MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. ....  478 WAUS43 KKCI 221445 WA3T CHIT WA 221445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB AND LLWS VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD NE MN IA MO WI LM LS MI IL IN FROM 50NNW ISN TO 80SE YWG TO DXO TO FWA TO 50SW ROD TO 30S ORD TO AXC TO STL TO OVR TO 50SSW BFF TO 50NNW ISN MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. . AIRMET TURB...SD NE KS OK TX FROM 40NW ANW TO 50E OBH TO 30ENE SLN TO 50SE ICT TO OKC TO CDS TO AMA TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO SNY TO 40NW ANW MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . LLWS POTENTIAL...NE KS BOUNDED BY 70WSW ANW-50ENE HLC-50NNE MMB-50W LBL-GLD-BFF-70WSW ANW LLWS EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z AREA 1...TURB SD NE KS MN IA MO IL BOUNDED BY 20NE FSD-IOW-STL-SGF-PWE-LBF-50NW ANW-20NE FSD MOD TURB BTN FL310 AND FL410. CONDS DVLPG 00-03Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. . AREA 2...TURB SD NE KS BOUNDED BY DPR-30W FSD-40W OSW-20E LBL-50W LBL-20N GLD-BFF-70SW RAP-DPR MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  479 WAUS41 KKCI 221445 WA1T BOST WA 221445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB AND LLWS VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET TURB...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 60NE PQI TO 150ENE ACK TO 30SW ACK TO 40ESE HNK TO 20WSW EWC TO 30SE ECK TO YOW TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . AIRMET TURB...OH FROM DXO TO 30E APE TO 30W HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO DXO MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL400. CONDS DVLPG 18-21Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z THRU 03Z. . LLWS POTENTIAL...ME NH VT NY BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-60NE PQI-50WSW YSJ-30N ENE-50ESE SYR-YOW-YSC- 70NW PQI LLWS EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 21Z ENDG 21-00Z. . OTLK VALID 2100-0300Z...TURB PA OH LE WV MD VA BOUNDED BY 20NE DXO-CSN-20SSE PSK-40N HMV-HNN-CVG-FWA-20NE DXO MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG THRU 03Z. ....  888 WAUS42 KKCI 221445 WA2T MIAT WA 221445 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 222100 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  685 WSBZ31 SBBS 221453 SBBS SIGMET 11 VALID 221450/221800 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS F CST WI S2315 W04551 - S2330 W04655 - S2301 W04748 - S2137 W04641 - S2152 W04506 - S2246 W04549 - S2315 W04551 TOP FL420 MOV E 12KT NC=  184 WWJP72 RJTD 221200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 221200UTC ISSUED AT 221500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 222100UTC =  185 WWJP74 RJTD 221200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 221200UTC ISSUED AT 221500UTC DEVELOPED LOW 990HPA AT 56N 146E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 222100UTC =  186 WWJP73 RJTD 221200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 221200UTC ISSUED AT 221500UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 222100UTC =  187 WWJP75 RJTD 221200 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 221200UTC ISSUED AT 221500UTC DEVELOPED LOW 990HPA AT 56N 146E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006HPA AT 27.3N 156.4E MOVING NORTH 21 KNOTS POSITION FAIR MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER EXPEXTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 29.6N 159.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 31.5N 165.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 222100UTC =  188 WWJP81 RJTD 221200 VITAL WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 221200UTC ISSUED AT 221500UTC TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004HPA AT 20N 125E MOVING NE SLOWLY GALE WARNING SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA WITH MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 222100UTC =  611 WBCN07 CWVR 221400 PAM ROCKS WIND 3504 LANGARA; CLDY 15 S10G15 3FT MDT MOD W SHWR S-N 1430 CLD EST 10 FEW BKN ABV 25 08/08 GREEN; OVC 4RW+ SW18E 5FT MDT 1430 CLD EST 10 OVC 08/07 TRIPLE; OVC 10R- SW20EG 4FT MDT LO SW 1430 CLD EST 10 BKN OVC ABV 25 10/07 BONILLA; OVC 10R- S20 4FT MDT LO S 1430 CLD EST 12 SCT 20 OVC 11/09 BOAT BLUFF; OVC 12R- CLM RPLD 1430 CLD EST 11 BKN 18 OVC 09/09 MCINNES; PC 15 S10E 2FT CHP MOD SW 1430 CLD EST 4 FEW 10 FEW 18 SCT 10/07 IVORY; OVC 6RW- SE16 3FT MDT MOD SW 1430 CLD EST 14 FEW 18 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/10 DRYAD; OVC 12RW- SE15 2FT CHP 1430 CLD EST 6 FEW OVC ABV 25 10/10 ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15RW- SE10E 2FT CHP LO S 1430 CLD EST 14 SCT 20 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/09 EGG ISLAND; OVC 10 SE17 3FT MOD LO W 1440 CLD EST 14 BKN OVC ABV 25 10/09 PINE ISLAND; OVC 06RW-F SE15 3FT MOD LO W 1440 CLD EST 18 OVC 10/10 CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15TRW- SE10G 3FT MOD L OSW 1440 CLD EST 16 SCT BKN ABV 25 12/10 QUATSINO; CLDY 15 E13 3FT MOD LO SW SHWRS DSNT S-W 1440 CLD EST 6 FEW 20 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/10 NOOTKA; CLDY 15 N08 1FT CHP LO SW 1440 CLD EST 6 FEW BKN ABV 25 10/10 ESTEVAN; PC 12 E08 2FT CHP MOD SW 1022.6R LENNARD; PC 10 E04 1FT CHP MOD SW AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; PC 10 SE02 1FT CHP MOD SW PACHENA; PC 15 E05E 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW CARMANAH; PC 12 CLM 1FT CHP MOD SW VIS S-SE 6F SCARLETT; CLDY 15 SE20 3FT MOD LO NW PULTENEY; CLDY 15 E15 2FT CHP CHATHAM; OVC 15 SE03 RPLD 1440 CLD EST 1 FEW 5 OVC 09/08 CHROME; OVC 8 W6 RPLD FBNK DSTNT ALL QUADS MERRY; PC 15 NW6 RPLD 1440 CLD EST 8 FEW 18 SCT SCT ABV 25 9/8 ENTRANCE; CLDY 15 W7 1FT CHP FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; CLDY 15 NW6 RPLD TRIAL IS.; CLDY 6F E3 RPLD Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 240/11/10/2204/M/ 3008 88MM= WLP SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 224/10/09/1216/M/ PK WND 1220 1305Z 3002 87MM= WEB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 245/08/08/1005/M/ 3003 30MM= WQC SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 251/08/08/0501/M/ 3008 46MM= WRU SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 223/11/10/1119/M/0002 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR PK WND 1122 1358Z 6004 70MM= WFG SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 218/11/08/1912+19/M/0012 PCPN 1.2MM PAST HR PK WND 2023 1341Z 5000 90MM= WVF SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/12/10/3407/M/M M 61MM= WQS SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 137/11/09/1716/M/ PK WND 1722 1343Z 6005 74MM= WRO SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 139/08/07/1611/M/0040 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR 0004 23MM= WEK SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 146/11/09/1617/M/0004 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR PK WND 1627 1306Z 3003 93MM= WWL SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 150/10/08/1720/M/0028 PCPN 1.4MM PAST HR PK WND 1929 1344Z 7004 40MM= WME SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 214/08/07/0000/M/0002 3003 70MM= WAS SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 232/11/08/3504/M/ 1010 65MM= WSB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 231/10/08/0000/M/ 2008 04MM= WGT SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 241/10/09/3108/M/M 3009 49MM= WGB SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 238/09/08/2308/M/ 1009 39MM= WEL SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 239/11/10/2905/M/ 2009 77MM= WDR SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 239/10/M/0901/M/M 3010 9MMM= WZO SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3103/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/0701/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1400 AUTO8 M M M 237/08/07/1506/M/ 3005 39MM=  621 WGUS84 KCRP 221456 FLSCRP FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 956 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rives in Texas... Nueces River Near Tilden affecting McMullen County .Recent rainfall over the area will keep the aforementioned rivers above flood stage for the next few days. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local TV and radio stations, or cable TV outlets, for the latest weather information, as additional rainfall could affect crest forecasts. For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our AHPS page at: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=crp && TXC311-230856- /O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0068.151024T1648Z-151028T0200Z/ /TILT2.1.ER.151024T1648Z.151025T1800Z.151027T1000Z.NO/ 956 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 The Flood Warning continues for the Nueces River Near Tilden. * from Saturday morning, through Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 9.8 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 14.0 feet. * Forecast: Rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning, crest near 15.7 feet by noon on Sunday. The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning. * At 16.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding occurs. Hunting cabins, oil field tanks and pumps are affected, and livestock become isolated. && Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts: FLD LATEST FORECAST 6 AM LST LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Nueces River Tilden 14 9.8 Thu 9 AM 10.9 13.6 15.4 15.5 13.8 && LAT...LON 2817 9880 2836 9859 2845 9833 2833 9833 2826 9854 2807 9880 $$  349 WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 103.2W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 103.2W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 15.8N 105.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 17.2N 105.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 19.3N 105.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 22.5N 103.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 221600Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 103.8W. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z, 230400Z, 231000Z AND 231600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  589 WSKW31 OKBK 221443 OKBK SIGMET 6 VALID 221500/221900 OKBK- OKBC KUWAIT FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N29 AND E OF E047 TOP FL340 MOV E 15KT NC=  971 WSRS31 RURD 221457 URRV SIGMET 8 VALID 221500/221730 URRR- URRV ROSTOV FIR OBSC TS FCST SW OF LINE N4650 E03730 - N4310 E04140 TOP FL310 MOV NE 30KMH NC=  730 WTPA45 PHFO 221500 TCDCP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 500 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 THE EYE OF OLAF WAS SURROUNDED BY AN IMPRESSIVE RING OF COLD CUMULONIMBUS CLOUD TOPS IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY EARLY THIS MORNING. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN ALSO REMAINS ROBUST THIS MORNING. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM JTWC AND SAB WERE 5.0/90 KT...WHILE PHFO WAS 5.5/102 KT. THE MOST RECENT UW-CIMSS ADT ESTIMATE WAS ALSO 5.0/90 KT. DUE TO THE APPARENT WEAKENING OF OLAF TONIGHT...WE HAVE LOWERED THE INITIAL INTENSITY TO 100 KT. NOTE THAT A 0646Z ASCAT PASS WAS USED TO ADJUST THE INITIAL WIND RADII FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION FOR THIS ADVISORY IS 320/06 KT. OLAF IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH DURING THE 24 TO 48 HOUR TIME PERIOD. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND THEN THE NORTHEAST DURING DAYS 3 AND 4 DUE TO A DEEP TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH TOWARD THE SYSTEM LATER THIS WEEKEND. ONCE THIS OCCURS...OLAF IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD BY DAY 5. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE MOST RECENT TVCN AND GFEX CONSENSUS GUIDANCE... AS WELL AS THE HWRF MODEL. THE LATEST ESTIMATES OF ENVIRONMENTAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF OLAF ARE 5 KT FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ACCORDING TO SHIPS...AND 17 KT FROM THE SOUTHWEST ACCORDING TO UW-CIMSS. THE CIRA ANALYSIS OF OCEAN HEAT CONTENT /OHC/ ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK OF OLAF CONTINUES TO SHOW IT WILL MOVE OVER MODEST VALUES OF THIS PARAMETER DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS. HOWEVER...THE OHC REMAINS SLIGHTLY LOWER COMPARED WITH THE OCEANIC AREAS TO THE EAST AND WEST OF THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO THE LARGE NUMBER OF TROPICAL CYCLONES THAT HAVE TRAVERSED THESE WATERS DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF MONTHS CAUSING A LINGERING UPWELLING SIGNAL. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...SST...ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY COOL FROM SLIGHTLY ABOVE 28C NOW TO AROUND 25C 5 DAYS FROM NOW. THE LATEST SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS A STEADY INCREASE IN THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS FOLLOWED BY INCREASINGLY HOSTILE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR VALUES BEYOND DAY 1...WITH VALUES OF AROUND 30 KT EXPECTED BY DAY 4. SHIPS SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY STEADY WEAKENING. NOTE THAT SHIPS NOW DISSIPATES OLAF BY DAY 5...LIKELY DUE TO STRONG SHEAR AND COOLER SST. THE LATEST IVCN CONSENSUS GUIDANCE SHOWS GRADUAL WEAKENING DURING THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR LATEST INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD STARTING IN 24 HOURS...WHICH FOLLOWED THE MOST RECENT CONSENSUS GUIDANCE AND THE SHIPS OUTPUT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 13.5N 146.3W 100 KT 115 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 14.3N 146.7W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 23/1200Z 15.7N 146.9W 95 KT 110 MPH 36H 24/0000Z 17.4N 146.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 24/1200Z 18.8N 146.4W 85 KT 100 MPH 72H 25/1200Z 20.7N 145.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 26/1200Z 22.5N 142.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 27/1200Z 25.0N 139.0W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON  908 WHUS42 KTAE 221501 CFWTAE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1101 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY AT WALTON COUNTY BEACHES... EASTERLY WINDS AT AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...GENERALLY STRONGER AT NIGHT AND LOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE SORT OF WINDS TEND TO PROVIDE SLIGHTLY HIGHER SURF IN FRANKLIN AND WALTON COUNTIES...AND 1 TO 2 FOOT SURF WILL BE POSSIBLE THERE. IN BAY AND GULF COUNTIES...SURF SHOULD BE AROUND 1 FOOT. BE SURE TO CHECK THE RIP CURRENT RISK WITH YOUR LOCAL BEACH PATROL OR BEACH FLAG SYSTEM. FLZ108-222315- /O.NEW.KTAE.RP.S.0090.151022T1501Z-151023T0400Z/ SOUTH WALTON- 1001 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. * TIMING...UNTIL MIDNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$  784 WWUS45 KGJT 221502 WSWGJT URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 902 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ019-221615- /O.EXP.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 902 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... A NEW WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED TO INCLUDE ALL ELEVATIONS ABOVE 9000 FEET. $$ COZ009-010-012-013-018-222315- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS- WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 902 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...SNOWMASS...TAYLOR PARK...TRAPPERS LAKE...TELLURIDE. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ004-222315- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0068.151022T1800Z-151024T0000Z/ ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- 902 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * TIMING...FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$  937 WSMC31 GMMC 221502 GMMM SIGMET S4 VALID 221510/221800 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST E OF LINE N2722 W01115 - N2320 W016 00 TOP FL340 MOV NE NC=  957 WSNT07 KKCI 221515 SIGA0G KZHU SIGMET GOLF 6 VALID 221515/221915 KKCI- HOUSTON OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1515Z WI N2730 W09500 - N2730 W09300 - N2545 W09345 - N2600 W09545 - N2730 W09500. TOP FL500. MOV NW 5KT. NC.  780 WGUS84 KMAF 221505 FLSMAF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1005 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas... New Mexico... Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County Pecos River near Artesia 6E affecting Eddy County Rapid rises overnight due to rain upstream have caused rises on the Pecos River near Artesia 6E and the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if traveling through this area. Vehicle-related fatalities are the number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico. If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to cross it. You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing floodwaters. Turn around, don't drown! River levels are high. Ranchers and farmers should move livestock and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits. Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could significantly change the present forecast stage. Additional information is available at: www.weather.gov/midland The next statement will be issued later today. && TXC377-230705- /O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151023T1115Z/ /CDET2.2.ER.151022T0412Z.151022T0445Z.151022T2315Z.NR/ 1005 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning continues for the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N. * until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 9.0 feet (2.7 meters). * flooding is occurring and flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters). * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet (2.8 meters) by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage this evening. * Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas. Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected. Farmers and ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground. This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.2 feet (2.8 meters) on Oct 7 2015. && Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Thu Thu Fri Fri 1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM Candelaria 3N 7.5 8.5 9.0 Thu 9 AM 9.2 8.4 7.8 7.3 Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Thu Thu Fri Fri 1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM Candelaria 3N 2.3 2.6 2.7 Thu 9 AM 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 && LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465 $$ NMC015-230705- /O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0029.151023T0230Z-151025T0000Z/ /ATSN5.1.ER.151023T0230Z.151023T1200Z.151024T1200Z.NO/ 905 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 The Flood Warning continues for the Pecos River near Artesia 6E. * from this evening to Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8AM Thursday the stage was 9.5 feet (2.9 meters). * flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 12.5 feet (3.8 meters). * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise to near 13.9 feet (4.2 meters) by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning. * Impact...At 13.5 feet (4.1 meters), the river reaches the floor of the instrument shelter. This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet (3.8 meters) on Jun 27 1986. && Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Thu Thu Fri Fri 1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM Artesia 6E 12.0 12.5 9.5 Thu 8 AM 10.2 12.0 13.2 13.9 Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters): Bf Fld Observed Forecast Location Stg Stg Stage Day Time Thu Thu Fri Fri 1PM 7PM 1AM 7AM Artesia 6E 3.7 3.8 2.9 Thu 8 AM 3.1 3.7 4.0 4.2 && LAT...LON 3297 10443 3297 10423 3285 10425 3265 10423 3264 10443 $$  326 WWUS45 KGJT 221506 WSWGJT URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 906 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ009-010-012-013-018-222315- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS- WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 906 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...SNOWMASS...TAYLOR PARK...TRAPPERS LAKE...TELLURIDE. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ004-222315- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0068.151022T1800Z-151024T0000Z/ ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- 906 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * TIMING...FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$  745 WSFR34 LFPW 221506 LFMM SIGMET 3 VALID 221600/222000 LFPW- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4200 E00400 - N4215 E00230 - N4330 E00245 - N4330 E00330 SFC/FL060 STNR WKN=  933 WTPN32 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 031// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 146.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 146.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 14.3N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 15.7N 146.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 17.4N 146.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 18.8N 146.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 20.7N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 22.5N 142.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 25.0N 139.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 221600Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 103.8W. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z, 230400Z, 231000Z AND 231600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  961 WOXX50 KWNP 221508 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 7020 Issue Time 2015 Oct 22 1500 UTC TEST ALERT: Message Delivery Test - Solar Radiation Alert Comment: This is a message delivery test of the SOLAR RADIATION ALERT system. Test messages are sent each day at 1500 UTC unless a SOLAR RADIATION ALERT is in progress. Information on the Solar Radiation Alert system is at www.faa.gov/library/reports/medical/oamtechreports/ 2000s/media/200906.pdf . . .  544 WCMX31 MMMX 221511 MMEX SIGMET 3 VALID 221508/222108 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR TC PATRICIA OBS N1454 W10348 AT 1508Z FRQ TS TOPS FL540 WI 200NM OF CENTRE MOV WNW 15KT INTSF. FCST 222100 N1524 W10448=  493 WWCN14 CWHX 221511 FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR NEW BRUNSWICK ENDED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 12:11 P.M. ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- FREEZING RAIN WARNING ENDED FOR: CAMPBELLTON AND RESTIGOUCHE COUNTY MOUNT CARLETON - RENOUS HIGHWAY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== FREEZING RAIN CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NB END/MSC  692 WSGR31 LGAT 221505 LGGG SIGMET 5 VALID 221505/221905 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS WI N3400 E01930 - N3830 E01930 - N4130 E02300 - N4130 E02730 - N3700 E02730 STNR NC=  940 WSGR31 LGAT 221505 LGGG SIGMET 5 VALID 221505/221905 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR FRQ TS OBS WI N3400 E01930 - N3830 E01930 - N4130 E02300 - N4130 E02730 - N3700 E02730 STNR NC=  181 WSMA31 FIMP 221500 FIMM SIGMET A04 VALID 221430/221830 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1430Z WI S0600 E06600 - S0600 E0700 - S1000 E0700 - S1000 E06700 - S0600 E06600 TOP ABV FL390 STNR NC=  732 WCPA07 PHFO 221513 WSTPAT SIGMET TANGO 10 VALID 221515/222115 PHFO-OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR TC OLAF OBS AT 1500Z N1330 W14618. CB TOP FL500 WI 175NM OF CENTER. MOV NW 06KT. NC. FCST 2100Z TC CENTER N1402 W14634.  151 WWIN40 DEMS 221200 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS AN UPPER AIR TROUGH IN THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 63.0 DEG EAST AND NORTH OF LAT. 30.0 DEG NORTH (.) UNDER ITS INFLUENCE AN INDUCED UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WOULD FORM OVER CENTRAL PAKISTAN & ADJOINING WEST RAJASTHAN DURING NEXT 48 HOURS (.) THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER LAKSHADWEEP & MALDIVE AREA EXTENDING UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS (.) THE TROUGH OF LOW AT MEAN SEA LEVEL OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING LAKSHADWEEP AREA PERSISTS (.) THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS (.) ANOTHER UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF SRILANKA COAST EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS (.) FORECAST: RAIN/THUNDERSHOWERS WOULD OCCUR AT MANY PLACES OVER LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW PLACES OVER KERALA AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR, MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, SUB-HIMALAYA WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAK & TRIPURA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, COASTAL KARNATAKA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMILNADU & PUDDUCHERY AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS (.) DRY WEATHER WOULD PREVAIL OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.) WARNING: NO WEATHER WARNING (.)=  119 WWUS75 KCYS 221514 NPWCYS URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 914 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FOG TO DISSIPATE THROUGH THIS MORNING... WYZ116>118-221615- /O.EXP.KCYS.FG.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-151022T1500Z/ SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS- CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE... HORSE CREEK...HARRIMAN...WHITAKER...CHEYENNE 914 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... WHILE THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL LINGER THIS MORNING UNTIL PRECIPITATION OVER COLORADO MOVES INTO THE AREA. MOST OF THE DENSE FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY LATE THIS MORNING. $$  595 WSBZ01 SBBR 221500 SBAO SIGMET 9 VALID 221300/221700 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0623 W03315 - N0513 W03507 - N0631 W03622 - N0657 W03457 - N0728 W03445 - N0623 W03315 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  596 WSBZ01 SBBR 221500 WSBZ31 SBCW 221349  597 WSBZ01 SBBR 221500 WSBZ31 SBRE 221241  598 WSBZ01 SBBR 221500 SBAO SIGMET 7 VALID 221110/221500 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2539 W04215 - S2620 W04225 - S2717 W04326 - S2714 W04407 - S2645 W04346 - S2539 W04215 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 03KT NC=  231 WSBZ01 SBBR 221500 SBAO SIGMET 8 VALID 221110/221510 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2224 W03812 - S2840 W03149 - S3043 W03141 - S3138 W03711 - S3358 W03907 - S3400 W04134 - S3357 W04323 - S3400 W04443 - S3007 W04634 - S2713 W04407 - S2717 W04326 - S2619 W04224 - S2538 W04214 - S2224 W03812 FL140/220 MOV ENE 03KT NC=  232 WSBZ01 SBBR 221500 SBCW SIGMET 11 VALID 221400/221700 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2405 W05418- S2455 W04625- S2740 W04833 - S2806 W05527 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2405 W05418 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  306 WSBZ01 SBBR 221500 WSBZ31 SBRE 221106  136 WSCG31 FCBB 221521 FCCC SIGMET A4 VALID 221545/221900 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1500Z W OF N0400 E01000 - S0010 E01000 TOP FL450 MOV W 10KT WKN=  553 WTPN32 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 031// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 146.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 146.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 14.3N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 15.7N 146.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 17.4N 146.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 18.8N 146.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 20.7N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 22.5N 142.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 25.0N 139.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 221600Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 146.3W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 648 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z, 230400Z, 231000Z AND 231600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //  505 WSNT08 KKCI 221527 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 3 VALID 221527/221540 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET HOTEL 2 221140/221540.  373 WSCI36 ZUUU 221527 ZPKM SIGMET 2 VALID 221535/221935 ZUUU- ZPKM KUNMING FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N29 AND W OF E108 TOP FL340 STNR WKN=  836 WSPN03 KKCI 221530 SIGP0C KZAK SIGMET CHARLIE 1 VALID 221530/221930 KKCI- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1530Z WI N3800 W15200 - N3800 W14700 - N3230 W15145 - N3230 W15715 - N3800 W15200. TOP FL400. MOV E 25KT. INTSF.  837 WSNT08 KKCI 221515 SIGA0H KZNY SIGMET HOTEL 3 VALID 221515/221540 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET HOTEL 2 221140/221540.  845 WSPO31 LPMG 221533 LPPC SIGMET 4 VALID 221535/221835 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS FCST S OF N3330 TOP ABV FL350 STNR NC=  661 WACN02 CWAO 221533 CZEG AIRMET E1 VALID 221530/221930 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SFC VIS 1/2-2SM FG - BKN CLD 200-600/1200FT OBS WTN 30 NM OF LINE N5958 W13237 - N5714 W12852 QS WKNG=  662 WACN22 CWAO 221533 CZEG AIRMET E1 VALID 221530/221930 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SFC VIS 1/2-2SM FG - BKN CLD 200-600/1200FT OBS WTN 30 NM OF LINE /N5958 W13237/15 S CYZW - /N5714 W12852/75 W CBQ7 QS WKNG RMK GFACN31=  283 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221533 SBAZ SIGMET 10 VALID 221530/221830 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI N0025 W06439 - N0120 W06219 - S0038 W06145 - S0239 W06206 - S0311 W06436 - N0014 W06436 - N0025 W06439 TOP FL400 STNR INTSF=  713 WTPN32 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 031// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 13.2N 146.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 146.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 14.3N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 15.7N 146.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 17.4N 146.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 18.8N 146.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 20.7N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 22.5N 142.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 25.0N 139.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 221600Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 146.3W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 648 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 48 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z, 230400Z, 231000Z AND 231600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. /=  423 WSMS31 WMKK 221534 WBFC SIGMET B02 VALID 221535/221935 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N04 W OF E114 OVER THE SEA STNR INTSF=  089 WSTU31 LTBA 221535 LTBB SIGMET 7 VALID 221535/221835 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1520Z N3679 E02832 AND OF VCY MOV NE INTSF=  916 WWUS45 KGJT 221540 WSWGJT URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 940 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ014-222345- /O.EXA.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY- 940 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...GUNNISON...CIMARRON. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...1 TO 3 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...SNOW WILL START ACCUMULATING ON ROAD SURFACES AND MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ019-222345- /O.EXA.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 940 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ABOVE 9000 FEET FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...SILVERTON...RICO. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 5 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ009-010-012-013-018-222345- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS- WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 940 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...SNOWMASS...TAYLOR PARK...TRAPPERS LAKE...TELLURIDE. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ004-222345- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0068.151022T1800Z-151024T0000Z/ ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- 940 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * TIMING...FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$  315 WSAN31 FNLU 221530 RRA FNAN SIGMET A0 VALID 221530/221930 FNLU - FNAN LUADA FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1500Z WI S0749 E02144 - S0713 E02030 - S0744 E01907 - S0809 E01752 - S0933 E01645 - S0951 E01522 - S1135 E01417 - S1327 E01449 - S1353 E01717 - S1301 E1911 - S1152 E02031 - S1015 E02105 TOP FL450 INTSF=  083 WSAN31 FNLU 221530 FNAN SIGMET A0 VALID 221530/221930 FNLU - FNAN LUADA FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1500Z WI S0749 E02144 - S0713 E02030 - S0744 E01907 - S0809 E01752 - S0933 E01645 - S0951 E01522 - S1135 E01417 - S1327 E01449 - S1353 E01717 - S1301 E1911 - S1152 E02031 - S1015 E02105 TOP FL450 INTSF=  557 WGUS54 KSJT 221543 FFWSJT TXC431-221945- /O.NEW.KSJT.FF.W.0047.151022T1543Z-151022T1945Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1043 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... STERLING COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 245 PM CDT * AT 1039 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR WILL BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... STERLING CITY AND BROOME. ... THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ... BADE 331 BADE CROSSING LACY CREEK JACKSON 330 JACKSON CROSSING STERLING CREEK ... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH THESE LOW WATER CROSSINGS OR ANY OTHER ... LOW WATER CROSSING WITH WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3209 10126 3208 10082 3171 10083 3171 10086 3156 10087 3156 10127 $$ HUBER  644 WWUS45 KPUB 221547 WSWPUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 947 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ058-060-066-068-073-075-080-082-230000- /O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS... MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS... WOLF CREEK PASS...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN... PIKES PEAK 947 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10 TO 11 THOUSAND FEET... INCLUDING MOST OF THE MAJOR MOUNTAIN PASSES. * CAUSE AND TIMING...A LARGE...SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY...WET SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OVER A FOOT POSSIBLE ABOVE 12000 FEET. * IMPACT...HUNTERS...HIKERS AND OTHER OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS VENTURING INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL ENCOUNTER HEAVY...WET SNOW...PERIODS OF LOW VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. WET CLOTHING FROM MELTING SNOW COULD QUICKLY DROP BODY TEMPERATURES TO UNSAFE LEVELS IF NOT PROPERLY PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. BE SURE TO TRAVEL WITH WATER...FOOD...BLANKETS...EXTRA CLOTHING AND PLENTY OF FUEL. DO NOT STRAY TOO FAR AWAY FROM A PLACE OF DRY SHELTER. BE SURE AND LET OTHERS KNOW EXACTLY WHERE YOU WILL BE AND WHEN YOU WILL BE THERE. CARRY A BACK COUNTRY SAFETY BEACON WITH YOU IN CASE YOU GET LOST OR STRANDED. && $$  549 WHUS76 KPQR 221548 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 848 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ210-230000- /O.CON.KPQR.RB.Y.0136.151022T1800Z-151023T1300Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 848 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT FRIDAY. * IN THE MAIN CHANNEL... * GENERAL SEAS: NEAR 8 FT THIS MORNING...BUILDING 9 TO 10 FT BY AFTERNOON AND HOLDING NEAR 10 FT THROUGH TONIGHT. * FIRST EBB: AROUND 115 PM THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS NEAR 11 FT. * SECOND EBB: AROUND 130 AM EARLY FRI MORNING. SEAS NEAR 13 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ250-255-270-275-230000- /O.CON.KPQR.SW.Y.0074.151022T1900Z-151023T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 848 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM PDT FRIDAY. * SEAS: WESTERLY SWELL BUILDS LATER THIS MORNING. EXPECT SWELL TO CLIMB TO 10 FT NOON TODAY...PEAKING AT 10 TO 12 FT THIS AFTERNOON. SWELL WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND  931 WTPQ21 RJTD 221500 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 221500UTC 24.4N 143.3E GOOD MOVE ENE 09KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 240NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 231500UTC 26.1N 147.6E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 11KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 45HF 241200UTC 28.4N 152.4E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 13KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 69HF 251200UTC 35.5N 166.5E 325NM 70% MOVE ENE 35KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT =  932 WTJP32 RJTD 221500 WARNING 221500. WARNING VALID 231500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.4N 143.3E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 26.1N 147.6E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  390 WCPA07 PHFO 221548 WSTPAT SIGMET TANGO 10 VALID 221515/222115 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR TC OLAF OBS AT 1500Z N1330 W14618. CB TOP FL500 WI 175NM OF CENTER. MOV NW 06KT. NC. FCST 2100Z TC CENTER N1402 W14634.  560 WHUS44 KLCH 221549 CFWLCH COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1049 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST THROUGH TOMORROW... .A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP TIDES RUNNING 1.0 TO 1.5 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR COASTAL WATERWAYS NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. LAZ052>054-073-074-TXZ215-230000- /O.EXT.KLCH.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-JEFFERSON- 1049 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * COASTAL FLOODING...TIDE LEVELS OF 3.0 TO 3.5 FEET MLLW ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST DURING ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...LOW PORTIONS NEAR SABINE LAKE AND CALCASIEU LAKE AND SHIP CHANNELS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING AROUND ORANGE AND DEATONVILLE. LOW PORTIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN HOLLY BEACH AND CONSTANCE BEACH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. SECONDARY PARISH ROADS ACROSS COASTAL CAMERON PARISH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING... INCLUDING PORTIONS OF MAIN STREET IN CAMERON. ACROSS COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY...PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 87 BETWEEN SEA RIM STATE PARK AND SABINE PASS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. INTRACOASTAL CITY...DELCAMBRE...CYPREMORT POINT...AND SALT POINT COULD ALSO SEE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ 24  249 WSSR20 WSSS 221549 WSJC SIGMET 5 VALID 221600/222000 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N02 AND E OF E10515 NC=  209 WSMP31 LMMM 221550 LMMM SIGMET 5 VALID 221549/221949 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR SEV TURB FCST MALTA FIR FL210/430 MOV E NC=  601 WWUS84 KOUN 221552 SPSOUN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1052 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ086-089-090-221615- CLAY TX-ARCHER TX-WICHITA TX- 1052 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN CLAY...ARCHER AND SOUTHEASTERN WICHITA COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 AM CDT... AT 1047 AM CDT...HEAVY RAIN IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT THE WICHITA FALLS AREA ALONG WITH PLACES LIKE ARCHER CITY... HOLLIDAY... AND LAKE ARROWHEAD. HAZARDS INCLUDE... REDUCED VISIBILITIES... MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE... CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... LAT...LON 3345 9893 3407 9866 3408 9851 3406 9848 3409 9841 3412 9813 3348 9829 TIME...MOT...LOC 1547Z 210DEG 41KT 3389 9850 $$  441 WHUS74 KLCH 221552 MWWLCH URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1052 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... .MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS WILL PERSIST AS THE LONG FETCH OF MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUES TODAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BRIEFLY RELAX OVERNIGHT ALLOWING WINDS AND SEAS TO DIMINISH. GMZ470-472-475-230000- /O.EXT.KLCH.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1052 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS....EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 24  535 WSUS32 KKCI 221555 SIGC MKCC WST 221555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 40C VALID UNTIL 1755Z TX OK FROM 40S MMB-50NE SPS-40NW ACT-50W SJT-20SSE MAF-40S MMB AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 41C VALID UNTIL 1755Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 100SE PSX-90E BRO-10WSW BRO-50SE CRP-100SE PSX AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 19015KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 221755-222155 FROM 70ENE GCK-ICT-40SE END-30S ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-INK-60SE TBE-GCK-70ENE GCK REF WW 518. WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  536 WSUS31 KKCI 221555 SIGE MKCE WST 221555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221755-222155 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  855 WSUS33 KKCI 221555 SIGW MKCW WST 221555 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221755-222155 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  689 WAAB31 LATI 221547 LAAA AIRMET 4 VALID 221600/222000 LATI- LAAA TIRANA FIR ISOL CB/TS FCST S OF N4110 CB TOP FL350 NC=  370 WAHW31 PHFO 221553 WA0HI HNLS WA 221600 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 2 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 222200 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 221600 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 2 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 222200 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 221600 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 2 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 222200 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...163-158.  060 WHUS76 KMTR 221556 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ570-230000- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0146.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ POINT ARENA TO POINT REYES 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ571-230000- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0146.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ POINT REYES TO PIGEON POINT 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ575-230000- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ PIGEON POINT TO POINT PINOS 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ540-230000- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0148.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ POINT ARENA TO POINT REYES TO 10 NM- 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO  805 WHUS76 KSEW 221556 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ110-230000- /O.CON.KSEW.RB.Y.0027.151022T1800Z-151023T1300Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS...COMBINED SEAS RISING TO 10 FEET. * BAR CONDITION...BECOMING ROUGH. * FIRST MAXIMUM EBB...1 PM TODAY. * SECOND MAXIMUM EBB...115 AM TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-230000- /O.CON.KSEW.SW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-151023T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 856 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS...WEST SWELL 10 TO 13 FEET. * DOMINANT PERIOD...13 TO 15 SECONDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER... BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE  527 WSSG31 GOOY 221600 GOOO SIGMET A5 VALID 221600/222000 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1550Z WI N0330 W01100 - N0530 W03200?- N0740 W03500 - N1110 3610 - N1400 W02540 - N1300 W02120 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  528 WSSG31 GOOY 221600 GOOO SIGMET A5 VALID 221600/222000 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1550Z WI N0330 W01100 - N0530 W03200 - N0740 W03500 - N1110 3610 - N1400 W02540 - N1300 W02120 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  121 WSSG31 GOOY 221605 GOOO SIGMET B5 VALID 221605/222005 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR OCNL EMBD TS OBS AT 1555Z WI N1200 W01120 - N1430 W00940 - N0810 W00230 - N0700 W00810 WI N0350 W00600 - N0500 W00300 - N0410 W00300 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT INTSF=  308 WSSG31 GOOY 221606 GOOO SIGMET C2 VALID 221606/222006 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1556Z WI N1740 W02000 - N2120 W01650 - N1830 W01610 - N1240 W02100 - N1300 W02120 TOP FL400 MOV NE 10KT NC=  871 WSMP31 LMMM 221603 LMMM SIGMET 6 VALID 221601/222001 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR FRQ AND EMBD TS OBS AND FCST TOP FL360=  231 WWST02 SBBR 221600 1 31 05 02 12 20 SECURITE WARNING NR 1580/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC - TUE- 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 30S AND W OF 035W STARTING AT 201200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 230000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1575/2015. WARNING NR 1581/2015 ROUGH/VERY ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1330 UTC – TUE - 20/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA S OF 32S AND E OF 035W STARTING AT 211200 UTC. WAVES FM NW/SW 3.0/4.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 240000 UTC. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 1577/2015. WARNING NR 1582/2015 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1430 UTC - THU - 22/OCT/2015 AREA ALFA STARTING AT 240000 UTC. WAVES FM SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 260000 UTC. WARNING NR 1583/2015 ROUGH SEA WARNING ISSUED AT 1430 UTC - THU - 22/OCT/2015 AREA BRAVO E OF 045W STARTING AT 250000 UTC. WAVES FM SW 3.0/5.0 METERS. VALID UNTIL 260000 UTC WARNING NR 1584/2015 NEAR GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1630 UTC THU 22/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA AT S OF 30S AND W OF 035W STARTING AT 240900 UTC. WIND SW FORCE 7/8 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 251800 UTC. WARNING NR 1585/2015 NEAR GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 1630 UTC THU 22/OCT/2015 SOUTH OCEANIC AREA AT S OF 30S AND E OF 035W STARTING AT 241800 UTC. WIND SW FORCE 8/9 WITH GUSTS. VALID UNTIL 260000 UTC. NNNN  871 WSNT10 KKCI 221605 SIGA0J KZNY KZMA SIGMET JULIETT 2 VALID 221605/221745 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR MIAMI OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET JULIETT 1 221345/221745.  211 WGUS84 KLCH 221606 FLSLCH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1106 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier LAC019-230606- /O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-151025T0000Z/ /LCHL1.1.ER.151021T1200Z.151022T1500Z.151024T1200Z.NO/ 1106 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning continues for The Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier. * until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 4.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 4.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Saturday morning. * Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor marshland flooding occurs. Flooding also begins on River Road in north Lake Charles. && LAT...LON 3035 9332 3017 9335 3014 9328 3029 9303 3036 9309 $$  322 WWUS45 KBOU 221607 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1007 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY SNOWFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE FRONT RANGE TODAY... .WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL HEAVY AT TIMES ON THE EAST SLOPE OF FRONT RANGE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL LIKELY OCCUR WITHIN A BAND FROM 8000 TO 10000 FEET WHERE SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR WILL CREATE POOR VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. SNOWFALL SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM SLOWLY EXITING THE STATE TO THE NORTHEAST. TRAVELERS SHOULD ANTICIPATE SLOW GOING DUE TO SNOW COVERED OR SLUSHY ROADS AND ACCIDENTS. CHAINS OR ADEQUATE SNOW TIRES MAY ALSO BE NECESSARY ABOVE 8000 FEET DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COZ033>036-222100- /O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0021.151022T1607Z-151022T2100Z/ SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/ GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET- JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS... BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE... EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL... INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS... WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY... NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES...BAILEY...CENTRAL CITY... EVERGREEN...GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...WESTCREEK 1007 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...UNTIL 3 PM MDT TODAY * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 7 INCHES WITH THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATION BETWEEN 8000 AND 10000 FEET EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. * WIND/VISIBILITY...HEAVY SNOWFALL AND FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW...SLUSH AND POOR VISIBILITIES WILL LIKELY CREATE DIFFICULT WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FRONT RANGE TRAVELERS SHOULD ANTICIPATE SLOW TRAFFIC AND POSSIBLE DELAYS DUE TO TEMPORARY ROAD CLOSURES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ BAKER  399 WSMP31 LMMM 221608 LMMM SIGMET 7 VALID 221606/222006 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR SEV ICING FCST MALTA FIR FL080/180 STNR NC=  708 WTPQ20 RJTD 221500 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 221500UTC 28.2N 157.2E FAIR MOVE NNE 25KT PRES 1006HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 231500UTC 32.1N 167.8E 120NM 70% MOVE ENE 25KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT =  728 WSNT09 KKCI 221612 SIGA0I KZNY SIGMET INDIA 2 VALID 221612/221745 KKCI- NEW YORK OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET INDIA 1 221345/221745.  239 WHUS44 KCRP 221618 CFWCRP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 1118 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING... .THE COMBINATION OF LONG PERIOD SWELLS...SIGNIFICANT SWELL HEIGHTS...AND A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW...HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. IMPACTS ARE BEING NOTED AT NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ALONG THE COAST WITH SOME ROADS BEING CLOSED. BAY LEVELS ARE AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL WITH SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUN-UP OCCURRING. IN ADDITION...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS ALONG THE COAST. TXZ242-243-245-247-230030- /O.UPG.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCRP.CF.W.0001.151022T1618Z-151023T2100Z/ /O.EXT.KCRP.RP.S.0012.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ KLEBERG-NUECES-ARANSAS-CALHOUN- 1118 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2.5 FEET ABOVE MSL. WATER LEVELS MAY REACH NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE MSL SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS. * TIMING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING IN BAY AREAS...AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT FOR OPEN WATER LOCATIONS. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. WITH INCREASING WAVES WITH LONG PERIOD SWELLS...THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO RUN UP AND REACH THE DUNES AGAIN TONIGHT. SOME ROADS WILL BE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY. && $$ TXZ244-230030- /O.UPG.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCRP.CF.W.0001.151022T1618Z-151023T2100Z/ SAN PATRICIO- 1118 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE MSL. * TIMING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING IN BAY AREAS. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE SHOER...ESPECIALLY AT INGLESIDE BY THE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ PZ/CB/JM  408 WTNT82 EGRR 221618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 22.10.2015 HURRICANE OLAF ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N 145.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192015 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 22.10.2015 0 12.8N 145.7W 990 48 0000UTC 23.10.2015 12 13.8N 146.0W 985 49 1200UTC 23.10.2015 24 15.2N 145.6W 984 51 0000UTC 24.10.2015 36 16.7N 144.9W 981 56 1200UTC 24.10.2015 48 18.1N 143.9W 984 53 0000UTC 25.10.2015 60 19.1N 143.0W 988 48 1200UTC 25.10.2015 72 19.8N 142.2W 989 47 0000UTC 26.10.2015 84 20.5N 141.8W 992 42 1200UTC 26.10.2015 96 21.5N 141.8W 998 35 0000UTC 27.10.2015 108 22.7N 141.6W 1000 28 1200UTC 27.10.2015 120 23.9N 141.1W 1002 27 0000UTC 28.10.2015 132 24.9N 140.1W 1003 28 1200UTC 28.10.2015 144 25.2N 140.8W 1007 26 HURRICANE PATRICIA ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 103.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202015 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 22.10.2015 0 14.4N 103.2W 973 64 0000UTC 23.10.2015 12 15.7N 105.0W 970 66 1200UTC 23.10.2015 24 17.3N 105.8W 964 68 0000UTC 24.10.2015 36 19.8N 105.0W 981 55 1200UTC 24.10.2015 48 23.6N 103.1W 1003 20 0000UTC 25.10.2015 60 23.9N 98.6W 1003 27 1200UTC 25.10.2015 72 28.6N 97.5W 1002 31 0000UTC 26.10.2015 84 28.6N 95.7W 1003 33 1200UTC 26.10.2015 96 29.5N 94.6W 1004 28 0000UTC 27.10.2015 108 29.4N 94.3W 1005 25 1200UTC 27.10.2015 120 30.0N 93.3W 1007 28 0000UTC 28.10.2015 132 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 28.4N 24.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 22.10.2015 0 28.4N 24.8W 1008 28 0000UTC 23.10.2015 12 25.3N 25.3W 1010 23 1200UTC 23.10.2015 24 24.5N 24.1W 1012 19 0000UTC 24.10.2015 36 22.7N 24.4W 1014 19 1200UTC 24.10.2015 48 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 36.4N 54.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 24.10.2015 36 36.4N 54.8W 1005 34 1200UTC 24.10.2015 48 40.3N 48.4W 995 44 0000UTC 25.10.2015 60 48.3N 35.3W 984 46 1200UTC 25.10.2015 72 51.5N 27.2W 961 64 0000UTC 26.10.2015 84 52.3N 19.7W 960 57 1200UTC 26.10.2015 96 54.7N 14.8W 967 55 0000UTC 27.10.2015 108 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.2N 123.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.10.2015 72 11.4N 122.6W 1007 25 0000UTC 26.10.2015 84 12.1N 121.2W 1007 21 1200UTC 26.10.2015 96 12.4N 120.1W 1008 27 0000UTC 27.10.2015 108 12.9N 119.0W 1007 19 1200UTC 27.10.2015 120 12.5N 118.5W 1008 20 0000UTC 28.10.2015 132 12.3N 118.5W 1008 18 1200UTC 28.10.2015 144 11.3N 118.6W 1008 18 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 15.4N 105.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.10.2015 72 15.4N 105.5W 1007 18 0000UTC 26.10.2015 84 15.6N 104.6W 1006 16 1200UTC 26.10.2015 96 16.7N 104.4W 1007 16 0000UTC 27.10.2015 108 16.6N 105.7W 1007 19 1200UTC 27.10.2015 120 16.5N 106.4W 1007 23 0000UTC 28.10.2015 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 35.3N 55.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 26.10.2015 84 36.8N 54.7W 1014 30 1200UTC 26.10.2015 96 39.2N 53.2W 1010 32 0000UTC 27.10.2015 108 40.8N 49.5W 1007 33 1200UTC 27.10.2015 120 45.2N 42.7W 998 40 0000UTC 28.10.2015 132 CEASED TRACKING THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 221618  409 WTNT80 EGRR 221618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.10.2015 HURRICANE OLAF ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N 145.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2015 12.8N 145.7W MODERATE 00UTC 23.10.2015 13.8N 146.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2015 15.2N 145.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2015 16.7N 144.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2015 18.1N 143.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2015 19.1N 143.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2015 19.8N 142.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2015 20.5N 141.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 21.5N 141.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.10.2015 22.7N 141.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 23.9N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 24.9N 140.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2015 25.2N 140.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE PATRICIA ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 103.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2015 14.4N 103.2W STRONG 00UTC 23.10.2015 15.7N 105.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2015 17.3N 105.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2015 19.8N 105.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 24.10.2015 23.6N 103.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 25.10.2015 23.9N 98.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2015 28.6N 97.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2015 28.6N 95.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 29.5N 94.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 29.4N 94.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 30.0N 93.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 28.4N 24.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.10.2015 28.4N 24.8W WEAK 00UTC 23.10.2015 25.3N 25.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2015 24.5N 24.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.10.2015 22.7N 24.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 36.4N 54.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.10.2015 36.4N 54.8W WEAK 12UTC 24.10.2015 40.3N 48.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.10.2015 48.3N 35.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.10.2015 51.5N 27.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.10.2015 52.3N 19.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 54.7N 14.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.10.2015 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.2N 123.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.10.2015 11.4N 122.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2015 12.1N 121.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 12.4N 120.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 12.9N 119.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 12.5N 118.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 12.3N 118.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2015 11.3N 118.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 15.4N 105.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.10.2015 15.4N 105.5W WEAK 00UTC 26.10.2015 15.6N 104.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2015 16.7N 104.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 16.6N 105.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 16.5N 106.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 35.3N 55.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2015 36.8N 54.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.10.2015 39.2N 53.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2015 40.8N 49.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2015 45.2N 42.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 221618  936 WSBZ01 SBBR 221600 WSBZ31 SBRE 221444  937 WSBZ01 SBBR 221600 WSBZ31 SBRE 221241  938 WSBZ01 SBBR 221600 SBAZ SIGMET 10 VALID 221530/221830 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0025 W06439 - N0120 W06219 - S0038 W06145 - S0239 W06206 - S0311 W06436 - N0014 W06436 - N0025 W06439 TOP FL400 STNR INTSF=  939 WSBZ01 SBBR 221600 WSBZ31 SBCW 221349  940 WSBZ01 SBBR 221600 SBAO SIGMET 9 VALID 221300/221700 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0623 W03315 - N0513 W03507 - N0631 W03622 - N0657 W03457 - N0728 W03445 - N0623 W03315 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  154 WSBZ01 SBBR 221600 SBCW SIGMET 11 VALID 221400/221700 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2405 W05418- S2455 W04625- S2740 W04833 - S2806 W05527 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2405 W05418 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  155 WSBZ01 SBBR 221600 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221533  595 WSSG31 GOOY 221606 GOOO SIGMET C2 VALID 221606/222006 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1556Z WI N1740 W02000 - N2120 W01650 - N1830 W01610 - N1240 W02100 - N1300 W02120 TOP FL400 MOV NE 10KT NC= DUPE DUPE  443 WWUS83 KGLD 221637 SPSGLD SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 1037 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 KSZ014-015-028-029-221900- THOMAS-SHERIDAN-LOGAN-GOVE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLBY...HOXIE...OAKLEY...QUINTER 1137 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS. VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER MILE HAVE BEEN REPORTED. THESE CONDITIONS CAN CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...AND TRAVELERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN RESTRICTIONS IN VISIBILITIES ON AREA ROADS INCLUDING INTERSTATE 70. DRIER AIR SHOULD HELP IMPROVE VISIBILITIES BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. $$  442 WHUS54 KBRO 221629 SMWBRO GMZ150-170-221700- /O.NEW.KBRO.MA.W.0058.151022T1629Z-151022T1700Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 1129 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TX TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER OUT 20 NM... WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TX TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM... * UNTIL NOON CDT * AT 1128 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS...WAS LOCATED 16 NM EAST OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 KNOTS. HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS AND WIND GUSTS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SMALL CRAFT COULD BE DAMAGED IN BRIEFLY HIGHER WINDS AND SUDDENLY HIGHER WAVES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. && LAT...LON 2597 9689 2609 9697 2642 9644 2619 9629 2596 9681 TIME...MOT...LOC 1628Z 240DEG 49KT 2605 9687 WATERSPOUT...POSSIBLE HAIL...0.00IN WIND...>34KTS $$ BIRCHFIELD  933 WGUS84 KOUN 221627 FLSOUN FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1127 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKC033-067-TXC009-077-485-221830- /O.NEW.KOUN.FA.Y.0265.151022T1627Z-151022T1830Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ COTTON OK-JEFFERSON OK-WICHITA TX-CLAY TX-ARCHER TX- 1127 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... COTTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA... WESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... EASTERN WICHITA COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS... CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS... ARCHER COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 130 PM CDT * AT 1126 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE PAST TWO HOURS NEAR WICHITA FALLS AND ARCHER CITY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE WICHITA FALLS...BURKBURNETT...SHEPPARD AFB...IOWA PARK... HENRIETTA...WAURIKA...ARCHER CITY...HOLLIDAY...TEMPLE...RYAN... PETROLIA...BYERS...RANDLETT...SCOTLAND...BELLEVUE...TERRAL... WINDTHORST...DEAN...JOLLY...HASTINGS...DEVOL...ADDINGTON... SUGDEN...NEWPORT...LAKE KICKAPOO...TAYLOR...LAKE ARROWHEAD... COOKIETOWN AND BLUEGROVE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA THROUGH 130 PM CDT. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...BELKNAP CREEK... CANYON CREEK...LITTLE DEEP RED CREEK...PECAN CREEK...DEER CREEK...BIG SANDY CREEK...KICKAPOO CREEK...JONES CREEK...NORTH FORK LITTLE WICHITA RIVER...BULE CREEK...WEST FORK TRINITY RIVER...WEST MUD CREEK...SQUIRREL CREEK...BRIER CREEK...BLUFF CREEK...WILLOW CREEK... COW CREEK...HACKBERRY CREEK...WEST LITTLE POST OAK CREEK...SPRING CREEK...BEAVER CREEK...BEAR CREEK...HAY CREEK...JOY CREEK...MONUMENT CREEK...DRY FORK LITTLE WICHITA RIVER...WHISKEY CREEK...CURTIS CREEK...WILDHORSE CREEK AND GILBERT CREEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN NORMAN. && LAT...LON 3340 9893 3416 9864 3416 9861 3424 9861 3439 9855 3424 9791 3390 9790 3386 9791 3389 9798 3347 9798 3347 9842 3340 9842 $$ MBS  989 ACUS01 KWNS 221627 SWODY1 SPC AC 221625 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1125 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 221630Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER SWRN INTO CNTRL TX... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SOUNDING THE SLGT RISK FROM SWRN TX INTO S-CNTRL OK... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...MAINLY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ...SYNOPSIS... A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE WHILE ACCELERATING NEWD INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. THOUGH THE PRIMARY ZONE OF HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE CONCENTRATED OVER THE N-CNTRL CONUS...A TRAILING VORTICITY LOBE OVER NWRN MEXICO WILL PROGRESS NEWD...ENHANCING FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE SRN PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SWRN KS WILL DEVELOP NWD INTO WRN NEB WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT EDGES EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. ...SRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... LOW-LEVEL WAA...THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF A VORTICITY LOBE PIVOTING NWD THROUGH THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AND COLD POOL DYNAMICS ARE MECHANISMS SUSTAINING AN MCS WHICH EXTENDED FROM SWRN OK THROUGH NWRN TX INTO THE CONCHO VALLEY OF TX AS OF MID MORNING. CLOUDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF THE MCS TODAY...THOUGH VISIBLE SATELLITE DOES SUGGEST LOCAL BREAKS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION. WHERE STRONGER HEATING CAN OCCUR...THE PRESENCE OF A SEASONABLY MOIST AIR MASS WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE OF AROUND 1500 J/KG. WHILE MID TO UPPER-LEVEL FORCING MAY TEMPORARILY WANE /PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE MEXICAN IMPULSE/...WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTIONS ALONG A 30+ KT LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT REGENERATIVE TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SRN EXTENSION OF THE MCS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO NRN AND CNTRL TX. OUTSIDE OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT...THE PRESENCE OF A RELATIVELY STRONG AND VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE MAY SUPPORT EMBEDDED ROTATING STORMS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. ..MEAD/MOSIER.. 10/22/2015 $$  005 WUUS01 KWNS 221627 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1125 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 221630Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 28970356 30040359 31910079 34269875 35119766 35099716 34209678 33109678 31709649 30879700 30119835 29389952 27740070 0.05 29810259 30240262 32330017 32369951 31979898 31379860 30539886 29869981 29840064 29810259 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28970357 30160363 31680285 32380227 32440115 33199996 33819899 33489809 32939768 31099773 29489946 27970054 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28940355 29970363 31750116 32870016 34259906 35219792 35169725 34369675 33009672 31579640 30809711 29499929 28050040 0.15 32340001 32339945 31999902 31349860 30579885 29879978 29850085 29810259 30270262 32340001 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 32339946 32179925 31979898 31379860 30579885 30119946 29879978 29840064 29810259 30240262 30530230 32330017 32369951 32339946 MRGL 29000339 29550360 29970363 31680285 32380227 32440115 33199996 34259906 35219792 35179725 35099720 34869706 34369675 33009672 31579640 31049690 30829709 29499929 28250025 TSTM 31390640 32200708 32780814 33370926 34190948 34940977 35801027 36181065 36531106 36781177 36911249 37361306 38001297 39901180 40961031 40490895 38710806 37970724 37900529 38080398 38360316 38660302 39880286 41350191 42930114 44069962 44419861 44539820 44509757 43699629 42179490 40109360 38769306 37399252 34649224 33199226 31919278 31359286 30549244 30269227 29679184 28589045 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE ABI 30 SE ABI 10 N BWD 35 SE BWD 55 E JCT 35 SSE JCT 45 S JCT 35 NNE DRT 25 SW 6R6 30 WNW 6R6 35 N 6R6 30 WSW ABI 10 ESE ABI 15 ESE ABI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW 6R6 60 SSE MRF 35 SE MRF 20 ESE INK 30 N MAF 25 NE BGS 55 NNW ABI 30 SSE LTS 10 NNE CHK 25 SE OKC 30 SE OKC 40 N ADM 15 ENE ADM 15 NE DAL 30 S CRS 30 ESE TPL 30 SE TPL 10 NW HDO 65 WSW COT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S ELP 35 E DMN 10 N SVC 40 NNE SAD 30 E SOW 50 NNE SOW 60 NNE INW 65 SE PGA 35 SE PGA 20 WSW PGA 55 SSW BCE 25 S CDC 20 NNE CDC 55 NE U24 45 ESE EVW 30 E VEL 15 NNW MTJ 40 SSW GUC 45 NE ALS 25 W LHX 30 NE LHX 45 NNW LAA 30 SE AKO 60 ENE SNY 30 W VTN 25 NW 9V9 20 W HON 10 N HON 35 ENE HON 25 ENE FSD 30 ENE DNS 20 N CDJ 25 E SZL 35 SW TBN LIT 30 E ELD 20 ENE IER 30 NE POE 35 NW LFT 20 WNW LFT 20 ESE 7R4 70 S HUM.  440 WSCN05 CWAO 221627 CZUL SIGMET E7 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR CNCL SIGMET E6 221435/221835=  439 WSIR31 OIII 221620 OIIX SIGMET 4 VALID 221615/221730- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS S AREA TOP FL320 MOV NE INTSF (SPC OVER OIBB AREA)=  441 WSCN25 CWAO 221627 CZUL SIGMET E7 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR CNCL SIGMET E6 221435/221835 RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZQM MONCTON FIR SIGMET I2=  442 WSCN26 CWAO 221627 CZQM SIGMET I2 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR CNCL SIGMET I1 221435/221835 RMK GFACN34 GFACN33/CZUL MONTREAL FIR SIGMET E7=  443 WSCN06 CWAO 221627 CZQM SIGMET I2 VALID 221435/221835 CWUL- CZQM MONCTON FIR CNCL SIGMET I1 221435/221835=  445 WSUK31 EGRR 221629 EGTT SIGMET 05 VALID 221700/222000 EGRR- EGTT LONDON FIR SEV MTW FCST N OF N5300 FL040/150 STNR WKN=  448 WSAU21 AMMC 221630 YMMM SIGMET D05 VALID 221731/222131 YMMC- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S5010 E09210 - S5000 E09630 - S4400 E09920 - S3850 E09600 - S3850 E09240 - S4350 E09530 FL240/390 MOV E 40KT NC=  449 WSIR31 OIII 221620 OIIX SIGMET 4 VALID 221615/221730 OIII- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS S AREA TOP FL320 MOV NE INTSF (SPC OVER OIBB AREA)=  450 WSCR31 LEMM 221630 GCCC SIGMET 6 VALID 221630/222030 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N22 W024- N32 W012 TOP ABV FL340 STNR NC=  296 WGUS44 KSJT 221638 FLWSJT BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1138 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas... North Concho River At Sterling City affecting Sterling County Very heavy rainfall of 4 to 8 inches in Western Sterling and Glasscock counties will flow into and produce minor river flooding on the North Concho River in Sterling County late this afternoon and tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or other media outlets for the latest information on this situation. Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=sjt && TXC431-230738- /O.NEW.KSJT.FL.W.0008.151022T2228Z-151023T1824Z/ /SRCT2.1.ER.151022T2228Z.151023T0000Z.151023T0624Z.NO/ 1138 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a * Flood Warning for The North Concho River At Sterling City. * from this afternoon to Friday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:15 AM Thursday the stage was 3.8 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 19.0 feet by this evening.The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning. * Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will occur. Low water crossings will be flooded * Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.0 feet on Apr 28 1957. && LAT...LON 3190 10106 3183 10092 3176 10094 3182 10110 $$  892 WWCN15 CWNT 221638 BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE HIGH ARCTIC AREA ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:38 A.M. CDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- BLIZZARD WARNING FOR: =NEW= RESOLUTE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH POOR VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL END LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITY. LIMIT OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES. BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN WIDESPREAD REDUCED VISIBILITIES OF 400 METRES OR LESS ARE EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST 4 HOURS. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO STORM(AT)EC.GC.CA OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)NUSTORM. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NU END/MSC  774 WSBZ31 SBBS 221641 SBBS SIGMET 13 VALID 221640/221800 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1757 W04757 - S1755 W04614 - S2105 W04553 - S2144 W04551 - S2137 W04641 - S1757 W04757 TOP FL420 MOV E 12KT NC=  961 WGUS64 KCRP 221643 FFACRP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 1143 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING THIS WEEKEND... .VERY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A LONG DURATION MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY IN THE COASTAL BEND...WITH WIDESPREAD 2 TO 5 INCH TOTALS ELSEWHERE. THE HEAVIEST RAINS FALLING FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TXZ229>234-239>247-230045- /O.NEW.KCRP.FF.A.0012.151024T1200Z-151026T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL- JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTULLA...CALLIHAM...CROSS... LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE... GOLIAD...VICTORIA...LAREDO...FREER...BENAVIDES...SAN DIEGO... ALICE...ORANGE GROVE...KINGSVILLE...CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND... INGLESIDE...ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO... WOODSBORO...PORT LAVACA 1143 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL...GOLIAD... JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...LA SALLE...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN... NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA AND WEBB. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF MORE THAN 5 TO 7 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE COASTAL BEND THIS WEEKEND WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES ELSEWHERE THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ PZ/CB/JM  813 WOXX50 KWNP 221650 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 7021 Issue Time: 2015 Oct 22 1646 UT WARNING: GOES Satellite Data Unavailable Comment: The Solar Radiation Alert system is currently inactive. GOES satellite data used in estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes are unavailable. The system will resume normal operation as soon as GOES data become available. More information at http://www.faa.gov/data_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by US DOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  218 WSUS32 KKCI 221655 SIGC MKCC WST 221655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 42C VALID UNTIL 1855Z TX OK FROM 70SSE MMB-20SW OKC-20W TTT-30W SJT-30ENE MAF-70SSE MMB AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 43C VALID UNTIL 1855Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 100SE PSX-90E BRO-10WSW BRO-50SE CRP-100SE PSX AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 19015KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 221855-222255 FROM 40N PUB-ICT-40SE END-50E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-60WSW INK-50NNE SSO-30SSE JNC-40N PUB WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  134 WSUS31 KKCI 221655 SIGE MKCE WST 221655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221855-222255 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  869 WSUS33 KKCI 221655 SIGW MKCW WST 221655 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221855-222255 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  276 WSCN02 CWAO 221652 CZEG SIGMET H7 VALID 221320/221720 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR CNCL SIGMET H6 221320/221720=  277 WSCN22 CWAO 221652 CZEG SIGMET H7 VALID 221320/221720 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR CNCL SIGMET H6 221320/221720 RMK GFACN32 GFACN36 GFACN35=  310 WARH31 LDZM 221652 LDZO AIRMET 15 VALID 221700/222100 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD MTW FCST WI N4503 E01317 - N4331 E01430 - N4221 E01613 - N4125 E01819 - N4227 E01830 - N4451 E01546 - N4539 E01434 TOP ABV FL100 STNR NC=  688 WAUS45 KKCI 221652 AAA WA5T SLCT WA 221652 AMD AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 222100 . AIRMET TURB...ID MT WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 40SSW ISN TO 40ESE CYS TO 20SSW RSK TO 20WNW DTA TO 50SE LKT TO 40SSW ISN MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL410. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. . AIRMET TURB...CO...UPDT FROM 50SSW BFF TO 40E SNY TO 50WSW LBL TO 20SSW RSK TO 50SSW BFF MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL340. CONDS ENDG 18-21Z. ...NEW AIRMET... ....  522 WOXX50 KWNP 221654 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 7022 Issue Time: 2015 Oct 22 1651 UT ATTENTION: Satellite Data Now Available Comment: GOES satellite data are now available for estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes. More information at http://www.faa.gov/data_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by USDOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  183 WSBZ31 SBBS 221652 SBBS SIGMET 14 VALID 221650/222050 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1409 W04930 - S1305 W04845 - S1234 W04713 - S1316 W04627 - S1432 W04629 - S1542 W04629 - S1644 W04650 - S1703 W04906 - S1641 W05032 - S1533 W05025 - S1409 W04930 TOP FL420 STNR INTSF=  635 WSCG31 FCBB 221652 FCCC SIGMET B2 VALID 221750/222150 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1630Z W OF LINE N0755 E01322 - N0425 E00939 TOP FL450 MOV W 15KT NC=  515 WANO35 ENMI 221655 ENBD AIRMET D05 VALID 221700/222100 ENVN- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL MOD ICE FCST N OF N6500 AND S OF N6800 FL040/110 MOV NE WKN=  529 WACN23 CWAO 221656 CZWG AIRMET A2 VALID 221655/221710 CWEG- CZWG WINNIPEG FIR CNCL AIRMET A1 221310/221710 RMK GFACN32=  530 WACN03 CWAO 221656 CZWG AIRMET A2 VALID 221655/221710 CWEG- CZWG WINNIPEG FIR CNCL AIRMET A1 221310/221710=  544 WSIY33 LIIB 221658 LIBB SIGMET 05 VALID 221730/222130 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR TOP FL370 MOV E NC=  545 WSIY32 LIIB 221658 LIRR SIGMET 05 VALID 221730/222130 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR MAINLY SICILY CHANNEL TOP FL370 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST S PART OF FIR ABV FL320 MOV S NC=  546 WSIY31 LIIB 221658 LIMM SIGMET 05 VALID 221730/222130 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR SEV TURB FCST MAINLY CENTRAL/N PART OF FIR ABV FL320 STNR WKN=  765 WSPF21 NTAA 221656 NTTT SIGMET A1 VALID 221700/222100 NTAA- NTTT TAHITI FIR SEV ICE WI S1800 W15140 - S2240 W14000 - S2500 W13630 - S2620 W14000 - S2220 W15000 - S2100 W15000 - S1900 W15400 FL140/FL200 STNR NC=  996 WAIY33 LIIB 221659 LIBB AIRMET 05 VALID 221745/222145 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MOD TURB OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC WSPD 30KT OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC VIS 2000/5000 M BR FCST INLAND PLAIN AEREAS OF CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR STNR NC=  355 WAIY32 LIIB 221659 LIRR AIRMET 05 VALID 221745/222145 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD TURB FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT OBS/FCST CENTRAL/E PART OF FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD MTW OBS N APPENNINIAN AREA ABV FL090 STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S APPENNINI AND SICILY AND LOC SARDINIA MOV E NC=  505 WSBZ31 SBCW 221657 SBCW SIGMET 13 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS O BS AT 1645Z WI S2314 W04945- S2517 W05310- S2740 W04833 - S2638 W04653 - S2512 W04715 - S2314 W04945 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  714 WSBZ31 SBCW 221657 SBCW SIGMET 14 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS O BS AT 1645Z WI S2330 W04656 - S2258 W04753 - S2220 W04903 - S2314 W0494 5 - S2512 W04715- S2400 W04403- S2329 W04328- S2116 W04437 - S2247 W04 545 - S2314 W04550 - S2330 W04656 TOP FL410 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  597 WAIY31 LIIB 221659 LIMM AIRMET 05 VALID 221745/222145 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR MOD TURB FCST S PART OF FIR AND ADRIATIC AREA BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT FCST ADRIATIC SEA STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC VIS 3000/5000 M BR FCST CENTRAL/W PADANIAN PLAIN STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR MOD MTW OBS S APPENNINIAN AREA ABV FL080 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR MOD ICE FCST S APPENNINIAN AREA ABV FL090 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR ISOL MT OBSC OBS/FCST E PART OF N SIDE APPENNINI STNR NC=  152 WSRA31 RUKR 221700 UNKL SIGMET 5 VALID 221800/222200 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N68 S OF N70 W OF E088 SFC/FL100 MOV E 20KMH NC=  125 WUUS02 KWNS 221702 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1201 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 231200Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 29390275 31500092 33589833 34249741 34309645 33899566 32969516 31969564 30859692 29299872 28100027 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 29660253 31510092 33139897 34229745 34309645 33879564 32959515 31969563 31219648 29329869 28130027 TSTM 30090490 32210261 34910018 36439883 38479836 40429880 41779941 42669943 43699856 44779609 45189378 44979147 43588806 42258738 39788801 37018943 34259110 32249267 30679308 29249323 28929314 99999999 34261026 35831037 37780908 38790805 39200700 39180558 38310428 36630351 35720396 33940556 33040731 32880803 33120943 34261026 && THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW 6R6 25 WNW SJT 60 WNW MWL 25 W ADM 25 N DUA 20 NNW PRX 45 NNE TYR 30 SSW TYR 45 N CLL 20 SW SAT 65 NW LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW MRF 30 NW MAF 35 N CDS 25 SSW AVK 35 SE RSL 25 WSW HSI 15 W BUB 30 E ANW 25 W MHE 40 SSE VVV 30 SSE STC EAU 35 SE OSH 40 SSE RAC 20 SE CMI 15 SSE CGI 50 E PBF 40 WSW MLU 25 SSE POE 60 S LCH 85 S LCH ...CONT... 15 W SOW 60 NNE INW 25 ENE 4BL 20 NNW MTJ ASE 50 WNW COS 10 E PUB 25 WNW CAO 40 NNW TCC 15 SSE 4CR 15 S TCS 20 NNE SVC 20 NNE SAD 15 W SOW.  315 ACUS02 KWNS 221702 SWODY2 SPC AC 221701 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1201 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF TX AND SRN OK... ...SUMMARY... A COUPLE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY OVER PARTS OF TEXAS AND FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. ...SRN PLAINS... AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...ELEVATED IN NATURE...MAY BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING NEAR A LOW-LEVEL JET LOCATED IN NE TX AND SE OK. ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR...SFC WINDS SHOULD BE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST WHICH WILL KEEP A MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE IN THE SRN PLAINS ON FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD ENABLE MODERATE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF CNTRL AND NORTH TX BY AFTERNOON. MODEL FORECASTS DURING THE DAY SUGGEST THAT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL GET SHUNTED EWD INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF FAR ERN OK AND WRN AR WITH NEW CONVECTION INITIATING ALONG AXIS OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE LOCATED IN NORTH AND WCNTRL TX. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM SAN ANGELO NEWD TO FORT WORTH AT 21Z ON FRIDAY SHOW 0-6 K SHEAR IN THE 35 TO 40 KT RANGE WITH 500 MB TEMPS OF -8 TO -10 C. THIS COULD SUPPORT A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT WITH CELLS THAT DEVELOP NEAR LOCALIZED MAXIMA IN INSTABILITY. A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ..BROYLES.. 10/22/2015 $$  415 WGUS64 KEWX 221702 FFAEWX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1202 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... .A COMBINATION OF DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...MID-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE PACIFIC...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...AND A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN ARE STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. THE BEST LOCATION FOR HEAVY RAIN LOOKS TO BE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE BEST TIME LOOKS LIKE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. SOME AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCES TONIGHT SHOULD BE NORTH OF A LINE FROM ROCKSPRINGS TO KERRVILLE TO BURNET AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS. AS THE TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THE FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE EVENT ARE EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. SLOW MOVING...TRAINING STORMS COULD LEAD TO 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME IN SPOTS. TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-231230- /O.NEW.KEWX.FF.A.0018.151023T1200Z-151025T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO... ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG... BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS... BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS... SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY... PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES... CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS 1202 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP... BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT... DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES... GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA... LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE... VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING * FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES. * HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...LOW LYING AREAS...CREEKS...AND STREAMS. THERE IS ALSO A THREAT FOR SOME MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. && $$  439 WVRA31 RUPK 221700 UHPP SIGMET 10 VALID 221700/221800 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT SHEVELUCH PSN N5638 E16119 VA CLD OBS AT 1655Z SFC/FL240 MOV NE 20KMH=  272 WSMX31 MMMX 221704 MMEX SIGMET E2 VALID 221702/222102 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1702Z WI N1311 W10656 - N1201 W10539 - N1120 W10402 - N0821 W11013 - N0918 W11109 - N1059 W10950 - N1102 W10849 - N1311 W10656 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV WSW 06KT . =  039 WSJP31 RJTD 221710 RJJJ SIGMET X03 VALID 221710/222110 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2700 E15738 - N2700 E15910 - N2920 E16230 - N3140 E16100 - N2830 E15640 - N2700 E15738 MOV ENE 15KT NC=  847 WSVS31 VVGL 221715 VVTS SIGMET 3 VALID 221720/222120 VVGL- VVTS HO CHI MINH FIR EMBD TS OBS BTN N1130 AND N0930 W OF E10730 TOP FL400 STNR NC=  604 WSZA21 FAOR 221709 FAOR SIGMET B01 VALID 221713/221800 FAOR- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S2542 E02745 - S2555 E02816 - S2634 E02804 - S2631 E02725 - S2606 E02721 TOP FL280=  883 WHUS42 KKEY 221710 CFWKEY COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 110 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 FLZ076-222100- /O.NEW.KKEY.CF.S.0013.151022T1710Z-151022T2100Z/ MONROE UPPER KEYS- 110 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING PERSISTS IN THE UPPER KEYS... * COASTAL FLOODING...COASTAL FLOODING WILL PERSIST IN SOME BAYSIDE OF COMMUNITIES OF THE UPPER KEYS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WATER LEVELS WILL AVERAGE AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED TIDES. * TIMING...OBSERVED WATER LEVELS WILL BE HIGHEST DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS ONCE AGAIN SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. COASTAL FLOODING MAY PERSIST IN SOME BAYSIDE COMMUNITIES OF THE UPPER KEYS INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. * IMPACTS...THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE SALTWATER FLOODING OF THE LOWEST ELEVATION STREETS. SOME STORM DRAINS WILL OVERFLOW...AND SOME DOCKS AND SEAWALLS WILL BE OVER-TOPPED. $$ DAF  135 WGUS74 KMAF 221711 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1211 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC173-329-221721- /O.EXP.KMAF.FF.W.0071.000000T0000Z-151022T1715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GLASSCOCK TX-MIDLAND TX- 1211 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR GLASSCOCK AND EASTERN MIDLAND COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 PM CDT... THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. LAT...LON 3166 10185 3208 10185 3208 10126 3166 10127 $$ 33  326 WGUS74 KMAF 221712 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1212 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC135-329-221722- /O.EXP.KMAF.FF.W.0068.000000T0000Z-151022T1715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ECTOR TX-MIDLAND TX- 1212 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ECTOR AND MIDLAND COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 PM CDT... THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. LAT...LON 3205 10185 3168 10185 3169 10270 3204 10266 $$ 33  339 WSIR31 OIII 221709 OIIX SIGMET 5 VALID 221710/222030- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS S AREA TOP FL320 MOV NE INTSF=  404 WGUS84 KFWD 221714 FLSFWD FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1214 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC237-503-222015- /O.NEW.KFWD.FA.Y.0310.151022T1714Z-151022T2015Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ YOUNG TX-JACK TX- 1214 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FOR... YOUNG COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... WESTERN JACK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 315 PM CDT * AT 1213 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. OVERFLOWING POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... GRAHAM...OLNEY...BRYSON...NEWCASTLE AND ANTELOPE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS FARM AND COUNTRY ROADS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. && LAT...LON 3340 9894 3340 9842 3347 9842 3347 9807 3301 9830 3301 9843 3295 9843 3296 9894 $$ 58  405 WGUS64 KFWD 221714 FFAFWD FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1214 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAIN EVENT EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY... TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>146-156>159-230130- /O.CON.KFWD.FF.A.0015.151023T0600Z-151025T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL- NAVARRO-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO... DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND... THE COLONY...PLANO...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER... SULPHUR SPRINGS...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD... BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...TERRELL... KAUFMAN...FORNEY...WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN... EDGEWOOD...EMORY...POINT...EAST TAWAKONI...CISCO...EASTLAND... RANGER...GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...GRANBURY... OAK TRAIL SHORES...GLEN ROSE...CLEBURNE...BURLESON...WAXAHACHIE... ENNIS...MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY... COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE...HAMILTON...HICO...CLIFTON... MERIDIAN...VALLEY MILLS...HILLSBORO...CORSICANA...LAMPASAS... COPPERAS COVE...GATESVILLE...KILLEEN...TEMPLE...FORT HOOD...WACO 1214 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN NORTH ...CENTRAL TEXAS...BELL... BOSQUE...COLLIN...COMANCHE...COOKE...CORYELL...DALLAS... DENTON...EASTLAND...ELLIS...ERATH...FANNIN...GRAYSON... HAMILTON...HILL...HOOD...HUNT...JACK...JOHNSON...KAUFMAN... LAMPASAS...MCLENNAN...MILLS...MONTAGUE...NAVARRO...PALO PINTO...PARKER...ROCKWALL...SOMERVELL...STEPHENS...TARRANT... WISE AND YOUNG. IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...DELTA...HENDERSON... HOPKINS...LAMAR...RAINS AND VAN ZANDT. * FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. * FOR PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. && $$ 15-BAIN  693 WSTU31 LTAC 221715 LTAA SIGMET 8 VALID 221700/222100 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1700Z N39 E042 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  627 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 SBCW SIGMET 12 VALID 221625/221700 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1600Z WI S2337 W04338 - S2534 W04412 - S2750 W04642 - S2740 W04833 - S2455 W04625 - S2425 W05135- S2258 W04753- S2330 W04656- S2314 W04550 - S2247 W04545 - S2203 W04512 - S2337 W04338 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 06KT NC=  628 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 SBCW SIGMET 11 VALID 221400/221700 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI S2405 W05418- S2455 W04625- S2740 W04833 - S2806 W05527 - S2612 W05340 - S2536 W05429 - S2405 W05418 TOP FL480 MOV ENE 10KT NC=  684 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 SBAO SIGMET 9 VALID 221300/221700 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0623 W03315 - N0513 W03507 - N0631 W03622 - N0657 W03457 - N0728 W03445 - N0623 W03315 TOP FL430 MOV SW 03KT INTSF=  686 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 WSBZ31 SBCW 221657  688 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 WSBZ31 SBCW 221349  689 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221533  692 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 SBCW SIGMET 14 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1645Z WI S2330 W04656 - S2258 W04753 - S2220 W04903 - S2314 W04945 - S2512 W04715- S2400 W04403- S2329 W04328- S2116 W04437 - S2247 W04545 - S2314 W04550 - S2330 W04656 TOP FL410 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  694 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 SBAZ SIGMET 10 VALID 221530/221830 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0025 W06439 - N0120 W06219 - S0038 W06145 - S0239 W06206 - S0311 W06436 - N0014 W06436 - N0025 W06439 TOP FL400 STNR INTSF=  696 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 WSBZ31 SBCW 221623  699 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 WSBZ31 SBRE 221444  702 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 WSBZ31 SBRE 221241  703 WSBZ01 SBBR 221700 SBCW SIGMET 13 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1645Z WI S2314 W04945- S2517 W05310- S2740 W04833 - S2638 W04653 - S2512 W04715 - S2314 W04945 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  798 WSMX31 MMMX 221722 MMEX SIGMET F2 VALID 221720/222120 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1720Z WI N1128 W11636 - N1052 W11453 - N1110 W11220 - N0952 W11130 - N0803 W11135 - N0726 W11331 - N0921 W11408 - N1036 W11641 - N1128 W11636 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV WSW 06KT NC. =  354 WHXX04 KWBC 221723 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE PATRICIA 20E INITIAL TIME 12Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 14.7 103.2 295./15.9 6 15.2 104.1 300./10.4 12 15.9 104.8 312./ 9.4 18 16.2 105.2 310./ 5.0 24 17.0 105.2 0./ 8.1 30 18.1 105.3 357./10.6 36 19.5 105.3 359./13.8 42 21.5 104.9 12./21.3 48 23.5 103.3 39./24.4 54 25.4 100.9 53./28.5 60 25.8 99.2 74./15.9 66 26.6 98.7 35./ 8.7 72 26.9 97.5 75./10.9 78 27.3 96.9 55./ 6.9 84 27.8 96.3 54./ 7.2 90 28.1 96.1 33./ 3.9 96 28.5 96.1 355./ 4.5 102 28.9 96.2 351./ 3.7 108 29.3 95.9 39./ 4.3 114 30.0 95.6 24./ 8.3 120 31.3 94.8 29./14.2 126 33.6 93.1 38./27.3  825 WHCA42 TJSJ 221723 CFWSJU COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 123 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL IS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS IS RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. THE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-230000- /O.CAN.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.CON.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-CULEBRA- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- 123 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY. HOWEVER...THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENT STILL HIGH. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...UNTIL THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TODAY. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$ PRZ010-221830- /O.CAN.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.CAN.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY- 123 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY AND HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK HAVE BEEN CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY AS WELL AS THE HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. ALTHOUGH...THE RIP CURRENTS RISK IS NO LONGER HIGH...RIP CURRENT CAN FORM AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. $$  752 WHXX04 KWBC 221724 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE OLAF 19E INITIAL TIME 12Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 13.2 146.1 320./ 6.0 6 13.6 146.3 331./ 5.0 12 14.1 146.5 340./ 4.8 18 14.9 146.6 352./ 8.3 24 15.8 146.8 347./ 8.7 30 16.7 147.0 349./ 9.1 36 17.6 147.0 358./ 9.3 42 18.3 146.9 3./ 6.7 48 18.9 146.8 11./ 6.5 54 19.6 146.7 9./ 7.1 60 20.3 146.7 3./ 6.7 66 20.9 146.5 18./ 6.1 72 21.5 146.4 10./ 6.1 78 22.1 145.9 37./ 7.4 84 22.8 145.1 48./10.0 90 23.5 143.9 61./13.5 96 24.3 142.2 63./17.2 102 25.2 140.2 67./20.7 108 26.1 137.9 67./22.4 114 27.2 135.6 65./23.0 120 28.5 133.3 61./23.8 126 30.4 130.6 55./30.3  165 WALJ31 LJLJ 221726 LJLA AIRMET 5 VALID 221700/222000 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST SW OF LINE N4620 E01320 - N4525 E01435 SFC/5000FT STNR NC=  542 WGUS74 KMAF 221726 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1226 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC335-415-221736- /O.EXP.KMAF.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-151022T1730Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MITCHELL TX-SCURRY TX- 1226 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR MITCHELL AND SCURRY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1230 PM CDT... THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. LAT...LON 3210 10117 3296 10113 3296 10066 3210 10066 $$ 33  633 WHCA42 TJSJ 221723 CCA CFWSJU COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 123 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL IS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS IS RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. THE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-230000- /O.CAN.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.COR.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-CULEBRA- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- 123 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY. HOWEVER...THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENT STILL HIGH. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...UNTIL THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED PREVAILED DURING THE REST OF THE DAY AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$ PRZ010-221830- /O.CAN.TJSJ.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ /O.CAN.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY- 123 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY AND HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK HAVE BEEN CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY AS WELL AS THE HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. ALTHOUGH...THE RIP CURRENTS RISK IS NO LONGER HIGH...RIP CURRENT CAN FORM AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. $$  756 ACPN50 PHFO 221730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 800 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE OLAF...LOCATED ABOUT 930 MI SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. $$  364 WSRH31 LDZM 221750 LDZO SIGMET 6 VALID 221800/222200 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4453 E01321 - N4133 E01818 - N4226 E01830 - N4539 E01435 SFC/FL070 STNR NC=  176 WHUS42 KTBW 221732 CFWTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 132 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR SARASOTA BAY FOR POSSIBLE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION DUE TO FLORIDA RED TIDE REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... FLZ160-232200- /O.EXT.KTBW.BH.S.0010.000000T0000Z-151027T0200Z/ COASTAL SARASOTA- 132 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * RED TIDE HAZARDS...FLORIDA RED TIDE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION. * RED TIDE POTENTIAL IMPACTS...SYMPTOMS MAY INCLUDE COUGHING... SNEEZING...AND TEARING EYES. PEOPLE WITH RESPIRATORY CONDITIONS SUCH AS ASTHMA...EMPHYSEMA AND OTHER PULMONARY DISEASES...MAY BE MORE SENSITIVE. IRRITATION MAY VARY LOCALLY AND THROUGHOUT THE DAY. IF YOU EXPERIENCE UNCOMFORTABLE SYMPTOMS...CONSIDER GOING TO AN UNAFFECTED BEACH NEARBY. * FLORIDA RED TIDE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION TIMING/LOCATION...NOAA FORECAST: NORTHERN SARASOTA COUNTY: BAY REGIONS...POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY OCTOBER 26 2015. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR RED TIDE FORECAST INFORMATION VISIT HTTP://TIDESANDCURRENTS.NOAA.GOV/HAB (ALL LOWER CASE). FLORIDA RED TIDE OBSERVATIONS...YOU CAN FIND UNAFFECTED BEACHES BY CHECKING REPORTS OF RECENT...LOCAL OBSERVATIONS AND DATA: MOTE MARINE LABORATORY DAILY BEACH CONDITIONS HTTP://WWW.MOTE.ORG/BEACHES AND THE FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE CONSERVATION COMMISSION (FWC) RED TIDE STATUS HTTP://MYFWC.COM/REDTIDESTATUS. FLORIDA RED TIDE HEALTH INFORMATION...CONSULT THE FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH: HTTP://WWW.FLORIDAHEALTH.GOV/ENVIRONMENTAL- HEALTH/AQUATIC- TOXINS/ RED-TIDE.HTM OR CALL THE POISON CONTROL CENTER: 18002221222. INCLUSION OF EXTERNAL LINKS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE ENDORSEMENT BY THE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (DOC)/(NOAA) OF THESE EXTERNAL WEB SITES OR THE INFORMATION...PRODUCTS OR SERVICES CONTAINED THEREIN. FLORIDA RED TIDE INFORMATION SOURCES...RED TIDE FORECASTS ARE PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE WITH DATA PROVIDED BY THE FWC AND MOTE MARINE LABORATORY. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY  835 WSCG31 FCBB 221730 FCCC SIGMET E3 VALID 221820/222220 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1715Z E OF LINE N0436 E01007 - S0342 E01049 TOP FL430 MOV W 15KT NC=  548 WHCA42 TJSJ 221733 CFWSJU MENSAJES SOBRE PELIGROS COSTEROS...CORRECCION SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 123 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE ESTAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO. ESTO RESULTA EN CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS FUERTES A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO. LA MAREJADA CONTINAURA DISMINUYENDO LENTAMENTE DURANTE EL ANOCHECER Y LAS HORAS DE LA NOCHE. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-230000- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NOROESTE-CULEBRA-SAN THOMAS/SAN JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- 123 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DE HOY... ...LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES HA SIDO CANCELADA... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA CANCELADO LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES. SIN EMBARGO...EL POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS CONTINUA ALTO. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...Y SAN THOMAS. * DURACION...HASTA EL ANOCHECER. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR DURANTE EL RESTO DE HOY DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE ESTA TARDE Y HASTA LAS HORAS DEL ANOCHECER. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$ PRZ010-221830- MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD- 123 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES Y EL COMUNICADO DE POTENCIAL ALTO DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS HAN SIDO CANCELADOS... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA CANCELADO LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES Y DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. AUNQUE EL POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS NO ES ALTO...SE PUEDEN FORMAR CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...EMBARCADEROS...Y MUELLES. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LOS COMUNICADOS DEL SALVAVIDAS. $$  117 WHCA42 TJSJ 221734 CFWSPN MENSAJES SOBRE PELIGROS COSTEROS...CORRECCION SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 123 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE ESTAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO. ESTO RESULTA EN CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS FUERTES A LO LARGO DE SECTORES DE LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO. LA MAREJADA CONTINAURA DISMINUYENDO LENTAMENTE DURANTE EL ANOCHECER Y LAS HORAS DE LA NOCHE. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-230000- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-NORTE CENTRAL-NOROESTE-CULEBRA-SAN THOMAS/SAN JOHN/ISLAS ADYACENTES- 123 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DE HOY... ...LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES HA SIDO CANCELADA... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA CANCELADO LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES. SIN EMBARGO...EL POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS CONTINUA ALTO. * LOCALIZACION...LAS PLAYAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO...Y SAN THOMAS. * DURACION...HASTA EL ANOCHECER. * IMPACTOS...SE ESPERAN FUERTES Y PELIGROSAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR DURANTE EL RESTO DE HOY DEBIDO A LAS MAREJADAS DEL NORTE QUE AFECTAN LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y LA COSTA NORTE DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS. LAS MAREJADAS DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE ESTA TARDE Y HASTA LAS HORAS DEL ANOCHECER. EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS ES POSIBLE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... EXISTE UN ALTO POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. LAS CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS SON CANALES DE CORRIENTES DE AGUA POTENTES QUE SE ALEJAN RAPIDAMENTE DE LA COSTA... QUE OCURREN MAYORMENTE EN CANALES ENTRE DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...MUELLES Y EMBARCADEROS. PRESTE ATENCION A LAS ADVERTENCIAS DE LOS SALVAVIDAS...BANDERAS DE LAS PLAYAS Y LETREROS. SI ES ATRAPADO POR UNA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA...GRITE POR AYUDA. MANTENGA CALMA...NO SE AGOTE Y MANTENGASE A FLOTE MIENTRAS ESPERA POR AYUDA. SI TIENE QUE NADAR FUERA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA... NADE PARALELO HACIA LA COSTA Y HACIA LA PLAYA DE SER POSIBLE. NO INTENTE NADAR DIRECTAMENTE EN CONTRA DE LA CORRIENTE SUBMARINA YA QUE PUDIERA AGOTARSE RAPIDAMENTE. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES SIGNIFICA QUE RESACAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LAS PLAYAS EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA...PRODUCIENDO EROSION EN LAS PLAYAS Y CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS PARA NADAR. && $$ PRZ010-221830- MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD- 123 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES Y EL COMUNICADO DE POTENCIAL ALTO DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS HAN SIDO CANCELADOS... EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA CANCELADO LA ADVERTENCIA DE RESACAS FUERTES Y DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS. AUNQUE EL POTENCIAL DE CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS NO ES ALTO...SE PUEDEN FORMAR CORRIENTES SUBMARINAS EN DUNAS Y EN LA VECINDAD DE ESTRUCTURAS COMO ROMPEOLAS...EMBARCADEROS...Y MUELLES. MANTENGASE ATENTO A LOS COMUNICADOS DEL SALVAVIDAS. $$  103 ACCA62 TJSJ 221735 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 200 PM EDT JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO: NO SE ANTICIPA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR ROBERTS  059 WOXX50 KWNP 221735 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 7023 Issue Time: 2015 Oct 22 1731 UT WARNING: GOES Satellite Data Unavailable Comment: The Solar Radiation Alert system is currently inactive. GOES satellite data used in estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes are unavailable. The system will resume normal operation as soon as GOES data become available. More information at http://www.faa.gov/data_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by US DOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  518 WHCA42 TJSJ 221736 CFWSJU COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 136 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL IS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS IS RESULTING IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. THE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE DURING THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-230000- /O.CON.TJSJ.RP.S.0017.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-CULEBRA- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- 136 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT THOMAS. * TIMING...UNTIL THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED PREVAILED DURING THE REST OF THE DAY AS A NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS. SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$  659 WWCN03 CYTR 221736 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB VALCARTIER PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 1:36 PM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB VALCARTIER (CYOY) TYPE: GUST SPREAD WARNING ENDED COMMENTS: DUE TO CONDITIONS REMAINING MORE STABLE THAN EXPECTED, WIND GUST SPREADS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH 15 KNOTS OR MORE. END/JMC  713 WWCN03 CYZX 221737 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR 5 CDSB GAGETOWN PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 2:37 PM ADT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: 5 CDSB GAGETOWN (CYCX) TYPE: WIND ADVISORY ENDED COMMENTS: DUE TO CONDITIONS REMAINING MORE STABLE THAN EXPECTED, WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA OF 25 KNOTS OR MORE. END/JMC  994 WSMX31 MMMX 221738 MMEX SIGMET G2 VALID 221736/222136 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1736Z WI N1445 W11715 - N1339 W11506 - N1354 W11315 - N1331 W11117 - N1235 W11122 - N1154 W11347 - N1240 W11442 - N1250 W11758 - N1445 W11715 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV WNW 05KT NC. =  542 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221738 SBAZ SIGMET 11 VALID 221735/221940 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI N0041 W06541 - N0328 W06211 - S0352 W06204 - S0433 W06427 - N0041 W06541 TOP FL430 STNR INTSF=  493 WOXX50 KWNP 221739 ALTPAV Space Weather Message Code: ALTPAV Serial Number: 7024 Issue Time: 2015 Oct 22 1736 UT ATTENTION: Satellite Data Now Available Comment: GOES satellite data are now available for estimating radiation levels at flight altitudes. More information at http://www.faa.gov/data_research/research/med_humanfacs/ aeromedical/radiobiology/ # Issued by USDOT, FAA, Civil Aerospace Medical Institute # Send questions to kyle.copeland@faa.gov  544 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221738 SBAZ SIGMET 12 VALID 221735/221830 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 11 221530/221830=  698 WSZA21 FAOR 221740 FAOR SIGMET A02 VALID 221800/222200 FAOR- FAJA JOHANNESBURG FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2738 E02847 - S2754 E02940 - S2822 E03027 - S2919 E03041 - S3001 E02848 - S2958 E02749 - S2916 E02741 - S2801 E02800 - S2738 E02847 TOP FL300 WKN=  883 WACN07 CWAO 221740 CZQX AIRMET C2 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZQX GANDER DOMESTIC FIR CNCL AIRMET C1 221450/221850=  884 WACN25 CWAO 221740 CZUL AIRMET D2 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR CNCL AIRMET D1 221450/221850 RMK GFACN34 GFACN36/CZQX GANDER DOMESTIC FIR AIRMET C2=  885 WACN05 CWAO 221740 CZUL AIRMET D2 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZUL MONTREAL FIR CNCL AIRMET D1 221450/221850=  886 WACN27 CWAO 221740 CZQX AIRMET C2 VALID 221450/221850 CWUL- CZQX GANDER DOMESTIC FIR CNCL AIRMET C1 221450/221850 RMK GFACN34 GFACN36/CZUL MONTREAL FIR AIRMET D2=  116 WSBZ31 SBCW 221739 SBCW SIGMET 15 VALID 221740/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OB S AT 1730Z WI S2516 W05308 - S2614 W05340 - S2706 W05349 - S2729 W0543 4 - S2815 W05226 - S2749 W05021 - S2655 W05000 - S2516 W05308 TOP FL38 0 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  670 WGUS74 KMAF 221741 FFSMAF FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1241 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC383-461-221751- /O.EXP.KMAF.FF.W.0070.000000T0000Z-151022T1745Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ REAGAN TX-UPTON TX- 1241 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR REAGAN AND UPTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1245 PM CDT... THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. LAT...LON 3108 10221 3165 10211 3165 10127 3108 10127 $$ 33  829 WSZA21 FAOR 221741 FAOR SIGMET B04 VALID 221800/222200 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR SEV ICE OBS WI S3157 E04853 - S3548 E05501 - S3754 E05700 - S3802 E05700 - S3825 E05337 - S3340 E04816 - S3249 E04757 FL070/180 WKN=  408 WVRA31 RUPK 221840 UHPP SIGMET 11 VALID 221740/221800 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR CNL SIGMET 10 221700/221800=  960 WSZA21 FAOR 221742 FAOR SIGMET C02 VALID 221800/222200 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S3718 W00700 - S3834 W00417 - S4027 W00239 - S4151 W00352 - S4127 W00613 - S4010 W00713 - S3900 W00852 - S3731 W00843 TOP FL270 WKN=  094 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 745 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS EVIDENT IN A 221108Z ASCAT PASS, WITH A DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. A 220746Z CORIOLIS MICROWAVE IMAGE FURTHER ILLUSTRATES THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE LLCC AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TD 26W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. TD 26W IS TRACKING ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL CONTINUE ETT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. BASED ON THE TIGHT AGREEMENT IN DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST.//  785 WVRA31 RUPK 221845 UHPP SIGMET 12 VALID 221800/222400 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT SHEVELUCH PSN N5638 E16119 VA CLD OBS AT 1640Z WI N5639 E16121 - N5644 E16121 - N5644 E16130 - N5637 E16127 - N5639 E16121 SFC/FL240 MOV NE 30KMH AND FCST 2240Z VA CLD APRX N5801 E16122 - N5704 E16344 - N5706 E16455 - N5652 E16510 - N5640 E16349 - N5709 E16217 - N5801 E16122=  080 WHMY40 PGUM 221744 CFWMY COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 344 AM CHST FRI OCT 23 2015 ...LARGE SWELL FROM DISTANT TYPHOON CHAMPI WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE HAZARDOUS SURF IN THE MARIANAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS... GUZ001>004-230800- /O.EXT.PGUM.SU.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-151025T0800Z/ GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN- 344 AM CHST FRI OCT 23 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST SUNDAY... * HAZARDOUS SURF OF 7 TO 10 FEET WILL PERSIST ALONG NORTH FACING REEFS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 7 TO 9 FEET ALONG WEST FACING REEFS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW HAZARDOUS LEVELS ON SATURDAY. SURF COULD BRIEFLY FALL BELOW HAZARDOUS LEVELS TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID VENTURING INTO THE WATER ALONG EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES... ESPECIALLY THOSE FACING NORTH AND WEST...AS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE THREATENING. && $$ MCELROY  203 WHUS71 KLWX 221744 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 144 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ530>532-538>540-230145- /O.EXT.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0400Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- 144 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ533-534-537-541>543-230145- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0800Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 144 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  447 WSBZ31 SBRE 221743 SBAO SIGMET 11 VALID 221900/222300 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTIC FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2307 W03458 - S2524 W03617 - S3024 W03833 - S3156 W03843 - S3232 W03532 - S3052 W03514 - S2755 W03404 - S2628 W03126 - S2307 W 03458 FL140/200 STNR WKN=  918 WSBZ31 SBRE 221743 CCA SBAO SIGMET 11 VALID 221900/222300 SBRE- SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2307 W03458 - S2524 W03617 - S302 4 W03833 - S3156 W03843 - S3232 W03532 - S3052 W03514 - S2755 W03404 - S2628 W03126 - S2307 W 03458 FL140/200 STNR WKN=  106 WVRA31 RUPK 221745 UHPP SIGMET 12 VALID 221745/222240 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT SHEVELUCH PSN N5638 E16119 VA CLD OBS AT 1640Z WI N5639 E16121 - N5644 E16121 - N5644 E16130 - N5637 E16127 - N5639 E16121 SFC/FL240 MOV NE 30KMH FCST 2240Z VA CLD APRX N5801 E16122 - N5704 E16344 - N5706 E16455 - N5652 E16510 - N5640 E16349 - N5709 E16217 - N5801 E16122=  503 WSPN03 KKCI 221745 SIGP0C KZAK SIGMET CHARLIE 2 VALID 221745/221930 KKCI- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET CHARLIE 1 221530/221930.  791 WHUS44 KCRP 221618 CFWCRP URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...RESENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 1118 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING... .THE COMBINATION OF LONG PERIOD SWELLS...SIGNIFICANT SWELL HEIGHTS...AND A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW...HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. IMPACTS ARE BEING NOTED AT NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ALONG THE COAST WITH SOME ROADS BEING CLOSED. BAY LEVELS ARE AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL WITH SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUN-UP OCCURRING. IN ADDITION...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS ALONG THE COAST. TXZ242-243-245-247-230030- /O.UPG.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCRP.CF.W.0001.151022T1618Z-151023T2100Z/ /O.EXT.KCRP.RP.S.0012.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ KLEBERG-NUECES-ARANSAS-CALHOUN- 1118 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2.5 FEET ABOVE MSL. WATER LEVELS MAY REACH NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE MSL SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS. * TIMING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING IN BAY AREAS...AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT FOR OPEN WATER LOCATIONS. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. WITH INCREASING WAVES WITH LONG PERIOD SWELLS...THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO RUN UP AND REACH THE DUNES AGAIN TONIGHT. SOME ROADS WILL BE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY. && $$ TXZ244-230030- /O.UPG.KCRP.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KCRP.CF.W.0001.151022T1618Z-151023T2100Z/ SAN PATRICIO- 1118 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE MSL. * TIMING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING IN BAY AREAS. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE SHOER...ESPECIALLY AT INGLESIDE BY THE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ PZ/CB/JM  164 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS EVIDENT IN A 221108Z ASCAT PASS, WITH A DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. A 220746Z CORIOLIS MICROWAVE IMAGE FURTHER ILLUSTRATES THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE LLCC AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TD 26W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. TD 26W IS TRACKING ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL CONTINUE ETT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. BASED ON THE TIGHT AGREEMENT IN DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST./=  253 WACN22 CWAO 221750 CZEG AIRMET E2 VALID 221750/221930 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR CNCL AIRMET E1 221530/221930 RMK GFACN31=  254 WACN02 CWAO 221750 CZEG AIRMET E2 VALID 221750/221930 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR CNCL AIRMET E1 221530/221930=  230 WWUS75 KPUB 221751 NPWPUB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1151 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ069>071-230300- /O.UPG.KPUB.FZ.A.0002.151023T0800Z-151023T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FZ.W.0003.151023T0800Z-151023T1500Z/ DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY- INCLUDING...CENTER...DEL NORTE...ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA... MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...SAN LUIS... FORT GARLAND...BLANCA 1151 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. * TEMPERATURE...LOWS FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S. THE COLDEST READINGS ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY...INCLUDING THE ALAMOSA AREA. * IMPACT...TENDER PLANTS MAY BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT OUTSIDE UNCOVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$  227 WAKO31 RKSI 221750 RKRR AIRMET U03 VALID 221800/222200 RKSI- RKRR INCHEON FIR SFC VIS 5000M FG BR OBS WI N3656 E12502 - N3746 E12727 - N3641 E12817 - N3504 E12823 - N3329 E12502 STNR NC=  155 WSUS31 KKCI 221755 SIGE MKCE WST 221755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221955-222355 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  156 WSUS32 KKCI 221755 SIGC MKCC WST 221755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 44C VALID UNTIL 1955Z TX OK FROM 50SE MMB-20NE OKC-20NW TTT-30NW SJT-40NE MAF-50SE MMB AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 20025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 45C VALID UNTIL 1955Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50E CRP-90SE PSX-90E BRO-10WSW BRO-40S CRP-50E CRP AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 18010KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 221955-222355 FROM 40N PUB-ICT-40SE END-50E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-60WSW INK-50NNE SSO-30SSE JNC-40N PUB WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  157 WSUS33 KKCI 221755 SIGW MKCW WST 221755 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 221955-222355 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  489 WSTU31 LTBA 221735 LTBB SIGMET 8 VALID 221735/222035 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR OBSC TS OBS AT 1735Z N4093 E02918 N4039 E02916 MOV NE NC=  919 WSMC31 GMMC 221754 GMMM SIGMET S5 VALID 221800/222100 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST W OF LINE N3007 W01230 - N3335 W010 50 - N3231 W00950 - N2745 W00940 - N2118 W01525 TOP FL340 MOV NE NC=  968 WBCN07 CWVR 221700 PAM ROCKS WIND 105 LANGARA; PC 15 S06 2FT CHP MOD W RW- PST HR 1730 CLD EST 10 FEW SCT ABV 25 09/09 GREEN; OVC 9RW- SE27E 5FT MDT OCNL RW+ 1730 CLD EST 10 FEW 16 BKN OVC ABV 25 09/08 TRIPLE; CLDY 12 SE15E 3FT MDT LO SW SHWRS DSNT N-E 1730 CLD EST 6 FEW 14 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/08 BONILLA; CLDY 15 S15 3FT MDT LO S 1730 CLD EST 15 FEW BKN ABV 25 11/10 BOAT BLUFF; OVC 2R-F SE06 1FT CHP 1730 CLD EST 6 FEW OVC ABV 25 10/10 MCINNES; OVC 12 SE25EG 5FT MDT MOD SW SHWRS ALQDS 1730 CLD EST 12 BKN 18 OVC 11/10 IVORY; OVC 4RWF SE19G26 4FT MDT MOD SW 1730 CLD EST 10 BKN 18 OVC 10/10 DRYAD; OVC 12R- SE16 2FT CHP 1730 CLD EST 8 FEW 20 BKN OVC ABV 25 10/09 ADDENBROKE; OVC 12RW- SE10E 2FT CHP LO S OCNL RW+ 1730 CLD EST 14 BKN OVC ABV 25 10/09 EGG ISLAND; OVC 08RW- SE22 4FT MOD MOD W 1740 CLD EST 14 BKN OVC ABV 25 10/09 PINE ISLAND; OVC 04RW-F SE20 4FT MOD MOD W 1740 CLD EST 10 SCT 18 OVC 10/10 CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15 SE15G 4FT MOD MOD SW OCNL T 1740 CLD EST 18 BKN BKN ABV 25 13/11 QUATSINO; OVC 12RW- S20 4FT MOD MOD SW 1740 CLD EST 8 FEW 18 BKN OVC ABV 25 12/11 NOOTKA; OVC 15RW- N08 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW 1740 CLD EST 8 FEW 22 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/10 ESTEVAN; CLDY 15 SE09 2FT CHP LO-MOD SW 1023.3R LENNARD; PC 12 SE05 1FT CHP MOD SW AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; PC 12 CLM 1FT CHP MOD SW PACHENA; PC 15 SE10E 3FT MDT MOD SW CARMANAH; PC 15 SW03E 1FT CHP MOD SW VIS SE-S 10 SCARLETT; OVC 10RW- SE18 3FT MOD LO NW PULTENEY; OVC 15 E15 2FT CHP SHWRS DSNT SE CHATHAM; OVC 10 SE05 RPLD 1740 CLD EST 1 FEW 6 BKN 10 OVC 09/08 CHROME; CLDY 12 CLM RPLD VSBY W 3F MERRY; CLDY 15 N08 RPLD 1740 8 SCT 20 SCT BKN ABV 25 10/09= ENTRANCE; CLDY 15 NW06 1FT CHP FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; CLDY 12 NW9 1FT CHP TRIAL IS.; CLDY 12 W05 1FT CHP FBNK DIST NE-W Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 252/12/10/2207/M/ 3012 17MM= WLP SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 221/10/08/1320/M/0008 PCPN 0.4MM PAST HR PK WND 1334 1628Z 6003 75MM= WEB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 251/10/10/1106/M/ 1006 96MM= WQC SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 260/09/08/0000/M/ 1009 40MM= WRU SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 229/12/11/1217/M/0010 PK WND 1221 1650Z 3006 73MM= WFG SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 210/12/10/2223/M/0030 PK WND 2227 1653Z 6008 35MM= WVF SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/11/09/2809/M/M M 14MM= WQS SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 150/12/09/2615/M/0024 PK WND 2618 1651Z 3013 69MM= WRO SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 147/09/08/1908/M/0040 3008 22MM= WEK SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 152/10/08/1520/M/0068 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR PK WND 1626 1615Z 1006 85MM= WWL SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 156/11/08/1713/M/0034 PK WND 1818 1608Z 1006 94MM= WME SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 209/08/07/0703/M/0030 PCPN 1.4MM PAST HR 6005 22MM= WAS SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 248/10/08/0105/M/ 3016 46MM= WSB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 247/11/09/3003/M/ 3016 87MM= WGT SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 253/10/09/3003/M/M 2012 39MM= WGB SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 252/09/08/2304/M/ 3014 28MM= WEL SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 255/10/09/2905/M/ 3016 27MM= WDR SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 249/12/M/1201/M/M 1010 6MMM= WZO SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/2803/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1205/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 1700 AUTO8 M M M 242/08/07/1505/M/ 3005 38MM=  530 WTPZ25 KNHC 221756 TCMEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 1800 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS * NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS * NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 104.0W AT 22/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 104.0W AT 22/1800Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 103.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N 105.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.2N 105.7W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.3N 105.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 103.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 104.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN  004 WGUS84 KOUN 221756 FLSOUN FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1256 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKC019-067-085-222100- /O.NEW.KOUN.FA.Y.0266.151022T1756Z-151022T2100Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LOVE OK-JEFFERSON OK-CARTER OK- 1256 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... NORTHWESTERN LOVE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHWESTERN CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 400 PM CDT * AT 1252 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE PAST HOUR. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE WILSON...RINGLING...CORNISH...LEON...RUBOTTOM...OSCAR AND GRADY. UP TO ANOTHER INCH OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. && LAT...LON 3383 9745 3384 9746 3389 9745 3391 9747 3392 9750 3390 9755 3390 9759 3392 9760 3395 9759 3399 9767 3394 9773 3394 9776 3391 9776 3392 9778 3389 9779 3389 9781 3414 9780 3423 9734 3383 9736 $$ MAD  263 WTPZ35 KNHC 221757 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 100 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND PATRICA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 104.0W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Corrientes to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas * North of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas * North of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Patricia was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 104.0 West. Patricia is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through today with a reduction in forward speed. A turn toward the northwest and then toward the north is forecast tonight and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Patricia is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is forecast through early Friday, and Patricia is expected to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through landfall. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 958 mb (28.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area late Friday. RAINFALL: Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later today into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Patricia are already affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico, and will spread northwestward during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan  878 WSBZ31 SBCW 221758 SBCW SIGMET 16 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE F CST WI S2749 W05021 - S2932 W04605 - S2644 W04345 - S2513 W04144 - S2327 W04327 - S2359 W04402 - S2512 W04715 - S2637 W04652 - S2740 W04832 - S2655 W05000 - S2749 W05021 FL120/180 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  308 WSBZ31 SBCW 221758 SBCW SIGMET 17 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS O BS AT 1750Z WI S2116 W04437- S2243 W04251- S2315 W04256- S2329 W04328 - S2116 W04437 TOP FL390 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  460 WTPZ45 KNHC 221759 TCDEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 100 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 This Special Advisory updates the initial and forecast intensity of Patricia, based on a recent NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft SFMR observation of 114 kt. The aircraft reported that the central pressure was around 958 mb. Some of the wind radii have also been adjusted outward. This Special Advisory replaces the 1800 UTC intermediate advisory. The environment is expected to be conducive for continued strengthening in the next 24 hours, with the cyclone in an area of very low shear and SSTs above 30C. Some slight weakening is shown on Friday prior to landfall, as southwesterly shear begins to increase, and Patricia could undergo an eyewall replacement cycle. After landfall, Patricia should rapidly weaken, and the low-level circulation should dissipate over the high terrain of Mexico before 72 hours. No change was made to the track forecast from the previous advisory. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Confidence is increasing that Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area as an extremely dangerous major hurricane Friday afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect life and property in the hurricane warning area should be completed today, as tropical storm conditions will begin to affect the warning area tonight or early Friday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1800Z 15.0N 104.0W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 15.8N 105.2W 125 KT 145 MPH 24H 23/1200Z 17.2N 105.7W 130 KT 150 MPH 36H 24/0000Z 19.3N 105.5W 120 KT 140 MPH 48H 24/1200Z 22.5N 103.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND 72H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan  457 WSBZ31 SBBS 221801 SBBS SIGMET 15 VALID 221800/222200 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1717 W05246 - S1648 W05119 - S1717 W04908 - S1642 W04605 - S2031 W04404 - S2245 W04545 - S2314 W04552 - S2319 W04613 - S2328 W04656 - S2300 W04747 - S2227 W04834 - S2212 W0 4832 - S2204 W04841 - S2152 W04911 - S2041 W05037 - S1934 W05132 - S1 717 W05246 TOP FL420 MOV E 20KT NC=  605 WVRA31 RUPK 221800 UHPP SIGMET 13 VALID 221800/221840 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR CNL SIGMET 9 221340/221840=  006 WABZ22 SBBS 221803 SBBS AIRMET 8 VALID 221805/222110 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 10 00/4000M RA AND BKN CLD 0500/0900FT FCST WI S2055 W05019 - S1806 W04830 - S21 23 W04446 - S2246 W04546 - S2315 W04554 - S2328 W04657 - S2228 W04837 - S2214 W04833 - S2204 W04842 - S2154 W04915 - S2055 W05019 STNR NC=  610 WHUS71 KAKQ 221805 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 205 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ630-631-230215- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1000Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- 205 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: 3 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-634-230215- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1200Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL- 205 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: 3 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ633-230215- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1400Z-151024T0200Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- 205 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ656-658-230215- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1400Z-151024T0800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 205 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$  080 WABZ22 SBBS 221805 SBBS AIRMET 9 VALID 221805/222110 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR OVC CLD 05 00/0900FT FCST IN SBGR NC=  370 WHUS71 KOKX 221807 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 207 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GUSTY WINDS BOTH AHEAD OF AND BEHIND COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING... ANZ330-221915- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 207 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WIND GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO STAY MAINLY BELOW 25 KT...HOWEVER THERE COULD BE OCCASIONAL 25 KT GUSTS LATE TONIGHT. $$ ANZ350-353-230215- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151023T2200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 207 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP 25 KT THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ355-230215- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.151023T0400Z-151023T2200Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 207 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  648 WHUS71 KGYX 221808 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 208 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ151-221915- /O.CAN.KGYX.SC.Y.0175.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ PENOBSCOT BAY- 208 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ ANZ150-152-154-230815- /O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0175.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM- CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 208 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  236 WVJP31 RJTD 221815 RJJJ SIGMET M04 VALID 221815/230015 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR VA MT ASOSAN PSN N3253 E13106 VA CLD OBS AT 1800Z FL090 STNR INTST UNKNOWN=  969 WSTU31 LTBA 221815 LTBB SIGMET 9 VALID 221800/222100 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR OBSC TS OBS AT 1800Z N4013 E02640 - N4015 E02940 - N3907 E02688 MOV NE INTSF=  710 WWNZ40 NZKL 221816 STORM WARNING 436 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 221800UTC OVER WATERS NORTH OF ICE EDGE. FRONT 49S 147W 55S 133W 60S 126W 67S 132W MOVING EAST 35KT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW 928HPA NEAR 66S 140W MOVING SOUTHEAST 30KT. 1. WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST TO EAST: CLOCKWISE 50KT. STORM AREA MOVING SOUTHEAST 30KT. 2. OUTSIDE AREA 1 AND WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF FRONT: NORTHWEST 40KT. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 35KT. 3. OUTSIDE AREAS 1 AND 2 AND WITHIN 480 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST TO EAST: CLOCKWISE 40KT. GALE AREA MOVING SOUTHEAST 30KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 433.  711 WWNZ40 NZKL 221818 GALE WARNING 438 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: FORTIES AT 221800UTC OVER WATERS EAST OF 160E. IN A BELT 300 NAUTICAL MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 53S 153E 52S 158E 51S 164E: SOUTHWEST 35KT. GALE AREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 45KT. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 434.  712 WWNZ40 NZKL 221817 STORM WARNING 437 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREAS: FORTIES PACIFIC AND SOUTHERN AT 221800UTC LOW 948HPA NEAR 59S 173W MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25KT. 1. WITHIN 240 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM WEST THROUGH NORTH TO NORTHEAST: CLOCKWISE 50KT EASING TO 40KT NEXT 6-12 HOURS. STORM AREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25KT. 2. OUTSIDE AREA 1 AND IN A BELT 660 NAUTICAL MILES WIDE CENTRED ON A LINE 57S 176E 52S 169W 52S 149W: CLOCKWISE 35KT AT TIMES. GALE AREA MOVING EAST 20KT.  713 WWNZ40 NZKL 221815 STORM WARNING 435 THIS AFFECTS OCEAN AREA: PACIFIC AT 221800UTC LOW 994HPA NEAR 45S 123W MOVING EAST 15KT. 1. WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM WEST THROUGH NORTH TO NORTHEAST: CLOCKWISE 35KT RISING TO 50KT NEXT 6 HOURS. 2. OUTSIDE AREA 1 AND WITHIN 180 NAUTICAL MILES OF LOW IN SECTOR FROM SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST TO EAST: CLOCKWISE 35KT. STORM AND GALE AREAS MOVING WITH LOW. THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 432.  044 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBCW SIGMET 14 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1645Z WI S2330 W04656 - S2258 W04753 - S2220 W04903 - S2314 W04945 - S2512 W04715- S2400 W04403- S2329 W04328- S2116 W04437 - S2247 W04545 - S2314 W04550 - S2330 W04656 TOP FL410 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  045 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221738  046 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBAZ SIGMET 10 VALID 221530/221830 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0025 W06439 - N0120 W06219 - S0038 W06145 - S0239 W06206 - S0311 W06436 - N0014 W06436 - N0025 W06439 TOP FL400 STNR INTSF=  047 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 WSBZ31 SBCW 221758  048 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBCW SIGMET 17 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1750Z WI S2116 W04437- S2243 W04251- S2315 W04256- S2329 W04328 - S2116 W04437 TOP FL390 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  049 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221533  050 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBCW SIGMET 15 VALID 221740/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1730Z WI S2516 W05308 - S2614 W05340 - S2706 W05349 - S2729 W05434 - S2815 W05226 - S2749 W05021 - S2655 W05000 - S2516 W05308 TOP FL380 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  051 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBAZ SIGMET 12 VALID 221735/221830 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 11 221530/221830=  054 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBAZ SIGMET 11 VALID 221735/221940 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0041 W06541 - N0328 W06211 - S0352 W06204 - S0433 W06427 - N0041 W06541 TOP FL430 STNR INTSF=  055 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 WSBZ31 SBRE 221444  053 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 WSBZ31 SBCW 221739  056 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBCW SIGMET 13 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1645Z WI S2314 W04945- S2517 W05310- S2740 W04833 - S2638 W04653 - S2512 W04715 - S2314 W04945 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  057 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 SBCW SIGMET 16 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2749 W05021 - S2932 W04605 - S2644 W04345 - S2513 W04144 - S2327 W04327 - S2359 W04402 - S2512 W04715 - S2637 W04652 - S2740 W04832 - S2655 W05000 - S2749 W05021 FL120/180 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  058 WSBZ01 SBBR 221800 WSBZ31 SBCW 221657  314 WOAU01 AMMC 221823 IDY21000 40:3:1:04:55S075E35060:11:00 SECURITE High Seas Weather Warning for METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC At 1823UTC 22 October 2015 GALE WARNING FOR WESTERN AREA PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION AT 1800UTC Vigorous flow associated with an approaching cold front, forecast near 45S075E 50S087E at 230600UTC, near 43S079E 50S092E at 231200UTC and near 41S080E 50S098E at 231800UTC. AREA AFFECTED Bounded by 43S080E 50S111E 50S080E 43S080E. FORECAST NW quarter winds 30/40 knots within 240nm east of front developing after 230300UTC. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.  405 WOMQ50 LFPW 221825 WARNING ON METAREA 3, METEO-FRANCE WARNING NR 299, THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015 AT 1820 UTC GENERAL SYNOPSIS, THURSDAY 22 AT 12 UTC. THUNDERY LOW 1007 OVER TYRRHENIAN SEA, MOVING TO ADRIATIC SEA OVERNIGHT. ATLANTIC RIDGE 1025 OVER SOUTHWEST OF FRANCE. NORTH OF MINORQUE, LION. CONTINUING TO 23/06 UTC. NORTHWEST 8, LOCALLY 9 NEAR CAP BEAR AT FIRST. SEVERE GUSTS. WEST OF PROVENCE. CONTINUING TO 23/00 UTC. NORTHWEST AT TIMES 8. SEVERE GUSTS.  431 WABZ24 SBCW 221825 SBCW AIRMET 10 VALID 221825/222225 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SFC VIS 1 200/4000M RA BR BKN CLD 600/2000FT FCST WI S2116 W04437 - S2245 W04250 - S2315 W04256 - S2545 W04224 - S2645 W04345 - S2805 W04450 - S2613 W04847 - S2533 W05003- S2258 W04753- S2330 W04656 - S2314 W04550 - S2247 W045 45 - S2116 W04437 STNR NC=  014 WSCG31 FCBB 221824 FCCC SIGMET A5 VALID 221900/222300 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1800Z W OF LINE N0443 E01026 - S0000 E00946 TOP FL400 MOV W 10KT WKN=  647 WADL41 EDZM 221828 EDMM AIRMET 1 VALID 221830/222100 EDZM- EDMM MUNCHEN FIR MOD ICE FCST S OF N4830 FL065/160 MOV SE NC=  779 WSMS31 WMKK 221829 WBFC SIGMET A07 VALID 221835/222235 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N05 E OF E116 STNR INTSF=  295 WSNZ21 NZKL 221827 NZZC SIGMET 8 VALID 221830/222230 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE OBS AT 1816Z S4238 E17329 FL104 NC=  816 WSPO31 LPMG 221830 LPPC SIGMET 5 VALID 221835/222135 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS FCST S OF N3530 TOP FL340 MOV NE WKN=  801 WSSR20 WSSS 221832 WSJC SIGMET 6 VALID 221840/222000 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS E OF LINE N02 E10730 - S0015 E10715 NC=  715 WHXX01 KMIA 221832 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1832 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 1800 151023 0600 151023 1800 151024 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.1N 104.1W 16.3N 105.9W 17.6N 107.1W 19.1N 107.3W BAMD 15.1N 104.1W 16.4N 105.8W 18.0N 107.0W 20.0N 107.4W BAMM 15.1N 104.1W 16.3N 105.9W 17.7N 107.2W 19.4N 107.2W LBAR 15.1N 104.1W 16.7N 105.4W 18.7N 106.5W 20.9N 107.0W SHIP 115KTS 139KTS 140KTS 118KTS DSHP 115KTS 139KTS 140KTS 88KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 1800 151025 1800 151026 1800 151027 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.0N 105.9W 22.1N 105.1W 23.3N 107.1W 25.4N 108.7W BAMD 22.8N 106.1W 27.0N 101.6W 30.8N 96.0W 38.0N 91.0W BAMM 21.6N 105.2W 23.9N 100.6W 26.8N 94.7W 33.2N 90.3W LBAR 23.6N 106.6W 28.8N 102.4W 32.1N 94.9W 36.2N 85.8W SHIP 85KTS 62KTS 44KTS 35KTS DSHP 47KTS 29KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 15.1N LONCUR = 104.1W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 14.0N LONM12 = 101.7W DIRM12 = 294DEG SPDM12 = 16KT LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 98.7W WNDCUR = 115KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 75KT CENPRS = 958MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 100NM $$ NNNN  575 WSNZ21 NZKL 221830 NZZC SIGMET 9 VALID 221833/222233 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE OBS AT 1820Z S4236 E17330 FL100/130 NC=  478 WHUS73 KAPX 221835 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LMZ323-344>346-221945- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-230000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ347-348-230245- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151023T0400Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 235 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD  700 WSBZ31 SBBS 221834 SBBS SIGMET 16 VALID 221835/222200 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2031 W04402 - S2028 W04345 - S2020 W04329 - S2013 W04322 - S1854 W04351 - S1853 W04456 - S2031 W04402 T OP FL420 MOV E 20KT NC=  886 WABZ22 SBBS 221834 SBBS AIRMET 10 VALID 221830/222130 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC WSPD 33KT OBS AT 1800Z IN SBPR STNR NC=  235 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 03 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 745 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS EVIDENT IN A 221108Z ASCAT PASS, WITH A DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. A 220746Z CORIOLIS MICROWAVE IMAGE FURTHER ILLUSTRATES THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE LLCC AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TD 26W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. TD 26W IS TRACKING ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL CONTINUE ETT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. BASED ON THE TIGHT AGREEMENT IN DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST. C. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED TD NUMBER IN PARA 2 LINE 9.//  926 WSNZ21 NZKL 221834 NZZC SIGMET 10 VALID 221841/222241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S4140 E17550 - S4350 E17330 - S4320 E17200 - S4100 E17410 - S4140 E17550 FL100/220 STNR NC=  870 WSSG31 GOOY 221845 GOOO SIGMET D1 VALID 111845/222245 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1835Z WI N1140 W01340 - N1100 W01730 - N1320 W01620 - N1210 W01340 TOP FL400 MOV NW 10KT INTSF=  488 WSSG31 GOOY 221845 GOOO SIGMET D1 VALID 221845/222245 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1835Z WI N1140 W01340 - N1100 W01730 - N1320 W01620 - N1210 W01340 TOP FL400 MOV NW 10KT INTSF=  190 WHUS71 KGYX 221846 MWWGYX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 246 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ150-152-154-230900- /O.EXT.KGYX.SC.Y.0175.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM- PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM- CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM- 246 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  466 WHXX01 KMIA 221846 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1846 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF (EP192015) 20151022 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 1800 151023 0600 151023 1800 151024 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.5N 146.3W 14.7N 146.9W 15.6N 147.3W 16.6N 147.6W BAMD 13.5N 146.3W 15.2N 146.9W 17.0N 147.6W 18.3N 147.7W BAMM 13.5N 146.3W 15.1N 147.0W 16.4N 147.7W 17.2N 147.8W LBAR 13.5N 146.3W 14.8N 146.6W 16.6N 147.0W 18.5N 147.1W SHIP 95KTS 90KTS 87KTS 75KTS DSHP 95KTS 90KTS 87KTS 75KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 1800 151025 1800 151026 1800 151027 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.3N 147.7W 18.5N 147.6W 18.7N 145.1W 18.1N 142.6W BAMD 19.0N 147.4W 19.9N 146.2W 22.7N 140.5W 27.8N 130.2W BAMM 17.5N 147.6W 19.1N 146.1W 21.5N 140.8W 24.2N 133.2W LBAR 19.5N 146.5W 22.2N 143.1W 24.9N 137.6W 27.9N 131.5W SHIP 63KTS 44KTS 29KTS 0KTS DSHP 63KTS 44KTS 29KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.5N LONCUR = 146.3W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 12.7N LONM12 = 145.7W DIRM12 = 319DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 144.7W WNDCUR = 95KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 105KT CENPRS = 963MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 240NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 135NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 115NM $$ NNNN  598 WHUS72 KKEY 221847 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 247 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 5 FEET IN HAWK CHANNEL...SEAS OF UP TO UP TO 7 OR 8 FEET WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF STREAM. GMZ033-034-222000- /O.CAN.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS- GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL- 247 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ALLOWED THE SMALL CRAFT TO EXPIRE...BUT SMALL CRAFT WILL STILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION OVERNIGHT. $$ GMZ052>055-072>075-230300- /O.EXT.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 247 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT TONIGHT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL PERSIST THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...AND THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS UP TO 7 OR 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID OPERATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ DAF  369 WOCN17 CWHX 221848 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:18 PM NDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR: RED BAY TO L'ANSE-AU-CLAIR. SNOW INLAND AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF LABRADOR TONIGHT AND ACROSS NORTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND ON FRIDAY. RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN LABRADOR TONIGHT WITH MAINLY SNOW INLAND AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AFFECTING PARTS OF THE TRANS LABRADOR HIGHWAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 10 CENTIMETRES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT. MOTORISTS TRAVELLING THE TRANS LABRADOR HIGHWAY ARE ADVISED TO BE PREPARED FOR WINTER DRIVING, WITH CONDITIONS CHANGING RAPIDLY WITH ELEVATION. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED OR EXTENDED. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT WWW.WEATHER.GC.CA END  637 WGUS64 KOUN 221849 FFAOUN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 149 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... .A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY...WITH A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. OKZ004>015-222000- /O.CAN.KOUN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD- NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD... PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY... CHEYENNE...TALOGA 149 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA... NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED FOR THE AREA. $$ OKZ016>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231100- /O.CON.KOUN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO- CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE- SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-COMANCHE- STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-CARTER- JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA... KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL... ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER... CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE... HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK... LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE... WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA... MADILL...DURANT...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON... WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY... HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA 149 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN OKLAHOMA...ATOKA...BECKHAM...BLAINE...BRYAN... ... CADDO...CANADIAN...CARTER...CLEVELAND...COAL...COMANCHE... COTTON...CUSTER...GARVIN...GRADY...GREER...HARMON...HUGHES... JACKSON...JEFFERSON...JOHNSTON...KINGFISHER...KIOWA... LINCOLN...LOGAN...LOVE...MARSHALL...MCCLAIN...MURRAY... OKLAHOMA...PAYNE...PONTOTOC...POTTAWATOMIE...SEMINOLE... STEPHENS...TILLMAN AND WASHITA. IN NORTHERN TEXAS...ARCHER... BAYLOR...CLAY...FOARD...HARDEMAN...KNOX...WICHITA AND WILBARGER. * THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS AROUND 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. THE HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. * DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS AND INFORMATION. MAKE PLANS TO GET TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING HAPPENS. && $$  814 WGUS54 KMAF 221849 FFWMAF TXC383-222245- /O.NEW.KMAF.FF.W.0072.151022T1849Z-151022T2245Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 149 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... REAGAN COUNTY IN WESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 145 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLASH FLOODING ALONG AND NEAR HIGHWAY 2600 AND INDIAN CREEK IN EXTREME NORTHEAST REAGAN COUNTY. AT 145 PM CDT DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUING ACROSS THE COUNTY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... BIG LAKE...STILES...NORTH REAGAN FIRE STATION...BEST...TEXON AND REAGAN COUNTY AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3163 10127 3112 10129 3110 10158 3112 10175 3163 10176 $$ 12  087 WSQB31 LQBK 221849 LQSB SIGMET 2 VALID 221850/222250 LQBK- LQSB SARAJEVO FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF LINE N4429 E01606 - N4315 E01841 SFC/FL065 STNR NC=  417 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 03 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS EVIDENT IN A 221108Z ASCAT PASS, WITH A DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. A 220746Z CORIOLIS MICROWAVE IMAGE FURTHER ILLUSTRATES THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE LLCC AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW; BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TD 26W IS LOCATED IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSIDENCE ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLCC, PREVENTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LLCC. TD 26W IS TRACKING ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF A LOW- TO MID-LAYERED SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE STR AXIS. INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD. TD 26W WILL CONTINUE ETT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND COMPLETE ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OR POSSIBLE SOONER, BECOMING A WEAK COLD CORE LOW. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES PRIOR TO ETT DUE TO HIGH VWS. BASED ON THE TIGHT AGREEMENT IN DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION, THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST. C. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED TD NUMBER IN PARA 2 LINE 9./=  143 WWCA82 TJSJ 221850 SPSSJU SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 250 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 PRZ001-006-221930- SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-CENTRAL INTERIOR- 250 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT TOA ALTA...NARANJITO AND COROZAL OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO... AT 246 PM AST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE AFFECTING THESE MUNICIPALITIES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. LAT...LON 1837 6630 1837 6620 1832 6623 1825 6635 1828 6638 1833 6636 TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 000DEG 0KT 1829 6636 $$ 23  642 WSUS32 KKCI 221855 SIGC MKCC WST 221855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 46C VALID UNTIL 2055Z TX OK FROM 30NNE OKC-30NE TTT-70E FST-60SSE LBB-70SE MMB-30NNE OKC AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 20025KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 47C VALID UNTIL 2055Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90SE PSX-90E BRO-20WNW BRO-40SSE CRP-70SSE PSX-90SE PSX AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 18010KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 222055-230055 FROM 40N PUB-ICT-40SE END-50E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-50WNW DLF-90SSE MRF-60WSW INK-50NNE SSO-30SSE JNC-40N PUB WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  643 WSUS31 KKCI 221855 SIGE MKCE WST 221855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 222055-230055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  835 WSUS33 KKCI 221855 SIGW MKCW WST 221855 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 3W VALID UNTIL 2055Z NM FROM 60S RSK-30N TCS DVLPG LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 23010KT. TOPS TO FL330. OUTLOOK VALID 222055-230055 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  713 WSBZ31 SBCW 221851 SBCW SIGMET 18 VALID 221855/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OB S AT 1845Z WI S2152 W04910 - S2205 W04840 - S2212 W04830 - S2227 W0483 3 - S2300 W04748 - S2220 W04903 - S2240 W04920 - S2103 W05150 - S2028 W05215 - S1934 W05132 - S2040 W05037 - S2152 W04910 TOP FL380 MOV E 08KT NC =  556 WSBZ31 SBCW 221851 SBCW SIGMET 19 VALID 221855/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OB S AT 1845Z WI S2320 W04955 - S2152 W05320 - S2233 W05407 - S2323 W0535 6 - S2500 W05242 - S2320 W04955 TOP FL380 MOV E 08KT NC=  208 WTPQ20 BABJ 221800 SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CHAMPI 1525 (1525) INITIAL TIME 221800 UTC 00HR 24.7N 143.7E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS WINDS 330KM NORTHEAST 300KM SOUTHEAST 330KM SOUTHWEST 330KM NORTHWEST 50KTS WINDS 130KM NORTHEAST 130KM SOUTHEAST 130KM SOUTHWEST 130KM NORTHWEST 64KTS WINDS 60KM NORTHEAST 60KM SOUTHEAST 60KM SOUTHWEST 60KM NORTHWEST MOVE ENE 21KM/H P+12HR 25.5N 146.0E 950HPA 45M/S P+24HR 26.4N 148.3E 955HPA 42M/S P+36HR 27.5N 150.5E 965HPA 38M/S P+48HR 29.3N 154.3E 975HPA 30M/S P+60HR 32.9N 160.9E 980HPA 28M/S P+72HR 37.1N 168.2E 992HPA 20M/S=  847 WSMA31 FIMP 221830 FIMM SIGMET A05 VALID 221830/222230 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1830Z WI S0600 E06000 - S0600 E07000 - S1000 E07000 - S1000 E06600 - S0830 E06500 - S0830 E0600 - S0600 E06000 TOP ABV FL400 STNR INTSF=  220 WTKO20 RKSL 221800 KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 37 NAME 1525 CHAMPI ANALYSIS POSITION 221800UTC 24.7N 143.9E MOVEMENT ENE 12KT PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 231800UTC 26.3N 148.2E WITHIN 75NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT 48HR POSITION 241800UTC 29.6N 154.9E WITHIN 125NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT 72HR POSITION 251800UTC 35.8N 168.2E WITHIN 0NM PRES 985HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.  054 ACUS11 KWNS 221857 SWOMCD SPC MCD 221856 TXZ000-222100- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1874 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0156 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN AND CENTRAL TX CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 221856Z - 222100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS -- AND POSSIBLE/ASSOCIATED SEVERE RISK -- SHOULD DEVELOP/EVOLVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. GIVEN LIMITED RISK FOR HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO...WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY. DISCUSSION...LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN THE CU FIELD OVER THE TX BIG BEND REGION AND INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...S OF A MORE DENSE CLOUD SHIELD WHERE DIURNAL HEATING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER HAS RESULTED IN DEVELOPMENT OF ROUGHLY 500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE. THE CU DEVELOPMENT IS INDICATIVE OF INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ACROSS WRN TX...AS A SUBTLE SHORT-WAVE IMPULSE ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE LARGER-SCALE TROUGH AND SHIFTS ENEWD TOWARD W TX PER LATEST WV LOOP. SOME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION IS ALSO NOTED FARTHER E INTO PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU/CONCHO VALLEY AREA...S AND E OF THE SW-NE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. AS ASCENT INCREASES...EXPECT FURTHER CU DEVELOPMENT AND EVENTUAL/ISOLATED CB...SUPPORTED BY THE GRADUALLY DESTABILIZING BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT. WITH A VEERING LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILE WITHIN THE BROAD WARM-ADVECTION REGIME TOPPED BY 40 TO 50 KT SWLYS AT MID LEVELS PER AREA VWPS...SHEAR REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF UPDRAFT ROTATION. WHILE MOST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS REMAINED N OF THE OUTFLOW WITH THE BOUNDARY ACTING AS AN ANAFRONT...CELLS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE EFFECTIVE WARM SECTOR MAY EVENTUALLY POSE LOW-END SEVERE/BRIEF TORNADO RISK SUFFICIENT TO RAISE THE POSSIBILITY FOR WW ISSUANCE. ..GOSS/MEAD.. 10/22/2015 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 29290396 30080358 31550209 32579953 32379898 31489905 30020015 29220080 29780151 29800262 28930315 29290396  500 WSGR31 LGAT 221905 LGGG SIGMET 6 VALID 221905/222305 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS E OF E02430 MOV E INTSF AND EMBD TS OBS S OF N3830 MOV E=  588 WWCA82 TJSJ 221859 SPSSJU SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 259 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 PRZ006-221930- CENTRAL INTERIOR- 259 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOROVIS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO... AT 250 PM AST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE AFFECTING THIS MUNICIPALITY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. LAT...LON 1837 6642 1835 6639 1832 6638 1827 6640 1827 6645 1834 6645 TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 000DEG 0KT 1830 6642 $$ 23  496 WSPY31 SGAS 221900 SGFA SIGMET 01 VALID 221900/222200 SGAS- SGFA ASUNCION FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1830Z WI S2116 W06218 - S1938 W06144 - S1918 W05956 - S2200 W05800 -S2336 W02924 - S2116 W06218 TOP FL 240/320 MOV ENE 05KT INTSF=  677 WOPS01 NFFN 221800 DCU PASS NAVY NIL  818 WHUS72 KMHX 221900 MWWMHX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 300 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT... .NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 25 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL LEAD TO 4 TO 6 FOOT SEAS OVER THE OUTER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WATERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. AMZ150-230700- /O.NEW.KMHX.SC.Y.0096.151023T2000Z-151024T0500Z/ S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM- 300 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ152-154-230700- /O.NEW.KMHX.SC.Y.0096.151023T2000Z-151024T1000Z/ S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM- S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 300 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  372 WTJP22 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.7N 143.9E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 25.6N 146.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 26.3N 148.4E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 29.2N 154.3E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 38.7N 170.1E WITH 325 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  373 WTPQ21 RJTD 221800 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 221800UTC 24.7N 143.9E GOOD MOVE ENE 10KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 240NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 231800UTC 26.3N 148.4E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 11KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 48HF 241800UTC 29.2N 154.3E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 15KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT 72HF 251800UTC 38.7N 170.1E 325NM 70% MOVE NE 40KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 065KT GUST 095KT =  784 WSNT07 KKCI 221915 SIGA0G KZHU SIGMET GOLF 7 VALID 221915/222315 KKCI- HOUSTON OCEANIC FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1915Z WI N2745 W09500 - N2700 W09345 - N2600 W09430 - N2615 W09545 - N2745 W09500. TOP FL500. MOV N 5KT. WKN.  466 WHUS71 KBUF 221903 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 303 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LOZ043-044-230315- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 303 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-230315- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 303 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-230315- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 303 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SLZ022-222100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- 303 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  236 WCJP31 RJTD 221910 RJJJ SIGMET L04 VALID 221910/230110 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR TC CHAMPI(1525) OBS AT 1800Z N2440 E14355 CB TOP FL520 WI 100NM OF CENTRE MOV ENE 10KT NC FCST 0000Z TC CENTRE N2505 E14455=  685 WWCA82 TJSJ 221908 RRA SPSSPN COMUNICADO ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 250 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 PRZ001-006-221930- SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-INTERIOR CENTRAL- 250 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...UN AREA DE TRONADAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LOS MUNICIPIOS DE TOA ALTA...NARANJITO Y COROZAL... A LAS 2:46 PM AST...TRONADAS FUERTES ESTAN AFECTANDO ESTOS MUNICIPIOS. ESTAS TRONADAS SON CAPACES DE PRODUCIR LLUVIAS FUERTES...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS Y RELAMPAGOS. INUNDACIONES LOCALIZADAS SON POSIBLES. NO INTENTE CRUZAR SU VEHICULO EN CARRETERAS INUNDADAS. RAYOS FRECUENTES ESTAN OCURRIENDO CON ESTA TRONADA. LOS RAYOS PUEDEN CAER A UNAS 15 MILLAS DE DISTANCIA DE LA TRONADA. BUSQUE REFUGIO EN UNA ESTRUCTURA FUERTE O EN UN VEHICULO. $$ 23/ACP  236 WSTU31 LTAC 221907 LTAA SIGMET 9 VALID 221900/222200 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 1900Z N37 E031 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  860 WWCA82 TJSJ 221910 RRA SPSSPN COMUNICADO ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 259 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 PRZ006-221930- INTERIOR CENTRAL- 259 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015LOS ...UN AREA DE TRONADAS FUERTES AFECTARAN EL MUNICIPIO DE MOROVIS DURANTE LA PROXIMA HORA O MAS... A LAS 2:50 PM AST...TRONADAS FUERTES ESTAN AFECTANDO ESTE MUNICIPIO. ESTAS TRONADAS SON CAPACES DE PRODUCIR LLUVIAS FUERTES...VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS Y RELAMPAGOS. INUNDACIONES LOCALIZADAS SON POSIBLES. NO INTENTE CRUZAR SU VEHICULO EN CARRETERAS INUNDADAS. RAYOS FRECUENTES ESTAN OCURRIENDO CON ESTA TRONADA. LOS RAYOS PUEDEN CAER A UNAS 15 MILLAS DE DISTANCIA DE LA TRONADA. BUSQUE REFUGIO EN UNA ESTRUCTURA FUERTE O EN UN VEHICULO. $$ 23/ACP  174 WHUS71 KOKX 221910 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 310 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GUSTY WINDS BOTH AHEAD OF AND BEHIND COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING... ANZ350-353-230400- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151023T2200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 310 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP 25 KT THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ355-230400- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0205.151023T0400Z-151023T2200Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 310 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  242 WHUS71 KCAR 221911 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 311 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION ANZ050>052-230315- /O.EXT.KCAR.SC.Y.0246.000000T0000Z-151024T0300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM- INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME- 311 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  403 WGUS84 KFWD 221914 FLSFWD FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 214 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC097-337-222215- /O.NEW.KFWD.FA.Y.0311.151022T1914Z-151022T2215Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONTAGUE TX-COOKE TX- 214 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MONTAGUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... COOKE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 515 PM CDT * AT 213 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... GAINESVILLE...MUENSTER...ST. JO...LINDSAY...FORESTBURG AND VALLEY VIEW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY. && LAT...LON 3395 9694 3368 9706 3343 9709 3344 9765 3385 9757 3392 9750 3392 9749 3382 9745 3382 9738 3388 9733 3386 9733 3392 9721 3376 9719 3372 9711 3382 9705 3385 9709 3384 9703 3395 9700 $$ 75  961 WSJP31 RJTD 221920 RJJJ SIGMET X04 VALID 221920/222320 RJTD- RJJJ FUKUOKA FIR FRQ TS FCST WI N2740 E15900 - N2930 E16300 - N3130 E16130 - N2910 E15740 - N2740 E15900 MOV ENE 15KT NC=  859 WSPR31 SPIM 221915 SPIM SIGMET 3 VALID 221916/222200 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1900Z SPHO S1309 W07412 TOP FL330 MOV STNR NC=  911 WWCN15 CWNT 221916 BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE HIGH ARCTIC AREA ENDED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2:16 P.M. CDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- BLIZZARD WARNING ENDED FOR: RESOLUTE. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NU END/MSC  271 WHUS71 KAKQ 221917 MWWAKQ URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 317 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ633-230330- /O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1400Z-151024T0000Z/ CURRITUCK SOUND- 317 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ630-631-230330- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1000Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- 317 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: 3 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ632-634-230330- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1200Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL- 317 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES: 3 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ ANZ656-658-230330- /O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0107.151023T1400Z-151024T0800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO 20 NM- 317 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. * SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$  350 WSPR31 SPIM 221919 SPIM SIGMET A1 VALID 221920/222215 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1845Z WI S0209 W07550 - S0242 W07550 - S0247 W07519 - S0158 W07519 TOP FL330 MOV W INTSF=  676 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBAZ SIGMET 11 VALID 221735/221940 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0041 W06541 - N0328 W06211 - S0352 W06204 - S0433 W06427 - N0041 W06541 TOP FL430 STNR INTSF=  677 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221738  678 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 WSBZ31 SBCW 221758  679 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBCW SIGMET 13 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1645Z WI S2314 W04945- S2517 W05310- S2740 W04833 - S2638 W04653 - S2512 W04715 - S2314 W04945 TOP FL430 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  680 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBCW SIGMET 16 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2749 W05021 - S2932 W04605 - S2644 W04345 - S2513 W04144 - S2327 W04327 - S2359 W04402 - S2512 W04715 - S2637 W04652 - S2740 W04832 - S2655 W05000 - S2749 W05021 FL120/180 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  681 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 WSBZ31 SBCW 221657  437 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBCW SIGMET 17 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1750Z WI S2116 W04437- S2243 W04251- S2315 W04256- S2329 W04328 - S2116 W04437 TOP FL390 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  438 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 WSBZ31 SBRE 221743 CCA  439 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBCW SIGMET 14 VALID 221700/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1645Z WI S2330 W04656 - S2258 W04753 - S2220 W04903 - S2314 W04945 - S2512 W04715- S2400 W04403- S2329 W04328- S2116 W04437 - S2247 W04545 - S2314 W04550 - S2330 W04656 TOP FL410 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  440 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBCW SIGMET 15 VALID 221740/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1730Z WI S2516 W05308 - S2614 W05340 - S2706 W05349 - S2729 W05434 - S2815 W05226 - S2749 W05021 - S2655 W05000 - S2516 W05308 TOP FL380 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  441 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 WSBZ31 SBCW 221851  442 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 WSBZ31 SBCW 221739  443 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBCW SIGMET 18 VALID 221855/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1845Z WI S2152 W04910 - S2205 W04840 - S2212 W04830 - S2227 W04833 - S2300 W04748 - S2220 W04903 - S2240 W04920 - S2103 W05150 - S2028 W05215 - S1934 W05132 - S2040 W05037 - S2152 W04910 TOP FL380 MOV E 08KT NC=  444 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBCW SIGMET 19 VALID 221855/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1845Z WI S2320 W04955 - S2152 W05320 - S2233 W05407 - S2323 W05356 - S2500 W05242 - S2320 W04955 TOP FL380 MOV E 08KT NC=  445 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 WSBZ31 SBRE 221444  446 WSBZ01 SBBR 221900 SBAO SIGMET 10 VALID 221510/221900 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S3136 W04749 - S3349 W04522 - S3250 W02923 - S2718 W02933 - S2206 W03731 - S2644 W04345 - S3136 W04749 FL140/220 MOV ENE 03KT NC=  789 WOCN13 CWNT 221922 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2:22 PM CDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR: =NEW= ARVIAT =NEW= RANKIN REGION INCLUDING WHALE COVE =NEW= CHESTERFIELD INLET =NEW= BAKER LAKE =NEW= REPULSE BAY. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A DISTURBANCE TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE KIVALLIQ WILL BRING SNOW FOLLOWED BY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. OVER SOUTHERN KIVALLIQ A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING A FEW CENTIMETERS OF SNOW TO THE REGION BEFORE TAPERING OFF TOMORROW MORNING. THE AREA WILL AWAKEN TO MILD CONDITIONS FRIDAY MORNING, HOWEVER A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL ARCTIC WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. IN ITS WAKE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGHOUT THE KIVALLIQ WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 KM/H OR GREATER OVER A NUMBER OF LOCALITIES. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH THE STRONG WINDS CREATING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED OR EXTENDED. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT WWW.WEATHER.GC.CA END  503 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 24.7N 143.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 143.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 25.6N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 26.6N 149.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 27.8N 152.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 29.9N 156.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 38.9N 169.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 144.5E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 136 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  714 WGUS64 KSJT 221919 FFASJT URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 219 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING MAY CONTINUE TO AFFECT WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... .AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER COLORADO WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AWAY FROM OUR AREA THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...A PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE REGION. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FIRST STORM. THIS WILL ALLOW STRONG LIFT IN THE ATMOSPHERE TO PERSIST...AND INTERACT WITH THE MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LOCALLY HIGER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 230300- /O.EXT.KSJT.FF.A.0013.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-CALLAHAN- COLEMAN-BROWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER... STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS... MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...HASKELL...THROCKMORTON... WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE... BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...BROWNWOOD 219 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING BROWN...CALLAHAN...COKE...COLEMAN...CONCHO...CROCKETT... FISHER...HASKELL...IRION...JONES...NOLAN...RUNNELS... SHACKELFORD...STERLING...TAYLOR...THROCKMORTON AND ...TOM GREEN. * THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ TXZ077-078-154-155-168>170-230300- /O.EXT.KSJT.FF.A.0013.151022T1919Z-151024T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-MASON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELDORADO...SONORA...BRADY...SAN SABA... MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON 219 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING KIMBLE...MASON...MCCULLOCH...MENARD...SAN SABA...SCHLEICHER ... AND SUTTON. * THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO DEVELOP AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS...IN URBAN AREAS...AND AT OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$  232 WSMS31 WMKK 221928 WBFC SIGMET B03 VALID 221935/222335 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N04 W OF E114 STNR INTSF=  041 WGUS64 KMAF 221929 FFAMAF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 229 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT FOR THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN. .A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM NORTHWEST OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVED EAST THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN RAINFALL TOTALS NEAR 1-3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS PARTICULARLY ACROSS LEA COUNTY AND THE PERMIAN BASIN. COULD SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTH NEAR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND BIG BEND REGIONS AS WELL AS ACROSS FAR EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN. AS A RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WILL CONTINUE FOR EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN WHERE THE HIGHER RAIN AMOUNTS HAVE FALLEN. TXZ045-046-050-051-222030- /O.CAN.KMAF.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GAINES-DAWSON-ANDREWS-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SEMINOLE...LAMESA...ANDREWS...STANTON 229 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WEST TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THESE AREAS. $$ TXZ047-052-061-062-068-075-081-082-222030- /O.CAN.KMAF.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BORDEN-HOWARD-ECTOR-MIDLAND-CRANE-PECOS-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAIL...BIG SPRING...ODESSA...MIDLAND... CRANE...FORT STOCKTON...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON...SANDERSON 229 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS GENERALLY SHIFTED EAST OF THESE AREAS HOWEVER ISOLATED AREAS OF FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS. $$ TXZ048-053-063-069-070-230600- /O.EXT.KMAF.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SCURRY-MITCHELL-GLASSCOCK-UPTON-REAGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SNYDER...COLORADO CITY...GARDEN CITY... MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE 229 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF WEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... GLASSCOCK...MITCHELL...REAGAN...SCURRY AND UPTON. * UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO 1 INCH WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. * FLASH FLOODING IS MOST LIKELY AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS... ARROYOS...AND URBAN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS POOR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$  082 WGUS84 KOUN 221930 FLSOUN FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 230 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKC019-069-085-095-222230- /O.NEW.KOUN.FA.Y.0267.151022T1930Z-151022T2230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JOHNSTON OK-LOVE OK-CARTER OK-MARSHALL OK- 230 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHWESTERN JOHNSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... LOVE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHEASTERN CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... MARSHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 530 PM CDT * AT 227 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF AN HOUR ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE ARDMORE...LONE GROVE...MADILL...TISHOMINGO...MARIETTA...KINGSTON... DICKSON...OAKLAND...MANNSVILLE...RAVIA...THACKERVILLE... WOODVILLE...OVERBROOK...RUSSETT...LEBANON...LAKE MURRAY... BURNEYVILLE AND WILLIS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. && LAT...LON 3376 9719 3390 9719 3386 9733 3388 9733 3388 9734 3383 9736 3384 9736 3424 9735 3434 9662 3390 9661 3392 9667 3383 9676 3387 9689 3396 9692 3395 9698 3385 9709 3372 9712 $$ MAD  828 WWCN02 CYTR 221935 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 3:35 PM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: WHITE WIND WARNING ENDED COMMENTS: WIND GUSTS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 25 KNOTS AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA AGAIN TODAY. END/JMC  937 WSSR20 WSSS 221937 WSJC SIGMET 7 VALID 222000/222400 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF S01 AND E OF E10530 NC=  314 WHUS71 KCLE 221938 MWWCLE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 338 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LEZ147>149-222045- /O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-151022T2000Z/ WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE- LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 338 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$  140 WHUS72 KMLB 221941 MWWMLB URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 AMZ552-555-231400- /O.EXB.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.151023T0100Z-151023T1400Z/ VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM- SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM- 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS AND SEAS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 20 KNOTS TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ572-575-231430- /O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151024T0200Z/ VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM- SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM- 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS OF 6 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ570-231430- /O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151023T2000Z/ FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM- 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS OF 6 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  787 WHUS71 KBUF 221941 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 SLZ022-222045- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LOZ043-044-230345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-230345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-230345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 341 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  945 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221942 SBAZ SIGMET 13 VALID 221940/222140 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI N0152 W06340 - N0340 W06150 - N0148 W06102 - S0214 W06253 - S0105 W06524 - N0152 W06340 TOP FL460 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  638 WHUS54 KBRO 221943 SMWBRO GMZ170-222030- /O.NEW.KBRO.MA.W.0059.151022T1943Z-151022T2030Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 243 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TX TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM... * UNTIL 330 PM CDT * AT 242 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS...WAS LOCATED 29 NM EAST OF BOCA CHICA BEACH...OR 31 NM NORTHEAST OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SMALL CRAFT COULD BE DAMAGED IN BRIEFLY HIGHER WINDS AND SUDDENLY HIGHER WAVES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. && LAT...LON 2633 9681 2634 9681 2649 9673 2640 9655 2628 9660 TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 110DEG 9KT 2637 9665 WATERSPOUT...POSSIBLE HAIL...0.00IN WIND...40KTS $$ BIRCHFIELD  977 WSBZ31 SBBS 221942 SBBS SIGMET 17 VALID 221940/222200 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1237 W05246 - S1206 W05038 - S1106 W04917 - S1104 W04819 - S1244 W04741 - S1305 W04845 - S1415 W05016 - S1555 W05159 - S1615 W05259 - S1551 W05318 - S1435 W05340 - S1237 W0 5246 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  310 ACUS01 KWNS 221945 SWODY1 SPC AC 221942 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0242 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID 222000Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CNTRL TX... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...MAINLY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE IS TO ADJUST THE MARGINAL THREAT AREA ACROSS NCNTRL TX AND SRN OK TO COINCIDE WITH AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING NEAR THE RED RIVER. A STRONG WIND GUST WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CNTRL TX WHERE REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SHOW ADEQUATE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR ROTATING STORMS. A THREAT FOR HAIL...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A BRIEF TORNADO MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON...SEE MCD 1874. ..BROYLES.. 10/22/2015 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015/ ...SYNOPSIS... A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE WHILE ACCELERATING NEWD INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. THOUGH THE PRIMARY ZONE OF HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE CONCENTRATED OVER THE N-CNTRL CONUS...A TRAILING VORTICITY LOBE OVER NWRN MEXICO WILL PROGRESS NEWD...ENHANCING FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE SRN PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SWRN KS WILL DEVELOP NWD INTO WRN NEB WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT EDGES EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. ...SRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... LOW-LEVEL WAA...THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF A VORTICITY LOBE PIVOTING NWD THROUGH THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AND COLD POOL DYNAMICS ARE MECHANISMS SUSTAINING AN MCS WHICH EXTENDED FROM SWRN OK THROUGH NWRN TX INTO THE CONCHO VALLEY OF TX AS OF MID MORNING. CLOUDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF THE MCS TODAY...THOUGH VISIBLE SATELLITE DOES SUGGEST LOCAL BREAKS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION. WHERE STRONGER HEATING CAN OCCUR...THE PRESENCE OF A SEASONABLY MOIST AIR MASS WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE OF AROUND 1500 J/KG. WHILE MID TO UPPER-LEVEL FORCING MAY TEMPORARILY WANE /PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE MEXICAN IMPULSE/...WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTIONS ALONG A 30+ KT LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT REGENERATIVE TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SRN EXTENSION OF THE MCS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO NRN AND CNTRL TX. OUTSIDE OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT...THE PRESENCE OF A RELATIVELY STRONG AND VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE MAY SUPPORT EMBEDDED ROTATING STORMS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. $$  669 WUUS01 KWNS 221945 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0243 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 VALID TIME 222000Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 28900337 29540360 29870354 30270322 31700137 33389914 33959845 34839801 35119763 35099716 34209678 33109678 31709649 30919704 30119833 29399939 28230027 0.05 29810259 30240262 32330017 32369951 31979898 31379860 30539886 29869981 29840064 29810259 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28930339 29430358 29920364 30130357 31580292 32380227 32430106 33149979 33629889 33659852 33489809 32939768 31099773 29539935 28210030 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28980340 29530359 29910360 30400321 31860111 33989840 34889793 35449712 35459619 34709560 33559564 31629638 30809711 29499929 28050040 0.15 32360014 32339945 32009897 31349860 30579885 29879978 29850085 29810259 30270262 32360014 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 32319943 32179925 31979898 31379860 30579885 30119946 29879978 29840064 29810259 30240262 30530230 32330017 32349953 32319943 MRGL 29000339 29550360 29970363 31680285 32380227 32450101 33439920 33979840 34879796 35449713 35439614 34719559 33579563 31649636 31049690 30829709 29499929 28250025 TSTM 31390640 32200708 32780814 33370926 34190948 34940977 35801027 36181065 36531106 36781177 36911249 37361306 38001297 39901180 40961031 40490895 38710806 37970724 37900529 38080398 38360316 38660302 39880286 41350191 42930114 44069962 44419861 44539820 44509757 43699629 42179490 40109360 38769306 37399252 34649224 33199226 31919278 31359286 30549244 30269227 29679184 28589045 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE ABI 30 SE ABI 10 N BWD 35 SE BWD 55 E JCT 35 SSE JCT 45 S JCT 35 NNE DRT 25 SW 6R6 30 WNW 6R6 35 N 6R6 30 WSW ABI 10 ESE ABI 15 ESE ABI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW 6R6 60 SSE MRF 35 SE MRF 20 ESE INK 30 N MAF 35 ENE BGS 55 SW SPS SPS 15 S CHK 25 SW CQB 45 ESE CQB 15 SE MLC 10 WSW PRX 25 S CRS 30 ESE TPL 30 SE TPL 10 NW HDO 65 WSW COT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S ELP 35 E DMN 10 N SVC 40 NNE SAD 30 E SOW 50 NNE SOW 60 NNE INW 65 SE PGA 35 SE PGA 20 WSW PGA 55 SSW BCE 25 S CDC 20 NNE CDC 55 NE U24 45 ESE EVW 30 E VEL 15 NNW MTJ 40 SSW GUC 45 NE ALS 25 W LHX 30 NE LHX 45 NNW LAA 30 SE AKO 60 ENE SNY 30 W VTN 25 NW 9V9 20 W HON 10 N HON 35 ENE HON 25 ENE FSD 30 ENE DNS 20 N CDJ 25 E SZL 35 SW TBN LIT 30 E ELD 20 ENE IER 30 NE POE 35 NW LFT 20 WNW LFT 20 ESE 7R4 70 S HUM.  601 WOXX20 KWNP 221945 WATA20 Space Weather Message Code: WATA20 Serial Number: 671 Issue Time: 2015 Oct 22 1940 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Oct 23: None (Below G1) Oct 24: G1 (Minor) Oct 25: G1 (Minor) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. # Issued by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Recent messages, data, and help at http://swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/ # Send questions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov  792 WDPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 39// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 136 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A MOSTLY UNCHANGED CONVECTIVE CORE STRUCTURE THAT IS SURROUNDING A 40NM EYE WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE ELONGATED TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE (20-25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BEING OFFSET BY A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL, ENHANCED BY THE MID-LATITUDE ZONAL FLOW. TY 25W IS TRACKING ALONG THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE SOUTHEAST. 3. FORECAST REASONING. A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE. B. TY 25W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASING VWS AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE TYPHOON AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. TY CHAMPI WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) BY TAU 36 AS IT EMBEDS IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETES ETT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG COLD CORE LOW. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//  613 WHUS71 KBOX 221946 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 346 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ232>235-237-230400- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T0900Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 346 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ250-254-255-230400- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151024T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- 346 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ256-230400- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 346 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ231-251-230400- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151024T0800Z/ CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 346 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ230-236-230000- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 346 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ FRANK FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON  018 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 29.1N 157.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N 157.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 31.7N 163.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 33.9N 171.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 29.8N 159.3E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 759 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, FSM, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS NOW EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AS IT ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD DEEPER INTO THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. CONSEQUENTLY, THE SYSTEM HAS COMMENCED EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND WILL TRANSFORM INTO A COLD CORE LOW BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 8 FEET. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  282 WSUS31 KKCI 221955 SIGE MKCE WST 221955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 222155-230155 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  283 WSUS32 KKCI 221955 SIGC MKCC WST 221955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 48C VALID UNTIL 2155Z TX OK FROM 50WSW TUL-60NE TTT-60WSW SJT-60ESE LBB-30SSW END-50WSW TUL AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 49C VALID UNTIL 2155Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 60SE PSX-90SE PSX-90E BRO-20WNW BRO-40SSE CRP-60SE PSX AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 18010KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 222155-230155 AREA 1...FROM 30SSE OBH-40NW MCI-30SSE OSW-50E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-DLF-70WNW DLF-70S MRF-50W GCK-MCK-30SSE OBH WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 40SW HBU-50W TBE-50E CME-40WNW MRF-50S SJN-80SW RSK-40SW HBU WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  284 WSUS33 KKCI 221955 SIGW MKCW WST 221955 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 4W VALID UNTIL 2155Z NM FROM 50SE RSK-40NNE ABQ-50N TCS-60NNE SJN-50SE RSK AREA TS MOV FROM 26010KT. TOPS TO FL330. OUTLOOK VALID 222155-230155 FROM 40SW HBU-50W TBE-50E CME-40WNW MRF-50S SJN-80SW RSK-40SW HBU WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  772 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 24.7N 143.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 143.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 25.6N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 26.6N 149.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 27.8N 152.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 29.9N 156.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 38.9N 169.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 144.5E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 136 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  379 WHUS71 KBOX 221951 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 351 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ256-230400- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 351 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ231-251-230400- /O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151024T0900Z/ CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 351 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ230-236-230000- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 351 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ232>235-237-230400- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T0900Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 351 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ250-254-255-230400- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151024T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- 351 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ FRANK FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON  481 WSBO31 SLLP 221943 SLLF SIGMET B1 VALID 221940/222340 SLLP- SLLF LA PAZ FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST AT 1935Z WI S1836 W06546 S1735 W06711 S1644 W06843 S1552 W06853 S1503 W06917 S1404 W06855 S1444 W06824 S1430 W06735 S1529 W06725 S1613 W06536 S1745 W06335 S1958 W06352 S2024 W06443 S1958 W06510 S2000 W06507 TOP FL400 MOV SE 05KT INTSF=  772 WTPN52 PGTW 222100 WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 151022191516 2015102218 25W CHAMPI 039 02 065 13 SATL 020 T000 247N 1438E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 256N 1465E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 150 SE QD 105 SW QD 165 NW QD T024 266N 1491E 095 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 145 SE QD 115 SW QD 155 NW QD T036 278N 1520E 085 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 145 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD T048 299N 1561E 075 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD T072 389N 1699E 055 AMP 036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 072HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 039 1. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 24.7N 143.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N 143.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 25.6N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 26.6N 149.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 27.8N 152.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 29.9N 156.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 38.9N 169.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 144.5E. TYPHOON 25W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 136 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2515101112 115N1672E 15 2515101118 115N1666E 15 2515101200 115N1660E 15 2515101206 115N1652E 15 2515101212 114N1640E 15 2515101218 116N1631E 15 2515101300 120N1622E 20 2515101306 128N1615E 25 2515101312 134N1606E 25 2515101318 140N1598E 30 2515101400 143N1584E 35 2515101406 148N1566E 35 2515101412 148N1551E 40 2515101418 151N1537E 45 2515101500 154N1526E 50 2515101506 158N1512E 50 2515101512 159N1495E 50 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101518 160N1485E 55 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101600 158N1465E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101606 158N1447E 60 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101612 160N1441E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101618 164N1432E 65 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101700 170N1424E 80 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101706 175N1420E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101712 184N1409E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101718 188N1403E 90 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101800 192N1401E 100 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101806 195N1400E 115 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101812 199N1402E 130 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101818 202N1403E 125 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101900 205N1404E 115 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101906 208N1403E 105 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101912 210N1402E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515101918 211N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102000 215N1401E 100 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102006 218N1400E 90 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102012 222N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102018 224N1400E 80 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102100 227N1400E 75 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102106 229N1401E 70 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102112 232N1404E 75 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102118 233N1407E 90 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102200 237N1412E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102206 240N1417E 100 2515102212 242N1425E 100 2515102212 242N1425E 100 2515102212 242N1425E 100 2515102218 247N1438E 100 2515102218 247N1438E 100 2515102218 247N1438E 100  093 WACN02 CWAO 221954 CZEG AIRMET F1 VALID 221950/222350 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR ISOLD TS OBS WTN 20 NM OF LINE N5317 W11602 - N5128 W11450 TOP FL260 MOV E 15KT NC=  094 WACN22 CWAO 221954 CZEG AIRMET F1 VALID 221950/222350 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR ISOLD TS OBS WTN 20 NM OF LINE /N5317 W11602/45 S CYZU - /N5128 W11450/30 NE CYBA TOP FL260 MOV E 15KT NC RMK GFACN32=  398 WSSG31 GOOY 222000 GOOO SIGMET A6 VALID 222000/222400 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR OCEANIC FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 1950Z WI N0520 W01300 - N0540 W02220 - N1140 W03620 - N1430 W02730 - N1300 W02120 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT WKN=  744 WTPN51 PGTW 222100 WARNING ATCG MIL 26W NWP 151022190034 2015102218 26W TWENTYSIX 004 02 035 26 SATL 020 T000 291N 1578E 025 T012 317N 1636E 030 T024 339N 1716E 030 AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 012HR EXTRATROPICAL 024HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 29.1N 157.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N 157.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 31.7N 163.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 33.9N 171.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 29.8N 159.3E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TWENTYSIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 759 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, FSM, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 8 FEET. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2615101912 163N1647E 15 2615101918 166N1640E 15 2615102000 171N1634E 15 2615102006 180N1626E 15 2615102012 188N1618E 15 2615102018 193N1606E 20 2615102100 199N1595E 20 2615102106 209N1584E 20 2615102112 217N1576E 20 2615102118 227N1564E 20 2615102200 235N1553E 25 2615102206 253N1548E 25 2615102212 270N1560E 25 2615102218 291N1578E 25  927 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221956 SBAZ SIGMET 14 VALID 222000/222140 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0229 W06421 - S0216 W06154 - S0423 W06129 - S0445 W06403 - S0229 W06421 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  407 WGUS64 KBRO 221957 FFABRO URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 257 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS WEEKEND... .THE COMBINATION OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE SURGING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE EASTERN PACIFIC...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND NORTHERN RANCHLANDS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN GENERAL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES. TXZ248>251-230400- /O.NEW.KBRO.FF.A.0012.151024T1200Z-151026T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS... SARITA 257 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BROOKS...JIM HOGG...KENEDY AND ZAPATA. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL TAP INTO AMPLE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE...WHICH WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS AND BRUSH COUNTRY OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND ARROYOS TO FILL QUICKLY TO BANKFULL...AND POSSIBLE OVERFLOW OVER THE BANKS. LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE ESPECIALLY AT RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. && $$ BIRCHFIELD/CASTILLO  273 WTPQ32 PGUM 221958 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAMPI (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252015 800 AM CHST FRI OCT 23 2015 ...TYPHOON CHAMPI MAINTAINING INTENSITY... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.9N 144.5E ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF IWO TO ISLAND ABOUT 430 MILES NORTH OF AGRIHAN ABOUT 680 MILES NORTH OF SAIPAN ABOUT 790 MILES NORTH OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST-NORTHEAST...065 DEGREES AT 15 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAMPI WILL BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.5 EAST. CHAMPI IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL COURSE AND SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 115 MPH. CHAMPI IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING TONIGHT. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS WILL BE THE LAST SCHEDULED ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON TYPHOON CHAMPI. $$ MCELROY  074 WSBZ31 SBCW 221956 SBCW SIGMET 20 VALID 222000/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS O BS AT 1945Z WI S2012 W04320 - S2038 W04202 - S2024 W04058 - S2400 W0423 3 - S2740 W04833 - S2425 W05244 - S2247 W05147 - S2227 W04835- S2258 W 04753 - S2330 W04656 - S2314 W04550 - S2247 W04545 - S2030 W04403 - S2012 W04320 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  379 WSTU31 LTBA 221935 LTBB SIGMET 10 VALID 221850/222150 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR OBSC TS OBS AT 1850Z N3852 E02702 - N3827 E02715 MOV NE NC=  692 WGUS54 KSJT 221959 FFWSJT TXC431-222345- /O.NEW.KSJT.FF.W.0048.151022T1959Z-151022T2345Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 259 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... STERLING COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 645 PM CDT * AT 245 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 10 FEET OF WATER OVER THE LOW WATER CROSSING ON WASHINGTON STREET...ALONG THE NORTH CONCHO RIVER. ALSO...OTHER ROADS ARE CLOSED IN THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES THROUGH 645 PM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... STERLING CITY AND BROOME. ... THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ... BADE CROSSING LACY CREEK JACKSON CROSSING STERLING CREEK ... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH THESE LOW WATER CROSSINGS OR ANY OTHER ... LOW WATER CROSSING WITH WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3209 10126 3208 10082 3171 10083 3171 10086 3156 10087 3156 10127 $$ MC  004 WHHW70 PHFO 221959 MWWHFO URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 959 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY... .HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS BIG ISLAND WATERS AS SOUTHEAST SWELLS FROM A DISTANT HURRICANE OLAF REACHES THE STATE. THESE HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL LIKELY SPREAD WESTWARD TO ADDITIONAL WATERS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PHZ122>124-230900- /O.CON.PHFO.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151026T0400Z/ BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS- BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS- 959 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SUNDAY... * SEAS...BUILDING SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEAS INTO THE WEEKEND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS 10 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  724 WSSG31 GOOY 222005 GOOO SIGMET B6 VALID 222005/222400 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR OCNL EMBD TS OBS AT 1955Z WI N1230 W01200 - N1610 W01450 - N2030 W01050 - N1220 W00740 WI N0530 W00240 - N0330 W00620 - N0850 W00820 - N1250 W00530 TOP FL450 MOV W/NW 05KT NC=  970 WSFR34 LFPW 221959 LFMM SIGMET 4 VALID 222000/230000 LFPW- LFMM MARSEILLE FIR/UIR SEV TURB OBS WI N4200 E00430 - N4215 E00230 - N4345 E00245 SFC/FL060 STNR WKN=  120 WONT54 EGRR 222000 SECURITE STORM WARNING AT 221200UTC 58 NORTH 35 WEST 982 EXPECTED 68 NORTH 14 WEST 974 BY 231200UTC. WINDS WILL REACH STORM FORCE 10 IN DENMARK STRAIT AND THE AREA OF NORTH ICELAND SOUTH OF 70 NORTH FROM 230900UTC ONWARDS  122 WSIR31 OIII 221709 OIIX SIGMET 5 VALID 221710/222030 OIIX- OIIX TEHRAN FIR EMBD TS OBS S AREA TOP FL320 MOV NE INTSF=  369 WHUS71 KPHI 222000 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 400 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ450-451-230900- /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0160.151023T0600Z-151023T1400Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 400 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  054 WSSG31 GOOY 222006 GOOO SIGMET C3 VALID 222006/222400 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1956Z WI N1300 W02120 - N1900 W01905 - N1830 W01720 - N1210 W02030 TOP FL450 MOV NE 10KT NC=  413 WSSG31 GOOY 222005 CCA GOOO SIGMET B6 VALID 222005/222400 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR OCNL EMBD TS OBS AT 1955Z WI N1230 W01200 - N1610 W01450 - N2030 W01050 - N1220 W00740 WI N0530 W00240 - N0330 W00620 - N0850 W00820 - N1250 W00530 TOP FL450 MOV W/NW 10KT NC=  290 WAAK48 PAWU 222002 WA8O ANCS WA 222015 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 230415 . COPPER RIVER BASIN AC S AND E PAGK MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . KUSKOKWIM VLY AF MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/SN. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG PABE S OCNL CIG BLW 010/ ISOL VIS BLW 3SM -SHRA BR/BR. NC. . YKN-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AG MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. NC. . BRISTOL BAY AH MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . AK PEN AI W PACD SPRDG E MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =ANCT WA 222015 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 230415 . UNIMAK PASS TO ADAK AJ AFT 23Z PAAK W OCNL MOD TURB BLW 040. INTSF. . =ANCZ WA 222015 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 230415 . NONE . DH OCT 2015 AAWU  498 WAAK47 PAWU 222002 WA7O JNUS WA 222015 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 230415 . LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY JB MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . CNTRL SE AK JC MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SRN SE AK JD MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL CIG BLW 010 VIS BLW 3SM -SN BR. NC. . ERN GLF CST JE MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . SE AK CSTL WTRS JF MTS OCNL OBSC IN CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =JNUT WA 222015 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 230415 . NONE . =JNUZ WA 222015 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 230415 . NONE . DH OCT 2015 AAWU  863 WSSR20 WSSS 222002 WSJC SIGMET 7 VALID 222000/230000 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF S01 AND E OF E10530 NC=  882 WSTU31 LTBA 221935 CCA LTBB SIGMET 10 VALID 221850/222150 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR OBSC TS OBS AT 1850Z N3852 E02702 - N3827 E02715 - N4085 E02990 MOV NE NC=  313 WAAK49 PAWU 222004 WA9O FAIS WA 222015 AIRMET SIERRA FOR IFR AND MT OBSC VALID UNTIL 230415 . UPR YKN VLY FB MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . TANANA VLY FC PFTO SE VLYS OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR/-SHSN BR. IMPR. . TANANA VLY FC PABI SE MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/SN. NC. . LWR YKN VLY FF KUSKOKWIM MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS. NC. . ARCTIC SLP CSTL FG PAWI E OCNL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM -SN BR/BR/BLSN. NC. . NORTH SLOPES OF BROOKS RANGE FH MTS OCNL OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. NC. . =FAIT WA 222015 AIRMET TANGO FOR TURB/STG SFC WINDS VALID UNTIL 230415 . NONE . =FAIZ WA 222015 AIRMET ZULU FOR ICING VALID UNTIL 230415 . NONE . RDE OCT 2015 AAWU  471 WSAU21 AMMC 222003 YMMM SIGMET D06 VALID 222131/230131 YMMC- YMMM MELBOURNE FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S5000 E09630 - S5000 E10330 - S4340 E10300 - S3840 E09920 - S3850 E09640 - S4350 E09950 FL240/390 MOV E 40KT NC=  880 WHUS42 KMFL 222006 CFWMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 406 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... FLZ168-172-173-230415- /O.CON.KMFL.RP.S.0037.000000T0000Z-151024T0400Z/ COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE- 406 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. STRONG RIP CURRENTS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG RIP CURRENTS...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL FLAGS AND SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI  149 WALJ31 LJLJ 222000 LJLA AIRMET 6 VALID 222000/222300 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST SW OF LINE N4620 E01320 - N4525 E01435 SFC/5000FT STNR NC=  821 WGUS64 KLUB 222006 FFALUB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 306 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED... .THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE ROLLING PLAINS. THEREFORE...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING BUT ANY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE VERY LOCALIZED. TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-222115- /O.CAN.KLUB.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...CHILDRESS...MATADOR... ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...HACKBERRY...SPUR...DICKENS...DUMONT... FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 306 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE ROLLING PLAINS. ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BUT WIDESPREAD FLOODING RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED. $$ JORDAN  259 WWCN02 CYTR 222007 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 4:07 PM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: WHITE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT DESCRIPTION: SURFACE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 KNOTS VALID: UNTIL 22/2400Z (UNTIL 22/2000 EDT) COMMENTS: WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT HAVE REMATERIALIZED AND WILL GUST OVER 25 KNOTS UNTIL THIS EVENING. NEXT UPDATE: THIS BULLETIN WILL BE UPDATED BY 22/2400Z (22/2000 EDT) END/JMC  503 WGUS84 KFWD 222007 FLSFWD FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 307 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC237-503-222017- /O.EXP.KFWD.FA.Y.0310.000000T0000Z-151022T2015Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ YOUNG TX-JACK TX- 307 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 315 PM CDT FOR YOUNG AND WESTERN JACK COUNTIES... LAT...LON 3340 9894 3340 9842 3347 9842 3347 9807 3301 9830 3301 9843 3295 9843 3296 9894 $$ 75  093 WWCA82 TJSJ 222009 SPSSJU SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 409 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 PRZ007>011-222200- SOUTHWEST-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-WESTERN INTERIOR- 409 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ISABELA...QUEBRADILLAS... ADJUNTAS...SABANA GRANDE...SAN SEBASTIAN...PONCE...YAUCO...NORTHERN SAN GERMAN...GUAYANILLA...MARICAO...LARES...HATILLO...HORMIGUEROS... MAYAGUEZ...MOCA...PENUELAS...ANASCO...RINCON...AGUADA...AGUADILLA... UTUADO...LAS MARIAS AND CABO ROJO MUNICIPALITIES... AT 406 PM AST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER WESTERN AND INTERIOR PUERTO RICO WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE STORMS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...LARES...MAYAGUEZ...LAS MARIAS... PENUELAS...AGUADILLA...AGUADA...SAN SEBASTIAN...ANASCO...RINCON... UTUADO...HATO ARRIBA...SANTO DOMINGO...CABAN...LUYANDO...LA PLAYA... ACEITUNAS AND MARICAO. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 1844 6692 1830 6694 1833 6678 1819 6665 1803 6673 1815 6718 1817 6718 1821 6715 1823 6717 1828 6719 1830 6723 1836 6727 1839 6719 1842 6716 1848 6717 1851 6714 TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 180DEG 0KT 1829 6715 $$ SNELL  423 WHUS73 KMQT 222009 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 409 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LSZ249-222115- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 409 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 15 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 21 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 6 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-222300- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0207.000000T0000Z-151022T2300Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 409 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 16 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 21 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ251-222300- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0205.000000T0000Z-151022T2300Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 409 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 17 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JS  482 WGUS54 KSJT 222013 FFWSJT TXC059-151-207-253-353-417-441-447-230000- /O.NEW.KSJT.FF.W.0049.151022T2013Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 313 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... JONES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... FISHER COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... HASKELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... NOLAN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS... TAYLOR COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... CALLAHAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... THROCKMORTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... SHACKELFORD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 304 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY...WITH 4 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED IN SWEETWATER. ALSO...RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OVER TAYLOR AND JONES COUNTIES DURING THE PAST HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH 7 PM. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... ABILENE...SWEETWATER...CLYDE...HASKELL...STAMFORD...ANSON... HAMLIN...ALBANY...BAIRD...ROSCOE...THROCKMORTON...BLACKWELL... NOLAN...MERKEL...ROTAN...TYE...CROSS PLAINS...TUSCOLA...ROBY AND RULE. ... THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS ... I-20 414 I-20 FRONTAGE ROADS NEAR PUTNAM I-20 413 I-20 FRONTAGE ROADS NEAR BAIRD SH 28 SH 70 CROSSING THE DRAW SOUTHEAST OF ROTAN INTERSECTIONS 415 INTERSECTIONS ALONG BUTTONWILLOW PARKWAY INTERSECTIONS 428 INTERSECTIONS ALONG SAMMONS STREET TEXAS 430 TEXAS AVENUE AT ARNOLD BOULEVARD BUTTERNUT 420 BUTTERNUT UNDERPASS CURRY 423 CURRY LANE FROM CLACK STREET TO CATCLAW DRIVE I-20 412 I-20 FRONTAGE ROADS WEST OF CLYDE US 29 US 180 CROSSING 7 MILES WEST OF ROBY ... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH THESE LOW WATER CROSSINGS OR ANY OTHER ... LOW WATER CROSSING WITH WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3296 9895 3295 9910 3209 9912 3209 10066 3295 10064 3296 9999 3339 9997 3340 9896 $$ MC  026 WSBZ31 SBCW 222013 SBCW SIGMET 21 VALID 222015/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OB S AT 1955Z WI S2710 W05350 - S2815 W05220 - S2740 W04833 - S2425 W0524 4- S2247 W05147- S2142 W05246- S2233 W05436 - S2405 W05418 - S2536 W054 29 - S2710 W05350 TOP FL380 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  949 WSBZ31 SBCW 222013 SBCW SIGMET 22 VALID 222015/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE F CST WI S2752 W04950 - S2933 W04604- S2645 W04345 - S2440 W04058- S2024 W 04058 - S2400 W04233 - S2740 W04833 - S2752 W04950 FL120/180 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  774 WSMP31 LMMM 222016 LMMM SIGMET 8 VALID 222014/230014 LMML- LMMM MALTA FIR FRQ TS OBS AND FCST E OF E017 TOPS FL340 MOV E NC=  699 WHUS72 KJAX 222017 MWWJAX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 417 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 AMZ472-222130- /O.CAN.KJAX.SC.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-151023T2000Z/ WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 417 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ AMZ474-230900- /O.EXT.KJAX.SC.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-151023T0900Z/ WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 417 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHEAST NEAR 15 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 9 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  099 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 WSBZ31 SBRE 221743 CCA  100 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBAZ SIGMET 13 VALID 221940/222140 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0152 W06340 - N0340 W06150 - N0148 W06102 - S0214 W06253 - S0105 W06524 - N0152 W06340 TOP FL460 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  101 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBCW SIGMET 18 VALID 221855/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1845Z WI S2152 W04910 - S2205 W04840 - S2212 W04830 - S2227 W04833 - S2300 W04748 - S2220 W04903 - S2240 W04920 - S2103 W05150 - S2028 W05215 - S1934 W05132 - S2040 W05037 - S2152 W04910 TOP FL380 MOV E 08KT NC=  418 WGUS64 KOUN 222021 FFAOUN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 321 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... .A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY...WITH A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. OKZ021-033-034-222130- /O.CAN.KOUN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BECKHAM-HARMON-GREER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELK CITY...SAYRE...HOLLIS...MANGUM 321 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED IN THESE AREAS. $$ OKZ016>020-022>032-035>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231200- /O.CON.KOUN.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN- OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE- HUGHES-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY- PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE- MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR- ARCHER-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA... KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...CORDELL...ANADARKO...YUKON... EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...CHICKASHA... PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...HOLDENVILLE... HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK...LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY... SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE...WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE... TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA...MADILL...DURANT...QUANAH... CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON...WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY... KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY...HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY... HENRIETTA 321 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN OKLAHOMA...ATOKA...BLAINE...BRYAN...CADDO... ... CANADIAN...CARTER...CLEVELAND...COAL...COMANCHE...COTTON... CUSTER...GARVIN...GRADY...HUGHES...JACKSON...JEFFERSON... JOHNSTON...KINGFISHER...KIOWA...LINCOLN...LOGAN...LOVE... MARSHALL...MCCLAIN...MURRAY...OKLAHOMA...PAYNE...PONTOTOC... POTTAWATOMIE...SEMINOLE...STEPHENS...TILLMAN AND WASHITA. IN NORTHERN TEXAS...ARCHER...BAYLOR...CLAY...FOARD...HARDEMAN... KNOX...WICHITA AND WILBARGER. * THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS FROM HENRIETTA TO ARDMORE TO DURANT WHERE UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONITOR WEATHER FORECASTS AND INFORMATION. MAKE PLANS TO GET TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING HAPPENS. && $$ MBS  322 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBAZ SIGMET 14 VALID 222000/222140 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0229 W06421 - S0216 W06154 - S0423 W06129 - S0445 W06403 - S0229 W06421 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  324 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 WSBZ31 SBCW 221657  325 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBCW SIGMET 20 VALID 222000/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1945Z WI S2012 W04320 - S2038 W04202 - S2024 W04058 - S2400 W04233 - S2740 W04833 - S2425 W05244 - S2247 W05147 - S2227 W04835- S2258 W04753 - S2330 W04656 - S2314 W04550 - S2247 W04545 - S2030 W04403 - S2012 W04320 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  328 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221942  333 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 WSBZ31 SBCW 221739  334 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBCW SIGMET 15 VALID 221740/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1730Z WI S2516 W05308 - S2614 W05340 - S2706 W05349 - S2729 W05434 - S2815 W05226 - S2749 W05021 - S2655 W05000 - S2516 W05308 TOP FL380 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  338 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBAO SIGMET 11 VALID 221900/222300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2307 W03458 - S2524 W03617 - S3024 W03833 - S3156 W03843- S3232 W03532 - S3052 W03514 - S2755 W03404 - S2628 W03126 - S2307 W03458 FL140/200 STNRWKN=  339 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBCW SIGMET 19 VALID 221855/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1845Z WI S2320 W04955 - S2152 W05320 - S2233 W05407 - S2323 W05356 - S2500 W05242 - S2320 W04955 TOP FL380 MOV E 08KT NC=  340 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 WSBZ31 SBCW 221758  341 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221956  342 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBCW SIGMET 17 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1750Z WI S2116 W04437- S2243 W04251- S2315 W04256- S2329 W04328 - S2116 W04437 TOP FL390 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  343 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 WSBZ31 SBCW 221851  344 WSBZ01 SBBR 222000 SBCW SIGMET 16 VALID 221800/222000 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2749 W05021 - S2932 W04605 - S2644 W04345 - S2513 W04144 - S2327 W04327 - S2359 W04402 - S2512 W04715 - S2637 W04652 - S2740 W04832 - S2655 W05000 - S2749 W05021 FL120/180 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  255 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222022 SBAZ SIGMET 15 VALID 222025/222130 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS OB S WI S0408 W06606 - S0409 W06434 - S0556 W06431 - S0545 W06613 - S0408 W06606 TOP FL360 STNR NC=  348 WHUS73 KMKX 222023 MWWMKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 323 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING... .A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY WILL VEER SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN VEER WEST ON SATURDAY AND REMAIN GUSTY. THIS WILL HELP GENERATE HIGH WAVES FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...MAINLY TOWARD THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING. LMZ643>646-230430- /O.NEW.KMKX.SC.Y.0090.151023T0900Z-151025T0000Z/ SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI- PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI- NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI- WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL- 323 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY. * WINDS: SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...VEERING SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND WEST ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SATURDAY NIGHT. * WAVES: BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET LATE TONIGHT...THEN 4 TO 6 FEET FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. WAVES SUBSIDING SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING...HIGHEST TOWARD THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ WOOD WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX  808 WGUS64 KFWD 222025 FFAFWD URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 325 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAIN EVENT EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY... TXZ147-148-160>162-174-175-230430- /O.EXA.KFWD.FF.A.0015.151023T0600Z-151025T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FREESTONE-ANDERSON-FALLS-LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TEAGUE...FAIRFIELD...PALESTINE... MARLIN...MEXIA...GROESBECK...BUFFALO...CENTERVILLE...JEWETT... OAKWOOD...CAMERON...ROCKDALE...HEARNE...FRANKLIN...CALVERT 325 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT FRIDAY THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS...ANDERSON...FREESTONE...LEON...LIMESTONE...LEON ...MILAM AND ROBERTSON. * FROM 1 AM CDT FRIDAY THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT * FOR PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. && $$ TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>146-156>159-230430- /O.CON.KFWD.FF.A.0015.151023T0600Z-151025T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL- NAVARRO-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE... SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO... DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND... THE COLONY...PLANO...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER... SULPHUR SPRINGS...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD... BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...TERRELL... KAUFMAN...FORNEY...WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN... EDGEWOOD...EMORY...POINT...EAST TAWAKONI...CISCO...EASTLAND... RANGER...GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...GRANBURY... OAK TRAIL SHORES...GLEN ROSE...CLEBURNE...BURLESON...WAXAHACHIE... ENNIS...MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY... COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE...HAMILTON...HICO...CLIFTON... MERIDIAN...VALLEY MILLS...HILLSBORO...CORSICANA...LAMPASAS... COPPERAS COVE...GATESVILLE...KILLEEN...TEMPLE...FORT HOOD...WACO 325 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT FRIDAY THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. * FROM 1 AM CDT FRIDAY THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT * FOR PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AND A FEW AREAS WILL RECEIVE 8 TO 10 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. && $$  693 WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 148E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOW 1004 HPA AT 29N 158E NE 20 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 58N 164E NORTH SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 20N 125E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 115E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 135E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 174E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 34N 176E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 143E TO 28N 153E 29N 158E 30N 162E 32N 166E 28N 175E 27N 180E. REMARKS. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.7N 143.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  073 WHUS74 KCRP 222026 MWWCRP URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 326 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES... .PERSISTENT AND STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW AND LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND AT TIMES STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. GMZ230-235-230430- /O.EXB.KCRP.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS- BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR- 326 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY. * WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * WAVES/SEAS: CHOPPY TO OCCASIONALLY ROUGH PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ GMZ250-255-270-275-230430- /O.EXT.KCRP.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-151024T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 326 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY. * WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES. * WAVES/SEAS: SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING. && $$ PZ  972 WHUS72 KKEY 222028 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 428 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 GMZ052>055-072>075-230300- /O.CON.KKEY.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT- STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT- 428 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT TONIGHT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. * WAVES/SEAS...EXPECT SEAS OF 7 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID OPERATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$  644 WWCA82 TJSJ 222029 RRA SPSSPN COMUNICADO ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 409 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 PRZ007>011-222200- SUROESTE-PONCE Y VECINDAD-NOROESTE-MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD-OESTE INTERIOR- 409 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015LOS ...TRONADAS FUERTES AFECTARAN LOS MUNICIPIOS DE ISABELA...QUEBRADILLAS... ADJUNTAS...SABANA GRANDE...SAN SEBASTIAN...PONCE...YAUCO...NORTHERN SAN GERMAN...GUAYANILLA...MARICAO...LARES...HATILLO...HORMIGUEROS... MAYAGUEZ...MOCA...PENUELAS...ANASCO...RINCON...AGUADA...AGUADILLA... UTUADO...LAS MARIAS Y CABO ROJO... A LAS 4:06 PM AST...TRONADAS FUERTES CONTINUARAN SOBRE EL OESTE E INTERIOR DE PUERTO RICO CON RELAMPAGOS FRECUENTES. LAS TRONADAS ESTAN CASI ESTACIONARIAS. AREAS IMPACTADAS INCLUYE... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...LARES...MAYAGUEZ...LAS MARIAS... PENUELAS...AGUADILLA...AGUADA...SAN SEBASTIAN...ANASCO...RINCON... UTUADO...HATO ARRIBA...SANTO DOMINGO...CABAN...LUYANDO...LA PLAYA... ACEITUNAS Y MARICAO. LLUVIAS TORRENCIALES ESTAN OCURRIENDO CON ESTAS TRONADAS Y PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES LOCALIZADAS. NO INTENTE CRUZAR SU VEHICULO EN CARRETERAS INUNDADAS. $$ SNELL/ACP  935 WHUS73 KLOT 222031 MWWLOT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 331 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 LMZ740-741-230445- /O.NEW.KLOT.SC.Y.0093.151023T0600Z-151025T0000Z/ WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR- WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND- 331 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...EAST-SOUTHEAST TO 25 KT BECOMING WEST ON SATURDAY. * SIGNIFICANT WAVES...TO 6 FT. * OCCASIONAL WAVES...TO 8 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ KJB  270 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222031 SBAZ SIGMET 16 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S1227 W05705 - S1057 W05141 - S1303 W05331 - S1650 W05306 - S1740 W05435 - S1752 W05737 - S1227 W05705 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  432 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222031 SBAZ SIGMET 17 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0312 W06936 - S1000 W06606 - S1102 W07029 - S0727 W07344 - S0600 W07224 - S0312 W06936 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  433 WSPY31 SGAS 222030 SGFA SIGMET 02 VALID 221900/222030 SGAS- SGFA ASUNCION FIR CNL SIGMET 02 VALID 221900/222030=  555 WTPZ25 KNHC 222032 TCMEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN BLAS TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.6W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 120SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.6W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 105.6W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...145NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.1N 105.9W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.6N 104.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.3N 102.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 104.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN  438 WTPZ35 KNHC 222033 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 400 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE PATRICIA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN MEXICO TOMORROW... ...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 104.6W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has extended the Hurricane Warning north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas and discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch from east of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * San Blas to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Patricia was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 104.6 West. Patricia is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and north is expected tonight and Friday, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Patricia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast tonight, and Patricia is expected to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through landfall. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 953 mb (28.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area late Friday. RAINFALL: Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later today into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Patricia are already affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico, and will spread northwestward during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan  346 WTPZ45 KNHC 222034 TCDEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 400 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 Patricia has an impressive satellite presentation, with a small 10 n mi wide eye surrounded by convective cloud tops of -80C to -90C. The NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft found that the pressure had fallen to about 953 mb on their final pass through the center, after indicating earlier that the intensity had increased to 115 kt, which remains the intensity for this advisory. Further strengthening is indicated by much of the intensity guidance given that the shear remains low and the hurricane is over SSTs of 30-31C. The official forecast shows the cyclone peaking at 135 kt in 12 hours, followed by a little weakening prior to landfall as the shear increases, and this is close to the latest intensity consensus aids. Patricia could also undergo an eyewall replacement cycle before landfall that could result in fluctuations in intensity not shown here. After landfall, the hurricane should quickly weaken over the high terrain and dissipate by 72 hours. The hurricane has begun turning a bit more poleward and slowed down during the past few hours, with an initial motion estimate of 300/11. The track forecast reasoning remains unchanged, with Patricia expected to turn northwestward and then northward during the next 24 hours as it moves around the periphery of a mid-level high centered over the Gulf of Mexico. The hurricane is then forecast to accelerate north-northeastward between the high and an amplifying trough over northwestern Mexico. The new NHC track is again a bit to the left of the previous one and is close to the new GFS/ECMWF consensus along on the western side of the guidance envelope. Based on the latest forecast, the government of Mexico has extended the hurricane warning north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas, which includes the Puerto Vallarta area. Model guidance continues to suggest that the mid-level remnants and moisture from Patricia will be absorbed by a non-tropical area of low pressure that forms over south Texas or the northwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. This moisture could contribute to a major rainfall event already ongoing across portions of Texas. For more information, please refer to products from your local National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Confidence is increasing that Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area along the coast of Mexico as an extremely dangerous major hurricane Friday afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect life and property in the hurricane warning area should be completed today, as tropical storm conditions will begin to affect the warning area tonight or early Friday. 2. In addition to the coastal impacts, very heavy rainfall is likely to cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero beginning late tonight and continuing into Saturday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 15.4N 104.6W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 16.5N 105.6W 135 KT 155 MPH 24H 23/1800Z 18.1N 105.9W 130 KT 150 MPH 36H 24/0600Z 20.6N 104.9W 100 KT 115 MPH...INLAND 48H 24/1800Z 23.3N 102.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND 72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan  647 WWCN15 CWUL 222034 WIND WARNING FOR NUNAVIK ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 4:34 P.M. EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WIND WARNING FOR: =NEW= SALLUIT. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== STRONG WINDS THAT MAY CAUSE DAMAGE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS, SUCH AS TO ROOF SHINGLES AND WINDOWS, MAY OCCUR. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE TOSSED BY THE WIND AND CAUSE INJURY OR DAMAGE. WIND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS. ENVIRONMENT CANADA METEOROLOGISTS WILL UPDATE ALERTS AS REQUIRED. PLEASE MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR WEATHERADIO. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER, SEND AN EMAIL TO TEMPSVIOLENT.QUEBEC(AT)EC.GC.CA .OR TWEET REPORTS TO (HASH)METEOQC. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NQC END/MSC  266 WHUS44 KCRP 222036 CFWCRP COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 336 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .THE COMBINATION OF LONG PERIOD SWELLS...SIGNIFICANT SWELL HEIGHTS...AND A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW...HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. IMPACTS ARE BEING NOTED AT NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ALONG THE COAST WITH SOME ROADS BEING CLOSED. BAY LEVELS ARE AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL WITH SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUN- UP OCCURRING. IN ADDITION...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS ALONG THE COAST. TXZ242-243-245-247-230445- /O.CON.KCRP.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ /O.CON.KCRP.RP.S.0012.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ KLEBERG-NUECES-ARANSAS-CALHOUN- 336 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2.5 FEET ABOVE MSL. WATER LEVELS MAY REACH NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE MSL SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS. * TIMING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...THIS WILL BE GENERALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING IN BAY AREAS...AND OVERNIGHT FOR OPEN WATER LOCATIONS. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. WITH INCREASING WAVES WITH LONG PERIOD SWELLS...THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO RUN UP AND REACH THE DUNES AGAIN TONIGHT. SOME ROADS WILL BE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT PANIC. REMAIN CALM AND BEGIN TO SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE. ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT...BEGIN TO SWIM BACK TO THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT. EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER CAN BECOME EXHAUSTED QUICKLY. && $$ TXZ244-230445- /O.CON.KCRP.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ SAN PATRICIO- 336 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY... * COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW WITH TIDE LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE MSL. * TIMING...MODERATE TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING IN BAY AREAS. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE SHORE... ESPECIALLY AT INGLESIDE ON THE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ PZ  937 WWUS45 KABQ 222038 WSWABQ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 238 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 NMZ513-514-222145- /O.CAN.KABQ.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-151022T2200Z/ NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET- 238 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MAY CROSS OVER THE AREA THOUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEGLIGIBLE. $$ 34  737 WGUS64 KCRP 222038 FFACRP FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 338 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING THIS WEEKEND... .VERY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A LONG DURATION MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY IN THE COASTAL BEND...WITH WIDESPREAD 2 TO 5 INCH TOTALS ELSEWHERE. THE HEAVIEST RAINS FALLING FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TXZ229>234-239>247-230445- /O.CON.KCRP.FF.A.0012.151024T1200Z-151026T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL- JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTULLA...CALLIHAM...CROSS... LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE... GOLIAD...VICTORIA...LAREDO...FREER...BENAVIDES...SAN DIEGO... ALICE...ORANGE GROVE...KINGSVILLE...CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND... INGLESIDE...ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO... WOODSBORO...PORT LAVACA 338 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL...GOLIAD...JIM WELLS... KLEBERG...LA SALLE...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN...NUECES...REFUGIO... SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA AND WEBB. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF MORE THAN 5 TO 7 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE COASTAL BEND THIS WEEKEND WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES ELSEWHERE THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ PZ  433 WSBZ31 SBBS 222039 SBBS SIGMET 18 VALID 222050/222200 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1409 W04930 - S1305 W04845 - S1234 W04713 - S1316 W04627 - S1432 W04629 - S1542 W04629 - S1644 W04650 - S1703 W04906 - S1641 W05032 - S1533 W05025 - S1409 W04930 TOP FL420 STNR NC=  989 WGUS84 KFWD 222040 FLSFWD FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 340 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC337-222048- /O.CAN.KFWD.FA.Y.0311.000000T0000Z-151022T2215Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MONTAGUE TX- 340 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTAGUE COUNTY... THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND HIGH WATER IS RECEDING. THEREFORE...THE FLOODING THREAT HAS ENDED. LAT...LON 3395 9694 3368 9706 3343 9709 3344 9745 3382 9744 3382 9738 3388 9733 3386 9733 3392 9721 3376 9719 3372 9711 3382 9705 3385 9709 3384 9703 3395 9700 $$ TXC097-222215- /O.CON.KFWD.FA.Y.0311.000000T0000Z-151022T2215Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ COOKE TX- 340 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR COOKE COUNTY... AT 338 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING TO FALL ACROSS COOKE COUNTY. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE ADVISORY AREA. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... GAINESVILLE...MUENSTER...LINDSAY AND VALLEY VIEW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY. && LAT...LON 3395 9694 3368 9706 3343 9709 3344 9745 3382 9744 3382 9738 3388 9733 3386 9733 3392 9721 3376 9719 3372 9711 3382 9705 3385 9709 3384 9703 3395 9700 $$ 75  551 WHUS74 KHGX 222041 MWWHGX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 341 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT... .MODERATE EAST AND SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS MARITIME CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL LOCAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ELEVATED WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN THIS WEEKEND. A LOWER TEXAS COASTAL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL GULF WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK...LIKELY PROMPTING ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES. GMZ350-355-231200- /O.EXT.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM- 341 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...5 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ370-375-232045- /O.EXT.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM- 341 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ330-230000- /O.CON.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ MATAGORDA BAY- 341 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...CHOPPY TO OCCANSIONALLY ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  138 WAUS43 KKCI 222045 WA3Z CHIZ WA 222045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET ICE...ND SD NE KS MN IA MO FROM 40SW ISN TO 50NNE RWF TO 50SE RWF TO 50N MCI TO 70ENE ICT TO 80SSW OBH TO SNY TO BFF TO 70SW RAP TO 40SW ISN MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 110-140. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...ICE ND SD NE KS MN IA MO WI BOUNDED BY 60SSW YWG-20N EAU-30WSW IOW-20SE COU-ARG-RZC-40W SLN-40SE PIR-60SW PIR-20ENE LBF-GLD-BFF-70SW RAP-50NNW ISN-60SSW YWG MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL240. FRZLVL 110-140. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 030-145 ACRS AREA MULT FRZLVL 030-100 BOUNDED BY 70WNW YQT-YQT-SSM-YVV-60SSW YVV-70SSE SAW-60SSW YQT-70WNW YQT 040 ALG 70N SAW-30W SSM-50SE SSM 080 ALG 40NE INL-50SSW YQT-70WNW SAW-50SSE SAW-40W ASP-60SSW YVV 120 ALG LBL-40WSW MSP-60S BRD-20NW BRD-40S DLH-40SW DXO ....  139 WAUS46 KKCI 222045 WA6Z SFOZ WA 222045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 230300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 060-145 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 160W HQM-20NE HQM-30N EPH-30ENE GEG 120 ALG 140WSW FOT-60WSW FOT-30SE FOT-50W FMG-40ESE HEC-60S EED ....  140 WAUS42 KKCI 222045 WA2Z MIAZ WA 222045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 230300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 120-165 ACRS AREA 160 ALG 110SSE SJI-170S CEW-160W PIE 160 ALG 100WSW RSW-30N EYW-150SE MIA ....  141 WAUS45 KKCI 222045 WA5Z SLCZ WA 222045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET ICE...ID MT WY UT CO AZ NM FROM 30SSW ISN TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO GLD TO 40SE ALS TO 50SW INW TO DTA TO 40NNW JAC TO 20S MLS TO 30SSW ISN MOD ICE BTN 100 AND FL220. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 075-125 ACRS AREA 080 ALG 30ENE GEG-20E MLP-30S FCA-30SSE YQL 120 ALG 60S EED-50SSE TUS 120 ALG 50E ELP-40E CME-20WSW TXO ....  142 WAUS41 KKCI 222045 WA1Z BOSZ WA 222045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET ICE...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY LO NJ PA OH LE WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 40SE HUL TO 140ESE ACK TO 100ESE SIE TO 30NE RIC TO 40E EKN TO 30WSW APE TO FWA TO 40SW DXO TO EWC TO 20ESE HNK TO 40SE HUL MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z ENDG 06-09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...ICE ME NH MA RI CT NY NJ PA MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 100SSW YSJ-160ESE ACK-160ESE SIE-20E RIC-EMI-20SSW JFK-100SSW YSJ MOD ICE BTN FRZLVL AND FL200. FRZLVL 100-120. CONDS ENDG 06-09Z. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 030-135 ACRS AREA 040 ALG 90WSW YOW-20SSW MSS-YSC-50NE PQI 080 ALG 30W YYZ-50WNW ALB-30WNW CON-50WSW YSJ 120 ALG 40SW DXO-30SW EWC-50SSW ETX-30W SIE-20SE SIE-160SSE ACK-190SSE ACK ....  462 WAUS44 KKCI 222045 WA4Z DFWZ WA 222045 AIRMET ZULU UPDT 3 FOR ICE AND FRZLVL VALID UNTIL 230300 . NO SGFNT ICE EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . FRZLVL...RANGING FROM 115-165 ACRS AREA 120 ALG 20WSW TXO-LBL 160 ALG 80SW LEV-60WSW LEV-HRV-60ESE HRV-90SSE SJI-110SSE SJI ....  394 WHUS71 KLWX 222044 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 444 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ530>532-538>540-230445- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0400Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- 444 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ533-534-537-541>543-230445- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0800Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 444 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  838 WTPA25 PHFO 222045 TCMCP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 146.4W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......135NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 275SE 380SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 146.4W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 146.3W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.8N 146.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...135NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 146.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 75SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.8N 146.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.0N 146.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 95SE 65SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.0N 144.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 60SW 95NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 26.0N 136.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 146.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD  798 WTPA35 PHFO 222045 TCPCP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 1100 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HURRICANE OLAF WELL SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII BUT EXPECTED TO BRING DANGEROUS SURF... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 146.4W ABOUT 705 MI...1135 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 915 MI...1475 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.4 WEST. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST EXPECTED LATER FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES...250 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS INTO THIS WEEKEND. SEE THE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU FOR DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD  459 WWUS45 KPUB 222046 WSWPUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 246 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ073-075-080-082-222200- /O.CAN.KPUB.WW.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN... PIKES PEAK 246 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. HEAVY SNOWFALL HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAINS...AND FOR PIKES PEAK. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOSE AREAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ COZ058-060-066-068-230000- /O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS... MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS... WOLF CREEK PASS 246 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...THE WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET...THE EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET...THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET...AND THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. * CAUSE AND TIMING...A LARGE...SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY...WET SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH 6 PM MDT TODAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OVER A FOOT POSSIBLE ABOVE 12000 FEET. * IMPACT...HUNTERS...HIKERS AND OTHER OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS VENTURING INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL ENCOUNTER HEAVY...WET SNOW...PERIODS OF LOW VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. WET CLOTHING FROM MELTING SNOW COULD QUICKLY DROP BODY TEMPERATURES TO UNSAFE LEVELS IF NOT PROPERLY PROTECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. BE SURE TO TRAVEL WITH WATER...FOOD...BLANKETS...EXTRA CLOTHING AND PLENTY OF FUEL. DO NOT STRAY TOO FAR AWAY FROM A PLACE OF DRY SHELTER. BE SURE AND LET OTHERS KNOW EXACTLY WHERE YOU WILL BE AND WHEN YOU WILL BE THERE. CARRY A BACK COUNTRY SAFETY BEACON WITH YOU IN CASE YOU GET LOST OR STRANDED. && $$  470 WAUS43 KKCI 222045 WA3T CHIT WA 222045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB AND LLWS VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET TURB...ND SD MN IA WI LM LS MI LH IL IN FROM 30N INL TO YQT TO 30SE ECK TO FWA TO CVG TO 30SSE BIS TO 60WSW DIK TO 50NNW ISN TO 30N INL MOD TURB BTN FL270 AND FL410. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z ENDG 06-09Z. . AIRMET TURB...SD NE KS FROM DPR TO 30W FSD TO 40W OSW TO 50W LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP TO DPR MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . LLWS POTENTIAL...SD NE KS BOUNDED BY 20WSW PIR-70NW OVR-50S OBH-50ESE MCK-GLD-SNY-BFF-40SE RAP-20WSW PIR LLWS EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z AREA 1...TURB SD NE KS MN IA MO BOUNDED BY 30NNE PIR-50N FSD-40WNW DSM-20S PWE-60WSW MCI-50W LBL- GLD-30NNE PIR MOD TURB BTN FL310 AND FL410. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . AREA 2...TURB ND SD NE KS MN IA MO BOUNDED BY 40SSW GFK-40WNW BRD-FOD-50S PWE-40WSW OSW-50W LBL-GLD- BFF-70SW RAP-DPR-40SSW GFK MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  471 WAUS45 KKCI 222045 WA5T SLCT WA 222045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 4 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET TURB...CO NM FROM CYS TO 40E SNY TO 50W LBL TO 30ESE TBE TO 60NNE TCC TO 40NNW ABQ TO 20WSW RSK TO CYS MOD TURB BTN FL240 AND FL340. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z ENDG 03-06Z. ....  472 WAUS44 KKCI 222045 WA4T DFWT WA 222045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 230300 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. ....  473 WAUS41 KKCI 222045 WA1T BOST WA 222045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB AND LLWS VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET TURB...PA OH LE WV MD DC VA NC SC AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SE ECK TO 30SSE JST TO 30NW CSN TO EMI TO 140ESE ILM TO 70SSW ILM TO 50S RDU TO 40ESE CLT TO 20SW PSK TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO 30SE ECK MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...ME NH VT MA RI CT NY AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70NW PQI TO 60NE PQI TO 140ESE ACK TO 80SSW ACK TO 20E HNK TO 30NE MSS TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MOD TURB BLW 120. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . LLWS POTENTIAL...ME NH VT NY BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-60NE PQI-50WSW YSJ-50SSW MPV-50NE MSS-YSC- 70NW PQI LLWS EXP. CONDS ENDG 21-00Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z AREA 1...TURB WV MD DC DE VA NC SC AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY EMI-40SSW SBY-160SE SIE-190ESE ECG-130SSE ILM-60SSW ILM-50S EKN-EMI MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . AREA 2...TURB ME NH VT MA RI CT NY NJ PA MD DE AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 70NW PQI-60NE PQI-150ESE ACK-80SSW ACK-20E JFK-50SSE ETX-30WSW PSB-20N SYR-40NE MSS-YSC-70NW PQI MOD TURB BLW 100. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  688 WHUS44 KLCH 222046 CFWLCH COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 346 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...MINOR FLOODING STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... .A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP TIDES RUNNING 1.0 TO 1.5 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR COASTAL WATERWAYS NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RELAX SLIGHTLY EARLY FRIDAY WHICH SHOULD HELP WATER LEVELS TO BEGIN RECEDING. LAZ052>054-073-074-TXZ215-230500- /O.EXT.KLCH.CF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151023T1800Z/ VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-JEFFERSON- 346 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT FRIDAY... * COASTAL FLOODING...TIDE LEVELS OF 3.0 TO 3.5 FEET MLLW ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST DURING ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...LOW PORTIONS NEAR SABINE LAKE AND CALCASIEU LAKE AND SHIP CHANNELS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING AROUND ORANGE AND DEATONVILLE. LOW PORTIONS ALONG HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN HOLLY BEACH AND CONSTANCE BEACH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. SECONDARY PARISH ROADS ACROSS COASTAL CAMERON PARISH MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING... INCLUDING PORTIONS OF MAIN STREET IN CAMERON. ACROSS COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY...PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 87 BETWEEN SEA RIM STATE PARK AND SABINE PASS MAY HAVE MINOR FLOODING. INTRACOASTAL CITY...DELCAMBRE...CYPREMORT POINT...AND SALT POINT COULD ALSO SEE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ 24  717 WAUS46 KKCI 222045 WA6T SFOT WA 222045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB AND STG SFC WNDS VALID UNTIL 230300 . NO SGFNT TURB EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . AIRMET STG SFC WNDS...CA CSTL WTRS FROM 80NW FOT TO 80W ENI TO 130WSW ENI TO 140WSW FOT TO 140WNW FOT TO 80NW FOT SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS GTR THAN 30KT EXP. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z ENDG 03-06Z. ....  843 WAUS42 KKCI 222045 WA2T MIAT WA 222045 AIRMET TANGO UPDT 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET TURB...GA FL AND CSTL WTRS FROM LGC TO 30S SAV TO 190ENE PBI TO 180E PBI TO 70ENE PBI TO 110ESE MIA TO 50SW CTY TO 60SE SJI TO 40W CEW TO 50SW PZD TO LGC MOD TURB BTN FL310 AND FL380. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET TURB...NC SC PA OH LE WV MD DC VA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 30SE ECK TO 30SSE JST TO 30NW CSN TO EMI TO 140ESE ILM TO 70SSW ILM TO 50S RDU TO 40ESE CLT TO 20SW PSK TO HMV TO HNN TO CVG TO FWA TO 30SE ECK MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...TURB NC SC WV MD DC DE VA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY EMI-40SSW SBY-160SE SIE-190ESE ECG-130SSE ILM-60SSW ILM-50S EKN-EMI MOD TURB BTN FL300 AND FL400. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  110 WSPY31 SGAS 222045 SGFA SIGMET 03 VALID 222045/222345 SGAS- SGFA ASUNCION FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1930Z WI S2509 W05654 - S2105 W06215 - S1937 W06145 - S1931 W05846 -S2353 W05551 - S2509 W05654 TOP FL 240/320 MOV ESE 05KT INTSF=  470 WTPA45 PHFO 222048 TCDCP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015 1100 AM HST THU OCT 22 2015 OLAF CONTINUES TO HAVE A RAGGED BUT EASILY DISCERNIBLE 10-15 NM WIDE DIAMETER EYE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...A RECENT 1657 UTC SSMIS PASS SHOWS THAT THE EYEWALL IS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE. INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE 5.3 FROM THE OBJECTIVE DVORAK TECHNIQUE FROM CIMSS...5.0 FROM PHFO AND 4.5 FROM SAB. HAVE LOWERED THE ADVISORY INTENSITY SLIGHTLY TO 95 KT...WHICH IS STILL ON THE HIGH SIDE OF THE ESTIMATES. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 340/6. OLAF CONTINUES TO BE A WELL-BEHAVED HURRICANE AND THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED. OLAF WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERALLY NORTHWARD DIRECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS OR SO THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER 36 HOURS...OLAF WILL BEGIN TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE SYSTEM...WHICH WILL START TO IMPART MORE OF AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT. AT DAYS 4 AND 5...A STRONGER DIGGING TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS EXPECTED TO CAUSE OLAF TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS FORECAST IS MAINLY AN UPDATE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT REFLECTS A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD MOTION AT DAYS 4 AND 5 IN DEFERENCE TO THE LATEST GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. GRADUAL WEAKENING SEEMS LIKELY AS THE FORECAST TRACK OF OLAF TAKES THE HURRICANE OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...AND INTO INCREASING WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER...THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE SEEMS TO BE UNREALISTICALLY FAST WITH WEAKENING OLAF...AND IN FACT SHIPS SHOWS OLAF TO BE DISSIPATED BY 120 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT AGREE AND THEY ALL STILL SHOW A WELL- DEFINED LOW CENTER AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR FORECAST CONTINUES TO SIDE WITH THE STRONGER DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE AND A SLOWER WEAKENING TREND...WITH THE POSSIBLITY FOR SOME BAROCLINIC ENHANCEMENT TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 13.8N 146.4W 95 KT 110 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 14.8N 146.7W 95 KT 110 MPH 24H 23/1800Z 16.3N 146.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 36H 24/0600Z 17.8N 146.5W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 24/1800Z 19.0N 146.0W 85 KT 100 MPH 72H 25/1800Z 21.0N 144.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 26/1800Z 23.5N 141.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 27/1800Z 26.0N 136.9W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD  563 WWUS75 KABQ 222048 NPWABQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 248 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE ESTANCIA VALLEY OVERNIGHT... .TEMPERATURES WILL DROP NEAR THE FREEZING MARK EARLY FRIDAY MORNING FOR A PERIOD OF 1 TO 3 HOURS. AFTER WARMING UP ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING ONCE AGAIN EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. NMZ522-230400- /O.NEW.KABQ.FZ.W.0002.151023T0900Z-151023T1500Z/ ESTANCIA VALLEY- 248 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY. * LOCATION...THE ESTANCIA VALLEY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF MORIARTY..MCINTOSH AND ESTANCIA. * TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE LOWEST JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. * TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN 30 AND 34 DEGREES. * LOCAL IMPACTS...MEASURES SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. MOVE POTTED PLANTS INDOORS. MAKE SURE OUTDOOR PETS HAVE A WARM PLACE TO STAY WITH UNFROZEN WATER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. && $$ 34  957 WAUS41 KKCI 222045 WA1S BOSS WA 222045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET IFR...ME AND CSTL WTRS FROM 80NW PQI TO 60NE PQI TO 110SSW YSJ TO 60ESE YSC TO 80NW PQI CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z ENDG 03-06Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...ME NH VT FROM 70NW PQI TO MLT TO 30N ENE TO YSC TO 70NW PQI MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z ENDG 03-06Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...VT MA NY PA FROM 70SSW MSS TO 30NNE ALB TO 30N BDL TO 30W ETX TO 50SW JST TO 20NE EWC TO JHW TO SYR TO 70SSW MSS MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z ENDG 03-06Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z AREA 1...MTN OBSCN PA WV MD VA BOUNDED BY 40SW JST-30N CSN-60SW CSN-30ENE BKW-50S AIR-40SW JST MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS DVLPG 06-09Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . AREA 2...MTN OBSCN NY PA BOUNDED BY SYR-20W ALB-40SSE HNK-40SE ERI-JHW-SYR MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  056 WAUS42 KKCI 222045 WA2S MIAS WA 222045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 4 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 230300 . NO SGFNT IFR EXP OUTSIDE OF CNVTV ACT. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z AREA 1...IFR NC SC AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 60S RIC-20NE ECG-80S ECG-20SE SAV-50SSW CAE-60S RIC VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. . AREA 2...IFR GA FL AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 50SSW CAE-20SE SAV-30W OMN-40NNE PIE-30SSW TLH-20SSE PZD-50SSW CAE CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 03-06Z. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  057 WAUS46 KKCI 222045 WA6S SFOS WA 222045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET IFR...CA AND CSTL WTRS FROM 20S OAK TO 30W RZS TO 20SE LAX TO 120SW MZB TO 210SW MZB TO 120WSW PYE TO 20S OAK CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM BR. CONDS DVLPG 00-03Z. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  058 WAUS45 KKCI 222045 WA5S SLCS WA 222045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 4 FOR IFR AND MTN OBSCN VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET IFR...MT WY CO FROM 50W DIK TO 70SW RAP TO BFF TO 20NNW GLD TO 30E ALS TO 30WNW ALS TO 40SSW DVC TO 40N JNC TO 50W DIK CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . AIRMET MTN OBSCN...WY UT CO FROM 20NW CZI TO CYS TO 30WSW TBE TO 50ENE RSK TO 60SSE HVE TO 40NNE HVE TO 70SW DDY TO 20NW CZI MTNS OBSC BY CLDS/PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. ....  059 WAUS43 KKCI 222045 WA3S CHIS WA 222045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET IFR...SD NE KS FROM 50ENE DPR TO 50E PIR TO 30NE OBH TO 50WSW OSW TO 20ENE LBL TO GLD TO BFF TO 70SW RAP TO 70NW RAP TO 50ENE DPR CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...IFR ND SD NE KS MN IA BOUNDED BY 20NNW BIS-FAR-70WSW FOD-40ESE SLN-70SE ICT-50W LBL- GLD-BFF-70SW RAP-100SE MLS-20NNW BIS CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  060 WAUS44 KKCI 222045 WA4S DFWS WA 222045 AIRMET SIERRA UPDT 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 230300 . AIRMET IFR...OK TX FROM 20N END TO 70S MLC TO 40NW IAH TO 50S SAT TO DLF TO 60WSW SJT TO INK TO 20NW LBB TO 30W MMB TO 20N END CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR/FG. CONDS CONTG BYD 03Z THRU 09Z. . OTLK VALID 0300-0900Z...IFR OK TX LA AND CSTL WTRS BOUNDED BY 50W LBL-70SE ICT-40SW MLC-20SE LCH-20S PSX-BRO-80SSE LRD-DLF-70SSE FST-INK-50W LBL CIG BLW 010/VIS BLW 3SM PCPN/BR. CONDS CONTG THRU 09Z. ....  091 WWUS75 KGJT 222050 NPWGJT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 250 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ002-008-230500- /O.NEW.KGJT.FZ.A.0006.151024T0600Z-151024T1500Z/ CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...HAYDEN...MEEKER... GLENWOOD SPRINGS...EAGLE...CARBONDALE 250 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURE...DROPPING BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...REACHING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S BY SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...A WIDESPREAD KILLING FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR EXPOSED SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$  498 WHUS44 KHGX 222051 CFWHGX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 351 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK... ...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING HIGH TIDE TIMES... .A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS HAS GENERATED ELEVATED SURF...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST. AROUND TIMES OF EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HIGH TIDES...HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS AND WAVE RUN UP MAY APPROACH AND OR SLIGHTLY OVER WASH THE LOWEST LYING ROADWAYS. THIS INCLUDES PARTS OF THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA AT HIGHWAY 87 AT HIGHWAY 124...THE BLUE WATER HIGHWAY BRAZORIA AND MATAGORDA COUNTIES AND BEACH DRIVE IN SURFSIDE. TXZ236-232100- /O.CAN.KHGX.BH.S.0002.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ MATAGORDA- 351 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. THE BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS BEEN CANCELLED. .TIMING...STRONG RIP CURRENTS. WAVE RUN UP TO NEAR THE DUNES AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. COASTAL WATER RUN UP HAS BEEN REPORTED AROUND BAY CITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY IN THE SURF ZONE. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL... FLAGS AND SIGNS. SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ TXZ213-232100- /O.EXB.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ HARRIS- 351 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY. * TIMING...STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS... WATER HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER THE LYNCHBURG FERRY ROAD THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF ENCOUNTERING WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN! && $$ TXZ214-237-238-232100- /O.EXT.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON- 351 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * TIMING...STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR PIERS... JETTIES AND ROCK GROINS WILL MAKE SWIMMING POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVEN TO THE MOST MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS. THE GALVESTON BEACH PATROL ADVISES TO ONLY GO INTO A DEPTH OF YOUR KNEES IF YOU ARE A CAPABLE SWIMMER. OTHERWISE DO NOT ENTER THE WATER. ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS... WATER HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER THE ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 87 AND HIGHWAY 124 DEPOSITING SAND AND DEBRIS ON THE ROADS ON THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA AS A RESULT OF THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY IN THE SURF ZONE. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL... FLAGS AND SIGNS. SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$  241 WCPA07 PHFO 222053 WSTPAT KZAK SIGMET TANGO 11 VALID 222115/230315 PHFO- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR TC OLAF OBS AT 2100Z N1348 W14624. CB TOP FL500 WI 100NM OF CENTER. MOV NNW 06KT. NC. FCST 0300Z TC CENTER N1428 W14635.  634 ACUS43 KWBC 222054 SCCNS3 STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 400 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS UNFOLDING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY... FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN TEXAS AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALL PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN TEXAS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF COLORADO. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 300 PM CDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF GOODLAND KANSAS. FROM THE LOW...A WARM FRONT EXTENDED TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY ALSO EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO THE SOUTH INTO THE BIG BEND REGION. DEEP MOISTURE IS INTERACTING WITH A STRONG JET ALOFT AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE A HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. FURTHER NORTH...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS MOVING THROUGH COLORADO AND NEBRASKA AND ENTERING SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING AND SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OBSERVED ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT 21 THROUGH 300 PM CDT THU OCT 22... ...COLORADO... TYRONE 6 SE 2.51 TRINIDAD 2 ENE 2.29 THATCHER 7 SSE 2.22 STONINGTON 9 SE 2.13 TIMPAS 13 S 1.82 HOEHNE 3 ESE 1.53 CAMPO 4 SW 1.45 THATCHER 11 SSE 1.23 RYE 2 W 1.14 COLORADO CITY 7 E 1.08 SWISSVALE 3 SW 1.05 WESTON 6 ESE 1.04 ...KANSAS... GARDEN CITY REG ARPT 2.17 LIBERAL MUNI ARPT 1.78 ...NEW MEXICO... ARTESIA 4 NNE 2.84 PORTALES 1 SW 2.75 GASCON 1 WNW 2.62 CLOVIS 3 ENE 2.35 ROSWELL 4 WNW 2.25 SEDILLO 2 WNW 1.78 GILA 3 NE 1.72 CHAMA 1.65 MAYHILL 1 NNE 1.60 ALBUQUERQUE 6 E 1.38 CLIFF 6 NE 1.34 ...OKLAHOMA... GUYMON MUNI ARPT 3.27 FORGAN 10 NW 2.80 ...TEXAS... DENVER CITY 3.75 CANYON 3.31 LUBBOCK 6 SW 3.23 ABERNATHY 3.01 DUMAS 2.96 BORGER/HUTCHINSON 2.35 ODESSA-SCHLEMEYER FIELD 2.29 MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO 2.27 SWEETWATER 2.00 ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT 21 THROUGH 300 PM CDT THU OCT 22... ...COLORADO... BRECKENRIDGE 2 SSE 3.4 TABERNASH 2 SSE 3.0 CRESTED BUTTE 2.0 FAIRPLAY N 2.0 WOODLAND PARK 1 WSW 2.0 STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH HEAVY RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AFFECTING THE MAJORITY OF TEXAS...SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. A TOTAL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THE REGION AS THE HEAVY RAIN PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND IN URBAN AREAS. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. FANNING $$  483 WWJP73 RJTD 221800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR YOKOHAMA NAVTEX AREA 221800UTC ISSUED AT 222100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 230300UTC =  484 WWJP74 RJTD 221800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA 221800UTC ISSUED AT 222100UTC DEVELOPED LOW 992HPA AT 56N 148E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO, SEA WEST OF HOKKAIDO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 230300UTC =  485 WWJP72 RJTD 221800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR MOJI NAVTEX AREA 221800UTC ISSUED AT 222100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 230300UTC =  486 WWJP71 RJTD 221800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR NAHA NAVTEX AREA 221800UTC ISSUED AT 222100UTC NO WARNING IN SEA AREA NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 230300UTC =  031 WWJP75 RJTD 221800 IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA 221800UTC ISSUED AT 222100UTC DEVELOPED LOW 992HPA AT 56N 148E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS WARNING(NEAR GALE) SOYA KAIKYO NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 230300UTC =  631 WBCN07 CWVR 222000 PAM ROCKS WIND 1702 LANGARA; CLDY 15 SW10G17 3FT MDT LO-MOD W SHWRS DSNT S-NW AND SWT 12.3 2030 CLD EST 10 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/10 GREEN; CLDY 8 SE24E 5FT MDT OCNL RW SHWRS DSNT NW-S 2030 CLD EST 10 FEW 14 SCT 20 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/09 TRIPLE; CLDY 12 S15E 3FT MDT LO SW SHWRS DSNT NE-SE 2030 CLD EST 9 FEW 14 SCT BKN ABV 25 11/09 BONILLA; CLDY 15 S15 3FT MDT LO S 2030 CLD EST 20 FEW BKN ABV 25 12/09 BOAT BLUFF; OVC 4RW- SE08 1FT CHP 2030 CLD EST 8 SCT 18 OVC 11/10 MCINNES; CLDY 15 S15E 3FT MDT LO SW RW PST HR 2030 CLD EST 20 BKN BKN ABV 25 12/10 IVORY; CLDY 12RW- S15G22 3FT MDT LO-MOD SW 2030 CLD EST 8 FEW 15 BKN BKN ABV 25 11/10 DRYAD; CLDY 15 S10 1FT CHP 2030 CLD EST 8 FEW 18 BKN BKN ABV 25 12/09 ADDENBROKE; OVC 4R-F SE05E 1FT CHP LO S 2030 CLD EST 6 BKN 12 OVC 10/09 EGG ISLAND; OVC 12RW- SE18 3FT MOD MOD W 2040 CLD EST 14 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/10 PINE ISLAND; CLDY 7RW- SE18E 4FT MOD MOD W 2040 CLD EST 6 FEW 9 SCT BKN ABV 25 10/10 CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15RW- SE15EG 4FT MOD LO-MOD SW 2040 CLD EST 16 SCT BKN ABV 25 13/11 QUATSINO; CLDY 15RW- W05E 3FT MOD LO SW OCNL RW+ 2040 CLD EST 16 SCT BKN ABV 25 11/11 NOOTKA; OVC 8RW- N08 1FT CHP LO-MOD SW 2040 CLD EST 15 BKN OVC ABV 25 11/11 ESTEVAN; CLDY 10RW- SE10 2FT CHP MOD SW 1024.0R LENNARD; CLDY 12RW- SE10 2FT CHP MOD SW AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; PC 15 S03 1FT CHP MOD SW PACHENA; PC 15 S05E 2FT CHP MOD SW CARMANAH; CLDY 12 SW04E 1FT CHP MOD SW SCARLETT; OVC 10R- SE15E 3FT MOD LO NW PULTENEY; OVC 15 E15E 2FT CHP SHWRS DSNT SW CHATHAM; CLDY 15 SE08E RPLD 2040 CLD EST 4 SCT 6 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/09 CHROME; PC 15 NE04 RPLD MERRY; PC 15 NW03 RPLD 2040 CLD EST 14 SCT SCT ABOVE 25 11/10 ENTRANCE; PC 15 N02 RPLD FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; PC 15 NW06 1FT CHP TRIAL IS.; PC 12 E04 RPLD Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 257/13/09/3403/M/ 1005 91MM= WLP SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 229/10/09/1219/M/0018 PCPN 1.0MM PAST HR PK WND 1224 1935Z 1008 77MM= WEB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 258/11/11/1206/M/0032 PCPN 2.7MM PAST HR 3007 48MM= WQC SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 261/12/07/1601/M/ 0001 49MM= WRU SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 236/13/11/1914/M/ 1007 16MM= WFG SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 221/13/11/2419/M/0002 PK WND 2323 1918Z 1011 19MM= WVF SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/11/09/2706/M/M M 20MM= WQS SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 167/12/09/2511/M/0002 PK WND 2617 1927Z 1017 87MM= WRO SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 157/13/10/1811/M/ 2010 63MM= WEK SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 161/10/09/1515+20/M/0002 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR PK WND 1521 1947Z 1009 46MM= WWL SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 168/12/09/1915/M/ PK WND 1918 1903Z 3012 76MM= WME SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 217/09/07/1902/M/0010 3008 04MM= WAS SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 247/13/09/1702/M/ 5001 77MM= WSB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 249/11/09/2806/M/ 3002 46MM= WGT SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 258/12/08/0000/M/M 2005 22MM= WGB SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 254/11/08/0201/M/ 1002 83MM= WEL SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 257/12/08/3403/M/ 3002 65MM= WDR SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 246/11/M/0103/M/M 5003 9MMM= WZO SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/3503/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1504/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 2000 AUTO8 M M M 244/10/08/0808/M/ 1002 96MM=  601 WGUS64 KAMA 222055 FFAAMA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 355 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKZ003-TXZ004-005-009-010-014-015-019-020-222200- /O.CAN.KAMA.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BEAVER-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-GRAY-WHEELER-DONLEY- COLLINGSWORTH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVER...FORGAN...PERRYTON...BOOKER... HIGGINS...FOLLETT...MIAMI...CANADIAN...PAMPA...SHAMROCK... WHEELER...CLARENDON...WELLINGTON 355 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT...THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED. $$ KB  754 WSUS32 KKCI 222055 SIGC MKCC WST 222055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 50C VALID UNTIL 2255Z TX OK FROM 40SW TUL-40NE MLC-70S MLC-50E SJT-70SE LBB-40SW TUL AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21025KT. TOPS TO FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 51C VALID UNTIL 2255Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 90SE PSX-90E BRO-30W BRO-60SSW CRP-90SE PSX AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 18010KT. TOPS ABV FL450. REF INTL SIGMET GOLF SERIES. OUTLOOK VALID 222255-230255 AREA 1...FROM 60SE OBH-40NE ICT-30NE TUL-50SE MLC-50E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-DLF-MRF-30NE MCK-60SE OBH WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30WNW RSK-40W CIM-30W FTI-40NW TCC-50E CME-60NW MRF-40NE ELP-50W TCS-60WSW RSK-30WNW RSK WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  755 WSUS31 KKCI 222055 SIGE MKCE WST 222055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 222255-230255 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  757 WSUS33 KKCI 222055 SIGW MKCW WST 222055 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 5W VALID UNTIL 2255Z NM FROM 60SE RSK-50SSW ABQ DMSHG LINE TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 26010KT. TOPS TO FL330. OUTLOOK VALID 222255-230255 FROM 30WNW RSK-40W CIM-30W FTI-40NW TCC-50E CME-60NW MRF-40NE ELP-50W TCS-60WSW RSK-30WNW RSK WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  099 WHCA72 TJSJ 222056 MWWSJU URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 456 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES THROUGH TONIGHT... .A MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LOCAL PASSAGES THROUGH TONIGHT. THEN...SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AMZ710-722-741-230000- /O.EXT.TJSJ.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N- ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N- 456 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 10 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ AMZ712-715-725-742-745-230000- /O.EXT.TJSJ.SC.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM- 456 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. * WAVES/SEAS...SEAS 6 TO 8 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS UP TO 10 FEET IN NORTHERLY SWELLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEAS OF 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  499 WSCR31 LEMM 222050 GCCC SIGMET 7 VALID 222050/230050 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N22 W021- N3030 W013 TOP ABV FL370 MOV NE NC=  754 WWUS84 KBRO 222058 SPSBRO SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 358 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ254>256-222200- INLAND WILLACY TX-COASTAL WILLACY TX-INLAND CAMERON TX- 358 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WILLACY AND NORTHWESTERN CAMERON COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT... AT 357 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER LOZANO...OR OVER RIO HONDO...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH. PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HARLINGEN...SAN BENITO...RAYMONDVILLE...LYFORD...RIO HONDO... COMBES...HARLIGEN MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSE...VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...TEXAS STATE TECHNICAL COLLEGE HARLINGEN AND HARLINGEN SOCCER COMPLEX. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 2613 9742 2614 9772 2649 9782 2648 9743 2647 9742 2645 9746 2645 9742 2644 9742 2644 9744 2642 9742 2641 9745 2638 9742 2637 9744 2637 9742 2632 9745 2624 9742 TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 173DEG 11KT 2619 9756 $$ TOMASELLI  262 WSTU31 LTAC 222100 LTAA SIGMET 10 VALID 222050/222350 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 2050Z N37 E035 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  613 WSRA31 RUKR 222100 UNKL SIGMET 6 VALID 222200/230200 UNKL- UNKL KRASNOYARSK FIR SEV ICE FCST N OF N68 S OF N70 W OF E088 SFC/FL100 MOV E 20KMH NC=  812 WWUS76 KMFR 222101 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 201 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 CAZ080-081-231500- /O.CON.KMFR.FR.Y.0033.151023T0900Z-151023T1500Z/ WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...WEED 201 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY... A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY. * LOW TEMPERATURES: 33 TO 36 DEGREES. * TEMPERATURE INVERSION: A MODERATE TO STRONG INVERSION IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER WITHIN A FEW HUNDRED FEET THE GROUND. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...SCOTT BAR...SEIAD VALLEY...KLAMATH RIVER...MONTAGUE...AND WEED. * IMPACTS: SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY FROST. RESIDENTS SHOULD PROTECT VEGETATION THAT MAY BE VULNERABLE TO FROST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$ ORZ024-026-231500- /O.CON.KMFR.FR.Y.0033.151023T0900Z-151023T1500Z/ EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAVE JUNCTION...ASHLAND 201 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY... A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY. * TEMPERATURE: 33 TO 36 DEGREES. * TEMPERATURE INVERSION: A MODERATE TO STRONG INVERSION IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES 5 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER WITHIN A FEW HUNDRED FEET OF THE GROUND. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: CAVE JUNCTION...SELMA...MURPHY... APPLEGATE...ROGUE RIVER...GOLD HILL...JACKSONVILLE...ASHLAND AND OUTLYING AREAS IN THE ROGUE VALLEY. * IMPACTS: SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED BY FROST. RESIDENTS SHOULD PROTECT VEGETATION THAT MAY BE VULNERABLE TO FROST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. && $$  146 WWCN15 CWUL 222101 WIND WARNING FOR NUNAVIK ENDED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:01 P.M. EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WIND WARNING ENDED FOR: SALLUIT. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== WIND SPEEDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO MEET WARNING CRITERIA. HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA/WARNINGS/INDEX(UNDERSCORE)E.HTML?PROV=NQC END/MSC  430 WAHW31 PHFO 222102 WA0HI HNLS WA 222200 AIRMET SIERRA UPDATE 3 FOR IFR VALID UNTIL 230400 . NO SIGNIFICANT IFR EXP. =HNLT WA 222200 AIRMET TANGO UPDATE 3 FOR TURB VALID UNTIL 230400 . NO SIGNIFICANT TURB EXP. =HNLZ WA 222200 AIRMET ZULU UPDATE 3 FOR ICE AND FZLVL VALID UNTIL 230400 . NO SIGNIFICANT ICE EXP. . FZLVL...163-158.  563 WGUS84 KOUN 222103 FLSOUN FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 403 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 OKC005-013-029-069-095-230000- /O.NEW.KOUN.FA.Y.0268.151022T2103Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BRYAN OK-JOHNSTON OK-ATOKA OK-MARSHALL OK-COAL OK- 403 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... EASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHWESTERN ATOKA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHERN COAL COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 358 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE DURANT...ATOKA...COALGATE...CALERA...COLBERT...CADDO...BOKCHITO... ACHILLE...WAPANUCKA...STRINGTOWN...TUSHKA...LEHIGH...MILBURN... BENNINGTON...SILO...CANEY...KENEFIC...BROMIDE...PHILLIPS...KEMP... ARMSTRONG...MEAD...HENDRIX...LANE...NIDA...ALBANY...PONTOTOC... BLUE...FILLMORE AND UTICA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. && LAT...LON 3385 9576 3383 9584 3389 9593 3384 9614 3376 9618 3377 9629 3369 9635 3378 9643 3377 9650 3382 9653 3384 9662 3389 9659 3390 9664 3434 9663 3450 9673 3455 9609 3416 9589 3416 9598 3412 9594 3394 9594 $$ MAD  659 WCMX31 MMMX 222103 MMEX SIGMET 4 VALID 222052/230252 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR TC PATRICIA OBS N1524W10436 AT 2052Z FRQ TS TOPS FL540 WI 200NM OF CENTRE MOV WNW AT 11KT INTSF. FCST 230600 N1630W10536=  796 WWUS45 KBOU 222103 WSWBOU URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 303 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ033>036-222215- /O.EXP.KBOU.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-151022T2100Z/ SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/ NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET- SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/ GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET- JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS... LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE... ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS... BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE... EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL... INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS... WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY... NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES...BAILEY...CENTRAL CITY... EVERGREEN...GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...WESTCREEK 303 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IN THE FRONT RANGE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. SNOWFALL WILL DIMINISH FROM SOUTH-TO-NORTH DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE LESS THAN 2 INCHES...AND MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 8000 FEET NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. OVERNIGHT...NORTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS COULD SEE A RESURGENCE IN SNOWFALL WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. $$ BAKER  476 WVRA31 RUPK 222103 UHPP SIGMET 14 VALID 222103/222240 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR CNL SIGMET 13 221745/222240=  450 WHUS74 KBRO 222105 MWWBRO URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 405 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE... .THE LONG EASTERLY FETCH ACROSS THE GULF WILL CONTINUE...AND A TIGHTER GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO BREEZY EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS ON THE GULF. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. GMZ150-155-170-175-230600- /O.EXT.KBRO.SC.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 405 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... * WAVES...6 TO 8 FEET BETWEEN 0 AND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE AND...7 TO 9 FEET BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 18 TO 23 KNOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  047 WSCG31 FCBB 222103 FCCC SIGMET B4 VALID 222150/0150 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2045Z N0641 E01104 - N0514 E01006 TOP FL400 MOV W 10KT WKN=  920 WVRA31 RUPK 222107 UHPP SIGMET 15 VALID 222107/230220 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT SHEVELUCH PSN N5638 E16119 VA CLD OBS AT 2020Z WI N5654 E16159 - N5701 E16229 - N5654 E16239 - N5647 E16231 - N5647 E16203 - N5654 E16159 SFC/FL240 MOV NE 30KMH FCST 0220Z VA CLD APRX N5846 E16101 - N5837 E16228 - N5755 E16410 - N5744 E16553 - N5729 E16610 - N5715 E16429 - N5738 E16302 - N5846 E16101=  603 WWUS45 KGJT 222112 WSWGJT URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 312 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ014-230515- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY- 312 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY... * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...GUNNISON...CIMARRON. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH FOR A STORM TOTAL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. * IMPACTS...SNOW AND SLUSH COVERED SURFACES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ009-010-012-013-018-019-230515- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0067.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS- WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS- 312 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...SNOWMASS...TAYLOR PARK...TRAPPERS LAKE...TELLURIDE...SILVERTON...RICO. * TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH TONIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR A STORM TOTAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ COZ004-230515- /O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS- 312 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT FRIDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET... * LOCATIONS INCLUDE...HIGHER ELEVATIONS AROUND STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND RABBIT EARS PASS * TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH THE BEST ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT. * SNOW LEVEL...ABOVE 9000 FEET. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. STRONGER GUSTS OVER HIGH EXPOSED TERRAIN. * IMPACTS...MOUNTAIN ROADWAYS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$  990 WHCA72 TJSJ 222113 MWWSPN URGENTE - MENSAJE MARITIMO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 456 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...OLEAJE PELIGROSO A TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO Y LOS PASAJES LOCALES ESTA NOCHE... .MAREJADAS MODERADAS DEL NORTE CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO Y LOS PASAJES LOCALES HASTA ESTA NOCHE Y LUEGO DISMINUIRAN GRADUALMENTE DURANTE EL TRANSCURSO DE LA NOCHE. AMZ712-715-725-742-745-230000- 456 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST ESTA NOCHE... * VIENTOS...DEL SURESTE DE 10 A 15 NUDOS. * OLAS/OLEAJE...DE 6 A 8 PIES CON OLEAJE OCASIONAL HASTA DE 10 PIES EN MAREJADAS DEL NORTE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA OLEAJE DE 7 PIES O MAS PRODUCIENDO CONDICIONES MARITIMAS PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NAVEGANTES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE AQUELLOS QUE OPERAN NAVES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$ AMZ710-722-741-230000- 456 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 ...ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO HASTA LAS 8 PM AST DE ESTA NOCHE... * VIENTOS...DEL SURESTE DE 10 A 15 NUDOS. * OLAS/OLEAJE...DE 6 A 8 PIES CON OLEAJE OCASIONAL HASTA DE 10 PIES EN MAREJADAS DEL NORTE. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... UNA ADVERTENCIA PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERA OLEAJE DE 7 PIES O MAS PRODUCIENDO CONDICIONES MARITIMAS PELIGROSAS PARA LOS OPERADORES DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS. NAVEGANTES INEXPERTOS...ESPECIALMENTE AQUELLOS QUE OPERAN NAVES PEQUENAS DEBEN EVITAR ESTAS CONDICIONES. && $$  924 WSVS31 VVGL 222115 VVTS SIGMET 4 VALID 222120/230120 VVGL- VVTS HO CHI MINH FIR EMBD TS OBS BTN N11 AND N0820 W OF E10730 TOP FL390 STNR NC=  444 WSMX31 MMMX 222118 MMEX SIGMET C1 VALID 222117/230117 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR OCNL TS OBS AT 2117Z WI N1954 W10506 - N1939 W10104 - N1508 W09546 - N1457 W10035 - N1954 W10506 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV N 5 KT INTSF. =  423 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222120 SBAZ SIGMET 18 VALID 222120/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS OB S WI N0016 W06725 - S0034 W06730 - S0032 W06633 - N0018 W06628 - N0016 W06725 TOP FL360 STNR NC=  168 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 WSBZ31 SBRE 221743 CCA  169 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBAZ SIGMET 14 VALID 222000/222140 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0229 W06421 - S0216 W06154 - S0423 W06129 - S0445 W06403 - S0229 W06421 TOP FL400 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  170 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBCW SIGMET 21 VALID 222015/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OBS AT 1955Z WI S2710 W05350 - S2815 W05220 - S2740 W04833 - S2425 W05244- S2247 W05147- S2142 W05246- S2233 W05436 - S2405 W05418 - S2536 W05429 - S2710 W05350 TOP FL380 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  171 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222022  172 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBAZ SIGMET 16 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1227 W05705 - S1057 W05141 - S1303 W05331 - S1650 W05306 - S1740 W05435 - S1752 W05737 - S1227 W05705 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  226 WSMC31 GMMC 222121 GMMM SIGMET S6 VALID 222100/222300 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST W OF LINE N3554 W00857 - N2833 W008 55 - N2441 W01258 - N2120 W01607 TOP FL380 MOV NE NC=  347 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBAZ SIGMET 13 VALID 221940/222140 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0152 W06340 - N0340 W06150 - N0148 W06102 - S0214 W06253 - S0105 W06524 - N0152 W06340 TOP FL460 MOV NW 12KT INTSF=  348 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221942  349 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBAZ SIGMET 17 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0312 W06936 - S1000 W06606 - S1102 W07029 - S0727 W07344 - S0600 W07224 - S0312 W06936 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  350 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBAZ SIGMET 15 VALID 222025/222130 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S0408 W06606 - S0409 W06434 - S0556 W06431 - S0545 W06613 - S0408 W06606 TOP FL360 STNR NC=  351 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBCW SIGMET 20 VALID 222000/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 1945Z WI S2012 W04320 - S2038 W04202 - S2024 W04058 - S2400 W04233 - S2740 W04833 - S2425 W05244 - S2247 W05147 - S2227 W04835- S2258 W04753 - S2330 W04656 - S2314 W04550 - S2247 W04545 - S2030 W04403 - S2012 W04320 TOP FL400 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  352 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBCW SIGMET 22 VALID 222015/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2752 W04950 - S2933 W04604- S2645 W04345 - S2440 W04058- S2024 W04058 - S2400 W04233 - S2740 W04833 - S2752 W04950 FL120/180 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  353 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 WSBZ31 SBCW 222013  354 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 SBAO SIGMET 11 VALID 221900/222300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2307 W03458 - S2524 W03617 - S3024 W03833 - S3156 W03843- S3232 W03532 - S3052 W03514 - S2755 W03404 - S2628 W03126 - S2307 W03458 FL140/200 STNRWKN=  355 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222031  357 WSBZ01 SBBR 222100 WSBZ31 SBAZ 221956  301 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222123 SBAZ SIGMET 19 VALID 222130/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS OB S WI S0408 W06606 - S0409 W06434 - S0556 W06431 - S0545 W06613 - S0408 W06606 TOP FL360 STNR NC=  710 WABZ22 SBBS 222123 SBBS AIRMET 11 VALID 22110/230010 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC VIS 10 00/4000M RA FCST WI S2055 W05019 - S1806 W04830 - S2123 W04446 - S2246 W04546 - S2315 W04554 - S2328 W04657 - S2228 W04837 - S2214 W04833 - S2204 W04842 - S2154 W04915 - S2055 W05019 STNR NC=  376 WSTU31 LTBA 222100 LTBB SIGMET 11 VALID 222100/222400 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR OBSC TS OBS AT 2100Z N3958 E02702 - N3962 E02792 N4013 E02640 N4125 E2903 N4113 E02907 N3962 E02792 N3787 E02725 MOV NE NC=  941 WSBZ31 SBCW 222124 SBCW SIGMET 23 VALID 222125/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR FRQ TS OB S AT 2115Z WI S1642 W05306 - S1655 W05322 - S1957 W05156 - S2230 W0492 3 - S2227 W04835- S2212 W04832- S2205 W04841- S2152 W04913 - S2040 W05 036 - S1933 W05133 - S1642 W05306 TOP FL380 STNR NC=  395 WSNO31 ENMI 222125 ENOS SIGMET A01 VALID 222200/230200 ENMI- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL SEV MTW FCST WI N5800 E00730 - N6000 E00730 - N6000 E00900 - N5830 E00900 - N5800 E00730 SFC/FL100 STNR NC=  925 WSBZ31 SBCW 222124 SBCW SIGMET 24 VALID 222125/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS F CST WI S2400 W04233- S2240 W04036- S2044 W03948- S2054 W04034 - S2048 W0 4040 - S2024 W04058 - S2400 W04233 TOP FL400 MOV E 08KT NC=  685 WSPR31 SPIM 222127 SPIM SIGMET 4 VALID 222128/222200 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR CNL SIGMET 3 VALID 221916/222200=  532 WGUS84 KBRO 222128 FLSBRO FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 428 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC061-489-222300- /O.NEW.KBRO.FA.Y.0150.151022T2128Z-151022T2300Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WILLACY TX-CAMERON TX- 428 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL WILLACY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN CAMERON COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... * UNTIL 600 PM CDT * AT 427 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... HARLINGEN...RIO HONDO...COMBES...SAN PERLITA...RIO HONDO JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL...VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...TEXAS STATE TECHNICAL COLLEGE HARLINGEN...RIO HONDO CITY HALL...RIO HONDO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AND HARLINGEN SOCCER COMPLEX. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. && LAT...LON 2617 9773 2643 9779 2653 9765 2653 9750 2631 9751 2620 9755 $$ TOMASELLI  984 WSMX31 MMMX 222129 MMEX SIGMET F3 VALID 222127/230127 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR OCNL TS OBS AT 2127Z WI N1401 W10822 - N1225 W10647 - N1142 W10406 - N0556 W11503 - N0936 W11513 - N1401 W10822 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV NE 8 KT INTSF. =  902 WHUS76 KPQR 222130 MWWPQR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 230 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ250-255-270-275-230530- /O.EXT.KPQR.SW.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-151023T1900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 10 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 230 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY. * SEAS: WESTERLY SWELL 10 TO 12 FT THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDING TO 10 FT BY FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE UNDER 10 FT LATER FRIDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ PZZ210-230530- /O.CON.KPQR.RB.Y.0136.000000T0000Z-151023T1300Z/ COLUMBIA RIVER BAR- 230 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT FRIDAY. * IN THE MAIN CHANNEL... * GENERAL SEAS: 9 TO 10 FT TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...THEN SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. * FIRST EBB: AROUND 130 AM FRIDAY. SEAS NEAR 13 FT WITH BREAKERS LIKELY. * SECOND EBB: AROUND 215 PM FRIDAY. SEAS NEAR 11 FT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PORTLAND  263 WHUS71 KCAR 222130 MWWCAR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 530 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ050>052-230530- /O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0246.000000T0000Z-151024T0300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM- INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME- 530 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  278 WHUS76 KEKA 222131 MWWEKA URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 231 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ470-475-230545- /O.CON.KEKA.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO 10 TO 60 NM- CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA 10 TO 60 NM- 231 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...N 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...N BUILDING TO 11 TO 13 FT AT AROUND 10 SECONDS TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ PZZ450-230545- /O.CON.KEKA.SE.W.0033.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151023T1900Z/ PT ST GEORGE TO CAPE MENDOCINO OUT 10 NM- 231 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...N 10 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE NEAR POINT SAINT GEORGE AND CAPE MENDOCINO. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 15 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...NW 9 TO 10 FT AT AROUND 8 SECONDS THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. && $$ PZZ455-230545- /O.CON.KEKA.SC.Y.0183.000000T0000Z-151023T1900Z/ CAPE MENDOCINO TO PT ARENA OUT 10 NM- 231 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...N 15 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 KT. HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE NEAR CAPE MENDOCINO. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 KT BY FRIDAY. * WAVES...NW 8 TO 10 FT AT AROUND 9 SECONDS THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$  329 WSCR31 LEMM 222130 GCCC SIGMET 8 VALID 222130/230130 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR EMBD TS FCST E OF LINE N2130 W01630- N3030 W014 TOP ABV FL440 STNR NC=  013 WSPO31 LPMG 222139 LPPC SIGMET 6 VALID 222140/222345 LPPT- LPPC LISBON FIR EMBD TS OBS S OF N3530 TOP FL340 MOV NE WKN=  446 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222139 SBAZ SIGMET 20 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI N0108 W06841 - N0046 W06531 - N0330 W06211 - N0120 W05944 - S0652 W06031 - S0603 W06656 - S0308 W06901 - N0108 W06841 TOP FL360 MOV NW 15KT INTSF=  111 WSMX31 MMMX 222141 CCA MMEX SIGMET F3 VALID 222127/230127 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR OCNL TS OBS AT 2127Z WI N1401 W10822 - N1225 W10647 - N1142 W10406 - N0556 W11503 - N0936 W11513 - N1042 W11039 - N1401 W10822 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV NE 8 KT INTSF. =  265 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222141 SBAZ SIGMET 21 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0032 W05033 - S0034 W04909 - S0229 W04825 - S0300 W04959 - S0200 W05049 - S0032 W05033 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  586 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222141 SBAZ SIGMET 22 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0635 W05020 - S0720 W04841 - S1017 W04954 - S1006 W05151 - S0820 W05120 - S0635 W05020 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  348 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222141 SBAZ SIGMET 23 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0234 W05542 - S0255 W05320 - S0649 W05123 - S0758 W05349 - S0434 W05639 - S0234 W05542 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  182 WTJP32 RJTD 222100 WARNING 222100. WARNING VALID 232100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 1525 CHAMPI (1525) 940 HPA AT 24.9N 144.5E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 25.6N 146.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 232100UTC AT 26.4N 148.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=  446 WTPQ21 RJTD 222100 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 1525 CHAMPI (1525) ANALYSIS PSTN 222100UTC 24.9N 144.5E GOOD MOVE ENE 12KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 240NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 232100UTC 26.4N 148.9E 85NM 70% MOVE ENE 11KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT GUST 120KT 45HF 241800UTC 29.2N 154.3E 180NM 70% MOVE ENE 15KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT GUST 105KT 69HF 251800UTC 38.7N 170.1E 325NM 70% MOVE NE 40KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 065KT GUST 095KT =  574 WSMX31 MMMX 222144 MMEX SIGMET G3 VALID 222143/230143 MMMX- MMFO MAZATLAN OCEANICA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2143Z WI N1351 W11552 - N1344 W11128 - N1208 W11510 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV E 8 KT WKN. =  955 WSIY32 LIIB 222147 LIRR SIGMET 06 VALID 222130/230130 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST SSE PART OF FIR MAINLY IONIAN SEA TOP FL370 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SEV TURB FCST W AND S PART OF FIR ABV FL320 MOV S NC=  685 WHUS76 KMTR 222145 MWWMTR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA 245 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ540-222245- /O.CAN.KMTR.SC.Y.0148.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ POINT ARENA TO POINT REYES TO 10 NM- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. $$ PZZ571-222245- /O.CAN.KMTR.SC.Y.0146.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ POINT REYES TO PIGEON POINT 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. $$ PZZ575-222245- /O.CAN.KMTR.SC.Y.0147.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ PIGEON POINT TO POINT PINOS 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. $$ PZZ570-230545- /O.CON.KMTR.SC.Y.0146.000000T0000Z-151023T1000Z/ POINT ARENA TO POINT REYES 10 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- 245 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS AND WAVES: SEE THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST (CWFMTR) OR OUR MARINE PAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO/MARINE.PHP FOR MORE DETAILS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO  726 WSIY33 LIIB 222148 LIBB SIGMET 06 VALID 222130/230130 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR TOP FL370 MOV E NC=  345 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222147 SBAZ SIGMET 24 VALID 222150/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 19 222130/222230=  784 WAIY31 LIIB 222145 LIMM AIRMET 06 VALID 222145/230145 LIMM- LIMM MILANO FIR MOD TURB FCST S PART OF FIR AND ADRIATIC AREA BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT FCST NE PART AND ADRIATIC SEA STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR SFC VIS 2000/5000 M BR FCST CENTRAL/W PADANIAN PLAIN STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR MOD ICE FCST NE ALPS AREA ABV FL090 STNR NC. LIMM MILANO FIR ISOL MT OBSC OBS/FCST E PART OF N SIDE APPENNINI STNR NC=  226 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222147 SBAZ SIGMET 25 VALID 222150/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 18 222120/222230=  673 WAIY32 LIIB 222145 LIRR AIRMET 06 VALID 222145/230145 LIMM- LIRR ROMA FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU OBS/FCST S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MOD TURB FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 MOV E NC. LIRR ROMA FIR SFC WSPD 30 KT OBS/FCST CENTRAL/E PART OF FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIRR ROMA FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST CENTRAL/S APPENNINI AND SICILY AND LOC SARDINIA MOV E NC=  190 WAIY33 LIIB 222145 LIBB AIRMET 06 VALID 222145/230145 LIMM- LIBB BRINDISI FIR ISOL TS AND CB/TCU FCST CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MOD TURB OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR BLW FL070 STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC WSPD 30KT OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR OVR SEA/COT STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR SFC VIS 2000/5000 M BR FCST INLAND PLAIN AEREAS OF CENTRAL/S PART OF FIR STNR NC. LIBB BRINDISI FIR MT OBSC OBS/FCST ENTIRE FIR STNR NC=  634 WSMX31 MMMX 222150 CCA MMEX SIGMET C1 VALID 222117/230117 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR OCNL TS OBS AT 2117Z WI N1954 W10506 - N1939 W10104 - N1508 W09546 - N1457 W10035 - N1745 W10135 - N1954 W10506 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV N 5 KT INTSF. =  801 WAKO31 RKSI 222150 RKRR AIRMET U04 VALID 222200/230200 RKSI- RKRR INCHEON FIR SFC VIS 5000M FG BR OBS WI N3653 E12501 - N3731 E12729 - N3647 E12812 - N3504 E12821 - N3322 E12458 STNR NC=  576 WGUS44 KSJT 222155 FLWSJT BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 455 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas... North Concho River At Sterling City affecting Sterling County Very heavy rainfall of 4 to 8 inches in Western Sterling and Glasscock counties will flow into and produce minor river flooding on the North Concho River in Sterling County late this afternoon and tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or other media outlets for the latest information on this situation. Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=sjt && TXC431-231255- /O.EXT.KSJT.FL.W.0008.151022T2150Z-151023T1550Z/ /SRCT2.1.ER.151022T2050Z.151023T0000Z.151023T0350Z.NO/ 455 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The North Concho River At Sterling City. * until Friday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled. * At 4:15 PM Thursday the stage was 17.8 feet. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage tonight. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding will occur. Secondary roads and low water crossings will be flooded * Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.0 feet on Sep 10 1980. && LAT...LON 3190 10106 3183 10092 3176 10094 3182 10110 $$  953 WGCA82 TJSJ 222156 FLSSJU FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 556 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 PRC017-039-054-091-101-145-230000- /O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0218.151022T2156Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ VEGA BAJA PR-BARCELONETA PR-FLORIDA PR-MANATI PR-MOROVIS PR- CIALES PR- 556 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... VEGA BAJA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO... BARCELONETA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO... FLORIDA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO... MANATI MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO... MOROVIS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO... CIALES MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO... * UNTIL 800 PM AST * AT 553 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MANATI...CIALES...FLORIDA...BARCELONETA...VEGA BAJA...IMBERY...LA LUISA...COTO NORTE...PAJONAL...BARAHONA...BUFALO...TIERRAS NUEVAS PONIENTE...TIERRAS NUEVAS PON...GARROCHALES AND TIBURONES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING. LAT...LON 1848 6640 1830 6644 1835 6659 1837 6658 1840 6659 1842 6658 1848 6658 1848 6649 1847 6647 1847 6645 1849 6644 $$ SNELL  059 WSUS31 KKCI 222155 SIGE MKCE WST 222155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 222355-230355 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  061 WSUS32 KKCI 222155 SIGC MKCC WST 222155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 52C VALID UNTIL 2355Z TX OK FROM 40N SPS-30WSW ADM-70WNW ACT-SJT-50SSW CDS-40N SPS AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 53C VALID UNTIL 2355Z TX OK FROM 40SW TUL-40NE MLC-60S MLC-50NW TTT-40SW TUL AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21035KT. TOPS TO FL440. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 54C VALID UNTIL 2355Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 50SE CRP-100SSE PSX-10E BRO-70W BRO-50SE CRP AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 17010KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 222355-230355 AREA 1...FROM 60SE OBH-40NE ICT-30NE TUL-50SE MLC-50E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-DLF-MRF-30NE MCK-60SE OBH WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30WNW RSK-40W CIM-30W FTI-40NW TCC-50E CME-60NW MRF-40NE ELP-50W TCS-60WSW RSK-30WNW RSK WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  908 WSUS33 KKCI 222155 SIGW MKCW WST 222155 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 222355-230355 FROM 30WNW RSK-40W CIM-30W FTI-40NW TCC-50E CME-60NW MRF-40NE ELP-50W TCS-60WSW RSK-30WNW RSK WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  874 WSTU31 LTBA 222134 LTBB SIGMET 12 VALID 222134/230034 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR OBSC TS OBS AT 2134Z N4109 E02748 MOV NE NC=  064 WSZA21 FAOR 222158 FAOR SIGMET A01 VALID 222200/230200 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S4131 W00926 - S4214 W00515 - S4818 E00911 - S6027 W00029 - S6224 W00857 TOP FL270 WKN=  583 WGUS54 KBRO 222158 FFWBRO TXC061-489-222330- /O.NEW.KBRO.FF.W.0048.151022T2158Z-151022T2330Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 458 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL WILLACY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... NORTH CENTRAL CAMERON COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 457 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... RIO HONDO...RIO HONDO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL...SANTA MONICA... WILLAMAR...PORFIRIO...LOS COYOTES AND MCCLOUD HOOD RESERVOIR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 2624 9755 2624 9767 2648 9769 2648 9750 $$ TOMASELLI  216 WSZA21 FAOR 222159 FAOR SIGMET B05 VALID 222200/230200 FAOR- FAJO JOHANNESBURG OCEANIC FIR SEV ICE OBS WI S3039 E04955 - S3427 E05600 - S3530 E05700 - S3648 E05700 - S3704 E05440 - S3223 E04920 - S3132 E04901 FL070/180 WKN=  371 WHUS76 KSEW 222158 MWWSEW URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 258 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 PZZ110-230600- /O.EXT.KSEW.RB.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ GRAYS HARBOR BAR- 258 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS...COMBINED SEAS 8 TO 10 FEET. * BAR CONDITION...MOSTLY ROUGH. * FIRST MAXIMUM EBB...115 AM TONIGHT. * SECOND MAXIMUM EBB...2 PM FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH BAR MEANS THAT WAVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT IN OR NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES. && $$ PZZ150-153-156-170-173-176-230600- /O.CON.KSEW.SW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-151023T1300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM JAMES ISLAND TO POINT GRENVILLE 10 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM POINT GRENVILLE TO CAPE SHOALWATER 10 TO 60 NM- 258 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT FRIDAY... * SEAS...WEST SWELL 10 TO 12 FEET. * DOMINANT PERIOD...13 TO 15 SECONDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER... BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE  639 WTPN31 PHNC 222130 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009A AMENDED// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 15.1N 104.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 104.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 16.5N 105.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 18.1N 105.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 20.6N 104.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 23.3N 102.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222130Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 104.6W. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z, 231000Z, 231600Z AND 232200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  579 WHUS76 KMFR 222200 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 300 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION PZZ376-231100- /O.CAN.KMFR.GL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0019.151023T0000Z-151023T1800Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0042.151023T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0050.151023T0600Z-151023T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0247.151023T0600Z-151024T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 300 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...GALE WARNING AND IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS IN EFFECT FROM 11PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS: NORTH 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. * SEAS: STEEP WIND DRIVEN 12 TO 15 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED: GALES AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF PORT ORFORD THROUGH THIS EVENING UNTIL 11 PM. ELSEWHERE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS GALE FORCE WINDS AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ350-356-370-231100- /O.CAN.KMFR.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.CAN.KMFR.SW.Y.0246.000000T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0019.151023T0000Z-151023T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0247.151023T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 300 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT FRIDAY. * WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. * SEAS: STEEP INCREASING 9 TO 12 FEET... BUILDING TO A PEAK OF 10 TO 11 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * AREAS AFFECTED: FOR NOW UNTIL 11 PM SMALL CRAFT FOR WINDS AND WAVES WILL AFFECT THE INNER AND OUTER WATERS... EXCEPT FOR AREAS WITHIN 5 NM OF SHORE. AFTER 11 PM FRIDAY... SOUTH OF PORT ORFORD AND AREAS FARTHER THAN 10 NM FROM SHORE WILL STILL SEE SMALL CRAFT FOR WINDS AND WAVES... OTHERWISE SMALL CRAFT FOR WAVES WILL CONTINUE ELSEWHERE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD  021 WGCA82 TJSJ 222200 FLSSPN ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 556 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 PRC017-039-054-091-101-145-230000- VEGA BAJA PR-BARCELONETA PR-FLORIDA PR-MANATI PR-MOROVIS PR- CIALES PR- 556 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UNA * ADVERTENCIA DE INUNDACIONES PARA LOS MUNICIPIOS DE VEGA BAJA...BARCELONETA...FLORIDA...MANATI...MOROVIS...Y CIALES... * HASTA LAS 8:00 PM AST. * A LA 5:53 PM AST...EL RADAR DOPPLER INDICO LLUVIA FUERTE DEBIDO A TRONADAS. ESTO CAUSARA INUNDACIONES MENORES EN EL AREA BAJO ADVERTENCIA. * LUGARES QUE PORDIRAN TENER INUNDACIONES INCLUYE... MANATI...CIALES...FLORIDA...BARCELONETA...VEGA BAJA...IMBERY...LA LUISA...COTO NORTE...PAJONAL...BARAHONA...BUFALO...TIERRAS NUEVAS PONIENTE...TIERRAS NUEVAS PON...Y AREAS DE GARROCHALES. LLUVIAS ADICIONALES DE UNA A UNA PULGADA Y MEDIA SON ANTICIPADAS SOBRE EL AREA. ESTAS LLUVIAS ADICIONALES PORDIRAN CAUSAR INUNDACIONES. $$ SNELL/ACP  961 WTPN32 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 032// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 146.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 146.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 14.8N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 16.3N 146.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 17.8N 146.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 19.0N 146.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 21.0N 144.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 23.5N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 26.0N 136.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 13.9N 146.4W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 628 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z, 231000Z, 231600Z AND 232200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//  894 WSPR31 SPIM 222202 SPIM SIGMET A2 VALID 222215/230030 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2115Z NW OF LINE S0400 W07608 - S0301 W07444 TOP FL390 MOV W INTSF=  058 WSPR31 SPIM 222202 SPIM SIGMET B1 VALID 222203/230030 SPIM- SPIM LIMA FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2115Z WI S0745 W07514 - S0839 W07518 - S0847 W07432 - S0738 W07432 TOP FL390 MOV NE INTSF=  240 WSBZ31 SBRE 222202 SBRE SIGMET 1 VALID 222205/230205 SBRE- SBRE RECIFE FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1910 W04229 - S1958 W03959 - S2044 W 03948 - S2052 W04000 - S2056 W04015 - S2054 W04034 - S2041 W04049 - S2024 W04058 - S2037 W 04200 - S2027 W04235 - S1928 W04228 - S1910 W04229 TOP FL390 STNR INTSF=  965 WWUS84 KBRO 222206 SPSBRO SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 506 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ254>256-222300- INLAND WILLACY TX-COASTAL WILLACY TX-INLAND CAMERON TX- 506 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WILLACY AND NORTHWESTERN CAMERON COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT... AT 505 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER SANTA MONICA...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF RIO HONDO...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HARLINGEN...SANTA ROSA...RIO HONDO...COMBES...SAN PERLITA...RIO HONDO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL...COMBES COMMUNITY CENTER...SANTA ROSA HIGH SCHOOL...DISHMAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AND GRAND ACRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 2651 9743 2650 9744 2648 9745 2648 9744 2647 9745 2646 9745 2645 9746 2645 9745 2624 9752 2624 9784 2652 9765 2652 9743 TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 199DEG 25KT 2636 9759 $$ TOMASELLI  056 WSBZ31 SBBS 222205 SBBS SIGMET 19 VALID 222205/230205 SBBS- SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1036 W04912 - S1038 W04732 - S1159 W04658 - S1337 W04526 - S1642 W04607 - S1717 W04908 - S1648 W05120 - S1717 W05247 - S1641 W05307 - S1433 W05342 - S1300 W05332 - S1211 W0 5306 - S1020 W05053 - S1036 W04912 TOP FL420 MOV NW 15KT NC=  009 WSCN22 CWAO 222207 CZEG SIGMET J1 VALID 222205/230205 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV TURB OBS WTN 25 NM OF LINE /N6858 W06919/90 S CYCY - /N6731 W06524/30 W CYVM SFC/FL030 QS NC RMK GFACN36=  010 WSCN02 CWAO 222207 CZEG SIGMET J1 VALID 222205/230205 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR SEV TURB OBS WTN 25 NM OF LINE N6858 W06919 - N6731 W06524 SFC/FL030 QS NC=  106 WSBZ31 SBBS 222206 SBBS SIGMET 20 VALID 222205/230205 SBBS- SBBS BRASILIA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1721 W05248 - S1649 W05121 - S1718 W04911 - S1642 W04609 - S1659 W04145 - S1836 W04233 - S1845 W04227 - S2025 W04238 - S2012 W04320 - S2020 W04330 - S2033 W04348 - S2028 W0 4407 - S2242 W04547 - S2312 W04554 - S2329 W04657 - S2258 W04753 - S2 225 W04836 - S2211 W04834 - S2205 W04842 - S2152 W04912 - S2040 W0503 8 - S1934 W05134 - S1721 W05248 TOP FL420 MOV E 20KT NC=  893 WUUS54 KMAF 222207 SVRMAF TXC443-222245- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0268.151022T2207Z-151022T2245Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 507 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 545 PM CDT * AT 507 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER TERRELL COUNTY AIRPORT...OR NEAR DRYDEN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DRYDEN AND TERRELL COUNTY AIRPORT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3000 10222 3008 10224 3016 10201 3000 10198 TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 253DEG 14KT 3004 10219 HAIL...1.25IN WIND...60MPH $$ 70  854 WSNZ21 NZKL 222205 NZZC SIGMET 11 VALID 222208/230208 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S4150 E17620 - S4320 E17430 - S4250 E17220 - S4110 E17400 - S4150 E17620 FL100/220 STNR WKN=  000 WTPN32 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 032// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 146.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 146.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 14.8N 146.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 16.3N 146.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 17.8N 146.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 19.0N 146.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 21.0N 144.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 23.5N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 26.0N 136.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 13.9N 146.4W. HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 628 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z, 231000Z, 231600Z AND 232200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES./=  163 WSNZ21 NZKL 222206 NZZC SIGMET 12 VALID 222208/222241 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 10 221841/222241=  516 WOCN13 CWNT 222209 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 5:09 PM CDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR: ARVIAT RANKIN REGION INCLUDING WHALE COVE CHESTERFIELD INLET BAKER LAKE REPULSE BAY. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A DISTURBANCE TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE KIVALLIQ WILL BRING SNOW FOLLOWED BY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. OVER SOUTHERN KIVALLIQ A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING A FEW CENTIMETERS OF SNOW TO THE REGION BEFORE TAPERING OFF TOMORROW MORNING. THE AREA WILL AWAKEN TO MILD CONDITIONS FRIDAY MORNING, HOWEVER A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL ARCTIC WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. IN ITS WAKE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGHOUT THE KIVALLIQ WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 KM/H OR GREATER OVER A NUMBER OF LOCALITIES. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH THE STRONG WINDS CREATING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED OR EXTENDED. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT WWW.WEATHER.GC.CA END  436 WWUS85 KCYS 222210 SPSCYS SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 410 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 WYZ112-114-116-230000- SIERRA MADRE RANGE-SNOWY RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CENTENNIAL...ALBANY...WOODS LANDING... VEDAUWOO...BUFORD...PUMPKIN VINE 410 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING MAINLY ABOVE 8000 FEET. THIS INCLUDES NEAR THE SUMMIT ALONG INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN LARAMIE AND CHEYENNE. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXPECT REDUCED VISIBILITIES WITH THE FALLING SNOW. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME SLIPPERY AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING MAINLY ABOVE 8000 FEET. $$  213 WGUS74 KSJT 222213 FFSSJT FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 513 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC059-151-207-253-353-417-441-447-230000- /O.CON.KSJT.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JONES TX-FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-NOLAN TX-TAYLOR TX-CALLAHAN TX- THROCKMORTON TX-SHACKELFORD TX- 513 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR JONES...FISHER...HASKELL...NOLAN...TAYLOR...CALLAHAN...THROCKMORTON AND SHACKELFORD COUNTIES... AT 506 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT HAD REPORTED A HIGH WATER RESCUE ALONG FARM TO MARKET ROAD 57 NEAR MCCAULLEY IN FISHER COUNTY. ALSO...FARM TO MARKET ROADS 605 AND 1226 WERE FLOODED NEAR HAWLEY IN JONES COUNTY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY...MAINLY EAST OF A THROCKMORTON TO ABILENE LINE. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... ABILENE...SWEETWATER...CLYDE...HASKELL...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN... ALBANY...BAIRD...ROSCOE...THROCKMORTON...BLACKWELL...NOLAN... MERKEL...ROTAN...TYE...CROSS PLAINS...TUSCOLA...ROBY AND RULE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3296 9895 3295 9910 3209 9912 3209 10066 3295 10064 3296 9999 3339 9997 3340 9896 $$ MC  129 WABZ22 SBBS 222215 SBBS AIRMET 12 VALID 222210/230010 SBBS - SBBS BRASILIA FIR SFC WSPD 35KT FCST IN SBGO STNR NC=  497 WGUS84 KFWD 222215 FLSFWD FLOOD ADVISORY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 515 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC097-222225- /O.EXP.KFWD.FA.Y.0311.000000T0000Z-151022T2215Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ COOKE TX- 515 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY EXPIRED AT 515 PM CDT FOR COOKE COUNTY... LAT...LON 3395 9694 3368 9706 3343 9709 3344 9745 3382 9744 3382 9738 3388 9733 3386 9733 3392 9721 3376 9719 3372 9711 3382 9705 3385 9709 3384 9703 3395 9700 $$ 75  682 WSRH31 LDZM 222215 LDZO SIGMET 7 VALID 222215/230200 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR SEV TURB FCST WI N4524 E01431 - N4442 E01410 - N4245 E01642 - N4203 E01826 - N4225 E01831 - N4328 E01717 TOP FL070 STNR NC=  831 WHCA52 TJSJ 222218 SMWSJU AMZ710-712-222300- /O.NEW.TJSJ.MA.W.0039.151022T2218Z-151022T2300Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SPECIAL MARINE WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 618 PM AST THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A * SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... ATLANTIC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10 NM TO 19.5N... COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM... * UNTIL 700 PM AST * AT 615 PM AST...A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS...WAS LOCATED SPOTTED NORTH OF MANATI. THE WATERSPOUT WAS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH. ADDITIONAL WATER SPOUTS COULD APPEAR AS THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER WATER. HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS AND WIND GUSTS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER. FREQUENT LIGHTNING SOURCE...PUBLIC. IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SMALL CRAFT COULD BE DAMAGED IN BRIEFLY HIGHER WINDS AND SUDDENLY HIGHER WAVES. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY OPEN WATERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. && LAT...LON 1867 6637 1849 6641 1849 6644 1847 6645 1847 6647 1848 6651 1848 6654 1849 6656 1849 6662 1867 6665 TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 180DEG 0KT 1853 6652 WATERSPOUT...OBSERVED HAIL...0.00IN WIND...>34KTS $$ SNELL  448 WTPN31 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 011// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 15.1N 104.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 104.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 16.5N 105.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 18.1N 105.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 20.6N 104.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 23.3N 102.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222200Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 104.6W. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z, 231000Z, 231600Z AND 232200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RSMC MIAMI ISSUED AN 18Z ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE 20E DUE TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION AS WARNING NUMBER 10. THUS THE 22Z ADVISORY IS WARNING NUMBER 11.//  654 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBCW 221956  655 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222141  657 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 16 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1227 W05705 - S1057 W05141 - S1303 W05331 - S1650 W05306 - S1740 W05435 - S1752 W05737 - S1227 W05705 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  656 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAO SIGMET 11 VALID 221900/222300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2307 W03458 - S2524 W03617 - S3024 W03833 - S3156 W03843- S3232 W03532 - S3052 W03514 - S2755 W03404 - S2628 W03126 - S2307 W03458 FL140/200 STNRWKN=  658 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 24 VALID 222150/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 19 222130/222230=  659 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBCW 222124  660 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 23 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0234 W05542 - S0255 W05320 - S0649 W05123 - S0758 W05349 - S0434 W05639 - S0234 W05542 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  662 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222147  663 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 18 VALID 222120/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS OBS WI N0016 W06725 - S0034 W06730 - S0032 W06633 - N0018 W06628 - N0016 W06725 TOP FL360 STNR NC=  664 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 22 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0635 W05020 - S0720 W04841 - S1017 W04954 - S1006 W05151 - S0820 W05120 - S0635 W05020 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  665 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222120  296 WARH31 LDZM 222218 LDZO AIRMET 16 VALID 222218/230200 LDZA- LDZO ZAGREB FIR MOD TURB FCST WI N4532 E01323 - N4517 E01301 - N4442 E01410 - N4524 E01431 - N4530 E01426 TOP FL070 STNR NC=  778 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 20 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0108 W06841 - N0046 W06531 - N0330 W06211 - N0120 W05944 - S0652 W06031 - S0603 W06656 - S0308 W06901 - N0108 W06841 TOP FL360 MOV NW 15KT INTSF=  779 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222123  780 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222031  781 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222139  782 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 17 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0312 W06936 - S1000 W06606 - S1102 W07029 - S0727 W07344 - S0600 W07224 - S0312 W06936 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  783 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 19 VALID 222130/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS OBS WI S0408 W06606 - S0409 W06434 - S0556 W06431 - S0545 W06613 - S0408 W06606 TOP FL360 STNR NC=  784 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 25 VALID 222150/222230 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR CNL SIGMET 18 222120/222230=  785 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBRE 221743 CCA  786 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 WSBZ31 SBCW 222013  787 WSBZ01 SBBR 222200 SBAZ SIGMET 21 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0032 W05033 - S0034 W04909 - S0229 W04825 - S0300 W04959 - S0200 W05049 - S0032 W05033 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  479 WHCA52 TJSJ 222226 SMWSPN AMZ710-712-222300- BOLETIN - SE REQUIERE DIFUSION INMEDIATA AVISO MARITIMO ESPECIAL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 618 PM AST JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN HA EMITIDO UN * AVISO MARITIMO ESPECIAL PARA... AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO DE PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES DESDE 10 MILLAS NAUTICAS MAR AFUERA HACIA EL NORTE HASTA 19.5N... AGUAS COSTERAS AL NORTE DE PUERTO RICO HASTA 10 MILLAS NAUTICAS MAR AFUERA... * HASTA LAS 7:00 PM AST. * A LAS 6:15 PM AST...UNA TRONADA FUERTE PRODUCIENDO TROMBAS MARINAS ESTABA LOCALIZADA AL NORTE DE MANATI...MOVIENDOSE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL NORTE. TROMBAS MARINAS ADICIONALES PODRIAN APARECER A MEDIDA QUE ESTAS TRONADAS SE MUEVAN SOBRE EL AGUA. PELIGROS...TROMABAS MARINAS Y VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS DE 34 NUDOS O MAS Y RAYOS FRECUENTES. FUENTE...PUBLICO. IMPACTOS...LAS TROMBAS MARINAS SUBITAS PUDIERAN VOLCAR BOTES CREAR OLEAJE PELIGROSO. EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS PODRIAN SER AVERIADOS DEBIDO A LOS VIENTOS SUBITAMENTE MAS FUERTES Y EL ALTO OLEAJE. * ESTA TRONADA INTENSA PERMANECERA MAYORMENTE SOBRE EL MAR ABIERTO. MEDIDAS DE PRECAUCION/PREPARATIVOS... RAYOS FRECUENTES ESTAN OCURRIENDO CON ESTA TORMENTA. SI SE ENCUENTRA SOBRE AGUAS ABIERTAS...FAVOR DE MOVERSE BAJO CUBIERTA...Y MANTENGASE ALEJADO DE OBJETOS METALICOS. $$ SNELL/ACP  083 WSMS31 WMKK 222227 WBFC SIGMET A08 VALID 222235/230235 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS N OF N0445 E OF E116 STNR INTSF=  232 WSNZ21 NZKL 222228 NZZC SIGMET 13 VALID 222228/222230 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 8 221830/222230=  535 WUUS54 KMAF 222228 SVRMAF TXC443-222315- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0269.151022T2228Z-151022T2315Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 528 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 615 PM CDT * AT 528 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF TERRELL COUNTY GAS PLANT...OR 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHEFFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3043 10173 3044 10208 3053 10210 3062 10178 3047 10173 3046 10173 3045 10172 TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 259DEG 21KT 3049 10203 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 70  002 WGUS74 KBRO 222229 FFSBRO FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 529 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC061-489-222330- /O.CON.KBRO.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-151022T2330Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WILLACY TX-CAMERON TX- 529 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WILLACY AND NORTH CENTRAL CAMERON COUNTIES... AT 526 PM CDT...THE CAMERON COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL AND MORE WITH FLOODING ON FM 1420...FM 508... AND SEARCHY RANCH ROAD IN CAMERON COUNTY IN THE VICINITY OF RIO HONDO. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... RIO HONDO...RIO HONDO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL...SANTA MONICA...WILLAMAR... PORFIRIO...LOS COYOTES AND MCCLOUD HOOD RESERVOIR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 2624 9755 2624 9767 2648 9769 2648 9750 $$ TOMASELLI  480 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222229 SBAZ SIGMET 26 VALID 222230/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0157 W05053 - S0001 W05234 - N0137 W05139 - N0043 W04951 - S0031 W04910 - S0031 W05033 - S0159 W05051 - S0157 W05053 TOP FL380 STNR I NTSF=  008 WSNZ21 NZKL 222231 NZZC SIGMET 14 VALID 222231/222233 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR CNL SIGMET 9 221833/222233=  901 WWUS54 KMAF 222231 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 531 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC443-222245- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0268.000000T0000Z-151022T2245Z/ TERRELL TX- 531 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY... AT 529 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER DRYDEN...OR JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF SH 349 AND US 90...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM HAS SHOWN A WEAKENING TREND BUT IS STILL SEVERE. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DRYDEN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3003 10215 3010 10215 3016 10201 3002 10198 TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 253DEG 14KT 3007 10209 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 70  417 WANO34 ENMI 222233 ENBD AIRMET C03 VALID 222240/230240 ENVV- ENOR NORWAY FIR OCNL MOD ICE FCST N OF N6200 AND S OF N6500 AND E OF LINE N6200 E00500 - N6500 E01100 FL060/170 MOV E WKN W-PART=  315 WSCG31 FCBB 222234 FCCC SIGMET E4 VALID 222245/230245 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2215Z E OF LINE N0613 E01137 - S0031 E01132 TOP FL450 MOV W 15KT NC=  690 WSMC31 GMMC 222234 GMMM SIGMET S7 VALID 222230/2302300 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST W OF LINE N3456 W00957 - N3120 W009 08 - N2600 W00954 - N2545 W01157 - N2120 W01306 TOP FL380 MOV NE NC=  872 WSSG31 GOOY 222245 GOOO SIGMET D2 VALID 222245/230100 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 2235Z WI N1339 W01547-N1303 W01307-N1125 W01456-N1250 W01641 TOP FL450 MOV W 05KT NC=  188 WSSG31 GOOY 222245 GOOO SIGMET D2 VALID 222245/230100 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 2235Z WI N1339 W01547-N1303 W01307-N1125 W01456-N1250 W01641 TOP FM450 MOV W 05KT NC=  036 WSMC31 GMMC 222240 GMMM SIGMET S7 VALID 222230/2302300 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST W OF LINE N3456 W00957 - N3120 W009 08 - N2600 W00954 - N2545 W01157 - N2120 W01306 TOP FL380 MOV NE NC=  501 WSTU31 LTBA 222220 LTBB SIGMET 13 VALID 222220/230120 LTBA- LTBB ISTANBUL FIR OBSC TS OBS AT 2220Z N3703 E02743 MOV NE INTSF=  821 WSQB31 LQBK 222245 LQSB SIGMET 3 VALID 222250/230250 LQBK- LQSB SARAJEVO FIR SEV TURB FCST S OF LINE N4429 E01606 - N4315 E01841 SFC/FL065 STNR NC=  025 WSNT07 KKCI 222245 SIGA0G KZHU SIGMET GOLF 8 VALID 222245/222315 KKCI- HOUSTON OCEANIC FIR CNL SIGMET GOLF 7 221915/222315.  630 WHHW40 PHFO 222246 CFWHFO COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1246 PM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF WARNING FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR EAST FACING SHORES OF MAUI... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI OAHU MOLOKAI MAUI KAHOOLAWE AND BIG ISLAND... .A SOUTHEAST SWELL FROM HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF ON THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...A LONG PERIOD SOUTH SWELL WILL BRING ADVISORY LEVEL SURF TO SOUTH FACING SHORES OF THE STATE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. HIZ024-025-231200- /O.CON.PHFO.SU.W.0009.000000T0000Z-151025T0400Z/ SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST- 1246 PM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SATURDAY... * SURF...12 TO 18 FEET ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND. 5 TO 8 FEET ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND. * TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...HIGH...EXPECT OCEAN WATER OCCASIONALLY SWEEPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF BEACHES...VERY STRONG BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS. BREAKING WAVES MAY OCCASIONALLY IMPACT HARBORS MAKING NAVIGATING THE HARBOR CHANNEL DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... LARGE BREAKING SURF...SIGNIFICANT SHOREBREAK...AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS MAKE ENTERING THE WATER VERY HAZARDOUS. ANYONE ENTERING THE WATER COULD FACE SIGNIFICANT INJURY OR DEATH. && $$ HIZ001>003-005-012>014-016-018-021-023-231200- /O.EXB.PHFO.SU.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151024T1600Z/ NIIHAU-KAUAI WINDWARD-KAUAI LEEWARD-OAHU SOUTH SHORE- MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-KAHOOLAWE- MAUI LEEWARD WEST-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-KONA- 1246 PM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM HST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM HST SATURDAY. * SURF...5 TO 8 FEET ALONG SOUTH FACING SHORES OF ALL ISLANDS. * TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...MODERATE...EXPECT STRONG BREAKING WAVES...SHORE BREAK...AND STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS MAKING SWIMMING DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS SHOULD HEED ALL ADVICE GIVEN BY OCEAN SAFETY OFFICIALS AND BE CAREFUL. && $$ HIZ020-231200- /O.CON.PHFO.SU.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-151025T0400Z/ WINDWARD HALEAKALA- 1246 PM HST THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST SATURDAY... * SURF...8 TO 12 FEET ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF EAST MAUI. * TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY. * IMPACTS...MODERATE...EXPECT STRONG BREAKING WAVES...SHORE BREAK...AND STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS MAKING SWIMMING DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BEACHGOERS...SWIMMERS...AND SURFERS SHOULD HEED ALL ADVICE GIVEN BY OCEAN SAFETY OFFICIALS AND BE CAREFUL. && $$ FOSTER  485 WUUS54 KMAF 222246 SVRMAF TXC443-222330- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0270.151022T2246Z-151022T2330Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 546 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 546 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DRYDEN... MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3005 10208 3010 10209 3019 10184 3006 10180 TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 252DEG 14KT 3009 10201 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 70  280 ACUS11 KWNS 222248 SWOMCD SPC MCD 222247 TXZ000-222345- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1875 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0547 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TX /FROM THE CONCHO VALLEY TO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU/ CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 222247Z - 222345Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP INTO THIS EVENING FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO THE CONCHO VALLEY OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TX. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WW ISSUANCE IS LIKELY FOR THIS REGION. DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED TWO LONG-LIVED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MOVING TO THE EAST ACROSS TERRELL COUNTY. EACH OF THESE STORMS APPEARS TO BE ANCHORED TO SEPARATE SW-NE ORIENTED OUTFLOW/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARIES...WITH EACH LIKELY SURFACE BASED. MEANWHILE...FARTHER NORTH IN VICINITY OF SJT AND THE CONCHO VALLEY...TSTMS DEVELOPING THERE HAVE TENDED TO BE UNDERCUT BY A SLOW SOUTHWARD-MOVING BOUNDARY. THE WARM SECTOR ENVIRONMENT IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND SUFFICIENTLY SHEARED FOR STORM ORGANIZATION AS HAS BEEN INDICATED WITH THE TERRELL COUNTY STORMS. GIVEN LITTLE IF ANY CAPPING...ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED NEAR THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES. ..PETERS/EDWARDS.. 10/22/2015 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 30090213 30740168 31360079 31549999 31449949 30929932 30299987 29710043 29780117 29880175 30090213  025 WSCG31 FCBB 222246 FCCC SIGMET A6 VALID 222230/222300 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR CNL SIGMET A5 221900/222300=  843 WACN22 CWAO 222252 CZEG AIRMET F2 VALID 222250/230250 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR ISOLD TS OBS WTN 20 NM OF LINE /N5304 W11526/60 S CYZU - /N5142 W11441/45 SW CYQF TOP FL260 MOV E 10KT WKNG RMK GFACN32=  844 WACN02 CWAO 222252 CZEG AIRMET F2 VALID 222250/230250 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR ISOLD TS OBS WTN 20 NM OF LINE N5304 W11526 - N5142 W11441 TOP FL260 MOV E 10KT WKNG=  442 WWUS54 KMAF 222252 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 552 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC443-222315- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0269.000000T0000Z-151022T2315Z/ TERRELL TX- 552 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY... AT 551 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF TERRELL COUNTY GAS PLANT...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF SHEFFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE STRONGEST PART OF THIS STORM WILL CROSS SH 349 ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF FM 2400. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3048 10173 3049 10194 3054 10195 3059 10177 TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 259DEG 21KT 3052 10188 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 70  959 WALJ31 LJLJ 222255 LJLA AIRMET 7 VALID 222300/230300 LJLJ- LJLA LJUBLJANA FIR MOD TURB FCST SW OF LINE N4620 E01320 - N4525 E01435 SFC/5000FT STNR WKN=  281 WSPF21 NTAA 222253 NTTT SIGMET A2 VALID 222300/230300 NTAA- NTTT TAHITI FIR SEV ICE WI S1800 W15100 - S2000 W14300 - S2500 W13500 - S2700 W13900 - S2140 W15000 - S1940 W15230 FL140/FL200 STNR NC=  665 WSUS31 KKCI 222255 SIGE MKCE WST 222255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 230055-230455 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  666 WSUS33 KKCI 222255 SIGW MKCW WST 222255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 230055-230455 FROM 30NNW RSK-40W CIM-30W FTI-40NNE TCC-50E CME-40NE ELP-30NNE DMN-50WNW ABQ-70SSW RSK-40WSW RSK-30NNW RSK WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  667 WSUS32 KKCI 222255 SIGC MKCC WST 222255 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 55C VALID UNTIL 0055Z TX OK FROM 30SE TUL-20WSW FSM-30S TTT-SJT-30N ABI-30SE TUL AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 56C VALID UNTIL 0055Z TX FROM 70E FST-70WNW DLF LINE SEV TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 25020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 57C VALID UNTIL 0055Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 70SE CRP-30WNW BRO LINE EMBD TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 17010KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 230055-230455 AREA 1...FROM 60SE OBH-40NE ICT-RZC-50E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-DLF-50S FST-30NE MCK-60SE OBH WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM 30NNW RSK-40W CIM-30W FTI-40NNE TCC-50E CME-40NE ELP-30NNE DMN-50WNW ABQ-70SSW RSK-40WSW RSK-30NNW RSK WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  286 WSTU31 LTAC 222250 LTAA SIGMET 11 VALID 222220/230120 LTAC- LTAA ANKARA FIR SQL TS OBS AT 2220Z N37 E031 FCST MOV NE 12KT NC=  830 WWAA02 SAWB 222100 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC 22, OCTOBER 2015. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) DATE AND TIME REFERENCE MERIDIAN OF GREENWICH - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS PART 1 NO WARNINGS PART 2 GENERAL SYNOPSIS AT 21:00UTC LOW 960HPA 75S 90W MOV E WKN EXTENDS OFNT AT 70S 100W 72S 80W 68S 70W LOW 990HPA 70S 65W MOV NE DPN EXP 60S 38W BY 24/0000 EXTENDS CFNT AT 63S 80W 65S 65W 70S 65W RIDGE 60S 45W 65S 45W 73S 45W MOV E WKN LOW 990HPA 71S 30W MOV E WKN EXTENDS OFNT AT 70S 35W 74S 33W 70S 17W LOW 984HPA 62S 30W MOV E WKN EXTENDS OFNT AT 58S 35W 60S 25W 62S 30W PART 3 FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 00:00 UTC 2015-10-24 COASTAL AREAS: SOUTHERN PORTION OF DRAKE STRAIT : SECTOR W 5/7 WITH GUSTS DECR 6/5 WITH GUSTS BY 23/1500 RAIN AND SNOW MIXTURE IMPR STARTING EARLY MORNING VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR TO MODERATE MAR DE LA FLOTA COASTS : SECTOR W 6 WITH GUSTS MIST SNOW FALL IMPR STARTING EARLY MORNING PROB OF BLIZZARD VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR TO GOOD GERLACHE STRAIT : SECTOR W 5/6 WITH GUSTS HVY SNOW FALL IMPR STARTING EARLY MORNING PROB OF BLIZZARD VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR TO GOOD MARGARITA BAY : VRB 3 TEMPO SECTOR W SNOW FALL SPELLS OF GOOD WEATHER PROB OF MIST VIS MODERATE OCNL GOOD EREBUS Y TERROR GULF : SECTOR W 4/5 PROB OF ISOL SNOW FALL IMPR STARTING EARLY MORNING PROB OF BLIZZARD VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR TO GOOD OCEANIC AREAS: NORTHER BELLINGSHAUSEN SEA (60-66S 70-90W): SECTOR W 6 WITH GUSTS SNOW FALL SPELLS OF GOOD WEATHER VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR SOUTHERN BELLINGSHAUSEN SEA (66-73S 70-90W): SECTOR W 4/5 VEER SECTOR N 5/6 WITH GUSTS BY 23/0900 DECR 5 BY 23/2100 SNOW FALL STARTING EARLY MORNING VIS GOOD TO MODERATE OCNL POOR NORTHERN WEDDELL SEA (60-68S 20-50W): SECTOR W 4/5 DECR VRB 3 BY 23/1200 INCR SECTOR S 4 BY 23/2100 INTERMITTENT SNOW FALL IMPR TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR SOUTHERN WEDDELL SEA (68-78S 20-60W): SECTOR E 4 PROB OF ISOL SNOW FALL PROB OF MIST VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE -----------------------------------------------------------------  835 WWUS60 KWNS 222300 SEVSPC FILE CREATED 22-OCT-15 AT 23:00:01 UTC SEVR 151022 2300 WS0519 0500 03025.10157 03136.10014 03035.09917 02924.10101;  880 WWUS40 KWNS 222300 WWP9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WS 0519 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0557 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 WS 0519 PROBABILITY TABLE: PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 20% PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 10% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 30% PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 30% PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 30% PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 60% && ATTRIBUTE TABLE: MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 2.5 MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60 MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 500 MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 26025 PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO && FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH AND WATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU9. $$  881 WOUS64 KWNS 222300 WOU9 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 519 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 600 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 519 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC095-105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-230500- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0519.151022T2300Z-151023T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...  982 WWUS30 KWNS 222300 SAW9 SPC AWW 222300 WW 519 SEVERE TSTM TX 222300Z - 230500Z AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE.. 110WSW JCT/JUNCTION TX/ - 40N JCT/JUNCTION TX/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM EITHER SIDE /49NW DLF - 30N JCT/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025. LAT...LON 30420191 31620023 30579931 29370101 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU9.  392 WWUS20 KWNS 222300 SEL9 SPC WW 222300 TXZ000-230500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 519 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 600 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A FEW ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS SHOULD AFFECT THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. WHILE A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...AND SEVERE GUSTS ALSO ARE POSSIBLE. SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1875 FOR METEOROLOGICAL REASONING. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 110 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTH OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025. ...EDWARDS  524 WSBW20 VGHS 222300 VGFR SIGMET 1 VALID 230000/230400 VGHS- VGFR DHAKA FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N21 AND E OF E88 TOP FL400 MOV ENE NC=  846 WWUS64 KEWX 222302 WCNEWX WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 519 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 602 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC137-465-230500- /O.NEW.KEWX.SV.A.0519.151022T2302Z-151023T0500Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 519 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EDWARDS VAL VERDE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...DEL RIO AND ROCKSPRINGS. $$  719 WSGR31 LGAT 222305 LGGG SIGMET 7 VALID 222305/230305 LGAT- LGGG ATHINAI FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS E OF E02430 MOV E NC AND EMBD TS OBS S OF N3900 MOV E=  299 WHUS44 KHGX 222303 AAA CFWHGX COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 603 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK... ...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE... .A LONG FETCH OF MODERATE EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS HAS GENERATED ELEVATED SURF...STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST. WATER LEVELS AND WAVE RUN UP WILL APPROACH AND OR SLIGHTLY OVER WASH THE LOWEST LYING ROADWAYS ALONG THE COAST AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THIS INCLUDES PARTS OF THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA AT HIGHWAY 87 AT HIGHWAY 124...NEAR THE LYNCHBURG FERRY LANDING...THE BLUE WATER HIGHWAY IN BRAZORIA AND MATAGORDA COUNTIES...BEACH DRIVE IN SURFSIDE...AND POSSIBLY A FEW PARTS OF TODDVILLE ROAD IN SEABROOK. TXZ213-214-236>238-240000- /O.CON.KHGX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-HARRIS-MATAGORDA- 603 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * TIMING...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. * IMPACTS...STRONG RIP CURRENTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR PIERS... JETTIES AND ROCK GROINS WILL MAKE SWIMMING POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVEN TO THE MOST MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS. THE GALVESTON BEACH PATROL ADVISES TO ONLY GO INTO A DEPTH OF YOUR KNEES IF YOU ARE A CAPABLE SWIMMER. OTHERWISE DO NOT ENTER THE WATER. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND OVERWASH ON THE LOWEST AND MOST SUSCEPTIBLE ROADS MAY DEPOSIT DEBRIS ON THE ROADS AND MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY IN THE SURF ZONE. RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS... JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL... FLAGS AND SIGNS. SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY. && $$  346 WSSG31 GOOY 222305 GOOO SIGMET E1 VALID 2222305/230100 GOOY- GOOO DAKAR TERRESTRE FIR/UIR ISOL EMBD TS OBS AT 2355Z WI N1504 W01954-N1500 W01833-N1253 W01757-N1305 W02117 TOP FL450 MOV NE 10KT NC=  010 WSMC31 GMMC 222306 GMMM SIGMET S8 VALID 230230/230630 GMMC- GMMM CASABLANCA FIR EMBD TS FCST W OF LINE N3452 W01240 - N2904 W009 18 - N2602 W00940 N2559 W01158 - N2123 W01322 TOP FL420 MOV NE NC=  276 WWUS64 KSJT 222307 WCNSJT WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 519 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 607 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC095-105-235-267-327-413-435-451-230500- /O.NEW.KSJT.SV.A.0519.151022T2307Z-151023T0500Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 519 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS CONCHO CROCKETT IRION KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER SUTTON TOM GREEN THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...EDEN...ELDORADO...JUNCTION... MENARD...MERTZON...OZONA...SAN ANGELO AND SONORA. $$  424 WHUS74 KHGX 222310 MWWHGX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 610 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT... .MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. GMZ330-230015- /O.CAN.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ MATAGORDA BAY- 610 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW SUSTAINED 20 KNOT SPEEDS NEEDED FOR A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THAT BEING SAID...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STILL EXERCISE CAUTION. $$ GMZ350-355-230715- /O.CON.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM- 610 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...5 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ370-375-230715- /O.CON.KHGX.SC.Y.0090.000000T0000Z-151024T0000Z/ WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM- 610 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. * SEAS...8 TO 11 FEET THIS EVENING SLOWLY DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 7 FEET FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  473 WWUS84 KBRO 222310 SPSBRO SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 610 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ254-256-230015- INLAND WILLACY TX-COASTAL WILLACY TX- 610 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN KENEDY...CENTRAL WILLACY AND NORTHERN CAMERON COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT... AT 609 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ARROYO CITY...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PORT MANSFIELD...SAN PERLITA...PORT MANSFIELD CHAMBER OF COMMERCE... PORT MANSFIELD AIRPORT...SANTA MONICA...WILLAMAR...PORFIRIO AND SAN PERLITA HIGH SCHOOL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 2651 9741 2649 9741 2651 9742 2651 9743 2648 9745 2647 9743 2647 9742 2645 9746 2647 9740 2642 9745 2642 9741 2633 9745 2632 9764 2660 9764 2659 9743 2651 9739 TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 201DEG 31KT 2641 9750 $$ TOMASELLI  701 WAAB31 LATI 222304 LAAA AIRMET 5 VALID 222315/230200 LATI- LAAA TIRANA FIR ISOL TCU/CB FCST SE OF FIR MOV NW WKN=  235 WUUS54 KMAF 222311 SVRMAF TXC443-222345- /O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0271.151022T2311Z-151022T2345Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 611 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 645 PM CDT * AT 611 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SHEFFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && LAT...LON 3052 10168 3050 10168 3049 10169 3048 10169 3049 10182 3056 10184 3060 10166 3056 10165 3055 10165 TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 259DEG 21KT 3054 10175 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$ 70  932 WHUS71 KBOX 222312 MWWBOX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 712 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ230-236-230015- /O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY- 712 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A FEW LINGERING GUSTS BETWEEN 20-25 KTS POSSIBLE BUT THE OVERALL THREAT TO SMALL CRAFTS HAS SUBSIDED. $$ ANZ232>235-237-230715- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T0900Z/ NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- 712 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ250-254-255-230715- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151024T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- 712 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ256-230715- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151023T2100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 712 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ231-251-230715- /O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0257.000000T0000Z-151024T0900Z/ CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 712 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON  694 WSUY31 SUMU 222316 SUEO SIGMET 1 VALID 222315/230315 SUMU- SUEO MONTEVIDEO FIR OBSC TS OBS/FCST WI S3310 W05815- S3321 W05616- S3427 W05325- S3542 W05349- S3516 W05632- S3420 W05817 S3310 W05815 TOP FL380 MOV NE 10KT NC=  299 WUUS54 KSJT 222318 SVRSJT TXC105-230015- /O.NEW.KSJT.SV.W.0311.151022T2318Z-151023T0015Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 618 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CROCKETT COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS... * UNTIL 715 PM CDT * AT 617 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SHEFFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL CROCKETT COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...THE INTERSECTION OF I-10 AND HIGHWAY 405...FT LANCASTER AND THE INTERSECTION OF I-10 AND HIGHWAY 290. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 332 AND 352. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN SAN ANGELO. && LAT...LON 3049 10169 3055 10165 3059 10166 3062 10166 3065 10171 3065 10177 3068 10178 3075 10173 3078 10146 3048 10129 3046 10169 TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 263DEG 18KT 3055 10170 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  968 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222318 SBAZ SIGMET 27 VALID 222330/230200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0654 W06029 - S0929 W06527 - S1048 W07036 - S0719 W07332 - S0333 W06859 - S0605 W06701 - S0654 W06029 TOP FL400 MOV NE 20KT NC=  568 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAZ SIGMET 16 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1227 W05705 - S1057 W05141 - S1303 W05331 - S1650 W05306 - S1740 W05435 - S1752 W05737 - S1227 W05705 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  569 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBCW 222124  570 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBCW 222013  571 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222031  572 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAZ SIGMET 21 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0032 W05033 - S0034 W04909 - S0229 W04825 - S0300 W04959 - S0200 W05049 - S0032 W05033 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  573 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222141  574 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222139  576 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAZ SIGMET 20 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI N0108 W06841 - N0046 W06531 - N0330 W06211 - N0120 W05944 - S0652 W06031 - S0603 W06656 - S0308 W06901 - N0108 W06841 TOP FL360 MOV NW 15KT INTSF=  579 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAO SIGMET 11 VALID 221900/222300 SBRE-SBAO ATLANTICO FIR SEV ICE FCST WI S2307 W03458 - S2524 W03617 - S3024 W03833 - S3156 W03843- S3232 W03532 - S3052 W03514 - S2755 W03404 - S2628 W03126 - S2307 W03458 FL140/200 STNRWKN=  586 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAZ SIGMET 22 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0635 W05020 - S0720 W04841 - S1017 W04954 - S1006 W05151 - S0820 W05120 - S0635 W05020 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  587 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBRE 221743 CCA  588 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBRE SIGMET 1 VALID 222205/230205 SBRE-SBRE RECIFE FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S1910 W04229 - S1958 W03959 - S2044 W03948 - S2052 W04000- S2056 W04015 - S2054 W04034 - S2041 W04049 - S2024 W04058 - S2037 W04200 - S2027 W04235 -S1928 W04228 - S1910 W04229 TOP FL390 STNR INTSF=  589 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222229  590 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBRE 222202  141 WGUS54 KBRO 222321 FFWBRO TXC061-489-230045- /O.NEW.KBRO.FF.W.0049.151022T2321Z-151023T0045Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 621 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL WILLACY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... NORTH CENTRAL CAMERON COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... * UNTIL 745 PM CDT * AT 618 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN WITHIN THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... ARROYO CITY...SAN PERLITA...PORT MANSFIELD AIRPORT...SANTA MONICA...WILLAMAR...PORFIRIO...SAN PERLITA HIGH SCHOOL... FM 1420...FM 508...HIGHWAY 186...FM 490...FM 498...AND FM 2099. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. ARROYOS...STREAMS AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. && LAT...LON 2629 9742 2627 9764 2660 9769 2660 9744 2650 9743 2649 9744 2647 9744 2646 9743 2646 9744 2645 9746 2644 9745 2645 9745 2645 9743 2642 9743 2641 9745 2641 9743 2637 9744 2638 9743 $$ TOMASELLI  619 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222320 SBAZ SIGMET 28 VALID 222330/230200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0317 W06901 - N0106 W06843 - N0041 W06534 - N0326 W06218 - N0127 W05944 - S0649 W06029 - S0553 W06653 - S0317 W06901 TOP FL400 MOV NE 20KT NC=  712 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 WSBZ31 SBCW 221956  713 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAZ SIGMET 17 VALID 222030/222300 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0312 W06936 - S1000 W06606 - S1102 W07029 - S0727 W07344 - S0600 W07224 - S0312 W06936 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  714 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAZ SIGMET 23 VALID 222140/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0234 W05542 - S0255 W05320 - S0649 W05123 - S0758 W05349 - S0434 W05639 - S0234 W05542 TOP FL460 STNR INTSF=  715 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBAZ SIGMET 26 VALID 222230/222330 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S0157 W05053 - S0001 W05234 - N0137 W05139 - N0043 W04951 - S0031 W04910 - S0031 W05033 - S0159 W05051 - S0157 W05053 TOP FL380 STNR INTSF=  716 WSBZ01 SBBR 222300 SBCW SIGMET 24 VALID 222125/222400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FCST WI S2400 W04233- S2240 W04036- S2044 W03948- S2054 W04034 - S2048 W04040 - S2024 W04058 - S2400 W04233 TOP FL400 MOV E 08KT NC=  035 WWUS54 KMAF 222322 SVSMAF SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 622 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC443-222330- /O.EXP.KMAF.SV.W.0270.000000T0000Z-151022T2330Z/ TERRELL TX- 622 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE EARLIER WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE THIS WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. LAT...LON 3005 10208 3010 10209 3019 10184 3006 10180 TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 252DEG 14KT 3009 10201 $$ 70  300 ACCA62 TJSJ 222322 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES EN MIAMI FLORIDA TRADUCCION POR LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 800 PM EDT JUEVES 22 DE OCTUBRE DE 2015 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO: NO SE ANTICIPA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS 5 DIAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR AVILA  645 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222323 SBAZ SIGMET 29 VALID 222330/230200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI N0146 W05200 - N0047 W04954 - S0236 W04829 - S0309 W05020 - S0017 W05316 - N0146 W05200 TOP FL400 MOV W 15KT NC=  993 WSCG31 FCBB 222322 COR FCCC SIGMET B4 VALID 222150/0150 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2045Z W OF LINE N0641 E01104 - N0514 E01006 TOP FL400 MOV W 10KT WKN=  010 WOUS64 KWNS 222324 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 519 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 624 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 519 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC095-105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-230500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0519.000000T0000Z-151023T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...  670 WHXX04 KWBC 222324 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE PATRICIA 20E INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 15.1 104.1 295./12.0 6 15.9 104.5 333./ 8.9 12 17.0 105.2 328./12.7 18 17.7 105.6 334./ 7.8 24 18.8 105.2 18./11.0 30 21.1 104.9 6./23.7 36 22.9 104.3 19./18.4 42 24.9 102.2 47./28.0 48 25.9 99.5 69./26.6 54 26.7 98.6 48./11.3 60 27.3 97.7 58./ 9.8 66 27.7 97.0 56./ 7.6 72 28.0 96.2 72./ 7.2 78 28.5 95.8 44./ 6.2 84 28.8 96.0 333./ 3.8 90 28.9 96.3 288./ 3.1 96 29.0 96.6 281./ 2.3 102 29.0 96.4 90./ 1.4 108 29.4 95.9 44./ 6.0 114 30.6 95.4 25./12.6 120 32.6 94.5 24./21.9 126 34.7 92.6 43./26.1  318 WWUS84 KSJT 222326 SPSSJT SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 626 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ128-139-230015- COLEMAN TX-CALLAHAN TX- 626 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CALLAHAN AND NORTHERN COLEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT... AT 625 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SILVER VALLEY...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLEMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... SILVER VALLEY AROUND 635 PM CDT. COLEMAN AROUND 640 PM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE US- 283 NEAR THE COLEMAN-CALLAHAN COUNTY LINE...LAKE COLEMAN... HORDS CREEK RESERVOIR AND ECHO. LAT...LON 3178 9961 3195 9970 3226 9934 3187 9921 TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 241DEG 20KT 3191 9958 $$ MC  652 WSBZ31 SBAZ 222325 SBAZ SIGMET 30 VALID 222330/230200 SBAZ-SBAZ AMAZONICA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S0229 W05538 - S0246 W05259 - S0711 W04829 - S1009 W04946 - S0930 W05405 - S0430 W05647 - S0229 W05538 TOP FL400 MOV NW 15KT NC=  125 WHXX04 KWBC 222325 CHGQLM ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR HURRICANE OLAF 19E INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 22 DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECAST STORM POSITION HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT) 0 13.5 146.3 320./ 5.0 6 14.1 146.6 338./ 6.9 12 14.5 146.9 314./ 4.8 18 15.2 146.9 358./ 7.2 24 15.9 147.0 357./ 6.7 30 16.8 146.8 8./ 9.1 36 17.5 146.5 23./ 8.1 42 18.3 146.3 14./ 7.6 48 18.8 146.1 20./ 5.9 54 19.6 145.9 18./ 8.1 60 20.1 145.7 17./ 5.2 66 20.6 145.5 24./ 6.0 72 21.2 145.0 43./ 7.2 78 22.0 144.1 49./11.3 84 22.8 143.0 53./13.3 90 23.7 141.4 59./17.0 96 24.9 139.4 61./21.9 102 26.0 137.1 65./23.2 108 27.1 134.8 63./23.9 114 28.6 132.4 58./25.2 120 30.5 130.1 50./27.4 126 32.9 128.1 41./30.1  981 WWUS84 KEWX 222327 SPSEWX SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 627 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXZ183-230015- VAL VERDE TX- 627 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN VAL VERDE COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM CDT... AT 625 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF PUMPVILLE...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF DRYDEN... MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HACKBERRY CROSSING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. LAT...LON 3029 10176 3029 10162 3028 10161 3009 10154 3008 10154 3005 10176 TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 252DEG 12KT 3014 10186 $$ MSL  055 WOCN13 CWNT 222326 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 6:26 PM CDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. --------------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR: ARVIAT RANKIN REGION INCLUDING WHALE COVE CHESTERFIELD INLET BAKER LAKE REPULSE BAY. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A DISTURBANCE TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE KIVALLIQ WILL BRING SNOW FOLLOWED BY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. OVER SOUTHERN KIVALLIQ A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING A FEW CENTIMETERS OF SNOW TO THE REGION BEFORE TAPERING OFF TOMORROW MORNING. THE AREA WILL AWAKEN TO MILD CONDITIONS FRIDAY MORNING, HOWEVER A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL ARCTIC WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. IN ITS WAKE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGHOUT THE KIVALLIQ WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 80 KM/H OR GREATER OVER A NUMBER OF LOCALITIES. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH THE STRONG WINDS CREATING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AS WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED OR EXTENDED. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FROM ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT WWW.WEATHER.GC.CA END  928 WSMS31 WMKK 222328 WBFC SIGMET B04 VALID 222335/230335 WBKK - WBFC KOTA KINABALU FIR EMBD TS OBS NW OF LINE N03 E11230 - N0610 E116 STNR INTSF=  102 WSMA31 FIMP 222300 FIMM SIGMET A06 VALID 222300/230300 FIMP- FIMM MAURITIUS FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2230Z WI S0700 E06000 - S0700 E07500 - S1000 E07500 - S1000 E06000 -S0700 E06000 TOP ABV FL410 STNR INTSF=  489 ACPN50 PHFO 222331 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 200 PM HST THU OCT 22 2015 FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180 1. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE OLAF...LOCATED ABOUT 910 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA35 PHFO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. $$  885 WWUS54 KSJT 222333 SVSSJT SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 633 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC105-230015- /O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0311.000000T0000Z-151023T0015Z/ CROCKETT TX- 633 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL CROCKETT COUNTY... AT 633 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SHEFFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FT LANCASTER AND THE INTERSECTION OF I-10 AND HIGHWAY 290. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 341 AND 346. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN SAN ANGELO. && LAT...LON 3052 10167 3055 10165 3059 10166 3062 10166 3065 10171 3077 10155 3053 10140 TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 250DEG 10KT 3057 10169 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH $$  264 WSMX31 MMMX 222333 MMEX SIGMET A1 VALID 222332/230332 MMMX- MMFR MEXICO FIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2332Z WI N2029 W10648 - N2024 W10516 - N1804 W10653 - N1743 W10809 - N1842 W10759 - N2029 W10648 CB TOP ABV FL450 MOV NW 10 KT INTSF. =  866 WSBO31 SLLP 222323 SLLF SIGMET C1 VALID 222320/230220 SLLP- SLLF LA PAZ FIR EMBD TS OBS AND FCST AT 2320Z WI S1055 W06701 S1031 W06708 S0949 W06532 S1144 W06534 S1153 W06625 S1148 W06618 TOP FL400 MOV SW 06KT INTSF=  124 WHUS71 KBUF 222337 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 737 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 LOZ043-044-230745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 737 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042-230745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 737 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-230745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0131.000000T0000Z-151023T1200Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 737 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  388 WHUS71 KLWX 222337 MWWLWX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 737 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ANZ530>532-538>540-230800- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0400Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- 737 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ533-534-537-541>543-230800- /O.CON.KLWX.SC.Y.0316.151023T0800Z-151023T2200Z/ CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND- 737 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...18 TO 33 KNOTS WITHIN THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$  122 WWCN02 CYTR 222342 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR CFB TRENTON PREPARED BY THE JOINT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE AT 7:41 PM EDT THURSDAY 22 OCTOBER 2015. LOCATION: CFB TRENTON (CYTR) TYPE: WHITE WIND WARNING ENDED COMMENTS: WIND IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA. END/JMC  378 WOUS64 KWNS 222343 WOU9 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 519 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 643 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 519 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC095-105-137-235-267-327-413-435-451-465-230500- /O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0519.000000T0000Z-151023T0500Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION KIMBLE MENARD SCHLEICHER SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE $$ ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...  845 WACN22 CWAO 222344 CZEG AIRMET F3 VALID 222340/230250 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR CNCL AIRMET F2 222250/230250 RMK GFACN32=  847 WACN02 CWAO 222344 CZEG AIRMET F3 VALID 222340/230250 CWEG- CZEG EDMONTON FIR CNCL AIRMET F2 222250/230250=  827 WSSR20 WSSS 222347 WSJC SIGMET 8 VALID 230000/230400 WSSS- WSJC SINGAPORE FIR EMBD TS FCST N OF N04 AND W OF E10515 INTSF AND EMBD TS OBS SE OF LINE N0630 E112 - N0045 E10515 NC=  663 WSCG31 FCBB 222344 FCCC SIGMET F1 VALID 230000/230400 FCBB- FCCC BRAZZAVILLE FIR/UIR EMBD TS OBS AT 2330Z E OF LINE S0208 E01303 - S0410 E01325 TOP FL450 MOV W 15KT NC=  745 WWUS54 KSJT 222347 SVSSJT SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 647 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 TXC105-222357- /O.CAN.KSJT.SV.W.0311.000000T0000Z-151023T0015Z/ CROCKETT TX- 647 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CROCKETT COUNTY IS CANCELLED... THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO. LAT...LON 3052 10167 3055 10165 3059 10166 3062 10166 3065 10171 3077 10155 3053 10140 TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 263DEG 18KT 3058 10161 $$  921 WTPZ35 KNHC 222347 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 700 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE PATRICIA WITH 150-MPH WINDS HEADED FOR SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 104.8W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * San Blas to Punta San Telmo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within about 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Patricia was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 104.8 West. Patricia is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected by early Friday, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast Friday night. On the forecast track, the core of Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Satellite images indicate that Patricia has continued to intensify and maximum sustained winds have reached near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Patricia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Patricia could become a category 5 hurricane overnight, and is expected to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through landfall. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 934 mb (27.58 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane warning area Friday afternoon or evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area late Friday. RAINFALL: Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later today into Saturday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Patricia are already affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico, and will spread northwestward during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake  747 WWUS45 KPUB 222349 WSWPUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 549 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 COZ058-060-066-068-230100- /O.EXP.KPUB.WW.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-151023T0000Z/ WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS... MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS... WOLF CREEK PASS 549 PM MDT THU OCT 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF TONIGHT ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WITH ONLY SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM. $$  623 WSCR31 LEMM 222345 GCCC SIGMET 9 VALID 222345/230345 GCGC- GCCC CANARIAS FIR/UIR SEV TURB FCST WI N30 W025 - N30 W022 - N25 W022 - N25 W025 FL270/330 MOV E NC=  423 WVRA31 RUPK 222354 UHPP SIGMET 16 VALID 222354/230220 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR CNL SIGMET 15 222107/230220=  549 WSBZ31 SBCW 222354 SBCW SIGMET 1 VALID 230000/230400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2232 W05542 - S2040 W05036- S2258 W04753- S2723 W04756 - S2647 W 05056 - S2536 W05429 - S2232 W05542 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  279 WBCN07 CWVR 222300 PAM ROCKS WIND 1706 LANGARA; CLDY 15 SW08 2FT CHP LO-MOD W SHWRS DSNT W 2330 CLD EST 10 FEW BKN ABV 25 11/10 GREEN; CLDY 15RW- SE21E 4FT MDT 2330 CLD EST 10 FEW 17 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/09 TRIPLE; OVC 15 SW17E 3FT MDT LO SW SHWRS DSNT S-NW 2330 CLD EST 15 FEW 24 FEW OVC ABV 25 11/09 BONILLA; CLDY 15 SW12 2FT CHP LO S SWT 11.4 2330 CLD EST 20 FEW BKN ABV 25 12/10 BOAT BLUFF; CLDY 10 SE09 1FT CHP SHWRS DSNT SE 2330 CLD EST 18 FEW 23 BKN BKN ABV 25 11/10 MCINNES; CLDY 15 SE05E 1FT CHP LO SW SHWRS DSNT N-E 2330 CLD EST 10 FEW 25 BKN BKN ABV 25 13/08 IVORY; CLDY 15 SE11 1FT CHP LO SW 2330 CLD EST 12 SCT BKN ABV 25 12/10 DRYAD; CLDY 15RW- SE07 RPLD 2330 CLD EST 10 SCT 20 BKN BKN ABV 25 11/10 ADDENBROKE; CLDY 15R- SE05E 1FT CHP 2330 CLD EST 10 SCT 20 BKN BKN ABV 25 10/10 EGG ISLAND; CLDY 15 SE09 2FT CHP MDT W 2340 CLD EST 10 FEW BKN ABV 25 11/10 PINE ISLAND; CLDY 15RW- SE20E 4FT MDT MDT W SHWRS SE 2340 CLD EST 10 SCT BKN ABV 25 11/11 CAPE SCOTT; CLDY 15 SW10E 3FT MDT LO-MDT SW 2340 CLD EST 16 SCT BKN ABV 25 13/11 QUATSINO; CLDY 15 SW10E 3FT MDT LO SW 2340 CLD EST 16 SCT BKN ABV 25 13/13 NOOTKA; CLDY 15 E03 1FT CHP LO MOD SW 2340 CLD EST 8 FEW 24 SCT BKN ABV 25 12/12 ESTEVAN; CLDY 15 SE08 2FT CHP MOD SW 1023.7S LENNARD; CLDY 10RW- NE03 1FT CHP MOD SW AMPHITRITE; N/A CAPE BEALE; PC 12 SE03 1FT CHP MOD SW PACHENA; PC 12 CLM 3FT MDT MOD SW EWOS W15 CARMANAH; PC 12 SW03E 1FT CHP MOD SW SCARLETT; CLDY 4RW-F SE17E 3FT MDT LO NW PULTENEY; OVC 15 E15E 2FT CHP SHWRS DSNT E CHATHAM; CLDY 12 SE03E RPLD K DSNT NW 2340 CLD EST 5 FEW 12 SCT BKN ABV 25 10/09 CHROME; N/A MERRY; N/A ENTRANCE; N/A FIRST NARROWS; N/A JERICHO; N/A TSAWWASSEN; N/A TRIAL IS.; N/A Latest Automatic Weather Reports WEZ SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 249/13/09/0301/M/0002 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR 6008 71MM= WLP SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 226/11/09/1320/M/0020 PK WND 1225 2240Z 5003 72MM= WEB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 252/12/11/1006/M/0039 6006 21MM= WQC SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 249/14/08/2804/M/0002 PCPN 0.2MM PAST HR 6011 84MM= WRU SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 235/13/11/1911/M/0014 PK WND 2117 2202Z 5001 66MM= WFG SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 231/13/09/2709/M/0002 1010 03MM= WVF SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/12/09/0201/M/M M 87MM= WQS SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 170/12/09/2214/M/0002 PK WND 2318 2222Z 0003 16MM= WRO SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 165/12/10/1907/M/ 2008 08MM= WEK SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 166/11/10/1718/M/0010 PK WND 1623 2209Z 1005 35MM= WWL SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 176/12/08/1915/M/ PK WND 1919 2253Z 1008 54MM= WME SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 221/09/07/1704/M/0066 PCPN 1.0MM PAST HR 3004 71MM= WAS SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 241/13/09/1706/M/ 6006 38MM= WSB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 243/12/08/2703/M/ 6006 65MM= WGT SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 246/11/08/1308/M/M 6012 23MM= WGB SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 245/11/08/0905/M/ 7009 25MM= WEL SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 249/12/09/1203/M/ 7008 93MM= WDR SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 234/11/M/1802/M/M 6012 3MMM= WZO SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1901/M/M M MMMM= WKA SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M M/M/M/1207/M/M M MMMM= XFA SA 2300 AUTO8 M M M 238/10/08/0810/M/ 6006 44MM=  523 WSBZ31 SBCW 222354 SBCW SIGMET 2 VALID 230000/230400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR EMBD TS FC ST WI S2030 W04403- S2302 W04147- S2130 W03904- S2015 W04017 - S2038 W0 4202 - S2012 W04320 - S2030 W04403 TOP FL420 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  988 WSUS32 KKCI 222355 SIGC MKCC WST 222355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET 58C VALID UNTIL 0155Z TX OK FROM 40ESE TUL-40ESE MLC-20ESE TTT-30ENE SJT-50NNE ABI-40ESE TUL AREA EMBD TS MOV FROM 21035KT. TOPS ABV FL450. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 59C VALID UNTIL 0155Z TX FROM 20WNW SJT-70ESE FST LINE SEV TS 30 NM WIDE MOV FROM 25020KT. TOPS ABV FL450. HAIL TO 1 IN...WIND GUSTS TO 50KT POSS. CONVECTIVE SIGMET 60C VALID UNTIL 0155Z TX AND CSTL WTRS FROM 60ESE CRP-50NW BRO LINE EMBD TS 35 NM WIDE MOV FROM 17010KT. TOPS ABV FL450. OUTLOOK VALID 230155-230555 AREA 1...FROM 40W OVR-50SW PWE-50NE ICT-RZC-50S CDS-60SSW TCC-60S TBE-LBL-30SE LBF-40W OVR WST ISSUANCES EXPD. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS. AREA 2...FROM RZC-60E ACT-100SE PSX-80E BRO-BRO-60SSE LRD-DLF-70WNW DLF-30S MAF-50S CDS-RZC WST ISSUANCES POSS. REFER TO MOST RECENT ACUS01 KWNS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR SYNOPSIS AND METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.  989 WSUS31 KKCI 222355 SIGE MKCE WST 222355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 230155-230555 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  990 WSUS33 KKCI 222355 SIGW MKCW WST 222355 CONVECTIVE SIGMET...NONE OUTLOOK VALID 230155-230555 TS ARE NOT EXPD TO REQUIRE WST ISSUANCES.  041 WSBZ31 SBCW 222354 SBCW SIGMET 3 VALID 230000/230400 SBCW - SBCW CURITIBA FIR SEV ICE FC ST WI S2258 W04753- S2330 W04656- S2030 W04403- S2302 W04147 - S3000 W0 4627 - S2915 W04920 - S2258 W04753 FL120/180 MOV ENE 08KT NC=  353 WVRA31 RUPK 222357 UHPP SIGMET 17 VALID 222357/230520 UHPP- UHPP PETROPAVLOVSK-KAMCHATSKY FIR VA ERUPTION MT SHEVELUCH PSN N5638 E16119 VA CLD OBS AT 2320Z WI N5707 E16313 - N5700 E16425 - N5634 E16517 - N5612 E16429 - N5639 E16405 - N5645 E16316 - N5707 E16313 SFC/FL240 MOV E 40KMH FCST 0520Z VA CLD APRX N5944 E16213 - N5831 E16808 - N5741 E16742 - N5806 E16435 - N5918 E16136 - N5944 E16213=  578 WTSR20 WSSS 221800 NO STORM WARNING=  795 WSNZ21 NZKL 222359 NZZC SIGMET 2 VALID 230006/230406 NZKL- NZZC NEW ZEALAND FIR SEV TURB FCST WI S4630 E17000 - S4740 E16850 - S4730 E16720 - S4630 E16610 - S4600 E16640 - S4630 E17000 SFC/8000FT STNR NC=  848 WWST03 SABM 222100 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR NAVTEX STATIONS - METAREA 6 - OCTOBER 22, 21:00UTC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS NO WARNINGS GENERAL SINOPSIS: LOW 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTENDS CFNT AT 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIATED WITH OFNT AT 45S 57W 41S 58W HIGH 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC ICEBERG AT 58 57S 48 32W ESTIMATED SIZE 26 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE ICEBERG AT 59 24S 50 37W ESTIMATED SIZE 24 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 00:00 UTC 2015-10-24 NAVTEX STATIONS FCST: BUENOS AIRES: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD BAHIA BLANCA: SECTOR S 4 BACK SE VIS GOOD. MAR DEL PLATA: SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE. COMODORO RIVADAVIA: SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD. RIO GALLEGOS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS GOOD. USHUAIA: SECTOR W 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  849 WWST02 SABM 222100 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC OCTOBER 22, 2015. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS PART 1 GALE WARNING: WARNING 257: LOW 1007HPA AT 44S 54W MOV E DEEPENING EXPECTED 42S 47W BY 23/2100 PROVOKES WINDS FORCE 8 FROM SECTOR S BETWEEN 40S-45S AND 55W-60W PART 2 GENERAL SYNOPSIS AT 21:00UTC LOW 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTENDS CFNT AT 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIATED WITH OFNT AT 45S 57W 41S 58W HIGH 1021HPA 42S 42W MOV E NC HIGH 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC CFNT AT 55S 61W 59S 52W 64S 54W MOV E ICEBERG AT 58 57S 48 32W ESTIMATED SIZE 26 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE ICEBERG AT 59 24S 50 37W ESTIMATED SIZE 24 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE PART 3 FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 00:00 UTC 2015-10-24 COASTAL AREAS: INNER RIO DE LA PLATA: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD OUTER RIO DE LA PLATA: SECTOR S 4/5 PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD URUGUAY SOUTH EAST COASTS: SECTOR S 4 PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD MAR DEL PLATA COASTS(36š17S - 38š30S): SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE RINCON BAHIA BLANCA COASTS(38š30S - 41šS): SECTOR S 4 BACK SE VIS GOOD PENINSULA DE VALDES COASTS(41šS - 45šS): SECTOR S 7 WITH GUSTS DECR SECTOR E 4 PROB OF SH RAIN IMPR VIS POOR TO GOOD GOLFO DE SAN JORGE COASTS(45šS - 48šS): SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD SOUTH PATAGONIA COASTS(48šS - 54šS): SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS GOOD FIN DEL MUNDO COASTS(54šS - 55šS): SECTOR W 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W 5 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE OCEANIC AREAS: NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) E OF 35W: SECTOR S 4 BACK SECTOR E VIS GOOD NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) W OF 35 - E OF 45W: SECTOR E 4 BACK SECTOR N 6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN STARTING EVENING VIS GOOD TO MODERATE NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR W 7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE TO POOR CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) E OF 30W: SW 5/7 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS MODERATE CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 5 VEER VRB 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) N OF 45 - E OF 50W: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S 8 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) W OF 50 - N OF 45S: SECTOR E 8 WITH GUSTS VEER SECTOR S PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S PROB OF SH RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) N OF 55S: SECTOR W 7/8 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN SNOW FALL VIS MODERATE OCNL GOOD SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 7 WITH GUSTS TEMPO VEER SECTOR N 8 PROB OF RAIN SNOW FALL VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) E OF 50W: SECTOR W 5/7 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR W 4/6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE DRAKE AREA (55S- 60S AND 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/6 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  850 WWST01 SABM 222100 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 2015-10-22 , 21:00 UTC. SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL HORA Y FECHA EN REFERENCIA AL TIEMPO UNIVERSAL COORDINADO (UTC), PRESION EN HPA, ESCALA BEAUFORT PARA VIENTO Y ALTURA DE OLAS EN METROS. 1 PARTE AVISO DE TEMPORAL: AVISO 257: DEPRESION 1007HPA EN 44S 54W MOV E PROFUNDIZANDOSE PREVISTO EN 42S 47W EL 23/2100 PROVOCA VIENTO FUERZA 8 DEL SECTOR S EN 40S-45S 55W-60W 2 PARTE SINOPSIS GENERAL A LAS 21:00UTC DEPRESION 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTIENDE CFNT EN 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIADO CON OFNT LINEA 45S 57W 41S 58W ANTICICLON 1021HPA 42S 42W MOV E NC ANTICICLON 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC CFNT LINEA 55S 61W 59S 52W 64S 54W MOV E TEMPANO EN 58 57S 48 32W TAMAŅO ESTIMADO 26 X 14KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE TEMPANO EN 59 24S 50 37W TAMAŅO ESTIMADO 24 X 14KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE 3 PARTE PRONOSTICO DE LAS 00:00 UTC VALIDO HASTA LAS 00:00 UTC DEL DIA 24-10-2015 ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA INTERIOR: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA RIO DE LA PLATA EXTERIOR: SECTOR S 4/5 PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA SUDESTE DEL URUGUAY: SECTOR S 4 PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA MAR DEL PLATA(36š17S - 38š30S): SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR RINCON BAHIA BLANCA(38š30S - 41šS): SECTOR S 4 BACK SE VIS BUENA COSTA PENINSULA DE VALDES(41šS - 45šS): SECTOR S 7 CON RAFAGAS DECR SECTOR E 4 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS MEJORANDO VIS MALA A BUENA GOLFO DE SAN JORGE(45šS - 48šS): SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA PATAGONIA SUR(48šS - 54šS): SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS BUENA COSTA FIN DEL MUNDO(54šS - 55šS): SECTOR W 4 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR COSTA DE ISLAS MALVINAS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W 5 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREAS OCEANICAS: AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) E DE 35W: SECTOR S 4 BACK SECTOR E VIS BUENA AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) W DE 35 - E DE 45W: SECTOR E 4 BACK SECTOR N 6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH LLUVIAS A PARTIR DE LA TARDE VIS BUENA A REGULAR AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR W 7 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR A MALA AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) E DE 30W: SW 5/7 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 5 VEER VRB 4 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) N DE 45 - E DE 50W: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S 8 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) W DE 50 - N DE 45S: SECTOR E 8 CON RAFAGAS VEER SECTOR S PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S PROB DE SH LLUVIAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) N DE 55S: SECTOR W 7/8 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS NEVADAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR OCNL BUENA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 7 CON RAFAGAS TEMPO VEER SECTOR N 8 PROB DE LLUVIAS NEVADAS VIS REGULAR OCNL MALA AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) E DE 50W: SECTOR W 5/7 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR W 4/6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREA PASAJE DE DRAKE (55S- 60S Y 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/6 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  142 WWST01 SABM 222100 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 2015-10-22 , 21:00 UTC. SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL HORA Y FECHA EN REFERENCIA AL TIEMPO UNIVERSAL COORDINADO (UTC), PRESION EN HPA, ESCALA BEAUFORT PARA VIENTO Y ALTURA DE OLAS EN METROS. 1 PARTE AVISO DE TEMPORAL: AVISO 257: DEPRESION 1007HPA EN 44S 54W MOV E PROFUNDIZANDOSE PREVISTO EN 42S 47W EL 23/2100 PROVOCA VIENTO FUERZA 8 DEL SECTOR S EN 40S-45S 55W-60W 2 PARTE SINOPSIS GENERAL A LAS 21:00UTC DEPRESION 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTIENDE CFNT EN 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIADO CON OFNT LINEA 45S 57W 41S 58W ANTICICLON 1021HPA 42S 42W MOV E NC ANTICICLON 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC CFNT LINEA 55S 61W 59S 52W 64S 54W MOV E TEMPANO EN 58 57S 48 32W TAMA?O ESTIMADO 26 X 14KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE TEMPANO EN 59 24S 50 37W TAMA?O ESTIMADO 24 X 14KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE 3 PARTE PRONOSTICO DE LAS 00:00 UTC VALIDO HASTA LAS 00:00 UTC DEL DIA 24-10-2015 ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA INTERIOR: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA RIO DE LA PLATA EXTERIOR: SECTOR S 4/5 PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA SUDESTE DEL URUGUAY: SECTOR S 4 PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA MAR DEL PLATA(36?17S - 38?30S): SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR RINCON BAHIA BLANCA(38?30S - 41?S): SW 7/8 CON RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 BACK SECTOR E 7 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA PENINSULA DE VALDES(41?S - 45?S): SECTOR S 7 CON RAFAGAS DECR SECTOR E 4 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS MEJORANDO VIS MALA A BUENA GOLFO DE SAN JORGE(45?S - 48?S): SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA PATAGONIA SUR(48?S - 54?S): SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS BUENA COSTA FIN DEL MUNDO(54?S - 55?S): SECTOR W 4 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR COSTA DE ISLAS MALVINAS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W 5 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREAS OCEANICAS: AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) E DE 35W: SECTOR S 4 BACK SECTOR E VIS BUENA AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) W DE 35 - E DE 45W: SECTOR E 4 BACK SECTOR N 6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH LLUVIAS A PARTIR DE LA TARDE VIS BUENA A REGULAR AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR W 7 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR A MALA AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) E DE 30W: SW 5/7 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 5 VEER VRB 4 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) N DE 45 - E DE 50W: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S 8 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) W DE 50 - N DE 45S: SECTOR E 8 CON RAFAGAS VEER SECTOR S PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S PROB DE SH LLUVIAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) N DE 55S: SECTOR W 7/8 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS NEVADAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR OCNL BUENA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 7 CON RAFAGAS TEMPO VEER SECTOR N 8 PROB DE LLUVIAS NEVADAS VIS REGULAR OCNL MALA AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) E DE 50W: SECTOR W 5/7 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR W 4/6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREA PASAJE DE DRAKE (55S- 60S Y 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/6 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR -----------------------------------------------------------------  143 WWST02 SABM 222100 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC OCTOBER 22, 2015. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS PART 1 GALE WARNING: WARNING 257: LOW 1007HPA AT 44S 54W MOV E DEEPENING EXPECTED 42S 47W BY 23/2100 PROVOKES WINDS FORCE 8 FROM SECTOR S BETWEEN 40S-45S AND 55W-60W PART 2 GENERAL SYNOPSIS AT 21:00UTC LOW 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTENDS CFNT AT 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIATED WITH OFNT AT 45S 57W 41S 58W HIGH 1021HPA 42S 42W MOV E NC HIGH 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC CFNT AT 55S 61W 59S 52W 64S 54W MOV E ICEBERG AT 58 57S 48 32W ESTIMATED SIZE 26 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE ICEBERG AT 59 24S 50 37W ESTIMATED SIZE 24 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE PART 3 FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 00:00 UTC 2015-10-24 COASTAL AREAS: INNER RIO DE LA PLATA: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD OUTER RIO DE LA PLATA: SECTOR S 4/5 PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD URUGUAY SOUTH EAST COASTS: SECTOR S 4 PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD MAR DEL PLATA COASTS(36?17S - 38?30S): SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE RINCON BAHIA BLANCA COASTS(38?30S - 41?S): SW 7/8 BACK SECTOR E 7 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS POOR A GOOD PENINSULA DE VALDES COASTS(41?S - 45?S): SECTOR S 7 WITH GUSTS DECR SECTOR E 4 PROB OF SH RAIN IMPR VIS POOR TO GOOD GOLFO DE SAN JORGE COASTS(45?S - 48?S): SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD SOUTH PATAGONIA COASTS(48?S - 54?S): SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS GOOD FIN DEL MUNDO COASTS(54?S - 55?S): SECTOR W 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W 5 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE OCEANIC AREAS: NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) E OF 35W: SECTOR S 4 BACK SECTOR E VIS GOOD NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) W OF 35 - E OF 45W: SECTOR E 4 BACK SECTOR N 6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN STARTING EVENING VIS GOOD TO MODERATE NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR W 7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE TO POOR CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) E OF 30W: SW 5/7 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS MODERATE CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 5 VEER VRB 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) N OF 45 - E OF 50W: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S 8 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) W OF 50 - N OF 45S: SECTOR E 8 WITH GUSTS VEER SECTOR S PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S PROB OF SH RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) N OF 55S: SECTOR W 7/8 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN SNOW FALL VIS MODERATE OCNL GOOD SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 7 WITH GUSTS TEMPO VEER SECTOR N 8 PROB OF RAIN SNOW FALL VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) E OF 50W: SECTOR W 5/7 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR W 4/6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE DRAKE AREA (55S- 60S AND 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/6 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE -----------------------------------------------------------------  144 WWST03 SABM 222100 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR NAVTEX STATIONS - METAREA 6 - OCTOBER 22, 21:00UTC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS NO WARNINGS GENERAL SINOPSIS: LOW 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTENDS CFNT AT 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIATED WITH OFNT AT 45S 57W 41S 58W HIGH 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC ICEBERG AT 58 57S 48 32W ESTIMATED SIZE 26 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE ICEBERG AT 59 24S 50 37W ESTIMATED SIZE 24 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 00:00 UTC 2015-10-24 NAVTEX STATIONS FCST: BUENOS AIRES: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD BAHIA BLANCA: SW 7/8 BACK SECTOR E 7 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS POOR A GOOD. MAR DEL PLATA: SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE. COMODORO RIVADAVIA: SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD. RIO GALLEGOS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS GOOD. USHUAIA: SECTOR W 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE. -----------------------------------------------------------------  479 WWST03 SABM 222100 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR NAVTEX STATIONS - METAREA 6 - OCTOBER 22, 21:00UTC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS NO WARNINGS GENERAL SINOPSIS: LOW 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTENDS CFNT AT 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIATED WITH OFNT AT 45S 57W 41S 58W HIGH 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC ICEBERG AT 58 57S 48 32W ESTIMATED SIZE 26 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE ICEBERG AT 59 24S 50 37W ESTIMATED SIZE 24 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 00:00 UTC 2015-10-24 NAVTEX STATIONS FCST: BUENOS AIRES: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD BAHIA BLANCA: SW 7/8 BACK SECTOR E 7 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS POOR A GOOD. MAR DEL PLATA: SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE. COMODORO RIVADAVIA: SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD. RIO GALLEGOS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS GOOD. USHUAIA: SECTOR W 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE. ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  483 WWST02 SABM 222100 1:31:06:01:00 SECURITE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR SHIPPING - METAREA 6- 21:00 UTC OCTOBER 22, 2015. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATE AND TIME UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED - UTC PRESSURE HPA BEAUFORT SCALE WINDS AND WAVE HEIGHT IN METERS PART 1 GALE WARNING: WARNING 257: LOW 1007HPA AT 44S 54W MOV E DEEPENING EXPECTED 42S 47W BY 23/2100 PROVOKES WINDS FORCE 8 FROM SECTOR S BETWEEN 40S-45S AND 55W-60W PART 2 GENERAL SYNOPSIS AT 21:00UTC LOW 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTENDS CFNT AT 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIATED WITH OFNT AT 45S 57W 41S 58W HIGH 1021HPA 42S 42W MOV E NC HIGH 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC CFNT AT 55S 61W 59S 52W 64S 54W MOV E ICEBERG AT 58 57S 48 32W ESTIMATED SIZE 26 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE ICEBERG AT 59 24S 50 37W ESTIMATED SIZE 24 X 14KM LAST REPORTED 2015/10/20 1800UTC MOV NE PART 3 FORECAST ISSUED 00:00 UTC VALID UNTIL 00:00 UTC 2015-10-24 COASTAL AREAS: INNER RIO DE LA PLATA: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD OUTER RIO DE LA PLATA: SECTOR S 4/5 PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD URUGUAY SOUTH EAST COASTS: SECTOR S 4 PROB OF SH IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD MAR DEL PLATA COASTS(36š17S - 38š30S): SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE RINCON BAHIA BLANCA COASTS(38š30S - 41šS): SW 7/8 BACK SECTOR E 7 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS POOR A GOOD PENINSULA DE VALDES COASTS(41šS - 45šS): SECTOR S 7 WITH GUSTS DECR SECTOR E 4 PROB OF SH RAIN IMPR VIS POOR TO GOOD GOLFO DE SAN JORGE COASTS(45šS - 48šS): SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD SOUTH PATAGONIA COASTS(48šS - 54šS): SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS GOOD FIN DEL MUNDO COASTS(54šS - 55šS): SECTOR W 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE ISLAS MALVINAS COASTS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W 5 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE OCEANIC AREAS: NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) E OF 35W: SECTOR S 4 BACK SECTOR E VIS GOOD NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) W OF 35 - E OF 45W: SECTOR E 4 BACK SECTOR N 6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN STARTING EVENING VIS GOOD TO MODERATE NORTH AREA (35S- 40S AND 20W- 55W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR W 7 GUST WITH 8 INTENSITY PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE TO POOR CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) E OF 30W: SW 5/7 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS MODERATE CENTRAL EAST AREA (40S- 50S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 5 VEER VRB 4 PROB OF ISOL RAIN IMPR VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) N OF 45 - E OF 50W: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S 8 PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) W OF 50 - N OF 45S: SECTOR E 8 WITH GUSTS VEER SECTOR S PROB OF SH RAIN VIS POOR OCNL VERY POOR CENTRAL WEST AREA (40S- 50S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S PROB OF SH RAIN IMPR VIS MODERATE TO GOOD SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) N OF 55S: SECTOR W 7/8 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN SNOW FALL VIS MODERATE OCNL GOOD SOUTH EAST AREA (50S- 60S AND 20W- 40W) REST OF THE AREA: SW 7 WITH GUSTS TEMPO VEER SECTOR N 8 PROB OF RAIN SNOW FALL VIS MODERATE OCNL POOR SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) E OF 50W: SECTOR W 5/7 WITH GUSTS PROB OF SH RAIN VIS MODERATE SOUTH WEST AREA (50S- 60S AND 40W- 60W) REST OF THE AREA: SECTOR W 4/6 WITH GUSTS PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE DRAKE AREA (55S- 60S AND 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/6 PROB OF ISOL RAIN VIS GOOD OCNL MODERATE ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=  622 WWST01 SABM 222100 1:31:06:01:00 SEGURIDAD BOLETIN METEOROLOGICO PARA NAVEGANTES - METAREA 6 - 2015-10-22 , 21:00 UTC. SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO NACIONAL HORA Y FECHA EN REFERENCIA AL TIEMPO UNIVERSAL COORDINADO (UTC), PRESION EN HPA, ESCALA BEAUFORT PARA VIENTO Y ALTURA DE OLAS EN METROS. 1 PARTE AVISO DE TEMPORAL: AVISO 257: DEPRESION 1007HPA EN 44S 54W MOV E PROFUNDIZANDOSE PREVISTO EN 42S 47W EL 23/2100 PROVOCA VIENTO FUERZA 8 DEL SECTOR S EN 40S-45S 55W-60W 2 PARTE SINOPSIS GENERAL A LAS 21:00UTC DEPRESION 1009HPA 44S 54W MOV E DPN EXTIENDE CFNT EN 40S 52W 36S 55W MOV E ASOCIADO CON OFNT LINEA 45S 57W 41S 58W ANTICICLON 1021HPA 42S 42W MOV E NC ANTICICLON 1030HPA 49S 66W MOV NE NC CFNT LINEA 55S 61W 59S 52W 64S 54W MOV E TEMPANO EN 58 57S 48 32W TAMAŅO ESTIMADO 26 X 14KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE TEMPANO EN 59 24S 50 37W TAMAŅO ESTIMADO 24 X 14KM INFORMADO EL 20/10/2015 1800UTC MOV NE 3 PARTE PRONOSTICO DE LAS 00:00 UTC VALIDO HASTA LAS 00:00 UTC DEL DIA 24-10-2015 ZONAS COSTERAS: RIO DE LA PLATA INTERIOR: SECTOR S 3 INCR 5 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA RIO DE LA PLATA EXTERIOR: SECTOR S 4/5 PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA SUDESTE DEL URUGUAY: SECTOR S 4 PROB DE SH MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA MAR DEL PLATA(36š17S - 38š30S): SW 4 BACK SECTOR S PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR RINCON BAHIA BLANCA(38š30S - 41šS): SW 7/8 CON RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 BACK SECTOR E 7 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA PENINSULA DE VALDES(41šS - 45šS): SECTOR S 7 CON RAFAGAS DECR SECTOR E 4 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS MEJORANDO VIS MALA A BUENA GOLFO DE SAN JORGE(45šS - 48šS): SECTOR S 6/4 VEER VRB PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA COSTA PATAGONIA SUR(48šS - 54šS): SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W VIS BUENA COSTA FIN DEL MUNDO(54šS - 55šS): SECTOR W 4 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR COSTA DE ISLAS MALVINAS: SECTOR S 4 VEER SECTOR W 5 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREAS OCEANICAS: AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) E DE 35W: SECTOR S 4 BACK SECTOR E VIS BUENA AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) W DE 35 - E DE 45W: SECTOR E 4 BACK SECTOR N 6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH LLUVIAS A PARTIR DE LA TARDE VIS BUENA A REGULAR AREA NORTE (35S- 40S Y 20W- 55W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR N 5 BACK SECTOR W 7 RAFAGAS CON INTENSIDAD 8 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR A MALA AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) E DE 30W: SW 5/7 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR AREA CENTRO ESTE (40S- 50S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 5 VEER VRB 4 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS MEJORANDO VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) N DE 45 - E DE 50W: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S 8 PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) W DE 50 - N DE 45S: SECTOR E 8 CON RAFAGAS VEER SECTOR S PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS MALA OCNL MUY MALA AREA CENTRO OESTE (40S- 50S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR E 5/6 VEER SECTOR S PROB DE SH LLUVIAS MEJORANDO VIS REGULAR A BUENA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) N DE 55S: SECTOR W 7/8 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS NEVADAS AISLADAS VIS REGULAR OCNL BUENA AREA SUDESTE (50S- 60S Y 20W- 40W) RESTO DEL AREA: SW 7 CON RAFAGAS TEMPO VEER SECTOR N 8 PROB DE LLUVIAS NEVADAS VIS REGULAR OCNL MALA AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) E DE 50W: SECTOR W 5/7 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE SH LLUVIAS VIS REGULAR AREA SUDOESTE (50S- 60S Y 40W- 60W) RESTO DEL AREA: SECTOR W 4/6 CON RAFAGAS PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR AREA PASAJE DE DRAKE (55S- 60S Y 60W- 67W): SECTOR W 5/6 PROB DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS VIS BUENA OCNL REGULAR ----------------------------------------------------------------- NNNN=